Speaker 1: It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros.
Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's me Joey p
Speaker 1: Joe Pisafia. And college football is officially done and in
Speaker 1: the books. It's time to turn our attention to the
Speaker 1: NFL playoffs now. And who better to talk about that with?
Speaker 1: And three times Super Bowl MVP Troy Aikman, But unfortunately
Speaker 1: he was unavailable, so we're stuck with Scott Bogman instead. Bogman,
Speaker 1: our good friend joining us. Bogs. First of all, before
Speaker 1: you even get into the NFL playoffs and wild card weekend,
Speaker 1: which were very excited, what were your thoughts real quick
Speaker 1: on the CFB championship there?
Speaker 2: I mean it was it was a boring game until
Speaker 2: the end of the third quarter.
Speaker 3: Wasn't a good lawyer.
Speaker 2: I mean, you know, Georgie's really turned it on, and
Speaker 2: you know, obviously with Jamison Williams going down for Alabama,
Speaker 2: that was really you know, to me, what kind of
Speaker 2: turned that game. Obviously didn't affect it for a little
Speaker 2: bit because Georgia was Georgia was playing that you know,
Speaker 2: conservative choking offense that you know, didn't get them anywhere
Speaker 2: until they let it until they started to let uh
Speaker 2: sets stetson Bennett sling it downfield, they weren't really getting
Speaker 2: a lot done. So once they opened it up, though,
Speaker 2: they really put the beat down on Bama. And you know,
Speaker 2: unfortunate for me because I bet money on.
Speaker 1: Well, it's time to make that money back. Now, that's
Speaker 1: what we're gonna do. And we're gonna start here talking
Speaker 1: about the Saturday games. And it's fun how it's structured.
Speaker 1: We get two games on Saturday, one three games on Sunday,
Speaker 1: in one game on Monday. So I kind of enjoy this.
Speaker 1: I like how it's kind of spread out a little bit.
Speaker 1: You know, I love the standalone games. I'm a big fan.
Speaker 1: So let's start here with the Raiders going to Cincinnati.
Speaker 1: Cincinnati is five point favorites on the betting pros consensus line,
Speaker 1: four and a half over on FanDuel, five and a
Speaker 1: half over on bett MGM. So this line feels about
Speaker 1: right to me. I figured it was gonna be somewhere
Speaker 1: on five to six andwhere in that range, and sure
Speaker 1: enough it is. I don't think after the Raiders, you know,
Speaker 1: have played Cinderella basically these last few weeks and snuck
Speaker 1: themselves into the playoffs that they weren't gonna get, you know,
Speaker 1: too heavily underdogged here, But at the same time they
Speaker 1: should be underdogs. They absolutely should be looking up at
Speaker 1: the Cincinnati Bengals, and the Bengals look, everybody's rested, right, Theoretically,
Speaker 1: we're in a good spot here, Joe Burrow hopefully, you know,
Speaker 1: shaking the dust off a little bit after that knee
Speaker 1: injury at the end of the game two weeks ago.
Speaker 1: So if you talk about trends, bogs, the trend is
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow and this offense just putting it on people.
Speaker 1: So let's start here, and let's start with this five
Speaker 1: and what's your comfortability factor with it.
Speaker 2: I'm pretty comfortable with Cincinnati. I think this is going
Speaker 2: to be their first playoff win since nineteen ninety one
Speaker 2: here because of what you said, I mean, Joe Burrow
Speaker 2: and Jamar Chase and t Higgins and Joe in this offense,
Speaker 2: they're going for no breaks, all gas, all out, so uh, Vegas.
Speaker 2: Vegas can win this game. This is not an impossible
Speaker 2: hill of climb for them. But what they have to
Speaker 2: do is they have to get after. They have to
Speaker 2: get after Burrow, because we know the weakness of the
Speaker 2: Cincinnati team is the offensive line. And if Max Crosby
Speaker 2: starts wreaking havoc in you know, Joe Burrow's face and
Speaker 2: getting to mix in early and all that kind of stuff,
Speaker 2: they start hitting guys behind the line since he's gonna
Speaker 2: get frustrated and maybe jump into some mistakes. But I
Speaker 2: think that it's just so slight for that to happen.
Speaker 2: You know, Vegas had valiant effort and I am rooting
Speaker 2: for the Raiders. Everybody knows that Raiders got my team
Speaker 2: into the playoffs, so I am rooting for the Raiders.
Speaker 2: I do not like the Bengals, but I do think
Speaker 2: that they win this game going away. Unfortunately for Vegas,
Speaker 2: they have to travel, they have to play in the cold.
Speaker 2: It's gonna be thirty degrees and they you know, gloomy
Speaker 2: in Sincy like it is every so you know it's
Speaker 2: gonna be a rough one for them to travel to.
Speaker 2: And you know, it's not like they have explosive playmakers
Speaker 2: on this offense for Vegas either. They win by grinding
Speaker 2: it out with Josh Jacobs and they're a little bit
Speaker 2: one dimensional. If Derek Carson throwing the ball down field,
Speaker 2: they get stuck. So for me, I do think Cincinnati
Speaker 2: wins this one, all right.
Speaker 1: The number on this one's forty nine. You think this
Speaker 1: is an over and under.
Speaker 2: I'll take the under on the forty nine. I think
Speaker 2: that's a little high for a playoff game. You know,
Speaker 2: that's fair, that's fair.
Speaker 3: I think that you know, everything equal.
Speaker 2: I think this is going to be like a thirty
Speaker 2: five to ten game, twenty eight ten games, something like that.
Speaker 2: So I think since he gets going, they score early,
Speaker 2: they give it to Joe Mixon in the second half
Speaker 2: and kind of grind it out. And I just most
Speaker 2: playoff games that are you know, this is a bigger
Speaker 2: line for a playoff game, I think since he can cover.
Speaker 2: But I don't like that over too much, all right,
Speaker 2: if you probably just wouldn't mess with it, to be
Speaker 2: honest with you, So.
Speaker 1: Well, even if you're if you're trending towards the under
Speaker 1: in this game, Joe Burrow's got you know, the alternate
Speaker 1: passing yard props. So you got on FanDuel here and
Speaker 1: I see something like Joe Burrow at two hundred and
Speaker 1: seventy five yards over under plus one twenty two. Would
Speaker 1: that be an under then for you in this game?
Speaker 1: But Joe Burrow's been putting up some huge numbers here lately.
Speaker 2: He has been two seventy five is such a great line.
Speaker 2: It's such a good number. You know, obviously they know
Speaker 2: what they're doing. I would I would take the under
Speaker 2: because I think if Joe Burrows throwing for three hundred
Speaker 2: and whatever yards, you might not be winning this game
Speaker 2: going away. It might be close at the end, so
Speaker 2: or you may be playing catch up. So I'll take
Speaker 2: the under because I think since he wins going away.
Speaker 1: All right, let's touch on the wide receivers real quick too,
Speaker 1: Jamar Chase seventy yards over under on that prom.
Speaker 2: I okay, So I know it's weird that I just
Speaker 2: took the under on Burrow, but I'll take the over
Speaker 2: on Chase because Chase can get this in.
Speaker 3: It play right, yeah, one player right right exactly.
Speaker 2: And you know the one thing I won from Georgia
Speaker 2: was I hit the over on Pickins uh, you know,
Speaker 2: receiving yards because it came out of thirty four and
Speaker 2: a half and he got that on one throw.
Speaker 3: So I would take though over on Chase yards there
Speaker 3: last one.
Speaker 1: Here on the other side of this game with the
Speaker 1: Raiders Hunter Renfro sixty plus yards receiving uh one four
Speaker 1: is the number plus one?
Speaker 3: I'd hammer that.
Speaker 2: No, I'd hammer that one because I think I think
Speaker 2: the Raiders are going to be losing in this game,
Speaker 2: and uh and Mike Hilton versus Hunter Renfro is going
Speaker 2: to be a good matchup.
Speaker 3: But I'll take hunt Renfro in that.
Speaker 1: Well, it's a sliding scale, so I'll ask you this,
Speaker 1: when it goes to seventy yards you get plus one
Speaker 1: eighty eight, would you pound that as well? Would you
Speaker 1: just keep going there and tim fade a little bit?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I would.
Speaker 2: I say seventy is probably that's about what i'd want
Speaker 2: to bet. I don't want to go much higher than
Speaker 2: that on a bet, so uh but yeah, I think
Speaker 2: I would take that too.
Speaker 3: All right?
Speaker 1: And would you lock in Darren Waller now for anything
Speaker 1: minus just because it's not a chance.
Speaker 3: Yeah, nothing for Darren Waller from me, No, thank you.
Speaker 1: On but I'm saying like that any minus ones on
Speaker 1: the board now before they.
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I mean, if I can take the under
Speaker 2: on his yards unless it's like if his yards are
Speaker 2: below forty, I probably wouldn't take it. But if they're
Speaker 2: you know, fifty five or something to hammer that.
Speaker 1: Well, you could set it anywhere from twenty five all
Speaker 1: the way up until about seventy five, so you have
Speaker 1: some options there though. Yeah, that's why I like about
Speaker 1: the alternating minds there, where you can kind of select
Speaker 1: choose your own adventure, I like to call them basically.
Speaker 1: So it's always a good time. All right, let's get
Speaker 1: to my squad here, the New England Patriots traveling to
Speaker 1: Buffalo's be the third time in six weeks these teams
Speaker 1: are going to face off against each other division rivals.
Speaker 1: Of course, Buffalo is favorite in this one at home
Speaker 1: four point favorites here, as they should be, and of
Speaker 1: course the number on this one is forty four. Now
Speaker 1: Bog's familiarity breeds contempt, we know that. I think if
Speaker 1: you look at these games, you can't take anything out
Speaker 1: of the first one because the weather had such an
Speaker 1: enormous factor in that game. And then in the second
Speaker 1: time these two teams met up in New England, there
Speaker 1: were times where New England was in this game, had
Speaker 1: opportunities and they simply just didn't deliver. So have we
Speaker 1: seen Buffalo with running the football with Devin Singletary kind
Speaker 1: of become a new look offense where they found their balance,
Speaker 1: they found what's working for them. And do the Patriots
Speaker 1: really have a chance in this game? I think the
Speaker 1: Bills kind of win this one handily. How about you?
Speaker 3: Yeah?
Speaker 2: I do too, And this is going to be a
Speaker 2: grinded out classic AFC East battle. The weather three degrees
Speaker 2: and partly cloudy in Buffalo, so I don't know why
Speaker 2: anyone will want to attend this game, but.
Speaker 1: They will be shirtless. You know, they will be shirtless more.
Speaker 2: Of es I count believe it, dude. Being a question
Speaker 2: in the South, I just don't understand.
Speaker 1: With it being so cold, they're obviously going to be
Speaker 1: a lot of running football. As you said, that's what
Speaker 1: the Patriots do best. They're one seventy two on the
Speaker 1: money line. If you want to get involved in this
Speaker 1: game at all, is that the place to do it?
Speaker 1: Just Pat's outright, but keep it close. Maybe they went
Speaker 1: on a field goal and a fluky player or something
Speaker 1: like that. Is that your best way to bet on
Speaker 1: this game if you are looking to make any money,
Speaker 1: because it's really tough, because you know, you're getting minus
Speaker 1: one ten on the four. Same thing with the over
Speaker 1: under at forty four. You're not getting great money, but
Speaker 1: the plus one seventy two for the pass to win outright,
Speaker 1: if you can write a script because of the weather.
Speaker 1: About rushing the football, Buffalo Bills have given up some
Speaker 1: rushing yards in these last few weeks for sure.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean if you're just straight up looking for
Speaker 2: money and taking a risk, then sure. But for me,
Speaker 2: there's no way I'm betting on a rookie quarterback going
Speaker 2: on the road in a weather.
Speaker 3: Game to win his first playoff game. I'm just not
Speaker 3: doing it.
Speaker 2: So for me, I'm gonna take Buffalo kind of going away.
Speaker 2: I think it's more like the second game than it
Speaker 2: is like the first game, because yes, we have weather,
Speaker 2: we don't have crazy you know, high wind. We got
Speaker 2: four mile an hour wins here. So I think just
Speaker 2: the Bills are clicking. They're coming in at the right
Speaker 2: time in the playoffs. Like you said, they're now no
Speaker 2: longer one dimensional just throwing short passes for Josh Allen.
Speaker 2: Stevin Singletary has really taking that role and run with it,
Speaker 2: you know, no pun intended. And ste Diggs is playing well,
Speaker 2: Dawson Knox is playing well. I just I don't see
Speaker 2: a way that the paid I mean, I see the
Speaker 2: way that the Patriots win this game as they get
Speaker 2: a couple turnovers and that kind of stuff.
Speaker 3: You'd never want to count Bill Belichick out.
Speaker 2: But I just I'm not gonna take my money and
Speaker 2: put it on the back of Mac Jones in his
Speaker 2: first road playoff game.
Speaker 3: No thank you.
Speaker 1: All right, Let's talk about the individual lines here on
Speaker 1: this game. He got Josh Allen passing yards a two
Speaker 1: forty three and a half, Mac Jones at two to
Speaker 1: four and a half, both at minus one fourteen? Is
Speaker 1: the number there any love for either of these numbers
Speaker 1: on the over or under? Two forty three and a
Speaker 1: half two a four and a half for mac Jones
Speaker 1: forty I.
Speaker 2: Think I might take the under on Mac Jones, even
Speaker 2: though I do it's happy to be losing it in uh.
Speaker 2: I think what you want to do in this game
Speaker 2: to make Mac comfortable is run the ball to start.
Speaker 2: So I think you get a first half of a
Speaker 2: lot of running, and then the second half, you know,
Speaker 2: Mac Jones starts to pass.
Speaker 3: Bill Belichick knows that that's what they expect.
Speaker 2: Him to do. So maybe it's the opposite, but I
Speaker 2: kind of like the under on Mac Jones. I probably
Speaker 2: wouldn't want to mess with that Josh Allen line because
Speaker 2: it's very good, But if I had to pick one,
Speaker 2: I would definitely go with the over because they are
Speaker 2: a past first team.
Speaker 1: These two are really intriguing to me, Devin Singletary a
Speaker 1: fifty nine and a half for his rushing prop and
Speaker 1: Damian Harris at fifty eight and a half. I like
Speaker 1: the over on both of these specially now trend of
Speaker 1: Singletary getting twenty three carries here back to back weeks.
Speaker 1: That feels like something that's been sustainable for.
Speaker 3: Them right exactly, and it's not.
Speaker 2: You know, you don't even have to be good with
Speaker 2: Devin Singletary, which kind of makes me more nervous about him.
Speaker 2: I think I like the Harris line better because, like
Speaker 2: I said, I think you get him established, you run
Speaker 2: him to put Mac Jones in a comfortable position to
Speaker 2: throw the ball.
Speaker 3: You know, you suck those linebackers up.
Speaker 2: A little bit, bring those dbs up a little bit,
Speaker 2: you know, run a lot of stuff off play action.
Speaker 2: So I think that Devin Singletary doesn't have to be effective.
Speaker 2: You just have to keep doing it. And I think
Speaker 2: that's the problem that the Bills had earlier in the season,
Speaker 2: was they weren't running the ball effectively. So they just
Speaker 2: gave it up and said, all right, Josh Allen will
Speaker 2: run everything. And they won some games like that, so
Speaker 2: it worked for them. But I think will you find
Speaker 2: much better balance when you're just handing it to them
Speaker 2: at least a couple times to keep them honest.
Speaker 3: So I expect those book to go over all.
Speaker 1: Right, let's move on to Sunday's games, and we'll start
Speaker 1: with the Tampa Bay Bucks, the defending, reigning undisputed champions
Speaker 1: eight and a half point favorites in their home stadium
Speaker 1: taking on the Philadelphia Eagles. The over runner for this
Speaker 1: game is forty six. Now Bogs Tom Brady certainly very
Speaker 1: familiar with this spot home game. For Tom Brady, to me,
Speaker 1: the eight and a half feels about right. In fact,
Speaker 1: I think that they're going to dominate this football game.
Speaker 1: I really do. I think the Eagles are just gonna
Speaker 1: be outclassed. But I want to hear your thoughts on this.
Speaker 1: What do you think about this one? Is this a
Speaker 1: trap game? By any stretch er you think this is
Speaker 1: a Bucks roll.
Speaker 3: It's absolutely a trap game. I don't really.
Speaker 2: I think the matchup is perfect for the Bucks in
Speaker 2: this game, which is why I'll take them. But they're
Speaker 2: limping in on offense right now. I mean, you know,
Speaker 2: Abe quitting didn't just wasn't just a side show. It
Speaker 2: hurt Zero Grayson who took his spot, is banged up
Speaker 2: right now.
Speaker 3: Now.
Speaker 2: They just signed Downtown John Brown to their squad, so uh,
Speaker 2: they are definitely limping in that they should get four netback.
Speaker 3: We'll see.
Speaker 2: But the side of this game that is gonna make
Speaker 2: everything go here is gonna be the Eagles offense against
Speaker 2: the Bucks defense. You have the number one rushing offense
Speaker 2: versus number one rushing defense here. So I just think
Speaker 2: that the Bucks match up well physically with the Eagles
Speaker 2: because of this run defense, So I think it'll play closer.
Speaker 2: I'll definitely take the under in this game because of
Speaker 2: what's going on with Tampa Bay's offense right now, plus
Speaker 2: their defense. You know, playing against the strength of the
Speaker 2: Eagles offense here is not a good matchup for Philly,
Speaker 2: So I'll take I'll take Tampa Bay, but I'm not
Speaker 2: extremely comfortable with this number. This feels like a trap game.
Speaker 2: But it's Tom Brady Mans.
Speaker 1: Brady, So you're confident in Tampa wins, but you're less
Speaker 1: confident number.
Speaker 3: I mean, if that's the case, I would take.
Speaker 2: If you want the eagle side of this, No, I
Speaker 2: don't want it because look, it's once again it's he's
Speaker 2: not a rookie, but it's Jalen Hurts first playoff game,
Speaker 2: and it's on the road. It's against the champs, you know,
Speaker 2: so I think you're gonna see them get frustrated and
Speaker 2: start throwing the ball.
Speaker 3: With Jalen Hurts.
Speaker 2: The guy can't put it in the air thirty five times,
Speaker 2: he'll get picked off. So I think that's what we're
Speaker 2: gonna get in this game is I think it plays
Speaker 2: a little tight until late, maybe late third quarter, early
Speaker 2: fourth quarter, where some big mistake is made and then
Speaker 2: that's where Tampa Bay takes advantage and starts to roll.
Speaker 3: So for me, I'm taking Tampa Bay.
Speaker 2: I would take the under here too, because I think
Speaker 2: it's going to take a little bit for Tampa Bay
Speaker 2: to get going and Philly's gonna be frustrated offensively early
Speaker 2: in this game.
Speaker 3: As well, so give me the under in this one too.
Speaker 1: All right. Tom Brady's number is two to seventy six
Speaker 1: and a half for passing total. You think that's an
Speaker 1: over and underbond.
Speaker 3: I under for sure. Yeah, you don't want to passing
Speaker 3: that much in this game.
Speaker 1: I imagine the tight ends are going to be incredibly busy
Speaker 1: this game though to Philadelphia and not good against the
Speaker 1: tight ends. So not just Gronk but maybe break down
Speaker 1: getting some action. Yeah, and Jalen Hurts two three and
Speaker 1: a half. That's an interesting one too, because you're writing
Speaker 1: the script where they're behind or they have to throw
Speaker 1: the ball more than they want to throw the football.
Speaker 1: That becomes interesting one as well. But I would lean
Speaker 1: towards the ender on that one also, Box.
Speaker 2: I'll take the over on it. The secondary is probably
Speaker 2: the one weakness for Tampa Bay.
Speaker 1: The healthier on the secondary, they've.
Speaker 2: Gotten healthier, but I don't know if i'd say they
Speaker 2: got good. So I would take the over on that
Speaker 2: just because I think it's early frustrations, and I think
Speaker 2: going into this game you have to kind of game
Speaker 2: plan around that too. We know it's going to be frustrating,
Speaker 2: so let's start to pass the ball, you know a
Speaker 2: little bit more early, So I'll take the over just
Speaker 2: because that that's a low number.
Speaker 3: You said it was two of four.
Speaker 1: Yeah, four.
Speaker 3: I'll take the over on that for sure.
Speaker 1: All right. Next one here is the four to thirty
Speaker 1: Eastern game the San Francisco forty nine Ers, coming off
Speaker 1: another victory against the Rams. Who called that last week
Speaker 1: on the show right here on Betting Pros me with
Speaker 1: Dan Harris. That's right. I told you, Dallas believe in
Speaker 1: the Rams. You were on there too. I'm dude, I
Speaker 1: mean the Rams. We'll get to them in a second.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna tease that we'll get to them in a second.
Speaker 3: But this one's funny.
Speaker 1: This one to me feels like, you know, not every
Speaker 1: favorite's going to win. We know that when it comes
Speaker 1: to this round of the playoffs, there's going to be
Speaker 1: probably two at least that kind of go sideways. To me,
Speaker 1: this is the first one. Dallas Cowboys certainly from a
Speaker 1: defensive standpoint, and played much better this year towards the
Speaker 1: second half, really starting to come on. Michael Parsons has
Speaker 1: been a star. They've created turnovers, all that stuff is great.
Speaker 1: But the forty nine Ers to me, right now, on
Speaker 1: both sides of the ball seem to just be working.
Speaker 1: They seem to have that weird mojo thing.
Speaker 2: To me.
Speaker 1: The number here is Dallas with a three point favorite
Speaker 1: right here at home, as one would think, and I
Speaker 1: think the line is telling you there's some fear here
Speaker 1: because typically speaking, that's your everything is very close lined.
Speaker 1: So the home team gets the three and that's your standard,
Speaker 1: and that means to me, I'm betting the San Francisco
Speaker 1: this game, and San frans is gonna win outright as
Speaker 1: a plus one thirty six in the money line. The
Speaker 1: number is fifty one and a half on the over under.
Speaker 1: Probably gonna be an over would be my guess in
Speaker 1: this game. But I think this is the one right
Speaker 1: here that you circle. And this is the first of
Speaker 1: the upsets on the weekend. What are your thoughts here, Box.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not gonna trust Jimmy g I just can't
Speaker 3: do it.
Speaker 1: So oh I don't trust him. Yeah, look Cowboys and
Speaker 1: I trust them equals.
Speaker 2: This is the closest well this to me, this is
Speaker 2: the second closest game. I think the Monday night game
Speaker 2: is the closest game, but this is the second closest
Speaker 2: game here. But I'm just gonna take the home team.
Speaker 2: And I know, look the Cardinals winning and upset the
Speaker 2: Cowboys the other day for sure, But you I don't
Speaker 2: know that we've seen one complete game from Jimmy G
Speaker 2: this season. So for me, I'm gonna trust that he's
Speaker 2: gonna screw up in the first or second half and
Speaker 2: it's gonna lend towards uh, you know, Dallas getting up.
Speaker 2: And if Dallas gets up early in this game, Jimmy
Speaker 2: G is just going to make more mistakes. So that's
Speaker 2: really what it comes down to, is who makes a mistake.
Speaker 3: First.
Speaker 2: I know that Dallas is not playing their absolute best football,
Speaker 2: but putting it on Philly I think gave them a
Speaker 2: lot of confidence. And I think it was the right
Speaker 2: move to play all their starters in that game. So
Speaker 2: the defense is going to get back a lot of
Speaker 2: pieces too. Obviously, Parsons coming back off the COVID list
Speaker 2: and DeMarcus Lawrence just seems to get better every single week.
Speaker 2: So I think they're gonna they're gonna wreck Jimmy somehow
Speaker 2: early in the first half is gonna start to get away,
Speaker 2: and then that's what you're gonna see is you're gonna
Speaker 2: see Jimmy G mistakes. Plus he's not one hundred percent either.
Speaker 2: I mean, he looked good in the second half last week.
Speaker 2: Hopefully he can take that and use it in this game.
Speaker 2: But I just I can't put my eggs into the
Speaker 2: Jimmy G basket because I just he makes mistakes man,
Speaker 2: and oh Dallas is going to force him into a
Speaker 2: mistake bogs.
Speaker 1: And nobody has been more critical of Jimmy Garoppolo than me,
Speaker 1: and rightfully.
Speaker 3: Well maybe maybe maybe because he's a Niners fan. He
Speaker 3: is a Niners fan, and.
Speaker 1: That's absolutely fair. But I have nobody's been more critical
Speaker 1: than than Welsh than me. But at the same time,
Speaker 1: this Cowboys team feels very incomplete to me, the way
Speaker 1: they're coming into this, and it's just something about it.
Speaker 1: I feel like all the momentum, and you know this,
Speaker 1: the momentum is your best friend in the playoffs. I
Speaker 1: feel like San Francisco has that they've been winning these
Speaker 1: big football games and that big win against Minnesota a
Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago, big win last week against the Rams,
Speaker 1: and I feel like.
Speaker 2: You look drop on the Tennessee though, but a drapped
Speaker 2: dropped the one at home to Arizona. So look, Tennessee
Speaker 2: is the one seed. But you know that's I rolling. Yeah,
Speaker 2: all in the first half. You know they eaten two
Speaker 2: they do uh you know that that. Uh, it's just
Speaker 2: they're a different team, you know. So I don't know, man,
Speaker 2: I I don't see how San Francisco goes in and
Speaker 2: gets a win against Dallas.
Speaker 1: Well, but you and I both know that something crazy
Speaker 1: is gonna happen here this weekend. It's going to be
Speaker 1: more than one. It's never just all the way through,
Speaker 1: all the favorites win.
Speaker 3: It's never laughing the next game.
Speaker 1: Well, maybe it is, Maybe it is. We'll get to
Speaker 1: that in a second. Let's talk about a couple of
Speaker 1: props from this game. The rushing prop for Ezekiel Elliott
Speaker 1: is forty seven and a half. He has struggled to
Speaker 1: reach fifty yards in a game very often since at
Speaker 1: least a bye. He's only reached that number three times.
Speaker 1: So this number, though, is perfect. Forty seven and a half.
Speaker 1: It is right there. Would you touch it or would
Speaker 1: you go over? Under? What would you do here? Before
Speaker 1: and a half?
Speaker 3: Touch it? Gun?
Speaker 2: To my head, I would go the over because Like
Speaker 2: I said, I do think that San Francisco makes a
Speaker 2: couple of mistakes and maybe we see some grinding in
Speaker 2: the second half from the Cowboys. So I would take
Speaker 2: the over gun to my head, but I won't touch it.
Speaker 1: No thanks, all right, Deebo. Samuel has a twenty eight
Speaker 1: and a half rushing prop and as far as his
Speaker 1: receiving prop is sixty and a half, do you prefer
Speaker 1: one to the other of the sixty and a half
Speaker 1: or the twenty eight and a half.
Speaker 3: It's just hard to know.
Speaker 1: Man, I was right.
Speaker 2: Did they have a total yards for him? I think
Speaker 2: take the total yards on?
Speaker 1: Well, here you go.
Speaker 3: I mean that's pretty hes gonna add him eighty five
Speaker 3: and a half.
Speaker 1: Five and a half. Let's say the combination.
Speaker 2: Over over for Debo at any point. The dude is
Speaker 2: an absolute stud. He's better than even I thought he
Speaker 2: was going to be in the NFL coming out, and
Speaker 2: he is just and.
Speaker 1: We all liked him. I remember.
Speaker 3: I told I was mad.
Speaker 2: I was like, man, I can't believe you know your
Speaker 2: team gets this guy because I want my team to
Speaker 2: get him.
Speaker 3: But he is an absolute stud. Dude, he's so good.
Speaker 2: So I would take the over I just they're gonna
Speaker 2: use him, but are they gonna pass because they've had
Speaker 2: games where they just run him.
Speaker 3: They've had games where they just passed to him.
Speaker 2: So uh, he's gonna get a little bit of everything
Speaker 2: in this game.
Speaker 3: So I just I would rather go with the total
Speaker 3: yards for him.
Speaker 1: It's a fantastic point, by the way. Go wait, or
Speaker 1: find the all purpose yard prop for him, because that
Speaker 1: isn't much even if it goes to ninety or something
Speaker 1: like that. Over on that as well. All right, here
Speaker 1: you go. Pittsburgh at Camp Kansas City is twelve and
Speaker 1: a half point favorites in this one huge number. The
Speaker 1: Chiefs took it to the Steelers a few weeks ago.
Speaker 1: I don't need to tell Boggin that he's well aware
Speaker 1: forty six and a half is the number. So Bogs
Speaker 1: Cinderella again another team that found its way somehow into
Speaker 1: the playoffs.
Speaker 3: Thank you Rangers.
Speaker 1: You had to be sitting there on Sunday night just
Speaker 1: in awe. Right, I mean, could you believe that if
Speaker 1: I told you three weeks ago the Steelers are making
Speaker 1: the playoff? You that told me I was crazy? Right?
Speaker 3: Yeah? For sure?
Speaker 2: I look, you know, big ups to Jacksonville big ups
Speaker 2: to Vegas and you know, I it always it always
Speaker 2: reminds me of a Herm Edwards press conference where the
Speaker 2: Jets snuck into the playoffs, right, is the same way
Speaker 2: the Steelers snug in. And one of the one of
Speaker 2: the idiot writers, said, do you feel bad for the
Speaker 2: team that didn't make it? He's like, we won and
Speaker 2: they lost. No, I don't feel bad for them at all.
Speaker 2: What are you talking about? Yeah, it's the NFL, man,
Speaker 2: So you know, I know that the only team that
Speaker 2: led less time in this year was the Texans than
Speaker 2: the Steelers. The Steelers spent less time winning games than
Speaker 2: any other team except Houston this year, so it wasn't
Speaker 2: a great year for them. But I'm I'm going to
Speaker 2: take them against the spread here. The spread is gigantic.
Speaker 2: Did you already say it?
Speaker 1: Oh, it's twelve and a half. It is gigantic. There's
Speaker 1: no doubt about that.
Speaker 2: And I know they lost by twenty six and that
Speaker 2: was without Kelsey, Right, I get it, But you know
Speaker 2: the defense, that's.
Speaker 1: Even more reason to do it. I feel like because
Speaker 1: that it's such an obvious anti logic, right, where if
Speaker 1: you follow betting and if you're somebody who's into this,
Speaker 1: you know that that's all that stuff.
Speaker 3: You throw it out, fade the public, all that.
Speaker 1: Right, that's a big load of crap, right, that's never
Speaker 1: going to come to fruition. But yeah, I actually like
Speaker 1: the Steelers side of this game too. With a twelve
Speaker 1: and a half, I think it gives you more opportunities
Speaker 1: because the Chiefs have been inconsistent. I mean, let's be honest.
Speaker 1: They had a moment there where they were starting to
Speaker 1: feel like a clicking on all cylinders, and then you
Speaker 1: had that game against the Bengals and to me, all
Speaker 1: bets were off after that. Then that was the same
Speaker 1: Chiefs team that I've seen all year that just you know,
Speaker 1: doesn't show up in the big moments when you need
Speaker 1: them too. And now that that was a very telling
Speaker 1: game for me. I thought, you know, them losing to
Speaker 1: the Cincinnati was something where you just mark and go
Speaker 1: the Chiefs are just not the Chiefs. I think they
Speaker 1: win this game, but I think I'm yeah on the
Speaker 1: twelve and a half.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and you know, I've seen more than enough Ben
Speaker 2: Roethlisberger retirement party flyers hosted in Kansas City so everybody
Speaker 2: can quit sending me those.
Speaker 3: But yeah, I think Kansas City probably wins this game too.
Speaker 2: They're at home. You know, they are a better team
Speaker 2: than Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh gave up more rushing yards than any
Speaker 2: other team in the NFL this year, So Darrell Williams
Speaker 2: probably gonna have a big game again here for them.
Speaker 2: I know Tyreek is coming in less than one hundred percent,
Speaker 2: but they get Kelsey back, so it's fine your mismatch.
Speaker 2: And Kelsey didn't even play in that game where they
Speaker 2: blew out the Steelers already in Kansas City, so not
Speaker 2: excited to see what he does to this defense. But uh,
Speaker 2: it's probably it looks like an insurmountable mountain for my Steelers.
Speaker 2: So I wouldn't suggest anyone take the Steelers on the
Speaker 2: money line. Well what is the money line? Pay plus
Speaker 2: right now? Do you have it up, Joe? I bet
Speaker 2: it's gonna money line is to start with I was
Speaker 2: gonna say, does it start with at least a three?
Speaker 1: You know it's a five?
Speaker 2: A five is enormous, you know, But I mean, look,
Speaker 2: the playoffs have been rife with bigger upsets than this
Speaker 2: one over the history.
Speaker 1: As as that plus eight fifty on the Jaguars last
Speaker 1: week against the Colts.
Speaker 2: But we love me some Jaguars, right, Josh Allen. Gotta
Speaker 2: get me a Josh Allen jersey next, I know. But yeah, man,
Speaker 2: I think, uh, you're probably safe if you bet Kansas City.
Speaker 3: But I will be rooting for my Steelers, of course.
Speaker 1: So look, I just feel like the twelve and a
Speaker 1: half is a very big number here and and once again,
Speaker 1: all the pressures on Kansas City. The Steelers are like
Speaker 1: Dante from Clerks and I was supposed to be here today.
Speaker 1: So as far as I'm concerned, it's gonna be the
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers playing with house money, and I feel like
Speaker 1: that's fast and loose. It's it's gonna be a different
Speaker 1: Steeler team, I think this time around facing the Chiefs.
Speaker 2: Because she's banged up. I mean, they might get Juju
Speaker 2: back to just open up his window today.
Speaker 3: So let's we'll see.
Speaker 2: Well it is, I'll tell you after seeing James Washington play,
Speaker 2: it's God's fair better, all right.
Speaker 1: A couple of props I want to throw at your
Speaker 1: box before we shive into the next one here. Patrick
Speaker 1: Mahomes two eighty and a half over under in the
Speaker 1: passing yards.
Speaker 3: He won't need to throw that many.
Speaker 1: So Ben Roethlisberger twenty sorry too to twenty six and
Speaker 1: a half.
Speaker 3: H take the over because it should be down the
Speaker 3: whole game.
Speaker 1: This one feels like a slam dunk to me. Deontay
Speaker 1: Johnson sixty and a half receiving yards over.
Speaker 2: I'm so you get if you take that prop, you're
Speaker 2: gonna be frustrated because he'll get He'll catch a fourteen
Speaker 2: yard ball, run back seven yards at one point.
Speaker 3: Yeah, he does every single game, So but yeah, go
Speaker 3: the over on.
Speaker 1: Would you take the under on the Tyreek Hills seventy
Speaker 1: and a half right now?
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's hurt so and you know if they get up,
Speaker 2: they won't be throwing him the ball, So yeah, I
Speaker 2: take the under on that.
Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to Monday night. You've got
Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals at the Rams. The Rams three and
Speaker 1: a half point favorites. Just like I told you about
Speaker 1: that other line with San Francisco, this is the same
Speaker 1: thing I'm feeling on this one, which is there's no
Speaker 1: confidence in the Rams, and why should there be. The
Speaker 1: Rams don't have a home field advantage. That's a very
Speaker 1: big deal in the playoffs. The Rams continue to drop
Speaker 1: games that they have in hand. And I'm not saying
Speaker 1: that the Cardinals are well coached. I'm not saying that
Speaker 1: the Cardinals are a better roster, but I feel like
Speaker 1: the Cardinals have absolutely an opportunity to win this football game.
Speaker 1: I think this plus three and a half on the
Speaker 1: Cardinals side is just as tempting as the San Francisco
Speaker 1: one if you want to go for upset specials. Here
Speaker 1: on the money line, the Cardinals are plus one sixty
Speaker 1: two if you want to bet them outright. The numbers
Speaker 1: forty nine and a half bogs. How do you see
Speaker 1: this game the Cardinals and Rams shaking out?
Speaker 2: You talk about two teams that are backing in to
Speaker 2: the playoffs. These teams have been awful recently. I mean,
Speaker 2: the Rams just barely beat the Ravens without anyone in
Speaker 2: their secondary and with Matthew with Matthew Stafford and Cooper
Speaker 2: Cup and OBJ they are not clicking on offense at all.
Speaker 2: The Cardinals could have won this division and gotten themselves
Speaker 2: a home game, and they lost to the Seahawks at
Speaker 2: home thirty eight to thirty. So it's who wants to
Speaker 2: be more pathetic in this game, the Rams or the Cardinals.
Speaker 2: For me, I'll take the road team in the Cardinals
Speaker 2: because Matt Stafford keeps giving away the ball like it's
Speaker 2: Christmas presents everybody still, So I don't know what is
Speaker 2: happening with him. I don't know what the disconnect between
Speaker 2: him and McVeigh and him and his receivers have been.
Speaker 2: I think he's probably just pressing a little bit because
Speaker 2: dude's not used to being in the playoffs and getting
Speaker 2: ready for playoff scenarios playing in Detroit for so long.
Speaker 2: So I'll take the Cardinals, but it's with zero confidence.
Speaker 2: There's no I bet this game because because both these
Speaker 2: teams are backing in and this is your Monday night
Speaker 2: makeup game, I think the one thing I would take
Speaker 2: here is the over because both defenses have been a
Speaker 2: little suspect recently.
Speaker 1: All right, that is very fair looking for right now.
Speaker 1: Props on this game are still not released as the
Speaker 1: time we're recording this, so it's getting hard and hard
Speaker 1: to get props early. They really pop up later. But yeah,
Speaker 1: just for fun, because you know, I think I did
Speaker 1: this with you last year. If Nada I did it
Speaker 1: on another show. They all run together eventually. Of course,
Speaker 1: if you recall, I did two weeks in a row
Speaker 1: where I got the entire playoff slate parlay correct. So
Speaker 1: I'm gonna try to do that again. I'm gonna try
Speaker 1: to start this off with the six games. It's very difficult,
Speaker 1: but I'm gonna give it a shot. Here's your six legs.
Speaker 1: You're ready for this, Bogs you ready here? It here,
Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals right in fact, on the money line. That's
Speaker 1: how confident I am. San Francisco on the money line.
Speaker 1: Then you take Tampa to win, Kansas City to win,
Speaker 1: Buffalo to win, the Bengals to win. There you go.
Speaker 1: So you make your money basically getting those two outright upset.
Speaker 1: It's gonna give you somewhere around plus eighteen hundred odds.
Speaker 1: So on one hundred dollars wager, you're gonna win eighteen
Speaker 1: hundred dollars.
Speaker 3: And you know what that yes for me?
Speaker 1: That works for me. Hey man, I did this last year,
Speaker 1: won a couple grand doing it. I'm telling you right now,
Speaker 1: you know that two of these games at least are
Speaker 1: gonna go sideways. That's the nature of this beast. But
Speaker 1: I don't think more than two bocks. I feel like
Speaker 1: it's really that Rams Cardinals game and that Dallas forty
Speaker 1: nine Ers game. At the end of the day, Like,
Speaker 1: it is really a tough sell for me to think
Speaker 1: that the Bengals are gonna lose to the Raiders. After all,
Speaker 1: like Joe Burrow's Joe Burrow's a winning quarterback. You know,
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow's been in winning atmosphere. He knows what it
Speaker 1: takes to win football games. Tom Brady's not gonna drop
Speaker 1: a home game to the Eagles in the first round
Speaker 1: of the playoffs. I don't think that's gonna happen. Those
Speaker 1: are tough sales. Same thing with mahomes at home. Even
Speaker 1: if they struggle, it's hard not to see them winning.
Speaker 1: Is that kind of the picture that you're painting, is?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I would love to see the Raiders
Speaker 2: win and I'll be pulling for him, but yeah, I
Speaker 2: think since he wins, and obviously, you know, no one
Speaker 2: in the world is picking Pittsburgh, so I get it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, fair enough, fair enough. Make sure you're heading over
Speaker 1: to bettingpros dot com for all of your lines, and again,
Speaker 1: all the consensus lines are there, so you can find
Speaker 1: any sort of little half point here or there somewhere else.
Speaker 1: That's what Betting Pros is able to do. In fact,
Speaker 1: there's some spots here where Betting Pros and consensus number
Speaker 1: is four on that Cardinals game, but fandles at three
Speaker 1: and a half. So very you know, every little bit helps,
Speaker 1: So make sure you pay attention to that over at
Speaker 1: Betting Pros. And in the meantime, make sure you subscribe
Speaker 1: to the podcast wherever you get your pods, here the
Speaker 1: Betting Pros Podcast. We're gonna take you through all the
Speaker 1: NFL playoffs, just like we took you through all of
Speaker 1: college football, all the bowl games, and we're gonna take
Speaker 1: you into baseball. We're gonna take into the NBA, into
Speaker 1: Major League Baseball, all that stuff. It's all coming around
Speaker 1: the corner. So make sure you stick with us here
Speaker 1: at Betting Pros. That'll do it for us. But the
Speaker 1: story of the game goes on for Scott Bogman, I'm
Speaker 1: Joey p Well see you next time. Kids.
Speaker 2: It is n