1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:07,080 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:07,400 --> 00:00:10,160 Speaker 2: The treatment for this is simple data. Tell seymore than 3 00:00:10,200 --> 00:00:14,200 Speaker 2: anyone I know, owns the fabric of retail in America, 4 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:18,279 Speaker 2: the story mile of Madison Avenue in Fifth Avenue, her 5 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:21,560 Speaker 2: heritage with a small job called Bergdorf Goodman, and we're 6 00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:25,320 Speaker 2: thrilled she could join us after stopping at Macy's today. 7 00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:28,800 Speaker 2: They were the first ones that said, let's put things 8 00:00:28,840 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 2: on sale Friday. What did you observe today in the 9 00:00:32,159 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 2: twenty twenty five Macy's couple things. 10 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:36,720 Speaker 1: First, thank you so much for having me, and have 11 00:00:36,800 --> 00:00:39,320 Speaker 1: a help you out a great Thanksgiving? What I thought 12 00:00:39,320 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 1: Macy's It's a different type of Black Friday than it 13 00:00:41,760 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 1: was in the past. The reason why crowds in traffic 14 00:00:45,159 --> 00:00:47,800 Speaker 1: The buzz doesn't kick up until later in the day. 15 00:00:47,880 --> 00:00:50,440 Speaker 1: And that's for a lot of retailers. Macy's opens at 16 00:00:50,440 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 1: six am, but others open later. What did I see 17 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:57,000 Speaker 1: at Macy's that was different? Forty percent newness. Lobubo is 18 00:00:57,040 --> 00:00:58,080 Speaker 1: the hottest thing out there. 19 00:00:58,440 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 3: Still hot? 20 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:02,600 Speaker 1: Still hot is a PopMart in store shop at Macy's. 21 00:01:02,920 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 1: The other things that are new and different at Macy's. 22 00:01:05,440 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 1: Different brands also whether it's cosmetics brands. They have a 23 00:01:09,160 --> 00:01:12,080 Speaker 1: bunch of new cosmetics brands that are different, whether it's 24 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:15,880 Speaker 1: also the engagement with newer brands like the Donna Karen's 25 00:01:15,880 --> 00:01:18,440 Speaker 1: of the world that are there, Rag and Bone that's there. 26 00:01:18,760 --> 00:01:22,080 Speaker 1: It's been exciting to see the formation of it. But 27 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 1: it's always promotional, and all the tracking we've done, we're 28 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:28,760 Speaker 1: not seeing a much different link between the level of 29 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:31,000 Speaker 1: promotions this year versus last year. So far. 30 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:34,560 Speaker 4: So, I mean, retail analysts like Dana Tellsley, this is 31 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:36,080 Speaker 4: arguably the most important day of the. 32 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:38,319 Speaker 1: Year, Super Bowl of the year, Bowl the year. 33 00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:41,120 Speaker 4: For Dana, and clients are calling her and texting her 34 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:43,200 Speaker 4: all day what are you seeing? Because they know she's 35 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 4: out at the stores and they want to know what 36 00:01:45,959 --> 00:01:49,880 Speaker 4: she's seeing out there. How do you expect this holiday 37 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:52,160 Speaker 4: season to be? And just in terms of dollars for 38 00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 4: the retailers, are the retailers optimistic here? 39 00:01:54,720 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 1: I think they're cautiously optimistic. You really have a bifurcated consumer. 40 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:01,480 Speaker 1: I mean that high end is obviously you've seen the 41 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:04,320 Speaker 1: benefits of the stock market, the wealth effect that Ed 42 00:02:04,480 --> 00:02:07,920 Speaker 1: just talked about. On the low end, the pressure points Obviously, 43 00:02:08,000 --> 00:02:11,520 Speaker 1: prices have gone up. Retailers are striving to make sure 44 00:02:11,520 --> 00:02:15,000 Speaker 1: that opening price point items stay as close as possible 45 00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:19,120 Speaker 1: and no increases. But you are seeing consumers search for value, 46 00:02:19,440 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 1: search for more promotions in order to drive conversion. And 47 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:25,079 Speaker 1: that's why what the theme of Holiday twenty five is 48 00:02:25,400 --> 00:02:29,280 Speaker 1: newness and value. Offer something new, offer value and you'll 49 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 1: get conversion. 50 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:33,760 Speaker 4: Engine ed your Danny on Top strategists on the Wall Street, 51 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 4: Dana Telsey, top retailer analyst on Wall Street? What do 52 00:02:36,440 --> 00:02:38,040 Speaker 4: they have in common? Tome CJ. 53 00:02:38,160 --> 00:02:40,960 Speaker 3: Lawrence? What is it about CJ. Lawrence? 54 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:43,400 Speaker 1: A CJ. Law I didn't know that I loved it. 55 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:46,079 Speaker 1: I didn't like it there. It was awesome place, great people, 56 00:02:46,280 --> 00:02:47,560 Speaker 1: the best research on Wall Street. 57 00:02:47,639 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 2: It was like religion, folks full Those of you younger 58 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:52,640 Speaker 2: don't understand this. You used to get things on paper 59 00:02:53,160 --> 00:02:55,639 Speaker 2: and there was that green ink of CJ. Lawrence, which 60 00:02:55,639 --> 00:02:57,359 Speaker 2: you have authority like no one. 61 00:02:57,400 --> 00:02:58,160 Speaker 3: Dan, is there anything? 62 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:00,960 Speaker 4: Is there one category that is going to drive this 63 00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:02,800 Speaker 4: year's sales? Or is it more broadly based? 64 00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:03,240 Speaker 3: Do you think? 65 00:03:03,360 --> 00:03:06,080 Speaker 1: I think it's always about out of wear when it 66 00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:08,560 Speaker 1: gets cold, it's about apparel, But you got some other 67 00:03:08,639 --> 00:03:11,679 Speaker 1: new things out there. The Aura rings are very popular. 68 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:13,639 Speaker 4: I told you, Lisa, you got to get the Oura rings. 69 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 1: Mena glasses are very popular. And what about the Lubuobuo dolls? 70 00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:21,600 Speaker 1: Oh Man for all ages and income levels. 71 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:24,360 Speaker 2: In the time we've got left, I want you to 72 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 2: talk about your heritage. Fifth Avenue is getting blown up, 73 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:30,040 Speaker 2: proud about a zillion square feet. You got the whole 74 00:03:30,600 --> 00:03:33,480 Speaker 2: Lewis Viuten with the rebuild, with the carriage outs front right, 75 00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:37,320 Speaker 2: and in all that, you as a child standing in 76 00:03:37,320 --> 00:03:39,680 Speaker 2: front of the Bergdorf Goodman windows. 77 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:43,520 Speaker 3: What was it like to be four and five years old? 78 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 3: Nothing's changed, right, It's still the same man looks. 79 00:03:47,720 --> 00:03:50,480 Speaker 1: Still the same, but it's still the aura and having 80 00:03:50,560 --> 00:03:54,560 Speaker 1: that snowflake above fifty seventh Street with the Empire State 81 00:03:54,600 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 1: Building in the background with different colors off the top. 82 00:03:57,600 --> 00:03:59,320 Speaker 1: There's nothing in the world like it. 83 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:03,280 Speaker 3: With troubled how luxury. Will we see mergers this year? 84 00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:05,360 Speaker 1: I don't know. If you see mergers. I think you 85 00:04:05,440 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 1: see more companies opening more of their own stores. You've 86 00:04:08,160 --> 00:04:12,120 Speaker 1: seen some divestitures you look at obviously Versace was sold 87 00:04:12,160 --> 00:04:14,440 Speaker 1: to Prada. You've seen that. Let's see what happens with 88 00:04:14,440 --> 00:04:17,400 Speaker 1: Georgia Romani. Given his passing, I got to give you. 89 00:04:17,520 --> 00:04:20,279 Speaker 2: The same question I gave the wonderful Steve Sato, who's 90 00:04:20,440 --> 00:04:22,680 Speaker 2: with us in the last hour, What. 91 00:04:22,720 --> 00:04:24,080 Speaker 3: Would you do with Gucci? 92 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:25,040 Speaker 2: Oh? 93 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:27,279 Speaker 1: I think basically you need to bring Gucci back to 94 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:30,600 Speaker 1: its heritage and be able to update it and modernize it, 95 00:04:30,800 --> 00:04:33,880 Speaker 1: whether different colors, different fabrics. You need to tell a 96 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 1: communicative story virtually and visually and have brand ambassadors that 97 00:04:39,800 --> 00:04:41,640 Speaker 1: everyone wants to follow. 98 00:04:42,560 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 4: Do we have enough stores or are we still shrinking 99 00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:47,080 Speaker 4: the footprint of stores in this country? Where are we? 100 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:50,120 Speaker 1: Net store footprint is basing out. We've already closed a 101 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:53,360 Speaker 1: lot of stores. If anything, stores may be smaller. There's 102 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:56,839 Speaker 1: new engagement, certainly with buy online, pickup and store and 103 00:04:56,880 --> 00:04:59,640 Speaker 1: their activations. You've seen it in luxury with the Christian 104 00:04:59,839 --> 00:05:02,200 Speaker 1: or store that opened, with their mes that opened, but 105 00:05:02,279 --> 00:05:05,560 Speaker 1: you're even seeing it with other stores too. Check out Aritzia. 106 00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:06,839 Speaker 1: It's a destination. 107 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:10,080 Speaker 3: Well that's how you pronounce that. Statos all in on 108 00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:10,440 Speaker 3: that right? 109 00:05:10,880 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 1: Oh that I get love their jeans. I just went 110 00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:15,479 Speaker 1: I went to Soho with my daughter. Well what about 111 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:18,839 Speaker 1: puffer jackets? It is called outside, Yes, yes, yes, puffer Jackets. 112 00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:21,800 Speaker 3: Did the interview just get taken over the at least 113 00:05:23,920 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 3: is well. Paul mentioned this the other day. 114 00:05:26,960 --> 00:05:31,000 Speaker 2: Still for the Halves, it's Summit what's it called, Summit Hills. 115 00:05:30,760 --> 00:05:33,240 Speaker 1: Mall, Sure Hills, Short Hills Mall. 116 00:05:33,400 --> 00:05:37,000 Speaker 2: In near Summit, New Jersey, Chestnut Hill Mall in Boston, 117 00:05:37,400 --> 00:05:41,359 Speaker 2: those Highland Park whatever in Dallas? Where are they in 118 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:42,080 Speaker 2: ten years? 119 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 1: They're going to be even more curated. They're going to 120 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:48,400 Speaker 1: have more special brands, and they're going to have more 121 00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:50,960 Speaker 1: food and activities because people are going to want to 122 00:05:51,000 --> 00:05:51,479 Speaker 1: gather there. 123 00:05:51,880 --> 00:05:53,839 Speaker 3: That's what Jamie. 124 00:05:54,120 --> 00:05:57,240 Speaker 2: But food and activities at the JP Morgan building your 125 00:05:57,279 --> 00:05:58,280 Speaker 2: single best buy here. 126 00:05:58,200 --> 00:05:59,240 Speaker 3: We got to make some money. 127 00:05:59,680 --> 00:06:01,800 Speaker 1: I think you're still going to see tj X do well. 128 00:06:01,880 --> 00:06:02,920 Speaker 1: I like Steve Madden. 129 00:06:03,000 --> 00:06:05,720 Speaker 3: Also, Steve Madden, please discuss. 130 00:06:05,400 --> 00:06:08,960 Speaker 1: That beast Wade boots. They're back. They also have Kurt 131 00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 1: Geiger acquisition that's going to add to sales and margins. 132 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:14,719 Speaker 1: Very exciting for twenty twenty six and beyond. 133 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:15,280 Speaker 3: You get all that. 134 00:06:15,320 --> 00:06:17,160 Speaker 2: At least I thought you're taking notes over there. 135 00:06:17,320 --> 00:06:19,080 Speaker 3: I am furiously Steve Madden. 136 00:06:19,120 --> 00:06:21,440 Speaker 2: I mean there's that's up and the down and all 137 00:06:21,440 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 2: of a sudden Steve Madden's up again, up. 138 00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:25,200 Speaker 1: Again, and they're on trend right. 139 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 2: See. 140 00:06:26,320 --> 00:06:28,600 Speaker 4: I think in retail analysts is the hardest one on 141 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:30,599 Speaker 4: the wallshe because a you have to be right about 142 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:33,560 Speaker 4: the stocks and the financial analysis, but you also have 143 00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:35,680 Speaker 4: to be right on like fashion stuff. 144 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:36,520 Speaker 3: Who knows that? 145 00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:37,520 Speaker 1: How do you do that? 146 00:06:37,560 --> 00:06:37,680 Speaker 4: Well? 147 00:06:37,720 --> 00:06:39,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, you gotta pick the pick the winners. Who's the 148 00:06:40,000 --> 00:06:43,640 Speaker 2: small luxury brand that's up and coming right now? Who's 149 00:06:43,800 --> 00:06:44,960 Speaker 2: executing best? 150 00:06:45,320 --> 00:06:47,520 Speaker 1: I mean, you're seeing some handbag brands like a Yard 151 00:06:47,640 --> 00:06:50,360 Speaker 1: is still small and happening to do very well. There's 152 00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:55,680 Speaker 1: some other small brands like me Leond're that basically is 153 00:06:55,760 --> 00:06:59,400 Speaker 1: doing some interesting things out there. Kith is opening more stores, 154 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:04,839 Speaker 1: and the collaboration between streetwear and luxury continues to be 155 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:05,880 Speaker 1: very fascinating. 156 00:07:06,400 --> 00:07:10,320 Speaker 3: Fast streetwear and luxury street street. 157 00:07:10,400 --> 00:07:13,160 Speaker 1: What you call newness and innovation? 158 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:14,880 Speaker 3: What in God's name is newness? 159 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:17,680 Speaker 1: Is that something you didn't have last year? Look what's 160 00:07:17,680 --> 00:07:21,240 Speaker 1: happening on denim jeans with embellishment on Denham jeans, And 161 00:07:21,280 --> 00:07:23,600 Speaker 1: it's at all different price levels that it's appealing. 162 00:07:23,920 --> 00:07:27,040 Speaker 2: And then I go to fashion correspondent for surveillance worldwide, 163 00:07:27,120 --> 00:07:30,320 Speaker 2: Lisa Matteo. Are you buying the jeans Lisa that are 164 00:07:30,440 --> 00:07:33,720 Speaker 2: like seven inches wide? You mentioned Popeye? They look like 165 00:07:33,800 --> 00:07:35,640 Speaker 2: Popeye jeans from fifty years ago. 166 00:07:35,840 --> 00:07:37,560 Speaker 4: You have to go with the see I have like 167 00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:40,160 Speaker 4: the wide ones on because the skinny ones I told 168 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:40,520 Speaker 4: by my. 169 00:07:40,520 --> 00:07:43,520 Speaker 1: Daughter they are out there. We can't do it, You're uncool. 170 00:07:43,600 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 1: So yes, the wide which is. 171 00:07:44,920 --> 00:07:46,840 Speaker 3: The boot this season? That's the way we always in 172 00:07:46,920 --> 00:07:47,760 Speaker 3: the interview. 173 00:07:47,560 --> 00:07:49,120 Speaker 1: Round swayed, tall chaft boot. 174 00:07:49,760 --> 00:07:53,600 Speaker 3: Oh, there you go? Is this James tu Is? Are 175 00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:54,600 Speaker 3: the other ones doing it? 176 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:57,400 Speaker 1: I think you see a bunch of players doing it, 177 00:07:57,440 --> 00:07:58,920 Speaker 1: but you have to have that style. 178 00:07:59,280 --> 00:08:02,000 Speaker 3: What happened with black? Brown is the new black? Seriously? 179 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:05,679 Speaker 1: I like black, but I basically am different than others 180 00:08:05,720 --> 00:08:06,880 Speaker 1: by the fashion. 181 00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:09,040 Speaker 3: Today side of brown was this color? 182 00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:12,000 Speaker 1: It was last year when the fashion shows for winter 183 00:08:12,960 --> 00:08:13,640 Speaker 1: or someplace. 184 00:08:14,800 --> 00:08:17,440 Speaker 3: Okay, thank you so much for coming. Where do you 185 00:08:17,520 --> 00:08:18,000 Speaker 3: go next? 186 00:08:18,520 --> 00:08:18,640 Speaker 4: Oh? 187 00:08:18,880 --> 00:08:21,040 Speaker 1: Basically I'm going to New Jersey to Garden State Plaza. 188 00:08:21,160 --> 00:08:23,840 Speaker 2: There we go, Dana Telsea, the Telsey Advisory group of 189 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:27,240 Speaker 2: Joe Felman Big Box will do with Dana next time. 190 00:08:27,680 --> 00:08:30,800 Speaker 2: And for your Black Friday shopping, have a safe and 191 00:08:30,920 --> 00:08:31,760 Speaker 2: wonderful time