1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:03,200 Speaker 1: I remember just hearing about bitcoin so many years ago, 2 00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:09,280 Speaker 1: and no one paid attention to me. It's the big 3 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:11,959 Speaker 1: take from Bloomberg News and I heart radio. I'm West 4 00:00:12,000 --> 00:00:18,040 Speaker 1: Cosova today. Crypto Is it a failed experiment or still 5 00:00:18,160 --> 00:00:26,400 Speaker 1: the way of the future. If you found yourself crypto 6 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:29,400 Speaker 1: curious lately, maybe because of all the news around the 7 00:00:29,440 --> 00:00:33,240 Speaker 1: spectacular fall of Sam Bankman freed in is ft X Exchange, 8 00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:36,440 Speaker 1: We're with you. Even though bitcoin has now been around 9 00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:39,640 Speaker 1: since two thousand nine, I admit I still struggle to 10 00:00:39,760 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 1: get my head around how it works. Our producers asked 11 00:00:43,640 --> 00:00:45,720 Speaker 1: people in the streets in a few cities what they 12 00:00:45,720 --> 00:00:48,360 Speaker 1: want to know about crypto, and one question kept coming 13 00:00:48,440 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 1: up again and again, only one question, What is crypto? 14 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:56,800 Speaker 1: What is crypto? What is it? Because I have no 15 00:00:56,880 --> 00:01:01,520 Speaker 1: idea what that actually is, we don't put the money, 16 00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:05,319 Speaker 1: so we asked Bloomberg opinion columnist Matt Levine to help 17 00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:09,959 Speaker 1: us out. So at its core, it's a sort of 18 00:01:10,200 --> 00:01:13,320 Speaker 1: centralized permission in form of money. How do we send 19 00:01:13,319 --> 00:01:16,000 Speaker 1: money to people without relying on banks, without relying on 20 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:19,920 Speaker 1: the central intermediary mass day job is making sense of 21 00:01:19,920 --> 00:01:22,840 Speaker 1: the world of finance. So he's no stranger to weird 22 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:26,480 Speaker 1: things people do. Recently, though, he turned his attention to 23 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:29,600 Speaker 1: crypto in a forty thousand word opus that took over 24 00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:33,120 Speaker 1: an entire issue of Bloomberg Business Week. Read it. It 25 00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:36,600 Speaker 1: is very worth your time. But before we get started, 26 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:39,800 Speaker 1: let's take a moment to explain a few common crypto 27 00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:42,560 Speaker 1: terms you heard Matt mentioned just now, because you're gonna 28 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:48,840 Speaker 1: hear them in this episode. Unlike traditional currencies that are 29 00:01:48,880 --> 00:01:51,800 Speaker 1: controlled by the government I think the Federal Reserve or 30 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:57,960 Speaker 1: Treasury Department, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are decentralized and distributed. 31 00:01:58,320 --> 00:02:01,840 Speaker 1: That means transactions are made and kept track of across 32 00:02:01,920 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 1: a network of computers anyone can join by downloading the 33 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 1: open source software. There can be millions of computers on 34 00:02:09,200 --> 00:02:13,639 Speaker 1: a network sharing the same data. Another important thing crypto 35 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:16,280 Speaker 1: is permissionless. If I want to sell you a crypto 36 00:02:16,320 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 1: token and you want to buy it, the transaction can 37 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:21,640 Speaker 1: happen between us without having to go through a third 38 00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:24,360 Speaker 1: party like a bank or a regulator of any kind. 39 00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:29,040 Speaker 1: And crypto is designed to be secure and anonymous. Your 40 00:02:29,080 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 1: identity on a given currencies network is an encrypted string 41 00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:35,480 Speaker 1: of numbers and letters. At the heart of it. All 42 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:39,680 Speaker 1: is what's called the blockchain. You'll hear that term a lot. Essentially, 43 00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 1: a blockchain is an encrypted, up to date ledger of 44 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:46,000 Speaker 1: every crypto transaction. Anyone on the network can see it 45 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 1: and check it on their own computer. Every ten minutes 46 00:02:49,680 --> 00:02:52,639 Speaker 1: or so, the latest transactions are added to the ledger. 47 00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:56,600 Speaker 1: That segment of crypto history is called a block, and 48 00:02:56,680 --> 00:02:59,800 Speaker 1: that block is then added to the long chain of 49 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:03,960 Speaker 1: bocks that came before it, Thus black chain. The blockchain 50 00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:07,800 Speaker 1: lets you see transactions stretching back in time, informs a 51 00:03:07,880 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 1: permanent record that can't be changed. That's the idea anyway. 52 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:16,079 Speaker 1: So how's all this working out in real life? Matt 53 00:03:16,160 --> 00:03:21,720 Speaker 1: Levine joins me now with some answers. Matt Levin, thanks 54 00:03:21,760 --> 00:03:25,240 Speaker 1: for being here, Thanks for having met. When the first cryptocurrency, 55 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:28,839 Speaker 1: Bitcoin was released, what was the problem it's creators were 56 00:03:28,880 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 1: trying to solve. Bitcoin is a clever bit of like 57 00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:36,480 Speaker 1: cryptographic design to allow people to send money to each 58 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 1: other in a way that that doesn't rely on a bank. 59 00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:41,200 Speaker 1: It sort of relies on the sort of contribution of 60 00:03:41,200 --> 00:03:43,200 Speaker 1: the entire community to make sure that the ledger of 61 00:03:43,240 --> 00:03:45,840 Speaker 1: money is correct. So that's kind of the basic idea, 62 00:03:46,040 --> 00:03:48,120 Speaker 1: and then since then it's branched off into a lot 63 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:50,840 Speaker 1: of directions. One is there different kinds of ways to 64 00:03:50,880 --> 00:03:54,400 Speaker 1: send digital money with different features. But another is that people, 65 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:56,920 Speaker 1: you know, build on that basic idea to say, well, 66 00:03:56,960 --> 00:03:59,120 Speaker 1: what if we had, you know, our entire financial system 67 00:03:59,160 --> 00:04:02,560 Speaker 1: that had the same sort of decentralized permission list properties. 68 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:06,440 Speaker 1: So what made you want to write for words digging 69 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:08,720 Speaker 1: into those questions. The way I think about it is 70 00:04:08,760 --> 00:04:11,080 Speaker 1: there's a lot of technology and crypto that is like, 71 00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:14,160 Speaker 1: like the pipes are exposed, you kind of see the 72 00:04:14,200 --> 00:04:17,120 Speaker 1: workings of it. Like if you have money at a bank, 73 00:04:17,839 --> 00:04:20,680 Speaker 1: I know some stuff about how bank payments work, and 74 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:23,160 Speaker 1: also about how like your money at a bank, it's 75 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:25,280 Speaker 1: just like the liability of the bank, and like how 76 00:04:25,320 --> 00:04:27,000 Speaker 1: the sort of accounting for that works, and what the 77 00:04:27,040 --> 00:04:29,320 Speaker 1: sort of backstop of that is and why you can 78 00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:31,280 Speaker 1: trust that the money is there. But for most people 79 00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:32,880 Speaker 1: you don't need to know that. You can just like 80 00:04:32,960 --> 00:04:34,400 Speaker 1: you have money at the bank, and it's just sort 81 00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:38,320 Speaker 1: of like this accepted, trusted, like normal thing in crypto. 82 00:04:38,440 --> 00:04:41,640 Speaker 1: I think there's a lot of emphasis on people want 83 00:04:41,680 --> 00:04:43,640 Speaker 1: to tell you a lot about how the blockchain works. 84 00:04:43,839 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 1: And like exactly how the cryptography works. That you have 85 00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:49,080 Speaker 1: the money the victoins in the ledger, right, you're expected 86 00:04:49,120 --> 00:04:51,840 Speaker 1: to know more about the pipes to make any use 87 00:04:51,880 --> 00:04:53,479 Speaker 1: of it. And so I think that turns a lot 88 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:57,159 Speaker 1: of people off, like completely, rightly, right, like completely it 89 00:04:57,240 --> 00:04:59,160 Speaker 1: is completely sensible to say I don't want to know 90 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:01,960 Speaker 1: all that much, like my bank account has worked. So, 91 00:05:02,040 --> 00:05:03,480 Speaker 1: I mean, one reason I wrote the story is to 92 00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:05,440 Speaker 1: is to try to explain all of that piping in 93 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:07,320 Speaker 1: one place and in a way that's not like a 94 00:05:07,320 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 1: wild eyed person grabbing you by the shoulders and shaking 95 00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:11,279 Speaker 1: you and saying you need to know about the blockchain. 96 00:05:11,320 --> 00:05:12,920 Speaker 1: But just like if you want to know the blockchain, 97 00:05:12,920 --> 00:05:15,039 Speaker 1: here it is, and like try to um, you know 98 00:05:15,680 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 1: abs straight away from it. So if you don't want 99 00:05:17,640 --> 00:05:19,960 Speaker 1: to know about the blockchain, you don't have to know 100 00:05:20,040 --> 00:05:23,159 Speaker 1: that much read it. The barriers to entry to learning 101 00:05:23,160 --> 00:05:26,279 Speaker 1: about crypto seemed very high. You're learning about like the 102 00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:28,599 Speaker 1: database architecture of how they keep the ledger, and like 103 00:05:28,640 --> 00:05:30,440 Speaker 1: you don't have to do that with a bank. The 104 00:05:30,480 --> 00:05:33,080 Speaker 1: other thing that is very much an important presence in 105 00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:36,200 Speaker 1: crypto is that the price of bitcoin went up from 106 00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:38,960 Speaker 1: zero to tens of thousands of dollars over the course 107 00:05:38,960 --> 00:05:40,720 Speaker 1: of like the first you know, ten or so years 108 00:05:40,720 --> 00:05:44,599 Speaker 1: of the existence of crypto, and that gets people thinking 109 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:47,000 Speaker 1: other thoughts like I should buy a bitcoin, you know, 110 00:05:47,200 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 1: or I should buy some other crypto that will also 111 00:05:49,120 --> 00:05:53,000 Speaker 1: go out that much. And so it is in practical terms, 112 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:55,159 Speaker 1: just like the the idea of crypto is really inseparable 113 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:58,279 Speaker 1: from just financial speculation, and if you're in it for 114 00:05:58,360 --> 00:06:01,040 Speaker 1: financial speculation, you make care less about some of this 115 00:06:01,120 --> 00:06:05,800 Speaker 1: philosophical decentralization stuff. And I guess it's one question about 116 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:10,239 Speaker 1: crypto that differentiates it from traditional currency, the dollar, where 117 00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:13,120 Speaker 1: there's speculation about the dollar and it can move up 118 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:16,200 Speaker 1: and down to value, but it's not primarily there to 119 00:06:16,839 --> 00:06:19,680 Speaker 1: use as an investment that you hope will appreciate. So 120 00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 1: is cryptocurrency a currency or is it an investment? Yeah, 121 00:06:26,000 --> 00:06:27,760 Speaker 1: I mean I think it's it's almost not at all 122 00:06:27,839 --> 00:06:31,200 Speaker 1: a currency at least like the big ones like bitcoin 123 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:34,080 Speaker 1: and ethereum are really kind of have the property of 124 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:38,919 Speaker 1: being almost like stock in some sort of decentralized company, 125 00:06:39,080 --> 00:06:42,200 Speaker 1: some project that you're betting will do well, and if 126 00:06:42,240 --> 00:06:44,920 Speaker 1: the project does well, then the tokens will be worth 127 00:06:44,960 --> 00:06:47,480 Speaker 1: a lot of money and you get like a sort 128 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:49,880 Speaker 1: of equity like return. And in fact, these tokens often 129 00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:51,840 Speaker 1: turn out to be kind of correlated with um with 130 00:06:51,920 --> 00:06:54,039 Speaker 1: tex stocks, because like it turns out there kind of 131 00:06:54,040 --> 00:06:56,480 Speaker 1: our tex stocks. Bitcoin is a little bit like that. 132 00:06:56,520 --> 00:06:59,240 Speaker 1: It's a little bit it has other functions that sort 133 00:06:59,240 --> 00:07:02,640 Speaker 1: of people talk about digital gold, where bitcoin is this 134 00:07:02,760 --> 00:07:05,440 Speaker 1: like store of value where some number of people are 135 00:07:05,440 --> 00:07:08,160 Speaker 1: buying bitcoin as a hedge to inflation or just like 136 00:07:08,240 --> 00:07:10,400 Speaker 1: a you know, a thing that they think is a separate, 137 00:07:10,440 --> 00:07:12,960 Speaker 1: like safe place to store value. And so it's like 138 00:07:12,960 --> 00:07:15,920 Speaker 1: a little bit of currency like properties. But what it 139 00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:19,640 Speaker 1: isn't is a way to send cash digitally. It's like 140 00:07:20,080 --> 00:07:22,600 Speaker 1: not I say this, and then bitcoin people get mad 141 00:07:22,640 --> 00:07:24,480 Speaker 1: at me, But it's like not really an ideal way 142 00:07:24,680 --> 00:07:26,880 Speaker 1: to buy a sandwich, right, you can do it, you know. 143 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:29,040 Speaker 1: I've been to like barber shops that take bitcoin, and 144 00:07:29,080 --> 00:07:32,040 Speaker 1: like online there are more places that take bitcoin um 145 00:07:32,080 --> 00:07:35,840 Speaker 1: although it's still not you know, universal, But because bitcoin 146 00:07:35,880 --> 00:07:37,640 Speaker 1: fluctuates so much in value, is you said, it's not 147 00:07:37,680 --> 00:07:40,400 Speaker 1: like the best you know, not the best currency right 148 00:07:40,400 --> 00:07:42,560 Speaker 1: for for much of its existence and mostly went up 149 00:07:42,560 --> 00:07:44,720 Speaker 1: in value and so if you had bitcoin because you 150 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:46,640 Speaker 1: thought bitcoin would go up in value, it would be 151 00:07:46,680 --> 00:07:48,560 Speaker 1: kind of silly to spend it on a sandwich. So 152 00:07:48,600 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 1: it doesn't really have like a supercurrency like function. That's 153 00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:54,640 Speaker 1: one thing I wanted to ask you about, which was 154 00:07:55,000 --> 00:07:58,679 Speaker 1: the idea of the inherent value of crypto or really 155 00:07:58,960 --> 00:08:02,080 Speaker 1: of any money. When you think about a dollar, Uh, 156 00:08:02,160 --> 00:08:05,680 Speaker 1: it has value because I suppose it's tied to the 157 00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:07,760 Speaker 1: state of the United States, and it's been a pretty 158 00:08:07,760 --> 00:08:11,160 Speaker 1: good bet. What is in the case of say bitcoin, 159 00:08:11,840 --> 00:08:15,600 Speaker 1: the thing that you reference it to to say that 160 00:08:15,720 --> 00:08:18,880 Speaker 1: it has value. Yeah, I mean it's the same. There's 161 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:22,880 Speaker 1: some sort of like social collective project and some social 162 00:08:22,960 --> 00:08:26,240 Speaker 1: collective acceptance that like, this is the currency of that project. Right, 163 00:08:26,240 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 1: And in the US, the project is you know, big 164 00:08:28,960 --> 00:08:31,400 Speaker 1: and has an army and a two hundred years old 165 00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:33,920 Speaker 1: or whatever. Like the project that the US dollar is 166 00:08:33,960 --> 00:08:36,200 Speaker 1: linked to is pretty well understood, and you know, there's 167 00:08:36,200 --> 00:08:38,240 Speaker 1: a central bank that tries to maintain the value of 168 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:41,680 Speaker 1: the dollar. In bitcoin, it's like this kind of new 169 00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:44,680 Speaker 1: utopian crypto project, right. But it's a lot of people, right, 170 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:47,080 Speaker 1: it's a lot of people online who believe in this 171 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:51,160 Speaker 1: project and believe, like in the value of bitcoin a 172 00:08:51,200 --> 00:08:54,280 Speaker 1: cool piece of technology, or as a way to fight censorship, 173 00:08:54,360 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 1: or as an actual way to transfer money easily. Like, 174 00:08:57,240 --> 00:08:59,040 Speaker 1: there are a lot of different sets of beliefs about it, 175 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:01,200 Speaker 1: but it's you know, fundamental. The value comes from like 176 00:09:01,280 --> 00:09:04,280 Speaker 1: a bunch of people in a market working out how 177 00:09:04,320 --> 00:09:06,680 Speaker 1: much they think it's worth twelve years in. It's like, 178 00:09:06,880 --> 00:09:09,280 Speaker 1: it seems plausible that like a lot of people believe 179 00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:12,000 Speaker 1: it's worth something in a fairly robust way. You know. 180 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:14,400 Speaker 1: One thing I would say about stocks is that there 181 00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:18,320 Speaker 1: is some kind of floor under the value of a 182 00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:20,800 Speaker 1: regular stock at its cash flows, right, like any more 183 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:22,880 Speaker 1: or less. Right, Like, if you have a stock trade 184 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:24,760 Speaker 1: like a penny, you can buy all of it and 185 00:09:24,800 --> 00:09:26,360 Speaker 1: then you own the company and then you can like 186 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 1: you know, use its factories or solids factories or whatever. 187 00:09:29,720 --> 00:09:31,360 Speaker 1: But there's no cap on the price of a stock, 188 00:09:31,440 --> 00:09:34,040 Speaker 1: right If people really really like the stock, then it 189 00:09:34,120 --> 00:09:37,079 Speaker 1: can go to, you know, whatever price you want. And 190 00:09:37,400 --> 00:09:39,800 Speaker 1: the fact that it's cash flows don't support that price 191 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:42,080 Speaker 1: is like, you know, sort of an interesting academic point, 192 00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:44,880 Speaker 1: but it doesn't necessarily affect the market price, at least 193 00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:47,080 Speaker 1: in the short term, and so yeah, I mean that's 194 00:09:47,080 --> 00:09:49,040 Speaker 1: true a bitcoin, but it's also true of like you know, 195 00:09:49,440 --> 00:09:51,960 Speaker 1: like loosely speaking, it's true of gold as well, right, 196 00:09:52,000 --> 00:09:53,600 Speaker 1: I mean, like this is like a thing that exists 197 00:09:53,600 --> 00:09:56,040 Speaker 1: in the financial world where like things have value because 198 00:09:56,040 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 1: there is a community of people who accept that they 199 00:09:57,760 --> 00:10:01,160 Speaker 1: have value, and it's useful for people to have this 200 00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:04,840 Speaker 1: sort of accepted thing that carries value. And you know, 201 00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:07,560 Speaker 1: like the first day of bitcoin, it sounds insane to 202 00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:09,199 Speaker 1: be like, this is going to be a new thing 203 00:10:09,360 --> 00:10:11,960 Speaker 1: that will be widely accepted to have value. But you know, 204 00:10:12,040 --> 00:10:13,920 Speaker 1: years and years in like this turned out to be 205 00:10:13,920 --> 00:10:17,960 Speaker 1: true that people widely accepted at that value. But I 206 00:10:17,960 --> 00:10:21,320 Speaker 1: suppose if we had a purely barter economy where you 207 00:10:21,440 --> 00:10:23,760 Speaker 1: come and fix my sink and I give you a 208 00:10:23,760 --> 00:10:27,120 Speaker 1: sandwich and we agree that that's the transaction, and then 209 00:10:27,160 --> 00:10:28,319 Speaker 1: one day I said you, well, I'm not going to 210 00:10:28,360 --> 00:10:29,840 Speaker 1: give you a sandwich. I'm gonna give you this piece 211 00:10:29,840 --> 00:10:31,920 Speaker 1: of paper which represents what I think is the value 212 00:10:31,920 --> 00:10:34,000 Speaker 1: of the sandwich. You would say, well, that's crazy, And 213 00:10:34,080 --> 00:10:36,240 Speaker 1: yet that's kind of what we do now because everyone 214 00:10:36,280 --> 00:10:39,240 Speaker 1: agrees in it. So is it that much different with bitcoin? 215 00:10:40,320 --> 00:10:42,240 Speaker 1: There's like a sort of deep answer to that question, 216 00:10:42,280 --> 00:10:44,400 Speaker 1: which is that like dollar sort of represented debt, right, 217 00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:47,160 Speaker 1: like a dollar represents I think in the first instance, 218 00:10:47,240 --> 00:10:49,640 Speaker 1: it's it's you know, the dollar in my beap accunting 219 00:10:49,720 --> 00:10:52,920 Speaker 1: is like a dollar the bank owes me. And in theory, 220 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:55,120 Speaker 1: like every dollar kind of works that way. Every dollar 221 00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:59,559 Speaker 1: is a is a debt obligation, and you know, broadly 222 00:10:59,640 --> 00:11:03,360 Speaker 1: speak king philosophically speaking, a dollar sort of represents the 223 00:11:03,440 --> 00:11:06,160 Speaker 1: obligation of somebody else in society to do one dollars 224 00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:08,240 Speaker 1: worth of work for you. Bitcoin is like a little 225 00:11:08,240 --> 00:11:10,600 Speaker 1: different because it's because no bitcoins are debts, right, Like 226 00:11:10,600 --> 00:11:12,920 Speaker 1: bitcoins exist on their own. They're not like a leisure 227 00:11:13,400 --> 00:11:15,160 Speaker 1: entry at a bank where the bank has to give 228 00:11:15,200 --> 00:11:17,880 Speaker 1: you a bitcoin. It's just its own thing. But like, yeah, 229 00:11:17,960 --> 00:11:20,600 Speaker 1: like in theory, a bitcoin is the same sort of 230 00:11:20,640 --> 00:11:23,240 Speaker 1: thing where it's like a claim on you know, on 231 00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:25,840 Speaker 1: resources and someone doing something for you in the future, 232 00:11:26,080 --> 00:11:28,120 Speaker 1: where like if I give you a bitcoin, you'll do 233 00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:31,280 Speaker 1: you know, seventeen thousand dollars worth of you know, journalism 234 00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:34,640 Speaker 1: for me or whatever. Right, and uh not everyone accepts that, right, 235 00:11:34,679 --> 00:11:35,960 Speaker 1: Like a lot of people don't want to be hidden 236 00:11:35,960 --> 00:11:38,760 Speaker 1: bitcoin for you know, often for good reasons, but like 237 00:11:38,840 --> 00:11:41,000 Speaker 1: there's still enough of a sort of exchange mechanism where like, 238 00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:43,360 Speaker 1: if I have a bitcoin, I can sort of count 239 00:11:43,400 --> 00:11:46,480 Speaker 1: on getting you know, seventeen thousand dollars worth of sandwiches 240 00:11:46,520 --> 00:11:49,440 Speaker 1: for it at some point in the future. My conversation 241 00:11:49,520 --> 00:12:05,640 Speaker 1: with Matt Living continues after the break, I thought that 242 00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:11,840 Speaker 1: it's one currency that they can really not duplicate. I 243 00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:13,920 Speaker 1: set up a coin based account and then decided that 244 00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:16,800 Speaker 1: I couldn't be asked to get my ID documents because 245 00:12:16,800 --> 00:12:19,960 Speaker 1: I thought the whole point of crypto is it's anonymous. Well, 246 00:12:20,000 --> 00:12:24,679 Speaker 1: it's supposed to be unhappable, uh and out of the 247 00:12:24,800 --> 00:12:28,520 Speaker 1: hands of centralized authorities, and that's one of the selling points. 248 00:12:30,559 --> 00:12:34,240 Speaker 1: These cryptocurrencies uprate and are able to operate because people 249 00:12:34,520 --> 00:12:38,080 Speaker 1: trust the system is valid and they believe that it 250 00:12:38,160 --> 00:12:41,880 Speaker 1: will continue to be valid, that the system works. And 251 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:45,080 Speaker 1: yet it's under attack a lot, like people lose bitcoin, 252 00:12:45,200 --> 00:12:48,480 Speaker 1: people hack it, uh, and and it fails quite a bit. 253 00:12:49,400 --> 00:12:51,920 Speaker 1: I would dry a distinction there. So there are like 254 00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:55,000 Speaker 1: crypto protocols of which you know, Bitcoin is the most famous, 255 00:12:55,080 --> 00:12:59,800 Speaker 1: and I don't think that a real bitcoin booster would 256 00:12:59,800 --> 00:13:03,360 Speaker 1: say that you need to trust in the protocol, right, 257 00:13:03,520 --> 00:13:05,400 Speaker 1: and the idea of it kind of that the protocol 258 00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:07,600 Speaker 1: is all open source software, you can see how it runs. 259 00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:10,199 Speaker 1: The ledger is all you know, open and transparent. It's 260 00:13:10,200 --> 00:13:12,559 Speaker 1: all cryptographically encoded in a way that you can prove 261 00:13:12,880 --> 00:13:15,560 Speaker 1: that you own a bitcoin essentially, and so you sort 262 00:13:15,559 --> 00:13:18,000 Speaker 1: of have to trust that the system will continue operating well. 263 00:13:18,200 --> 00:13:20,280 Speaker 1: And like the reason you would trust that is because 264 00:13:20,280 --> 00:13:23,440 Speaker 1: of essentially like economic incentives that are built into the 265 00:13:23,440 --> 00:13:26,680 Speaker 1: open protocol. But compared to anything else in your life, 266 00:13:26,679 --> 00:13:29,160 Speaker 1: it is a relatively low trust thing. It's a it's 267 00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:31,160 Speaker 1: a system where you don't really have to take things 268 00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:33,080 Speaker 1: on faith, where you can kind of like read the 269 00:13:33,120 --> 00:13:35,840 Speaker 1: code yourself, read the blockchain yourself, and be really really 270 00:13:35,880 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 1: satisfy yourself to a pretty high to greet of certainty 271 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:40,480 Speaker 1: that everything is working as that's supposed to. And so, 272 00:13:40,559 --> 00:13:43,120 Speaker 1: like you know, people in the cryptor world often are 273 00:13:43,480 --> 00:13:45,640 Speaker 1: sort of philosophically opposed to trust. They say, we don't 274 00:13:45,640 --> 00:13:47,280 Speaker 1: want to trust banks, We don't wanta have to trust anyone. 275 00:13:47,320 --> 00:13:48,640 Speaker 1: You want to be able to trust our own eyes, 276 00:13:48,800 --> 00:13:51,200 Speaker 1: objective evidence on like the code, you know, and like 277 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:54,360 Speaker 1: that kind of works like more or less like with 278 00:13:54,400 --> 00:13:56,760 Speaker 1: a lot of exceptions, but like Bitcoin has not been hacked, right, 279 00:13:56,760 --> 00:13:59,360 Speaker 1: Like the one has ever hacked the bitcoin blockchain. Some 280 00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:02,520 Speaker 1: of the protocols have been like smart counting. There's like 281 00:14:02,559 --> 00:14:06,080 Speaker 1: they're hacking kind of thing. Blockchain is basically it's court. 282 00:14:06,080 --> 00:14:07,960 Speaker 1: It's like a list of transactions, and it's a list 283 00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:11,040 Speaker 1: of transactions that's maintained in a way where everyone in 284 00:14:11,040 --> 00:14:13,520 Speaker 1: the bitcoin community kind of agrees on the list, and 285 00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:17,200 Speaker 1: there is a timestamp, like cryptographically timestamp, so you know 286 00:14:17,280 --> 00:14:20,880 Speaker 1: which transactions happened when, and it's all you know, the 287 00:14:20,880 --> 00:14:22,880 Speaker 1: word that they use is immutable, right, It's like no 288 00:14:22,920 --> 00:14:25,040 Speaker 1: one can mess with the list. But the thing that 289 00:14:25,120 --> 00:14:27,120 Speaker 1: is more sellient right now is that it turns out 290 00:14:27,160 --> 00:14:29,640 Speaker 1: that a lot of people in crypto don't actually really 291 00:14:29,680 --> 00:14:32,240 Speaker 1: follow all these like all these prescriptions that you shouldn't 292 00:14:32,280 --> 00:14:34,040 Speaker 1: trust anyone, right, Like a lot of people in crypto 293 00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:36,840 Speaker 1: are like, Okay, bitcoin goes up, I'd like to buy bitcoin. 294 00:14:36,920 --> 00:14:38,360 Speaker 1: It's the easiest way to buy a bitcoin. And the 295 00:14:38,360 --> 00:14:41,160 Speaker 1: easiest way to buy bitcoin is like there's some website 296 00:14:41,160 --> 00:14:42,640 Speaker 1: where you go and you put in your credit card 297 00:14:42,640 --> 00:14:44,560 Speaker 1: and they'll give you some bitcoin, and when they do that, 298 00:14:44,600 --> 00:14:46,720 Speaker 1: like you're not like, that's not the blockchain, that's not 299 00:14:46,800 --> 00:14:48,400 Speaker 1: you know, you're not like reading the code, like they're 300 00:14:48,440 --> 00:14:50,080 Speaker 1: just holding the bitcoin for you, and they've got like 301 00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:53,160 Speaker 1: a little spreadsheet that says we owe you one bitcoin. Right, 302 00:14:53,200 --> 00:14:55,800 Speaker 1: it's just like a bank, except that it's totally unregulated 303 00:14:55,960 --> 00:14:59,440 Speaker 1: and often much more poorly run than than an actual bank. 304 00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:06,400 Speaker 1: And so most of the scandals and not all, and 305 00:15:06,440 --> 00:15:09,560 Speaker 1: there are some that are like more in the decentralized space, 306 00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:12,240 Speaker 1: but most of the scandals are in what crypto people 307 00:15:12,320 --> 00:15:15,280 Speaker 1: call centralized finance, where instead of like buying a bitcoin 308 00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:18,560 Speaker 1: on the blockchain and checking the coode, you like essentially 309 00:15:18,960 --> 00:15:21,200 Speaker 1: have some company with a website where they owe you 310 00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:24,160 Speaker 1: a bitcoin, and when that happens, the odds of them 311 00:15:24,160 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 1: stealing or losing your bitcround are like shockingly high. Right 312 00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:29,240 Speaker 1: exchanges like the sort of term of art that people 313 00:15:29,320 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 1: use for these companies that will sell you a bit crnd, 314 00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 1: they're like they sort of work like stock exchanges, but 315 00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:35,920 Speaker 1: not they're not exactly the same as real stock exchanges. 316 00:15:36,320 --> 00:15:38,880 Speaker 1: Over and over again we see crypto exchanges get hacked 317 00:15:39,160 --> 00:15:42,560 Speaker 1: or lose the money in in sort of dumb ways 318 00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:46,880 Speaker 1: or um steal the money. Well, speaking of stealing the money, 319 00:15:47,160 --> 00:15:50,120 Speaker 1: not long after you wrote your big piece on crypto, 320 00:15:50,480 --> 00:15:53,640 Speaker 1: we saw a very big event having to do with 321 00:15:53,640 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 1: one of the biggest players in the crypto space. Can 322 00:15:56,400 --> 00:15:59,800 Speaker 1: you talk about exactly what happened in what effect that 323 00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:01,800 Speaker 1: his head? And of course I'm just talking about Sam 324 00:16:01,840 --> 00:16:05,560 Speaker 1: Bankman Free, I should say I don't know exactly what happened. 325 00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:07,400 Speaker 1: I can. I can give you like a fair amount 326 00:16:07,400 --> 00:16:10,040 Speaker 1: of detail that I'm pretty confident in, but but we're 327 00:16:10,040 --> 00:16:12,440 Speaker 1: still like not quite all the way there I knowing 328 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:14,840 Speaker 1: exactly what happened. But the basic story is that Sam 329 00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:19,200 Speaker 1: Bankman Freed is this sort of charismatic young crypto billionaire 330 00:16:19,280 --> 00:16:22,240 Speaker 1: who ran an exchange, one of these companies that you know, 331 00:16:22,280 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 1: takes your credit card and gives you a bitcoin, an 332 00:16:23,880 --> 00:16:27,480 Speaker 1: exchange called ft X. And he also, like he started 333 00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 1: that exchange, he would previously run this trading firm called Alameda, 334 00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:33,160 Speaker 1: like a hedgeho on. Basically that traded crypto. I made 335 00:16:33,160 --> 00:16:35,320 Speaker 1: a lot of money. And the origin story of f 336 00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:37,480 Speaker 1: TX is like they were like, we are good at 337 00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:39,440 Speaker 1: trading bitcoin and making a lot of money, but we 338 00:16:39,440 --> 00:16:42,080 Speaker 1: we would rather trade on a better exchange. We need 339 00:16:42,120 --> 00:16:44,040 Speaker 1: like a better user interface on the exchange. We need 340 00:16:44,080 --> 00:16:45,720 Speaker 1: to trust the exchange more. So they started their own 341 00:16:45,720 --> 00:16:49,440 Speaker 1: exchange and it became one of the biggest crypto exchanges. 342 00:16:49,440 --> 00:16:51,480 Speaker 1: It was based on the Palmers. It was sort of 343 00:16:51,520 --> 00:16:54,640 Speaker 1: known for being you know, a good like good user interface, 344 00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:58,040 Speaker 1: high tech exchange. Sam Bankman Freed or SPF as everyone 345 00:16:58,080 --> 00:17:00,680 Speaker 1: calls him, sort of became a media figure and like 346 00:17:00,840 --> 00:17:02,720 Speaker 1: was and and a and a figure of he like 347 00:17:02,720 --> 00:17:04,840 Speaker 1: he testified before Congress and he was very involved in 348 00:17:04,920 --> 00:17:08,399 Speaker 1: lobbying for crypto regulation, and so ftix definitely created this 349 00:17:08,480 --> 00:17:12,359 Speaker 1: impression that it was a well regulated where like regulatory friendly, 350 00:17:12,440 --> 00:17:15,360 Speaker 1: sort of upstanding exchange. And then it came out one 351 00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:17,880 Speaker 1: day that they had just taken all the customer money 352 00:17:17,880 --> 00:17:20,000 Speaker 1: and that was the end of fd X. Like they 353 00:17:20,040 --> 00:17:22,600 Speaker 1: sort of, you know, the CEO of a rival exchange 354 00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:25,800 Speaker 1: tweeted something mean about the customers started with throwing money, 355 00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:28,520 Speaker 1: and SPF took to Twitter and it was like, everything's fine, 356 00:17:28,560 --> 00:17:30,160 Speaker 1: we have plenty of money. And then like the next 357 00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:32,040 Speaker 1: day they halted withdrawals and then like two days later 358 00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:34,800 Speaker 1: they filed for bankruptcy. And it turns out that there 359 00:17:34,880 --> 00:17:37,320 Speaker 1: is something like an eight billion dollar hole in their 360 00:17:37,359 --> 00:17:41,320 Speaker 1: balance sheet where they took money from customers and forgot 361 00:17:41,359 --> 00:17:44,840 Speaker 1: about it, allegedly and gave it to Alameda, the trading firm, 362 00:17:44,880 --> 00:17:47,720 Speaker 1: which then allegedly lost it or spent it on like 363 00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:52,480 Speaker 1: effective altruism projects and venture capital investments and bar tabs 364 00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:55,600 Speaker 1: at the Margaritaville resort in the Bahamas. So it's a 365 00:17:55,640 --> 00:17:58,480 Speaker 1: really bad story. You know, in broad strokes, that similar 366 00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:01,440 Speaker 1: to running like a stock brokerage or uh financial brokerage 367 00:18:01,440 --> 00:18:04,160 Speaker 1: firm and just taking all the customer money and using 368 00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:06,639 Speaker 1: it for yourself, except that instead of stocks and bombs, 369 00:18:06,680 --> 00:18:10,879 Speaker 1: they're trading cryptocurrencies. Back in April, you actually put that 370 00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:13,760 Speaker 1: question to Sam Bankman Freed himself on an episode of 371 00:18:13,800 --> 00:18:18,680 Speaker 1: Bloomberg's Odd Lots podcast, like you're just like, well, I'm 372 00:18:18,760 --> 00:18:21,879 Speaker 1: in the ponzi business and it's pretty good. So on 373 00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:24,480 Speaker 1: the one hand, I think that's a pretty reasonable response. 374 00:18:24,560 --> 00:18:27,080 Speaker 1: But let me play around with this a little bit, right, 375 00:18:27,119 --> 00:18:30,200 Speaker 1: because that's one framing of this, and I think there's 376 00:18:30,280 --> 00:18:33,639 Speaker 1: like a sort of depressing amount of ablidity. I should 377 00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:36,880 Speaker 1: say here that on Tuesday, Sam Bankman Freed pleaded not 378 00:18:37,000 --> 00:18:42,160 Speaker 1: guilty to charges that he cheated his investors. There's nothing 379 00:18:42,760 --> 00:18:45,879 Speaker 1: you know, block chaining about it. There's nothing decentralized about it. 380 00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:48,360 Speaker 1: For the most part, As I said, like a lot 381 00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:53,560 Speaker 1: of people are not in crypto because they are extremely 382 00:18:53,600 --> 00:18:57,480 Speaker 1: adept technologists who are reading the source code and like 383 00:18:57,680 --> 00:19:01,200 Speaker 1: reviewing the cryptography of the blockchain and and are making 384 00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:03,280 Speaker 1: themselves confident that everything is upstanding, right. A lot of 385 00:19:03,280 --> 00:19:05,800 Speaker 1: people in crypto because they think it'll go up, or 386 00:19:05,800 --> 00:19:08,640 Speaker 1: because they have some sort of like basic philosophical commitment 387 00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:10,160 Speaker 1: to it where they think it's like a cool thing 388 00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:14,680 Speaker 1: to decentralized finance or like you know, unregulated remittances or whatever. 389 00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:17,280 Speaker 1: But in practice they just want to put their money 390 00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:20,359 Speaker 1: at a company they trust. And f t X was 391 00:19:20,440 --> 00:19:23,280 Speaker 1: like really high on the list of companies people trusted. 392 00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:26,359 Speaker 1: It was a really big exchange. It set itself up 393 00:19:26,400 --> 00:19:28,960 Speaker 1: as being like one of the more regulatory friendly, trying 394 00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:32,800 Speaker 1: to make crypto, you know, more mainstream and normal and regulated. 395 00:19:33,040 --> 00:19:35,879 Speaker 1: It Also, like this summer, a lot of other crypto 396 00:19:35,920 --> 00:19:38,399 Speaker 1: projects ran into a lot of trouble and f t 397 00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:40,560 Speaker 1: X or Sam bankman Fried was kind of there to 398 00:19:40,600 --> 00:19:43,320 Speaker 1: bail them all out, you know, people called him Jpeg Morgan. 399 00:19:43,400 --> 00:19:47,320 Speaker 1: He was like the the the Jp Morgan of crypto finance, 400 00:19:47,359 --> 00:19:50,800 Speaker 1: like rescuing all of the worst projects. And so when 401 00:19:51,240 --> 00:19:54,199 Speaker 1: f t X imploded through what seems to be a 402 00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:55,840 Speaker 1: lot of fraud and also a lot of like really 403 00:19:55,840 --> 00:19:59,440 Speaker 1: inept management and like bad accounting and bad risk management 404 00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:03,000 Speaker 1: that happened, it really shook a lot of people's trust, 405 00:20:03,600 --> 00:20:06,639 Speaker 1: not in like crypto as like a concept, but in 406 00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:10,400 Speaker 1: the actual existing, you know, crypto system. Right now, you're like, yeah, 407 00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:13,320 Speaker 1: everything is really, you know, kind of kind of sketchy, 408 00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:17,480 Speaker 1: and that doesn't like undermine the technological case for decentralized finance, 409 00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:21,040 Speaker 1: but it does undermine like the chances that black Rock 410 00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:23,200 Speaker 1: and Vanguard are going to invest a lot of client 411 00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:26,719 Speaker 1: money into crypto because just like the whole space just 412 00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:29,000 Speaker 1: looks a little bit sketchier, right, Like whether whether or 413 00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:32,679 Speaker 1: not any particular like custodian or blockchain has anything to 414 00:20:32,720 --> 00:20:34,800 Speaker 1: do with any of this. If your priors were like 415 00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:37,600 Speaker 1: crypto is kind of sketchy, but getting more mainstream, like 416 00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:40,040 Speaker 1: that's taken a step back now it's like crypto like 417 00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:42,320 Speaker 1: it's still pretty sketchy, you know, Like in my crypto story, 418 00:20:42,320 --> 00:20:45,000 Speaker 1: I wrote that it used to be that the fate 419 00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:47,320 Speaker 1: of every crypto exchange was the stale customers money, because 420 00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:49,280 Speaker 1: for years and years and years and years, if there 421 00:20:49,320 --> 00:20:52,879 Speaker 1: was like the biggest crypto exchange, it eventually vanished in 422 00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:57,240 Speaker 1: a scandal. And then, you know, as I was doing 423 00:20:57,240 --> 00:20:59,560 Speaker 1: this crypto pieces like that's kind of stopped happening, Like 424 00:20:59,600 --> 00:21:02,159 Speaker 1: that's that's not really true anymore, because there's a lot 425 00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:05,040 Speaker 1: of money in crypto exchanges, and you know, like you 426 00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:07,560 Speaker 1: should run it legitimately because you can be a billionaire, 427 00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:09,320 Speaker 1: Like there's so much money, you don't need to steal it. 428 00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:12,720 Speaker 1: Since fd X employed a number of the biggest, highest 429 00:21:12,760 --> 00:21:14,879 Speaker 1: profile we're gonna move to the black chain projects have 430 00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:16,320 Speaker 1: just been like, okay, we're done. We're not doing it. 431 00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:18,359 Speaker 1: Like the Australian Stock Exchange, it was like we're gonna 432 00:21:18,359 --> 00:21:20,640 Speaker 1: move to the black chain there again, never mind, we're 433 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:23,639 Speaker 1: not doing that. So just like the whole mainstreaming of 434 00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:27,040 Speaker 1: crypto has taken a step back because of this like 435 00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:30,200 Speaker 1: very mainstream looking crypto exchange turning out to be a fraud. 436 00:21:31,400 --> 00:21:34,080 Speaker 1: So I'm on the fence as to whether he's like 437 00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:38,440 Speaker 1: a body or whether ah, he is just kind of 438 00:21:38,600 --> 00:21:41,240 Speaker 1: some clef guy. He's got a bit caught up in 439 00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:43,840 Speaker 1: his own success. I think it was a fiasco, but 440 00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:47,880 Speaker 1: I think that crypto and the blockchain system is fair 441 00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:52,080 Speaker 1: to stay. I know that not the crypto itself, but 442 00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:55,119 Speaker 1: the technology behind it, which is blockchain, is the future 443 00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:59,080 Speaker 1: of the of the world. When we come back the 444 00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:09,959 Speaker 1: government unders a crypto crackdown. Do you think that Western 445 00:22:10,000 --> 00:22:13,399 Speaker 1: regulates is now trying to finally kill it or do 446 00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:16,720 Speaker 1: you see a future in it where governments except it's 447 00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:19,080 Speaker 1: here for the long run. What's going to happen with 448 00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:23,040 Speaker 1: crypto in the future. Given the current downturn in the market, 449 00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:27,440 Speaker 1: Matt In the aftermath of the ft X collapse, we've 450 00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:31,359 Speaker 1: seen increased interest in crypto from the US government, which 451 00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:36,040 Speaker 1: has struggled over how to regulate it. The CFTC, the 452 00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:41,359 Speaker 1: Commodity Futures Trading Commission, thinks it should oversee crypto. The SEC, 453 00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:44,600 Speaker 1: the Security Exchange Commission, which regulates the stock market, says 454 00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:46,560 Speaker 1: no, no no, no no, Crypto should be treated more like a 455 00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:50,040 Speaker 1: stock and the SEC especially is taking this very hard line. 456 00:22:50,040 --> 00:22:53,399 Speaker 1: The chairman, Gary Ginstler is called crypto wild West. And 457 00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:56,280 Speaker 1: then of course there's Congress. Do you think what's happening 458 00:22:56,480 --> 00:23:00,800 Speaker 1: now gives the government more leverage to clamp down on 459 00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:03,080 Speaker 1: crypto in the way they have been before, and do 460 00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:06,040 Speaker 1: they really want to do that? I think it's really 461 00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:07,639 Speaker 1: hard because I think that a lot of people at 462 00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:11,640 Speaker 1: U S regulators and outside of US regulators would say 463 00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:15,960 Speaker 1: that this is proof that crypto is bad and regulating 464 00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:18,080 Speaker 1: crypto is bad. In other words, like there are a 465 00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:20,720 Speaker 1: lot of places that regulate crypto, and when those places 466 00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:23,479 Speaker 1: regulate crypto, they tend to write regulations that are influenced 467 00:23:23,520 --> 00:23:25,560 Speaker 1: by crypto lobbying, right, And they tend to want to 468 00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:28,199 Speaker 1: attract crypto businesses, and they say, we're going to balance 469 00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:32,280 Speaker 1: consumer protection versus the desire to like foster this this 470 00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:35,120 Speaker 1: crypto ecosystem and have a lot of crypto hedge funds 471 00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:38,159 Speaker 1: and exchanges located in our jurisdiction. Right. The Bahamas is 472 00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:42,160 Speaker 1: kind of like that, and the US has a lot 473 00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:44,680 Speaker 1: of people who think like that. A lot of Congress 474 00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:48,360 Speaker 1: people think that the CFTC has seemed curious about that. 475 00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:51,280 Speaker 1: The SEC has had a different view, which is that 476 00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:54,720 Speaker 1: crypto is entirely crime, and rather than write new regulations 477 00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:58,720 Speaker 1: that would balance you know, fostering crypto or consumer protection. 478 00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:00,919 Speaker 1: They will just crack down on upto whenever they see it. 479 00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:03,880 Speaker 1: And I don't know, like, I'm not sure that view 480 00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:06,480 Speaker 1: is correct or that it's been vindicated by the claps 481 00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:08,800 Speaker 1: of f t X, but it seems vindicated by the 482 00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:11,119 Speaker 1: claps of ft X, right because f t X was 483 00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:13,960 Speaker 1: going to the CFTC at having meetings and saying this 484 00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:16,480 Speaker 1: is how we should regulate crypto, and the CFTC is like, yes, 485 00:24:16,520 --> 00:24:18,919 Speaker 1: you're right, you have interesting ideas here. And then you know, 486 00:24:19,000 --> 00:24:20,960 Speaker 1: Sam Bankmantry was going to Congress and saying this is 487 00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:23,040 Speaker 1: how we should regulate crypto, and people were like, oh, 488 00:24:23,040 --> 00:24:25,040 Speaker 1: thanks for the campaign donation and like, you have really 489 00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:27,040 Speaker 1: good ideas here, and then they would go to SEC 490 00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:29,680 Speaker 1: and the like you should all be in jail. And 491 00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:32,399 Speaker 1: I think there's definitely an argument that that was wrong 492 00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:36,120 Speaker 1: and that if the SEC had been or if let's 493 00:24:36,119 --> 00:24:38,679 Speaker 1: a U S regulation generally have been more thoughtful about 494 00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:41,320 Speaker 1: regulating crypto, you could have like a sort of clear 495 00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:44,440 Speaker 1: regulatory structure for running crypto exchanges in the US, then 496 00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:46,640 Speaker 1: more crypto trading would happen in the U S under 497 00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:50,320 Speaker 1: that clear regulatory structure. And it wouldn't just go poof 498 00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:52,640 Speaker 1: in a in a ceo of fraud, right because like 499 00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:55,200 Speaker 1: like US public companies that are regulated and like examined 500 00:24:55,240 --> 00:24:59,840 Speaker 1: by regulators. But I think that all in all, the 501 00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:03,240 Speaker 1: view that is winning out here is that crypto is 502 00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:06,800 Speaker 1: not really ready for prime time, and that it has 503 00:25:06,840 --> 00:25:10,919 Speaker 1: been good for the world, that it is still relatively 504 00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:15,640 Speaker 1: small and relatively isolated from the mainstream financial system and 505 00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:20,159 Speaker 1: you know, not where grandmothers put their life savings. And 506 00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:22,760 Speaker 1: I think that the worry about crypto regulation is like 507 00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:25,000 Speaker 1: the SEC puts out rule saying here's how you can 508 00:25:25,080 --> 00:25:28,040 Speaker 1: run a crypto exchange. Then like black Rock and Fidelity 509 00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:30,359 Speaker 1: do put like ten percent of customer asselets enter crypto, 510 00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:33,199 Speaker 1: and like banks start borrowing against crypto, and then the 511 00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:36,200 Speaker 1: next time a crypto exchange explodes, like it takes down 512 00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:38,520 Speaker 1: the banking system with it. This has not led to 513 00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:41,680 Speaker 1: calls for more regulation of crypto, like quite the opposite. 514 00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:43,639 Speaker 1: It's led to op ed saying we should not regulate 515 00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:45,919 Speaker 1: crypto and just let it burn, because I think that 516 00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:49,680 Speaker 1: regulating crypto is a part of mainstreaming and like that's 517 00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:52,639 Speaker 1: clearly what SPF wanted, right, Like that's why FTX was 518 00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:55,480 Speaker 1: lobbying for more regulation, because if you get it regulated, 519 00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:58,040 Speaker 1: it becomes more mainstream and more people will use it 520 00:25:58,040 --> 00:26:00,760 Speaker 1: and becomes more integrated with the regular financial system. And 521 00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:04,159 Speaker 1: then ultimately you could have a situation where, you know, 522 00:26:04,520 --> 00:26:07,240 Speaker 1: if a crypto exchange goes bankrupt, it will bring down 523 00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:09,720 Speaker 1: the banking system, and you go to the FED and 524 00:26:09,800 --> 00:26:12,640 Speaker 1: you say, we need you to prop up this token 525 00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:15,560 Speaker 1: because otherwise there will be a recession in the banks 526 00:26:15,560 --> 00:26:18,160 Speaker 1: will collapse. Like I'm not sure that was like exactly 527 00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:20,159 Speaker 1: what what Sam bankmun Food was thinking, but it's a 528 00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:23,000 Speaker 1: kind of like the worry about regulation of crypto. And 529 00:26:23,080 --> 00:26:25,160 Speaker 1: so the other reason is that there's not been calls 530 00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:27,439 Speaker 1: for a clear regulation of crypto is like, you know, 531 00:26:27,800 --> 00:26:31,479 Speaker 1: everyone who was writing those regulations is incredibly tainted by 532 00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:33,840 Speaker 1: the ft X claps. Like all of the thought about 533 00:26:34,080 --> 00:26:36,520 Speaker 1: crypto regulation has been like to some extent, driven by 534 00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:38,840 Speaker 1: crypto frames because they want that regulation. And so if 535 00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:41,040 Speaker 1: you're a congress person who was sponsoring a bill that 536 00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:43,879 Speaker 1: like was you know, advised by ft X, you're not 537 00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:47,760 Speaker 1: talking about that anymore. And what kind of regulation was 538 00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:51,960 Speaker 1: Sam Bang been freeing? Other people who were lobbying for regulation, 539 00:26:52,040 --> 00:26:54,880 Speaker 1: What did they want that regulation to look like. The 540 00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:58,280 Speaker 1: main thing is that people had a preference that crypto 541 00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:01,600 Speaker 1: would be regulated by the FTC. They wanted crypto to 542 00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:03,880 Speaker 1: be treated as a commodity rather than a security, because 543 00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:06,200 Speaker 1: it's easier to do disclosure about that, it's easier to 544 00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:08,280 Speaker 1: start an exchange, and there's just the view that the 545 00:27:08,280 --> 00:27:11,760 Speaker 1: CFTC is more crypto friendly Sam Bankman Freed in particular, 546 00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:14,320 Speaker 1: had a lot of ideas about the mechanics of how 547 00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:17,560 Speaker 1: to run a futurist trading platform and how to like 548 00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:21,040 Speaker 1: do margin calls that seemed sort of technical when he 549 00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:24,040 Speaker 1: proposed them, and like you know, talked about them in public, 550 00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:26,600 Speaker 1: and then they actually dovetailed very nicely with how his 551 00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:29,359 Speaker 1: exchange collapsed. Basically, he had all these ideas about like 552 00:27:29,480 --> 00:27:31,960 Speaker 1: automated risk management in a way that would make it 553 00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:34,119 Speaker 1: impossible for an exchange of the collapse, and then he 554 00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:36,359 Speaker 1: wasn't doing those things at all. So there's a lot 555 00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:38,840 Speaker 1: about like sort of technical arguation details of regulation. But 556 00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:42,040 Speaker 1: it's just like if the CFTC passes some technical regulations 557 00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:44,520 Speaker 1: about how to run a crypto exchange, it doesn't matter 558 00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:46,760 Speaker 1: what the details are. What matters that the CFTC is 559 00:27:46,800 --> 00:27:48,280 Speaker 1: that you can run a crypto exchange, right, even a 560 00:27:48,400 --> 00:27:51,040 Speaker 1: crypto future ex change. There are crypto exchanges in the US, 561 00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:53,520 Speaker 1: but they offer a relatively narrow suite of products compared 562 00:27:53,560 --> 00:27:57,399 Speaker 1: to what ft actually offering. And even so they are 563 00:27:57,440 --> 00:27:59,919 Speaker 1: you know, coin Base is the main one, like the 564 00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:03,560 Speaker 1: big US. You know, it's a public company. It also 565 00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:06,560 Speaker 1: tries to be you know, good, a good citizen, but 566 00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:09,240 Speaker 1: it offers trading and a lot of cryptocurrencies and the 567 00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:11,959 Speaker 1: sec things that a lot of them are securities and 568 00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:14,240 Speaker 1: that it's illegal to offer that trading with that registering, 569 00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:17,600 Speaker 1: the securities exchangion, so stuff like that about clarity around 570 00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:21,440 Speaker 1: what's the security and who regulates it and if cryptocurrencies 571 00:28:21,480 --> 00:28:23,960 Speaker 1: are securities, like what you need to disclose in order 572 00:28:24,040 --> 00:28:26,120 Speaker 1: to trade them. Those are the sort of main things 573 00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:30,240 Speaker 1: that people want. But it's it's really you know, it's 574 00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:32,720 Speaker 1: like it almost doesn't matter. What matters is like the 575 00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:35,320 Speaker 1: regulations exist so that you know, it's kind of like 576 00:28:35,600 --> 00:28:37,800 Speaker 1: once the regulations exists, you can work with anything. But 577 00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:40,640 Speaker 1: like you need a regulation that says somehow you can 578 00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:43,360 Speaker 1: buy crypto, right, and then how you buy it doesn't 579 00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:46,680 Speaker 1: it almost doesn't matter. You see a lot of people 580 00:28:46,760 --> 00:28:49,600 Speaker 1: describing what's happening right now as a crypto winter, where 581 00:28:49,640 --> 00:28:52,040 Speaker 1: things are looking pretty cold and bleak when you look 582 00:28:52,120 --> 00:28:54,400 Speaker 1: down the road. I don't know, a couple of years 583 00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:57,000 Speaker 1: from now, five years, even ten years from no, what 584 00:28:57,040 --> 00:29:00,240 Speaker 1: does crypto look like. Does it survive and thrive, does 585 00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:04,080 Speaker 1: it become something different? I don't know. It's really hard 586 00:29:04,080 --> 00:29:07,480 Speaker 1: because I think the two sort of avenues for for 587 00:29:07,520 --> 00:29:10,560 Speaker 1: it to work are one is like the more like 588 00:29:10,600 --> 00:29:14,760 Speaker 1: the commitment to more decentralized, you know, less trusting world 589 00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:17,920 Speaker 1: where it's like no, no, seriously, guys, this time we 590 00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:21,400 Speaker 1: need to make use of the innovations that crypto has 591 00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:24,280 Speaker 1: offered to stop getting hacked all the time, to stop 592 00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:25,920 Speaker 1: having people steal our money all the time, right, Like, 593 00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:29,360 Speaker 1: crypto is a way to have your money in a 594 00:29:29,400 --> 00:29:31,880 Speaker 1: way that you're not trusting any central intermediaries and it 595 00:29:31,920 --> 00:29:35,080 Speaker 1: can't be stolen from you. And you know, in practice, 596 00:29:35,080 --> 00:29:37,560 Speaker 1: crypto justst is about getting your money stolen over and 597 00:29:37,600 --> 00:29:40,080 Speaker 1: over again. So I think that like it is certainly 598 00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:42,560 Speaker 1: the case that like overall this year, a lot of 599 00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:46,800 Speaker 1: centralized intermediaries have all imploded in a way that makes 600 00:29:46,840 --> 00:29:49,200 Speaker 1: you think you shouldn't trust the people who around them 601 00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:53,000 Speaker 1: that like defy. The decentralized finance ecosystem has like held 602 00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:55,880 Speaker 1: up pretty well, so when people think, like, instead of 603 00:29:55,920 --> 00:29:57,840 Speaker 1: going to an exchange that is like a company with 604 00:29:57,880 --> 00:30:00,640 Speaker 1: a website that will take your money, we should use 605 00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:04,360 Speaker 1: like the blockchain technology to build exchanges that kind of 606 00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:08,640 Speaker 1: run on their own and are transparent. That pitch attracted 607 00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:10,840 Speaker 1: a lot of people in crypto a year ago because 608 00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:13,920 Speaker 1: people in crypto are philosophically disposed to think that's good. 609 00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:17,320 Speaker 1: But it's much more attractive relatively speaking now because again 610 00:30:17,360 --> 00:30:20,239 Speaker 1: it turns out you can't trust the centralized exchanges. So 611 00:30:20,280 --> 00:30:24,160 Speaker 1: that's one avenue is like the decentralization of crypto really 612 00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:29,560 Speaker 1: becomes more important, and people build like usable interfaces for 613 00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:31,560 Speaker 1: that so that you don't have to be a computer 614 00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:35,720 Speaker 1: scientist to kind of use a lot of decentralized crypto applications. 615 00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:39,880 Speaker 1: The other one is regulation. Right enough, people say you 616 00:30:39,920 --> 00:30:44,520 Speaker 1: know there is something worth saving here, we're gonna make 617 00:30:44,560 --> 00:30:48,320 Speaker 1: it so that, like US regulated exchanges are very trustworthy, 618 00:30:48,600 --> 00:30:50,200 Speaker 1: and then we're gonna have audits and we're going to 619 00:30:50,280 --> 00:30:53,920 Speaker 1: have some sort of like prudential supervisory authority checking you 620 00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:56,000 Speaker 1: out and making sure that you're not just stealing your 621 00:30:56,040 --> 00:30:58,680 Speaker 1: customers money, and that that felt very likely to me 622 00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:01,320 Speaker 1: six months ago. The less push for that now, but 623 00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:03,600 Speaker 1: I'm not I don't think it's impossible that that will 624 00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:05,720 Speaker 1: come back, and then that will be the sort of 625 00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:09,000 Speaker 1: solution here, Matt Lavin, thanks for talking to me today. 626 00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:13,760 Speaker 1: Thank you. You can read Matt Levine's brilliant crypto story 627 00:31:13,760 --> 00:31:18,480 Speaker 1: for Business Week at Bloomberg dot com. Thanks for listening 628 00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:20,840 Speaker 1: to us here at The Big Take, the daily podcast 629 00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:23,680 Speaker 1: from Bloomberg and I Heart Radio. For more shows from 630 00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:26,960 Speaker 1: my heart Radio, visit the heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, 631 00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:30,200 Speaker 1: or wherever you listen. Read today's story and subscribe to 632 00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:33,280 Speaker 1: our daily newsletter at Bloomberg dot com slash Big Take, 633 00:31:33,640 --> 00:31:36,120 Speaker 1: and we'd love to hear from you. Email us with 634 00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:39,120 Speaker 1: questions or comments to Big Take at Bloomberg dot net. 635 00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:42,920 Speaker 1: The supervising producer of The Big Take is Vicky Bergelina. 636 00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:49,520 Speaker 1: Our senior producer is Katherine Think. Our producer is Rebecca An. 637 00:31:49,560 --> 00:31:55,320 Speaker 1: Associate producer is Sam Debauer. Additional production support from Michael Falero. 638 00:31:56,120 --> 00:32:01,080 Speaker 1: Rafael I'm Seeley is our engineer. Original music, Leo Sidrin 639 00:32:01,800 --> 00:32:05,000 Speaker 1: I'm West Casova. We'll be back tomorrow with another big take. 640 00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:14,760 Speaker 1: H