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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Pot all right, here we.

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Speaker 1: Go fifteen Cuddy forwenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty

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Speaker 1: five fifty and the.

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Speaker 3: Kick as block look college Football World standard.

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Speaker 1: Oh my goodness, he stumbled and football it's a.

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Speaker 2: Lateral turn, a counter on the jibe. Get you believe

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Speaker 2: I'm not tamelem off the fail to night.

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Speaker 1: It's not the side of the dog in the fighting.

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Speaker 1: It's the side of the fight in the hall.

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Speaker 2: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 2: on Campus Podcast. This is the ACC Betting Preview. I'm

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Speaker 2: stucky and joining me as always my co host Colin Wilson,

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Speaker 2: have a what's already special guest today about Elliott is

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Speaker 2: going to talk some ACC share his thoughts right off

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Speaker 2: the top before we get to him. Com excited to

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Speaker 2: talk some ACC. I see you got a new NC

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Speaker 2: State helmet behind you. Hopefully don't have to take that

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Speaker 2: down after a trip to Greenville in week one.

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Speaker 1: You got to stop this ECU thing. It's going to

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Speaker 1: happen here in week one with me. You're giving me

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Speaker 1: the sweats already and we're not even here. I have

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Speaker 1: to say, like I'm looking forward to this podcast because

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Speaker 1: generally we get to fourteen teams in the ACC, six

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Speaker 1: to eight of them we just kind of throw away.

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Speaker 1: We don't want to really do that much deep dive

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Speaker 1: research on duke qs, you know some of these teams

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Speaker 1: at the bottom. But I had a really great time

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Speaker 1: at ACC media days. They make it feel more like

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Speaker 1: a party atmosphere. I think they take care of everybody

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Speaker 1: that's there by. The SEC just feels mechanical. The Big

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Speaker 1: twelve is in the big, open, empty Cowboys Stadium in

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Speaker 1: AT and T, But once you get to ACC, it's

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Speaker 1: very close in proximity, and that allows you to get

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Speaker 1: up in Djueyungalley's face. That allows you to get up

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Speaker 1: in Dave Doran's face and ask them like the questions

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Speaker 1: that you want. The access to players and coaches was

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Speaker 1: better at ACC than it was any other media day.

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Speaker 1: So I'm excited to have Bud here. I'm excited I

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Speaker 1: have a new NC State helmet behind me, and there

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Speaker 1: is no loss coming against East Carolina.

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Speaker 2: Stuck Well, I'm telling you NC State that's are nervous

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Speaker 2: about that game. Weird things can happen in Greenville and

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Speaker 2: that rivalry, but we'll get to NC State.

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Speaker 4: Hi, this is the producer, Matt Mitchell. Just a fyi.

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Speaker 4: This episode was recorded right before the news of Sam

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Speaker 4: Hartman at Wake Forest and his non football related medical

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Speaker 4: condition and his status as out indefinitely. Kellen and Stuckey

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Speaker 4: will speak to this on the beginning of our Big

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Speaker 4: ten episode next week.

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Speaker 2: And before we bring in Bud. Just give a picture

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Speaker 2: of the ACC landscape. You mentioned access to coaches. There's

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Speaker 2: a lot of coaching changes right. There's four new head

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Speaker 2: coaches in the ACC, and the coordinator changes are just insane.

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Speaker 2: There's fourteen teams, eleven new offensive coordinators if you count

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Speaker 2: a cooc in one situation, eight new defensive coordinators and

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Speaker 2: depending on if you think some quarterback battle are actually battles,

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Speaker 2: not up to five quarterback battles. You mentioned that C

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Speaker 2: State by the only team in the entire conference to

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Speaker 2: retain their entire staff and mentioned quarterback battles. This is

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Speaker 2: a quarterback rich league. If you look at some projections

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Speaker 2: for you know, NFL Draft twenty twenty three quarterbacks, you

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Speaker 2: could argue like seven of the top twenty are in

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Speaker 2: the ACC. So there's a lot of quarterback talent in

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Speaker 2: the conference. But let's talk about some of that and

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Speaker 2: bring in mister Bud Elliott. You know him from the

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Speaker 2: Cover three podcast and probably from Twitter and other endeavors.

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Speaker 2: What's going on?

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Speaker 5: But what's going on?

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Speaker 6: Guys, got to be back. We had NC State hard

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Speaker 6: last year on this show. That was that was good.

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Speaker 1: You just got back from Las Vegas. Was the the

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Speaker 1: hammer and NC State numbers They've been hammered for like

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Speaker 1: six months? Was it finding value out there on anything?

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Speaker 5: Not on NC State.

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Speaker 6: I did get quite a few tickets on Arkansas State

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Speaker 6: under five and a half minus fifty from a MGM Kiosk.

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Speaker 5: That was good.

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Speaker 2: Kiosk bets are always sweet when you find out players.

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Speaker 6: Kiosk right right, Yeah, jumped on the bandwagon with Colin

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Speaker 6: for Donovan Edwards of three hundred and one for the Heisman,

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Speaker 6: had a little piece of that.

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Speaker 5: It was. It was a good trip.

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Speaker 2: I just bet Texas State found a cheaper seven out there,

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Speaker 2: my first bet of the year. But I'm gonna get

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Speaker 2: your thoughts on some of these things that I just

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Speaker 2: mentioned off the top. Let's start with the quarterback battles.

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Speaker 2: You know, you could say there's you know, up to

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Speaker 2: five if you think like Slovis is in a battle,

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Speaker 2: I think North Carolina is the ones that's maybe the

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Speaker 2: most interesting. And which one are you either most excited

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Speaker 2: about or do you think is going to have the

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Speaker 2: biggest impact, like that really matters and who ends up

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Speaker 2: winning it for their team from.

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Speaker 6: A gambling standpoint, I do think it's North Carolina because

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Speaker 6: of the different styles of quarterback at play.

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Speaker 2: Right.

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Speaker 6: So Drake may is a guy who was committed to Alabama,

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Speaker 6: you know, big time arm Kobe. Chris Well is a

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Speaker 6: guy who is kind of a mix so you can

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Speaker 6: throw it, but he can also run it a little more.

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Speaker 6: I don't think it would run it quite as much

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Speaker 6: with Drake May, so, so that one for the tar

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Speaker 6: Heels is one I'm gona be monitoring pretty closely in

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Speaker 6: terms of tempo.

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Speaker 2: Isn'tre a true freshman involved in that too? Potentially? Connors Yeah, Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Josh Downs came out yesterday after practice and said that

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Speaker 1: Chriswell is the one that he had the most chemistry

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Speaker 1: with so far. So definitely, if you're out there betting

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Speaker 1: quarterbacks who's going to start Game one, just keep an

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Speaker 1: eye on Camp there for the tar Heels.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, especially because I think Carolina, from just an improvement perspective,

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Speaker 2: might have could arguably have the most improved defense. I mean,

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Speaker 2: they can't go anywhere else but up. But then if

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Speaker 2: they're also playing slower, could be a really good under team.

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Speaker 2: Early on in the season, talked about a lot of

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Speaker 2: the coaching changes, right, four new head coaches and then

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Speaker 2: just it feels like every single team has a new

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Speaker 2: offensive coordinator in the ACC and then there's a handful

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Speaker 2: of new defensive coordinators as well. I'll let you go

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Speaker 2: wherever you want to go with this offensive, defensive coordinator

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Speaker 2: or head coach. Which one do you think has either

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Speaker 2: the biggest positive impact or do you think is just

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Speaker 2: a complete disaster of a move this upcoming season.

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Speaker 6: The one I'm really curious about it, and I'm not

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Speaker 6: super high on this team, is what Syracuse is doing right,

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Speaker 6: because you go from running that sort of Baylor esque

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Speaker 6: system which you got the job with, to be honest,

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Speaker 6: to running what UVA was running last year. They basically

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Speaker 6: took UVa's almost their entire offensive coaching staff. They're going

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Speaker 6: to throw the ball around, I assume more than they

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Speaker 6: did last year. All though that they're still going to

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Speaker 6: run it. I mean, you have Sean Tucker, there's a

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Speaker 6: really good player. Is Garrett Trader actually good at throwing

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Speaker 6: the ball? Because number so far suggests he's not. Protection

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Speaker 6: has been an issue, you know, receivers there have been

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Speaker 6: a bit of an issue. They're calling it more pro style.

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Speaker 6: I'm not really convinced this is going to work. It

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Speaker 6: could work. I did play these guys under five and

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Speaker 6: a half minus ninety. When it came out, I thought

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Speaker 6: that was, like, that's pretty heavy Jews. But I did

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Speaker 6: feel like laying that. I'm curious.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't think. I don't think it was a

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Speaker 2: stylistics fit. Just what the Trader can do and what

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Speaker 2: they they were just like a shotgun like shotgun and

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Speaker 2: run it with either one of those. Last year, Syracuse

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Speaker 2: just had a quarterback who's probably going to be more

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Speaker 2: depth of thrown. It got hurt. He's out for the

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Speaker 2: year now. I don't know if he was eventually going

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Speaker 2: to get the job. Feels like a desperation move from Babers,

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Speaker 2: and I just don't see the fit with Trader. But

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Speaker 2: I completely agree with your con What we're gonna say.

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Speaker 1: What I want to add, Bud is we've lost both

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Speaker 1: coordinators at Clemson. Dabbo acts like, you know, promoting from within,

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Speaker 1: there's just not going to be a beat miss. We're

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Speaker 1: keeping the same scheme, We're keeping the same personnel grouping.

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Speaker 1: Everybody's going to know the verbiage that we're using on

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Speaker 1: the field. My problem is is you can't replicate Brent vinnibles.

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Speaker 1: It's impossible. And I'm supposed to all of a sudden

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Speaker 1: believe that Wes Goodwin can do that. I know he's

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Speaker 1: the right hand man, But do you expect any bumps

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Speaker 1: with Clemson's offense and defense considering it coming from within?

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Speaker 6: So I didn't really love the internal promotion on offense.

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Speaker 6: I feel like because they weren't very good last year. No,

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Speaker 6: I know, they had a lot of problems. Receivers were

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Speaker 6: all sort of the same body type. They all just

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Speaker 6: looked the exact same build and not a lot of

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Speaker 6: diversity of bodies in that room, which you kind of

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Speaker 6: need to have a functional receiver unit. It's cool and

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Speaker 6: madden to have everybody to be six or five, and

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Speaker 6: you know, like it's kind of important to have some

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Speaker 6: slots and some EXAs and some wives. In actual football,

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Speaker 6: they didn't really have that last year. I know they

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Speaker 6: had some offensive line issues up front, but I didn't

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Speaker 6: love that promotion just because I felt like maybe some

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Speaker 6: new voices in the room could do a bit of

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Speaker 6: good for the Tigers. I have heard the running more

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Speaker 6: tempo this year, though, so if that now everybody says

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Speaker 6: we're going to try to go faster, more intense, blah

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Speaker 6: blah blah. But if they really do run more tempo,

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Speaker 6: that's one to take note up. Defensively, though, I knew

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Speaker 6: about Wes Goodwin for a while because I had a

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Speaker 6: coach in that room tell me, this is the guy

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Speaker 6: that Venables talks to in the room, like even more

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Speaker 6: than some of the utter defensive coaches.

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Speaker 5: This is the guy he bounced stuff off.

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Speaker 6: So like, clearly, this is the dude in that room,

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Speaker 6: according to the guy I talked to, who Venables really

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Speaker 6: trusted when it came to scheme and design of the defense.

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Speaker 6: So I maybe not as good with the sign stealing stuff,

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Speaker 6: but I if Venables respects this guy that much for

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Speaker 6: the other coaches to take notice, I don't think Clemps

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Speaker 6: is going to miss a beat defensively, and they also

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Speaker 6: had a lot of injuries last year on that defensive

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Speaker 6: line and we're still pretty dominant. They stay healthy, they

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Speaker 6: have a chance to just basically wipe everybody.

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Speaker 1: The tack Onto what Budd is saying. Clemson finished fiftieth

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Speaker 1: and seconds per play last year, And Bud and I

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Speaker 1: were both standing around Dabbo and I asked, did you

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Speaker 1: want to run more up tempo last year? Are you

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Speaker 1: planning on going back to up tempo? And Dabo's exact

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Speaker 1: response was, we weren't good enough to run tempo. We

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Speaker 1: had to do things to win games. So you know,

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Speaker 1: depending on how that offense is going is going to

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Speaker 1: dictate how many points clem is going to score. So

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Speaker 1: if you see efficiency and success rate and chain's moving

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Speaker 1: and and scores getting up on the board, they're gonna

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Speaker 1: they're going to go faster. They'll finish higher than twenty

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Speaker 1: five points for play.

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Speaker 2: Well, yeah, but as regards to totals, look, the defensive

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Speaker 2: line has a chance to be historically great. So who's

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Speaker 2: scoring on them? And they in order to put up points.

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Speaker 2: I don't care how fast you go if your quarterback

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Speaker 2: play looks like it did last year, Which brings me

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Speaker 2: to my next question, do you have a hot take

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Speaker 2: on DJ and do you think like if they if

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Speaker 2: it ends up being you know, Koublik who gets the job,

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Speaker 2: orre're gonna say, wow, okay, I am way more in

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Speaker 2: than Clemson because of the ceiling. Are you just in

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Speaker 2: weight and see mode? Because like it didn't look great

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Speaker 2: in spring, there's you know, reports about his weight is

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Speaker 2: in better shape like so, and then what we saw

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Speaker 2: last year compared to you know, his pedigree with a

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Speaker 2: new offensive coordinator. I'm out of trouble, just kind of

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Speaker 2: gauging where I rate him going into this year. Do

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Speaker 2: you have any thoughts on that quarterback battle end or

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Speaker 2: just DJ in general?

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Speaker 6: Yeah, so I do have a couple thoughts. Number One,

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Speaker 6: I don't think that the people who think DJ is

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Speaker 6: really talented or wrong.

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Speaker 5: I've seen this kid play as a recruit.

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Speaker 6: He has some really special physical tools and he was

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Speaker 6: really good as a freshman.

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Speaker 5: He struggled a lot last year.

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Speaker 6: I think there was a lot put on his plate

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Speaker 6: and you can maybe take that metaphorically as well, but

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Speaker 6: he's skinnier now, like Columbus Stanton there if you guys

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Speaker 6: saw him last year, and as somebody who's seen him

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Speaker 6: throughout his career, really since he was a sophomore in

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Speaker 6: high school. He's definitely slimmed back down, so maybe he'll

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Speaker 6: move better in the pocket. Streeter was the quarterback coach,

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Speaker 6: so him promoted being promoted to the officer coordinator. Maybe

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Speaker 6: there's some more chemistry there that they call plays that

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Speaker 6: DJ likes a little bit better. But kay Klepnick is

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Speaker 6: legit as well, like very very highly rated kid for

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Speaker 6: a reason, falled out in the Texas State playoffs. I

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Speaker 6: have more offense in Clemson's quarterback room improving this year

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Speaker 6: just because either DJ will get back to some sort

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Speaker 6: of acceptable level or they'll play the fresh.

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Speaker 2: Well can't get much worse if you have a favorite

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Speaker 2: win total over and or under, or you can spin

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Speaker 2: it with like the team that you think will be

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Speaker 2: overvalued early in the season or undervalued. So kind of

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Speaker 2: just like a buying and selling acc overview.

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Speaker 5: Where you want to go with this is Louisville still

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Speaker 5: five and a half or we mostly six?

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Speaker 2: Is there?

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Speaker 6: I kind of like that either way. I think Louisville

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Speaker 6: will have the best offense that they've had under Scott Saderfield.

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Speaker 6: You get leek Cunningham back, you get a pretty nice

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Speaker 6: offensive lineback. They do lose Tyler Harrell, the transfer receiver

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Speaker 6: to Alabama, but that's not really a drop back offense anyway.

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Speaker 6: It's more of a play action type system, and I

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Speaker 6: feel like they're fairly good at scheming guys open defensively.

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Speaker 6: One position they needed to address for a long time

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Speaker 6: was the nose guard spot. Louis will give up a

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Speaker 6: lot of movement if you watch them at the point

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Speaker 6: of attack from the euro Tech And this year they

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Speaker 6: went and they got Jermaine Lola. I know Flda was

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Speaker 6: trying to get him and if Florida was annoyed they

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Speaker 6: could not get.

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Speaker 5: Him, that could be a big time help.

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Speaker 6: Now, he didn't really play much last year, only two

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Speaker 6: hundred fifty snaps at Arizona State before getting hurt. But

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Speaker 6: if he's back and healthy, I think that team you

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Speaker 6: could win eight games, right, and they're over runders like six.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 6: I already played them at Syracuse and laid two, so

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Speaker 6: I kind of like just laying the number at Syracuse

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Speaker 6: better than I do, you know, playing Louisvill's win total over.

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Speaker 6: But either a are a fine bet in my opinion,

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Speaker 6: just if they lose that Syracuse game. They're probably not

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Speaker 6: going to go over the win total, right.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's my only beat, that's my only beef with

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Speaker 2: the two. I mean, their schedule is vicious. I mean

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Speaker 2: they only have two pretty much given wins on the

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Speaker 2: whole schedule. I have them favored in six games, but

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Speaker 2: under a touchdown, there'll be a dog at Clemson and

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Speaker 2: they have three true coin flips, and like they're only

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Speaker 2: you know, three point favorites at Syracuse and then the

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Speaker 2: last two games of the year, it's like NC State

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Speaker 2: at home coin flip, at Kentucky coin flip. So it's

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Speaker 2: like the first and last games, are you tying up

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Speaker 2: your money? I agree, I project him at like seven four,

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Speaker 2: but there's so many coin flips on his schedule that

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Speaker 2: is just completely underlenting. But they won six games less

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Speaker 2: you want to owe four and one possession games. I

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Speaker 2: think that they're trending up, but maybe they're just better

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Speaker 2: to bet in the first and last game and then

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Speaker 2: on the game the game basis during the year. But

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Speaker 2: if I was going to pick a side on Louisville

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Speaker 2: certainly would go over from a numbers perspective.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with that too, But Malie Cunningham is

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Speaker 1: so important to that offense that without him they lose

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Speaker 1: their biggest weapon through the air on the ground, and

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Speaker 1: I think, you know, I want to play the win

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Speaker 1: total over two. I've held myself back this preseason because

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Speaker 1: if something happens to him, teams that cannot tackle in

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Speaker 1: space get run over by Louisville completely. So keep your

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Speaker 1: eye on that.

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Speaker 6: This year. Louisville offensive line is really good. Okay, as

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Speaker 6: far as far as run blocking, Syracuse lost everybody on

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Speaker 6: the defensive line who played two hundred fifty plus snaps

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Speaker 6: last year. Is that the opening game you want if

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Speaker 6: you're Syracuse like an offensive line and Louisville it's ready

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Speaker 6: to roll and committee in the mouth. I don't think

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Speaker 6: that it is. And I'm a little skeptical about some

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Speaker 6: of these replacements. The Q says along that defensive line,

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Speaker 6: they're gonna tell you they're gonna be undersized, but fast penetrating.

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Speaker 6: They better be, because that they are really lacking bulk.

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Speaker 6: If you look at their projecting depth chart, did they

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Speaker 6: have any three hundred pounders up front or even any

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Speaker 6: guys who are two ninety It's it's uh. If you're

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Speaker 6: just on the field watching them warm up. I think

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Speaker 6: that would be something you would notice, like, Okay, this

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Speaker 6: is kind of one of the more extreme speed defenses,

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Speaker 6: not not somebody that can stand getting punched.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and we talked about that before. I mean, I

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Speaker 2: really like the I mean the line just feels fishy.

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Speaker 2: But I really like Louisville there too. I mean linebackers,

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Speaker 2: the strength on their defense, the secondary, they hard, they

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Speaker 2: hit the portal hard to improve. A second that it

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Speaker 2: was really bad last year, but we don't does anyone

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Speaker 2: really afraid of what Syracuse is going to do through

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Speaker 2: the air this year? And you're right that offensive line,

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Speaker 2: which wichurns I think over one hundred and ten starts,

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Speaker 2: brings in a new offense coordinator who I think will

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Speaker 2: improve the offensive line also. So yeah, I completely agree

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Speaker 2: with you. How aout someone you're selling in the ACC.

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Speaker 5: Yeah. So I have two that that I've already met.

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Speaker 6: The under on and look, I don't like Georgia either,

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Speaker 6: but I feel like their number has gotten pretty damn low.

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Speaker 5: Maybe there's still some room there.

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Speaker 6: But I did play under on Syracuse at five and

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Speaker 6: a half minus ninety, which is the steep price, but

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Speaker 6: I felt like I don't see a whole lot of

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Speaker 6: path for them to get six.

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Speaker 5: Maybe all be wrong. The other team I'm fading pretty

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Speaker 5: hard is Virginia.

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Speaker 6: I'm not really sure that they have a whole lot

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Speaker 6: of talent to make that defense improve a whole lot.

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Speaker 6: And then here's the key. They lost all five offensive

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Speaker 6: line starters off that team last year. And Virginia is

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Speaker 6: a squad that has trouble taking transfers because a lot

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Speaker 6: of people's credits are not going to transfer in to Virginia.

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Speaker 6: And they took two this year. They took John Paul

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Speaker 6: Flores from Dartmouth and he took Mark Hollensteiner from Georgetown.

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Speaker 6: Allistinner was a pretty decorated guy at Georgetown. Here's problem,

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Speaker 6: he's not on the roster guys. He transferred back to

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Speaker 6: Georgetown for quote unquote personal reasons. That offensive line is

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Speaker 6: really really young, and I just feel like they had

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Speaker 6: a special mixtuere last year. I don't see this team

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Speaker 6: winning six games. I have them like slightly under six.

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Speaker 6: So for me, seven and a half half minus forty

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Speaker 6: through the under is play with UVA that I currently like,

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Speaker 6: like at current odds in the ACC.

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Speaker 1: And Brandon Armstrong is going to be running for his life.

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Speaker 1: This is the same thing as Malite Cunningham, except he

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Speaker 1: has a bit of an offensive line to protect him.

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Speaker 1: There's no offensive line here whatsoever. Brandon Armstrong gets hurt,

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Speaker 1: that's the entire Virginia offense. So, you know, good luck

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Speaker 1: to Tony Elliot in his first year. I think the

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Speaker 1: defensive coordinator higher was great, but that's not going to

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Speaker 1: change overnight. The only thing they have going for them

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Speaker 1: is a pretty easy schedule, and it's a pretty easy start.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, could they start seven and lho like if everything

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Speaker 2: goes right, if you believe in Virginia, like that's you know,

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Speaker 2: before you get to the end of the season, like

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Speaker 2: that's that you could look at that, and that's why

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Speaker 2: you would be kind of cautious to go under. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: I agree with you. They went one hundred and twenty

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Speaker 2: two starts returned last year on the offensive line, FBS

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Speaker 2: starts this year two two FBS starts on the offensive line.

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Speaker 2: That's an enormous question. What can Armstrong do with all

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Speaker 2: like a roster that like has so many questions and so, yeah,

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Speaker 2: the schedule is favorable, but you are right, I think

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Speaker 2: that there's way more question then answers outside of the

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Speaker 2: quarterback position. With a Virginia team that only won six

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Speaker 2: games last year, and that includes a win against Miami

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Speaker 2: who missed like a twenty eight yard field goal to

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Speaker 2: win the game, and they've gone six and six the

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Speaker 2: last two years. Two of those wins their opponent missed

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Speaker 2: a field a chip shot field goal to win. And actually,

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Speaker 2: I would be remiss if I didn't ask you about

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Speaker 2: Florida States. I'll get I'll give you one sentence thoughts

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Speaker 2: on novel. We have quick thoughts on fso.

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Speaker 5: I think the number is good.

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Speaker 6: Boocher's I know there who had to cut the check

399
00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:30,440
Speaker 6: to pay Willy Taggart are happy with Norvelle making consistent progress.

400
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Speaker 6: They think it was a dumpster fire he took over,

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Speaker 6: so they're gonna be patient with him. Dion's not going

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Speaker 6: to be the head coach in twenty twenty three.

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Speaker 2: Appreciate you joining us. Where can people find you out?

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Speaker 6: Yeah, guys, just follow me on Twitter at bud Elliott three.

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Speaker 6: I do a little newsletter. I just email Bud Elliott

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Speaker 6: CFB at gmail dot com and check us out on

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Speaker 6: the Covery Podcast five days a week during the season.

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Speaker 2: We'll talk to you throughout the year. Good luck this season,

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Speaker 2: and thanks for all your insight.

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Speaker 5: All right, so you guys, all right.

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Speaker 2: Com let's get into some of the teams. We'll touch

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Speaker 2: on every team, some of them we won't go that

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Speaker 2: in depth on, like Duke cares. I guess I should

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Speaker 2: say the odds to win the conference Clemson minus one

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Speaker 2: fifty to win the ACC. Next up is Miami at

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Speaker 2: plus five hundred, NC State around plus eight hundred. Obviously,

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Speaker 2: shop round for the best number pulice from one book

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Speaker 2: right before it's recording pit ten to one, Weight twenty

419
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Speaker 2: one to one, UNC twenty five to one, Louisville thirty

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Speaker 2: to one, Florida State thirty to one, Virginia BC around

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Speaker 2: fifty to one, as with BO Tech, and then you're

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Speaker 2: in the dregs with Georgia Tech and Duke Big. Duke's

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Speaker 2: one thousand to one to win the ACC. Let's start

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Speaker 2: in the ACC Atlantic, where Clemson's a minus two hundred

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Speaker 2: minus two twenty favorite NC State next to plus four

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Speaker 2: twenty five. The key here is that Clemson does host

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Speaker 2: NC State, which will go a long way and determining

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Speaker 2: who wins the division and that's one of the reasons

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Speaker 2: why Clemson is a favorite. Here, we'll start with Clemson

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Speaker 2: win total over ten and a half. We talked about

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Speaker 2: them are new coordinators, quarterback battle, nasty defense, some questions

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Speaker 2: on the offensive line, what will receiver look like? Should

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Speaker 2: be improved. You know, they lost like centers in the

434
00:19:00,800 --> 00:19:03,399
Speaker 2: last two years. Usually we're used to Clemson, you know,

435
00:19:03,560 --> 00:19:06,399
Speaker 2: two three years ago, they're double digit favorites in every game. Right, Well,

436
00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:09,720
Speaker 2: this year I have them double digit favorites in seven games.

437
00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:11,639
Speaker 2: That's it. That's low for you know, the clumpson of

438
00:19:11,640 --> 00:19:14,960
Speaker 2: a couple of years ago. And additionally, at BC is

439
00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:17,400
Speaker 2: a tough spot. Right at BC comes after the NC

440
00:19:17,520 --> 00:19:21,480
Speaker 2: State game and before at FSU. Same against Louisville. Right

441
00:19:21,640 --> 00:19:24,119
Speaker 2: they played louisvall at home. That's after a trip to

442
00:19:24,160 --> 00:19:26,439
Speaker 2: Notre Dame and before a game against Miami. So some

443
00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:28,520
Speaker 2: tough spots in there. On games that they're going to

444
00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:31,200
Speaker 2: be at least a medium sized favorite. I have them

445
00:19:31,440 --> 00:19:34,840
Speaker 2: only favored by single digits in five games and or

446
00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:38,080
Speaker 2: coin flip at Notre Dame at Wake, NC State at home,

447
00:19:38,280 --> 00:19:40,920
Speaker 2: Miami at home, and Florida State. So there's games that

448
00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:44,240
Speaker 2: they could certainly drop, especially if the quarterback play doesn't improve.

449
00:19:44,640 --> 00:19:47,359
Speaker 2: And you know the coordinators, they've had coordinator continuity for

450
00:19:47,359 --> 00:19:49,320
Speaker 2: so long. I project them at nine point eight. So

451
00:19:49,680 --> 00:19:51,600
Speaker 2: win total sitting at ten and a half, I'm at

452
00:19:51,640 --> 00:19:54,280
Speaker 2: like ninety seven five, nine seventy six. I think i'd

453
00:19:54,359 --> 00:19:57,240
Speaker 2: lead under here, and it's all eyes on the quarterback situation.

454
00:19:57,240 --> 00:19:58,879
Speaker 2: What are your thoughts on the Clemson win total?

455
00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:01,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm under with you. I project this at ten,

456
00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:02,760
Speaker 1: so i'd say under ten and a half. I went

457
00:20:02,760 --> 00:20:05,920
Speaker 1: to ACC media days with the whole goal of getting

458
00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:08,280
Speaker 1: in front of Djueungalley and seeing what I could take

459
00:20:08,320 --> 00:20:10,439
Speaker 1: from the kid. Two hundred and thirty five pounds. He

460
00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:13,239
Speaker 1: ballooned up to two sixty after the season last year,

461
00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:17,040
Speaker 1: after the Cheeza Bowl, he looked thin. He's got meal control,

462
00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:20,200
Speaker 1: he's got his workouts. It's hard to deny that he

463
00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:23,080
Speaker 1: listens to the whispers, he reads message boards, and he

464
00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:26,600
Speaker 1: hears voices when he has bad play. Not sure I

465
00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:29,680
Speaker 1: can bet a national championship on a player or a

466
00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:33,040
Speaker 1: quarterback of a college football team that is listening to

467
00:20:33,560 --> 00:20:36,320
Speaker 1: whispers and rumors and reading message boards. It's just you know,

468
00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:38,959
Speaker 1: and he had a season last year, ninety ds nine interceptions.

469
00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:41,760
Speaker 1: He had a drop rate of thirty percent. Who's adjust

470
00:20:41,760 --> 00:20:45,480
Speaker 1: a completion rate fell off the map below fifty percent

471
00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:48,359
Speaker 1: when he had a pressured pocket. So whether that's weight

472
00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:52,600
Speaker 1: related or that's mental related footwork, it doesn't matter one

473
00:20:52,640 --> 00:20:55,400
Speaker 1: of the Moor seasons for a quarterback on a team

474
00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:57,880
Speaker 1: that's supposed to contend for the national championship. So see

475
00:20:57,920 --> 00:20:59,239
Speaker 1: if you can pick it up. When we look at

476
00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:02,040
Speaker 1: the Cave clubneck, kid point nine to ninety five one

477
00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:04,879
Speaker 1: was his recruiting rank, which is just, you know, a

478
00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:07,840
Speaker 1: couple hundred and tenths below where Trevor Lawrence was the

479
00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:11,400
Speaker 1: year before. Gonna swap out offensive coordinator Tony Elliott, We're

480
00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:13,720
Speaker 1: gonna come in with Brandon Streeter, and that's the quarterback coach.

481
00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:16,919
Speaker 1: The Streeter gonna be able to replicate what Tony Elliott did,

482
00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:19,120
Speaker 1: what Jeff Scott did, what Chad Morris did. They were

483
00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:21,359
Speaker 1: able to go through those seamless transitions, but they had

484
00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:23,720
Speaker 1: to shun Watson. They had Trevor Lawrence, they had Kelly Bryant.

485
00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:25,800
Speaker 1: So you know, we're gonna find out what DJ is

486
00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:27,280
Speaker 1: made of. And I think maybe we could be on

487
00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:29,520
Speaker 1: to club Nick pretty fast if he doesn't get it

488
00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:32,760
Speaker 1: worked out. So all eyes on the quarterback position. An

489
00:21:32,760 --> 00:21:35,840
Speaker 1: offensive line that should dominate Jordan McFadden his back. They

490
00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:38,239
Speaker 1: had better continuity as the year went on, and they

491
00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:40,840
Speaker 1: have a great running attack between Kobe Pace and Will Shipley.

492
00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:43,720
Speaker 1: They're not Travis etn I should point that out. I

493
00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:46,520
Speaker 1: think we got baby by Travis et in forever, maybe

494
00:21:46,760 --> 00:21:49,200
Speaker 1: an underrated player that we've ever seen in college football

495
00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:52,400
Speaker 1: because this office has been literally broken ever since he left.

496
00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:54,320
Speaker 1: And then on the defense, Miles Murphy is going to

497
00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:56,720
Speaker 1: be a household name as an edge rusher. Brian Burresi

498
00:21:56,840 --> 00:21:58,560
Speaker 1: is going to be back from his torn ACL. He's

499
00:21:58,560 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 1: climbing NFL boards and in tiers.

500
00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:02,440
Speaker 2: The beast D line in college football cups has really

501
00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:04,600
Speaker 2: experienced once. You know, they don't have coordinator continuity, but

502
00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:05,920
Speaker 2: usually they lose a ton of guys. In the NFL,

503
00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:07,800
Speaker 2: they didn't really lose much, so they went from like

504
00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:10,160
Speaker 2: one of the least experienced teams last season to now,

505
00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:13,000
Speaker 2: you know, top forty. It's they're not used to being there.

506
00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:14,520
Speaker 2: They usually lose a lot in the NFL. Now they

507
00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:16,359
Speaker 2: don't bring anyone in the transfer quortable. They're much more

508
00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:18,720
Speaker 2: experience this year. They did still with ten games last year,

509
00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:20,680
Speaker 2: but five and two and one posion games usually could

510
00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:23,080
Speaker 2: have only been like seven wins. Quarterback play has to

511
00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:24,959
Speaker 2: get better. But the question is on defense, how much

512
00:22:25,000 --> 00:22:27,159
Speaker 2: they missed ventables? And then is the defensive line just

513
00:22:27,160 --> 00:22:29,520
Speaker 2: so good? Because the one question on the defense is

514
00:22:29,560 --> 00:22:32,280
Speaker 2: in the secondary, you know, is it is it so

515
00:22:32,440 --> 00:22:35,439
Speaker 2: good that it doesn't even matter in the secondary. Those

516
00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:38,320
Speaker 2: are my two main questions with the defensi venables impact,

517
00:22:38,640 --> 00:22:41,600
Speaker 2: and then is the defensive line just so good that

518
00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:43,520
Speaker 2: it doesn't really matter what they lost in the secondary?

519
00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:47,600
Speaker 2: Fourteen teams in the ACC. That's why ten percent of

520
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:51,200
Speaker 2: all of fbs and in the top twenty of the

521
00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:53,960
Speaker 2: NFL quarterback prospects for an extra draft, you can argue

522
00:22:54,080 --> 00:22:58,119
Speaker 2: seven are in this conference. That's a thirty five percent

523
00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:02,800
Speaker 2: of the top twenty. So there's very capable quarterbacks in

524
00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:05,080
Speaker 2: this league. So like that's what you're we're going to

525
00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:07,440
Speaker 2: have to handicap with clumpson all year. It's like, okay,

526
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:09,879
Speaker 2: you're going up against all these quarterbacks. How much can

527
00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:12,639
Speaker 2: their defensive line just disrupt anything everything? They're certainly going

528
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:13,160
Speaker 2: to get tested.

529
00:23:13,280 --> 00:23:15,320
Speaker 1: You look at NC State right there, and they got

530
00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:17,440
Speaker 1: questions in the backfield, right We'll get to them with

531
00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:19,479
Speaker 1: Jordan Houston, But I mean, they lost two of their

532
00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:22,080
Speaker 1: best running backs. So is there a rushing attack out there?

533
00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:24,040
Speaker 1: Or should teams just line up and start throwing on

534
00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:26,760
Speaker 1: first down against this defensive line. So it's going to

535
00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:29,199
Speaker 1: be really interesting to see how they're attacked and if

536
00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:30,880
Speaker 1: it's going to be at the linebacker level, if it's

537
00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:33,440
Speaker 1: going to be at the secondary level, because Venables isn't there.

538
00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:35,360
Speaker 1: So I think Goodwin's going to get tested real fast.

539
00:23:35,440 --> 00:23:37,359
Speaker 1: It's going to be a fascinating watch. But I'm under

540
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:40,000
Speaker 1: on this team. Klub Mik. I really like what he

541
00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:43,160
Speaker 1: did in the spring. It's got the pedigree. He ran track,

542
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:45,439
Speaker 1: so he's you know, in high school, so he's got

543
00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:47,080
Speaker 1: some burner, he's got some legs on him, he can

544
00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:49,159
Speaker 1: take off from the pocket. It's going to be completely

545
00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:51,200
Speaker 1: different than what DJ brings to the table. So we'll

546
00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:53,840
Speaker 1: see how Clemson season go. But for me under ten

547
00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:54,400
Speaker 1: and a half.

548
00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:57,560
Speaker 3: It was big wild j bring your own guts and

549
00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:00,840
Speaker 3: I bought some good talked about NC State getting a

550
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:05,040
Speaker 3: lot of love preseason, especially from a guy with the

551
00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:07,640
Speaker 3: initial CW win total sitting at over eight and a half,

552
00:24:07,680 --> 00:24:10,359
Speaker 3: like minus one six year, you know, around nine depends

553
00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:10,960
Speaker 3: on where you look.

554
00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:12,879
Speaker 2: This is a team that's getting a lot of love.

555
00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:14,600
Speaker 2: And like I mentioned in the they're the only team

556
00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:16,920
Speaker 2: in the AEC that brings their entire staff back to

557
00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:19,800
Speaker 2: get Devin Leary back at quarterback. Their entire staff is back.

558
00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:22,440
Speaker 2: One the most experienced defenses in the country. You could

559
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:25,119
Speaker 2: argue the best linebacking corps in the country. There are

560
00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:28,280
Speaker 2: questions at receiver. They lose their leading receiver, they lost

561
00:24:28,760 --> 00:24:32,320
Speaker 2: two dynamite running backs. They lose their star left tackle

562
00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:35,119
Speaker 2: to the NFL. A little worried about some of the

563
00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:38,119
Speaker 2: pressure they can generate off the edge and havoc special teams.

564
00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:40,560
Speaker 2: Maybe a question. They lost a punter to the NFL

565
00:24:40,680 --> 00:24:42,720
Speaker 2: and a stud kick returner one of those two backs.

566
00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:44,720
Speaker 2: They do have a good kicker at least, and I

567
00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:46,960
Speaker 2: look at their schedule win total, like I said, sitting

568
00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:49,680
Speaker 2: around really juiced eight and a half nine. I have

569
00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:51,520
Speaker 2: them double dig your favorites in seven games to that

570
00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:53,440
Speaker 2: ECU game. I've talked about it. It's a tough spot

571
00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:55,360
Speaker 2: and so is the game against QS. They go two

572
00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:59,440
Speaker 2: QS after Clemson and Florida State, and you know we've

573
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:01,160
Speaker 2: seen them before or even with the Clemson like weird

574
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:03,960
Speaker 2: things can happen at Syracuse. So two of those games

575
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:06,360
Speaker 2: where they should be double digit favorites, like right around ten,

576
00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:08,919
Speaker 2: those are two tough spots in there. And then they

577
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:12,240
Speaker 2: have four coin flips right like at Louisville at UNC

578
00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:14,680
Speaker 2: to close out the year. You know, they Va Tech

579
00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:17,760
Speaker 2: at home. Florida State, they at least get at home.

580
00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:21,040
Speaker 2: That game comes after Clemson, maybe maybe another tough spot.

581
00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:23,280
Speaker 2: It's also moorth mentioning the qses off of buy in

582
00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:27,040
Speaker 2: that tough spot. I project them at like eight six five,

583
00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:28,959
Speaker 2: so I would like, you know, if you could get

584
00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:30,480
Speaker 2: like a I guess I would lean onder, but I

585
00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:33,000
Speaker 2: think the number is pretty right. They haven't won ten

586
00:25:33,119 --> 00:25:36,120
Speaker 2: games since two thousand and two when Philip Rivers was there.

587
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:38,480
Speaker 2: They did get like, you know, a number of special

588
00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:41,520
Speaker 2: teams and defensive touchdowns last year. Their plus six turnover margin,

589
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:44,520
Speaker 2: their defense should be nasty, but they just I'm worried

590
00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:46,600
Speaker 2: about the passing offense. They were what ninety first and

591
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:49,040
Speaker 2: passing success right, and now you lose them. MESSI, but

592
00:25:49,200 --> 00:25:51,399
Speaker 2: you love NC State, You're in on them to win

593
00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:53,280
Speaker 2: the conference. Explain why, I do they.

594
00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:55,400
Speaker 1: Have enough experience coming back on the offensive line. Last

595
00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:58,040
Speaker 1: year they were thirteenth and havoc allowed. I don't think

596
00:25:58,080 --> 00:25:59,680
Speaker 1: Devin Learry is going to get touched. And when you

597
00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:03,080
Speaker 1: talk about that, Devin Leary's numbers continue to take off

598
00:26:03,160 --> 00:26:05,160
Speaker 1: a ridiculous td to I int rate.

599
00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:07,879
Speaker 2: He was thirty five touchdowns five interceptions last year. So

600
00:26:08,040 --> 00:26:09,720
Speaker 2: I mentioned the turner margin. Well, it helps when you

601
00:26:09,760 --> 00:26:12,960
Speaker 2: have a quarterback who is thirty more touchdowns and interceptions.

602
00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:15,600
Speaker 1: Larry Ranks is the best quarterback in the nation and

603
00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:17,800
Speaker 1: turnover worthy play rate. I mean, you can call that

604
00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:20,840
Speaker 1: offensive line, you can call that, you know, bad defenses

605
00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:23,119
Speaker 1: in the acc an amazing stat and that shows you

606
00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:25,320
Speaker 1: how accurate Leary was. I think he's gonna be able

607
00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:27,000
Speaker 1: to go into Clemson just fine. If you can go

608
00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:29,280
Speaker 1: into Mississippi State and you can listen to the cow

609
00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:31,159
Speaker 1: bells ring all day, I think you're not gonna have

610
00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:33,760
Speaker 1: a problem with any kind of audible sound or anything

611
00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:35,639
Speaker 1: from a descibel level when he goes down and plays

612
00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:38,399
Speaker 1: against Clemson. Dave Dorian Leaves in this team so much

613
00:26:38,440 --> 00:26:40,680
Speaker 1: they added just one player in the transfer portal, So

614
00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:42,760
Speaker 1: the team is just loaded in every single unit, more

615
00:26:42,800 --> 00:26:45,440
Speaker 1: than seventy seven percent back on both sides of the ball.

616
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:47,600
Speaker 1: The big question, like I said, is a running back.

617
00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:50,560
Speaker 1: Where Jordan Houston. I mean, he is patiently waited for

618
00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:53,520
Speaker 1: this team to get starter duties. In twenty nineteen, he

619
00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:56,800
Speaker 1: was on fire. He had twenty six misstackles, he averaged

620
00:26:56,800 --> 00:26:59,480
Speaker 1: three point seven yards after contact, and then he just

621
00:26:59,520 --> 00:27:02,080
Speaker 1: got buried depth charts by Bam Bam Knight and Ricky Person.

622
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:04,440
Speaker 1: So it's Houston's time. We'll see what he can do.

623
00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:07,520
Speaker 1: And there's guys behind him too. So from an experience perspective,

624
00:27:07,560 --> 00:27:09,159
Speaker 1: it looks like they don't have any because you know,

625
00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:11,040
Speaker 1: you look at last year's stats, but you know, Jordan

626
00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:13,680
Speaker 1: Houston actually has been there before. And I'll say this,

627
00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:16,199
Speaker 1: it's like, is it unfathomable that NC State can make

628
00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:18,920
Speaker 1: the college football Playoff? I mean, wake Forest and Pitt

629
00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:21,200
Speaker 1: were in this situation last year where we were still

630
00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:24,880
Speaker 1: talking about them in November. Now, granted, wake we knew

631
00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:26,520
Speaker 1: that they had no shot, but I mean, at least

632
00:27:26,560 --> 00:27:28,800
Speaker 1: they were in the discussion every Tuesday night when they

633
00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:32,040
Speaker 1: released the rankings. When you flip over the defense, this

634
00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:34,879
Speaker 1: might be the best overall defense, and defensive corner of

635
00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:38,600
Speaker 1: Tony Gibson is probably the best in the game right now.

636
00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:40,640
Speaker 1: They were top thirty in havoc and now they get

637
00:27:40,640 --> 00:27:43,600
Speaker 1: their linebacker Drake Thomas, two shut down corners back. The

638
00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:47,200
Speaker 1: defense is just absolutely loaded. And when you question, like Clemson,

639
00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:50,000
Speaker 1: if NC State defense can stop a wheel Shipley in

640
00:27:50,040 --> 00:27:52,080
Speaker 1: a Kobe pace in the run game, the wolf Pack

641
00:27:52,119 --> 00:27:55,040
Speaker 1: finished fifth in the nation defensive stuff rate. They were

642
00:27:55,160 --> 00:27:57,280
Speaker 1: in the gaps. No one was getting through the line

643
00:27:57,320 --> 00:27:59,680
Speaker 1: of scrimmage, So there's a great chance they're tackling behind

644
00:27:59,720 --> 00:28:02,240
Speaker 1: the line scrimmage and beating Clemson again. They've already done it.

645
00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:05,120
Speaker 1: There's no mental hurdle here with beating Clemson. They've already

646
00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:08,439
Speaker 1: done it. This team is super focused and super pissed

647
00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:10,840
Speaker 1: off that their bowl game was called off. The day of.

648
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:14,000
Speaker 1: It's all they could talk about. The head coach looked

649
00:28:14,040 --> 00:28:16,359
Speaker 1: mad at media days. The players look mad. I couldn't

650
00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:18,560
Speaker 1: get them to crack a smile because if you remember,

651
00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:20,639
Speaker 1: ruggers got to go play a bowl game because they

652
00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:22,840
Speaker 1: had one day notice, right, I mean NC State would

653
00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:24,560
Speaker 1: have loved to have anybody come in and fill that spot,

654
00:28:24,640 --> 00:28:28,119
Speaker 1: So I'm sold on these guys more than anything. Obviously,

655
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:30,639
Speaker 1: the hedge spot is Clemson. Now that numbers come down

656
00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:32,440
Speaker 1: from fourteen to one, I think eight to one to

657
00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:35,480
Speaker 1: win the ACC. And that's not good because you're gonna

658
00:28:35,480 --> 00:28:37,040
Speaker 1: have to spend your hedge money right there on that spot.

659
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:39,840
Speaker 1: But yes, NC State is the play, and there's only

660
00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:42,320
Speaker 1: one game to hedge, and it's against Clemson, and I'm

661
00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:44,040
Speaker 1: not hedging. I'm playing NC State all the way.

662
00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:46,520
Speaker 2: Worried about that too. They have enough explosiveness in the

663
00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:48,960
Speaker 2: passing attack, like I'm not doubting Leary's ability, but just

664
00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:51,680
Speaker 2: it was a passing attack that left exposed in this

665
00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:54,240
Speaker 2: last year. And you lose your most explosive receiver and

666
00:28:54,320 --> 00:28:57,080
Speaker 2: your explosive bats like you're going up against that Clemson

667
00:28:57,120 --> 00:29:00,240
Speaker 2: defensive front. That's again they're gonna have to win get

668
00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:03,800
Speaker 2: to the ACC Championship in all likelihood, So no play

669
00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:05,440
Speaker 2: for me on NC State. I think that game at

670
00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:07,400
Speaker 2: EC is gonna set the tone for their season, and

671
00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:10,000
Speaker 2: don't sleep on tripping off at QS if they end

672
00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:12,680
Speaker 2: up beating Clemson. But let's finish up in Atlanta, we

673
00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:15,040
Speaker 2: talked about Florida State. I like what they're doing.

674
00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:18,600
Speaker 4: I lean over here, welcome aboard slugger.

675
00:29:19,080 --> 00:29:21,440
Speaker 2: But they have I think I project them if you

676
00:29:21,520 --> 00:29:23,480
Speaker 2: can find like over six and a half minus one forty,

677
00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:26,000
Speaker 2: I project them in like seven to three. Not enough

678
00:29:26,080 --> 00:29:28,080
Speaker 2: to play it. There's a lot of coin flip games

679
00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:31,120
Speaker 2: with the win totals in the ACC, so I have

680
00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:34,200
Speaker 2: to really show value and really have a strong opinion.

681
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:36,080
Speaker 2: And as we talked to Bud, who knows Florida State

682
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:38,720
Speaker 2: really well, he says, that's about right. That game against

683
00:29:38,840 --> 00:29:41,720
Speaker 2: LSU week one will go a long way in determining

684
00:29:41,880 --> 00:29:44,680
Speaker 2: that win total. I would imagine not an easy schedule.

685
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:49,280
Speaker 2: Calling you, you are looking for Florida State, who went

686
00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:51,800
Speaker 2: up against Kelly and took them to overtime. Now Kelly's

687
00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:56,120
Speaker 2: at LSU, and also in week one we'll take on

688
00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:59,200
Speaker 2: Florida State. You like Florida State in that game plus three.

689
00:29:59,280 --> 00:29:59,480
Speaker 3: I do.

690
00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:02,200
Speaker 1: I took him at plus seven when it opened way

691
00:30:02,280 --> 00:30:04,480
Speaker 1: early back in March. I took him again at plus three.

692
00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:06,720
Speaker 1: I think you're going to play this through the pick

693
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:08,720
Speaker 1: it's down to two and a half. I think it's

694
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:10,360
Speaker 1: going to go that way, and I wouldn't be surprised

695
00:30:10,360 --> 00:30:12,560
Speaker 1: at Florida State is a favorite of going in and

696
00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:14,760
Speaker 1: like Bud said, it should be you know, two massive,

697
00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:17,680
Speaker 1: mountain sized defensive lines trying to control the game. But

698
00:30:18,280 --> 00:30:20,040
Speaker 1: you know, this is the best returning numbers that Mike

699
00:30:20,120 --> 00:30:22,760
Speaker 1: Norbel's had a returning seventy nine percent on offense and

700
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:25,960
Speaker 1: ninety five percent on defense. Nearly all the receiving yards

701
00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:29,080
Speaker 1: are coming back, all the defensive tackles are mostly coming back.

702
00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 1: The PBUs all return The defense was really successful last year,

703
00:30:33,360 --> 00:30:35,160
Speaker 1: and now Adam Fuller and Randy Shannel are going to

704
00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:38,240
Speaker 1: try to reproduce top thirty ranks and success rate and

705
00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:41,600
Speaker 1: rush explosiveness, tackling, finishing drives have a day. The defense

706
00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:43,840
Speaker 1: is there, and you know, I got to talk to

707
00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:46,040
Speaker 1: Jamie Robinson at ACC media days. He's one of the

708
00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:49,120
Speaker 1: best slot coverage defenders and he has just an immaculate

709
00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:52,720
Speaker 1: tackling grade, just sixteen misses in his entire career dating

710
00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:55,440
Speaker 1: back to South Carolina, and the pass rush, you know,

711
00:30:55,600 --> 00:30:58,440
Speaker 1: ended forty third in the nation. You know, players like

712
00:30:58,520 --> 00:31:01,160
Speaker 1: Robert Cooper and the interior who who's an elite run stopper,

713
00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:02,960
Speaker 1: but he falls off a bit in the pass rush,

714
00:31:03,040 --> 00:31:05,760
Speaker 1: so they've got to get more pressure on the quarterback.

715
00:31:05,920 --> 00:31:08,080
Speaker 1: We'll see what they can do against the LSU offensive line.

716
00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:11,440
Speaker 1: Kenny Dillingham has left his offensive coordinator. Some people would

717
00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:13,960
Speaker 1: argue that that's not really that big of a loss,

718
00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:16,200
Speaker 1: but bringing in Alex Atkins, who's been working with the

719
00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:18,840
Speaker 1: offensive line for a couple of years, you can expect

720
00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:21,680
Speaker 1: more Jordan Travis quarterback runs. I think we're in for

721
00:31:21,800 --> 00:31:25,120
Speaker 1: more explosive plays, more highlights. The question with Travis is

722
00:31:25,320 --> 00:31:26,800
Speaker 1: can you keep the chains movie, can you have any

723
00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:29,880
Speaker 1: kind of success rate not just rely on the big play.

724
00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:33,120
Speaker 1: Seventy eight percent of the offensive line snaps come back,

725
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:35,080
Speaker 1: so that's a good thing. That's a good thing for

726
00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:38,440
Speaker 1: continuity and some of the portal assistant Norbel he brought in,

727
00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:41,400
Speaker 1: plus eleven players gained and Florida State was one of

728
00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:43,800
Speaker 1: the more explosive teams on offense. So we'll see what

729
00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:45,920
Speaker 1: they can do on passing downs. We'll see what they

730
00:31:46,000 --> 00:31:49,880
Speaker 1: can do about getting first downs. You know, the offensive

731
00:31:49,880 --> 00:31:51,680
Speaker 1: line is still a work in progress. I mean they

732
00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:55,480
Speaker 1: were working from scratch about three years ago. During the

733
00:31:55,560 --> 00:31:58,320
Speaker 1: Taggart era last year they finished eighty second. Stuff, right,

734
00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:00,360
Speaker 1: that's got to improve one hundred and four teenth than

735
00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:03,240
Speaker 1: havoc allowed. Like we just talked with Bud about the

736
00:32:03,360 --> 00:32:06,960
Speaker 1: LSU game about the defensive lines. Controlling FSU's offensive line

737
00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:08,640
Speaker 1: was one hundred and fourteenth and have it allowed. That

738
00:32:08,720 --> 00:32:11,040
Speaker 1: has got to get cleaned up. But twenty seven then

739
00:32:11,080 --> 00:32:13,520
Speaker 1: explosive play rates, So that's what you give a Florida State.

740
00:32:14,040 --> 00:32:17,000
Speaker 1: And you know they get a warm up with Duquine

741
00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:19,440
Speaker 1: in week zero before taking on LSU, So all eyes

742
00:32:19,440 --> 00:32:20,880
Speaker 1: are going to be on that. See how the trench

743
00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:23,360
Speaker 1: works out. As you know, the skill positions may get

744
00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:25,680
Speaker 1: the day off, they may be pulled out after a

745
00:32:25,840 --> 00:32:27,440
Speaker 1: few scores. I think the trench is going to be

746
00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:30,960
Speaker 1: important watching that game, but you know, we'll see. So yeah, definitely,

747
00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:34,080
Speaker 1: I'm I like the Florida State over. But for them,

748
00:32:34,120 --> 00:32:36,000
Speaker 1: I mean, my projection is around seven and a half.

749
00:32:36,120 --> 00:32:38,720
Speaker 1: But to get that over, you're gonna have to beat LSU.

750
00:32:38,920 --> 00:32:40,720
Speaker 1: So might as well just go ahead and call it good.

751
00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:43,880
Speaker 1: Take my points with Florida State there in the first game,

752
00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:45,520
Speaker 1: and if they don't win that game, they have a

753
00:32:45,600 --> 00:32:47,280
Speaker 1: really tough shot of going over that win total.

754
00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:49,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, then you're right away. You're at Louisville the next week.

755
00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 2: But they were much better with Jordan Travis last week

756
00:32:52,480 --> 00:32:54,720
Speaker 2: for reference. Yeah, I project them seven point four wins.

757
00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:57,960
Speaker 2: I would lean over. There's probably gonna be opportunities just

758
00:32:58,080 --> 00:32:59,920
Speaker 2: throughout the year. I mean either Atville and the LSU

759
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:01,960
Speaker 2: probably going to be decided in the first three weeks.

760
00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:03,840
Speaker 2: I have them double did your favorite in five games,

761
00:33:04,040 --> 00:33:09,360
Speaker 2: underdog in five games, never a big underdog, and then

762
00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:12,760
Speaker 2: minus seven and two other ones. Their defense doesn't their

763
00:33:12,760 --> 00:33:15,080
Speaker 2: play two really good defensive ends, but they're loaded up front.

764
00:33:15,760 --> 00:33:17,800
Speaker 2: They did ranked top ten in red Zoe d Lesher

765
00:33:17,800 --> 00:33:20,400
Speaker 2: and they forced twenty takeaways. So we'll see if they

766
00:33:20,480 --> 00:33:22,960
Speaker 2: can repeat some of the good things we saw from

767
00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:24,480
Speaker 2: the defense. But I think they're heading the right direction.

768
00:33:24,520 --> 00:33:26,400
Speaker 2: They brought in some good transfers on the offensive line,

769
00:33:26,840 --> 00:33:29,240
Speaker 2: and I think that unit, which has been just a

770
00:33:29,360 --> 00:33:31,440
Speaker 2: nightmare for I say, four straight losing seasons of Florida

771
00:33:31,440 --> 00:33:33,120
Speaker 2: say I can't, I'm saying that in my lifetime, But

772
00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:34,960
Speaker 2: I think the offensive line is finally headed in the

773
00:33:35,040 --> 00:33:37,720
Speaker 2: right direction. That's been a major part of their downfall

774
00:33:38,640 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 2: over the past four seasons. Elsewhere in the ACC Atlantic

775
00:33:42,560 --> 00:33:45,760
Speaker 2: we talked about Ville. We lean over, but there's going

776
00:33:45,800 --> 00:33:47,280
Speaker 2: to be opportunities just to bet them on a game.

777
00:33:47,320 --> 00:33:49,560
Speaker 2: The game basis QUS clean under there. I don't think

778
00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:52,600
Speaker 2: the offensive coordinator is a fit, and I think that

779
00:33:52,680 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 2: team has way more questions than answers. The two teams

780
00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:58,360
Speaker 2: that are LEFT Wake Forest and BC Wake Forest. Obviously

781
00:33:58,720 --> 00:34:01,880
Speaker 2: they both have NFL prospects at quarterback, wake Forest with

782
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:05,960
Speaker 2: Sam Hartman back BC with Phil Jerkovic, Wake Forest sitting

783
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:07,880
Speaker 2: at over eight and a half wins plus one ten,

784
00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:11,600
Speaker 2: BC over six and a half plus one twenty. Any

785
00:34:11,719 --> 00:34:14,040
Speaker 2: feel on either of those, I'll tell you just my

786
00:34:14,239 --> 00:34:18,879
Speaker 2: quick thoughts so that I don't know how much Phil

787
00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 2: Jerkovic I think if their new offense coordinator will help,

788
00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:25,280
Speaker 2: and I don't know how much Phil jerk Jerkvich's injured

789
00:34:25,440 --> 00:34:30,080
Speaker 2: last year impacted his performance. And then I trust Halflee

790
00:34:30,120 --> 00:34:32,440
Speaker 2: to eventually fix the D. There are questions on that defense,

791
00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:35,640
Speaker 2: but I really trusted him, so it's probably a pass

792
00:34:35,680 --> 00:34:38,279
Speaker 2: for me. And it's same with Wake. I project Wake.

793
00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:40,160
Speaker 2: I show a little bit of value on the under

794
00:34:40,600 --> 00:34:42,920
Speaker 2: with Wake, but I like the defensive coordinator higher in

795
00:34:43,040 --> 00:34:45,960
Speaker 2: Lambert and I have just so much respect for Hartman,

796
00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:50,520
Speaker 2: and then Clawson usually just finds way to overperform my projection.

797
00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:56,560
Speaker 2: So lean under there and uh so those are both

798
00:34:56,600 --> 00:34:59,000
Speaker 2: passes for me. I think you'd liked the under in

799
00:34:59,080 --> 00:35:00,640
Speaker 2: both right under and.

800
00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:02,960
Speaker 1: Both bet them both. So Boston College under six and

801
00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:06,200
Speaker 1: a half projected at four point eight. Jeff McNulty is

802
00:35:06,200 --> 00:35:08,720
Speaker 1: the new offensive coordinator. If that name doesn't ring familiar,

803
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:11,720
Speaker 1: he was the offensive coordinator at Rutgers in twenty nineteen.

804
00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:14,759
Speaker 1: He had a fifty seven percent rush rate as a coordinator,

805
00:35:15,120 --> 00:35:17,440
Speaker 1: and he ran a lot of eleven. So the question is,

806
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:19,719
Speaker 1: you know he's going to run play action a lot.

807
00:35:19,800 --> 00:35:22,160
Speaker 1: He loves play action. So will the running backs part

808
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:24,920
Speaker 1: Pat Garwoll and Alex Singfield running back. Are they going

809
00:35:24,960 --> 00:35:27,359
Speaker 1: to be able to fool defenses enough to give Phil

810
00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:30,800
Speaker 1: Jakovic enough time to run that play action? The defense

811
00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:33,760
Speaker 1: is getting better, you can see Jeff Hampley's Jeff Hafley's

812
00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:37,080
Speaker 1: stamp coming on the team sixth and tackling seventeenth in

813
00:35:37,120 --> 00:35:41,040
Speaker 1: defensive finishing drives the problem. They can't produce a pass rush,

814
00:35:41,239 --> 00:35:44,120
Speaker 1: They can't generate any havoc. And you know, speaking of

815
00:35:44,160 --> 00:35:46,160
Speaker 1: fild Jakovic. Last year he only had fifty percent of

816
00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:48,400
Speaker 1: his grip when he came back from an injury, so

817
00:35:49,000 --> 00:35:50,480
Speaker 1: you know they're going to have to deal with that.

818
00:35:50,640 --> 00:35:54,040
Speaker 1: They only had four portal players taken. But wide receiver

819
00:35:54,160 --> 00:35:56,360
Speaker 1: Z Flowers does return, and he was eighteenth in the

820
00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:58,880
Speaker 1: nation and average depth of target, so you know they

821
00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:00,719
Speaker 1: I think it's just going to be more of the same,

822
00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:02,600
Speaker 1: and I don't think the more of the same means

823
00:36:02,640 --> 00:36:05,600
Speaker 1: that that team is seven wins. The offensive line returns

824
00:36:05,640 --> 00:36:07,720
Speaker 1: less than fifty percent of their snaps from last season

825
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:09,880
Speaker 1: and they were one hundred and thirteenth in pressure allowed.

826
00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:13,320
Speaker 1: So I can't get over the hump with Boston College

827
00:36:13,360 --> 00:36:16,200
Speaker 1: when you return half your offensive line and last year's

828
00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:18,600
Speaker 1: offensive line was one hundred and thirteenth in pressure allowed.

829
00:36:18,680 --> 00:36:22,439
Speaker 1: So I'm out plenty of shut down you know, front

830
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:25,480
Speaker 1: sevens on this schedule to shut down the rushing attack. Clemson,

831
00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:29,840
Speaker 1: Notre Dame, FSU, NC State. I don't like BC's chances

832
00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:32,759
Speaker 1: of getting anything going against those teams, so I'm gonna

833
00:36:32,760 --> 00:36:34,720
Speaker 1: take the under there and then real quick on Wake Forest.

834
00:36:34,840 --> 00:36:37,080
Speaker 1: You know, just there's gonna be a pullback on this

835
00:36:37,200 --> 00:36:40,640
Speaker 1: offense and Jaquari Robinson. Roberson did so much with his

836
00:36:40,680 --> 00:36:42,719
Speaker 1: one hundred and twelve targets. He's out of there and

837
00:36:42,800 --> 00:36:44,880
Speaker 1: now at Perry is back, and I'm telling you they

838
00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:47,800
Speaker 1: highlights that you can pull up on YouTube and Twitter

839
00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:51,280
Speaker 1: of at Perry. They're fantastic. But what people don't realize

840
00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:53,440
Speaker 1: is he ranked one hundred and thirty third last year

841
00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:56,880
Speaker 1: and eleven percent of his targets being dropped. That's a

842
00:36:57,000 --> 00:36:58,759
Speaker 1: lot of drops for a guy that's about to take

843
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:00,840
Speaker 1: on number one duties on every down, and not just

844
00:37:00,920 --> 00:37:03,279
Speaker 1: as like a you know, the guy that Hartman's looking

845
00:37:03,320 --> 00:37:05,600
Speaker 1: for on third down. Can't say anything bad about Sam

846
00:37:05,680 --> 00:37:07,600
Speaker 1: Hartman a two to one ratio and big time throws

847
00:37:07,680 --> 00:37:11,680
Speaker 1: versus turnover worthy plays, you know, but his uncatchable pass

848
00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:14,719
Speaker 1: rate dipped to thirty ninth of all quarterbacks and the

849
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:17,120
Speaker 1: Power five, and that was a little bit shocking to me.

850
00:37:17,320 --> 00:37:19,920
Speaker 1: So he has the deepest average depth of target in

851
00:37:19,960 --> 00:37:21,560
Speaker 1: the nation, So maybe that plays a little bit of

852
00:37:21,600 --> 00:37:24,080
Speaker 1: the factor into it. And you're right. Brad Lambert is

853
00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:26,880
Speaker 1: a great defensive coordinator. He was at Charlotte for a

854
00:37:27,000 --> 00:37:29,400
Speaker 1: number of years. His defense is always ranked high in

855
00:37:29,480 --> 00:37:33,440
Speaker 1: HAVOC Top forty and havoc. He goes to Purdue, you know,

856
00:37:33,520 --> 00:37:35,560
Speaker 1: who only had one guy in the defensive line that

857
00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:37,279
Speaker 1: we've loved to back the last couple of years. He

858
00:37:37,400 --> 00:37:39,760
Speaker 1: changes the whole look of that of that defense thirty

859
00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:43,600
Speaker 1: fifth and finishing drives and havoc, and before that they

860
00:37:43,600 --> 00:37:46,080
Speaker 1: were outside the top seventy five. So I do believe

861
00:37:46,080 --> 00:37:48,480
Speaker 1: Brad Lambert can do better here. But this is not

862
00:37:48,719 --> 00:37:50,799
Speaker 1: going to be as flashy of an offense as we're

863
00:37:50,880 --> 00:37:53,640
Speaker 1: used to. And after watching what Army did on offense

864
00:37:53,719 --> 00:37:55,640
Speaker 1: last year and some of these other teams on offense,

865
00:37:56,080 --> 00:37:58,200
Speaker 1: you know, Brad Lambert's got his work cutout on defense.

866
00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:00,439
Speaker 1: So I think eight is the more proper number. Under

867
00:38:00,560 --> 00:38:02,080
Speaker 1: eight and a half on wake Forest is the way

868
00:38:02,080 --> 00:38:02,239
Speaker 1: to go.

869
00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:07,560
Speaker 2: All right, Let's move on to the ACC Coastal Division.

870
00:38:07,600 --> 00:38:10,319
Speaker 2: Miami has done a plus one ten favorite to win

871
00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:13,600
Speaker 2: the division Pit plus two eighty five Buva plus five

872
00:38:13,680 --> 00:38:15,839
Speaker 2: seventy five un C plus six fifty ou Tech plus

873
00:38:15,920 --> 00:38:18,080
Speaker 2: eight fifty the Georgia Tech, who cares thirty three to one.

874
00:38:18,680 --> 00:38:21,520
Speaker 2: I don't even know where Duke is. Duke, by the way,

875
00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:23,520
Speaker 2: who cares? We're not gonna talk about a new coach

876
00:38:23,640 --> 00:38:25,960
Speaker 2: quarterback battle. I think you can get like under three

877
00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:28,200
Speaker 2: and a half minus one eighty in order to go over.

878
00:38:28,560 --> 00:38:30,759
Speaker 2: Probably gonna have to win at Kansas. It's probably the

879
00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:32,359
Speaker 2: game it comes down to. They have some winnable non

880
00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:35,200
Speaker 2: conference games. But we're not talking about duke football here.

881
00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:36,920
Speaker 2: We've already spent to which I talk abou Kansas the

882
00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:41,480
Speaker 2: other day. So I'll tell you with I'm all in

883
00:38:41,560 --> 00:38:44,000
Speaker 2: on Miami to win. I have win the division, So

884
00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:47,320
Speaker 2: I'm I think you're gonna try to sell sell me

885
00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:50,879
Speaker 2: on Pitt. I hate Pitt this year. I have Pit

886
00:38:51,120 --> 00:38:53,120
Speaker 2: under eight and a half. I also found Miami plus

887
00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:55,479
Speaker 2: one sixty to win the division. It's down the plus

888
00:38:55,560 --> 00:38:57,960
Speaker 2: one ten. Ideally you could try to find at some books,

889
00:38:57,960 --> 00:38:59,680
Speaker 2: try to find plus one thirty or better. But I

890
00:38:59,719 --> 00:39:01,920
Speaker 2: have under eight and a half minus one ten and

891
00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:05,640
Speaker 2: I have Miami to win the division. I'm still I

892
00:39:05,719 --> 00:39:07,560
Speaker 2: just can't figure out what Clemson's going to be and

893
00:39:07,600 --> 00:39:09,799
Speaker 2: I would rather just go with the head to head

894
00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:12,520
Speaker 2: because I'm lower on Pit, I hate the offensive coordinator higher.

895
00:39:12,840 --> 00:39:15,240
Speaker 2: I think they're just going to turn in back into nardoozy,

896
00:39:15,400 --> 00:39:17,440
Speaker 2: just boring, and they're going to be in a lot

897
00:39:17,520 --> 00:39:21,280
Speaker 2: more closer games than they might anticipate with their style,

898
00:39:21,400 --> 00:39:23,360
Speaker 2: and they're going to be in lower scoring games. And

899
00:39:24,280 --> 00:39:28,280
Speaker 2: by the way, they go to Miami, which will probably

900
00:39:29,120 --> 00:39:31,400
Speaker 2: go a long way in deciding the division in the

901
00:39:31,480 --> 00:39:35,439
Speaker 2: regular season finale. I love the Miami. I love Van Dyke.

902
00:39:35,480 --> 00:39:37,319
Speaker 2: I think the offense will be great. The offensive line

903
00:39:37,400 --> 00:39:40,680
Speaker 2: is improving. You can bring a crystal ball there. You

904
00:39:40,719 --> 00:39:43,800
Speaker 2: can expect that offensive line bump. The offense was I

905
00:39:43,840 --> 00:39:47,000
Speaker 2: think they averaged thirty seven points in the nine games

906
00:39:47,040 --> 00:39:49,240
Speaker 2: at Van Dyke started last year. That wasn't the issue.

907
00:39:49,520 --> 00:39:52,759
Speaker 2: They also got extremely unlucky in close games last year

908
00:39:52,960 --> 00:39:57,560
Speaker 2: easily could have won ten games. So I think that

909
00:39:57,680 --> 00:40:01,920
Speaker 2: the coaching higher Crystal coming in steal a defensive coordinator,

910
00:40:01,960 --> 00:40:04,239
Speaker 2: I think is going to do wonders because look the

911
00:40:04,360 --> 00:40:07,759
Speaker 2: problem last year. What was the problem? Discipline on defense, right,

912
00:40:08,280 --> 00:40:13,440
Speaker 2: tackling penalties, Those are fixable things quickly, right. It's not

913
00:40:13,480 --> 00:40:15,400
Speaker 2: a lack of talent. So I think you can expect

914
00:40:15,400 --> 00:40:20,000
Speaker 2: a bump on the defensive And so yeah, I don't

915
00:40:20,080 --> 00:40:22,520
Speaker 2: like anything that Pitt is doing. The defense should be

916
00:40:22,600 --> 00:40:25,920
Speaker 2: solid as always, especially up front. But you lose Picket,

917
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:28,600
Speaker 2: you lose Addison which is just a huge loss. And

918
00:40:28,760 --> 00:40:33,200
Speaker 2: I think that the losing Whipple is just it's gonna hurt.

919
00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:34,879
Speaker 2: And I think that they're gonna get a lot less

920
00:40:34,880 --> 00:40:37,200
Speaker 2: efficient on offense. So I'm all in in Miami to

921
00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:42,879
Speaker 2: win the division at plus money and pit under eight

922
00:40:42,920 --> 00:40:45,080
Speaker 2: and a half wins. If you look at their schedule,

923
00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:47,960
Speaker 2: I think it really comes out of can they go

924
00:40:48,040 --> 00:40:52,480
Speaker 2: five hundred against like at Louisville, at UNC, at Miami,

925
00:40:52,520 --> 00:40:55,600
Speaker 2: at Virginia home against Tennessee and votdeck. I will bet

926
00:40:55,680 --> 00:40:59,200
Speaker 2: that they do not, and that's assuming they take care

927
00:40:59,200 --> 00:41:01,360
Speaker 2: of business in there are other six games, and like

928
00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:03,000
Speaker 2: I said, I could see them drop in the game

929
00:41:03,280 --> 00:41:07,080
Speaker 2: and Nardoozy Classic when they're just going to get extremely

930
00:41:07,520 --> 00:41:10,960
Speaker 2: run happy and uh, this pass offense I think is

931
00:41:10,960 --> 00:41:12,279
Speaker 2: going to take a big step back. So I'm not

932
00:41:12,320 --> 00:41:15,759
Speaker 2: a big Slovas guy. So that's why I like to

933
00:41:15,880 --> 00:41:21,080
Speaker 2: win the division and my favorite win total is PIT under.

934
00:41:21,600 --> 00:41:23,879
Speaker 2: In addition to Georgia Tech under I'll keep it brief

935
00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:26,919
Speaker 2: with Georgia Tech Georgia Tech under three and a half

936
00:41:27,040 --> 00:41:29,120
Speaker 2: minus one tenants. I think it's it's a little more

937
00:41:29,200 --> 00:41:32,560
Speaker 2: juice house, but I bet by the way, I actually

938
00:41:32,600 --> 00:41:35,400
Speaker 2: worked dot combinection work up. I'll have details for all

939
00:41:35,520 --> 00:41:39,200
Speaker 2: my win totals. This team was decimated by the portal.

940
00:41:39,600 --> 00:41:41,920
Speaker 2: They only return six total starters. That's the lowest in

941
00:41:41,960 --> 00:41:45,160
Speaker 2: the ACC. I am not buying with Jeff Collins is selling.

942
00:41:45,200 --> 00:41:46,800
Speaker 2: I wanted to buy, and it was going to be

943
00:41:46,840 --> 00:41:49,920
Speaker 2: a tough task. Transitioning from the triple option had a

944
00:41:50,000 --> 00:41:51,080
Speaker 2: pandemic thrown in there.

945
00:41:52,880 --> 00:41:54,680
Speaker 1: Right. We love him because he loves the wafflee.

946
00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:56,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, but I've not been impressed with the end

947
00:41:56,840 --> 00:42:01,000
Speaker 2: game decisions. Everything to be a mess. They lose Gibbs

948
00:42:01,040 --> 00:42:03,920
Speaker 2: to Alabama too, which is just a massive loss. Defense

949
00:42:03,960 --> 00:42:07,640
Speaker 2: only returns two starters transitioning to a four man front,

950
00:42:08,239 --> 00:42:12,400
Speaker 2: lose three starters in the secondary. It's massive roster turnover.

951
00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:14,719
Speaker 2: I think Collins might not make it through the year.

952
00:42:15,160 --> 00:42:17,719
Speaker 2: You have schematic changes on both endsday bringing an off

953
00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:20,800
Speaker 2: new offensive Winter Chiplong, who I hate. He was awful

954
00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:22,600
Speaker 2: at tu Lane last year. I don't like anything about

955
00:42:22,600 --> 00:42:24,640
Speaker 2: the scene. And you look at their schedule, arguably the

956
00:42:24,680 --> 00:42:27,920
Speaker 2: hardest in the nation. They have three winnable games at home.

957
00:42:28,000 --> 00:42:30,000
Speaker 2: In my opinion, that's it. Their win totals three and

958
00:42:30,040 --> 00:42:34,360
Speaker 2: a half that's it against Virginia, Duke and the Western

959
00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:36,600
Speaker 2: carol Western Carolina. Keep in mind, this is the Georgia

960
00:42:36,680 --> 00:42:40,200
Speaker 2: Tech team. The loss to Stamford a triple option in Citadel,

961
00:42:40,239 --> 00:42:42,440
Speaker 2: excuse me, triple option A Cimadel team still wins a

962
00:42:42,480 --> 00:42:46,239
Speaker 2: triple option at home in the Collins Era. But Duke,

963
00:42:46,280 --> 00:42:48,440
Speaker 2: can they beat Duke Virginia in Western Carolina at home

964
00:42:48,600 --> 00:42:53,080
Speaker 2: to get the three wins? I don't know. Maybe they'll

965
00:42:53,120 --> 00:42:56,440
Speaker 2: probably beat Duke in Western Carolina. I'll have them. I

966
00:42:56,480 --> 00:42:58,279
Speaker 2: have them as a dog against Virginia, but if they

967
00:42:58,280 --> 00:43:00,360
Speaker 2: could sweet dose to get the three, they got to

968
00:43:00,400 --> 00:43:03,920
Speaker 2: get one more to go over Clemson or three touchdown

969
00:43:03,960 --> 00:43:08,239
Speaker 2: underdog's in Atlanta, oh Miss at UCF at pitt at

970
00:43:08,280 --> 00:43:12,640
Speaker 2: Florida State at VA Tech, Miami at UNC at Georgia.

971
00:43:13,320 --> 00:43:15,680
Speaker 2: Where's the win? So I'll pay to make them win

972
00:43:15,719 --> 00:43:18,879
Speaker 2: their with beat Virginia, win the other two winnable games,

973
00:43:18,920 --> 00:43:22,040
Speaker 2: and then find an upset in one of those games.

974
00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:23,759
Speaker 2: I have them a double digit underdrug in all nine

975
00:43:23,800 --> 00:43:27,040
Speaker 2: of those games. So I went under three and a half.

976
00:43:27,040 --> 00:43:28,919
Speaker 2: I think this could be a disaster for Georgia Tech

977
00:43:28,960 --> 00:43:32,880
Speaker 2: and they might be starting over again. So acc Coastal

978
00:43:32,920 --> 00:43:35,240
Speaker 2: for me is where all my favorite bets on the ACC.

979
00:43:36,480 --> 00:43:39,520
Speaker 2: Pitt under eight and a half wins Georgia Tech under

980
00:43:39,560 --> 00:43:44,640
Speaker 2: three and a half, and then Miami to win the Coastal.

981
00:43:45,920 --> 00:43:49,000
Speaker 2: I will we'll get to UNC and VO Tech, but

982
00:43:49,080 --> 00:43:52,399
Speaker 2: I'll let you We'll start with Pitt. You bet Pitt

983
00:43:52,480 --> 00:43:54,120
Speaker 2: to win the ACC. Let me get your thoughts on

984
00:43:55,239 --> 00:43:56,200
Speaker 2: the fighting their doozies.

985
00:43:56,440 --> 00:43:58,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I love Pitt to win the ACC. I know

986
00:43:58,640 --> 00:44:00,759
Speaker 1: I said the NC State, but that is my pick

987
00:44:00,840 --> 00:44:03,439
Speaker 1: to be the championship game here is NC State versus Pitt.

988
00:44:04,560 --> 00:44:08,080
Speaker 1: The loss of Whipple is interesting depends on the way

989
00:44:08,120 --> 00:44:10,480
Speaker 1: you look at it. Right, they were running an extremely

990
00:44:10,600 --> 00:44:13,000
Speaker 1: high tempo with Kenny Pickett last year, something that for

991
00:44:13,160 --> 00:44:16,680
Speaker 1: Pat Nardoozy is not comfortable with whatsoever it worked. You

992
00:44:16,800 --> 00:44:18,600
Speaker 1: have to keep letting Whipple go when he's got an

993
00:44:18,640 --> 00:44:21,279
Speaker 1: offense that's working. So keep your eyes on Nebraska, where

994
00:44:21,320 --> 00:44:23,040
Speaker 1: Scott Frost is getting up in front of the media

995
00:44:23,040 --> 00:44:25,800
Speaker 1: every day this week and saying Whips is in control.

996
00:44:25,880 --> 00:44:27,640
Speaker 1: Whips is in control, and I feel like a lot

997
00:44:27,680 --> 00:44:30,200
Speaker 1: of that was going on out of Pitt last year. Well,

998
00:44:30,719 --> 00:44:33,400
Speaker 1: Whipple moves on, He's able to go and pick out

999
00:44:33,480 --> 00:44:38,000
Speaker 1: his own coordinator, and he immediately targets Frank Signetti over

1000
00:44:38,120 --> 00:44:41,960
Speaker 1: at Boston College. Coming in there fulfilled Drakovic after a

1001
00:44:42,040 --> 00:44:44,680
Speaker 1: number of years where Signetti was in the NFL as

1002
00:44:44,719 --> 00:44:47,200
Speaker 1: a quarterbacks coach, and he specifically wanted him to come

1003
00:44:47,239 --> 00:44:50,960
Speaker 1: in and work with Slovas. But I think the writing

1004
00:44:51,120 --> 00:44:53,640
Speaker 1: is on the wall, or at least it was said

1005
00:44:53,680 --> 00:44:56,640
Speaker 1: a billion times at ACC media days. We are going

1006
00:44:56,760 --> 00:45:01,440
Speaker 1: to be a very slow, bruising rushing off. There is

1007
00:45:01,520 --> 00:45:03,640
Speaker 1: no plans for Slovis to be airing this thing out

1008
00:45:03,719 --> 00:45:06,200
Speaker 1: on first and second down. I think it's going to

1009
00:45:06,200 --> 00:45:08,640
Speaker 1: be a completely different scheme from him. According to Nardoozy,

1010
00:45:08,680 --> 00:45:11,200
Speaker 1: he's picking it up and Slovas is going to be

1011
00:45:12,120 --> 00:45:13,880
Speaker 1: just fine in this offense, especially because he's not going

1012
00:45:13,920 --> 00:45:15,560
Speaker 1: to be dependent on to save them all the time.

1013
00:45:15,719 --> 00:45:17,440
Speaker 2: He's picking up one handing the ball off.

1014
00:45:17,480 --> 00:45:19,960
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think the ball off well, that

1015
00:45:20,040 --> 00:45:22,240
Speaker 1: comes to play action pass once you're going to establish

1016
00:45:22,280 --> 00:45:25,000
Speaker 1: a little bit of a ground game. But you know,

1017
00:45:25,160 --> 00:45:27,880
Speaker 1: as Junior recorded fifty four touchdowns to twenty one interceptions

1018
00:45:27,920 --> 00:45:30,960
Speaker 1: as a Trojan, he deflated last year. He had a

1019
00:45:31,040 --> 00:45:33,880
Speaker 1: nearly even distribution of big time throws a turnover worthy plays.

1020
00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:36,319
Speaker 1: But then again, USC was a bit of a mess

1021
00:45:36,480 --> 00:45:39,120
Speaker 1: last year, so maybe give a pass on that. But

1022
00:45:39,200 --> 00:45:41,000
Speaker 1: there's no doubt they're going to be handing off the ball.

1023
00:45:41,080 --> 00:45:43,200
Speaker 1: And Pitt returns three running backs with one hundred rushing

1024
00:45:43,239 --> 00:45:46,839
Speaker 1: attempt from last season Israel Aban Conda, of Vincent Davis,

1025
00:45:46,960 --> 00:45:48,880
Speaker 1: Rodney Hammon. They're all going to run behind an offensive

1026
00:45:48,920 --> 00:45:52,440
Speaker 1: line that returns every starter. I mean, Pitt, I have

1027
00:45:52,480 --> 00:45:54,320
Speaker 1: to get into how great this defense is going to be.

1028
00:45:54,440 --> 00:45:58,000
Speaker 1: It's a nardoozy defense. They are going to swarm. They

1029
00:45:58,040 --> 00:46:01,480
Speaker 1: are going to you know, hit every every single advance five.

1030
00:46:02,000 --> 00:46:04,600
Speaker 2: Tackle tackles for lost. So yeah, the defensive line is

1031
00:46:04,640 --> 00:46:07,320
Speaker 2: two pros on it. Yeah, I mean yeah, their defense

1032
00:46:07,440 --> 00:46:09,480
Speaker 2: is going to be good. They'll give up big plays.

1033
00:46:09,480 --> 00:46:12,400
Speaker 2: They play aggressive quarters defense on the outside. Yeah, their

1034
00:46:12,400 --> 00:46:13,919
Speaker 2: defense is gonna be good. But they're then they're they're

1035
00:46:13,920 --> 00:46:15,920
Speaker 2: gonna be playing like twenty to seventeen games every.

1036
00:46:15,800 --> 00:46:18,160
Speaker 1: Week, right they are, And I and I trust that

1037
00:46:18,239 --> 00:46:19,400
Speaker 1: this defense is going to be able to do what

1038
00:46:19,440 --> 00:46:21,879
Speaker 1: they always do. Like you usually can't count on having

1039
00:46:21,960 --> 00:46:24,239
Speaker 1: to turn into scores, but Pitt has a way of

1040
00:46:24,280 --> 00:46:26,360
Speaker 1: doing it servasier Dennis I know, is going to be

1041
00:46:26,440 --> 00:46:28,239
Speaker 1: named to our All American team coming up here, the

1042
00:46:28,239 --> 00:46:30,239
Speaker 1: Action Network All American Team that we're gonna put out.

1043
00:46:30,760 --> 00:46:32,400
Speaker 1: Uh And I just there's no drop off of this

1044
00:46:32,480 --> 00:46:34,440
Speaker 1: Pitt defense whatsoever. And it was good enough to get

1045
00:46:34,480 --> 00:46:36,719
Speaker 1: them there last year. A big difference between you and me,

1046
00:46:36,760 --> 00:46:40,040
Speaker 1: and I'll pivot into Miami. Pitt doesn't play Clemson and

1047
00:46:40,400 --> 00:46:43,080
Speaker 1: Miami does, So you know that that is certainly one

1048
00:46:43,120 --> 00:46:45,480
Speaker 1: thing to take into account when you look at strength

1049
00:46:45,560 --> 00:46:47,600
Speaker 1: of schedule, what these two teams have to go up with,

1050
00:46:48,040 --> 00:46:50,120
Speaker 1: and that is something that Pitt has, you know, a

1051
00:46:50,239 --> 00:46:53,400
Speaker 1: clear example of, Like you know, Pitt's average strength of

1052
00:46:53,560 --> 00:46:56,759
Speaker 1: sp plus defenses is seventieth as to where Miami's is

1053
00:46:56,800 --> 00:47:00,399
Speaker 1: fifty nine. So you know, there's definitely a tougher slate

1054
00:47:00,480 --> 00:47:02,080
Speaker 1: here for Miami to get through than there is for

1055
00:47:02,200 --> 00:47:05,040
Speaker 1: Pitt Miami. There's just things I'm not comfortable with. I

1056
00:47:05,160 --> 00:47:08,440
Speaker 1: don't feel as if Crystal Ball likes his two guards

1057
00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:11,239
Speaker 1: in his center. Tyler Van Dyke told me, you know,

1058
00:47:11,520 --> 00:47:13,000
Speaker 1: I asked him, I said, what do you see out

1059
00:47:13,040 --> 00:47:14,920
Speaker 1: of this offense? It's going to be different than last year.

1060
00:47:15,239 --> 00:47:16,880
Speaker 1: He said that crystal Ball is going to use a

1061
00:47:16,920 --> 00:47:20,640
Speaker 1: lot of pulling guards, a pulling center, and they're undersized

1062
00:47:20,800 --> 00:47:22,600
Speaker 1: and they're not you know what he wants. On the

1063
00:47:22,640 --> 00:47:25,440
Speaker 1: offensive line. The tackles are fine, the tackles are exactly

1064
00:47:25,560 --> 00:47:28,520
Speaker 1: fit the crystal ball mold. But it sounds like instead

1065
00:47:28,520 --> 00:47:30,920
Speaker 1: of you know, all five offensive lines sitting there and

1066
00:47:31,000 --> 00:47:33,279
Speaker 1: defending Tyler Van Dyke, there's gonna be a lot of

1067
00:47:33,280 --> 00:47:34,800
Speaker 1: shifting the pocket. There's going to be a lot of

1068
00:47:34,880 --> 00:47:37,120
Speaker 1: polls here and that you know, I don't think if

1069
00:47:37,200 --> 00:47:40,680
Speaker 1: Bethune Cookman gets one pressure on Miami in the first week,

1070
00:47:41,120 --> 00:47:43,680
Speaker 1: that'll be shocking watch for Southern miss But then I

1071
00:47:43,760 --> 00:47:46,400
Speaker 1: would not back Miami against Texas A and m whatsoever.

1072
00:47:46,560 --> 00:47:48,759
Speaker 1: So keep your eyes on the interior part of the

1073
00:47:48,840 --> 00:47:52,960
Speaker 1: Miami offensive line and then the defense. Kevin Steele, he

1074
00:47:53,120 --> 00:47:55,719
Speaker 1: has really really got his work cutout for him here.

1075
00:47:56,520 --> 00:47:59,160
Speaker 1: We're talking about, you know, a team that struggled with

1076
00:47:59,400 --> 00:48:03,480
Speaker 1: everything from tackling to finishing drives. Uh, Miami was just

1077
00:48:03,640 --> 00:48:06,080
Speaker 1: completely fall off a map under the Manny Diaz era.

1078
00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:10,880
Speaker 1: They trash the they trashed the turnover chain. As Brett

1079
00:48:11,040 --> 00:48:12,520
Speaker 1: you know, is able to crack the news on that.

1080
00:48:13,120 --> 00:48:14,759
Speaker 1: And it looks like Mario christ Ball is ready to

1081
00:48:14,800 --> 00:48:16,640
Speaker 1: turn a page, but I'm not sure this is the

1082
00:48:16,680 --> 00:48:18,920
Speaker 1: team that he wants. But the good news is the

1083
00:48:19,000 --> 00:48:21,600
Speaker 1: season ends with Pitt and Miami. We can settle it.

1084
00:48:21,640 --> 00:48:23,080
Speaker 1: Then you and I have some turkey and then we'll

1085
00:48:23,120 --> 00:48:25,719
Speaker 1: settle our beef on on who's gonna Who's gonna win

1086
00:48:25,800 --> 00:48:26,480
Speaker 1: this coastal here?

1087
00:48:27,719 --> 00:48:30,640
Speaker 2: You know Pitt does, Pete doesn't have clumps somebody. Even

1088
00:48:30,640 --> 00:48:33,080
Speaker 2: if the Miami loses the Clemson and there end up

1089
00:48:33,120 --> 00:48:34,960
Speaker 2: being tied, like it will come down to that game

1090
00:48:35,800 --> 00:48:37,640
Speaker 2: at Miami who I will have over a touch I

1091
00:48:37,760 --> 00:48:41,080
Speaker 2: have over a touchdown favorite of that game. And he

1092
00:48:41,200 --> 00:48:43,320
Speaker 2: also has to go to Ville and to u n

1093
00:48:43,440 --> 00:48:46,000
Speaker 2: C back to back weeks, both teams off of a bye.

1094
00:48:47,920 --> 00:48:50,400
Speaker 2: That's not gonna be an easy stretch. They do have

1095
00:48:50,600 --> 00:48:53,239
Speaker 2: a lot all their winnable games are at home, which

1096
00:48:53,280 --> 00:48:54,560
Speaker 2: is why I don't like about a winter total and

1097
00:48:54,640 --> 00:48:57,000
Speaker 2: look Pitt last year. I also think that the loss

1098
00:48:57,040 --> 00:48:59,520
Speaker 2: of Breda Marion is big, but their wide receiver coaches

1099
00:48:59,520 --> 00:49:02,800
Speaker 2: down a passing the coordinator at Texas. But keep in

1100
00:49:02,840 --> 00:49:05,520
Speaker 2: mind that before last year with Whippull, they finally were

1101
00:49:05,560 --> 00:49:07,759
Speaker 2: throwing the ball with a quarterback who got draft in

1102
00:49:07,800 --> 00:49:10,719
Speaker 2: the first round with the Blittnikoff winner who now is gone.

1103
00:49:11,000 --> 00:49:12,520
Speaker 2: It was the first time they won more than eight

1104
00:49:12,560 --> 00:49:17,960
Speaker 2: games in eleven years. So I think that there's you're

1105
00:49:17,960 --> 00:49:21,880
Speaker 2: going to see a couple hit head scratching losses AKA

1106
00:49:22,000 --> 00:49:26,160
Speaker 2: to Western Michigan at home last year, and News he's.

1107
00:49:26,080 --> 00:49:27,960
Speaker 1: Able to upset the top five team every time, he's

1108
00:49:27,960 --> 00:49:29,200
Speaker 1: able to lose to a MAC team.

1109
00:49:29,320 --> 00:49:33,799
Speaker 2: So yeah, they don't play Clempson, so that's a that's

1110
00:49:33,800 --> 00:49:36,600
Speaker 2: a win off the board. And then I just wouldn't

1111
00:49:36,600 --> 00:49:39,000
Speaker 2: worry about as a rebuttal for you because we're kind

1112
00:49:39,000 --> 00:49:41,440
Speaker 2: of in agreement with the agency Atlantic, But yeah, I

1113
00:49:41,920 --> 00:49:43,600
Speaker 2: not with the Coast. I mean Miami, I wouldn't. I

1114
00:49:43,719 --> 00:49:45,759
Speaker 2: just not worried about a crystal ball offensive line. And

1115
00:49:45,800 --> 00:49:48,960
Speaker 2: then Kevin Steele, especially as a linebacker linebacker, and that's

1116
00:49:49,000 --> 00:49:53,000
Speaker 2: where Miami really struggled last year, and that in discipline

1117
00:49:53,000 --> 00:49:55,840
Speaker 2: and defense. I think just the more serious nature of

1118
00:49:55,920 --> 00:49:59,160
Speaker 2: the staff and Steele's expertise at the linebacker position. There's

1119
00:49:59,200 --> 00:50:04,560
Speaker 2: just too much talent for not to improve. But yeah, yeah,

1120
00:50:04,600 --> 00:50:05,640
Speaker 2: did you have anything else to add.

1121
00:50:05,680 --> 00:50:08,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, there's one other team in the Coast. I want

1122
00:50:08,200 --> 00:50:10,040
Speaker 1: to talk about, and that is that my numbers are

1123
00:50:10,200 --> 00:50:12,440
Speaker 1: so much higher on Virginia Tech than everybody else. So

1124
00:50:12,520 --> 00:50:15,640
Speaker 1: I double tricked, I double and triple checked my numbers

1125
00:50:15,680 --> 00:50:17,560
Speaker 1: on Virginia Tech to figure out what's going on here.

1126
00:50:18,239 --> 00:50:20,040
Speaker 1: I mean, I am a full game and a half

1127
00:50:20,280 --> 00:50:22,680
Speaker 1: higher than what the market is at, and nobody has

1128
00:50:22,719 --> 00:50:25,120
Speaker 1: any love for Virginia Tech. I went to ACC media days.

1129
00:50:25,280 --> 00:50:27,880
Speaker 1: I think I shook everybody's hand. Instead of introducing myself,

1130
00:50:28,160 --> 00:50:30,200
Speaker 1: I just asked everybody what they think of Virginia Tech.

1131
00:50:30,920 --> 00:50:32,840
Speaker 1: I'm going back to how I build a pr This

1132
00:50:32,920 --> 00:50:36,080
Speaker 1: team caught plus seven points for me. For Tarp, eighty

1133
00:50:36,160 --> 00:50:39,240
Speaker 1: percent of the defense numbers come back from PBu tackles

1134
00:50:39,280 --> 00:50:41,920
Speaker 1: and pressures. The offense is considered to have one hundred

1135
00:50:41,920 --> 00:50:44,439
Speaker 1: percent of its passing yards back because quarterback Grant Wells

1136
00:50:44,440 --> 00:50:46,560
Speaker 1: transfers in from Marshall. So that's how they got a

1137
00:50:46,600 --> 00:50:49,560
Speaker 1: seven point bump there. Second order win total was neutral.

1138
00:50:50,120 --> 00:50:52,239
Speaker 1: I even docked Virginia Tech a couple points for the

1139
00:50:52,280 --> 00:50:54,960
Speaker 1: new coaching game coming in, even though I like Brent Pye.

1140
00:50:55,280 --> 00:50:58,239
Speaker 1: Brent Prye, his offensive coordinator, Tyler Bowen, was a co

1141
00:50:58,400 --> 00:51:00,600
Speaker 1: coordinator and tight end coach of penste so they know

1142
00:51:00,760 --> 00:51:03,920
Speaker 1: each other from there. Essentially, you know that whole staff

1143
00:51:04,080 --> 00:51:06,319
Speaker 1: was wiped out when Franklin tapped Mike Gearris such as

1144
00:51:06,400 --> 00:51:09,160
Speaker 1: Covin and call the offense at Penn State. But you know,

1145
00:51:09,360 --> 00:51:11,839
Speaker 1: I'm looking at the power ratings. I make Virginia Tech

1146
00:51:12,239 --> 00:51:15,600
Speaker 1: plus twenty seven against Alabama in a hypothetical game. That

1147
00:51:15,760 --> 00:51:18,840
Speaker 1: sounds right. I make Virginia Tech plus fifteen against Clemson

1148
00:51:18,880 --> 00:51:22,200
Speaker 1: in a hypothetical game. So my pr is right. And

1149
00:51:22,280 --> 00:51:25,360
Speaker 1: this flat out just comes out to strength of schedule.

1150
00:51:25,840 --> 00:51:28,279
Speaker 1: This is the second easiest schedule in the ACC when

1151
00:51:28,320 --> 00:51:32,880
Speaker 1: it comes to average SP plus defenses Old Dominion, Wafford Liberty,

1152
00:51:33,239 --> 00:51:35,360
Speaker 1: and then West Virginia Transfer City. We'll see what they

1153
00:51:35,400 --> 00:51:36,960
Speaker 1: got in the back end is in their non con

1154
00:51:37,320 --> 00:51:41,440
Speaker 1: You look at Clemsonville, Florida State from the Atlantic, the

1155
00:51:41,560 --> 00:51:45,520
Speaker 1: ACC schedule starts with BC and North Carolina. Those are

1156
00:51:45,560 --> 00:51:47,440
Speaker 1: not defensive fronts that I'm scared of. It's not a

1157
00:51:47,560 --> 00:51:50,200
Speaker 1: murderer's row of defenses. Really. The only teams I think

1158
00:51:50,200 --> 00:51:52,240
Speaker 1: that they're absolutely going to get plowed by is Clemson,

1159
00:51:52,560 --> 00:51:56,920
Speaker 1: Louisville and Florida State. Everything else, Grant Will should be fine,

1160
00:51:57,080 --> 00:52:00,000
Speaker 1: they return their top four tacklers on the defense. Bain

1161
00:52:00,040 --> 00:52:02,840
Speaker 1: probably is a great defensive coordinator. So I don't understand it.

1162
00:52:03,360 --> 00:52:06,360
Speaker 1: My power ratings, right, I just don't get it. So

1163
00:52:06,400 --> 00:52:08,239
Speaker 1: I'm taking the over on these guys. I'm gonna trust

1164
00:52:08,320 --> 00:52:10,759
Speaker 1: my numbers. But I have no friends in this room

1165
00:52:10,800 --> 00:52:11,440
Speaker 1: that I'm standing in.

1166
00:52:12,080 --> 00:52:14,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't agree with you here. I mean, look,

1167
00:52:14,680 --> 00:52:16,200
Speaker 2: I have some questions on the offensive line. They did

1168
00:52:16,239 --> 00:52:19,719
Speaker 2: bring in a good offensive line coach. It's another defensive change.

1169
00:52:19,719 --> 00:52:22,680
Speaker 2: I mean it's their third DC and the last four

1170
00:52:22,760 --> 00:52:24,080
Speaker 2: years the moving to like a more four to three

1171
00:52:24,160 --> 00:52:26,200
Speaker 2: traditional looks, So we'll see what that happens. I also

1172
00:52:26,280 --> 00:52:28,400
Speaker 2: haven't got a I think the numbers about right personally.

1173
00:52:28,520 --> 00:52:28,640
Speaker 1: Now.

1174
00:52:28,680 --> 00:52:30,279
Speaker 2: They have an easy first four games in an easy

1175
00:52:30,360 --> 00:52:32,080
Speaker 2: last four. I mean they closed the Georgia Tech at

1176
00:52:32,160 --> 00:52:34,600
Speaker 2: Duke at Liberty and then home against UVA. They start

1177
00:52:34,640 --> 00:52:37,759
Speaker 2: with that ODU BC at home, both Wafford at home,

1178
00:52:37,880 --> 00:52:40,279
Speaker 2: West Virginia at home. Technically could go eight.

1179
00:52:40,360 --> 00:52:41,080
Speaker 5: No in those games.

1180
00:52:41,120 --> 00:52:42,920
Speaker 2: Can they get to six and two in those eight?

1181
00:52:43,239 --> 00:52:45,480
Speaker 2: If they do, then they're gonna go over. So it's

1182
00:52:45,480 --> 00:52:47,480
Speaker 2: all about the start. I mean, the middle is tough

1183
00:52:47,520 --> 00:52:49,319
Speaker 2: to go at U andc apt Pitt Miami at home

1184
00:52:49,360 --> 00:52:51,839
Speaker 2: at NC State. That's why I'm staying. I wouldn't bet

1185
00:52:51,880 --> 00:52:53,719
Speaker 2: the under because of this schedule, but there's a lot

1186
00:52:53,719 --> 00:52:55,040
Speaker 2: of change. I don't even if well is gonna win

1187
00:52:55,040 --> 00:52:56,759
Speaker 2: the position. I'm not of Grant Well's guy either. I mean,

1188
00:52:56,800 --> 00:53:00,040
Speaker 2: he'd lost the script last year again with Marshall, and

1189
00:53:00,120 --> 00:53:02,200
Speaker 2: I don't know what happened because he had potential. And

1190
00:53:02,400 --> 00:53:05,400
Speaker 2: maybe Jason Brown wins a job. There's technically a quarterback competition,

1191
00:53:05,760 --> 00:53:08,320
Speaker 2: but I need to see something from Wells before I

1192
00:53:08,320 --> 00:53:10,480
Speaker 2: would go over. But the schedule is certainly conducive to

1193
00:53:10,560 --> 00:53:12,839
Speaker 2: going over. I do have to mention the sech team

1194
00:53:12,880 --> 00:53:14,279
Speaker 2: since I didn't really talk I haven't talked about him

1195
00:53:14,320 --> 00:53:16,600
Speaker 2: enough this episode. They weren't top ten special teams in

1196
00:53:16,640 --> 00:53:18,400
Speaker 2: know last year. They lose their kicker, long snapper, and

1197
00:53:18,440 --> 00:53:21,640
Speaker 2: first team ACC punt returner. They do have a great punter.

1198
00:53:21,880 --> 00:53:24,600
Speaker 2: These are only returning all ACC player. But you're buying

1199
00:53:24,640 --> 00:53:29,279
Speaker 2: what Brent Pry is selling, but you're selling what Mac

1200
00:53:29,320 --> 00:53:30,399
Speaker 2: Brown is selling.

1201
00:53:30,520 --> 00:53:32,560
Speaker 1: I'm selling Mac Brown all the way and I hate

1202
00:53:32,600 --> 00:53:34,120
Speaker 1: to do it. A lot of people love them in

1203
00:53:34,160 --> 00:53:37,440
Speaker 1: the coaching industry. I know, I know our friends sources

1204
00:53:38,040 --> 00:53:41,440
Speaker 1: the former TV camera maates there on esp and you know,

1205
00:53:41,640 --> 00:53:44,120
Speaker 1: I've seen the you know, I've seen Mac Brown in

1206
00:53:44,160 --> 00:53:46,280
Speaker 1: action now live up close and in person. I understand

1207
00:53:46,320 --> 00:53:48,440
Speaker 1: why everybody likes him. I just don't agree with some

1208
00:53:48,560 --> 00:53:51,320
Speaker 1: of these moves, especially on defense. I listen when I

1209
00:53:51,360 --> 00:53:53,319
Speaker 1: have to do a Google search with multiple tabs figure

1210
00:53:53,320 --> 00:53:55,920
Speaker 1: out who the damn defensive coordinator is. Between Charlton Warren

1211
00:53:56,000 --> 00:53:58,720
Speaker 1: coming in from Indiana, Tommy Thigping, and an internal promotion.

1212
00:53:59,040 --> 00:54:00,840
Speaker 1: Oh hey, Jeane Chiseck, he's going to join. I have

1213
00:54:00,920 --> 00:54:02,960
Speaker 1: no clue who's calling plays. I must have spend thirty

1214
00:54:03,000 --> 00:54:04,360
Speaker 1: minutes trying to figure out who's going to call the

1215
00:54:04,400 --> 00:54:06,799
Speaker 1: plays here. But you know, there's it seems like Jay

1216
00:54:06,840 --> 00:54:09,640
Speaker 1: Bateman was the hot defensive coordinator when he got to

1217
00:54:09,719 --> 00:54:12,799
Speaker 1: come in. He has one bad year and then he's

1218
00:54:12,840 --> 00:54:14,880
Speaker 1: out the door. So I wasn't really comfortable with that.

1219
00:54:15,280 --> 00:54:17,440
Speaker 1: And then Josh Downs. You know, he is one of

1220
00:54:17,480 --> 00:54:20,839
Speaker 1: the huge best playmakers in all of college football. Three

1221
00:54:20,960 --> 00:54:23,800
Speaker 1: yards per route run close is what he've had posted

1222
00:54:23,880 --> 00:54:25,919
Speaker 1: last year. If you don't know what yards per route

1223
00:54:25,960 --> 00:54:28,960
Speaker 1: run is, it's how explosive are you when you were targeted,

1224
00:54:29,040 --> 00:54:31,880
Speaker 1: and anything over two is considered really good. Josh Down's

1225
00:54:31,880 --> 00:54:33,560
Speaker 1: one of the best in the nation by far, but

1226
00:54:33,680 --> 00:54:36,800
Speaker 1: we do have a quarterback battle, and you know, I

1227
00:54:36,880 --> 00:54:38,840
Speaker 1: think that we've been depleted a lot on some of

1228
00:54:38,880 --> 00:54:41,279
Speaker 1: the weapons that we have, especially in the backfield. And

1229
00:54:41,440 --> 00:54:44,840
Speaker 1: this is not an easy non conference slate. I know

1230
00:54:44,920 --> 00:54:46,600
Speaker 1: people are going to look at to say, oh, it's

1231
00:54:46,640 --> 00:54:49,279
Speaker 1: the Sun Belt. It's fine, It's not just the Sun Belt.

1232
00:54:49,520 --> 00:54:51,520
Speaker 1: App State was certain for me in week one, but

1233
00:54:51,600 --> 00:54:54,520
Speaker 1: odds makers opened that thing at three down to two

1234
00:54:54,560 --> 00:54:56,000
Speaker 1: and a half. I mean, there's some love in the

1235
00:54:56,040 --> 00:54:58,399
Speaker 1: market for app State. And then after that trip to Boone,

1236
00:54:58,440 --> 00:55:01,000
Speaker 1: North Carolina keeps the Sun Belt World Tour going. They're

1237
00:55:01,000 --> 00:55:03,080
Speaker 1: gonna go on to play Georgia State, and I know

1238
00:55:03,160 --> 00:55:04,600
Speaker 1: the numbers say that that number is gonna be eight

1239
00:55:04,600 --> 00:55:07,520
Speaker 1: and a half, but Georgia State is stout. They're really good.

1240
00:55:07,880 --> 00:55:09,680
Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, these are the games that North

1241
00:55:09,719 --> 00:55:11,480
Speaker 1: Carolina has to win to get over this win total.

1242
00:55:11,520 --> 00:55:13,200
Speaker 1: So I'm under seven and a half all the way.

1243
00:55:13,480 --> 00:55:15,719
Speaker 1: I mean, I've got it projected like around seven, I think,

1244
00:55:15,800 --> 00:55:19,280
Speaker 1: But now I am not on the North Carolina bus whatsoever.

1245
00:55:20,480 --> 00:55:22,680
Speaker 2: I'm I'm I projected right at seven point four to

1246
00:55:22,760 --> 00:55:24,279
Speaker 2: eight so in two over seven and a half plus

1247
00:55:24,360 --> 00:55:27,920
Speaker 2: one hundred. So nope, nothing for me. I do think that.

1248
00:55:28,200 --> 00:55:30,359
Speaker 2: I mean like part of me is saying, like, going

1249
00:55:30,400 --> 00:55:31,840
Speaker 2: into it, I was like, are we is this the

1250
00:55:31,880 --> 00:55:33,640
Speaker 2: time to buy North Carolina? I mean, look that their

1251
00:55:33,760 --> 00:55:36,640
Speaker 2: recruiting classes have been so good after they went from

1252
00:55:36,680 --> 00:55:39,880
Speaker 2: a top five team preseason top ten last year to

1253
00:55:40,040 --> 00:55:42,800
Speaker 2: under five hundred, So like, is are they now like

1254
00:55:42,880 --> 00:55:44,239
Speaker 2: body me on the market. But I'd make it right

1255
00:55:44,280 --> 00:55:46,200
Speaker 2: around seven and a half. They could start five and

1256
00:55:46,280 --> 00:55:47,919
Speaker 2: oh that's the key. It's gonna be their non conference games.

1257
00:55:47,920 --> 00:55:49,320
Speaker 2: As you said, they're tough. Georgia State's one of the

1258
00:55:49,360 --> 00:55:52,680
Speaker 2: most experiences of country up state. It's a true coin flip,

1259
00:55:52,800 --> 00:55:55,240
Speaker 2: and then home against Notre Dame where they'll be probably

1260
00:55:55,280 --> 00:55:55,879
Speaker 2: a small dog.

1261
00:55:57,440 --> 00:56:01,120
Speaker 1: So yeah, stuck. You're looking at this schedule other than Duke,

1262
00:56:01,160 --> 00:56:03,799
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech, and Florida A and M. To point out

1263
00:56:03,880 --> 00:56:06,080
Speaker 1: the wins. To me, it's really hard to find an

1264
00:56:06,120 --> 00:56:08,560
Speaker 1: extra What do you need? Five more after that? Find

1265
00:56:08,640 --> 00:56:09,360
Speaker 1: five more after that?

1266
00:56:10,440 --> 00:56:12,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have them as a dog or a coin

1267
00:56:12,400 --> 00:56:18,239
Speaker 2: flip in one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight,

1268
00:56:18,600 --> 00:56:21,080
Speaker 2: eight games, and then that's not even including at Georgia State.

1269
00:56:22,360 --> 00:56:24,080
Speaker 2: But I do think that this defense might be the

1270
00:56:24,120 --> 00:56:25,759
Speaker 2: most improved in the nation. Doesn't mean they're gonna be

1271
00:56:25,760 --> 00:56:28,080
Speaker 2: great less they were like one hundred and tenth Like literally,

1272
00:56:28,080 --> 00:56:30,160
Speaker 2: they're one hundred and six epper rush one hundred and

1273
00:56:30,200 --> 00:56:33,400
Speaker 2: twentyeth in past dy. So they have like NFL talent.

1274
00:56:33,719 --> 00:56:35,800
Speaker 2: They're switching from to a three man front. They have

1275
00:56:35,920 --> 00:56:39,800
Speaker 2: NFL talent the secondary, you know, Grimes and Duck at corner.

1276
00:56:40,800 --> 00:56:44,400
Speaker 2: I like, you know, I like some of their linebackers,

1277
00:56:44,480 --> 00:56:46,920
Speaker 2: and I think just being more organized on the defense end.

1278
00:56:46,960 --> 00:56:48,560
Speaker 2: And we'll see if it translates. But the reason I

1279
00:56:48,640 --> 00:56:50,920
Speaker 2: bring it up, you know, there's a quarterback battle. We'll

1280
00:56:50,960 --> 00:56:52,719
Speaker 2: see if they're gonna be, like what kind of offense

1281
00:56:52,760 --> 00:56:54,879
Speaker 2: are gonna be? But they could be a sneaky under

1282
00:56:54,960 --> 00:56:59,680
Speaker 2: team early on in the season. All right, great stuff

1283
00:57:00,120 --> 00:57:04,520
Speaker 2: Colin from you and Bud and hopefully for myself. Before

1284
00:57:04,520 --> 00:57:06,960
Speaker 2: we get out of here, let's just sum up. You know,

1285
00:57:07,000 --> 00:57:08,480
Speaker 2: one or two of your favorite win totals. If you

1286
00:57:08,520 --> 00:57:10,120
Speaker 2: want to list a couple more, you can, and then

1287
00:57:10,160 --> 00:57:14,040
Speaker 2: you're picked to win the ACC. I'm going to say

1288
00:57:15,880 --> 00:57:18,080
Speaker 2: my favorite win totals Georgia Tech under three and a half.

1289
00:57:18,080 --> 00:57:19,400
Speaker 2: I'll make them fall off an upset and win the

1290
00:57:19,440 --> 00:57:22,160
Speaker 2: three games. It should just a mess. Still just not

1291
00:57:22,280 --> 00:57:24,680
Speaker 2: buying what Collins is selling. They crushed the transfer portal.

1292
00:57:24,840 --> 00:57:27,800
Speaker 2: I'm also going Pit under eight and a half. I

1293
00:57:27,880 --> 00:57:31,080
Speaker 2: think the offensive coordinator and offensive talent departing will catch

1294
00:57:31,160 --> 00:57:33,920
Speaker 2: up to Pitt this year, and then Miami to win

1295
00:57:34,120 --> 00:57:36,880
Speaker 2: their division. Try to find plus one thirty or better.

1296
00:57:38,160 --> 00:57:40,640
Speaker 2: I think the coaching changes are going to pay dividends

1297
00:57:40,680 --> 00:57:43,760
Speaker 2: this year, both on the offensive line and linebacker to

1298
00:57:43,840 --> 00:57:46,840
Speaker 2: the weakest areas. Defense should tackle better, more discipline, which

1299
00:57:46,920 --> 00:57:49,320
Speaker 2: is what this Miami team need. And the offense was

1300
00:57:49,360 --> 00:57:52,760
Speaker 2: just electric with Van Dyke, positive aggression candidate defense, which

1301
00:57:52,760 --> 00:57:54,640
Speaker 2: I think will improve as well as the offensive line.

1302
00:57:54,800 --> 00:57:56,480
Speaker 2: So those are the three that I'll mention them. I

1303
00:57:56,480 --> 00:57:58,320
Speaker 2: picked to win the ACC, I guess, so not to

1304
00:57:58,320 --> 00:57:59,920
Speaker 2: say it's Miami, what do you got?

1305
00:58:00,480 --> 00:58:03,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, So I have as many bets to win ACC

1306
00:58:03,760 --> 00:58:06,040
Speaker 1: as I do win totals, So let's start with win totals.

1307
00:58:06,080 --> 00:58:07,919
Speaker 1: I like over six and a half on Virginia Tech.

1308
00:58:08,240 --> 00:58:11,680
Speaker 1: No matter anyway, I can split this mathematically, I come

1309
00:58:11,720 --> 00:58:13,480
Speaker 1: out a game and a half over this six and

1310
00:58:13,560 --> 00:58:15,800
Speaker 1: a half number that's on the market right now. The

1311
00:58:15,920 --> 00:58:19,040
Speaker 1: power rating is there, it's just this strength of schedule

1312
00:58:19,160 --> 00:58:21,480
Speaker 1: is so low. Now, remember when you take win totals,

1313
00:58:21,800 --> 00:58:24,400
Speaker 1: you generally want to back a team that maybe has

1314
00:58:24,440 --> 00:58:26,840
Speaker 1: a first year coach, it's trying to reach a Bowl game.

1315
00:58:27,040 --> 00:58:29,360
Speaker 1: That would be a huge improvement for this Virginia Tech team.

1316
00:58:29,520 --> 00:58:31,240
Speaker 1: It'd be a good start to the Brent Priy and

1317
00:58:31,360 --> 00:58:33,320
Speaker 1: like Stucky said, if you look at their first four games,

1318
00:58:33,320 --> 00:58:35,560
Speaker 1: their last four games, they could go eight and know

1319
00:58:35,640 --> 00:58:38,800
Speaker 1: in those games six and two is pretty much projected.

1320
00:58:38,840 --> 00:58:40,440
Speaker 1: They just need one other there. So I like over

1321
00:58:40,560 --> 00:58:43,240
Speaker 1: on Virginia Tech. I think they're being heavily overlooked and

1322
00:58:43,280 --> 00:58:46,040
Speaker 1: they have such an easy schedule. I'm splitting up a

1323
00:58:46,200 --> 00:58:49,040
Speaker 1: unit bet on NC State to win the ACC. I'm

1324
00:58:49,040 --> 00:58:51,120
Speaker 1: splitting up a unit bet on another unit bet to

1325
00:58:51,240 --> 00:58:53,160
Speaker 1: on Pit to win it. I know Pitt goes down

1326
00:58:53,200 --> 00:58:55,400
Speaker 1: to Miami to end the season, but there is an

1327
00:58:55,480 --> 00:58:58,400
Speaker 1: easier schedule for Pitt here because they don't have Clemson

1328
00:58:58,600 --> 00:59:01,440
Speaker 1: like Miami does. Think problems with Miami in the trench.

1329
00:59:01,520 --> 00:59:03,720
Speaker 1: I have zero doubts about what's going on with Pitt

1330
00:59:03,760 --> 00:59:06,480
Speaker 1: in the trench. I know it's a complete tempo change.

1331
00:59:06,520 --> 00:59:08,400
Speaker 1: If you haven't seen that number come down against West

1332
00:59:08,480 --> 00:59:10,920
Speaker 1: Virginia in the backyard brawl, There's gonna be a lot

1333
00:59:10,920 --> 00:59:13,200
Speaker 1: of pit unders this year. So I think it's gone

1334
00:59:13,240 --> 00:59:14,920
Speaker 1: from fifty four and a half down to fifty two.

1335
00:59:15,320 --> 00:59:17,000
Speaker 1: I would go and get that under in Week one,

1336
00:59:17,080 --> 00:59:18,560
Speaker 1: but I do love Pitt. They're going to try to

1337
00:59:18,640 --> 00:59:20,280
Speaker 1: grind you and beat the hell out of you in

1338
00:59:20,360 --> 00:59:22,440
Speaker 1: the trench, and I don't think Miami is ready to

1339
00:59:22,440 --> 00:59:24,120
Speaker 1: get into that battle yet, and maybe they will be

1340
00:59:24,160 --> 00:59:26,200
Speaker 1: by the end of the season, but it's still not

1341
00:59:26,360 --> 00:59:29,320
Speaker 1: the offensive line that Mario Cristo ball once. Next year

1342
00:59:29,560 --> 00:59:32,160
Speaker 1: maybe next year, Yeah, we'll talk about winning the ACC.

1343
00:59:33,160 --> 00:59:36,520
Speaker 1: So in C State, there's nothing I can say if

1344
00:59:36,600 --> 00:59:38,640
Speaker 1: you've been living on an island. That was the first

1345
00:59:38,680 --> 00:59:40,840
Speaker 1: bet that I made of the twenty twenty two season.

1346
00:59:41,480 --> 00:59:44,360
Speaker 1: They are loaded at every single unit on both sides

1347
00:59:44,400 --> 00:59:46,560
Speaker 1: of the ball. What Devin Leary is doing from the

1348
00:59:46,640 --> 00:59:50,760
Speaker 1: quarterback position has been just absolutely immaculate, especially when it

1349
00:59:50,800 --> 00:59:54,080
Speaker 1: comes to turnover worthy play rate. And this team is

1350
00:59:54,280 --> 00:59:57,680
Speaker 1: focused and hot after getting their Bowl game cut last season.

1351
00:59:58,320 --> 00:59:59,440
Speaker 1: They had a chance to be a part of the

1352
00:59:59,440 --> 01:00:02,480
Speaker 1: college football playoff chatter in November. Uh and just a

1353
01:00:02,520 --> 01:00:05,880
Speaker 1: couple of turnovers and a really narrow loss to Miami

1354
01:00:05,960 --> 01:00:07,960
Speaker 1: really kind of cut all that out. So in C

1355
01:00:08,120 --> 01:00:10,200
Speaker 1: State to win the ACC, I think they'll definitely win

1356
01:00:10,240 --> 01:00:12,840
Speaker 1: the Atlantic pit to win the Coastal, they'll face each

1357
01:00:12,840 --> 01:00:14,960
Speaker 1: other the AEC championship game. I'll sit back, crack a

1358
01:00:15,000 --> 01:00:16,960
Speaker 1: beverage and don't have to worry about edge neither ticket.

1359
01:00:17,720 --> 01:00:19,760
Speaker 2: All right, there you have it. We'll see if NC

1360
01:00:19,960 --> 01:00:22,560
Speaker 2: State can deal with the expectations. I've said it before.

1361
01:00:22,600 --> 01:00:25,080
Speaker 2: They remind me of Iowa State. So are they mad

1362
01:00:25,280 --> 01:00:27,400
Speaker 2: or are they nervous? It's we're gonna find out a lot.

1363
01:00:27,480 --> 01:00:29,520
Speaker 1: Did you put your East Carolina ticket in yet? Did

1364
01:00:29,560 --> 01:00:31,360
Speaker 1: you get your East Carolina ticket in there?

1365
01:00:31,680 --> 01:00:33,720
Speaker 2: Should have following on the app this weekend and put

1366
01:00:33,760 --> 01:00:36,120
Speaker 2: it in on Saturday plus ten and a half. It's

1367
01:00:36,120 --> 01:00:37,720
Speaker 2: gonna be a it's gonna be a four point game

1368
01:00:37,760 --> 01:00:39,240
Speaker 2: of a minute to go. I talk about I gave

1369
01:00:39,240 --> 01:00:41,080
Speaker 2: you so much a dense state. It's the n C

1370
01:00:41,160 --> 01:00:43,160
Speaker 2: State's either losing that game or winning by thirty eight.

1371
01:00:43,320 --> 01:00:45,720
Speaker 2: All right, that'll do it. For us. We will be

1372
01:00:45,840 --> 01:00:49,280
Speaker 2: recording tomorrow all the Big ten two parts of the SEC.

1373
01:00:49,680 --> 01:00:52,400
Speaker 2: We're in full effect, Baby week zero, I'll be here

1374
01:00:52,440 --> 01:00:54,120
Speaker 2: before we know. Got the PAC twelve to come to.

1375
01:00:54,240 --> 01:00:56,560
Speaker 2: Then our recap will overall of our favorite preseason bets.

1376
01:00:57,000 --> 01:00:58,800
Speaker 2: Leave some reviews, five star reviews. We're doing a ton

1377
01:00:58,800 --> 01:01:01,600
Speaker 2: of giveaways. We'll get away pro and gear and all that.

1378
01:01:01,880 --> 01:01:04,280
Speaker 2: I'll read through them here shortly, but just big bets

1379
01:01:04,320 --> 01:01:06,080
Speaker 2: on campus. For every listen to the podcast, leave a review,

1380
01:01:06,400 --> 01:01:08,640
Speaker 2: Subscribe on subcribe suscribe Tale friend to one enemy. This

1381
01:01:08,720 --> 01:01:10,120
Speaker 2: is the time to help us out in the rankings

1382
01:01:10,160 --> 01:01:13,920
Speaker 2: with reviews. Now that we're cranking out episodes, I'm excited.

1383
01:01:13,920 --> 01:01:16,000
Speaker 2: I hope you're excited. Sign for us to go get

1384
01:01:16,120 --> 01:01:18,000
Speaker 2: back to work. We'll catch you all later.

1385
01:01:18,120 --> 01:01:19,160
Speaker 1: Cheers, peace out,