1 00:00:02,920 --> 00:00:07,280 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:11,600 Speaker 2: The travel sector shoving a little bit more optimism. Tony Capawana, 3 00:00:11,640 --> 00:00:13,560 Speaker 2: the president and CEO of Marriott, saying this on the 4 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:16,360 Speaker 2: latest earnings call. The demand for all types of travel 5 00:00:16,440 --> 00:00:19,720 Speaker 2: remained strong even as the rebound impact from the pandemic 6 00:00:20,040 --> 00:00:22,040 Speaker 2: has waned. A place to say that, Tony joins us 7 00:00:22,040 --> 00:00:23,799 Speaker 2: now and he'll be with us through the at Tony, 8 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:26,439 Speaker 2: good morning to you. Good morning eighty eight hundred properties, 9 00:00:26,480 --> 00:00:28,520 Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty nine countries. You've got a decent 10 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:31,200 Speaker 2: line of sight into the global consumer. The story we've 11 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:33,120 Speaker 2: heard a lot about is US strong, rest of the 12 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:35,080 Speaker 2: world not so good. Do you see it the other 13 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:36,239 Speaker 2: way round in your business? 14 00:00:36,640 --> 00:00:37,479 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know that. 15 00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:39,519 Speaker 3: I would say the US is weak. I think the 16 00:00:39,680 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 3: US has reached a normalized environment a little more quickly. 17 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:46,000 Speaker 3: If you look at the experience we had in our 18 00:00:46,080 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 3: business last year, we saw a global RevPAR revenue per 19 00:00:50,720 --> 00:00:53,360 Speaker 3: available room, which is the metric that we use to 20 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:57,560 Speaker 3: evaluate the strength of the business increase about fifteen percent, 21 00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:02,320 Speaker 3: single digit growth here home in the US, strong double 22 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:05,640 Speaker 3: digit growth internationally. Now, some of that is because those 23 00:01:05,720 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 3: markets opened a little more slowly, so they benefited from 24 00:01:09,160 --> 00:01:12,720 Speaker 3: easier year over year comparisons. But even as we look 25 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:15,800 Speaker 3: into twenty four, we guide it on our earnings called 26 00:01:15,880 --> 00:01:20,039 Speaker 3: three to five percent global RevPAR growth this year again 27 00:01:20,240 --> 00:01:22,920 Speaker 3: disproportionately stronger international. 28 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:25,559 Speaker 2: Let's sit in international just for a moment. So UK 29 00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:32,320 Speaker 2: economies contracting, Germany Agobian recession, Japan in one, China struggling. 30 00:01:32,800 --> 00:01:34,399 Speaker 2: You don't see it in quite the same way, and 31 00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 2: I find that really really interesting. And you seeing a 32 00:01:36,319 --> 00:01:38,679 Speaker 2: bounce back, then what you actually see in which region 33 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:39,920 Speaker 2: a more constructive on. 34 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:44,600 Speaker 3: So Asia broadly is really strong from a travel perspective. 35 00:01:44,680 --> 00:01:45,119 Speaker 4: Right now. 36 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:48,240 Speaker 3: We think about Asia in two buckets, if you will, 37 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 3: what we call APEC Asia Pacific excluding China, and then 38 00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 3: Greater China. Greater China's fully recovered to pre pandemic levels, 39 00:01:57,440 --> 00:02:02,600 Speaker 3: although interestingly largely on the show of domestic demand. If 40 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:07,080 Speaker 3: you look at cross border air airlift, it's only about 41 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:11,200 Speaker 3: sixty or seventy percent recovered to pre pandemic levels. So 42 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:13,680 Speaker 3: we actually think there's still a fair amount of upside 43 00:02:13,720 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 3: to the China recovery story as more and more cross 44 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:20,239 Speaker 3: border travel recovers. I'll be in China in two weeks, 45 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:23,760 Speaker 3: and I'm anxious to see how it feels in terms 46 00:02:23,760 --> 00:02:27,240 Speaker 3: of international travel. I was there maybe nine months ago 47 00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:30,400 Speaker 3: and it felt very domestic. I was in markets like 48 00:02:30,440 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 3: shang Sha and Shengdu and felt like I was one 49 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 3: of the few international travelers. So it'll be quite interesting 50 00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:39,480 Speaker 3: when you look at the Apech markets. They are booming. 51 00:02:41,320 --> 00:02:44,200 Speaker 3: Thailand is very strong, Singapore is very strong. I was 52 00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:49,440 Speaker 3: just in Vietnam, really strong, both from a development perspective 53 00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:51,280 Speaker 3: and an inbound travel perspective. 54 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:52,839 Speaker 1: And the last. 55 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:58,440 Speaker 3: Comment I would make, You've seen China create some visa 56 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:03,040 Speaker 3: free travel zone across the APEC region and that's really 57 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:04,680 Speaker 3: impacting demand patterns. 58 00:03:04,919 --> 00:03:05,880 Speaker 2: I have to go there. 59 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:09,120 Speaker 1: We talk about banning iPhones. Is there a problem with 60 00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:11,120 Speaker 1: staying at a Marriotte hotel in China? 61 00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:15,120 Speaker 3: No, you know, we have It's our second largest market. 62 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:18,800 Speaker 3: We just opened our five hundredth hotel in China. We've 63 00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:22,040 Speaker 3: got another four hundred hotels in the pipeline behind that. 64 00:03:22,639 --> 00:03:26,359 Speaker 3: The vast majority of our portfolio is China owned, the 65 00:03:26,440 --> 00:03:29,920 Speaker 3: vast majority of our workforce is Chinese, so we see 66 00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:31,040 Speaker 3: great strength in our. 67 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:34,200 Speaker 1: China business moving forward. I am curious about where you 68 00:03:34,240 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 1: see the demand coming from I know you've fit expanding 69 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:40,040 Speaker 1: into mid scale. We said it sale mid scale types 70 00:03:40,200 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 1: of accommodations. Is that because you see the growth in 71 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 1: actually lower income and media income families and not as 72 00:03:46,640 --> 00:03:48,160 Speaker 1: much in the luxury sector. 73 00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:51,920 Speaker 3: That's a good question. My view is it's not binary. 74 00:03:52,720 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 3: We have the largest luxury portfolio in the industry. We 75 00:03:56,000 --> 00:03:59,680 Speaker 3: have more than five hundred luxury hotels globally, another two 76 00:03:59,760 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 3: h RIDD and fifty in the pipeline behind that. We 77 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:06,200 Speaker 3: saw a revenue per available room in the luxury portfolio 78 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:09,720 Speaker 3: actually grow ten percent. I was listening to the prior 79 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:13,120 Speaker 3: segment and hearing about trade down. We're not seeing that 80 00:04:13,160 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 3: from luxury. Luxury continues to be a really strong segment 81 00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:20,240 Speaker 3: for us. Our entry into mid scale is really intended 82 00:04:20,240 --> 00:04:24,479 Speaker 3: to open the aperture. Our objective simply is to try 83 00:04:24,480 --> 00:04:27,719 Speaker 3: and capture as broad a segment of the traveling public 84 00:04:27,760 --> 00:04:31,440 Speaker 3: as possible, and entry into mid scale just allows us 85 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:33,760 Speaker 3: to capture a broader segment of the traveling. 86 00:04:33,600 --> 00:04:35,159 Speaker 2: Can I ask you what is mid scale? Can you 87 00:04:35,160 --> 00:04:37,280 Speaker 2: describe that? What is the difference between sit mid scan 88 00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:40,040 Speaker 2: and luxury and what you call the other end of 89 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:40,840 Speaker 2: the scale. 90 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:45,919 Speaker 3: So luxury is obviously from a physical product perspective and 91 00:04:45,960 --> 00:04:50,159 Speaker 3: a service delivery perspective, everything you could hope for mid 92 00:04:50,200 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 3: scale simply put cheap and cheerful, right, simple, high quality facility, 93 00:04:56,160 --> 00:05:01,680 Speaker 3: but simply delivered minimal services g bed, great shower, great 94 00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:04,320 Speaker 3: Wi Fi, but relatively limited services. 95 00:05:04,480 --> 00:05:07,600 Speaker 4: When you're looking at that mid scale, your competitor IHD 96 00:05:07,720 --> 00:05:10,640 Speaker 4: was on yesterday and talked about ten next ten year projections. 97 00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 4: US middle class will grow one hundred million, China's middle 98 00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 4: class two hundred million. When you look at building out 99 00:05:16,080 --> 00:05:17,960 Speaker 4: the middle class around the world, where is it is 100 00:05:17,960 --> 00:05:18,599 Speaker 4: that in China? 101 00:05:19,160 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 3: It's everywhere. I mean, I think across Asia. You see 102 00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:25,640 Speaker 3: really strong growth in mid scale. You see it here 103 00:05:25,680 --> 00:05:30,880 Speaker 3: in the US, and that consumer we want to get 104 00:05:30,920 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 3: them exposed to the breadth of our portfolio. Early. We've 105 00:05:34,960 --> 00:05:39,080 Speaker 3: got nearly two hundred million members in our loyalty program Bonvoy. 106 00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:42,480 Speaker 3: By entering the mid scale segment for the first time, 107 00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 3: it gives us the ability to show a segment of 108 00:05:45,480 --> 00:05:49,600 Speaker 3: the traveling public the breadth to the portfolio, who perhaps 109 00:05:49,680 --> 00:05:53,359 Speaker 3: isn't aware of the thirty brands that make up Marriott today. 110 00:05:53,440 --> 00:05:55,000 Speaker 1: All I can say is that side of the table 111 00:05:55,080 --> 00:05:57,800 Speaker 1: is the luxury side, and this is a fearful side. 112 00:05:57,920 --> 00:05:59,200 Speaker 1: See I can thank you all. 113 00:05:59,279 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, exactly. 114 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:02,480 Speaker 2: Sort of a question. I love it sounds not here 115 00:06:02,480 --> 00:06:04,360 Speaker 2: anymore of a mainstam. 116 00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:05,000 Speaker 1: Well, I mean I'm wrong. 117 00:06:06,720 --> 00:06:07,560 Speaker 3: I know I'm missed. 118 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 2: Talking about me at all. I'm not gone. Let's move on. 119 00:06:10,880 --> 00:06:14,000 Speaker 1: There is this question though, about what Karen Dawson was saying, 120 00:06:14,120 --> 00:06:16,400 Speaker 1: which is, we are seeing delinquencies tick up, we are 121 00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:19,200 Speaker 1: seeing retail sales come in weaker than expected, we are 122 00:06:19,279 --> 00:06:22,400 Speaker 1: seeing signs of cracks on the margins. Are you not 123 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:25,200 Speaker 1: seeing it? I mean, yes, because you're offering a wonderful 124 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:28,719 Speaker 1: product and etcetera, etcetera. But is it partly because people 125 00:06:28,760 --> 00:06:31,200 Speaker 1: continue to prioritize travel in a way that they just 126 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:32,480 Speaker 1: didn't before the pandemic. 127 00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 3: I think that's exactly right. One of the great benefits 128 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:38,920 Speaker 3: of our credit card partnerships with JP, Morgan Chase and 129 00:06:38,920 --> 00:06:42,560 Speaker 3: an American Express is we have really deep insights into 130 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:46,360 Speaker 3: that consumer spending and even prior to the pandemic, what 131 00:06:46,400 --> 00:06:50,600 Speaker 3: we saw, maybe with younger demographics, was a shift towards 132 00:06:50,920 --> 00:06:54,719 Speaker 3: or away from spending on hard goods towards spending on experiences. 133 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:57,920 Speaker 3: It appears when we look at that data today, the 134 00:06:57,920 --> 00:07:02,600 Speaker 3: pandemic acted as an accelerant to that trend across demographics, 135 00:07:02,960 --> 00:07:07,479 Speaker 3: and as a result, now perhaps the consumer saw or 136 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:11,120 Speaker 3: learned during the pandemic. I didn't buy any purses, I 137 00:07:11,120 --> 00:07:14,080 Speaker 3: didn't buy any watches, I didn't buy any shoes, and 138 00:07:14,120 --> 00:07:16,840 Speaker 3: I didn't miss it that much. But I sure missed traveling, 139 00:07:17,160 --> 00:07:21,320 Speaker 3: and so I've prioritized that disposable income I have, and 140 00:07:21,400 --> 00:07:25,440 Speaker 3: I am seeking the vacation that I missed, the family reunion, 141 00:07:25,520 --> 00:07:29,960 Speaker 3: the wedding, the trip with friends, whatever it might be. 142 00:07:30,360 --> 00:07:33,880 Speaker 3: And so we really don't see that decline in travel 143 00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:37,320 Speaker 3: spending in the data. We just reported fourth quarter and 144 00:07:37,480 --> 00:07:41,160 Speaker 3: full year earnings highest Ebadah in the history of the company. 145 00:07:41,360 --> 00:07:46,920 Speaker 3: As I mentioned, fifteen percent RevPAR growth, really extraordinary numbers, 146 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:50,520 Speaker 3: and what was encouraging to me, the strength we saw 147 00:07:50,720 --> 00:07:53,840 Speaker 3: was across geographies and across demand sectors. 148 00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:56,160 Speaker 2: I missed the service. Can we talk about that. I'm 149 00:07:56,160 --> 00:07:58,080 Speaker 2: not talking about Marriott now, just for the record, I'm 150 00:07:58,120 --> 00:08:02,200 Speaker 2: talking about hotels in general. You go in, the towels 151 00:08:02,200 --> 00:08:04,120 Speaker 2: are there, they might be on the floor. I'm usually 152 00:08:04,160 --> 00:08:05,560 Speaker 2: good about that. I'll put that on the side, I 153 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:07,360 Speaker 2: don't make too much work for people. But then there'll 154 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:09,000 Speaker 2: be this little card that it will say something like 155 00:08:09,440 --> 00:08:12,200 Speaker 2: we're going green, so we're pulling back on washing things. 156 00:08:12,560 --> 00:08:14,480 Speaker 2: And I say the same thing every single time I'm 157 00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:17,040 Speaker 2: in a hotel room. Are we using going green as 158 00:08:17,080 --> 00:08:19,600 Speaker 2: an excuse to provide less service than we used to 159 00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:21,240 Speaker 2: at hotels? Yeah? 160 00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:23,920 Speaker 3: I think that would be a fair view if you 161 00:08:23,960 --> 00:08:28,840 Speaker 3: didn't have optionality. And so if your view is I 162 00:08:28,880 --> 00:08:31,720 Speaker 3: want fresh towels every day, I want my bed remade. 163 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:32,800 Speaker 2: Ever, we can still go on for it. 164 00:08:32,840 --> 00:08:35,240 Speaker 3: You can absolutely still get them. But what we can't 165 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:39,000 Speaker 3: hear from our customers more and more is they want 166 00:08:39,040 --> 00:08:43,160 Speaker 3: the ability to contribute sustainability and have sustainability be a 167 00:08:43,200 --> 00:08:44,440 Speaker 3: part of their travel. 168 00:08:44,160 --> 00:08:47,760 Speaker 2: At the high end. Well, the makes we stay board interesting, 169 00:08:48,040 --> 00:08:50,839 Speaker 2: all right. I rule myself out personally. I think that 170 00:08:50,920 --> 00:08:52,800 Speaker 2: when I go and you spend that much money. 171 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:54,280 Speaker 4: You towels are the Saint regions. 172 00:08:54,880 --> 00:08:57,960 Speaker 2: No, I'm not getting too that. If you go to 173 00:08:58,080 --> 00:09:01,600 Speaker 2: a hotel, five star hotel, spend real money to go 174 00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 2: and stay there, you want fresh towels, fresh sheets, don't you. 175 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:06,280 Speaker 2: Isn't that whole part of the experience. 176 00:09:06,280 --> 00:09:07,680 Speaker 3: I don't need to go into how often do you 177 00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:08,880 Speaker 3: watch your tower home. 178 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 2: Home every couple of days, of fresh towel every couple 179 00:09:11,920 --> 00:09:12,280 Speaker 2: of days. 180 00:09:12,320 --> 00:09:15,200 Speaker 1: Honestly, I can reuse my talent because I feel like 181 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:16,319 Speaker 1: I'm obligated to. 182 00:09:16,360 --> 00:09:20,160 Speaker 2: It's the conversation I didn't expect, But ultimately I'm getting 183 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:22,560 Speaker 2: to the point about service. Don't you feel like service 184 00:09:22,640 --> 00:09:23,920 Speaker 2: is pulled back since the pandemic? 185 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:26,920 Speaker 1: Without a doubt it has been, and it's been sort 186 00:09:26,960 --> 00:09:30,000 Speaker 1: of an open non secret because frankly, there wasn't the staff, 187 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:32,560 Speaker 1: which raises this question of whether you can hire enough 188 00:09:32,600 --> 00:09:35,080 Speaker 1: people and what kind of people you can retain over 189 00:09:35,120 --> 00:09:36,000 Speaker 1: a longer period of time. 190 00:09:36,040 --> 00:09:37,400 Speaker 2: It's a good question we can get into. 191 00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:39,880 Speaker 3: Although one of the things that's been interesting when you've 192 00:09:39,920 --> 00:09:42,959 Speaker 3: watched the employment reports over the last number of quarters, 193 00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:47,800 Speaker 3: you see that hospitality has been a disproportionate contributor as 194 00:09:47,840 --> 00:09:49,040 Speaker 3: our industry sector. 195 00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:51,280 Speaker 2: Staff's very true, and I'll say this for the record, 196 00:09:51,320 --> 00:09:53,160 Speaker 2: stand at my house is not one thousand dollars a 197 00:09:53,240 --> 00:09:55,480 Speaker 2: night Tony caf one of International