WEBVTT - CCS Extends Its Reach Beyond Oil and Gas

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<v Speaker 1>This is Dana Perkins and your listening to Switched on

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<v Speaker 1>the B and EF podcast. So back in twenty twenty

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<v Speaker 1>was the last time that we dedicated an episode here

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<v Speaker 1>on this show to carbon capture and storage, and at

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<v Speaker 1>the time we discussed it in terms of an emerging

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<v Speaker 1>technology which could become important in the future for reducing emissions. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>perhaps now the future has come. Within the intervening period.

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<v Speaker 1>CCS looks like it has been growing fast, with the

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<v Speaker 1>investment in CCS having more than doubled year on year

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<v Speaker 1>as of Q one twenty twenty three. The total capacity

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<v Speaker 1>of projects under development as of late twenty twenty two

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<v Speaker 1>stood at two hundred and forty four million tons per annum.

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<v Speaker 1>That's up forty four percent from the year before. So

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<v Speaker 1>which industries and sectors are driving this growth, why are

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<v Speaker 1>they looking at CCS in particular, and how does it

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<v Speaker 1>compare with other carbon abatement strategies. Today's show draws from

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<v Speaker 1>the recent BNF Carbon Capture and Storage market outlook, and

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<v Speaker 1>who better to speak with us about this topic than

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<v Speaker 1>two members of our Sustainable Materials team. The head of

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<v Speaker 1>the team, alent Tom Abraham, alongside Anastasia Tomasidu. Together, we

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<v Speaker 1>discuss the different industries that are utilizing carbon capture and

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<v Speaker 1>storage technology, including oil, gas, cement, and hydrogen and the

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<v Speaker 1>costs involved for each along with other hard to abate areas.

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<v Speaker 1>In the show, we also get into how carbon capture

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<v Speaker 1>is transported and stored In addition to some of the

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<v Speaker 1>surprising things that it can be used for, we also

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<v Speaker 1>address the potential bottlenecks for storing CO two and whether

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<v Speaker 1>it could pose a threat for the expansion of CCS.

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<v Speaker 1>And lastly, we get into the role that policy plays

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<v Speaker 1>in the adoption of CCS technology, in which countries are

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<v Speaker 1>actively encouraging rollout with reforms and how effective they've actually been.

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<v Speaker 1>As always, if you like this podcast, if you subscribe,

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<v Speaker 1>you're going to receive an update when we publish future episodes,

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<v Speaker 1>and if you give us a review on Apple Podcasts

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<v Speaker 1>or Spotify or any other players, it will make us

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<v Speaker 1>more discoverable by others. But right now, let's jump into

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<v Speaker 1>my conversation with Alan and Anastasia about where the CCS

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<v Speaker 1>market has gotten to since we last discussed it. Anna,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you very much for joining today. Thank you and Alan,

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<v Speaker 1>good to have you on the show.

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<v Speaker 2>As well.

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<v Speaker 3>Thank you, Dana. Very excited for this conversation.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, I'm looking forward to it because this is one

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<v Speaker 1>of those topics that we're revisiting because things have changed,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's always a good thing to see technology move

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<v Speaker 1>forward and for markets to be this kind of constantly

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<v Speaker 1>evolving thing. We're talking about carbon capture and storage today,

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<v Speaker 1>and my first question is a definition, one which does

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<v Speaker 1>seem to be where I head at the beginning of

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<v Speaker 1>many shows, because there's a lot of vernacular and one

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<v Speaker 1>thing I've noticed was that a couple of years back,

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<v Speaker 1>everyone was saying CCUS as opposed to CCS. Now I'm

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<v Speaker 1>noticing CCS being back as the go to term. Would

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<v Speaker 1>you be able to clarify the difference between the two

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<v Speaker 1>and essentially which term we're going to use for the

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<v Speaker 1>remainder of our conversation today.

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<v Speaker 3>Carbon capture and storage is what is referred to as CCS,

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<v Speaker 3>and carbon capture utilization and storage is what is referred

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<v Speaker 3>to as CCUS. Now, the utilization part is important because

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of companies previously thought that they could capture

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<v Speaker 3>carbon and then use it for certain applications like creating

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<v Speaker 3>synthetic fuels or any other particular applications that they would

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<v Speaker 3>look for. But because of the maturity and policy, as

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<v Speaker 3>well as some incentives that are coming out in certain

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<v Speaker 3>markets which favor storage, the industry is starting to slowly

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<v Speaker 3>shift towards storage, and that's becoming a more important part

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<v Speaker 3>of the whole carbon captured discussion. And that's why you

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<v Speaker 3>have rightly noticed that a lot of discussions are now

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<v Speaker 3>focusing on ccs instead of ccus, but both are relevant.

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<v Speaker 1>What was the utilization part? What was it being used

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<v Speaker 1>for in a way that was economically beneficial.

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<v Speaker 3>Historically most of it was used for enhancing oil production

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<v Speaker 3>from oil wells. You captured the CU two injected to

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<v Speaker 3>new oil wells and you increase the output from these

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<v Speaker 3>oil wells. Or you could also use it for carbonation

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<v Speaker 3>of beverages, for example, into your soda. That's also one

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<v Speaker 3>particular application. Or you could use it as a greenhouse

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<v Speaker 3>for increasing agricultural output in greenhouse versus agricultural production. So

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<v Speaker 3>different applications, but not very scalable.

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<v Speaker 1>I would say it's possible I drank a soda of

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<v Speaker 1>CCUS captured carbon. This is something that may have happened

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<v Speaker 1>and I didn't even realize it.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, if you were in the US, if.

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<v Speaker 1>I was in the US. We'll come to the regional

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<v Speaker 1>aspect of this particular technology application in a minute, but

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<v Speaker 1>let's talk a little bit right now about why this

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<v Speaker 1>is time for us to be talking about this. This

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<v Speaker 1>technology has become more prevalent, more often talked about, and

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<v Speaker 1>really in your mind. I mean, I know why we

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<v Speaker 1>asked you to come on the show, but why do

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<v Speaker 1>you think that there was a catalyst for you to

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<v Speaker 1>you talk about this topic and for us to revisit

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<v Speaker 1>CCS at this time.

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<v Speaker 4>So in the last decade, we've seen huge investment in

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<v Speaker 4>this technology, so many new projects and some Mu's news

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<v Speaker 4>it says capacity being announced. Between twenty twenty since we

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<v Speaker 4>last had a conversation, more than forty million tons of

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<v Speaker 4>capacity has been announced, which might sound huge, but by

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<v Speaker 4>the end of this decade, an additional three hundred and

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<v Speaker 4>seventy million tons of zotocupture capacity has been announced. So

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<v Speaker 4>this has been a massive change over the last few years.

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<v Speaker 3>This is something that we always try to look at

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<v Speaker 3>how fast the industry is moving bar and we try

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<v Speaker 3>to capture it in our market outlooks. And one of

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<v Speaker 3>the things that we started noticing when we went about

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<v Speaker 3>writing this market outlook was two other important things that

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<v Speaker 3>were changing. One is we discussed about the use of

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<v Speaker 3>carbon dioxide and where it eventually ends. And historically most

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<v Speaker 3>of the carbon diexcite, like I mentioned, was used for

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<v Speaker 3>enhanced soil togory. About sixty percent of the carbon great

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<v Speaker 3>capacity historically used the CO two to enhance oil recovery.

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<v Speaker 3>But when we look into the future twenty thirty twenty

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<v Speaker 3>thirty five, we are starting to see that flip. About

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<v Speaker 3>seventy five percent of the carbon capture capacity is now

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<v Speaker 3>trying to use the carbon dioxide and storing it away

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<v Speaker 3>permanently in deep geological reserves, when compared to just twenty

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<v Speaker 3>five percent today. So huge shift in terms of like

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<v Speaker 3>where we are sending the carbon dioxide that we're starting

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<v Speaker 3>to capture. And the other one is, of course we're

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<v Speaker 3>starting to see a divergence in terms of the geographical

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<v Speaker 3>footprint of the projects that are starting to be announced. Historically,

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<v Speaker 3>the US has been the largest market. The US continues

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<v Speaker 3>to be the largest market, but new large projects are

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<v Speaker 3>starting to come up in markets such as Canada, the UK, Germany, Netherlands,

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<v Speaker 3>and even the Middle East. So that's another difference that

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<v Speaker 3>we're starting to see when we look at the market

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<v Speaker 3>over the last three to four years.

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<v Speaker 2>Just thought something to what Alan has just said.

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<v Speaker 4>Another pig defense is in which sector is the capacity

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<v Speaker 4>is actually being added, And historically most of the capacity

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<v Speaker 4>was in natural gas processing plants, but now we see

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<v Speaker 4>lots of investment in sectors like hydrogen and cement and power,

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<v Speaker 4>especially in the US, and this diversification in terms of

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<v Speaker 4>verre city is supplied is also driving this huge capacity

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<v Speaker 4>boom that we're seeing.

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<v Speaker 1>So you mentioned that the US has been and continues

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<v Speaker 1>to be a dominant player in this space. So let's

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<v Speaker 1>talk a little bit about the geographical split. This is

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<v Speaker 1>a popular technology from what you're telling me, in the West,

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<v Speaker 1>but why why do you think that it is found

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<v Speaker 1>predominantly in North America and in Europe.

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<v Speaker 3>It's two reasons. One is, like I said, one of

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<v Speaker 3>the reasons for the dominance of the US when it

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<v Speaker 3>comes to carbon captic capacity is that the oil and

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<v Speaker 3>gas companies in the US have been at the forefront

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<v Speaker 3>of using this technology to improve the oil output from

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<v Speaker 3>their production facilities. And that's one of the reasons that

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<v Speaker 3>many of the projects that were initially located were in.

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<v Speaker 1>The US, and is that because perhaps national oil companies

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<v Speaker 1>are less interested at least until this point, in directly

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<v Speaker 1>managing their emissions with this technology.

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<v Speaker 3>It's two ways. One is the emissions is one part

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<v Speaker 3>of it. The other part is, of course, like how

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<v Speaker 3>do you increase the efficiency of your oil and gas

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<v Speaker 3>production as well and improve its output. So I would

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<v Speaker 3>say it's a balancing of both of these different parameters.

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<v Speaker 3>But it also looks at how some of these US

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<v Speaker 3>based oil and gas companies were looking at this technology

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<v Speaker 3>as a way to understand how carbon capture works out.

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<v Speaker 3>And there has been some historical incentives that also helped

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<v Speaker 3>in propping up this industry in the US and even

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<v Speaker 3>in markets like Canada where you used the captured carbon

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<v Speaker 3>dioxide in order to extract more oil and it created

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<v Speaker 3>a value stream for the captured carbon dioxide. Unfortunately, in

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<v Speaker 3>other markets outside of North America, we did not see

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<v Speaker 3>a value proposition for using the carbon dioxide that was captured,

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<v Speaker 3>and that's as a result you see very little projects

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<v Speaker 3>that were built in other markets. And when it comes

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<v Speaker 3>comes to why the US is leading, a lot of

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<v Speaker 3>that is coming down to again the activity of the

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<v Speaker 3>largest players in the market today, they're understanding about the technology.

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<v Speaker 3>And also because the Inflation Reduction Act actually came out

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<v Speaker 3>with huge incentives that were offered to carbon capture projects

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<v Speaker 3>over the next ten to twelve years.

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<v Speaker 1>So the usiras created financial incentives for this to do well.

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<v Speaker 1>But before that took place, you mentioned efficiency being something

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<v Speaker 1>that these companies, the oil and gas community is looking

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<v Speaker 1>for when they're looking at ccs. Is it something that

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<v Speaker 1>helps them make money in the right circumstances or is

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<v Speaker 1>it always an additional cost For the.

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<v Speaker 3>Oil and gas companies, they had to pay a very

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<v Speaker 3>small amount for getting the carbon dioxide from an industrial

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<v Speaker 3>facility or even their own applications. So if they owned

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<v Speaker 3>a refinery or if they owned a natural gas processing facility,

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<v Speaker 3>they already had to remove the carbon dioxide from these

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<v Speaker 3>processes and as a result, you ended up adding a

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<v Speaker 3>cost to your existing operational facility. Now you could use

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<v Speaker 3>that carbon dioxide to increase your oil output or your

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<v Speaker 3>gas output on the other hand, which meant you created

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<v Speaker 3>more value by using that cost to create more revenue

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<v Speaker 3>or profit from using that. So that was basically the

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<v Speaker 3>balancing act that the companies were trying to achieve.

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<v Speaker 1>Here has the emissions trading scheme in Europe, so the

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<v Speaker 1>EU ETS has that been a big catalyst for ccs.

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<v Speaker 3>Like I said, the Europe has never been a big

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<v Speaker 3>market for carbon capture and storage, except for some of

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<v Speaker 3>the markets in the Nordics, such as Norway, where a

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<v Speaker 3>certain carbon tax in the very early stages in the

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<v Speaker 3>in the in the in the nineties, and you know

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<v Speaker 3>in the early two thousands started promoting a lot of

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<v Speaker 3>carbon capture projects in Norway. But beyond Norway, carbon capture

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<v Speaker 3>has never been a tool that has been used effectively

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<v Speaker 3>for emissions reduction in Europe.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's talk a bit about prices then, because we're here

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<v Speaker 1>talking about different schemes that make it more than official

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<v Speaker 1>in certain parts of the world because the government is

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<v Speaker 1>supporting it. What is the current cost and really what

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<v Speaker 1>are some of our projections around where ccs might go

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<v Speaker 1>from a pricing standpoint.

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<v Speaker 4>So these one of the things we have recently explored

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<v Speaker 4>in our research, looting at the cost of capture per

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<v Speaker 4>ton of CO two in various different industries, some of

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<v Speaker 4>which we've mentioned already, And the type of industry makes

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<v Speaker 4>a huge difference because in each industry of gases that

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<v Speaker 4>are emitted from which we capture the COO two from

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<v Speaker 4>have varying concentrations of CO two. The higher the concentration,

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<v Speaker 4>that cheaper it is to capture it. So for high

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<v Speaker 4>concentration sources like natural gas processing and ethanol, the costs

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<v Speaker 4>are cheaper and they vary between twenty to forty dollars

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<v Speaker 4>per ton of CO two, whereas in other sectors where

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<v Speaker 4>concentration of cootwo is lower, like in hydrogen and cement,

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<v Speaker 4>the costs can be as high as eighty dollars per time,

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<v Speaker 4>so almost double.

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<v Speaker 2>And this is because when concentration of cootwo is.

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<v Speaker 4>Lower, more energy is needed, more where solvents are needed,

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<v Speaker 4>and per equipment is needed to capture the same amount

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<v Speaker 4>of SOO two.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's talk about those industries where this is a

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<v Speaker 1>really prime solution. You mentioned cement, steel, I'm hearing hard

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<v Speaker 1>to abate sectors. This is one of the solutions for

0:12:16.080 --> 0:12:20.800
<v Speaker 1>those parts of the economy that cannot electrify readily. What

0:12:20.840 --> 0:12:23.760
<v Speaker 1>would you say, or maybe the top few, top five

0:12:24.440 --> 0:12:28.680
<v Speaker 1>hard to abate sectors where CCS is really becoming increasingly popular.

0:12:29.280 --> 0:12:30.840
<v Speaker 3>There are two ways to look at it. One is

0:12:30.880 --> 0:12:34.080
<v Speaker 3>based on the announced pipeline of projects from now through

0:12:34.080 --> 0:12:36.600
<v Speaker 3>twenty thirty five, and the other is in sectors where

0:12:36.720 --> 0:12:39.160
<v Speaker 3>it is essential to deploy ccs in order to get

0:12:39.200 --> 0:12:41.520
<v Speaker 3>to net zero. So let me address it in two parts.

0:12:41.720 --> 0:12:44.560
<v Speaker 3>On the first part, which is based on the announced

0:12:44.600 --> 0:12:47.240
<v Speaker 3>pipeline of projects, when we look at the period from

0:12:47.280 --> 0:12:50.000
<v Speaker 3>now through twenty thirty five, most of the carbon capture

0:12:50.040 --> 0:12:54.640
<v Speaker 3>capacity is now targeted towards the production of hydrogen or ammonia,

0:12:54.960 --> 0:12:58.120
<v Speaker 3>and again a large portion of it located in the

0:12:58.240 --> 0:13:01.800
<v Speaker 3>US and then comes in streets such as power, where

0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:05.679
<v Speaker 3>again about nineteen percent of the capacity by twenty thirty

0:13:05.720 --> 0:13:08.880
<v Speaker 3>five based on the announced pipeline of projects, could be

0:13:08.920 --> 0:13:12.320
<v Speaker 3>for capturing CU too from coal and gas power plants

0:13:12.520 --> 0:13:15.320
<v Speaker 3>in various parts of the world substantial number again, and

0:13:15.360 --> 0:13:18.720
<v Speaker 3>the third largest category when it comes to cthiu's capacity

0:13:18.760 --> 0:13:21.440
<v Speaker 3>by twenty thirty five could be natural gas processing, which

0:13:21.480 --> 0:13:23.880
<v Speaker 3>is the dominant use case today. So these three sectors

0:13:24.040 --> 0:13:26.720
<v Speaker 3>still become one of the most important ones. But the

0:13:26.760 --> 0:13:30.080
<v Speaker 3>interesting part here is that hydrogen and power were not

0:13:30.240 --> 0:13:32.880
<v Speaker 3>historically big sectors for carbon capture, and they are starting

0:13:32.880 --> 0:13:35.840
<v Speaker 3>to be emerges. Two very important sectors for carbon capture

0:13:35.880 --> 0:13:38.679
<v Speaker 3>capacity by twenty thirty five, and you talked about hard

0:13:38.679 --> 0:13:41.480
<v Speaker 3>to beat industries like cement and steel. These industries do

0:13:41.600 --> 0:13:44.360
<v Speaker 3>require carbon capture in order to reduce emissions and to

0:13:44.400 --> 0:13:46.720
<v Speaker 3>get to net zero. But when you look at the

0:13:46.720 --> 0:13:49.480
<v Speaker 3>timeline between now and twenty thirty five, unfortunately very few

0:13:49.520 --> 0:13:52.200
<v Speaker 3>companies are really looking at investing in this technology in

0:13:52.280 --> 0:13:54.680
<v Speaker 3>order to reduce emissions. As a result, only about seven

0:13:54.679 --> 0:13:57.120
<v Speaker 3>percent of the capacity by twenty thirty five could be

0:13:57.280 --> 0:13:58.880
<v Speaker 3>deployed in these two sectors.

0:13:59.240 --> 0:14:03.280
<v Speaker 1>How low in CCS technology actually get the emissions coming

0:14:03.320 --> 0:14:06.440
<v Speaker 1>from these sectors. I'm assuming that it does not get

0:14:06.480 --> 0:14:10.360
<v Speaker 1>to zero, it does not wipe out the emissions. I'm

0:14:10.520 --> 0:14:14.560
<v Speaker 1>also assuming that it varies widely depending upon the density

0:14:14.760 --> 0:14:16.680
<v Speaker 1>of the carbon, as you had mentioned, So I guess

0:14:17.000 --> 0:14:19.160
<v Speaker 1>what the question I'm really asking is how good is it?

0:14:19.200 --> 0:14:23.680
<v Speaker 1>How effective is it in removing carbon from carbon intensive industries?

0:14:24.320 --> 0:14:28.040
<v Speaker 4>So this varies a lot. Most facilities aim for at

0:14:28.160 --> 0:14:31.080
<v Speaker 4>least ninety percent of the COETO to be captured, and

0:14:31.120 --> 0:14:33.680
<v Speaker 4>there's some facilities that have proven to be able to

0:14:33.760 --> 0:14:37.120
<v Speaker 4>capture a ninety five percent. There's interesting companies that claim

0:14:37.200 --> 0:14:39.440
<v Speaker 4>that they can capture more than ninety nine percent of

0:14:39.480 --> 0:14:42.040
<v Speaker 4>their emissions. But this is something that has only been

0:14:42.040 --> 0:14:46.560
<v Speaker 4>tested at small scale facilities and not actually been employed

0:14:46.600 --> 0:14:49.320
<v Speaker 4>in commercial plants. So it's something that we're also finding

0:14:49.360 --> 0:14:52.200
<v Speaker 4>very interesting. How much can they actually capture and can

0:14:52.240 --> 0:14:54.360
<v Speaker 4>they prove that they can capture as much as they

0:14:54.400 --> 0:14:55.320
<v Speaker 4>claim they come.

0:14:55.760 --> 0:14:57.760
<v Speaker 1>Well, then let's talk a little bit about the different

0:14:57.800 --> 0:15:02.240
<v Speaker 1>technologies that are out there. What is the dominant CCS

0:15:02.280 --> 0:15:06.000
<v Speaker 1>technology and is there a good amount of innovation either

0:15:06.080 --> 0:15:09.080
<v Speaker 1>from within oil and gas companies who are using CCS

0:15:09.160 --> 0:15:12.000
<v Speaker 1>or actually with startups that are VC funded. Really where's

0:15:12.040 --> 0:15:15.520
<v Speaker 1>the change coming from in terms of advancement of this technology,

0:15:15.520 --> 0:15:17.720
<v Speaker 1>because it's been around for quite some time. I mean,

0:15:17.760 --> 0:15:21.680
<v Speaker 1>this has been a topic that the industry within decarbonization

0:15:21.840 --> 0:15:24.440
<v Speaker 1>we have discussed for many years.

0:15:24.760 --> 0:15:28.720
<v Speaker 2>I guess let's start from the beginning. There's firstly, three main.

0:15:28.720 --> 0:15:31.000
<v Speaker 4>Parts of the process that we can capture CO two

0:15:31.160 --> 0:15:34.920
<v Speaker 4>from pre combustion, post combustion, and oxy combustion capture, and

0:15:35.000 --> 0:15:38.120
<v Speaker 4>their names kind of reveal what these means. So pre

0:15:38.160 --> 0:15:41.720
<v Speaker 4>combustion removes COO two from fossil fuels before the fuel

0:15:41.800 --> 0:15:44.920
<v Speaker 4>is actually burned, and this has a big benefit in

0:15:44.960 --> 0:15:48.320
<v Speaker 4>the sense that this gas has high partial pressures of

0:15:48.520 --> 0:15:51.160
<v Speaker 4>CO two, which makes the process quite efficient, but this

0:15:51.320 --> 0:15:55.160
<v Speaker 4>is hard to retrofit and implement that existing facilities. Post

0:15:55.160 --> 0:15:59.440
<v Speaker 4>combustion cupture happens after the fuel is combusted, and this

0:15:59.640 --> 0:16:02.040
<v Speaker 4>is the most commonly used approach and what most of

0:16:02.080 --> 0:16:05.320
<v Speaker 4>these large scale industrial plants use. Now, this is very

0:16:05.320 --> 0:16:07.920
<v Speaker 4>easy to retrofit to existing plants, but is a less

0:16:07.960 --> 0:16:12.480
<v Speaker 4>efficient process. And then, lastly, oxyfuel combustion is when instead

0:16:12.520 --> 0:16:15.400
<v Speaker 4>of air, we use a pure oxygen stream for a

0:16:15.440 --> 0:16:19.200
<v Speaker 4>combustion of the fuel and this generates a nearly pure

0:16:19.280 --> 0:16:23.680
<v Speaker 4>stream of cootwo which bypasses any subsequent capture processes and

0:16:23.880 --> 0:16:25.520
<v Speaker 4>the costs associated with them.

0:16:25.800 --> 0:16:28.720
<v Speaker 2>But how do we actually capture the CO two? How

0:16:28.760 --> 0:16:30.680
<v Speaker 2>do we actually get it? So?

0:16:31.000 --> 0:16:34.440
<v Speaker 4>The liquid absorption is by far the leading and most

0:16:34.480 --> 0:16:37.680
<v Speaker 4>mature technology and is the only technology that has been

0:16:37.800 --> 0:16:41.360
<v Speaker 4>used in large scale commercial plants. In this technology, the

0:16:41.480 --> 0:16:46.120
<v Speaker 4>CO two is essentially dissolved in a solvent, a liquid

0:16:46.200 --> 0:16:48.840
<v Speaker 4>solvent and is then released to create this pure CO

0:16:49.080 --> 0:16:52.560
<v Speaker 4>two stream that we can capture and the solvent is regenerated.

0:16:52.840 --> 0:16:58.320
<v Speaker 4>Many companies provide this technology, for example, MHI it'swishy and shell.

0:16:58.520 --> 0:17:02.000
<v Speaker 4>They provide aimine based solvents to capture CO two, and

0:17:02.080 --> 0:17:04.919
<v Speaker 4>aimines have been around for years as this is the

0:17:05.000 --> 0:17:08.680
<v Speaker 4>benchmark technology, it's what has been traditionally used. But today

0:17:08.760 --> 0:17:12.240
<v Speaker 4>this is quite expensive, it has quite high energy requirements.

0:17:12.640 --> 0:17:16.280
<v Speaker 4>It spares some environmental concerns in terms of aimines being

0:17:16.359 --> 0:17:19.040
<v Speaker 4>leaked in the atmosphere. So there is a few companies

0:17:19.080 --> 0:17:22.520
<v Speaker 4>that are working on developing new innovative solutions, solvents with

0:17:22.560 --> 0:17:25.760
<v Speaker 4>different chemistries that don't rely on aimings at all, but

0:17:25.840 --> 0:17:29.879
<v Speaker 4>also completely different approaches like solid absorption where the CO

0:17:30.119 --> 0:17:34.119
<v Speaker 4>two is trapped but in the pores of very highly

0:17:34.160 --> 0:17:37.400
<v Speaker 4>porced materials, or things like membrane.

0:17:37.080 --> 0:17:40.920
<v Speaker 1>Capture and by quite expensive. Put that in nominal terms

0:17:40.960 --> 0:17:41.199
<v Speaker 1>for me.

0:17:41.760 --> 0:17:45.680
<v Speaker 4>So as we talked about earlier, this varies so much

0:17:45.720 --> 0:17:49.480
<v Speaker 4>depending on the concentration of CO two in the off cases,

0:17:49.600 --> 0:17:52.840
<v Speaker 4>and it can vary from around forty dollars per ton

0:17:52.880 --> 0:17:55.520
<v Speaker 4>of CO two to eighty dollars per ton of CO two.

0:17:55.760 --> 0:17:59.600
<v Speaker 4>But as mentioned, the energy requirements for these plants are huge.

0:18:00.080 --> 0:18:03.560
<v Speaker 1>Is there more to add? Are there more technology advancements

0:18:04.119 --> 0:18:07.919
<v Speaker 1>that are quite different technically speaking from the one you

0:18:08.000 --> 0:18:09.159
<v Speaker 1>just outlined.

0:18:09.119 --> 0:18:12.680
<v Speaker 4>So other than what I just talked about, so developing

0:18:12.720 --> 0:18:17.960
<v Speaker 4>different new more efficient solvents, new sorpents, solid serpents, and membranes.

0:18:18.040 --> 0:18:21.640
<v Speaker 4>Many companies are working on the equipment itself and how

0:18:21.640 --> 0:18:24.480
<v Speaker 4>the process works. And many companies are not looking at

0:18:24.560 --> 0:18:29.119
<v Speaker 4>creating modulary solutions, which makes capital expenditure much lower. They

0:18:29.160 --> 0:18:32.920
<v Speaker 4>can create these standardized solutions that also leads to economies

0:18:32.960 --> 0:18:35.400
<v Speaker 4>of scale, so they can reduce cost a lot. Many

0:18:35.400 --> 0:18:38.960
<v Speaker 4>companies are looking at implementing KEAT integration and recovering their

0:18:38.960 --> 0:18:42.800
<v Speaker 4>systems to lower these huge energy requirements that we talked about.

0:18:43.119 --> 0:18:45.320
<v Speaker 4>These are some of the things they're working on. Also

0:18:45.560 --> 0:18:49.680
<v Speaker 4>simpler things like the arrangement of the equipment, how them

0:18:49.840 --> 0:18:53.919
<v Speaker 4>solid out serpents are packed in the equipment that's being used.

0:18:54.280 --> 0:18:55.880
<v Speaker 2>Just lots is going on.

0:18:57.720 --> 0:19:00.639
<v Speaker 1>So we're talking an awful lot about the captured technology,

0:19:00.680 --> 0:19:02.399
<v Speaker 1>but I want to pivot a little bit to talking

0:19:02.400 --> 0:19:05.119
<v Speaker 1>about what happens after we have all this carbon. So

0:19:05.200 --> 0:19:09.960
<v Speaker 1>if it's not going into my next soda, where is

0:19:10.040 --> 0:19:13.439
<v Speaker 1>it being stored and what are we actually doing with

0:19:13.480 --> 0:19:15.120
<v Speaker 1>it to make sure that it doesn't go back into

0:19:15.119 --> 0:19:15.880
<v Speaker 1>the atmosphere.

0:19:16.720 --> 0:19:19.440
<v Speaker 3>Very good question, thankfully, if it's in soda, it ends

0:19:19.520 --> 0:19:22.920
<v Speaker 3>up in human beings. But otherwise what generly used to

0:19:23.000 --> 0:19:25.880
<v Speaker 3>happen is it used to be used for enhanced oil recovery.

0:19:26.040 --> 0:19:28.720
<v Speaker 3>And as I mentioned, most of the capacity that's expected

0:19:28.760 --> 0:19:31.200
<v Speaker 3>to come in the next ten to fifteen years is

0:19:31.280 --> 0:19:34.680
<v Speaker 3>actually now pivoting towards storing this carbon for long periods

0:19:34.680 --> 0:19:37.720
<v Speaker 3>of time in deep geological reserves. It can be saliine

0:19:37.760 --> 0:19:41.200
<v Speaker 3>equifers or depleted oil and gas reserves. About seventy five

0:19:41.200 --> 0:19:43.960
<v Speaker 3>percent of the capacity, as I mentioned. Now, the big

0:19:44.040 --> 0:19:47.360
<v Speaker 3>question there is whether we have the infrastructure to ensure

0:19:47.520 --> 0:19:49.800
<v Speaker 3>that the CU two that is captured in these industrial

0:19:49.840 --> 0:19:54.000
<v Speaker 3>facilities get transported and the storage facilities and the transport

0:19:54.040 --> 0:19:57.960
<v Speaker 3>infrastructure is available. And that becomes another important aspect when

0:19:57.960 --> 0:19:59.639
<v Speaker 3>we think about carbon captured.

0:20:00.119 --> 0:20:04.160
<v Speaker 1>Is it transported? Is it put on trucks, trains, pipelines.

0:20:04.640 --> 0:20:07.119
<v Speaker 3>It can be done on any of these, but typically

0:20:07.359 --> 0:20:11.720
<v Speaker 3>most of them target to use pipelines, large pipelines where

0:20:11.880 --> 0:20:15.399
<v Speaker 3>you compress the carbon dioxide into a fluid state and

0:20:15.440 --> 0:20:19.080
<v Speaker 3>then push it along these pipelines into storage way wells

0:20:19.160 --> 0:20:23.560
<v Speaker 3>which are either within land boundaries or even offshore. And

0:20:23.840 --> 0:20:28.000
<v Speaker 3>it depends on the strategy from a company's perspective as

0:20:28.000 --> 0:20:30.680
<v Speaker 3>well as you know what different countries have in mind

0:20:30.720 --> 0:20:33.000
<v Speaker 3>when it comes to how to address the CEO to

0:20:33.080 --> 0:20:34.359
<v Speaker 3>that is being captured.

0:20:34.240 --> 0:20:37.360
<v Speaker 1>We're putting it into the ground. Are there specific geological

0:20:37.400 --> 0:20:40.760
<v Speaker 1>conditions which must be required in order to be able

0:20:40.800 --> 0:20:44.520
<v Speaker 1>to store it or is it really just up to

0:20:44.600 --> 0:20:47.480
<v Speaker 1>having the space from a land use standpoint in order

0:20:47.520 --> 0:20:48.360
<v Speaker 1>to put it somewhere.

0:20:48.720 --> 0:20:51.760
<v Speaker 3>Typically the best places to park your CEO two is

0:20:52.000 --> 0:20:55.879
<v Speaker 3>deep geological reserves like Celia aquifers, which are either found

0:20:56.040 --> 0:20:59.400
<v Speaker 3>within land boundaries or even offshore. Now, what I mentioned

0:20:59.440 --> 0:21:02.600
<v Speaker 3>when it comes to how different countries are looking at

0:21:02.640 --> 0:21:05.720
<v Speaker 3>it differently, is that most of the capacity that is proposed,

0:21:05.880 --> 0:21:08.880
<v Speaker 3>say in the US, looks at storing carbon dioxide within

0:21:08.920 --> 0:21:11.439
<v Speaker 3>the land boundaries on shore, but when you come to

0:21:11.520 --> 0:21:15.159
<v Speaker 3>Europe there's a slightly different approach where most countries like

0:21:15.240 --> 0:21:18.040
<v Speaker 3>Germany for example, do not want carbon dioxide to be

0:21:18.040 --> 0:21:20.840
<v Speaker 3>stored within their land boundaries and as a result, they

0:21:20.840 --> 0:21:24.640
<v Speaker 3>want to push it outside deep offshore into depleted oil

0:21:24.640 --> 0:21:27.960
<v Speaker 3>and gas reserves or even Serie aquifers which are offshore.

0:21:28.000 --> 0:21:30.840
<v Speaker 3>So that becomes a different approach in how different countries

0:21:31.119 --> 0:21:34.280
<v Speaker 3>identify where they want to store the carbon dioxide that's captured.

0:21:35.000 --> 0:21:37.640
<v Speaker 1>How do we ensure that it stays where it's being stored.

0:21:38.040 --> 0:21:39.919
<v Speaker 3>That's a very good question, and that's something that the

0:21:39.920 --> 0:21:42.720
<v Speaker 3>industry is starting to like figure out in how do

0:21:42.760 --> 0:21:47.080
<v Speaker 3>we ensure and monitor and verify that the carbon dioxide

0:21:47.080 --> 0:21:49.800
<v Speaker 3>that we inject into these wells stay there for long?

0:21:50.119 --> 0:21:53.280
<v Speaker 3>It depends on the specific geology in some certain cases,

0:21:53.400 --> 0:21:58.240
<v Speaker 3>but overall, companies are starting to use technology AI and

0:21:58.320 --> 0:22:01.280
<v Speaker 3>the deep machine learning as well as digital expertise that

0:22:01.359 --> 0:22:03.840
<v Speaker 3>many of these oil and gas companies have developed over

0:22:03.840 --> 0:22:07.159
<v Speaker 3>the last few years to understand how the geology in

0:22:07.200 --> 0:22:10.399
<v Speaker 3>these wells work and how it behaves as you inject

0:22:10.400 --> 0:22:13.199
<v Speaker 3>more carbon dioxide into these wells. And they're starting to

0:22:13.200 --> 0:22:16.399
<v Speaker 3>put up new technology which will continuously measure if what

0:22:16.440 --> 0:22:18.800
<v Speaker 3>they're trying to achieve is being achieved in terms of

0:22:18.920 --> 0:22:21.760
<v Speaker 3>keeping the carbon dioxide in there for long periods of time.

0:22:22.160 --> 0:22:25.080
<v Speaker 1>So you reference the transportation in storage is a bit tricky.

0:22:25.400 --> 0:22:28.439
<v Speaker 1>How tricky is this how well? Actually, to put it in

0:22:28.440 --> 0:22:31.960
<v Speaker 1>another way, we were talking earlier about technology advancements in

0:22:32.080 --> 0:22:34.840
<v Speaker 1>terms of the actual capture technology. Are there a lot

0:22:34.840 --> 0:22:38.080
<v Speaker 1>of eyes on trying to solve this transportation in storage question.

0:22:38.359 --> 0:22:40.520
<v Speaker 1>And you know, I'm just sitting here having a moment

0:22:40.560 --> 0:22:42.840
<v Speaker 1>also thinking about the fact that we recently did a

0:22:42.880 --> 0:22:47.080
<v Speaker 1>show on grids and how incredibly underinvested and important they

0:22:47.119 --> 0:22:50.520
<v Speaker 1>are for that sector. So I can only imagine that

0:22:50.600 --> 0:22:52.000
<v Speaker 1>this has a similar parallel.

0:22:52.400 --> 0:22:54.960
<v Speaker 3>Absolutely, you're right in that you can draw a parallel

0:22:54.960 --> 0:22:58.000
<v Speaker 3>to this, because transportation and storage is now looking like

0:22:58.040 --> 0:23:00.760
<v Speaker 3>one of those factors that can be the biggest bottlenecks

0:23:01.000 --> 0:23:03.920
<v Speaker 3>for this industry to scale again. In our market outlook,

0:23:03.920 --> 0:23:06.919
<v Speaker 3>we try to track what is the announced capacity of

0:23:07.000 --> 0:23:10.320
<v Speaker 3>transport in storage facilities that is being rolled out over

0:23:10.320 --> 0:23:12.360
<v Speaker 3>the next ten to fifteen years, and what we see

0:23:12.359 --> 0:23:15.000
<v Speaker 3>is that for the four hundred and twenty million tons

0:23:15.200 --> 0:23:18.840
<v Speaker 3>of carbon captured capacity that could be online by twenty

0:23:18.880 --> 0:23:22.960
<v Speaker 3>thirty five, only about two fifty million tons of transport

0:23:23.000 --> 0:23:26.000
<v Speaker 3>and storage infrastructure is being proposed by the same period

0:23:26.040 --> 0:23:30.200
<v Speaker 3>of time, So only about half of the captured carbon

0:23:30.480 --> 0:23:34.000
<v Speaker 3>can be transported or stored based on the announced transport

0:23:34.000 --> 0:23:37.199
<v Speaker 3>and storage infrastructure by twenty thirty five, which means this

0:23:37.320 --> 0:23:39.520
<v Speaker 3>is going to be one of the biggest bottlenecks for

0:23:39.720 --> 0:23:43.080
<v Speaker 3>the carbon captured facilities to scale. All these industries can

0:23:43.119 --> 0:23:45.360
<v Speaker 3>capt carbon, but they don't know what to do with it.

0:23:46.000 --> 0:23:50.600
<v Speaker 1>Transporting anything over a distance is going to require permitting

0:23:50.760 --> 0:23:54.960
<v Speaker 1>and a view on environmental impact in local communities. Not

0:23:55.000 --> 0:23:58.679
<v Speaker 1>only well, there's two questions within this, how difficult is

0:23:58.680 --> 0:24:01.320
<v Speaker 1>it to get these permits and then ultimately how long

0:24:01.640 --> 0:24:03.760
<v Speaker 1>does it take to build some of these projects.

0:24:04.160 --> 0:24:06.479
<v Speaker 3>It is certainly turning out to be very difficult to

0:24:06.520 --> 0:24:08.960
<v Speaker 3>get these new permits. Let me give you an example.

0:24:09.280 --> 0:24:12.640
<v Speaker 3>Some of the projects that companies such as Summit Carbon

0:24:12.680 --> 0:24:16.240
<v Speaker 3>Soedutions or Navigate to SEO two Ventures have now proposed

0:24:16.240 --> 0:24:18.879
<v Speaker 3>in the US, which is by far the most mature

0:24:18.880 --> 0:24:21.520
<v Speaker 3>market when it comes to carbon capture solutions, are now

0:24:21.680 --> 0:24:26.600
<v Speaker 3>facing huge permitting delays because the initial applications that they

0:24:26.640 --> 0:24:29.840
<v Speaker 3>submitted with states in the Midwest such as North Dakota

0:24:29.920 --> 0:24:33.680
<v Speaker 3>or South Dakota were initially declined. And many of these companies,

0:24:33.680 --> 0:24:35.920
<v Speaker 3>like Navigate to SEO two Ventures, are now saying these

0:24:35.960 --> 0:24:37.639
<v Speaker 3>projects are on hold and we are now going to

0:24:37.680 --> 0:24:40.280
<v Speaker 3>revisit the entire project and see where we can find

0:24:40.320 --> 0:24:43.639
<v Speaker 3>other alternative paths to make these projects happen. So it

0:24:43.760 --> 0:24:47.119
<v Speaker 3>is becoming a big hassle to build these pipelines and

0:24:47.160 --> 0:24:49.600
<v Speaker 3>get the permits for these pipelines. And these are long

0:24:49.640 --> 0:24:53.120
<v Speaker 3>infrastructure projects, long duration infrastructure projects. We can take six

0:24:53.200 --> 0:24:56.240
<v Speaker 3>seven years sometimes in the making to build over thousands

0:24:56.240 --> 0:24:57.359
<v Speaker 3>and thousands of miles.

0:24:57.760 --> 0:25:00.160
<v Speaker 1>I've got two questions. One is near term and one

0:25:00.200 --> 0:25:03.040
<v Speaker 1>is long term. But let's start with the nearer term.

0:25:03.080 --> 0:25:05.480
<v Speaker 1>And by nearer term, I mean let's say the next

0:25:05.520 --> 0:25:09.719
<v Speaker 1>decade or so. How critical is this technology to the

0:25:09.760 --> 0:25:12.520
<v Speaker 1>future of a net zero world when it comes to

0:25:12.560 --> 0:25:14.960
<v Speaker 1>the oil and gas industry or in some of the

0:25:14.960 --> 0:25:17.600
<v Speaker 1>hard twobate sectors that you also outlined that really rely

0:25:17.760 --> 0:25:20.040
<v Speaker 1>on this technology to bring their emissions down.

0:25:20.160 --> 0:25:22.719
<v Speaker 4>So this decade has a huge impact on the long term,

0:25:22.760 --> 0:25:26.320
<v Speaker 4>So let's talk about both. In our net zero scenario,

0:25:26.600 --> 0:25:30.399
<v Speaker 4>as we said previously, in this decade, we expect carbon

0:25:30.400 --> 0:25:33.280
<v Speaker 4>capture capacity to grow to around four hundred and twenty

0:25:33.440 --> 0:25:36.560
<v Speaker 4>million tons, which is a huge number. But in our

0:25:36.680 --> 0:25:40.959
<v Speaker 4>net zero scenario, this number for twenty thirty is one thousand,

0:25:41.000 --> 0:25:44.240
<v Speaker 4>seven hundred and fifty million tons. That's one point seventy

0:25:44.240 --> 0:25:47.480
<v Speaker 4>five billion tons of CO two. Now we need in

0:25:47.480 --> 0:25:51.639
<v Speaker 4>our net zero scenario by twenty thirty, So as this

0:25:51.760 --> 0:25:55.080
<v Speaker 4>makes it obvious that the announced projects are far behind

0:25:55.240 --> 0:25:58.320
<v Speaker 4>what we need to see to twenty thirty to reach

0:25:58.400 --> 0:26:01.080
<v Speaker 4>net zero, and we're touching up twenty thirty, but what

0:26:01.160 --> 0:26:05.479
<v Speaker 4>about twenty fifty? So in twenty years time, by twenty fifty,

0:26:05.720 --> 0:26:09.120
<v Speaker 4>in our net zero scenario, we expect cicis to contribute

0:26:09.160 --> 0:26:14.040
<v Speaker 4>about ten percent of emissions of eightmen in power, twenty

0:26:14.080 --> 0:26:17.719
<v Speaker 4>one percent in steel, and a huge seventy five percent

0:26:17.800 --> 0:26:22.160
<v Speaker 4>in cement, which translates to about seven point five billion

0:26:22.359 --> 0:26:25.240
<v Speaker 4>tons of CO two being captured to twenty fifty in

0:26:25.359 --> 0:26:27.480
<v Speaker 4>order for us to reach net zero. So, going back

0:26:27.480 --> 0:26:29.639
<v Speaker 4>to your question, we think it's going to be a

0:26:29.680 --> 0:26:33.280
<v Speaker 4>massive contributor to being able to reduce AT emissions in

0:26:33.440 --> 0:26:34.919
<v Speaker 4>various different sectors.

0:26:35.040 --> 0:26:37.000
<v Speaker 1>And for those who aren't familiar with the net zero

0:26:37.040 --> 0:26:39.600
<v Speaker 1>scenario coming from benf it's part of our new energy

0:26:39.640 --> 0:26:42.320
<v Speaker 1>outlook where we essentially start with the end in mind

0:26:42.359 --> 0:26:44.159
<v Speaker 1>and we say, if we want to reach net zero

0:26:44.359 --> 0:26:47.520
<v Speaker 1>as a planet by twenty fifty, what is it going

0:26:47.560 --> 0:26:49.480
<v Speaker 1>to take for the different sectors that we cover in

0:26:49.560 --> 0:26:52.359
<v Speaker 1>order for it to get there? And needless to say,

0:26:52.480 --> 0:26:55.760
<v Speaker 1>there is a speed and scale discussion in the immediate term.

0:26:56.160 --> 0:26:57.920
<v Speaker 1>I have a follow on question though, when it comes

0:26:57.960 --> 0:27:00.280
<v Speaker 1>to this, which is, we know what it is that

0:27:00.320 --> 0:27:02.719
<v Speaker 1>we need to do. But for those who are in

0:27:02.800 --> 0:27:07.679
<v Speaker 1>businesses and looking at investing in technologies and large infrastructure projects,

0:27:07.720 --> 0:27:09.920
<v Speaker 1>they want to make sure that these projects are going

0:27:09.960 --> 0:27:12.920
<v Speaker 1>to continue to make money for them for a long

0:27:12.960 --> 0:27:15.359
<v Speaker 1>period of time. The parallel I can think of is

0:27:15.760 --> 0:27:18.120
<v Speaker 1>natural gas. If you're going to build a new gas

0:27:18.200 --> 0:27:20.119
<v Speaker 1>fired power station, you want to know that you're going

0:27:20.160 --> 0:27:23.720
<v Speaker 1>to be able to actually use it, and in some circumstances,

0:27:23.800 --> 0:27:29.560
<v Speaker 1>the policy environment does not necessarily make that particular project favorable,

0:27:29.720 --> 0:27:31.840
<v Speaker 1>even if it has a short term benefit from a

0:27:31.880 --> 0:27:35.200
<v Speaker 1>carbon emission standpoint. So as we enter a phase where

0:27:35.640 --> 0:27:39.560
<v Speaker 1>we're talking increasingly about oil demand dropping off and we

0:27:39.600 --> 0:27:42.720
<v Speaker 1>may have actually already reached peak oil demand in the

0:27:42.760 --> 0:27:46.040
<v Speaker 1>oil and gas industry and the application of CCS, do

0:27:46.080 --> 0:27:48.600
<v Speaker 1>we have a feel for whether or not there's cause

0:27:48.720 --> 0:27:52.080
<v Speaker 1>to be concerned on the CCS side of the business,

0:27:52.359 --> 0:27:54.840
<v Speaker 1>or even in the transportation and storage end of things,

0:27:55.240 --> 0:27:59.400
<v Speaker 1>not having a long term viable future for these technologies

0:27:59.640 --> 0:28:03.480
<v Speaker 1>in the hum hypothetical world where we actually do decarbonize

0:28:03.520 --> 0:28:05.680
<v Speaker 1>at the speed that we need to in order to

0:28:05.720 --> 0:28:06.440
<v Speaker 1>reach net zero.

0:28:06.760 --> 0:28:09.960
<v Speaker 3>There are some industries which, even in the long term,

0:28:10.119 --> 0:28:13.520
<v Speaker 3>do not have many pathways to completely face out the

0:28:13.640 --> 0:28:16.399
<v Speaker 3>use of fossil fuels, and one of them is the

0:28:16.400 --> 0:28:21.360
<v Speaker 3>petrochemicals industry. For example, the world is developing, population is rising,

0:28:21.600 --> 0:28:25.760
<v Speaker 3>people are dependent more and more on consuming plastics, for example,

0:28:26.000 --> 0:28:29.760
<v Speaker 3>or any other chemicals that are produced from the petrochemicals industry,

0:28:29.840 --> 0:28:32.840
<v Speaker 3>and all of this petrochemicals industry would require some fossil

0:28:32.880 --> 0:28:36.000
<v Speaker 3>fuel feedstock, which when it goes through the process in

0:28:36.040 --> 0:28:40.280
<v Speaker 3>the petrochemical refineries, produces emissions, and you need to capture

0:28:40.280 --> 0:28:43.400
<v Speaker 3>those emissions, and as a result, there is a stream

0:28:43.440 --> 0:28:47.120
<v Speaker 3>of opportunity for carbon capture in that industry. For example. Similarly,

0:28:47.160 --> 0:28:49.480
<v Speaker 3>for cement, the world is going to build more buildings,

0:28:49.560 --> 0:28:52.960
<v Speaker 3>especially in the developing world, and we need cement to

0:28:53.440 --> 0:28:56.880
<v Speaker 3>build the roads, the buildings, everything in these places. And

0:28:57.000 --> 0:29:01.000
<v Speaker 3>cement has a particular feature in that the process involves

0:29:01.400 --> 0:29:04.120
<v Speaker 3>creating about fifty to sixty percent of the emissions and

0:29:04.160 --> 0:29:06.560
<v Speaker 3>not just the fuel that is burnt in the manufacturer

0:29:06.560 --> 0:29:09.320
<v Speaker 3>of cement. So even if we in a hypothetical world

0:29:09.680 --> 0:29:13.560
<v Speaker 3>entirely switch out the fuels in a cement manufacturing facility

0:29:13.560 --> 0:29:17.200
<v Speaker 3>with clean fuels, you still end up having about fifty

0:29:17.280 --> 0:29:19.760
<v Speaker 3>to sixty percent of CO two emissions from the process

0:29:19.760 --> 0:29:22.320
<v Speaker 3>which needs to be captured. So there are these sectors

0:29:22.520 --> 0:29:25.920
<v Speaker 3>which would still rely on CCS as a technology to

0:29:26.280 --> 0:29:28.880
<v Speaker 3>abate their emissions in an net zero world, and that

0:29:29.040 --> 0:29:32.440
<v Speaker 3>is what is the stream that will help develop some

0:29:32.520 --> 0:29:35.560
<v Speaker 3>of these transport and storage infrastructure remain viable, as well

0:29:35.600 --> 0:29:37.840
<v Speaker 3>as all the investments that's going into these space.

0:29:38.760 --> 0:29:41.080
<v Speaker 1>That really helped me think about the future for this

0:29:41.200 --> 0:29:45.959
<v Speaker 1>industry because I know that it's increasingly complex, as we

0:29:46.000 --> 0:29:48.640
<v Speaker 1>talk about in this room, but there does seem to

0:29:48.680 --> 0:29:50.840
<v Speaker 1>be when I look at the net zero scenario, you

0:29:50.880 --> 0:29:54.800
<v Speaker 1>see certain industries drop off at certain points in the future,

0:29:55.160 --> 0:29:57.920
<v Speaker 1>assuming that things actually do follow that trajectory. And again

0:29:57.960 --> 0:30:00.959
<v Speaker 1>it's a scenario, not a forecast. Those are very different things.

0:30:01.240 --> 0:30:04.240
<v Speaker 1>But the number of industries that CCS is applicable to

0:30:04.560 --> 0:30:07.240
<v Speaker 1>it's interesting and illuminating for me with you guys here

0:30:07.280 --> 0:30:09.520
<v Speaker 1>on the show. Let's talk a little bit then about

0:30:09.520 --> 0:30:12.760
<v Speaker 1>the policy makers who also see this solution. In particular,

0:30:12.800 --> 0:30:15.000
<v Speaker 1>as we've established in the West, and there are two

0:30:15.000 --> 0:30:20.160
<v Speaker 1>ways to go about policy intervention with technology and carbon.

0:30:20.320 --> 0:30:23.280
<v Speaker 1>There's carrot and their stick. Who's doing the carrot and

0:30:23.280 --> 0:30:26.560
<v Speaker 1>who's doing the stick, and what are we seeing in

0:30:26.600 --> 0:30:31.600
<v Speaker 1>the policy space that's making CCS an increasingly viable carbon

0:30:31.600 --> 0:30:32.680
<v Speaker 1>emissions technology.

0:30:33.040 --> 0:30:36.400
<v Speaker 4>So we talked already about many of these new growth

0:30:36.480 --> 0:30:38.760
<v Speaker 4>being in the US and there's a reason for it,

0:30:38.800 --> 0:30:42.520
<v Speaker 4>and it's the Inflation Reduction Act which has made the

0:30:42.640 --> 0:30:45.560
<v Speaker 4>us B a leader in this.

0:30:45.800 --> 0:30:48.520
<v Speaker 1>Technology, which is definitely a carrot hundred percent.

0:30:48.920 --> 0:30:51.840
<v Speaker 4>So last year we saw the updates in the forty

0:30:51.840 --> 0:30:55.480
<v Speaker 4>five Q credits which now give companies that are able

0:30:55.520 --> 0:30:58.680
<v Speaker 4>to start construction of these carbon cupture facilities by twenty

0:30:58.760 --> 0:31:02.320
<v Speaker 4>thirty two dollars per ton of sootwo that they store

0:31:02.640 --> 0:31:05.400
<v Speaker 4>or sixty dollars per ton of sooto that they utilize,

0:31:05.440 --> 0:31:09.560
<v Speaker 4>which a Sin talked about before, can be enhancing oil recovery,

0:31:09.840 --> 0:31:13.239
<v Speaker 4>using in synthetic fuels and different things like that, and

0:31:13.280 --> 0:31:15.520
<v Speaker 4>this can cover some of the costs that we talked

0:31:15.560 --> 0:31:19.800
<v Speaker 4>about earlier, especially for high concentration sources where the carupture

0:31:19.880 --> 0:31:24.000
<v Speaker 4>costs are lower than the benefit dis credits provide, so

0:31:24.040 --> 0:31:27.480
<v Speaker 4>they can really make carbon cupture economically viable business case.

0:31:27.600 --> 0:31:30.400
<v Speaker 4>And this also explains why sixty five percent of the

0:31:30.480 --> 0:31:33.760
<v Speaker 4>new capture capacity that we see, especially in hydrogen, is

0:31:34.040 --> 0:31:37.520
<v Speaker 4>in the US. Also, this kind of deadline to twenty

0:31:37.600 --> 0:31:40.080
<v Speaker 4>thirty two is really pushing for projects to happen now

0:31:40.120 --> 0:31:42.080
<v Speaker 4>because we talked about how long it takes for some

0:31:42.120 --> 0:31:44.760
<v Speaker 4>of these projects to be implemented and how long permitting

0:31:44.800 --> 0:31:45.480
<v Speaker 4>takes and all of that.

0:31:45.640 --> 0:31:48.080
<v Speaker 2>So for a project to start construction.

0:31:47.800 --> 0:31:50.400
<v Speaker 4>In less than ten years time, some of these things

0:31:50.480 --> 0:31:54.800
<v Speaker 4>have to be initiated now. Other countries giving carrots Canada

0:31:54.880 --> 0:31:59.160
<v Speaker 4>providing huge copex support and providing up to fifty percent

0:31:59.200 --> 0:32:03.680
<v Speaker 4>of POINTERSS hypocupture project capital expendicture and again, as we

0:32:03.800 --> 0:32:08.000
<v Speaker 4>talked about earlier, capital costs is the single largest cost

0:32:08.080 --> 0:32:11.640
<v Speaker 4>component of these projects and the initial investment that these

0:32:11.640 --> 0:32:14.920
<v Speaker 4>companies have to make is huge and for industry these

0:32:15.040 --> 0:32:17.840
<v Speaker 4>ranges from around one hundred and seventy million dollars to

0:32:18.080 --> 0:32:20.800
<v Speaker 4>more than a billion dollars, which makes the importance of

0:32:20.840 --> 0:32:23.360
<v Speaker 4>the support obvious. And then coming back to the UK,

0:32:24.040 --> 0:32:27.080
<v Speaker 4>the country has put on the site twenty billion pounds

0:32:27.120 --> 0:32:32.440
<v Speaker 4>to support capocupture projects for the decapitalization of especially industrial hubs.

0:32:32.560 --> 0:32:35.680
<v Speaker 4>So I think these three are the main ones in

0:32:35.760 --> 0:32:38.880
<v Speaker 4>terms of carrots, So it seems that carrots is the

0:32:39.080 --> 0:32:41.360
<v Speaker 4>approach to goal for most of these countries. I don't

0:32:41.400 --> 0:32:44.400
<v Speaker 4>have many good examples for sticks, but will be testing

0:32:44.480 --> 0:32:45.480
<v Speaker 4>to see how that costs.

0:32:45.960 --> 0:32:48.600
<v Speaker 1>My last question, which is really a burning question I've

0:32:48.600 --> 0:32:51.120
<v Speaker 1>had since we've been going through this, is that if

0:32:51.120 --> 0:32:54.320
<v Speaker 1>it really is this incredible use case to bring down

0:32:54.520 --> 0:32:57.880
<v Speaker 1>emissions right now in the oil and gas industry, which

0:32:57.920 --> 0:33:01.400
<v Speaker 1>are creating a large number of emissions, what is it

0:33:01.480 --> 0:33:04.560
<v Speaker 1>going to take for this technology to be useful in

0:33:04.640 --> 0:33:07.200
<v Speaker 1>other parts of the world, perhaps where there are national

0:33:07.240 --> 0:33:10.560
<v Speaker 1>oil companies who don't have the same market based incentives

0:33:10.640 --> 0:33:13.080
<v Speaker 1>through their share price to be looking at things like this.

0:33:13.800 --> 0:33:16.640
<v Speaker 1>What would be the right environment for ccs to be

0:33:17.000 --> 0:33:17.760
<v Speaker 1>all over the world.

0:33:18.200 --> 0:33:20.800
<v Speaker 3>The one thing we need to realize is CO two

0:33:21.320 --> 0:33:25.160
<v Speaker 3>is a waste and capturing that CO two is going

0:33:25.200 --> 0:33:27.960
<v Speaker 3>to cost more. Be it an oil and guest company

0:33:28.040 --> 0:33:31.120
<v Speaker 3>or a cement factory or a steel factory, carbon capture

0:33:31.160 --> 0:33:33.840
<v Speaker 3>is an additional cost, and as a result, governments would

0:33:33.840 --> 0:33:37.000
<v Speaker 3>have to either provide incentives to support the deployment or

0:33:37.040 --> 0:33:39.280
<v Speaker 3>on the other hand, put a very high carbon tax.

0:33:39.360 --> 0:33:41.280
<v Speaker 3>So one of these two would have to happen.

0:33:41.640 --> 0:33:44.760
<v Speaker 1>As we scale this technology, costs are likely to come

0:33:44.800 --> 0:33:48.040
<v Speaker 1>down some. Do you think that that will end up helping.

0:33:48.160 --> 0:33:51.360
<v Speaker 3>For most of the industrial applications? Carbon capture is a

0:33:51.360 --> 0:33:54.920
<v Speaker 3>mature technology, as we discussed previously, and as a result,

0:33:55.120 --> 0:33:58.520
<v Speaker 3>the amount of reduction in cost is going to also

0:33:58.560 --> 0:34:01.320
<v Speaker 3>be fairly limited to some of the technologies that we've

0:34:01.320 --> 0:34:04.000
<v Speaker 3>seen like solar wind or batteries. What we could see

0:34:04.040 --> 0:34:07.520
<v Speaker 3>is for point source carbon capture industrial sources cost COUD

0:34:07.600 --> 0:34:10.080
<v Speaker 3>forarby about forty to fifty percent over the next two

0:34:10.120 --> 0:34:13.279
<v Speaker 3>to three decades. So that's not substantial. It's good, but

0:34:13.400 --> 0:34:16.279
<v Speaker 3>it's not substantial. And as a result, it's going to

0:34:16.280 --> 0:34:18.640
<v Speaker 3>be a cost and it's going to help, but you

0:34:18.680 --> 0:34:20.520
<v Speaker 3>still need incentives to make this happen.

0:34:21.120 --> 0:34:24.120
<v Speaker 1>Okay, Well, on that note, thank you very much for

0:34:24.320 --> 0:34:27.440
<v Speaker 1>walking me through the future of the application of this

0:34:27.560 --> 0:34:31.120
<v Speaker 1>well established technology, which looks like it has an increasingly

0:34:31.280 --> 0:34:34.840
<v Speaker 1>interesting future. Alan, Anna, thank you very much for joining today.

0:34:35.080 --> 0:34:35.680
<v Speaker 2>Thank you, Tana.

0:34:35.840 --> 0:34:38.160
<v Speaker 3>Great to be Thank you, Dana, thank you for having me.

0:34:47.320 --> 0:34:50.680
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0:34:50.840 --> 0:34:54.239
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0:34:54.280 --> 0:34:58.319
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0:34:58.360 --> 0:35:01.880
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