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Speaker 1: It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros.

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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's me Joey p

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Speaker 1: Joe Pisafia. And college football is officially done and in

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Speaker 1: the books. It's time to turn our attention to the

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Speaker 1: NFL playoffs now. And who better to talk about that with?

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Speaker 1: And three times Super Bowl MVP Troy Aikman, But unfortunately

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Speaker 1: he was unavailable, so we're stuck with Scott Bogman instead. Bogman,

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Speaker 1: our good friend joining us. Bogs. First of all, before

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Speaker 1: you even get into the NFL playoffs and wild card weekend,

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Speaker 1: which were very excited, what were your thoughts real quick

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Speaker 1: on the CFB championship there?

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Speaker 2: I mean it was it was a boring game until

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Speaker 2: the end of the third quarter.

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Speaker 3: Wasn't a good lawyer.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you know, Georgie's really turned it on, and

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Speaker 2: you know, obviously with Jamison Williams going down for Alabama,

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Speaker 2: that was really you know, to me, what kind of

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Speaker 2: turned that game. Obviously didn't affect it for a little

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Speaker 2: bit because Georgia was Georgia was playing that you know,

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Speaker 2: conservative choking offense that you know, didn't get them anywhere

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Speaker 2: until they let it until they started to let uh

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Speaker 2: sets stetson Bennett sling it downfield, they weren't really getting

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Speaker 2: a lot done. So once they opened it up, though,

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Speaker 2: they really put the beat down on Bama. And you know,

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Speaker 2: unfortunate for me because I bet money on.

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Speaker 1: Well, it's time to make that money back. Now, that's

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Speaker 1: what we're gonna do. And we're gonna start here talking

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Speaker 1: about the Saturday games. And it's fun how it's structured.

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Speaker 1: We get two games on Saturday, one three games on Sunday,

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Speaker 1: in one game on Monday. So I kind of enjoy this.

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Speaker 1: I like how it's kind of spread out a little bit.

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Speaker 1: You know, I love the standalone games. I'm a big fan.

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Speaker 1: So let's start here with the Raiders going to Cincinnati.

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati is five point favorites on the betting pros consensus line,

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Speaker 1: four and a half over on FanDuel, five and a

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Speaker 1: half over on bett MGM. So this line feels about

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Speaker 1: right to me. I figured it was gonna be somewhere

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Speaker 1: on five to six andwhere in that range, and sure

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Speaker 1: enough it is. I don't think after the Raiders, you know,

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Speaker 1: have played Cinderella basically these last few weeks and snuck

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Speaker 1: themselves into the playoffs that they weren't gonna get, you know,

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Speaker 1: too heavily underdogged here, But at the same time they

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Speaker 1: should be underdogs. They absolutely should be looking up at

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Speaker 1: the Cincinnati Bengals, and the Bengals look, everybody's rested, right, Theoretically,

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Speaker 1: we're in a good spot here, Joe Burrow hopefully, you know,

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Speaker 1: shaking the dust off a little bit after that knee

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Speaker 1: injury at the end of the game two weeks ago.

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Speaker 1: So if you talk about trends, bogs, the trend is

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Speaker 1: Joe Burrow and this offense just putting it on people.

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Speaker 1: So let's start here, and let's start with this five

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Speaker 1: and what's your comfortability factor with it.

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Speaker 2: I'm pretty comfortable with Cincinnati. I think this is going

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Speaker 2: to be their first playoff win since nineteen ninety one

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Speaker 2: here because of what you said, I mean, Joe Burrow

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Speaker 2: and Jamar Chase and t Higgins and Joe in this offense,

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Speaker 2: they're going for no breaks, all gas, all out, so uh, Vegas.

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Speaker 2: Vegas can win this game. This is not an impossible

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Speaker 2: hill of climb for them. But what they have to

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Speaker 2: do is they have to get after. They have to

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Speaker 2: get after Burrow, because we know the weakness of the

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Speaker 2: Cincinnati team is the offensive line. And if Max Crosby

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Speaker 2: starts wreaking havoc in you know, Joe Burrow's face and

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Speaker 2: getting to mix in early and all that kind of stuff,

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Speaker 2: they start hitting guys behind the line since he's gonna

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Speaker 2: get frustrated and maybe jump into some mistakes. But I

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Speaker 2: think that it's just so slight for that to happen.

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Speaker 2: You know, Vegas had valiant effort and I am rooting

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Speaker 2: for the Raiders. Everybody knows that Raiders got my team

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Speaker 2: into the playoffs, so I am rooting for the Raiders.

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Speaker 2: I do not like the Bengals, but I do think

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Speaker 2: that they win this game going away. Unfortunately for Vegas,

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Speaker 2: they have to travel, they have to play in the cold.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna be thirty degrees and they you know, gloomy

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Speaker 2: in Sincy like it is every so you know it's

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Speaker 2: gonna be a rough one for them to travel to.

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Speaker 2: And you know, it's not like they have explosive playmakers

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Speaker 2: on this offense for Vegas either. They win by grinding

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Speaker 2: it out with Josh Jacobs and they're a little bit

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Speaker 2: one dimensional. If Derek Carson throwing the ball down field,

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Speaker 2: they get stuck. So for me, I do think Cincinnati

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Speaker 2: wins this one, all right.

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Speaker 1: The number on this one's forty nine. You think this

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Speaker 1: is an over and under.

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Speaker 2: I'll take the under on the forty nine. I think

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Speaker 2: that's a little high for a playoff game. You know,

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Speaker 2: that's fair, that's fair.

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Speaker 3: I think that you know, everything equal.

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Speaker 2: I think this is going to be like a thirty

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Speaker 2: five to ten game, twenty eight ten games, something like that.

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Speaker 2: So I think since he gets going, they score early,

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Speaker 2: they give it to Joe Mixon in the second half

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Speaker 2: and kind of grind it out. And I just most

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Speaker 2: playoff games that are you know, this is a bigger

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Speaker 2: line for a playoff game, I think since he can cover.

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Speaker 2: But I don't like that over too much, all right,

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Speaker 2: if you probably just wouldn't mess with it, to be

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Speaker 2: honest with you, So.

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Speaker 1: Well, even if you're if you're trending towards the under

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Speaker 1: in this game, Joe Burrow's got you know, the alternate

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Speaker 1: passing yard props. So you got on FanDuel here and

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Speaker 1: I see something like Joe Burrow at two hundred and

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Speaker 1: seventy five yards over under plus one twenty two. Would

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Speaker 1: that be an under then for you in this game?

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Speaker 1: But Joe Burrow's been putting up some huge numbers here lately.

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Speaker 2: He has been two seventy five is such a great line.

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Speaker 2: It's such a good number. You know, obviously they know

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Speaker 2: what they're doing. I would I would take the under

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Speaker 2: because I think if Joe Burrows throwing for three hundred

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Speaker 2: and whatever yards, you might not be winning this game

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Speaker 2: going away. It might be close at the end, so

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Speaker 2: or you may be playing catch up. So I'll take

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Speaker 2: the under because I think since he wins going away.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's touch on the wide receivers real quick too,

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Speaker 1: Jamar Chase seventy yards over under on that prom.

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Speaker 2: I okay, So I know it's weird that I just

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Speaker 2: took the under on Burrow, but I'll take the over

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Speaker 2: on Chase because Chase can get this in.

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Speaker 3: It play right, yeah, one player right right exactly.

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Speaker 2: And you know the one thing I won from Georgia

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Speaker 2: was I hit the over on Pickins uh, you know,

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Speaker 2: receiving yards because it came out of thirty four and

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Speaker 2: a half and he got that on one throw.

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Speaker 3: So I would take though over on Chase yards there

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Speaker 3: last one.

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Speaker 1: Here on the other side of this game with the

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Speaker 1: Raiders Hunter Renfro sixty plus yards receiving uh one four

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Speaker 1: is the number plus one?

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Speaker 3: I'd hammer that.

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Speaker 2: No, I'd hammer that one because I think I think

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Speaker 2: the Raiders are going to be losing in this game,

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Speaker 2: and uh and Mike Hilton versus Hunter Renfro is going

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Speaker 2: to be a good matchup.

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Speaker 3: But I'll take hunt Renfro in that.

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Speaker 1: Well, it's a sliding scale, so I'll ask you this,

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Speaker 1: when it goes to seventy yards you get plus one

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Speaker 1: eighty eight, would you pound that as well? Would you

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Speaker 1: just keep going there and tim fade a little bit?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I would.

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Speaker 2: I say seventy is probably that's about what i'd want

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Speaker 2: to bet. I don't want to go much higher than

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Speaker 2: that on a bet, so uh but yeah, I think

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Speaker 2: I would take that too.

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Speaker 3: All right?

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Speaker 1: And would you lock in Darren Waller now for anything

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Speaker 1: minus just because it's not a chance.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, nothing for Darren Waller from me, No, thank you.

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Speaker 1: On but I'm saying like that any minus ones on

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Speaker 1: the board now before they.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I mean, if I can take the under

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Speaker 2: on his yards unless it's like if his yards are

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Speaker 2: below forty, I probably wouldn't take it. But if they're

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Speaker 2: you know, fifty five or something to hammer that.

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Speaker 1: Well, you could set it anywhere from twenty five all

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Speaker 1: the way up until about seventy five, so you have

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Speaker 1: some options there though. Yeah, that's why I like about

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Speaker 1: the alternating minds there, where you can kind of select

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Speaker 1: choose your own adventure, I like to call them basically.

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Speaker 1: So it's always a good time. All right, let's get

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Speaker 1: to my squad here, the New England Patriots traveling to

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Speaker 1: Buffalo's be the third time in six weeks these teams

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Speaker 1: are going to face off against each other division rivals.

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Speaker 1: Of course, Buffalo is favorite in this one at home

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Speaker 1: four point favorites here, as they should be, and of

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Speaker 1: course the number on this one is forty four. Now

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Speaker 1: Bog's familiarity breeds contempt, we know that. I think if

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Speaker 1: you look at these games, you can't take anything out

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Speaker 1: of the first one because the weather had such an

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Speaker 1: enormous factor in that game. And then in the second

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Speaker 1: time these two teams met up in New England, there

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Speaker 1: were times where New England was in this game, had

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Speaker 1: opportunities and they simply just didn't deliver. So have we

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Speaker 1: seen Buffalo with running the football with Devin Singletary kind

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Speaker 1: of become a new look offense where they found their balance,

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Speaker 1: they found what's working for them. And do the Patriots

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Speaker 1: really have a chance in this game? I think the

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Speaker 1: Bills kind of win this one handily. How about you?

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Speaker 3: Yeah?

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Speaker 2: I do too, And this is going to be a

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Speaker 2: grinded out classic AFC East battle. The weather three degrees

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Speaker 2: and partly cloudy in Buffalo, so I don't know why

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Speaker 2: anyone will want to attend this game, but.

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Speaker 1: They will be shirtless. You know, they will be shirtless more.

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Speaker 2: Of es I count believe it, dude. Being a question

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Speaker 2: in the South, I just don't understand.

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Speaker 1: With it being so cold, they're obviously going to be

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Speaker 1: a lot of running football. As you said, that's what

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Speaker 1: the Patriots do best. They're one seventy two on the

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Speaker 1: money line. If you want to get involved in this

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Speaker 1: game at all, is that the place to do it?

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Speaker 1: Just Pat's outright, but keep it close. Maybe they went

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Speaker 1: on a field goal and a fluky player or something

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Speaker 1: like that. Is that your best way to bet on

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Speaker 1: this game if you are looking to make any money,

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Speaker 1: because it's really tough, because you know, you're getting minus

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Speaker 1: one ten on the four. Same thing with the over

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Speaker 1: under at forty four. You're not getting great money, but

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Speaker 1: the plus one seventy two for the pass to win outright,

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Speaker 1: if you can write a script because of the weather.

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Speaker 1: About rushing the football, Buffalo Bills have given up some

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Speaker 1: rushing yards in these last few weeks for sure.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean if you're just straight up looking for

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Speaker 2: money and taking a risk, then sure. But for me,

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Speaker 2: there's no way I'm betting on a rookie quarterback going

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Speaker 2: on the road in a weather.

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Speaker 3: Game to win his first playoff game. I'm just not

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Speaker 3: doing it.

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Speaker 2: So for me, I'm gonna take Buffalo kind of going away.

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Speaker 2: I think it's more like the second game than it

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Speaker 2: is like the first game, because yes, we have weather,

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Speaker 2: we don't have crazy you know, high wind. We got

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Speaker 2: four mile an hour wins here. So I think just

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Speaker 2: the Bills are clicking. They're coming in at the right

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Speaker 2: time in the playoffs. Like you said, they're now no

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Speaker 2: longer one dimensional just throwing short passes for Josh Allen.

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Speaker 2: Stevin Singletary has really taking that role and run with it,

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Speaker 2: you know, no pun intended. And ste Diggs is playing well,

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Speaker 2: Dawson Knox is playing well. I just I don't see

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Speaker 2: a way that the paid I mean, I see the

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Speaker 2: way that the Patriots win this game as they get

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Speaker 2: a couple turnovers and that kind of stuff.

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Speaker 3: You'd never want to count Bill Belichick out.

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Speaker 2: But I just I'm not gonna take my money and

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Speaker 2: put it on the back of Mac Jones in his

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Speaker 2: first road playoff game.

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Speaker 3: No thank you.

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Speaker 1: All right, Let's talk about the individual lines here on

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Speaker 1: this game. He got Josh Allen passing yards a two

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Speaker 1: forty three and a half, Mac Jones at two to

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Speaker 1: four and a half, both at minus one fourteen? Is

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Speaker 1: the number there any love for either of these numbers

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Speaker 1: on the over or under? Two forty three and a

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Speaker 1: half two a four and a half for mac Jones

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Speaker 1: forty I.

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Speaker 2: Think I might take the under on Mac Jones, even

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Speaker 2: though I do it's happy to be losing it in uh.

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Speaker 2: I think what you want to do in this game

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Speaker 2: to make Mac comfortable is run the ball to start.

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Speaker 2: So I think you get a first half of a

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Speaker 2: lot of running, and then the second half, you know,

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Speaker 2: Mac Jones starts to pass.

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Speaker 3: Bill Belichick knows that that's what they expect.

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Speaker 2: Him to do. So maybe it's the opposite, but I

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Speaker 2: kind of like the under on Mac Jones. I probably

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Speaker 2: wouldn't want to mess with that Josh Allen line because

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Speaker 2: it's very good, But if I had to pick one,

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Speaker 2: I would definitely go with the over because they are

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Speaker 2: a past first team.

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Speaker 1: These two are really intriguing to me, Devin Singletary a

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Speaker 1: fifty nine and a half for his rushing prop and

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Speaker 1: Damian Harris at fifty eight and a half. I like

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Speaker 1: the over on both of these specially now trend of

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Speaker 1: Singletary getting twenty three carries here back to back weeks.

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Speaker 1: That feels like something that's been sustainable for.

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Speaker 3: Them right exactly, and it's not.

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Speaker 2: You know, you don't even have to be good with

256
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Speaker 2: Devin Singletary, which kind of makes me more nervous about him.

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Speaker 2: I think I like the Harris line better because, like

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Speaker 2: I said, I think you get him established, you run

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Speaker 2: him to put Mac Jones in a comfortable position to

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Speaker 2: throw the ball.

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Speaker 3: You know, you suck those linebackers up.

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Speaker 2: A little bit, bring those dbs up a little bit,

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Speaker 2: you know, run a lot of stuff off play action.

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Speaker 2: So I think that Devin Singletary doesn't have to be effective.

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Speaker 2: You just have to keep doing it. And I think

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Speaker 2: that's the problem that the Bills had earlier in the season,

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Speaker 2: was they weren't running the ball effectively. So they just

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Speaker 2: gave it up and said, all right, Josh Allen will

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Speaker 2: run everything. And they won some games like that, so

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Speaker 2: it worked for them. But I think will you find

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Speaker 2: much better balance when you're just handing it to them

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Speaker 2: at least a couple times to keep them honest.

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Speaker 3: So I expect those book to go over all.

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Speaker 1: Right, let's move on to Sunday's games, and we'll start

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Speaker 1: with the Tampa Bay Bucks, the defending, reigning undisputed champions

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Speaker 1: eight and a half point favorites in their home stadium

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Speaker 1: taking on the Philadelphia Eagles. The over runner for this

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Speaker 1: game is forty six. Now Bogs Tom Brady certainly very

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Speaker 1: familiar with this spot home game. For Tom Brady, to me,

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Speaker 1: the eight and a half feels about right. In fact,

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Speaker 1: I think that they're going to dominate this football game.

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Speaker 1: I really do. I think the Eagles are just gonna

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Speaker 1: be outclassed. But I want to hear your thoughts on this.

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Speaker 1: What do you think about this one? Is this a

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Speaker 1: trap game? By any stretch er you think this is

286
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Speaker 1: a Bucks roll.

287
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Speaker 3: It's absolutely a trap game. I don't really.

288
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Speaker 2: I think the matchup is perfect for the Bucks in

289
00:12:46,240 --> 00:12:49,720
Speaker 2: this game, which is why I'll take them. But they're

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Speaker 2: limping in on offense right now. I mean, you know,

291
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Speaker 2: Abe quitting didn't just wasn't just a side show. It

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Speaker 2: hurt Zero Grayson who took his spot, is banged up

293
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Speaker 2: right now.

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Speaker 3: Now.

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Speaker 2: They just signed Downtown John Brown to their squad, so uh,

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00:13:04,720 --> 00:13:08,080
Speaker 2: they are definitely limping in that they should get four netback.

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00:13:08,120 --> 00:13:09,440
Speaker 3: We'll see.

298
00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:14,520
Speaker 2: But the side of this game that is gonna make

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00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:18,480
Speaker 2: everything go here is gonna be the Eagles offense against

300
00:13:18,559 --> 00:13:21,439
Speaker 2: the Bucks defense. You have the number one rushing offense

301
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Speaker 2: versus number one rushing defense here. So I just think

302
00:13:24,320 --> 00:13:29,040
Speaker 2: that the Bucks match up well physically with the Eagles

303
00:13:29,080 --> 00:13:33,760
Speaker 2: because of this run defense, So I think it'll play closer.

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00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:35,720
Speaker 2: I'll definitely take the under in this game because of

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00:13:35,760 --> 00:13:37,960
Speaker 2: what's going on with Tampa Bay's offense right now, plus

306
00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:41,480
Speaker 2: their defense. You know, playing against the strength of the

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00:13:41,520 --> 00:13:45,480
Speaker 2: Eagles offense here is not a good matchup for Philly,

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Speaker 2: So I'll take I'll take Tampa Bay, but I'm not

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Speaker 2: extremely comfortable with this number. This feels like a trap game.

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Speaker 2: But it's Tom Brady Mans.

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Speaker 1: Brady, So you're confident in Tampa wins, but you're less

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Speaker 1: confident number.

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Speaker 3: I mean, if that's the case, I would take.

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00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:03,440
Speaker 2: If you want the eagle side of this, No, I

315
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Speaker 2: don't want it because look, it's once again it's he's

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00:14:06,640 --> 00:14:08,760
Speaker 2: not a rookie, but it's Jalen Hurts first playoff game,

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00:14:08,800 --> 00:14:11,080
Speaker 2: and it's on the road. It's against the champs, you know,

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Speaker 2: so I think you're gonna see them get frustrated and

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Speaker 2: start throwing the ball.

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Speaker 3: With Jalen Hurts.

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Speaker 2: The guy can't put it in the air thirty five times,

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Speaker 2: he'll get picked off. So I think that's what we're

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Speaker 2: gonna get in this game is I think it plays

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Speaker 2: a little tight until late, maybe late third quarter, early

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00:14:26,880 --> 00:14:30,280
Speaker 2: fourth quarter, where some big mistake is made and then

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Speaker 2: that's where Tampa Bay takes advantage and starts to roll.

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Speaker 3: So for me, I'm taking Tampa Bay.

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Speaker 2: I would take the under here too, because I think

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Speaker 2: it's going to take a little bit for Tampa Bay

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Speaker 2: to get going and Philly's gonna be frustrated offensively early

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Speaker 2: in this game.

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Speaker 3: As well, so give me the under in this one too.

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00:14:46,520 --> 00:14:49,120
Speaker 1: All right. Tom Brady's number is two to seventy six

334
00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:51,960
Speaker 1: and a half for passing total. You think that's an

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Speaker 1: over and underbond.

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00:14:52,960 --> 00:14:55,680
Speaker 3: I under for sure. Yeah, you don't want to passing

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Speaker 3: that much in this game.

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Speaker 1: I imagine the tight ends are going to be incredibly busy

339
00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:01,800
Speaker 1: this game though to Philadelphia and not good against the

340
00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:04,440
Speaker 1: tight ends. So not just Gronk but maybe break down

341
00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:08,160
Speaker 1: getting some action. Yeah, and Jalen Hurts two three and

342
00:15:08,160 --> 00:15:10,400
Speaker 1: a half. That's an interesting one too, because you're writing

343
00:15:10,400 --> 00:15:12,520
Speaker 1: the script where they're behind or they have to throw

344
00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:14,480
Speaker 1: the ball more than they want to throw the football.

345
00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:16,800
Speaker 1: That becomes interesting one as well. But I would lean

346
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Speaker 1: towards the ender on that one also, Box.

347
00:15:18,920 --> 00:15:21,920
Speaker 2: I'll take the over on it. The secondary is probably

348
00:15:21,920 --> 00:15:23,480
Speaker 2: the one weakness for Tampa Bay.

349
00:15:23,520 --> 00:15:26,400
Speaker 1: The healthier on the secondary, they've.

350
00:15:26,160 --> 00:15:28,440
Speaker 2: Gotten healthier, but I don't know if i'd say they

351
00:15:28,480 --> 00:15:31,520
Speaker 2: got good. So I would take the over on that

352
00:15:31,640 --> 00:15:35,200
Speaker 2: just because I think it's early frustrations, and I think

353
00:15:35,280 --> 00:15:37,000
Speaker 2: going into this game you have to kind of game

354
00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:39,040
Speaker 2: plan around that too. We know it's going to be frustrating,

355
00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:42,400
Speaker 2: so let's start to pass the ball, you know a

356
00:15:42,440 --> 00:15:45,520
Speaker 2: little bit more early, So I'll take the over just

357
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Speaker 2: because that that's a low number.

358
00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:48,360
Speaker 3: You said it was two of four.

359
00:15:48,800 --> 00:15:49,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, four.

360
00:15:49,800 --> 00:15:51,520
Speaker 3: I'll take the over on that for sure.

361
00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:53,600
Speaker 1: All right. Next one here is the four to thirty

362
00:15:53,600 --> 00:15:56,400
Speaker 1: Eastern game the San Francisco forty nine Ers, coming off

363
00:15:56,480 --> 00:16:00,240
Speaker 1: another victory against the Rams. Who called that last week

364
00:16:00,320 --> 00:16:02,560
Speaker 1: on the show right here on Betting Pros me with

365
00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:06,200
Speaker 1: Dan Harris. That's right. I told you, Dallas believe in

366
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Speaker 1: the Rams. You were on there too. I'm dude, I

367
00:16:08,640 --> 00:16:11,240
Speaker 1: mean the Rams. We'll get to them in a second.

368
00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:14,080
Speaker 1: I'm gonna tease that we'll get to them in a second.

369
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Speaker 3: But this one's funny.

370
00:16:16,360 --> 00:16:19,000
Speaker 1: This one to me feels like, you know, not every

371
00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:20,680
Speaker 1: favorite's going to win. We know that when it comes

372
00:16:20,680 --> 00:16:22,200
Speaker 1: to this round of the playoffs, there's going to be

373
00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:26,560
Speaker 1: probably two at least that kind of go sideways. To me,

374
00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:29,480
Speaker 1: this is the first one. Dallas Cowboys certainly from a

375
00:16:29,520 --> 00:16:32,040
Speaker 1: defensive standpoint, and played much better this year towards the

376
00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:34,760
Speaker 1: second half, really starting to come on. Michael Parsons has

377
00:16:34,800 --> 00:16:37,520
Speaker 1: been a star. They've created turnovers, all that stuff is great.

378
00:16:37,640 --> 00:16:39,160
Speaker 1: But the forty nine Ers to me, right now, on

379
00:16:39,200 --> 00:16:41,120
Speaker 1: both sides of the ball seem to just be working.

380
00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:43,360
Speaker 1: They seem to have that weird mojo thing.

381
00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:43,640
Speaker 2: To me.

382
00:16:44,160 --> 00:16:46,800
Speaker 1: The number here is Dallas with a three point favorite

383
00:16:46,880 --> 00:16:49,080
Speaker 1: right here at home, as one would think, and I

384
00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:51,080
Speaker 1: think the line is telling you there's some fear here

385
00:16:51,280 --> 00:16:55,000
Speaker 1: because typically speaking, that's your everything is very close lined.

386
00:16:55,040 --> 00:16:57,800
Speaker 1: So the home team gets the three and that's your standard,

387
00:16:58,280 --> 00:16:59,920
Speaker 1: and that means to me, I'm betting the San Francisco

388
00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:01,880
Speaker 1: this game, and San frans is gonna win outright as

389
00:17:01,920 --> 00:17:04,000
Speaker 1: a plus one thirty six in the money line. The

390
00:17:04,080 --> 00:17:06,040
Speaker 1: number is fifty one and a half on the over under.

391
00:17:06,720 --> 00:17:09,520
Speaker 1: Probably gonna be an over would be my guess in

392
00:17:09,560 --> 00:17:12,000
Speaker 1: this game. But I think this is the one right

393
00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:13,680
Speaker 1: here that you circle. And this is the first of

394
00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:16,600
Speaker 1: the upsets on the weekend. What are your thoughts here, Box.

395
00:17:16,520 --> 00:17:18,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not gonna trust Jimmy g I just can't

396
00:17:18,920 --> 00:17:19,280
Speaker 3: do it.

397
00:17:19,480 --> 00:17:22,600
Speaker 1: So oh I don't trust him. Yeah, look Cowboys and

398
00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:23,920
Speaker 1: I trust them equals.

399
00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:26,960
Speaker 2: This is the closest well this to me, this is

400
00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:29,400
Speaker 2: the second closest game. I think the Monday night game

401
00:17:29,480 --> 00:17:31,880
Speaker 2: is the closest game, but this is the second closest

402
00:17:31,920 --> 00:17:34,160
Speaker 2: game here. But I'm just gonna take the home team.

403
00:17:34,200 --> 00:17:36,080
Speaker 2: And I know, look the Cardinals winning and upset the

404
00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:40,359
Speaker 2: Cowboys the other day for sure, But you I don't

405
00:17:40,359 --> 00:17:43,119
Speaker 2: know that we've seen one complete game from Jimmy G

406
00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:47,680
Speaker 2: this season. So for me, I'm gonna trust that he's

407
00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:50,480
Speaker 2: gonna screw up in the first or second half and

408
00:17:50,600 --> 00:17:54,040
Speaker 2: it's gonna lend towards uh, you know, Dallas getting up.

409
00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:56,639
Speaker 2: And if Dallas gets up early in this game, Jimmy

410
00:17:56,680 --> 00:18:00,080
Speaker 2: G is just going to make more mistakes. So that's

411
00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:02,320
Speaker 2: really what it comes down to, is who makes a mistake.

412
00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:02,720
Speaker 3: First.

413
00:18:03,520 --> 00:18:07,720
Speaker 2: I know that Dallas is not playing their absolute best football,

414
00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:10,320
Speaker 2: but putting it on Philly I think gave them a

415
00:18:10,359 --> 00:18:13,280
Speaker 2: lot of confidence. And I think it was the right

416
00:18:13,440 --> 00:18:16,640
Speaker 2: move to play all their starters in that game. So

417
00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:19,240
Speaker 2: the defense is going to get back a lot of

418
00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:22,400
Speaker 2: pieces too. Obviously, Parsons coming back off the COVID list

419
00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:25,960
Speaker 2: and DeMarcus Lawrence just seems to get better every single week.

420
00:18:26,119 --> 00:18:29,800
Speaker 2: So I think they're gonna they're gonna wreck Jimmy somehow

421
00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:32,240
Speaker 2: early in the first half is gonna start to get away,

422
00:18:32,480 --> 00:18:34,000
Speaker 2: and then that's what you're gonna see is you're gonna

423
00:18:34,000 --> 00:18:36,920
Speaker 2: see Jimmy G mistakes. Plus he's not one hundred percent either.

424
00:18:37,240 --> 00:18:40,640
Speaker 2: I mean, he looked good in the second half last week.

425
00:18:40,800 --> 00:18:44,760
Speaker 2: Hopefully he can take that and use it in this game.

426
00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:47,480
Speaker 2: But I just I can't put my eggs into the

427
00:18:47,560 --> 00:18:51,400
Speaker 2: Jimmy G basket because I just he makes mistakes man,

428
00:18:51,560 --> 00:18:54,119
Speaker 2: and oh Dallas is going to force him into a

429
00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:55,240
Speaker 2: mistake bogs.

430
00:18:55,240 --> 00:18:57,840
Speaker 1: And nobody has been more critical of Jimmy Garoppolo than me,

431
00:18:58,200 --> 00:18:59,200
Speaker 1: and rightfully.

432
00:18:58,760 --> 00:19:02,800
Speaker 3: Well maybe maybe maybe because he's a Niners fan. He

433
00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:03,880
Speaker 3: is a Niners fan, and.

434
00:19:03,760 --> 00:19:06,880
Speaker 1: That's absolutely fair. But I have nobody's been more critical

435
00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:10,640
Speaker 1: than than Welsh than me. But at the same time,

436
00:19:11,119 --> 00:19:13,400
Speaker 1: this Cowboys team feels very incomplete to me, the way

437
00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:15,880
Speaker 1: they're coming into this, and it's just something about it.

438
00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:18,280
Speaker 1: I feel like all the momentum, and you know this,

439
00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:20,800
Speaker 1: the momentum is your best friend in the playoffs. I

440
00:19:20,840 --> 00:19:23,199
Speaker 1: feel like San Francisco has that they've been winning these

441
00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:25,480
Speaker 1: big football games and that big win against Minnesota a

442
00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:28,280
Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago, big win last week against the Rams,

443
00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:29,240
Speaker 1: and I feel like.

444
00:19:29,240 --> 00:19:33,399
Speaker 2: You look drop on the Tennessee though, but a drapped

445
00:19:33,520 --> 00:19:37,520
Speaker 2: dropped the one at home to Arizona. So look, Tennessee

446
00:19:37,560 --> 00:19:40,040
Speaker 2: is the one seed. But you know that's I rolling. Yeah,

447
00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:43,520
Speaker 2: all in the first half. You know they eaten two

448
00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:47,720
Speaker 2: they do uh you know that that. Uh, it's just

449
00:19:47,760 --> 00:19:50,560
Speaker 2: they're a different team, you know. So I don't know, man,

450
00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:52,919
Speaker 2: I I don't see how San Francisco goes in and

451
00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:53,960
Speaker 2: gets a win against Dallas.

452
00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:56,680
Speaker 1: Well, but you and I both know that something crazy

453
00:19:56,760 --> 00:19:58,560
Speaker 1: is gonna happen here this weekend. It's going to be

454
00:19:58,560 --> 00:20:01,000
Speaker 1: more than one. It's never just all the way through,

455
00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:01,719
Speaker 1: all the favorites win.

456
00:20:01,760 --> 00:20:03,800
Speaker 3: It's never laughing the next game.

457
00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:06,159
Speaker 1: Well, maybe it is, Maybe it is. We'll get to

458
00:20:06,160 --> 00:20:07,919
Speaker 1: that in a second. Let's talk about a couple of

459
00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:10,080
Speaker 1: props from this game. The rushing prop for Ezekiel Elliott

460
00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:12,560
Speaker 1: is forty seven and a half. He has struggled to

461
00:20:12,720 --> 00:20:16,280
Speaker 1: reach fifty yards in a game very often since at

462
00:20:16,320 --> 00:20:19,880
Speaker 1: least a bye. He's only reached that number three times.

463
00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:22,800
Speaker 1: So this number, though, is perfect. Forty seven and a half.

464
00:20:22,880 --> 00:20:25,520
Speaker 1: It is right there. Would you touch it or would

465
00:20:25,560 --> 00:20:27,120
Speaker 1: you go over? Under? What would you do here? Before

466
00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:27,760
Speaker 1: and a half?

467
00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:28,840
Speaker 3: Touch it? Gun?

468
00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:31,720
Speaker 2: To my head, I would go the over because Like

469
00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:33,639
Speaker 2: I said, I do think that San Francisco makes a

470
00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:37,080
Speaker 2: couple of mistakes and maybe we see some grinding in

471
00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:40,360
Speaker 2: the second half from the Cowboys. So I would take

472
00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:41,960
Speaker 2: the over gun to my head, but I won't touch it.

473
00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:44,520
Speaker 1: No thanks, all right, Deebo. Samuel has a twenty eight

474
00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:47,320
Speaker 1: and a half rushing prop and as far as his

475
00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:50,000
Speaker 1: receiving prop is sixty and a half, do you prefer

476
00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:51,400
Speaker 1: one to the other of the sixty and a half

477
00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:52,480
Speaker 1: or the twenty eight and a half.

478
00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:54,320
Speaker 3: It's just hard to know.

479
00:20:54,480 --> 00:20:55,400
Speaker 1: Man, I was right.

480
00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:57,320
Speaker 2: Did they have a total yards for him? I think

481
00:20:57,840 --> 00:20:59,760
Speaker 2: take the total yards on?

482
00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:01,040
Speaker 1: Well, here you go.

483
00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:04,560
Speaker 3: I mean that's pretty hes gonna add him eighty five

484
00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:05,240
Speaker 3: and a half.

485
00:21:05,320 --> 00:21:07,880
Speaker 1: Five and a half. Let's say the combination.

486
00:21:07,600 --> 00:21:12,199
Speaker 2: Over over for Debo at any point. The dude is

487
00:21:12,240 --> 00:21:15,199
Speaker 2: an absolute stud. He's better than even I thought he

488
00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:18,000
Speaker 2: was going to be in the NFL coming out, and

489
00:21:18,359 --> 00:21:19,280
Speaker 2: he is just and.

490
00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:21,760
Speaker 1: We all liked him. I remember.

491
00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:24,920
Speaker 3: I told I was mad.

492
00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:27,520
Speaker 2: I was like, man, I can't believe you know your

493
00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:29,199
Speaker 2: team gets this guy because I want my team to

494
00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:29,560
Speaker 2: get him.

495
00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:32,800
Speaker 3: But he is an absolute stud. Dude, he's so good.

496
00:21:33,040 --> 00:21:35,520
Speaker 2: So I would take the over I just they're gonna

497
00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:38,000
Speaker 2: use him, but are they gonna pass because they've had

498
00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:39,280
Speaker 2: games where they just run him.

499
00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:41,240
Speaker 3: They've had games where they just passed to him.

500
00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:44,080
Speaker 2: So uh, he's gonna get a little bit of everything

501
00:21:44,080 --> 00:21:44,639
Speaker 2: in this game.

502
00:21:44,760 --> 00:21:46,400
Speaker 3: So I just I would rather go with the total

503
00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:47,040
Speaker 3: yards for him.

504
00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:50,119
Speaker 1: It's a fantastic point, by the way. Go wait, or

505
00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:52,800
Speaker 1: find the all purpose yard prop for him, because that

506
00:21:52,840 --> 00:21:54,879
Speaker 1: isn't much even if it goes to ninety or something

507
00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:57,320
Speaker 1: like that. Over on that as well. All right, here

508
00:21:57,400 --> 00:22:01,800
Speaker 1: you go. Pittsburgh at Camp Kansas City is twelve and

509
00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:04,760
Speaker 1: a half point favorites in this one huge number. The

510
00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:06,359
Speaker 1: Chiefs took it to the Steelers a few weeks ago.

511
00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:08,280
Speaker 1: I don't need to tell Boggin that he's well aware

512
00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:11,560
Speaker 1: forty six and a half is the number. So Bogs

513
00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:15,520
Speaker 1: Cinderella again another team that found its way somehow into

514
00:22:15,560 --> 00:22:16,280
Speaker 1: the playoffs.

515
00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:17,320
Speaker 3: Thank you Rangers.

516
00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:19,480
Speaker 1: You had to be sitting there on Sunday night just

517
00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:21,960
Speaker 1: in awe. Right, I mean, could you believe that if

518
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:23,639
Speaker 1: I told you three weeks ago the Steelers are making

519
00:22:23,640 --> 00:22:25,200
Speaker 1: the playoff? You that told me I was crazy? Right?

520
00:22:25,320 --> 00:22:26,240
Speaker 3: Yeah? For sure?

521
00:22:26,560 --> 00:22:30,080
Speaker 2: I look, you know, big ups to Jacksonville big ups

522
00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:35,200
Speaker 2: to Vegas and you know, I it always it always

523
00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:39,119
Speaker 2: reminds me of a Herm Edwards press conference where the

524
00:22:39,240 --> 00:22:42,680
Speaker 2: Jets snuck into the playoffs, right, is the same way

525
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:45,600
Speaker 2: the Steelers snug in. And one of the one of

526
00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:47,840
Speaker 2: the idiot writers, said, do you feel bad for the

527
00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:50,679
Speaker 2: team that didn't make it? He's like, we won and

528
00:22:50,760 --> 00:22:54,200
Speaker 2: they lost. No, I don't feel bad for them at all.

529
00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:56,800
Speaker 2: What are you talking about? Yeah, it's the NFL, man,

530
00:22:56,960 --> 00:23:00,760
Speaker 2: So you know, I know that the only team that

531
00:23:00,920 --> 00:23:08,000
Speaker 2: led less time in this year was the Texans than

532
00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:11,520
Speaker 2: the Steelers. The Steelers spent less time winning games than

533
00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:14,920
Speaker 2: any other team except Houston this year, so it wasn't

534
00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:17,600
Speaker 2: a great year for them. But I'm I'm going to

535
00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:20,679
Speaker 2: take them against the spread here. The spread is gigantic.

536
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:22,000
Speaker 2: Did you already say it?

537
00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:24,480
Speaker 1: Oh, it's twelve and a half. It is gigantic. There's

538
00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:25,280
Speaker 1: no doubt about that.

539
00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:27,159
Speaker 2: And I know they lost by twenty six and that

540
00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:30,720
Speaker 2: was without Kelsey, Right, I get it, But you know

541
00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:31,879
Speaker 2: the defense, that's.

542
00:23:31,760 --> 00:23:33,840
Speaker 1: Even more reason to do it. I feel like because

543
00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:39,479
Speaker 1: that it's such an obvious anti logic, right, where if

544
00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:41,800
Speaker 1: you follow betting and if you're somebody who's into this,

545
00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:44,359
Speaker 1: you know that that's all that stuff.

546
00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:46,119
Speaker 3: You throw it out, fade the public, all that.

547
00:23:46,280 --> 00:23:48,320
Speaker 1: Right, that's a big load of crap, right, that's never

548
00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:50,960
Speaker 1: going to come to fruition. But yeah, I actually like

549
00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:52,520
Speaker 1: the Steelers side of this game too. With a twelve

550
00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:54,240
Speaker 1: and a half, I think it gives you more opportunities

551
00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:56,879
Speaker 1: because the Chiefs have been inconsistent. I mean, let's be honest.

552
00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,399
Speaker 1: They had a moment there where they were starting to

553
00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:01,920
Speaker 1: feel like a clicking on all cylinders, and then you

554
00:24:02,000 --> 00:24:03,600
Speaker 1: had that game against the Bengals and to me, all

555
00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:05,560
Speaker 1: bets were off after that. Then that was the same

556
00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:08,600
Speaker 1: Chiefs team that I've seen all year that just you know,

557
00:24:08,720 --> 00:24:10,560
Speaker 1: doesn't show up in the big moments when you need

558
00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:12,720
Speaker 1: them too. And now that that was a very telling

559
00:24:12,760 --> 00:24:14,760
Speaker 1: game for me. I thought, you know, them losing to

560
00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:16,639
Speaker 1: the Cincinnati was something where you just mark and go

561
00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:18,439
Speaker 1: the Chiefs are just not the Chiefs. I think they

562
00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:20,720
Speaker 1: win this game, but I think I'm yeah on the

563
00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:21,359
Speaker 1: twelve and a half.

564
00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:25,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, and you know, I've seen more than enough Ben

565
00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:31,159
Speaker 2: Roethlisberger retirement party flyers hosted in Kansas City so everybody

566
00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:32,280
Speaker 2: can quit sending me those.

567
00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:36,160
Speaker 3: But yeah, I think Kansas City probably wins this game too.

568
00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:39,120
Speaker 2: They're at home. You know, they are a better team

569
00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:41,520
Speaker 2: than Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh gave up more rushing yards than any

570
00:24:41,560 --> 00:24:44,920
Speaker 2: other team in the NFL this year, So Darrell Williams

571
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:47,880
Speaker 2: probably gonna have a big game again here for them.

572
00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:50,560
Speaker 2: I know Tyreek is coming in less than one hundred percent,

573
00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:53,520
Speaker 2: but they get Kelsey back, so it's fine your mismatch.

574
00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:56,320
Speaker 2: And Kelsey didn't even play in that game where they

575
00:24:56,320 --> 00:24:59,719
Speaker 2: blew out the Steelers already in Kansas City, so not

576
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:03,600
Speaker 2: excited to see what he does to this defense. But uh,

577
00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:07,960
Speaker 2: it's probably it looks like an insurmountable mountain for my Steelers.

578
00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:11,000
Speaker 2: So I wouldn't suggest anyone take the Steelers on the

579
00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:13,400
Speaker 2: money line. Well what is the money line? Pay plus

580
00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:16,280
Speaker 2: right now? Do you have it up, Joe? I bet

581
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:19,399
Speaker 2: it's gonna money line is to start with I was

582
00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 2: gonna say, does it start with at least a three?

583
00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:23,280
Speaker 1: You know it's a five?

584
00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:26,440
Speaker 2: A five is enormous, you know, But I mean, look,

585
00:25:26,800 --> 00:25:29,760
Speaker 2: the playoffs have been rife with bigger upsets than this

586
00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:31,240
Speaker 2: one over the history.

587
00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:33,920
Speaker 1: As as that plus eight fifty on the Jaguars last

588
00:25:33,920 --> 00:25:34,920
Speaker 1: week against the Colts.

589
00:25:35,280 --> 00:25:40,280
Speaker 2: But we love me some Jaguars, right, Josh Allen. Gotta

590
00:25:40,280 --> 00:25:44,440
Speaker 2: get me a Josh Allen jersey next, I know. But yeah, man,

591
00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:49,280
Speaker 2: I think, uh, you're probably safe if you bet Kansas City.

592
00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:51,200
Speaker 3: But I will be rooting for my Steelers, of course.

593
00:25:51,359 --> 00:25:54,280
Speaker 1: So look, I just feel like the twelve and a

594
00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:56,720
Speaker 1: half is a very big number here and and once again,

595
00:25:57,119 --> 00:25:59,600
Speaker 1: all the pressures on Kansas City. The Steelers are like

596
00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:01,960
Speaker 1: Dante from Clerks and I was supposed to be here today.

597
00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:04,440
Speaker 1: So as far as I'm concerned, it's gonna be the

598
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:06,879
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers playing with house money, and I feel like

599
00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:08,760
Speaker 1: that's fast and loose. It's it's gonna be a different

600
00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:11,560
Speaker 1: Steeler team, I think this time around facing the Chiefs.

601
00:26:11,320 --> 00:26:13,679
Speaker 2: Because she's banged up. I mean, they might get Juju

602
00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:15,639
Speaker 2: back to just open up his window today.

603
00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:17,200
Speaker 3: So let's we'll see.

604
00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:22,880
Speaker 2: Well it is, I'll tell you after seeing James Washington play,

605
00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 2: it's God's fair better, all right.

606
00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:26,119
Speaker 1: A couple of props I want to throw at your

607
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:28,399
Speaker 1: box before we shive into the next one here. Patrick

608
00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:31,080
Speaker 1: Mahomes two eighty and a half over under in the

609
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:32,080
Speaker 1: passing yards.

610
00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:33,280
Speaker 3: He won't need to throw that many.

611
00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:36,960
Speaker 1: So Ben Roethlisberger twenty sorry too to twenty six and

612
00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:37,280
Speaker 1: a half.

613
00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:41,639
Speaker 3: H take the over because it should be down the

614
00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:42,080
Speaker 3: whole game.

615
00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:44,679
Speaker 1: This one feels like a slam dunk to me. Deontay

616
00:26:44,760 --> 00:26:47,879
Speaker 1: Johnson sixty and a half receiving yards over.

617
00:26:48,000 --> 00:26:50,359
Speaker 2: I'm so you get if you take that prop, you're

618
00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:53,280
Speaker 2: gonna be frustrated because he'll get He'll catch a fourteen

619
00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:55,280
Speaker 2: yard ball, run back seven yards at one point.

620
00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:58,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, he does every single game, So but yeah, go

621
00:26:58,400 --> 00:26:58,840
Speaker 3: the over on.

622
00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:01,359
Speaker 1: Would you take the under on the Tyreek Hills seventy

623
00:27:01,359 --> 00:27:02,040
Speaker 1: and a half right now?

624
00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:04,879
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's hurt so and you know if they get up,

625
00:27:04,920 --> 00:27:06,560
Speaker 2: they won't be throwing him the ball, So yeah, I

626
00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:07,479
Speaker 2: take the under on that.

627
00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:10,639
Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to Monday night. You've got

628
00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:13,280
Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals at the Rams. The Rams three and

629
00:27:13,280 --> 00:27:15,760
Speaker 1: a half point favorites. Just like I told you about

630
00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:17,520
Speaker 1: that other line with San Francisco, this is the same

631
00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:19,560
Speaker 1: thing I'm feeling on this one, which is there's no

632
00:27:19,600 --> 00:27:22,080
Speaker 1: confidence in the Rams, and why should there be. The

633
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:24,560
Speaker 1: Rams don't have a home field advantage. That's a very

634
00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:27,639
Speaker 1: big deal in the playoffs. The Rams continue to drop

635
00:27:27,760 --> 00:27:31,120
Speaker 1: games that they have in hand. And I'm not saying

636
00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:34,320
Speaker 1: that the Cardinals are well coached. I'm not saying that

637
00:27:34,359 --> 00:27:36,920
Speaker 1: the Cardinals are a better roster, but I feel like

638
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:40,640
Speaker 1: the Cardinals have absolutely an opportunity to win this football game.

639
00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:42,480
Speaker 1: I think this plus three and a half on the

640
00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:45,879
Speaker 1: Cardinals side is just as tempting as the San Francisco

641
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:47,960
Speaker 1: one if you want to go for upset specials. Here

642
00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:50,399
Speaker 1: on the money line, the Cardinals are plus one sixty

643
00:27:50,440 --> 00:27:52,280
Speaker 1: two if you want to bet them outright. The numbers

644
00:27:52,280 --> 00:27:54,360
Speaker 1: forty nine and a half bogs. How do you see

645
00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:56,280
Speaker 1: this game the Cardinals and Rams shaking out?

646
00:27:56,560 --> 00:27:59,040
Speaker 2: You talk about two teams that are backing in to

647
00:27:59,119 --> 00:28:02,840
Speaker 2: the playoffs. These teams have been awful recently. I mean,

648
00:28:03,080 --> 00:28:07,720
Speaker 2: the Rams just barely beat the Ravens without anyone in

649
00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:11,959
Speaker 2: their secondary and with Matthew with Matthew Stafford and Cooper

650
00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:15,960
Speaker 2: Cup and OBJ they are not clicking on offense at all.

651
00:28:16,560 --> 00:28:19,119
Speaker 2: The Cardinals could have won this division and gotten themselves

652
00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:21,640
Speaker 2: a home game, and they lost to the Seahawks at

653
00:28:21,640 --> 00:28:25,600
Speaker 2: home thirty eight to thirty. So it's who wants to

654
00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:28,560
Speaker 2: be more pathetic in this game, the Rams or the Cardinals.

655
00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:32,960
Speaker 2: For me, I'll take the road team in the Cardinals

656
00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:36,840
Speaker 2: because Matt Stafford keeps giving away the ball like it's

657
00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:40,320
Speaker 2: Christmas presents everybody still, So I don't know what is

658
00:28:40,360 --> 00:28:42,960
Speaker 2: happening with him. I don't know what the disconnect between

659
00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:45,120
Speaker 2: him and McVeigh and him and his receivers have been.

660
00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:48,040
Speaker 2: I think he's probably just pressing a little bit because

661
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:51,200
Speaker 2: dude's not used to being in the playoffs and getting

662
00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:53,760
Speaker 2: ready for playoff scenarios playing in Detroit for so long.

663
00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:58,480
Speaker 2: So I'll take the Cardinals, but it's with zero confidence.

664
00:28:58,560 --> 00:29:00,760
Speaker 2: There's no I bet this game because because both these

665
00:29:00,760 --> 00:29:03,200
Speaker 2: teams are backing in and this is your Monday night

666
00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:05,480
Speaker 2: makeup game, I think the one thing I would take

667
00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:08,240
Speaker 2: here is the over because both defenses have been a

668
00:29:08,240 --> 00:29:09,440
Speaker 2: little suspect recently.

669
00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:13,120
Speaker 1: All right, that is very fair looking for right now.

670
00:29:13,560 --> 00:29:15,440
Speaker 1: Props on this game are still not released as the

671
00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:18,640
Speaker 1: time we're recording this, so it's getting hard and hard

672
00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:21,200
Speaker 1: to get props early. They really pop up later. But yeah,

673
00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:24,800
Speaker 1: just for fun, because you know, I think I did

674
00:29:24,800 --> 00:29:26,320
Speaker 1: this with you last year. If Nada I did it

675
00:29:26,360 --> 00:29:29,040
Speaker 1: on another show. They all run together eventually. Of course,

676
00:29:29,400 --> 00:29:31,760
Speaker 1: if you recall, I did two weeks in a row

677
00:29:31,760 --> 00:29:35,440
Speaker 1: where I got the entire playoff slate parlay correct. So

678
00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:37,080
Speaker 1: I'm gonna try to do that again. I'm gonna try

679
00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:39,800
Speaker 1: to start this off with the six games. It's very difficult,

680
00:29:39,960 --> 00:29:41,880
Speaker 1: but I'm gonna give it a shot. Here's your six legs.

681
00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:44,400
Speaker 1: You're ready for this, Bogs you ready here? It here,

682
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:47,920
Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals right in fact, on the money line. That's

683
00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:51,200
Speaker 1: how confident I am. San Francisco on the money line.

684
00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:53,560
Speaker 1: Then you take Tampa to win, Kansas City to win,

685
00:29:53,640 --> 00:29:56,719
Speaker 1: Buffalo to win, the Bengals to win. There you go.

686
00:29:56,840 --> 00:29:59,960
Speaker 1: So you make your money basically getting those two outright upset.

687
00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:04,480
Speaker 1: It's gonna give you somewhere around plus eighteen hundred odds.

688
00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:07,080
Speaker 1: So on one hundred dollars wager, you're gonna win eighteen

689
00:30:07,120 --> 00:30:07,760
Speaker 1: hundred dollars.

690
00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:10,360
Speaker 3: And you know what that yes for me?

691
00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:12,760
Speaker 1: That works for me. Hey man, I did this last year,

692
00:30:13,160 --> 00:30:16,240
Speaker 1: won a couple grand doing it. I'm telling you right now,

693
00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:18,200
Speaker 1: you know that two of these games at least are

694
00:30:18,200 --> 00:30:20,800
Speaker 1: gonna go sideways. That's the nature of this beast. But

695
00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:23,280
Speaker 1: I don't think more than two bocks. I feel like

696
00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:26,120
Speaker 1: it's really that Rams Cardinals game and that Dallas forty

697
00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:28,080
Speaker 1: nine Ers game. At the end of the day, Like,

698
00:30:28,120 --> 00:30:30,320
Speaker 1: it is really a tough sell for me to think

699
00:30:30,320 --> 00:30:33,280
Speaker 1: that the Bengals are gonna lose to the Raiders. After all,

700
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:36,320
Speaker 1: like Joe Burrow's Joe Burrow's a winning quarterback. You know,

701
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:38,560
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow's been in winning atmosphere. He knows what it

702
00:30:38,600 --> 00:30:41,280
Speaker 1: takes to win football games. Tom Brady's not gonna drop

703
00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:43,040
Speaker 1: a home game to the Eagles in the first round

704
00:30:43,040 --> 00:30:45,040
Speaker 1: of the playoffs. I don't think that's gonna happen. Those

705
00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:47,360
Speaker 1: are tough sales. Same thing with mahomes at home. Even

706
00:30:47,400 --> 00:30:49,240
Speaker 1: if they struggle, it's hard not to see them winning.

707
00:30:49,720 --> 00:30:51,640
Speaker 1: Is that kind of the picture that you're painting, is?

708
00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:54,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I would love to see the Raiders

709
00:30:54,120 --> 00:30:56,160
Speaker 2: win and I'll be pulling for him, but yeah, I

710
00:30:56,200 --> 00:30:59,680
Speaker 2: think since he wins, and obviously, you know, no one

711
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:02,840
Speaker 2: in the world is picking Pittsburgh, so I get it.

712
00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:05,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, fair enough, fair enough. Make sure you're heading over

713
00:31:05,880 --> 00:31:09,640
Speaker 1: to bettingpros dot com for all of your lines, and again,

714
00:31:09,680 --> 00:31:11,760
Speaker 1: all the consensus lines are there, so you can find

715
00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:15,720
Speaker 1: any sort of little half point here or there somewhere else.

716
00:31:15,800 --> 00:31:17,920
Speaker 1: That's what Betting Pros is able to do. In fact,

717
00:31:17,920 --> 00:31:20,160
Speaker 1: there's some spots here where Betting Pros and consensus number

718
00:31:20,200 --> 00:31:22,880
Speaker 1: is four on that Cardinals game, but fandles at three

719
00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:25,920
Speaker 1: and a half. So very you know, every little bit helps,

720
00:31:26,240 --> 00:31:27,920
Speaker 1: So make sure you pay attention to that over at

721
00:31:27,920 --> 00:31:30,400
Speaker 1: Betting Pros. And in the meantime, make sure you subscribe

722
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:32,640
Speaker 1: to the podcast wherever you get your pods, here the

723
00:31:32,640 --> 00:31:34,600
Speaker 1: Betting Pros Podcast. We're gonna take you through all the

724
00:31:34,720 --> 00:31:36,920
Speaker 1: NFL playoffs, just like we took you through all of

725
00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:39,520
Speaker 1: college football, all the bowl games, and we're gonna take

726
00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:42,320
Speaker 1: you into baseball. We're gonna take into the NBA, into

727
00:31:42,560 --> 00:31:45,320
Speaker 1: Major League Baseball, all that stuff. It's all coming around

728
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:47,000
Speaker 1: the corner. So make sure you stick with us here

729
00:31:47,280 --> 00:31:49,160
Speaker 1: at Betting Pros. That'll do it for us. But the

730
00:31:49,160 --> 00:31:51,400
Speaker 1: story of the game goes on for Scott Bogman, I'm

731
00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:59,680
Speaker 1: Joey p Well see you next time. Kids.

732
00:32:00,600 --> 00:32:01,360
Speaker 2: It is n