WEBVTT - Improvements in COVID-19 Testing

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly. We're right here every day bringing you the

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<v Speaker 1>Eastern on Bloomberg Radio every weekday, or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube by searching Bloomberg Global News. A lot of folks,

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<v Speaker 1>us included, are thinking about what it's going to take

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<v Speaker 1>to get back to the office. We're hearing that a

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<v Speaker 1>lot here in the Tri state area. I mentioned a

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<v Speaker 1>few minutes ago that New York City is starting to

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<v Speaker 1>reopen as of next Monday. Neighboring Connecticut is also thinking

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<v Speaker 1>about this a lot. Let's get into that with Dr

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<v Speaker 1>Eric Shott. He is the founder and CEO of Semaphore.

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<v Speaker 1>He joins us on the phone from Connecticut and Dr shot.

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<v Speaker 1>It's really nice to to talk to you. I'm fascinated

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<v Speaker 1>by your background and your experience in both the clinical

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<v Speaker 1>and researches also and also the commercial help us understand

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<v Speaker 1>what back to work testing looks like, especially when you're

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<v Speaker 1>looking at Connecticut. Yeah, well great, too great to be on.

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<v Speaker 1>So what it looks like is we need a more

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<v Speaker 1>holistic solution, not just focused on testing, but really seeking

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<v Speaker 1>to understand the context in which each employee is existing,

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<v Speaker 1>like whether they have symptoms or not, who they're being

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<v Speaker 1>exposed to, and so on, in addition to the testing,

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<v Speaker 1>and we kind of wrap that altogether to provide guidance

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<v Speaker 1>to employers on whether a given employee is uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>low enough risk and not testing as positive and should

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<v Speaker 1>be allowed no problem back into work, versus somebody at

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<v Speaker 1>high risk UH and maybe should not be coming in,

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<v Speaker 1>should stay remote. So this is what you guys are doing,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm reading something from the Stanford Advocate. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>you guys are increasing the capacity for your new coronavirus

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<v Speaker 1>testing program to at least ten thousand tests daily up

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<v Speaker 1>to twenty and we're talking about the test of whether

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<v Speaker 1>or not you've got the virus. But also antibody testing. Correct. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that's correct. And a lot of that volume driven by

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<v Speaker 1>you know, uh, you know, working with the State of

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<v Speaker 1>Connecticut Governor Lamont and the progressive strategy they have to

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<v Speaker 1>really uh, you know, get people back to work. So

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<v Speaker 1>proud to be helping those guys along. And so, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>I guess and I love the fact that you're looking

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<v Speaker 1>at it very holistically, uh, Eric, I mean, just as

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<v Speaker 1>a sort of rank and follow employees and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>folks who are commuting and things like that, as as

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<v Speaker 1>human beings, and obviously folks who have pre existing conditions

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<v Speaker 1>and are more at risk. I think there's a different,

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<v Speaker 1>different set of circumstances. But what should the everyday person

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<v Speaker 1>who's thinking about their office be Is there sort of

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<v Speaker 1>a checklist that we should be thinking about in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of our own uh thresholds, in our own sense of safety. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>In fact, it's interesting and the dozens of employers we've

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<v Speaker 1>talked to about these go back to work strategies and

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<v Speaker 1>use of testing, A lot of this is employee driven,

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<v Speaker 1>like the employee wanting to understand how safe are they

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<v Speaker 1>going to be at the workplace? Are they going to

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<v Speaker 1>be exposed? Are they going to carry something back to

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<v Speaker 1>the households which may have vulnerable others. So we're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of this driven by the employees. Some of

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<v Speaker 1>the employers like they need individuals back to be productive,

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<v Speaker 1>they want come back in the workplace. And so what

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<v Speaker 1>we're seeing is the employees really saying, well, we'll make

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<v Speaker 1>us safe if we do that. So there are a

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<v Speaker 1>bunch of guidelines to the employers about how to you know,

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<v Speaker 1>maintain social distancing within the workplace and so on. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>there's the kind of symptom tracking that you want individual

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<v Speaker 1>rules coming into to be taking. So increase awareness in

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<v Speaker 1>the employee on whether they're you know, they're not feeling

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<v Speaker 1>well or they've been exposed outside of the work environment.

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<v Speaker 1>All of that, through the kind of digital engagement we have,

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<v Speaker 1>can be reported and cataloged and used to assess risk

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<v Speaker 1>in addition to the testing. So again it's it's trying

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<v Speaker 1>to cover as many variables as possible. Well, once you're

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<v Speaker 1>in the work environment again, you know, just smart maintaining

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<v Speaker 1>social distancing, wearing a mask if you're in public areas,

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<v Speaker 1>are exposed to other individuals and so on. And I

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<v Speaker 1>want to press you on one point because you brought

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<v Speaker 1>up and I think it's so important, which is this

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<v Speaker 1>idea that if someone and I certainly trust my employer.

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<v Speaker 1>I've worked for a great company and I'm not just

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<v Speaker 1>saying that because I'm on its air. But you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the thing that I think many people worry about is

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<v Speaker 1>exactly what you said, the sort of inadvertently bringing bringing

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<v Speaker 1>something home and is that just something? Is that a

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<v Speaker 1>risk we're just going to have to to live with

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<v Speaker 1>And how much of this goes down to kind of

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<v Speaker 1>that individual responsibility and maybe the in between things that

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<v Speaker 1>are happening between work and and the workplace and vice versa. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's a bit complicated because it has to take

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<v Speaker 1>into account, you know, to to what extent does an

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<v Speaker 1>employer actually need you working in the office. So one

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<v Speaker 1>of the things we do with the employer groups is

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<v Speaker 1>assessing helping them assess is an employee really needed to

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<v Speaker 1>come back in or can they be remote? And if

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<v Speaker 1>they fall into higher risk categories, i e. They have

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<v Speaker 1>individuals at home who are more vulnerable, elderly elderly parents

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<v Speaker 1>living with them, immune compromise individuals, and so on. So

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<v Speaker 1>that's number one. Number two is age, age plays a

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<v Speaker 1>significant role in in the severity of response you may

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<v Speaker 1>undergo if you get infected, so all of those parameters

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<v Speaker 1>are taken into account. Education is a key part of this,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's helping everybody understand the risk to what is

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<v Speaker 1>center they needed in the office, to what extent can

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<v Speaker 1>they remain remote? And based on those, various thresholds are

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<v Speaker 1>set for the different risk groups. Our guest at this

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<v Speaker 1>hour Dr Eric Shot, founder and CE at Semaphore, a

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<v Speaker 1>patient centric predictive health companies, also Dean for Precision Medicine

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<v Speaker 1>and amount Sinai Professor and Predictive Health and Computation Biology

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<v Speaker 1>at the Icon School of Medicine at Mount sina As

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<v Speaker 1>we said, he's had lots of education and lots of schooling. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>doctor Shot, it is nice to have you here with us,

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<v Speaker 1>and you're talking about, you know, the work that you

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<v Speaker 1>guys are doing at Semaphore with the State of Connecticut

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of providing more access and more testing. Given

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<v Speaker 1>your druthers, would you, as a member of the medical community,

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<v Speaker 1>pervert that people ultimately just stay home a little longer. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think we're seeing, uh are already seeing that some

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<v Speaker 1>of the timelines on when when governments wanted to see

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<v Speaker 1>people back to work and people wanting to be back

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<v Speaker 1>to work, that kind of getting delayed. Let things right

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<v Speaker 1>out a little longer. The you know, the number are

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<v Speaker 1>definitely going down. But I do ultimately think that testing

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<v Speaker 1>is sort of a core part of a key part

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<v Speaker 1>of evidence, along with other parameters that sort of assess

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<v Speaker 1>whether somebody does have active infection or whether they've been

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<v Speaker 1>infected and may be immune and dr shot. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>I know that this is top of mind for you

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<v Speaker 1>because you have been involved in the collection of a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of very sensitive data. How do we protect privacy

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<v Speaker 1>amid all of this, Yeah, that's a great question. You know.

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<v Speaker 1>The digital solution we sort of provide to an employer

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<v Speaker 1>that includes both an employer portal where they can upload

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<v Speaker 1>who what employees do they want to have back in

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<v Speaker 1>the workplace, so who's eligible, and then for the employee

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<v Speaker 1>employee portals that we engage in clinical testing all the time.

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<v Speaker 1>So this technology that keeps you know, we're dealing with HIPPA, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>personal personally identifiable health information like all of that, we

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<v Speaker 1>stay of the art um you know, encryption techn oologies

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<v Speaker 1>and so on, and many of the employers, like once

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<v Speaker 1>these tests are run unemployees, whether they're positive or negative, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the employers often don't want to see that information.

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<v Speaker 1>They don't want to take in, um, you know, what's

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<v Speaker 1>medically happening to the individuals. So we have the ability

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<v Speaker 1>to shield that information to guide UH employees who test

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<v Speaker 1>is positive into the right channels of care. So it's

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<v Speaker 1>employing the same kinds of techniques and technologies that we

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<v Speaker 1>imply in clinical medicine to to to perform this kind

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<v Speaker 1>of testing. I do feel like, you know, doctor Shot,

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<v Speaker 1>that we have been talking about disrupting the medical community

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<v Speaker 1>for a long time, and I feel like it's been

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<v Speaker 1>resistant for many different reasons. But I do feel like

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<v Speaker 1>what's happened with COVID nineteen is is revealing that we

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<v Speaker 1>really need to change how we do things. And unfortunately,

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<v Speaker 1>as a result of that, we are going to be

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<v Speaker 1>giving up more data, and there's going to be more

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<v Speaker 1>sharing of data, and there's going to have to be

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<v Speaker 1>data pools. Is that just kind of our new reality? Yeah, Carol,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think you've hit it exactly on the head.

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<v Speaker 1>This is going to be a transformational event that way,

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<v Speaker 1>like there's going to be much more remote monitoring of

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<v Speaker 1>patients and engagements remotely, a lot more information being transmitted

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<v Speaker 1>digitally that way. I think increasingly patients and consumers more

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<v Speaker 1>generally becoming more comfortable that UM sharing that kind of information,

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<v Speaker 1>having more information collected on them will have lots of benefits.

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<v Speaker 1>So there's kind of that risk benefit ratio that employees,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, employees consumers always have in mind, and so

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<v Speaker 1>I think, yeah, we'll gravitate towards a new equilibrium that

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<v Speaker 1>I think will have us UM you know, tolerating higher

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<v Speaker 1>risk and maybe greater privacy risk violations in trade for

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<v Speaker 1>ensuring we stay healthier and don't bring bad stuff into

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<v Speaker 1>the home. Last question for you before you let you go,

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<v Speaker 1>what do you worry about the most interns of back

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<v Speaker 1>to work? Yeah, I think it's having a holistic enough

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<v Speaker 1>solution that well enough characterizes what's happening in an individual

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<v Speaker 1>and what is their risk profile. Really, as we start

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<v Speaker 1>getting into different types of sample collection and make it

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<v Speaker 1>more convenient, whether it's saliva and at home collections, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>are those sensitivity and bessicity of the tests? Are they

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<v Speaker 1>going to be as accurate? So we're like a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of energy being spent both with the state of Connecticut

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<v Speaker 1>and all the testing we're doing to assess all of

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<v Speaker 1>those different parameters to you know, we're all learning together.

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<v Speaker 1>We have to adapt and as we learn, and and uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, but yeah, it's that we'd be accurate enough,

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<v Speaker 1>I guests would be mine. Now. I think that's I

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<v Speaker 1>think that's exactly right. I mean, we had a great

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<v Speaker 1>story a few weeks ago colleague of ours in London

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<v Speaker 1>did about getting four tests and essentially two of them

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<v Speaker 1>are negative, to them were positive, and so you do

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<v Speaker 1>wonder about the accuracy and that ultimately will make a

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<v Speaker 1>huge difference our Thanks to Dr Eric Shott, founder CEO

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<v Speaker 1>of Semaphore Jinus on the phone from Stanford, Connecticut. They

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<v Speaker 1>are working with the state Carol to get that state

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<v Speaker 1>back to work. And I take his point at the

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<v Speaker 1>end there. It's a really important one because that the

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<v Speaker 1>data are only good if they're real and true, right correct,

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<v Speaker 1>and it needs to be consistent. We've talked about this

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<v Speaker 1>that if everybody is doing kind of their own thing

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<v Speaker 1>and there's no consistency in terms of collection, and then

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<v Speaker 1>you know how you look at it, it's not going

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<v Speaker 1>to be ultimately useful in the end, so really really important.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Jason

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<v Speaker 1>Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. Well. Among our most read stories

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<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg today is one in the magazine this week.

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<v Speaker 1>It's about how a decade of progress for women has

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<v Speaker 1>evaporated overnight because of the pandemic. It was one of

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<v Speaker 1>those stories we were talking about on our planning call

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<v Speaker 1>this morning. The story by Shelley Banjo Bloomberg News is

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<v Speaker 1>uh technology reporters. She joins us in a second lost

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<v Speaker 1>nice place. She is our senior writer. Forgive me Shelley.

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<v Speaker 1>Shelley Banjo is our senior writer at Bloomberg News. Wanted

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<v Speaker 1>to get her title correctly. On the phone from Dallas, Texas,

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<v Speaker 1>she joins us along with Bloomber Business Week editor Joe

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<v Speaker 1>Weber on the phone in Brooklyn and Joel, I mean

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<v Speaker 1>it's a special magazine this week in terms of what

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<v Speaker 1>you guys are doing. What I love about this story

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<v Speaker 1>is that you really dig into what's going on telling

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<v Speaker 1>the story, uh, the numbers, the stories that really give

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<v Speaker 1>us an idea of how the pandemic specifically is impacting women. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean every issue is special, Carol. You know, this

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<v Speaker 1>is one of those stories that the momentum we started

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<v Speaker 1>talking about it. I just said, this is supremely important,

0:12:32.320 --> 0:12:35.160
<v Speaker 1>and you know, it's been sort of bubbling for a second,

0:12:35.200 --> 0:12:37.120
<v Speaker 1>like we've seen some of these numbers come out, but

0:12:37.160 --> 0:12:40.080
<v Speaker 1>this was the first time that we actually really managed

0:12:40.120 --> 0:12:42.440
<v Speaker 1>to put them all in one place to get a

0:12:42.520 --> 0:12:47.040
<v Speaker 1>sense of just how dramatic this moment is for women

0:12:47.120 --> 0:12:51.000
<v Speaker 1>specifically who have basically shouldered the burden of the pandemic

0:12:51.040 --> 0:12:54.160
<v Speaker 1>in a way that um that men haven't. Um, Shelley,

0:12:54.200 --> 0:12:55.719
<v Speaker 1>as you did. You're reporting. What were the numbers that

0:12:55.760 --> 0:13:00.880
<v Speaker 1>really jumped out to you? Oh, good question. I mean

0:13:00.920 --> 0:13:04.000
<v Speaker 1>the first thing is definitely the job losses. Uh. You know,

0:13:04.280 --> 0:13:06.480
<v Speaker 1>a lot of terms. We compared this to what happened

0:13:06.480 --> 0:13:08.440
<v Speaker 1>in two thousand and eight, and a lot of those

0:13:08.480 --> 0:13:11.600
<v Speaker 1>sectors that were most hard hit were things like housing,

0:13:12.080 --> 0:13:14.480
<v Speaker 1>UM construction areas where a lot of men were and

0:13:14.520 --> 0:13:17.559
<v Speaker 1>this time around it's a complete flip, but it's um

0:13:17.760 --> 0:13:22.000
<v Speaker 1>areas where where women are. For that of the job losses, UM,

0:13:22.320 --> 0:13:24.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, was a big one for me. And the

0:13:24.280 --> 0:13:26.880
<v Speaker 1>other number that really shoot out to me was just

0:13:27.040 --> 0:13:31.040
<v Speaker 1>the sheer number of women that are breadwinners in their family.

0:13:31.200 --> 0:13:34.720
<v Speaker 1>I guess I just didn't really quite realize, um, you know,

0:13:34.800 --> 0:13:41.120
<v Speaker 1>how much how much that was, and how much of this, Shelley.

0:13:41.200 --> 0:13:44.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean, this was a stunning story in many ways,

0:13:44.760 --> 0:13:47.520
<v Speaker 1>although as both Carol and Joelhood said, it was one

0:13:47.520 --> 0:13:50.079
<v Speaker 1>of these things that probably if you think about it,

0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:53.320
<v Speaker 1>was was hiding in plain sight. I mean, to me,

0:13:53.400 --> 0:13:55.840
<v Speaker 1>one of the most troubling aspects of it is that

0:13:56.200 --> 0:13:58.680
<v Speaker 1>it's going to be really it's gonna be a slow

0:13:59.240 --> 0:14:05.160
<v Speaker 1>slog back to even where we were much less real progress.

0:14:05.280 --> 0:14:08.440
<v Speaker 1>Talked to talk to us about that and and sort

0:14:08.440 --> 0:14:10.960
<v Speaker 1>of how this may how hard it may be to

0:14:10.960 --> 0:14:14.200
<v Speaker 1>to really reverse this, and and Jason, one thing to

0:14:14.240 --> 0:14:16.839
<v Speaker 1>add just there is that last year or women made

0:14:16.920 --> 0:14:20.080
<v Speaker 1>up the majority of the US workforce for almost the

0:14:20.120 --> 0:14:23.160
<v Speaker 1>first time in a decade, right, sull you like, just

0:14:23.480 --> 0:14:25.480
<v Speaker 1>think about that in context as you as you sort

0:14:25.480 --> 0:14:28.680
<v Speaker 1>of respond to that. That's exactly right. I mean, I

0:14:28.720 --> 0:14:30.800
<v Speaker 1>think your point on hiding in a plane site is

0:14:30.840 --> 0:14:32.800
<v Speaker 1>a good one because a lot of these things you

0:14:32.840 --> 0:14:35.920
<v Speaker 1>don't see, I mean, you don't see the hours, um

0:14:35.960 --> 0:14:39.320
<v Speaker 1>that women are necessarily staying up later at night to

0:14:39.760 --> 0:14:43.200
<v Speaker 1>finish and this kind of burnout potential of you know,

0:14:43.320 --> 0:14:45.760
<v Speaker 1>I finish my work for the day, and then I'm

0:14:45.760 --> 0:14:47.600
<v Speaker 1>with my kids, and then I'm planning on and again

0:14:47.680 --> 0:14:50.200
<v Speaker 1>to work until two o'clock in the morning. And those

0:14:50.240 --> 0:14:52.280
<v Speaker 1>are the type of kind of burnout that that starts

0:14:52.280 --> 0:14:55.760
<v Speaker 1>to um, that starts to really weigh on people. UM.

0:14:56.560 --> 0:14:59.240
<v Speaker 1>And I think that could you know, have some bigger,

0:14:59.720 --> 0:15:02.720
<v Speaker 1>long good term implications. UM. You look at all the

0:15:02.760 --> 0:15:05.200
<v Speaker 1>women that are just kind of bowing out of the workforce,

0:15:05.240 --> 0:15:09.040
<v Speaker 1>taking leave, taking parental leave. Now, UM, that's going to

0:15:09.120 --> 0:15:13.840
<v Speaker 1>impact longer term, longer term earnings and income for women. UM.

0:15:14.040 --> 0:15:15.920
<v Speaker 1>And then you look at a lot of women that

0:15:15.960 --> 0:15:19.880
<v Speaker 1>have no choice like that. They they're single women who um,

0:15:19.920 --> 0:15:22.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, provide everything for their family and so they

0:15:22.960 --> 0:15:25.120
<v Speaker 1>have no choice but to work. And so for them

0:15:25.160 --> 0:15:28.400
<v Speaker 1>that means putting their kids in a lot of precarious

0:15:28.400 --> 0:15:31.480
<v Speaker 1>and unsafe situations. You know what's interesting, Shelley and I

0:15:31.560 --> 0:15:33.840
<v Speaker 1>think Jason, back to some of the early conversations we

0:15:33.920 --> 0:15:36.200
<v Speaker 1>had once we went into you know, working from home,

0:15:36.280 --> 0:15:39.360
<v Speaker 1>is that folks thought, you know, this might be helpful

0:15:39.400 --> 0:15:41.960
<v Speaker 1>to women and giving them more flexibility in terms of

0:15:42.000 --> 0:15:45.280
<v Speaker 1>working operations because everybody was at home. We were realizing

0:15:45.320 --> 0:15:48.840
<v Speaker 1>it was working more effectively than I think anybody imagined

0:15:49.240 --> 0:15:51.680
<v Speaker 1>and thought that this might be a boon for women,

0:15:52.040 --> 0:15:56.680
<v Speaker 1>and it's interesting to see how it's playing out ultimately. Yeah,

0:15:56.720 --> 0:15:58.480
<v Speaker 1>I think that's right. I mean, working from home does

0:15:58.520 --> 0:16:02.480
<v Speaker 1>save you sometime in terms of commute and things like that. Um,

0:16:02.520 --> 0:16:04.920
<v Speaker 1>but you can't do two things that wants. You can't

0:16:05.000 --> 0:16:08.400
<v Speaker 1>both you know, breastfeed the child and uh, I'll lead

0:16:08.400 --> 0:16:12.000
<v Speaker 1>a conference call, which so I have seen that before. Um,

0:16:12.040 --> 0:16:14.720
<v Speaker 1>but you know, it's it's you can't do two things

0:16:14.720 --> 0:16:16.920
<v Speaker 1>at the same time. You can't be two places at once,

0:16:17.040 --> 0:16:20.480
<v Speaker 1>and so kids some um, you know, I think it

0:16:20.560 --> 0:16:22.560
<v Speaker 1>sums up in my fur in the very first line

0:16:22.560 --> 0:16:24.840
<v Speaker 1>of the story, which is the reality of the pandemic.

0:16:24.880 --> 0:16:27.120
<v Speaker 1>If someone has to stay with the kids, and so

0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:29.520
<v Speaker 1>as long as you have kids, someone has to watch them,

0:16:29.840 --> 0:16:32.040
<v Speaker 1>and in most cases that's ending up on the women.

0:16:32.200 --> 0:16:35.080
<v Speaker 1>And when that means is then they can't do their jobs.

0:16:35.120 --> 0:16:37.800
<v Speaker 1>And so you know, to me, in a frustrating part

0:16:37.800 --> 0:16:41.120
<v Speaker 1>of this, companies are saying, yeah, we're trying to be um,

0:16:41.200 --> 0:16:45.040
<v Speaker 1>we're trying to be understanding of this, but but really,

0:16:45.400 --> 0:16:47.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think it takes some greater policies, and

0:16:47.560 --> 0:16:51.000
<v Speaker 1>so that's something I thought was very interesting, UM from

0:16:51.040 --> 0:16:54.040
<v Speaker 1>some of the think tanks that I spoke to, which said,

0:16:54.040 --> 0:16:55.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, this is really a moment where we can

0:16:55.840 --> 0:16:58.760
<v Speaker 1>either take what's happened and make things worse, or we

0:16:58.760 --> 0:17:02.080
<v Speaker 1>can take what's happened and make things better and institutionalize

0:17:02.120 --> 0:17:04.880
<v Speaker 1>some of these things that we've started to do around

0:17:05.240 --> 0:17:08.040
<v Speaker 1>working from home and paid sickly even UM, some of

0:17:08.119 --> 0:17:11.600
<v Speaker 1>these temporary provisions that have been written in for workers

0:17:11.720 --> 0:17:13.919
<v Speaker 1>right now, and think, you know, how can we actually

0:17:13.960 --> 0:17:17.240
<v Speaker 1>turn these into long term solutions because what the pandemic

0:17:17.400 --> 0:17:19.840
<v Speaker 1>unveiled was, you know, we don't have this kind of

0:17:19.880 --> 0:17:24.560
<v Speaker 1>safety net written into um, the government, into laws, into

0:17:25.240 --> 0:17:28.560
<v Speaker 1>the way companies work and across the board. And so

0:17:28.840 --> 0:17:30.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, where can we what can we learn from this,

0:17:30.720 --> 0:17:32.960
<v Speaker 1>what can we take away, and how can we emerge

0:17:33.000 --> 0:17:38.200
<v Speaker 1>from this better. It also revealed, speaking from personal experience here,

0:17:38.440 --> 0:17:41.800
<v Speaker 1>the importance of school where you can put kids and

0:17:41.800 --> 0:17:45.119
<v Speaker 1>and then actually, you know, go do your job. And

0:17:45.520 --> 0:17:48.240
<v Speaker 1>you you know, just continuing that thought that you had

0:17:48.240 --> 0:17:52.639
<v Speaker 1>there Shelly about what employers are are doing and can doing,

0:17:52.680 --> 0:17:54.800
<v Speaker 1>Like what did you what else did you learn about

0:17:55.080 --> 0:17:58.639
<v Speaker 1>um um you know, most effective policies that employers are

0:17:58.720 --> 0:18:03.240
<v Speaker 1>using during this time. I think having a policy is effective.

0:18:03.440 --> 0:18:05.119
<v Speaker 1>So a lot of companies have said, you know what,

0:18:05.160 --> 0:18:09.480
<v Speaker 1>we're behind our employees, Well, we're gonna make um We're

0:18:09.480 --> 0:18:11.760
<v Speaker 1>gonna make adjustments. But what I found from talking to

0:18:11.760 --> 0:18:13.879
<v Speaker 1>a lot of these women are I don't want to

0:18:13.920 --> 0:18:16.200
<v Speaker 1>ask for an adjustment. I don't want to ask for

0:18:16.440 --> 0:18:19.400
<v Speaker 1>a special treatment just because I have to take care

0:18:19.440 --> 0:18:22.399
<v Speaker 1>of my kids. It's a bad economic time. People are

0:18:22.440 --> 0:18:25.080
<v Speaker 1>worried that their job prospects are shaky or that their

0:18:25.440 --> 0:18:29.159
<v Speaker 1>next um, you know, promotion might not be there. If

0:18:29.160 --> 0:18:30.800
<v Speaker 1>they're the ones who had to say, oh, you know what,

0:18:30.920 --> 0:18:33.320
<v Speaker 1>during this time, it actually need you to give me

0:18:33.359 --> 0:18:36.080
<v Speaker 1>a break a little bit, because for every person who

0:18:36.160 --> 0:18:38.040
<v Speaker 1>might need a break right now, there are people who

0:18:38.080 --> 0:18:41.960
<v Speaker 1>don't necessarily have the same kind of caregiving responsibilities that

0:18:42.080 --> 0:18:46.160
<v Speaker 1>others have. And so UM, I think having a policy

0:18:46.240 --> 0:18:50.119
<v Speaker 1>in place is something that makes it, um you know,

0:18:50.160 --> 0:18:53.800
<v Speaker 1>streamlines the situation a little bit easier for people to take.

0:18:54.240 --> 0:18:55.960
<v Speaker 1>And I think you know, I'm hearing too from a

0:18:56.000 --> 0:18:58.000
<v Speaker 1>lot of folks that those policies need to be very

0:18:58.040 --> 0:19:01.760
<v Speaker 1>clear concise, understood and really written out so that people

0:19:01.840 --> 0:19:04.959
<v Speaker 1>understand truly, you know, what a company is, okay with

0:19:05.000 --> 0:19:08.080
<v Speaker 1>it followed without any repercussion, exactly, followed up on and

0:19:08.240 --> 0:19:11.240
<v Speaker 1>enforced and enforced fairly. Yeah, I think it's it's a

0:19:11.280 --> 0:19:13.919
<v Speaker 1>really important point. This is a great story. Yeah, I

0:19:13.920 --> 0:19:16.200
<v Speaker 1>think it's really important and I love I mean, I'm

0:19:16.200 --> 0:19:18.320
<v Speaker 1>going to put it out on Twitter because the numbers

0:19:18.320 --> 0:19:20.760
<v Speaker 1>in it to really tell you what's going on right

0:19:20.760 --> 0:19:24.679
<v Speaker 1>now on and in particular, um the disproportionate impact that

0:19:24.880 --> 0:19:27.679
<v Speaker 1>women are seeing. Shelley Banjo. She is senior writer at

0:19:27.680 --> 0:19:30.200
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News. She joined us on the phone from Dallas, Texas,

0:19:30.280 --> 0:19:33.320
<v Speaker 1>along with Joe Weber, editor a Bloomberg business Week on

0:19:33.680 --> 0:19:37.520
<v Speaker 1>the remote line from Brooklyn. Check out that story in

0:19:37.560 --> 0:19:41.720
<v Speaker 1>the issue. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

0:19:41.800 --> 0:19:46.280
<v Speaker 1>Masser and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. All right, let's

0:19:46.280 --> 0:19:48.560
<v Speaker 1>talk a little Business Week economics. We talked about this

0:19:48.600 --> 0:19:50.840
<v Speaker 1>story a little bit. We teed it up, I think

0:19:51.480 --> 0:19:55.520
<v Speaker 1>rather nicely. For our next guest, Elena Shats, She's quoted

0:19:55.560 --> 0:19:57.680
<v Speaker 1>in the story that is one of the most read

0:19:57.720 --> 0:20:00.399
<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg and it's all about what may happen

0:20:00.560 --> 0:20:03.640
<v Speaker 1>next when it comes to who may lose their jobs

0:20:03.800 --> 0:20:07.240
<v Speaker 1>in the aftermath of this pandemic. She, of course, is

0:20:07.280 --> 0:20:10.560
<v Speaker 1>senior US economists for Boomberg Economics, joining us on the

0:20:10.560 --> 0:20:14.480
<v Speaker 1>phone from Long Island and Yelena, I have to say,

0:20:14.720 --> 0:20:18.359
<v Speaker 1>you know, reading this research and understanding the data that

0:20:18.520 --> 0:20:22.240
<v Speaker 1>you and your team collected, it is troubling for a

0:20:22.359 --> 0:20:25.040
<v Speaker 1>lot of our audience in many ways, who I think

0:20:25.280 --> 0:20:28.320
<v Speaker 1>was probably able to say, Okay, well you know, I'm

0:20:28.320 --> 0:20:32.200
<v Speaker 1>not an hourly restaurant worker. I don't work in retail.

0:20:32.600 --> 0:20:36.240
<v Speaker 1>This is going to be much more widespread and as

0:20:36.320 --> 0:20:39.359
<v Speaker 1>this continues, we're talking about a lot of higher paying

0:20:39.720 --> 0:20:44.680
<v Speaker 1>white color jobs, right UH. And I think the key

0:20:44.840 --> 0:20:49.639
<v Speaker 1>point here is that a lot of white college jobs

0:20:49.640 --> 0:20:53.760
<v Speaker 1>and a lot of jobs in adjustent industry to those

0:20:53.840 --> 0:20:58.600
<v Speaker 1>that work heat very hard in the first wave of leoffs.

0:20:58.720 --> 0:21:03.480
<v Speaker 1>I still at RIPA. So even though we saw better

0:21:03.520 --> 0:21:08.560
<v Speaker 1>than expected number in terms of a DP payrolls this morning, UH,

0:21:08.600 --> 0:21:14.480
<v Speaker 1>another report from UH non Manufacturing sim Services suggested that

0:21:15.160 --> 0:21:20.560
<v Speaker 1>things that really not improving that well, and the employment

0:21:20.640 --> 0:21:25.840
<v Speaker 1>component of the survey was still at a very low level.

0:21:26.320 --> 0:21:32.160
<v Speaker 1>So that tells me that maybe this optimism about how

0:21:32.280 --> 0:21:35.520
<v Speaker 1>quickly the job market is going to improve is a

0:21:35.560 --> 0:21:38.560
<v Speaker 1>little bit permecure. You know what can I just say, Lena,

0:21:38.680 --> 0:21:42.960
<v Speaker 1>It reminds me of like using the um SPLC function

0:21:42.960 --> 0:21:45.760
<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg the supply chain analysis, Right, Like you

0:21:45.760 --> 0:21:47.320
<v Speaker 1>you look at a company, but you've got to look

0:21:47.359 --> 0:21:49.320
<v Speaker 1>who do they buy from? Who do they sell from? Right,

0:21:49.359 --> 0:21:52.399
<v Speaker 1>whenever there's a story, it's so much more, you know,

0:21:52.520 --> 0:21:56.400
<v Speaker 1>wide reaching than just one entity. And that's what this is, right.

0:21:56.760 --> 0:21:59.720
<v Speaker 1>You know that if you know restaurants are hit, well,

0:21:59.760 --> 0:22:04.120
<v Speaker 1>there the whole supply chain and it includes technology, you know, workers,

0:22:04.160 --> 0:22:07.159
<v Speaker 1>that includes health care, educate. I mean, there's just so

0:22:07.240 --> 0:22:10.760
<v Speaker 1>much that goes into it. So what we did, what

0:22:10.880 --> 0:22:14.040
<v Speaker 1>our team did in terms of the analysis, we looked

0:22:14.080 --> 0:22:18.440
<v Speaker 1>at input output tables from the Bureau of Economic Analysis

0:22:18.480 --> 0:22:24.080
<v Speaker 1>to kind of trace the linkages between different industries. So

0:22:24.560 --> 0:22:27.960
<v Speaker 1>let me give you another example. So, uh, a really

0:22:28.080 --> 0:22:32.760
<v Speaker 1>state less or somebody who rents out those um big

0:22:32.800 --> 0:22:38.119
<v Speaker 1>retail spaces. They are in danger basically because a lot

0:22:38.200 --> 0:22:42.240
<v Speaker 1>of stores are closing and maybe they're closing permanently. So

0:22:42.720 --> 0:22:47.200
<v Speaker 1>these companies are at risk of losing jobs. So what

0:22:47.240 --> 0:22:50.440
<v Speaker 1>we did we tried to estimate across the whole economy

0:22:51.200 --> 0:22:56.360
<v Speaker 1>how many in more industries in danger because of that

0:22:56.560 --> 0:23:01.080
<v Speaker 1>first wave of layoffs that we saw back March in April,

0:23:01.520 --> 0:23:06.119
<v Speaker 1>and our estimates suggests that as many as six million

0:23:06.800 --> 0:23:10.959
<v Speaker 1>jobs in danger because of um this potentially of an

0:23:10.960 --> 0:23:15.720
<v Speaker 1>adjustent industries, and also because white college jobs are now

0:23:15.920 --> 0:23:20.399
<v Speaker 1>a risk given that a lot of frontline workers lost

0:23:20.400 --> 0:23:24.000
<v Speaker 1>their jobs and they might not be coming back. Well,

0:23:24.040 --> 0:23:26.520
<v Speaker 1>that whole notion of coming back, I guess you'll and

0:23:26.600 --> 0:23:30.399
<v Speaker 1>I want to just emphasize that point because one of

0:23:30.480 --> 0:23:32.119
<v Speaker 1>the things that's given I think a lot of people

0:23:32.280 --> 0:23:36.399
<v Speaker 1>comfort so far. And I'm sorry to dwell on this maybe,

0:23:36.480 --> 0:23:38.239
<v Speaker 1>but I think it's so important is this idea of like, oh,

0:23:38.280 --> 0:23:40.359
<v Speaker 1>it's gonna come back, It's gonna come back, and and

0:23:40.400 --> 0:23:43.040
<v Speaker 1>I do feel like we're starting to get a sense

0:23:43.200 --> 0:23:46.320
<v Speaker 1>that some of these jobs, especially the ones you're talking about,

0:23:46.600 --> 0:23:50.680
<v Speaker 1>don't so easily come back. It is there a delineation

0:23:50.800 --> 0:23:53.640
<v Speaker 1>that that you make between sort of that first wave

0:23:53.680 --> 0:23:57.919
<v Speaker 1>in second wave? Can you quantify how likely it is

0:23:58.520 --> 0:24:02.280
<v Speaker 1>in the snap back? It's very difficult, and of course

0:24:02.320 --> 0:24:06.400
<v Speaker 1>there are a lot of different factors around it. So yes,

0:24:06.480 --> 0:24:10.760
<v Speaker 1>things may turned really great and all of a sudden

0:24:10.840 --> 0:24:17.240
<v Speaker 1>everybody rebounds in terms of growth and in terms of jobs.

0:24:17.280 --> 0:24:21.920
<v Speaker 1>But I I think it's very unlikely. And uh, even

0:24:21.920 --> 0:24:25.320
<v Speaker 1>though we we have seen a lot of optimistic signs,

0:24:25.520 --> 0:24:29.280
<v Speaker 1>say coming from auto sales report. We so yesterday it

0:24:29.359 --> 0:24:33.080
<v Speaker 1>was better than expected. Another report this morning, VP was

0:24:33.119 --> 0:24:37.760
<v Speaker 1>better than expected. There's a lot of uh this um,

0:24:38.119 --> 0:24:41.639
<v Speaker 1>you know, setbacks in terms of how much demand we

0:24:41.720 --> 0:24:46.480
<v Speaker 1>will have in the industry, in the economy, on the

0:24:46.520 --> 0:24:50.760
<v Speaker 1>part of consumers, on the part of other industries that

0:24:50.960 --> 0:24:54.200
<v Speaker 1>might not be coming back in a V shaped form. Well,

0:24:54.240 --> 0:24:56.159
<v Speaker 1>and you do wonder I think, Jason, I harken back

0:24:56.200 --> 0:24:58.960
<v Speaker 1>to our conversation with Margret Keen and Synchrony Financial, which

0:24:59.040 --> 0:25:01.440
<v Speaker 1>is a bit of your talks in the magazine this week.

0:25:01.800 --> 0:25:04.679
<v Speaker 1>But who talked about, you know, people who had asked

0:25:04.680 --> 0:25:06.920
<v Speaker 1>for more time to pay off some of those store

0:25:06.960 --> 0:25:10.160
<v Speaker 1>credit cards, about them said, you know, we don't need

0:25:10.200 --> 0:25:14.400
<v Speaker 1>these deferrals anymore, but they are paying down debt. And

0:25:14.520 --> 0:25:16.280
<v Speaker 1>you know that also goes to if you're a little

0:25:16.280 --> 0:25:18.439
<v Speaker 1>bit nervous about what the outlook is, you may not

0:25:18.480 --> 0:25:20.640
<v Speaker 1>do any new spending. You're gonna you know, try and

0:25:20.720 --> 0:25:23.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of shore up your financials. Uh. And what's interesting

0:25:23.600 --> 0:25:25.760
<v Speaker 1>is one of the data points, more than one third

0:25:25.800 --> 0:25:27.879
<v Speaker 1>of households making a hundred thousand dollars per year have

0:25:27.920 --> 0:25:31.400
<v Speaker 1>lost some employment income since mid March, and and some

0:25:31.480 --> 0:25:34.359
<v Speaker 1>of them, the statistics show they're worried about, you know,

0:25:34.520 --> 0:25:37.879
<v Speaker 1>making next month's rent or paying the mortgage. So you know,

0:25:38.119 --> 0:25:41.560
<v Speaker 1>it's it's really hitting all, you know, aspects of the

0:25:41.640 --> 0:25:44.760
<v Speaker 1>income spectrum. All right, Elena selective it. Thank you so

0:25:44.840 --> 0:25:49.280
<v Speaker 1>much in your economist for Bloomberg Economics, A really nice one.

0:25:49.320 --> 0:25:52.800
<v Speaker 1>Two punches that were between our Bloomberg Economics team and

0:25:52.800 --> 0:25:56.280
<v Speaker 1>our Bloomberg News team really synthesizing some great data that

0:25:56.359 --> 0:25:59.040
<v Speaker 1>Elena and her group put together. And it's all about

0:25:59.359 --> 0:26:05.480
<v Speaker 1>white colored jobs not being safe from this pandemic that

0:26:05.600 --> 0:26:08.680
<v Speaker 1>continues to really wreak havoc, not just from health perspective,

0:26:08.720 --> 0:26:12.320
<v Speaker 1>but from an economic perspective as well. Carol, and you

0:26:12.400 --> 0:26:15.920
<v Speaker 1>also start to think about it in the context of

0:26:16.000 --> 0:26:19.520
<v Speaker 1>the civil unrest that we're going through and everything going

0:26:19.560 --> 0:26:23.200
<v Speaker 1>on there that's also laying there, Uh, some really really

0:26:23.240 --> 0:26:26.120
<v Speaker 1>tough economic truths. We're going to talk about that next hour.

0:26:26.359 --> 0:26:30.199
<v Speaker 1>Nothing makes people feel more desperate than financial troubles, right,

0:26:30.359 --> 0:26:32.679
<v Speaker 1>and either not having enough money to support your family,

0:26:32.840 --> 0:26:34.920
<v Speaker 1>take care of your family, feed your family, keep a

0:26:34.960 --> 0:26:37.520
<v Speaker 1>roof over your head. And you know, it's things that

0:26:37.640 --> 0:26:39.639
<v Speaker 1>certain aspects of our society have dealt with for a

0:26:39.640 --> 0:26:43.280
<v Speaker 1>long time, but it's certainly hitting a lot more today.

0:26:43.480 --> 0:26:47.080
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Jason

0:26:47.160 --> 0:26:52.760
<v Speaker 1>Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. In our weekly Bloomberg Green segment, Adjason, Today,

0:26:52.800 --> 0:26:55.720
<v Speaker 1>investors are focusing on an interesting idea that we need

0:26:55.800 --> 0:26:59.040
<v Speaker 1>to think of cars as more than just an automobile

0:26:59.080 --> 0:27:03.480
<v Speaker 1>to keep selling that in a post COVID nineteen future. Provocative.

0:27:03.600 --> 0:27:06.280
<v Speaker 1>So let's get more on this from Emily Chason. She

0:27:06.359 --> 0:27:09.560
<v Speaker 1>is Sustainability editor a Bloomberg News and she joins us

0:27:09.560 --> 0:27:11.240
<v Speaker 1>on the phone in New York City. I'm only good

0:27:11.280 --> 0:27:14.119
<v Speaker 1>to have you back with us, so tell us about

0:27:14.280 --> 0:27:19.320
<v Speaker 1>this this story. Yeah, So, what we're seeing, thanks for

0:27:19.359 --> 0:27:21.080
<v Speaker 1>having me back, by the way, is what we're seeing

0:27:21.160 --> 0:27:24.160
<v Speaker 1>is that people are coming out of COVID all over

0:27:24.200 --> 0:27:26.720
<v Speaker 1>the world and they're a little bit nervous about using

0:27:26.760 --> 0:27:29.280
<v Speaker 1>public transportation. So they're what they're doing is they're looking

0:27:29.280 --> 0:27:32.399
<v Speaker 1>at cars again and then, but you haven't using your

0:27:32.440 --> 0:27:34.120
<v Speaker 1>car for a while, so you might not buy anyone

0:27:34.440 --> 0:27:37.280
<v Speaker 1>right And before this, everybody wanted people to switch to

0:27:37.359 --> 0:27:40.200
<v Speaker 1>electric vehicles. Um, automakers have a lot of bottles that

0:27:40.240 --> 0:27:44.800
<v Speaker 1>are coming out. Um there's now inventory. Um, so people

0:27:44.840 --> 0:27:47.679
<v Speaker 1>are still buying electric vehicles all over the world. Um,

0:27:47.720 --> 0:27:49.159
<v Speaker 1>probably because they were still on a wait list. It

0:27:49.240 --> 0:27:52.680
<v Speaker 1>took months to get all but um, yeah, I guess

0:27:52.760 --> 0:27:55.320
<v Speaker 1>electric vehicles have this optionality to them where they could

0:27:55.320 --> 0:27:57.000
<v Speaker 1>be more than just a cars for people. They can

0:27:57.040 --> 0:27:59.240
<v Speaker 1>hook up to the electric grid. There's a software they

0:27:59.359 --> 0:28:02.400
<v Speaker 1>use there see if autonomous vehicle stuff. So you could

0:28:02.400 --> 0:28:04.520
<v Speaker 1>actually think of your car as having an additional value

0:28:04.560 --> 0:28:07.560
<v Speaker 1>composition in the future. Um, if it's an orcer car

0:28:07.680 --> 0:28:09.879
<v Speaker 1>and people are sort of trying to unpack them with

0:28:10.000 --> 0:28:12.880
<v Speaker 1>that looks like in what kind of future that could

0:28:12.880 --> 0:28:16.000
<v Speaker 1>make for automakers. Well, and it's interesting to think about

0:28:16.040 --> 0:28:19.320
<v Speaker 1>to Emily, and and this is an area very familiar

0:28:19.359 --> 0:28:21.840
<v Speaker 1>to you. It's there's also an element, at least there

0:28:21.880 --> 0:28:24.879
<v Speaker 1>has been so far that you know, buying an electric

0:28:24.880 --> 0:28:27.280
<v Speaker 1>car sort of says something about you, you know, it

0:28:27.359 --> 0:28:29.240
<v Speaker 1>sort of says something about who you want to be.

0:28:29.560 --> 0:28:33.600
<v Speaker 1>And I do wonder from a lifestyle perspective, how that

0:28:33.680 --> 0:28:37.359
<v Speaker 1>has changed in your estimation, not just in terms of

0:28:37.400 --> 0:28:40.120
<v Speaker 1>the dollars and cents of buying a car and some

0:28:40.200 --> 0:28:44.920
<v Speaker 1>of the infrastructure, but also about the maybe the softer

0:28:45.080 --> 0:28:49.240
<v Speaker 1>side or the harder to quantify side of this. Yeah, well,

0:28:49.280 --> 0:28:53.640
<v Speaker 1>people were looking to buy electric cars. UM probably still were. UM,

0:28:53.880 --> 0:28:56.160
<v Speaker 1>so it was sort of mutually did right. But today

0:28:56.200 --> 0:28:58.400
<v Speaker 1>I think Mary Nickels out in California, who has in

0:28:58.480 --> 0:29:01.160
<v Speaker 1>California everypoard, said they want to make the whole state

0:29:01.160 --> 0:29:04.840
<v Speaker 1>in California electric vehicles only by so electro people are

0:29:04.880 --> 0:29:06.600
<v Speaker 1>not going to be so rare anymore as they were

0:29:06.880 --> 0:29:09.280
<v Speaker 1>in the past, Which means there's this whole infrastructure about

0:29:09.280 --> 0:29:12.360
<v Speaker 1>elect of cars that really needs to be created right now. UM,

0:29:12.400 --> 0:29:14.400
<v Speaker 1>are charging infrastructure is not there yet, it's the rest

0:29:14.400 --> 0:29:17.640
<v Speaker 1>of the US. UM. The battery replacement structure is not there,

0:29:17.640 --> 0:29:21.240
<v Speaker 1>battery recycling. UM, there's a whole systimity created. But there's

0:29:21.240 --> 0:29:23.000
<v Speaker 1>a lot of cool opportunities. I talked to this investor.

0:29:23.120 --> 0:29:26.040
<v Speaker 1>He said, like you could think about your electric cars

0:29:26.040 --> 0:29:28.400
<v Speaker 1>serving another pupots. It could be a generator for your house. Like,

0:29:28.440 --> 0:29:30.960
<v Speaker 1>there's whole whole potential to have five days of power

0:29:31.400 --> 0:29:34.040
<v Speaker 1>from your house, um, from your cars. You could plug

0:29:34.080 --> 0:29:36.080
<v Speaker 1>your car into your house in the future. Um, And

0:29:36.160 --> 0:29:41.000
<v Speaker 1>that's not really available yet, but automakers are looking at it. Yeah.

0:29:41.040 --> 0:29:44.240
<v Speaker 1>I also do wonder how public policy or government policy

0:29:44.280 --> 0:29:46.239
<v Speaker 1>can play into this. Again, we know that when you

0:29:46.280 --> 0:29:49.880
<v Speaker 1>get you know, incentives, I mean we replaced some windows

0:29:49.920 --> 0:29:51.920
<v Speaker 1>in our house years ago because we got a break

0:29:51.960 --> 0:29:54.680
<v Speaker 1>because they were going to be you know, better insulated,

0:29:54.720 --> 0:29:56.479
<v Speaker 1>and so on and so forth. Like, I just do

0:29:56.600 --> 0:29:59.400
<v Speaker 1>think about how government policy, whether it's a tax break

0:29:59.480 --> 0:30:01.920
<v Speaker 1>or something, can really induce people to do things. And

0:30:01.960 --> 0:30:04.440
<v Speaker 1>I wonder if what you're hearing is we're going to

0:30:04.520 --> 0:30:06.360
<v Speaker 1>need a little bit more of this going forward. And

0:30:06.440 --> 0:30:09.760
<v Speaker 1>actually though, can government afford it after some of the

0:30:09.800 --> 0:30:13.040
<v Speaker 1>spending that they've had to do because of the shutdowns

0:30:13.720 --> 0:30:18.400
<v Speaker 1>caused by the virus and and other well, electric car

0:30:18.440 --> 0:30:21.040
<v Speaker 1>incentives are going to be really powerful going forward. We

0:30:21.120 --> 0:30:25.080
<v Speaker 1>saw that like where electric car sales collapsed in covid Um,

0:30:25.080 --> 0:30:27.360
<v Speaker 1>there weren't as many strong subsidies as there were in

0:30:27.400 --> 0:30:29.800
<v Speaker 1>other places, and where cars electric cars was continued in

0:30:29.840 --> 0:30:33.280
<v Speaker 1>covid Um, there were strong exensities. Um. So we're probably

0:30:33.320 --> 0:30:35.600
<v Speaker 1>gonna need more that, especially because also automatic to have

0:30:35.600 --> 0:30:37.320
<v Speaker 1>a lot of extra supply. They have been selling that

0:30:37.360 --> 0:30:39.560
<v Speaker 1>many cars lately. They're going to lower their prices. Cell

0:30:39.560 --> 0:30:42.000
<v Speaker 1>electric cars are usually more expensive, and they're going to

0:30:42.040 --> 0:30:44.040
<v Speaker 1>have to try extra hard to compete, So we're gonna

0:30:44.080 --> 0:30:47.040
<v Speaker 1>be those incentives. Studism might actually be incentivized to do

0:30:47.160 --> 0:30:49.600
<v Speaker 1>this because they don't want all these people coming in

0:30:49.640 --> 0:30:51.720
<v Speaker 1>their cars and creating extra air pollution, which we know

0:30:51.760 --> 0:30:54.520
<v Speaker 1>as the problems for covid um and lots of other things.

0:30:54.680 --> 0:30:57.880
<v Speaker 1>All right, so electric cars they may find reason to

0:30:57.920 --> 0:30:59.640
<v Speaker 1>do it, or they may even find sort of a

0:31:00.080 --> 0:31:05.280
<v Speaker 1>Harbon tax incentive. All right, Emily Jason, thank you so much,

0:31:05.360 --> 0:31:08.840
<v Speaker 1>our sustainability editor for Bloomberg, joining us on the phone.

0:31:09.600 --> 0:31:12.000
<v Speaker 1>How to make your electric car more than a car.

0:31:12.160 --> 0:31:14.320
<v Speaker 1>I think people think about this a lot. I mean,

0:31:14.360 --> 0:31:17.720
<v Speaker 1>even just looking at my neighborhood and sort of seeing

0:31:18.000 --> 0:31:20.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, when people buy new cars, they're they're definitely

0:31:20.080 --> 0:31:22.080
<v Speaker 1>thinking more about it. We've been talking about it. I mean,

0:31:22.120 --> 0:31:25.080
<v Speaker 1>I know you're waiting for the electric station wagon because

0:31:25.120 --> 0:31:27.280
<v Speaker 1>you're a wagony stuff, but we do. But we talk

0:31:27.360 --> 0:31:29.680
<v Speaker 1>about it a lot too. And you know who you

0:31:29.720 --> 0:31:31.960
<v Speaker 1>know who we're you know, kind of waiting to do

0:31:32.080 --> 0:31:36.080
<v Speaker 1>something UM so that it makes sense. I don't know

0:31:36.120 --> 0:31:39.200
<v Speaker 1>if I would. I don't know. We've definitely talked about it,

0:31:39.480 --> 0:31:42.880
<v Speaker 1>UM and I know your dad has one, UM and

0:31:42.920 --> 0:31:44.680
<v Speaker 1>I know loves it, and I know everybody who has

0:31:44.720 --> 0:31:47.560
<v Speaker 1>one loves it. I think, you know, we need to

0:31:47.600 --> 0:31:51.120
<v Speaker 1>make sure that there are the charging stations that are around. UM.

0:31:51.280 --> 0:31:53.160
<v Speaker 1>You really have to have the infrastructure to make it work.

0:31:53.160 --> 0:31:55.160
<v Speaker 1>But I really do think, and I do wonder, is

0:31:55.160 --> 0:31:58.280
<v Speaker 1>electric vehicles the ultimate answer because you still have those

0:31:58.280 --> 0:32:01.000
<v Speaker 1>batteries you've got to deal with, right, Yeah, true? And

0:32:01.040 --> 0:32:04.120
<v Speaker 1>I just true. And you've got power facilities that have

0:32:04.200 --> 0:32:06.240
<v Speaker 1>to charge the batteries. And I don't know if that's

0:32:06.320 --> 0:32:08.880
<v Speaker 1>ultimately the answer. So you just want cars that run

0:32:08.920 --> 0:32:13.720
<v Speaker 1>on magic? What you're going for. I've been talking to

0:32:13.720 --> 0:32:16.480
<v Speaker 1>Walt Disney and they've got some fairy dust that can

0:32:16.680 --> 0:32:19.360
<v Speaker 1>Bob Iger in his role as executive chairman, is going

0:32:19.400 --> 0:32:23.120
<v Speaker 1>to we can solve everything magic cars that don't run

0:32:23.160 --> 0:32:26.520
<v Speaker 1>on anything. They've just run on pixie dust, hydrocarbon water,

0:32:26.720 --> 0:32:29.360
<v Speaker 1>Like wouldn't that be great solar using the stuff. Like,

0:32:29.360 --> 0:32:31.920
<v Speaker 1>there's just I just think we haven't pushed it, and

0:32:31.960 --> 0:32:34.440
<v Speaker 1>maybe we need a global collaboration of people really trying

0:32:34.440 --> 0:32:36.760
<v Speaker 1>to kind of push the envelope. Stop laughing at me,

0:32:36.840 --> 0:32:43.000
<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly, I'm laughing at you. Full confessions. Carol Masster

0:32:43.040 --> 0:32:51.640
<v Speaker 1>pulls up in her Pixie desk. Car anyway, bro journal, Yeah,

0:32:51.680 --> 0:32:59.520
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive? Oh no, no, no, I

0:32:59.600 --> 0:33:14.880
<v Speaker 1>want to Bible. Just drying baby, good questions, trying this

0:33:15.760 --> 0:33:19.920
<v Speaker 1>drive to the globe. Thanks, we'll drying us down on

0:33:20.160 --> 0:33:24.200
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. All right, Well, as we head to another

0:33:24.360 --> 0:33:27.280
<v Speaker 1>green Clothes it's become a bit of a habit lately.

0:33:27.320 --> 0:33:31.040
<v Speaker 1>Let's check in with Michael Sheldon, executive director, chief investment

0:33:31.080 --> 0:33:34.160
<v Speaker 1>officer for High Tower r d M Financial Group. Johnnys

0:33:34.200 --> 0:33:37.240
<v Speaker 1>on the phone from Westport. Michael, nice to have you

0:33:37.560 --> 0:33:40.040
<v Speaker 1>back with us. I trust all as well over there

0:33:40.040 --> 0:33:43.880
<v Speaker 1>in Connecticut. Yeah, so far, so good, Thank you. Yeah.

0:33:44.040 --> 0:33:46.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean it's interesting, you know, hearing a little bit

0:33:46.440 --> 0:33:50.240
<v Speaker 1>more about reopening plans. We had a doctor on earlier

0:33:50.240 --> 0:33:53.920
<v Speaker 1>who based out near you, a little down down down

0:33:53.920 --> 0:33:56.280
<v Speaker 1>the coast from you and uh in Stanford, you know,

0:33:56.360 --> 0:34:00.200
<v Speaker 1>talking about some pretty aggressive testing that's going to go on.

0:34:00.440 --> 0:34:03.960
<v Speaker 1>And we've heard a lot from your governor about what

0:34:04.120 --> 0:34:07.240
<v Speaker 1>reopening looks like from where you are. What does reopening

0:34:07.640 --> 0:34:10.960
<v Speaker 1>look like for Connecticut? Well, I think all the states

0:34:10.960 --> 0:34:13.080
<v Speaker 1>are sort of in the same boat. I think the

0:34:13.120 --> 0:34:15.640
<v Speaker 1>governors are looking at they want to see less cases

0:34:15.640 --> 0:34:18.160
<v Speaker 1>going on, They want to see less people in hospitals,

0:34:18.200 --> 0:34:21.320
<v Speaker 1>they want to see less mortality, less people dying. Obviously

0:34:21.360 --> 0:34:24.719
<v Speaker 1>from this, they want to see some improvement. And I

0:34:24.760 --> 0:34:27.120
<v Speaker 1>think generally in Connecticut was one of the first states

0:34:27.160 --> 0:34:30.840
<v Speaker 1>to get hard hit, and especially Westport and Fairfield County

0:34:30.840 --> 0:34:34.120
<v Speaker 1>where I am, and we've definitely seen some improvement, which

0:34:34.719 --> 0:34:38.439
<v Speaker 1>is a positive sign looking ahead and sort of sort

0:34:38.440 --> 0:34:41.719
<v Speaker 1>of bringing that towards the markets. I wanted to start

0:34:41.760 --> 0:34:44.600
<v Speaker 1>off by saying that there's an old saying in the markets,

0:34:44.800 --> 0:34:47.160
<v Speaker 1>which used to be don't fight the FED, and I

0:34:47.200 --> 0:34:49.239
<v Speaker 1>think the new saying now is don't fight the Fed

0:34:49.280 --> 0:34:53.960
<v Speaker 1>in Congress together. Fed in Congress have basically spent about

0:34:54.000 --> 0:34:57.280
<v Speaker 1>six to seven trillion dollars over the past couple of months,

0:34:58.080 --> 0:35:01.360
<v Speaker 1>and they're what they spent that need to temporarily replace

0:35:01.480 --> 0:35:04.400
<v Speaker 1>the lost income from slowing down and shutting down the

0:35:04.440 --> 0:35:07.600
<v Speaker 1>economy due to COVID nineteen. And now we're starting to

0:35:07.640 --> 0:35:10.240
<v Speaker 1>see as the economy starts to open up, we're starting

0:35:10.280 --> 0:35:13.600
<v Speaker 1>to see some improvement, which is now reflected in the

0:35:13.680 --> 0:35:16.640
<v Speaker 1>equity markets. I feel like it's also Michael, you know,

0:35:16.719 --> 0:35:20.360
<v Speaker 1>don't Fed, don't fight UM Germany, don't fight the e

0:35:20.400 --> 0:35:22.600
<v Speaker 1>c B. You know, there's a headline that just crossed

0:35:23.040 --> 0:35:26.360
<v Speaker 1>Anglo Merkel's coalition reaching a deal on a German stimulus package.

0:35:26.400 --> 0:35:29.000
<v Speaker 1>If one thing investors can kind of count on right

0:35:29.000 --> 0:35:33.719
<v Speaker 1>now is that leaders central banks they're going to do

0:35:33.760 --> 0:35:36.319
<v Speaker 1>what they need to do to make sure everything financially

0:35:36.840 --> 0:35:40.239
<v Speaker 1>continues to work and move smoothly, and that usually means

0:35:40.239 --> 0:35:42.520
<v Speaker 1>pumping a lot of money into the system to make

0:35:42.560 --> 0:35:46.879
<v Speaker 1>sure that there's no credit crunches or liquidity squeezes. Yeah,

0:35:46.920 --> 0:35:48.840
<v Speaker 1>I think you're right. Central banks around the world have

0:35:48.920 --> 0:35:52.360
<v Speaker 1>definitely coordinated and they pump money into the economy. In

0:35:52.400 --> 0:35:55.560
<v Speaker 1>the United States, talking about liquidity, for example, when the

0:35:55.560 --> 0:35:59.400
<v Speaker 1>Federal Reserve rolled out, it's planned to actually start purchasing

0:35:59.440 --> 0:36:03.239
<v Speaker 1>corporate both in the primary and secondary market. A few

0:36:03.239 --> 0:36:05.279
<v Speaker 1>weeks ago, I thought to me that was a bit

0:36:05.320 --> 0:36:07.720
<v Speaker 1>of a game changer, because the credit markets were really

0:36:08.360 --> 0:36:11.839
<v Speaker 1>becoming on glued and just before the Fed even bought

0:36:11.840 --> 0:36:14.400
<v Speaker 1>any corporate bonds, which they started just a week or

0:36:14.400 --> 0:36:17.040
<v Speaker 1>two ago. They basically told the markets that they're going

0:36:17.080 --> 0:36:19.719
<v Speaker 1>to do sort of their Mario Draggy moment where they

0:36:19.760 --> 0:36:22.600
<v Speaker 1>said we're gonna do whatever it takes, and that's that

0:36:22.640 --> 0:36:25.840
<v Speaker 1>announcement by the Federal Reserve a few weeks ago, basically

0:36:25.880 --> 0:36:28.239
<v Speaker 1>started to free up the credit markets. And you need

0:36:28.360 --> 0:36:32.319
<v Speaker 1>a functioning credit market for the economy to function. So

0:36:32.360 --> 0:36:35.480
<v Speaker 1>what do you worry the most about here, Michael, I

0:36:35.480 --> 0:36:37.279
<v Speaker 1>think there are a number of concerns we have right now.

0:36:37.280 --> 0:36:39.840
<v Speaker 1>One is China US relations seem to be getting worse

0:36:39.920 --> 0:36:43.319
<v Speaker 1>after starting to get better last year. We have rising

0:36:43.360 --> 0:36:46.520
<v Speaker 1>debt levels, that levels arising very quickly as a result

0:36:46.560 --> 0:36:48.839
<v Speaker 1>of all the spending going on. We don't think that's

0:36:48.840 --> 0:36:51.719
<v Speaker 1>a problem for right now because it's so inexpensive to

0:36:51.760 --> 0:36:54.279
<v Speaker 1>finance all this debt, but but down the road we

0:36:54.360 --> 0:36:58.200
<v Speaker 1>may certainly face higher taxes. We have the upcoming election

0:36:58.239 --> 0:37:01.719
<v Speaker 1>this fall, which will bring some uncertain and then there's

0:37:01.880 --> 0:37:05.040
<v Speaker 1>obviously concerns about the strength the recovery, how long will

0:37:05.040 --> 0:37:07.759
<v Speaker 1>we replet, how long it will take to replace all

0:37:07.800 --> 0:37:10.160
<v Speaker 1>the jobs that have been lost. And then there's also

0:37:10.200 --> 0:37:12.040
<v Speaker 1>the fear as we go into the fall, that COVID

0:37:12.120 --> 0:37:14.920
<v Speaker 1>nineteen could make a return later this year. That's what

0:37:15.000 --> 0:37:18.480
<v Speaker 1>I worry about though, um certainly that the virus coming back,

0:37:18.520 --> 0:37:22.160
<v Speaker 1>but I do wonder about labor dislocations of you know,

0:37:22.239 --> 0:37:27.600
<v Speaker 1>temporary workers losing jobs and those temporary job cuts become permanent.

0:37:27.640 --> 0:37:29.960
<v Speaker 1>And we just did a story. We talked with our

0:37:30.239 --> 0:37:34.239
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Economics team. You'll initially of our senior US economist,

0:37:34.280 --> 0:37:36.719
<v Speaker 1>you know that it's not just blue collar now we're

0:37:36.719 --> 0:37:40.560
<v Speaker 1>looking at another way that will start to impact blue

0:37:40.719 --> 0:37:42.960
<v Speaker 1>white collar jobs as well. Right Like, It's just a

0:37:42.960 --> 0:37:45.400
<v Speaker 1>reminder that when they're just slow down in the economy,

0:37:45.480 --> 0:37:48.200
<v Speaker 1>it's not just one entity, one industry, one company that

0:37:48.239 --> 0:37:51.440
<v Speaker 1>gets impacted. It's their whole whole supply chain, who they

0:37:51.640 --> 0:37:54.920
<v Speaker 1>sell to, who they buy too. It'll be it'll be

0:37:55.000 --> 0:37:57.440
<v Speaker 1>very interesting. We get the monthly jobs before coming out

0:37:57.480 --> 0:38:00.120
<v Speaker 1>this Friday, and the numbers are expecting right now or

0:38:00.200 --> 0:38:02.799
<v Speaker 1>once again going to be sky high. They're expecting a

0:38:02.840 --> 0:38:06.040
<v Speaker 1>decline of about another eight million workers and the unemployment

0:38:06.080 --> 0:38:08.799
<v Speaker 1>rate of nine But I think one of the key

0:38:08.800 --> 0:38:11.719
<v Speaker 1>things going forward is when we had the last job's number,

0:38:11.760 --> 0:38:14.319
<v Speaker 1>the last jobs report, I think the number was something

0:38:14.360 --> 0:38:18.759
<v Speaker 1>like seventy eight five of all the workers said that

0:38:18.800 --> 0:38:23.359
<v Speaker 1>their jobs had just been temporarily downsized. So if those

0:38:23.440 --> 0:38:26.240
<v Speaker 1>jobs do ins fact, if those furtherard workers do eventually

0:38:26.239 --> 0:38:28.640
<v Speaker 1>come back in the not too distant future, I think

0:38:28.680 --> 0:38:31.400
<v Speaker 1>that would certainly set the stage for a more robust

0:38:31.480 --> 0:38:35.200
<v Speaker 1>pickup in the economy and consumer sentiment, consumer spending, So

0:38:35.280 --> 0:38:37.839
<v Speaker 1>that that the job market is definitely something that needs

0:38:37.880 --> 0:38:42.440
<v Speaker 1>to be watched over time. And and so just to

0:38:42.440 --> 0:38:45.800
<v Speaker 1>to press that point a little bit, Michael, the job picture,

0:38:46.320 --> 0:38:48.239
<v Speaker 1>you know, we saw a DP. Never say we see

0:38:48.320 --> 0:38:50.240
<v Speaker 1>jobless comes tomorrow, as you say, we see the monthly

0:38:50.320 --> 0:38:54.440
<v Speaker 1>jobs report on Friday, Like what's the what's the number

0:38:54.560 --> 0:38:57.600
<v Speaker 1>amid all of that, you know, or even a specific

0:38:57.680 --> 0:39:00.640
<v Speaker 1>data point within one of those reports that your most

0:39:01.440 --> 0:39:04.600
<v Speaker 1>uh focused on seeing. Well, I think it's important that

0:39:04.640 --> 0:39:08.319
<v Speaker 1>in general, we economic data has been trending higher. So

0:39:08.400 --> 0:39:10.960
<v Speaker 1>it's not the absolute level that investors are watching, it's

0:39:11.000 --> 0:39:13.160
<v Speaker 1>the rate of change, and that rate of change is

0:39:13.200 --> 0:39:16.400
<v Speaker 1>starting to get better. Weekly jobless claims have now declined

0:39:16.440 --> 0:39:19.319
<v Speaker 1>for eight consecutive weeks, and they were still over two

0:39:19.360 --> 0:39:22.719
<v Speaker 1>million last week, which is incredibly high number. Historically, but

0:39:22.880 --> 0:39:26.000
<v Speaker 1>the trend is definitely positive, and you're seeing that in

0:39:26.040 --> 0:39:28.560
<v Speaker 1>other areas like auto sales, for example, which rose from

0:39:28.560 --> 0:39:31.720
<v Speaker 1>about eight and a half to twelve million units yesterday.

0:39:31.920 --> 0:39:35.839
<v Speaker 1>The I S M Services Index rose from about five.

0:39:35.920 --> 0:39:39.360
<v Speaker 1>So you're seeing a number of economic statistics either getting

0:39:39.400 --> 0:39:42.480
<v Speaker 1>less worse or starting to get better. But jobs will

0:39:42.560 --> 0:39:45.640
<v Speaker 1>definitely be important. It could very well take several quarters

0:39:45.719 --> 0:39:48.239
<v Speaker 1>or two or three years until we make back the

0:39:48.280 --> 0:39:50.800
<v Speaker 1>majority of the jobs that were lost over the past

0:39:51.040 --> 0:39:55.120
<v Speaker 1>several months. Michael, the jump back that we've seen in stocks,

0:39:55.440 --> 0:39:58.000
<v Speaker 1>um the bounce back we're up about the S and

0:39:58.040 --> 0:40:01.440
<v Speaker 1>P five was still off are high, yes, but we're

0:40:02.040 --> 0:40:05.200
<v Speaker 1>still down about three percent so far to day. Makes

0:40:05.200 --> 0:40:07.239
<v Speaker 1>sense to you so far? Or is? Do you think

0:40:07.239 --> 0:40:08.840
<v Speaker 1>the equity markets are getting ahead of them and just

0:40:08.880 --> 0:40:12.440
<v Speaker 1>got about thirty seconds here? Sure? Well, looking at evaluation

0:40:12.520 --> 0:40:14.320
<v Speaker 1>right now, the S and P s trading at about

0:40:14.320 --> 0:40:17.040
<v Speaker 1>twenty four times this year's numbers and twenty times next

0:40:17.120 --> 0:40:19.640
<v Speaker 1>year's numbers, so a lot of good news has certainly

0:40:19.760 --> 0:40:21.880
<v Speaker 1>been been priced in. I think as long as the

0:40:21.920 --> 0:40:25.240
<v Speaker 1>direction of the economy continues to improve in the months ahead,

0:40:25.640 --> 0:40:27.600
<v Speaker 1>I think the benefit of the doubt will be towards

0:40:27.719 --> 0:40:30.560
<v Speaker 1>higher equity markets, but it won't be in a straight line,

0:40:31.719 --> 0:40:33.880
<v Speaker 1>all right, Michael Sheldon, thank you so much. Good to

0:40:33.920 --> 0:40:36.040
<v Speaker 1>catch up with you as always. Michael Sheldon is the

0:40:36.080 --> 0:40:41.080
<v Speaker 1>executive director, chief Investment Officer of High Tower RDM Financial Group,

0:40:41.160 --> 0:40:43.920
<v Speaker 1>joining us on the phone from Westport. Thanks so much

0:40:43.920 --> 0:40:46.840
<v Speaker 1>for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on Itune,

0:40:46.840 --> 0:40:50.000
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0:40:50.040 --> 0:40:51.839
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0:40:51.880 --> 0:40:54.680
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