1
00:00:01,440 --> 00:00:08,280
Speaker 1: The volume. DraftKings, the leader in fantasy sports, just dropped

2
00:00:08,320 --> 00:00:12,000
Speaker 1: a brand new fantasy app, Pick six. Pick six is

3
00:00:12,039 --> 00:00:14,800
Speaker 1: the newest way for you to get in on fantasy

4
00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:17,800
Speaker 1: football action. With DraftKings. Just pick between two and six

5
00:00:17,880 --> 00:00:20,759
Speaker 1: NFL players and choose if they're gonna have more or

6
00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:24,120
Speaker 1: less of a stat For example, will a player have

7
00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:26,880
Speaker 1: more or less than one hundred rushing yards or will

8
00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:30,120
Speaker 1: a player have more than one touchdown? Track your lineup

9
00:00:30,120 --> 00:00:33,639
Speaker 1: and compete against others for a shot at huge cash prizes.

10
00:00:34,159 --> 00:00:37,360
Speaker 1: Down at the DraftKings Pick six app now and sign

11
00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:42,360
Speaker 1: up with Code John. That's Code John John only on

12
00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:46,120
Speaker 1: Draftkinks Pick six. The crown is yours. Gambling problem called

13
00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:49,479
Speaker 1: one in hundred Gambler or visit www dot one in

14
00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:52,880
Speaker 1: hundred gambler dot net. In New York, call eight seven

15
00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:55,760
Speaker 1: to seven hope and why, or text hope and why

16
00:00:56,160 --> 00:00:58,840
Speaker 1: four sixty seven three to sixty nine. In Connecticut, help

17
00:00:58,920 --> 00:01:02,280
Speaker 1: is available for problem game am call eighty eight seven

18
00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:07,200
Speaker 1: eight nine seven seven seven or visit CCPG dot org.

19
00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:10,800
Speaker 1: Please play responsibly on behalf of Boothill Casino and Resort

20
00:01:10,840 --> 00:01:15,520
Speaker 1: in Kansas twenty one plus. Age varies by jurisdiction voidan Ontario.

21
00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:19,440
Speaker 1: Bonus bets expire one hundred and sixty eight hours after issuance.

22
00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:25,199
Speaker 1: See DKNG dot com slash football for eligibility and deposit restrictions,

23
00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:40,640
Speaker 1: terms and responsible gaming resources. What is going on? Everybody?

24
00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:45,440
Speaker 1: John middlecop three and out podcast. Here is the plan today.

25
00:01:46,480 --> 00:01:50,800
Speaker 1: We are going to put out a gambling only podcast.

26
00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:54,160
Speaker 1: I talked to Stuckey. I think he was back in

27
00:01:55,040 --> 00:01:59,320
Speaker 1: PA and Philadelphia visiting some family, and we dive in

28
00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:04,880
Speaker 1: deep to everything about the Super Bowl, props obviously the

29
00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:09,840
Speaker 1: overall game, some of our thoughts, you know, MVP stuff,

30
00:02:10,040 --> 00:02:14,240
Speaker 1: some just different flyer bets. You name it, we cover it.

31
00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:19,760
Speaker 1: And I actually just saw a headline that sixty eight

32
00:02:19,919 --> 00:02:23,120
Speaker 1: million people are going to gamble on the Super Bowl,

33
00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:26,160
Speaker 1: up thirty five percent from last year, which I'm sure

34
00:02:26,200 --> 00:02:28,480
Speaker 1: was an all time high. Great time to be alive

35
00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:31,760
Speaker 1: this I feel like this time as someone who's a

36
00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:35,920
Speaker 1: podcaster and as a degenerate gambler, I feel like I

37
00:02:36,000 --> 00:02:39,400
Speaker 1: was born to live in the twenty twenties. You know,

38
00:02:39,480 --> 00:02:41,799
Speaker 1: it's some people, it's like I would have been a

39
00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:45,120
Speaker 1: lot better in the nineteen forties, Like I would not

40
00:02:45,280 --> 00:02:49,280
Speaker 1: have I can't fix much, not a great shot. So

41
00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:54,880
Speaker 1: I would say the twenty twenties were made for John Middlecoff.

42
00:02:55,440 --> 00:02:57,400
Speaker 1: And luckily we get to talk about the super Bowl.

43
00:02:57,400 --> 00:03:00,679
Speaker 1: So I'm very very excited. I just went person there,

44
00:03:00,680 --> 00:03:04,160
Speaker 1: but kind of jokingly. It was very sarcastic, you know,

45
00:03:04,160 --> 00:03:07,800
Speaker 1: it wasn't too serious. And here's the plan. I we

46
00:03:07,840 --> 00:03:11,280
Speaker 1: did a podcast every day this week. I'm gonna bring

47
00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:13,560
Speaker 1: my stuff with me if you're listening to this. On Thursday,

48
00:03:13,639 --> 00:03:17,880
Speaker 1: I am in Las Vegas. And when I'm in Las Vegas,

49
00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:20,560
Speaker 1: I might do a little little podcast for us, maybe

50
00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:24,920
Speaker 1: from the hotel room the old Cosmopolitan, see what's going on,

51
00:03:25,000 --> 00:03:27,960
Speaker 1: see who I can run into and who I can

52
00:03:28,040 --> 00:03:31,720
Speaker 1: rub elbows with it at the Volume party, and yeah,

53
00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:34,080
Speaker 1: we will go from there. So this will be the

54
00:03:34,120 --> 00:03:37,760
Speaker 1: big breakdown gambling, kind of discussing the game. And I

55
00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:40,640
Speaker 1: would imagine Friday's podcast a little lighter, a little more

56
00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:43,800
Speaker 1: of a screw round podcast. But before we dive into

57
00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:45,800
Speaker 1: my man Stucky from the Action Network, you guys know

58
00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:51,520
Speaker 1: the Drill. Download the official ticketing app of this podcast.

59
00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:54,320
Speaker 1: It's game time. I said it yesterday, I'm gonna say

60
00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:58,320
Speaker 1: it again. Had some family friends by almost seventy five

61
00:03:58,360 --> 00:04:00,640
Speaker 1: thousand dollars worth of the Super Bowl tickets. Now, it's

62
00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:04,200
Speaker 1: clearly the most expensive event you can It's it's humanly

63
00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:08,080
Speaker 1: possible to attend. But a lot of these concerts and

64
00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:11,800
Speaker 1: NBA games and college basketball, it's very expensive to go

65
00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:14,760
Speaker 1: to these games. Right, maybe not super Bowl prices, but

66
00:04:15,400 --> 00:04:19,000
Speaker 1: listen for us, for us working class people behind tickets

67
00:04:19,080 --> 00:04:21,960
Speaker 1: is a big deal. Trust me, I've seen the prices

68
00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:25,000
Speaker 1: and been lucky enough to partner with game Time to

69
00:04:25,040 --> 00:04:28,000
Speaker 1: try to save some people some money. And anything you

70
00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:32,880
Speaker 1: want to go to college, professional sports, obviously, concerts, comedy shows,

71
00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:36,360
Speaker 1: use the game Time app and then use the promo

72
00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:42,640
Speaker 1: code John, John John, save yourself twenty dollars, get out

73
00:04:42,640 --> 00:04:46,240
Speaker 1: of the house, go enjoy a night out, and do

74
00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:48,840
Speaker 1: it with a little help from us saving a little money.

75
00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:51,240
Speaker 1: Don't even need to thank you. Just download that app

76
00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:54,760
Speaker 1: game Time promo code John, and go enjoy yourself with

77
00:04:54,880 --> 00:04:59,200
Speaker 1: some family, some friends, a loved one, and yeah, tweet

78
00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:03,159
Speaker 1: at us or Instagram tag us. We'd appreciate it. Okay,

79
00:05:04,000 --> 00:05:09,280
Speaker 1: super Bowl week is upon us, and I like my

80
00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:13,760
Speaker 1: man stucky and bittersweet because this game is probably the

81
00:05:13,839 --> 00:05:15,880
Speaker 1: best game in the history of games to gamble on,

82
00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:19,640
Speaker 1: given that you can make seven million different bets, but

83
00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:22,840
Speaker 1: it also means that there is not a football game.

84
00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:26,400
Speaker 1: I don't even count preseason anymore a meaningful football game

85
00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:31,039
Speaker 1: till early September. That's a long time Stucky. Action Network.

86
00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:34,080
Speaker 1: It's got a Super Bowl podcast coming out. The Attorney's

87
00:05:34,120 --> 00:05:36,720
Speaker 1: not that far away. No one is more locked into

88
00:05:36,760 --> 00:05:40,000
Speaker 1: college basketball on a random Wednesday night than this guy,

89
00:05:40,400 --> 00:05:42,800
Speaker 1: So Stucky, what's cracking.

90
00:05:42,560 --> 00:05:46,480
Speaker 2: Bro, don't short us a week? By the way, late August.

91
00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:49,359
Speaker 2: Last week August well have like a game in Dublin

92
00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:50,240
Speaker 2: in college football.

93
00:05:50,279 --> 00:05:52,239
Speaker 1: But yeah, yeah, that's true college football.

94
00:05:53,839 --> 00:05:58,120
Speaker 2: It's regardless. It's depressing either way. I remember growing up.

95
00:05:58,320 --> 00:06:02,440
Speaker 2: I think that this weekend when the Pro Bol, I

96
00:06:02,480 --> 00:06:05,080
Speaker 2: didn't even I didn't see a highlight. I didn't watch

97
00:06:05,120 --> 00:06:06,760
Speaker 2: any of the Pro Bowl. I used to love the

98
00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:09,760
Speaker 2: Pro Bowl, and I think like it peaked like the

99
00:06:09,839 --> 00:06:14,960
Speaker 2: peak Pro Bowls twenty years ago. This week when Peyton

100
00:06:15,040 --> 00:06:17,720
Speaker 2: Manning they got it was like the finals was like

101
00:06:17,760 --> 00:06:20,480
Speaker 2: fifty four to fifty one. Peyton Manning led like a

102
00:06:20,560 --> 00:06:24,360
Speaker 2: two minute drill. The defense was trying at the end.

103
00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:26,560
Speaker 2: The funny thing is they didn't get the on side kick,

104
00:06:26,640 --> 00:06:29,520
Speaker 2: but the NFC didn't take knees because it's like, hey,

105
00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:31,320
Speaker 2: it's the Pro Bowl. So Peyton Manning got a chance

106
00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:33,920
Speaker 2: to uh they just chucked it in the end zone

107
00:06:33,920 --> 00:06:36,400
Speaker 2: and the NFC picked it. But man, yeah, like the

108
00:06:36,480 --> 00:06:38,760
Speaker 2: Pro Bowl. I mean, it's so bad now.

109
00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:44,600
Speaker 1: Bro, I saw highlights on Twitter this weekend of like

110
00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:47,000
Speaker 1: a deep bomb to Randy Moss, which I would get.

111
00:06:47,040 --> 00:06:49,320
Speaker 1: He had a Minnesota helmet on so early two thousands,

112
00:06:49,960 --> 00:06:53,880
Speaker 1: the defensive line was full go. The quarterback had to scramble.

113
00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:58,880
Speaker 1: Randy's getting double coverage that the dbs fly into each other. Honestly,

114
00:06:58,960 --> 00:07:00,840
Speaker 1: it looked like a normal game. It's like the NBA

115
00:07:00,880 --> 00:07:03,160
Speaker 1: All Star Game you watched in the nineties. It was

116
00:07:03,279 --> 00:07:05,800
Speaker 1: legitim back, it was like Michael Jordan versus Shack or

117
00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:09,200
Speaker 1: what you know. It was like felt legitimate. Now obviously

118
00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:12,080
Speaker 1: the money is so outrageous. None of these guys give

119
00:07:12,120 --> 00:07:14,600
Speaker 1: a shit. I'm with you. I didn't see one snap,

120
00:07:15,800 --> 00:07:18,000
Speaker 1: but they It's not even football. It's just it's it's

121
00:07:18,080 --> 00:07:21,080
Speaker 1: flag football now, so which is very un brand.

122
00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:25,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, Sean Taylor rest in peace. Let up

123
00:07:25,400 --> 00:07:29,320
Speaker 2: Brian Mormon. That twenty two thousand and four Pro Bowl game.

124
00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:34,200
Speaker 2: Ed Reid my favorite player of all time. He blocked

125
00:07:34,240 --> 00:07:38,160
Speaker 2: the punt, scooped it, and returned it like it's a

126
00:07:38,240 --> 00:07:40,680
Speaker 2: pro ball and this guy's going full gear to block

127
00:07:40,720 --> 00:07:44,800
Speaker 2: a punt. But speaking of depressing yet depressing weekend for

128
00:07:44,920 --> 00:07:47,360
Speaker 2: me last week with the Raivens, which leads would lead

129
00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:50,320
Speaker 2: them to the Super Bowl, because that was not the

130
00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:51,920
Speaker 2: team I saw all year. I don't know what their

131
00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:56,560
Speaker 2: game plan was. They didn't run it. One of the

132
00:07:56,680 --> 00:07:59,120
Speaker 2: least run heavy game plans of any team in any

133
00:07:59,160 --> 00:08:01,320
Speaker 2: game regular season, close season of the entire season, and

134
00:08:01,360 --> 00:08:02,880
Speaker 2: they were the most run heavy team in the league.

135
00:08:03,080 --> 00:08:06,040
Speaker 2: They didn't throw a play action. I almost feel like

136
00:08:06,640 --> 00:08:10,920
Speaker 2: the Galaxy brain themselves. They said, oh, the Chiefs are

137
00:08:10,960 --> 00:08:14,400
Speaker 2: going to expect us to run, and they overthought it.

138
00:08:14,920 --> 00:08:18,320
Speaker 2: And because if there's no other explanation to the what

139
00:08:18,440 --> 00:08:21,600
Speaker 2: their game plan was, you know, they just spread, spread

140
00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:23,640
Speaker 2: the Chiefs out and throwing them with lamar. It's like

141
00:08:23,680 --> 00:08:26,720
Speaker 2: your weakness versus their strength. The only other thing that

142
00:08:27,160 --> 00:08:29,120
Speaker 2: is worth bringing up because it's relevant to the Super

143
00:08:29,160 --> 00:08:32,400
Speaker 2: Bowl is that this happened with Prime Brady as well.

144
00:08:32,440 --> 00:08:34,440
Speaker 2: So I'm really curious what happens with the forty nine

145
00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:39,120
Speaker 2: ers if they get behind. Teams feel like they're behind

146
00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:42,199
Speaker 2: by way more than they are. So it's like you're

147
00:08:42,200 --> 00:08:44,640
Speaker 2: playing Prime Brady and you go down seven. Like the

148
00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:46,400
Speaker 2: Ravens ran that game the entire game, there was no

149
00:08:46,480 --> 00:08:49,360
Speaker 2: reason to not run the ball at all, but you

150
00:08:49,559 --> 00:08:52,719
Speaker 2: feel like you can't afford to potentially just run it

151
00:08:52,760 --> 00:08:54,400
Speaker 2: a couple of times and have to punt, and then

152
00:08:54,400 --> 00:08:57,640
Speaker 2: they're going to score again, and you get this like panicked.

153
00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:00,079
Speaker 2: We have to keep up, we have to throw, we

154
00:09:00,200 --> 00:09:03,640
Speaker 2: have to be super aggressive because of who we're playing against.

155
00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:05,920
Speaker 2: You would see teams just abandon their game plans against

156
00:09:06,000 --> 00:09:09,200
Speaker 2: Brian Brady, and you see it at times against Mahomes.

157
00:09:09,480 --> 00:09:11,200
Speaker 2: And one of the biggest advantages the forty nine ers

158
00:09:11,240 --> 00:09:14,360
Speaker 2: have in this game is obviously they're running their rush attack,

159
00:09:14,400 --> 00:09:17,800
Speaker 2: their play action passing. So if they get behind, can

160
00:09:17,840 --> 00:09:21,600
Speaker 2: they just stay You know that Channan's gonna have his script,

161
00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:24,280
Speaker 2: but after that, can they just stay calm and relax?

162
00:09:24,360 --> 00:09:27,000
Speaker 2: Because I feel like the Raivens played that game and

163
00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:31,120
Speaker 2: called that game like they were down twenty Ever since

164
00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:32,720
Speaker 2: since they went down seven, I think they thought they

165
00:09:32,720 --> 00:09:34,600
Speaker 2: were down twenty the entire game. It's very bizarre.

166
00:09:35,240 --> 00:09:37,319
Speaker 1: You know, it's funny. I heard Steve Young talking about it.

167
00:09:37,320 --> 00:09:40,520
Speaker 1: He's like, the crazy part about the playoffs is when

168
00:09:40,559 --> 00:09:44,520
Speaker 1: you're a good team, your whole. If something goes wrong early,

169
00:09:44,960 --> 00:09:47,000
Speaker 1: you look up and it feels like your whole because

170
00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:49,679
Speaker 1: it is. It's just a one game situation. It's like

171
00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:53,600
Speaker 1: your whole season is just you know, disappearing in front

172
00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:56,640
Speaker 1: of your eyes, and everyone kind of freaks instead of,

173
00:09:56,920 --> 00:09:58,680
Speaker 1: like you said, it's one thing. If you're the Niners,

174
00:09:58,720 --> 00:10:00,839
Speaker 1: you're down twenty four to seven, there has to be

175
00:10:00,960 --> 00:10:03,760
Speaker 1: some urgency. But like sometimes you're down ten to nothing,

176
00:10:03,960 --> 00:10:07,280
Speaker 1: it's it's three minutes left to go in the first quarters. Like, fucker,

177
00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:11,800
Speaker 1: everyone relax, you know, it's we see fumbles, picks, missfield goals.

178
00:10:12,040 --> 00:10:14,480
Speaker 1: Just just take a deep breath. But that is not

179
00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:18,480
Speaker 1: what happens. Now the mone can listen. I with you,

180
00:10:18,760 --> 00:10:22,360
Speaker 1: Like most people hammer the Ravens in that game. You know,

181
00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:26,160
Speaker 1: the one thing different between Shanahan and most coaches is

182
00:10:26,320 --> 00:10:29,240
Speaker 1: he will, when he's down a little bit, continue to

183
00:10:29,320 --> 00:10:31,640
Speaker 1: run the ball. Now he not only has the star

184
00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:33,560
Speaker 1: running back, but he has this receiver that can also

185
00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:37,600
Speaker 1: they could get they can like do these hybrid college

186
00:10:37,640 --> 00:10:40,760
Speaker 1: plays where they throw quick screens that have basically run plays,

187
00:10:41,280 --> 00:10:44,199
Speaker 1: so they keep like some semblance of everyone taking a

188
00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:47,080
Speaker 1: deep breath. Most teams, though, are like the Ravens. It's

189
00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:49,160
Speaker 1: either like a true run or a pass. What were

190
00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:51,319
Speaker 1: some of those pass plays? You know, I mean this

191
00:10:51,480 --> 00:10:53,000
Speaker 1: Chiefs team and this is where I get to the

192
00:10:53,080 --> 00:10:55,480
Speaker 1: forty nine ers in this game, like Start to Finish.

193
00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:59,000
Speaker 1: Even Andy Reid was asked about it on the opening ceremonies.

194
00:10:59,160 --> 00:11:01,240
Speaker 1: He's like, it's not crazy there, Like he's kind of

195
00:11:01,679 --> 00:11:03,800
Speaker 1: you know, playing play cad to the media, but like,

196
00:11:04,040 --> 00:11:06,240
Speaker 1: it's not crazy. They're favored. We've been up and down

197
00:11:06,320 --> 00:11:09,040
Speaker 1: all season. They had an excellent season. Like Starting to Finish,

198
00:11:09,080 --> 00:11:11,719
Speaker 1: the Niners were clearly one of the best teams, if not,

199
00:11:12,000 --> 00:11:14,000
Speaker 1: you know, beside the Ravens in that game, the best

200
00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:17,959
Speaker 1: team throughout the season. So the thing with the Niners

201
00:11:18,000 --> 00:11:20,439
Speaker 1: I think that you question is like these last two

202
00:11:20,520 --> 00:11:23,480
Speaker 1: weeks look a lot different than the entire body of

203
00:11:23,559 --> 00:11:26,079
Speaker 1: work were the Chiefs. Honestly, there are a lot of

204
00:11:26,120 --> 00:11:28,520
Speaker 1: similarities with the last couple of weeks. They've played in

205
00:11:28,600 --> 00:11:30,559
Speaker 1: a lot of kind of gritty games. That's kind of

206
00:11:30,640 --> 00:11:33,120
Speaker 1: how they've played. They just won those two instead of

207
00:11:33,480 --> 00:11:36,679
Speaker 1: they lost them throughout the season. But the Niners did

208
00:11:36,760 --> 00:11:39,520
Speaker 1: not look like the team that we've seen the last

209
00:11:39,559 --> 00:11:43,240
Speaker 1: two weeks. I mean, their defense, stucky was getting fucking shredded.

210
00:11:45,160 --> 00:11:46,920
Speaker 1: That makes me nervous, like I want to put an

211
00:11:46,920 --> 00:11:50,319
Speaker 1: astronomical out on the Niners, but it's hard, like and

212
00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:52,800
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna win, but it's not like I'm

213
00:11:53,120 --> 00:11:55,920
Speaker 1: I was confident in cocky going into the last They're

214
00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:57,840
Speaker 1: gonna kill the Lions, or they'll win by double digits.

215
00:11:57,840 --> 00:12:00,160
Speaker 1: Definitely the Packers, and then you got humbled. You got

216
00:12:00,240 --> 00:12:03,640
Speaker 1: humbled quick. But when you can't stop any won, especially

217
00:12:03,720 --> 00:12:06,640
Speaker 1: in the run game, it's like having a bullpen. They

218
00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:09,680
Speaker 1: can't get an out. It's it's very you know, demoralizing,

219
00:12:10,160 --> 00:12:12,280
Speaker 1: you know, you feel just it's like a slow just

220
00:12:12,880 --> 00:12:15,520
Speaker 1: you know, kidney shots on the ground. And the one

221
00:12:15,559 --> 00:12:18,680
Speaker 1: thing with Andy Reid, this kid's got twenty four carries

222
00:12:18,720 --> 00:12:21,120
Speaker 1: in two of the last three games. This isn't you know,

223
00:12:21,240 --> 00:12:23,400
Speaker 1: two thousand and six Andy Reid. He's more willing to

224
00:12:23,480 --> 00:12:26,920
Speaker 1: run it, partly because Pajago's one of their best offensive players.

225
00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:30,120
Speaker 2: Right, Yeah, you know about the way that the Chiefs

226
00:12:30,280 --> 00:12:33,679
Speaker 2: run it at least is not I might not be

227
00:12:33,760 --> 00:12:35,400
Speaker 2: able to take it full advantage of some of the

228
00:12:35,559 --> 00:12:39,240
Speaker 2: forty nine ers issues in their run defense, especially on

229
00:12:39,360 --> 00:12:43,280
Speaker 2: the edge. Right, You're going up against some really good

230
00:12:43,360 --> 00:12:45,400
Speaker 2: rushing teams. The Chiefs middle of the pack, but they've

231
00:12:45,440 --> 00:12:48,599
Speaker 2: been better of late. I think that now in this

232
00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:52,400
Speaker 2: game I played from a side perspective, I didn't play

233
00:12:52,440 --> 00:12:54,839
Speaker 2: the total. I could see it being high. I think

234
00:12:54,840 --> 00:12:57,440
Speaker 2: it's gonna it's gonna come down to the start because

235
00:12:57,440 --> 00:12:59,160
Speaker 2: it's gonna be it's gonna be a slow pace because

236
00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:00,440
Speaker 2: I think both teams are going to run up more

237
00:13:00,440 --> 00:13:02,800
Speaker 2: than forty nine Ers played really slow. The Chiefs don't

238
00:13:02,800 --> 00:13:03,880
Speaker 2: play particularly fast.

239
00:13:04,840 --> 00:13:06,800
Speaker 1: Forty nine Ers do not have a hurry up offense

240
00:13:06,880 --> 00:13:08,480
Speaker 1: doesn't exist, so that.

241
00:13:08,840 --> 00:13:11,600
Speaker 2: The pace will be slow. But from a side perspective,

242
00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:13,520
Speaker 2: I did play the four, so I made the spread

243
00:13:13,520 --> 00:13:17,040
Speaker 2: around like forty nine ers minus two point nine ish.

244
00:13:17,760 --> 00:13:20,200
Speaker 2: And because you have to, you still have to look

245
00:13:20,240 --> 00:13:22,760
Speaker 2: at the entire body of work. The Niners argue should

246
00:13:22,760 --> 00:13:24,360
Speaker 2: have lost the past two weeks, but they were the

247
00:13:24,400 --> 00:13:29,360
Speaker 2: most dominant team in the NFL all season as a

248
00:13:29,440 --> 00:13:32,920
Speaker 2: team that was you know that just they were at

249
00:13:32,960 --> 00:13:35,280
Speaker 2: one point some odds makers had four to five points

250
00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:38,440
Speaker 2: better than the next best team. Now the last two weeks, yeah,

251
00:13:38,559 --> 00:13:41,079
Speaker 2: they argue we should have lost both games, but you know,

252
00:13:41,520 --> 00:13:43,000
Speaker 2: in a way, it's like, all right, we survived that.

253
00:13:43,120 --> 00:13:45,400
Speaker 2: We have two weeks. You have to remember this Chiefs team.

254
00:13:45,679 --> 00:13:50,120
Speaker 2: They played a Dolphins team that was completely decimated, you know,

255
00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:53,480
Speaker 2: out playing them outdoors and like frigid temperatures. You played

256
00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:55,320
Speaker 2: a Bills team, Bills on a short week, that had

257
00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:59,880
Speaker 2: no linebackers left defensive back injuries. They were playing you know,

258
00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:02,360
Speaker 2: a guy that was going on vacation, sixty snaps at

259
00:14:02,400 --> 00:14:04,720
Speaker 2: linebacker and aj Klein who just got abuse. And then

260
00:14:04,720 --> 00:14:06,839
Speaker 2: the Raven's not with this bizarre game plan and just

261
00:14:06,880 --> 00:14:09,160
Speaker 2: don't run the ball, don't throw a play action. So

262
00:14:09,520 --> 00:14:11,720
Speaker 2: the Chiefs still have you know, the wide receiver room

263
00:14:11,800 --> 00:14:14,199
Speaker 2: isn't great. They've kind of shrunk who they throw it to.

264
00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:15,920
Speaker 2: You know, they're leaning on the run. It's like we're

265
00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:17,600
Speaker 2: just gonna throw it to Russ. We're just gonna throw

266
00:14:17,640 --> 00:14:19,880
Speaker 2: up to Kelsey. So they kind of cut a lot

267
00:14:19,920 --> 00:14:22,080
Speaker 2: of fat off their offense. But the tackles are still

268
00:14:22,080 --> 00:14:25,400
Speaker 2: an issue. And you know the defense is good, but

269
00:14:25,640 --> 00:14:28,600
Speaker 2: this is a bottom five defense against the run, a

270
00:14:28,640 --> 00:14:31,760
Speaker 2: bottom five defense against flaction and passing, and you're gonna

271
00:14:31,760 --> 00:14:33,800
Speaker 2: give Kyle Shannan two weeks prepare for that. So I

272
00:14:34,640 --> 00:14:37,600
Speaker 2: played the Niners first half money line. I show a

273
00:14:37,600 --> 00:14:40,520
Speaker 2: little value in the number. And what I'm scared about

274
00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:45,360
Speaker 2: for the forty nine Ers would be, I think anything

275
00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:50,720
Speaker 2: that can happen late could well it potentially favors the Chiefs.

276
00:14:50,880 --> 00:14:53,600
Speaker 2: You would we'll start with special teams. You would trust

277
00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:56,080
Speaker 2: the Chiefs kicker, right, if you have big kicks late

278
00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:59,480
Speaker 2: in the fourth quarter, you're gonna trust Fudker over Moody.

279
00:15:00,320 --> 00:15:05,440
Speaker 2: Defensive second half adjustments, you would trust Spagnola over Wilkes.

280
00:15:05,760 --> 00:15:08,480
Speaker 2: You know, people talk about his adjustments last week. You know,

281
00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:10,600
Speaker 2: the Lion's still a chance to score. All he did

282
00:15:10,720 --> 00:15:13,200
Speaker 2: was just play more man. And we'll see how much

283
00:15:13,280 --> 00:15:15,040
Speaker 2: man he plays here, because you know, Niners play a

284
00:15:15,040 --> 00:15:18,520
Speaker 2: lot of quarters cover three, which Mahomes is historically done

285
00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:21,200
Speaker 2: very well against. But there's not much else the Niners

286
00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:25,800
Speaker 2: will do from a adjustment perspective. Defensively, they're always going

287
00:15:25,880 --> 00:15:27,680
Speaker 2: to have a four man front. You know, They're gonna

288
00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:29,880
Speaker 2: have their two linebackers back a little bit who are excellent,

289
00:15:30,080 --> 00:15:31,840
Speaker 2: and then they can just change up the coverages a

290
00:15:31,880 --> 00:15:34,160
Speaker 2: bit in the back end. But Spagnola is capable of

291
00:15:34,240 --> 00:15:37,960
Speaker 2: making more drastic changes. And this Chiefs defense is allowed

292
00:15:38,840 --> 00:15:41,720
Speaker 2: under four points per game on average in the second

293
00:15:41,760 --> 00:15:44,680
Speaker 2: half over the last eight games. You got to remember

294
00:15:44,760 --> 00:15:46,800
Speaker 2: last week they won in Baltimore. They didn't score a

295
00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:49,680
Speaker 2: point in the second half and they still won. Granted

296
00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:52,040
Speaker 2: they got, you know, some red zone turners, but their

297
00:15:52,040 --> 00:15:55,160
Speaker 2: defensive adjustments have been great. And then for as good

298
00:15:55,160 --> 00:15:57,760
Speaker 2: as part he's been, Sky's still how many starts does

299
00:15:57,800 --> 00:16:00,960
Speaker 2: he have under his belt for a Super Bowl. If

300
00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:03,400
Speaker 2: you have Mahomes who gets the ball late right down

301
00:16:03,520 --> 00:16:06,520
Speaker 2: four or versus Party it gets the ball late down

302
00:16:06,560 --> 00:16:08,720
Speaker 2: for you're gonna trust Mahomes to go down the field

303
00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:11,120
Speaker 2: and get it done. So I think the Niners are

304
00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:13,600
Speaker 2: the better team. I show a little value in the number,

305
00:16:14,080 --> 00:16:16,080
Speaker 2: but I played first half oney on. I think there's

306
00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:18,120
Speaker 2: script will be excellent. I think in a way, you know,

307
00:16:18,200 --> 00:16:20,600
Speaker 2: Shannon's always gonna do what he's gonna do, but seeing

308
00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:23,880
Speaker 2: what the Ravens did against the Chiefs, I think just

309
00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:26,760
Speaker 2: reinforces either the more you have to you have to

310
00:16:26,880 --> 00:16:28,800
Speaker 2: throw with play action, you have to run the ball. Well,

311
00:16:28,800 --> 00:16:32,000
Speaker 2: that's kind of the crux of the San Francisco offense.

312
00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:34,240
Speaker 2: So I think we'll have a ton of success on

313
00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:37,560
Speaker 2: the ground, be able to sustain drives, and then it's

314
00:16:37,600 --> 00:16:40,920
Speaker 2: gonna come down to, you know, can they how big

315
00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:43,080
Speaker 2: of a league can they build? What are the second

316
00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:46,960
Speaker 2: half adjustments from Spagnola? And then can you avoid Mahomes

317
00:16:47,000 --> 00:16:50,040
Speaker 2: getting the ball late and going down the field and scoring.

318
00:16:50,640 --> 00:16:52,440
Speaker 2: And then you hope that you're you know, you're the kicker.

319
00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:56,160
Speaker 2: Disadvantage doesn't hurt you. But you're right, And I don't

320
00:16:56,160 --> 00:17:00,520
Speaker 2: think Shanahan will panic. It's just not who he is. Granted,

321
00:17:01,880 --> 00:17:04,480
Speaker 2: it's this is you're usually the better team, and that's

322
00:17:04,480 --> 00:17:06,879
Speaker 2: one of the reasons why Shannon is usually conservative. And

323
00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:08,920
Speaker 2: he said this, Yeah, like on fourth O, He's like,

324
00:17:08,960 --> 00:17:10,879
Speaker 2: we're usually the better team with better players and not

325
00:17:10,960 --> 00:17:13,760
Speaker 2: to be is aggressive and fourth down? So does that

326
00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:16,080
Speaker 2: does his mindset shift a little bit that they're down

327
00:17:16,119 --> 00:17:18,320
Speaker 2: in the second half. But I trust him more than

328
00:17:18,359 --> 00:17:20,400
Speaker 2: any coach to stick to the game plan and completely

329
00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:24,000
Speaker 2: exploit what Kansas City's primary weaknesses are, which is defending

330
00:17:24,040 --> 00:17:27,040
Speaker 2: the run, you know against clacks and pass. The difference

331
00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:29,520
Speaker 2: between plaction and not play action on the Chiefs, they

332
00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:31,800
Speaker 2: go from a top five to bottom five pass defense.

333
00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:35,359
Speaker 2: Uh So Niners gon to establish the run throw with

334
00:17:35,440 --> 00:17:37,639
Speaker 2: plaaction even early. I think they're gonna have a ton

335
00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:39,959
Speaker 2: of success on offense, but I do worry a bit

336
00:17:39,960 --> 00:17:42,280
Speaker 2: about those three phases in the second half of Spagnola

337
00:17:42,280 --> 00:17:45,159
Speaker 2: adjustments to the Mahomes late factor and then just you know,

338
00:17:45,320 --> 00:17:49,080
Speaker 2: big kicks late. I would tend to side with Kansas City.

339
00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:51,160
Speaker 2: So I played the forty nine Ers first half money

340
00:17:51,240 --> 00:17:53,320
Speaker 2: line was the first bet that I made.

341
00:17:54,320 --> 00:17:56,040
Speaker 1: One thing with the forty nine Ers offense is like

342
00:17:56,119 --> 00:17:59,440
Speaker 1: a lot of their big plays come on not they're

343
00:17:59,480 --> 00:18:02,280
Speaker 1: not bombed to Randy Moss. These are shorter plays that

344
00:18:02,359 --> 00:18:05,600
Speaker 1: the guys break tackles. Chiefs easily are one of the

345
00:18:05,680 --> 00:18:08,080
Speaker 1: better tackling teams. I mean, they're all Their secondary is

346
00:18:08,080 --> 00:18:10,800
Speaker 1: a very physical group. So like a lot of big

347
00:18:10,880 --> 00:18:13,840
Speaker 1: plays that come from Deebo, that come from Kittle, Juwan Jennings,

348
00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:18,080
Speaker 1: even Ayuk will break tackles and lead to an explosive play,

349
00:18:18,240 --> 00:18:21,040
Speaker 1: maybe a fifteen yard game turns into forty five yard games.

350
00:18:21,600 --> 00:18:24,439
Speaker 1: And that's an area that the Chiefs are just they

351
00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:27,080
Speaker 1: have to be one of the more physical, slash better

352
00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:29,160
Speaker 1: tackling teams in the NFL. You could argue the best,

353
00:18:29,520 --> 00:18:31,000
Speaker 1: and you've seen it in the last couple of weeks.

354
00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:34,040
Speaker 1: They just tackle well in space all their DB's. There's

355
00:18:34,040 --> 00:18:36,119
Speaker 1: always been something early on with the forty nine ers

356
00:18:36,160 --> 00:18:38,840
Speaker 1: teams with Hardball and then early on with Shanahan, they

357
00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:41,040
Speaker 1: every guy on the team could tackle, and it's such

358
00:18:41,040 --> 00:18:44,000
Speaker 1: a huge advantage, like you just have none of your dbs.

359
00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:46,760
Speaker 1: Are you know, Woosi's out there, They're willing to fucking

360
00:18:46,800 --> 00:18:49,000
Speaker 1: throw it around. The Chiefs have that the forty nine

361
00:18:49,080 --> 00:18:51,720
Speaker 1: Ers like Ward will tackle, but like Ambry Thomas and

362
00:18:51,800 --> 00:18:53,399
Speaker 1: the other guy's gonna just be a little hit or miss.

363
00:18:53,680 --> 00:18:54,400
Speaker 2: They're just not great.

364
00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:56,440
Speaker 1: That's not justin Reid feels like he's one of the

365
00:18:56,480 --> 00:18:58,879
Speaker 1: better tacklers in the league right now. Yeah, so, and

366
00:18:59,000 --> 00:19:02,080
Speaker 1: definitely from a physical standpoint. So that's an area. You know,

367
00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:04,840
Speaker 1: we've talked about this before. The forty nine Ers dominated

368
00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:07,320
Speaker 1: the NFC, right they beat the crap out of the

369
00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:09,199
Speaker 1: Cowboys and the Eagles, and then in games that they

370
00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:11,359
Speaker 1: should have lost. They just beat in the biggest moments

371
00:19:11,359 --> 00:19:13,240
Speaker 1: against the Packers and the Lions like they've beat in

372
00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:16,480
Speaker 1: the Rams. They beat them all, but they did struggle

373
00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:19,560
Speaker 1: against physical AFC teams, right. Ravens worked them on that

374
00:19:19,680 --> 00:19:23,400
Speaker 1: Christmas night, the before Flacco showed up. The Browns beat

375
00:19:23,440 --> 00:19:27,280
Speaker 1: them at home, and the Bengals before everyone on the

376
00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:30,040
Speaker 1: you know, Burrow got hurt, kicked their ass, so, I mean,

377
00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:32,400
Speaker 1: and the Bengals went healthy. Are just a physical, tough,

378
00:19:32,440 --> 00:19:35,359
Speaker 1: old school team. That's one area that like the Chiefs

379
00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:35,960
Speaker 1: are like that.

380
00:19:36,320 --> 00:19:36,480
Speaker 2: You know.

381
00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:38,560
Speaker 1: That's what's weird about this Chiefs team, right, they're really

382
00:19:38,600 --> 00:19:41,000
Speaker 1: wired more like the AFC North teams for the first

383
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:43,159
Speaker 1: time in this Mahomes era, where they've always been the

384
00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:45,800
Speaker 1: sixy offense, I was looking. They had the number two

385
00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:48,560
Speaker 1: or three scoring defense in the league. And the Niners,

386
00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:51,160
Speaker 1: who have always been a defensive operation in their good

387
00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:55,000
Speaker 1: teams previously with Shanahan, with Garoppolo and then Harbaugh, are

388
00:19:55,119 --> 00:19:57,280
Speaker 1: one of the top offenses in the league scoring wise

389
00:19:57,320 --> 00:20:00,560
Speaker 1: because they they're quarterbacks. Thrown a bunch of touchdow this year,

390
00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:03,200
Speaker 1: so it's like it's kind of a lot different from

391
00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:06,359
Speaker 1: the matchup we saw last time where the Niners were working.

392
00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:08,880
Speaker 1: The Chiefs were shoving them around in that Super Bowl

393
00:20:09,000 --> 00:20:11,200
Speaker 1: and then they just imploded. But the Niners aren't built

394
00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:14,760
Speaker 1: like that team because their defensive line. That's what makes

395
00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:16,760
Speaker 1: me nervous about this Niner team is like their defensive

396
00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:19,560
Speaker 1: line just isn't that good right now. So that's that's

397
00:20:19,600 --> 00:20:21,720
Speaker 1: a concern. And if your defensive line isn't good and

398
00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:25,800
Speaker 1: that's the way you're built, shit, I mean everyone's like, oh,

399
00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:27,879
Speaker 1: the Chiefs receivers, Yeah, they're not as dependent on those

400
00:20:27,920 --> 00:20:28,520
Speaker 1: guys anymore.

401
00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:32,639
Speaker 2: Yeah. No, the Chiefs aren't like an NFC North team. Now,

402
00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:35,000
Speaker 2: you brought up two really interesting points. One just that

403
00:20:35,280 --> 00:20:37,879
Speaker 2: that Chiefs we're down a Super Bowl brings up the

404
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:40,399
Speaker 2: point don't panic. The Chiefs were down twenty to ten

405
00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:42,040
Speaker 2: with six minutes to go in the fourth quarter of

406
00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:46,399
Speaker 2: one thirty one twenty. But the other thing is that

407
00:20:46,560 --> 00:20:48,960
Speaker 2: the Chiefs forty nine Ers game from twenty twenty two,

408
00:20:49,560 --> 00:20:52,359
Speaker 2: Mahmes went been at is you know, we threw for

409
00:20:52,520 --> 00:20:54,680
Speaker 2: like four hundred and fifty yards, they put up forty

410
00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:59,040
Speaker 2: three points. I'm curious to see what coverages. There's two

411
00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:01,359
Speaker 2: things I'm really interesting to see what coverages Wilks runs

412
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:05,000
Speaker 2: and then you know, does he go more man early.

413
00:21:05,560 --> 00:21:08,040
Speaker 2: Now granted, this Chiefs offense is nowhere near as explosive

414
00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:09,639
Speaker 2: as that one. And then on the other side is

415
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:13,080
Speaker 2: Spagnola blitz. I mean this is he's known for his blitzes.

416
00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:16,760
Speaker 2: He's known for bringing pressure. But Brock party number one

417
00:21:16,800 --> 00:21:20,720
Speaker 2: in the NFL and touchdown passes, passer rating yards per

418
00:21:20,800 --> 00:21:24,359
Speaker 2: attempt against the blitz this year he's been phenomenal. So

419
00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:27,359
Speaker 2: does Spagnola blitz And that might be one of the

420
00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:29,399
Speaker 2: adjustments he makes in behalf, Like if he wasn't blitzing,

421
00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:31,600
Speaker 2: does he try to bring more exotic blitzer or does

422
00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:34,119
Speaker 2: he try to throw curty off early, you know, in

423
00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:36,840
Speaker 2: his first Super Bowl. So I'm really curious to watch that.

424
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,000
Speaker 2: But you I was going to bring up the point

425
00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:42,119
Speaker 2: that you also just raised. We mentioned this, you know,

426
00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:44,040
Speaker 2: we we said when we were talking about the RAIDEDS

427
00:21:44,080 --> 00:21:47,800
Speaker 2: forty nine Ers game, said, will this change anything with

428
00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:49,800
Speaker 2: the how you do either of these teams? I said no,

429
00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:51,639
Speaker 2: but it will be a huge talking point at the

430
00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:55,320
Speaker 2: Niners lose this game, the AFC's you know, success over

431
00:21:55,359 --> 00:21:58,280
Speaker 2: the NFC, specifically against the forty nine ers all year.

432
00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:00,960
Speaker 2: So it's certainly a question, and you could always fall

433
00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:04,280
Speaker 2: back on the fact that the it's just Mahomes is

434
00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:06,240
Speaker 2: an underdog. I mean, I'm kind of hypocrite in a

435
00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:11,080
Speaker 2: way because I last year I said to you here

436
00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:13,000
Speaker 2: on the show, I said, you have the greatest quarterback

437
00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:15,639
Speaker 2: on the planets an underdog, how are you not going

438
00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:18,639
Speaker 2: to take it? And so I bet the Chiefs is

439
00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:20,360
Speaker 2: a nunderdog last year a seprow. But I'm not here.

440
00:22:21,520 --> 00:22:23,960
Speaker 2: I'll look potentially to bet them live that they get behind.

441
00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:28,440
Speaker 2: But uh, he has ten to one and one against

442
00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:31,359
Speaker 2: the spread as an underdog. It's ain't broke, don't fix it.

443
00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:34,760
Speaker 1: But he has thrown has he not thrown an interception?

444
00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:40,320
Speaker 2: That doesn't even turnover worthy row? In the postseason, they've

445
00:22:40,359 --> 00:22:44,120
Speaker 2: really cleaned up their offense. But you they had two

446
00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:47,520
Speaker 2: drives versus Baltimore and then did nothing. And you have

447
00:22:47,600 --> 00:22:51,560
Speaker 2: to remember that the Bills and Dolphins were decimated on defense,

448
00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:54,200
Speaker 2: like just injury wise, especially the middle of the field,

449
00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:57,680
Speaker 2: and Mahomes put together. I mean some of the throws

450
00:22:57,720 --> 00:23:00,400
Speaker 2: he had to Kelsey on the first two drives against Baltimore,

451
00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:02,920
Speaker 2: that's just Mahomes, Like, that's just the brilliance Mahomes is

452
00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:06,440
Speaker 2: it's gonna be. There's sometimes there's just no defense for that.

453
00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:09,159
Speaker 2: The four nwinners at least defend the middle of the

454
00:23:09,200 --> 00:23:13,600
Speaker 2: field very well. They have great linebackers to defend Kelsey.

455
00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:16,320
Speaker 2: The counter to that, though, is Kelsey just goes for

456
00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:19,760
Speaker 2: ten and one hundred every single playoff game. I know, so,

457
00:23:21,680 --> 00:23:24,720
Speaker 2: I so, but I will mention this is just a

458
00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:25,240
Speaker 2: to me.

459
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:27,320
Speaker 1: To me, they got that, they got that late ninety

460
00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:30,800
Speaker 1: Chicago Bulls thing. Scottie Pippen could barely walk into the

461
00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:32,840
Speaker 1: arena and then all of a sudden he's locking down

462
00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:35,000
Speaker 1: someone on defense and he scores twenty points and they

463
00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:37,720
Speaker 1: win the champions. It's like, I don't care what Kelsey

464
00:23:37,800 --> 00:23:39,399
Speaker 1: looks like now, once you get in the playoffs, you

465
00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:41,440
Speaker 1: just gotta assume he's in peak four.

466
00:23:41,760 --> 00:23:43,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, Like I show a little bit of value on

467
00:23:44,080 --> 00:23:47,120
Speaker 2: betting his unders, but like I don't do I really

468
00:23:47,160 --> 00:23:49,000
Speaker 2: want to do that? Probably not. I will say a

469
00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:49,400
Speaker 2: good tip.

470
00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:52,040
Speaker 1: Do you think he has MVP value at twelve to one?

471
00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:57,480
Speaker 2: You know, it's it's hard you go back over the

472
00:23:57,560 --> 00:24:03,000
Speaker 2: past what twenty years run at a running back hasn't

473
00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:05,440
Speaker 2: won it since what ninety six when Terrell Davis won it,

474
00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:09,200
Speaker 2: And but I think that this is probably the best

475
00:24:09,280 --> 00:24:11,000
Speaker 2: chance for a running back to win it in McCaffrey,

476
00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:12,680
Speaker 2: because I think he's going to get a heavy workload.

477
00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:16,200
Speaker 2: You in order for a quarterback not to win it,

478
00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:19,040
Speaker 2: I mean because if you go back, the Chiefs had

479
00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:21,720
Speaker 2: a run Danny Williams at three touchdowns and didn't win

480
00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:25,480
Speaker 2: the MVP. Mahomes won it. But if you go back

481
00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:28,960
Speaker 2: the only other time end has never won it. For

482
00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:31,240
Speaker 2: what it's worth, but if you go back over the

483
00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:34,600
Speaker 2: past twenty years, you had guys like Edelman, Hines, Ward,

484
00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:41,639
Speaker 2: I'm missing one or two others Branch maybe, and by

485
00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:44,040
Speaker 2: the way, for what what's interesting is that those guys

486
00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:46,200
Speaker 2: were like Ward, Larry.

487
00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:48,560
Speaker 1: I think Larry Fitzgerald. Larry Fitzgerald would have won it

488
00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:50,720
Speaker 1: the one year if they would have won the Super Bowl, right, Yeah,

489
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:52,560
Speaker 1: And Brady had a chance.

490
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:54,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, Brady was like Brent. He won a couple MVPs.

491
00:24:54,760 --> 00:24:56,159
Speaker 2: Then it was like all right, he went already won two.

492
00:24:56,200 --> 00:24:57,720
Speaker 2: They gave it to Branch and then helready one two.

493
00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:02,159
Speaker 2: So maybe there's some Homes fatigue. But when Cup wonted too.

494
00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:06,040
Speaker 2: When those you know what you have to do is

495
00:25:06,080 --> 00:25:08,760
Speaker 2: you have to have like eight nine catches over one

496
00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:12,760
Speaker 2: hundred yards two touchdowns. That's certainly possible for Kelsey and

497
00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:16,840
Speaker 2: he has all the the the narrative swirling around him

498
00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:21,600
Speaker 2: and like, so the question is, like what what would

499
00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:25,440
Speaker 2: what would someone have to do to win it? For

500
00:25:25,560 --> 00:25:27,239
Speaker 2: ma Homes not to win it if the Chiefs win

501
00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:30,040
Speaker 2: the game, So I don't like, we already saw a

502
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:32,680
Speaker 2: running back at three touchdowns and not once. I don't

503
00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:33,800
Speaker 2: think the checko can win it.

504
00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:37,120
Speaker 1: So I think Chris Jones a von Miller type game.

505
00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:40,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, that's the defensive A couple of defensive guys

506
00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:44,440
Speaker 2: that we are very random guys like Malcolm Jones, Dexter Jackson.

507
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:47,440
Speaker 2: Von Miller was more of a household name. You gotta

508
00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:48,840
Speaker 2: get like you gotta run into a turner. You got

509
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:50,959
Speaker 2: out of a lower scoring game too, which I don't necessarily.

510
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:52,960
Speaker 2: I don't trust that there's not going to be enough

511
00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:55,639
Speaker 2: offensive numbers here, So I'm not looking at any defensive guys.

512
00:25:56,280 --> 00:25:59,120
Speaker 2: But the two guys on the Chiefs that I would

513
00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:04,080
Speaker 2: look at are either Kelsey or Rice. Those are the

514
00:26:04,119 --> 00:26:07,159
Speaker 2: two guys So the argument for Rice, you're getting much

515
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:10,440
Speaker 2: better odds and the forty nine ers theoretically should be

516
00:26:10,480 --> 00:26:14,080
Speaker 2: able to cover Kelsey and there's no one really else.

517
00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:16,720
Speaker 2: So Rice could be that guy that ends up getting

518
00:26:16,800 --> 00:26:20,160
Speaker 2: eight nine catches, you know, one hundred and ten yards

519
00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:24,080
Speaker 2: and two touchdowns. That's the key. And then maybe they

520
00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:26,720
Speaker 2: don't get it to Mahomes. So yeah, I think that

521
00:26:26,800 --> 00:26:28,719
Speaker 2: those are the two you would look at. And then

522
00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:31,400
Speaker 2: on the Niner side, Yeah, I think that this could

523
00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:34,720
Speaker 2: be the the you know, one of the few chances

524
00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:36,520
Speaker 2: that we've seen in the past twenty years and maybe

525
00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:39,000
Speaker 2: we'll see for the next twenty years where running back

526
00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:42,800
Speaker 2: can win it in McCaffrey because I think that and

527
00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:44,520
Speaker 2: for what it's worth, I also played one of my

528
00:26:44,560 --> 00:26:47,280
Speaker 2: favorite props is Elijah Mitchell under one and a half carries.

529
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:50,080
Speaker 2: I just you might look and say, you had four

530
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:54,480
Speaker 2: carries last week. He he, He came in because McCaffrey

531
00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:56,000
Speaker 2: hurt his neck and then got four carries to the

532
00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:57,840
Speaker 2: end of the game. Before then, McCaffrey had one hundred

533
00:26:57,840 --> 00:27:02,920
Speaker 2: percent of the the carries in the postseason. I don't

534
00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:04,720
Speaker 2: think that they're gonna hand at the Mitchell here and

535
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:07,119
Speaker 2: he's not a good pass blocker. They're gonna ride with

536
00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:09,760
Speaker 2: McAffrey who got him there, and then you're gonna have Deebo.

537
00:27:09,600 --> 00:27:12,680
Speaker 1: Samuel runs, so he does their backup running back in this.

538
00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:17,640
Speaker 2: Yep. Yeah, So you know, you're basically betting against McCaffrey

539
00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:18,760
Speaker 2: getting injured at any point.

540
00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:21,920
Speaker 1: So under one and that hal see stuck. Yeah, I do,

541
00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:25,080
Speaker 1: And I'm not disagreeing with you on McCaffrey. He could

542
00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:27,439
Speaker 1: easily have you know, you just ride the shit out

543
00:27:27,480 --> 00:27:28,919
Speaker 1: of him. You slow down the game, he has one

544
00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:31,920
Speaker 1: hundred and twenty yards, maybe three touchdowns, and you win

545
00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:35,320
Speaker 1: twenty eight to seventeen, and he just kind of dominated

546
00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:38,159
Speaker 1: throughout the game. He would get it. I do think

547
00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:40,760
Speaker 1: there's some value in debo a little bit quote unquote

548
00:27:40,760 --> 00:27:43,920
Speaker 1: a long shot twenty to one Bright Lights player last

549
00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:46,440
Speaker 1: week eight for ninety in the Super Bowl as a rookie,

550
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:48,200
Speaker 1: he had five for forty and he was kind of

551
00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:49,920
Speaker 1: a no name guy then and he was kind of

552
00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:53,600
Speaker 1: returning as well. Kyle likes to use him in the

553
00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:56,280
Speaker 1: game plan several different ways. So if you, like you said,

554
00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:59,359
Speaker 1: if you look at it, he gets let's say seven

555
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:02,280
Speaker 1: to eight and gets you know, eighty ish yards and

556
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:05,040
Speaker 1: a touchdown. What if he gets three or four carries.

557
00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:07,280
Speaker 1: In one of those carries he busts for forty five

558
00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:09,840
Speaker 1: yards and a touchdown. And if one of those big

559
00:28:09,960 --> 00:28:12,280
Speaker 1: touchdowns happened in the second half to swing the game,

560
00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:15,440
Speaker 1: I do think there would be some momentum for him. Now, again,

561
00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:18,159
Speaker 1: it's a little harder for him to do it, but

562
00:28:18,640 --> 00:28:20,600
Speaker 1: I think when you look at the value, he's a

563
00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:22,680
Speaker 1: guy that just could. If I tell you that he

564
00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:26,920
Speaker 1: has fourteen touches in the game, between catches and and

565
00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:31,600
Speaker 1: and handoffs, like him and McCaffrey could account for what

566
00:28:32,040 --> 00:28:34,879
Speaker 1: well over thirty between the two of them, right, Sometimes

567
00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:37,760
Speaker 1: Kittle Kittle's tough because he could just have no catches

568
00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:40,000
Speaker 1: and play a big role or just one catch for

569
00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:42,479
Speaker 1: like fifteen yards and block you know, I yukes kind

570
00:28:42,520 --> 00:28:44,600
Speaker 1: of hit or miss. He can have really good games,

571
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:47,440
Speaker 1: but he also can do nothing. I think it's a lock.

572
00:28:47,560 --> 00:28:50,400
Speaker 1: The Debo and Christian McCaffrey are getting a ton of

573
00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:53,200
Speaker 1: touches and it's just about which one of those, you know,

574
00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:55,480
Speaker 1: breaks off the big run. Which one or those in

575
00:28:55,560 --> 00:28:57,320
Speaker 1: the red zone are the guys that get it through

576
00:28:57,360 --> 00:28:59,480
Speaker 1: because one of them to me, could easily have two

577
00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:02,600
Speaker 1: plus touchdowns, and then if you like Debo, it's almost

578
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:04,600
Speaker 1: like you could parlay a couple of things like Debo

579
00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:07,680
Speaker 1: anytime touchdown plus one thirty five Debo MVP and maybe

580
00:29:07,760 --> 00:29:10,880
Speaker 1: Debo you know over sixty yards catching and kind of

581
00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:13,280
Speaker 1: do it that way to get up pretty good odds

582
00:29:13,360 --> 00:29:15,720
Speaker 1: on something probably, you know, I mean you'd be talking

583
00:29:15,800 --> 00:29:17,120
Speaker 1: like forty five fifty to one.

584
00:29:17,760 --> 00:29:20,760
Speaker 2: Over rushing yards to fourteen average. I think hate this

585
00:29:20,920 --> 00:29:24,200
Speaker 2: is usually when you know, big Super super Bowl, you

586
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:26,160
Speaker 2: look back in big games, this is he's gonna be.

587
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:28,880
Speaker 2: You know, it's two weeks to get eating healthier, and

588
00:29:28,960 --> 00:29:30,959
Speaker 2: he looked obviously healthy. NFCY Championship game.

589
00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:34,200
Speaker 1: He's just a bright lights guy. Like Christian McCaffrey's slow, steady,

590
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:37,000
Speaker 1: you always depend on him. Deebo is one of those

591
00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:39,520
Speaker 1: like you know, you circle a game, you're like, yeah,

592
00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:42,239
Speaker 1: he's gonna fucking bring it. And Kyle likes to use him.

593
00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:45,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, and in the play action I think they're could

594
00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:49,239
Speaker 2: use him in the run game creative ways, yeah, I think.

595
00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:51,120
Speaker 2: And in case of McCaffrey, Chase has to struggle to

596
00:29:51,160 --> 00:29:53,320
Speaker 2: cover running backs out of the backfield. But you can

597
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:55,240
Speaker 2: kind of use Samuel in that way and then.

598
00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:58,920
Speaker 1: Maybe WILLI Gay I mean WILLI Gate's hurt right, yeap, Yeah,

599
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:01,000
Speaker 1: So it's like that, that's a pretty big you know,

600
00:30:01,280 --> 00:30:03,040
Speaker 1: missing one of your linebackers who can run.

601
00:30:03,520 --> 00:30:06,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, and there's there's there's a chance. It's an outside chance.

602
00:30:06,600 --> 00:30:08,360
Speaker 2: But maybe they didn't throw Deebo back to like for

603
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:10,960
Speaker 2: a return, so you know, then if you get a

604
00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:12,920
Speaker 2: big return, then then you're read.

605
00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:14,520
Speaker 1: They've done it this year when they had some injury,

606
00:30:14,600 --> 00:30:16,120
Speaker 1: So why wouldn't they do it in the Super Bowl?

607
00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:20,160
Speaker 2: Yep, especially like second half, high leverage spot and then

608
00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:22,920
Speaker 2: you're not as concerned about injuries or anything. So you

609
00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:25,600
Speaker 2: could see him. Raveans did that with like edried a

610
00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:26,200
Speaker 2: couple of times.

611
00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:30,680
Speaker 1: One issue betting on Deebo and Christian unlike Kelsey. Like

612
00:30:30,800 --> 00:30:34,160
Speaker 1: Kelsey just is very durable in these big games. There

613
00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:35,920
Speaker 1: are just moments you look over there and one of

614
00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:37,840
Speaker 1: them's going like this, or one of them is getting

615
00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:40,880
Speaker 1: their leg worked. One that would be the concerning thing

616
00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:43,640
Speaker 1: about Mitchell under one half.

617
00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:46,320
Speaker 2: What I'm betting against, I'm just betting against McAffrey not.

618
00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:49,640
Speaker 1: Getting here, staying healthy. If he stays healthy, Kyle gives

619
00:30:49,720 --> 00:30:52,640
Speaker 1: him unlimited carries in like Week four against the fucking

620
00:30:52,640 --> 00:30:55,800
Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons, so you better believe the Super Bowl he's

621
00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:58,400
Speaker 1: gonna ride. These guys not worried about injury. They can

622
00:30:58,440 --> 00:31:01,160
Speaker 1: get healthy. O TA, he doesn't care about any of

623
00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:01,600
Speaker 1: that crap.

624
00:31:02,040 --> 00:31:04,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think like five percent five five five percent

625
00:31:05,040 --> 00:31:08,320
Speaker 2: a little high too that that McCaffrey gets hurt and

626
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:11,640
Speaker 2: then yeah, I mean or like if he's just gased

627
00:31:11,760 --> 00:31:14,000
Speaker 2: or something, or he has to get something touched up.

628
00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:15,640
Speaker 2: So that's basically what I'm betting us here is I

629
00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:17,480
Speaker 2: don't think that they're gonna giet Mitchell and cares fits

630
00:31:17,520 --> 00:31:18,760
Speaker 2: Steebo and McCaffrey. That's it.

631
00:31:23,920 --> 00:31:26,680
Speaker 1: For one prop. I kind of like first drive forty

632
00:31:26,760 --> 00:31:30,240
Speaker 1: nine ers field goal missed, Like if that thing's over

633
00:31:30,360 --> 00:31:33,040
Speaker 1: forty and you know, a lot of pressure on Moody,

634
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:35,760
Speaker 1: you know that's twenty to one. That's that's a little

635
00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:36,600
Speaker 1: bit of a flyer there.

636
00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:39,040
Speaker 2: I don't mind. I also I want to see if

637
00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:45,440
Speaker 2: what Shanahan does on in early fourth down with a

638
00:31:45,560 --> 00:31:49,040
Speaker 2: potential long kick. There's you know, and keep in mind

639
00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:52,800
Speaker 2: that this these aren't great kicking conditions, great punting conditions.

640
00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:55,640
Speaker 2: It's you know, a little bit of altitude indoors. No

641
00:31:55,920 --> 00:32:00,760
Speaker 2: whether so if he has like a four eight yarder

642
00:32:01,600 --> 00:32:05,080
Speaker 2: and say it's fourth and four from the thirty one

643
00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:09,280
Speaker 2: on the first drive, does shan Ane go or kick?

644
00:32:09,960 --> 00:32:11,520
Speaker 2: I don't know the answer. I really don't know what.

645
00:32:11,600 --> 00:32:13,840
Speaker 1: I don't know either. I don't know either he can.

646
00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:19,040
Speaker 1: He's probably more inclined. Even it's crazy to say to kick. Now,

647
00:32:19,160 --> 00:32:21,480
Speaker 1: once that guy misses a field goal and it's done,

648
00:32:22,280 --> 00:32:26,880
Speaker 1: then it's done. But I do think early on he's wired,

649
00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:30,080
Speaker 1: like you know, Bill Parcell's nineteen eighty three. Now he's

650
00:32:30,360 --> 00:32:33,280
Speaker 1: he will change because this guy's give him room to change.

651
00:32:33,760 --> 00:32:36,200
Speaker 1: So I think Andy's kind of proven he'll be a

652
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:40,800
Speaker 1: little more aggressive nowadays. Obviously. That's the other thing. The

653
00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:43,760
Speaker 1: elephant in the room in this game is the Chiefs

654
00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:46,440
Speaker 1: don't have that much to lose, right, They're just trying

655
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:49,440
Speaker 1: to be like we now sit at the table with

656
00:32:49,880 --> 00:32:54,080
Speaker 1: you know, the Lways and Montana's and Brady's, Like you

657
00:32:54,120 --> 00:32:56,400
Speaker 1: could argue they're already kind of there, you know, Andy

658
00:32:56,600 --> 00:33:00,280
Speaker 1: and Kelsey and Mahomes legacy, even Chris Jones, like this

659
00:33:00,520 --> 00:33:02,560
Speaker 1: is the pressure to me in this game is on

660
00:33:02,640 --> 00:33:05,360
Speaker 1: the Niners. It's like, if not now, then when you

661
00:33:05,560 --> 00:33:09,200
Speaker 1: just avoided two disasters, you know, this is easily the

662
00:33:09,320 --> 00:33:11,719
Speaker 1: least it's hard to say the least talented because their

663
00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:14,640
Speaker 1: defense is really good, but like this is the worst

664
00:33:14,680 --> 00:33:16,640
Speaker 1: team start to finish of a season so far, of

665
00:33:16,680 --> 00:33:19,000
Speaker 1: the Chiefs of the last four or five years. And

666
00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:22,040
Speaker 1: it's like easy travel for you guys, like they're just

667
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:25,960
Speaker 1: you're healthy. There are just no excuse. Your quarterback makes nothing.

668
00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:28,680
Speaker 1: You've built up this team. That's where the pressure, like

669
00:33:28,720 --> 00:33:31,040
Speaker 1: you said with Kyle to me, Andy kind of gets

670
00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:33,640
Speaker 1: get ready for like a ring around the rosie. It's

671
00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:36,200
Speaker 1: like he's gonna have some fun if he loses it

672
00:33:36,280 --> 00:33:38,000
Speaker 1: and there's not a soul that's gonna be like, yeah,

673
00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:39,280
Speaker 1: he's still the best coach, and he's still the best

674
00:33:39,320 --> 00:33:41,440
Speaker 1: quarterback and Kelsey's the best tight end we've ever seen.

675
00:33:41,720 --> 00:33:43,560
Speaker 1: Where it's like people will.

676
00:33:43,400 --> 00:33:45,680
Speaker 2: Get the Chiefs of Crown for just getting.

677
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:49,560
Speaker 1: Here, like just getting rightfully so on the road. Two

678
00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:52,200
Speaker 1: big dogs and not like dogs where it's like this

679
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:54,840
Speaker 1: is crazy. They are dogs, Like, yeah, they're gonna lose. Hell,

680
00:33:54,920 --> 00:33:56,720
Speaker 1: we were talking during the season, like yeah, the Chiefs

681
00:33:56,720 --> 00:33:58,960
Speaker 1: probably a one and done playoff team, and this is

682
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:01,680
Speaker 1: this is kind of their patriot moment, like he are

683
00:34:01,720 --> 00:34:03,880
Speaker 1: you really betting against us? And now we're playing it,

684
00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:07,440
Speaker 1: we're still the underdog and it's like, I don't know this,

685
00:34:07,600 --> 00:34:10,160
Speaker 1: Kyle get tight that that's what makes me nervous about

686
00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:12,719
Speaker 1: betting on this game because they're one side. It's a

687
00:34:12,760 --> 00:34:15,239
Speaker 1: super Bowl, so obviously everyone's nervous and hyped up. But

688
00:34:15,320 --> 00:34:17,520
Speaker 1: there's gonna be a looseness with the chiefs of like

689
00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:19,400
Speaker 1: we're kind of playing with house money, and there is

690
00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:22,800
Speaker 1: for all these guys, like there's a chance of the Niners,

691
00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:24,719
Speaker 1: even if they're good the next five years, you'd never

692
00:34:24,800 --> 00:34:27,640
Speaker 1: make it back, you know. Dan Campbell said it after

693
00:34:27,719 --> 00:34:29,680
Speaker 1: the games, like I looked at the guys, I said,

694
00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:31,719
Speaker 1: you know, we're not guaranteed ever to come back here.

695
00:34:31,760 --> 00:34:31,880
Speaker 2: Now.

696
00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:33,919
Speaker 1: The Niners have been to the championship game a bunch,

697
00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:36,200
Speaker 1: but I don't know that. That's the one thing that

698
00:34:36,239 --> 00:34:37,960
Speaker 1: makes me nervous about the night. You could feel at

699
00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:41,320
Speaker 1: the last couple of games, right, it was like super

700
00:34:41,360 --> 00:34:43,160
Speaker 1: Bowl or bust, and then all of a sudden you're down.

701
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:45,200
Speaker 1: You're like, god, damn, this is gonna end like this

702
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:48,239
Speaker 1: happened a little with the Ravens, but at least with

703
00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:51,520
Speaker 1: the Ravens, like Lamar is under a long term contract. Harbaugh,

704
00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:57,120
Speaker 1: you know it's it's you get no there's no guarantee.

705
00:34:57,200 --> 00:35:01,680
Speaker 2: Youngest quarterback ever NFL sure to start in a super Bowl.

706
00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:04,759
Speaker 2: I think he was twenty three and change never got back.

707
00:35:05,680 --> 00:35:07,879
Speaker 2: Who what have thought Dan Marino was never getting back

708
00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:11,719
Speaker 2: to the super Bowl. You just you never know. And yeah,

709
00:35:11,719 --> 00:35:14,600
Speaker 2: you get a longer halftime, you have a lead, do

710
00:35:14,680 --> 00:35:18,080
Speaker 2: you get tighter? You know? Party? One of the things

711
00:35:18,120 --> 00:35:21,600
Speaker 2: that I've liked about uh and I've always liked about

712
00:35:21,680 --> 00:35:24,480
Speaker 2: Party and he's shown it the last two weeks is

713
00:35:24,520 --> 00:35:27,759
Speaker 2: that he's just been resilient, right and he's but this

714
00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:31,439
Speaker 2: is different. It's a super Bowl. So does he get tight?

715
00:35:32,200 --> 00:35:34,279
Speaker 2: And you know no one who you're playing against? Which

716
00:35:34,320 --> 00:35:35,960
Speaker 2: is why why I want with the forty nine ers

717
00:35:36,000 --> 00:35:38,120
Speaker 2: money line in the first half, I think this like

718
00:35:38,160 --> 00:35:39,640
Speaker 2: what it boils down to, if you played this.

719
00:35:39,640 --> 00:35:41,160
Speaker 1: Game, does he have this? I mean, if they're gonna

720
00:35:41,200 --> 00:35:43,800
Speaker 1: if they're gonna win. The odds of a quarterback the

721
00:35:43,920 --> 00:35:46,920
Speaker 1: last twenty years is like sixty seventy percent at at

722
00:35:46,960 --> 00:35:48,880
Speaker 1: almost two and a half to one. He's got to

723
00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:50,480
Speaker 1: be if you like the Niners to win, putting some

724
00:35:50,560 --> 00:35:53,040
Speaker 1: money on parties. Yeah, it feels like a pretty good bet.

725
00:35:53,239 --> 00:35:57,279
Speaker 2: Yep, yep, yeah, I think. But just I go back

726
00:35:57,320 --> 00:35:59,200
Speaker 2: to last week. Now, the dinersy, this isn't as good

727
00:35:59,200 --> 00:36:03,640
Speaker 2: as the Ravens defense, but their offense is better, and

728
00:36:04,040 --> 00:36:05,680
Speaker 2: so the Chiefs will have a little bit more offensive

729
00:36:05,680 --> 00:36:07,640
Speaker 2: success because again they did not They did literally did

730
00:36:07,719 --> 00:36:09,480
Speaker 2: nothing last week in the second half after those first

731
00:36:09,520 --> 00:36:11,200
Speaker 2: two drives, they did nothing. But part of it is

732
00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:14,279
Speaker 2: they didn't have to do much. But last week, going

733
00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:15,840
Speaker 2: to that game, I was confident the Ravens gonna win

734
00:36:15,880 --> 00:36:17,719
Speaker 2: because I thought they were gonna run it and throw

735
00:36:17,760 --> 00:36:20,360
Speaker 2: a claction and well they decided to do neither. But

736
00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:23,000
Speaker 2: the forty nine ers will always do that, and I

737
00:36:23,040 --> 00:36:26,080
Speaker 2: think that they'll just be able to sustain drives more consistently,

738
00:36:27,600 --> 00:36:29,200
Speaker 2: and I think that'll be the difference. But I am

739
00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:31,560
Speaker 2: the reason I bet first half instead of cool games.

740
00:36:31,600 --> 00:36:33,759
Speaker 2: I'm afraid of the adjustments. I'm afraid of just the

741
00:36:33,920 --> 00:36:36,959
Speaker 2: nerve factor that you said, the experience of my homes

742
00:36:37,000 --> 00:36:39,239
Speaker 2: and then just if you need a big kick late,

743
00:36:40,920 --> 00:36:43,400
Speaker 2: I would trust Butker obviously much more than Moody, So

744
00:36:43,520 --> 00:36:46,719
Speaker 2: that's why I went with first half money line. But

745
00:36:46,960 --> 00:36:50,680
Speaker 2: I think that the Niners offense has the biggest advantage

746
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:54,239
Speaker 2: of any group in this game, which should ultimately decide it.

747
00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:57,759
Speaker 2: But the spreads too, like the obviously go either way.

748
00:36:58,040 --> 00:37:00,600
Speaker 2: You're betting against the best quarterback on the planet, who

749
00:37:00,680 --> 00:37:03,920
Speaker 2: all he does is when as an underdog. So but

750
00:37:04,640 --> 00:37:07,360
Speaker 2: that's that's where I think the biggest edges Niners running

751
00:37:07,480 --> 00:37:10,480
Speaker 2: throwing the claction where the Chiefs have been abysmal all year.

752
00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:13,239
Speaker 2: Can they stick to it? I think they will, and

753
00:37:13,360 --> 00:37:15,799
Speaker 2: especially early with the script that Chanan is gonna have here,

754
00:37:17,320 --> 00:37:19,560
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna come out with a good sense

755
00:37:19,600 --> 00:37:23,000
Speaker 2: of urgency after the past two weeks. I think that

756
00:37:23,040 --> 00:37:26,440
Speaker 2: they'll get out early little dice here late.

757
00:37:28,160 --> 00:37:31,279
Speaker 1: One group that jumped out to me is, you know,

758
00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 1: the Niners interior offensive line is not great, right Their

759
00:37:34,200 --> 00:37:37,200
Speaker 1: center and their two guards very hit or miss. The

760
00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:40,320
Speaker 1: Chiefs lost a really good guard to a peck injury

761
00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:42,759
Speaker 1: for the season. Now, Mahomes, like you mentioned before we

762
00:37:42,800 --> 00:37:46,000
Speaker 1: hopped on, doesn't get sacked that often. But beside Aaron Donald,

763
00:37:46,440 --> 00:37:48,360
Speaker 1: I mean you could argue three of the best interior

764
00:37:48,400 --> 00:37:51,560
Speaker 1: pass rushers. I mean when Armstead's healthy. Obviously, Hargrave and

765
00:37:51,640 --> 00:37:55,440
Speaker 1: Chris Jones are just elite interior pass rushers. All of

766
00:37:55,520 --> 00:37:58,440
Speaker 1: those guys are plus odds to just have basically a

767
00:37:58,680 --> 00:38:02,040
Speaker 1: half a sack. And to me, I'd be a little

768
00:38:02,080 --> 00:38:05,200
Speaker 1: stunned if Chris Jones, if perty goes sackless, and if

769
00:38:05,200 --> 00:38:07,279
Speaker 1: he's gonna get sack, you would say the likely being

770
00:38:07,320 --> 00:38:09,840
Speaker 1: Chris Jones up the middle feels pretty good. And the

771
00:38:09,920 --> 00:38:13,880
Speaker 1: thing with Armstead, like listen Mahomes, his savviness and instincts

772
00:38:13,920 --> 00:38:17,640
Speaker 1: are elite. One thing Art says, he's just he's enormous,

773
00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:19,960
Speaker 1: so he can just grab you like Chris Jones from

774
00:38:20,000 --> 00:38:22,880
Speaker 1: really really far away. And if he's able to smoke

775
00:38:22,920 --> 00:38:25,360
Speaker 1: one of those guards, same thing. You know, Hardgrave's smaller,

776
00:38:25,480 --> 00:38:29,600
Speaker 1: but he's so quick. I wonder I'd be stunned if

777
00:38:30,080 --> 00:38:31,000
Speaker 1: some of those don't hit.

778
00:38:31,800 --> 00:38:32,000
Speaker 2: Yeah.

779
00:38:32,080 --> 00:38:34,279
Speaker 1: Obviously, if one of the team's down, you know, so

780
00:38:34,680 --> 00:38:37,360
Speaker 1: you know he's talking second half, maybe down ten plus points,

781
00:38:37,760 --> 00:38:41,319
Speaker 1: two scores the Chiefs, I mean, Andy will pass every play.

782
00:38:41,520 --> 00:38:44,480
Speaker 1: Kyle is a little different, but even when the play

783
00:38:44,520 --> 00:38:47,000
Speaker 1: action stuff, his guards can get fucking smoked.

784
00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:49,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I also think that the I mean, the

785
00:38:49,520 --> 00:38:51,960
Speaker 2: Chiefs tackles are bad, and they've been bad all year.

786
00:38:52,640 --> 00:38:55,120
Speaker 2: You might you might see Armstead kickout to end some

787
00:38:55,600 --> 00:38:57,759
Speaker 2: I mean with how bad Chase Young has looked late,

788
00:38:58,360 --> 00:38:59,640
Speaker 2: so he might get something.

789
00:39:01,040 --> 00:39:03,439
Speaker 1: Bosa two sacks plus three fifty right now.

790
00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:07,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's I don't hate able, but yeah it's tough

791
00:39:07,440 --> 00:39:09,560
Speaker 2: because Mahomes is so good at ebating sacks.

792
00:39:10,200 --> 00:39:13,720
Speaker 1: How about this one Bosa sack and Warner seven plus

793
00:39:13,840 --> 00:39:16,080
Speaker 1: tackles plus one seventy five.

794
00:39:16,440 --> 00:39:17,000
Speaker 2: I don't mind that.

795
00:39:18,600 --> 00:39:21,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, Warner's getting ten tackles, right, He's gonna have a day.

796
00:39:22,480 --> 00:39:27,319
Speaker 2: Yeah I did. I actually kind of like Purty under

797
00:39:27,440 --> 00:39:29,359
Speaker 2: two and a half sacks. I played a little bit

798
00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:32,160
Speaker 2: of that. He's only gone over that four of eight

799
00:39:32,280 --> 00:39:34,120
Speaker 2: eighteen games I was playing at defense. That was top

800
00:39:34,160 --> 00:39:36,600
Speaker 2: three in the league in sacks. But I think the

801
00:39:36,680 --> 00:39:38,400
Speaker 2: Niners gonna run at a time, throw at collection. And

802
00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:40,560
Speaker 2: I don't necessarily think the Chiefs are gonna blitz as

803
00:39:40,600 --> 00:39:42,759
Speaker 2: much as they did usually do. Purdy has been so

804
00:39:42,880 --> 00:39:46,040
Speaker 2: good against the blitz. Spagnola will cater his game plans

805
00:39:46,200 --> 00:39:48,399
Speaker 2: based on the opponent. So I don't think the Chiefs

806
00:39:48,400 --> 00:39:50,160
Speaker 2: are gonna be completely blitz heavy, and I think that

807
00:39:50,160 --> 00:39:53,040
Speaker 2: the Niners get out in front. So I actually played

808
00:39:53,200 --> 00:39:57,480
Speaker 2: under under Chiefs getting two and a half sacks, but

809
00:39:57,600 --> 00:40:00,520
Speaker 2: under Purdy taking two and a half sacks. I don't

810
00:40:00,520 --> 00:40:04,040
Speaker 2: mind the Armstead one. I don't mind that Bosa Warner

811
00:40:04,200 --> 00:40:08,239
Speaker 2: combo either, and then a four fun one. My overtime guy,

812
00:40:09,560 --> 00:40:12,839
Speaker 2: who's like a wizard at pricing overtime, says that there's

813
00:40:12,880 --> 00:40:15,520
Speaker 2: actually value in this game going to overtime, which I

814
00:40:15,640 --> 00:40:17,680
Speaker 2: never would think. Who everyone wants to bet these? A

815
00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:20,840
Speaker 2: lot of times he's betting these yes things. Is you

816
00:40:20,920 --> 00:40:23,640
Speaker 2: know there are sucker bets, like betting there's an octopus

817
00:40:23,960 --> 00:40:25,759
Speaker 2: like fifteen to one, and that you go back in

818
00:40:25,880 --> 00:40:28,480
Speaker 2: NFL history, it's like a two percent of games have one.

819
00:40:28,719 --> 00:40:31,759
Speaker 2: It should be like fifty to one. Will there be

820
00:40:31,840 --> 00:40:34,000
Speaker 2: a successful on side kick at like twelve to one,

821
00:40:34,080 --> 00:40:35,680
Speaker 2: It's like, first of all, you need an onside kick,

822
00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:38,879
Speaker 2: and second of all, they're like two percent you can't

823
00:40:38,880 --> 00:40:42,160
Speaker 2: get an onside kick. That's a terrible bet. Will there

824
00:40:42,200 --> 00:40:45,480
Speaker 2: be a safety usually is a terrible bet, but this one,

825
00:40:45,960 --> 00:40:48,680
Speaker 2: my guy says, there's value in this game going to overtime.

826
00:40:48,960 --> 00:40:53,239
Speaker 2: At like thirteen to one, So I sprinkled some on it,

827
00:40:53,680 --> 00:40:55,759
Speaker 2: and it would be amazing if we get you could

828
00:40:55,800 --> 00:40:57,640
Speaker 2: get a you have the new overtime rules, which we've

829
00:40:57,680 --> 00:41:00,600
Speaker 2: never seen. I was trying to get some to post

830
00:41:00,880 --> 00:41:03,239
Speaker 2: double overtime odds. I don't I wouldn't even know how

831
00:41:03,280 --> 00:41:06,440
Speaker 2: to price that, but I didn't see any out there.

832
00:41:06,480 --> 00:41:10,080
Speaker 2: But yeah, I'll be I'll be rooting for overtime. So

833
00:41:10,120 --> 00:41:14,680
Speaker 2: hopefully the Niners go up, the Chiefs catch them Niners

834
00:41:14,719 --> 00:41:18,279
Speaker 2: women in overtime for your sake. That's how I'm hoping

835
00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:20,359
Speaker 2: the game plays out, and then the MacCaffrey doesn't get hurt.

836
00:41:26,680 --> 00:41:28,799
Speaker 1: A couple of big picture of gambling things. I don't

837
00:41:28,800 --> 00:41:31,200
Speaker 1: know if you had a chance to read that article

838
00:41:31,239 --> 00:41:34,879
Speaker 1: on the Jets about internally, how they're a fucking disaster. Yep,

839
00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:39,000
Speaker 1: what if they're over under this? You know, whenever that

840
00:41:39,120 --> 00:41:41,719
Speaker 1: comes out in a couple of months is to me

841
00:41:41,920 --> 00:41:45,200
Speaker 1: eight or above. I think they got implosion written all

842
00:41:45,239 --> 00:41:47,680
Speaker 1: over them. Forty year old guy coming back, an offensive

843
00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:50,560
Speaker 1: coordinator who's clearly not that good. I mean, this is

844
00:41:50,600 --> 00:41:53,040
Speaker 1: a little look ahead, but that's that's a number that

845
00:41:53,120 --> 00:41:54,719
Speaker 1: I'm onre And I was a guy that like bought

846
00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:56,320
Speaker 1: into him this year. I'm like, I think the Jets

847
00:41:56,400 --> 00:41:59,680
Speaker 1: wild card team. I probably would have been wrong because

848
00:41:59,680 --> 00:42:01,400
Speaker 1: he would have got hurt no matter what with that

849
00:42:01,520 --> 00:42:04,800
Speaker 1: offensive line. But now he's a year older, he's injured.

850
00:42:05,360 --> 00:42:08,800
Speaker 1: The pressure, I think them and the Bears anytime you

851
00:42:08,960 --> 00:42:11,080
Speaker 1: go into a season with just kind of this elephant

852
00:42:11,080 --> 00:42:14,120
Speaker 1: in the room about your coach. Uh, you know they're

853
00:42:14,160 --> 00:42:16,080
Speaker 1: the Bear is gonna have a rookie quarterback. But with

854
00:42:16,200 --> 00:42:19,839
Speaker 1: this Rogers, the forty year old thing, I think they got.

855
00:42:19,960 --> 00:42:23,279
Speaker 1: We've seen it so often in football history, right, this

856
00:42:23,600 --> 00:42:25,600
Speaker 1: type situation just kind of implode.

857
00:42:25,920 --> 00:42:28,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm shocked they didn't like blow Like, I'm shocked

858
00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:32,960
Speaker 2: they solid was kept. There wasn't more. I agree, they

859
00:42:33,040 --> 00:42:35,279
Speaker 2: have the potential to just everything goes wrong and then

860
00:42:35,280 --> 00:42:37,239
Speaker 2: you have to blow it all up next year.

861
00:42:37,400 --> 00:42:40,120
Speaker 1: So AFC's gonna be So is gonna be good next

862
00:42:40,200 --> 00:42:42,560
Speaker 1: year again, I mean it's gonna be better. Yeah, they

863
00:42:42,800 --> 00:42:43,480
Speaker 1: can stay healthy.

864
00:42:43,640 --> 00:42:46,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, they don't get a last place schedule. Patriots have that.

865
00:42:48,560 --> 00:42:51,160
Speaker 2: So Yeah, I haven't dunk too much in the next year.

866
00:42:51,239 --> 00:42:53,239
Speaker 2: But yeah, they're They're certainly not a team I'm looking

867
00:42:53,280 --> 00:42:57,439
Speaker 2: to back. No, well, well, let me ask you before

868
00:42:57,480 --> 00:42:59,279
Speaker 2: you got how confident scale of one to ten, how

869
00:42:59,280 --> 00:43:00,520
Speaker 2: confident are you the nineties?

870
00:43:02,640 --> 00:43:05,479
Speaker 1: I was more confident last Super Bowl against Coach Reid

871
00:43:05,600 --> 00:43:08,759
Speaker 1: and the Chiefs. I would say I was very, very

872
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:12,120
Speaker 1: confident the last two weeks in the playoff games, and

873
00:43:12,200 --> 00:43:15,480
Speaker 1: I got humbled fast. I mean, I thought the Packer

874
00:43:15,640 --> 00:43:18,040
Speaker 1: game was so weird, but last week they were getting

875
00:43:18,040 --> 00:43:20,000
Speaker 1: there two weeks ago getting their ass kicked. I mean

876
00:43:20,040 --> 00:43:22,960
Speaker 1: that that's that's one of the more miraculous playoff comebacks

877
00:43:23,000 --> 00:43:25,400
Speaker 1: you're gonna see. I mean at the pat Price or

878
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:30,839
Speaker 1: excuse me, at that you know the score, Yeah, yeah,

879
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:33,719
Speaker 1: And even Shanahan said, like one huge variable playing Dan

880
00:43:33,800 --> 00:43:35,480
Speaker 1: Campbell is like he'll go for it and if you

881
00:43:35,560 --> 00:43:38,279
Speaker 1: stop them, it's a huge swing in the game. And

882
00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:40,440
Speaker 1: that that happened definitely when he decided not to kick

883
00:43:40,440 --> 00:43:40,960
Speaker 1: the field goal.

884
00:43:41,719 --> 00:43:41,839
Speaker 2: Uh.

885
00:43:42,520 --> 00:43:44,800
Speaker 1: And you know they they couldn't have, you know, the

886
00:43:44,880 --> 00:43:47,680
Speaker 1: fumble with Gibbs the following drive. It enabled them to

887
00:43:47,719 --> 00:43:52,759
Speaker 1: come back like that. But what it's weird, right because

888
00:43:52,800 --> 00:43:54,840
Speaker 1: you look at the Packers. Aaron Jones when healthy is

889
00:43:54,840 --> 00:43:57,480
Speaker 1: a top five back. Gibbs is easily one of the

890
00:43:57,520 --> 00:44:00,839
Speaker 1: most explosive backs, so they run events a little off. Well,

891
00:44:00,840 --> 00:44:03,040
Speaker 1: they're playing just I mean, Aaron Jones is an elite

892
00:44:03,080 --> 00:44:05,080
Speaker 1: player and Gibbs is like one of the fastest players

893
00:44:05,120 --> 00:44:08,279
Speaker 1: in the league. Like you said, the Chiefs running game,

894
00:44:08,840 --> 00:44:10,000
Speaker 1: it's more like power.

895
00:44:10,480 --> 00:44:10,680
Speaker 2: Yeah.

896
00:44:11,080 --> 00:44:13,440
Speaker 1: Yeah. Are they gonna bust like forty yard runs like that?

897
00:44:13,640 --> 00:44:17,239
Speaker 1: They're not like demoralizing these runs they were long, like,

898
00:44:17,480 --> 00:44:20,080
Speaker 1: but Jago's more likely to get like six yards but

899
00:44:20,239 --> 00:44:22,080
Speaker 1: not is he? Is he gonna have like back to

900
00:44:22,200 --> 00:44:24,440
Speaker 1: back twenty three yard carries? Probably not?

901
00:44:24,840 --> 00:44:27,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, And then the Packers and lines have good tackles

902
00:44:27,440 --> 00:44:29,759
Speaker 2: and they can run outside zone and that's where the

903
00:44:30,640 --> 00:44:34,040
Speaker 2: forty nine ers are really weak running outside.

904
00:44:34,080 --> 00:44:36,000
Speaker 1: I mean they're maybe the Chiefs are a better matchup

905
00:44:36,040 --> 00:44:37,840
Speaker 1: for them than the Ravens would be.

906
00:44:38,360 --> 00:44:40,440
Speaker 2: Yeah if they ran it. Yeah, No, I agree that

907
00:44:40,560 --> 00:44:43,840
Speaker 2: she's the Chiefs run game. It's all year. It's like

908
00:44:43,880 --> 00:44:45,840
Speaker 2: middle of the pack. It's good, it's not great. And

909
00:44:46,000 --> 00:44:48,200
Speaker 2: the way that they run it, I think is a

910
00:44:48,360 --> 00:44:52,959
Speaker 2: decent matchup. Now, like can Chase Young, you know, hold

911
00:44:53,040 --> 00:44:55,600
Speaker 2: the edge and they're probably gonna attack him in the

912
00:44:55,680 --> 00:44:58,320
Speaker 2: run game. So I'm curious to see, like the rotations like,

913
00:44:58,360 --> 00:45:00,279
Speaker 2: did then do you end up kicking Armstead out there?

914
00:45:02,080 --> 00:45:04,600
Speaker 2: Used more kin law like so they might attack young.

915
00:45:04,719 --> 00:45:07,759
Speaker 2: That's that's a guy I'd be worried about. But the

916
00:45:07,920 --> 00:45:12,359
Speaker 2: Chiefs run offense, I wouldn't be as worried about as

917
00:45:13,560 --> 00:45:17,080
Speaker 2: what we saw against the Lions, and the Packers just

918
00:45:17,160 --> 00:45:21,120
Speaker 2: be more worried about Mahomes magic basically, and now their

919
00:45:21,160 --> 00:45:23,800
Speaker 2: offense is better. They'd cut out like all the fat,

920
00:45:24,360 --> 00:45:27,600
Speaker 2: all the guys who were dropping balls and and they're

921
00:45:27,640 --> 00:45:29,080
Speaker 2: really just focused on a couple of guys. But that

922
00:45:29,160 --> 00:45:31,320
Speaker 2: also makes it easier to try and game plan for

923
00:45:32,280 --> 00:45:35,040
Speaker 2: when you have two weeks to prepare, so you know,

924
00:45:35,320 --> 00:45:38,400
Speaker 2: just sometimes Kyle Hambinton gave up his first touchdown of

925
00:45:38,440 --> 00:45:42,800
Speaker 2: the year. He was blanketed all over Kelsey Momes just

926
00:45:43,280 --> 00:45:45,560
Speaker 2: I could have went out there and handed it to him.

927
00:45:45,640 --> 00:45:49,160
Speaker 2: They just did. It was an absolute beatie right into

928
00:45:49,239 --> 00:45:50,680
Speaker 2: his ends in the corner of the ends are like,

929
00:45:50,719 --> 00:45:52,120
Speaker 2: that's you just howthing you do about that.

930
00:45:53,120 --> 00:45:56,000
Speaker 1: The thing that makes me nervous is not even the

931
00:45:56,080 --> 00:45:59,120
Speaker 1: players as much as the coaches, because these coaching staffs,

932
00:45:59,200 --> 00:46:02,360
Speaker 1: I mean, this is you know, Kyle, obviously, Andy's currently

933
00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:04,640
Speaker 1: probably the best coach in the league. Kyle's top five guy.

934
00:46:05,239 --> 00:46:08,279
Speaker 1: But we talked about it earlier, like Andy's just so free.

935
00:46:08,400 --> 00:46:11,360
Speaker 1: Now once he won the one, it was like he

936
00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:13,759
Speaker 1: struck oil. Then he won the second, and now it's

937
00:46:13,880 --> 00:46:16,680
Speaker 1: like and he's got this defensive coordinator that they go

938
00:46:16,800 --> 00:46:18,959
Speaker 1: back so long that he never has to worry about leaving,

939
00:46:19,400 --> 00:46:22,960
Speaker 1: who's obviously one of the elite big game defensive coordinators

940
00:46:23,000 --> 00:46:25,800
Speaker 1: of like our lifetime. He's like the Belichick version of

941
00:46:25,880 --> 00:46:28,640
Speaker 1: what parcels at. I mean, he's fucking dominant. He's beat

942
00:46:28,680 --> 00:46:32,600
Speaker 1: everyone that's mattered in playoff games and obviously in the

943
00:46:32,640 --> 00:46:33,080
Speaker 1: Super Bowl.

944
00:46:33,560 --> 00:46:36,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, so that's that's a huge concern of mind. And

945
00:46:36,040 --> 00:46:37,560
Speaker 2: the second half, Like I don't think that there's many

946
00:46:37,600 --> 00:46:39,040
Speaker 2: adjustments that the Niners can make.

947
00:46:39,760 --> 00:46:42,400
Speaker 1: But they can blitz. They can blitz linebackers, but then

948
00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:43,439
Speaker 1: opens the middle of the field.

949
00:46:43,480 --> 00:46:48,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, you don't want to really blitz my homes, So like, yeah,

950
00:46:48,120 --> 00:46:49,879
Speaker 2: I mean that you could do that, but I don't

951
00:46:49,880 --> 00:46:52,640
Speaker 2: think he would want to do that. Moms is like

952
00:46:52,680 --> 00:46:55,560
Speaker 2: the greatest of all time against the blitz. So the

953
00:46:55,640 --> 00:47:02,120
Speaker 2: second half adjustments definitely would favor Spagnola, you know, over

954
00:47:02,200 --> 00:47:04,800
Speaker 2: almost any coordinator. So I definitely be worried about that.

955
00:47:04,840 --> 00:47:06,680
Speaker 2: And yeah, you're right, the Chiefs. They can not only

956
00:47:06,719 --> 00:47:08,799
Speaker 2: play like they were the underdog card, like Andy Reid

957
00:47:08,840 --> 00:47:11,239
Speaker 2: mentioned that, like you know, as you meant they said, hey,

958
00:47:11,360 --> 00:47:13,040
Speaker 2: we're the underdog. I'm sure he's playing that card, but

959
00:47:13,080 --> 00:47:18,080
Speaker 2: they also just play looser. So yeah, I'm so curious

960
00:47:18,120 --> 00:47:20,320
Speaker 2: to see how the Niners handle that if they have

961
00:47:20,400 --> 00:47:23,560
Speaker 2: the lead in the second half. But I ultimately think

962
00:47:23,600 --> 00:47:27,840
Speaker 2: it'll be a good game, competitive throughout.

963
00:47:28,400 --> 00:47:31,840
Speaker 1: To me, it's like this would be as time goes on,

964
00:47:31,960 --> 00:47:33,920
Speaker 1: you'd be like, oh, if I'm Kyle Shanahan, I lost

965
00:47:33,960 --> 00:47:36,479
Speaker 1: to Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes twice in Super Bowls,

966
00:47:36,680 --> 00:47:39,200
Speaker 1: it doesn't sound that crazy, Just like Pete Carroll going,

967
00:47:39,239 --> 00:47:41,680
Speaker 1: well I lost a Belichick and Brady in a Super Bowl. Well,

968
00:47:41,719 --> 00:47:44,120
Speaker 1: then you examine it, it's like, well, you were favored twice.

969
00:47:44,680 --> 00:47:46,120
Speaker 1: I don't know how this game is going to play out.

970
00:47:46,120 --> 00:47:48,520
Speaker 1: But yet a ten point lead in the fourth quarter,

971
00:47:48,920 --> 00:47:51,680
Speaker 1: so there is context behind it. You're I don't want

972
00:47:51,680 --> 00:47:53,520
Speaker 1: to say you're the big favorite in this game, but

973
00:47:53,600 --> 00:47:57,080
Speaker 1: I think clearly I don't know. I mean, most people

974
00:47:57,120 --> 00:47:59,640
Speaker 1: would agree that they have the better team top to bottom.

975
00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:02,640
Speaker 1: So it's like, Kyle, if you're not gonna win this time,

976
00:48:03,200 --> 00:48:06,000
Speaker 1: are you gonna be you know? Now Andy was this

977
00:48:06,120 --> 00:48:07,799
Speaker 1: way for a long time and it took him getting

978
00:48:07,840 --> 00:48:12,040
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes to just completely throw that narrative in the trash. Well,

979
00:48:12,280 --> 00:48:14,160
Speaker 1: you know, if he can't win with this version of

980
00:48:14,320 --> 00:48:17,520
Speaker 1: his team, like this team's never gonna be better. Probably

981
00:48:17,719 --> 00:48:20,239
Speaker 1: maybe next year, but like the windows now, definitely never

982
00:48:20,280 --> 00:48:21,360
Speaker 1: have a better opportunity.

983
00:48:21,600 --> 00:48:23,960
Speaker 2: Well, especially because the NFC is weak this year, and

984
00:48:24,680 --> 00:48:27,000
Speaker 2: you know, these things go in ebbs and flows, like

985
00:48:27,000 --> 00:48:29,880
Speaker 2: look at the NFC norm right, the Bears have the potential.

986
00:48:30,200 --> 00:48:32,440
Speaker 2: He saw their defense getting better if they get a quarterback.

987
00:48:32,560 --> 00:48:35,000
Speaker 2: The Lions aren't positioned to be good for a while.

988
00:48:35,080 --> 00:48:38,000
Speaker 2: The Packers aren't positioned to be good for a while.

989
00:48:38,000 --> 00:48:40,759
Speaker 2: With the Vikings, they've made a lot of progress this year.

990
00:48:40,760 --> 00:48:42,239
Speaker 2: They're gonna have a quarterback and they didn't have a

991
00:48:42,320 --> 00:48:43,040
Speaker 2: quarterback this year.

992
00:48:43,320 --> 00:48:47,480
Speaker 1: Like that one division, the Rams are gonna keep getting better.

993
00:48:47,520 --> 00:48:48,680
Speaker 1: They got a bunch of young players.

994
00:48:48,840 --> 00:48:50,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, so, like the NFC, this year was just right

995
00:48:50,840 --> 00:48:53,920
Speaker 2: for the picking. So that adds to it.

996
00:48:54,600 --> 00:48:55,680
Speaker 1: Eagles imploded.

997
00:48:56,000 --> 00:48:59,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, so yeah, like that their opportunity. You never know

998
00:49:00,120 --> 00:49:02,960
Speaker 2: when you're not going to get back. So yeah, they'll

999
00:49:02,960 --> 00:49:05,759
Speaker 2: they'll definitely be questions for Shanahan, warranted or not. And

1000
00:49:05,880 --> 00:49:08,040
Speaker 2: then his legacy will depend on if he doesn't win

1001
00:49:08,080 --> 00:49:10,359
Speaker 2: this game, does he does he win, does he get

1002
00:49:10,400 --> 00:49:13,719
Speaker 2: it back and win win one again? If not, Yeah,

1003
00:49:13,760 --> 00:49:17,160
Speaker 2: even though he lost to Mahomes and Reed, there still

1004
00:49:17,160 --> 00:49:19,080
Speaker 2: will be questions. And this is this is as good

1005
00:49:19,080 --> 00:49:20,440
Speaker 2: as an opportunity as you're going to get.

1006
00:49:21,120 --> 00:49:22,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think the good thing for him

1007
00:49:23,600 --> 00:49:25,920
Speaker 1: is clearly like he's a football guy, like he's not

1008
00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:27,640
Speaker 1: looking to go to the media or whatever. Like if

1009
00:49:27,640 --> 00:49:29,480
Speaker 1: you look and Andy was the same way early on

1010
00:49:29,560 --> 00:49:32,319
Speaker 1: in his career. But he only got to the game once.

1011
00:49:32,960 --> 00:49:34,120
Speaker 1: Right if I would have told you he would have

1012
00:49:34,160 --> 00:49:36,719
Speaker 1: got to this game multiple times with that defense, you know,

1013
00:49:36,880 --> 00:49:38,960
Speaker 1: who knows, Maybe they just maybe they get when you

1014
00:49:39,040 --> 00:49:41,400
Speaker 1: get to the game multiple times, Like look back at

1015
00:49:41,480 --> 00:49:45,520
Speaker 1: Marvel Levy. What's the statistical chances if you just ran

1016
00:49:45,760 --> 00:49:47,160
Speaker 1: like in the history of the league you had a

1017
00:49:47,239 --> 00:49:49,680
Speaker 1: four straight Super Bowls and not win one, It's probably

1018
00:49:49,840 --> 00:49:55,440
Speaker 1: very slim, right, So yeah, I mean, I I think

1019
00:49:55,440 --> 00:49:57,719
Speaker 1: they're gonna win, But should I I don't have that

1020
00:49:57,840 --> 00:50:03,279
Speaker 1: much confidence on put money on him. Okay, Stucky, Well,

1021
00:50:03,719 --> 00:50:06,320
Speaker 1: it's been a hell of a run. It's been a

1022
00:50:06,400 --> 00:50:09,839
Speaker 1: fun season. We've basically seen it all this year. It's

1023
00:50:09,840 --> 00:50:11,520
Speaker 1: hard to get much better, and we'll be back at it.

1024
00:50:12,120 --> 00:50:15,120
Speaker 1: Uh I guess next year. So take it easy, bro,

1025
00:50:15,280 --> 00:50:16,279
Speaker 1: and enjoy the super Bowl.

1026
00:50:16,560 --> 00:50:19,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a good season. Let's close it strong and

1027
00:50:19,760 --> 00:50:22,000
Speaker 2: good luck to your Niners. I wish they were playing

1028
00:50:22,080 --> 00:50:25,719
Speaker 2: the Ravens, but uh go Niners, especially first half. But

1029
00:50:25,880 --> 00:50:27,600
Speaker 2: enjoy the game of everybody in good luck on your bets.

1030
00:50:31,160 --> 00:50:31,760
Speaker 1: The volume