WEBVTT - NFL Wild Card Weekend Preview (Ep. 150)

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<v Speaker 1>It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros.

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's me Joey p

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<v Speaker 1>Joe Pisafia. And college football is officially done and in

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<v Speaker 1>the books. It's time to turn our attention to the

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<v Speaker 1>NFL playoffs now. And who better to talk about that with?

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<v Speaker 1>And three times Super Bowl MVP Troy Aikman, But unfortunately

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<v Speaker 1>he was unavailable, so we're stuck with Scott Bogman instead. Bogman,

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<v Speaker 1>our good friend joining us. Bogs. First of all, before

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<v Speaker 1>you even get into the NFL playoffs and wild card weekend,

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<v Speaker 1>which were very excited, what were your thoughts real quick

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<v Speaker 1>on the CFB championship there?

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<v Speaker 2>I mean it was it was a boring game until

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<v Speaker 2>the end of the third quarter.

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<v Speaker 3>Wasn't a good lawyer.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, you know, Georgie's really turned it on, and

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<v Speaker 2>you know, obviously with Jamison Williams going down for Alabama,

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<v Speaker 2>that was really you know, to me, what kind of

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<v Speaker 2>turned that game. Obviously didn't affect it for a little

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<v Speaker 2>bit because Georgia was Georgia was playing that you know,

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<v Speaker 2>conservative choking offense that you know, didn't get them anywhere

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<v Speaker 2>until they let it until they started to let uh

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<v Speaker 2>sets stetson Bennett sling it downfield, they weren't really getting

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<v Speaker 2>a lot done. So once they opened it up, though,

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<v Speaker 2>they really put the beat down on Bama. And you know,

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<v Speaker 2>unfortunate for me because I bet money on.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, it's time to make that money back. Now, that's

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<v Speaker 1>what we're gonna do. And we're gonna start here talking

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<v Speaker 1>about the Saturday games. And it's fun how it's structured.

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<v Speaker 1>We get two games on Saturday, one three games on Sunday,

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<v Speaker 1>in one game on Monday. So I kind of enjoy this.

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<v Speaker 1>I like how it's kind of spread out a little bit.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, I love the standalone games. I'm a big fan.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's start here with the Raiders going to Cincinnati.

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<v Speaker 1>Cincinnati is five point favorites on the betting pros consensus line,

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<v Speaker 1>four and a half over on FanDuel, five and a

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<v Speaker 1>half over on bett MGM. So this line feels about

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<v Speaker 1>right to me. I figured it was gonna be somewhere

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<v Speaker 1>on five to six andwhere in that range, and sure

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<v Speaker 1>enough it is. I don't think after the Raiders, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>have played Cinderella basically these last few weeks and snuck

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<v Speaker 1>themselves into the playoffs that they weren't gonna get, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>too heavily underdogged here, But at the same time they

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<v Speaker 1>should be underdogs. They absolutely should be looking up at

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<v Speaker 1>the Cincinnati Bengals, and the Bengals look, everybody's rested, right, Theoretically,

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<v Speaker 1>we're in a good spot here, Joe Burrow hopefully, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>shaking the dust off a little bit after that knee

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<v Speaker 1>injury at the end of the game two weeks ago.

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<v Speaker 1>So if you talk about trends, bogs, the trend is

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<v Speaker 1>Joe Burrow and this offense just putting it on people.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's start here, and let's start with this five

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<v Speaker 1>and what's your comfortability factor with it.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm pretty comfortable with Cincinnati. I think this is going

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<v Speaker 2>to be their first playoff win since nineteen ninety one

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<v Speaker 2>here because of what you said, I mean, Joe Burrow

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<v Speaker 2>and Jamar Chase and t Higgins and Joe in this offense,

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<v Speaker 2>they're going for no breaks, all gas, all out, so uh, Vegas.

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<v Speaker 2>Vegas can win this game. This is not an impossible

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<v Speaker 2>hill of climb for them. But what they have to

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<v Speaker 2>do is they have to get after. They have to

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<v Speaker 2>get after Burrow, because we know the weakness of the

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<v Speaker 2>Cincinnati team is the offensive line. And if Max Crosby

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<v Speaker 2>starts wreaking havoc in you know, Joe Burrow's face and

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<v Speaker 2>getting to mix in early and all that kind of stuff,

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<v Speaker 2>they start hitting guys behind the line since he's gonna

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<v Speaker 2>get frustrated and maybe jump into some mistakes. But I

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<v Speaker 2>think that it's just so slight for that to happen.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, Vegas had valiant effort and I am rooting

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<v Speaker 2>for the Raiders. Everybody knows that Raiders got my team

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<v Speaker 2>into the playoffs, so I am rooting for the Raiders.

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<v Speaker 2>I do not like the Bengals, but I do think

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<v Speaker 2>that they win this game going away. Unfortunately for Vegas,

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<v Speaker 2>they have to travel, they have to play in the cold.

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<v Speaker 2>It's gonna be thirty degrees and they you know, gloomy

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<v Speaker 2>in Sincy like it is every so you know it's

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<v Speaker 2>gonna be a rough one for them to travel to.

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<v Speaker 2>And you know, it's not like they have explosive playmakers

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<v Speaker 2>on this offense for Vegas either. They win by grinding

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<v Speaker 2>it out with Josh Jacobs and they're a little bit

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<v Speaker 2>one dimensional. If Derek Carson throwing the ball down field,

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<v Speaker 2>they get stuck. So for me, I do think Cincinnati

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<v Speaker 2>wins this one, all right.

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<v Speaker 1>The number on this one's forty nine. You think this

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<v Speaker 1>is an over and under.

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<v Speaker 2>I'll take the under on the forty nine. I think

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<v Speaker 2>that's a little high for a playoff game. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>that's fair, that's fair.

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<v Speaker 3>I think that you know, everything equal.

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<v Speaker 2>I think this is going to be like a thirty

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<v Speaker 2>five to ten game, twenty eight ten games, something like that.

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<v Speaker 2>So I think since he gets going, they score early,

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<v Speaker 2>they give it to Joe Mixon in the second half

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<v Speaker 2>and kind of grind it out. And I just most

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<v Speaker 2>playoff games that are you know, this is a bigger

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<v Speaker 2>line for a playoff game, I think since he can cover.

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<v Speaker 2>But I don't like that over too much, all right,

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<v Speaker 2>if you probably just wouldn't mess with it, to be

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<v Speaker 2>honest with you, So.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, even if you're if you're trending towards the under

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<v Speaker 1>in this game, Joe Burrow's got you know, the alternate

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<v Speaker 1>passing yard props. So you got on FanDuel here and

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<v Speaker 1>I see something like Joe Burrow at two hundred and

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<v Speaker 1>seventy five yards over under plus one twenty two. Would

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<v Speaker 1>that be an under then for you in this game?

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<v Speaker 1>But Joe Burrow's been putting up some huge numbers here lately.

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<v Speaker 2>He has been two seventy five is such a great line.

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<v Speaker 2>It's such a good number. You know, obviously they know

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<v Speaker 2>what they're doing. I would I would take the under

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<v Speaker 2>because I think if Joe Burrows throwing for three hundred

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<v Speaker 2>and whatever yards, you might not be winning this game

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<v Speaker 2>going away. It might be close at the end, so

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<v Speaker 2>or you may be playing catch up. So I'll take

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<v Speaker 2>the under because I think since he wins going away.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, let's touch on the wide receivers real quick too,

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<v Speaker 1>Jamar Chase seventy yards over under on that prom.

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<v Speaker 2>I okay, So I know it's weird that I just

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<v Speaker 2>took the under on Burrow, but I'll take the over

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<v Speaker 2>on Chase because Chase can get this in.

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<v Speaker 3>It play right, yeah, one player right right exactly.

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<v Speaker 2>And you know the one thing I won from Georgia

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<v Speaker 2>was I hit the over on Pickins uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>receiving yards because it came out of thirty four and

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<v Speaker 2>a half and he got that on one throw.

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<v Speaker 3>So I would take though over on Chase yards there

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<v Speaker 3>last one.

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<v Speaker 1>Here on the other side of this game with the

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<v Speaker 1>Raiders Hunter Renfro sixty plus yards receiving uh one four

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<v Speaker 1>is the number plus one?

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<v Speaker 3>I'd hammer that.

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<v Speaker 2>No, I'd hammer that one because I think I think

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<v Speaker 2>the Raiders are going to be losing in this game,

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<v Speaker 2>and uh and Mike Hilton versus Hunter Renfro is going

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<v Speaker 2>to be a good matchup.

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<v Speaker 3>But I'll take hunt Renfro in that.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, it's a sliding scale, so I'll ask you this,

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<v Speaker 1>when it goes to seventy yards you get plus one

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<v Speaker 1>eighty eight, would you pound that as well? Would you

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<v Speaker 1>just keep going there and tim fade a little bit?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I would.

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<v Speaker 2>I say seventy is probably that's about what i'd want

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<v Speaker 2>to bet. I don't want to go much higher than

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<v Speaker 2>that on a bet, so uh but yeah, I think

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<v Speaker 2>I would take that too.

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<v Speaker 3>All right?

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<v Speaker 1>And would you lock in Darren Waller now for anything

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<v Speaker 1>minus just because it's not a chance.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, nothing for Darren Waller from me, No, thank you.

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<v Speaker 1>On but I'm saying like that any minus ones on

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<v Speaker 1>the board now before they.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh yeah, I mean, if I can take the under

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<v Speaker 2>on his yards unless it's like if his yards are

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<v Speaker 2>below forty, I probably wouldn't take it. But if they're

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<v Speaker 2>you know, fifty five or something to hammer that.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, you could set it anywhere from twenty five all

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<v Speaker 1>the way up until about seventy five, so you have

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<v Speaker 1>some options there though. Yeah, that's why I like about

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<v Speaker 1>the alternating minds there, where you can kind of select

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<v Speaker 1>choose your own adventure, I like to call them basically.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's always a good time. All right, let's get

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<v Speaker 1>to my squad here, the New England Patriots traveling to

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<v Speaker 1>Buffalo's be the third time in six weeks these teams

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<v Speaker 1>are going to face off against each other division rivals.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, Buffalo is favorite in this one at home

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<v Speaker 1>four point favorites here, as they should be, and of

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<v Speaker 1>course the number on this one is forty four. Now

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<v Speaker 1>Bog's familiarity breeds contempt, we know that. I think if

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<v Speaker 1>you look at these games, you can't take anything out

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<v Speaker 1>of the first one because the weather had such an

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<v Speaker 1>enormous factor in that game. And then in the second

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<v Speaker 1>time these two teams met up in New England, there

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<v Speaker 1>were times where New England was in this game, had

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<v Speaker 1>opportunities and they simply just didn't deliver. So have we

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<v Speaker 1>seen Buffalo with running the football with Devin Singletary kind

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<v Speaker 1>of become a new look offense where they found their balance,

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<v Speaker 1>they found what's working for them. And do the Patriots

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<v Speaker 1>really have a chance in this game? I think the

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<v Speaker 1>Bills kind of win this one handily. How about you?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 2>I do too, And this is going to be a

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<v Speaker 2>grinded out classic AFC East battle. The weather three degrees

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<v Speaker 2>and partly cloudy in Buffalo, so I don't know why

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<v Speaker 2>anyone will want to attend this game, but.

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<v Speaker 1>They will be shirtless. You know, they will be shirtless more.

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<v Speaker 2>Of es I count believe it, dude. Being a question

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<v Speaker 2>in the South, I just don't understand.

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<v Speaker 1>With it being so cold, they're obviously going to be

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of running football. As you said, that's what

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<v Speaker 1>the Patriots do best. They're one seventy two on the

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<v Speaker 1>money line. If you want to get involved in this

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<v Speaker 1>game at all, is that the place to do it?

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<v Speaker 1>Just Pat's outright, but keep it close. Maybe they went

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<v Speaker 1>on a field goal and a fluky player or something

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<v Speaker 1>like that. Is that your best way to bet on

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<v Speaker 1>this game if you are looking to make any money,

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<v Speaker 1>because it's really tough, because you know, you're getting minus

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<v Speaker 1>one ten on the four. Same thing with the over

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<v Speaker 1>under at forty four. You're not getting great money, but

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<v Speaker 1>the plus one seventy two for the pass to win outright,

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<v Speaker 1>if you can write a script because of the weather.

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<v Speaker 1>About rushing the football, Buffalo Bills have given up some

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<v Speaker 1>rushing yards in these last few weeks for sure.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean if you're just straight up looking for

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<v Speaker 2>money and taking a risk, then sure. But for me,

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<v Speaker 2>there's no way I'm betting on a rookie quarterback going

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<v Speaker 2>on the road in a weather.

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<v Speaker 3>Game to win his first playoff game. I'm just not

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<v Speaker 3>doing it.

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<v Speaker 2>So for me, I'm gonna take Buffalo kind of going away.

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<v Speaker 2>I think it's more like the second game than it

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<v Speaker 2>is like the first game, because yes, we have weather,

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<v Speaker 2>we don't have crazy you know, high wind. We got

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<v Speaker 2>four mile an hour wins here. So I think just

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<v Speaker 2>the Bills are clicking. They're coming in at the right

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<v Speaker 2>time in the playoffs. Like you said, they're now no

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<v Speaker 2>longer one dimensional just throwing short passes for Josh Allen.

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<v Speaker 2>Stevin Singletary has really taking that role and run with it,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, no pun intended. And ste Diggs is playing well,

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<v Speaker 2>Dawson Knox is playing well. I just I don't see

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<v Speaker 2>a way that the paid I mean, I see the

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<v Speaker 2>way that the Patriots win this game as they get

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<v Speaker 2>a couple turnovers and that kind of stuff.

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<v Speaker 3>You'd never want to count Bill Belichick out.

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<v Speaker 2>But I just I'm not gonna take my money and

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<v Speaker 2>put it on the back of Mac Jones in his

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<v Speaker 2>first road playoff game.

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<v Speaker 3>No thank you.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, Let's talk about the individual lines here on

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<v Speaker 1>this game. He got Josh Allen passing yards a two

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<v Speaker 1>forty three and a half, Mac Jones at two to

0:10:25.280 --> 0:10:27.880
<v Speaker 1>four and a half, both at minus one fourteen? Is

0:10:27.880 --> 0:10:29.840
<v Speaker 1>the number there any love for either of these numbers

0:10:29.880 --> 0:10:31.520
<v Speaker 1>on the over or under? Two forty three and a

0:10:31.559 --> 0:10:33.559
<v Speaker 1>half two a four and a half for mac Jones

0:10:33.720 --> 0:10:34.120
<v Speaker 1>forty I.

0:10:34.120 --> 0:10:36.120
<v Speaker 2>Think I might take the under on Mac Jones, even

0:10:36.120 --> 0:10:38.400
<v Speaker 2>though I do it's happy to be losing it in uh.

0:10:38.800 --> 0:10:40.840
<v Speaker 2>I think what you want to do in this game

0:10:40.880 --> 0:10:43.120
<v Speaker 2>to make Mac comfortable is run the ball to start.

0:10:43.400 --> 0:10:45.600
<v Speaker 2>So I think you get a first half of a

0:10:45.640 --> 0:10:49.040
<v Speaker 2>lot of running, and then the second half, you know,

0:10:49.240 --> 0:10:50.600
<v Speaker 2>Mac Jones starts to pass.

0:10:50.720 --> 0:10:53.680
<v Speaker 3>Bill Belichick knows that that's what they expect.

0:10:53.720 --> 0:10:55.480
<v Speaker 2>Him to do. So maybe it's the opposite, but I

0:10:55.520 --> 0:10:57.360
<v Speaker 2>kind of like the under on Mac Jones. I probably

0:10:57.360 --> 0:10:59.440
<v Speaker 2>wouldn't want to mess with that Josh Allen line because

0:10:59.440 --> 0:11:01.400
<v Speaker 2>it's very good, But if I had to pick one,

0:11:01.440 --> 0:11:03.280
<v Speaker 2>I would definitely go with the over because they are

0:11:03.320 --> 0:11:04.480
<v Speaker 2>a past first team.

0:11:05.120 --> 0:11:07.640
<v Speaker 1>These two are really intriguing to me, Devin Singletary a

0:11:07.679 --> 0:11:10.320
<v Speaker 1>fifty nine and a half for his rushing prop and

0:11:10.440 --> 0:11:13.120
<v Speaker 1>Damian Harris at fifty eight and a half. I like

0:11:13.160 --> 0:11:15.240
<v Speaker 1>the over on both of these specially now trend of

0:11:15.320 --> 0:11:18.160
<v Speaker 1>Singletary getting twenty three carries here back to back weeks.

0:11:18.360 --> 0:11:20.360
<v Speaker 1>That feels like something that's been sustainable for.

0:11:20.360 --> 0:11:22.400
<v Speaker 3>Them right exactly, and it's not.

0:11:22.559 --> 0:11:24.160
<v Speaker 2>You know, you don't even have to be good with

0:11:24.240 --> 0:11:27.160
<v Speaker 2>Devin Singletary, which kind of makes me more nervous about him.

0:11:27.200 --> 0:11:29.600
<v Speaker 2>I think I like the Harris line better because, like

0:11:29.600 --> 0:11:31.560
<v Speaker 2>I said, I think you get him established, you run

0:11:31.640 --> 0:11:35.160
<v Speaker 2>him to put Mac Jones in a comfortable position to

0:11:35.200 --> 0:11:35.920
<v Speaker 2>throw the ball.

0:11:36.440 --> 0:11:38.000
<v Speaker 3>You know, you suck those linebackers up.

0:11:37.920 --> 0:11:39.679
<v Speaker 2>A little bit, bring those dbs up a little bit,

0:11:39.840 --> 0:11:41.480
<v Speaker 2>you know, run a lot of stuff off play action.

0:11:42.559 --> 0:11:47.120
<v Speaker 2>So I think that Devin Singletary doesn't have to be effective.

0:11:47.160 --> 0:11:48.960
<v Speaker 2>You just have to keep doing it. And I think

0:11:49.000 --> 0:11:51.640
<v Speaker 2>that's the problem that the Bills had earlier in the season,

0:11:51.800 --> 0:11:54.160
<v Speaker 2>was they weren't running the ball effectively. So they just

0:11:54.240 --> 0:11:56.520
<v Speaker 2>gave it up and said, all right, Josh Allen will

0:11:56.600 --> 0:11:58.600
<v Speaker 2>run everything. And they won some games like that, so

0:11:58.640 --> 0:12:01.000
<v Speaker 2>it worked for them. But I think will you find

0:12:01.400 --> 0:12:03.680
<v Speaker 2>much better balance when you're just handing it to them

0:12:04.080 --> 0:12:06.240
<v Speaker 2>at least a couple times to keep them honest.

0:12:06.360 --> 0:12:08.920
<v Speaker 3>So I expect those book to go over all.

0:12:08.920 --> 0:12:11.400
<v Speaker 1>Right, let's move on to Sunday's games, and we'll start

0:12:11.520 --> 0:12:15.520
<v Speaker 1>with the Tampa Bay Bucks, the defending, reigning undisputed champions

0:12:15.800 --> 0:12:18.280
<v Speaker 1>eight and a half point favorites in their home stadium

0:12:18.320 --> 0:12:20.920
<v Speaker 1>taking on the Philadelphia Eagles. The over runner for this

0:12:21.000 --> 0:12:24.400
<v Speaker 1>game is forty six. Now Bogs Tom Brady certainly very

0:12:24.400 --> 0:12:27.880
<v Speaker 1>familiar with this spot home game. For Tom Brady, to me,

0:12:28.040 --> 0:12:30.240
<v Speaker 1>the eight and a half feels about right. In fact,

0:12:30.240 --> 0:12:32.040
<v Speaker 1>I think that they're going to dominate this football game.

0:12:32.040 --> 0:12:33.440
<v Speaker 1>I really do. I think the Eagles are just gonna

0:12:33.440 --> 0:12:36.520
<v Speaker 1>be outclassed. But I want to hear your thoughts on this.

0:12:36.559 --> 0:12:37.760
<v Speaker 1>What do you think about this one? Is this a

0:12:37.760 --> 0:12:39.360
<v Speaker 1>trap game? By any stretch er you think this is

0:12:39.360 --> 0:12:40.000
<v Speaker 1>a Bucks roll.

0:12:40.200 --> 0:12:42.880
<v Speaker 3>It's absolutely a trap game. I don't really.

0:12:43.200 --> 0:12:46.160
<v Speaker 2>I think the matchup is perfect for the Bucks in

0:12:46.240 --> 0:12:49.720
<v Speaker 2>this game, which is why I'll take them. But they're

0:12:49.800 --> 0:12:53.440
<v Speaker 2>limping in on offense right now. I mean, you know,

0:12:53.559 --> 0:12:56.400
<v Speaker 2>Abe quitting didn't just wasn't just a side show. It

0:12:56.520 --> 0:12:59.720
<v Speaker 2>hurt Zero Grayson who took his spot, is banged up

0:12:59.760 --> 0:12:59.960
<v Speaker 2>right now.

0:13:00.080 --> 0:13:00.240
<v Speaker 3>Now.

0:13:00.559 --> 0:13:04.560
<v Speaker 2>They just signed Downtown John Brown to their squad, so uh,

0:13:04.720 --> 0:13:08.080
<v Speaker 2>they are definitely limping in that they should get four netback.

0:13:08.120 --> 0:13:09.440
<v Speaker 3>We'll see.

0:13:09.640 --> 0:13:14.520
<v Speaker 2>But the side of this game that is gonna make

0:13:14.600 --> 0:13:18.480
<v Speaker 2>everything go here is gonna be the Eagles offense against

0:13:18.559 --> 0:13:21.439
<v Speaker 2>the Bucks defense. You have the number one rushing offense

0:13:21.520 --> 0:13:24.240
<v Speaker 2>versus number one rushing defense here. So I just think

0:13:24.320 --> 0:13:29.040
<v Speaker 2>that the Bucks match up well physically with the Eagles

0:13:29.080 --> 0:13:33.760
<v Speaker 2>because of this run defense, So I think it'll play closer.

0:13:33.840 --> 0:13:35.720
<v Speaker 2>I'll definitely take the under in this game because of

0:13:35.760 --> 0:13:37.960
<v Speaker 2>what's going on with Tampa Bay's offense right now, plus

0:13:38.000 --> 0:13:41.480
<v Speaker 2>their defense. You know, playing against the strength of the

0:13:41.520 --> 0:13:45.480
<v Speaker 2>Eagles offense here is not a good matchup for Philly,

0:13:45.920 --> 0:13:48.600
<v Speaker 2>So I'll take I'll take Tampa Bay, but I'm not

0:13:48.840 --> 0:13:52.200
<v Speaker 2>extremely comfortable with this number. This feels like a trap game.

0:13:52.240 --> 0:13:55.400
<v Speaker 2>But it's Tom Brady Mans.

0:13:54.640 --> 0:13:57.280
<v Speaker 1>Brady, So you're confident in Tampa wins, but you're less

0:13:57.280 --> 0:13:57.880
<v Speaker 1>confident number.

0:13:57.920 --> 0:13:59.920
<v Speaker 3>I mean, if that's the case, I would take.

0:14:00.000 --> 0:14:03.440
<v Speaker 2>If you want the eagle side of this, No, I

0:14:03.480 --> 0:14:06.600
<v Speaker 2>don't want it because look, it's once again it's he's

0:14:06.640 --> 0:14:08.760
<v Speaker 2>not a rookie, but it's Jalen Hurts first playoff game,

0:14:08.800 --> 0:14:11.080
<v Speaker 2>and it's on the road. It's against the champs, you know,

0:14:11.240 --> 0:14:14.200
<v Speaker 2>so I think you're gonna see them get frustrated and

0:14:14.200 --> 0:14:14.800
<v Speaker 2>start throwing the ball.

0:14:14.840 --> 0:14:15.600
<v Speaker 3>With Jalen Hurts.

0:14:15.880 --> 0:14:18.319
<v Speaker 2>The guy can't put it in the air thirty five times,

0:14:18.800 --> 0:14:20.960
<v Speaker 2>he'll get picked off. So I think that's what we're

0:14:20.960 --> 0:14:23.240
<v Speaker 2>gonna get in this game is I think it plays

0:14:23.280 --> 0:14:26.840
<v Speaker 2>a little tight until late, maybe late third quarter, early

0:14:26.880 --> 0:14:30.280
<v Speaker 2>fourth quarter, where some big mistake is made and then

0:14:30.320 --> 0:14:32.880
<v Speaker 2>that's where Tampa Bay takes advantage and starts to roll.

0:14:33.000 --> 0:14:35.600
<v Speaker 3>So for me, I'm taking Tampa Bay.

0:14:35.640 --> 0:14:37.640
<v Speaker 2>I would take the under here too, because I think

0:14:37.800 --> 0:14:39.360
<v Speaker 2>it's going to take a little bit for Tampa Bay

0:14:39.400 --> 0:14:42.760
<v Speaker 2>to get going and Philly's gonna be frustrated offensively early

0:14:42.800 --> 0:14:43.240
<v Speaker 2>in this game.

0:14:43.280 --> 0:14:46.160
<v Speaker 3>As well, so give me the under in this one too.

0:14:46.520 --> 0:14:49.120
<v Speaker 1>All right. Tom Brady's number is two to seventy six

0:14:49.200 --> 0:14:51.960
<v Speaker 1>and a half for passing total. You think that's an

0:14:52.000 --> 0:14:53.240
<v Speaker 1>over and underbond.

0:14:52.960 --> 0:14:55.680
<v Speaker 3>I under for sure. Yeah, you don't want to passing

0:14:55.760 --> 0:14:56.680
<v Speaker 3>that much in this game.

0:14:57.080 --> 0:14:59.880
<v Speaker 1>I imagine the tight ends are going to be incredibly busy

0:15:00.000 --> 0:15:01.800
<v Speaker 1>this game though to Philadelphia and not good against the

0:15:01.800 --> 0:15:04.440
<v Speaker 1>tight ends. So not just Gronk but maybe break down

0:15:04.960 --> 0:15:08.160
<v Speaker 1>getting some action. Yeah, and Jalen Hurts two three and

0:15:08.160 --> 0:15:10.400
<v Speaker 1>a half. That's an interesting one too, because you're writing

0:15:10.400 --> 0:15:12.520
<v Speaker 1>the script where they're behind or they have to throw

0:15:12.600 --> 0:15:14.480
<v Speaker 1>the ball more than they want to throw the football.

0:15:14.800 --> 0:15:16.800
<v Speaker 1>That becomes interesting one as well. But I would lean

0:15:16.800 --> 0:15:18.440
<v Speaker 1>towards the ender on that one also, Box.

0:15:18.920 --> 0:15:21.920
<v Speaker 2>I'll take the over on it. The secondary is probably

0:15:21.920 --> 0:15:23.480
<v Speaker 2>the one weakness for Tampa Bay.

0:15:23.520 --> 0:15:26.400
<v Speaker 1>The healthier on the secondary, they've.

0:15:26.160 --> 0:15:28.440
<v Speaker 2>Gotten healthier, but I don't know if i'd say they

0:15:28.480 --> 0:15:31.520
<v Speaker 2>got good. So I would take the over on that

0:15:31.640 --> 0:15:35.200
<v Speaker 2>just because I think it's early frustrations, and I think

0:15:35.280 --> 0:15:37.000
<v Speaker 2>going into this game you have to kind of game

0:15:37.000 --> 0:15:39.040
<v Speaker 2>plan around that too. We know it's going to be frustrating,

0:15:39.080 --> 0:15:42.400
<v Speaker 2>so let's start to pass the ball, you know a

0:15:42.440 --> 0:15:45.520
<v Speaker 2>little bit more early, So I'll take the over just

0:15:45.560 --> 0:15:46.880
<v Speaker 2>because that that's a low number.

0:15:47.280 --> 0:15:48.360
<v Speaker 3>You said it was two of four.

0:15:48.800 --> 0:15:49.760
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, four.

0:15:49.800 --> 0:15:51.520
<v Speaker 3>I'll take the over on that for sure.

0:15:51.600 --> 0:15:53.600
<v Speaker 1>All right. Next one here is the four to thirty

0:15:53.600 --> 0:15:56.400
<v Speaker 1>Eastern game the San Francisco forty nine Ers, coming off

0:15:56.480 --> 0:16:00.240
<v Speaker 1>another victory against the Rams. Who called that last week

0:16:00.320 --> 0:16:02.560
<v Speaker 1>on the show right here on Betting Pros me with

0:16:02.680 --> 0:16:06.200
<v Speaker 1>Dan Harris. That's right. I told you, Dallas believe in

0:16:06.240 --> 0:16:08.600
<v Speaker 1>the Rams. You were on there too. I'm dude, I

0:16:08.640 --> 0:16:11.240
<v Speaker 1>mean the Rams. We'll get to them in a second.

0:16:11.320 --> 0:16:14.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna tease that we'll get to them in a second.

0:16:14.120 --> 0:16:15.080
<v Speaker 3>But this one's funny.

0:16:16.360 --> 0:16:19.000
<v Speaker 1>This one to me feels like, you know, not every

0:16:19.000 --> 0:16:20.680
<v Speaker 1>favorite's going to win. We know that when it comes

0:16:20.680 --> 0:16:22.200
<v Speaker 1>to this round of the playoffs, there's going to be

0:16:22.240 --> 0:16:26.560
<v Speaker 1>probably two at least that kind of go sideways. To me,

0:16:26.680 --> 0:16:29.480
<v Speaker 1>this is the first one. Dallas Cowboys certainly from a

0:16:29.520 --> 0:16:32.040
<v Speaker 1>defensive standpoint, and played much better this year towards the

0:16:32.040 --> 0:16:34.760
<v Speaker 1>second half, really starting to come on. Michael Parsons has

0:16:34.800 --> 0:16:37.520
<v Speaker 1>been a star. They've created turnovers, all that stuff is great.

0:16:37.640 --> 0:16:39.160
<v Speaker 1>But the forty nine Ers to me, right now, on

0:16:39.200 --> 0:16:41.120
<v Speaker 1>both sides of the ball seem to just be working.

0:16:41.440 --> 0:16:43.360
<v Speaker 1>They seem to have that weird mojo thing.

0:16:43.440 --> 0:16:43.640
<v Speaker 2>To me.

0:16:44.160 --> 0:16:46.800
<v Speaker 1>The number here is Dallas with a three point favorite

0:16:46.880 --> 0:16:49.080
<v Speaker 1>right here at home, as one would think, and I

0:16:49.080 --> 0:16:51.080
<v Speaker 1>think the line is telling you there's some fear here

0:16:51.280 --> 0:16:55.000
<v Speaker 1>because typically speaking, that's your everything is very close lined.

0:16:55.040 --> 0:16:57.800
<v Speaker 1>So the home team gets the three and that's your standard,

0:16:58.280 --> 0:16:59.920
<v Speaker 1>and that means to me, I'm betting the San Francisco

0:17:00.240 --> 0:17:01.880
<v Speaker 1>this game, and San frans is gonna win outright as

0:17:01.920 --> 0:17:04.000
<v Speaker 1>a plus one thirty six in the money line. The

0:17:04.080 --> 0:17:06.040
<v Speaker 1>number is fifty one and a half on the over under.

0:17:06.720 --> 0:17:09.520
<v Speaker 1>Probably gonna be an over would be my guess in

0:17:09.560 --> 0:17:12.000
<v Speaker 1>this game. But I think this is the one right

0:17:12.000 --> 0:17:13.680
<v Speaker 1>here that you circle. And this is the first of

0:17:13.720 --> 0:17:16.600
<v Speaker 1>the upsets on the weekend. What are your thoughts here, Box.

0:17:16.520 --> 0:17:18.920
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I'm not gonna trust Jimmy g I just can't

0:17:18.920 --> 0:17:19.280
<v Speaker 3>do it.

0:17:19.480 --> 0:17:22.600
<v Speaker 1>So oh I don't trust him. Yeah, look Cowboys and

0:17:22.640 --> 0:17:23.920
<v Speaker 1>I trust them equals.

0:17:23.920 --> 0:17:26.960
<v Speaker 2>This is the closest well this to me, this is

0:17:26.960 --> 0:17:29.400
<v Speaker 2>the second closest game. I think the Monday night game

0:17:29.480 --> 0:17:31.880
<v Speaker 2>is the closest game, but this is the second closest

0:17:31.920 --> 0:17:34.160
<v Speaker 2>game here. But I'm just gonna take the home team.

0:17:34.200 --> 0:17:36.080
<v Speaker 2>And I know, look the Cardinals winning and upset the

0:17:36.119 --> 0:17:40.359
<v Speaker 2>Cowboys the other day for sure, But you I don't

0:17:40.359 --> 0:17:43.119
<v Speaker 2>know that we've seen one complete game from Jimmy G

0:17:44.119 --> 0:17:47.680
<v Speaker 2>this season. So for me, I'm gonna trust that he's

0:17:47.680 --> 0:17:50.480
<v Speaker 2>gonna screw up in the first or second half and

0:17:50.600 --> 0:17:54.040
<v Speaker 2>it's gonna lend towards uh, you know, Dallas getting up.

0:17:54.119 --> 0:17:56.639
<v Speaker 2>And if Dallas gets up early in this game, Jimmy

0:17:56.680 --> 0:18:00.080
<v Speaker 2>G is just going to make more mistakes. So that's

0:18:00.119 --> 0:18:02.320
<v Speaker 2>really what it comes down to, is who makes a mistake.

0:18:02.400 --> 0:18:02.720
<v Speaker 3>First.

0:18:03.520 --> 0:18:07.720
<v Speaker 2>I know that Dallas is not playing their absolute best football,

0:18:07.760 --> 0:18:10.320
<v Speaker 2>but putting it on Philly I think gave them a

0:18:10.359 --> 0:18:13.280
<v Speaker 2>lot of confidence. And I think it was the right

0:18:13.440 --> 0:18:16.640
<v Speaker 2>move to play all their starters in that game. So

0:18:17.480 --> 0:18:19.240
<v Speaker 2>the defense is going to get back a lot of

0:18:19.240 --> 0:18:22.400
<v Speaker 2>pieces too. Obviously, Parsons coming back off the COVID list

0:18:22.400 --> 0:18:25.960
<v Speaker 2>and DeMarcus Lawrence just seems to get better every single week.

0:18:26.119 --> 0:18:29.800
<v Speaker 2>So I think they're gonna they're gonna wreck Jimmy somehow

0:18:29.920 --> 0:18:32.240
<v Speaker 2>early in the first half is gonna start to get away,

0:18:32.480 --> 0:18:34.000
<v Speaker 2>and then that's what you're gonna see is you're gonna

0:18:34.000 --> 0:18:36.920
<v Speaker 2>see Jimmy G mistakes. Plus he's not one hundred percent either.

0:18:37.240 --> 0:18:40.640
<v Speaker 2>I mean, he looked good in the second half last week.

0:18:40.800 --> 0:18:44.760
<v Speaker 2>Hopefully he can take that and use it in this game.

0:18:44.800 --> 0:18:47.480
<v Speaker 2>But I just I can't put my eggs into the

0:18:47.560 --> 0:18:51.400
<v Speaker 2>Jimmy G basket because I just he makes mistakes man,

0:18:51.560 --> 0:18:54.119
<v Speaker 2>and oh Dallas is going to force him into a

0:18:54.119 --> 0:18:55.240
<v Speaker 2>mistake bogs.

0:18:55.240 --> 0:18:57.840
<v Speaker 1>And nobody has been more critical of Jimmy Garoppolo than me,

0:18:58.200 --> 0:18:59.200
<v Speaker 1>and rightfully.

0:18:58.760 --> 0:19:02.800
<v Speaker 3>Well maybe maybe maybe because he's a Niners fan. He

0:19:02.880 --> 0:19:03.880
<v Speaker 3>is a Niners fan, and.

0:19:03.760 --> 0:19:06.880
<v Speaker 1>That's absolutely fair. But I have nobody's been more critical

0:19:07.000 --> 0:19:10.640
<v Speaker 1>than than Welsh than me. But at the same time,

0:19:11.119 --> 0:19:13.400
<v Speaker 1>this Cowboys team feels very incomplete to me, the way

0:19:13.400 --> 0:19:15.880
<v Speaker 1>they're coming into this, and it's just something about it.

0:19:16.240 --> 0:19:18.280
<v Speaker 1>I feel like all the momentum, and you know this,

0:19:18.440 --> 0:19:20.800
<v Speaker 1>the momentum is your best friend in the playoffs. I

0:19:20.840 --> 0:19:23.199
<v Speaker 1>feel like San Francisco has that they've been winning these

0:19:23.200 --> 0:19:25.480
<v Speaker 1>big football games and that big win against Minnesota a

0:19:25.480 --> 0:19:28.280
<v Speaker 1>couple of weeks ago, big win last week against the Rams,

0:19:28.680 --> 0:19:29.240
<v Speaker 1>and I feel like.

0:19:29.240 --> 0:19:33.399
<v Speaker 2>You look drop on the Tennessee though, but a drapped

0:19:33.520 --> 0:19:37.520
<v Speaker 2>dropped the one at home to Arizona. So look, Tennessee

0:19:37.560 --> 0:19:40.040
<v Speaker 2>is the one seed. But you know that's I rolling. Yeah,

0:19:40.880 --> 0:19:43.520
<v Speaker 2>all in the first half. You know they eaten two

0:19:43.880 --> 0:19:47.720
<v Speaker 2>they do uh you know that that. Uh, it's just

0:19:47.760 --> 0:19:50.560
<v Speaker 2>they're a different team, you know. So I don't know, man,

0:19:50.640 --> 0:19:52.919
<v Speaker 2>I I don't see how San Francisco goes in and

0:19:52.920 --> 0:19:53.960
<v Speaker 2>gets a win against Dallas.

0:19:53.960 --> 0:19:56.680
<v Speaker 1>Well, but you and I both know that something crazy

0:19:56.760 --> 0:19:58.560
<v Speaker 1>is gonna happen here this weekend. It's going to be

0:19:58.560 --> 0:20:01.000
<v Speaker 1>more than one. It's never just all the way through,

0:20:01.000 --> 0:20:01.719
<v Speaker 1>all the favorites win.

0:20:01.760 --> 0:20:03.800
<v Speaker 3>It's never laughing the next game.

0:20:04.160 --> 0:20:06.159
<v Speaker 1>Well, maybe it is, Maybe it is. We'll get to

0:20:06.160 --> 0:20:07.919
<v Speaker 1>that in a second. Let's talk about a couple of

0:20:07.920 --> 0:20:10.080
<v Speaker 1>props from this game. The rushing prop for Ezekiel Elliott

0:20:10.119 --> 0:20:12.560
<v Speaker 1>is forty seven and a half. He has struggled to

0:20:12.720 --> 0:20:16.280
<v Speaker 1>reach fifty yards in a game very often since at

0:20:16.320 --> 0:20:19.880
<v Speaker 1>least a bye. He's only reached that number three times.

0:20:19.920 --> 0:20:22.800
<v Speaker 1>So this number, though, is perfect. Forty seven and a half.

0:20:22.880 --> 0:20:25.520
<v Speaker 1>It is right there. Would you touch it or would

0:20:25.560 --> 0:20:27.120
<v Speaker 1>you go over? Under? What would you do here? Before

0:20:27.400 --> 0:20:27.760
<v Speaker 1>and a half?

0:20:27.760 --> 0:20:28.840
<v Speaker 3>Touch it? Gun?

0:20:28.880 --> 0:20:31.720
<v Speaker 2>To my head, I would go the over because Like

0:20:31.760 --> 0:20:33.639
<v Speaker 2>I said, I do think that San Francisco makes a

0:20:33.640 --> 0:20:37.080
<v Speaker 2>couple of mistakes and maybe we see some grinding in

0:20:37.160 --> 0:20:40.360
<v Speaker 2>the second half from the Cowboys. So I would take

0:20:40.400 --> 0:20:41.960
<v Speaker 2>the over gun to my head, but I won't touch it.

0:20:42.000 --> 0:20:44.520
<v Speaker 1>No thanks, all right, Deebo. Samuel has a twenty eight

0:20:44.560 --> 0:20:47.320
<v Speaker 1>and a half rushing prop and as far as his

0:20:47.400 --> 0:20:50.000
<v Speaker 1>receiving prop is sixty and a half, do you prefer

0:20:50.040 --> 0:20:51.400
<v Speaker 1>one to the other of the sixty and a half

0:20:51.480 --> 0:20:52.480
<v Speaker 1>or the twenty eight and a half.

0:20:53.359 --> 0:20:54.320
<v Speaker 3>It's just hard to know.

0:20:54.480 --> 0:20:55.400
<v Speaker 1>Man, I was right.

0:20:55.440 --> 0:20:57.320
<v Speaker 2>Did they have a total yards for him? I think

0:20:57.840 --> 0:20:59.760
<v Speaker 2>take the total yards on?

0:21:00.520 --> 0:21:01.040
<v Speaker 1>Well, here you go.

0:21:02.119 --> 0:21:04.560
<v Speaker 3>I mean that's pretty hes gonna add him eighty five

0:21:04.600 --> 0:21:05.240
<v Speaker 3>and a half.

0:21:05.320 --> 0:21:07.880
<v Speaker 1>Five and a half. Let's say the combination.

0:21:07.600 --> 0:21:12.199
<v Speaker 2>Over over for Debo at any point. The dude is

0:21:12.240 --> 0:21:15.199
<v Speaker 2>an absolute stud. He's better than even I thought he

0:21:15.320 --> 0:21:18.000
<v Speaker 2>was going to be in the NFL coming out, and

0:21:18.359 --> 0:21:19.280
<v Speaker 2>he is just and.

0:21:19.160 --> 0:21:21.760
<v Speaker 1>We all liked him. I remember.

0:21:22.440 --> 0:21:24.920
<v Speaker 3>I told I was mad.

0:21:25.040 --> 0:21:27.520
<v Speaker 2>I was like, man, I can't believe you know your

0:21:27.520 --> 0:21:29.199
<v Speaker 2>team gets this guy because I want my team to

0:21:29.200 --> 0:21:29.560
<v Speaker 2>get him.

0:21:29.560 --> 0:21:32.800
<v Speaker 3>But he is an absolute stud. Dude, he's so good.

0:21:33.040 --> 0:21:35.520
<v Speaker 2>So I would take the over I just they're gonna

0:21:35.600 --> 0:21:38.000
<v Speaker 2>use him, but are they gonna pass because they've had

0:21:38.040 --> 0:21:39.280
<v Speaker 2>games where they just run him.

0:21:39.280 --> 0:21:41.240
<v Speaker 3>They've had games where they just passed to him.

0:21:41.280 --> 0:21:44.080
<v Speaker 2>So uh, he's gonna get a little bit of everything

0:21:44.080 --> 0:21:44.639
<v Speaker 2>in this game.

0:21:44.760 --> 0:21:46.400
<v Speaker 3>So I just I would rather go with the total

0:21:46.480 --> 0:21:47.040
<v Speaker 3>yards for him.

0:21:47.280 --> 0:21:50.119
<v Speaker 1>It's a fantastic point, by the way. Go wait, or

0:21:50.160 --> 0:21:52.800
<v Speaker 1>find the all purpose yard prop for him, because that

0:21:52.840 --> 0:21:54.879
<v Speaker 1>isn't much even if it goes to ninety or something

0:21:54.880 --> 0:21:57.320
<v Speaker 1>like that. Over on that as well. All right, here

0:21:57.400 --> 0:22:01.800
<v Speaker 1>you go. Pittsburgh at Camp Kansas City is twelve and

0:22:01.840 --> 0:22:04.760
<v Speaker 1>a half point favorites in this one huge number. The

0:22:04.800 --> 0:22:06.359
<v Speaker 1>Chiefs took it to the Steelers a few weeks ago.

0:22:06.359 --> 0:22:08.280
<v Speaker 1>I don't need to tell Boggin that he's well aware

0:22:08.720 --> 0:22:11.560
<v Speaker 1>forty six and a half is the number. So Bogs

0:22:11.600 --> 0:22:15.520
<v Speaker 1>Cinderella again another team that found its way somehow into

0:22:15.560 --> 0:22:16.280
<v Speaker 1>the playoffs.

0:22:16.400 --> 0:22:17.320
<v Speaker 3>Thank you Rangers.

0:22:17.520 --> 0:22:19.480
<v Speaker 1>You had to be sitting there on Sunday night just

0:22:19.560 --> 0:22:21.960
<v Speaker 1>in awe. Right, I mean, could you believe that if

0:22:21.960 --> 0:22:23.639
<v Speaker 1>I told you three weeks ago the Steelers are making

0:22:23.640 --> 0:22:25.200
<v Speaker 1>the playoff? You that told me I was crazy? Right?

0:22:25.320 --> 0:22:26.240
<v Speaker 3>Yeah? For sure?

0:22:26.560 --> 0:22:30.080
<v Speaker 2>I look, you know, big ups to Jacksonville big ups

0:22:30.080 --> 0:22:35.200
<v Speaker 2>to Vegas and you know, I it always it always

0:22:35.200 --> 0:22:39.119
<v Speaker 2>reminds me of a Herm Edwards press conference where the

0:22:39.240 --> 0:22:42.680
<v Speaker 2>Jets snuck into the playoffs, right, is the same way

0:22:42.720 --> 0:22:45.600
<v Speaker 2>the Steelers snug in. And one of the one of

0:22:45.600 --> 0:22:47.840
<v Speaker 2>the idiot writers, said, do you feel bad for the

0:22:47.840 --> 0:22:50.679
<v Speaker 2>team that didn't make it? He's like, we won and

0:22:50.760 --> 0:22:54.200
<v Speaker 2>they lost. No, I don't feel bad for them at all.

0:22:54.320 --> 0:22:56.800
<v Speaker 2>What are you talking about? Yeah, it's the NFL, man,

0:22:56.960 --> 0:23:00.760
<v Speaker 2>So you know, I know that the only team that

0:23:00.920 --> 0:23:08.000
<v Speaker 2>led less time in this year was the Texans than

0:23:08.080 --> 0:23:11.520
<v Speaker 2>the Steelers. The Steelers spent less time winning games than

0:23:11.560 --> 0:23:14.920
<v Speaker 2>any other team except Houston this year, so it wasn't

0:23:14.960 --> 0:23:17.600
<v Speaker 2>a great year for them. But I'm I'm going to

0:23:17.640 --> 0:23:20.679
<v Speaker 2>take them against the spread here. The spread is gigantic.

0:23:21.080 --> 0:23:22.000
<v Speaker 2>Did you already say it?

0:23:22.440 --> 0:23:24.480
<v Speaker 1>Oh, it's twelve and a half. It is gigantic. There's

0:23:24.480 --> 0:23:25.280
<v Speaker 1>no doubt about that.

0:23:25.440 --> 0:23:27.159
<v Speaker 2>And I know they lost by twenty six and that

0:23:27.240 --> 0:23:30.720
<v Speaker 2>was without Kelsey, Right, I get it, But you know

0:23:30.960 --> 0:23:31.879
<v Speaker 2>the defense, that's.

0:23:31.760 --> 0:23:33.840
<v Speaker 1>Even more reason to do it. I feel like because

0:23:34.320 --> 0:23:39.479
<v Speaker 1>that it's such an obvious anti logic, right, where if

0:23:39.520 --> 0:23:41.800
<v Speaker 1>you follow betting and if you're somebody who's into this,

0:23:42.040 --> 0:23:44.359
<v Speaker 1>you know that that's all that stuff.

0:23:44.440 --> 0:23:46.119
<v Speaker 3>You throw it out, fade the public, all that.

0:23:46.280 --> 0:23:48.320
<v Speaker 1>Right, that's a big load of crap, right, that's never

0:23:48.400 --> 0:23:50.960
<v Speaker 1>going to come to fruition. But yeah, I actually like

0:23:51.000 --> 0:23:52.520
<v Speaker 1>the Steelers side of this game too. With a twelve

0:23:52.520 --> 0:23:54.240
<v Speaker 1>and a half, I think it gives you more opportunities

0:23:54.320 --> 0:23:56.879
<v Speaker 1>because the Chiefs have been inconsistent. I mean, let's be honest.

0:23:56.920 --> 0:23:59.399
<v Speaker 1>They had a moment there where they were starting to

0:23:59.400 --> 0:24:01.920
<v Speaker 1>feel like a clicking on all cylinders, and then you

0:24:02.000 --> 0:24:03.600
<v Speaker 1>had that game against the Bengals and to me, all

0:24:03.600 --> 0:24:05.560
<v Speaker 1>bets were off after that. Then that was the same

0:24:05.640 --> 0:24:08.600
<v Speaker 1>Chiefs team that I've seen all year that just you know,

0:24:08.720 --> 0:24:10.560
<v Speaker 1>doesn't show up in the big moments when you need

0:24:10.560 --> 0:24:12.720
<v Speaker 1>them too. And now that that was a very telling

0:24:12.760 --> 0:24:14.760
<v Speaker 1>game for me. I thought, you know, them losing to

0:24:14.800 --> 0:24:16.639
<v Speaker 1>the Cincinnati was something where you just mark and go

0:24:16.920 --> 0:24:18.439
<v Speaker 1>the Chiefs are just not the Chiefs. I think they

0:24:18.480 --> 0:24:20.720
<v Speaker 1>win this game, but I think I'm yeah on the

0:24:20.720 --> 0:24:21.359
<v Speaker 1>twelve and a half.

0:24:21.800 --> 0:24:25.720
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and you know, I've seen more than enough Ben

0:24:25.800 --> 0:24:31.159
<v Speaker 2>Roethlisberger retirement party flyers hosted in Kansas City so everybody

0:24:31.200 --> 0:24:32.280
<v Speaker 2>can quit sending me those.

0:24:32.359 --> 0:24:36.160
<v Speaker 3>But yeah, I think Kansas City probably wins this game too.

0:24:36.200 --> 0:24:39.120
<v Speaker 2>They're at home. You know, they are a better team

0:24:39.119 --> 0:24:41.520
<v Speaker 2>than Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh gave up more rushing yards than any

0:24:41.560 --> 0:24:44.920
<v Speaker 2>other team in the NFL this year, So Darrell Williams

0:24:44.960 --> 0:24:47.880
<v Speaker 2>probably gonna have a big game again here for them.

0:24:48.320 --> 0:24:50.560
<v Speaker 2>I know Tyreek is coming in less than one hundred percent,

0:24:50.600 --> 0:24:53.520
<v Speaker 2>but they get Kelsey back, so it's fine your mismatch.

0:24:53.640 --> 0:24:56.320
<v Speaker 2>And Kelsey didn't even play in that game where they

0:24:56.320 --> 0:24:59.719
<v Speaker 2>blew out the Steelers already in Kansas City, so not

0:25:00.000 --> 0:25:03.600
<v Speaker 2>excited to see what he does to this defense. But uh,

0:25:03.680 --> 0:25:07.960
<v Speaker 2>it's probably it looks like an insurmountable mountain for my Steelers.

0:25:08.200 --> 0:25:11.000
<v Speaker 2>So I wouldn't suggest anyone take the Steelers on the

0:25:11.040 --> 0:25:13.400
<v Speaker 2>money line. Well what is the money line? Pay plus

0:25:13.480 --> 0:25:16.280
<v Speaker 2>right now? Do you have it up, Joe? I bet

0:25:16.359 --> 0:25:19.399
<v Speaker 2>it's gonna money line is to start with I was

0:25:19.400 --> 0:25:21.320
<v Speaker 2>gonna say, does it start with at least a three?

0:25:21.640 --> 0:25:23.280
<v Speaker 1>You know it's a five?

0:25:23.920 --> 0:25:26.440
<v Speaker 2>A five is enormous, you know, But I mean, look,

0:25:26.800 --> 0:25:29.760
<v Speaker 2>the playoffs have been rife with bigger upsets than this

0:25:29.800 --> 0:25:31.240
<v Speaker 2>one over the history.

0:25:31.280 --> 0:25:33.920
<v Speaker 1>As as that plus eight fifty on the Jaguars last

0:25:33.920 --> 0:25:34.920
<v Speaker 1>week against the Colts.

0:25:35.280 --> 0:25:40.280
<v Speaker 2>But we love me some Jaguars, right, Josh Allen. Gotta

0:25:40.280 --> 0:25:44.440
<v Speaker 2>get me a Josh Allen jersey next, I know. But yeah, man,

0:25:45.119 --> 0:25:49.280
<v Speaker 2>I think, uh, you're probably safe if you bet Kansas City.

0:25:49.280 --> 0:25:51.200
<v Speaker 3>But I will be rooting for my Steelers, of course.

0:25:51.359 --> 0:25:54.280
<v Speaker 1>So look, I just feel like the twelve and a

0:25:54.280 --> 0:25:56.720
<v Speaker 1>half is a very big number here and and once again,

0:25:57.119 --> 0:25:59.600
<v Speaker 1>all the pressures on Kansas City. The Steelers are like

0:25:59.720 --> 0:26:01.960
<v Speaker 1>Dante from Clerks and I was supposed to be here today.

0:26:02.320 --> 0:26:04.440
<v Speaker 1>So as far as I'm concerned, it's gonna be the

0:26:04.480 --> 0:26:06.879
<v Speaker 1>Pittsburgh Steelers playing with house money, and I feel like

0:26:06.920 --> 0:26:08.760
<v Speaker 1>that's fast and loose. It's it's gonna be a different

0:26:08.760 --> 0:26:11.560
<v Speaker 1>Steeler team, I think this time around facing the Chiefs.

0:26:11.320 --> 0:26:13.679
<v Speaker 2>Because she's banged up. I mean, they might get Juju

0:26:13.720 --> 0:26:15.639
<v Speaker 2>back to just open up his window today.

0:26:15.720 --> 0:26:17.200
<v Speaker 3>So let's we'll see.

0:26:18.080 --> 0:26:22.880
<v Speaker 2>Well it is, I'll tell you after seeing James Washington play,

0:26:22.960 --> 0:26:24.520
<v Speaker 2>it's God's fair better, all right.

0:26:24.600 --> 0:26:26.119
<v Speaker 1>A couple of props I want to throw at your

0:26:26.119 --> 0:26:28.399
<v Speaker 1>box before we shive into the next one here. Patrick

0:26:28.440 --> 0:26:31.080
<v Speaker 1>Mahomes two eighty and a half over under in the

0:26:31.160 --> 0:26:32.080
<v Speaker 1>passing yards.

0:26:31.800 --> 0:26:33.280
<v Speaker 3>He won't need to throw that many.

0:26:33.400 --> 0:26:36.960
<v Speaker 1>So Ben Roethlisberger twenty sorry too to twenty six and

0:26:37.000 --> 0:26:37.280
<v Speaker 1>a half.

0:26:38.240 --> 0:26:41.639
<v Speaker 3>H take the over because it should be down the

0:26:41.640 --> 0:26:42.080
<v Speaker 3>whole game.

0:26:42.880 --> 0:26:44.679
<v Speaker 1>This one feels like a slam dunk to me. Deontay

0:26:44.760 --> 0:26:47.879
<v Speaker 1>Johnson sixty and a half receiving yards over.

0:26:48.000 --> 0:26:50.359
<v Speaker 2>I'm so you get if you take that prop, you're

0:26:50.400 --> 0:26:53.280
<v Speaker 2>gonna be frustrated because he'll get He'll catch a fourteen

0:26:53.359 --> 0:26:55.280
<v Speaker 2>yard ball, run back seven yards at one point.

0:26:55.400 --> 0:26:58.280
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, he does every single game, So but yeah, go

0:26:58.400 --> 0:26:58.840
<v Speaker 3>the over on.

0:26:59.080 --> 0:27:01.359
<v Speaker 1>Would you take the under on the Tyreek Hills seventy

0:27:01.359 --> 0:27:02.040
<v Speaker 1>and a half right now?

0:27:02.160 --> 0:27:04.879
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, he's hurt so and you know if they get up,

0:27:04.920 --> 0:27:06.560
<v Speaker 2>they won't be throwing him the ball, So yeah, I

0:27:06.680 --> 0:27:07.479
<v Speaker 2>take the under on that.

0:27:08.000 --> 0:27:10.639
<v Speaker 1>All right, let's move on to Monday night. You've got

0:27:10.680 --> 0:27:13.280
<v Speaker 1>the Arizona Cardinals at the Rams. The Rams three and

0:27:13.280 --> 0:27:15.760
<v Speaker 1>a half point favorites. Just like I told you about

0:27:15.760 --> 0:27:17.520
<v Speaker 1>that other line with San Francisco, this is the same

0:27:17.520 --> 0:27:19.560
<v Speaker 1>thing I'm feeling on this one, which is there's no

0:27:19.600 --> 0:27:22.080
<v Speaker 1>confidence in the Rams, and why should there be. The

0:27:22.200 --> 0:27:24.560
<v Speaker 1>Rams don't have a home field advantage. That's a very

0:27:24.560 --> 0:27:27.639
<v Speaker 1>big deal in the playoffs. The Rams continue to drop

0:27:27.760 --> 0:27:31.120
<v Speaker 1>games that they have in hand. And I'm not saying

0:27:31.200 --> 0:27:34.320
<v Speaker 1>that the Cardinals are well coached. I'm not saying that

0:27:34.359 --> 0:27:36.920
<v Speaker 1>the Cardinals are a better roster, but I feel like

0:27:36.960 --> 0:27:40.640
<v Speaker 1>the Cardinals have absolutely an opportunity to win this football game.

0:27:41.000 --> 0:27:42.480
<v Speaker 1>I think this plus three and a half on the

0:27:42.480 --> 0:27:45.879
<v Speaker 1>Cardinals side is just as tempting as the San Francisco

0:27:45.920 --> 0:27:47.960
<v Speaker 1>one if you want to go for upset specials. Here

0:27:48.320 --> 0:27:50.399
<v Speaker 1>on the money line, the Cardinals are plus one sixty

0:27:50.440 --> 0:27:52.280
<v Speaker 1>two if you want to bet them outright. The numbers

0:27:52.280 --> 0:27:54.360
<v Speaker 1>forty nine and a half bogs. How do you see

0:27:54.359 --> 0:27:56.280
<v Speaker 1>this game the Cardinals and Rams shaking out?

0:27:56.560 --> 0:27:59.040
<v Speaker 2>You talk about two teams that are backing in to

0:27:59.119 --> 0:28:02.840
<v Speaker 2>the playoffs. These teams have been awful recently. I mean,

0:28:03.080 --> 0:28:07.720
<v Speaker 2>the Rams just barely beat the Ravens without anyone in

0:28:07.760 --> 0:28:11.959
<v Speaker 2>their secondary and with Matthew with Matthew Stafford and Cooper

0:28:12.000 --> 0:28:15.960
<v Speaker 2>Cup and OBJ they are not clicking on offense at all.

0:28:16.560 --> 0:28:19.119
<v Speaker 2>The Cardinals could have won this division and gotten themselves

0:28:19.200 --> 0:28:21.640
<v Speaker 2>a home game, and they lost to the Seahawks at

0:28:21.640 --> 0:28:25.600
<v Speaker 2>home thirty eight to thirty. So it's who wants to

0:28:25.640 --> 0:28:28.560
<v Speaker 2>be more pathetic in this game, the Rams or the Cardinals.

0:28:29.119 --> 0:28:32.960
<v Speaker 2>For me, I'll take the road team in the Cardinals

0:28:33.000 --> 0:28:36.840
<v Speaker 2>because Matt Stafford keeps giving away the ball like it's

0:28:36.920 --> 0:28:40.320
<v Speaker 2>Christmas presents everybody still, So I don't know what is

0:28:40.360 --> 0:28:42.960
<v Speaker 2>happening with him. I don't know what the disconnect between

0:28:43.040 --> 0:28:45.120
<v Speaker 2>him and McVeigh and him and his receivers have been.

0:28:45.480 --> 0:28:48.040
<v Speaker 2>I think he's probably just pressing a little bit because

0:28:48.360 --> 0:28:51.200
<v Speaker 2>dude's not used to being in the playoffs and getting

0:28:51.240 --> 0:28:53.760
<v Speaker 2>ready for playoff scenarios playing in Detroit for so long.

0:28:53.880 --> 0:28:58.480
<v Speaker 2>So I'll take the Cardinals, but it's with zero confidence.

0:28:58.560 --> 0:29:00.760
<v Speaker 2>There's no I bet this game because because both these

0:29:00.760 --> 0:29:03.200
<v Speaker 2>teams are backing in and this is your Monday night

0:29:03.240 --> 0:29:05.480
<v Speaker 2>makeup game, I think the one thing I would take

0:29:05.520 --> 0:29:08.240
<v Speaker 2>here is the over because both defenses have been a

0:29:08.240 --> 0:29:09.440
<v Speaker 2>little suspect recently.

0:29:09.960 --> 0:29:13.120
<v Speaker 1>All right, that is very fair looking for right now.

0:29:13.560 --> 0:29:15.440
<v Speaker 1>Props on this game are still not released as the

0:29:15.480 --> 0:29:18.640
<v Speaker 1>time we're recording this, so it's getting hard and hard

0:29:18.680 --> 0:29:21.200
<v Speaker 1>to get props early. They really pop up later. But yeah,

0:29:21.880 --> 0:29:24.800
<v Speaker 1>just for fun, because you know, I think I did

0:29:24.800 --> 0:29:26.320
<v Speaker 1>this with you last year. If Nada I did it

0:29:26.360 --> 0:29:29.040
<v Speaker 1>on another show. They all run together eventually. Of course,

0:29:29.400 --> 0:29:31.760
<v Speaker 1>if you recall, I did two weeks in a row

0:29:31.760 --> 0:29:35.440
<v Speaker 1>where I got the entire playoff slate parlay correct. So

0:29:35.440 --> 0:29:37.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna try to do that again. I'm gonna try

0:29:37.080 --> 0:29:39.800
<v Speaker 1>to start this off with the six games. It's very difficult,

0:29:39.960 --> 0:29:41.880
<v Speaker 1>but I'm gonna give it a shot. Here's your six legs.

0:29:41.920 --> 0:29:44.400
<v Speaker 1>You're ready for this, Bogs you ready here? It here,

0:29:44.440 --> 0:29:47.920
<v Speaker 1>Arizona Cardinals right in fact, on the money line. That's

0:29:47.920 --> 0:29:51.200
<v Speaker 1>how confident I am. San Francisco on the money line.

0:29:51.440 --> 0:29:53.560
<v Speaker 1>Then you take Tampa to win, Kansas City to win,

0:29:53.640 --> 0:29:56.719
<v Speaker 1>Buffalo to win, the Bengals to win. There you go.

0:29:56.840 --> 0:29:59.960
<v Speaker 1>So you make your money basically getting those two outright upset.

0:30:00.600 --> 0:30:04.480
<v Speaker 1>It's gonna give you somewhere around plus eighteen hundred odds.

0:30:04.640 --> 0:30:07.080
<v Speaker 1>So on one hundred dollars wager, you're gonna win eighteen

0:30:07.120 --> 0:30:07.760
<v Speaker 1>hundred dollars.

0:30:08.000 --> 0:30:10.360
<v Speaker 3>And you know what that yes for me?

0:30:10.560 --> 0:30:12.760
<v Speaker 1>That works for me. Hey man, I did this last year,

0:30:13.160 --> 0:30:16.240
<v Speaker 1>won a couple grand doing it. I'm telling you right now,

0:30:16.440 --> 0:30:18.200
<v Speaker 1>you know that two of these games at least are

0:30:18.200 --> 0:30:20.800
<v Speaker 1>gonna go sideways. That's the nature of this beast. But

0:30:20.840 --> 0:30:23.280
<v Speaker 1>I don't think more than two bocks. I feel like

0:30:23.600 --> 0:30:26.120
<v Speaker 1>it's really that Rams Cardinals game and that Dallas forty

0:30:26.160 --> 0:30:28.080
<v Speaker 1>nine Ers game. At the end of the day, Like,

0:30:28.120 --> 0:30:30.320
<v Speaker 1>it is really a tough sell for me to think

0:30:30.320 --> 0:30:33.280
<v Speaker 1>that the Bengals are gonna lose to the Raiders. After all,

0:30:33.560 --> 0:30:36.320
<v Speaker 1>like Joe Burrow's Joe Burrow's a winning quarterback. You know,

0:30:36.400 --> 0:30:38.560
<v Speaker 1>Joe Burrow's been in winning atmosphere. He knows what it

0:30:38.600 --> 0:30:41.280
<v Speaker 1>takes to win football games. Tom Brady's not gonna drop

0:30:41.320 --> 0:30:43.040
<v Speaker 1>a home game to the Eagles in the first round

0:30:43.040 --> 0:30:45.040
<v Speaker 1>of the playoffs. I don't think that's gonna happen. Those

0:30:45.040 --> 0:30:47.360
<v Speaker 1>are tough sales. Same thing with mahomes at home. Even

0:30:47.400 --> 0:30:49.240
<v Speaker 1>if they struggle, it's hard not to see them winning.

0:30:49.720 --> 0:30:51.640
<v Speaker 1>Is that kind of the picture that you're painting, is?

0:30:51.960 --> 0:30:54.080
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean I would love to see the Raiders

0:30:54.120 --> 0:30:56.160
<v Speaker 2>win and I'll be pulling for him, but yeah, I

0:30:56.200 --> 0:30:59.680
<v Speaker 2>think since he wins, and obviously, you know, no one

0:30:59.720 --> 0:31:02.840
<v Speaker 2>in the world is picking Pittsburgh, so I get it.

0:31:03.200 --> 0:31:05.840
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, fair enough, fair enough. Make sure you're heading over

0:31:05.880 --> 0:31:09.640
<v Speaker 1>to bettingpros dot com for all of your lines, and again,

0:31:09.680 --> 0:31:11.760
<v Speaker 1>all the consensus lines are there, so you can find

0:31:11.800 --> 0:31:15.720
<v Speaker 1>any sort of little half point here or there somewhere else.

0:31:15.800 --> 0:31:17.920
<v Speaker 1>That's what Betting Pros is able to do. In fact,

0:31:17.920 --> 0:31:20.160
<v Speaker 1>there's some spots here where Betting Pros and consensus number

0:31:20.200 --> 0:31:22.880
<v Speaker 1>is four on that Cardinals game, but fandles at three

0:31:22.880 --> 0:31:25.920
<v Speaker 1>and a half. So very you know, every little bit helps,

0:31:26.240 --> 0:31:27.920
<v Speaker 1>So make sure you pay attention to that over at

0:31:27.920 --> 0:31:30.400
<v Speaker 1>Betting Pros. And in the meantime, make sure you subscribe

0:31:30.440 --> 0:31:32.640
<v Speaker 1>to the podcast wherever you get your pods, here the

0:31:32.640 --> 0:31:34.600
<v Speaker 1>Betting Pros Podcast. We're gonna take you through all the

0:31:34.720 --> 0:31:36.920
<v Speaker 1>NFL playoffs, just like we took you through all of

0:31:36.960 --> 0:31:39.520
<v Speaker 1>college football, all the bowl games, and we're gonna take

0:31:39.520 --> 0:31:42.320
<v Speaker 1>you into baseball. We're gonna take into the NBA, into

0:31:42.560 --> 0:31:45.320
<v Speaker 1>Major League Baseball, all that stuff. It's all coming around

0:31:45.320 --> 0:31:47.000
<v Speaker 1>the corner. So make sure you stick with us here

0:31:47.280 --> 0:31:49.160
<v Speaker 1>at Betting Pros. That'll do it for us. But the

0:31:49.160 --> 0:31:51.400
<v Speaker 1>story of the game goes on for Scott Bogman, I'm

0:31:51.440 --> 0:31:59.680
<v Speaker 1>Joey p Well see you next time. Kids.

0:32:00.600 --> 0:32:01.360
<v Speaker 2>It is n