1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,360 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,400 --> 00:00:05,520 Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey P. Joe P's a 3 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:09,080 Speaker 1: pia and this is BP NFL. It's time to look 4 00:00:09,119 --> 00:00:12,080 Speaker 1: to Thursday Night football. Scott bog and I are going 5 00:00:12,080 --> 00:00:15,600 Speaker 1: to pick apart the Bills and Houston Texans. But we're 6 00:00:15,640 --> 00:00:18,320 Speaker 1: coming off a hot Monday night performance where Scott Bogmin 7 00:00:18,400 --> 00:00:21,439 Speaker 1: went four and one. I was all over the Cowboys 8 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:23,320 Speaker 1: with the three and a half. We had a great day. 9 00:00:23,400 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 1: Ceedee Lamb touchdown everything we could possibly ask for, and 10 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:29,480 Speaker 1: a whole lot of George Pickens. So, as a Steelers fan, 11 00:00:29,520 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 1: what's it like watching George Pickens put up a game 12 00:00:31,480 --> 00:00:31,800 Speaker 1: like that? 13 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:37,280 Speaker 2: Unsurprising to me? I mean, he is a elite level talent. 14 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:39,800 Speaker 2: If Dallas can get his head screwed on straight, he 15 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 2: is going to be an amazing wide receiver. I don't 16 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:44,680 Speaker 2: think anybody's gonna be able to keep his head screwed 17 00:00:44,760 --> 00:00:47,839 Speaker 2: on straight. They already haven't. He got fined the week before, 18 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:52,960 Speaker 2: and when they are inevitably bounced out of playoff contention, 19 00:00:53,440 --> 00:00:56,640 Speaker 2: he will be a gigantic baby man like he always is. 20 00:00:58,280 --> 00:00:59,840 Speaker 3: And you know you gottay him a lot of money. 21 00:01:00,120 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 1: Very risky, very risky on set for that kind of 22 00:01:03,720 --> 00:01:06,360 Speaker 1: contract for somebody who's you know, getting benched before games 23 00:01:06,480 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 1: or Steelers getting in. 24 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:10,920 Speaker 2: For another white out. Joe George Pickens would look amazing 25 00:01:10,959 --> 00:01:11,559 Speaker 2: next to DK. 26 00:01:11,959 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 3: He would. 27 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:14,880 Speaker 2: They just couldn't do it. He was late to everything. 28 00:01:15,200 --> 00:01:18,679 Speaker 2: I saw Jerry Dulac talking about he was late to 29 00:01:18,760 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 2: a game and they had asked he had to have 30 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:24,040 Speaker 2: an MRI before this game, and they had asked Hamlin, 31 00:01:24,080 --> 00:01:26,479 Speaker 2: what's going to happen. He said, well, he's probably gonna 32 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:29,319 Speaker 2: play a limited amount of snaps. But he showed up 33 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:32,680 Speaker 2: like fifteen minutes before kickoff and they had to take her. 34 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:34,119 Speaker 3: That same story this morning. 35 00:01:34,240 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's gross. 36 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:40,520 Speaker 1: So great player, well, great player, million dollars talents. 37 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:43,440 Speaker 2: In mcdermot's nah Coleman treatment is what he needs? 38 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:45,760 Speaker 3: Oh yeah, well, I don't. 39 00:01:45,560 --> 00:01:48,760 Speaker 1: Know, Shavers look pretty good, but I kind of desperate 40 00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:50,800 Speaker 1: and deeply had to pick him up in one. All right, 41 00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:54,760 Speaker 1: let's talk about the next Thursday night football game here 42 00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:56,520 Speaker 1: that we've got. We know Scott Bogg's favorite thing in 43 00:01:56,560 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 1: the world is Thursday night football. But let's look at 44 00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:01,880 Speaker 1: the tail of the tape. Here, we've got Buffalo who's 45 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 1: seven and three. The Houston Texans are five and five. 46 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:06,680 Speaker 1: Right now, Texans got a fighting for their life obviously, 47 00:02:06,680 --> 00:02:10,840 Speaker 1: the CJ. Stroud injury big impactful moment here. So you're 48 00:02:10,840 --> 00:02:12,960 Speaker 1: getting Houston plus six and a half even though they're 49 00:02:13,000 --> 00:02:14,880 Speaker 1: at home. You're getting forty three and a half for 50 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:16,640 Speaker 1: the over, forty four and a half for the under, 51 00:02:16,919 --> 00:02:19,240 Speaker 1: plus two fifty for the money line. Now, the spread 52 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 1: here on Buffalo ranges. I've seen it on betting pros 53 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:26,040 Speaker 1: at minus three and a half all the way to minus. 54 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 3: Five and a half. 55 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:30,520 Speaker 1: But at hard Rock Bet, our sponsor, you can get 56 00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:33,760 Speaker 1: plus one on Buffalo right now. Still, I'm locking that in. 57 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:36,000 Speaker 1: That's why I love hard Rock Bet. We'll tell you 58 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:38,120 Speaker 1: more about our sponsor later on, but hard Rock Bet 59 00:02:38,160 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 1: has the best line. So I'm just gonna lock in 60 00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:42,240 Speaker 1: that Buffalo at plus one and take it to the bank. 61 00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:44,840 Speaker 1: I like that Buffalo had to bounce back last week 62 00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:48,000 Speaker 1: at home. Hopefully you know that gives them a little 63 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:49,600 Speaker 1: bit of momentum going into this game. And I just 64 00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:54,960 Speaker 1: think although the Texans defense is fantastic, Josh Allen will 65 00:02:54,960 --> 00:02:56,560 Speaker 1: make it up places for the Buffalo Bills to win 66 00:02:56,600 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 1: this road game. Now, wouildch shock me if the Houston 67 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:02,440 Speaker 1: Texans beat them? No, because the Buffalo Bills have dropped 68 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:04,640 Speaker 1: a lot of games this year. Then I was shocked 69 00:03:04,639 --> 00:03:07,440 Speaker 1: that they lost Miami, even New England to a certain degree, 70 00:03:07,480 --> 00:03:09,480 Speaker 1: I was kind of shocked that they did not take 71 00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:11,200 Speaker 1: it to the Patriots. So, Bogs, where do you stand 72 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:12,239 Speaker 1: on the lines on this game? 73 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:13,800 Speaker 3: Over underspread? What do you like? 74 00:03:14,120 --> 00:03:16,800 Speaker 2: I mean, I think I like the home team because 75 00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:18,640 Speaker 2: right now I see you can get him at plus 76 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:21,200 Speaker 2: six and a half for Houston. So I just think 77 00:03:21,240 --> 00:03:24,760 Speaker 2: that the score plays so low. It's Thursday night, right, 78 00:03:26,080 --> 00:03:30,280 Speaker 2: There's weird stuff that happens on Thursday, obviously, So I 79 00:03:30,760 --> 00:03:32,720 Speaker 2: just I think if you've given me more than three 80 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:35,080 Speaker 2: and a half for the Texans at home, I'm gonna 81 00:03:35,120 --> 00:03:38,240 Speaker 2: take it. Even with Davis Mills, I don't know that 82 00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:41,680 Speaker 2: this year that there has been a massive difference between CJ. 83 00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 2: Stroud and Davis Mills. I think they've been pretty comparable. 84 00:03:46,040 --> 00:03:48,120 Speaker 1: That's depressing. I just wanted to let that sit in 85 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:51,000 Speaker 1: the ether for a moment. Don't care for that. The 86 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 1: Nico Collins volume the last couple weeks has been a 87 00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:54,160 Speaker 1: real uptick too. 88 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:55,120 Speaker 3: What is that offense? 89 00:03:55,360 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 1: I guess we'll get into the props and things like that, 90 00:03:57,200 --> 00:03:59,960 Speaker 1: but you know, his health obviously not one hundred percent 91 00:04:00,200 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 1: one hundred percent this time of year typically anyway, But 92 00:04:02,680 --> 00:04:04,160 Speaker 1: what do you think that kind of impact makes on 93 00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:06,480 Speaker 1: this game too? Is we're waiting for more clarity here 94 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 1: entering Thursday. 95 00:04:07,440 --> 00:04:11,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I don't really like obviously Nico being down, 96 00:04:11,480 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 2: but I think we've seen more talent on the field recently, 97 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:19,400 Speaker 2: with Higgins getting more looks, Woody Marks getting more looks 98 00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:22,000 Speaker 2: as well. They're they're going towards the youth that works. 99 00:04:22,240 --> 00:04:24,680 Speaker 2: So I think the deeper we get into the season, 100 00:04:24,960 --> 00:04:26,839 Speaker 2: the less we'll see of Kirk, the more we'll see 101 00:04:26,839 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 2: of nol you know. So I just think that they're 102 00:04:29,720 --> 00:04:33,760 Speaker 2: they're now realizing, Okay, look, if the rookies are, you know, 103 00:04:34,040 --> 00:04:36,120 Speaker 2: up to speed on everything we do here, let's get 104 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:38,279 Speaker 2: him on the field because this is why we drafted them. 105 00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:41,000 Speaker 2: So they still need to fix the O line in 106 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:43,640 Speaker 2: the offseason. The Texans so well, they. 107 00:04:43,480 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 1: Had to do it last year and the year before 108 00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:48,279 Speaker 1: that too. Maybe stop trading offensive lineman and then captains 109 00:04:48,320 --> 00:04:50,240 Speaker 1: of your team in the off season. Maybe that would 110 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:50,920 Speaker 1: be a good thing to. 111 00:04:50,880 --> 00:04:54,599 Speaker 2: Do, the same reason why Pickens left in the locker room. 112 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 1: Man, Yeah, I know, I know, but you know, got 113 00:04:57,640 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 1: to protect a franchise quarterback, you know, all right. Also, 114 00:05:00,640 --> 00:05:02,440 Speaker 1: you gotta go download the hard Rock Bet app. I 115 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:04,800 Speaker 1: told you, you know, Buffalo plus one. Yes, please take that, 116 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:07,640 Speaker 1: so hard Rock Bet right now you download the app. 117 00:05:07,640 --> 00:05:10,080 Speaker 1: You got college football going on, you got NBA College 118 00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:13,200 Speaker 1: hoops hockey, and of course Pro football and college football 119 00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:16,280 Speaker 1: also happening. 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Gambling problem called 142 00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:06,920 Speaker 1: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, and New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 143 00:06:07,680 --> 00:06:09,920 Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the table of the tape. 144 00:06:09,920 --> 00:06:12,520 Speaker 1: When it comes to the props, here again, Boggs was 145 00:06:12,520 --> 00:06:15,320 Speaker 1: four and one a fantastic Monday night. Let's start with 146 00:06:15,400 --> 00:06:17,400 Speaker 1: James Cook. The rushing total seventy four and a half. 147 00:06:17,440 --> 00:06:19,960 Speaker 1: We're going over or underbugs. 148 00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:21,120 Speaker 2: We're gonna go under. And I just think, you know, 149 00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 2: most of these totals tick up the closer we get 150 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:25,599 Speaker 2: to kickoff, so I think it'll get up to seventy 151 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 2: seven to seventy eight somewhere around there by the time 152 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:30,640 Speaker 2: we're home. But last two games have been tough running 153 00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:33,760 Speaker 2: for the Bills sixteen for forty eight for Cook. Now 154 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:36,280 Speaker 2: he had the three catches for sixty six in a touchdown. 155 00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 2: He's still an incredible athlete in space. But then against 156 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:43,160 Speaker 2: Miami also thirteen to fifty three. Houston is number three 157 00:06:43,160 --> 00:06:45,880 Speaker 2: and rushing yards allowed per game only eighty seven point one. 158 00:06:46,360 --> 00:06:49,240 Speaker 2: They're tied for second running backyards per carry at only 159 00:06:49,320 --> 00:06:53,320 Speaker 2: three point six and their fifth in PFF's run defense grade. 160 00:06:53,440 --> 00:06:55,919 Speaker 2: So I know you don't want to throw into Stingley 161 00:06:56,000 --> 00:06:59,000 Speaker 2: and Lassiter and the great secondary that they have, but 162 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:02,760 Speaker 2: they don't make running very easy either the Texans. So 163 00:07:03,279 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 2: I think, just seeing the struggles the last two weeks 164 00:07:06,520 --> 00:07:09,120 Speaker 2: from the Bills run game, I'm gonna go under on 165 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 2: this total. Now, he'll probably get a bunch of chances, 166 00:07:12,240 --> 00:07:14,480 Speaker 2: and you know, James Cook's got great vision, he can 167 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:19,360 Speaker 2: break one. But Houston tackles well. Really really, their defense 168 00:07:19,440 --> 00:07:21,800 Speaker 2: is what is keeping them in this season. So I 169 00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 2: have a lot of respect for Houston's defense. So I 170 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:26,840 Speaker 2: will go under on James Cook. And we're starting with 171 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 2: unders because Thursday games have been disgusting. 172 00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:32,560 Speaker 1: That's fine, That's fine, all right. Last two weeks, Jayden 173 00:07:32,640 --> 00:07:36,120 Speaker 1: Higgins has fourteen targets. He's caught nine of them for 174 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:38,240 Speaker 1: over one hundred yards and one score in the game 175 00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:41,240 Speaker 1: against Jacksonville. So what does the Higgins night look like 176 00:07:41,320 --> 00:07:42,720 Speaker 1: against Buffalo this week? 177 00:07:43,080 --> 00:07:45,480 Speaker 2: More than twenty seven and a half, That's what I say. 178 00:07:45,840 --> 00:07:48,679 Speaker 2: He's passed this in three of his last four games. 179 00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:51,800 Speaker 2: He had the second highest amount of snaps and routes 180 00:07:51,880 --> 00:07:56,000 Speaker 2: run for Houston last week and seven targets at fourteen targets, 181 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:57,720 Speaker 2: but it wasn't like ten and four. It was seven 182 00:07:57,760 --> 00:08:02,200 Speaker 2: and seven in both those games. And those both games. 183 00:08:02,280 --> 00:08:04,840 Speaker 2: Both those games were with Davis Mills at the helm, right, 184 00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:07,560 Speaker 2: So I just think he's on the field more. He's 185 00:08:07,600 --> 00:08:09,960 Speaker 2: built a nice rapport with Mills because Mills was running 186 00:08:09,960 --> 00:08:12,720 Speaker 2: a lot of second team to start the season. It 187 00:08:12,880 --> 00:08:16,880 Speaker 2: just works. So I really like Higgins in this game. 188 00:08:16,880 --> 00:08:19,400 Speaker 2: And we know Nico's coming in here, you know less 189 00:08:19,440 --> 00:08:22,320 Speaker 2: than one hundred percent, So if anything happens to Nico, 190 00:08:22,360 --> 00:08:25,840 Speaker 2: it's gonna be Higgins on the field constantly. So yeah, 191 00:08:25,880 --> 00:08:29,560 Speaker 2: I'm big on Higgins this year. This week and this 192 00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 2: is a very low total for him. 193 00:08:31,600 --> 00:08:33,839 Speaker 3: Yeah, I love the total. I love the Higgins call. 194 00:08:34,160 --> 00:08:36,040 Speaker 1: Honestly, Bonds, this might be my favorite one that you've 195 00:08:36,040 --> 00:08:36,800 Speaker 1: got lined up today. 196 00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 3: I think this one is almost a. 197 00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:40,880 Speaker 1: Lock, you know, because if you do think Buffalo can, 198 00:08:40,960 --> 00:08:42,800 Speaker 1: you know, put up some points there, You're gonna push 199 00:08:42,800 --> 00:08:44,640 Speaker 1: Mills a little bit to throw the football more. At 200 00:08:44,640 --> 00:08:45,920 Speaker 1: twenty seven and a half is kind of a joke 201 00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:47,720 Speaker 1: considering what the last two weeks have looked like. 202 00:08:47,800 --> 00:08:49,880 Speaker 3: So I love this one. I think it's great. All right. 203 00:08:49,880 --> 00:08:51,280 Speaker 3: Next up, we'll talk about Josh Allen. 204 00:08:51,320 --> 00:08:55,480 Speaker 1: Now, Josh Allen obviously last week monstrous game, right, but 205 00:08:56,120 --> 00:08:59,079 Speaker 1: he kind of makes some mistakes. We know that's Josh Allen. 206 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:01,280 Speaker 1: Sometimes try hard to make a play. Josh Allen ends 207 00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 1: uppack firing a little bit sometimes on the Buffalo Bills 208 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:07,439 Speaker 1: and they're win loss record. But what does it look 209 00:09:07,520 --> 00:09:09,880 Speaker 1: like tonight for him for an interception? Are we playing 210 00:09:09,880 --> 00:09:11,760 Speaker 1: that because he has turned the ball over the last 211 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:12,400 Speaker 1: couple weeks? 212 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:15,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, I really do like it. I'll say this when 213 00:09:15,679 --> 00:09:18,840 Speaker 2: I dug a little deeper, he has not been putting 214 00:09:18,880 --> 00:09:21,960 Speaker 2: the ball on Harm's way at all. I think he's 215 00:09:22,040 --> 00:09:24,760 Speaker 2: like fourth and turnover where he plays this season. But 216 00:09:24,800 --> 00:09:27,880 Speaker 2: the last two weeks have been tough, and we know 217 00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:31,480 Speaker 2: that Josh Allen, when he starts to look downfield, he's 218 00:09:31,480 --> 00:09:33,600 Speaker 2: gonna take some of those risks, and he might get 219 00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:37,360 Speaker 2: frustrated early against Houston and take a risk and throw 220 00:09:37,400 --> 00:09:40,439 Speaker 2: it deep. And that is a bad idea against Houston 221 00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:43,480 Speaker 2: because they are tied for third in interceptions with ten 222 00:09:43,600 --> 00:09:47,360 Speaker 2: right now. But most books have the juice on the 223 00:09:47,480 --> 00:09:51,160 Speaker 2: over at like minus one twenty the juice on the 224 00:09:51,320 --> 00:09:54,320 Speaker 2: under at like, you know, minus one oh five, so 225 00:09:54,360 --> 00:09:57,880 Speaker 2: they're showing you it's worse odds for him to throw 226 00:09:57,920 --> 00:10:00,920 Speaker 2: this pick. And we've only had four Thursday Night games 227 00:10:00,960 --> 00:10:05,160 Speaker 2: with no interceptions, right Dallas and Philly Week one coming 228 00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:08,240 Speaker 2: off a massive amount of rest. All that, but then 229 00:10:08,440 --> 00:10:10,720 Speaker 2: Washington Green Bay didn't throw pick, San Francisco and the 230 00:10:10,800 --> 00:10:13,520 Speaker 2: Rams that everything was complete in that game, and then 231 00:10:13,600 --> 00:10:16,080 Speaker 2: last week with the Jets and Patriots there were no 232 00:10:16,120 --> 00:10:19,800 Speaker 2: picks thrown. So that's it. Every other game had, every 233 00:10:19,960 --> 00:10:22,240 Speaker 2: Thursday night game has a pick because these guys are 234 00:10:22,240 --> 00:10:25,000 Speaker 2: playing on short rests. So I think we can get 235 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:26,320 Speaker 2: one here on Josh Allen. 236 00:10:26,679 --> 00:10:28,240 Speaker 1: In all fairness with the Jets. You know, you have 237 00:10:28,280 --> 00:10:31,400 Speaker 1: to throw the football to have picks, you know, just putting. 238 00:10:31,080 --> 00:10:31,600 Speaker 3: That out there. 239 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:34,000 Speaker 2: I mean, they might have had a decent throwing game 240 00:10:34,040 --> 00:10:36,200 Speaker 2: of ad night. Mitchell had some hands. 241 00:10:36,280 --> 00:10:38,839 Speaker 1: Taylor too, There was drops everywhere. I mean, I think 242 00:10:38,840 --> 00:10:40,960 Speaker 1: it's just kind of comical that they benchfields like. I 243 00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:43,160 Speaker 1: just think it's comical they didn't keep running him like 244 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:45,719 Speaker 1: that opening drive that they had scripted where he was 245 00:10:45,800 --> 00:10:47,800 Speaker 1: running football. He was a problem. And I'm like, wow, 246 00:10:47,840 --> 00:10:48,960 Speaker 1: this is a little bit of a problem. And then 247 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:50,840 Speaker 1: they just completely went away from it. And I'm thinking, 248 00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:52,800 Speaker 1: what is wrong with you, morons? 249 00:10:52,840 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 3: What are you doing? 250 00:10:53,800 --> 00:10:57,360 Speaker 1: Like you have fields? His biggest strength is running football. 251 00:10:57,360 --> 00:10:59,360 Speaker 1: He's strong, he's fast, he runs well in space. 252 00:10:59,800 --> 00:11:02,000 Speaker 2: If you're gonna betch him anyway, run him into the 253 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:03,960 Speaker 2: ground right, let him ride. 254 00:11:04,040 --> 00:11:07,400 Speaker 1: Now, just ridiculous. They have their head up their rear end. 255 00:11:07,400 --> 00:11:10,199 Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about Dalton Schultz here. Now he's 256 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:12,600 Speaker 1: another guy's getting involved with Davis Mills. But the problem 257 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:16,240 Speaker 1: is buffalo stingy against tight ends, bogs. 258 00:11:15,720 --> 00:11:18,880 Speaker 2: Very stingy. And I can't believe that the receptions prop 259 00:11:19,000 --> 00:11:22,400 Speaker 2: is four and a half. Now it's juice Dell at 260 00:11:22,400 --> 00:11:25,200 Speaker 2: a lot of spots, but I believe minus one thirty 261 00:11:25,280 --> 00:11:29,160 Speaker 2: on hard rock, so not bad here. Buffalo is number 262 00:11:29,160 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 2: one against tight ends, as you mentioned, two and a 263 00:11:32,559 --> 00:11:36,160 Speaker 2: half receptions twenty seven yards in point one on the touchdowns, 264 00:11:36,600 --> 00:11:41,360 Speaker 2: Hunter Henry got more yards two for forty six, Kelsey 265 00:11:41,720 --> 00:11:44,280 Speaker 2: four for sixty six, but those are the only two 266 00:11:44,280 --> 00:11:47,439 Speaker 2: to go over his yardage total. We're not taking the 267 00:11:47,480 --> 00:11:52,040 Speaker 2: yardage though. No tight ends over four catches against Buffalo 268 00:11:52,160 --> 00:11:54,640 Speaker 2: this year, so four and a half. I know Davis 269 00:11:54,679 --> 00:11:57,880 Speaker 2: Mills loves to rely on him and everything, but they 270 00:11:57,920 --> 00:12:01,400 Speaker 2: have been so good at down imposing tight ends. I 271 00:12:01,480 --> 00:12:03,800 Speaker 2: just don't buy that Schultz is going to get to 272 00:12:03,800 --> 00:12:05,920 Speaker 2: four and a half here, So give me the under 273 00:12:06,000 --> 00:12:07,680 Speaker 2: on four and a half receptions. It is a nice 274 00:12:07,679 --> 00:12:10,480 Speaker 2: one to pair with something else you like. I just 275 00:12:10,520 --> 00:12:11,839 Speaker 2: think it's very safe bet. 276 00:12:12,280 --> 00:12:12,640 Speaker 3: All right. 277 00:12:12,679 --> 00:12:14,839 Speaker 1: Bog's the last guy we're going to talk about. His 278 00:12:14,840 --> 00:12:17,439 Speaker 1: Woody Marx and this Texans backfield certainly started to move 279 00:12:17,480 --> 00:12:20,240 Speaker 1: in his favor. But based on game script, potentially for 280 00:12:20,320 --> 00:12:22,079 Speaker 1: this game, where do you want to go? You want 281 00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:23,400 Speaker 1: to go for a rushing total, you want to go 282 00:12:23,440 --> 00:12:26,000 Speaker 1: for receiving total. What's the best way to bettle Woody 283 00:12:26,040 --> 00:12:26,720 Speaker 1: Marks this week. 284 00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:30,760 Speaker 2: I kind of like both, but I'll say this, every 285 00:12:30,800 --> 00:12:34,200 Speaker 2: single projections I had I saw had him over on 286 00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:37,600 Speaker 2: receiving and slightly under on rushing, even though I kind 287 00:12:37,600 --> 00:12:40,120 Speaker 2: of like the rushing total too, But if I'm handing 288 00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:42,840 Speaker 2: out advice here, I will take the projections as well. 289 00:12:42,880 --> 00:12:44,840 Speaker 2: And the total is only eleven and a half on 290 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:47,079 Speaker 2: the receiving yards, and the last two weeks in a 291 00:12:47,160 --> 00:12:49,080 Speaker 2: row he's had his highest a half percentage of the season. 292 00:12:49,280 --> 00:12:51,840 Speaker 2: He's been over twenty routes run and both of those 293 00:12:51,880 --> 00:12:55,320 Speaker 2: games projections are over this. And it's really been all 294 00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:58,000 Speaker 2: or nothing for him most of the time. Three games 295 00:12:58,000 --> 00:13:01,280 Speaker 2: with no catches, three games with one catch, but every 296 00:13:01,320 --> 00:13:04,439 Speaker 2: game with two catches he's past this. So Buffalo is 297 00:13:04,440 --> 00:13:06,600 Speaker 2: good against running backs, but they're still giving up around 298 00:13:06,600 --> 00:13:09,599 Speaker 2: thirty yards receiving to rbs every single game. So I 299 00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:11,880 Speaker 2: think eleven and a half is just too low for 300 00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:13,760 Speaker 2: the volume that Woody Marks is playing right now. 301 00:13:14,240 --> 00:13:16,520 Speaker 1: All right, So again, if you want to see the projections, 302 00:13:16,520 --> 00:13:18,440 Speaker 1: go to the prop bet cheat sheet that's available right 303 00:13:18,440 --> 00:13:20,720 Speaker 1: now I'm bettingpros dot Com slash props, or just download 304 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:22,839 Speaker 1: the apps. Think your sportsbooks are free, and take a 305 00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:24,320 Speaker 1: look at the prop bet cheat cheet. It gives you 306 00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:27,720 Speaker 1: the best lines, the best projections, the overs, the unders 307 00:13:27,720 --> 00:13:30,160 Speaker 1: for every single prop and every single game, and then 308 00:13:30,200 --> 00:13:31,000 Speaker 1: where you can bet them. 309 00:13:31,040 --> 00:13:33,320 Speaker 3: And that's what makes betting pro such a useful tool. 310 00:13:33,480 --> 00:13:35,160 Speaker 1: All right, let's go ahead and let's look at the 311 00:13:35,559 --> 00:13:37,679 Speaker 1: sg Joey p also a tool you can use to 312 00:13:37,880 --> 00:13:40,439 Speaker 1: not the joeyp version, but this is the SGP tool, 313 00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:41,640 Speaker 1: also available. 314 00:13:41,240 --> 00:13:42,600 Speaker 3: At Betting pros, which is super fun. 315 00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:44,520 Speaker 1: If you've got a way you think things are going 316 00:13:44,600 --> 00:13:46,320 Speaker 1: to go, you can find the bets to correlate with 317 00:13:46,400 --> 00:13:50,600 Speaker 1: that thought process, and then you get graded basically of 318 00:13:50,679 --> 00:13:52,920 Speaker 1: how good that SGP could be. 319 00:13:53,360 --> 00:13:54,720 Speaker 3: And for me, I'm keeping it simples. 320 00:13:54,760 --> 00:13:56,880 Speaker 1: You know I should have had last week, I had 321 00:13:56,920 --> 00:13:59,040 Speaker 1: one leg too many, So I'll just get a cut 322 00:13:59,080 --> 00:14:01,280 Speaker 1: off a lag here and take something simple, which is 323 00:14:02,120 --> 00:14:04,800 Speaker 1: Buffalo bills covering the five and a half, which is 324 00:14:04,800 --> 00:14:06,719 Speaker 1: what you're seeing in most places. But if again into 325 00:14:06,720 --> 00:14:08,679 Speaker 1: the one at hard Rock, you take the plus one 326 00:14:08,880 --> 00:14:12,160 Speaker 1: and then Josh Allen to score a touchdown, because Josh 327 00:14:12,200 --> 00:14:14,160 Speaker 1: Allen has been scoring a lot of touchdowns recently. If 328 00:14:14,200 --> 00:14:16,600 Speaker 1: he realized this he has seven touchdowns in his last 329 00:14:16,600 --> 00:14:20,280 Speaker 1: three games, rushing touchdowns everybody. So Josh Allen running amuck 330 00:14:20,360 --> 00:14:22,920 Speaker 1: literally right now, doing everything he can, and it's only 331 00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:25,200 Speaker 1: minus one ten. So on giving away my touchdown call 332 00:14:25,240 --> 00:14:27,800 Speaker 1: as well. So you put the touchdown for Josh Allen 333 00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:29,360 Speaker 1: along with the Bills covering the spread and you get 334 00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:31,600 Speaker 1: plus one ninety eight. So that's a little two to 335 00:14:31,680 --> 00:14:34,840 Speaker 1: one action for you on Thursday Night football. So I've 336 00:14:34,840 --> 00:14:38,480 Speaker 1: given away my touchdown call. I've given away my SGP Boggs. 337 00:14:38,520 --> 00:14:41,400 Speaker 1: Give away your touchdown call for Thursday Night Week twelve. 338 00:14:42,440 --> 00:14:45,240 Speaker 2: How about Davis Mills at plus eleven hundred. 339 00:14:45,720 --> 00:14:47,760 Speaker 1: I mean there's a lot of big ones this week. 340 00:14:47,840 --> 00:14:50,560 Speaker 1: He doesn't run a lot. I have Jayden Higgins five 341 00:14:50,600 --> 00:14:52,240 Speaker 1: to one. There's a bunch of them in a kind 342 00:14:52,240 --> 00:14:52,480 Speaker 1: of fun. 343 00:14:52,600 --> 00:14:55,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, there's a lot of good ones, but plus eleven hundred. 344 00:14:55,560 --> 00:14:58,080 Speaker 2: He doesn't run a bunch, but he has a rushing 345 00:14:58,120 --> 00:14:59,960 Speaker 2: touchdown this year. So if you're gonna give me the 346 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:03,200 Speaker 2: those odds, I'll play them. So yeah, plus eleven hundred 347 00:15:03,200 --> 00:15:06,520 Speaker 2: on Davis Mills. Let's let's get tricky with it. I 348 00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:06,880 Speaker 2: like that. 349 00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:09,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, And if you haven't downloaded the hard Rock bed app. 350 00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:11,440 Speaker 1: This is absolutely the week to do it. 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And when you subscribe and ring the bell, 373 00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:09,800 Speaker 1: we can let you know if you're the winner of 374 00:16:09,840 --> 00:16:13,200 Speaker 1: the new Kirn Williams helmet, our giveaway for November. That'll 375 00:16:13,240 --> 00:16:14,720 Speaker 1: do it for us, but the story of the game 376 00:16:14,760 --> 00:16:16,960 Speaker 1: goes on for Scott Bogman, I'm Joey p. 377 00:16:17,560 --> 00:16:18,480 Speaker 3: We'll see you next time. 378 00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:18,920 Speaker 2: Kids. 379 00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:21,479 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 380 00:16:21,720 --> 00:16:24,120 Speaker 4: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 381 00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:27,080 Speaker 4: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts 382 00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:30,160 Speaker 4: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting 383 00:16:30,160 --> 00:16:33,960 Speaker 4: Pros and Instagram at betting Pros NFL. 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