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Speaker 1: This episode of What Driving the Grid is presented to

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Speaker 1: you by boost Mobile and welcome in. This is episode

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Speaker 1: four hundred of What's Right with Nick Grid. So Glad

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Speaker 1: demands back from paternity leave. When I saw us counting down,

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Speaker 1: I was kind of doing the math in my head

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Speaker 1: about when I thought you'd be back and whether or

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Speaker 1: not you'd be here for episode four hundred. Luckily you

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Speaker 1: are great to have you back. This is your first

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Speaker 1: in person gambling show since pre paternity leave. The teaser

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Speaker 1: has been undefeated since baby Mila has been in this world,

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Speaker 1: which is wonderful. A nice little l added bonus, so

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Speaker 1: we will get to all of that. Also a reminder

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Speaker 1: to you guys, please like, rate, subscribe review to the show.

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Speaker 1: It greatly helps us and all our lines are of

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Speaker 1: course from our friends at hard Rock Bet. Last week,

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Speaker 1: I'll be honest, I'm fine with it. We went two

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Speaker 1: two and one last week, and the reason I'm fine

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Speaker 1: with it was the wins were decisive and well we'll

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Speaker 1: explain it to you. So for the year, we are

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Speaker 1: one game over five hundred. That's a winning record, but

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Speaker 1: not a profitable record. Because we're honorable gamblers, we incorporate

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Speaker 1: the Veig. So we need to, you know, basically be

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Speaker 1: at three and two weeks the rest of the way

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Speaker 1: to get into profitability by the end of the season.

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Speaker 1: That's certainly doable. We lost Kansas City minus three against Dallas.

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Speaker 1: It was also personally, emotionally and financially devastating. Chicago plus

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Speaker 1: seven at Philly. We told you we thought the Bears

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Speaker 1: could win outright. We told you we thought the Eagles

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Speaker 1: offense did not deserve to be a touchdown favored against

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Speaker 1: any competent team. We were right. We had Tampa minus

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Speaker 1: three and a half at home against Arizona. That's a push,

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Speaker 1: so be it. We had Cleveland plus six against the Niners.

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Speaker 1: Two things on that game. One one of the downsides

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Speaker 1: to doing these on a Thursday is snow was in

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Speaker 1: the forecast on Thursday for that Sunday. By the time

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Speaker 1: game rolls around, snow's not there anymore. So I wanted

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Speaker 1: a weather game when I'm getting the points. The other

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Speaker 1: part of it is this, Kevin Stefanski. It's a ten

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Speaker 1: eight game. The Niners have done nothing offensively. What are

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Speaker 1: you doing going for fourth downs in your own territory.

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Speaker 1: That's what blew the game open. I don't feel badly

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Speaker 1: about that pick. And when we demand's eight Seattle minus

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Speaker 1: ten and a half against Max Brosmer, I said, it's

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Speaker 1: one of those things that if you were here when

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Speaker 1: I said it, you would have done the little like

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Speaker 1: close your eyes whence thing like oh that was mean,

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Speaker 1: because I said, I think they can cover as long

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Speaker 1: as they the ten and a half, as long as

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Speaker 1: they get to eleven.

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Speaker 2: I was correct.

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Speaker 1: They now they ended up getting to like twenty six.

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Speaker 1: But I did not think Minneso was gonna be able

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Speaker 1: to score a point with Max Brosmer against that Seattle defense.

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Speaker 1: That was correct. So two two and one last week,

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Speaker 1: the biggest weekend of games all year. Six Massive Games

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Speaker 1: one happens tonight. But you guys are hearing this on Friday,

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Speaker 1: So last night we don't know what happened in Cowboys Lions.

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Speaker 1: That won't impact our picks for this week, So before

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Speaker 1: we get to them, reminder, today's show is brought to

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Speaker 1: eight hundred. Game ambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee,

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Speaker 1: or Virginia. All right, four teams on a bye. It's

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Speaker 1: our last weekend with Bys, Panthers, Patriots, Giants, Niners are

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Speaker 1: not playing this weekend. Let's get to the games we

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Speaker 1: are not playing this weekend.

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Speaker 2: Demonse, Uh, First, Miami at New York at the Jets.

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Speaker 2: I'm sorry, Jets are two and a half point dogs.

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Speaker 1: I looked long and hard at Miami here, and then

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Speaker 1: I just asked myself. A Miami team that needed a

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Speaker 1: two point conversion pick two to beat the Saints by

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Speaker 1: four and avoid real disaster after giving up then an

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Speaker 1: onside kick? Do they deserve to be road favorites? Particularly

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Speaker 1: an inclement weather Tua in the cold. Thinking about that

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Speaker 1: long enough almost made me say maybe I should take

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Speaker 1: the Jets. And then I said to myself, maybe a

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Speaker 1: stay away from that game. So I stayed away.

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Speaker 2: Next next Tennessee at Cleveland. Cleveland's four point favorites.

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Speaker 1: This is another one where I looked at it long

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Speaker 1: and hard, and I said, real, hold on, real quick

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Speaker 1: snap test. How many touchdown passes do you think cam

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Speaker 1: Ward has this year? He started all year six seven? Okay, yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: not good. I mean great guess by you. And I

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Speaker 1: asked myself, cam Ward against that Cleveland defense, Miles Garrett, I,

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Speaker 1: you know, might get the sack record in this game,

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Speaker 1: needs three and a half sacks, Like that's totally on

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Speaker 1: the board. And I like the Cleveland defense, and I

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Speaker 1: like the Cleveland running game. And then I had a

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Speaker 1: quick moment of sobriety when I'm like, wait a minute,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay more than a field goal with Shador

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Speaker 1: Sanders and the Cleveland Browns. No, I'm not. But I'm

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Speaker 1: also not betting the Titans if I'm not getting at

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Speaker 1: least fourteen and this will only before So for those reasons,

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Speaker 1: I'm staying away. I think you like Cleveland in this spot,

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Speaker 1: am I correctly?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean no, no, no. Think if I had to

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Speaker 2: use this line, I don't think I would take either

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Speaker 2: of them either. But if I had to take a side,

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Speaker 2: it'd definitely be Cleveland or its four.

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Speaker 1: Yes, we're on the same page, but we're staying away.

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Speaker 2: Next next is New Orleans at Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay's

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Speaker 2: eight and a half point favorites.

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Speaker 1: Just a little too big of a line. New Orleans

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Speaker 1: pass defense has been sneaky good and the Bucks still

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Speaker 1: some little banged up. This is a, you know, a

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Speaker 1: great example of Bucks just have to win, they don't

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Speaker 1: have to win by margin. But I also don't want

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Speaker 1: to invest in Tyler Schuck on the road against a

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Speaker 1: playoff team, so I'll just stay away from it. Uh mice,

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Speaker 1: I would go New Orleans. I'm sorry Tampa minus eight

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Speaker 1: and a half, but I'll stay away.

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Speaker 2: Next next Cincinnati at Buffalo. Buffalo's five and a half

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Speaker 2: point favorites.

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Speaker 1: Weird one.

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Speaker 2: I could go either way. Anything can happen in.

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Speaker 1: That game, correct, which is why we're staying away. I

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Speaker 1: think since he could win out right, I think Buffalo

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Speaker 1: could remind everyone since He's defense really stinks and Josh

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Speaker 1: Allen has one of those games where the get up

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Speaker 1: crew is erecting statues on his behalf like I and

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Speaker 1: so I'll I'm just gonna stay away and watch it.

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Speaker 1: It's good for the Chiefs. If the Bengals win again,

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Speaker 1: it probably won't matter because the Bills have a playoff

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Speaker 1: spot all but locked up. It would take a real

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Speaker 1: Bills collapse. But it's you know, it is good for

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs if the Bengals win, and they can win,

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Speaker 1: but I don't believe the Bengals have full on turned

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Speaker 1: around their defense. And if you've got these are the

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Speaker 1: two worst run defenses in football, or two of the

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Speaker 1: three worst. The difference is though Buffalo has an elite

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Speaker 1: running game, Cincinnati does not. Buffalo's pass defense is actually

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Speaker 1: pretty good. I would lean Buffalo, but I'll stay away.

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Speaker 2: Next next, we've got Denver at the Raiders. Raiders seven

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Speaker 2: and a half point dogs.

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Speaker 1: Denver plays nothing but close games, but the Raiders offensive

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Speaker 1: line is so awful that you feel like that Denver

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Speaker 1: defense is just gonna eat them alive. But we've seen

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Speaker 1: these teams play. I think it ended up being ten

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Speaker 1: to seven. When they played earlier this year. I think

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Speaker 1: that was a Thursday night game. It was they beat

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Speaker 1: them ten to seven on a Thursday night, So I

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Speaker 1: kind of want to grab the points, but I also

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Speaker 1: feel like the Raiders aren't gonna be able to move

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Speaker 1: the ball at all, so I'll just stay away from it. Next.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you know the Rams are the Cardinals. Cardinals eight

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Speaker 2: point dogs.

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Speaker 1: Lean Rams feel like they have poured on potential because

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Speaker 1: they want to get you know, Drake May's off Stafford

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Speaker 1: out of rough week. May was excellent standalone game gets

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Speaker 1: Stafford back atop the MVP pyramids, so to speak. But

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Speaker 1: eight points in a divisional road game is too much.

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Speaker 1: Will stay away.

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Speaker 2: Next Chicago at Green Bay Green Bay six and a

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Speaker 2: half point Dogs or six and a half point favorite.

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Speaker 1: Sorry, I think the right side of this game is Chicago.

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Speaker 1: I think that's the smart side, but I just can't.

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Speaker 1: Green Bay, coming off its best performance of the year,

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Speaker 1: Chicago also coming off its best performance of the year,

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Speaker 1: feels like potential more likely for a letdown spot for Chicago.

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Speaker 1: I at seven and a half, I would bet the

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Speaker 1: Bears at six and a half, I'm just gonna stay away.

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Speaker 1: I think Green Bay wins by right around a touchdown.

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Speaker 2: Next, uh, Houston Kansas City, Kansas City three and a

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Speaker 2: half point favorites.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, listen, I I gotta see what the status of

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs offensive line is. But even if Taylor and

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Speaker 1: Smith are playing, I'm not laying three and a half.

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Speaker 1: I'm just not like, listen, the aura of invincibility, well, listen.

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Speaker 2: The games have to matter.

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Speaker 1: The aura of invincibility has been pierced. And I'm not like,

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Speaker 1: I would love if I'm watching this game, like, God,

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Speaker 1: dog it. Why didn't I bet the Chiefs. Nothing would

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Speaker 1: make me happier, but staying away, staying away, staying away.

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Speaker 1: And I don't know if it's good or bad that

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Speaker 1: it's the night game. Like it might be good in

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Speaker 1: that I get to enjoy all day of football leading

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Speaker 1: up to it. It might be bad that I can't

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Speaker 1: enjoy all day of football because I'm just thinking about it.

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Speaker 1: But that's the night game, all right now? Some games.

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Speaker 1: I really like four of these and I'm I kind

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Speaker 1: of like the fifth. And reminder, all our lines are

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Speaker 1: from hard Rock bet First one, demonse.

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Speaker 2: First one, you got Jags plus two going up against Indy.

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Speaker 1: Al Right, First of all the Jags have owned this

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Speaker 1: matchup the last decade. There's sixteen three and one against

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Speaker 1: the spread against the Colts. That is not super important,

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Speaker 1: but it is noteworthy. I also think right now, in

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Speaker 1: their current forms, Jacksonville is better than Indy. Trevor's gonna

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Speaker 1: make some mistakes, but Jacksonville at home, they're healthier, which

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Speaker 1: they haven't been healthier than most teams all year. Indy's

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Speaker 1: pass defense was such a problem they traded two first

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Speaker 1: round picks for Sauce Gardner. Sauces out Daniel Jones has

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Speaker 1: a hairline fracture in his leg. Indy is very lucky

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Speaker 1: that they're not already on a four game losing streak.

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Speaker 1: They needed overtime against the Falcons. That's their only win

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Speaker 1: in the last four games. And the Jags can put

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Speaker 1: like a real stranglehold on the division with a win here.

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Speaker 1: I love the Jags. I think it should be Jacksonville

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Speaker 1: minus two and a half. It's Jacksonville plus two. I'll

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Speaker 1: take the Jags plus two.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I was surprised that Indy was favor your two.

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Speaker 2: We got Pittsburgh plus six at Baltimore.

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Speaker 1: It's Pittsburgh getting more than a field goal in a

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Speaker 1: divisional game.

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Speaker 2: Considering what's been going on to Baltimore.

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Speaker 1: Auto bet now Mike Tomlin was thirteen two and two

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Speaker 1: against the spread as an underdog to the Ravens. He

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Speaker 1: is now thirteen four and two against the spresdent underdog

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Speaker 1: to the Ravens because he has lost they the last two.

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Speaker 1: But Lamar, historically last year he got over it a bit,

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Speaker 1: struggles mightily against Baltimore. Lamar is playing the worst football

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Speaker 1: of his career. This is a desperation mode game for

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Speaker 1: both teams, and I'm getting six whole points. It's just that, like,

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Speaker 1: maybe this is the year all the Tomlin trends into

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Speaker 1: the above five hundred, all of it, and maybe this

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Speaker 1: you know, Baltimore just blows him out. But getting six

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Speaker 1: points against what I think is a in flux Ravens

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Speaker 1: team is just too much. I'll take Pittsburgh plus six.

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Speaker 1: This next one de Montsay's my favorite bet of the week.

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Speaker 2: Favorite, Oh this one? Okay, Seattle minus seven at Atlanta.

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Speaker 1: I still don't think people get how good the Seattle

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Speaker 1: defense is. And then I will remind you they are

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Speaker 1: playing Kirk Cousins. Kirk Cousins, who I don't know that

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Speaker 1: he wants to be out there anymore, man like, I mean,

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Speaker 1: God bless him. That was maybe too harsh and he

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Speaker 1: just can't move now. He's played fine his last couple games.

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Speaker 1: But the Jets defense and the Saints defense is not

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks defense. And so listen, this is a long

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Speaker 1: road trip. I understand Seattle going all the way from

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Speaker 1: the Pacific northwest down to Atlanta. Uh, but I this

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Speaker 1: is the type of game Am Darnold feels great in

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Speaker 1: in a dome, big favorite, nobody's watching. He can cook.

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Speaker 1: The Seattle defense is playing out of its mind. I

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Speaker 1: think they will be covering by halftime and covering the

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Speaker 1: entirety of the second half. I'll lay the seven with

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Speaker 1: Seattle next, h.

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Speaker 2: Next you got Washington plus two at Minnesota. So is

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Speaker 2: Brosmer playing again?

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Speaker 1: So it's gonna be JJ McCarthy. I JJ McCarthy's been terrible.

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Speaker 1: He's been really bad. Sorry for Paul, who does a

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Speaker 1: great job producing this show. Who's a Vikings fan? The

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Speaker 1: I don't know. So here's the thing on this one.

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Speaker 1: As of this recording, and I understand the how many

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Speaker 1: in a row of the Commander's lost they've lost one, two, three,

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Speaker 1: They've lost six in a row. As of this recording,

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Speaker 1: we don't know if Jaden is playing. So here is

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Speaker 1: why I'm okay doing this. If Jaden gets announced that

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Speaker 1: he's playing, all of a sudden, Washington will be favored

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Speaker 1: and we have gotten free points even with Mariota playing.

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Speaker 1: I think Washington, sorry Paul, has the better quarterback. I

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Speaker 1: also think Jaden likely is gonna play, so I I

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Speaker 1: understand that teams coming off a shutout are actually very

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Speaker 1: live to cover the next week because usually the market,

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Speaker 1: you know, really penalizes them. But the team that just

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Speaker 1: got shut out in this game is favored, and I

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Speaker 1: understand that they're like, Ah, Brasmer is just not an

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Speaker 1: NFL quarterback. Justin Jefferson doesn't seem happy. JJ McCarthy has

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Speaker 1: not been good all year. Washington, I think is well

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Speaker 1: coached and showed real fight against Denver. I'll take Washington

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Speaker 1: plus two and now the one pick. I feel anxious.

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Speaker 2: About Philly minus three at the Chargers.

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Speaker 1: Listen. I think this is essentially gonna be a Philly

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Speaker 1: home game plus travel, like the Chargers will be in

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Speaker 1: a silent count. I also trust the Philly D line.

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Speaker 1: I also don't know what Herbert's status is. With that said,

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Speaker 1: Philly is the least trustworthy offense on any team that's

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Speaker 1: not awful that I've seen in years, so I don't

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Speaker 1: love laying points. However, I think the overall roster talent

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Speaker 1: plus health of the quarterbacks plus quality of D line

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Speaker 1: versus A line so favors the Eagles. And I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: be totally honest. There are only four picks I loved,

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Speaker 1: and I'm rooting so hard for Philly i might as

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Speaker 1: well make it one of my picks. Two double down

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Speaker 1: on it. So not great analysis there, I'll be honest,

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Speaker 1: but that's what I'm rolling with. So my five picks

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Speaker 1: are in order of confidence. I'm gonna read them to you.

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Speaker 1: Seattle minus seven at Atlanta Jacksonville it says plus one

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Speaker 1: and a half, it's actually plus two against Indy, Washington

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Speaker 1: plus two at Minnesota, Pittsburgh plus six at Baltimore, and

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Speaker 1: Philly minus three at the Chargers. Those are my five picks.

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Speaker 1: If we go five and zero, we're profitable for the year.

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Speaker 1: If we go four and one, we're right at break

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Speaker 1: even for the year. If we go three and two,

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Speaker 1: we say above five hundred, but was still not yet

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Speaker 1: in profitability. Anything else obviously is bad. All right, You

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Speaker 1: ever notice how everything keeps going up? Rents going up,

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Speaker 1: streaming services going up. Your favorite burritos Spot wants to

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00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:10,480
Speaker 1: charge you extra for Solza. But with boost Mobile, you

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00:20:10,520 --> 00:20:12,840
Speaker 1: and your phone bill don't have to play the will

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Speaker 1: this go up soon?

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Speaker 2: Game?

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00:20:14,200 --> 00:20:17,119
Speaker 1: Why? Because Boost Mobile has an unlimited talk, text, and

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Speaker 1: data plan at a price that will never go up,

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Speaker 1: in fact, to the same price you'll pay for life.

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00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:26,639
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Speaker 1: dollars per month as long as they remain active on

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Speaker 1: the boost Unlimited plan. All right, Demans, let's go to

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Speaker 1: your red hot teaser.

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Speaker 2: We're back up. Last week, we did a three team

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Speaker 2: eight point teaser plus one hundred. We tease Dallas up

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Speaker 2: to plus eleven. They won. We tease Tampa Bay of

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Speaker 2: plus five, they won, And then we tease Chicago plus

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Speaker 2: fifteen and they won Tampa.

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Speaker 1: Bas I don't know if this makes you feel even better,

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Speaker 1: but this would have won just as a parlay. Yeah yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean I guess Tampa would have pushed, but you

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Speaker 1: didn't even need those free those extra eight points. All right,

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Speaker 1: Oh wow, getting ass here?

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Speaker 2: So we are this is episode four hundred. So we

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Speaker 2: thought that it would be nice to do a four

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Speaker 2: leg teaser, put a little bit extra money in your pocket,

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Speaker 2: you know, make it a little bit spicier. So this

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Speaker 2: week we've got a fourteen eight point teaser for plus

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Speaker 2: one sixty instead of our usual plus hundred. We're gonna

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Speaker 2: be teasing Jacksonville up to plus ten, teasing Seattle to

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Speaker 2: basically pick them at plus one, and then Pittsburgh up

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Speaker 2: to plus fourteen, and then we got Cleveland up to

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Speaker 2: plus four. I mean I didn't look at your picks

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Speaker 2: or anything, but like I basically teased all your picks

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Speaker 2: except for like one, So I mean, I imagine you

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Speaker 2: gotta love it. Oh, the Cleveland one, the one that

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Speaker 2: was in your stayaways?

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Speaker 1: Can I can I try to convince you?

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Speaker 2: No, I I do, I did, I honestly, I was

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Speaker 2: thinking about Chicago and also Kansas City. No, no, okay,

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Speaker 2: which what are you talking.

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Speaker 1: About Tampa to a pick them? Tampa's minus eight and

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Speaker 1: a half against New Orleans at home? Can I convince

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Speaker 1: to replace Cleveland with Tampa just to win?

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Speaker 2: Hold on? Do you think the Titans are about to

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Speaker 2: make some noise and that? No, no, no, we're gonna leave

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Speaker 2: you like this. I'm gonna leave it really scares you

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Speaker 2: like that.

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Speaker 1: I don't think anything. I just don't want anything to

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Speaker 1: do with it. And if are the Titan, If the

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Speaker 1: Titans don't win this game, they're never winning again. I

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I just I don't. I I don't.

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Speaker 2: I if and if Shador loses this game, he'll probably

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Speaker 2: like he's cooked. No, No, they're.

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Speaker 1: Gonna win this game. Okay, all right, I'm giving it

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Speaker 1: a B minus on your winning streak. I keep giving

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Speaker 1: them B minuses. I'm giving it a B minus. Jack's

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Speaker 1: plus ten, Seattle plus one, I love them, Pittsburgh plus fourteen,

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Speaker 1: love it, Cleveland plus four. I'm terrified of it. That's

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Speaker 1: a fourteen eight point taser at plus one sixty. All right, touchdown, Genie?

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Speaker 2: Uh yeah, so you went last week for Patrick Mahomes

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Speaker 2: on a rushing touchdown for plus four hundred that did

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Speaker 2: not cash. And that was the first non injury related touchdown. Genie,

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Speaker 2: that we had and.

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Speaker 1: The staff tried to have me do Kelsey and that

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00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:35,280
Speaker 1: one did cash and I didn't listen to him. I

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Speaker 1: feel badly about it.

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Speaker 2: Hey, they know what's best. What do you do?

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Speaker 1: You know?

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Speaker 2: Do you have anybody this taking.

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Speaker 1: A week off, take a week, a week off, taking

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Speaker 1: taking a week off from touchdown? Genie? I feel badly

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Speaker 1: about breaking our streak because I also screwed everyone on

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Speaker 1: the offer. You can tell everyone what happened, but I yes.

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Speaker 2: So the offer last week was Kareem Hunt and rash

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Speaker 2: Rice to hit their overs, their yardage overs and that cash,

391
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Speaker 2: but you didn't like it, and you went with Hunts

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Speaker 2: under and Rice is over and that did not hit

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Speaker 2: obviously because the first hit.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so that's a bad job by me. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take it up to the audience with this.

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Speaker 2: So this week's oh see yeah sorry.

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Speaker 1: This week thanks to our friends at hard Rock Bet,

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Speaker 1: because this is our four hundredth episode, they have multiple

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Speaker 1: markets they made for us. One is will any quarterback

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00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:37,399
Speaker 1: this weekend throw for four hundred yards? That's available at

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00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:40,960
Speaker 1: plus four hundred, So you don't need to pick the quarterback,

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00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:44,520
Speaker 1: just any quarterback. Will somebody throw for four hundred yards

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00:24:44,560 --> 00:24:46,720
Speaker 1: and get that at plus four hundred, and then the

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00:24:46,760 --> 00:24:55,879
Speaker 1: one I love a special market against that Beliaguered cults

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00:24:55,920 --> 00:25:02,000
Speaker 1: secondary Trevor to throw for four hundred at sixty to one.

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00:25:02,960 --> 00:25:08,040
Speaker 1: The Prince takes control of the division. Sixty to one.

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00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:12,240
Speaker 1: We've seen him go over three seventy before. I don't

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00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:15,159
Speaker 1: you know, he ask to me the combo of you

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00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:18,119
Speaker 1: expect a high scoring game, a back and forth game,

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00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,439
Speaker 1: and you expect a bunch of yards or and a

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Speaker 1: bad defense involved. I'm doing it, so Trever sixty to

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Speaker 1: one to throw for four hundred yards. All right, Great

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Speaker 1: to have you back. De Monse. Thanks to everybody over

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Speaker 1: the years who've helped with the previous three hundred and

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Speaker 1: ninety nine episodes. This was episode four hundred. Hopefully we

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Speaker 1: get four hundred more. Reminder everyone like great subscribe review.

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00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:41,880
Speaker 1: Thank you to Volume, thank you to Blue Duck, thank

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00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:43,760
Speaker 1: you to hard Rock Bet, thank you to Boost, and

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00:25:43,840 --> 00:25:46,840
Speaker 1: thank you to Zen. See you guys on Tuesday.