WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2019 NFL MegaPod Week 14 Preview 0:00:03.400 --> 0:00:12.320 Check it on Man Down. Then Thursday Morning, December five, 0:00:12.760 --> 0:00:16.360 nine teams, up Dating, up Book podcast and megapod Skill 0:00:16.400 --> 0:00:20.760 Alexander And of course it's week fourteen in the National 0:00:20.760 --> 0:00:24.560 Football the quarter pole in horse racing parlance. The regulars 0:00:24.600 --> 0:00:27.760 on the show here as always from Circus Sports, Derek 0:00:27.800 --> 0:00:30.720 Stephen's conciliary, the vice president of operations at Circa. It's 0:00:30.760 --> 0:00:33.800 our buddy, Mike Palm. What's happening to Mike? Are you? 0:00:33.920 --> 0:00:35.639 I'm doing very well. You're eating in the office. We're 0:00:35.680 --> 0:00:37.879 all on camera here, everybody but our guest today. You 0:00:37.920 --> 0:00:41.040 seem to be eating well. Everyone else is at lunch, 0:00:41.040 --> 0:00:43.519 but due to John Murray's schedule, we had to do 0:00:43.640 --> 0:00:45.720 this later, so I'm not able to go to lunch. 0:00:46.400 --> 0:00:49.760 There we go already welcoming the guests. Pretty sure, Mike, 0:00:50.040 --> 0:00:52.960 you missing launch wouldn't be the end of the world. Oho, 0:00:53.560 --> 0:00:57.440 And so it begins and finished fourth in the non 0:00:57.480 --> 0:01:03.640 casino employed We go Here we go using Twitter polls 0:01:03.680 --> 0:01:06.959 against each other. Mike is very serious about these Twitter polls. 0:01:06.959 --> 0:01:11.080 Not He's very seriously. First of all, you can just anything. 0:01:11.120 --> 0:01:13.200 I make jokes about your weight, you could say same 0:01:13.240 --> 0:01:15.720 to you, fat so because I'm a fat so too. Yeah, 0:01:15.720 --> 0:01:17.560 I know you are, but I would never stoop to 0:01:17.640 --> 0:01:19.800 that level because there's a lot of pastors where it 0:01:19.840 --> 0:01:21.600 may not be your fault and you're trying to get 0:01:21.600 --> 0:01:26.760 more healthy. Wow. Wow, now that's that beautiful Catholicism coming together. 0:01:26.800 --> 0:01:28.800 I love it, John, John, aren't you glad you agreed 0:01:28.840 --> 0:01:30.039 to do this? This is all we do for an 0:01:30.160 --> 0:01:33.000 entire forty five minutes every everyone. I'm very excited to 0:01:33.400 --> 0:01:35.280 come on and try to talk about the NFL with 0:01:35.400 --> 0:01:39.000 you guys. I apologize, Mike, I do. I overextended myself 0:01:39.040 --> 0:01:41.000 the last two days. I agreed to way too many 0:01:41.040 --> 0:01:44.040 interviews the last two days. I'm pretty sure the people 0:01:44.080 --> 0:01:46.000 that work here think I'm not doing anything and my 0:01:46.080 --> 0:01:49.640 office door is closed all day, just doing interview after interview. 0:01:49.640 --> 0:01:51.600 They probably think I'm just sitting back here watching TV. 0:01:52.040 --> 0:01:54.760 He's very popular, John Murray, that's what But that's what 0:01:54.800 --> 0:01:57.160 you do, John, I mean, they can't be made what 0:01:57.240 --> 0:01:59.040 you do. Know. I know it's a big part of 0:01:59.040 --> 0:02:00.880 the job now, you know that, Mike, and make part 0:02:00.880 --> 0:02:03.160 of the job now is promoting the different books and 0:02:03.240 --> 0:02:06.360 different media and it's a lot of fun. It's a 0:02:06.360 --> 0:02:08.320 lot more fun than going to another meeting, I'll tell 0:02:08.320 --> 0:02:10.040 you that much. For those who don't know, that's the 0:02:10.120 --> 0:02:12.720 voice of John Murray. He is the executive director of 0:02:12.800 --> 0:02:15.799 Racing Sports at the Westgate the Super Book here in 0:02:15.880 --> 0:02:20.080 Las Vegas under Jake Cornegey's stewardship. John Murray, executive director 0:02:20.080 --> 0:02:21.640 of Racing Sports. So we're thrilled to have you John, 0:02:21.639 --> 0:02:23.960 first time ever on the megapod. And so here's how 0:02:24.040 --> 0:02:26.040 this works. Usually before we get into games, we get 0:02:26.080 --> 0:02:28.280 a contest update from Mike, but since you're here, we 0:02:28.280 --> 0:02:30.520 get to get a contest update, perhaps if you know 0:02:30.600 --> 0:02:32.639 it off hand from you first at the West Gate. 0:02:32.919 --> 0:02:34.919 Do you know what the leading record is in the 0:02:34.960 --> 0:02:37.640 Super Contest Classic or Gold right now? By any chance, John, 0:02:37.800 --> 0:02:39.680 I wish you would ask me that I could have 0:02:39.720 --> 0:02:42.000 had the guys pull the numbers for me, and I 0:02:42.040 --> 0:02:44.360 don't know what it is. I can look it up, 0:02:44.400 --> 0:02:46.160 and I can look it up very quickly, all right, 0:02:46.200 --> 0:02:48.079 if you want to look it up, you can. Otherwise 0:02:48.080 --> 0:02:50.760 in the meantime, we'll get an update from Mike Palm 0:02:51.200 --> 0:02:53.360 the Circus Sport Million. It was the first day of 0:02:53.360 --> 0:02:56.639 our final quarterly or your final quarterly there at circa. 0:02:56.960 --> 0:02:58.680 By the way, I didn't start well. I started two 0:02:58.720 --> 0:03:03.280 and three. Todd had you dark and three? Two and three? Also, Mike, 0:03:03.720 --> 0:03:06.079 how many five? Oh? Is the first week of the quarterly? 0:03:06.720 --> 0:03:13.400 Only fifty only fifty one? Wow? That's still pretty damn good. Geez. 0:03:14.840 --> 0:03:17.400 And who is in the lead now for the whole deal? 0:03:17.760 --> 0:03:22.240 The booty Blockers maintains the lead. He's got forty six 0:03:22.280 --> 0:03:24.239 and a half points. He's got a two point lead 0:03:24.280 --> 0:03:27.560 over two other entries, and then a three point lead 0:03:27.680 --> 0:03:31.240 over an additional two entries. So there's five five entries 0:03:31.240 --> 0:03:33.920 within two points of the lead. Right now, booty blockers, 0:03:34.160 --> 0:03:36.839 I wonder what booty Blocker's means? What does that even mean? 0:03:37.040 --> 0:03:39.800 The name is Isaac. His first name is Isaac, so 0:03:39.840 --> 0:03:43.360 maybe he's part of your group God. But he's coming 0:03:43.400 --> 0:03:48.440 in today actually to collect, to collect from quarter three, 0:03:48.560 --> 0:03:51.080 I'd like to meet him from California. So he won 0:03:51.160 --> 0:03:53.560 quarter three as well, that's right, Yeah, he split quarter 0:03:53.640 --> 0:03:55.880 three and he's leading for the million. His Hebrew name 0:03:55.920 --> 0:03:59.120 is First of all, I'm not part of any group 0:04:00.800 --> 0:04:04.560 as part of a religion. I've renounced studios many times. 0:04:04.600 --> 0:04:07.160 I will renounce on air right now again. I am 0:04:07.240 --> 0:04:10.080 part of no group except the human race, and that 0:04:10.240 --> 0:04:13.480 is John will never do this show again. John, do 0:04:13.520 --> 0:04:16.120 you have an update for us with the Westgate Super Contest? 0:04:16.640 --> 0:04:19.640 Do I do? Gil lead? The leader is still that 0:04:19.760 --> 0:04:24.360 Tuco now Tucos alias is based off Tuco Salamanca. If 0:04:24.400 --> 0:04:27.000 you remember the bad guy from the season of Breaking Bad, 0:04:27.920 --> 0:04:33.640 he checked in a forty four twenty and one one. 0:04:34.320 --> 0:04:37.960 There's two people behind him at forty three one and 0:04:38.080 --> 0:04:43.040 one Crisper and Chicago Jeff right behind Tuco. So and 0:04:43.080 --> 0:04:45.280 then there's a whole group at forty three forty two 0:04:45.320 --> 0:04:47.680 and a half. You guys know, there's a long way 0:04:47.720 --> 0:04:49.640 to go here down the stretch in the NFL, so 0:04:49.880 --> 0:04:52.159 very still still very much up for grounds, no doubt 0:04:52.160 --> 0:04:54.720 about that. That's a super contest classic. I can get 0:04:54.760 --> 0:04:57.320 you the gold as well here, John, I got a 0:04:58.040 --> 0:05:00.520 I got a tech from Randy McKay said he was 0:05:00.600 --> 0:05:03.960 tied for the lead and the goal. Oh wow, Okay, 0:05:04.040 --> 0:05:07.960 do you know his alias offhand? Mike? No, I don't. Okay, 0:05:08.000 --> 0:05:10.560 let me see if I can get you the gold standings. 0:05:10.800 --> 0:05:14.360 Right here, there's two people at thirty nine twenty five 0:05:14.440 --> 0:05:19.000 and one Mike and one guy's contestant Workman w W 0:05:19.279 --> 0:05:22.920 two and the other guy is Walter Payton. So I'm 0:05:22.920 --> 0:05:24.760 not sure which one of those are, Mr McKay. But 0:05:24.800 --> 0:05:28.080 there's two guys at thirty nine five and one, and 0:05:28.080 --> 0:05:31.520 then there's two more people at thirty eight five and two, 0:05:31.920 --> 0:05:33.560 so they're about to have They're a half point behind 0:05:33.600 --> 0:05:36.760 those two. So the Gold obviously a bottleneck as well. 0:05:37.120 --> 0:05:39.960 Sweetness tied for the lead, but the Classic is one 0:05:40.000 --> 0:05:41.920 point four two million. I got to look up a 0:05:41.960 --> 0:05:43.960 gold bought on Okay, all right, we don't need to 0:05:43.960 --> 0:05:46.520 know that one point four two million for Classic circle 0:05:46.600 --> 0:05:48.960 million is for a million obviously, the quarter prize of 0:05:49.120 --> 0:05:51.880 hundred forty three thousand in that as well, and gold 0:05:52.200 --> 0:05:54.680 is whatever. Gold is also low six figures on that, 0:05:54.720 --> 0:05:57.320 all right, before we get into any best bets, and 0:05:57.360 --> 0:05:59.080 maybe this is one of your best bets, I don't know, 0:05:59.320 --> 0:06:02.640 But any thoughts on the Thursday night game at all 0:06:03.040 --> 0:06:07.320 Dallas favored by three at Chicago tonight, John, any thoughts 0:06:07.400 --> 0:06:10.520 on this game tonight? We're just overloaded here with nothing 0:06:10.520 --> 0:06:12.680 but Cowboys money. I don't have an opinion on this 0:06:12.760 --> 0:06:15.479 game myself. I thought the Bears were very lucky to 0:06:15.600 --> 0:06:20.240 escape the Lions last last week on Thanksgiving, but you know, 0:06:20.320 --> 0:06:23.000 Dallas looked awful night game against Buffalo. I guess, if anything, 0:06:23.000 --> 0:06:24.520 this would be a good time to buy in on 0:06:24.640 --> 0:06:28.200 Dallas after such a bad performance last week. We're gonna 0:06:28.200 --> 0:06:30.359 need the Bears here, Mike. I would imagine most books 0:06:30.360 --> 0:06:32.680 in town are going to be in that same predicament, Mike, 0:06:32.800 --> 0:06:37.240 what about years well? Uh, gil Um. I think to 0:06:37.440 --> 0:06:42.120 John's last point that if you if you'd have had 0:06:42.160 --> 0:06:46.720 to look aheadline like they do at Westgate, Um, this 0:06:46.720 --> 0:06:48.520 game probably would have been four and a half or 0:06:48.560 --> 0:06:52.200 five before Dallas looks so awful on Thanksgiving. I think 0:06:52.200 --> 0:06:55.120 it's a pretty cheap price on the Cowboys. I personally 0:06:55.160 --> 0:06:57.120 laid three with the Cowboys, but it's not one of 0:06:57.160 --> 0:06:59.680 my three best bets here. The strange things with the 0:06:59.760 --> 0:07:02.520 cow Boys is that you know they can lose tonight, 0:07:03.320 --> 0:07:05.799 they can lose next Sunday to the Rams, and then 0:07:05.800 --> 0:07:08.560 still win the division by beating Philadelphia and walking in 0:07:08.640 --> 0:07:10.720 the close of the year. It's just in that seast. 0:07:10.800 --> 0:07:13.760 I know, John, you and gilbeat Redskins fans can speak 0:07:13.880 --> 0:07:16.559 out and that that division is this year. Three games 0:07:16.560 --> 0:07:19.120 back to speak to your point, Mike, we were at 0:07:19.200 --> 0:07:21.320 minus three and a half on the look ahead line, 0:07:21.680 --> 0:07:23.800 the early line, so maybe there is a little bit 0:07:23.840 --> 0:07:27.040 of value here at minus three. Yeah, the Redskins are 0:07:27.040 --> 0:07:28.680 still in the thick of the playoff RaSE. We just 0:07:28.720 --> 0:07:31.320 did a Bears win tonight, gil and a Giants win 0:07:31.440 --> 0:07:35.680 Monday night. Green Bay is a thirteen point dog that 0:07:36.120 --> 0:07:38.000 we might be right back in this thing, hey man. 0:07:38.160 --> 0:07:40.720 Double digit dog last week took care of the Panthers, 0:07:41.200 --> 0:07:44.040 not only took care of her, dominated him. Um. By 0:07:44.040 --> 0:07:46.120 the way, Dallas six and six before we get your 0:07:46.120 --> 0:07:49.760 thoughts tied, Dallas is six and six. The opponents they've beaten, 0:07:50.280 --> 0:07:53.640 they're six wins. The opponents they've beaten a combined sixteen 0:07:54.280 --> 0:07:58.240 fifty and one. The opponents they've lost to forty nine 0:07:58.240 --> 0:08:02.440 and nineteen. That is splits make Splitsville right there. For Dallas, 0:08:02.520 --> 0:08:04.720 they are a bully and then they get crushed by 0:08:04.720 --> 0:08:07.280 good teams. Where the Chicago fall we shall see, Todd 0:08:07.320 --> 0:08:09.280 any thoughts tonight. First of all, I want to ask 0:08:09.320 --> 0:08:11.560 you if you can Usually I write down all the picks, 0:08:11.640 --> 0:08:13.200 and I don't have a pen here in the car, 0:08:13.560 --> 0:08:15.200 so I was wondering if you could write down the 0:08:15.200 --> 0:08:17.880 picks for us today so we can track of them. 0:08:17.960 --> 0:08:20.520 Anything else you need me to do? Man, Yeah, well 0:08:21.040 --> 0:08:23.760 it's not wasn't something I volunteered to do in the 0:08:23.760 --> 0:08:27.520 first place. Well, this is a change. Jusie Todd asked 0:08:27.520 --> 0:08:30.360 the listeners to do his work. This time he's asking 0:08:30.440 --> 0:08:32.360 the call host. I'll do it, Todd. I'll write him 0:08:32.400 --> 0:08:34.880 down there you go, thank you. I will take the 0:08:35.080 --> 0:08:40.520 arrows from Mike Palm with pride and no prejudice. Okay, Um, 0:08:40.559 --> 0:08:43.120 As far as tonight's game, how the hell can you 0:08:43.160 --> 0:08:46.240 make a call? You've got true bisky, it's a joke. 0:08:46.760 --> 0:08:50.360 You've got the Cowboys coaching as a joke. You just 0:08:50.440 --> 0:08:52.720 have to watch Michael probably play the under in the 0:08:52.760 --> 0:08:54.800 first half. And it probably is not a bad idea. 0:08:56.480 --> 0:08:59.280 I mean it's Cowboys. Listen. If they have this talent, 0:08:59.559 --> 0:09:03.160 shouldn't they beat a team like Chicago with Mr Biscuite quarterback? 0:09:03.200 --> 0:09:06.240 Because and the Bears defense is not anything vaunted. They 0:09:06.320 --> 0:09:08.960 let David Blow go up and down the field on them. 0:09:09.200 --> 0:09:11.800 So like, if the Cowboys can't get it done, remember 0:09:11.840 --> 0:09:14.360 the Redskins got Ron Rivera fired. I'm talking to you, 0:09:14.400 --> 0:09:17.320 Pat Shermer week sixteen. Jason Garrett Week seventeen, you better 0:09:17.320 --> 0:09:20.480 watch out, Skins are coming. Let's begin with the best bets. 0:09:20.600 --> 0:09:22.680 John Murray from the West Gate. We start with you. 0:09:22.720 --> 0:09:24.840 What's your first best bet, sir? I think this week 0:09:24.880 --> 0:09:27.280 the one the one player I really do like actually 0:09:27.480 --> 0:09:29.880 is the Indianapolis Colts. You know, I think this is 0:09:29.920 --> 0:09:33.200 an overreaction line here. You can get the Colts plus 0:09:33.240 --> 0:09:35.640 three on the road in Tampa. The Buccaneers have really 0:09:35.640 --> 0:09:39.200 struggled at home this year. Colts are coming off of 0:09:39.240 --> 0:09:41.280 what looks like a bad loss to the Titans, but 0:09:41.800 --> 0:09:44.720 they're really in control of that game until the end there. 0:09:45.520 --> 0:09:47.480 I don't think much of the Bucks, although I do 0:09:47.600 --> 0:09:50.040 find watching Jamis Winston to be a lot of fun. 0:09:50.920 --> 0:09:52.920 I'm gonna lean to the cold tier. I'm gonna assume 0:09:53.000 --> 0:09:56.320 Jamis Winston is gonna make some egregious mistakes and give 0:09:56.360 --> 0:09:59.480 this game away. You're with Chris Andrews. Chris Andrews said 0:09:59.600 --> 0:10:04.120 this is a by low situation on the Indianapolis Colts. 0:10:04.120 --> 0:10:07.520 You are echoing that as well. Tampa Bay three point favorites. 0:10:07.600 --> 0:10:09.800 The Bucks, who are five and seven, Colts are six 0:10:09.800 --> 0:10:12.160 and six. They're two out in the uh A f 0:10:12.280 --> 0:10:15.280 C South two behind the Texans, one behind the Titans. 0:10:15.760 --> 0:10:19.880 Mike best bet number one. I really like Baltimore lane 0:10:19.920 --> 0:10:22.040 five and a half at Buffalo is that the lion 0:10:22.160 --> 0:10:24.320 cod Are you look? Are you able to look at 0:10:24.360 --> 0:10:27.520 lines now that you're in a car? I actually actually 0:10:28.800 --> 0:10:32.439 I got six. I got six six and and and 0:10:32.440 --> 0:10:35.880 and for tradition, we should really always, you know, bump 0:10:35.960 --> 0:10:38.400 Mike half a point because he always tries to. Here's 0:10:38.400 --> 0:10:41.360 the irony. Mike hates it when people give the wrong lines, 0:10:41.400 --> 0:10:43.920 but meanwhile every week he tries to get a half 0:10:43.920 --> 0:10:47.040 a point on us. It's I only hate it when 0:10:47.080 --> 0:10:50.680 Hoops Peterson gives the line that's dead points off exactly 0:10:51.160 --> 0:10:53.520 the West Gate and circuit of both and half five 0:10:53.559 --> 0:10:55.240 and a half. I can't be able to get five 0:10:55.280 --> 0:10:56.920 and a half. We got five and a a half right 0:10:56.920 --> 0:10:59.440 here at the West kid. Yeah, Gil is always the 0:10:59.440 --> 0:11:03.120 final r. I'm just looking at consensus off shore and 0:11:03.120 --> 0:11:06.280 at six off shore. So sorry, sorry Las Vegas, but 0:11:06.360 --> 0:11:10.000 we're gonna go with the six just to be consistent. Yeah, John, 0:11:10.000 --> 0:11:12.200 and I hold a gaming license. We can't be held 0:11:12.200 --> 0:11:15.680 at at off Sorry, I don't know what you're talking 0:11:15.720 --> 0:11:18.040 about when you're talking about off shore books, guys, I'm 0:11:18.040 --> 0:11:21.360 only looking at the prominent Vegas sports book. That's all 0:11:21.360 --> 0:11:23.079 I look at. All Right, Well, we give him the 0:11:23.080 --> 0:11:25.040 five and a half of the six, Gil, you're the 0:11:25.080 --> 0:11:28.160 final harbiter. Six damn it six. Sorry, here's the thing, 0:11:29.320 --> 0:11:31.720 off shore, do they have Jesus or the other guy 0:11:31.760 --> 0:11:34.240 making the lines? Because I know it's circle they do, 0:11:34.520 --> 0:11:37.560 and I believe I thought I saw a picture of 0:11:37.600 --> 0:11:40.680 that there Jesus hugging o J. Simpson on Twitter? Was 0:11:40.720 --> 0:11:44.640 that for real? Are you talking about Lindiman and Metcalf? Oh? Wow, 0:11:44.840 --> 0:11:47.040 Lindiman won't return my d M. What's the deal with that? 0:11:47.120 --> 0:11:49.320 Dale hug o J. Come on? That was a set 0:11:49.400 --> 0:11:51.920 up about they couldn't believe he didn't have any plays 0:11:52.360 --> 0:11:54.440 and then they said, yeah he couldn't take a stab 0:11:54.480 --> 0:11:59.240 at it. That was just a whole set up. I 0:11:59.400 --> 0:12:03.840 was very reference market. Yeah, there are people too young 0:12:03.880 --> 0:12:06.720 to understand that reference listening to this podcast right now. Alright, 0:12:06.760 --> 0:12:10.760 So six six I don't like. I don't like six 0:12:10.800 --> 0:12:12.600 as much as I like five and a half. But 0:12:12.840 --> 0:12:14.600 here here's the thing. I think this is a bad 0:12:14.640 --> 0:12:17.760 matchup for Buffalo. I just don't see how they're gonna 0:12:17.800 --> 0:12:21.319 stop the power running game of the Ravens. Now we 0:12:21.400 --> 0:12:25.280 saw and I've been critical of Alan the ability. I 0:12:25.320 --> 0:12:27.120 always say he could beat them more with his legs 0:12:27.120 --> 0:12:29.560 and his arms. He had a very good game in Dallas, 0:12:29.559 --> 0:12:32.040 but that was playing in the Dome and perfect circumstances. 0:12:32.080 --> 0:12:34.240 Now we have to go back to Buffalo, where they're 0:12:34.320 --> 0:12:36.880 always winding, no matter what season of the year. And 0:12:36.920 --> 0:12:39.960 I actually think that the Baltimore Ravens are more built 0:12:40.040 --> 0:12:42.760 to play in bolts to play in Buffalo than Buffalo is. 0:12:43.200 --> 0:12:45.720 I thought that game with the forty nine was just terrific, 0:12:45.760 --> 0:12:47.480 and the fact that they did not play a great 0:12:47.520 --> 0:12:50.000 game and still want it right, they were still able 0:12:50.000 --> 0:12:53.400 to grindnd out enough first down and use Tucker and 0:12:53.440 --> 0:12:55.800 win a game against a very good team and a 0:12:55.920 --> 0:12:59.320 very meaningful game. Buffalo high off. This probably the biggest 0:12:59.320 --> 0:13:02.720 win they've had one sixteen years, but maybe longer for 0:13:02.760 --> 0:13:05.960 this branch. I like I like, I like Baltimore to 0:13:06.040 --> 0:13:08.040 keep it rolling and the win this game by a touchdown. 0:13:08.440 --> 0:13:11.040 Baltimore with their win over San Francisco, a game that 0:13:11.080 --> 0:13:13.360 they perhaps could have lost, if not should have, but 0:13:13.400 --> 0:13:15.360 the best starting franchise history. Now at ten and two. 0:13:15.640 --> 0:13:20.440 Justin Tucker with his thirty eight straight field goal made 0:13:20.800 --> 0:13:25.400 in the fourth quarter, that is just absolutely sick. What 0:13:25.440 --> 0:13:27.040 a weapon he is for them and they want it 0:13:27.080 --> 0:13:28.959 with two three totally yards. By the way, I talked 0:13:29.000 --> 0:13:31.680 about the Dallas splits, Buffalo is nine and three opponents. 0:13:31.720 --> 0:13:35.880 They've beaten a combined twenty seven and sixty six though 0:13:35.960 --> 0:13:39.000 at least give them credit that they probably not probably, 0:13:39.040 --> 0:13:40.320 but they did have something to do with the fact 0:13:40.320 --> 0:13:43.880 that Tennessee seven and five, that one of those losses 0:13:43.920 --> 0:13:46.040 is from Buffalo, and Dallas six and six one of 0:13:46.080 --> 0:13:47.800 those is from Buffalo as well, So at least they 0:13:47.840 --> 0:13:51.000 have a couple good wins on their resume. Todd your first, 0:13:51.160 --> 0:13:53.800 well with my first, I'm gonna go back with my 0:13:53.960 --> 0:13:57.679 tried and true. Everybody's heard me on a Numbers game 0:13:57.720 --> 0:14:01.480 and on this podcast, and granted I get tons of 0:14:01.520 --> 0:14:03.720 things wrong, but I have not been wrong this year 0:14:04.240 --> 0:14:07.199 when targeting a certain team for the over, and that's 0:14:07.240 --> 0:14:10.960 the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Week after week, I've been pounding 0:14:11.000 --> 0:14:14.120 the table. Tampa Bay Buccaneers over is the greatest bets 0:14:14.120 --> 0:14:18.400 since sliced bread. They play absolutely zero defense, they're very 0:14:18.440 --> 0:14:21.840 explosive on offense, and there's always the chance that Jamis 0:14:21.920 --> 0:14:24.480 might throw some picks that go the other direction. So 0:14:24.520 --> 0:14:28.760 they're just the the the overlover's dream. Last week, if 0:14:28.800 --> 0:14:31.280 you if you remember, I decided not to take the 0:14:31.400 --> 0:14:33.640 over with them, and it was the first time they 0:14:33.720 --> 0:14:36.760 did not go over because they were playing the Jaguars 0:14:36.760 --> 0:14:38.720 and I was scared that the Jaguars might not score, 0:14:38.720 --> 0:14:40.960 which is exactly what happened. So I've really had a 0:14:41.000 --> 0:14:44.080 good beat on Tampa Bay all year. I don't understand 0:14:44.080 --> 0:14:47.760 why people are betting it under give me over, Gil, 0:14:47.840 --> 0:14:53.800 what's the consensus? Seven over forty seven in the Indianapolis 0:14:53.840 --> 0:14:57.360 Colts Tampa Bay Buccaneers game, and we will cash again. Yeah, 0:14:57.440 --> 0:14:59.720 Jamis last week, no touchdowns, no picks like that was 0:14:59.760 --> 0:15:02.240 a unjamed like game and that's why it stayed under 0:15:02.320 --> 0:15:06.040 right eleven. Or it was because Jacksonville wasn't going to 0:15:06.120 --> 0:15:10.720 score to help them. Did their usual but Jacksonville, I 0:15:10.720 --> 0:15:12.600 thought might not help them, and that's why I laid 0:15:12.600 --> 0:15:15.240 off Tampa Bay Colts over for Todd over forty seven. 0:15:15.840 --> 0:15:18.360 My first best bet. I'm gonna do like Todd does. 0:15:18.560 --> 0:15:20.840 I pretty much go to him every week. Todd's had 0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:22.600 a little more success than I have, though, But I'm 0:15:22.640 --> 0:15:27.720 going with the Miami Dolphins. Todd saying it. Miami Dolphins, 0:15:27.800 --> 0:15:33.880 Miami Dolphins, Miami Dolphins no longer number thirty one. John 0:15:33.960 --> 0:15:35.960 is never doing the show again. I just repeated one 0:15:35.960 --> 0:15:40.800 more time. Uh, Miami is now plus five and a half. Consensus. 0:15:40.880 --> 0:15:42.560 It was six, it's now plus five and a half. 0:15:42.720 --> 0:15:44.640 This is more of just to play against the Jets. 0:15:44.720 --> 0:15:47.400 Why are the Jets five and a half point favorites 0:15:47.440 --> 0:15:49.680 in this game when I was guessing it on Monday. 0:15:49.840 --> 0:15:52.320 When I do Dolphins games now on guessing lines, every 0:15:52.320 --> 0:15:54.240 time I have to give, it's the one team that 0:15:54.320 --> 0:15:56.120 I have to give what I think it should be 0:15:56.160 --> 0:15:58.560 and what I think it will be. And with the Dolphins, 0:15:58.600 --> 0:16:00.960 I think it should be four. I would imagine it 0:16:01.000 --> 0:16:02.560 was five and a half. It was six at the time, 0:16:02.600 --> 0:16:04.520 Now it is five and a half. Dolphins are ten 0:16:04.600 --> 0:16:07.160 and two in one possession game since the started last season. 0:16:07.400 --> 0:16:11.680 They won three of five outright since going oh and seven. 0:16:12.480 --> 0:16:14.760 They outscored the Eagles twenty three to three after trailing 0:16:14.760 --> 0:16:16.720 by fourteen and the third quarter. Last week, they scored 0:16:16.720 --> 0:16:18.800 on six of their final seven drives. The fact is 0:16:18.880 --> 0:16:24.040 that Ryan Fitzpatrick makes them a decent, you know, slightly 0:16:24.160 --> 0:16:27.400 below average football team, but they're not horrific. They're not 0:16:27.480 --> 0:16:30.240 a joke with Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback, and he seems 0:16:30.280 --> 0:16:32.680 to have this chemistry with DeVante Parker and the Jets 0:16:32.720 --> 0:16:34.720 returned to be in the Jets last week. You're giving 0:16:34.760 --> 0:16:36.920 me five and a half points, I'll take the Dolphins. 0:16:37.360 --> 0:16:40.360 That's my best bet. Number one, John pick number two. 0:16:40.400 --> 0:16:42.600 I'm gonna give you guys the same pick we gave 0:16:42.640 --> 0:16:45.880 to Mr Brenton Musbrewer yesterday on My Guys in the Desert. 0:16:46.800 --> 0:16:48.800 Brent asks us to give him a pick each week 0:16:48.840 --> 0:16:52.040 for the Super Contest, and we gave him New England 0:16:52.160 --> 0:16:55.800 minus three at home against the Kansas City Chiefs. I 0:16:55.840 --> 0:16:58.440 think it's a good by low spot on New England. 0:16:58.840 --> 0:17:00.720 They looked awful on and then I had Actually that 0:17:01.320 --> 0:17:04.600 two final against Houston was misleading. They really got beat 0:17:04.640 --> 0:17:07.320 worse than that. But I think they'll bounce back at 0:17:07.359 --> 0:17:10.520 home here against Andy Reid and the Kansas City Chiefs. 0:17:11.000 --> 0:17:13.719 So we gave Brent New England minus three. It's my 0:17:13.760 --> 0:17:15.960 favorite play this week. How's that going with you and Brent, 0:17:16.080 --> 0:17:17.639 is he upset with you for bad picks or he's 0:17:17.680 --> 0:17:20.919 happy with you with good picks. Well, you know, he 0:17:20.920 --> 0:17:22.600 he was upset with us because we gave him a 0:17:22.640 --> 0:17:25.920 loser going against New England. This is several weeks ago. 0:17:26.119 --> 0:17:29.520 And then we gave him Baltimore against New England. I'm 0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:32.080 sure you guys remember that Sunday night game or Baltimore 0:17:32.119 --> 0:17:36.000 just trucked the Patriots and Brent actually ignored the pick, 0:17:37.040 --> 0:17:39.120 but he apologized to me on air for that one. 0:17:39.119 --> 0:17:42.560 I'm pretty sure our records pretty good. There was a 0:17:42.560 --> 0:17:44.160 little bit of a scandal a few weeks ago where 0:17:44.160 --> 0:17:46.320 we tried to give him the Jets against the Raiders. 0:17:47.720 --> 0:17:50.439 I wasn't thinking, I you know, it was my fault. 0:17:50.480 --> 0:17:52.199 I wasn't. That was our favorite play that week, was 0:17:52.560 --> 0:17:54.560 Jets plus three at home against the Raiders, but I 0:17:54.600 --> 0:17:57.840 wasn't thinking. Of course, Mr Mustger can't use the Raiders game, 0:17:58.680 --> 0:18:00.680 so he kind of laughed at me on that one. 0:18:00.760 --> 0:18:03.080 But we gave him. We gave him San Francisco plus 0:18:03.119 --> 0:18:06.080 six last Sunday, which I thought was a good one, 0:18:06.400 --> 0:18:08.480 and we're giving him New England minus three this week. 0:18:08.560 --> 0:18:10.440 The Jets did win that game against the Raiders thirty 0:18:10.520 --> 0:18:12.639 four to three. He does realize that in retrospect, right, 0:18:12.880 --> 0:18:15.400 Oh yeah, he does. But it was really my fault, Gill. 0:18:15.440 --> 0:18:16.919 I he I know, I know he can't play the 0:18:17.000 --> 0:18:19.760 Raider games. I just wasn't thinking clearly that afternoon, and 0:18:20.000 --> 0:18:22.639 I think we ended up giving him. We ended up 0:18:22.680 --> 0:18:26.000 giving him another play that lost in in uh In 0:18:26.000 --> 0:18:28.960 in place of the Jets. So disappointing week, but I 0:18:29.000 --> 0:18:31.840 think overall we've given him some more winners than losers. 0:18:31.880 --> 0:18:34.320 Let's say that John, who I am told while doing 0:18:34.359 --> 0:18:38.080 market Watch, actually drinks Bookmaker blonde while on the set. 0:18:38.119 --> 0:18:41.280 Is that true as well? Oh? Absolutely, that's a fact. Yeah, No, 0:18:41.400 --> 0:18:44.600 I had a Bookmaker blonde on set with Jeff Paul's 0:18:45.080 --> 0:18:47.120 was that last Monday, Mike. We were all down there 0:18:47.760 --> 0:18:50.240 and then the camera kept catching me going to commercial 0:18:50.320 --> 0:18:51.920 drinking a beer. I'm like, you, guys, put a beer 0:18:51.920 --> 0:18:53.720 in front of me. I'm gonna drink a beer. What 0:18:53.760 --> 0:18:55.480 do you? What do you people want from me? Why 0:18:55.560 --> 0:18:57.600 was it catching you? We drank on my guys, We 0:18:57.800 --> 0:19:02.600 openly drank and toasted seas He's after after I wanted 0:19:02.600 --> 0:19:04.760 to be one of the guys man, Well, you knew 0:19:04.760 --> 0:19:06.640 it was. You knew that, and there it was wasn't 0:19:06.640 --> 0:19:12.400 gonna last along with humans at ten o'clock. So actually 0:19:13.600 --> 0:19:16.040 Mai at the time, so it was it was kind 0:19:16.040 --> 0:19:18.840 of a free for all on set. Oh that's right, Mikey. 0:19:18.880 --> 0:19:22.720 What's pick number two? Uh? What is the total guil 0:19:22.920 --> 0:19:25.440 on the Vikings Lions? Gig? I like how you asked 0:19:25.480 --> 0:19:28.119 me and that you refuse asked hod Now it's forty 0:19:28.200 --> 0:19:31.879 three flat. I asked you because I don't need a speech. 0:19:31.880 --> 0:19:36.880 I'm gonna go over three. You know. The only thing, 0:19:37.119 --> 0:19:39.840 the only thing that uh, the only thing that I 0:19:39.880 --> 0:19:42.960 think we learned about either of these teams uh in 0:19:43.000 --> 0:19:45.640 their last games on Thanksgiving and then on Monday night, 0:19:45.720 --> 0:19:48.280 is that Patricia is just never gonna bring any pressure. 0:19:48.320 --> 0:19:52.160 He's just gonna let the quarterback sit there. He could 0:19:52.200 --> 0:19:54.480 defend in that second if you let Cousins sit there 0:19:54.480 --> 0:19:57.280