1 00:00:02,160 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Coming to you from fabulous Las Vegas. The right side 2 00:00:07,360 --> 00:00:09,960 Speaker 1: is the winning side. The late move is the correct move. 3 00:00:10,240 --> 00:00:14,280 Speaker 1: Sports betting capital of the world. We all know when 4 00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:17,640 Speaker 1: a sharp like me weighs in the lines move, it's 5 00:00:17,640 --> 00:00:26,560 Speaker 1: a party for your ears. This is the Buffet with 6 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:33,839 Speaker 1: Chad and Scooch. I want to buy that guy at buffet. Hello, 7 00:00:33,920 --> 00:00:37,040 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Buffet with Chad and Scooch, brought to 8 00:00:37,080 --> 00:00:41,239 Speaker 1: you by the Action Network. It is time for our 9 00:00:41,400 --> 00:00:47,760 Speaker 1: n C double a Tournament March Madness podcast UM. Joining 10 00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:52,160 Speaker 1: me today because Scooch is unavailable, are two of our 11 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:55,960 Speaker 1: Action Network analysts who have put up some ridiculously good 12 00:00:55,960 --> 00:00:58,440 Speaker 1: stories in the past twenty four hours. The two biggest 13 00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 1: days in the history of the Action Network the sixty 14 00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:05,920 Speaker 1: days that we've been launched as a company UM providing content. 15 00:01:06,319 --> 00:01:08,200 Speaker 1: The two biggest days have been the past two days 16 00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:12,480 Speaker 1: on the phone with me Stucky needs only one Name 17 00:01:13,319 --> 00:01:19,120 Speaker 1: and Brian Mears at Brian Underscore mirrors at Stucky two Uh. 18 00:01:19,280 --> 00:01:20,840 Speaker 1: Some of the biggest stories we've done in the last 19 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:24,000 Speaker 1: forty hours have come from these two guys analyzing everything 20 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:27,680 Speaker 1: there is about March Madness and what's happening in the tournament. Mirrors, 21 00:01:27,840 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 1: I want to start with you. Stuck will get to 22 00:01:29,560 --> 00:01:31,480 Speaker 1: you in a second, UM, but Mirrors, I want to 23 00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:35,319 Speaker 1: start with you. You did two incredibly smart stories that 24 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:38,119 Speaker 1: I have been repeating over and over on radio shows 25 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:40,520 Speaker 1: for the past twenty four hours. The first one I 26 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:46,160 Speaker 1: want to talk about the overseated underseated story. It's a 27 00:01:46,240 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 1: great concept which teams in the tournament are overseated and 28 00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 1: which teams in the tournament are underseated based on a 29 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 1: variety of analytics. Break it down for me, Tell me 30 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 1: how you came up with this. Yeah, So, I mean 31 00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:00,640 Speaker 1: we have great UH advanced at seeing a We have 32 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:04,520 Speaker 1: like Ken Palm's adjusted efficiency margins, So we can take 33 00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:07,520 Speaker 1: a stat like that, which is very sharp, but a 34 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 1: lot of people use it for their power ratings to 35 00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:14,040 Speaker 1: actually project UH their spreads. So obviously a very good stats. 36 00:02:14,040 --> 00:02:16,519 Speaker 1: So we can use that to project like what the 37 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:19,320 Speaker 1: team should be seated, and then we can look at 38 00:02:19,440 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 1: what the UH committee actually seated a team. Just look 39 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:25,440 Speaker 1: at the difference. So UM as far as teams that 40 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:28,800 Speaker 1: were overseated. UM, we have some of the big names 41 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 1: like Kansas, who Kim Palm would have about a three 42 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:34,800 Speaker 1: seed and obviously there are a number one seed Um 43 00:02:34,880 --> 00:02:37,799 Speaker 1: Arizona actually is a seems to be a little overseated. 44 00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:40,920 Speaker 1: That one is particularly interesting. Kimpom doesn't seem to be 45 00:02:40,960 --> 00:02:44,359 Speaker 1: too excited about the pack twelve UM, so that that 46 00:02:44,480 --> 00:02:48,440 Speaker 1: one's particularly interesting for me. UM. And then Xavier is 47 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:51,920 Speaker 1: actually projected as a four seed via kim Pom, and 48 00:02:51,919 --> 00:02:55,160 Speaker 1: they're obviously a number one seeds, So we have to 49 00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:57,959 Speaker 1: number one seeds in Xavier in Kansas that seemed to 50 00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:01,120 Speaker 1: be historically not very good number one seed. So I 51 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:04,600 Speaker 1: think that is going to make this term of very interesting. Alright, 52 00:03:04,600 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 1: so stucky when you hear this um from an overseated perspective, 53 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:11,880 Speaker 1: and don't forget, I want to get to the underseated 54 00:03:12,120 --> 00:03:19,160 Speaker 1: perspective as well, from an advancement and from betting Um 55 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:22,280 Speaker 1: Canvas and Xavier. Do you buy the theory that they're 56 00:03:22,320 --> 00:03:24,760 Speaker 1: overseated and that that will have an impact on how 57 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:26,920 Speaker 1: far they advance and what the value is on them 58 00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:31,280 Speaker 1: for Betters? Yeah, I mean to that there too. Obviously 59 00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 1: the to me at least the overrated to the most 60 00:03:34,840 --> 00:03:38,280 Speaker 1: overrated one seeds I've seen in quite some time. And 61 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:41,440 Speaker 1: you know, in the case of Xavier if you project ahead, 62 00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 1: because I think that what Brian will get to is 63 00:03:44,560 --> 00:03:48,520 Speaker 1: about Gonzaga UM being underseated. I mean, if if both 64 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 1: of those teams hold to the Sweet sixteen, Gonzaga will 65 00:03:51,200 --> 00:03:54,720 Speaker 1: meet Xavier. Gonzaga, according to most power ratings in mine, 66 00:03:54,760 --> 00:03:56,880 Speaker 1: would be a favorite, maybe a two to three point 67 00:03:56,920 --> 00:03:59,880 Speaker 1: favorite on a neutral court against Xavier. And that's the 68 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:02,200 Speaker 1: war verse one. So I think that there's from a 69 00:04:02,280 --> 00:04:04,840 Speaker 1: futurest perspective, in the West, there's a lot of value 70 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 1: on Gonzaga, who I really like, and they're trending up 71 00:04:08,240 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 1: and you know they have that. I think the West 72 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 1: is the most gettable bracket because North Carolina, sorry Brian, 73 00:04:15,160 --> 00:04:18,360 Speaker 1: UM is gettable. I mean their defense will allow teams, 74 00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:21,120 Speaker 1: you know, they they're the worst three point shooting defense 75 00:04:21,200 --> 00:04:24,599 Speaker 1: in the entire tournament with their sagging defense. So with 76 00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:27,640 Speaker 1: that one to combo, I mean, I think Gonzaga can 77 00:04:27,640 --> 00:04:30,520 Speaker 1: make a run. And then on the other side, I mean, 78 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:33,400 Speaker 1: I think that the Midwest will be decided with the 79 00:04:33,400 --> 00:04:38,240 Speaker 1: winner of Michigan State in Duke. But having said that, Kansas, 80 00:04:38,320 --> 00:04:40,279 Speaker 1: which I think is more of a two or three 81 00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 1: is Brian alluded to, and Penn is actually more of 82 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:47,920 Speaker 1: a fourteen or fifteen. This is the highest potential I've 83 00:04:47,920 --> 00:04:50,000 Speaker 1: ever seen for a sixteen one upset, but it's because 84 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:52,200 Speaker 1: it's not really a sixteen verse one. It's really like 85 00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:56,640 Speaker 1: a two fift three fourteen. Hence the line is only 86 00:04:56,720 --> 00:04:59,279 Speaker 1: four team, which is the lowest one verse sixteen lines 87 00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:03,080 Speaker 1: in the last thirteen seasons. I well, I want to 88 00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:05,719 Speaker 1: get to I do want to get to bracket by bracket, 89 00:05:06,320 --> 00:05:09,960 Speaker 1: We're gonna we're gonna go over what are the leverage 90 00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:12,839 Speaker 1: plays and the choices that you think people should be 91 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:16,839 Speaker 1: making in the first two rounds. Uh, that are the 92 00:05:16,839 --> 00:05:20,080 Speaker 1: opportunities to score a lot of points just from the brackets, 93 00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:23,520 Speaker 1: not from actual betting, but just if you're making bracket choices. 94 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:27,279 Speaker 1: But Brian Andantas Xavier, they continue to pop up and 95 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:30,719 Speaker 1: you sort of your overseated conversation. Let's talk underseated and 96 00:05:30,720 --> 00:05:34,560 Speaker 1: tell me who popped in that part of the conversation. Yeah, 97 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:37,480 Speaker 1: Stucky nail thin Gonzag is definitely one that pops Kim 98 00:05:37,560 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 1: Palm would have them about a two seed in their 99 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 1: four seeds. So not only is Xavier overseated, but they 100 00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 1: also get the strongest four seed um and they would 101 00:05:47,200 --> 00:05:49,040 Speaker 1: have to play them obviously to get to the leader 102 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:52,480 Speaker 1: or the final four. UM, so that one is definitely 103 00:05:52,520 --> 00:05:56,359 Speaker 1: standing out, and Stucky's riot. I think that um that 104 00:05:56,480 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 1: Xavier would actually be a dog to all all of 105 00:05:59,360 --> 00:06:03,960 Speaker 1: the were teams in their region Gonzaga, North Carolina and Michigan. Uh, 106 00:06:03,960 --> 00:06:05,640 Speaker 1: and like was, I think Kansas would be a dog 107 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:08,599 Speaker 1: to do Commission and States. So it's just unique bracket 108 00:06:08,640 --> 00:06:10,400 Speaker 1: in that we have to number one seeds and they 109 00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: would be a Vegas dog to a bunch of their teams. Um. 110 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 1: Other ones that are um standing out just a little bit. Um, 111 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:22,120 Speaker 1: you have Butler, who I think is um much better 112 00:06:22,160 --> 00:06:24,720 Speaker 1: than a typical Tennessee Kimpalm would have them about a 113 00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:28,279 Speaker 1: six or seven. Davidson seems to be a pretty solid 114 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:31,440 Speaker 1: twelve seed, so they could definitely give Kentucky run for 115 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:34,880 Speaker 1: their money. Um, those are sort of the one standing up. 116 00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:37,960 Speaker 1: But it's definitely Gonzaga. Um, Xavier just got a bad 117 00:06:38,120 --> 00:06:41,000 Speaker 1: role right there. Why do you guys, why are you 118 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:43,560 Speaker 1: so high in Butler? What is Butler doing so well 119 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:48,720 Speaker 1: that makes them better than their seed? What do you think? Well, 120 00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:51,120 Speaker 1: I mean they have a first of all, they have 121 00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:53,400 Speaker 1: just pedigree their program but they have a really good 122 00:06:53,400 --> 00:06:57,279 Speaker 1: player and point guard defender at the top in Kamar Baldwin. 123 00:06:57,360 --> 00:07:00,000 Speaker 1: So they have talent um, you know, and they've shown 124 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:02,359 Speaker 1: flashes throughout the year. But then you know, they have 125 00:07:02,440 --> 00:07:05,320 Speaker 1: some size in the middle. Their defense is lacking, but 126 00:07:05,520 --> 00:07:08,880 Speaker 1: they can score with anybody, um, you know, and I 127 00:07:08,920 --> 00:07:11,320 Speaker 1: don't think that they're necessarily a threat to get to 128 00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:14,680 Speaker 1: the final four, um, but you know, they can make 129 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:17,800 Speaker 1: some noise and advance around or two for sure. I 130 00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:21,880 Speaker 1: kind of agree that they're that they're under sated, I mean, 131 00:07:21,920 --> 00:07:23,880 Speaker 1: but not by much. I mean I have them probably 132 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:27,760 Speaker 1: around you know, a seven or an eight seed as 133 00:07:27,760 --> 00:07:30,880 Speaker 1: compared to the ten, So their potential is still in 134 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:33,920 Speaker 1: that you know, seven to ten seed range um. But 135 00:07:34,040 --> 00:07:36,480 Speaker 1: from a pure seeding perspective, I do think that they're 136 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:38,960 Speaker 1: a little underseated and they have a lot of offensive 137 00:07:39,000 --> 00:07:41,440 Speaker 1: talent and potential. What's gonna hold them back is their defense. 138 00:07:41,480 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 1: Outside of bald one, Yeah, they do profile and seem 139 00:07:45,240 --> 00:07:46,960 Speaker 1: oh sorry, and they do profile as a team that 140 00:07:47,000 --> 00:07:49,600 Speaker 1: does well. I mean, they have a solid offense, they've 141 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 1: never turned the ball over, and they clean up the 142 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:54,240 Speaker 1: defensive glass. So when you're looking like there there seems 143 00:07:54,280 --> 00:07:56,760 Speaker 1: to be statistics that like correlate to just like being 144 00:07:56,800 --> 00:07:59,800 Speaker 1: a well coached team. Um, I know that's probably a cliche, 145 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:02,360 Speaker 1: but like not throwing the ball over cleaning up the glass, 146 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 1: just protecting the ball and getting good shots. I mean 147 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:07,440 Speaker 1: that that goes a long way in March, and you 148 00:08:07,480 --> 00:08:11,240 Speaker 1: don't see those metrics out of a Tennessee that often. Well, 149 00:08:11,360 --> 00:08:13,400 Speaker 1: I know we're bouncing around bracket to bracket here and 150 00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:15,640 Speaker 1: I promised for everybody that we're gonna get focused and 151 00:08:15,640 --> 00:08:17,400 Speaker 1: we're gonna go through sort of the upset you should 152 00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:18,800 Speaker 1: choose and who you guys think will be in the 153 00:08:18,800 --> 00:08:22,200 Speaker 1: final four. But I want to stay on this overseated 154 00:08:22,280 --> 00:08:26,640 Speaker 1: underseated threat for one second because in um Xavier bracket 155 00:08:26,640 --> 00:08:29,360 Speaker 1: in the West, where there number one, we talked about 156 00:08:29,360 --> 00:08:33,240 Speaker 1: gonzagas sort of being a team that you know, could 157 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:36,800 Speaker 1: easily emerge from going into the final four from that 158 00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:39,480 Speaker 1: bracket based on sort of the metrics that we're looking at. 159 00:08:40,200 --> 00:08:42,200 Speaker 1: We did not talk about the Midwest and the fact 160 00:08:42,280 --> 00:08:44,560 Speaker 1: that Michigan State and Duke you mentioned it a little 161 00:08:44,559 --> 00:08:46,840 Speaker 1: bit that you think stuck they're gonna come out of this. 162 00:08:48,000 --> 00:08:51,400 Speaker 1: Why did this Why do you think the committee undervalued 163 00:08:51,480 --> 00:08:53,960 Speaker 1: Michigan State so much. What happened because to me, they're 164 00:08:53,960 --> 00:08:57,760 Speaker 1: probably the strongest team in this particular bracket. Yeah, I mean, 165 00:08:57,800 --> 00:09:00,520 Speaker 1: I think what the Committee does is they fall in 166 00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:03,520 Speaker 1: love with and it's really frustrating from an os preect. 167 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:06,680 Speaker 1: I mean, all year, the the two of the odds 168 00:09:06,679 --> 00:09:09,360 Speaker 1: on favorites to win the national title, and they're still 169 00:09:09,480 --> 00:09:11,600 Speaker 1: right up there are Duke in Michigan State and you know, 170 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:13,080 Speaker 1: to play each other in the Sweet sixteam. But they 171 00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:16,960 Speaker 1: fall in love with these potential match these blockbuster matchups 172 00:09:16,960 --> 00:09:20,000 Speaker 1: in the second and third round instead of spreading these 173 00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:22,440 Speaker 1: teams out and then potentially meeting in you know, the 174 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:24,720 Speaker 1: Elite eight or the Final four. The same thing you 175 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:29,120 Speaker 1: can be said about Kentucky Arizona. I mean, in Kentucky 176 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:32,200 Speaker 1: they win the SEC, they're playing really well, and now 177 00:09:32,280 --> 00:09:34,560 Speaker 1: in order just to get to the Elite eight, they 178 00:09:34,600 --> 00:09:37,679 Speaker 1: have to beat a solid David's A team, then Arizona 179 00:09:38,120 --> 00:09:40,439 Speaker 1: and then Virginia. I mean that sounds like it's an 180 00:09:40,480 --> 00:09:44,640 Speaker 1: Elite eight, Final four and championship game. Um. So you know, 181 00:09:44,679 --> 00:09:46,439 Speaker 1: I think that they fall in love with setting up 182 00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:49,520 Speaker 1: these blockbuster matchups and because of that, you have these 183 00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:54,480 Speaker 1: one seeds that have significantly easier paths than others. I mean, 184 00:09:54,480 --> 00:09:57,240 Speaker 1: think about Kansas has Duke get in Michigan State, two 185 00:09:57,240 --> 00:09:59,400 Speaker 1: of the favorites to win the tournament in their side 186 00:09:59,400 --> 00:10:02,240 Speaker 1: of the Brackett. Then you look at Villanova's path and 187 00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:04,600 Speaker 1: you know, I mean, it looks like their biggest test 188 00:10:04,600 --> 00:10:07,760 Speaker 1: will come in the Elite eight against Purdue UM. So 189 00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:10,679 Speaker 1: you know, it's it's it's fun because we'll get to 190 00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:12,920 Speaker 1: see Duke Michigan State in the sweet sixth team, but 191 00:10:12,960 --> 00:10:16,160 Speaker 1: it's also frustrating from a futures perspective, and I don't 192 00:10:16,160 --> 00:10:17,760 Speaker 1: I do think it opens things up for a team 193 00:10:17,760 --> 00:10:21,600 Speaker 1: like Gonzaga to one ish well. Also, you know you 194 00:10:21,640 --> 00:10:27,760 Speaker 1: mentioned a Brackett. Virginia's the consensus number one overall team. 195 00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:32,280 Speaker 1: They've got Arizona, They've got Kentucky. Also, by the way, 196 00:10:32,480 --> 00:10:36,000 Speaker 1: no one has mentioned Cincinnati, which is a team I 197 00:10:36,040 --> 00:10:38,240 Speaker 1: think you can go to the final four. Like that 198 00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:43,199 Speaker 1: is a brutal, brutal bracket. Four of the top nine 199 00:10:43,520 --> 00:10:45,760 Speaker 1: favorites to win it all. You look at the nine 200 00:10:45,760 --> 00:10:47,720 Speaker 1: biggest favorites to win the tournament, four of them are 201 00:10:47,720 --> 00:10:52,040 Speaker 1: in are in that region. How is that right, go ahead. 202 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 1: Oh no, I was gonna Cincinnati's the Jacksonville Jaguars of 203 00:10:55,600 --> 00:10:57,480 Speaker 1: this tournament. So I'm not surprised that you're in love 204 00:10:57,520 --> 00:11:00,200 Speaker 1: with them, Chad. I was gonna say, that's why love 205 00:11:00,280 --> 00:11:03,319 Speaker 1: them so much, Like they are so good defensively, historically 206 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:06,640 Speaker 1: good defensively. Um, I can't get them out of my head. 207 00:11:07,080 --> 00:11:09,400 Speaker 1: They're like, you know, I can't quit them. This, this 208 00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:12,360 Speaker 1: Cincinnati team. I just love them right now. I think 209 00:11:12,360 --> 00:11:16,960 Speaker 1: they're fantastic. Um. All right, So that's overseated. That's underseated. 210 00:11:17,000 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 1: I promise, UH. I've got Stucky, I've got Brian Mears. 211 00:11:20,880 --> 00:11:23,200 Speaker 1: They did some of the best stories we've done UH 212 00:11:23,240 --> 00:11:27,000 Speaker 1: in the past forty eight hours on Action Network dot Com. 213 00:11:26,679 --> 00:11:31,720 Speaker 1: Um Our two biggest days in UH company history are 214 00:11:32,520 --> 00:11:37,600 Speaker 1: brief but illustrious sixty day history so far Stuck. You 215 00:11:37,679 --> 00:11:40,280 Speaker 1: did a story about the top five stats you are 216 00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:44,040 Speaker 1: thinking about as it relates to the tournament. Marry some 217 00:11:44,080 --> 00:11:46,679 Speaker 1: of these stats to the conversation we've been having. How 218 00:11:46,720 --> 00:11:48,960 Speaker 1: are some of the teams that we're talking about or 219 00:11:49,000 --> 00:11:53,319 Speaker 1: haven't mentioned yet playing well as it as it relates 220 00:11:53,320 --> 00:11:55,880 Speaker 1: to the status you've written about. Yeah, I mean some 221 00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:58,160 Speaker 1: of the things that I really like to look at 222 00:11:58,320 --> 00:12:01,280 Speaker 1: our you know, the you have such quick turnarounds in 223 00:12:01,320 --> 00:12:02,920 Speaker 1: the tournament. I mean even the bracket comes out on 224 00:12:02,960 --> 00:12:05,200 Speaker 1: Sunday and you're playing Thursday or Friday, especially for the 225 00:12:05,240 --> 00:12:07,520 Speaker 1: playing teams. But then once you win that game on 226 00:12:07,559 --> 00:12:11,320 Speaker 1: Thursday or Friday, you're playing two days later. So a 227 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:14,120 Speaker 1: lot of it, what it comes down to is coaching 228 00:12:14,120 --> 00:12:17,880 Speaker 1: in scheme. So if you run a unique offense or 229 00:12:17,960 --> 00:12:20,560 Speaker 1: defensive scheme that not a lot of teams play because 230 00:12:20,559 --> 00:12:23,240 Speaker 1: you're normally not going to play a team in your conference. 231 00:12:23,559 --> 00:12:25,200 Speaker 1: You know, you could sneak up on people and having 232 00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:29,440 Speaker 1: in hurt advantage. So coaches that can really you know, 233 00:12:29,640 --> 00:12:32,000 Speaker 1: call up with a quick game plan you know in 234 00:12:32,000 --> 00:12:34,560 Speaker 1: our master planners so to speak, in one or two days, 235 00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:37,240 Speaker 1: and teams with a unique scheme like a unique zone. 236 00:12:37,400 --> 00:12:39,520 Speaker 1: I mean you've seen in the past bail Or make 237 00:12:39,520 --> 00:12:43,200 Speaker 1: a few Elite eight runs because of their unique zone. Um, 238 00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:45,920 Speaker 1: you know, Syracuse makes some runs because teams aren't used 239 00:12:45,960 --> 00:12:48,120 Speaker 1: to seeing it, so it's hard to prep for on 240 00:12:48,160 --> 00:12:50,280 Speaker 1: a day or two basis. And then coaches that are 241 00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:53,960 Speaker 1: you know, really good planners too that you can look 242 00:12:54,040 --> 00:12:56,079 Speaker 1: at our John Belon and Chris mac those are the 243 00:12:56,120 --> 00:12:59,720 Speaker 1: only two coaches actually since two thousand five that have 244 00:13:00,200 --> 00:13:04,360 Speaker 1: at least their games in the tournament minimum of ten games. Um. 245 00:13:04,400 --> 00:13:05,560 Speaker 1: So those are things that I look at, and then 246 00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:07,480 Speaker 1: it comes to the games are normally gonna be tight. 247 00:13:08,080 --> 00:13:10,760 Speaker 1: So looking at free throws is huge because you know, 248 00:13:10,800 --> 00:13:13,400 Speaker 1: a bad free throw shooting team, especially a higher seed, 249 00:13:13,400 --> 00:13:15,600 Speaker 1: it could end up costing them and sending them home 250 00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:17,520 Speaker 1: if they can't hit their free throws down the stretch. 251 00:13:17,960 --> 00:13:20,120 Speaker 1: So you know, those are some of the stats that 252 00:13:20,160 --> 00:13:22,240 Speaker 1: I look at, in addition to like rebounding and three 253 00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:24,760 Speaker 1: point shooting, which you can marry with some of the 254 00:13:24,800 --> 00:13:28,320 Speaker 1: schemes that teams play for certain matchups, and then projecting 255 00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:31,320 Speaker 1: matchups as well down the line. All Right, So if 256 00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:33,280 Speaker 1: I'm talking about free throws, who were the teams that 257 00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:36,560 Speaker 1: I need to be most worried about. Well, for one, 258 00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:38,880 Speaker 1: the team that there's a couple of things that I 259 00:13:38,920 --> 00:13:41,200 Speaker 1: would worry about with Michigan, and there there's a lot 260 00:13:41,240 --> 00:13:43,720 Speaker 1: of things to like about Michigan because you know, their 261 00:13:43,760 --> 00:13:46,120 Speaker 1: coach and beeline success in the tournament format. We've seen 262 00:13:46,160 --> 00:13:47,720 Speaker 1: that in the Big Ten tournament the last two years 263 00:13:47,760 --> 00:13:51,480 Speaker 1: and in prior and c A tournaments, but one they 264 00:13:51,520 --> 00:13:53,560 Speaker 1: don't shoot free throw as well, so that's something to 265 00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:56,440 Speaker 1: keep in mind, not only for them advancing, but just 266 00:13:56,840 --> 00:13:59,839 Speaker 1: laying points with them. So they're laying eleven, eleven and 267 00:13:59,840 --> 00:14:02,320 Speaker 1: a against montan in the first round, so you know, 268 00:14:02,360 --> 00:14:03,960 Speaker 1: if they're not hitting free throws at the end, that 269 00:14:03,960 --> 00:14:05,920 Speaker 1: could cost them a cover. So that's something to keep 270 00:14:05,920 --> 00:14:08,320 Speaker 1: in mind. I mean, they are the third worst free 271 00:14:08,320 --> 00:14:11,320 Speaker 1: throw shooting team in the entire tournament. They shoot free 272 00:14:11,320 --> 00:14:14,559 Speaker 1: there's about under sixty six, so that's something to keep 273 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:18,480 Speaker 1: in mind. Um And additionally with Michigan, and I'm concerned 274 00:14:18,480 --> 00:14:21,080 Speaker 1: about this with all of the Big Ten teams outside 275 00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:24,160 Speaker 1: of Purdue, who basically is playing a sixteen seed that 276 00:14:24,240 --> 00:14:28,080 Speaker 1: got seated as a fifteen, is this long layoff so 277 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:30,880 Speaker 1: you know, they're the major conference teams aren't used to 278 00:14:30,960 --> 00:14:34,520 Speaker 1: playing the conference tournament ten days ago before they play. 279 00:14:34,560 --> 00:14:36,840 Speaker 1: But because the Big Ten tournament played was at MSG 280 00:14:37,000 --> 00:14:39,960 Speaker 1: this year, it was played a week before it normally is. 281 00:14:40,120 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 1: And by the time Michigan takes the Cord Ohio State, 282 00:14:42,800 --> 00:14:45,120 Speaker 1: They're gonna have ten eleven days off in between games, 283 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:48,120 Speaker 1: which I think hurts Michigan because they were rolling. So 284 00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:52,120 Speaker 1: if they come out and they're a little flat, rusty, 285 00:14:52,280 --> 00:14:54,360 Speaker 1: missing shots, and all of a sudden, you give life 286 00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:57,440 Speaker 1: to this other team, I think, you know, potentially you 287 00:14:57,440 --> 00:14:59,720 Speaker 1: could see a Big ten team get picked off because 288 00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:02,680 Speaker 1: of that. Uh, even if as unlikely as it looks. 289 00:15:02,800 --> 00:15:05,880 Speaker 1: And you know, maybe there's a fourteen seed that's lurking 290 00:15:05,880 --> 00:15:08,480 Speaker 1: out there, UM that can take advantage because the four 291 00:15:08,520 --> 00:15:10,640 Speaker 1: teen seed has won a game and four of the 292 00:15:10,720 --> 00:15:13,200 Speaker 1: last five tournaments, and now there's a couple of four 293 00:15:13,240 --> 00:15:14,840 Speaker 1: teens that are playing Big ten teams this year, and 294 00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:19,840 Speaker 1: I think that layoff could come into play. We're gonna 295 00:15:19,880 --> 00:15:22,240 Speaker 1: definitely get to the four teen seeds and the twelve 296 00:15:22,280 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 1: seeds and the eleven seeds. UM. That is going to 297 00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:29,120 Speaker 1: be the exciting and scintillating the last half of the podcast. 298 00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:33,880 Speaker 1: That's how we're gonna keep people motivated to to keep listening, UM, 299 00:15:33,920 --> 00:15:36,040 Speaker 1: because then I want to connect what you're talking about 300 00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:39,600 Speaker 1: with the stats. Who are the teams that, based on 301 00:15:39,640 --> 00:15:44,480 Speaker 1: the stats that you like, have the best mix of 302 00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:48,520 Speaker 1: all of them that you're leg Oh, this feels like 303 00:15:48,520 --> 00:15:50,800 Speaker 1: a no brainer. And I didn't even recognize this team 304 00:15:50,840 --> 00:15:56,040 Speaker 1: sort of had had fingers in each one of these stats. Yeah, 305 00:15:56,040 --> 00:15:57,200 Speaker 1: I mean, I think if you look at a lot 306 00:15:57,280 --> 00:16:01,400 Speaker 1: of the advanced stats, the clear number one team in 307 00:16:01,440 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 1: the country that doesn't really have a weakness is Villanova. 308 00:16:04,440 --> 00:16:06,760 Speaker 1: I mean, even if they come up across the zone, 309 00:16:07,320 --> 00:16:11,000 Speaker 1: they're the best zone offense in the entire country. So 310 00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 1: from an efficiency standpoint, they rank number one. So even 311 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:15,640 Speaker 1: if they come up against an odd zone or an 312 00:16:15,640 --> 00:16:18,880 Speaker 1: odd scheme, you know, they're built to take advantage of 313 00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:22,320 Speaker 1: a zone. If you try and trap them or press them, 314 00:16:22,640 --> 00:16:25,160 Speaker 1: that's not gonna work either. So that team is really 315 00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:28,680 Speaker 1: fit to, you know, go up against any team, no 316 00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:31,160 Speaker 1: matter what the scheme or how they play is. So 317 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:34,000 Speaker 1: they really jump off the page. So does Michigan State 318 00:16:34,120 --> 00:16:38,280 Speaker 1: outside of one key area, and that's turnovers. So you know, 319 00:16:38,360 --> 00:16:40,560 Speaker 1: they are one of the worst teams in the tournament 320 00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:42,760 Speaker 1: and turning the ball over. It's really when they run 321 00:16:42,760 --> 00:16:45,360 Speaker 1: into trouble. It's when they're turning the ball over. So 322 00:16:45,520 --> 00:16:47,480 Speaker 1: if they run into a team that's going to press 323 00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:49,760 Speaker 1: them or pressure the ball, and if you look at 324 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:52,400 Speaker 1: their path, they're not really gonna They don't really see 325 00:16:52,440 --> 00:16:55,320 Speaker 1: many teams that do that, even Duke Um but that's 326 00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:57,440 Speaker 1: when they could run into trouble if they have a press. 327 00:16:57,480 --> 00:17:00,640 Speaker 1: But outside of that that Michigan State, it also looks 328 00:17:00,680 --> 00:17:03,000 Speaker 1: really strong. And then a lot of the top teams 329 00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:05,080 Speaker 1: obviously Virginia, but a lot of the top teams are 330 00:17:05,080 --> 00:17:08,960 Speaker 1: either really strong offensively or just defensively, but don't have 331 00:17:09,080 --> 00:17:11,760 Speaker 1: both teams that two of the teams that do, or 332 00:17:11,840 --> 00:17:14,679 Speaker 1: Michigan State Nova that jump off, which are actually in 333 00:17:14,760 --> 00:17:18,600 Speaker 1: both in my final four. Alright, so you've mentioned the 334 00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:21,080 Speaker 1: key word a couple of times, and that is path 335 00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:25,720 Speaker 1: that is so key to as much as talent, as 336 00:17:25,800 --> 00:17:29,600 Speaker 1: much as systems, as much as sort of the stats 337 00:17:29,600 --> 00:17:32,560 Speaker 1: that you're talking about. You know, Virginia has got a 338 00:17:32,600 --> 00:17:38,880 Speaker 1: brutal path potentially like Kansas has a brutal path potentially mirrors. 339 00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:41,919 Speaker 1: You wrote a story about the easiest path and the 340 00:17:41,960 --> 00:17:45,960 Speaker 1: hardest paths for each one of the top four seeds 341 00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:51,320 Speaker 1: in the brackets. Give me a breakdown. Yeah, so it's 342 00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:56,040 Speaker 1: it's it's interesting. I think that Villanova has the easiest, 343 00:17:56,680 --> 00:18:01,199 Speaker 1: easiest path um coming out of the East, which I 344 00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:04,960 Speaker 1: think it's fair. Virginia's path is um, it's tough. I 345 00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:06,840 Speaker 1: think it really just depends on what you think of 346 00:18:06,960 --> 00:18:10,720 Speaker 1: Arizona because you know, people look at this Arizona team 347 00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:13,480 Speaker 1: and think that they are really good. They've box has 348 00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:16,639 Speaker 1: been playing really well running through the Pack twelve conference, 349 00:18:16,720 --> 00:18:20,479 Speaker 1: but UM, kim Palm, some of advanced analytics are not 350 00:18:20,600 --> 00:18:24,000 Speaker 1: quite as high. UM. So obviously is that that comes 351 00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:26,400 Speaker 1: to the caveat of like DeAndre Ayton can obviously take 352 00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:29,240 Speaker 1: over just about any game. He definitely gives Virginia some 353 00:18:29,320 --> 00:18:32,399 Speaker 1: problems just with his athleticism downlow. So that's gonna be 354 00:18:32,440 --> 00:18:34,720 Speaker 1: an absolutely fascinating matchup. So I think that you're the 355 00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:38,400 Speaker 1: path discussion with Virginia comes down to what you think 356 00:18:38,560 --> 00:18:42,879 Speaker 1: of Arizona. UM. And then after that, obviously I'm pretty 357 00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:46,440 Speaker 1: high on Cincinnati, So that would be a really tough matchup, 358 00:18:47,119 --> 00:18:49,760 Speaker 1: very very similar teams too, of the best defenses that 359 00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:53,399 Speaker 1: we've seen in quite a long time. UH. And then 360 00:18:53,440 --> 00:18:58,119 Speaker 1: sort of going down Xavier, UM has a pretty tough path, 361 00:18:58,640 --> 00:19:01,919 Speaker 1: notably just because of that in Zaga game. UM. You know, 362 00:19:02,119 --> 00:19:05,000 Speaker 1: since Gonzaga is one of the most underseated teams, UH, 363 00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:07,800 Speaker 1: there's an inefficiency there. So obviously playing them before they 364 00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:11,360 Speaker 1: even get to the delete A is problematic for them. 365 00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:14,080 Speaker 1: And then I have Kansas is the toughest path. Um, 366 00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:16,520 Speaker 1: it's made a little bit easier, but they don't have 367 00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:19,800 Speaker 1: to face Duke and Michigan State, but they're gonna have 368 00:19:19,840 --> 00:19:21,439 Speaker 1: to take one of them, and I think that they 369 00:19:21,480 --> 00:19:25,080 Speaker 1: would be be dogs to those and I would definitely 370 00:19:25,080 --> 00:19:29,960 Speaker 1: take Dukero Michigan State over Kansas very easily. It's like, 371 00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:33,040 Speaker 1: how are any of us going to fill out our 372 00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:38,119 Speaker 1: Action network company brackets? We're all gonna have the same teams, 373 00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:41,640 Speaker 1: like most companies have these problems where everyone fills out 374 00:19:41,880 --> 00:19:45,359 Speaker 1: only favorites because nobody knows anything. Like we're all gonna 375 00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:49,520 Speaker 1: be filling out Butler and Gonzaga and uh, you know, 376 00:19:49,920 --> 00:19:54,040 Speaker 1: maybe Murray State and Cincinnati. Like we're gonna have the 377 00:19:54,040 --> 00:19:58,159 Speaker 1: most analytically driven brackets. Nobody's gonna win anything. We're all 378 00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:01,320 Speaker 1: gonna be tied. Well, it'll come down. I mean, most 379 00:20:01,320 --> 00:20:05,320 Speaker 1: bracket contests come down to who picking the winner and 380 00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:07,800 Speaker 1: then the final four. So that's where I think we're 381 00:20:07,800 --> 00:20:10,400 Speaker 1: going to have a lot of differences. And it really 382 00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:11,840 Speaker 1: starts with that. If you don't pick the winner, you're 383 00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:13,680 Speaker 1: pretty much not gonna win. You gotta get three of 384 00:20:13,760 --> 00:20:17,239 Speaker 1: the four final four. So while there should be, you know, 385 00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:21,640 Speaker 1: some parallels in our brackets as far as the round one, 386 00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:24,760 Speaker 1: round two upsets and who's getting to the Elite eight. 387 00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:28,320 Speaker 1: I think you'll see some differentiation late in the bracket, 388 00:20:28,320 --> 00:20:31,480 Speaker 1: which is when you know most contests are decided anyway. 389 00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:33,560 Speaker 1: You can lose it earlier, but you can't win it. 390 00:20:34,240 --> 00:20:36,159 Speaker 1: We're gonna get to the final four. But before we 391 00:20:36,200 --> 00:20:38,200 Speaker 1: do that, what I want to do is I want 392 00:20:38,200 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 1: to go through each bracket and each region, and I 393 00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:45,840 Speaker 1: want you guys in the first round to give me 394 00:20:46,040 --> 00:20:50,640 Speaker 1: in each region sort of the bracket buster slash, the 395 00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:55,560 Speaker 1: bracket leverage play. UM. If you are someone, it's either 396 00:20:55,600 --> 00:20:58,040 Speaker 1: the team you think will bust somebody's bracket, or if 397 00:20:58,040 --> 00:21:00,560 Speaker 1: you're smart, it's a team you're using for levers to 398 00:21:00,600 --> 00:21:03,760 Speaker 1: start to get some points in the early rounds. UM, 399 00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:05,320 Speaker 1: and I want you to do for the first and 400 00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:08,160 Speaker 1: second round because I want you to project UH into 401 00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:10,840 Speaker 1: the second round. So UH, Mirrors, let's start with you 402 00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:13,800 Speaker 1: in the East, UM, looking at the brackets. I hope 403 00:21:13,800 --> 00:21:16,119 Speaker 1: you have them in front of you. UH. Out of 404 00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:19,119 Speaker 1: all the matchups, we're looking at Villanova versus you know, 405 00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:22,920 Speaker 1: l y U and UH Radford and the play playing game. 406 00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:28,920 Speaker 1: Virginia Tech, Alabama, West Virginia, Marie State, Wichita, Marshall, Florida, 407 00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:32,760 Speaker 1: the Bonnies in U c. L A, Texas Tech, Uh, 408 00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:38,400 Speaker 1: Stephen f Off Austin, Arkansas, Butler and Perdue Fullerton. Give 409 00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:41,000 Speaker 1: me your leverage play in the first round and then 410 00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:44,760 Speaker 1: in the second round for the East in the East, okay, 411 00:21:45,200 --> 00:21:48,200 Speaker 1: UM my leverage play. I think that Marshall definitely gives 412 00:21:48,800 --> 00:21:52,760 Speaker 1: Wichita State some issues. UM. The Shockers are not the 413 00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:56,600 Speaker 1: greatest transition defense, and Marshall can definitely UM give them 414 00:21:56,720 --> 00:21:58,480 Speaker 1: give them some problems there. And I think which is 415 00:21:58,520 --> 00:22:01,879 Speaker 1: taught State UM is sort of an analytics darling, So 416 00:22:02,119 --> 00:22:04,480 Speaker 1: maybe I'm going against myself here uh and a lot 417 00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:09,159 Speaker 1: of people like them um as as a trendy four seeds. 418 00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:12,920 Speaker 1: So I think that Marshall over which shot State UM 419 00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:14,920 Speaker 1: to just get out of the first round, is going 420 00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:18,240 Speaker 1: to potentially bust a lot of brackets. UM and then 421 00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:23,679 Speaker 1: looking I had to uh the next round, UM, I 422 00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:26,680 Speaker 1: think you have some interesting matchups. I think West Virginia 423 00:22:26,760 --> 00:22:31,360 Speaker 1: is one of the more volatile teams in this entire tournament, 424 00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:34,720 Speaker 1: just because they have this press. UH. They are one 425 00:22:34,720 --> 00:22:37,960 Speaker 1: of the most foul prone teams in the tournament, so 426 00:22:38,320 --> 00:22:40,639 Speaker 1: you can see them getting foul trouble. Their press is 427 00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:44,000 Speaker 1: very boomer bus, so um, I think that's sort of 428 00:22:44,040 --> 00:22:46,520 Speaker 1: the trend here is you have some very boomer bus teams. 429 00:22:46,560 --> 00:22:50,120 Speaker 1: Alabama sort of a boomer Bus team with Colin Sexton, um, 430 00:22:50,280 --> 00:22:53,320 Speaker 1: Butler's underseated texts text is very boomer Bus as well 431 00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:57,359 Speaker 1: with their uh defense, um and their shooting. So you 432 00:22:57,359 --> 00:23:00,280 Speaker 1: could have some some bracket busters, especially with the lower 433 00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:03,600 Speaker 1: septs outside of Illanova. All right, stuck, give me your 434 00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:08,040 Speaker 1: East bracket buster. Yeah, to follow, Brian said. The interesting 435 00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:10,399 Speaker 1: thing with what I think hurts West Virginia is if 436 00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:12,600 Speaker 1: you look at all those teams, even starting with Mary State, 437 00:23:12,640 --> 00:23:16,000 Speaker 1: who was too ridiculously good guards, there's so many good 438 00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:17,960 Speaker 1: guards that that can deal with their press. I mean, 439 00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:19,800 Speaker 1: even if they get through to Villanova, you can't really 440 00:23:19,800 --> 00:23:22,960 Speaker 1: press Nova. But Marshal Um, you know they have an 441 00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:25,880 Speaker 1: outstanding point guard. Maury State has two great guards. I mean, 442 00:23:25,880 --> 00:23:28,760 Speaker 1: that's just there's no one that they're they're gonna really 443 00:23:28,840 --> 00:23:30,520 Speaker 1: bother with their press. I mean, there presses at a 444 00:23:30,560 --> 00:23:32,479 Speaker 1: different level, but they're running into a lot of guards 445 00:23:32,480 --> 00:23:35,400 Speaker 1: there um, and I think that's a safe little pod 446 00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:37,720 Speaker 1: to pick an upset because I think Nova comes through 447 00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:40,439 Speaker 1: their same thing with Perdue at the bottom. I actually 448 00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:42,240 Speaker 1: think a team that can make noise is in the 449 00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:44,240 Speaker 1: bottom of the East and you kind of get two 450 00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:46,480 Speaker 1: for one and St. Bonaventure's U c l A, which 451 00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:48,119 Speaker 1: is tonight. I think U c l A wins that 452 00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:50,399 Speaker 1: game because they have a lot more height. But the winner. 453 00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:53,080 Speaker 1: You always see one of these teams, the six eleven teams, 454 00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:55,200 Speaker 1: UM make a run. And have you've seen it so 455 00:23:55,240 --> 00:23:57,360 Speaker 1: many times? I mean you've seen VC. You go from 456 00:23:57,359 --> 00:23:59,879 Speaker 1: this game to the final four. Um, you know, you 457 00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:02,280 Speaker 1: kind of get some momentum going before and the other 458 00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:05,320 Speaker 1: team's a little flat. But Florida is a gettable number 459 00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:07,720 Speaker 1: six seed. They have no size, they have a very 460 00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:10,359 Speaker 1: volatile game, UM, and you know U. C l A 461 00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:13,000 Speaker 1: is a great point guard in holiday and they have 462 00:24:13,080 --> 00:24:15,840 Speaker 1: some they have you know, seven footer and that stretch 463 00:24:16,080 --> 00:24:18,159 Speaker 1: they have. They can stretch you out with size and 464 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:20,439 Speaker 1: their posts and they're kind of a matchup nightmare. Now 465 00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:23,320 Speaker 1: they don't play any defense, um, but it's not like 466 00:24:23,320 --> 00:24:24,919 Speaker 1: they're going to run into a Florida team that they 467 00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:28,119 Speaker 1: can't beat and then, as Brian alluded to Texas Tech, 468 00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,800 Speaker 1: you know, they're they're a volatile team as well, you know, 469 00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:34,720 Speaker 1: and they're they're kind of just coming together. They're getting healthy, 470 00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:37,080 Speaker 1: but they still haven't jailed. So if you're looking for 471 00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:39,879 Speaker 1: kind of a shot not to ruin your final four, 472 00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:42,560 Speaker 1: but I think the winner of St. Bonaventure's u c 473 00:24:42,680 --> 00:24:44,840 Speaker 1: l A u c l A more so can get 474 00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:47,760 Speaker 1: to the Sweet six team where they eventually would lose 475 00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:52,679 Speaker 1: to Perdue. All right, let's go to the East. Uh, Mirrors, 476 00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:56,840 Speaker 1: you start again. I'm sorry, I'm sorry. We're going to 477 00:24:56,840 --> 00:25:00,720 Speaker 1: the South. Mirrors, you start again. Give me your racketbuster 478 00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:07,639 Speaker 1: for their South bracketbuster. Yeah, I'm going loyal Chicago. UM. 479 00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:11,600 Speaker 1: I think they're very interesting team, mostly just because of 480 00:25:11,800 --> 00:25:17,119 Speaker 1: their offense. They have pretty dynamic point guard who I 481 00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:18,960 Speaker 1: think probably could be playing at a lot of these 482 00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:22,760 Speaker 1: high power conferences, Um Custer I think is his name. UM, 483 00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:25,439 Speaker 1: And their offense is really really good this year they 484 00:25:25,520 --> 00:25:28,639 Speaker 1: rank eighth and effective field goal percentage, which um, you know, 485 00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:30,760 Speaker 1: I've been doing a lot of work on four factors. 486 00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:35,159 Speaker 1: Pioneer by Dean Oliver in Affective field goal percentage is 487 00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:37,480 Speaker 1: one of the most important stats that correlates the success. 488 00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:40,359 Speaker 1: So you have loyal Chicago who is in eleven seed, 489 00:25:40,600 --> 00:25:43,680 Speaker 1: and they are top ten in that very important metrics. So, um, 490 00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:46,639 Speaker 1: I like them as a bracketbuster. It's not only beat Miami, 491 00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:48,159 Speaker 1: but I think they can give Tennessee a run for 492 00:25:48,200 --> 00:25:52,760 Speaker 1: their money as well. Alright, stock, what do you think? Yeah, 493 00:25:52,800 --> 00:25:57,000 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't see many bracketbusters here, but I 494 00:25:57,119 --> 00:26:03,680 Speaker 1: do potentially see Davidson beating Kentucky in the first round. Um, 495 00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:06,440 Speaker 1: it's a really tough matchup for Kentucky because they're gonna 496 00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:09,880 Speaker 1: Davidson's gone zone. They're gonna zone Kentucky and Kentucky can't 497 00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:12,639 Speaker 1: really shoot. They have a motion offense, which can be 498 00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:15,240 Speaker 1: tricky to guard, especially for all Kentucky's freshman and they're 499 00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:18,439 Speaker 1: they're gonna be at a disadvantage athletically. But that's just 500 00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:21,600 Speaker 1: a team you don't want to play right now. They're hot, 501 00:26:21,600 --> 00:26:24,800 Speaker 1: their offense is great. They could shoot free throws if 502 00:26:24,800 --> 00:26:26,800 Speaker 1: they call it tight. They're I think they're the best 503 00:26:26,800 --> 00:26:29,240 Speaker 1: free throw shooting team in the tournament, where Kentucky struggles 504 00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:32,640 Speaker 1: at the line. Um, So I think that's a potential 505 00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:36,600 Speaker 1: twelve five upset. But having said that, I think once 506 00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:39,080 Speaker 1: you get to the sweet sixteen, a lot of the 507 00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:41,439 Speaker 1: chalk is is gonna hold and you're gonna see, you know, 508 00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:46,160 Speaker 1: a Virginia versus Arizona since he versus Tennessee. Um. But yeah, 509 00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:47,960 Speaker 1: I do actually like Louis Chicago in the first round 510 00:26:48,000 --> 00:26:50,400 Speaker 1: of Miami. I think there's a a couple of potential 511 00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:53,680 Speaker 1: first round double digit seed upsets in the South, but 512 00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:56,920 Speaker 1: I think that their potential is their potential ceiling is 513 00:26:56,960 --> 00:27:01,040 Speaker 1: really the first weekend and that's it. All right, Let's 514 00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:06,679 Speaker 1: do the Midwest. Do you start? Who's your bracketbuster in 515 00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:10,399 Speaker 1: the Midwest? Well, um, by twelve the twelve, I like 516 00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:13,159 Speaker 1: another twelve seed here, um, because I think at the 517 00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:17,760 Speaker 1: bottom half it's you're gonna see Michigan State in duke um. 518 00:27:17,760 --> 00:27:20,920 Speaker 1: But on the top half do not. I mean, I'm 519 00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:23,560 Speaker 1: saying it's almost on every radio station. If if Penn 520 00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:25,600 Speaker 1: is a pen verse Kansas is like a fourteen verse 521 00:27:25,640 --> 00:27:29,560 Speaker 1: three um. But so don't be shocked if Penn is 522 00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:32,439 Speaker 1: in that game late. But my bracketbuster here is New 523 00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:35,920 Speaker 1: Mexico State. I really one of my favorite first round 524 00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:38,600 Speaker 1: players to catch the five against Clemson. They have really 525 00:27:38,600 --> 00:27:42,320 Speaker 1: long guards in Zach Lofton and Jamario Jones that can 526 00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:46,600 Speaker 1: give Clemson's smaller backcourt trouble. They have a lot of length. 527 00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:50,440 Speaker 1: Clemson just isn't the same same team without Dante Grantham, 528 00:27:50,600 --> 00:27:54,119 Speaker 1: and I think that they're they're gettable. And then you know, 529 00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:57,320 Speaker 1: so they're missing a key player, Clemson, They've been playing 530 00:27:57,320 --> 00:27:59,080 Speaker 1: without them for a while. But then the next round, 531 00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:02,920 Speaker 1: if Auburn beats Charleston, Auburn has missing a couple of 532 00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:05,359 Speaker 1: key players that have really hurt the complexion of their team, 533 00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:08,880 Speaker 1: especially on defense. So you know, a team that can 534 00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:11,159 Speaker 1: make some noise here, you know, and then if Kansas 535 00:28:11,200 --> 00:28:13,800 Speaker 1: gets picked off, I think this is a you know, 536 00:28:13,840 --> 00:28:16,320 Speaker 1: that top half of the Midwest you can I mean, 537 00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:18,520 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go crazy with it because I think on 538 00:28:18,560 --> 00:28:21,760 Speaker 1: the bottom half, the winner of Duke Michigan State gets out. 539 00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:24,440 Speaker 1: So I don't think that you've necessarily ruined your final 540 00:28:24,520 --> 00:28:27,600 Speaker 1: four or anything by going crazy in that top half. 541 00:28:27,640 --> 00:28:29,720 Speaker 1: So I think New Mexico State can make some noise. 542 00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:34,080 Speaker 1: One caveat is they are horrendous free throw shooting team, 543 00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:36,800 Speaker 1: so you know that could end up biting them if 544 00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:40,040 Speaker 1: they get in a close game. UM, I think that 545 00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:44,200 Speaker 1: they're the worst free throw shooting team in the entire tournament. Um. Yeah, 546 00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:46,360 Speaker 1: they are at sixty four point three percent. I mean, 547 00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:49,400 Speaker 1: they're under sixty from the line, so that could end 548 00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:51,640 Speaker 1: up biting them. But I like their length, I love 549 00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:54,600 Speaker 1: their guards, and I think they can make some noise 550 00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:57,200 Speaker 1: with a favorable first and second round matchup with power 551 00:28:57,240 --> 00:29:01,200 Speaker 1: teams that are missing some key pieces. That's some good 552 00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:03,880 Speaker 1: insight right there. Mirrors, you're gonna have to to match 553 00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:06,720 Speaker 1: that in the Midwest. Yeah, I mean I think Stuck 554 00:29:06,760 --> 00:29:09,719 Speaker 1: nailed it. Yeah. I think the people like to focus 555 00:29:09,720 --> 00:29:12,040 Speaker 1: on that five twelve and I think New Mexico States 556 00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:16,240 Speaker 1: probably the best bet for a twelve seams to take over. Um. 557 00:29:16,280 --> 00:29:18,800 Speaker 1: Going back to the effective field goal percentage, which is 558 00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:21,680 Speaker 1: one of the most predictive staff for success. Um. I mean, 559 00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:24,760 Speaker 1: they're just dominant defensively. They're the sixth best team in 560 00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:29,479 Speaker 1: UH in terms of allowing affective field goal percentage. Clemson 561 00:29:29,560 --> 00:29:31,760 Speaker 1: likes to run some pick and roll. In Mexico States, 562 00:29:31,760 --> 00:29:34,960 Speaker 1: pick and roll defense is very, very, very good, so 563 00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:37,320 Speaker 1: I think they give Clemson a lot of problems in 564 00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:40,880 Speaker 1: that does set up well for their next game in 565 00:29:40,920 --> 00:29:43,760 Speaker 1: Auburn because you know Stuck mentioned they're missing a couple 566 00:29:43,800 --> 00:29:47,120 Speaker 1: of their key players, So Mesicoc, I think is a 567 00:29:47,240 --> 00:29:50,400 Speaker 1: very interesting Sweet six team. Pick Um. I'll give you 568 00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:53,680 Speaker 1: one more though, just to be different from Stuck. Uh. Syracuse. 569 00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:56,120 Speaker 1: People are giving them a lot of craft for actually 570 00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:59,080 Speaker 1: getting into the tournament. I agree they didn't deserve it 571 00:29:59,120 --> 00:30:02,160 Speaker 1: over um some some other more deserving team St. Mary's 572 00:30:02,160 --> 00:30:05,960 Speaker 1: Notre Dame stuff like that, But um, you know, as 573 00:30:06,000 --> 00:30:08,560 Speaker 1: a team that is not getting a lot of love, 574 00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:11,480 Speaker 1: they could definitely be Arizona State, who's not very good, 575 00:30:11,800 --> 00:30:15,000 Speaker 1: and then a Stuck mission. You know, teams that just 576 00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:18,959 Speaker 1: played differently can give um, some squads some troubles when 577 00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:21,560 Speaker 1: you only have a day to prepare. So Arizona State 578 00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:24,640 Speaker 1: Syracuse is in this playing game and in TCU obviously 579 00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:26,120 Speaker 1: not going to know who they have prepared for it. 580 00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:28,600 Speaker 1: They'll try their best to prepare for both. But um, 581 00:30:28,640 --> 00:30:31,280 Speaker 1: if Syracuse gets in and then they have to shift 582 00:30:31,320 --> 00:30:34,560 Speaker 1: to analyze the zone defense for Syracuse, I think they 583 00:30:34,560 --> 00:30:37,960 Speaker 1: could take TCU by surprise. So I agree that I'm 584 00:30:37,960 --> 00:30:39,600 Speaker 1: not going to really pick that many upsets. In the 585 00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:42,600 Speaker 1: Michigan State Duke Uh side of things. But you could 586 00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:45,720 Speaker 1: take Syracuse over TC if you want to get a 587 00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:49,840 Speaker 1: little cute, um stuck, we just gotta pick Pin over Kansas. 588 00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:51,920 Speaker 1: I mean, no one's gonna pick a six over one, 589 00:30:52,280 --> 00:30:54,560 Speaker 1: no guts, no glory. I mean, we would be legends 590 00:30:54,560 --> 00:30:58,120 Speaker 1: if we actually predicted that. Well, I might, um, I 591 00:30:58,120 --> 00:31:00,320 Speaker 1: mean I've been telling I've been telling everyone. I'll at 592 00:31:00,400 --> 00:31:02,400 Speaker 1: every radio station. I God, I'm like, don't be surprised 593 00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:04,160 Speaker 1: if this is the sixteen that wins, because it's not 594 00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:07,040 Speaker 1: really a sixteen one. I mean, Penn is the number 595 00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:10,240 Speaker 1: one three point defense in the entire tournament. That's huge 596 00:31:10,280 --> 00:31:13,000 Speaker 1: against Kansas. Um, they'll slow it up. They have they 597 00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:15,840 Speaker 1: they're just a very analytically smart team. They don't they 598 00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:18,680 Speaker 1: take threes or two or close to is. They don't 599 00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:21,360 Speaker 1: take any mid rates jumpers, you know, so they can 600 00:31:21,440 --> 00:31:24,280 Speaker 1: if Candas could get tight, I mean, I can see 601 00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:26,200 Speaker 1: that game being close. And there's a reason that spreads 602 00:31:26,240 --> 00:31:29,360 Speaker 1: only fourteen you mentioned, So I might end up putting 603 00:31:29,400 --> 00:31:31,360 Speaker 1: the sixteen. Now I've never done that in a bracket. 604 00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:33,280 Speaker 1: I don't even know if I could. I have the 605 00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:35,920 Speaker 1: guts to actually right pen in there, but I think 606 00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:38,440 Speaker 1: that I'm gonna have as a hedge. I'm gonna have 607 00:31:38,480 --> 00:31:41,480 Speaker 1: Seaton hall In beating Kansas in the next round. But 608 00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:45,040 Speaker 1: we'll see. Um. One thing that you mentioned about Syracuse, 609 00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:47,400 Speaker 1: I agree. But the one thing that I'm afraid of 610 00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:50,160 Speaker 1: with Syracuse is that's a team with zero depth. So 611 00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:53,000 Speaker 1: they have to play tomorrow and then you know, they'll 612 00:31:53,120 --> 00:31:55,160 Speaker 1: then have to travel and then there's just one day 613 00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:57,640 Speaker 1: off and they play again. You know, maybe they can, 614 00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:01,120 Speaker 1: you know, they can have another good effort against TCU, 615 00:32:01,160 --> 00:32:04,000 Speaker 1: but then they're gonna be dead. Um, you know in 616 00:32:04,040 --> 00:32:05,960 Speaker 1: the next round when they would play, you know, the 617 00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:07,520 Speaker 1: winner of I don't think it would win any with 618 00:32:07,560 --> 00:32:09,680 Speaker 1: Michigan State book now, but I think that could even 619 00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:13,360 Speaker 1: hurt them against TCU playing that playing game of daybreak 620 00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:15,600 Speaker 1: to travel because they really just don't have any depth 621 00:32:15,600 --> 00:32:21,560 Speaker 1: at all. Mirrors take me through your West bracketbuster, then 622 00:32:21,560 --> 00:32:24,320 Speaker 1: stuck Europ on that and then we're doing final four 623 00:32:24,400 --> 00:32:28,840 Speaker 1: and championship winners. Yeah, this is one stuff. I think 624 00:32:28,840 --> 00:32:33,120 Speaker 1: this is probably the chockiest bracket or a region. Um, 625 00:32:33,160 --> 00:32:35,800 Speaker 1: you know, I would honestly would probably my bracket pick 626 00:32:35,880 --> 00:32:39,479 Speaker 1: all of the favorites here. Um, I guess I can 627 00:32:39,480 --> 00:32:43,800 Speaker 1: look ahead to to some potential UM upsets later, you know, 628 00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:46,120 Speaker 1: in the second round or something. Um. Well, one thing 629 00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:47,760 Speaker 1: that's really stand out to me, so if we're going 630 00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:51,600 Speaker 1: to fade Xavier, I think we're gonna fade them against Gonzaga. 631 00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:54,400 Speaker 1: But you know, if Missouri gets past past Florida State, 632 00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:58,200 Speaker 1: Missouri has Michael Porter Jr. Who is was one of 633 00:32:58,240 --> 00:33:01,040 Speaker 1: the top prospects coming in and played many minutes because 634 00:33:01,040 --> 00:33:03,320 Speaker 1: he just came back a couple of games ago. Um, 635 00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:06,160 Speaker 1: I think two games ago. He played twenty three minutes 636 00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:08,280 Speaker 1: in the game before. But I mean this is an 637 00:33:08,280 --> 00:33:12,400 Speaker 1: elite talent. Uh, they have had some time for him 638 00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:14,960 Speaker 1: to practice with the starters. Uh, you know, they could 639 00:33:15,000 --> 00:33:17,080 Speaker 1: put the ball in his hands and give him thirty minutes. 640 00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:19,880 Speaker 1: And maybe Missouri is a much better than an eight 641 00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:24,120 Speaker 1: seed with Michael Porter Junior playing, So that one's staying 642 00:33:24,160 --> 00:33:27,240 Speaker 1: sending out to me, it's interesting, But I think it's 643 00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:29,640 Speaker 1: gonna be pretty chalky here until we get later into 644 00:33:29,760 --> 00:33:35,040 Speaker 1: the to the region with with Xavier potentially visiting get Zaga. Um, 645 00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:37,360 Speaker 1: and uh, you know North Carolina could go down to 646 00:33:37,400 --> 00:33:41,720 Speaker 1: Michigan for sure. Stuck. Yeah, I think it's chalky up 647 00:33:41,800 --> 00:33:44,320 Speaker 1: until the sweet sixteen, and then I think you see 648 00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:46,120 Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see an elite eight of the 649 00:33:46,120 --> 00:33:48,720 Speaker 1: three verset four seat here. But the Missouri is a 650 00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:51,800 Speaker 1: I'm surprised you didn't say Lipscomb Brian beating Caroline in 651 00:33:51,840 --> 00:33:57,720 Speaker 1: the first round. Um, But the Bison's not the Bison, 652 00:33:57,760 --> 00:34:00,880 Speaker 1: the Bisons of Lipscomb. So the Yeah, the interesting team 653 00:34:00,920 --> 00:34:02,960 Speaker 1: you pointed out as Missouri, but also Florida State, And 654 00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:05,160 Speaker 1: with Florida State is very long and deep. I mean, 655 00:34:05,160 --> 00:34:08,560 Speaker 1: they can't really shoot their defenses, and but they're an 656 00:34:08,560 --> 00:34:11,200 Speaker 1: interesting team. But Missouri, if you want to get crazy 657 00:34:11,200 --> 00:34:15,439 Speaker 1: in your bracket. UM, as Brian alluded to, they at 658 00:34:15,520 --> 00:34:17,560 Speaker 1: a full health coming into the year. They're probably a 659 00:34:17,600 --> 00:34:20,440 Speaker 1: top four seed. The problem is that they're trying to 660 00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:22,880 Speaker 1: assimilate Michael Porter Jr. Back In the lineup. I mean, 661 00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:25,360 Speaker 1: their offense was a mess. There was no flow in 662 00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:26,880 Speaker 1: the last game that they played. They lost in the 663 00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:31,040 Speaker 1: conference tournament to Georgia. UM. But if they can somehow 664 00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:34,719 Speaker 1: get by Florida State, you know, and then and then 665 00:34:34,760 --> 00:34:36,680 Speaker 1: you know, they can figure out a way to beat Xavier, 666 00:34:36,680 --> 00:34:38,719 Speaker 1: who will give Missouri can shooting. Xavier will give you 667 00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:41,680 Speaker 1: a chance to shoot against them. Then all of a sudden, 668 00:34:41,680 --> 00:34:44,239 Speaker 1: that's a team that becomes better and better as they 669 00:34:44,280 --> 00:34:46,399 Speaker 1: move on, because you know, they're this team that needs 670 00:34:46,440 --> 00:34:48,920 Speaker 1: to come together in gel but they just have so 671 00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:51,480 Speaker 1: many moving pieces. I mean, Jordan Barnett, they're starting forward, 672 00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:53,719 Speaker 1: is suspended against Florida States. You've got a d w 673 00:34:53,920 --> 00:34:56,719 Speaker 1: I these are leading rebounder. So then they're gonna Michael 674 00:34:56,760 --> 00:34:59,960 Speaker 1: Porter Jr. Coming back against Florida State trying to assimilate 675 00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:02,399 Speaker 1: into the line up without Barnett, and then Barnett coming back. 676 00:35:03,040 --> 00:35:05,839 Speaker 1: You know, if they win on Sunday against Xavior, So 677 00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:07,759 Speaker 1: it's gonna be tough for them. But if they could 678 00:35:07,760 --> 00:35:09,279 Speaker 1: find a way to put it all together and then 679 00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:12,600 Speaker 1: get to the second weekend, you know, with Michael Porter Jr. 680 00:35:12,640 --> 00:35:14,960 Speaker 1: Coming back, as as Brian said, he's an elite talent, 681 00:35:15,320 --> 00:35:17,840 Speaker 1: they all of a sudden become a really dangerous team 682 00:35:17,880 --> 00:35:20,000 Speaker 1: that just gets better with each round because they start 683 00:35:20,080 --> 00:35:22,760 Speaker 1: playing with each other, and they're very unique in that sense. 684 00:35:24,560 --> 00:35:29,160 Speaker 1: All right, sign for the main event, fellas. I need 685 00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:33,840 Speaker 1: I need a Final four and I need a title 686 00:35:33,880 --> 00:35:38,440 Speaker 1: winner from both of you. Stop you start, um, Okay, 687 00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:41,239 Speaker 1: I'll start on the right side of the bracket where 688 00:35:41,239 --> 00:35:44,439 Speaker 1: I'm going pretty chalky. I have Villanova in the final four, 689 00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:46,239 Speaker 1: coming out of the East. I think they have the 690 00:35:46,280 --> 00:35:50,719 Speaker 1: easiest path. They are the best overall team, UM from 691 00:35:50,840 --> 00:35:53,080 Speaker 1: you know off when you look at offense and defense 692 00:35:53,440 --> 00:35:56,600 Speaker 1: of an elite point guard. UM, they have experienced bridges 693 00:35:56,640 --> 00:35:59,319 Speaker 1: as a monster. I mean, and I just look at 694 00:35:59,360 --> 00:36:02,520 Speaker 1: their path do There's inbably a really tough game, need 695 00:36:02,600 --> 00:36:04,239 Speaker 1: lead eight, but I think Nova gets through and gets 696 00:36:04,239 --> 00:36:07,680 Speaker 1: to the final four. The Midwest Kansas could get picked 697 00:36:07,680 --> 00:36:12,440 Speaker 1: off by pen but regardless, Kansas Kansas is going down 698 00:36:12,520 --> 00:36:15,520 Speaker 1: to the winner of Michigan Stated Duke. I mean, those 699 00:36:15,520 --> 00:36:18,800 Speaker 1: are two elite offensive rebounding teams elite top five in 700 00:36:18,960 --> 00:36:21,960 Speaker 1: Kansas is three D in the country and defensive rebounding 701 00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:24,640 Speaker 1: UM and Kansas is a very violatile team. They're three 702 00:36:24,640 --> 00:36:28,080 Speaker 1: point reliant. You have questions with Odzi bouk health. Even 703 00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:29,879 Speaker 1: if he plays, you just foul him and he can't 704 00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:33,240 Speaker 1: hit free throws. But um, so I think the winner 705 00:36:33,239 --> 00:36:36,040 Speaker 1: of Michigan State Duke comes out of there. I'm going 706 00:36:36,040 --> 00:36:38,400 Speaker 1: I'm taking a stab with Michigan State. I know that 707 00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:40,440 Speaker 1: is THO has had issues with Duke in the past. 708 00:36:40,560 --> 00:36:43,840 Speaker 1: But you have the n SKS leading three point shooter 709 00:36:43,880 --> 00:36:47,359 Speaker 1: and Cash's Winston, Michigan State can match them inside. Um, 710 00:36:47,440 --> 00:36:50,200 Speaker 1: I mean, that'll just be a fascinating game. UM. So 711 00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:52,720 Speaker 1: I'm going actually with Michigan State, and it'll be interesting 712 00:36:52,760 --> 00:36:55,319 Speaker 1: to watch coach k go down playing his own, which 713 00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:57,200 Speaker 1: he said that's how you can't win in the tournament 714 00:36:57,239 --> 00:36:58,400 Speaker 1: playing his own. But he's had to go to his 715 00:36:58,440 --> 00:37:01,000 Speaker 1: own this year. So I've Michigan State coming out of 716 00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:04,600 Speaker 1: the Midwest taking on Nova and getting to the championships 717 00:37:04,680 --> 00:37:06,360 Speaker 1: of Michigan State coming out of the right side of 718 00:37:06,400 --> 00:37:09,439 Speaker 1: the Bractic on the South. I took a stab with 719 00:37:09,920 --> 00:37:13,920 Speaker 1: Arizona coming out, so I think that I think that 720 00:37:13,960 --> 00:37:18,200 Speaker 1: they would beat Kentucky and Kentucky is gonna struggle with Davidson. 721 00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:20,959 Speaker 1: And I don't think that Kentucky would beat Virginia because 722 00:37:20,960 --> 00:37:24,120 Speaker 1: they can't shoot. You know, Arizona has some you know 723 00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:27,840 Speaker 1: a little better shooting capability. But as Brian said to 724 00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:30,320 Speaker 1: DeAndre eight and he mean, he's essentially a video game player. 725 00:37:30,360 --> 00:37:33,160 Speaker 1: You just turned all the settings up and he's on 726 00:37:33,160 --> 00:37:35,800 Speaker 1: your TV. Um, he could take over the game. I 727 00:37:35,800 --> 00:37:39,040 Speaker 1: would love to see that Virginia Arizona game. UM, so 728 00:37:39,080 --> 00:37:40,600 Speaker 1: I took a stab here out of the South and 729 00:37:40,640 --> 00:37:43,640 Speaker 1: have the four seed coming out, and I actually have 730 00:37:44,360 --> 00:37:47,160 Speaker 1: them playing a four seed coming out of the West 731 00:37:47,200 --> 00:37:49,080 Speaker 1: and Gonzaga. I think if you look at the top 732 00:37:49,120 --> 00:37:52,000 Speaker 1: four seeds in every region, Zaga is one of the 733 00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:56,320 Speaker 1: easiest paths to the final I mean to the final four. 734 00:37:56,360 --> 00:37:58,160 Speaker 1: I mean they might be favored in every game, and 735 00:37:58,200 --> 00:38:00,440 Speaker 1: there are four seed So I really like the way 736 00:38:00,440 --> 00:38:04,000 Speaker 1: that they're playing. They have an easy one relatively speaking, 737 00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:07,439 Speaker 1: in an easy to relatively speaking um in their side 738 00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:10,359 Speaker 1: of the bracket. So I actually have Arizona and Gonzaga 739 00:38:10,600 --> 00:38:13,320 Speaker 1: on the left side of the bracket, with Arizona getting 740 00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:18,080 Speaker 1: to the final Michigan State as the champion. Wow, that 741 00:38:18,320 --> 00:38:22,440 Speaker 1: is a great bracket. I'm giving you about sixty seconds 742 00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:26,080 Speaker 1: to top that. Man, it's stuck, you stolen. I was 743 00:38:26,080 --> 00:38:28,120 Speaker 1: gonna go contraining and sake Michigan State to win it 744 00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:31,160 Speaker 1: as well. So I coofy run through. I think Vanilla 745 00:38:31,480 --> 00:38:35,719 Speaker 1: Villan Villa Nova comes out of the East. Um. Like 746 00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:37,880 Speaker 1: we mentioned, they're just really really solid team, don't have 747 00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:41,520 Speaker 1: many weaknesses. UM. I like Michigan States who to beat Duke. 748 00:38:41,920 --> 00:38:44,360 Speaker 1: I have a really interesting staff for DUC. I'll spit 749 00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:49,400 Speaker 1: out against Carolina and a CEC championship. UNC shot forty 750 00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:52,480 Speaker 1: two jumpers and only four of them were contested. UNC 751 00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:56,359 Speaker 1: didn't shoot well on them, hitting only twelve of thirty five, 752 00:38:56,520 --> 00:38:59,600 Speaker 1: but still one Duke. The zones just it's just not 753 00:38:59,680 --> 00:39:02,759 Speaker 1: set for for March Madness. So I think they go 754 00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:05,880 Speaker 1: down to Michigan State, who is the best defense as 755 00:39:05,880 --> 00:39:08,719 Speaker 1: far as defending shots, which is why I think that 756 00:39:08,760 --> 00:39:10,839 Speaker 1: they have a chance to win the title as well. Um, 757 00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:13,840 Speaker 1: I'm Gonzaga out of the West, um, and then in 758 00:39:13,840 --> 00:39:16,359 Speaker 1: the South, I'll go against Stucky. I think Virginia does 759 00:39:16,440 --> 00:39:19,040 Speaker 1: be Arizona. Thing. With Arizona I am worried about. It's 760 00:39:19,040 --> 00:39:21,719 Speaker 1: just some of their young guys, particularly DeAndre eight in 761 00:39:21,760 --> 00:39:25,560 Speaker 1: his first March Madness. He is a dominant player, but um, 762 00:39:25,600 --> 00:39:27,719 Speaker 1: you know, I hate talking about like basketball at i Q, 763 00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:30,279 Speaker 1: but you know he can be turned over prone. And 764 00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:33,120 Speaker 1: against Virginia, who is probably like one of the most 765 00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:36,799 Speaker 1: well coached teams, just like they're just very solid at 766 00:39:36,800 --> 00:39:40,040 Speaker 1: every position. Every player can defend UM and no player 767 00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:44,239 Speaker 1: turns the ball over. UM. Eighton going against them, even 768 00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:46,520 Speaker 1: though he has the athletic advantage, I'm afraid that they'll 769 00:39:46,560 --> 00:39:48,759 Speaker 1: turn him over a little bit too much. So, um, 770 00:39:48,840 --> 00:39:51,799 Speaker 1: I would have Virginia in Michigan State in the championship, 771 00:39:52,000 --> 00:39:57,600 Speaker 1: and uh, we'll go with Michigan State. Why not? Wow? Alright, 772 00:39:57,640 --> 00:40:04,520 Speaker 1: so my final four is uh Gonzaga, Uh, Nova since 773 00:40:05,360 --> 00:40:09,960 Speaker 1: and Michigan State. Three of ours. We have three of 774 00:40:09,960 --> 00:40:11,960 Speaker 1: the same. So it's all gonna for us to win it. 775 00:40:11,960 --> 00:40:13,640 Speaker 1: It's all gonna come down the difference between us gonna 776 00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:16,759 Speaker 1: be in the South. Yeah, it's gonna be in the 777 00:40:16,760 --> 00:40:19,719 Speaker 1: title game is what it's gonna be. Um, because I 778 00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:23,279 Speaker 1: actually have since the winning at all. Wow, I love it. 779 00:40:23,280 --> 00:40:25,440 Speaker 1: It's Jacksonville Draguar is all over again. This is what 780 00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:30,840 Speaker 1: it is. It's all over again. Uh that's kind of 781 00:40:30,880 --> 00:40:32,799 Speaker 1: you know, that's where my heart is. I'm listen. I'm 782 00:40:32,800 --> 00:40:35,480 Speaker 1: a defensive specialist. Back in the day, I was slapping 783 00:40:35,480 --> 00:40:38,239 Speaker 1: the floor and like you could not get past me. 784 00:40:38,280 --> 00:40:41,799 Speaker 1: I was very scrappy. But but but here's the thing though, 785 00:40:41,800 --> 00:40:44,960 Speaker 1: but you could say Virginia too, so you but so 786 00:40:45,160 --> 00:40:48,240 Speaker 1: like they're just as dominant defensively. What's telling you since 787 00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:52,800 Speaker 1: over Virginia, it's not Virginia, which everyone else is picking. Okay, 788 00:40:52,840 --> 00:40:55,000 Speaker 1: that's fair, that's fair. Yeah, I didn't think Virginia is 789 00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:57,600 Speaker 1: probably the best defense we've ever seen. Um so it's 790 00:40:57,600 --> 00:40:59,759 Speaker 1: hard to go against them for sure, even though we 791 00:40:59,840 --> 00:41:02,799 Speaker 1: just all did so that'll be fun. That's true, we 792 00:41:02,880 --> 00:41:05,839 Speaker 1: all just did, all right. Listen, guys, you are doing 793 00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:08,960 Speaker 1: phenomenal work. You are amongst the crew this carrying the 794 00:41:09,000 --> 00:41:12,600 Speaker 1: Action Network this week in our first matter of madness, uh, 795 00:41:12,800 --> 00:41:15,279 Speaker 1: the Oversea of the Undersea of the easiest Path, the 796 00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:19,760 Speaker 1: best stats, the bracket analysis, the betting analysis, Brian mirrors 797 00:41:19,880 --> 00:41:23,840 Speaker 1: at Brian Underscore, mirrors Stucky at Stucky too. Thanks for 798 00:41:23,880 --> 00:41:39,560 Speaker 1: coming on the podcast, Gas, Keep up the great work.