WEBVTT - GOP Debate, Nvidia, Russia, and Subway (Podcast)

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, alongside

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<v Speaker 1>my co host Matt Miller.

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<v Speaker 2>Every business day we bring you interviews from CEOs, market pros,

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<v Speaker 2>and Bloomberg experts, along with essential market moving news.

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<v Speaker 1>Find the Bloomberg Markets podcast called Apple Podcasts or wherever

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<v Speaker 1>you listen to podcasts, and at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>Right now, we're gonna get a little political with you.

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<v Speaker 1>We had that debate last night. So what we're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>do here is we're gonna talk to some smart people.

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<v Speaker 1>Wendy Schiller, professor of Brown Universities joining us here. And

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<v Speaker 1>then at ten thirty we're gonna have that simulcast with

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Television Joe Matthew and Anri Horden interview GOP presidential

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<v Speaker 1>candidate NICKI Haley. So we're gonna go a little politics

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<v Speaker 1>for the next twenty minutes or so.

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<v Speaker 3>Wendy, thanks so much for joining us here.

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<v Speaker 1>We had a debate last night, Sons President Trump, what

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<v Speaker 1>were your takeaways from the Republican candidates?

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<v Speaker 4>Well, I mean, I think some of them did themselves

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<v Speaker 4>some favors. I think Ron DeSantis held his own. Maybe

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<v Speaker 4>he didn't strike a knockout blow against anybody else, but

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<v Speaker 4>I think he showed he was still formidable and wanted

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<v Speaker 4>to fight.

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<v Speaker 5>I think Mike Pence.

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<v Speaker 4>Even though he's got a tough climb, really held his

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<v Speaker 4>own and sort of emphasized his experience. Nikki Haley, whom

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<v Speaker 4>you're going to speak with, I think she had a

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<v Speaker 4>banner night.

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<v Speaker 5>She did not shy away from debate.

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<v Speaker 4>She tried to be more transparent I think about some

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<v Speaker 4>issues like abortion, and she really I think wiped the

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<v Speaker 4>floor with David Bromsway because she indicated that she was,

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<v Speaker 4>of course representative of the UN under Trump, that she knew

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<v Speaker 4>how to navigate international and foreign policy, and that he

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<v Speaker 4>had a very simplistic response to engaging with the world,

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<v Speaker 4>and it just really showcased his inexperience and it really

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<v Speaker 4>highlighted her experience. So I thought that was one of

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<v Speaker 4>her stellar moments throughout the whole debate.

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<v Speaker 2>Abortion, because I know voters have been coming out, as

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<v Speaker 2>evidenced by the recent referendum, I guess it wasn't in

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<v Speaker 2>Ohio when it comes to abortion, and the GEO p

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<v Speaker 2>has typically been more anti abortion or pro life, whereas

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<v Speaker 2>it seems like the majority of the country believes that

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<v Speaker 2>at least in the early stages, a woman should be

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<v Speaker 2>able to decide herself what she wants to do with

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<v Speaker 2>her body.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>Man, this was really a showcase for people who are

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<v Speaker 4>trying to get the GOP to a place that the

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<v Speaker 4>majority of Americans might agree with, like a fifteen week

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<v Speaker 4>abortion ban. I'm not saying that would, you know, necessarily

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<v Speaker 4>attract a majority position, but Mike Pence had it out there,

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<v Speaker 4>and I think that seems quote unquote reasonable to a

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<v Speaker 4>lot of people, particularly independent voters. So that's a position

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<v Speaker 4>that would not lose the White House. An outright ban

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<v Speaker 4>or a six week ban, I think, given that Roe v.

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<v Speaker 4>Wade has been basically revoked by the Supreme Court, I

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<v Speaker 4>think that's a losing position for the GOP to get

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<v Speaker 4>the White House in twenty twenty four.

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<v Speaker 5>And Nikki Haley understands that.

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<v Speaker 1>Hey, when you talk about Ron DeSantis, you know, one

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<v Speaker 1>point was polling fairly well, but as kind of fallen

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<v Speaker 1>off dramatically. Talk to us about his candidacy to date,

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<v Speaker 1>and particularly about last night.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, I think it shows you the difference between running

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<v Speaker 4>on a national stage and running in Florida. Big state,

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<v Speaker 4>running really well, winning a big campaign, you know, getting

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<v Speaker 4>a lot of national attention, and I think the mismatch

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<v Speaker 4>was in how to run a campaign on the ground

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<v Speaker 4>in this GOP against Donald Trump. He never came out

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<v Speaker 4>really hard against Donald Trump.

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<v Speaker 5>He still won't.

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<v Speaker 4>In fact, it was hard to get an answer from

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<v Speaker 4>him about whether Mike Pence did the right thing and

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<v Speaker 4>ratifying the twenty twenty election last night on the debate stage.

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<v Speaker 4>So I think that was a mistake on his part.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, I think Trump voters want someone who will

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<v Speaker 4>fight for them. That is constant refrain in the polling

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<v Speaker 4>that we see, and that's what people want to see.

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<v Speaker 5>So Desanta showed up last night as a fighter. But

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<v Speaker 5>the issue is is he more of a fighter than

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<v Speaker 5>Donald Trump?

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<v Speaker 4>And if he's not willing to fight Donald Trump, how

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<v Speaker 4>does he actually illustrate that.

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<v Speaker 7>To the voters in the general?

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, you know, everybody who hasn't followed his career

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<v Speaker 2>closely is just going to know DeSantis for don't say

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<v Speaker 2>gay and you know, trying to fight Mickey Mouse.

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<v Speaker 7>Is that really going to help him?

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<v Speaker 8>Well?

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<v Speaker 4>I think amongst the core, you know, really conservative and

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<v Speaker 4>highly religious wing of the primary elector at the Republican Party,

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<v Speaker 4>which you also saw Senator Tim Scott from South Carolina

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<v Speaker 4>trying to appeal to number of times last night at

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<v Speaker 4>the debate stage.

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<v Speaker 5>That will appeal to them.

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<v Speaker 4>And we've seen the rise of a lot of anti

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<v Speaker 4>gay legislation rhetoric and state legislatures. So in the core

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<v Speaker 4>red states that might help the Santis in the primary process.

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<v Speaker 4>But in some of the bluer or mixed purple states,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, Michigan, Ohio, bigger states in the Republican primary,

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<v Speaker 4>I'm not sure how that plays, and I just don't

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<v Speaker 4>know how far that gets him. And I think his

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<v Speaker 4>challenge is to really show that his poll numbers can

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<v Speaker 4>move up in the next couple of weeks, that they

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<v Speaker 4>can move at all. If you can show that by

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<v Speaker 4>September twenty seventh, the next debate, then I think he

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<v Speaker 4>becomes still the story of being the number.

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<v Speaker 5>Two behind Trump.

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<v Speaker 7>Did Mike Pence?

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<v Speaker 2>You know, I had to get up very early this morning,

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<v Speaker 2>so I went to bed before the debate, but I

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<v Speaker 2>heard there was a question of whether or not each

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<v Speaker 2>candidate would support Donald Trump if he wins the nomination.

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<v Speaker 2>Did Mike Pence raise his hand there? Because you would

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<v Speaker 2>think he would still harbor a little resentment from the

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<v Speaker 2>time that Trump tried to have him lynched.

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<v Speaker 4>He well, he so Mike Pence, I thought, as I said,

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<v Speaker 4>I thought he held.

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<v Speaker 5>His own and better than held his own.

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<v Speaker 4>Last night he was very feisty for Mike Pence from

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<v Speaker 4>what we've seen before, but he sort of hedged on it.

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<v Speaker 4>But what he didn't edge on him was if Trump

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<v Speaker 4>was convicted. That was a weird thing, like, well, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>the question was if Trump is convicted, not indicted, but convicted,

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<v Speaker 4>would you still support him? And most of the nominees

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<v Speaker 4>except for Asa Hutchinson, raised their hand and Mike Christie

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<v Speaker 4>sort of waved his hand and then said, oh, no, no,

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<v Speaker 4>and then Mike Pence kind of raised his hand a

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<v Speaker 4>little bit. But it was not a profile and courage

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<v Speaker 4>for any of the people on that stage. And as

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<v Speaker 4>one of them said to another, if you support the

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<v Speaker 4>rule of law, you know, how can you possibly discount

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<v Speaker 4>this kind of conviction. So this is going to be

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<v Speaker 4>a problem for the Republicans moving forward. I didn't see

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<v Speaker 4>anything last night from most of those candidates that would

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<v Speaker 4>tell me independent voters would choose them over Biden yet

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<v Speaker 4>and I saw some inkling that some of them could

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<v Speaker 4>peel away that group from Biden.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, Wendy, thank you so much for joining us.

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<v Speaker 1>Wendy Schuler, Professor at Brown University. Right now, I want

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<v Speaker 1>to bring in McK mulroy. He's the co founder of

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<v Speaker 1>the Lobo Institute, and he's got a lot of experience

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<v Speaker 1>within the US government, former US Marine Infantry officer, former

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<v Speaker 1>Power Military Operations officer at CIA Hey Nick. Part of

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<v Speaker 1>the debate last night, I was talking about Ukraine. Love

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<v Speaker 1>to get your thoughts to where the Republican Party is

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<v Speaker 1>in its support of Ukraine. Did you learn anything at

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<v Speaker 1>the debate last night, one way or the other?

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<v Speaker 9>So unfortunately I was I was on the news talking

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<v Speaker 9>about precosions, possible demise night.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, we want to get your thoughts on that as well.

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<v Speaker 9>Yeah sure, but when it comes to Ukraine. And I

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<v Speaker 9>do stay out of politics altogether, but not on the

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<v Speaker 9>issue of national security. When it comes to Ukraine, I

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<v Speaker 9>think it's important that this adminised, current administration does a

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<v Speaker 9>better job explaining the why we're doing it, not just

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<v Speaker 9>the what. It doesn't do much good just to talk

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<v Speaker 9>about the billions of dollars that are going there. I'm

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<v Speaker 9>not opposed to that at all, but it's more important

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<v Speaker 9>to talk about why. And I think there's plenty of

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<v Speaker 9>Republican candidates that do understand the why, and they are

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<v Speaker 9>explaining it. We have a strong partnership with Ukraine. They

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<v Speaker 9>have been invaded a lawfully by one of our most

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<v Speaker 9>significant adversaries, who, if left unchecked, could easily continue on

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<v Speaker 9>into a NATO country, which would put us at war.

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<v Speaker 9>So I actually just got out of the Churchill War

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<v Speaker 9>Room here in London about an hour before this. And

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<v Speaker 9>if that tells you, if you look at that history

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<v Speaker 9>and how the United States support support AR did England

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<v Speaker 9>during the during that time, I view this very much

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<v Speaker 9>the same. And I hope that everybody that would ever

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<v Speaker 9>seek to be the commander in chief what as well.

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<v Speaker 9>Partners deserve to have partners in times of peace and

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<v Speaker 9>in times of war.

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<v Speaker 2>Well only for so long, right, I mean? President Biden

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<v Speaker 2>showed that no matter what kind of promises we made

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<v Speaker 2>to the Afghani people, we pulled out of there without

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<v Speaker 2>without saving them.

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<v Speaker 7>Do you think that's going to be a problem for

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<v Speaker 7>him in the election.

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<v Speaker 9>The Afghan withdrawal. I absolutely do think that's going to

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<v Speaker 9>be a problem, particularly not that we're a big voting

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<v Speaker 9>block with the Afghan veterans that you know. My position,

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<v Speaker 9>although it doesn't matter much, was that we should have

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<v Speaker 9>left for residual force to maintain what we fought for

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<v Speaker 9>for twenty years. But we certainly shouldn't have not just

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<v Speaker 9>abruptly pulled out and left all of our partners, those

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<v Speaker 9>that fought alongside us for twenty years, to the whim

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<v Speaker 9>of the Taliban. I think that was a national embarrassment,

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<v Speaker 9>and I think most Americans, regardless of the party they're in,

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<v Speaker 9>I agree with that, and I do agree with the

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<v Speaker 9>premiacy of question. I think that's going to cause some

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<v Speaker 9>problems at least as much as foreign policy does play

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<v Speaker 9>into a president election. That is a blight I think

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<v Speaker 9>on this administrative.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's get to what happened in Russia yesterday. Reportedly you

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<v Speaker 2>have get any Pregotion was on a private plane that

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<v Speaker 2>crashed outside of Moscow, And as most commentators have said,

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<v Speaker 2>if that's true, it's not a huge surprise because his

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<v Speaker 2>days were numbered after leading some kind of mutiny against Moscow.

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<v Speaker 7>What's your take on that?

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<v Speaker 2>How does that change the picture for Wagner, for Ukraine

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<v Speaker 2>for Russia.

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<v Speaker 9>So if progosion and apparently Utken and Utkin was actually

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<v Speaker 9>the person who started Wagner his call sign when he

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<v Speaker 9>was in Russian special Forces was Wagner. He was apparently

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<v Speaker 9>on the plane as well. If he is on that plane,

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<v Speaker 9>it looks like the Kremlin may have been trying to

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<v Speaker 9>figure out how do they deal with Wagner post pregosion,

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<v Speaker 9>and apparently, if this is true, they figured it out,

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<v Speaker 9>and that's how that's why this event occurred. They need

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<v Speaker 9>to figure out how to continue operations they find economically

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<v Speaker 9>viable in Africa, for example, without him, and maybe they

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<v Speaker 9>did that, and that is likely in my it's just

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<v Speaker 9>an analysis. I don't have any information specifically on that,

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<v Speaker 9>but why this took so long to happen, all right?

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<v Speaker 9>And I think from all the analysis I've seen, it

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<v Speaker 9>was definitely something that struck the plane that brought it down.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, Mick, thanks so much. We have to run

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<v Speaker 1>just because of the time. Mc morroy, co founder of

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<v Speaker 1>the Lobo Institute.

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<v Speaker 10>You're listening to the Team Ken's are Live program Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 11>On Bloomberg dot Com.

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<v Speaker 12>Welcome to Bloomberg Television. I'm Ann Recverder and alongside Joe

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<v Speaker 12>Matthew or please to have joining us now the former

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<v Speaker 12>South Carolina governor and u N Ambassador NICKI Haley Ambassador,

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<v Speaker 12>Thank you so much for your time this morning. The

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<v Speaker 12>Wall Street Journal editorial board is leading with this. Most

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<v Speaker 12>GOP voters who aren't in Iowa or New Hampshire are

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<v Speaker 12>only getting to know these candidates, and Miss Haley may

0:11:17.960 --> 0:11:20.120
<v Speaker 12>have been the most pleasant surprise.

0:11:20.520 --> 0:11:22.040
<v Speaker 7>How are you feeling this morning?

0:11:22.040 --> 0:11:24.640
<v Speaker 12>What have your overnight fundraising numbers looked like?

0:11:26.720 --> 0:11:28.920
<v Speaker 13>Well, there's more where that came from. So the Wall

0:11:28.960 --> 0:11:31.160
<v Speaker 13>Street Journal needs to get ready. But you know, it's

0:11:31.200 --> 0:11:33.240
<v Speaker 13>great when you can be on a debate stage and

0:11:33.280 --> 0:11:36.360
<v Speaker 13>allow everybody to see their options for who's going to

0:11:36.480 --> 0:11:39.280
<v Speaker 13>lead the country going forward. I think it's a good time.

0:11:39.400 --> 0:11:42.240
<v Speaker 13>This is the start of the debate season. We think

0:11:42.280 --> 0:11:45.080
<v Speaker 13>we did really well. We're seeing that we're getting support.

0:11:45.520 --> 0:11:48.160
<v Speaker 13>It hasn't stopped since the debate was over last night,

0:11:48.240 --> 0:11:50.720
<v Speaker 13>all the way into this morning, and we welcome it.

0:11:50.760 --> 0:11:53.120
<v Speaker 6>I hope your viewers will go to Nicki Haley dot com.

0:11:53.120 --> 0:11:56.200
<v Speaker 13>But I think what's really important is we have to

0:11:56.280 --> 0:11:58.600
<v Speaker 13>focus on the issues at hand.

0:11:59.040 --> 0:12:00.800
<v Speaker 6>How do we get inflation down.

0:12:01.240 --> 0:12:05.280
<v Speaker 13>Too many families can't afford groceries, they can't afford their rent,

0:12:05.320 --> 0:12:09.240
<v Speaker 13>they can't afford gas, they can't afford childcare. Fifty percent

0:12:09.240 --> 0:12:11.840
<v Speaker 13>of American families can't pay for diapers, and one in

0:12:11.960 --> 0:12:15.440
<v Speaker 13>six American families can't pay their utility bill. And while

0:12:15.520 --> 0:12:18.200
<v Speaker 13>everybody would love to say, oh, Biden did that to us,

0:12:18.520 --> 0:12:21.000
<v Speaker 13>we have to remember our Republicans did that to us

0:12:21.080 --> 0:12:24.080
<v Speaker 13>as well. And that's why I called out Tim Scott

0:12:24.120 --> 0:12:27.920
<v Speaker 13>and Ron Desanis and Mike Pens and Donald Trump for

0:12:27.960 --> 0:12:30.480
<v Speaker 13>the you know, spending like drunken sailors and raising the

0:12:30.960 --> 0:12:33.080
<v Speaker 13>debt limit. I think it's time that we start to

0:12:33.120 --> 0:12:35.480
<v Speaker 13>really make sure we get our fiscal sanity in order.

0:12:36.400 --> 0:12:38.040
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, that was a big moment for you last night,

0:12:38.040 --> 0:12:40.440
<v Speaker 14>calling out not only Democrats but members of your own

0:12:40.480 --> 0:12:44.319
<v Speaker 14>party on that debate stage and here in Washington, Ambassador,

0:12:44.640 --> 0:12:47.680
<v Speaker 14>as you pointed out, specifically, the Trump administration added eight

0:12:47.760 --> 0:12:50.360
<v Speaker 14>trillion dollars to our debts. So let's be specific today

0:12:50.400 --> 0:12:53.559
<v Speaker 14>on Bloomberg, the third rail that nobody wants to touch

0:12:54.040 --> 0:12:57.400
<v Speaker 14>is the entitlement Social Security, Medicare. How would you manage

0:12:57.400 --> 0:13:00.800
<v Speaker 14>the entitlements to try to start getting our arms around

0:13:00.800 --> 0:13:01.440
<v Speaker 14>soaring debt.

0:13:03.320 --> 0:13:05.680
<v Speaker 13>Well, you know, you've got multiple candidates on that stage

0:13:05.720 --> 0:13:08.560
<v Speaker 13>that said they wouldn't touch in titlements, including Trump, And

0:13:08.720 --> 0:13:11.280
<v Speaker 13>any candidate that says they're not going to touch entitlements

0:13:11.640 --> 0:13:13.880
<v Speaker 13>means that they're basically going to go into the go

0:13:13.920 --> 0:13:17.640
<v Speaker 13>into office, and then leave America bankrupt. Social Security is

0:13:17.640 --> 0:13:20.080
<v Speaker 13>going to go bankrupt in ten years, Medicare is going

0:13:20.120 --> 0:13:22.040
<v Speaker 13>to go bankrupt in eight. So the way we deal

0:13:22.120 --> 0:13:25.720
<v Speaker 13>with it is we don't touch anyone's retirement or anyone

0:13:25.760 --> 0:13:28.440
<v Speaker 13>who's been promised in. But we go to people like

0:13:28.520 --> 0:13:30.760
<v Speaker 13>my kids in their twenties when they're coming into the

0:13:30.800 --> 0:13:33.520
<v Speaker 13>system and we say the rules have changed. We change

0:13:33.559 --> 0:13:37.280
<v Speaker 13>retirement age to reflect life expectancy instead of cost of

0:13:37.320 --> 0:13:38.160
<v Speaker 13>living increases.

0:13:38.200 --> 0:13:39.560
<v Speaker 6>We do it based on inflation.

0:13:39.960 --> 0:13:43.000
<v Speaker 13>We limit the benefits on the wealthy, and we expand

0:13:43.040 --> 0:13:44.480
<v Speaker 13>Medicare advantage plans.

0:13:45.760 --> 0:13:47.400
<v Speaker 14>What's the right age there that investador?

0:13:48.480 --> 0:13:50.160
<v Speaker 13>Well, I think we have to do the numbers. We've

0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:51.640
<v Speaker 13>got to figure out what it is. But what we

0:13:51.679 --> 0:13:54.400
<v Speaker 13>do know is sixty five is way too low, and

0:13:54.440 --> 0:13:55.600
<v Speaker 13>we need to increase that.

0:13:55.640 --> 0:13:59.040
<v Speaker 6>We need to do it according to life expectancy.

0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:00.000
<v Speaker 11>You raise your hand.

0:14:00.040 --> 0:14:01.800
<v Speaker 14>And last night, when asked if you would support the

0:14:01.840 --> 0:14:04.960
<v Speaker 14>Republican nominee, of course if that ended up being someone else.

0:14:05.000 --> 0:14:07.520
<v Speaker 14>I know you're running for president here, but if Donald

0:14:07.559 --> 0:14:10.480
<v Speaker 14>Trump was responsible for adding eight trillion dollars to the

0:14:10.800 --> 0:14:14.160
<v Speaker 14>national debt, how could you support him again for another administration?

0:14:15.760 --> 0:14:17.640
<v Speaker 13>Well, first of all, I don't think Donald Trump's going

0:14:17.679 --> 0:14:19.440
<v Speaker 13>to win the nomination. I think I'm going to win

0:14:19.480 --> 0:14:22.240
<v Speaker 13>the nomination. And secondly, I think that we have to

0:14:22.240 --> 0:14:25.160
<v Speaker 13>focus on the fact that anybody is better than a

0:14:25.200 --> 0:14:26.480
<v Speaker 13>president Kamala Harris.

0:14:26.560 --> 0:14:27.360
<v Speaker 6>I mean, you look.

0:14:27.200 --> 0:14:30.680
<v Speaker 13>At the socialism creep that Biden and Harris have gotten

0:14:30.760 --> 0:14:33.680
<v Speaker 13>us into, whether it's the Chips Act, whether it's Inflation

0:14:33.840 --> 0:14:36.880
<v Speaker 13>Reduction Act, whether you see all of these subsidies that

0:14:36.920 --> 0:14:39.680
<v Speaker 13>they are green subsidies that they're doing. They're the ones

0:14:39.680 --> 0:14:42.360
<v Speaker 13>that have left us into a situation where I don't

0:14:42.400 --> 0:14:43.160
<v Speaker 13>think our kids are.

0:14:43.120 --> 0:14:44.200
<v Speaker 6>Going to forgive us for it.

0:14:44.520 --> 0:14:47.760
<v Speaker 13>And so any person on that stage is better than

0:14:47.960 --> 0:14:50.280
<v Speaker 13>Kamala Harris. And I'm going to say that all day long,

0:14:50.320 --> 0:14:52.640
<v Speaker 13>but I think the American people are smart. I don't

0:14:52.680 --> 0:14:55.160
<v Speaker 13>think Donald Trump's going to be the winner of the primary.

0:14:55.320 --> 0:14:57.120
<v Speaker 13>I think I'm going to be the winner of the primary.

0:14:57.160 --> 0:14:59.640
<v Speaker 13>And I think that's why we need a new generational

0:15:00.040 --> 0:15:03.160
<v Speaker 13>conservative leader, because we've got to leave the past and

0:15:03.200 --> 0:15:05.680
<v Speaker 13>the negativity behind us, and we've got to start focusing

0:15:05.680 --> 0:15:08.480
<v Speaker 13>on the real problems at hand and start getting things

0:15:08.520 --> 0:15:10.040
<v Speaker 13>done when.

0:15:10.000 --> 0:15:13.360
<v Speaker 12>Look at the new generation, the most googled individual today,

0:15:13.680 --> 0:15:17.720
<v Speaker 12>Ambassador is Vivek Ramaswami. You took issue as foreign policy

0:15:17.800 --> 0:15:20.880
<v Speaker 12>yesterday as an individual number one googled in America. Who

0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:24.440
<v Speaker 12>wants to give Ukrainian land back to Russia, something that

0:15:24.440 --> 0:15:27.720
<v Speaker 12>actually individuals in the Republican base agree with. Kind of

0:15:27.760 --> 0:15:31.400
<v Speaker 12>taking a playbook from the former president who has called

0:15:31.480 --> 0:15:35.000
<v Speaker 12>what Putin has done in Ukraine genius and savvy. You

0:15:35.200 --> 0:15:39.040
<v Speaker 12>chastise mister Rabiswami yesterday, but you worked for the former president.

0:15:39.320 --> 0:15:41.600
<v Speaker 12>Are both these men wrong when it comes to Russia's

0:15:41.640 --> 0:15:42.600
<v Speaker 12>invasion of Ukraine?

0:15:44.640 --> 0:15:47.120
<v Speaker 13>Well, you know, President Trump used to have it right

0:15:47.160 --> 0:15:49.400
<v Speaker 13>when it came to Russia and Ukraine. He reversed the

0:15:49.400 --> 0:15:53.120
<v Speaker 13>Obama strategy and he sent Javelin missiles to Ukraine and

0:15:53.160 --> 0:15:55.520
<v Speaker 13>I was proud to serve with him. Then he's now

0:15:55.600 --> 0:15:58.880
<v Speaker 13>backtracked now and is going into where he's weaken the

0:15:58.960 --> 0:16:02.800
<v Speaker 13>knees on Russia again. You've got vivid Ramaswami who basically

0:16:03.240 --> 0:16:07.480
<v Speaker 13>wants to side with a murderer over a pro America,

0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:11.160
<v Speaker 13>freedom loving country. That doesn't make sense. You've got Ramaswami

0:16:11.160 --> 0:16:14.400
<v Speaker 13>who wants to cut aid to Israel. He doesn't understand

0:16:14.600 --> 0:16:17.640
<v Speaker 13>that it's not that America needs Israel. It's not that

0:16:17.680 --> 0:16:20.920
<v Speaker 13>Israel needs America. America needs Israel. They're the frontline of

0:16:20.920 --> 0:16:24.000
<v Speaker 13>defense for Iran. He wants to feed Taiwan to China.

0:16:24.320 --> 0:16:27.000
<v Speaker 13>He's missing all the points of You can't be so

0:16:27.240 --> 0:16:31.560
<v Speaker 13>narcissistic to think America doesn't need allies. We do need allies,

0:16:31.760 --> 0:16:34.000
<v Speaker 13>and when you have an ally, you take care of them.

0:16:34.280 --> 0:16:37.280
<v Speaker 13>Everybody's talking about this funding to Ukraine. First of all,

0:16:37.280 --> 0:16:41.080
<v Speaker 13>I think economic aid should come from the Europeans, but equipment,

0:16:41.200 --> 0:16:45.640
<v Speaker 13>military ammunition, we should be sending that. And when we

0:16:45.760 --> 0:16:48.320
<v Speaker 13>send it. Let's keep in mind it is less than

0:16:48.360 --> 0:16:50.760
<v Speaker 13>three and a half percent of our defense budget that

0:16:50.800 --> 0:16:53.360
<v Speaker 13>has gone to Ukraine. If you look at the percentage

0:16:53.360 --> 0:16:57.800
<v Speaker 13>of GDP eleven European countries have paid more than the US,

0:16:58.200 --> 0:17:00.840
<v Speaker 13>but making sure we have to always a win for

0:17:00.960 --> 0:17:03.360
<v Speaker 13>Russia is a win for China, and we can't let

0:17:03.400 --> 0:17:03.920
<v Speaker 13>that happen.

0:17:05.000 --> 0:17:06.840
<v Speaker 12>You're saying Trump did get it right at one point,

0:17:06.840 --> 0:17:10.200
<v Speaker 12>but it was under the Trump administration that withheld millions

0:17:10.400 --> 0:17:14.120
<v Speaker 12>of dollars hundreds of millions to Ukraine that was appropriated

0:17:14.160 --> 0:17:18.280
<v Speaker 12>by Congress. Did they not prepare Kiev well enough for

0:17:18.359 --> 0:17:19.200
<v Speaker 12>this onslaught?

0:17:21.240 --> 0:17:21.400
<v Speaker 9>Well?

0:17:21.480 --> 0:17:21.879
<v Speaker 6>I think that.

0:17:21.960 --> 0:17:23.960
<v Speaker 13>Look, there was a problem with the fact that I

0:17:23.960 --> 0:17:27.040
<v Speaker 13>think Trump had two sets of ammunitions that were supposed

0:17:27.040 --> 0:17:30.119
<v Speaker 13>to go to military equipment and ammunitions that were supposed

0:17:30.160 --> 0:17:33.080
<v Speaker 13>to go to Ukraine before Russia invaded, and Biden pulled

0:17:33.119 --> 0:17:35.159
<v Speaker 13>it because he didn't want to upset Putin.

0:17:35.720 --> 0:17:37.400
<v Speaker 6>This war could have been prevented.

0:17:37.560 --> 0:17:40.760
<v Speaker 13>Biden was slow to the take he didn't act strong enough,

0:17:41.040 --> 0:17:43.119
<v Speaker 13>and that's what happened. And then you go and you

0:17:43.160 --> 0:17:44.840
<v Speaker 13>add the Afghanistan debacle.

0:17:45.160 --> 0:17:46.240
<v Speaker 6>I mean the idea that.

0:17:46.160 --> 0:17:49.119
<v Speaker 13>We left Bagram Air Force Base in the middle of

0:17:49.160 --> 0:17:52.240
<v Speaker 13>the night without telling our allies who stood shoulder to

0:17:52.280 --> 0:17:54.800
<v Speaker 13>shoulder with us for decades because we asked them to

0:17:54.800 --> 0:17:58.000
<v Speaker 13>be there. It was the green light putin needed. It

0:17:58.119 --> 0:18:01.560
<v Speaker 13>was the excitement that pressed she and China got. It's

0:18:01.560 --> 0:18:05.840
<v Speaker 13>why Ron started building a bomb and North Korea started

0:18:05.840 --> 0:18:09.359
<v Speaker 13>testing ballistic missiles. When they see weakness, that's when they

0:18:09.440 --> 0:18:12.040
<v Speaker 13>smell blood in the water, and that's why we saw aggression.

0:18:12.280 --> 0:18:16.679
<v Speaker 13>We need a strong American president who understands what it

0:18:16.840 --> 0:18:19.880
<v Speaker 13>takes to keep Americans safe. And the way you do

0:18:19.920 --> 0:18:22.320
<v Speaker 13>that is you make sure you defeat Russia when it

0:18:22.359 --> 0:18:24.760
<v Speaker 13>comes to Ukraine, because that sends the biggest sign to

0:18:24.880 --> 0:18:26.560
<v Speaker 13>China on not to invade Taiwan.

0:18:29.160 --> 0:18:31.480
<v Speaker 12>The Biden administration at the moment is sending billions of

0:18:31.480 --> 0:18:34.160
<v Speaker 12>dollars to Ukraine. They've also, under their leadership, were able

0:18:34.160 --> 0:18:35.760
<v Speaker 12>to help expand NATO.

0:18:36.119 --> 0:18:37.040
<v Speaker 6>Do you not agree with that?

0:18:39.000 --> 0:18:42.840
<v Speaker 13>I absolutely agree with defending Ukraine, and I agree with

0:18:42.880 --> 0:18:45.120
<v Speaker 13>the fact that we need to expand NATO. I mean,

0:18:45.520 --> 0:18:47.960
<v Speaker 13>it's good to see and I actually think that it

0:18:47.960 --> 0:18:50.360
<v Speaker 13>should go further than that. I think that an invitation

0:18:50.800 --> 0:18:53.280
<v Speaker 13>to NATO should go to Ukraine. They've proven that they're

0:18:53.320 --> 0:18:56.680
<v Speaker 13>good military fighters. And let's keep in mind, Russia has

0:18:56.760 --> 0:19:00.680
<v Speaker 13>never invaded a non NATO country. They've invaded Georgia, they've

0:19:00.680 --> 0:19:04.560
<v Speaker 13>invaded Ukraine, They've invaded Moldova. They don't ever invade a

0:19:04.640 --> 0:19:07.320
<v Speaker 13>non NATO country. So we need to make sure that

0:19:07.400 --> 0:19:09.960
<v Speaker 13>we continue to expand NATO. And we also need to

0:19:10.000 --> 0:19:14.880
<v Speaker 13>work with our other allies India, Australia, Japan, South Korea, Israel.

0:19:15.000 --> 0:19:17.320
<v Speaker 13>We need to start going to the Arab countries. We

0:19:17.400 --> 0:19:19.000
<v Speaker 13>need more friends, not less.

0:19:20.040 --> 0:19:22.040
<v Speaker 14>I have to ask you about an important issue on

0:19:22.119 --> 0:19:24.880
<v Speaker 14>the campaign trail, Ambassador, that loom large over the midterm

0:19:24.880 --> 0:19:27.240
<v Speaker 14>elections and will certainly be top of mind for voters

0:19:27.240 --> 0:19:30.960
<v Speaker 14>Democrats and Republicans in this next election cycle, and that

0:19:31.040 --> 0:19:33.400
<v Speaker 14>is abortion. It came up in the debate last night.

0:19:33.920 --> 0:19:37.600
<v Speaker 14>You've suggested that there are no votes for a national

0:19:38.280 --> 0:19:42.400
<v Speaker 14>abortion ban, or for that matter, a regulatory bill here

0:19:42.400 --> 0:19:44.760
<v Speaker 14>in Washington. You made that point last night, but I

0:19:44.800 --> 0:19:47.520
<v Speaker 14>also I know that your state of South Carolina has

0:19:47.560 --> 0:19:51.199
<v Speaker 14>put in place a six week minimum. Mike Pence and

0:19:51.200 --> 0:19:55.719
<v Speaker 14>some others and the Republican Party are suggesting a national fifteen.

0:19:55.440 --> 0:19:57.440
<v Speaker 7>Week What is your minimum?

0:19:57.480 --> 0:19:59.800
<v Speaker 14>What should be, in fact, the number of weeks for

0:19:59.840 --> 0:20:02.240
<v Speaker 14>this country to coalesce around.

0:20:03.160 --> 0:20:07.280
<v Speaker 13>I am unapologetically pro life, not because the Republican Party

0:20:07.320 --> 0:20:09.760
<v Speaker 13>tells me to be, but because my husband was adopted,

0:20:09.800 --> 0:20:12.840
<v Speaker 13>and I had trouble having both of my children, so

0:20:12.880 --> 0:20:14.480
<v Speaker 13>I am surrounded by blessings.

0:20:14.720 --> 0:20:16.600
<v Speaker 6>Having said that, I don't.

0:20:16.400 --> 0:20:18.840
<v Speaker 13>Judge anyone for being pro choice any more than I

0:20:18.880 --> 0:20:20.919
<v Speaker 13>want them to judge me for being pro life. We

0:20:21.000 --> 0:20:25.639
<v Speaker 13>didn't need unelected justices deciding something this personal and this important,

0:20:25.960 --> 0:20:27.840
<v Speaker 13>So I think it was right to send it back

0:20:27.880 --> 0:20:30.119
<v Speaker 13>to the people to decide. If the people of South

0:20:30.160 --> 0:20:33.600
<v Speaker 13>Carolina chose six weeks, you know, they decided.

0:20:33.680 --> 0:20:34.520
<v Speaker 6>I'm happy with that.

0:20:35.080 --> 0:20:37.520
<v Speaker 13>Other states have chosen other things, but at least the

0:20:37.560 --> 0:20:40.840
<v Speaker 13>people's voices are being heard. The debate that happened last

0:20:40.920 --> 0:20:43.840
<v Speaker 13>night was whether there should be a federal law. And

0:20:43.880 --> 0:20:45.880
<v Speaker 13>I think there is a place for a federal law.

0:20:45.960 --> 0:20:48.800
<v Speaker 13>I think that most Americans, you know. But we have

0:20:48.920 --> 0:20:51.119
<v Speaker 13>to decide. In order to get a federal law, you

0:20:51.200 --> 0:20:53.199
<v Speaker 13>have to win a majority of the House votes, and

0:20:53.240 --> 0:20:56.440
<v Speaker 13>you have to get sixty Senate votes. We have had

0:20:56.720 --> 0:20:59.240
<v Speaker 13>sixty Senate votes on the pro life side in over

0:20:59.280 --> 0:21:02.679
<v Speaker 13>one hundred years. So we need to come together on consensus.

0:21:02.720 --> 0:21:05.600
<v Speaker 13>Where is the consensus. Let's agree that we should ban

0:21:05.720 --> 0:21:08.840
<v Speaker 13>late term abortions. Let's agree that we should encourage more

0:21:08.880 --> 0:21:12.560
<v Speaker 13>adoptions and good quality adoptions. Let's agree that doctors and

0:21:12.640 --> 0:21:15.480
<v Speaker 13>nurses who don't believe in abortions shouldn't have to perform them.

0:21:15.760 --> 0:21:19.560
<v Speaker 13>Let's agree that contraception should be accessible. And let's agree

0:21:19.560 --> 0:21:21.639
<v Speaker 13>that no state law should tell a woman who's had

0:21:21.680 --> 0:21:24.280
<v Speaker 13>an abortion that she's going to jail or she's going

0:21:24.320 --> 0:21:25.360
<v Speaker 13>to get the death penalty.

0:21:25.480 --> 0:21:26.520
<v Speaker 6>Let's start there.

0:21:26.600 --> 0:21:29.639
<v Speaker 13>We have to humanize this situation. I'm not going to

0:21:29.640 --> 0:21:32.679
<v Speaker 13>be a part of demonizing this issue. It's personal for

0:21:32.760 --> 0:21:34.760
<v Speaker 13>everyone and we need to treat it with the respect

0:21:34.760 --> 0:21:35.520
<v Speaker 13>that it deserves.

0:21:36.640 --> 0:21:38.920
<v Speaker 12>And bastard, thank you for sharing some of your also

0:21:38.960 --> 0:21:42.160
<v Speaker 12>personal experience with this. Penn says, every candidate, though, should

0:21:42.200 --> 0:21:45.160
<v Speaker 12>support a banned abortion before fifteen weeks as a minimum

0:21:45.240 --> 0:21:46.360
<v Speaker 12>nationwide standard.

0:21:46.720 --> 0:21:52.960
<v Speaker 6>What is your minimum? First of all, why put women

0:21:53.040 --> 0:21:53.440
<v Speaker 6>through this?

0:21:53.520 --> 0:21:55.520
<v Speaker 13>Why put men through this in a way that they're

0:21:55.520 --> 0:21:58.120
<v Speaker 13>going to hate each other and demonize each other. We

0:21:58.240 --> 0:22:01.600
<v Speaker 13>don't have sixty Senate votes, so where is the consensus?

0:22:01.640 --> 0:22:04.000
<v Speaker 13>We have to figure out what the American.

0:22:03.520 --> 0:22:06.920
<v Speaker 12>Bable want to know from you, as a woman as well,

0:22:06.960 --> 0:22:09.040
<v Speaker 12>where you would stand on this. A lot of cadidates

0:22:09.040 --> 0:22:11.160
<v Speaker 12>have come out and said they're either for six weeks,

0:22:11.160 --> 0:22:12.320
<v Speaker 12>there for fifteen weeks.

0:22:12.560 --> 0:22:13.439
<v Speaker 6>What is your number?

0:22:15.040 --> 0:22:17.440
<v Speaker 13>Well, first of all, I'm for whatever the states decide

0:22:17.440 --> 0:22:19.800
<v Speaker 13>where they are. But I'm also going to tell you

0:22:20.000 --> 0:22:23.800
<v Speaker 13>my job is I'm going to support or promote saving

0:22:23.840 --> 0:22:26.639
<v Speaker 13>as many babies as possible and support as many moms

0:22:26.640 --> 0:22:30.000
<v Speaker 13>as possible. Wherever those sixty Senate votes come down, we're

0:22:30.040 --> 0:22:32.520
<v Speaker 13>going to do it. If you can't get sixty votes,

0:22:32.840 --> 0:22:35.520
<v Speaker 13>you can't save babies. So it's going to require a

0:22:35.560 --> 0:22:37.960
<v Speaker 13>lot of coming together and figuring out where people are.

0:22:38.200 --> 0:22:40.639
<v Speaker 13>But we're not going to divide our country over this issue.

0:22:40.640 --> 0:22:42.840
<v Speaker 13>We're going to bring our country together and where we

0:22:42.840 --> 0:22:45.920
<v Speaker 13>can get sixty votes, that's what we're going to do.

0:22:45.920 --> 0:22:48.800
<v Speaker 14>We have an honest conversation before we let you go, Ambassador,

0:22:48.840 --> 0:22:51.080
<v Speaker 14>about Donald Trump. He chose not to attend the debate

0:22:51.160 --> 0:22:54.640
<v Speaker 14>last night because of his commanding lead in the polls.

0:22:54.960 --> 0:22:58.800
<v Speaker 14>It's difficult to discount the trajectory here. I know you

0:22:58.840 --> 0:23:00.720
<v Speaker 14>don't think that he's going to be then, but he's

0:23:00.840 --> 0:23:03.960
<v Speaker 14>leading the field by anywhere between twenty and forty points

0:23:03.960 --> 0:23:05.880
<v Speaker 14>when you look at the poll. I remember the day

0:23:05.880 --> 0:23:08.840
<v Speaker 14>you endorsed Marco Rubio in the twenty sixteen campaign. You

0:23:08.840 --> 0:23:11.240
<v Speaker 14>said I will not stop until we fight a man

0:23:11.280 --> 0:23:14.879
<v Speaker 14>that chooses not to disavow the KKK referring to Donald Trump.

0:23:15.280 --> 0:23:17.119
<v Speaker 14>That is not a part of our party. That is

0:23:17.160 --> 0:23:20.119
<v Speaker 14>not who we are with. That said, your party seems

0:23:20.119 --> 0:23:22.200
<v Speaker 14>to be in love with Donald Trump. What is your

0:23:22.359 --> 0:23:24.200
<v Speaker 14>path to the nomination?

0:23:26.280 --> 0:23:29.399
<v Speaker 13>Well, look, I was proud to serve in Donald Trump's

0:23:29.400 --> 0:23:32.280
<v Speaker 13>administration and push the foreign policy that we did that

0:23:32.320 --> 0:23:34.639
<v Speaker 13>basically took the kick me sign off of our backs

0:23:34.640 --> 0:23:37.960
<v Speaker 13>at the UN and had America respected again. And I

0:23:38.040 --> 0:23:40.520
<v Speaker 13>support a lot of the policies that he supported. But

0:23:40.640 --> 0:23:42.600
<v Speaker 13>I think that you have to look at the fact

0:23:42.600 --> 0:23:44.800
<v Speaker 13>that three quarters of Americans don't want to see a

0:23:44.840 --> 0:23:49.400
<v Speaker 13>Trump Biden replay. The majority of Americans. I mean, Trump

0:23:49.480 --> 0:23:53.680
<v Speaker 13>is the most disliked politician in America, and the most

0:23:53.720 --> 0:23:57.160
<v Speaker 13>disliked politician in America can't win a general election. So

0:23:57.320 --> 0:24:00.280
<v Speaker 13>this was the kickoff to the debate season, to the

0:24:00.320 --> 0:24:02.919
<v Speaker 13>election season. I think now people are paying attention. I

0:24:02.920 --> 0:24:05.960
<v Speaker 13>think there's a big difference on people who support Trump

0:24:06.000 --> 0:24:07.679
<v Speaker 13>and people who are going to vote for Trump.

0:24:07.960 --> 0:24:09.080
<v Speaker 6>I think people know that.

0:24:09.040 --> 0:24:11.879
<v Speaker 13>We've got new issues, big issues that we need solutions.

0:24:11.880 --> 0:24:13.920
<v Speaker 13>We can't keep looking to the past. We've got to

0:24:14.000 --> 0:24:16.760
<v Speaker 13>lead the drama and negativity to the past. We need

0:24:16.800 --> 0:24:20.640
<v Speaker 13>a new generational conservative leader that's going to focus on

0:24:20.720 --> 0:24:23.520
<v Speaker 13>what it takes to really get America back on track.

0:24:23.560 --> 0:24:25.639
<v Speaker 13>I was a two term governor that took a double

0:24:25.640 --> 0:24:28.679
<v Speaker 13>digit unemployment state and turned it into an economic powerhouse.

0:24:29.000 --> 0:24:31.000
<v Speaker 13>I was at the un I didn't deal with one country.

0:24:31.040 --> 0:24:33.119
<v Speaker 13>I dealt with one hundred and ninety three. I'm not

0:24:33.240 --> 0:24:35.480
<v Speaker 13>a lawyer, I'm gonna accountant. I think it's time that

0:24:35.520 --> 0:24:38.840
<v Speaker 13>we get our fiscal house in order, close our border,

0:24:39.119 --> 0:24:41.480
<v Speaker 13>make sure we have law and order, get transparency in

0:24:41.520 --> 0:24:43.840
<v Speaker 13>the schools, and have a national security that will keep

0:24:43.880 --> 0:24:44.880
<v Speaker 13>American safe.

0:24:45.800 --> 0:24:48.040
<v Speaker 14>She's fresh off the debate station with us here on

0:24:48.080 --> 0:24:51.280
<v Speaker 14>Bloomberg former governor, former Ambassador Nikki Haley. We thank you

0:24:51.320 --> 0:24:52.920
<v Speaker 14>for the time this morning on Bloomberg.

0:24:52.880 --> 0:24:55.520
<v Speaker 10>If you're listening to the tape, catch our live program

0:24:55.560 --> 0:24:59.960
<v Speaker 10>Bloomberg Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio,

0:25:00.440 --> 0:25:01.840
<v Speaker 10>Bloomberg dot Com.

0:25:01.600 --> 0:25:03.040
<v Speaker 11>And the Bloomberg Business App.

0:25:03.080 --> 0:25:05.879
<v Speaker 10>You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our

0:25:05.920 --> 0:25:10.960
<v Speaker 10>flagship New York station, Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:25:11.720 --> 0:25:14.359
<v Speaker 1>All right, let's talk about the stock of the day,

0:25:14.440 --> 0:25:16.800
<v Speaker 1>and really the week and maybe a year to date.

0:25:16.960 --> 0:25:20.520
<v Speaker 1>In Vidia, little chip maker, all time high today it's

0:25:20.600 --> 0:25:21.639
<v Speaker 1>up one point three percent.

0:25:22.160 --> 0:25:23.320
<v Speaker 3>Just extraordinary story.

0:25:23.720 --> 0:25:26.119
<v Speaker 1>Let's talk to somebody who does his chip stuff for

0:25:26.119 --> 0:25:28.959
<v Speaker 1>a living, Kun John Sabani. He is the lead at

0:25:28.960 --> 0:25:32.119
<v Speaker 1>Semiconductor Analys. He doesn't follow anybody. He's the lead semiconductor

0:25:32.119 --> 0:25:34.879
<v Speaker 1>analys for Bloomberg Intelligence. I meant I did not hire

0:25:34.920 --> 0:25:38.120
<v Speaker 1>this guy, so let's see how he does though. Okay, scoo, John,

0:25:38.119 --> 0:25:39.000
<v Speaker 1>thanks so much for joining us.

0:25:39.000 --> 0:25:39.399
<v Speaker 3>Appreciate it.

0:25:39.440 --> 0:25:41.720
<v Speaker 1>He joins us via zoom in San Francisco. He says,

0:25:41.720 --> 0:25:46.680
<v Speaker 1>so cow guy undergrad USC Business School UCLA. I don't

0:25:46.720 --> 0:25:49.520
<v Speaker 1>know where his loyalties lie between those two schools. But

0:25:50.119 --> 0:25:53.720
<v Speaker 1>in Nvidiakujohn, talk to us about the quarter we had yesterday.

0:25:54.040 --> 0:25:56.720
<v Speaker 3>Just monster monster revenue.

0:25:56.400 --> 0:25:56.720
<v Speaker 11>Right.

0:25:58.119 --> 0:26:01.040
<v Speaker 15>All right, I mean it was not a big surprise

0:26:01.119 --> 0:26:02.720
<v Speaker 15>to us, at least it was in line with our

0:26:02.920 --> 0:26:07.680
<v Speaker 15>preview call. Yet again they delivered a blockbuster quarter. Most

0:26:07.720 --> 0:26:10.400
<v Speaker 15>of the upside, again was primarily given by their Data

0:26:10.480 --> 0:26:13.679
<v Speaker 15>center segment, which are their GPUs that go in all

0:26:13.720 --> 0:26:17.000
<v Speaker 15>the data centers and primarily used for AI these days,

0:26:17.200 --> 0:26:20.080
<v Speaker 15>so it was more of a function of them able

0:26:20.080 --> 0:26:22.720
<v Speaker 15>to get a lot more supply because the demand has

0:26:22.800 --> 0:26:26.000
<v Speaker 15>been rising and is running ahead of the supply, and

0:26:26.040 --> 0:26:30.040
<v Speaker 15>we expect similar growth to continue because again there's a

0:26:30.080 --> 0:26:32.080
<v Speaker 15>lot of signals that demand continues to rise.

0:26:32.800 --> 0:26:33.240
<v Speaker 7>Kunjan.

0:26:33.800 --> 0:26:38.800
<v Speaker 2>When in Vidia put in an order right because they

0:26:38.800 --> 0:26:41.280
<v Speaker 2>don't make their own chips, so they go to TSMC

0:26:41.600 --> 0:26:48.639
<v Speaker 2>and they say we want this many GPUs. Does TSMC say, well,

0:26:48.760 --> 0:26:52.159
<v Speaker 2>you know, get in line everybody wants these things, or

0:26:52.760 --> 0:26:55.760
<v Speaker 2>does Nvidia get to step to the head of the line.

0:26:57.080 --> 0:27:01.040
<v Speaker 15>I mean Avidia does have garnered a lot of high power. Look,

0:27:01.119 --> 0:27:03.880
<v Speaker 15>they're the number one player when it comes to GPU

0:27:04.080 --> 0:27:07.040
<v Speaker 15>and they've been getting the growing the most fastest, so

0:27:07.080 --> 0:27:09.680
<v Speaker 15>they do have a lot of pull. But it's not

0:27:09.760 --> 0:27:12.479
<v Speaker 15>just a function of getting lined. When you have growth

0:27:12.600 --> 0:27:14.600
<v Speaker 15>like this, it has not I've not seen I've been

0:27:14.640 --> 0:27:16.480
<v Speaker 15>in an industry for twenty years and I've not seen

0:27:16.520 --> 0:27:19.720
<v Speaker 15>such beats in the twenty years. So it's not just

0:27:19.800 --> 0:27:22.800
<v Speaker 15>easy to just bring up supply because it's not sitting somewhere.

0:27:22.840 --> 0:27:26.800
<v Speaker 15>These are leading edge nodes products, and especially the supply

0:27:26.880 --> 0:27:29.480
<v Speaker 15>crunches at the packaging side, because these are most advanced

0:27:29.560 --> 0:27:32.880
<v Speaker 15>packaging and the supply just didn't exist. So suddenly when

0:27:32.880 --> 0:27:35.400
<v Speaker 15>you go and say I need double than what I expected,

0:27:35.800 --> 0:27:37.720
<v Speaker 15>it takes time to bring up supply. So it's not

0:27:37.760 --> 0:27:40.280
<v Speaker 15>a function of ESMC not putting them back in the

0:27:40.320 --> 0:27:42.879
<v Speaker 15>Queue's just it takes time to bring up that supply.

0:27:43.200 --> 0:27:46.240
<v Speaker 8>Hey, Kunja, this is Barry Ritolts, and I'm looking at

0:27:46.280 --> 0:27:48.760
<v Speaker 8>this chart. A year to date, we're up two hundred

0:27:48.800 --> 0:27:52.640
<v Speaker 8>and twenty two percent in video raises the question how

0:27:52.720 --> 0:27:55.920
<v Speaker 8>much of the upside is priced in already?

0:27:57.680 --> 0:27:59.960
<v Speaker 15>I mean, coming into this quarter, there were a lot

0:27:59.960 --> 0:28:03.200
<v Speaker 15>of concerns exactly about that point. But look, we think

0:28:03.560 --> 0:28:08.520
<v Speaker 15>this another blockbuster print and raise should ease some of

0:28:08.560 --> 0:28:12.240
<v Speaker 15>those concerns because there's definitely less doubt when it comes

0:28:12.280 --> 0:28:16.359
<v Speaker 15>to sustainability of the demand. And like you saw, you know,

0:28:16.640 --> 0:28:19.679
<v Speaker 15>we've seen market reactions similar to last quarter. It's helping

0:28:19.800 --> 0:28:22.680
<v Speaker 15>boost another sort of rally to the AI exposed names.

0:28:23.720 --> 0:28:26.520
<v Speaker 2>In terms of the other chips, does it matter, does

0:28:26.560 --> 0:28:29.200
<v Speaker 2>it matter what they make for PCs? Does it matter

0:28:29.280 --> 0:28:31.119
<v Speaker 2>what they make for card, does it matter what they

0:28:31.160 --> 0:28:31.800
<v Speaker 2>make for phone?

0:28:33.160 --> 0:28:35.920
<v Speaker 15>I mean, overall for the company does matter, But right

0:28:35.960 --> 0:28:39.920
<v Speaker 15>now people are only focused about data center because that's really.

0:28:39.960 --> 0:28:42.320
<v Speaker 15>I mean it's become close to seventy percent or more

0:28:42.320 --> 0:28:45.360
<v Speaker 15>of the revenue. So that's what really people are focusing

0:28:45.400 --> 0:28:45.960
<v Speaker 15>on right now.

0:28:46.160 --> 0:28:49.760
<v Speaker 1>All right, So how about like AMD, Intel, Broadcom, Qualcom.

0:28:50.000 --> 0:28:53.200
<v Speaker 1>Were those guys in terms of I don't know just.

0:28:53.160 --> 0:28:56.360
<v Speaker 3>Their AI ness if you will, their exposure to AI.

0:28:56.760 --> 0:28:58.200
<v Speaker 3>How do you think about those companies?

0:28:59.600 --> 0:29:02.640
<v Speaker 15>I mean, this is the largest and the fastest growing

0:29:02.920 --> 0:29:05.160
<v Speaker 15>opportunity that we have seen in a long while in

0:29:05.200 --> 0:29:08.720
<v Speaker 15>the semi world. So everyone is trying to get get

0:29:08.760 --> 0:29:11.480
<v Speaker 15>a bite on the this large piece of the pie.

0:29:11.520 --> 0:29:14.840
<v Speaker 15>Now you know, they are all playing catch up, and

0:29:14.920 --> 0:29:18.960
<v Speaker 15>Media was the leader. We think there's definitely opportunity for

0:29:20.440 --> 0:29:23.840
<v Speaker 15>some other names like AMD, Broadcom to some degree Intel

0:29:24.160 --> 0:29:27.360
<v Speaker 15>to grab a small sliver of this pie, which against

0:29:27.520 --> 0:29:30.040
<v Speaker 15>even though it's a small percentage of the total market share,

0:29:30.160 --> 0:29:33.520
<v Speaker 15>adds to your tapline in terms of billions of dollars.

0:29:33.640 --> 0:29:35.800
<v Speaker 15>So they're all playing catch up. They should all still

0:29:35.920 --> 0:29:38.360
<v Speaker 15>see the benefits of it. But we believe and it

0:29:38.400 --> 0:29:41.520
<v Speaker 15>comes to GPU and accelerators and VIDIA will be the

0:29:41.520 --> 0:29:42.160
<v Speaker 15>dominant share.

0:29:42.240 --> 0:29:44.120
<v Speaker 2>I mean, but Kunjan, if you look at a pie

0:29:45.280 --> 0:29:50.680
<v Speaker 2>chart and it's you know, GPUs in server center today.

0:29:50.880 --> 0:29:54.560
<v Speaker 2>Not GPUs that they you know, have designed, Not GPUs

0:29:54.600 --> 0:29:56.720
<v Speaker 2>that they have for sale and maybe a customer is

0:29:56.720 --> 0:30:00.400
<v Speaker 2>going to buy, but GPUs that are already in the

0:30:00.440 --> 0:30:06.600
<v Speaker 2>big server centers. How much of that pie is Nvidia?

0:30:06.760 --> 0:30:08.040
<v Speaker 15>Oh gosh in like.

0:30:10.680 --> 0:30:11.400
<v Speaker 10>So huge?

0:30:11.440 --> 0:30:16.000
<v Speaker 8>So that is very reminiscent of Tesla. A decade ago,

0:30:16.280 --> 0:30:19.200
<v Speaker 8>all we heard was, hey, this is an up and

0:30:19.280 --> 0:30:22.520
<v Speaker 8>comer and they have a huge lead and it's gonna take.

0:30:22.400 --> 0:30:25.240
<v Speaker 2>Forever for people to catch up. It's still Tesla's world.

0:30:25.280 --> 0:30:29.800
<v Speaker 2>Everybody else is just paying rent. As Dan ives, I'm

0:30:29.840 --> 0:30:30.280
<v Speaker 2>not so.

0:30:30.200 --> 0:30:31.680
<v Speaker 7>Sure that's the case anymore.

0:30:31.800 --> 0:30:35.120
<v Speaker 8>They used to have the market all to themselves. You

0:30:35.200 --> 0:30:38.680
<v Speaker 8>can't say that anymore. There are credible competitors to Tesla.

0:30:39.240 --> 0:30:43.080
<v Speaker 8>That wasn't true five years ago. So the parallel I'm

0:30:43.080 --> 0:30:47.120
<v Speaker 8>trying to raise is it's in Vidia's world, everybody else

0:30:47.200 --> 0:30:49.400
<v Speaker 8>is living in it. How long is that going to

0:30:49.520 --> 0:30:53.880
<v Speaker 8>last for you don't have the same consumer loyalty issues

0:30:53.920 --> 0:30:56.880
<v Speaker 8>that have been driving Tesla. This is just who could

0:30:56.960 --> 0:31:00.360
<v Speaker 8>produce the most GPUs for the least cost. That's going

0:31:00.440 --> 0:31:04.120
<v Speaker 8>to be who's winning huge head start. When might other

0:31:04.200 --> 0:31:08.680
<v Speaker 8>companies begin to make a dent in that massive unsustainable

0:31:09.120 --> 0:31:11.440
<v Speaker 8>ninety plus percent market Tunjohn, what do you think?

0:31:12.840 --> 0:31:15.920
<v Speaker 15>I mean, Look, you're correct, there's definitely going to be

0:31:16.000 --> 0:31:19.080
<v Speaker 15>some dent, but we don't see it in the near term.

0:31:19.520 --> 0:31:22.520
<v Speaker 15>I mean worst case. You can think of what we've

0:31:22.520 --> 0:31:24.880
<v Speaker 15>seen numbers or what we think right the ninety five

0:31:24.960 --> 0:31:27.880
<v Speaker 15>share could go as low as like eighty five eighty

0:31:28.360 --> 0:31:31.080
<v Speaker 15>in the next maybe three or four five years, but

0:31:31.200 --> 0:31:33.400
<v Speaker 15>that's still huge. One thing you have to remember is

0:31:33.880 --> 0:31:36.400
<v Speaker 15>they are not even able to ship to the entire

0:31:36.560 --> 0:31:38.720
<v Speaker 15>orders they have, like even after such a high beat.

0:31:38.760 --> 0:31:41.440
<v Speaker 15>What we're hearing from customers is they can't get enough

0:31:41.520 --> 0:31:44.560
<v Speaker 15>Nvidia chips and they are not willing to go to

0:31:44.640 --> 0:31:47.840
<v Speaker 15>another chip maker right now that we cannot get Nvidia,

0:31:48.000 --> 0:31:50.520
<v Speaker 15>let's go and buy something else. They still are waiting

0:31:50.680 --> 0:31:52.520
<v Speaker 15>to get the Nvidia chips and solutions.

0:31:52.720 --> 0:31:54.840
<v Speaker 1>All right, what's the I don't know, I'm gonna say,

0:31:54.920 --> 0:31:57.280
<v Speaker 1>not gonna say the barecase from Vidio, But what's maybe

0:31:57.320 --> 0:31:59.560
<v Speaker 1>a headwind out there that maybe the market's not paying

0:31:59.560 --> 0:32:00.440
<v Speaker 1>them enoughing tention too?

0:32:00.480 --> 0:32:01.080
<v Speaker 3>Do you think.

0:32:02.960 --> 0:32:07.000
<v Speaker 15>One risk factor is definitely China, which people are paying

0:32:07.040 --> 0:32:10.760
<v Speaker 15>attention because, you know, any more incremental sanctions in this

0:32:10.840 --> 0:32:13.200
<v Speaker 15>area because the AI area comes under a lot of

0:32:13.240 --> 0:32:17.520
<v Speaker 15>focus when you think about US China trade sanctions they have,

0:32:17.640 --> 0:32:21.120
<v Speaker 15>they're already sanctioned last year from not allowing them aligned

0:32:21.160 --> 0:32:23.760
<v Speaker 15>selling their highest generationship.

0:32:23.040 --> 0:32:23.840
<v Speaker 11>To the China.

0:32:23.920 --> 0:32:26.680
<v Speaker 15>And look outside of the US, the largest cloud supply

0:32:27.040 --> 0:32:30.360
<v Speaker 15>service providers are in China, So that could be, you know,

0:32:30.440 --> 0:32:33.520
<v Speaker 15>in the case of really restrictive sanctions, that could be

0:32:33.600 --> 0:32:36.880
<v Speaker 15>that could limit that upside, that could limit their TAM opportunity.

0:32:37.240 --> 0:32:39.120
<v Speaker 15>So that's one of the risk cases right now.

0:32:41.160 --> 0:32:46.200
<v Speaker 8>Really really quite fascinating. Other than other than AI, is

0:32:46.240 --> 0:32:49.560
<v Speaker 8>there any other field than in Nvidia sort of the

0:32:49.600 --> 0:32:53.360
<v Speaker 8>way Qualcom took over mobile. Is there any other potential

0:32:53.480 --> 0:32:56.760
<v Speaker 8>use case for Nvidia chips or is this an AI

0:32:57.000 --> 0:32:57.720
<v Speaker 8>story only?

0:32:59.240 --> 0:33:02.080
<v Speaker 15>Well, there's definitely. The other up and coming market for

0:33:02.120 --> 0:33:06.400
<v Speaker 15>them is automotive. Look, everyone's aware cars are becoming sort

0:33:06.400 --> 0:33:10.600
<v Speaker 15>of computer running on wheels, as we go to autonomous driving,

0:33:10.640 --> 0:33:15.280
<v Speaker 15>as we get a higher penetration of evs. There's really

0:33:15.320 --> 0:33:18.520
<v Speaker 15>three key players when it comes to computed cars, and

0:33:18.520 --> 0:33:20.280
<v Speaker 15>then media is one of them.

0:33:20.760 --> 0:33:22.719
<v Speaker 1>All right, cu John, thanks so much for joining us.

0:33:22.720 --> 0:33:26.040
<v Speaker 1>Really appreciate getting your thoughts. John, Sohani he is the

0:33:26.120 --> 0:33:29.600
<v Speaker 1>lead semiconductor animals for Bloomberg Intelligency's based out there in

0:33:29.680 --> 0:33:33.520
<v Speaker 1>our San Francisco officer right smack in the middle of

0:33:33.160 --> 0:33:35.880
<v Speaker 1>the Silicon Valley and all the tech speak out there,

0:33:35.920 --> 0:33:38.560
<v Speaker 1>so giving us his thoughts on Nvidia and again just

0:33:38.640 --> 0:33:41.680
<v Speaker 1>a monster beat and raise again.

0:33:43.120 --> 0:33:46.960
<v Speaker 10>You're listening to the team can't live program Bloomberg Markets

0:33:47.000 --> 0:33:48.920
<v Speaker 10>weekdays at ten am Eastern.

0:33:48.640 --> 0:33:51.680
<v Speaker 11>On Bloomberg dot Com, the iHeartRadio.

0:33:50.960 --> 0:33:53.719
<v Speaker 10>App and the Bloomberg Business App, or listen on demand

0:33:53.760 --> 0:33:55.280
<v Speaker 10>wherever you get your podcast.

0:33:57.320 --> 0:33:59.120
<v Speaker 1>Matt Miller, Paul Sweeney joining in live here on a

0:33:59.160 --> 0:34:02.680
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Interactive Chris Studio. We're joined with Battery, Ridholtz, Ridholts

0:34:02.720 --> 0:34:06.400
<v Speaker 1>Wealth Management joining us here for a spell here, and

0:34:06.480 --> 0:34:10.200
<v Speaker 1>we're also on that YouTube thing. Boeing shares a Boeing

0:34:10.440 --> 0:34:14.239
<v Speaker 1>and its biggest supplier, Spirit Arrow Systems Holdings, fell after

0:34:14.280 --> 0:34:18.400
<v Speaker 1>the planemaker disclosed improperly drilled holes in a component that

0:34:18.440 --> 0:34:23.279
<v Speaker 1>helps maintain cabinet pressure within the seven three seven Max jet.

0:34:23.320 --> 0:34:26.040
<v Speaker 3>Here we go again. George Ferguson he joins us.

0:34:26.040 --> 0:34:28.719
<v Speaker 1>He covers all the aerospace stuff for Bloomberg Intelligence.

0:34:29.320 --> 0:34:31.080
<v Speaker 3>He is a veteran of the.

0:34:31.040 --> 0:34:33.480
<v Speaker 1>US Army so we thank him for his service, but

0:34:33.520 --> 0:34:35.919
<v Speaker 1>of course the highlight of his career was the four

0:34:35.960 --> 0:34:39.720
<v Speaker 1>years he spent at Penn State cheering on the Nitly Lions. George,

0:34:40.160 --> 0:34:42.600
<v Speaker 1>we love Boeing. It's a great, great American company.

0:34:42.960 --> 0:34:45.280
<v Speaker 3>What's going on? How serious is this latest issue?

0:34:46.840 --> 0:34:50.399
<v Speaker 16>So first, thanks as always for having me on. So, yeah,

0:34:50.440 --> 0:34:52.920
<v Speaker 16>the you know, Boeing has said that there's no safety

0:34:52.920 --> 0:34:56.440
<v Speaker 16>of flight issues for these these holes that were sort

0:34:56.480 --> 0:34:59.560
<v Speaker 16>of misdrilled in the rear pressure bulkhead.

0:35:00.239 --> 0:35:03.120
<v Speaker 17>I mean, so I think in the story that's the positive.

0:35:03.880 --> 0:35:07.360
<v Speaker 16>The challenge here is the challenge we've been seeing all year,

0:35:08.239 --> 0:35:12.400
<v Speaker 16>multiple years, right, it's really quality controlled down at the suppliers.

0:35:12.440 --> 0:35:16.640
<v Speaker 16>The supplier bases have really gone through a lot of

0:35:16.680 --> 0:35:22.279
<v Speaker 16>turnover employees since the pandemic, and that just keeps biting them, right,

0:35:22.320 --> 0:35:25.840
<v Speaker 16>and so again another story. We don't know full numbers

0:35:25.840 --> 0:35:27.799
<v Speaker 16>on what it's going to cost to repair. The great

0:35:27.800 --> 0:35:29.640
<v Speaker 16>news is we don't have to bring everything in from

0:35:29.640 --> 0:35:32.239
<v Speaker 16>out of the fleet right away to repair it. My

0:35:32.360 --> 0:35:36.840
<v Speaker 16>guess is that they'll worry about maybe crack propagation over time,

0:35:37.400 --> 0:35:39.759
<v Speaker 16>you know, as you do more takeoffs and landings on

0:35:39.840 --> 0:35:43.200
<v Speaker 16>an airframe. So that probably required some level of inspection.

0:35:43.760 --> 0:35:45.839
<v Speaker 16>It may slow down deliveries this year as they try

0:35:45.840 --> 0:35:48.919
<v Speaker 16>to fix what they have going through the processes right

0:35:48.960 --> 0:35:51.279
<v Speaker 16>now before they get into the fleet and don't need

0:35:51.320 --> 0:35:54.800
<v Speaker 16>to do the extra inspection later on. So it probably

0:35:54.800 --> 0:35:58.720
<v Speaker 16>puts some of Boeing's deliveries at risk this year. We'll

0:35:58.760 --> 0:36:00.839
<v Speaker 16>wait to hear what they've got to say. And again

0:36:00.880 --> 0:36:03.160
<v Speaker 16>the good news is I'm not gonna spend a lot

0:36:03.160 --> 0:36:05.160
<v Speaker 16>of money bring everything in from out of the fleet.

0:36:05.520 --> 0:36:07.200
<v Speaker 17>But again the challenge here.

0:36:07.120 --> 0:36:11.400
<v Speaker 16>Is supplier you know, is supplier skill set, supplier stability.

0:36:12.000 --> 0:36:15.520
<v Speaker 8>Hey, George Barry Ridholts. So you're you're touching on exactly

0:36:15.520 --> 0:36:18.640
<v Speaker 8>where he wanted to go. Which is is this just

0:36:18.680 --> 0:36:22.799
<v Speaker 8>a freakish one off or is there a larger problem

0:36:23.040 --> 0:36:27.319
<v Speaker 8>with process? How does something like this happen? How is

0:36:27.320 --> 0:36:30.960
<v Speaker 8>it not caught sooner? And what does it mean for

0:36:31.239 --> 0:36:33.960
<v Speaker 8>all the rest of the systems we don't know anything about.

0:36:34.760 --> 0:36:37.319
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, well, look I think there's a I think the

0:36:37.360 --> 0:36:42.320
<v Speaker 16>good news is on aircraft builds there it's very robust

0:36:42.360 --> 0:36:44.320
<v Speaker 16>and so there is some tolerance.

0:36:43.880 --> 0:36:45.280
<v Speaker 17>For everything not being perfect.

0:36:45.880 --> 0:36:48.759
<v Speaker 16>You clearly want to be it perfect right so that

0:36:49.120 --> 0:36:51.680
<v Speaker 16>you can minimize any risks as you build an airframe.

0:36:52.120 --> 0:36:55.360
<v Speaker 16>But I think Barry, we've gotten way past the one off.

0:36:55.760 --> 0:36:58.960
<v Speaker 16>There's been so many problems coming out of the supplier

0:36:59.000 --> 0:37:03.240
<v Speaker 16>base see Spirit, where I think you have to concern

0:37:03.280 --> 0:37:06.200
<v Speaker 16>yourself now with process, right. I think Boeing really needs

0:37:06.239 --> 0:37:09.200
<v Speaker 16>to get in there and figure out why Spirit can't

0:37:09.239 --> 0:37:14.680
<v Speaker 16>get the you know, these really critical manufacturing processes standardized

0:37:14.719 --> 0:37:18.000
<v Speaker 16>and stabilize, so they're coming through the factory correct the

0:37:18.040 --> 0:37:18.560
<v Speaker 16>first time.

0:37:19.480 --> 0:37:23.640
<v Speaker 8>Is this specific to the seven thirty seven or might

0:37:23.680 --> 0:37:27.920
<v Speaker 8>this be a broader problem that affects everything that comes

0:37:27.960 --> 0:37:29.640
<v Speaker 8>out with a Boeing logo on it.

0:37:30.640 --> 0:37:34.320
<v Speaker 16>So the seven thirty seven and the rear pressure bulkhead

0:37:34.360 --> 0:37:38.320
<v Speaker 16>would be built at Spirit, and no other Bowing airplane

0:37:38.320 --> 0:37:41.319
<v Speaker 16>would have that rear pressure bulkhead done its Spirit. So

0:37:41.800 --> 0:37:44.919
<v Speaker 16>I'm guessing this is going to be largely a seven

0:37:45.080 --> 0:37:48.479
<v Speaker 16>thirty seven issue. I mean, maybe the seven sixty seven

0:37:48.800 --> 0:37:51.640
<v Speaker 16>seven six seven runs through Spirit as well, but we

0:37:51.680 --> 0:37:52.520
<v Speaker 16>haven't heard anything about it.

0:37:52.520 --> 0:37:54.520
<v Speaker 17>It's low volume two. I'm guessing it's going to be

0:37:54.640 --> 0:37:57.280
<v Speaker 17>largely seven thirty seven issue right now.

0:37:57.600 --> 0:38:01.080
<v Speaker 1>Georgia, you also cover a Spirit aerosystem stock is down

0:38:01.120 --> 0:38:03.960
<v Speaker 1>fifteen percent on the news today, it's off thirty four

0:38:04.000 --> 0:38:06.239
<v Speaker 1>percent year to date. Most of us don't know anything

0:38:06.239 --> 0:38:09.080
<v Speaker 1>about Spirit Aero Systems. Tell us who they are, what

0:38:09.160 --> 0:38:11.719
<v Speaker 1>they do, and does this come as a surprise to you.

0:38:12.760 --> 0:38:15.320
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, So they make a lot of fuselage pieces for Boeing.

0:38:15.960 --> 0:38:18.360
<v Speaker 16>They make I think it's something like about seventy percent

0:38:18.480 --> 0:38:22.520
<v Speaker 16>of the seven thirty seven aircraft, so they're really integral

0:38:22.560 --> 0:38:25.320
<v Speaker 16>to that airplane. Spirit was spun out of Boeing a

0:38:25.400 --> 0:38:29.840
<v Speaker 16>bunch of decades ago. You know that it's a Wichita factory.

0:38:29.840 --> 0:38:33.120
<v Speaker 16>I think that Boeing probably wanted to get outside of

0:38:33.160 --> 0:38:34.960
<v Speaker 16>the main company so they could save a little bit

0:38:34.960 --> 0:38:39.560
<v Speaker 16>of money on labor. Again, it doesn't surprise me because

0:38:39.600 --> 0:38:43.960
<v Speaker 16>we've seen other problems at Spirit recently in processes.

0:38:44.719 --> 0:38:44.960
<v Speaker 17>You know.

0:38:45.320 --> 0:38:47.200
<v Speaker 16>One of the things I think very telling about how

0:38:47.200 --> 0:38:50.840
<v Speaker 16>important Spirit is to Boeing is i'd call Spirit somewhat

0:38:51.000 --> 0:38:56.640
<v Speaker 16>challenge from a financial standpoint. They've recently received advances from Boeing,

0:38:57.560 --> 0:39:00.200
<v Speaker 16>you know, to support some of their cash flow. We

0:39:00.239 --> 0:39:03.120
<v Speaker 16>saw them go into the markets, but I think it

0:39:03.120 --> 0:39:06.279
<v Speaker 16>was last year or early this year, actually early this year,

0:39:06.680 --> 0:39:09.279
<v Speaker 16>and they raised some bonds at over nine percent, which

0:39:09.280 --> 0:39:11.839
<v Speaker 16>I think is really difficult for a supplier to kind

0:39:11.840 --> 0:39:14.680
<v Speaker 16>of support that kind of that kind of that kind

0:39:14.719 --> 0:39:17.560
<v Speaker 16>of debt costs. But then Boeing has put money into

0:39:17.560 --> 0:39:20.280
<v Speaker 16>the supplier because they are so important to Boeing.

0:39:20.280 --> 0:39:21.480
<v Speaker 17>And I think part of.

0:39:21.400 --> 0:39:24.160
<v Speaker 16>This story is going to be I think the market's

0:39:24.200 --> 0:39:27.080
<v Speaker 16>telling you they think Spirit's going to be responsible and

0:39:27.200 --> 0:39:30.319
<v Speaker 16>ultimately have to pay for these repairs. Right Boeing would

0:39:30.320 --> 0:39:32.919
<v Speaker 16>try to recoup it from them, but Spirit only has

0:39:33.000 --> 0:39:37.040
<v Speaker 16>so much capability to pay for those, you know, for

0:39:37.080 --> 0:39:39.680
<v Speaker 16>the cost of these problems, And so it's going to

0:39:39.719 --> 0:39:42.960
<v Speaker 16>be interesting to watch Boeing as they work with Spirit

0:39:43.000 --> 0:39:45.520
<v Speaker 16>to figure out a repayment plan in some of this stuff.

0:39:45.560 --> 0:39:49.440
<v Speaker 2>George just got about thirty seconds here, but Boeing seems

0:39:49.480 --> 0:39:52.080
<v Speaker 2>to be beset with issues on the seven thirty seven,

0:39:52.160 --> 0:39:55.239
<v Speaker 2>even though Paul trusted more than any other plane. Is

0:39:55.280 --> 0:39:59.600
<v Speaker 2>the Airbus A three twenty just a better platform.

0:39:59.120 --> 0:40:01.200
<v Speaker 16>You know, I wouldn't call it a better platform, but

0:40:01.239 --> 0:40:03.960
<v Speaker 16>I think the Airbus does have more stability in the

0:40:04.000 --> 0:40:06.480
<v Speaker 16>builds of that They do more of it in the house,

0:40:07.160 --> 0:40:09.080
<v Speaker 16>and that's going to lead to higher build rates for

0:40:09.239 --> 0:40:11.120
<v Speaker 16>Airbus and better profitability.

0:40:11.320 --> 0:40:14.359
<v Speaker 17>So something that Boeing absolutely has this come out all right?

0:40:14.400 --> 0:40:15.759
<v Speaker 3>George, thanks so much for joining us.

0:40:15.960 --> 0:40:19.120
<v Speaker 1>As always, George Ferguson, He's the senior Aerospace, Defense and

0:40:19.160 --> 0:40:22.959
<v Speaker 1>Airline analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence. And as it relates to Bowing,

0:40:22.960 --> 0:40:25.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to go back to my personal opinion. They

0:40:25.280 --> 0:40:28.360
<v Speaker 1>never should have up left Seattle. They are Seattle. Seattle

0:40:28.440 --> 0:40:30.520
<v Speaker 1>is Boeing. One of the great drives in from an

0:40:30.520 --> 0:40:32.959
<v Speaker 1>airport to a downtown is Seattle. You come down whatever

0:40:33.000 --> 0:40:35.440
<v Speaker 1>that interstate is. It's a thirty minute ride roughly, and

0:40:35.440 --> 0:40:37.840
<v Speaker 1>almost the entire ride on the left of the interstate

0:40:37.960 --> 0:40:39.759
<v Speaker 1>is Boeing hangars.

0:40:39.440 --> 0:40:42.960
<v Speaker 3>Airfields, jets taking off. I mean, it's just the engineering

0:40:43.000 --> 0:40:45.400
<v Speaker 3>gut of the company. So what do you do? You

0:40:45.520 --> 0:40:49.160
<v Speaker 3>move to Chicago and now Washington, DC. This is Bloomberg.

0:40:49.400 --> 0:40:53.040
<v Speaker 10>You're listening to the tape cansur live program Bloomberg Markets

0:40:53.080 --> 0:40:56.479
<v Speaker 10>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, the tune

0:40:56.520 --> 0:40:58.279
<v Speaker 10>in app, Bloomberg dot Com.

0:40:58.040 --> 0:40:59.439
<v Speaker 11>And the Bloomberg Business App.

0:40:59.480 --> 0:41:02.319
<v Speaker 10>You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our

0:41:02.360 --> 0:41:07.239
<v Speaker 10>flagship New York station Just Say Alexa, playing Bloomberg eleven.

0:41:08.200 --> 0:41:10.040
<v Speaker 3>Jordan Lopez joins as he does this stuff for a

0:41:10.080 --> 0:41:10.560
<v Speaker 3>living as.

0:41:10.440 --> 0:41:13.920
<v Speaker 1>A director and high yield portfolio manager at Payton and Regal.

0:41:14.160 --> 0:41:16.399
<v Speaker 1>Jordan talked to us about the high yield market this year.

0:41:16.440 --> 0:41:18.400
<v Speaker 1>How's it it been. It looks like it's outperforming, it

0:41:18.400 --> 0:41:20.640
<v Speaker 1>looks like it's the place to be. It looks like

0:41:21.280 --> 0:41:23.120
<v Speaker 1>they're not too worried about a recession.

0:41:23.600 --> 0:41:23.960
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:41:24.160 --> 0:41:25.880
<v Speaker 18>I think that's been the story of the year. I

0:41:26.160 --> 0:41:28.720
<v Speaker 18>think coming into the year, you know, the the base

0:41:28.800 --> 0:41:34.439
<v Speaker 18>case expectation was for recession, and we're really seeing few

0:41:34.520 --> 0:41:38.760
<v Speaker 18>signs of a recession, which which is really keeping default

0:41:38.800 --> 0:41:42.000
<v Speaker 18>forecast low. So so if you look at you know,

0:41:42.040 --> 0:41:47.160
<v Speaker 18>both macro data on the employment side or the growth side,

0:41:47.160 --> 0:41:50.160
<v Speaker 18>they're both coming in much stronger than expected. And then

0:41:50.160 --> 0:41:52.439
<v Speaker 18>when we look at earnings, you know, earnings have been

0:41:52.560 --> 0:41:55.799
<v Speaker 18>very resilient. So when you take a step back and

0:41:55.840 --> 0:41:59.719
<v Speaker 18>look at the big picture, I think, you know, some

0:41:59.760 --> 0:42:03.680
<v Speaker 18>of these Dractconian default expectations just aren't coming to fruition.

0:42:04.239 --> 0:42:06.719
<v Speaker 18>Uh And and that's really what's what's driven at at

0:42:06.800 --> 0:42:08.600
<v Speaker 18>least the the rallying spreads.

0:42:09.239 --> 0:42:11.880
<v Speaker 8>So that's exactly where I was going to go. You know,

0:42:12.000 --> 0:42:14.200
<v Speaker 8>high yield look at look at a fund like HyG

0:42:14.880 --> 0:42:18.960
<v Speaker 8>you're getting five point three percent investment grade corporate not

0:42:19.040 --> 0:42:19.520
<v Speaker 8>getting a.

0:42:19.440 --> 0:42:20.240
<v Speaker 3>Whole lot less.

0:42:20.640 --> 0:42:23.040
<v Speaker 8>Why do I want to go out on the risk

0:42:23.880 --> 0:42:28.200
<v Speaker 8>scale and embrace high yield over investment grade corporates.

0:42:29.120 --> 0:42:31.040
<v Speaker 18>Well, when you when you look at the broader market,

0:42:31.239 --> 0:42:34.759
<v Speaker 18>the yields are closer to you know, mid to high

0:42:34.880 --> 0:42:38.320
<v Speaker 18>eight percent, and so there is still a decent pickup.

0:42:38.840 --> 0:42:42.240
<v Speaker 18>And like I said, if you're if your default expectations

0:42:42.239 --> 0:42:45.000
<v Speaker 18>aren't much, you are still getting paid to go out.

0:42:46.120 --> 0:42:46.759
<v Speaker 11>When when we.

0:42:46.800 --> 0:42:50.760
<v Speaker 18>Look at the high yield market itself, you know, credit

0:42:50.800 --> 0:42:54.200
<v Speaker 18>metrics are still very very strong. They are certainly coming

0:42:54.239 --> 0:42:58.319
<v Speaker 18>off of what we're all time highs. But you know,

0:42:58.400 --> 0:43:01.320
<v Speaker 18>when when you look at something like interest coverage ratio

0:43:01.800 --> 0:43:05.320
<v Speaker 18>or or a company's ability to service their debt, it's

0:43:05.400 --> 0:43:11.120
<v Speaker 18>still very very well above historical averages. So even if

0:43:11.120 --> 0:43:15.479
<v Speaker 18>we are to have some sort of recession, we think

0:43:15.520 --> 0:43:18.200
<v Speaker 18>that that you know, most of the companies within the

0:43:18.239 --> 0:43:20.759
<v Speaker 18>high yield space should be able to manage that, and

0:43:20.800 --> 0:43:24.480
<v Speaker 18>therefore you are getting paid above something like investment grade.

0:43:25.239 --> 0:43:26.760
<v Speaker 3>What sectors do you like out there?

0:43:27.320 --> 0:43:29.040
<v Speaker 1>I've had a lot of experience in the highield space

0:43:29.080 --> 0:43:32.120
<v Speaker 1>and the media, telecom space, and boy, the hyold market

0:43:32.600 --> 0:43:33.640
<v Speaker 1>loves that those companies.

0:43:33.640 --> 0:43:34.760
<v Speaker 3>Where are you guys looking.

0:43:34.640 --> 0:43:35.759
<v Speaker 7>Well, are you still going?

0:43:35.960 --> 0:43:38.319
<v Speaker 2>I mean, hasn't high yield done so well that it's

0:43:38.360 --> 0:43:40.160
<v Speaker 2>outrageously expensive at this point?

0:43:41.680 --> 0:43:41.719
<v Speaker 15>No?

0:43:42.040 --> 0:43:48.000
<v Speaker 18>You know, spreads are still slightly above historical averages, and

0:43:48.000 --> 0:43:51.400
<v Speaker 18>and you know, back to the conversation about which sectors

0:43:51.400 --> 0:43:54.600
<v Speaker 18>we like, media and cable will actually have some of

0:43:54.640 --> 0:43:57.319
<v Speaker 18>the more problematic companies in the in the space right now.

0:43:57.800 --> 0:44:02.600
<v Speaker 18>Surprisingly enough, what people don't really appreciate about the market

0:44:02.800 --> 0:44:07.600
<v Speaker 18>is the energy companies have done exceptionally well. I know,

0:44:07.640 --> 0:44:09.520
<v Speaker 18>they were kind of the black sheep of the market

0:44:09.560 --> 0:44:13.920
<v Speaker 18>back in twenty fifteen early twenty sixteen. But when we

0:44:13.960 --> 0:44:16.960
<v Speaker 18>look at a lot of those companies now, a lot

0:44:17.040 --> 0:44:20.640
<v Speaker 18>of them actually have investment grade credit metrics, and for

0:44:21.000 --> 0:44:22.880
<v Speaker 18>many of them, we just think it's a matter of

0:44:22.920 --> 0:44:27.800
<v Speaker 18>time before they get upgraded to investment grade. So although

0:44:27.840 --> 0:44:30.600
<v Speaker 18>that space trade is tight relative to the market, we

0:44:30.680 --> 0:44:34.640
<v Speaker 18>still think there are several opportunities there for further spread compression.

0:44:35.800 --> 0:44:38.520
<v Speaker 1>All right, So I'm looking here, so is it a

0:44:38.560 --> 0:44:42.960
<v Speaker 1>sense of this high yield market is feeling pretty good

0:44:42.960 --> 0:44:46.600
<v Speaker 1>about the economy that they're maybe just not pricing in

0:44:46.640 --> 0:44:49.719
<v Speaker 1>that risk at this point, or do you really still

0:44:49.760 --> 0:44:50.560
<v Speaker 1>have to be careful here.

0:44:52.280 --> 0:44:54.400
<v Speaker 18>I think where you have to be careful is the

0:44:54.480 --> 0:44:58.560
<v Speaker 18>companies you choose. So certainly there is going to be

0:44:58.600 --> 0:45:01.640
<v Speaker 18>some dispersion. There are going to be winners and losers.

0:45:02.680 --> 0:45:05.960
<v Speaker 18>But if if you're able to do your your credit work,

0:45:06.360 --> 0:45:09.120
<v Speaker 18>you know, you can still find plenty of opportunities out

0:45:09.120 --> 0:45:13.160
<v Speaker 18>there where you get paid a healthy yield and you

0:45:13.200 --> 0:45:15.640
<v Speaker 18>can sleep well at night owning a lot of these companies.

0:45:16.680 --> 0:45:18.640
<v Speaker 1>How about the in the in the media space, I'm

0:45:18.680 --> 0:45:21.560
<v Speaker 1>gonna go back to my Baileywick here, having punched out

0:45:21.600 --> 0:45:22.120
<v Speaker 1>a bunch.

0:45:21.880 --> 0:45:24.680
<v Speaker 3>Of these over the years, that's tough sector right now.

0:45:24.800 --> 0:45:29.640
<v Speaker 1>Advertising headwinds potentially here all the cord cutting issues, and

0:45:29.680 --> 0:45:31.320
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of cable debt out there, there's a

0:45:31.320 --> 0:45:32.600
<v Speaker 1>lot of broadcasting debt out there.

0:45:33.080 --> 0:45:35.080
<v Speaker 3>What's your feeling on the broader media space.

0:45:36.320 --> 0:45:39.160
<v Speaker 18>Yeah, it's certainly been one of the most challenged spaces,

0:45:39.239 --> 0:45:43.279
<v Speaker 18>and from a fundamental standpoint, you're you're absolutely right, uh,

0:45:43.320 --> 0:45:47.240
<v Speaker 18>there there have been a lot of slowing of growth

0:45:48.200 --> 0:45:51.440
<v Speaker 18>in some of the you know, uh, some of some

0:45:51.520 --> 0:45:56.080
<v Speaker 18>of the cable operators. It is challenged, but you know,

0:45:56.120 --> 0:45:58.520
<v Speaker 18>when when you look at valuations, a lot of that's

0:45:58.560 --> 0:46:01.919
<v Speaker 18>already priced in that that's one area where you do

0:46:01.960 --> 0:46:06.319
<v Speaker 18>see more distressed type of companies. And so from a

0:46:06.360 --> 0:46:10.600
<v Speaker 18>fundamental standpoint, that's a tough story, but that is being

0:46:10.640 --> 0:46:15.200
<v Speaker 18>reflected in the overall spreads of the market. And again,

0:46:15.360 --> 0:46:18.080
<v Speaker 18>you know, like anything else, there will be winners and

0:46:18.080 --> 0:46:20.799
<v Speaker 18>losers coming out of that space, and there will be

0:46:20.840 --> 0:46:21.919
<v Speaker 18>some opportunities there.

0:46:22.280 --> 0:46:23.719
<v Speaker 3>All right, Jordan, thanks so much.

0:46:23.880 --> 0:46:26.680
<v Speaker 1>Jordan Lopez a director and high yield portfolio manager for

0:46:26.760 --> 0:46:29.320
<v Speaker 1>Paydon and Regal. I think it's interesting there that the

0:46:29.400 --> 0:46:33.480
<v Speaker 1>highyield market doing really well in front of what everybody's

0:46:33.520 --> 0:46:35.760
<v Speaker 1>been talking about for the last twelve months of recession.

0:46:35.840 --> 0:46:38.800
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, you could get about three hundred basis points, That's

0:46:38.800 --> 0:46:41.719
<v Speaker 8>what Jowan was talking about. But you're you're looking at

0:46:42.480 --> 0:46:45.640
<v Speaker 8>B grade companies. You're not even looking at double B.

0:46:45.760 --> 0:46:47.919
<v Speaker 8>You're looking at So do you what.

0:46:47.800 --> 0:46:49.279
<v Speaker 3>Do you do with high yielded with your clients? Do

0:46:49.280 --> 0:46:51.120
<v Speaker 3>you have anything in there? Not a whole lot?

0:46:51.280 --> 0:46:54.360
<v Speaker 8>You know, up until very recently, you weren't. First of all,

0:46:55.200 --> 0:46:58.080
<v Speaker 8>go back a year and a half, the spread between

0:46:58.480 --> 0:47:02.640
<v Speaker 8>investment grade and high yield was so tiny and the

0:47:02.680 --> 0:47:06.239
<v Speaker 8>returns were so pitiful. You know, who cares about the

0:47:06.239 --> 0:47:09.000
<v Speaker 8>difference between one and three quarters and two and a

0:47:09.040 --> 0:47:11.600
<v Speaker 8>quarter percent if you have to go out on the curve.

0:47:11.640 --> 0:47:15.279
<v Speaker 8>It's amazing how far everything has spread out. But keep

0:47:15.280 --> 0:47:18.160
<v Speaker 8>in mind, if you want to want a safe investment,

0:47:18.280 --> 0:47:20.800
<v Speaker 8>the ten year is well over four percent.

0:47:21.280 --> 0:47:23.960
<v Speaker 7>You could do okay without taking a lot of risk.

0:47:24.400 --> 0:47:27.200
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean you can buy the twos and get

0:47:27.239 --> 0:47:28.400
<v Speaker 2>five right.

0:47:28.520 --> 0:47:31.440
<v Speaker 8>They're the risk is whether or not we run into

0:47:31.520 --> 0:47:35.000
<v Speaker 8>a rake cuts or a recession in the next year.

0:47:35.080 --> 0:47:36.759
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, but you're still getting five percent, so you don't

0:47:36.760 --> 0:47:38.000
<v Speaker 2>have to do anything except for let them be.

0:47:38.000 --> 0:47:38.600
<v Speaker 7>Sure if you want to.

0:47:38.880 --> 0:47:42.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I guess's and frankly, yep, twenties you get four

0:47:42.520 --> 0:47:42.799
<v Speaker 2>and a half.

0:47:42.800 --> 0:47:43.080
<v Speaker 7>All right?

0:47:43.080 --> 0:47:45.120
<v Speaker 1>That was Jordan Lopez, director and High Yeld Portfolio Matter

0:47:45.200 --> 0:47:47.640
<v Speaker 1>Paydon and Regal helping us out with the High Yield space.

0:47:48.239 --> 0:47:51.360
<v Speaker 10>You're listening to the tape catch are live program Bloomberg

0:47:51.400 --> 0:47:55.000
<v Speaker 10>Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, the

0:47:55.040 --> 0:47:57.160
<v Speaker 10>tune in app, Bloomberg dot Com.

0:47:56.840 --> 0:47:58.279
<v Speaker 11>And the Bloomberg Business app.

0:47:58.320 --> 0:48:01.000
<v Speaker 10>You can also listen live on was on Alexa from

0:48:01.000 --> 0:48:04.799
<v Speaker 10>our flagship New York Station. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg

0:48:04.800 --> 0:48:05.560
<v Speaker 10>eleven thirty.

0:48:06.960 --> 0:48:09.560
<v Speaker 2>Matt Miller here in the studio with Paul Sweeney and

0:48:09.760 --> 0:48:12.239
<v Speaker 2>Barry Ritholds, and we have a special guest. We were

0:48:12.239 --> 0:48:15.399
<v Speaker 2>talking about Hannah Elliott earlier from Bloomberg Pursuits. We've got

0:48:15.440 --> 0:48:19.799
<v Speaker 2>her on the cam from Los Angeles. Hannah, thanks so

0:48:19.880 --> 0:48:23.080
<v Speaker 2>much for joining us. I wanted to talk about the

0:48:23.760 --> 0:48:27.279
<v Speaker 2>car that I was driving last week, which is I

0:48:27.320 --> 0:48:33.719
<v Speaker 2>think widely controversial, and that's the BMW x M. It's

0:48:33.760 --> 0:48:36.879
<v Speaker 2>supposedly it's a dedicated M car and they haven't done

0:48:36.920 --> 0:48:39.200
<v Speaker 2>one of those since the M one, And this means

0:48:39.239 --> 0:48:42.479
<v Speaker 2>basically their speed shop, you know, their skunk works unit

0:48:43.280 --> 0:48:46.200
<v Speaker 2>is making this, and they're not gonna have a regular

0:48:46.320 --> 0:48:51.000
<v Speaker 2>kind of street version of it. But they detuned the

0:48:51.160 --> 0:48:53.920
<v Speaker 2>four point four leader twin turbo V eight to be

0:48:54.040 --> 0:48:57.560
<v Speaker 2>less powerful than it is in the X five M,

0:48:57.880 --> 0:49:02.160
<v Speaker 2>and there's no air suspension and a lot of people

0:49:02.160 --> 0:49:04.440
<v Speaker 2>think it's kind of ugly. And first I want to

0:49:04.440 --> 0:49:05.920
<v Speaker 2>get your take on it. What do you think about

0:49:05.920 --> 0:49:07.760
<v Speaker 2>this big behemoth of a hybrid.

0:49:09.040 --> 0:49:13.000
<v Speaker 19>Well, I have to say BMW is making us work

0:49:13.160 --> 0:49:16.520
<v Speaker 19>really hard to really like them these days. And I

0:49:16.560 --> 0:49:23.640
<v Speaker 19>don't really understand why. I do agree that they're styling choices,

0:49:24.000 --> 0:49:26.640
<v Speaker 19>and the choices they're making with their engines and power

0:49:26.640 --> 0:49:30.799
<v Speaker 19>plants right now are a little bit confusing and even puzzling.

0:49:31.880 --> 0:49:34.440
<v Speaker 19>I have to say, my disclaimer is I haven't driven

0:49:34.480 --> 0:49:36.840
<v Speaker 19>this vehicle, so I can't speak to that. But I

0:49:36.880 --> 0:49:41.120
<v Speaker 19>have driven the IX, which is the electric version, which

0:49:41.160 --> 0:49:45.920
<v Speaker 19>I thought was very capable but unfortunately didn't look great.

0:49:46.120 --> 0:49:48.480
<v Speaker 19>It sounds like you felt a little bit the same

0:49:48.520 --> 0:49:49.800
<v Speaker 19>way about this one, Matt.

0:49:49.719 --> 0:49:52.360
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, this so this is we're looking at pictures of

0:49:52.400 --> 0:49:54.840
<v Speaker 2>it now. For those of you only listening, you go

0:49:54.840 --> 0:49:57.640
<v Speaker 2>to YouTube dot com. You can stream us live by

0:49:57.680 --> 0:50:01.560
<v Speaker 2>searching for Bloomberg Radio there. I mean, I personally like

0:50:01.640 --> 0:50:07.440
<v Speaker 2>it because it's so big and aggressive, but I think,

0:50:07.680 --> 0:50:10.920
<v Speaker 2>first of all, it's way overpriced one hundred and sixty

0:50:11.000 --> 0:50:15.919
<v Speaker 2>seven thousand dollars for a car that doesn't even get

0:50:15.960 --> 0:50:19.080
<v Speaker 2>the sunroof option. I could understand if they're saying, like,

0:50:19.440 --> 0:50:21.759
<v Speaker 2>because it's a track car, you know, we want the

0:50:21.800 --> 0:50:27.160
<v Speaker 2>stiffness and the low low weight of just the flat roof.

0:50:27.320 --> 0:50:32.560
<v Speaker 2>But why then D two the V eight and there's

0:50:32.600 --> 0:50:36.080
<v Speaker 2>no air ride suspension, so It's not like a luxury

0:50:36.320 --> 0:50:38.840
<v Speaker 2>suv for you know, the well heeled. It's not like

0:50:38.840 --> 0:50:42.120
<v Speaker 2>a Kardashian mobile. So I just don't really get what

0:50:42.160 --> 0:50:45.000
<v Speaker 2>they're doing with it. And Barry, I love I'm a

0:50:45.080 --> 0:50:47.120
<v Speaker 2>huge fan of the brand, and I know you are too.

0:50:47.480 --> 0:50:50.319
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I'm gonna I'm gonna give this car a sort

0:50:50.320 --> 0:50:55.560
<v Speaker 8>of backhanded compliment. This is the least ugly new BMW

0:50:55.680 --> 0:50:59.399
<v Speaker 8>in a couple of years, maybe because the I don't

0:50:59.400 --> 0:51:02.560
<v Speaker 8>know what the thing with those giant grills that are

0:51:02.600 --> 0:51:05.919
<v Speaker 8>on the three and four series are just horrific, and

0:51:06.040 --> 0:51:09.160
<v Speaker 8>some of the choices that have been made. I understand

0:51:09.200 --> 0:51:11.919
<v Speaker 8>you want the electric vehicles to have a different look,

0:51:12.320 --> 0:51:16.840
<v Speaker 8>and so they went for something that was a little

0:51:17.000 --> 0:51:20.120
<v Speaker 8>less rounded, let's say, than some of their other stuff.

0:51:20.480 --> 0:51:22.840
<v Speaker 8>This isn't a terrible looking car. I don't have a

0:51:22.880 --> 0:51:27.680
<v Speaker 8>problem with no air suspension. They're notoriously quirky. They break,

0:51:27.719 --> 0:51:29.080
<v Speaker 8>and they're really expensive to repair.

0:51:29.120 --> 0:51:30.880
<v Speaker 7>One hundred and sixty seven grand.

0:51:31.960 --> 0:51:36.000
<v Speaker 8>That's a whole different question, Hannah can answer. What are

0:51:36.000 --> 0:51:40.920
<v Speaker 8>they thinking? Who are they competing with with the exam.

0:51:40.680 --> 0:51:42.920
<v Speaker 19>You know what, This seems to me like a case

0:51:42.960 --> 0:51:45.799
<v Speaker 19>of we're gonna price it. Again, we're gonna price it

0:51:46.200 --> 0:51:48.840
<v Speaker 19>compared to the people that we think we're competing against,

0:51:48.920 --> 0:51:52.080
<v Speaker 19>which is probably Portia and Mercedes. But the price is

0:51:52.080 --> 0:51:55.600
<v Speaker 19>a bit aspirational, like BMW is hoping that the price

0:51:55.719 --> 0:51:58.799
<v Speaker 19>means that they're competitive with those other vehicles, but I

0:51:58.920 --> 0:52:01.640
<v Speaker 19>just don't think the product is. And when you can

0:52:01.680 --> 0:52:06.520
<v Speaker 19>get a Cayenne for less than that, again, I think

0:52:06.560 --> 0:52:12.920
<v Speaker 19>you're absolutely right. The price does seem wildly inappropriate.

0:52:13.040 --> 0:52:16.680
<v Speaker 3>Well, k I learn the GTS or the turbo. What

0:52:16.719 --> 0:52:17.360
<v Speaker 3>are you getting from that?

0:52:17.520 --> 0:52:19.680
<v Speaker 7>You can get the Cayenne Turbo for less than one second?

0:52:19.680 --> 0:52:20.160
<v Speaker 7>Oh really?

0:52:20.320 --> 0:52:21.000
<v Speaker 3>Yeah for sure?

0:52:21.040 --> 0:52:24.680
<v Speaker 2>And this goes up against the Cayenne Turbo Hybrid, and

0:52:24.719 --> 0:52:26.400
<v Speaker 2>I think you're right, that's what they want.

0:52:26.520 --> 0:52:28.920
<v Speaker 7>But you can't beat that car tough.

0:52:28.840 --> 0:52:31.480
<v Speaker 19>Right, That's that's the thing. Just because you make your

0:52:31.520 --> 0:52:35.160
<v Speaker 19>price the same as another company's product doesn't mean your

0:52:35.200 --> 0:52:39.600
<v Speaker 19>product is comparable. It doesn't work like that. I don't

0:52:39.680 --> 0:52:42.480
<v Speaker 19>think you know, certainly, consumers are not dumb, and they're

0:52:42.520 --> 0:52:44.040
<v Speaker 19>going to pick up on that really quick.

0:52:44.239 --> 0:52:47.600
<v Speaker 2>I did drive the snot out of this thing, and

0:52:48.360 --> 0:52:51.719
<v Speaker 2>it was super fun. I mean, it's a gigantic, obviously

0:52:51.920 --> 0:52:58.919
<v Speaker 2>beast but it's got this active electronic anti roll bar

0:52:59.040 --> 0:53:01.879
<v Speaker 2>in it that holds it flat and neutral even when

0:53:01.880 --> 0:53:04.799
<v Speaker 2>you rip it around corners at speeds that.

0:53:04.760 --> 0:53:06.600
<v Speaker 7>Are super legal.

0:53:06.920 --> 0:53:10.879
<v Speaker 2>But I feel like I could get a lot more

0:53:10.920 --> 0:53:14.399
<v Speaker 2>car from the same manufacturer for so much less. I'd

0:53:14.560 --> 0:53:17.520
<v Speaker 2>much prefer the X five if you need the suv.

0:53:17.840 --> 0:53:19.960
<v Speaker 2>If you don't need something like that, I much prefer

0:53:20.040 --> 0:53:22.879
<v Speaker 2>the two series. Hannah, what do you think about BMW

0:53:23.160 --> 0:53:27.239
<v Speaker 2>in terms of their you know, competitiveness and in other segments.

0:53:27.760 --> 0:53:31.040
<v Speaker 19>Well, obviously they're competitive in in the X five and

0:53:31.120 --> 0:53:34.360
<v Speaker 19>the two series, and of course you know their sedans

0:53:34.960 --> 0:53:38.880
<v Speaker 19>and they have been. I think where it gets confusing

0:53:39.080 --> 0:53:42.960
<v Speaker 19>is when BMW is doing the hybrid things, the electric things,

0:53:43.000 --> 0:53:47.160
<v Speaker 19>and they're also, let's not forget doing hydrogen. It's just

0:53:47.400 --> 0:53:51.000
<v Speaker 19>a little muddled to me, and I think their messaging

0:53:51.080 --> 0:53:54.560
<v Speaker 19>is muddled and they haven't really figured out what it

0:53:54.680 --> 0:53:57.799
<v Speaker 19>means for a BMW to be running a hybrid or

0:53:57.800 --> 0:54:00.560
<v Speaker 19>an electric power plant, whereas other company. And he's just

0:54:00.600 --> 0:54:03.160
<v Speaker 19>seen miles ahead in that regard, Hannah.

0:54:03.280 --> 0:54:06.120
<v Speaker 8>I know you just spent the past week at Monterey.

0:54:06.200 --> 0:54:10.120
<v Speaker 8>What'd you see there? And oh my, did it reach

0:54:10.160 --> 0:54:14.280
<v Speaker 8>your expectations? That this is simply the best auto show

0:54:14.560 --> 0:54:16.680
<v Speaker 8>in the world anywhere, anytime.

0:54:17.640 --> 0:54:20.439
<v Speaker 19>Yes, yes, it's a little bit mind blowing. We saw

0:54:20.480 --> 0:54:23.360
<v Speaker 19>more than twenty new car debuts. This is obviously the

0:54:23.440 --> 0:54:25.680
<v Speaker 19>new auto show. If you want to see new cars,

0:54:25.680 --> 0:54:28.440
<v Speaker 19>you go there. I'll tell you what really interested me,

0:54:28.560 --> 0:54:32.880
<v Speaker 19>which was this three hundred thousand dollars Ford Mustang GTD.

0:54:34.280 --> 0:54:37.279
<v Speaker 19>Ford's Jim Farley has made no bones about the fact

0:54:37.280 --> 0:54:40.359
<v Speaker 19>that he's going right after Porsche with this Mustang. It's

0:54:40.400 --> 0:54:42.919
<v Speaker 19>a street legal Mustang based on the car that they're

0:54:42.920 --> 0:54:46.200
<v Speaker 19>going to run in Lamon next year. And Jim Farley

0:54:46.239 --> 0:54:48.600
<v Speaker 19>told me straight up, Hey, I've been a fan of

0:54:48.600 --> 0:54:51.160
<v Speaker 19>Porsche for fifty years. I've been watching what they did

0:54:51.160 --> 0:54:53.840
<v Speaker 19>with their racing programs, their GT three cars, their GT

0:54:53.880 --> 0:54:56.720
<v Speaker 19>two cars, and we want to do that with Mustang.

0:54:56.760 --> 0:54:59.640
<v Speaker 19>There's no reason why we can't. So I'm very interested

0:55:00.120 --> 0:55:02.600
<v Speaker 19>that particular car three for.

0:55:02.680 --> 0:55:08.200
<v Speaker 2>Uh, I mean, they price themselves higher than any Porsche competition.

0:55:08.280 --> 0:55:12.000
<v Speaker 8>You could get two, almost get two of the MX's

0:55:12.000 --> 0:55:12.720
<v Speaker 8>for that much.

0:55:12.560 --> 0:55:16.200
<v Speaker 19>Money, Yeah, you could. I mean here's the thing. I

0:55:16.239 --> 0:55:19.360
<v Speaker 19>think if the race car version of that car wins

0:55:19.400 --> 0:55:23.280
<v Speaker 19>next year at Lemon, all will be forgiven, including the

0:55:23.280 --> 0:55:26.320
<v Speaker 19>the rear transactal on the production car and the front

0:55:26.360 --> 0:55:30.000
<v Speaker 19>engine and the pricing. Honestly, I think it all goes

0:55:30.040 --> 0:55:32.600
<v Speaker 19>away if they win next year, so we'll see.

0:55:32.840 --> 0:55:34.880
<v Speaker 8>What else did you see that caught your eye?

0:55:35.640 --> 0:55:38.360
<v Speaker 19>Okay, there's this, I'm sure you read about it, the

0:55:38.520 --> 0:55:43.120
<v Speaker 19>thirty million dollar Rolls Royce droptail. This is part of

0:55:43.160 --> 0:55:47.520
<v Speaker 19>their Coach Built series, which basically means consumers can design

0:55:47.520 --> 0:55:51.239
<v Speaker 19>a car from the ground up. They're making four of them.

0:55:51.520 --> 0:55:53.759
<v Speaker 19>They don't want to say who's buying it, but you

0:55:53.840 --> 0:55:59.880
<v Speaker 19>have to imagine this is an international family, longtime collectors.

0:56:00.200 --> 0:56:02.640
<v Speaker 19>Rolls Royce says, it's not about just who can come

0:56:02.680 --> 0:56:05.240
<v Speaker 19>to us with a blank checkbook. It's not just about

0:56:05.280 --> 0:56:09.080
<v Speaker 19>people who own twenty Rolls Royces. It's actually a mix

0:56:09.120 --> 0:56:11.360
<v Speaker 19>of things, and it's people who are engaged with the brand.

0:56:12.640 --> 0:56:16.960
<v Speaker 19>But this thirty million dollar droptail, it's a roadster. Actually

0:56:17.760 --> 0:56:18.920
<v Speaker 19>was was pretty striking.

0:56:19.239 --> 0:56:19.799
<v Speaker 7>It looks hot.

0:56:19.840 --> 0:56:22.000
<v Speaker 2>I mean I saw it on your either your on

0:56:22.040 --> 0:56:25.160
<v Speaker 2>your Twitter feed or your Instagram feed. One of the

0:56:25.200 --> 0:56:29.480
<v Speaker 2>other things that I saw on your social media is

0:56:29.520 --> 0:56:31.040
<v Speaker 2>the new Lamborghini or.

0:56:31.000 --> 0:56:33.000
<v Speaker 7>I guess it's a prototype electric.

0:56:35.080 --> 0:56:35.680
<v Speaker 3>So hot.

0:56:35.800 --> 0:56:36.759
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, that looks great.

0:56:36.960 --> 0:56:39.680
<v Speaker 8>I'm excited about that me too.

0:56:39.840 --> 0:56:42.600
<v Speaker 19>It's all electric, and I have to say there there

0:56:42.880 --> 0:56:47.360
<v Speaker 19>was some grumbling among of course the Lamborghini periods that

0:56:48.000 --> 0:56:51.399
<v Speaker 19>what is happening? We swore we'd never do this, et cetera,

0:56:51.440 --> 0:56:54.680
<v Speaker 19>et cetera, et cetera. But that car looks amazing.

0:56:55.239 --> 0:56:55.520
<v Speaker 15>Uh.

0:56:55.600 --> 0:56:58.560
<v Speaker 19>That's a Mitcha Boker creation. Mitya is the head designer

0:56:58.600 --> 0:57:02.560
<v Speaker 19>of Lamborghini. He actually was formerly at Portia. He's actually German,

0:57:02.880 --> 0:57:06.160
<v Speaker 19>but he's making some great Italian cars. This is his

0:57:06.280 --> 0:57:10.000
<v Speaker 19>latest concept. I think it looks fabulous and they kind

0:57:10.000 --> 0:57:11.120
<v Speaker 19>of have to make it right.

0:57:12.239 --> 0:57:14.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, they have to go electric at some point. And

0:57:15.000 --> 0:57:18.440
<v Speaker 2>of course Lamborghini's in the Porsche stable. They're all folks,

0:57:18.440 --> 0:57:20.000
<v Speaker 2>few orud East.

0:57:20.440 --> 0:57:23.920
<v Speaker 7>But yeah, yeah, I can't wait to see that Elliott.

0:57:26.760 --> 0:57:28.880
<v Speaker 3>Business. We're talking cars with a couple of car geeks.

0:57:28.880 --> 0:57:33.360
<v Speaker 1>What could go wrong here in the Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio. Concourse,

0:57:33.400 --> 0:57:35.800
<v Speaker 1>the elegance, I've been there many many times, very very

0:57:35.800 --> 0:57:37.800
<v Speaker 1>cool on the Monterey Peninsula.

0:57:38.000 --> 0:57:41.600
<v Speaker 10>You're listening to the tape Cancer Live program Bloomberg Markets

0:57:41.640 --> 0:57:45.040
<v Speaker 10>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, the tune

0:57:45.080 --> 0:57:46.959
<v Speaker 10>in app, Bloomberg dot Com, and the.

0:57:46.840 --> 0:57:48.000
<v Speaker 11>Bloomberg Business App.

0:57:48.080 --> 0:57:50.880
<v Speaker 10>You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our

0:57:50.920 --> 0:57:55.320
<v Speaker 10>flagship New York station Just Say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:57:56.760 --> 0:57:59.200
<v Speaker 1>A bit of an m and a trade here in

0:57:59.240 --> 0:58:02.360
<v Speaker 1>the I guess the restaurant business, the fast food restaurant,

0:58:02.360 --> 0:58:05.760
<v Speaker 1>the sandwich business. Rowar Capital is in a deal to

0:58:05.800 --> 0:58:09.640
<v Speaker 1>buy a subway for more than nine billion dollars. Row

0:58:09.640 --> 0:58:14.560
<v Speaker 1>Our Capital, as private equity firm, owns brands including Arby's, Duncan,

0:58:14.800 --> 0:58:16.120
<v Speaker 1>Buffalo Wide, Wings.

0:58:15.880 --> 0:58:18.120
<v Speaker 3>And rival substore Jimmy Johns.

0:58:18.200 --> 0:58:20.000
<v Speaker 1>Let's break down this transaction get a sense of what's

0:58:20.000 --> 0:58:22.479
<v Speaker 1>happening in the restaurant business. We check out with Mike Alen.

0:58:22.560 --> 0:58:25.680
<v Speaker 1>He's a senior restaurant analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence. Hey, Mike,

0:58:25.720 --> 0:58:27.760
<v Speaker 1>talk to us about row Our Capital.

0:58:27.320 --> 0:58:29.960
<v Speaker 3>And this deal for subway. What's What's what's going on here?

0:58:31.800 --> 0:58:32.720
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, Rourck has.

0:58:33.240 --> 0:58:37.920
<v Speaker 20>A long history of activity in the restaurant space. They

0:58:37.960 --> 0:58:39.680
<v Speaker 20>currently own a ton of brands, you know, a lot

0:58:39.760 --> 0:58:42.280
<v Speaker 20>of a lot of great brands that you mentioned. They've

0:58:42.280 --> 0:58:43.440
<v Speaker 20>been very active in.

0:58:43.440 --> 0:58:45.600
<v Speaker 3>The space over the last decade or so.

0:58:46.280 --> 0:58:50.400
<v Speaker 20>Uh, and and this is you know, another interesting addition

0:58:50.480 --> 0:58:53.160
<v Speaker 20>to their portfolio, you know, to their to your point,

0:58:54.160 --> 0:58:58.480
<v Speaker 20>they own Arby's and Jimmy John's. That's through their Inspire

0:58:58.520 --> 0:59:03.320
<v Speaker 20>Brands group. And so you know, they've had a lot

0:59:03.320 --> 0:59:06.200
<v Speaker 20>of experience turnaround brands, turning around brands. They've had a

0:59:06.200 --> 0:59:10.080
<v Speaker 20>lot of experience running sandwich shops, and so they see

0:59:10.080 --> 0:59:13.360
<v Speaker 20>some value here. They pay thirteen times ebitdah, which is

0:59:13.440 --> 0:59:16.160
<v Speaker 20>kind of high considering some of the problems that they have,

0:59:16.360 --> 0:59:19.360
<v Speaker 20>but you know, clearly with the scale that they have,

0:59:21.000 --> 0:59:24.960
<v Speaker 20>you know, there is definitely some potential in this brand.

0:59:25.440 --> 0:59:30.680
<v Speaker 8>So, Mike, this is Barry Riddholts. Subway has thirty thirty

0:59:30.800 --> 0:59:35.640
<v Speaker 8>seven thousand stores across one hundred countries. What is it

0:59:36.240 --> 0:59:39.240
<v Speaker 8>that Rourke Capital is looking for? Is it the footprint,

0:59:39.280 --> 0:59:41.959
<v Speaker 8>is it the real estate or is it just Hey,

0:59:42.000 --> 0:59:44.880
<v Speaker 8>this is a lot of potential that's been underperforming.

0:59:46.880 --> 0:59:50.360
<v Speaker 20>I think it's the latter, right. This is a franchise

0:59:50.520 --> 0:59:54.040
<v Speaker 20>brand that you know, spits off a lot of cash flow, right,

0:59:54.080 --> 0:59:56.640
<v Speaker 20>and so that's very attractive to somebody like Rourke. You

0:59:56.680 --> 1:00:00.640
<v Speaker 20>can you can lever it up and you know, really

1:00:00.760 --> 1:00:03.400
<v Speaker 20>juice to returns on something like this. You know, this

1:00:03.560 --> 1:00:07.280
<v Speaker 20>is a chain where average unit volumes have really lagged

1:00:07.320 --> 1:00:09.800
<v Speaker 20>over the last you know, five, six, seven years, and

1:00:10.240 --> 1:00:13.000
<v Speaker 20>average unit volumes are less than a half a million dollars.

1:00:13.080 --> 1:00:16.720
<v Speaker 20>You know, that's less than half of what Jersey Mikes

1:00:16.760 --> 1:00:18.960
<v Speaker 20>is doing. They're at about one point one million. So

1:00:19.880 --> 1:00:22.480
<v Speaker 20>there's definitely some room for growth. And you know, I

1:00:22.520 --> 1:00:25.960
<v Speaker 20>think that the chain has been moving in the right direction.

1:00:26.080 --> 1:00:29.320
<v Speaker 20>You know, adding slicers is going to improve you know,

1:00:29.360 --> 1:00:33.240
<v Speaker 20>what they've done recently has improved the quality of the

1:00:33.480 --> 1:00:36.080
<v Speaker 20>of the meat. They spent a lot of money on

1:00:36.160 --> 1:00:39.520
<v Speaker 20>advertising with like very high profile celebrities. They've made some

1:00:39.600 --> 1:00:43.080
<v Speaker 20>menu changes, and they're closing a lot of stores, right

1:00:43.200 --> 1:00:46.400
<v Speaker 20>and so when you close your underperforming stores. You know,

1:00:46.400 --> 1:00:49.400
<v Speaker 20>they've closed six thousand stores I think since twenty fifteen

1:00:49.480 --> 1:00:52.400
<v Speaker 20>or twenty sixteen. Even they're still closing it. I think

1:00:52.560 --> 1:00:55.840
<v Speaker 20>six hundred stores or so. We're closing twenty twenty two.

1:00:55.960 --> 1:01:00.600
<v Speaker 20>So when you start pairing the underperforming stores, the returns

1:01:00.600 --> 1:01:03.160
<v Speaker 20>on investment cash on cash returns start looking a lot

1:01:03.200 --> 1:01:07.200
<v Speaker 20>better for franchise ease. And then franchisees are from outside

1:01:07.200 --> 1:01:10.760
<v Speaker 20>the system, you know, might kind of look back into

1:01:10.840 --> 1:01:13.400
<v Speaker 20>Subway again, Right, So I think they're all pushing the

1:01:13.440 --> 1:01:17.080
<v Speaker 20>right buttons. But you can't turn around an aircraft carrier

1:01:17.120 --> 1:01:18.640
<v Speaker 20>on a dime, right, It's going to take some time.

1:01:18.680 --> 1:01:23.680
<v Speaker 8>So let's address that. Because Josie Mike's feels younger, newer, fresher.

1:01:23.760 --> 1:01:27.080
<v Speaker 8>They haven't been around quite as long Subway. This is

1:01:27.120 --> 1:01:29.600
<v Speaker 8>a storied brand that's been around, you know, more than

1:01:29.640 --> 1:01:32.640
<v Speaker 8>half a century, and it feels like it's kind of

1:01:32.680 --> 1:01:36.440
<v Speaker 8>gotten tired and stodgy. How can you inject new life

1:01:36.480 --> 1:01:40.000
<v Speaker 8>into a company like this when you know there's a

1:01:40.040 --> 1:01:41.280
<v Speaker 8>lot of history to overcome.

1:01:43.120 --> 1:01:47.000
<v Speaker 20>Yeah, I think you know, quality is usually a great

1:01:47.040 --> 1:01:49.960
<v Speaker 20>starting point for a good turnaround, and like you know,

1:01:50.000 --> 1:01:53.520
<v Speaker 20>to my point earlier, like spending money on slicers is

1:01:53.560 --> 1:01:55.720
<v Speaker 20>a good start, but you know, maybe there's some other

1:01:55.760 --> 1:01:58.160
<v Speaker 20>things that they need to do. Maybe it's upgrades on

1:01:58.480 --> 1:02:00.440
<v Speaker 20>the quality of the meat. Maybe it's a grades on

1:02:00.760 --> 1:02:03.800
<v Speaker 20>the quality of the bread and things of that nature.

1:02:04.920 --> 1:02:06.600
<v Speaker 20>But you know, you know, to your point, you have

1:02:06.680 --> 1:02:09.120
<v Speaker 20>to get people in the door, right, Like Jersey Mikes

1:02:09.160 --> 1:02:12.600
<v Speaker 20>is bringing twice as many customers, maybe more into their stores,

1:02:12.640 --> 1:02:15.640
<v Speaker 20>and so by proxy, the food is going to be fresher, right,

1:02:16.400 --> 1:02:19.280
<v Speaker 20>inventory is not going to sit there in the deli case,

1:02:20.680 --> 1:02:24.919
<v Speaker 20>So you know, it's gonna definitely take some take some time.

1:02:25.000 --> 1:02:28.720
<v Speaker 20>But you know, listen, they have this massive footprint. They

1:02:28.760 --> 1:02:31.680
<v Speaker 20>have a ton of scale, right, so they can source

1:02:31.760 --> 1:02:35.040
<v Speaker 20>product more cheaply than anybody. They are in a lot

1:02:35.080 --> 1:02:37.720
<v Speaker 20>of locations that Jersey Mikes isn't, So there's the risk

1:02:37.760 --> 1:02:40.720
<v Speaker 20>of Jersey Mike's continuing to move down the street from

1:02:40.720 --> 1:02:43.440
<v Speaker 20>them and kind of maybe take some of their market

1:02:43.440 --> 1:02:47.680
<v Speaker 20>share if they don't act aggressively enough, you know. So

1:02:48.320 --> 1:02:50.040
<v Speaker 20>you know, it's going to be interesting to watch. But

1:02:50.400 --> 1:02:52.880
<v Speaker 20>we're Capital and Inspire brands. I don't know if they're

1:02:52.880 --> 1:02:55.200
<v Speaker 20>going to fold this into Inspire brands. Both have a

1:02:55.200 --> 1:02:58.320
<v Speaker 20>tremendous track record of turning around restaurants and running great

1:02:58.320 --> 1:03:01.120
<v Speaker 20>restaurants and restaurant brands. So it's going to be interesting

1:03:01.160 --> 1:03:01.520
<v Speaker 20>to watch.

1:03:01.760 --> 1:03:05.520
<v Speaker 1>Hey, Mike, you covered the entire restaurant space. Where where's

1:03:05.560 --> 1:03:07.040
<v Speaker 1>the consumer spending money these days?

1:03:07.040 --> 1:03:07.600
<v Speaker 3>What do you see?

1:03:07.600 --> 1:03:09.640
<v Speaker 1>What are the trends out there and who's doing a

1:03:09.640 --> 1:03:11.360
<v Speaker 1>good job in the restaurant space.

1:03:12.640 --> 1:03:14.200
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I thinks it's slowing a little bit.

1:03:14.680 --> 1:03:14.840
<v Speaker 5>You know.

1:03:14.880 --> 1:03:17.000
<v Speaker 20>I was talking to a client essay, which was kind

1:03:17.000 --> 1:03:19.680
<v Speaker 20>of on the opposite side of the spectrum. What had

1:03:19.720 --> 1:03:23.360
<v Speaker 20>surprised me on the downside, and that's fine dining, and

1:03:23.400 --> 1:03:25.840
<v Speaker 20>I've heard, you know, some some issues with some of

1:03:25.840 --> 1:03:28.960
<v Speaker 20>the high end retailers, and it looks like that's kind

1:03:28.960 --> 1:03:32.000
<v Speaker 20>of spilling over into restaurants, which is interesting and kind

1:03:32.000 --> 1:03:35.520
<v Speaker 20>of surprising, right because we've had this K shaped recovery

1:03:35.560 --> 1:03:38.880
<v Speaker 20>where people that on the higher end of the income

1:03:38.920 --> 1:03:40.960
<v Speaker 20>scale were able to work from home and during the

1:03:41.000 --> 1:03:42.959
<v Speaker 20>pandemic and saved a lot of money because they weren't

1:03:42.960 --> 1:03:45.200
<v Speaker 20>going on vacations and going out to restaurants, have all

1:03:45.200 --> 1:03:48.360
<v Speaker 20>this disposable income and continue to spend, whereas the low

1:03:48.400 --> 1:03:53.000
<v Speaker 20>income consumer and middle income consumer were more we're tightening

1:03:53.000 --> 1:03:53.920
<v Speaker 20>their belts a little bit.

1:03:55.200 --> 1:03:56.200
<v Speaker 3>You know, who's doing well.

1:03:56.200 --> 1:03:58.360
<v Speaker 20>There's a couple of chains though, that continue to do well,

1:03:58.400 --> 1:04:02.400
<v Speaker 20>you know, McDonald's, even in a slowing in A McDonald's

1:04:02.400 --> 1:04:06.080
<v Speaker 20>in a slowing environment for restaurants tends to have a

1:04:06.120 --> 1:04:08.560
<v Speaker 20>pretty good advantage, you know, like Subway, they have a

1:04:08.600 --> 1:04:10.640
<v Speaker 20>ton of scale and they can offer price points that

1:04:10.680 --> 1:04:14.840
<v Speaker 20>competitors just can't match, and so their sales trends continue

1:04:14.880 --> 1:04:18.919
<v Speaker 20>to be very strong, but we've seen a slow down

1:04:18.960 --> 1:04:21.080
<v Speaker 20>in the second quarter. A few chains saw some some

1:04:21.120 --> 1:04:26.400
<v Speaker 20>slowdowns versus twenty nineteen Starbucks, Chipotle, A bunch of names

1:04:26.440 --> 1:04:29.280
<v Speaker 20>that we cover started to slow a bit. But in general,

1:04:29.360 --> 1:04:32.040
<v Speaker 20>those those fast casual, those quick service type names and

1:04:32.080 --> 1:04:35.600
<v Speaker 20>fast casual type names are probably better positioned than the

1:04:35.680 --> 1:04:39.080
<v Speaker 20>full service chains that we cover. Some casual diners companies

1:04:39.120 --> 1:04:41.200
<v Speaker 20>like Cheesecake Factory and Brinker.

1:04:41.000 --> 1:04:43.480
<v Speaker 1>And of course my favorite, as you well know, is

1:04:43.520 --> 1:04:46.920
<v Speaker 1>Cracker Barrel Stock said a fifty two week low today

1:04:47.320 --> 1:04:50.960
<v Speaker 1>off thirteen percent. The country Boy breakfast to die for.

1:04:51.120 --> 1:04:53.920
<v Speaker 1>Just loosen the belt, sit right down, Boom you hit it.

1:04:54.080 --> 1:04:57.800
<v Speaker 1>Mike Klin, senior restaurant analysts for Bloomberg Intelligence, joining us.

1:04:57.800 --> 1:04:59.680
<v Speaker 1>I know what I'm talking about when it comes to restaurants.

1:05:00.160 --> 1:05:03.760
<v Speaker 1>Mike Kaylin is the experts. We appreciate that S and P.

1:05:03.840 --> 1:05:06.440
<v Speaker 1>Five hundred and off a half of one percent.

1:05:06.680 --> 1:05:07.440
<v Speaker 3>I will keep that in mind.

1:05:07.480 --> 1:05:09.760
<v Speaker 1>Barry Reholds, thanks for stopping by giving us some of

1:05:09.840 --> 1:05:12.440
<v Speaker 1>your time on Thursday.

1:05:12.920 --> 1:05:16.000
<v Speaker 2>Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcasts. You can

1:05:16.040 --> 1:05:19.840
<v Speaker 2>subscribe and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts or whatever

1:05:19.920 --> 1:05:23.640
<v Speaker 2>podcast platform you prefer I'm Matt Miller. I'm on Twitter

1:05:23.840 --> 1:05:25.760
<v Speaker 2>at Matt Miller nineteen seventy three.

1:05:26.200 --> 1:05:28.560
<v Speaker 3>And I'm fall Sweeney. I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney.

1:05:28.680 --> 1:05:31.360
<v Speaker 1>Before the podcast, you can always catch us worldwide at

1:05:31.400 --> 1:05:33.120
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio