WEBVTT - NFL Week 12 Predictions: Colts-Chiefs, Eagles-Cowboys, Bucs-Rams, Steelers-Bears, Browns-Raiders

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome in What's Driving Nick Right? Episode three ninety five.

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<v Speaker 1>This episode of What's Right and Nick Right has presented

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<v Speaker 1>to you, as always by our friends at boost Mobile.

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<v Speaker 1>It is our week twelve gambling show and we would

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<v Speaker 1>greatly appreciate if you would like great subscribe review to

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<v Speaker 1>the pod and a reminder for all of you. All

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<v Speaker 1>our lines are from hard Rock Bet our Friday gambling shows,

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<v Speaker 1>particularly when demanday's out ur nice little kind of bite

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<v Speaker 1>sized pods for you guys, go through all the games

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<v Speaker 1>very quickly, give you our picks. Had a winning week

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<v Speaker 1>last weekend, even though it didn't feel like that because

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<v Speaker 1>of what happened with the chiefs at the end. Three

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<v Speaker 1>and two on the week, twenty seven and twenty eight

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<v Speaker 1>on the year, which means a great week this weekend

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<v Speaker 1>and we'll be above five hundred an okay week, we'll

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<v Speaker 1>be right at five hundred and a below five hundred week,

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<v Speaker 1>we will have to start digging ourselves out once again.

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<v Speaker 1>But our request of five out of six years having

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<v Speaker 1>a profitable VIIG included season is still alive. Last week

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<v Speaker 1>we had this Miami minus two and a half Agans Washington.

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<v Speaker 1>They tried their best to give that away, but Marcus

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<v Speaker 1>Mariota wouldn't let them. Chicago plus three at Minnesota. They

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<v Speaker 1>tried their best to give that one away after being

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<v Speaker 1>up thirteen in the fourth quarter, but they ended up

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<v Speaker 1>pulling it out of the fire. They would have covered anyway,

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<v Speaker 1>they would have just lost the game outright. Tampa minus

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<v Speaker 1>five and a half at Buffalo, I don't hate that bet.

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<v Speaker 1>That game had I think eight lead changes. Tampa's right there,

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<v Speaker 1>and they even had a chance for back door cover

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<v Speaker 1>lighton Todd Bowles took knees killed me. San Francisco minus

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<v Speaker 1>two and a half at Arizona. That was easy all

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<v Speaker 1>the way along, so I feel really good about the

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<v Speaker 1>side I was on all four of those. And then

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<v Speaker 1>Chefs minus three and a half at Denver, and that

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<v Speaker 1>bet was never covering. Had an opportunity to be covering,

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<v Speaker 1>but a extra point got blocked and they lost anyway.

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<v Speaker 1>So that was a bad one and it cost me

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of money and heartache and heartbreak. But we've

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<v Speaker 1>talked to that all week. We turned the page two.

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<v Speaker 1>Week twelve Gambling Show means we're looking ahead to week twelve,

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<v Speaker 1>and this show is brought to you by our friends

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<v Speaker 1>New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. All right, here are

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<v Speaker 1>the games we're not betting this weekend. This might surprise you. India,

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<v Speaker 1>Kansas City. We are not betting that one. Now, there

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<v Speaker 1>is an insane trend on that that applies to this game,

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<v Speaker 1>which is since nineteen ninety, there have been fifteen instances

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<v Speaker 1>where a team that's five and five or worse is

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<v Speaker 1>favored against a team with an eighty plus percent winning

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<v Speaker 1>percentage like the Colts do. Those teams that were favored

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<v Speaker 1>have gone fourteen and zh against the spread and twelve

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sorry, fourteen and oh straight up and twelve zero

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<v Speaker 1>and two against the spread, So that is rationale to

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<v Speaker 1>ride with Kansas City. I however, I'm just on an

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<v Speaker 1>emotional and a logical level going to say that half

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<v Speaker 1>point feels ominous. And even though the Chiefs have all

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<v Speaker 1>of their games have wins have been blowouts, so it

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<v Speaker 1>hasn't mattered. I'm just going I'm not a superstitious guy,

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<v Speaker 1>but I'm just gonna stay away from it. I hated

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<v Speaker 1>the what I went through last week, and I am

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<v Speaker 1>anxious about a team that absolutely can be has the

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<v Speaker 1>bones of a team that can be the best team

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<v Speaker 1>in the entire NFL. I need them to get back

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<v Speaker 1>to that place. Now. I will add one other thing.

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<v Speaker 1>Since Andy Reid has been there, pre dating Mahomes, every

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<v Speaker 1>single year Andy's been there, they've had at least they've

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<v Speaker 1>had a winning streak of at least five games. This year,

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<v Speaker 1>their longest one is three. Be a hell of a

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<v Speaker 1>time to rip off a five game winning streak. Also,

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<v Speaker 1>staying away from New England at Cincinnati Cincinnati plus seven.

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<v Speaker 1>This is I don't know as of today, if Burrow's

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<v Speaker 1>playing or not. If Burrow is playing, it should be

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<v Speaker 1>New England by three. Without Burrow, it's New England by seven.

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<v Speaker 1>So I have to stay away there. Giants at Lions,

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<v Speaker 1>Lions laying ten and a half. I it feels like

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<v Speaker 1>a Lions bounce back spot. However, if that Giants defensive

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<v Speaker 1>line can create even forty percent of the havoc the

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<v Speaker 1>Eagles defensive line did, they will you know? They could

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<v Speaker 1>give golf real trouble. I so that part makes me anxious.

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<v Speaker 1>Jackson Dart is going to be back for the game.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know though. Again, I feel I feel like

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<v Speaker 1>I can make a compelling case to lay the ten

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<v Speaker 1>and a half with Detroit or to grab the ten

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<v Speaker 1>and a half with the Giants. And that's why you

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<v Speaker 1>don't have to bet every game. That's why it's a

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<v Speaker 1>stay away and we are staying away. Additionally, Minnesota at

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<v Speaker 1>green Bay, green Bay laying six and a half. The

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<v Speaker 1>Vikings are in real trouble, but the Packers are still

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<v Speaker 1>getting respect like they're a super Bowl contending team. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not sure they are six and a half. Right, they

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<v Speaker 1>barely covered would have covered six and a half against

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<v Speaker 1>the Giants last weekend. Minnesota is better than them. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>staying away. Philly at Dallas. Dallas getting three at home.

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<v Speaker 1>Dallas should be able to move the ball, and Philly's

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<v Speaker 1>offense has been awful, and I understand Dallas just added

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<v Speaker 1>Quinn Williams. However, Dallas has shown the ability to just

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<v Speaker 1>get have the ball moved all over the field on him.

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<v Speaker 1>Showed the ability is a weird way to put it.

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<v Speaker 1>They have teams have been able to exploit that defense.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think Quinn Williams, despite what we saw against

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<v Speaker 1>the Raiders, is going to remake that defense by himself.

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<v Speaker 1>So I don't feel comfortable grabbing Dallas in the point.

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<v Speaker 1>But given how bad Philly's offense has been, I also

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<v Speaker 1>don't feel comfortable laying three points with Philly against a

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<v Speaker 1>team that can score thirty on anybody. So I'm staying

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<v Speaker 1>away there. Atlanta at New Orleans where Kirk Cousins Tyler shuck,

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<v Speaker 1>no chance. I'm just staying away. Bad game, gross, Tampa

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<v Speaker 1>at the Rams. Listen, I believe in Tampa. And you

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<v Speaker 1>might say Nick how much do you believe in Tampa

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<v Speaker 1>If you're not taking them getting seven points, I need

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<v Speaker 1>to I need to pause backing Tampa at this moment

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<v Speaker 1>of the season. Part of the math on believing in

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<v Speaker 1>them was the six game stretch they had after this game,

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<v Speaker 1>the fact that I thought they had a real shot

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<v Speaker 1>at the one seed. Now you lose this game. Any

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<v Speaker 1>shot you had at the one seed is dead. But

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<v Speaker 1>the Rams have looked so good and Tampa is still

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<v Speaker 1>banged up, so I'm staying away. And then Carolina at

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<v Speaker 1>San Francisco. I don't think San Francisco is favored by seven.

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<v Speaker 1>That feels too rich for a team with their defensive injuries.

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<v Speaker 1>But Carolina has just been a different team on the

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<v Speaker 1>road than at home. So I'm staying away. Teams on

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<v Speaker 1>Buys or Denver, the Chargers, the Dolphins, and the Commanders.

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<v Speaker 1>It leaves us with these five games and a reminder,

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<v Speaker 1>all of these lines are from our friends at hard

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<v Speaker 1>Rock BET. I am rolling with Chicago laying two and

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<v Speaker 1>a half at home against Pittsburgh. I just you are

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<v Speaker 1>either going to get Mason Rudolph or you're going to

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<v Speaker 1>get Aaron Rodgers with a broken wrist. I I don't

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<v Speaker 1>I don't understand how this game is not three and

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<v Speaker 1>a half. It feels like a Bears ugly repoint when

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<v Speaker 1>also for Ben Johnson this kind of you get a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of internal credit with the fans in the organization

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<v Speaker 1>for beating Aaron because in everybody's mind he's still a Packer.

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<v Speaker 1>I think Chicago is right now a the exact same

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<v Speaker 1>caliber of teams Pittsburgh, but one team's quarterback has a

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<v Speaker 1>broken wrist and the other team's quarterback doesn't, and Chicago's

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<v Speaker 1>at home. I'll take Chicago minus to two and a

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<v Speaker 1>half the Jets getting thirteen and a half at Baltimore.

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<v Speaker 1>This is an ugly one, I will admit. However, Lamar

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<v Speaker 1>now is on the you know, mispractice again this week.

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<v Speaker 1>Last week was for a knee, this week is for

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<v Speaker 1>an ankle. He has not looked like Lamar since he

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<v Speaker 1>came back from his injury, and he is refusing to

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<v Speaker 1>run the ball, which is super noteworthy because that has

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<v Speaker 1>a knock on effect on how on his passing and

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<v Speaker 1>on the team's overall efficiency. Also, I think the Jets

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<v Speaker 1>are starting their best option at quarterback in Tyrod Taylor.

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<v Speaker 1>For all those reasons and the fact that I get

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<v Speaker 1>nearly two full touchdowns. I will take the thirteen and

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<v Speaker 1>a half points while I will lay the thirteen and

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<v Speaker 1>a half points with Seattle. Seattle is at Tennessee. What

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<v Speaker 1>that defense is going to do to cam Ward is

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<v Speaker 1>going to be borderline criminal. I do not see how

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<v Speaker 1>Tennessee can get to ten. Maybe ten, but not thirteen,

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<v Speaker 1>and so can Seattle get to twenty four? Huge spot

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<v Speaker 1>for Seattle after the very disappointing loss to the Rams

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<v Speaker 1>bounce back, I still think they're an excellent team. I

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<v Speaker 1>understand I am laying thirteen and a half points on

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<v Speaker 1>the road, but Seattle, prior to that Rams game had

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<v Speaker 1>won ten in a row on the road. Tennessee's the

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<v Speaker 1>worst team in the NFL. I will take Seattle laying

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<v Speaker 1>the thirteen and a half. Arizona getting three at home

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<v Speaker 1>against Jacksonville. Arizona has not been good. Jacksonville has been okay,

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<v Speaker 1>But they are coming off Jacksonville their best win, their

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<v Speaker 1>most dominating performance of the year. I should say their

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<v Speaker 1>best win wis Konas City. This is the most dominating

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<v Speaker 1>and they are a very up and down team. We've

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<v Speaker 1>seen it throughout the year that the Jags are not

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<v Speaker 1>really able to build on successes. They beat the Chiefs,

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<v Speaker 1>then immediately lose back to back to the Seahawks and Rams.

0:14:24.800 --> 0:14:30.200
<v Speaker 1>They beat the Raiders in you know, not miracle, but

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<v Speaker 1>the Raiders have a two point conversion in overtime to

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<v Speaker 1>beat them. They then respond by blowing a horrified by

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<v Speaker 1>blowing a nineteen point fourth quarter lead to the Texans.

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<v Speaker 1>They blow out the Chargers. They're now on the road

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<v Speaker 1>going cross country to the Cardinals, and I'm getting three

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<v Speaker 1>whole points. I will take Arizona plus three and then

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<v Speaker 1>in a game that might shock the audience that I

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<v Speaker 1>am including Cleveland in Shador's first start, getting three and

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<v Speaker 1>a half at the Raiders. This is very simple. That

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<v Speaker 1>Raiders offensive line against that Browns defensive line is the

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<v Speaker 1>single biggest mismatch of the week. I do not care

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<v Speaker 1>who is playing quarterback for Cleveland. Miles Garrett could set

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<v Speaker 1>the single game and single season sack record in this game.

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<v Speaker 1>The all time sack record for a game is seven

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<v Speaker 1>Derek Thomas, late Great Kansaity chief. The all time sack

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<v Speaker 1>record for a season is twenty two and a half.

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<v Speaker 1>So if Miles Garrett got eight, he would set the

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<v Speaker 1>season and game record. He could do that against this

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<v Speaker 1>Raiders offensive line. I will take Cleveland plus the three

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<v Speaker 1>and a half. So my five picks this weekend are

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<v Speaker 1>the Bears laying two and a half at home against Pittsburgh,

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<v Speaker 1>the Jets getting thirteen and a half at Baltimore, Seattle

0:16:04.160 --> 0:16:08.200
<v Speaker 1>laying thirteen and a half at Tennessee, Arizona getting three

0:16:08.240 --> 0:16:12.160
<v Speaker 1>against Jacksonville, and Cleveland getting three and a half at

0:16:12.400 --> 0:16:16.680
<v Speaker 1>the Las Vegas Raiders. Before we get to Demonse's teaser,

0:16:16.720 --> 0:16:19.840
<v Speaker 1>which one last week, reminder to you guys, you ever

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<v Speaker 1>All right, Demonse's teaser last week wins. I gave it

0:17:02.920 --> 0:17:06.080
<v Speaker 1>an a half. He broke all the teaser rules. It

0:17:06.160 --> 0:17:09.360
<v Speaker 1>didn't matter. He had Miami plus five and a half,

0:17:11.280 --> 0:17:14.199
<v Speaker 1>they win in overtime. He had Houston plus one and

0:17:14.200 --> 0:17:17.680
<v Speaker 1>a half. They win by three against Tennessee. He had

0:17:17.720 --> 0:17:22.040
<v Speaker 1>Tampa plus thirteen and a half. They lose by twelve

0:17:22.520 --> 0:17:26.720
<v Speaker 1>to Buffalo. Let's see what demonte has this week for

0:17:28.280 --> 0:17:31.200
<v Speaker 1>his week twelve teaser. Let's go to them.

0:17:31.680 --> 0:17:34.119
<v Speaker 2>All right, y'all, reporting live from Baby Lamb with the

0:17:34.119 --> 0:17:38.679
<v Speaker 2>Week twelve teaser. It's an eight point three teamer per usual.

0:17:38.840 --> 0:17:40.880
<v Speaker 2>You know how we're doing it. I told myself after

0:17:40.960 --> 0:17:43.080
<v Speaker 2>what happened to the Chiefs last week with the Broncos,

0:17:43.359 --> 0:17:45.399
<v Speaker 2>no matter what the spread was against the Colts, I

0:17:45.520 --> 0:17:48.199
<v Speaker 2>was throwing them in the teaser. So first off, we

0:17:48.240 --> 0:17:50.000
<v Speaker 2>got the Chiefs from minus three and a half to

0:17:50.040 --> 0:17:53.000
<v Speaker 2>plus four and a half. We're gonna tease the Browns

0:17:53.440 --> 0:17:56.840
<v Speaker 2>from plus four to plus twelve at the Raiders. Hey man,

0:17:56.880 --> 0:17:59.480
<v Speaker 2>that defense Gino might throw like four or five picks

0:17:59.480 --> 0:18:01.679
<v Speaker 2>and then blame on me for putting them in the teaser,

0:18:02.000 --> 0:18:04.440
<v Speaker 2>so that's in there. And then we got the Jags

0:18:04.760 --> 0:18:08.119
<v Speaker 2>at minus three to plus five at the Cardinals. That

0:18:08.240 --> 0:18:10.640
<v Speaker 2>is the week twelve teaser. That's ride.

0:18:12.200 --> 0:18:19.280
<v Speaker 1>All right, well done, Demons, we love it again. You're breaking,

0:18:19.359 --> 0:18:23.159
<v Speaker 1>you're teasing through the zero, which we don't love. But

0:18:23.200 --> 0:18:26.280
<v Speaker 1>I do like this. I don't love the Jags leg.

0:18:26.480 --> 0:18:29.199
<v Speaker 1>I love the Cleveland leg, and I like the Kansas

0:18:29.200 --> 0:18:31.320
<v Speaker 1>City Leg as much as I could love a leg

0:18:31.760 --> 0:18:34.800
<v Speaker 1>where you're teasing through the zero. I'll give you a

0:18:34.840 --> 0:18:37.959
<v Speaker 1>B minus on that one, as you try to get

0:18:38.240 --> 0:18:42.840
<v Speaker 1>to five hundred on your teasers on the year. All right,

0:18:42.960 --> 0:18:49.400
<v Speaker 1>touchdown Genie lost, But again, we've only lost two touchdown

0:18:49.480 --> 0:18:54.840
<v Speaker 1>Genies ever, and both of them were because someone we

0:18:55.080 --> 0:19:01.119
<v Speaker 1>had got injured. Early. One was Ceedee Lamb earlier in

0:19:01.160 --> 0:19:04.760
<v Speaker 1>the year. This one was Josh Jacobs who left the

0:19:04.800 --> 0:19:16.879
<v Speaker 1>game early. I will take touchdown, Jeanie. No, I won't.

0:19:18.080 --> 0:19:21.440
<v Speaker 1>I'm staying away from this one. We're staying away this week.

0:19:22.760 --> 0:19:25.879
<v Speaker 1>If we're not feeling it, We're staying away. I was

0:19:25.960 --> 0:19:29.000
<v Speaker 1>going to say Pacheco and I was like, you know what, No,

0:19:29.119 --> 0:19:32.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm not. I'm staying away from touchdown Geenie this week.

0:19:32.119 --> 0:19:39.320
<v Speaker 1>Now we have the offer which did hit. We picked

0:19:39.480 --> 0:19:43.919
<v Speaker 1>the Prince and Jamis both to throw a pick. The

0:19:44.080 --> 0:19:47.840
<v Speaker 1>offer this week they're offering me is Shadoor over one

0:19:47.920 --> 0:19:51.800
<v Speaker 1>hundred and sixty passing yards and over half a passing touchdown.

0:19:52.520 --> 0:19:56.040
<v Speaker 1>I do not want Shador's over passing yards, so I

0:19:56.119 --> 0:19:59.879
<v Speaker 1>turned this down and in fact, in you know what,

0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:02.919
<v Speaker 1>but in place of touchdown, Jeannie, just go ahead and

0:20:02.960 --> 0:20:05.560
<v Speaker 1>bet Schador under one hundred and sixty and a half

0:20:05.560 --> 0:20:08.960
<v Speaker 1>passing yards. Ride with that one. They're gonna have a lead.

0:20:09.320 --> 0:20:11.160
<v Speaker 1>They're not gonna want to make me turn the ball

0:20:11.200 --> 0:20:13.640
<v Speaker 1>over Shador under one hundred and sixty and a half

0:20:13.640 --> 0:20:16.680
<v Speaker 1>passing yards. That one sounds like a better bet minus

0:20:16.720 --> 0:20:20.480
<v Speaker 1>one ten, No big deal. Reminder everybody like great subscribe,

0:20:20.520 --> 0:20:23.680
<v Speaker 1>review and shout out to the volume into Blue Duck

0:20:23.720 --> 0:20:26.400
<v Speaker 1>and of course our great sponsors hard Rock, Bet Boost

0:20:26.480 --> 0:20:30.520
<v Speaker 1>and Zen. Good luck everybody this weekend, most notably the Chiefs.

0:20:30.520 --> 0:20:31.640
<v Speaker 1>Talk to you guys soon. We'll track