1 00:00:01,840 --> 00:00:06,120 Speaker 1: Broadcasting live from the Abraham Lincoln Radio Studio, the George 2 00:00:06,160 --> 00:00:10,719 Speaker 1: Washington Broadcast Center, Jack Armstrong and Joe Getty arm Strong 3 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:12,480 Speaker 1: and Getty and he. 4 00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:17,240 Speaker 2: Armstrong and Yetty. 5 00:00:24,040 --> 00:00:26,120 Speaker 3: I think it's useful for all of us to step 6 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:29,280 Speaker 3: back and ask us, ask ourselves, what has the globalist 7 00:00:29,280 --> 00:00:33,800 Speaker 3: economy gotten the United States of America? And the answer is, fundamentally, 8 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:37,120 Speaker 3: it's based on two principles. Incurring a huge amount of 9 00:00:37,159 --> 00:00:40,199 Speaker 3: debt to buy things that other countries make for us, 10 00:00:40,200 --> 00:00:41,880 Speaker 3: and to make it a little bit more crystal clear, 11 00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 3: we borrow money from Chinese peasants to buy the things 12 00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:49,080 Speaker 3: those Chinese peasants manufacturer. That is not a recipe for 13 00:00:49,120 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 3: economic prosperity. It's not a recipe for low prices, and 14 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:54,360 Speaker 3: it's not a recipe for good jobs in the United 15 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 3: States of America. 16 00:00:57,880 --> 00:01:02,200 Speaker 2: Jadie Vance is very, very smart, smart enough to know 17 00:01:02,280 --> 00:01:05,399 Speaker 2: when being full of crap will sell. There's a fair 18 00:01:05,440 --> 00:01:09,360 Speaker 2: amount of what he says that's full of crap. Trade 19 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:15,000 Speaker 2: imbalances don't really matter with individual countries. It just doesn't matter. 20 00:01:15,040 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 2: We're a gigantic market. We're always going to be buy 21 00:01:18,160 --> 00:01:20,319 Speaker 2: more than we sell to these little countries. It's okay 22 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:23,280 Speaker 2: to have a trade inbalance, but how about the tariff imbalance? 23 00:01:23,319 --> 00:01:26,840 Speaker 4: Though I still somebody explained to me why it's okay 24 00:01:26,959 --> 00:01:31,039 Speaker 4: for Europe to tariff our stuff forty but if we 25 00:01:31,400 --> 00:01:37,440 Speaker 4: come close to terriffic back it's awful right that I'm 26 00:01:37,480 --> 00:01:39,840 Speaker 4: not saying it's not. I just don't understand why that 27 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:41,679 Speaker 4: is the question. 28 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:45,319 Speaker 2: Boiled down brilliantly by my partner, mister Armstrong. It helps 29 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:50,720 Speaker 2: being dumb, well, it helps to get to the core 30 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:53,280 Speaker 2: of the issue, as opposed to some of the more 31 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 2: fancy arguments that you're hearing. The Wall Street types will 32 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:02,560 Speaker 2: make much, much, much, much more money over the next 33 00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 2: two to eight years with the status quo than if 34 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:11,560 Speaker 2: we change the status quo substantially and rejigger all the 35 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:13,760 Speaker 2: tariffs and get into a quote unquote trade war, which 36 00:02:13,760 --> 00:02:15,400 Speaker 2: I don't actually think is going to happen, well two 37 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:16,120 Speaker 2: to eight years. 38 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:18,680 Speaker 4: As we all know, most of your Wall Street companies 39 00:02:18,720 --> 00:02:20,079 Speaker 4: are worried about this quarter. 40 00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 2: Correct, Yeah, I'm thinking about two years. What is best 41 00:02:22,760 --> 00:02:25,880 Speaker 2: for the American worker the American economy in the short, 42 00:02:25,919 --> 00:02:29,640 Speaker 2: medium and long term is often very, very different than 43 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:31,960 Speaker 2: what's great for Wall Street now. I'm not anti Wall Street. 44 00:02:31,960 --> 00:02:33,720 Speaker 2: I got a who bunch of money invested, trust me. 45 00:02:33,919 --> 00:02:37,000 Speaker 2: I'm counting on someday retiring from this dead end or 46 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:45,120 Speaker 2: racket anyway. So you've got so many competing interests here 47 00:02:45,880 --> 00:02:48,400 Speaker 2: which often intersect. If you have a four to oh 48 00:02:48,440 --> 00:02:50,880 Speaker 2: one K, you don't want to see the market go 49 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:54,560 Speaker 2: to hell, catch fire and sing into the ocean, of course. Not. 50 00:02:56,240 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 2: On the other hand, a situation in which, for instance, 51 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:03,840 Speaker 2: are good pals in the European Union have been hitting 52 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:06,920 Speaker 2: us with thirty nine percent tariffs on the stuff they 53 00:03:07,000 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 2: let in they won't in let in lobster and beef 54 00:03:09,400 --> 00:03:13,760 Speaker 2: and a couple other things at all. And now we're 55 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:17,960 Speaker 2: jacking up our horrific tariff against Europe to twenty percent. 56 00:03:18,360 --> 00:03:21,440 Speaker 2: They're still at thirty nine percent on our goods. In 57 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 2: what sense is that starting a trade war? It's not. 58 00:03:24,680 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 2: It's reshaping the playing field in a way that makes 59 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:36,080 Speaker 2: Wall Street and American corporations very nervous because they can't plan. 60 00:03:37,320 --> 00:03:39,800 Speaker 2: So they're yelling and saying this is a terrible mistake 61 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 2: because it will cost them. They are sincere, but they're 62 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:49,280 Speaker 2: not sincere about all of it. If I would love 63 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:52,080 Speaker 2: to see the five or so points of view on 64 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:55,440 Speaker 2: this staunchly in favor of it, somewhat in favor of it, 65 00:03:55,560 --> 00:03:59,440 Speaker 2: kind of neutral, blah blah blah, all fed sodium pentathol 66 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:04,160 Speaker 2: or a couple good stiff drinks make them honest about 67 00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:06,119 Speaker 2: why they're objecting in the way they're objecting. 68 00:04:06,240 --> 00:04:11,240 Speaker 4: Should I be concerned that Bernie and Elizabeth Warren and 69 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 4: AOC are silent on this topic because this tends to 70 00:04:14,720 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 4: be a lefty thing over the years of wanting to 71 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:22,359 Speaker 4: get into tariffs. Yeah, well, I mean politically, you know 72 00:04:22,440 --> 00:04:25,000 Speaker 4: your bedfellows. My bedfellows seem to be Bernie Sanders and 73 00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:25,680 Speaker 4: Elizabeth Warren. 74 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:31,480 Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, It's funny. Conservatism is evolving, and it's not 75 00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:36,159 Speaker 2: just toward quote unquote populism. I read a great, great 76 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 2: couple of sentences a while ago. I wish I'd had 77 00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:40,159 Speaker 2: a tattooed on my arm that the reason, one of 78 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:43,000 Speaker 2: the reasons for the rise of Trump was that working 79 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:47,360 Speaker 2: America had gotten nothing but condescension and judgment, no doubt 80 00:04:47,360 --> 00:04:52,400 Speaker 2: and dependency from the Democrats, and nothing but false promises 81 00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:57,760 Speaker 2: from conservatives. All those steel workers and car workers and 82 00:04:57,800 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 2: you know, washing machine workers and blah blah blah, who 83 00:05:00,200 --> 00:05:02,520 Speaker 2: are placed out of jobs because you can make it 84 00:05:02,640 --> 00:05:07,600 Speaker 2: cheaper in South Africa or Malaysia or wherever they got 85 00:05:07,600 --> 00:05:11,239 Speaker 2: false promises. Now, the rising tide did lift all boats 86 00:05:11,400 --> 00:05:14,159 Speaker 2: some but some boats much much, much more than others. 87 00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:17,240 Speaker 2: So now Trump comes along and says, no, We're going 88 00:05:17,279 --> 00:05:20,840 Speaker 2: to serve the American people, not the giant American corporations. 89 00:05:21,360 --> 00:05:23,520 Speaker 2: How does that contrast, by the way, with the whole 90 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:26,080 Speaker 2: million ass a billion ass. Trump is half of the 91 00:05:26,160 --> 00:05:27,800 Speaker 2: billion as right. 92 00:05:27,839 --> 00:05:29,839 Speaker 4: Well, yeah, I was gonna mention The New York Times 93 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:32,680 Speaker 4: today one of their side headlines around this, and this 94 00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:36,680 Speaker 4: is a giant story, this whole tariff thing. 95 00:05:36,720 --> 00:05:41,480 Speaker 2: Mean, this is enormous importance. You can't exaggerate how important 96 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:41,760 Speaker 2: this is. 97 00:05:42,080 --> 00:05:45,560 Speaker 4: But one of their analysis pieces, Trump's tariff's our latest 98 00:05:45,600 --> 00:05:48,320 Speaker 4: sign of his second term appetite for risk. He is 99 00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:52,760 Speaker 4: not taking the soft, easy way to glide through four 100 00:05:52,839 --> 00:05:55,960 Speaker 4: years of being president and try to stay popular at all. 101 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:58,560 Speaker 4: I mean, this is really laying it on the line. 102 00:05:58,640 --> 00:06:01,720 Speaker 4: Another angle of this whole tariff thing and restructuring the 103 00:06:01,760 --> 00:06:04,359 Speaker 4: global economy. I've heard this from a couple of places 104 00:06:04,360 --> 00:06:09,640 Speaker 4: which I've always been bothered by the concept of jobs 105 00:06:09,680 --> 00:06:10,599 Speaker 4: Americans won't do. 106 00:06:11,000 --> 00:06:12,680 Speaker 2: That just rubs me the wrong way. 107 00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:14,480 Speaker 4: For a variety of reasons, including the fact that I've 108 00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:18,039 Speaker 4: done a lot of really, really crappy jobs and I 109 00:06:18,080 --> 00:06:20,520 Speaker 4: never thought it was beneath me to do those jobs. 110 00:06:20,640 --> 00:06:22,800 Speaker 4: I you know, I structured my life in such a 111 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:24,960 Speaker 4: way that I wouldn't have to keep doing those jobs. 112 00:06:25,080 --> 00:06:28,560 Speaker 2: Those jobs motivated everything I have become. 113 00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:32,040 Speaker 4: But the idea that we're too good for those jobs 114 00:06:32,080 --> 00:06:34,800 Speaker 4: just seems like a recipe. It's just, you know, I'm 115 00:06:34,800 --> 00:06:36,599 Speaker 4: a big fan of the French Revolution. It's got a 116 00:06:36,600 --> 00:06:40,039 Speaker 4: bit of a Louis the sixteenth culture to it. You know, 117 00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:42,160 Speaker 4: we don't have to do certain things, and you just 118 00:06:42,240 --> 00:06:44,280 Speaker 4: keep getting poorer and poorer. 119 00:06:44,279 --> 00:06:46,960 Speaker 2: And how big a fan of the French Revolution are you? 120 00:06:47,040 --> 00:06:49,160 Speaker 2: I mean, if I like descend, am I going to 121 00:06:49,200 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 2: get the you know, the old chopper rony whatever it takes? Okay? 122 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:54,080 Speaker 4: But then this angle that I've heard a number of 123 00:06:54,080 --> 00:06:56,320 Speaker 4: times recently as I've listened to a ton of podcasts 124 00:06:56,320 --> 00:06:58,400 Speaker 4: on this. There's a piece in the Financial Times today 125 00:06:58,440 --> 00:07:01,000 Speaker 4: by this guy, Michael Strain. We should not be wishing 126 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:03,599 Speaker 4: for American workers to return to the days of sewing 127 00:07:03,760 --> 00:07:07,600 Speaker 4: tennis shoes together in factories. So like if you got 128 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:09,960 Speaker 4: Nike to come to the United States or Converse came 129 00:07:10,000 --> 00:07:12,440 Speaker 4: back to the United States like they had been, that 130 00:07:12,480 --> 00:07:15,000 Speaker 4: that would be a horror because you'd have Americans sewing 131 00:07:15,040 --> 00:07:16,200 Speaker 4: shoes and factories. 132 00:07:16,480 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 2: No, no, Americans should be in cubicles typing into computers 133 00:07:21,720 --> 00:07:24,840 Speaker 2: for that wages. That is what God has ordained. Yes, 134 00:07:25,160 --> 00:07:27,800 Speaker 2: that's that point of view, which I find very odd. 135 00:07:27,840 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 4: And if Converse through through the restructuring of the world, 136 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:34,400 Speaker 4: Converse decides they need to be back in the United States, well, 137 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:36,120 Speaker 4: they're going to have to pay workers whatever they got 138 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:38,040 Speaker 4: to pay them to get them to show up, which 139 00:07:38,080 --> 00:07:39,960 Speaker 4: is the way it is with the fast food industry 140 00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:42,440 Speaker 4: and your cubical job and everything else. I just I 141 00:07:42,440 --> 00:07:45,280 Speaker 4: don't understand the horror there. And again getting back to 142 00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:47,880 Speaker 4: the reciprocal terrif idea. As you look at the chart, 143 00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:50,560 Speaker 4: and we'll post an easy link to find at armstrong 144 00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:52,440 Speaker 4: e geddy dot com if you want to look at 145 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:55,120 Speaker 4: what the other countries around the world are charging us 146 00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 4: in tariffs and what these new discounted reciprocal tariffs are 147 00:07:58,560 --> 00:08:00,480 Speaker 4: going to be on their goods. 148 00:08:01,360 --> 00:08:05,720 Speaker 2: You'll see a that is very reasonable. And b that's 149 00:08:05,760 --> 00:08:08,800 Speaker 2: not the end point. What the end point is gonna be. 150 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:11,240 Speaker 2: And it might be in like a week or two, 151 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:13,480 Speaker 2: or it might be in a six months. There might 152 00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:15,040 Speaker 2: be in a year or two years. I don't know. 153 00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:19,000 Speaker 2: This is a a passing through point on the way 154 00:08:19,040 --> 00:08:23,520 Speaker 2: to the post post World War two trade uh norms. 155 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:27,240 Speaker 2: In my opinion, here's what the Wall Street Journal said. 156 00:08:27,520 --> 00:08:33,319 Speaker 2: Their panties are like in a wad, then bronzed, encased 157 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:37,079 Speaker 2: in amber, and coated with steel. It's the most wadded 158 00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 2: panties in the history. End Well, it's the what do 159 00:08:39,160 --> 00:08:41,560 Speaker 2: you call It's a wedgie. It's the atomic wedgie. You 160 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:44,640 Speaker 2: pull a clip over their head. Yes, forbidden by the 161 00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:50,360 Speaker 2: Geneva Convention. President Trump unveiled his new Liberation Day tariffs 162 00:08:50,400 --> 00:08:52,480 Speaker 2: on Wednesday, and they are another large step toward a 163 00:08:52,520 --> 00:08:56,079 Speaker 2: new old era of trade protectionism. Assuming the policy sticks, 164 00:08:56,080 --> 00:08:58,000 Speaker 2: and we hope it doesn't, the effort amounts to an 165 00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:00,000 Speaker 2: attempt to remake the US economy in the world trade 166 00:09:00,520 --> 00:09:03,760 Speaker 2: trading system. All details aren't clear as we write this, 167 00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:06,679 Speaker 2: but mister Trump's tariffs look reciprocal in name only. First, 168 00:09:06,679 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 2: he's hitting every nation in the world with a ten 169 00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:10,920 Speaker 2: percent baseline tariff to sell in the US market for 170 00:09:11,000 --> 00:09:13,600 Speaker 2: those he calls bad actors. He's adding up the tariff 171 00:09:13,679 --> 00:09:16,679 Speaker 2: rates on US goods plus an arbitrary estimate of the 172 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:20,400 Speaker 2: cost of its currency manipulation and non tariff barriers. I 173 00:09:20,400 --> 00:09:23,080 Speaker 2: don't think it's entirely arbitrary. But he then takes the 174 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:25,280 Speaker 2: total number and applies half that in tariffs on the 175 00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:27,920 Speaker 2: country's exports to the US. So if they charge us 176 00:09:27,960 --> 00:09:31,520 Speaker 2: forty nine percent, we charge them twenty four percent. That 177 00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:34,959 Speaker 2: doesn't seem that insane. Then they go into some of 178 00:09:35,000 --> 00:09:38,320 Speaker 2: the details not worth sharing because we've done it. He're 179 00:09:38,360 --> 00:09:42,720 Speaker 2: the main point new economic Oh, let's consider some of 180 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:46,360 Speaker 2: the consequences already emerging in this new protectionist stage. And 181 00:09:46,400 --> 00:09:49,320 Speaker 2: again I question whether charging them half of what they 182 00:09:49,440 --> 00:09:54,079 Speaker 2: charge us is quote unquote protectionist. New economic risks and uncertainty. 183 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:57,880 Speaker 2: The overall economic impact mister Trump's tariff barrage is unknowable, 184 00:09:58,240 --> 00:10:00,520 Speaker 2: not least because we don't know how countries will react. 185 00:10:01,440 --> 00:10:04,719 Speaker 2: Could be widespread retaliation, there won't be. I don't think 186 00:10:04,720 --> 00:10:07,199 Speaker 2: there will be. There will certainly be higher costs for 187 00:10:07,240 --> 00:10:10,400 Speaker 2: American consumers and businesses. Tariffs are taxes, and when you 188 00:10:10,480 --> 00:10:15,240 Speaker 2: tax something, you get less of it. Tariffs are taxes. 189 00:10:15,400 --> 00:10:18,880 Speaker 2: They are one hundred percent taxes. That is correct on imports, 190 00:10:19,440 --> 00:10:24,560 Speaker 2: so we will get fewer imports until the tariff rates 191 00:10:24,640 --> 00:10:28,600 Speaker 2: adjust again, and then we get more exports. Theoretically, car 192 00:10:28,679 --> 00:10:31,200 Speaker 2: prices will rise by thousands of dollars, including those made 193 00:10:31,240 --> 00:10:35,439 Speaker 2: in America. That's correct. Mister Trump is making deliberate decision 194 00:10:35,440 --> 00:10:39,000 Speaker 2: to transfer wealth from consumers to businesses and workers protected 195 00:10:39,000 --> 00:10:43,640 Speaker 2: from competition behind high tariff walls. Over All this, over time, 196 00:10:43,679 --> 00:10:46,840 Speaker 2: this will mean the gradual erosion of US competitiveness. It 197 00:10:46,880 --> 00:10:51,319 Speaker 2: will harm American exports. One long term US trade goals 198 00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:55,959 Speaker 2: to expand markets for American goods and services. Mister Trump's 199 00:10:56,040 --> 00:11:00,520 Speaker 2: unilateral tariffs blow up those arrangements and invite retaliation. In 200 00:11:00,600 --> 00:11:07,440 Speaker 2: what sense are they unilateral? I honestly, and if I'm 201 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:11,920 Speaker 2: missing something significant, please drop us an email mail bag 202 00:11:11,960 --> 00:11:14,760 Speaker 2: at Armstrong in getty dot com. I would much rather 203 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:19,720 Speaker 2: be corrected and eat crow than to be bellowing something 204 00:11:19,720 --> 00:11:22,800 Speaker 2: that is wrong on the air, So feel free mail 205 00:11:22,800 --> 00:11:24,840 Speaker 2: bag at Armstrong and getty dot com, or if you'd 206 00:11:24,880 --> 00:11:27,400 Speaker 2: prefer to text four one five, two nine five kftc 207 00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:30,400 Speaker 2: uh he makes the Wall Street Journal makes a couple 208 00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:32,720 Speaker 2: other broad points, and I'll just hit those very quickly 209 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:35,680 Speaker 2: afterward from our friends at Prize Picks. 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Run your game, all right. 229 00:12:32,960 --> 00:12:35,800 Speaker 2: Here are the other main points this and some of 230 00:12:35,840 --> 00:12:40,160 Speaker 2: this is persuasive. Like I said before, this is complicated stuff. 231 00:12:40,240 --> 00:12:43,360 Speaker 2: And there are some some harms absolutely that this will 232 00:12:43,400 --> 00:12:45,520 Speaker 2: cause that will be disruptive, at least in the short term. 233 00:12:46,080 --> 00:12:50,120 Speaker 2: A bigger Washington Swamp tariffs impose costs that businesses will 234 00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:53,160 Speaker 2: want to avoid. This. Thus this will be a windfall 235 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:56,719 Speaker 2: for Beltwait lobbyists as companies can country seek exemptions from 236 00:12:56,720 --> 00:12:59,120 Speaker 2: this or that border tax. Trump says there will be 237 00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:02,199 Speaker 2: no tariff exemption, but watch that promise vanish as politicians, 238 00:13:02,240 --> 00:13:04,880 Speaker 2: including mister Trump, see exemptions as a way to leverage 239 00:13:04,880 --> 00:13:09,080 Speaker 2: campaign contributions from business. Liberation Day is by another yacht 240 00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:12,240 Speaker 2: day for the swamp woof, and it will be the 241 00:13:12,360 --> 00:13:18,400 Speaker 2: end of US economic leadership. The share of global GDP 242 00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:20,720 Speaker 2: has been stable at about twenty five percent for decades, 243 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:23,880 Speaker 2: even as industries rise and fall. That era is now 244 00:13:23,960 --> 00:13:26,720 Speaker 2: ending as mister Trump adopts a more mercantile vision of 245 00:13:26,760 --> 00:13:29,240 Speaker 2: trade in US self interest. Don't bother you look it 246 00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:31,160 Speaker 2: up if you want. The result is likely to be 247 00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:33,960 Speaker 2: every nation for itself, as countries seek to carve up 248 00:13:33,960 --> 00:13:37,959 Speaker 2: global markets based not on market efficiency but for political advantage. 249 00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:40,439 Speaker 2: In the worst case, the world trading system could evolve 250 00:13:40,760 --> 00:13:44,440 Speaker 2: into a beggar thy neighbor policy as in the nineteen thirties. 251 00:13:45,040 --> 00:13:47,360 Speaker 2: And they say this will also be a major opportunity 252 00:13:47,360 --> 00:13:48,640 Speaker 2: for China. You know, I'm going to use that as 253 00:13:48,640 --> 00:13:50,080 Speaker 2: a measuring stick over the years. 254 00:13:50,280 --> 00:13:52,560 Speaker 4: You're right, it's been We have been about a quarter 255 00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:56,600 Speaker 4: of the world's GDP for quite a while. Now, where 256 00:13:56,640 --> 00:13:58,880 Speaker 4: will we be five years from now, ten years from now? 257 00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:01,200 Speaker 4: An interesting way to look at it. 258 00:14:02,920 --> 00:14:05,559 Speaker 2: Yeah, we need to take a break, but there's more 259 00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:06,960 Speaker 2: to be said, and we will say it, and you 260 00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:07,840 Speaker 2: can take your input. 261 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:11,400 Speaker 4: Yeah, you're your input at text line four one KFTC. 262 00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:18,920 Speaker 2: Corey Booker just delivered the longest speech in Senate history 263 00:14:19,080 --> 00:14:21,440 Speaker 2: at twenty five hours and five minutes. 264 00:14:21,840 --> 00:14:24,200 Speaker 5: Check out the other historically long speeches that knocked off 265 00:14:24,200 --> 00:14:24,880 Speaker 5: the top of the list. 266 00:14:25,280 --> 00:14:28,360 Speaker 6: Senator Strom Thurmond in nineteen fifty seven, your dad after 267 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:30,720 Speaker 6: he found weed in your sock drawer. Your coworker telling 268 00:14:30,720 --> 00:14:33,000 Speaker 6: you about a dream they had last night. Adrian Brody 269 00:14:33,040 --> 00:14:35,880 Speaker 6: accepting the Oscar for Best Actor. Every group of bridesmaids 270 00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:37,720 Speaker 6: whose speech starts with for those of you who don't 271 00:14:37,760 --> 00:14:40,080 Speaker 6: know us, we're Becka's best friends from growing up. The 272 00:14:40,200 --> 00:14:42,240 Speaker 6: person over fifty when you asked them for directions, the 273 00:14:42,320 --> 00:14:44,440 Speaker 6: waiter reciting the specials when you already know you're just 274 00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:48,120 Speaker 6: getting the burger, and Joe Biden saying one sentence, Hey. 275 00:14:48,040 --> 00:14:50,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a fucking good the list now he holds 276 00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:56,720 Speaker 2: the records are really good. Boy. That Corey Booker, idiotic stunt, 277 00:14:56,840 --> 00:15:01,200 Speaker 2: gotten zero attention, hilarious bride He's made for those who 278 00:15:01,240 --> 00:15:03,320 Speaker 2: don't know we've been best friends since here comes the 279 00:15:03,440 --> 00:15:04,000 Speaker 2: lost story. 280 00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:05,480 Speaker 7: Boy. 281 00:15:08,040 --> 00:15:10,480 Speaker 2: It's not for me, it's for them. It's their day. Sure, 282 00:15:10,600 --> 00:15:12,840 Speaker 2: so I'll just think about something else. Why I tell this? 283 00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:15,200 Speaker 4: So let me run through a couple of things for 284 00:15:15,280 --> 00:15:18,920 Speaker 4: you in our limited time. In this segment, Kanye West 285 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:23,760 Speaker 4: confirms split from his wife Bianca after his disturbing rants, 286 00:15:24,280 --> 00:15:26,240 Speaker 4: which Joe mentioned the other day if you haven't watched him, 287 00:15:26,240 --> 00:15:27,520 Speaker 4: he did an interview in. 288 00:15:27,440 --> 00:15:31,560 Speaker 2: A full Ku Kus Klan outfit, but black instead of white. 289 00:15:31,640 --> 00:15:34,800 Speaker 2: The Pointy Hood and everything did the interviews through the mask, 290 00:15:35,240 --> 00:15:38,560 Speaker 2: so it was wrong and an interview guy had to 291 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:41,359 Speaker 2: be thinking, dude, I get it, all right, you're outrageous. 292 00:15:41,400 --> 00:15:43,320 Speaker 2: Take off the mask. So this is audio. 293 00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:46,080 Speaker 4: It sounds terrible anyway. So his wife is taken off. 294 00:15:46,120 --> 00:15:49,040 Speaker 4: He says he's tracking her on her on his app. 295 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:52,200 Speaker 4: He's tracking her and she ran away. Okay, So there's 296 00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:56,640 Speaker 4: that Another New York Post got her chipped like a dog. Well, 297 00:15:56,680 --> 00:15:58,440 Speaker 4: you know you probably do. Maybe you do this, I 298 00:15:58,440 --> 00:16:01,280 Speaker 4: don't know, but you know, like you share your location 299 00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:05,960 Speaker 4: with youruse absolutely his sons whatever. Yeah, but i'd thought 300 00:16:06,000 --> 00:16:11,400 Speaker 4: she'd have turned dolf. Yeah, New York Post headline. Another 301 00:16:11,440 --> 00:16:14,920 Speaker 4: one dog breaks Guinness World record for a number of 302 00:16:14,960 --> 00:16:17,480 Speaker 4: tennis balls in mouth at once. M I didn't know 303 00:16:17,560 --> 00:16:19,520 Speaker 4: that was a record. The question is does a dog 304 00:16:19,560 --> 00:16:21,680 Speaker 4: know he was breaking a record? His dog has looks 305 00:16:21,680 --> 00:16:23,480 Speaker 4: to be like five tennis balls in his mouth the way. 306 00:16:23,760 --> 00:16:27,400 Speaker 4: That's a good boy, good boy, we've set a world record. Congratulations. 307 00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:29,880 Speaker 4: And I had another one I wanted to get on. Oh, 308 00:16:30,120 --> 00:16:33,000 Speaker 4: this high school baseball player whose name happens to be 309 00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:36,040 Speaker 4: Jack Bauer. If you're old enough to remember the TV 310 00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:38,560 Speaker 4: show twenty four, he wears the number twenty four on 311 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:40,520 Speaker 4: his jersey because his name is Jack bar. I'm sure 312 00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:42,320 Speaker 4: his parents had to tell him about this because he 313 00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:44,880 Speaker 4: was born after that show was on. But he's a 314 00:16:44,960 --> 00:16:47,000 Speaker 4: high school kid and he throws one hundred and two 315 00:16:47,040 --> 00:16:50,360 Speaker 4: miles an hour. No and uh yeah, and he's like 316 00:16:50,440 --> 00:16:51,840 Speaker 4: everybody's paying attention to him. 317 00:16:51,880 --> 00:16:54,080 Speaker 2: Obviously. He had a game Tuesday. 318 00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:58,120 Speaker 4: His fastball averaged between ninety seven and one oh one 319 00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:00,560 Speaker 4: in the Tuesday game. Now, as a high school player, 320 00:17:00,560 --> 00:17:02,360 Speaker 4: you gotta be thinking, can I just can me just 321 00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:04,280 Speaker 4: do they have a thing where I can just forfeit 322 00:17:04,400 --> 00:17:06,520 Speaker 4: my bat bat so I don't take one in the 323 00:17:06,560 --> 00:17:07,480 Speaker 4: head if he happens to. 324 00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:10,680 Speaker 2: Lose it, I would be at the far back outside 325 00:17:10,800 --> 00:17:16,159 Speaker 2: corner of the batter's box, covering myself up, saying, dude, 326 00:17:16,200 --> 00:17:19,080 Speaker 2: you're either going to throw three strikes or four balls first. 327 00:17:19,240 --> 00:17:21,320 Speaker 2: I'm either going to head to the bench or first base. 328 00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:22,159 Speaker 2: Go ahead. 329 00:17:24,840 --> 00:17:27,640 Speaker 4: I'm not gonna be killed today. One other sport thing, 330 00:17:28,160 --> 00:17:30,320 Speaker 4: you know. So, I was at my son's volleyball game 331 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:33,520 Speaker 4: last night. Real volleyball where you have howard eight people 332 00:17:33,520 --> 00:17:36,239 Speaker 4: on each side. That is so much more entertaining than 333 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:38,760 Speaker 4: the two person beach volleyball. I don't care what anybody 334 00:17:38,840 --> 00:17:41,960 Speaker 4: says regular volleyball is really exciting. 335 00:17:43,359 --> 00:17:46,760 Speaker 2: But they're not sexy babes wearing thongs, right, that's the thing. 336 00:17:46,760 --> 00:17:49,040 Speaker 4: They aren't not bigini, So it'll never be an Olympic 337 00:17:49,080 --> 00:17:50,600 Speaker 4: sport that anybody pays the attention to. 338 00:17:51,119 --> 00:17:54,359 Speaker 2: So we need to revisit the Ezra Kleine progressive view 339 00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:56,600 Speaker 2: of life that we touched on yesterday, and we've got 340 00:17:56,640 --> 00:18:00,560 Speaker 2: some great reaction to that via email more of talk, 341 00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:03,840 Speaker 2: including I've meant to throw in. Speaking for myself, there's 342 00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:06,480 Speaker 2: no question this is terrible for me in the short 343 00:18:06,560 --> 00:18:10,320 Speaker 2: term financially speaking. Oh yeah, Oh it's awful. So believe me. 344 00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:12,800 Speaker 2: I'm not touting this because I think it'll help me. 345 00:18:15,280 --> 00:18:16,479 Speaker 1: Armstrong and getty. 346 00:18:18,000 --> 00:18:20,120 Speaker 7: You can see now that we are in a pre 347 00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:24,399 Speaker 7: civil war culture now, But I look at the politics 348 00:18:24,400 --> 00:18:28,040 Speaker 7: of it, of where people are in this country today 349 00:18:29,320 --> 00:18:31,960 Speaker 7: and the division and how they're holding fast and no 350 00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:38,040 Speaker 7: one's going to falter, no one's going to break or. 351 00:18:39,320 --> 00:18:45,359 Speaker 2: A compromise, and it's bad. Hands up, hands up, don't shoot. 352 00:18:45,359 --> 00:18:46,320 Speaker 2: That's Alec Baldwin. 353 00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:49,719 Speaker 4: I'm saying we're in a pre civil war culture. 354 00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:53,320 Speaker 2: So I I hope he's wrong about that. I'll grow 355 00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:55,240 Speaker 2: my beard out. I don't I don't know what to 356 00:18:55,280 --> 00:18:56,080 Speaker 2: do alec. 357 00:18:56,000 --> 00:18:59,760 Speaker 4: But we are quite polarized, and nobody's giving and I 358 00:18:59,760 --> 00:19:02,639 Speaker 4: don't know that I feel like it's improving any But 359 00:19:04,520 --> 00:19:09,240 Speaker 4: I've always been interested in the how, you know, people 360 00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:12,840 Speaker 4: grow up with a lefty view of the world, you 361 00:19:12,880 --> 00:19:15,120 Speaker 4: go up with a conservative view of the world, and 362 00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:18,880 Speaker 4: just they're so different and what causes that and all 363 00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:21,240 Speaker 4: that different sort of thing. But we were talking yesterday 364 00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:23,119 Speaker 4: about this interview I heard with Ezra Kline of The 365 00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:26,040 Speaker 4: New York Times in which he was asked to describe 366 00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:30,119 Speaker 4: the lefty point of view and to summarize it fairly succinctly, 367 00:19:30,480 --> 00:19:33,359 Speaker 4: And it made me scream out loud in my bedroom. Oh, 368 00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:36,280 Speaker 4: you've got to every beginning, because he got into the 369 00:19:36,320 --> 00:19:41,359 Speaker 4: whole Look, life is unfair, and people have different advantages. 370 00:19:41,400 --> 00:19:43,639 Speaker 4: Where you're born, how smart your parents were, how you know, 371 00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:45,199 Speaker 4: blah blah blah, the kind of school you went to 372 00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:47,800 Speaker 4: do So if you're successful, you didn't do that, you 373 00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:52,080 Speaker 4: didn't build that in the famous Obama thing. And so 374 00:19:52,760 --> 00:19:55,040 Speaker 4: the job of the government is to try to you know, 375 00:19:55,320 --> 00:19:57,639 Speaker 4: you can't get perfect outcomes, but the job of the 376 00:19:57,640 --> 00:20:01,080 Speaker 4: government is trying to level that out, right, I thought, Okay, yeah, 377 00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:03,119 Speaker 4: how so who's going to make those decisions? 378 00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:05,840 Speaker 2: First of all? You, I guess yeah, And gosh, who's 379 00:20:05,840 --> 00:20:08,359 Speaker 2: going to end up really benefiting from the power to 380 00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:10,760 Speaker 2: make those decisions? Golly, I can't even guess. 381 00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:15,440 Speaker 4: And always my thing, nobody ever throws in personal choices, 382 00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:16,960 Speaker 4: decisions you've made. 383 00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:18,840 Speaker 2: Throughout your life for how you ended up where you were. 384 00:20:18,960 --> 00:20:20,439 Speaker 2: It's just you were born in the right town and 385 00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:21,879 Speaker 2: your parents were this or that. 386 00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:25,760 Speaker 4: My parents weren't rich, by the way, But whatever Evan 387 00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:29,159 Speaker 4: Jews have, nobody gives you any credit or discredit for 388 00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:30,160 Speaker 4: life choices. 389 00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:34,040 Speaker 2: Right, And we talked about how, as laid out so 390 00:20:34,080 --> 00:20:37,160 Speaker 2: beautifully by Thomas Sowell in his book A Conflict of Visions, 391 00:20:38,320 --> 00:20:41,480 Speaker 2: you got what he calls the constrained vision of mankind, 392 00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:44,600 Speaker 2: which is essentially more conservative. It relies heavily on the 393 00:20:44,600 --> 00:20:47,200 Speaker 2: belief that human nature is essentially unchanging and that man 394 00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:50,840 Speaker 2: is naturally inherently self interested, regardless of the best intentions. 395 00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:55,080 Speaker 2: And those with a constrained vision prefer these systematic processes 396 00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:57,880 Speaker 2: of the rule of law and the experience of tradition 397 00:20:58,320 --> 00:21:02,240 Speaker 2: compromises essential because they're no ideal solutions, only trade offs. 398 00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,960 Speaker 2: On the other hand, the unconstrained or progressive ezraclined point 399 00:21:05,960 --> 00:21:09,200 Speaker 2: of view, it relies heavily on the belief that human 400 00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:13,760 Speaker 2: nature is essentially good. Those with unconstrained visions distrust decentralized 401 00:21:13,760 --> 00:21:17,480 Speaker 2: processes like the free market and are impatient with large 402 00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:21,520 Speaker 2: institutions and systemic processes that constrain human action. They believe 403 00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:24,439 Speaker 2: there is an ideal solution to every problem and that 404 00:21:24,520 --> 00:21:29,080 Speaker 2: compromises never acceptable. Collateral damage is merely the price of 405 00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:32,560 Speaker 2: moving forward on the road to perfection, and the best part. 406 00:21:33,080 --> 00:21:36,360 Speaker 2: Saul often refers to them as the self anointed. Ultimately, 407 00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:39,280 Speaker 2: they believe that man is morally perfectible, and because of this, 408 00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:42,000 Speaker 2: they believe that there exists some people who are further 409 00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:46,119 Speaker 2: along the path of moral development and have overcome self 410 00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:49,040 Speaker 2: interest that's what Asraclined would tell you, and are immune 411 00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:51,200 Speaker 2: to the influence of power and therefore can act as 412 00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:54,280 Speaker 2: surrogate decision makers for the rest of us, which is 413 00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:57,359 Speaker 2: I can't decide whether to vomit or guffaw. 414 00:21:57,600 --> 00:22:00,840 Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, that's hilarious that notion. So yeah, I'd buy 415 00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:05,399 Speaker 4: the view that even if I agree one hundred percent 416 00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:09,680 Speaker 4: that successful people didn't earn that. It's just you know, circumstances. 417 00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:13,560 Speaker 4: I don't believe at all that the government could have 418 00:22:13,600 --> 00:22:15,000 Speaker 4: a role in trying to fix that. 419 00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:20,840 Speaker 2: Situation right right now. If somebody is blind or different thing, yeah, 420 00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:25,280 Speaker 2: developmentally disabled, autistic, whatever, that's an entirely different question. So 421 00:22:25,280 --> 00:22:29,320 Speaker 2: we got a couple of interesting reactions via email mail 422 00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:31,040 Speaker 2: bag at Armstrong you getdy dot com. Is the email 423 00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:33,200 Speaker 2: addressed if you ever want to react to anything, keep 424 00:22:33,240 --> 00:22:36,399 Speaker 2: it short if you can. But Dan, who says he 425 00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:39,680 Speaker 2: signs off your backyard, California, get the hell out of 426 00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:42,720 Speaker 2: my backyard, Dan, You'll be shot all right. Wow. Anyway, 427 00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:46,399 Speaker 2: he's had mentioned earlier if you read one of my 428 00:22:46,440 --> 00:22:48,320 Speaker 2: emails in your life, this is the one I want 429 00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:52,239 Speaker 2: you to be aware. Okay, Ezra didn't say it out right, 430 00:22:52,280 --> 00:22:54,840 Speaker 2: but he's addressing your point about people's life decisions. When 431 00:22:54,840 --> 00:22:57,720 Speaker 2: he says life is unfair. Here's the scary, crazy point. 432 00:22:57,760 --> 00:22:59,600 Speaker 2: He's not saying out loud because it would make him 433 00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:02,520 Speaker 2: sound like a lunatic. He does not believe in free will. 434 00:23:02,560 --> 00:23:04,720 Speaker 2: Trust me. My brother and his girlfriend are liberal and 435 00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:07,639 Speaker 2: highly educated, and when having a friendly political debate with me, 436 00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:10,760 Speaker 2: they spat out Ezra's crazy worldview almost word for word. 437 00:23:11,119 --> 00:23:13,000 Speaker 2: And when I brought up your point that everyone makes 438 00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:16,399 Speaker 2: decisions in life greatly affects their outcomes, they defended their 439 00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:20,040 Speaker 2: position with this. There's a crazy, almost Marxist ideology going 440 00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:22,600 Speaker 2: around with progressives right now that we did not make 441 00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:25,560 Speaker 2: our own decisions, it was all predetermined or destined. I've 442 00:23:25,600 --> 00:23:27,679 Speaker 2: never heard this. This is I'm glad this is being 443 00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:30,600 Speaker 2: brought to my attention. I have heard mostly people of 444 00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:33,040 Speaker 2: a progressive bent, saying there is no free will. It's 445 00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:36,480 Speaker 2: an illusion because we are are genetic selves and it's 446 00:23:36,520 --> 00:23:39,440 Speaker 2: all okay, So what am I supposed to do with that? Well, 447 00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:43,199 Speaker 2: well exactly, Yeah, you've bottom lined it for me. So 448 00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:48,040 Speaker 2: I guess my genetics were be young, impulsive and not 449 00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:50,600 Speaker 2: a big fan of rules and make a series of 450 00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:53,639 Speaker 2: bad decisions from which I had learned and then started 451 00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:57,120 Speaker 2: to make much better decisions. But that was all predetermined, 452 00:23:57,200 --> 00:24:01,159 Speaker 2: I guess anyway. Oh ba ba bah. All they straight 453 00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:04,399 Speaker 2: up said to me, I get just got lucky, and 454 00:24:04,440 --> 00:24:06,359 Speaker 2: that every so called decision I made in my life 455 00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:08,920 Speaker 2: was predetermined. If you think about it for a little bit, 456 00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:12,040 Speaker 2: you'll realize how sick and horrible. This ideology is. Imagine, 457 00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:14,280 Speaker 2: they're able to convince more and more people that quote, 458 00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:16,359 Speaker 2: you don't need to feel guilty about your decisions, you 459 00:24:16,359 --> 00:24:18,520 Speaker 2: don't need to try to make good decisions because it 460 00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:20,960 Speaker 2: was always going to happen this way. Then maybe I 461 00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:23,399 Speaker 2: would shut down my business right now, because that's not 462 00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:25,399 Speaker 2: actually a decision. It was always going to be happening. 463 00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:26,399 Speaker 2: It always going to happen. 464 00:24:26,760 --> 00:24:28,680 Speaker 4: I assume many of us have had this free will 465 00:24:28,760 --> 00:24:32,280 Speaker 4: discussion or heard it or whatever. But I mean, like today, 466 00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:35,359 Speaker 4: I'm either going to decide to stick to my diet 467 00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:37,400 Speaker 4: or I'm going to say, screw it, need a bunch 468 00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:41,480 Speaker 4: of donuts. And you're telling me that's predetermined. I'm not okay, 469 00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:44,359 Speaker 4: you have no say if your eyes open. Is this 470 00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:47,080 Speaker 4: sick philosophy spreads more and more amongst young people. I'm 471 00:24:47,080 --> 00:24:49,200 Speaker 4: thirty six, my brother's thirty eight, so we're not even 472 00:24:49,240 --> 00:24:53,159 Speaker 4: the young generation that it's susceptible to this crazy the ideology, 473 00:24:53,160 --> 00:24:54,160 Speaker 4: but it's spreading all right. 474 00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:56,480 Speaker 2: Then we got this from a frequent correspondent. 475 00:24:56,560 --> 00:25:00,679 Speaker 4: Obviously that's fantastic if you're on the Ezra Klein's of things, 476 00:25:00,760 --> 00:25:05,160 Speaker 4: because then that gives you the go ahead to have 477 00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:08,800 Speaker 4: the tremendous government and intervention to try to even things out. 478 00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:12,040 Speaker 4: Because nobody is responsible for their success or their lack 479 00:25:12,080 --> 00:25:15,320 Speaker 4: of success, the redistribution only makes sense. 480 00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:18,400 Speaker 2: And while the Ezra clients of the world are exercising 481 00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:24,160 Speaker 2: the stunning, unimaginable power of making everything equal by manipulating everything, 482 00:25:24,520 --> 00:25:28,360 Speaker 2: they'll also carve off a certain percent for themselves. Happens 483 00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:33,320 Speaker 2: every single Timetris says, I. 484 00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:36,160 Speaker 4: He's a richest person in Venezuela. You Goo Chevez's daughter. 485 00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:39,320 Speaker 4: H imagine that anyway I want. 486 00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:42,680 Speaker 2: Too, so JT and livermore right, say, Ezra's worldview about 487 00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:45,560 Speaker 2: progressives is total horse spit. He really cares about how 488 00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:47,800 Speaker 2: unequal different people's lives are. He should ask himself why 489 00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:49,800 Speaker 2: he doesn't give away all his money and wealth and 490 00:25:49,840 --> 00:25:53,399 Speaker 2: possessions that exceeded eighty three hundred and sixty dollars. The 491 00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:55,960 Speaker 2: median American net worth is one hundred and ninety two 492 00:25:55,960 --> 00:25:58,960 Speaker 2: thousand dollars. The median human net worth is eighty three 493 00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:01,639 Speaker 2: hundred dollars. I say, those bleeding heart liberals need to 494 00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:04,040 Speaker 2: first put their own money where their mouth is. Start 495 00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:06,000 Speaker 2: by example, you're in the upper half of people in 496 00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:08,119 Speaker 2: the world that have more than median value, and so 497 00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:10,040 Speaker 2: you should give all the rest to the un to 498 00:26:10,119 --> 00:26:12,359 Speaker 2: distribute to those who have less than you. It is 499 00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:16,359 Speaker 2: the exact same horse spit virtue signaling that rich liberals 500 00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:19,000 Speaker 2: are always spouting but failing to lead by example respect 501 00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:22,160 Speaker 2: to tax rates. Nothing is keeping Bill Gates or Warren 502 00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:25,840 Speaker 2: Buffett or Nancy pelosire Bernard Sanders from writing a big 503 00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:28,280 Speaker 2: fat check to the US Treasury to cover their proposed 504 00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:30,800 Speaker 2: wealth tax, or a big fat check equal to the 505 00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:33,639 Speaker 2: higher tax rate that they think is fair for somebody 506 00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:36,280 Speaker 2: of their wealth or income. But the next time I 507 00:26:36,320 --> 00:26:38,359 Speaker 2: hear about a wealthy liberal writing an extra check to 508 00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:40,520 Speaker 2: the US Treasury and support of their stated belief that 509 00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:43,080 Speaker 2: the wealthy should pay more in taxes, it will be 510 00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:46,639 Speaker 2: the first time. Yeah, hey, Isra do you fly first class? 511 00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:47,359 Speaker 2: I'm guessing you do. 512 00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:49,879 Speaker 4: Why don't you fly coach and give that money to 513 00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:52,480 Speaker 4: that guy sitting out tried the airport begging for money. 514 00:26:52,600 --> 00:26:54,679 Speaker 2: I mean you didn't deserve it. He didn't deserve it. 515 00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:57,800 Speaker 2: And finally, listening to as their speak, it sounded exactly 516 00:26:57,840 --> 00:27:01,960 Speaker 2: like the Marxists taking equity, talking equity and that equity 517 00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:04,480 Speaker 2: is just the latest iteration of something that's stuck to 518 00:27:04,520 --> 00:27:06,480 Speaker 2: the wall. They don't believe any of what they say. 519 00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:09,080 Speaker 2: It's just the latest method they can think to justify 520 00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:11,800 Speaker 2: their side. I would say that's true, JT. It brings 521 00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:13,919 Speaker 2: us back to a discussion Jack and I always have. 522 00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:18,479 Speaker 2: Are the people we're talking about, the activists who know 523 00:27:18,520 --> 00:27:22,440 Speaker 2: precisely what they're doing, or they're at least driving the train, 524 00:27:22,880 --> 00:27:26,000 Speaker 2: or are they the nice, dopey people who hear that 525 00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:29,920 Speaker 2: moral argument about No, Those people aren't like, don't make 526 00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:32,720 Speaker 2: bad decisions, or their culture doesn't reward learning or whatever. 527 00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:35,639 Speaker 2: They've just been unlucky and they think to be a 528 00:27:35,640 --> 00:27:37,639 Speaker 2: good person. I need to adhere to that point of view. 529 00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:40,440 Speaker 4: I know smart people, really smart people smarter than me. 530 00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:42,919 Speaker 4: People that believe what you just said, actually believe it. 531 00:27:43,760 --> 00:27:46,639 Speaker 2: Uh, proving once again intelligence is not wisdom. 532 00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:48,240 Speaker 4: It's hard for me to wrap my head around. And 533 00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:51,600 Speaker 4: then there's the whole cultural thing of if you believe 534 00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:54,879 Speaker 4: in decisions that will you believe you make decisions that 535 00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:56,720 Speaker 4: they aren't preordained the. 536 00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:57,720 Speaker 2: Way it affects culture. 537 00:27:57,800 --> 00:27:59,960 Speaker 4: You know, I'm raising my kids, you raise your kid 538 00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:02,159 Speaker 4: I'm sure in a certain way, because you've looked at 539 00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:05,520 Speaker 4: the outcome of other families who did certain things, and 540 00:28:05,560 --> 00:28:08,480 Speaker 4: you want your kids to have a better outcome. So 541 00:28:08,560 --> 00:28:10,760 Speaker 4: you know, and I tell my kids all the time, 542 00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:13,200 Speaker 4: people that do this end up with this, People that 543 00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:17,040 Speaker 4: do this end up with this, And so you get 544 00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:21,200 Speaker 4: a better result from society when people are observing these decisions. 545 00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:24,159 Speaker 2: Yeah, in a hundred different ways, including much less crime, 546 00:28:24,280 --> 00:28:27,680 Speaker 2: for instance. Yeah, that's wild. 547 00:28:28,920 --> 00:28:31,680 Speaker 4: Is this a new thing? I mean, I know it's 548 00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:37,240 Speaker 4: not entirely new, It's been around since the beginning of philosophy, 549 00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:40,280 Speaker 4: But is this a new thing among the American left 550 00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:43,920 Speaker 4: to talk about these are preordained decisions? 551 00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:48,320 Speaker 2: I think it's a new version of that argument that 552 00:28:48,680 --> 00:28:54,640 Speaker 2: the really interesting thing that nobody ever talks about is 553 00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:59,680 Speaker 2: that if you had that point of view prior to 554 00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:04,960 Speaker 2: DR's presidency, you would die of starvation, right, going back 555 00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:08,400 Speaker 2: to the dawn of effing man. Sorry, folks, I'm adamant 556 00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:12,040 Speaker 2: about this stuff. It's only because the modern welfare state 557 00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:15,440 Speaker 2: that you can indulge yourself in. Think this crap, right, 558 00:29:15,560 --> 00:29:18,480 Speaker 2: it's only eighty years old. You know. The lefties they 559 00:29:18,520 --> 00:29:22,080 Speaker 2: love to talk about like our native peoples, the Native tribes. 560 00:29:22,520 --> 00:29:26,880 Speaker 2: They shared equally. They shared the game that they caught, 561 00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:30,120 Speaker 2: and the fish and the food and the labor they shared. 562 00:29:30,520 --> 00:29:33,920 Speaker 2: And because they were nomads, they didn't particularly accumulate material 563 00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:36,600 Speaker 2: goods either, which is probably good. But anyway, what they 564 00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:42,320 Speaker 2: always leave out is that if you didn't contribute equally, 565 00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:45,400 Speaker 2: you were killed or left to starve. 566 00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:47,760 Speaker 4: Yeah, the idea that you could decide, you know what, 567 00:29:47,880 --> 00:29:50,320 Speaker 4: I'm just gonna drink firewater and sit under this shade 568 00:29:50,320 --> 00:29:52,560 Speaker 4: tree all day long because that's all predetermined. 569 00:29:52,600 --> 00:29:55,680 Speaker 2: I'm just less lucky than you, chief, and they'll share 570 00:29:55,720 --> 00:30:02,800 Speaker 2: equally with you. As hilarious. It's absolutely laughable. The crazy 571 00:30:02,840 --> 00:30:06,480 Speaker 2: ass ideas that people grasp. To quote Thomas Soul again, 572 00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:11,160 Speaker 2: there's some ideas so idiotic only an intellectual could have them. 573 00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:14,880 Speaker 4: I had this same belief when I was poor, by 574 00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:16,560 Speaker 4: the way, I really did. 575 00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:20,800 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, yeah. I remember hearing about the progressive income 576 00:30:20,880 --> 00:30:24,200 Speaker 2: tax rates in high school as a kid wearing hand 577 00:30:24,280 --> 00:30:27,960 Speaker 2: me down clothes. I thought, everybody pays ten percent, so 578 00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:30,120 Speaker 2: of course people will make more money, pay more. That's 579 00:30:30,120 --> 00:30:33,360 Speaker 2: what a percentage is. But no, my teacher explained to me, no, no, no, no, 580 00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:37,000 Speaker 2: no no. The quote unquote wealthy, the rich whatever, they 581 00:30:37,040 --> 00:30:39,960 Speaker 2: pay a much higher percentage, And sitting there in my 582 00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:46,000 Speaker 2: handme down clothes, I thought that's wrong. Well, so that 583 00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:46,720 Speaker 2: ain't going away. 584 00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:51,400 Speaker 4: But yeah, the whole idea of if you're successful, you 585 00:30:51,480 --> 00:30:54,560 Speaker 4: didn't you don't get any credit for that is just 586 00:30:54,600 --> 00:30:56,480 Speaker 4: a good way to destroy society. 587 00:30:56,760 --> 00:30:58,840 Speaker 2: Yeah. Wow, that's horrifying. 588 00:30:59,080 --> 00:31:01,240 Speaker 4: You can comment on that line four one, five two 589 00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:07,280 Speaker 4: nine five Kftcara, are you terrified? 590 00:31:07,320 --> 00:31:09,440 Speaker 2: Ied? Is it terrifying? 591 00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:15,240 Speaker 4: We've got some uh tariff uh of a way to 592 00:31:15,280 --> 00:31:16,920 Speaker 4: look at the whole thing in just a second. It's 593 00:31:16,960 --> 00:31:20,280 Speaker 4: the no good, horrible terrifule day. More on that to 594 00:31:20,320 --> 00:31:21,160 Speaker 4: come stay with us. 595 00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:24,200 Speaker 2: Plus, one of our favorite clips of twenty twenty four 596 00:31:24,320 --> 00:31:27,800 Speaker 2: has at long last been turned into a most song, 597 00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:31,000 Speaker 2: a remix of some sorts so well we needed. It's 598 00:31:31,080 --> 00:31:33,160 Speaker 2: ridiculous but kind of funny, So stay with us for that. 599 00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:35,280 Speaker 2: Just to follow up to our previous discussion that I 600 00:31:35,320 --> 00:31:38,520 Speaker 2: swear I will shut up about all this and if 601 00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:41,040 Speaker 2: you didn't hear it, grab the podcast Armstrong Getdy on demand. 602 00:31:41,040 --> 00:31:43,760 Speaker 2: We were talking about the progressive worldview and how you 603 00:31:43,800 --> 00:31:46,280 Speaker 2: didn't build that and it's all luck and blah, blah blah, 604 00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:50,040 Speaker 2: the other unholy side of that coin. During the break, 605 00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:52,640 Speaker 2: we were talking about a horrific shooting in a pharmacy 606 00:31:53,160 --> 00:31:56,600 Speaker 2: or a disgruntled guy killed some poor pharmacy worker who's 607 00:31:56,680 --> 00:31:59,959 Speaker 2: just there to make a living job. They probably didn't love, 608 00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:02,800 Speaker 2: as Jack said, and they might hate big farm as 609 00:32:02,880 --> 00:32:09,080 Speaker 2: much as you. Exactly. That guy believed his crappy life 610 00:32:09,600 --> 00:32:12,160 Speaker 2: was not his fault, right, and that he was a 611 00:32:12,280 --> 00:32:16,680 Speaker 2: victim of people and forces that control him. That is 612 00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:19,840 Speaker 2: the other side of that philosophy. You want to know 613 00:32:20,120 --> 00:32:23,760 Speaker 2: why there are school shooters now and there never were before, 614 00:32:23,960 --> 00:32:26,200 Speaker 2: including when every kid had a rifle in his gun 615 00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:28,920 Speaker 2: rack in his pickup truck at school in the country. 616 00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:33,200 Speaker 2: At least, it's because of that change in the culture. 617 00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:36,160 Speaker 2: There might not be a more corrosive and horrifying philosophy 618 00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:39,560 Speaker 2: on earth than You're not responsible for you. 619 00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:42,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, it should be considered child abuse to teach your 620 00:32:42,120 --> 00:32:45,440 Speaker 4: kid that failure is not your fault. 621 00:32:45,840 --> 00:32:48,880 Speaker 2: End of rant. Oh, that is troubling anyway. 622 00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:51,320 Speaker 4: So it is the whole tariff thing today. This is 623 00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:53,560 Speaker 4: worth talking about a lot because it's a huge, huge 624 00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:55,680 Speaker 4: deal for the whole planet and how it works out. 625 00:32:55,720 --> 00:32:56,960 Speaker 2: We don't know. Nobody knows. 626 00:32:57,440 --> 00:33:00,280 Speaker 4: Trump has been He's had a theory on this his 627 00:33:00,360 --> 00:33:02,280 Speaker 4: whole life, and we'll see how it turns out. 628 00:33:02,280 --> 00:33:02,600 Speaker 2: Anyway. 629 00:33:02,640 --> 00:33:06,400 Speaker 4: Here's Howard Lutnik, who's one of Trump's big financial advisors, 630 00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:08,680 Speaker 4: being interviewed about it today. 631 00:33:09,160 --> 00:33:10,960 Speaker 3: If the market here in the US opens at nine 632 00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:13,800 Speaker 3: am and things head south, is there a. 633 00:33:13,760 --> 00:33:16,360 Speaker 2: Red line for you pulling back and saying, Okay, hold on, 634 00:33:16,440 --> 00:33:18,880 Speaker 2: we're going to rethink things. No, you know, I mean, 635 00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:20,080 Speaker 2: come on the markets. 636 00:33:20,680 --> 00:33:22,880 Speaker 5: When Donald Trump was the president last time, he put 637 00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:25,280 Speaker 5: on tariffs, and if you go back and look at 638 00:33:25,280 --> 00:33:28,840 Speaker 5: that news, everybody said, oh my gosh, oh my gosh. 639 00:33:29,040 --> 00:33:31,200 Speaker 5: And the stock market, as you heard him say yesterday, 640 00:33:31,280 --> 00:33:35,280 Speaker 5: up eighty eight percent during his presidency. So what you've 641 00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:37,440 Speaker 5: got to realize is sure, there's going to be some 642 00:33:37,480 --> 00:33:41,520 Speaker 5: short term movement, but this is a reordering of global trade. 643 00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:45,720 Speaker 5: It's time for America to manufacture again. And I think 644 00:33:45,760 --> 00:33:51,080 Speaker 5: these changes in the stock market while their initial long term, 645 00:33:51,160 --> 00:33:54,680 Speaker 5: you've got to assume a medium term and employment based, 646 00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:58,240 Speaker 5: you're going to see America thrive. Interest rates are going 647 00:33:58,280 --> 00:34:00,960 Speaker 5: to come down, as we said, and America is going 648 00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:04,000 Speaker 5: to thrive. And that's what Donald Trump is about is 649 00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:08,000 Speaker 5: about employing Americans, building in America and having Americans be 650 00:34:08,160 --> 00:34:08,920 Speaker 5: the winners. 651 00:34:09,400 --> 00:34:10,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's why I started the show with. 652 00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:14,000 Speaker 4: In my opinion, any analysis of this that's going to 653 00:34:14,120 --> 00:34:19,000 Speaker 4: lean on what the stock market did today come on well. 654 00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:23,839 Speaker 2: Especially because the stock market is rife with speculation. It's 655 00:34:23,920 --> 00:34:28,520 Speaker 2: like the NFT craze. Nobody wanted a dumb ap yacht 656 00:34:28,680 --> 00:34:34,040 Speaker 2: society or whatever it was NFT. It was pure speculation, 657 00:34:34,320 --> 00:34:37,560 Speaker 2: and a lot of the stock market is too. Jd Vance. 658 00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:40,919 Speaker 2: I don't think we have time or do we have time? Yeah, 659 00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:42,480 Speaker 2: play fifty seven for us, Michael. 660 00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:46,120 Speaker 3: What I'd ask folks to appreciate here is that we 661 00:34:46,160 --> 00:34:49,040 Speaker 3: are not going to fix things overnight. Joe Biden left us. 662 00:34:49,160 --> 00:34:52,759 Speaker 3: This is not an exaggeration, lawrence. With the largest peacetime 663 00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:55,080 Speaker 3: debt and deficit in the history of the United States 664 00:34:55,120 --> 00:34:58,280 Speaker 3: of America, with sky high interest rates, you don't fix. 665 00:34:58,120 --> 00:35:00,719 Speaker 2: That stuff overnight. We know people are struggling. 666 00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:04,000 Speaker 3: We're fighting as quickly as we can to fix what 667 00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:06,920 Speaker 3: was left to us, but it's not going to happen immediately. 668 00:35:07,080 --> 00:35:09,000 Speaker 3: But we really do believe that if we pursue the 669 00:35:09,080 --> 00:35:13,719 Speaker 3: right deregulation we pursue those energy cost reducing policies. Yes, 670 00:35:13,840 --> 00:35:16,080 Speaker 3: people are going to see it in their pocketbook. They're 671 00:35:16,120 --> 00:35:18,760 Speaker 3: also going to benefit from the fact that foreign countries 672 00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:21,520 Speaker 3: can't take advantage of us anymore. That means their jobs 673 00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:22,480 Speaker 3: are going to be more secure. 674 00:35:23,920 --> 00:35:25,880 Speaker 2: If you're just tuning in, we've made the point a 675 00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:28,120 Speaker 2: couple of times and we'll dive back into it next hour. 676 00:35:28,320 --> 00:35:33,400 Speaker 2: That there hasn't been anything close to free trade going on. 677 00:35:34,600 --> 00:35:36,759 Speaker 2: The free traders are saying this is a trade war 678 00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:39,319 Speaker 2: Trump has started. The other countries around the world have 679 00:35:39,480 --> 00:35:42,400 Speaker 2: to either a greater or lesser extent, been tariffing the 680 00:35:42,440 --> 00:35:44,640 Speaker 2: hell out of American goods for the longest time. And 681 00:35:44,680 --> 00:35:46,160 Speaker 2: you know what, in the wake of World War Two, 682 00:35:46,160 --> 00:35:48,719 Speaker 2: when we stood astride the economy of the globe like 683 00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:51,680 Speaker 2: a colossus, I get that they needed help. We needed 684 00:35:51,680 --> 00:35:54,320 Speaker 2: to sell our stuff to someone. All right, exactly seventy 685 00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:57,360 Speaker 2: years down the line, now it is time for a 686 00:35:57,400 --> 00:36:01,200 Speaker 2: fundamental restructuring global trade. Will it work and how much 687 00:36:01,239 --> 00:36:03,960 Speaker 2: will it hurt? I don't know. I wish I did. 688 00:36:04,080 --> 00:36:05,520 Speaker 2: If I did, I would tell you we're not going 689 00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:09,600 Speaker 2: to find out in the first couple hours. No, there's 690 00:36:09,600 --> 00:36:12,080 Speaker 2: a new book out about the end of the Biden 691 00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:16,480 Speaker 2: presidency by a respected reporter, did an interview today. We 692 00:36:16,560 --> 00:36:20,520 Speaker 2: got some of the highlights on that coming up. Boy 693 00:36:20,560 --> 00:36:23,160 Speaker 2: Barack Obama did not think much of Kamala Harris as 694 00:36:23,239 --> 00:36:23,960 Speaker 2: one of the headlines 695 00:36:26,960 --> 00:36:28,120 Speaker 1: Armstrong and Getty