1 00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:03,200 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,279 --> 00:00:05,640 Speaker 1: your bets. It's bet Joey, p Joe PI Zapia and 3 00:00:05,760 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: this is bp NFL. It's time to look ahead to 4 00:00:08,840 --> 00:00:11,320 Speaker 1: the best bets for week eight. And to help us 5 00:00:11,360 --> 00:00:13,560 Speaker 1: do it, of course, there's our good palace Torell Ferman 6 00:00:13,640 --> 00:00:16,279 Speaker 1: Junior and the Undertaker himself Andrew Erickson. Don't forget to 7 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,200 Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel. We're trying to get to one 8 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 1: hundred thousand this year and we can do it with 9 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:22,040 Speaker 1: your help. Plus, we want you to download the Betting 10 00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:24,799 Speaker 1: pros app that's smarter, not harder. Use the tools. Don't 11 00:00:24,800 --> 00:00:27,280 Speaker 1: be a tool please, we're trying to help you out there. 12 00:00:27,480 --> 00:00:29,120 Speaker 1: So if you are new to wagering, or if you're 13 00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 1: somebody who's just trying it for the first time and 14 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:33,839 Speaker 1: you want some little extra help, or you're somebody that's 15 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:35,760 Speaker 1: been doing it for years and years and years and 16 00:00:36,400 --> 00:00:38,720 Speaker 1: you want to try something different, the Betting Pros app 17 00:00:38,760 --> 00:00:41,240 Speaker 1: is here for you. So let's get after it. Week eight, everybody, 18 00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:43,159 Speaker 1: it's gonna be a very exciting one. We got everybody 19 00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:46,080 Speaker 1: on a buy just to recap last week. Torell two 20 00:00:46,080 --> 00:00:48,840 Speaker 1: and three, but still over five hundred by five games 21 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:51,519 Speaker 1: on the season, ericson three and two, getting closer to 22 00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:54,680 Speaker 1: that five hundred mark there, So we are rocking and rolling, Torell. 23 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:56,960 Speaker 1: We're gonna start out with the Texans here in this 24 00:00:57,040 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 1: game against San Francisco. We've all got some different feelings 25 00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:03,280 Speaker 1: about this one, and who knows what the upset special 26 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 1: might be spoiler alert. Let's talk about this one, Trell. 27 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:08,760 Speaker 1: From your point of view, Texans forty nine ers, what 28 00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:09,600 Speaker 1: side are you on? 29 00:01:10,200 --> 00:01:12,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm all over the Texans in this spot. Give 30 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:13,880 Speaker 2: me the Texans lay the one and a half points, 31 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:16,959 Speaker 2: and it's on the back of that insanely good defense 32 00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:19,800 Speaker 2: that is just going out there and dominating games. Right now. 33 00:01:20,240 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 2: We all saw them on Monday Night, and I think 34 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 2: that's a little of the pessimism towards the past Texans. 35 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 2: Right now you're in a primetime spot. Everybody's watching your 36 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 2: offense look absolutely atrocious. But that defense won the turnover 37 00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:35,760 Speaker 2: battle by three. They had forts thardovers in the game. Like, 38 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:38,720 Speaker 2: I truly don't believe that mac Jones is gonna have 39 00:01:38,800 --> 00:01:41,919 Speaker 2: anything ready for this defense. Two games of mac Jones 40 00:01:41,959 --> 00:01:44,000 Speaker 2: looking horrible, by the way, he may have gotten to 41 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:46,440 Speaker 2: win against the Falcons, but this is now two games 42 00:01:46,440 --> 00:01:48,760 Speaker 2: of mac Jones and not looking good going up against 43 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:51,880 Speaker 2: the number one scoring defense fourteen point seven points per game, 44 00:01:52,320 --> 00:01:55,320 Speaker 2: fourth best third down defense, And I think that's important 45 00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:58,600 Speaker 2: because mac Jones gains more confidence as he continues to 46 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 2: drive as they go methodic down the field, and I 47 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:02,560 Speaker 2: don't think that they're going to be able to get 48 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:04,400 Speaker 2: him into a rhythm. He's not going to look good 49 00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:06,440 Speaker 2: and C. J. Strout's gonna be able to do enough 50 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:09,520 Speaker 2: at home where they haven't played a lot of home 51 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:11,760 Speaker 2: games this season. What is this week eight of the season. 52 00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 2: They've only played two home games up to this spot. 53 00:02:14,040 --> 00:02:16,080 Speaker 2: So I like them to get up in this spot 54 00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:18,160 Speaker 2: at home on the offensive side of the ball. Defense 55 00:02:18,160 --> 00:02:21,320 Speaker 2: carries them all the way Texans win going away. I'd 56 00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:22,760 Speaker 2: take it lay one and a half. 57 00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:25,239 Speaker 1: All right, Ericson, You've got some feelings about this game, 58 00:02:25,280 --> 00:02:26,600 Speaker 1: but it has to do with the total, which is 59 00:02:26,639 --> 00:02:29,359 Speaker 1: forty two and a half. So dare I ask undertaker 60 00:02:29,400 --> 00:02:31,079 Speaker 1: which way you're going? Well? 61 00:02:31,120 --> 00:02:33,519 Speaker 3: I was thinking about actually putting the forty nine ers here, 62 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:36,760 Speaker 3: but I got a little bit of cold feet with 63 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:38,840 Speaker 3: that because I was looking at the record with Kyle 64 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:42,960 Speaker 3: Shanahan and when he's faced number one defenses in terms 65 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:46,000 Speaker 3: of scoring, he is won and four straight up as 66 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:48,520 Speaker 3: a head coach or offensive coordinator, So that concerns me 67 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 3: about picking a side. So instead, I'm just going to 68 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:54,280 Speaker 3: bet against both offenses scoring points in this game. Because 69 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:56,720 Speaker 3: Furman laid out the case of why the Texans defense 70 00:02:56,960 --> 00:02:59,520 Speaker 3: is so elite for a Niners defense is not great, 71 00:02:59,800 --> 00:03:03,119 Speaker 3: but I still think this Texans offense has major problems. 72 00:03:03,200 --> 00:03:06,000 Speaker 3: They cannot block for a run or pass. Nico Collins 73 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 3: probably isn't gonna play like he is their one explosive 74 00:03:08,160 --> 00:03:09,760 Speaker 3: guy they have on offense, and he's probably not gonna 75 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:12,799 Speaker 3: play with a concussion that was on a short week. 76 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:15,680 Speaker 3: So I'm just gonna take the game total. Going under 77 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:18,320 Speaker 3: at forty two and a half points is the best 78 00:03:18,400 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 3: number I was able to find. You look at the 79 00:03:20,000 --> 00:03:23,080 Speaker 3: Texans when they play at home, Ten of the eleven 80 00:03:23,280 --> 00:03:26,919 Speaker 3: Texans last home games have gone under be projected total, 81 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 3: so in this year it's two and oh towards the under, 82 00:03:30,600 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 3: averaging a meager thirty two and a half points per 83 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 3: game in Texans home games this season. So I think 84 00:03:36,640 --> 00:03:38,280 Speaker 3: that this game is going to end up being tight. 85 00:03:38,320 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 3: I think it's going to kind of go down to 86 00:03:39,720 --> 00:03:42,280 Speaker 3: the fourth quarter. So Furman, get ready to bite those 87 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:44,000 Speaker 3: nailscause I think it's going to be a tight one. 88 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 3: As for me, I'm gonna be kicking back with the under, 89 00:03:46,920 --> 00:03:49,600 Speaker 3: cashing easily with no points scored in a seventeen to 90 00:03:49,640 --> 00:03:51,880 Speaker 3: thirteen game. Don't know who wins, but the I'm just 91 00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:52,600 Speaker 3: going to cash. 92 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 1: All right. Les up here on the program, we're going 93 00:03:55,840 --> 00:03:59,000 Speaker 1: to talk about the Patriots and the Browns and treel 94 00:03:59,040 --> 00:04:01,680 Speaker 1: Ferman Junior. You've made the money already this year betting 95 00:04:01,720 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 1: against the offense of the Cleveland Browns. So are we 96 00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:07,080 Speaker 1: gonna do it again in Week eight? 97 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:11,760 Speaker 2: Yes? Absolutely, give me the Browns team total under sixteen 98 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 2: and a half points. Here, Dylan Gabriel on the road. 99 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:17,599 Speaker 2: This Browns offense overall two four and one on the 100 00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:20,640 Speaker 2: season to their team total, and the Patriots are holding 101 00:04:20,680 --> 00:04:24,239 Speaker 2: opponents one and six to their team total this season. 102 00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:27,360 Speaker 2: I don't trust this team on the road. The only 103 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 2: way that they move the ball in any sort of 104 00:04:29,440 --> 00:04:32,279 Speaker 2: way at all is off the back of Quinn Shawn Jenkins, 105 00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:34,920 Speaker 2: and now Jenkins is going up against the fourth best 106 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:38,159 Speaker 2: run DVOD defense, So it's not gonna be a tough 107 00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:41,440 Speaker 2: shedding for him at all. And please just put the 108 00:04:41,440 --> 00:04:43,560 Speaker 2: ball in Gabriel's hand again. As long as they're not 109 00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:46,239 Speaker 2: throwing Shador out there, I feel good fading the Browns 110 00:04:46,320 --> 00:04:49,600 Speaker 2: every single week, honestly, Like, until you decide that you're 111 00:04:49,600 --> 00:04:52,159 Speaker 2: gonna put Shador out there on the field, your offense 112 00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:54,480 Speaker 2: is a complete fade. They might be a fade with 113 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:56,560 Speaker 2: Shador too, but I know for a fact they're a 114 00:04:56,560 --> 00:04:59,279 Speaker 2: fade without them. So give me the Browns team total 115 00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:01,120 Speaker 2: under sixteen half here. I don't think they put up 116 00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 2: points on this new England defense, which is first game 117 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:04,440 Speaker 2: at home in a while too. 118 00:05:04,960 --> 00:05:07,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, I haven't been great at home ericson this year, 119 00:05:07,560 --> 00:05:10,960 Speaker 1: but they've certainly been road warriors and are certainly building 120 00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:13,000 Speaker 1: momentum of these last few games here. Come off a 121 00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 1: huge win against the Tesse Titans where they pounded them 122 00:05:16,000 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 1: into oblivion, big win against Buffalo a few weeks ago. 123 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:21,640 Speaker 1: So they're just kind of stacking w's right now. Can 124 00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:24,080 Speaker 1: they stack another W and cover the seven? 125 00:05:25,040 --> 00:05:27,680 Speaker 3: I think that they can. Furman laid out a great 126 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:30,239 Speaker 3: point about how great the Patriots defense matches up against 127 00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:33,120 Speaker 3: this Cleveland Browns offense, So why aren't you just laying 128 00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:36,360 Speaker 3: the points with the Pats, Furman, I think that this 129 00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 3: one is a layup here. We want to bet against 130 00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:40,640 Speaker 3: rookie quarterbacks playing on the road. The one exception that 131 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:43,080 Speaker 3: I've now learned is except when they play in Denver, 132 00:05:43,360 --> 00:05:46,520 Speaker 3: because those rookie quarterbacks are two zero against the spread. 133 00:05:46,520 --> 00:05:47,960 Speaker 3: So I don't know if the Browns are playing at 134 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:50,279 Speaker 3: Denver later in the year, but we're gonna be back. 135 00:05:50,640 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 3: We're gonna be backing the Browns in that particular spot. 136 00:05:53,400 --> 00:05:55,240 Speaker 3: I just think the Patriots are playing They're one of 137 00:05:55,279 --> 00:05:57,480 Speaker 3: these hottest teams right now. Drake may leads the NFL 138 00:05:57,560 --> 00:06:00,320 Speaker 3: in passer rating. Gillan Gabriel away from Cleveland because he 139 00:06:00,360 --> 00:06:02,200 Speaker 3: had that one game in London they didn't cover. They 140 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:04,080 Speaker 3: obviously didn't cover in their one road game against the 141 00:06:04,080 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 3: Pittsburgh Steelers, so I like betting against Dylan Gabriel. Jerry 142 00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:09,719 Speaker 3: Judy is their number one wide receiver. He's on the 143 00:06:09,720 --> 00:06:11,720 Speaker 3: injury report this week. All they can do is run 144 00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:13,800 Speaker 3: the football with Judkins, and I think the Patriots defense 145 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:16,320 Speaker 3: can stop the run, make them more one dimensional force. 146 00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:20,200 Speaker 3: Gabriel and to turnover types of situations. So I just 147 00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 3: like backing Drake may No, it seems like a big spread, 148 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:24,800 Speaker 3: but Patriots have covered some of these larger spreads on 149 00:06:24,880 --> 00:06:27,039 Speaker 3: the road this season. They're back at home, and I 150 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:29,560 Speaker 3: think that the Gillete Stadium finally has something to cheer for. 151 00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:31,800 Speaker 3: And as a side note, my wife gets to go 152 00:06:31,880 --> 00:06:34,000 Speaker 3: to Patriot's game every single year, and every time she goes, 153 00:06:34,080 --> 00:06:36,480 Speaker 3: they usually kill the opponent, so it's probably gonna be 154 00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:37,840 Speaker 3: a blowout. So I like that. 155 00:06:37,920 --> 00:06:42,000 Speaker 1: Oh she's gone, not going every week. I don't understand. 156 00:06:42,120 --> 00:06:43,960 Speaker 1: You get her a road pass too. Just send her 157 00:06:44,000 --> 00:06:46,680 Speaker 1: on the road a couple of weeks. I here have you. 158 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:48,960 Speaker 3: My record is barely five hundred. We can't afford to 159 00:06:49,000 --> 00:06:50,000 Speaker 3: center her every single game. 160 00:06:50,480 --> 00:06:52,440 Speaker 1: Well maybe if you started sending her and just bet 161 00:06:52,480 --> 00:06:55,120 Speaker 1: on him every time, we'd be all right. I don't know. 162 00:06:55,400 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the next game on our list. Here. 163 00:06:57,960 --> 00:07:00,240 Speaker 1: The Buffalo Bill's coming off of their bye week. They're 164 00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:02,920 Speaker 1: taking on the Carolina Panthers, who most likely is recording this. 165 00:07:02,960 --> 00:07:04,719 Speaker 1: They are going to be starting Andy Dalton at quarterback. 166 00:07:04,760 --> 00:07:07,039 Speaker 1: That's what we're thinking about here. So the Bills. You know, 167 00:07:07,080 --> 00:07:08,920 Speaker 1: a couple of losses there, they're now four and two. 168 00:07:09,000 --> 00:07:12,120 Speaker 1: The Carolina Panthers are surprising four and three. Terrell, what's 169 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:13,480 Speaker 1: your approach to this contest? 170 00:07:14,360 --> 00:07:17,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, I really wanted to come up here and take 171 00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:20,680 Speaker 2: the Panthers. I really did. But every time I went 172 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:23,960 Speaker 2: to put the Panthers spread in our document, I just thought, Man, 173 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:28,000 Speaker 2: this goes wrong every single time. So I decided to 174 00:07:28,040 --> 00:07:29,960 Speaker 2: pivot a little bit. That's what the team total give me. 175 00:07:30,000 --> 00:07:31,960 Speaker 2: The Panthers go over their team total of nineteen and 176 00:07:31,960 --> 00:07:34,000 Speaker 2: a half. Here. They can put up twenty points on 177 00:07:34,040 --> 00:07:37,200 Speaker 2: this Bill's defense that honestly really is not actually that good. 178 00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:41,360 Speaker 2: They're twenty six in overall DVA rush defense. They're the 179 00:07:41,400 --> 00:07:45,200 Speaker 2: dead last rush defense DVA period. You can run the 180 00:07:45,240 --> 00:07:47,840 Speaker 2: ball all over this Bills team. We've seen it all season, 181 00:07:48,080 --> 00:07:50,360 Speaker 2: and now they're going on the road to play a 182 00:07:50,360 --> 00:07:53,080 Speaker 2: Panthers team that gets up at home. And what do 183 00:07:53,120 --> 00:07:55,960 Speaker 2: they love do? They love to run the football. They're 184 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:58,720 Speaker 2: running the football behind Shouwibelle. They're running the football behind 185 00:07:58,800 --> 00:08:01,720 Speaker 2: Rico daldo Is so much so that they're deciding which 186 00:08:01,760 --> 00:08:03,720 Speaker 2: one is they're starting running back because they love them 187 00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:05,520 Speaker 2: both so much so I think it's going to be 188 00:08:05,880 --> 00:08:11,160 Speaker 2: endless runs that Now, the linebackers and the defensive backs 189 00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:13,400 Speaker 2: for this Buffalo Bills team are going to figure out 190 00:08:13,560 --> 00:08:15,880 Speaker 2: how to tackle these guys when they get them in space, 191 00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:17,720 Speaker 2: and I just don't think they have that ready to go. 192 00:08:17,840 --> 00:08:20,800 Speaker 2: So Andy Dalton is serviceable enough. You always get that 193 00:08:20,880 --> 00:08:23,520 Speaker 2: one game where you kind of have the backup come 194 00:08:23,560 --> 00:08:26,160 Speaker 2: in and the offense looks pretty solid and then they 195 00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:28,160 Speaker 2: fall off the cliff the next game. I think Andy 196 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:30,880 Speaker 2: Dalton can come out here and behind a good run game, 197 00:08:30,920 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 2: be able to move the football enough to put up 198 00:08:32,640 --> 00:08:35,360 Speaker 2: some points. Now, maybe the Bills go out there and 199 00:08:35,400 --> 00:08:37,840 Speaker 2: have a Josh Allen experience and they put up some 200 00:08:37,880 --> 00:08:40,000 Speaker 2: thirty something points and they end up beating and covering 201 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:43,040 Speaker 2: the Panthers. But I think the Panthers, who have scored thirty, 202 00:08:43,120 --> 00:08:45,040 Speaker 2: twenty seven, and thirty and all three of their home 203 00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:47,040 Speaker 2: games this season, can get twenty. So I will take 204 00:08:47,080 --> 00:08:49,120 Speaker 2: the Panthers team total over nineteen and a half. 205 00:08:49,800 --> 00:08:53,120 Speaker 1: All right, Andrew Terrell's looking at the team total here, 206 00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:55,520 Speaker 1: but you're looking at the overall total forty five and 207 00:08:55,559 --> 00:08:57,520 Speaker 1: a half. Are we going over this based on what 208 00:08:57,600 --> 00:08:58,480 Speaker 1: Terrell laid. 209 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:01,480 Speaker 3: Out, Yes, we are going over the game total forty 210 00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:04,080 Speaker 3: five and a half points. When you look at the 211 00:09:04,120 --> 00:09:07,040 Speaker 3: Carolina Panthers, they play significantly better at home. Like Furman 212 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:10,120 Speaker 3: talked about, nine of the Panthers' last ten games at 213 00:09:10,120 --> 00:09:13,480 Speaker 3: home have gone over the total projected. So I feel 214 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:15,840 Speaker 3: good about both teams scoring. I think the Panthers can 215 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:18,560 Speaker 3: run the ball effectively against a really bad Bills run defense. 216 00:09:18,600 --> 00:09:18,800 Speaker 1: We go. 217 00:09:18,880 --> 00:09:21,520 Speaker 3: Dawbtle is the engine to this Panthers running attack, so 218 00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:23,480 Speaker 3: I feel good about them being able to move the 219 00:09:23,480 --> 00:09:26,760 Speaker 3: football the red rifle under center Andy Dalton. He's one 220 00:09:26,760 --> 00:09:28,319 Speaker 3: in five straight up and against the spread as a 221 00:09:28,360 --> 00:09:30,280 Speaker 3: member of the Carolina Panthers and six starts over the 222 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 3: last two seasons. So that's why we're staying away from 223 00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:35,319 Speaker 3: the spread because it's way too scary when it comes 224 00:09:35,360 --> 00:09:38,880 Speaker 3: to these Panthers. But what he is positive though, five 225 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:41,760 Speaker 3: and one towards the over and his six starts for 226 00:09:41,880 --> 00:09:44,480 Speaker 3: the Panthers in the last two seasons, So I like 227 00:09:44,520 --> 00:09:46,160 Speaker 3: the game total going over here. I think the Bills 228 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:48,240 Speaker 3: right the ship a little bit here coming out of 229 00:09:48,240 --> 00:09:51,280 Speaker 3: their bye week. The Carolina Panthers are a sneaky good 230 00:09:51,400 --> 00:09:53,800 Speaker 3: run defense. So I think that just means more dropbacks 231 00:09:53,840 --> 00:09:55,840 Speaker 3: for Josh Allen. And when Josh Allen is dropping back 232 00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:57,600 Speaker 3: to throw forty forty five times a game, I don't 233 00:09:57,600 --> 00:09:59,880 Speaker 3: care who he's throwing to. That means that thirty points 234 00:09:59,920 --> 00:10:02,680 Speaker 3: is well within reach against any defense in the NFL. 235 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:04,680 Speaker 3: So I mean, Joe, it's just a couple weeks ago 236 00:10:04,720 --> 00:10:07,720 Speaker 3: we were betting Bills minus won ten to score thirty 237 00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:10,360 Speaker 3: points basically every single week. I don't think that just 238 00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:13,160 Speaker 3: two weeks of kind of a subpar offensive performances have 239 00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:15,600 Speaker 3: made me forget about how explosive this Bill's offits can 240 00:10:15,600 --> 00:10:17,839 Speaker 3: be with Josh Allen. So give me the over at 241 00:10:17,840 --> 00:10:18,960 Speaker 3: forty five and a half points. 242 00:10:19,200 --> 00:10:20,679 Speaker 1: It'll be interesting to see if they try to get 243 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:23,040 Speaker 1: key on Coleman more targets or do something different here. 244 00:10:23,200 --> 00:10:25,760 Speaker 1: I know Palmer's hurt. I mean, they still need to 245 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:27,679 Speaker 1: trade for a wide receiver. They're exactly where they were 246 00:10:27,760 --> 00:10:29,600 Speaker 1: last year, and last year they trade for a wide receiver, 247 00:10:29,640 --> 00:10:31,120 Speaker 1: it was Cooper and didn't work, and they just need 248 00:10:31,160 --> 00:10:33,559 Speaker 1: more help. Josh Allen needs more help. That's it, folks. 249 00:10:33,640 --> 00:10:35,080 Speaker 1: They didn't get in from the draft. They didn't get 250 00:10:35,080 --> 00:10:38,240 Speaker 1: in the off season. It's they got to compete here, 251 00:10:38,520 --> 00:10:40,240 Speaker 1: you got to go chase those Patriots at the top 252 00:10:40,280 --> 00:10:41,960 Speaker 1: of that division. Now, all right, if it's one thing 253 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:44,200 Speaker 1: I know the guys love, it's Mike Tomlin as an underdog, 254 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:46,000 Speaker 1: and you're getting it this week. Mike Tomlin as an 255 00:10:46,040 --> 00:10:50,280 Speaker 1: underdog at home, no doubt against the Green Bay Packers. 256 00:10:50,320 --> 00:10:53,440 Speaker 1: So Green Bay Packers defense, obviously, Michael Parsons, it's gonna 257 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 1: get after the quarterback. And I think that is a 258 00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:58,520 Speaker 1: scary notion here for Aaron Rodgers, who's not exactly the 259 00:10:58,520 --> 00:11:02,880 Speaker 1: most mobile in his age forty ish season. Now, So Drell, 260 00:11:03,080 --> 00:11:05,320 Speaker 1: let's talk about this. I know it's your favorite topic. 261 00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:07,120 Speaker 1: So I'm just gonna turn you loose on everybody about 262 00:11:07,160 --> 00:11:10,320 Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin against the spread at home as an underdog. 263 00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:14,240 Speaker 2: I feel like I normally do that, so I thought 264 00:11:14,280 --> 00:11:17,160 Speaker 2: i'd switch things up a little bit. Okay, because everybody 265 00:11:17,200 --> 00:11:19,320 Speaker 2: already knows how good Mike Tomlin is as a dog 266 00:11:19,360 --> 00:11:20,679 Speaker 2: and all of that. Like, I don't have to get 267 00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:23,400 Speaker 2: into all of that again, But let's talk about in 268 00:11:23,520 --> 00:11:27,640 Speaker 2: the Mike Tomlin era after a loss. After a loss, 269 00:11:27,679 --> 00:11:30,839 Speaker 2: Mike Tomlin is sixty five, forty two straight up that 270 00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:34,320 Speaker 2: is sixty percent fifty nine forty seven and one eighty 271 00:11:34,679 --> 00:11:38,400 Speaker 2: s fifty six percent after the loss and a dog, 272 00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:42,480 Speaker 2: he's twenty one fifteen and one acs fifty eight percent 273 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:49,000 Speaker 2: after a loss and as a home dog. Mike Tomlin 274 00:11:49,520 --> 00:11:53,320 Speaker 2: is eight and three straight up, nine and three one 275 00:11:53,559 --> 00:11:58,320 Speaker 2: eights seventy five percent against the spread. This is the 276 00:11:58,360 --> 00:12:01,520 Speaker 2: spot coming off of the Flacco game. They've been talking 277 00:12:01,520 --> 00:12:03,960 Speaker 2: about the defense all week and all the things that 278 00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:07,040 Speaker 2: they did wrong and how they let Jamar Chase just 279 00:12:07,080 --> 00:12:10,080 Speaker 2: walk them down the field every single time talked about 280 00:12:10,200 --> 00:12:13,800 Speaker 2: Ramsey and what he said on the Pivot podcast. Darius 281 00:12:13,880 --> 00:12:18,680 Speaker 2: Slay has washed all of that like it's all fuel. 282 00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:22,520 Speaker 2: It's all fuel. At the end of the day, Aaron 283 00:12:22,600 --> 00:12:26,120 Speaker 2: Rodgers is in Pittsburgh playing the Green Bay Packers and 284 00:12:26,200 --> 00:12:29,480 Speaker 2: Mike Tomlin is a dog. He's going to get them 285 00:12:29,600 --> 00:12:33,280 Speaker 2: up for this spot so much. I do think Michael 286 00:12:33,280 --> 00:12:37,720 Speaker 2: Parsons is a problem, however, that the Steelers love to 287 00:12:37,800 --> 00:12:40,760 Speaker 2: run so many tight ends. They are going to chip 288 00:12:40,800 --> 00:12:43,200 Speaker 2: Michael Parsons. They are going to get him off of 289 00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:45,320 Speaker 2: his path is not going to be as easy, and 290 00:12:45,360 --> 00:12:48,920 Speaker 2: they constantly behind this offensive line found ways to get 291 00:12:48,960 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers a clean pocket. And when Aaron Rodgers has 292 00:12:52,280 --> 00:12:55,040 Speaker 2: a clean pocket, he's not the dumbest person in the world. 293 00:12:55,559 --> 00:12:59,719 Speaker 2: So I love the Steelers plus three sprinkle on the 294 00:12:59,760 --> 00:13:02,960 Speaker 2: money line. This is a smash play for the Steelers. 295 00:13:03,240 --> 00:13:06,000 Speaker 1: It's a huge game too, Andrew, because now with Lamar Jackson, 296 00:13:06,080 --> 00:13:09,960 Speaker 1: this imminent return here for the Baltimore Ravens. You know, 297 00:13:10,040 --> 00:13:12,400 Speaker 1: the Ravens are looking and say, hey can run at 298 00:13:12,400 --> 00:13:15,080 Speaker 1: these things. And they've got two more games against the 299 00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:18,400 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers coming up later. So let's talk about this here, 300 00:13:18,520 --> 00:13:21,160 Speaker 1: and let's talk about not only the importance of this game, 301 00:13:21,200 --> 00:13:24,640 Speaker 1: but also the agreement Packers offense too, which is, you know, 302 00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:27,240 Speaker 1: a little lackluster of times. Also, their second straight road game. 303 00:13:27,240 --> 00:13:28,800 Speaker 1: They had travel all the way to Arizona. They had 304 00:13:29,040 --> 00:13:31,800 Speaker 1: flight problems last week, which I made money on, which 305 00:13:31,840 --> 00:13:34,400 Speaker 1: was great. I love for that. But now this week 306 00:13:34,400 --> 00:13:36,120 Speaker 1: they're going on the road again, this time to Pittsburgh. 307 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:39,640 Speaker 1: So you're here along with Terrell. The same reasons, different reasons, 308 00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:41,640 Speaker 1: mostly some of the same reasons. 309 00:13:41,679 --> 00:13:43,200 Speaker 3: I know that Furman was going to come to the 310 00:13:43,200 --> 00:13:45,240 Speaker 3: table with all the trend numbers that I love to 311 00:13:45,280 --> 00:13:47,560 Speaker 3: hear when it comes to Mike Tomlin as a home 312 00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:51,600 Speaker 3: underdog after a loss. A couple things I'll add to that, 313 00:13:51,679 --> 00:13:54,360 Speaker 3: So Steelers with rest advantage because they plays on Thursday 314 00:13:54,440 --> 00:13:57,719 Speaker 3: Night since twenty twenty two, second best eleven and four 315 00:13:57,720 --> 00:13:59,439 Speaker 3: against the spread with rest advantage. 316 00:13:59,520 --> 00:14:01,160 Speaker 1: So I like that for the Steelers. 317 00:14:01,160 --> 00:14:03,160 Speaker 3: And look, I'm just trying to get backup to five hundred, folks, 318 00:14:03,160 --> 00:14:04,760 Speaker 3: I need to hit on some of these layups here. 319 00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:06,800 Speaker 3: So when I see Steelers plus three in the sheet, 320 00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:08,920 Speaker 3: I'm just all right, I'm just going to copy this 321 00:14:08,960 --> 00:14:10,360 Speaker 3: one because I need to get my numbers up with 322 00:14:10,440 --> 00:14:13,200 Speaker 3: my season long records. So I'm tailing Firman on the 323 00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:15,520 Speaker 3: Steelers pick as home underd dougs since the other twenty three, 324 00:14:15,559 --> 00:14:17,600 Speaker 3: six and three against the spread, ten to four and 325 00:14:17,679 --> 00:14:20,080 Speaker 3: one since twenty twenty one. And then on the Packer 326 00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:23,040 Speaker 3: side of things, this is not a good spot for them. 327 00:14:23,320 --> 00:14:26,280 Speaker 3: Last week we obviously saw the Cardinals cover despite the 328 00:14:26,360 --> 00:14:29,920 Speaker 3: Packers being road favorites. Last five road games for the Packers, 329 00:14:29,920 --> 00:14:32,640 Speaker 3: they are zero to five against the spread. So I 330 00:14:32,680 --> 00:14:35,960 Speaker 3: can't guarantee the Pittsburgh wins outright at home against Green Bay. 331 00:14:36,000 --> 00:14:38,240 Speaker 3: I do think Green Bay is the superior team, but 332 00:14:38,840 --> 00:14:40,560 Speaker 3: I don't think they're going to win this game by 333 00:14:40,560 --> 00:14:42,160 Speaker 3: a lot, and the Steelers are going to end up 334 00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:44,560 Speaker 3: covering it even if the Packers win tight. So give 335 00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:46,600 Speaker 3: me the Steelers as well plus three. 336 00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:49,400 Speaker 1: All right, don't forget everybody too. You can check out 337 00:14:49,400 --> 00:14:52,280 Speaker 1: our Discord bettingbros dot Com slash chat. It's free, it's fun, 338 00:14:52,720 --> 00:14:55,320 Speaker 1: and you can connect with expert handicappers and whatever sport 339 00:14:55,320 --> 00:14:57,560 Speaker 1: it is, NBA, NFL, even MLB. We got the World's 340 00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:00,200 Speaker 1: Series going on. NHL's back up and around now. So 341 00:15:00,240 --> 00:15:03,400 Speaker 1: there's live betting, there's picks, there's help, there's community, it's 342 00:15:03,440 --> 00:15:06,160 Speaker 1: all those things. So again, bettingpros dot Com slash Chat, 343 00:15:06,360 --> 00:15:09,600 Speaker 1: join our Discord family today. That brings us to the 344 00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:13,560 Speaker 1: last of our bets of the week here, Terrell, let's 345 00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:17,200 Speaker 1: talk about those Washington Commanders. Huge number here going against 346 00:15:17,200 --> 00:15:20,000 Speaker 1: the Kansas City Chiefs. You're getting eleven and a half 347 00:15:20,000 --> 00:15:23,680 Speaker 1: in some spots twelve and a half and others. Marcus Mariota, 348 00:15:23,720 --> 00:15:25,440 Speaker 1: you're also going to get under center for this game. 349 00:15:25,520 --> 00:15:26,960 Speaker 1: So how does that affect the spread? 350 00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:31,360 Speaker 2: Ah, Well, they boosted this way too much. I think 351 00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:33,280 Speaker 2: the early look ahead was like four and a half, 352 00:15:33,600 --> 00:15:36,280 Speaker 2: maybe five and a half something like that. But twelve 353 00:15:36,280 --> 00:15:39,480 Speaker 2: and a half points for the Kansas City Chiefs, My 354 00:15:39,640 --> 00:15:44,960 Speaker 2: Kansas City Chiefs with Patrick Mahomes. Oh no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, 355 00:15:45,120 --> 00:15:46,760 Speaker 2: that's not what we do here. Now, let me tell 356 00:15:46,760 --> 00:15:49,040 Speaker 2: you a couple of things. First of all, this is 357 00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:52,560 Speaker 2: a close your eyes special. The Commanders did underperform the 358 00:15:52,560 --> 00:15:55,200 Speaker 2: spread by twenty one or more points last week, and 359 00:15:55,280 --> 00:15:57,880 Speaker 2: they are now catching points this week. That it is 360 00:15:58,000 --> 00:16:02,080 Speaker 2: four and two on the season ACS and I'm one 361 00:16:02,160 --> 00:16:05,160 Speaker 2: hundred percent taking them here. Too many points for Patrick Mahomes. 362 00:16:05,240 --> 00:16:11,160 Speaker 2: And who do they have on deck? The Buffalo Bills. 363 00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:13,480 Speaker 2: Let's go back in time and look at what the 364 00:16:13,520 --> 00:16:15,840 Speaker 2: look ahead has been for the Kansas City Chiefs and 365 00:16:15,880 --> 00:16:19,120 Speaker 2: the Buffalo Bills. Twenty twenty four, they had a narrow 366 00:16:19,160 --> 00:16:21,240 Speaker 2: win over the Denver Broncos at seven and a half 367 00:16:21,280 --> 00:16:25,200 Speaker 2: point favorites sixteen to fourteen. Twenty twenty three. It's crazy 368 00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:27,080 Speaker 2: how we do this every single year, but we do 369 00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:28,240 Speaker 2: this every single year. 370 00:16:28,400 --> 00:16:29,360 Speaker 1: Twenty twenty three. 371 00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:31,520 Speaker 2: Lost as five and a half point favorites to the 372 00:16:31,560 --> 00:16:34,560 Speaker 2: Green Bay Packers. The week before, the Bills game twin 373 00:16:34,640 --> 00:16:37,160 Speaker 2: seed twenty two, they won by one at seven and 374 00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:41,040 Speaker 2: a half point favorites against the Raiders. You'd have to 375 00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:43,840 Speaker 2: go back all the way to twenty twenty one. Crazy, 376 00:16:43,880 --> 00:16:47,520 Speaker 2: We've done this every single year NFL twenty twenty one 377 00:16:47,880 --> 00:16:49,800 Speaker 2: is when they beat the Eagles by twelve and seven 378 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 2: and a half point favorites. But other than that, three 379 00:16:51,680 --> 00:16:54,520 Speaker 2: straight years they have underperformance spread. The week before the 380 00:16:54,520 --> 00:16:56,520 Speaker 2: Bills game, I think that they are game planning for 381 00:16:56,600 --> 00:16:59,400 Speaker 2: the Bills. I think that they see Marcus Mariota there, who, 382 00:16:59,440 --> 00:17:02,840 Speaker 2: by the way, in his last fourteen games as a starter, 383 00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:06,960 Speaker 2: Marcus Mariota has actually not covered this line in only 384 00:17:07,040 --> 00:17:09,320 Speaker 2: one game because he filled in for James Dames that 385 00:17:09,400 --> 00:17:13,400 Speaker 2: last week, but against the Cincinnati Bengalos thirty five to seventeen. 386 00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:16,560 Speaker 2: Every other game than that, Marcus Mariota has either kept 387 00:17:16,600 --> 00:17:19,840 Speaker 2: it close or he's won outright. So yes, give me 388 00:17:19,920 --> 00:17:23,359 Speaker 2: the Commanders yet again. Another backup quarterback has made my 389 00:17:23,440 --> 00:17:26,560 Speaker 2: card for the week. Fellas got it with Jacobe Brissett 390 00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:28,760 Speaker 2: last week. I'm taking Marcus Mariota this week. 391 00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:30,880 Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, I made money with you on Brissett last 392 00:17:30,880 --> 00:17:32,520 Speaker 1: week covering that number. 393 00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:35,640 Speaker 3: And ill Yeah, got dat well. 394 00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:37,600 Speaker 1: When I heard they were the agreement, Packers was staying 395 00:17:37,640 --> 00:17:39,080 Speaker 1: on the tarmac for six and a half hours. I 396 00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:41,399 Speaker 1: was like, yep, let's go. Let's let's bet that one. 397 00:17:41,520 --> 00:17:43,400 Speaker 1: And look, they should have won that game too. Let's 398 00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:46,359 Speaker 1: be honest there and look hopefully for the Commanders. You're 399 00:17:46,359 --> 00:17:49,240 Speaker 1: getting McLaurin and Deebo both playing in this game. Theoretically, 400 00:17:49,320 --> 00:17:51,760 Speaker 1: we'll see what the practice sports say today, but follow 401 00:17:51,800 --> 00:17:54,160 Speaker 1: that one closely too, because that could have a positive impact. 402 00:17:54,200 --> 00:17:58,360 Speaker 1: Mariota is not special, but more help the better, certainly 403 00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:01,080 Speaker 1: for him. All Right. That brings us to you our 404 00:18:01,280 --> 00:18:04,439 Speaker 1: hard Rock Best Bets of the week's segment, and of 405 00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:06,680 Speaker 1: course the sponsor of our show is hard Rock Bet. 406 00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:10,440 Speaker 1: Download the hard Rock Sports Bet app today. And Andrew Erickson, 407 00:18:10,840 --> 00:18:12,800 Speaker 1: let's start with you in your favorite bet of the week, 408 00:18:12,800 --> 00:18:16,280 Speaker 1: and it has to do with the Bucks catching four points, 409 00:18:16,320 --> 00:18:18,760 Speaker 1: your minus four, Your thoughts on what Tampa can do 410 00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:21,880 Speaker 1: after a tough loss against the Detroit Lions on Monday night. 411 00:18:22,560 --> 00:18:25,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, Buccaneers minus four is my hard rock bet of 412 00:18:25,800 --> 00:18:29,399 Speaker 3: the week because whenever there's any doubt Baker Mayfield no 413 00:18:29,440 --> 00:18:32,080 Speaker 3: longer going to win MVP crapped all over himself against 414 00:18:32,080 --> 00:18:34,879 Speaker 3: the Detroit Lions and all their backup secondary pieces that 415 00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:37,520 Speaker 3: all played like Deon Sanders. This is the time you 416 00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:40,160 Speaker 3: then buy the dip on Baker Mayfield. He is going 417 00:18:40,200 --> 00:18:42,040 Speaker 3: on the road to play the New Orleans Saints, and 418 00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:45,200 Speaker 3: although the Buccaneers are favorites, I don't think it's by 419 00:18:45,359 --> 00:18:47,800 Speaker 3: enough because when you look at the Buccaneers and how 420 00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:50,080 Speaker 3: well they usually play on the road, that covered the 421 00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:53,199 Speaker 3: spread and seven of the buccaneers last nine road games, 422 00:18:53,359 --> 00:18:56,199 Speaker 3: they've also covered the spread six times following a loss, 423 00:18:56,760 --> 00:18:59,520 Speaker 3: twelve and four against the spread after loss seventy five 424 00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:02,359 Speaker 3: percent of the last eleven games covered after a loss. 425 00:19:02,400 --> 00:19:05,080 Speaker 3: So you want to bet on Baker Mayfield when there's doubt. 426 00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:08,359 Speaker 3: There's doubt after they laiden e against the Lions coming 427 00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:11,199 Speaker 3: off a loss, playing on the road, and Baker Mayfield 428 00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:13,119 Speaker 3: hates the Saints right, This is like one of the 429 00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:15,760 Speaker 3: divisional opponents that he just absolutely hates. It's always very 430 00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:18,280 Speaker 3: chippy between these two teams. Although we won't get to 431 00:19:18,280 --> 00:19:21,280 Speaker 3: see the Mike Evans and Marshawn Lattimore matchup anymore, as 432 00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:23,119 Speaker 3: fun as that was, We're gonna see a lot of 433 00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:26,080 Speaker 3: fireworks here, I think from Baker Mayfield and this Bucks team. 434 00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:28,680 Speaker 3: So give me the Bucks against Spencer Rattler, who is 435 00:19:28,720 --> 00:19:30,879 Speaker 3: two and ten against the spread as an underdog, and 436 00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:32,800 Speaker 3: he has one of the worst records as a career 437 00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:35,800 Speaker 3: starting quarterback at one in twelve. The Saints are overrated 438 00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:37,960 Speaker 3: at home. Back the Bucks on the road. 439 00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:40,200 Speaker 1: All right, Terrell Furman Junior. Your favorite bet of the 440 00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:42,919 Speaker 1: week has to do with a special holiday in the 441 00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:45,080 Speaker 1: NFL tight End Days, So walk us through. 442 00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:49,119 Speaker 2: Yes, it is National tight End Day, and I for 443 00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:52,280 Speaker 2: certain am not trying to miss out, so I will 444 00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:54,480 Speaker 2: be getting in on all the action. Give me Dalton 445 00:19:54,520 --> 00:19:57,880 Speaker 2: Kinka at plus two ten over there on hard Rock 446 00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:00,399 Speaker 2: bet to get into the end zone on NAT tight 447 00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:03,720 Speaker 2: End Day. Ultimately, we love points in this Carolina Panthers 448 00:20:03,760 --> 00:20:07,680 Speaker 2: game going on in Carolina. They are the worst team 449 00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:10,800 Speaker 2: in terms of DVOA to the tight end position. They 450 00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:13,040 Speaker 2: give it up to the tight end all the time, 451 00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:15,120 Speaker 2: and I think that's gonna be one thing consistent where 452 00:20:15,200 --> 00:20:17,200 Speaker 2: Josh Allen's gonna be looking in this day. He's gonna 453 00:20:17,240 --> 00:20:19,720 Speaker 2: be looking for Dalton kin k and trying to find 454 00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:21,480 Speaker 2: him near the red zone. I think you'll have plenty 455 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:24,000 Speaker 2: of opportunities to do that even with the Panthers defense, 456 00:20:24,040 --> 00:20:26,560 Speaker 2: So I like Dalton Kink plus two ten getting an 457 00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:28,200 Speaker 2: end zone on National tight End Day. 458 00:20:28,840 --> 00:20:30,680 Speaker 1: My best bet of the week is an easy one. 459 00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:34,440 Speaker 1: The Dolphins have given up one and fifteen yards on 460 00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:36,960 Speaker 1: the ground. No other team is giving up one thousand. 461 00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:39,480 Speaker 1: The next closest is the Cowboys at nine to eighty nine, 462 00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:43,040 Speaker 1: and the Miami Dolphins get Bjon Robinson this week, So 463 00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:46,120 Speaker 1: give me the over on Vjon's eighty eight and a half. 464 00:20:46,200 --> 00:20:48,280 Speaker 1: I know it's a big number, I don't care. And 465 00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:50,640 Speaker 1: if you're adding that anytime touchdown as well for Jon, 466 00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:53,240 Speaker 1: which seems inevitable against the Miami Dolphins, you can get 467 00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:55,320 Speaker 1: this number up to plus one thirty five. So a 468 00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:57,520 Speaker 1: little duo pairing. And of course we want you to 469 00:20:57,520 --> 00:20:59,320 Speaker 1: place your bets over at hard Rock Back because Week 470 00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:02,160 Speaker 1: eight is kicking off with Vikings Chargers. You can check 471 00:21:02,160 --> 00:21:04,200 Speaker 1: out hard Rock bet stats Hub where you can find 472 00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:06,919 Speaker 1: out amazing stats there and you can bet these streaks 473 00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:09,800 Speaker 1: like Minnesota's lost five in a row as underdog's following 474 00:21:09,840 --> 00:21:11,800 Speaker 1: the loss, Justin Herbert Istorn for two hundred and sixty 475 00:21:11,840 --> 00:21:14,920 Speaker 1: plus yards against NFC North opponents. I already bet the 476 00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:17,320 Speaker 1: over on that number, which is two fifty seven and 477 00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:20,040 Speaker 1: a half. So again hard Rock Bet, it's not too 478 00:21:20,119 --> 00:21:22,040 Speaker 1: late place your five dollar bet. If it hits, you 479 00:21:22,040 --> 00:21:24,480 Speaker 1: get one hundred and fifty in bonus bets, plus you 480 00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:27,960 Speaker 1: get your payout as well, and of course there's bonus bets. 481 00:21:28,000 --> 00:21:31,720 Speaker 1: There's parlay boosts as well for tonight's Thursday night football game. 482 00:21:31,760 --> 00:21:34,240 Speaker 1: So download the hard Rock Bet app today for promos 483 00:21:34,320 --> 00:21:38,120 Speaker 1: every day and guaranteed rewards every single week only at 484 00:21:38,119 --> 00:21:40,760 Speaker 1: hard Rock Bet Payble and bonus bets not a cash 485 00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:42,920 Speaker 1: offer offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida. In Florida, 486 00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:45,359 Speaker 1: offered by Seminal hard Rock Digital LLC. In other states. 487 00:21:45,480 --> 00:21:49,120 Speaker 1: Must be twenty one and physically president Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, 488 00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:51,520 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and 489 00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:54,280 Speaker 1: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eighty 490 00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:56,760 Speaker 1: eight eight admit it. In Indiana if you are somebody 491 00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:58,560 Speaker 1: you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 492 00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:01,000 Speaker 1: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called 493 00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:04,960 Speaker 1: one hundred Gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 494 00:22:05,840 --> 00:22:07,720 Speaker 1: That brings us to our upset special in the week. 495 00:22:07,720 --> 00:22:09,840 Speaker 1: And last week I told you the number was just 496 00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:13,200 Speaker 1: flat out wrong for Indy, and Indy smashed. This one 497 00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:16,000 Speaker 1: was over in the first half, basically. So I'm gonna 498 00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:18,040 Speaker 1: go against my good pal Treill Firman Junior, and I'm 499 00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:20,359 Speaker 1: gonna go ahead and take the forty nine ers plus 500 00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:22,760 Speaker 1: one and a half here for the upset special here, 501 00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:24,359 Speaker 1: and I think the forty nine ers can win this 502 00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:27,399 Speaker 1: game outright. Houston Texans defense is for real. They're great. 503 00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:30,160 Speaker 1: I just have real concerns right now about their ability 504 00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:33,120 Speaker 1: to score points. So I think a good showing by 505 00:22:33,119 --> 00:22:36,719 Speaker 1: that defense against the Falcons on Monday night. Terrell made 506 00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:39,080 Speaker 1: some good points too. Mac Jones not looking quite as 507 00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:42,320 Speaker 1: sharp as he was, but again another week healthier of 508 00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:45,200 Speaker 1: George Kittle. I think goes a long way to Christian McCaffrey, 509 00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:46,720 Speaker 1: the best player on this field, and I'm just gonna 510 00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:48,520 Speaker 1: put the money on the best player there, which brings 511 00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:51,520 Speaker 1: us to the Joey p Parlay of the week. That's 512 00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:52,959 Speaker 1: what we're doing here, So give me the forty nine 513 00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:55,640 Speaker 1: ers with the points there Bijon my other favorite bet 514 00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:57,280 Speaker 1: of the week going over the eighty eight and a 515 00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:00,000 Speaker 1: half and give me those colts once again. This time 516 00:23:00,000 --> 00:23:03,840 Speaker 1: the team total over thirty and a half points. They're 517 00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:06,960 Speaker 1: gonna smash the Tennessee Titans. They have so many problems. There. 518 00:23:07,000 --> 00:23:09,120 Speaker 1: You put those three things together, you get plus five 519 00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:12,399 Speaker 1: fifty six. So there you have it. Everybody, subscribe to 520 00:23:12,440 --> 00:23:15,600 Speaker 1: the Betting Pros channel and drop something in the comments 521 00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:17,480 Speaker 1: to let us know what you are looking for. What's 522 00:23:17,480 --> 00:23:20,000 Speaker 1: your upset special of the week With all these bye weeks, 523 00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:21,840 Speaker 1: what do you betting on? We want to know from you. 524 00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 1: And also, don't forget to download the hard Rock bet 525 00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:26,960 Speaker 1: Sportsbook app today. Bet your five bucks, get one hundred 526 00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:30,200 Speaker 1: and fifty in bonus bets, and of course, most importantly, 527 00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:32,840 Speaker 1: download the Betting Pros app two so you can track 528 00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:35,240 Speaker 1: all your bets, sink all your sportsbooks for free, and 529 00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:38,680 Speaker 1: get the best lines every time with the Betting Pros app. 530 00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:40,200 Speaker 1: That'll do it for us. But the story of the 531 00:23:40,240 --> 00:23:42,920 Speaker 1: game goes on for Andrew Ericson Antrel Firman Junior. I'm 532 00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:45,080 Speaker 1: Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kidz. 533 00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:48,720 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 534 00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:51,159 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 535 00:23:51,160 --> 00:23:54,560 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 536 00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,480 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 537 00:23:57,600 --> 00:24:01,240 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. So subscribe to our YouTube 538 00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:03,800 Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.