1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: This is the Action Network podcast. 2 00:00:04,400 --> 00:00:05,520 Speaker 2: It's on target. 3 00:00:05,800 --> 00:00:07,760 Speaker 1: It is good whyo. 4 00:00:10,160 --> 00:00:11,160 Speaker 3: Two twenty five. 5 00:00:11,360 --> 00:00:11,840 Speaker 2: That's the weight. 6 00:00:12,160 --> 00:00:16,880 Speaker 1: We got a live one walking out talking Alvin Kamara. 7 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:18,800 Speaker 1: I didn't know much about him, and I put his 8 00:00:18,880 --> 00:00:20,960 Speaker 1: tape in and I Albant fell over. Heay here with 9 00:00:21,040 --> 00:00:23,280 Speaker 1: Barkley two hundred and thirty three pounds forty one inch 10 00:00:23,360 --> 00:00:25,239 Speaker 1: vertical twenty nine on the bench press. 11 00:00:25,280 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 2: That's a creative player on met Wow. 12 00:00:27,720 --> 00:00:30,600 Speaker 1: I mean that is just nutty four to two to two, 13 00:00:30,920 --> 00:00:34,720 Speaker 1: No webbs a new record holder and it is John Ross. 14 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 1: I saw two of three scouts look at their style 15 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:40,080 Speaker 1: watch and show other scouts as if, hey, did you 16 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:40,360 Speaker 1: get that? 17 00:00:40,720 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 2: Am I reading this right? 18 00:00:42,080 --> 00:00:42,720 Speaker 4: Where do you go? 19 00:00:45,320 --> 00:00:46,880 Speaker 2: And what's up? Everybody? 20 00:00:47,080 --> 00:00:51,240 Speaker 4: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I am your host 21 00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:55,120 Speaker 4: Chris Raybond and joining us today to talk the NFL 22 00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:59,280 Speaker 4: Draft is a very special guest. Every year our friends 23 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:04,760 Speaker 4: at Fantasy Pro is ranked the most accurate NFL mock drafters. 24 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:09,720 Speaker 4: In two thousand and eighteen, our guest finished number one. 25 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:13,399 Speaker 4: Last year he finished top three. To put it simply, 26 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 4: this guy is objectively one of the best NFL draft 27 00:01:18,560 --> 00:01:24,399 Speaker 4: experts anywhere. So today we welcome Action Network contributor NFL 28 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:29,600 Speaker 4: mock Draft Maven Scott Smith to the show. He's going 29 00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:32,120 Speaker 4: to give us his five favorite early bets for the 30 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:36,120 Speaker 4: twenty twenty two NFL Draft, which starts Thursday, April twenty 31 00:01:36,160 --> 00:01:40,959 Speaker 4: eighth in Vegas. Smith's latest mock draft is available now 32 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:45,240 Speaker 4: to check it out at actionnetwork dot com or on 33 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:47,279 Speaker 4: the award winning Action app. 34 00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 2: Scott, Welcome to the show. 35 00:01:50,080 --> 00:01:52,960 Speaker 1: What's going on, guys, happy to be here. You know, look, 36 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:55,560 Speaker 1: this is this is prime time draft season. This is 37 00:01:55,640 --> 00:01:57,480 Speaker 1: kind of like the home Struts. We got the final 38 00:01:57,520 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 1: four out of the way this past weekend. I'm down 39 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:03,240 Speaker 1: here right outside of New Orleans, so I got to 40 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 1: go spend some time down there and I didn't catch 41 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:07,400 Speaker 1: any of the games, but made a few bets. 42 00:02:07,440 --> 00:02:08,840 Speaker 3: So I'm ready to get into this. 43 00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:11,640 Speaker 4: Forget prime time. This is your time, Scott, this is 44 00:02:11,680 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 4: your time. So we're gonna let you shine. We're gonna 45 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:17,919 Speaker 4: get into all everything you love betting wise, for people 46 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:19,880 Speaker 4: to kind of go out and maybe put some money 47 00:02:19,919 --> 00:02:24,920 Speaker 4: down here and just talk about to start off kind 48 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:28,640 Speaker 4: of what is the hardest position for you to mock 49 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:32,080 Speaker 4: in this year's draft and why? 50 00:02:33,160 --> 00:02:35,560 Speaker 1: Look, I think it's obvious for everybody that does this, 51 00:02:35,919 --> 00:02:38,560 Speaker 1: it's gonna be the quarterback position this year. And I 52 00:02:38,560 --> 00:02:41,519 Speaker 1: think you just start looking at the prospects and there's 53 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:43,919 Speaker 1: no elite prospect in this year's draft. 54 00:02:44,320 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 3: All of these quarterback. 55 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:49,079 Speaker 1: Prospects kind of have their own awards within their specific profile. 56 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:51,200 Speaker 1: And then you start to look at the teams and 57 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:54,080 Speaker 1: moves that got made in the offseason, and you start 58 00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:56,960 Speaker 1: looking at the Mitch Trubiskys and some of the trades 59 00:02:56,960 --> 00:02:59,400 Speaker 1: for the quarterbacks, and you kind of have to figure 60 00:02:59,400 --> 00:03:02,919 Speaker 1: out which teams are actually bridging for the future, maybe 61 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:05,280 Speaker 1: next year's quarterback draft class, which is a lot better 62 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:08,280 Speaker 1: with this year's is, and how many which teams might 63 00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:11,160 Speaker 1: go ahead and take a take a shot on one 64 00:03:11,200 --> 00:03:13,200 Speaker 1: of these prospects here in the first round and might 65 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:15,040 Speaker 1: want to have them, you know, under their. 66 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:17,120 Speaker 3: Wing and be able to room them over the next year. 67 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:20,320 Speaker 1: So quarterback is definitely all over the place this year, 68 00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:22,560 Speaker 1: and trying to pin down which team is going to 69 00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:24,960 Speaker 1: go ahead and take that chance. And then even from that, 70 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 1: there's not an overall prospect. You know a lot of 71 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:29,760 Speaker 1: people like Malik Willis, but you start to hear he's 72 00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:33,160 Speaker 1: a year or two away. Kenny Pickett's got the small hands, 73 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 1: you know, even though he's maybe the most you know 74 00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:38,160 Speaker 1: NFL ready at this point in time. But you know 75 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:39,920 Speaker 1: a lot of teams are going to have a lot 76 00:03:39,920 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 1: of different opinions on these quarterbacks, and trying to narrow 77 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 1: down through the beat riders and some of the other 78 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:46,400 Speaker 1: information is going to be key for these next couple 79 00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 1: of weeks. 80 00:03:47,880 --> 00:03:50,120 Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, before we get into the bets, I 81 00:03:50,200 --> 00:03:53,440 Speaker 4: just wanted to ask you quickly on a quarterback that 82 00:03:53,520 --> 00:03:58,360 Speaker 4: you didn't mention, Desmond Ritter out of Cincinnati. You know, 83 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:00,240 Speaker 4: how do you think he kind of factors in this? 84 00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:03,360 Speaker 4: I'm looking at the odds for you know, number of 85 00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:06,120 Speaker 4: quarterbacks drafted in the first round and over two and 86 00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:08,440 Speaker 4: a half is minus two hundred, So a lot of 87 00:04:08,440 --> 00:04:11,440 Speaker 4: people thinking there might be a third quarterback to go 88 00:04:11,480 --> 00:04:14,080 Speaker 4: in the first round. He's you know, twenty five to 89 00:04:14,080 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 4: one for the first quarterback selected. I don't think that's 90 00:04:16,120 --> 00:04:18,480 Speaker 4: gonna happen. But how does he kind of factor in this? 91 00:04:18,560 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 4: Is he kind of that third guy or is it 92 00:04:20,560 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 4: somebody else? 93 00:04:22,040 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 1: So the interesting thing is one of the tools that 94 00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:27,640 Speaker 1: I use a lot with my mock drafts, Ben Robinson 95 00:04:27,680 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 1: does a great job over at Grind in the mocks, 96 00:04:30,279 --> 00:04:32,560 Speaker 1: and you can go check out his work. But you know, 97 00:04:32,600 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 1: he starts to he basically aggregates all the mock draft 98 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:38,440 Speaker 1: information leading all the way up to the monckcraft. Right now, 99 00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:42,120 Speaker 1: the quarterback out of Old miss is actually looking to 100 00:04:42,160 --> 00:04:45,839 Speaker 1: be the third quarterback in that first round. But Desmond 101 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:48,760 Speaker 1: Ritter in particular as a guy around scouting circles in 102 00:04:48,760 --> 00:04:51,279 Speaker 1: the NFL that a lot of teams seem to love. 103 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:53,480 Speaker 1: He's a guy that's getting a lot of the buzz. 104 00:04:53,760 --> 00:04:55,919 Speaker 1: You know, he's got the experience which a lot of 105 00:04:55,960 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 1: these quarterbacks are even looking at. In Malie Willison, he's 106 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 1: only had like twenty one games of ten or more 107 00:05:00,480 --> 00:05:03,479 Speaker 1: passes in his college career, but Deswin Ritter had a 108 00:05:03,600 --> 00:05:07,320 Speaker 1: nine point six relative athletics score. You know, he's got 109 00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:10,240 Speaker 1: a lot of the tools that the NFL talent evaluators 110 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:12,640 Speaker 1: may want to work with. And I think whenever you 111 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:14,480 Speaker 1: look at him, you can kind of compare him similar 112 00:05:14,520 --> 00:05:17,080 Speaker 1: to a guy maybe like Alex Smith. And he's a 113 00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:19,360 Speaker 1: guy that I think some of these teams would be 114 00:05:19,440 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 1: willing to take a chance on. And he's a guy 115 00:05:21,760 --> 00:05:24,160 Speaker 1: that I could see maybe sliding into the back end 116 00:05:24,200 --> 00:05:25,119 Speaker 1: of that first round. 117 00:05:26,520 --> 00:05:29,520 Speaker 4: All right, before we get into your favorite bets, there 118 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:32,360 Speaker 4: are a few teams I know too that have caught 119 00:05:32,400 --> 00:05:37,120 Speaker 4: your attention heading into the draft. Let's start in my hometown, 120 00:05:37,880 --> 00:05:40,520 Speaker 4: New York. What can you tell us about the Jets 121 00:05:40,520 --> 00:05:43,159 Speaker 4: and Giants heading into this year's draft. 122 00:05:43,960 --> 00:05:45,880 Speaker 1: Well, look, the Jets and the Giants are interested for 123 00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:48,039 Speaker 1: a couple of reasons. One of the big things from 124 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:50,880 Speaker 1: a betting standpoint is as the next couple of weeks 125 00:05:50,920 --> 00:05:53,039 Speaker 1: go on. Right now, there's only two bets where you 126 00:05:53,080 --> 00:05:55,920 Speaker 1: basically match the player to the team, but those those 127 00:05:55,960 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 1: will open up across a lot of the sports books 128 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:00,240 Speaker 1: over the next couple of weeks. I think from a 129 00:06:00,279 --> 00:06:03,000 Speaker 1: betting standpoint, both of those teams having two picks within 130 00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:06,000 Speaker 1: the top ten is going to give you an opportunity 131 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:08,760 Speaker 1: when you start laying some wagers on specific player to 132 00:06:08,839 --> 00:06:11,920 Speaker 1: team aspects. Because if you know, let's take of my 133 00:06:12,040 --> 00:06:14,240 Speaker 1: gardener for example, if you think he's going to go 134 00:06:14,279 --> 00:06:16,040 Speaker 1: to the Giants, you've got a spot to go ahead 135 00:06:16,040 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 1: and hit on that bet at pick five and pick seven. 136 00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 1: So look, be on the lookout for some of those 137 00:06:21,279 --> 00:06:23,000 Speaker 1: wagers that are going to pop up over the next 138 00:06:23,040 --> 00:06:24,839 Speaker 1: couple of weeks as we get closer to the draft. 139 00:06:25,120 --> 00:06:28,400 Speaker 1: But also the other interesting thing about these two things teams, 140 00:06:28,720 --> 00:06:31,400 Speaker 1: when I do my mock drafts and I'm looking at it, 141 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:35,240 Speaker 1: I think the Jets very specifically over this offseason. You know, 142 00:06:35,760 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 1: they've been connected to Ridley tyreek Hill. You know, I 143 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:41,920 Speaker 1: think they're signaling that they want to go ahead and 144 00:06:41,960 --> 00:06:44,719 Speaker 1: get a wide receiver or some type of wide receiver help. 145 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:46,800 Speaker 1: I could see that at pick ten, But when you 146 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:49,680 Speaker 1: start talking about pick four or five and seven that 147 00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:51,600 Speaker 1: all the New York teams have, I kind of think 148 00:06:51,600 --> 00:06:54,000 Speaker 1: they're picking out of that same player pool and looking 149 00:06:54,040 --> 00:06:56,240 Speaker 1: at some of the same guys. So that's one of 150 00:06:56,320 --> 00:06:58,560 Speaker 1: the things that's interesting for that. I think you can 151 00:06:58,600 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 1: also go ahead and and look at some of the 152 00:07:01,320 --> 00:07:05,520 Speaker 1: players that you might not know specifically what order they're 153 00:07:05,560 --> 00:07:07,280 Speaker 1: going to go in, but I think you can kind 154 00:07:07,279 --> 00:07:09,360 Speaker 1: of peg them there to those two teams. 155 00:07:10,120 --> 00:07:13,120 Speaker 4: Yeah, and without giving everything away, I will say, did 156 00:07:13,160 --> 00:07:15,320 Speaker 4: look at your most recent mock and you do have 157 00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:18,320 Speaker 4: the Jets taking a very good wide. 158 00:07:18,120 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 2: Receiver with one of those top ten picks. 159 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 4: So it should be interesting to see how that plays out. 160 00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:29,080 Speaker 4: What about the Washington Commanders. You know, they're sitting there 161 00:07:29,520 --> 00:07:33,080 Speaker 4: right outside the top ten. They got their quarterback, so 162 00:07:33,080 --> 00:07:36,920 Speaker 4: they'll probably be looking elsewhere I think with that pick, 163 00:07:37,320 --> 00:07:38,640 Speaker 4: or will they What do you think? 164 00:07:39,240 --> 00:07:41,920 Speaker 1: Well, we talked about teams that are basically in that 165 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:43,960 Speaker 1: bridge scenario. I think this is going to be a 166 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:46,320 Speaker 1: one year tryout for Carson Wentz. It's either going to 167 00:07:46,400 --> 00:07:49,160 Speaker 1: work out or isn't. Because of that reason and the 168 00:07:49,160 --> 00:07:52,119 Speaker 1: amount of money they had invested, it doesn't make sense 169 00:07:52,160 --> 00:07:54,840 Speaker 1: for Washington to go ahead and invest a high draft 170 00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:57,400 Speaker 1: pick like this in a player like Kinna Pickett or 171 00:07:57,400 --> 00:07:59,440 Speaker 1: Malik Willis, even if you wanted to groom them and 172 00:07:59,480 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 1: have them sit. So from my perspective, I think Washington 173 00:08:03,960 --> 00:08:06,120 Speaker 1: sits in a prime position for any one of these 174 00:08:06,160 --> 00:08:08,200 Speaker 1: other teams that may want to go ahead and move 175 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:10,840 Speaker 1: up and pick one of these quarterbacks. 176 00:08:10,480 --> 00:08:12,800 Speaker 3: Or you know, slide in on any other player that. 177 00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:15,640 Speaker 1: May slide down. Kyle Hamilton's kind of slipping a little 178 00:08:15,640 --> 00:08:18,240 Speaker 1: bit with some of his workouts. He could be a 179 00:08:18,240 --> 00:08:20,920 Speaker 1: player that slips any one of the wide receivers there. 180 00:08:20,920 --> 00:08:23,480 Speaker 1: With Drake Lender and Garrett Wilson both looking to go 181 00:08:23,560 --> 00:08:25,800 Speaker 1: kind of in that range. But the interesting thing is, 182 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:28,559 Speaker 1: if you look at it, expect a draft position. Canny 183 00:08:28,600 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 1: Pickett is sitting at eleven point seven on grind in 184 00:08:31,600 --> 00:08:34,920 Speaker 1: the MOTTX, So this position, in particular, it seems like 185 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 1: a prime position if a Pittsburgh or one of these 186 00:08:37,840 --> 00:08:40,160 Speaker 1: other teams want to move back up. The other thing 187 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:43,120 Speaker 1: is Washington only has two picks within the top fifty, 188 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:45,559 Speaker 1: So for a team that has the holes that they do, 189 00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:48,200 Speaker 1: I would expect them to be willing to move back, 190 00:08:48,320 --> 00:08:50,319 Speaker 1: especially with some of the needs that they have at 191 00:08:50,400 --> 00:08:53,440 Speaker 1: guard and at wide receiver. Those are two positions within 192 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:55,520 Speaker 1: the first round that have a lot of depth. So 193 00:08:55,600 --> 00:08:57,880 Speaker 1: for a team with as little draft capital as they have, 194 00:08:58,200 --> 00:08:59,920 Speaker 1: I would expect them to be willing to move down 195 00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:02,040 Speaker 1: and acquire some extra draft capital. 196 00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:04,319 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's certainly possible. 197 00:09:04,400 --> 00:09:07,120 Speaker 4: And just looking at the odds at draft kings right now, 198 00:09:07,720 --> 00:09:10,720 Speaker 4: Willis and Pickett are both equal in terms of the odds, 199 00:09:10,760 --> 00:09:13,160 Speaker 4: both twenty five to one, which implies a little under 200 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:16,120 Speaker 4: a four percent chance each of going to the commanders. 201 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:19,400 Speaker 4: You also mentioned Hamilton over eight and a half for 202 00:09:19,480 --> 00:09:23,000 Speaker 4: his position is minus one fifty, so you know it 203 00:09:23,040 --> 00:09:26,160 Speaker 4: is possible that he slips to around that spot where 204 00:09:26,160 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 4: where they're picking as well. But as you mentioned, a 205 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:32,520 Speaker 4: trade down certainly possible. Another team that I think is 206 00:09:32,559 --> 00:09:36,079 Speaker 4: really interesting that could kind of shake up this this draft, 207 00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:38,800 Speaker 4: and in a way they already have to some extent, 208 00:09:38,880 --> 00:09:41,760 Speaker 4: is the New Orleans Saints. You know, they're sitting here 209 00:09:41,800 --> 00:09:46,000 Speaker 4: obviously a bunch of needs at different positions. You know, 210 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:48,160 Speaker 4: they still another team that I think still has more 211 00:09:48,160 --> 00:09:51,040 Speaker 4: of a bridge situation at quarterback. They lost a lot 212 00:09:51,040 --> 00:09:53,800 Speaker 4: of key kind of a week chips because they couldn't 213 00:09:53,840 --> 00:09:57,160 Speaker 4: necessarily pay what do you see the Saints doing here 214 00:09:57,880 --> 00:09:58,400 Speaker 4: early on? 215 00:09:59,360 --> 00:10:01,680 Speaker 1: You know, they just the blockbuster deal that they made 216 00:10:01,960 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 1: the trade with Philadelphia, and you know, we're just talking 217 00:10:05,040 --> 00:10:08,319 Speaker 1: about the final four this weekend. In particular, the Goat 218 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:11,200 Speaker 1: Evan Silva came down in New Orleans and he and 219 00:10:11,240 --> 00:10:15,600 Speaker 1: I both had lunch with Nick Underhill's big Saints beat reporter, 220 00:10:16,040 --> 00:10:18,640 Speaker 1: and he's pretty tuned into the Saints. And two of 221 00:10:18,640 --> 00:10:21,000 Speaker 1: the things that we talked about is, I think, specifically 222 00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:23,400 Speaker 1: with the loss of Tron Armstead and how much they've 223 00:10:23,440 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 1: struggled at wide receiver, I think them making this move 224 00:10:26,960 --> 00:10:30,480 Speaker 1: before the draft shows that they have specific players in mind, 225 00:10:31,200 --> 00:10:33,839 Speaker 1: specifically down here, you know, in New Orleans. 226 00:10:33,679 --> 00:10:37,000 Speaker 3: Radio, and some of the information. 227 00:10:36,600 --> 00:10:38,320 Speaker 1: You get is that they have a list of about 228 00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:40,840 Speaker 1: twenty to twenty two players that they feel that have 229 00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:43,719 Speaker 1: first round grades on two of the players. And when 230 00:10:43,720 --> 00:10:45,679 Speaker 1: we start looking at where they traded up, I think 231 00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:48,760 Speaker 1: they moved up in front of the Chargers specifically. And 232 00:10:48,800 --> 00:10:50,360 Speaker 1: one of the players I think they have in mind 233 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:53,360 Speaker 1: is going to be Pinning the big tackle from Northern Iowa. 234 00:10:53,480 --> 00:10:55,840 Speaker 1: So I think he's definitely going to be on the list. 235 00:10:56,040 --> 00:10:59,040 Speaker 1: And one reason I think so is you start looking 236 00:10:59,080 --> 00:11:02,160 Speaker 1: at the NFC and it's kind of wide open. The 237 00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:05,480 Speaker 1: Saints management thinks that they have a roster that can 238 00:11:05,520 --> 00:11:08,040 Speaker 1: contend in the NFC with so much of the talent 239 00:11:08,120 --> 00:11:10,960 Speaker 1: being there in the AFC. So I think they're looking 240 00:11:11,040 --> 00:11:13,920 Speaker 1: to fill specific holes. Tackle be in one and then 241 00:11:14,000 --> 00:11:16,720 Speaker 1: another wide receiver coming back, you know, with that second 242 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:17,640 Speaker 1: pick in the first round. 243 00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:21,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think the Saints in particular gonna be one 244 00:11:21,200 --> 00:11:23,360 Speaker 4: of those teams when we can start betting on which 245 00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:25,800 Speaker 4: position the team is going to draft, They're going to 246 00:11:25,840 --> 00:11:28,440 Speaker 4: be really interesting. One thing I did notice with the 247 00:11:28,440 --> 00:11:31,160 Speaker 4: Saints too, is you know, just and I think part 248 00:11:31,160 --> 00:11:34,160 Speaker 4: of it is just having those multiple picks in the 249 00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:37,640 Speaker 4: first round at sixteen to nineteen, but they're actually four 250 00:11:37,679 --> 00:11:39,839 Speaker 4: to one to draft pick it and tend to want 251 00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:44,640 Speaker 4: to draft Willis, so you know, going behind Washington yet 252 00:11:45,320 --> 00:11:48,400 Speaker 4: higher odds it seems at this point to draft one 253 00:11:48,400 --> 00:11:50,360 Speaker 4: of those guys and then and then of course, as 254 00:11:50,400 --> 00:11:54,760 Speaker 4: you mentioned, you know, penning of real possibility there could 255 00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:56,400 Speaker 4: be the reason they moved up to sixteen. I know 256 00:11:56,400 --> 00:11:59,320 Speaker 4: a lot of people have olave the wide receiver out 257 00:11:59,360 --> 00:12:01,640 Speaker 4: of Ohio State going to the Saints as well. 258 00:12:01,679 --> 00:12:02,760 Speaker 2: Maybe with that waiter pick. 259 00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:07,960 Speaker 4: All right, let's get into your top five early bets 260 00:12:08,000 --> 00:12:12,520 Speaker 4: for the NFL Draft first round, and we can start 261 00:12:12,840 --> 00:12:20,720 Speaker 4: with Derek Stingley junior, the star defensive back out of LSU. 262 00:12:20,920 --> 00:12:23,120 Speaker 4: What's going on with him because his draft stock has 263 00:12:23,240 --> 00:12:25,480 Speaker 4: kind of been all over this place for the last 264 00:12:25,480 --> 00:12:26,199 Speaker 4: couple of years. 265 00:12:26,200 --> 00:12:29,720 Speaker 3: Really, look, it's been all over the place, and for 266 00:12:29,760 --> 00:12:30,320 Speaker 3: good reason. 267 00:12:30,400 --> 00:12:33,160 Speaker 1: He had the twenty nineteen season where he looked like 268 00:12:33,280 --> 00:12:36,480 Speaker 1: the best defensive back in America as a true freshman. 269 00:12:37,040 --> 00:12:39,280 Speaker 1: LSU has kind of imploded over the last couple of 270 00:12:39,400 --> 00:12:41,400 Speaker 1: years with a lot of the stuff that's. 271 00:12:41,240 --> 00:12:42,960 Speaker 3: Been going down this past season. 272 00:12:43,000 --> 00:12:45,600 Speaker 1: He went out with Liz Frank and look, I don't 273 00:12:45,600 --> 00:12:47,079 Speaker 1: think the injuries as bad as what a lot of 274 00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:50,840 Speaker 1: people make. We don't have access to medicals and things 275 00:12:50,880 --> 00:12:52,800 Speaker 1: like that. But I look at it as a little 276 00:12:52,800 --> 00:12:55,160 Speaker 1: bit more of a business decision, you know, with the 277 00:12:55,240 --> 00:12:57,560 Speaker 1: NFL Draft and kind of how things were going and 278 00:12:57,600 --> 00:13:00,120 Speaker 1: imploding down here at LSU. 279 00:13:00,280 --> 00:13:02,280 Speaker 3: I've been saying for weeks, you could go back and 280 00:13:02,640 --> 00:13:04,000 Speaker 3: kind of check my Twitter. 281 00:13:04,240 --> 00:13:07,040 Speaker 1: I put out a couple of mentions, but look, Stingley 282 00:13:07,160 --> 00:13:10,240 Speaker 1: was always going to test well. So he just had 283 00:13:10,240 --> 00:13:13,160 Speaker 1: his pro day four three seven. When we're talking about 284 00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:16,400 Speaker 1: doing this, the actual number was over and under twelve 285 00:13:16,440 --> 00:13:19,200 Speaker 1: and a half. So since his pro day two days ago, 286 00:13:19,360 --> 00:13:21,600 Speaker 1: that numbers already draft dropped to ten and a half. 287 00:13:22,600 --> 00:13:25,240 Speaker 3: So I think we start. We talked about Washington a 288 00:13:25,280 --> 00:13:25,679 Speaker 3: little bit. 289 00:13:26,240 --> 00:13:29,160 Speaker 1: Washington is in a position where if they don't trade back, 290 00:13:29,520 --> 00:13:31,880 Speaker 1: I think that's a position where they could go ahead 291 00:13:31,920 --> 00:13:34,560 Speaker 1: and take best player available, and that that kind of 292 00:13:34,600 --> 00:13:37,640 Speaker 1: goes over that. But I still like I like Stingley 293 00:13:37,679 --> 00:13:39,560 Speaker 1: a lot. At that under twelve and a half. If 294 00:13:39,559 --> 00:13:41,520 Speaker 1: you're able to get in on that, that ten and 295 00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:43,520 Speaker 1: a half is really going to kind of be pushing it, 296 00:13:43,920 --> 00:13:45,839 Speaker 1: but I still think there's some value there to go 297 00:13:45,880 --> 00:13:47,480 Speaker 1: ahead and make that bet for one of these teams 298 00:13:47,520 --> 00:13:47,960 Speaker 1: to move up. 299 00:13:49,240 --> 00:13:50,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, just looking at his odds. 300 00:13:50,640 --> 00:13:53,800 Speaker 4: You know, you mentioned the number the over unders down 301 00:13:53,840 --> 00:13:56,559 Speaker 4: to ten and a half, and yeah, he's better than 302 00:13:56,679 --> 00:13:58,840 Speaker 4: even money. He's juiced up to be in the top 303 00:13:58,880 --> 00:14:01,520 Speaker 4: ten at minus one, twenty at DraftKings, twenty to one 304 00:14:01,559 --> 00:14:03,520 Speaker 4: to be in the top five. So I think that 305 00:14:03,679 --> 00:14:07,079 Speaker 4: kind of six to ten range is really where we're looking. 306 00:14:07,120 --> 00:14:10,439 Speaker 4: If it's not you know, Washington or eleven or Minnesota 307 00:14:11,080 --> 00:14:16,600 Speaker 4: at twelve. All right, what about Kavon Thibodeau out of Oregon, 308 00:14:17,320 --> 00:14:19,840 Speaker 4: the age player, another guy who's I feel like his 309 00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:21,800 Speaker 4: draft stack every time I look at him, mock, it's 310 00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:23,520 Speaker 4: like it's in a different spot. 311 00:14:24,080 --> 00:14:25,920 Speaker 2: What are we doing here with Thibodeau? 312 00:14:26,920 --> 00:14:29,440 Speaker 1: So, Thibadeau's a guy I think really has a range 313 00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:32,960 Speaker 1: from anywhere from pick two all the way to pick 314 00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:33,600 Speaker 1: eight down. 315 00:14:33,480 --> 00:14:34,120 Speaker 3: There in Atlanta. 316 00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:36,960 Speaker 1: I don't see him falling past pick eight. His expected 317 00:14:37,040 --> 00:14:39,440 Speaker 1: draft position right now sits at about six point three, 318 00:14:39,680 --> 00:14:41,400 Speaker 1: and there's a lot of bets on the board. You know, 319 00:14:41,440 --> 00:14:44,240 Speaker 1: you start going back to last year's college football season, 320 00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:47,240 Speaker 1: and before the season started, Thibadeau was actually projected to 321 00:14:47,240 --> 00:14:50,360 Speaker 1: be the number one overall pick. So I think some 322 00:14:50,400 --> 00:14:52,720 Speaker 1: of the reports getting out there question about how much 323 00:14:52,760 --> 00:14:55,640 Speaker 1: he loves football. There's just a little bit of shenanigans 324 00:14:55,680 --> 00:14:57,560 Speaker 1: going on. At the combine, he said he was going 325 00:14:57,640 --> 00:14:59,240 Speaker 1: to do all the things. I think he just went 326 00:14:59,240 --> 00:15:01,400 Speaker 1: out there and run and im pactice sleets and went home. 327 00:15:01,880 --> 00:15:05,200 Speaker 1: So I've seen him compared to the defensive line version 328 00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:08,320 Speaker 1: of Jujus Schuster. You know, he likes the things that 329 00:15:08,400 --> 00:15:11,080 Speaker 1: come along with football, but don't necessarily love football and 330 00:15:11,120 --> 00:15:13,720 Speaker 1: the work that comes with it. So a lot of 331 00:15:13,760 --> 00:15:16,160 Speaker 1: things like that have been said. That's kind of what's 332 00:15:16,160 --> 00:15:19,200 Speaker 1: got his draft position going all over the place because 333 00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:21,720 Speaker 1: of how much his draft position has been fluctuating. I 334 00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:24,600 Speaker 1: think there's good odds on a couple of different bets. 335 00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:27,520 Speaker 1: I think you've got good adds. It was at plus 336 00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:29,840 Speaker 1: twelve hundred for him to go number two to Detroit. 337 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 1: I put money on that, and it since has gone 338 00:15:32,760 --> 00:15:34,600 Speaker 1: down to plus four hundred to be the number two 339 00:15:34,640 --> 00:15:36,960 Speaker 1: overall pick. But another bet that I actually like, if 340 00:15:36,960 --> 00:15:38,960 Speaker 1: you're going to go ahead and spread some money around, 341 00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:42,440 Speaker 1: right now Cavon Thibodeau over over pick five. 342 00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:42,800 Speaker 3: And a half. 343 00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:46,080 Speaker 1: That's another another bet that's sitting at minus eight point 344 00:15:46,120 --> 00:15:47,920 Speaker 1: eighteen right now that I think you can kind of 345 00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:52,000 Speaker 1: spread out the action and look, these these these numbers 346 00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:55,520 Speaker 1: end up going and changing very fluid, so you. 347 00:15:55,560 --> 00:15:57,600 Speaker 3: Got to kind of pay attention and pop in day 348 00:15:57,640 --> 00:15:58,080 Speaker 3: to day. 349 00:15:58,000 --> 00:15:59,960 Speaker 1: Or on a couple of different sportsbooks and see where 350 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:02,040 Speaker 1: the numbers are at, because they'll move and you can 351 00:16:02,040 --> 00:16:03,440 Speaker 1: get better odds here and there. 352 00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:06,440 Speaker 3: But right now, I like both of those those bets. 353 00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:08,680 Speaker 1: Putting a little bit of money on him to go 354 00:16:08,760 --> 00:16:10,840 Speaker 1: number two, and then put also spreading it out and 355 00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:13,000 Speaker 1: putting a little bit of money with the over five 356 00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:13,800 Speaker 1: and a half as well. 357 00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:17,760 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think so you're essentially, you know, hoping or 358 00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:20,040 Speaker 4: betting on the fact that you know that three to 359 00:16:20,120 --> 00:16:21,600 Speaker 4: five spot is maybe. 360 00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:22,240 Speaker 2: The weast likely. 361 00:16:22,280 --> 00:16:24,200 Speaker 4: I know, the Texans, a lot of people have them 362 00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:27,280 Speaker 4: taken a tackle. I think you're kind of in that vote, 363 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:29,840 Speaker 4: and the Giants the same thing. So it's probably the 364 00:16:29,920 --> 00:16:32,720 Speaker 4: Jets if you're talking about in that three to five spot. 365 00:16:32,840 --> 00:16:34,720 Speaker 4: But I think there's a lot of different ways they 366 00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:40,960 Speaker 4: could go, namely, somebody in the secondary perhaps over Thibodeau. 367 00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:42,080 Speaker 2: So I like that. 368 00:16:42,160 --> 00:16:44,160 Speaker 4: I was just about to say, I mean the odds 369 00:16:44,200 --> 00:16:46,560 Speaker 4: pretty much in terms of them five probability for him 370 00:16:46,560 --> 00:16:50,040 Speaker 4: to go second. They did triple almost overnight, because I 371 00:16:50,080 --> 00:16:52,840 Speaker 4: know when you initially sent sent me these it was 372 00:16:53,120 --> 00:16:55,720 Speaker 4: it was indeed plus four hundred plus twelve hundred, and 373 00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:58,480 Speaker 4: now it's four to one, so you may have moved 374 00:16:58,480 --> 00:17:03,840 Speaker 4: the market there, sir. Let's get into Kenny Pickett, small hands, Kenny, 375 00:17:04,960 --> 00:17:06,600 Speaker 4: you know, what do you think is he going to 376 00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:08,160 Speaker 4: be the first quarterback taking right now? 377 00:17:08,200 --> 00:17:10,240 Speaker 2: He is a slight. 378 00:17:10,040 --> 00:17:15,080 Speaker 4: Underdog plus one forty to Willis, who's round minus one seventy. 379 00:17:16,680 --> 00:17:19,760 Speaker 1: You know, my last mock draft, I put out about 380 00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:22,680 Speaker 1: four mock drafts, and I do basically three before I 381 00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:26,080 Speaker 1: submit my final one that gets graded. And you know, 382 00:17:26,240 --> 00:17:29,439 Speaker 1: within that process, I like to move players around and 383 00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:31,359 Speaker 1: kind of get some feedback because the fans will let 384 00:17:31,359 --> 00:17:33,200 Speaker 1: you know if they don't like to pick, and look, 385 00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:35,520 Speaker 1: a lot of these fans know what their teams want. 386 00:17:35,600 --> 00:17:38,240 Speaker 1: So in my most recent mock draft, I actually projected 387 00:17:38,320 --> 00:17:42,640 Speaker 1: Malik Willis to six to Carolina. I just it's hard 388 00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:44,720 Speaker 1: to look at a front office and think that they're 389 00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:47,000 Speaker 1: going to go in with Sam Darnold and Cam Newton 390 00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:49,720 Speaker 1: that they're going to have to go ahead and add 391 00:17:49,800 --> 00:17:53,120 Speaker 1: some other point point of talent. But I legitimately don't 392 00:17:53,119 --> 00:17:56,760 Speaker 1: think that either of these players are worthy of going 393 00:17:56,840 --> 00:17:59,920 Speaker 1: at that sixth selection. So I think you start looking 394 00:17:59,920 --> 00:18:04,800 Speaker 1: at things, and Kenny Pickett's actually been you know, put 395 00:18:05,160 --> 00:18:07,800 Speaker 1: and connected with with Carolina a little bit more than 396 00:18:07,800 --> 00:18:10,359 Speaker 1: what Malik Willis has. You know, you hear that Malik 397 00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:12,919 Speaker 1: Willis is a little bit of a project. He's got 398 00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:15,240 Speaker 1: the physical tools. You looked at that pro day and 399 00:18:15,320 --> 00:18:18,080 Speaker 1: how he was throwing some of those balls, and I 400 00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 1: just think he might end up dropping a little bit down. 401 00:18:20,600 --> 00:18:23,919 Speaker 1: And I can see Kenny Pickett being the first quarterback. 402 00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:26,639 Speaker 1: So that's actually a bet that I'm going to go 403 00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:28,720 Speaker 1: ahead and spread some money on Kenny Pickett to be 404 00:18:28,760 --> 00:18:31,720 Speaker 1: the first selection. And we talked about that eleven spot. 405 00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:34,359 Speaker 1: If you look at the expected draft position over on 406 00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:37,240 Speaker 1: grind in the box, Kenny Pickett is actually at eleven 407 00:18:37,280 --> 00:18:40,320 Speaker 1: point three and Milik Willis is at eleven point five, 408 00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:42,399 Speaker 1: So it's right there. I think there's good money to 409 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:43,680 Speaker 1: be made there with Kenny Picket. 410 00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:46,600 Speaker 4: Bet. Yeah, and you know, just to kind of add 411 00:18:46,640 --> 00:18:49,800 Speaker 4: on to that, you know, looking at the odds for 412 00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:53,680 Speaker 4: the team the draft picket, Carolina actually leads at plus 413 00:18:53,720 --> 00:18:56,720 Speaker 4: one point fifty, So that would also be good for 414 00:18:56,760 --> 00:18:59,520 Speaker 4: this bet because I mean, can you see a team 415 00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:03,040 Speaker 4: outside Carolina, you know, in that top five I guess 416 00:19:03,359 --> 00:19:07,199 Speaker 4: really going after a quarterback. You know, maybe the Lions 417 00:19:07,200 --> 00:19:09,160 Speaker 4: I guess would be that team, or or the Texans. 418 00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:11,800 Speaker 4: But do you see that really happening in the top five? 419 00:19:12,359 --> 00:19:14,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think when you look at the Lions, they've 420 00:19:14,520 --> 00:19:18,720 Speaker 1: got golf there. And also with the Lions having more AMMO, 421 00:19:19,240 --> 00:19:21,960 Speaker 1: you know, second first round pick, upper pick in the 422 00:19:22,080 --> 00:19:24,440 Speaker 1: in the second round, they have the AMMO to move 423 00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:27,280 Speaker 1: back up. I think that that second pick is going 424 00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:29,239 Speaker 1: to basically be the best player that they have on 425 00:19:29,280 --> 00:19:31,520 Speaker 1: the board. I don't think that's going to be a quarterback. 426 00:19:31,520 --> 00:19:33,520 Speaker 1: I think if they have the option to get a quarterback, 427 00:19:33,560 --> 00:19:35,080 Speaker 1: it's going to be later on in that first round 428 00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:36,480 Speaker 1: or even early in the second round. 429 00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:42,720 Speaker 4: All right, let's move to from quarterback to wide receiver. 430 00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:46,080 Speaker 4: And this is always one of my favorite positions to 431 00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:48,520 Speaker 4: try to break down as somebody who's really into the 432 00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:51,600 Speaker 4: fantasy and the dfesting a lot of these guys are 433 00:19:51,600 --> 00:19:54,439 Speaker 4: big factors right off the gate, and it looks that 434 00:19:54,480 --> 00:19:58,040 Speaker 4: way again at the wide receiver position, I think there's 435 00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:03,440 Speaker 4: kind of a consensus top four maybe, but you actually 436 00:20:03,600 --> 00:20:07,720 Speaker 4: like over five and a half wide receivers, so essentially 437 00:20:07,800 --> 00:20:10,640 Speaker 4: six or more wide receivers to go in round one 438 00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:14,480 Speaker 4: at plus one point twenty. What do you think in 439 00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:17,720 Speaker 4: terms of who those six guys could be. 440 00:20:19,080 --> 00:20:21,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think when you look at it, you know, 441 00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:23,919 Speaker 1: you start with the top two. You've got Garrett Wilson 442 00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:26,800 Speaker 1: and Drake London that are kind of being projected to 443 00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:29,360 Speaker 1: be the top two. I actually think Jamison Williams would 444 00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:31,359 Speaker 1: have been the top wide receiver off the board had 445 00:20:31,400 --> 00:20:34,199 Speaker 1: it not been for injury. But both of those guys 446 00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:36,760 Speaker 1: are have pretty pretty nice bets that are that are 447 00:20:36,760 --> 00:20:39,080 Speaker 1: popping off on some of these to be top ten. 448 00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:42,480 Speaker 1: I actually have Drake London going to the Jets. But 449 00:20:42,520 --> 00:20:44,760 Speaker 1: then I think when you start factoring in the other guys, 450 00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:47,719 Speaker 1: You've got Chris Alave, You've got Traylon Burks, but the 451 00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:49,919 Speaker 1: last two that have been moving up the boards, and 452 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:52,320 Speaker 1: I think it's it's a lot to do with this offseason. 453 00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:55,360 Speaker 1: You start looking at the big contracts that Tyreek Kill 454 00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:59,440 Speaker 1: and Devontae Adams have and you know, paying wide receivers 455 00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:01,879 Speaker 1: that much more, not to say that they don't deserve it, 456 00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:05,160 Speaker 1: especially in today's passing game, the way the offense has developed, 457 00:21:05,320 --> 00:21:06,879 Speaker 1: I think you're going to start to see a trend 458 00:21:06,960 --> 00:21:09,160 Speaker 1: start where you're going to see more and more receivers 459 00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:12,239 Speaker 1: getting drafted in that first round so that teams can 460 00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:14,480 Speaker 1: go ahead and lock them in for four years plus 461 00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:17,320 Speaker 1: that fifty year option and kind of not have to 462 00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:20,240 Speaker 1: pay some of these wide receivers as much money as 463 00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:21,560 Speaker 1: with Devanta Adams. 464 00:21:21,200 --> 00:21:22,360 Speaker 3: And Tyreek Hill are getting paid. 465 00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:24,560 Speaker 1: And look, Terry mclaurin's another one that you're going to 466 00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:27,080 Speaker 1: see coming up, you know, getting a big contract. But 467 00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:31,000 Speaker 1: I think those five guys with Jahan Dotson and Christian 468 00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:34,320 Speaker 1: Watson kind of moving up into that first round, both 469 00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:36,680 Speaker 1: of those guys are teetering right there, you know, in 470 00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:39,439 Speaker 1: that twenty nine to thirty two range right now, and 471 00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:42,520 Speaker 1: I expect the draft positions so because of those guys 472 00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:44,919 Speaker 1: moving up and just the landscape of the NFL at 473 00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:47,360 Speaker 1: the wide receiver position, I like it to be over 474 00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:47,919 Speaker 1: that number. 475 00:21:49,200 --> 00:21:51,920 Speaker 4: And another guy, just real quick, you kind of mentioned 476 00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:53,440 Speaker 4: more and more, and I thought you might have been 477 00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:55,480 Speaker 4: it might have been a play on words for sky Moore. 478 00:21:55,520 --> 00:21:57,520 Speaker 2: He's another guy i've seen moving up. Do you like 479 00:21:57,600 --> 00:21:58,080 Speaker 2: kim at Or? 480 00:21:58,280 --> 00:21:59,840 Speaker 4: I noticed you kind of named a bunch of other 481 00:21:59,840 --> 00:22:03,720 Speaker 4: guys over him. Some people have him as that sixth receiver. 482 00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:05,480 Speaker 4: Any thoughts on him out of Western Michigan. 483 00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:08,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, as far as as far as my preference, I 484 00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:10,399 Speaker 1: do like sky Moore and I like him better and 485 00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:15,520 Speaker 1: Watson and Jahan Doatson. Look Watson. Watson in particularly killed 486 00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:17,560 Speaker 1: it at the combine. He's a bigger guy. You know, 487 00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:20,560 Speaker 1: he tested out with the highest relative athletic score of 488 00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:23,880 Speaker 1: anybody since Calvin Johnson. So so I think you get 489 00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:26,760 Speaker 1: some of those those those scouts and those decision makers 490 00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:29,200 Speaker 1: that fall in love specifically would speed. But if we're 491 00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:32,320 Speaker 1: talking from a fantasy football standpoint or dynasty standpoint, I 492 00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:35,520 Speaker 1: like sky Moore more than those two guys. Unfortunately, right now, 493 00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:38,679 Speaker 1: sky Moore's kind of set around thirty nine in that 494 00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:41,639 Speaker 1: second round as far as his expected draft position, and 495 00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:43,879 Speaker 1: that's actually still behind George Pickens. 496 00:22:44,040 --> 00:22:46,320 Speaker 3: So you could see a team. 497 00:22:46,080 --> 00:22:48,360 Speaker 1: That might bump him up, but as of right now, 498 00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:50,520 Speaker 1: I don't see him sneaking into the first round. 499 00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:54,359 Speaker 4: And real quick on you know, Wilson versus one that 500 00:22:54,520 --> 00:22:56,680 Speaker 4: I think that is kind of a big debate here. 501 00:22:58,280 --> 00:22:59,640 Speaker 2: What do you what are your thoughts here? 502 00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:02,520 Speaker 4: I know in your mock you do have your latest ma, 503 00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:06,080 Speaker 4: you do have both of them going inside the top ten. 504 00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:11,600 Speaker 4: You have Wilson going first to the falcons and across sportsbooks. 505 00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:14,280 Speaker 4: You know, those guys are pretty much neck and neck 506 00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:16,280 Speaker 4: in all of their odds in terms of going top ten, 507 00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:19,280 Speaker 4: going top five, there's six to one, you know, going 508 00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:21,920 Speaker 4: you know, in the top ten or going ahead of 509 00:23:21,960 --> 00:23:25,280 Speaker 4: each other, they're pretty much equal. Is that your Is 510 00:23:25,320 --> 00:23:27,840 Speaker 4: that your sense that Wilson may have the slight edge 511 00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:29,960 Speaker 4: here on Drake London out of USC. 512 00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:34,800 Speaker 1: Look, I think right now they're both like neck and neck, 513 00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:38,639 Speaker 1: and they could they could flip flop. It's really going 514 00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:41,520 Speaker 1: to go up to independent upon a team fit and 515 00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:44,199 Speaker 1: what a team wants. I actually think I think Wilson 516 00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:46,600 Speaker 1: fits a little bit better with the Jets. I like 517 00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:49,000 Speaker 1: Drake London a little bit better as a prospect because 518 00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:50,600 Speaker 1: of how young he is and how big he is. 519 00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:54,560 Speaker 1: I think he offers that physical ability on the outside, 520 00:23:54,560 --> 00:23:57,400 Speaker 1: but as far as both of them, I think there's 521 00:23:57,480 --> 00:23:59,720 Speaker 1: good money at plus one twenty five for both of 522 00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:02,040 Speaker 1: them to a top ten pick. And I think it's 523 00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:05,080 Speaker 1: also the same number at plus twenty five for as 524 00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:06,960 Speaker 1: to who's going to be drafted first. 525 00:24:07,280 --> 00:24:10,439 Speaker 3: So that's another situation where you're gonna have to. 526 00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:12,720 Speaker 1: Keep you here to you know, to the news that's 527 00:24:12,760 --> 00:24:15,560 Speaker 1: coming out and kind of follow some of these beat reporters. 528 00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:18,800 Speaker 1: But I think specifically at Atlanta, look, they've got nothing 529 00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:21,080 Speaker 1: at wide receiver that you can go ahead and feel 530 00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:23,960 Speaker 1: comfortable about putting on the field. So I think it 531 00:24:23,960 --> 00:24:26,040 Speaker 1: would it would they would benefit well. And I think 532 00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:29,400 Speaker 1: the two positions they're looking at receiver and possibly US 533 00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:32,800 Speaker 1: and edge rusher. But I think you look at specifically 534 00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:35,600 Speaker 1: Atlanta and then Jets as two teams that will be 535 00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:40,320 Speaker 1: basically looking at those wide receivers, and I think that's 536 00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:42,640 Speaker 1: what makes me comfortable looking at either one of those 537 00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:45,400 Speaker 1: two guys in the top ten. But like I said, look, 538 00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:47,600 Speaker 1: these these numbers are going to kind of start to 539 00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:49,959 Speaker 1: fine tune and you might see one jump up. Just 540 00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:52,679 Speaker 1: you know, just keep your eyes and ears peeled to 541 00:24:52,760 --> 00:24:55,320 Speaker 1: some of these beat reporters, specifically for those two teams 542 00:24:55,320 --> 00:24:57,200 Speaker 1: to kind of get a feel for as we get 543 00:24:57,200 --> 00:24:59,480 Speaker 1: closer to draft, to to who may be the first 544 00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:00,600 Speaker 1: one selected. 545 00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:04,359 Speaker 4: All right, so for your fifth best bet, we're going 546 00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:08,600 Speaker 4: to jump from the receivers to the guys tasked. 547 00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:09,879 Speaker 2: With covering them. 548 00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:13,359 Speaker 4: You like over four and a half defensive backs in 549 00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:17,119 Speaker 4: round one at plus one point twenty, and I couldn't 550 00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:20,159 Speaker 4: help but notice that in your latest mock you actually 551 00:25:20,160 --> 00:25:24,080 Speaker 4: have six defensive backs going in the first round. So 552 00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:26,679 Speaker 4: talk about why you like this bet. 553 00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:28,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think I think one of the. 554 00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:30,200 Speaker 1: Things you look at, and we just talked about, you 555 00:25:30,280 --> 00:25:32,760 Speaker 1: know how the landscape is kind of changing that you know, look, 556 00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:36,000 Speaker 1: quarterbacks and receivers are really what makes this NFL, and 557 00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:38,080 Speaker 1: you know the conflict that you're going to have to 558 00:25:38,119 --> 00:25:40,159 Speaker 1: go ahead and get some pressure on the quarterback and 559 00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:42,320 Speaker 1: actually get guys that can go ahead and cover. We 560 00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:45,440 Speaker 1: already talked about Gardner and Stingley. I think they're sure 561 00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:48,800 Speaker 1: fire look right there in that top ten eleven. But 562 00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:51,520 Speaker 1: the other guys that you're looking at, really what the 563 00:25:51,560 --> 00:25:54,480 Speaker 1: odds are kind of taken into account is going to 564 00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:58,760 Speaker 1: be McDuffie from Washington and Booth from Clinston. But when 565 00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:01,720 Speaker 1: we start looking to expected that position. You have kyer 566 00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:04,919 Speaker 1: Elam and then this is where it kind of gets tricky. 567 00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:08,719 Speaker 1: You have a whole host of other like defensive backs. 568 00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:11,840 Speaker 1: Dackson Hill can play safety, you can play corner. How 569 00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:15,159 Speaker 1: are they going to kind of decide what position he 570 00:26:15,280 --> 00:26:19,040 Speaker 1: really is? So that's that's another interesting But even the 571 00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:21,880 Speaker 1: other guys, you've got Gordon and McCreary that are right 572 00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:24,760 Speaker 1: there within that top forty selection, you know that that 573 00:26:24,800 --> 00:26:26,760 Speaker 1: can go ahead and move in. I think you look 574 00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:29,240 Speaker 1: at two teams at the back end of that, actually 575 00:26:29,280 --> 00:26:31,680 Speaker 1: all three teams on the back end, the Chiefs, the Bengals, 576 00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:34,920 Speaker 1: and Detroit could all afford, you know, some extra cornerback help. 577 00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:37,399 Speaker 1: And especially you look at the Bengals, who you know, 578 00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:40,280 Speaker 1: with Eli Apple struggled in Super Bowl, specifically with some 579 00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:42,280 Speaker 1: of his play down in the playoffs, and with the 580 00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:45,280 Speaker 1: way they've gone ahead and addressed the offensive line. They're 581 00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:47,639 Speaker 1: also a team I could definitely see it maybe sliding 582 00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:49,960 Speaker 1: in one of these cornerbacks into the back end of 583 00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:51,120 Speaker 1: that first first round. 584 00:26:52,600 --> 00:26:55,359 Speaker 2: I like, get all right, So that is that is 585 00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:56,159 Speaker 2: going to do it for us. 586 00:26:56,200 --> 00:27:01,359 Speaker 4: Let me just recap the best bet of draft expert 587 00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:05,200 Speaker 4: Scott Smith here likes Derek Stingley under pick ten and 588 00:27:05,240 --> 00:27:09,920 Speaker 4: a half, Kevon Thibodeau from Oregon over five and a 589 00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:12,160 Speaker 4: half in terms of the draft position, and he thinks 590 00:27:12,160 --> 00:27:14,920 Speaker 4: you can hedge with some second. 591 00:27:14,600 --> 00:27:15,880 Speaker 2: Overall at four to one. 592 00:27:16,320 --> 00:27:20,200 Speaker 4: Kenny Pickett first quarterback selected plus one forty over five 593 00:27:20,240 --> 00:27:22,679 Speaker 4: and a half wide receivers drafted in round one at 594 00:27:22,680 --> 00:27:26,520 Speaker 4: plus one twenty and then over four and a half 595 00:27:26,720 --> 00:27:31,640 Speaker 4: defensive backs taken in round one, also at plus one twenty. 596 00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:35,320 Speaker 2: Scott. They can find you on Twitter at Scott smith FF. 597 00:27:36,000 --> 00:27:38,320 Speaker 4: Your latest mock mock Draft two point zero is up 598 00:27:38,640 --> 00:27:41,960 Speaker 4: at actionnetwork dot com. First of all, thank you so 599 00:27:42,040 --> 00:27:45,480 Speaker 4: much for joining me and giving us all this knowledge. 600 00:27:45,800 --> 00:27:48,640 Speaker 4: And second, tell everybody what else you got coming up 601 00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:50,439 Speaker 4: and where they can find you kind of leading up 602 00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:51,000 Speaker 4: to the draft. 603 00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:54,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, man, look out for everything on Twitter. I do 604 00:27:54,280 --> 00:27:57,080 Speaker 1: some radio spots and some other podcasts here and there. 605 00:27:57,440 --> 00:27:59,920 Speaker 1: Usually every year, Look, we put it. We put out 606 00:27:59,920 --> 00:28:03,160 Speaker 1: a YouTube live video with the Goat up and Silva 607 00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:04,960 Speaker 1: and Joey Kinnis where we kind of hit on some 608 00:28:05,040 --> 00:28:07,320 Speaker 1: draft props and some of those other things leading up 609 00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:10,040 Speaker 1: to the draft. And look that final mock Draft's going 610 00:28:10,080 --> 00:28:12,879 Speaker 1: to be out the Wednesday before the draft hits, So 611 00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:15,119 Speaker 1: that's going to be the one that I'm placing my 612 00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:17,560 Speaker 1: money on, and you'll really see where my money's at 613 00:28:17,600 --> 00:28:19,120 Speaker 1: as far as like my bets and where I think 614 00:28:19,119 --> 00:28:20,080 Speaker 1: player's going to end up. 615 00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:23,480 Speaker 4: Love it, and guys, be sure to check out the 616 00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:26,840 Speaker 4: Action Network podcast for all the draft content you need 617 00:28:27,080 --> 00:28:29,800 Speaker 4: the week of the draft April twenty fifth, in particular, 618 00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:32,879 Speaker 4: and be sure to check out the Favorites podcast with 619 00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:36,760 Speaker 4: Chad Milman and Simon Hunter talking the NFL Draft all month, 620 00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:40,520 Speaker 4: including an episode with Scott Smith. 621 00:28:40,720 --> 00:28:42,480 Speaker 2: Thanks so much, Scott. Be sure to. 622 00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:45,800 Speaker 4: Download the award winning Action Network app. Of course, checkout 623 00:28:45,800 --> 00:28:49,280 Speaker 4: actionnetwork dot com for all of our fantasy and vetting content, 624 00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:54,320 Speaker 4: including Scott Smith's latest mock draft, and be sure to 625 00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:57,160 Speaker 4: leave us a five star review on. 626 00:28:57,120 --> 00:28:58,560 Speaker 2: Apple or Spotify. 627 00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:05,320 Speaker 4: Until next time, get this money.