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Speaker 1: The volume. What is going on? Everybody happy Fugazi Friday.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully everyone is doing good. Here's the plan. Talk a

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Speaker 1: little football talk, a little legacy talk, a little who's

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Speaker 1: got something on the line, because kind of a big week,

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Speaker 1: some big games. Obviously a big game in Detroit, big

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Speaker 1: game in Kansas City, big game in City of brotherly love.

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Speaker 1: Except for the guy screaming at that girl, which might

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Speaker 1: have been egg done. Not quite sure on that story,

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Speaker 1: refuse to follow it more than like two minutes. But

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Speaker 1: and then obviously the heavyweight matchup in Buffalo. So we

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Speaker 1: will just talk big picture with those games. Hit on

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Speaker 1: a couple other things football wise, the biggest fugazi I

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Speaker 1: think I've ever seen when it comes to college. Stucky

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Speaker 1: will join us. We will break down the games from

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Speaker 1: a gambling standpoint. He's got stats, he's got notes, and yeah,

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Speaker 1: we've got takes and thoughts on who to gamble on

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Speaker 1: this weekend. I will have a mail bag out on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: I will have a podcast out after the games on

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Speaker 1: Saturday night. I'm going with Colin after the Ravens Buffalo game.

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Speaker 1: So we got a lot of content flying. Make sure

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Speaker 1: you subscribe to the podcast if you listen on Collins

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Speaker 1: Feed and make sure you subscribe to the YouTube because

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Speaker 1: we've got a bunch of content up there as well. Listen.

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Speaker 1: Let's dive right in the reason I love sports, and

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Speaker 1: I've said this forever is like I like watching the best.

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Speaker 1: Like when I was a kid, I loved watching the

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Speaker 1: forty nine Ers play the Cowboys for what was going

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Speaker 1: to be the Super Bowl. I loved watching Michael Jordan.

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Speaker 1: I loved watching as Tiger Woods hit the scene. And

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Speaker 1: I think ratings and interest would show you so do

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Speaker 1: most people. And I think what's made the NFL so special,

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Speaker 1: And I've said forever football was very very popular when

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Speaker 1: I was a kid, but obviously basketball was huge, and

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Speaker 1: so was baseball. The Internet age, when Peyton Manning and

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Speaker 1: Tom Brady in the early two thousands shot off like

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Speaker 1: rocket ships to me were the Larry Bird and Magic

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Speaker 1: Johnson mixed with Michael Jordan of football and have taken

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Speaker 1: it to popularities that most people probably thought were never

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Speaker 1: possible and have created the most popular sport in America

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Speaker 1: by a country mile. It's so big that it's taken

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Speaker 1: college football, which was extremely regional, and has made it

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Speaker 1: by far the number two sport in America, not even

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Speaker 1: a close third place. They're not even looking over their shoulder.

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Speaker 1: It's not a fair fight. And what this group of

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Speaker 1: young quarterbacks we have to see. You know, Patrick Mahomes

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Speaker 1: has a long way to go. Obviously, Josh Allen and

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Speaker 1: Lamar have not won anything. So when you factor in

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Speaker 1: what Brady and Peyton Manning, you know they want to combined.

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Speaker 1: Brady won seven, Manning one two. Tom went to whatever

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Speaker 1: ten and Peyton went to four. You got Rogers one another.

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Speaker 1: I mean it was a pretty historical little run there

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Speaker 1: of quarterbacks of just like I mean, Tom Brady's the

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Speaker 1: greatest quarterback of all time, I think universally agreed upon.

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Speaker 1: Peyton Manning is a top five quarterback of all time.

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Speaker 1: You know, Aaron Rodgers is a polarizing one because it's

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Speaker 1: like he's more talent than a lot of other guys.

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Speaker 1: But it's like, God, he only got to one Super Bowl,

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Speaker 1: not all his fault the defense has let him down.

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Speaker 1: But is he better than b Brett Farv? I think

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Speaker 1: most people would argue yes, even though I think the

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Speaker 1: peak of Farv might have been better. Far have got

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Speaker 1: to multiple super Bowls. But regardless like, these are the

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Speaker 1: people we talk about, and I was thinking about it

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Speaker 1: today driving around. Let's use Josh Allen and Lamar Jacks.

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Speaker 1: Let's start with that game. These guys when it's all

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Speaker 1: said and done, assuming they stay healthy and knock on wood,

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Speaker 1: because they are two of the more entertaining players I've

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Speaker 1: ever watched any sport in football, you know, basketball, baseball,

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Speaker 1: you name it, play football, and they're gonna make hundreds

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Speaker 1: of millions of dollars. Both of them are under contracts

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Speaker 1: that are worth hundreds of millions, and if they just

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Speaker 1: stay healthy, they will sign much bigger contracts. On it's

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Speaker 1: all said and done, their combined NFL earnings could be

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Speaker 1: a billion dollars. And that has nothing to do with playoffs. Honestly,

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Speaker 1: it doesn't. Right, both these guys. You know, obviously one

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Speaker 1: of them has to win this game, but we could

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Speaker 1: look back in ten years and neither of them ever

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Speaker 1: get to a Super Bowl, never get to a super Bowl,

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Speaker 1: let alone win one, and that will not impact how

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Speaker 1: much money those two guys make. So when it comes

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Speaker 1: to the ability to earn and change the course of

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Speaker 1: your family's life, and I mean, they're gonna go down

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Speaker 1: as two of the richest players more than likely in

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Speaker 1: the history of the league at the time. It's not

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Speaker 1: about the playoffs, But I think what makes the playoffs

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Speaker 1: so awesome is like Josh Allen will make the same

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Speaker 1: amount as the forty third guy on the roster. Dressing

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Speaker 1: the playoffs is not about money. The playoffs is truly

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Speaker 1: about your legacy. And I think this game is the

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Speaker 1: heavyweight fight of the weekend. And there is easily a

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Speaker 1: chance that they both play well, and obviously one team

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Speaker 1: has to lose, and that guy will take a lot

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Speaker 1: of shit, fair or not. And there's a chance of

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Speaker 1: one of these defenses, which feels more likely to be

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Speaker 1: the Bills, let them down. And a guy still has

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Speaker 1: three hundred yards and throws for three touchdowns. He's the

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Speaker 1: guy we talk about because he's the breadwinner and he's

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Speaker 1: the one that drives everything in football, the quarterback, And

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Speaker 1: that's what makes this all fun. Man. I think one

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Speaker 1: of these guys is gonna be in position. I mean, listen,

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Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson. If the Baltimore Ravens win, we'll have back

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Speaker 1: to back opportunities to beat the Chiefs. Obviously couldn't take

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Speaker 1: him down last year, but we'll have a damn good

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Speaker 1: shot again. And if Josh Allen wins, he'll get his

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Speaker 1: whatever shot to beat the Chiefs. He's had a lot

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Speaker 1: of them, had a good one last year at home.

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Speaker 1: Lost played him years ago in the NFC Championship game

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Speaker 1: or the NFC Championship game when the rule got changed

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Speaker 1: for overtime and lost. And there's a chance. And we've

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Speaker 1: seen it before, like no one really beat Tiger Woods,

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Speaker 1: were Peyton Manning or Michael Jordan. It was very, very rare,

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Speaker 1: and that's maybe what we're in the middle of. But

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Speaker 1: this game's huge for one of these two guys because

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Speaker 1: whoever wins it is just simply gonna have the bragging

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Speaker 1: rights over the other guy. And regardless who ends up

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Speaker 1: winning the MVP, it feels sometimes like the Heisman, when

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Speaker 1: the Heisman is given and then some other dude that

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Speaker 1: was like third in the Heisman ends up leading his

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Speaker 1: team to a national championship and everyone's like, oh, they

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Speaker 1: should have given the Heisman after the playoffs or after

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Speaker 1: the National Championship game. And I think that will be

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Speaker 1: a lot of the conversation if the dude that doesn't

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Speaker 1: win the MVP wins this game, especially if he were

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Speaker 1: to go on and beat the Chiefs. And that's what

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Speaker 1: makes football fun. I mean, think about Patrick Mahomes, he's

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Speaker 1: you know, almost I mean a ten point favorite in

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Speaker 1: this game. I don't think you could meet a soul

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Speaker 1: outside of like Dmico, Ryans, Nick Cassario, McNair's kid and

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Speaker 1: the players on Houston who would pick the Houston Texans.

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Speaker 1: Not a soul in America. And there's definitely not going

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Speaker 1: to be a human being. Like the difference is everyone

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Speaker 1: attending the Buffalo Bills game. When you walk into the

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Speaker 1: stadium as a fan, you're gonna be really nervous, and

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Speaker 1: rightfully so, I mean you're playing, you're an underdog, even

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Speaker 1: though it's point flip game, but like there's no guarantee

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Speaker 1: you're winning that thing. There is not one huge human being.

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Speaker 1: Let's just I'll just pick an even number, seventy thousand people.

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Speaker 1: That's what Arrowhead fits. There is not one person of

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Speaker 1: those seventy thousand people that is a Chiefs fan. Obviously

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Speaker 1: there'll be a couple of Texans fans here and there,

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Speaker 1: but every single Chiefs fans that enters that stadium Saturday afternoon,

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Speaker 1: none of them from the morning they get up that morning.

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Speaker 1: From the moment they have a few cocktails, few beers,

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Speaker 1: eat some BBQ in the parking lot, head into the stadium.

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Speaker 1: It never crosses their mind they're going to lose that game.

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Speaker 1: And when they win, which feels very likely, this will

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Speaker 1: be Mahomes. He's the moment he started took over for

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Speaker 1: Alex Smith. He's never missed the AFC Championship game. I mean,

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Speaker 1: that's fucking insane. Seven straight AFC Championship games. Obviously, he's

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Speaker 1: gone to four Super Bowls and won three of them.

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Speaker 1: That's and then obviously they're hosting the AFC Championship Game.

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Speaker 1: If he wins, they're gonna be favored in the game.

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Speaker 1: It's pretty crazy the run they're on. Even when you

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Speaker 1: look back Brady and Belichick, they win one, they missed

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Speaker 1: the playoffs in O two. Now, granted they won them

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Speaker 1: back to back in three and oh four, but I

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Speaker 1: mean there was just a lull there for a year.

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Speaker 1: I mean, there has been no les. I mean, the

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Speaker 1: lowest moment of this last like five or six year run,

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Speaker 1: I guess technically seven for the Chiefs was losing to

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Speaker 1: the Raiders on Christmas Day, a regular season game. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: they've lost Super Bowl and lost AFC championship games, you know,

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Speaker 1: to Tom Brady. I mean, think about that, and it's like, oh, yeah,

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Speaker 1: they lost the one AFC Championship game to Joe Burrow,

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Speaker 1: a guy that has like an argument to win the

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Speaker 1: MVP on a nine to eighteen. So it just I

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Speaker 1: think the legacy and the discussion around Patrick mahomes like

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be very, very difficult for anyone to ever

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Speaker 1: do what he's doing again, just rattle off that many

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Speaker 1: AFC Championship games in a row, where only once during

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Speaker 1: that run he's even had to go on the road.

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Speaker 1: An underrated part about the Detroit Lions is that if

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Speaker 1: Jared Goff he would this would be his third conference

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Speaker 1: championship game. Think about that. You know, it wasn't that

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Speaker 1: long ago that McVeagh essentially had to apologize to Jared

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Speaker 1: Goff for kind of shitting on him. I mean, obviously

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Speaker 1: they got rid of him, but McVeigh was very outspoken

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Speaker 1: and very critical of like didn't think he was any

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Speaker 1: good and didn't really like him for some reason. And

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Speaker 1: in my experience, you know, I lived in the Bay

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Speaker 1: Area when he was in college. I had never heard

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Speaker 1: a bad word about Jared Goff. Maybe Sean McVay, who's

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Speaker 1: obviously got a chance to be an all time coach,

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Speaker 1: very just in terms of urgency and no sleep and

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Speaker 1: just hard charger, going one hundred miles an hour everything

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Speaker 1: he does. And Jared's got a little California cool to him.

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Speaker 1: But he wins this game where he's a nine and

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Speaker 1: a half point favorite, and he's in the NFC Championship

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Speaker 1: Game for the second year in a row. He also

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Speaker 1: took the Rams. It's got to be a short list

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Speaker 1: of quarterbacks who have taken multiple teams to the NFC

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Speaker 1: Championship Game or AFC for that, you know, either championship game.

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Speaker 1: If he takes the Lions to the Super Bowl, took

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Speaker 1: multiple teams to the Super Bowl. This guy was the

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Speaker 1: number one overall pick, having a pretty unreal career. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this guy lock Pro Bowl over the last couple of years,

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Speaker 1: clearly one of the best quarterbacks in the league. Many

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Speaker 1: would argue was the top dog in the NFC this year.

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Speaker 1: Like it's gonna be hard to argue when it's all

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Speaker 1: sudden done. Like Jared Goss had an incredible career even

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Speaker 1: though when you think of like Jared Goff, you don't

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Speaker 1: think of like Lamar Josh Allen, or Mahomes or Peyton

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Speaker 1: Manning or Aaron Rodgers. I think it's going a lot

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Speaker 1: better than people realized. Obviously as a rookie, you know,

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Speaker 1: I think you look at CJ. Stroud last year, incredible

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Speaker 1: season than losing the second round, no one holds against

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Speaker 1: him losing the Baltimore Ravens, just like this year c

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Speaker 1: J Stroud kind of a weird year. More people blame

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Speaker 1: the coordinator, lose to the Chiefs in the second round,

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Speaker 1: no one's gonna hold it against him. If Jaden Daniels

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Speaker 1: takes one of the worst franchises in the history of

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Speaker 1: sports for twenty years, I mean, an absolute laughingstock of

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Speaker 1: the league under Daniel Snyder, immediately gets there obviously he's

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Speaker 1: not there anymore, and takes him to twelve wins, and

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Speaker 1: then we're to upset the Lions, I mean, just upset

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Speaker 1: the Bucks on the road, and clearly they can't win

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Speaker 1: a game without him being incredible, which I don't think

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Speaker 1: is gonna happen, but if it does, I mean we

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Speaker 1: would be talking about like historic stuff. As a rookie,

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Speaker 1: and I think part of it. And this is where

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Speaker 1: Jared Goff gets more credit. You're doing that with a Lions.

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Speaker 1: You and Dan Campbell did that with the Lions, and

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Speaker 1: I would throw Dan Campbell in there too. This guy

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Speaker 1: took over the fucking Lions and four years later has

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Speaker 1: him on the precipice of going to the second straight

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Speaker 1: NFC Champship game and being sixty minutes away from a

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Speaker 1: super Bowl. Again, that's insane. Everyone was making fun of

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Speaker 1: this guy. They called him like the player version of

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Speaker 1: Jim tom Sula. I mean, can you imagine how offensive

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Speaker 1: that is saying that out loud? Now? I was there

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Speaker 1: for like some of Jim tom Sula's practices, It's the

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Speaker 1: most embarrassing thing I've ever seen, not just in sports,

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Speaker 1: I would argue in business, in just a professional setting.

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Speaker 1: It was a joke and that was who he was

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Speaker 1: kind of compared to. And now this guy took the

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Speaker 1: Lions like the Redskins under Snyder, the joke of the

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Speaker 1: league and has him this good with Jared Goff. Pretty crazy. Now,

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Speaker 1: that's of course he did with Jared Goff. He's a

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Speaker 1: number one overall pick. The next game is pretty fascinating

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Speaker 1: because Jalen's a very polarizing player. When you just asked

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Speaker 1: a simple question like is he goodt passing? I was like,

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Speaker 1: the guy's really good. He's been to the playoffs basically

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Speaker 1: every year. He's been starting plays on some of the

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Speaker 1: best teams in the NFL. Is a playmaker. But the

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Speaker 1: conversation comes up a lot like is he good at passing?

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Speaker 1: Like would you want him to be your quarterback if

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Speaker 1: you had to pass? A lot? Like that's a legitimate question,

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Speaker 1: And Sirianni is like, he actually has viewed much now

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Speaker 1: that Dan Campbell, no one makes fun of him. It's like,

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Speaker 1: is Sirianni actually closer to Tom Suler than we realize?

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Speaker 1: How he's just so good at picking players. The owners

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Speaker 1: spends so much money, they're such a good drafting team.

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Speaker 1: They'll pay so much for coordinators. It doesn't even matter

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Speaker 1: who their head coaches. But he wins this game. Him

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Speaker 1: and Jalen Yan criticize a lot. People have a lot

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Speaker 1: of different opinions on him. I'm guilty as well. Ei

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Speaker 1: their second NFC championship game in three years, he'd be like,

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Speaker 1: and from a roster standpoint, I think a lot of

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Speaker 1: people would pick him to win the game next week.

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Speaker 1: So it's like, listen, you can make fun of Sirianni

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Speaker 1: all you want, and we can nitpick Jalen all we want.

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Speaker 1: Their resume is gonna look pretty damn good, and the

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Speaker 1: rams like Stafford's number outside are pretty concerning. I saw

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Speaker 1: someone throw it up his numbers recently in freezing cold

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Speaker 1: situations where snow are bad. And obviously the older he gets,

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Speaker 1: I mean, he's gonna be thirty seven, underrated, sneaky older,

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Speaker 1: way older than you think. I think if he just

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Speaker 1: asks average person like how old is Matt Safford, they'd

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Speaker 1: be like, oh, thirty four. I mean he's he's two

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Speaker 1: weeks away from being thirty seven, And clearly I would

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Speaker 1: say these last couple of years at moments he showed

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Speaker 1: his age. But he can still have like when he

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Speaker 1: has like last week when he's fresh, looks incredible. Stafford

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Speaker 1: and McVeigh have the Super Bowl, So once you get

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Speaker 1: that moment Rogers did, there's nothing like you can nitpick

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Speaker 1: him or whatever, but they always have that trump card.

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Speaker 1: I'm a super Bowl champion, I won the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: These type moments are just about adding pelts to the

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Speaker 1: wall and you go into Philly in a cold environment

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Speaker 1: on a short week. Like, I don't know what else

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Speaker 1: we would say about McVeigh be, it'd be pretty unreal,

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Speaker 1: But I think there are just some underrated Obviously, to me,

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Speaker 1: the number one storyline is whatever quarterback wins this game

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Speaker 1: in the Buffalo Ravens game is gonna get talked about,

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Speaker 1: probably not even as much as the guy that loses

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Speaker 1: the game. And John Harbaugh rightfully, so, I mean, i'd

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Speaker 1: say he's on scholarship. Could it get a little weird

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Speaker 1: for Sean McDermott be back to back years losing. It's

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Speaker 1: one thing to lose to the Chiefs, it'd be another

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Speaker 1: thing to lose to the team that's under them in

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Speaker 1: the Ravens at home, and they would have lost to

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Speaker 1: him twice. You know, I'd say, Sirianni if he were

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Speaker 1: to lose this game, and he's a pretty big favorite,

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Speaker 1: I think he's safe just because almost you would give

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Speaker 1: this operation another year. The problem is, and we'll dive

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Speaker 1: into this in a second, like the interview schedule is

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Speaker 1: a little weird, and obviously the Dion things out there,

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Speaker 1: but like I think the easy move for Jerry is

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Speaker 1: to hire Kellen Moore now and more, no one's gonna

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Speaker 1: get him confused with you know, Bill Walsh this season.

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Speaker 1: But I think a lot of people would be like,

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Speaker 1: I don't think it's Jalen's not the easiest guy to coach.

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Speaker 1: And offensively, they dominated running the football and they have

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Speaker 1: had moments passing the ball. So if you lose that guy,

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Speaker 1: we saw this before with Shane sykein and there's no guarantee,

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Speaker 1: Like Shane Sychen might just be a bad head coach, right,

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Speaker 1: he might be a really good offensive coordinator, good offensive mind,

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Speaker 1: but a head coach is too much for him. But

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Speaker 1: that was clearly a big loss for the Eagles, Like

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Speaker 1: do they want to go through this again? Because they

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Speaker 1: their head coach can't call plays. He's an offensive guy,

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Speaker 1: they will not allow him to call plays and he

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Speaker 1: doesn't even want to because that would really expose him.

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Speaker 1: So the Eagles like, do you want to just let

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Speaker 1: him go to the Cowboys? And maybe they do, maybe

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Speaker 1: they have another guy. But I just think the McDermott thing,

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Speaker 1: the Sirianni thing could get a little weird. And speaking

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Speaker 1: of Dallas, you know, the one part of I think

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Speaker 1: the NFL that they just can't figure out is this

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Speaker 1: interview thing. It's just very, very yanky, and it's tough.

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Speaker 1: I don't have a great solution because a lot of

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Speaker 1: guys that you want to talk to are in the

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Speaker 1: playoffs and it makes it difficult. And they've had to

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Speaker 1: put in rules to protect those guys, because how can

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Speaker 1: a human being. It's way easier anytime you see these

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Speaker 1: gms interviewing like Borgazzi from the Chiefs, it doesn't take

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Speaker 1: anything away. It doesn't impact Andy Reid the game plan

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Speaker 1: one iota, But when you're talking about coordinators, it's a

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Speaker 1: pretty big deal. And for the number one seed, their

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Speaker 1: benefit of last week. Ben Johnson, Aaron Glenn. I think

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Speaker 1: Spags Naggy like they're not doing they don't even know

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Speaker 1: who they're playing. So those guys interviewing on Thursday, Friday, Saturday,

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Speaker 1: no big deal. Doesn't impact this week at all. But

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Speaker 1: I saw Kellen Moore is talking with the Cowboys tomorrow afternoon.

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Speaker 1: Now it's a unique interview. He's known Jerry for a

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Speaker 1: long time. He was not only a player there, coach there,

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Speaker 1: and Jerry Wants talked about him like he was gonna

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Speaker 1: be their future head coach and all signs point might be,

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Speaker 1: but like you having to do an interview as a

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Speaker 1: coordinator on a game week of the playoffs seems pretty

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Speaker 1: fucked up, and clearly you can't do in person interviews,

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Speaker 1: while these people that are either out of the playoffs

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Speaker 1: or out of a job can fly to owners can

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Speaker 1: do whatever they want. I just wonder if this whole

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Speaker 1: process should start maybe after the super Bowl and almost

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Speaker 1: push everything back, or at least maybe till the bye

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Speaker 1: week of the super Bowl, because right now things just

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Speaker 1: feel not fair and I don't know, something's got to give.

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Speaker 1: I mean, there's been constant pushback on some of these

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Speaker 1: rules on if you're Dan Campbell, like that's why the

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Speaker 1: one seed was so big, because every team wanted to

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Speaker 1: talk to you, your two guys, and winning the one

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Speaker 1: seed wasn't just giving your guys rests, but it was

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Speaker 1: allowing your two coaches, who are your game planners and

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Speaker 1: play callers, to not have to cramp and kind of

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Speaker 1: just get to do interviews where they weren't rushed trying

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Speaker 1: to game plan for something that was going to happen

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Speaker 1: in twenty four to forty eight hours. And I just

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Speaker 1: think it's pretty messed up, and I think the league

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Speaker 1: and if I was involved as an owner of a

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Speaker 1: team that constantly has people getting interviewed, I would continue

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Speaker 1: to want to remedy this and make some changes. Okay.

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Speaker 1: I wanted to bring you something from my friends at

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Speaker 1: Louisiana Hot Sauce, and I thought about this. I was like,

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Speaker 1: let's do the hottest coach and player headed into this weekend.

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Speaker 1: It's obviously the second round of the playoffs, and this

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Speaker 1: is presented by our friends at Louisiana Hassace. Bring your

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Speaker 1: food to your big game party and take it to

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Speaker 1: a whole nother level with the original Louisiana Hot Sauce

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Speaker 1: with bold, authentic flavor that embodies the rich culinary tradition

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Speaker 1: of Louisiana. The original Louisiana brand Hot Sauce is perfect

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Speaker 1: for those who demand flavor with just the right amount

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Speaker 1: of heat and speaking a heat, speaking a hot has

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Speaker 1: a player ever had one catch for ten yards, looked

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Speaker 1: more angry on the sideline, yet had a more impactful week?

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Speaker 1: Aj Brown he is reading a book called Inner Excellence

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Speaker 1: Spy a guy named Jim Murphy. I'll be honest, I'd

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Speaker 1: never heard of it based on the Amazon rankings. Most

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Speaker 1: people had noted either, because it wasn't even ranked in

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Speaker 1: the top five hundred and twenty thousand books on Amazon.

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Speaker 1: Yet he gets caught. I don't even want to say cod.

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Speaker 1: He just gets seen on camera during the Packers game,

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Speaker 1: and I think it's clear he's trying to just calm

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Speaker 1: himself down because his quarterback struggles to throw him the ball.

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Speaker 1: I know Jalen pretended then everything was great, Everything was

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Speaker 1: awesome a couple of weeks ago. You don't read a

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Speaker 1: book called Inner Excellence with highlighted portions if you're not

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Speaker 1: trying to calm your nerves on the sideline for not

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Speaker 1: getting the football. But Aj Green, you talk about this

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Speaker 1: word's become very popular. Are you an influencer? What type

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Speaker 1: influence do you have? He took a book it was

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Speaker 1: not ranked in the top five hundred thousand books on

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Speaker 1: Amazon to number one overall. He had one catch for

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Speaker 1: ten yards. Think about the impact AJ Brown just made.

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Speaker 1: If I had a book and that book was struggling

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Speaker 1: on Amazon, I would do everything humanly possible to get

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Speaker 1: to his people, to get to his agent, to get

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Speaker 1: to agent, to get that's a big dom and say,

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Speaker 1: what do I need to do to get my novel?

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Speaker 1: To get my book in AJ Brown's hands. So when

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Speaker 1: the Fox cameras show Aj just firing through pages between

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Speaker 1: the series, it's my book in my name and I

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Speaker 1: go to the number one spot on Amazon. So that

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Speaker 1: that is an amazing accomplishment what Aj Brown did? I

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Speaker 1: saw a little clip online about Jim Murphy saying how

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Speaker 1: cool it was. He didn't even never saw this coming.

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Speaker 1: I think he's, you know, kind of a motivation guy,

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Speaker 1: works with people, but just made him a lot of money.

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Speaker 1: And speaking about hot coaches, he looks good. But Sean

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Speaker 1: McVay has a chance to He has eight playoff wins,

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Speaker 1: and once you win a super Bowl you're kind of

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Speaker 1: playing just everything's kind of gravy, and clearly he wants

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Speaker 1: another one. But if he's never able to get another one,

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Speaker 1: not the end of the world. You got the one.

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Speaker 1: What really adds to your legacy, to your resume is

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Speaker 1: doing things like last week there's fires in La he

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Speaker 1: has to hop on a plane with not just his

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Speaker 1: whole team, but their whole family, their dogs, their kids,

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Speaker 1: go fly to Arizona, spend a couple of days there

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Speaker 1: play essentially a road game against Minnesota because they got

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Speaker 1: so many Vikings fans here in the valley. And he

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Speaker 1: kicks their ass and he dominates, and he wins his

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Speaker 1: eighth playoff game. He's not even forty years old. He's

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Speaker 1: got a super Bowl and eight playoff victories. I would

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Speaker 1: say this, if he goes on the road to Philly

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Speaker 1: and upsets the Eagles, it'd be one of the most

427
00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:45,119
Speaker 1: impressive stretches. This team was not even in good I

428
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:47,399
Speaker 1: mean washing them down the stretch. Their offense looked terrible.

429
00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:49,960
Speaker 1: I mean their defense was never that good as we

430
00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:53,200
Speaker 1: just saw against Minnesota. And we all acknowledge we saw

431
00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:57,120
Speaker 1: these two teams play. The Eagles are dramatically more talented

432
00:24:57,160 --> 00:24:58,680
Speaker 1: than the Rams. And that's not a shot at the Rams.

433
00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:00,760
Speaker 1: The Eagles are just, you could argue, you, man for man,

434
00:25:00,760 --> 00:25:04,959
Speaker 1: the most talented team in the NFL. So Sean McVay,

435
00:25:06,080 --> 00:25:08,879
Speaker 1: we know he looks good, got that hair, got that

436
00:25:09,280 --> 00:25:13,160
Speaker 1: got that beard, perfectly manicured, small waist, the little uh

437
00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:15,560
Speaker 1: you know, the the Joggers rock and he just pulls

438
00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:19,920
Speaker 1: it off well. Good looking, good looking dude, awesome football coach.

439
00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:22,920
Speaker 1: You could get his ninth win, go on the road.

440
00:25:23,320 --> 00:25:28,119
Speaker 1: Stay hot Sean McVeigh. That is my hottest coach and

441
00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:31,800
Speaker 1: player of the week, brought to you by my friends

442
00:25:31,880 --> 00:25:36,600
Speaker 1: at Louisiana Hot Sauce. Okay, before we get out of here,

443
00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:42,080
Speaker 1: I gotta do uh Fugazi Friday. And I think I saw.

444
00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:46,040
Speaker 1: I'm sure many of you that spent some time on

445
00:25:46,080 --> 00:25:51,080
Speaker 1: the internet saw weeks ago. Schefter and my guy Gottlieb,

446
00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:56,400
Speaker 1: I go on Doug's radio show every Tuesday, get into

447
00:25:56,440 --> 00:26:01,360
Speaker 1: it online and you know U this was over. Mike

448
00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:04,520
Speaker 1: Vick was thinking about going to sax State and sax

449
00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:07,200
Speaker 1: State had a pledge of fifty million dollars in an nil,

450
00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:11,200
Speaker 1: and Doug was mad because he thinks it's it's all

451
00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:14,399
Speaker 1: bullshit and it clearly like sex State does not have

452
00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:17,960
Speaker 1: fifty million dollars in a nil. And I think overall

453
00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:21,800
Speaker 1: people in the loop are just tired of the bs

454
00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:24,959
Speaker 1: that gets thrown out there. Obviously, people make money in

455
00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:29,919
Speaker 1: college athletics. Now Cooper Flags making millions. Quinn Ewers just

456
00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:34,080
Speaker 1: was making seven figures. The top quarterbacks in this championship

457
00:26:34,160 --> 00:26:37,119
Speaker 1: game are making seven figures. People are making money. You

458
00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:40,520
Speaker 1: got random players making three four hundred grand like, no

459
00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:45,560
Speaker 1: one's even pretending that's not happening. And in the NFL

460
00:26:46,200 --> 00:26:48,199
Speaker 1: numbers get thrown out that are fake, and then we

461
00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:50,600
Speaker 1: just learn what the actual numbers are. It's like, this

462
00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:54,720
Speaker 1: guy actually got this. This is Jordan Love's actual contract.

463
00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:56,680
Speaker 1: He gets twenty five million dollars here, he gets twenty

464
00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:58,640
Speaker 1: five million dollars here, he gets thirty million dollars here.

465
00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:02,080
Speaker 1: This is not geararanteed. You just you get a clear picture.

466
00:27:02,200 --> 00:27:06,040
Speaker 1: Do this is justin Jefferson, what the actual money is.

467
00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:10,119
Speaker 1: We're in college sports, at least us on the outside

468
00:27:10,280 --> 00:27:13,240
Speaker 1: have no clue what is actually true. But today it

469
00:27:13,280 --> 00:27:17,480
Speaker 1: was reported that Quinn Yours, the Texas quarterback who just

470
00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:22,760
Speaker 1: declared for the National Football League, was offered eight million

471
00:27:22,760 --> 00:27:27,919
Speaker 1: dollars in the transfer portal. Let me repeat that he

472
00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:33,920
Speaker 1: was offered eight million dollars in the transfer portal. I

473
00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:37,520
Speaker 1: don't buy that for a second one because if you

474
00:27:37,560 --> 00:27:40,480
Speaker 1: watch Quinn Ewers play this year, in really the last

475
00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:43,760
Speaker 1: couple of years, he's not a first round player. I'd

476
00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:45,960
Speaker 1: argue he's not even a second day player. Could he

477
00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:48,000
Speaker 1: end up getting drafted in the third round for sure?

478
00:27:48,640 --> 00:27:50,000
Speaker 1: Do I think he's going to go in the top

479
00:27:50,040 --> 00:27:52,480
Speaker 1: fifty picks of this draft. I do not.

480
00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:53,520
Speaker 2: Well.

481
00:27:53,560 --> 00:27:58,720
Speaker 1: I looked and I just picked Ricky Pearson, who was

482
00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:01,159
Speaker 1: the thirty first pick in the draft and went to

483
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:03,040
Speaker 1: the forty nine ers. So at the end of the

484
00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:06,119
Speaker 1: first round and in the first round, you get a

485
00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:10,920
Speaker 1: four year, fully guaranteed contract, but his signing bonus, meaning

486
00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:13,160
Speaker 1: once he signs his contract, the money he gets within

487
00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:16,639
Speaker 1: I think it's like a fourteen day period was a

488
00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:22,040
Speaker 1: little over six million dollars. So you're telling me that

489
00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:24,679
Speaker 1: guys at the end of the first round are and

490
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:27,280
Speaker 1: again quittin yours. The eight million dollars would just be

491
00:28:27,320 --> 00:28:29,080
Speaker 1: for one year and then he could go to the

492
00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:32,200
Speaker 1: draft and get drafted and sign a contract. So when

493
00:28:32,200 --> 00:28:34,480
Speaker 1: you look at it, like Ricky Pearsol's twelve million dollar

494
00:28:34,560 --> 00:28:38,920
Speaker 1: contract is over the course of four seasons, when they're

495
00:28:38,960 --> 00:28:42,080
Speaker 1: offering eight million dollars for to transfer in the next

496
00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:47,280
Speaker 1: week or two and essentially spend till potentially December there

497
00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:51,240
Speaker 1: maybe middle to late December, twelve months, one year contract,

498
00:28:51,320 --> 00:28:54,080
Speaker 1: eight million dollars. Sam Darnold this year got one year

499
00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:57,360
Speaker 1: contract worth ten million dollars from the Minnesota fucking Vikings.

500
00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:01,920
Speaker 1: I don't believe for a second this is true. I

501
00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:06,080
Speaker 1: am calling complete bs and this NIL is becoming the

502
00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:09,320
Speaker 1: biggest fugazi we've ever seen when it comes to some

503
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:12,680
Speaker 1: of these numbers being thrown around, and listen, if you're

504
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:15,480
Speaker 1: an agent, you want these numbers out. I think it

505
00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:19,080
Speaker 1: has become the new Jordan Love signs for two hundred

506
00:29:19,080 --> 00:29:21,920
Speaker 1: and seventy five million dollars, It's like, well, actually he

507
00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:25,280
Speaker 1: got one hundred and fifty five guaranteed. I think that's

508
00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:30,400
Speaker 1: what these NIL deals are becoming. Maybe there was, hey, Quinn,

509
00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:32,959
Speaker 1: do you transfer here? We'll pay you two million dollars

510
00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:37,200
Speaker 1: with the chance to equal eight. Remember when Florida offered

511
00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:41,720
Speaker 1: that kid, Jaden Reshada I think twelve million dollars and

512
00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:44,680
Speaker 1: then he thought they pulled pulled out on him, and

513
00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:47,640
Speaker 1: then he sued him, and then he transferred from Arizona

514
00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:50,640
Speaker 1: State to Georgia. Now he's transferred again. I think all

515
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:55,040
Speaker 1: these guys are realizing a lot of this money is fake. Clearly,

516
00:29:55,120 --> 00:29:57,680
Speaker 1: there are a lot of guys making two fifty three hundred,

517
00:29:57,840 --> 00:30:00,720
Speaker 1: five hundred thousand dollars good money playing college football, and

518
00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:04,320
Speaker 1: they're the occasional quarterback signing a true deal for maybe

519
00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:08,160
Speaker 1: one million dollars two million dollars. Last year, cam Ward

520
00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:11,640
Speaker 1: who it's up for debate where he's going to go

521
00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:15,520
Speaker 1: in the draft, but bade less than two million dollars.

522
00:30:16,760 --> 00:30:19,800
Speaker 1: And now Quinn Yours was going to be offered eight

523
00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:25,000
Speaker 1: million dollars in the transfer portal. I've heard of budgets

524
00:30:25,200 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 1: that are big in the transfer portal that are like

525
00:30:27,560 --> 00:30:32,240
Speaker 1: twelve to fifteen million dollars. Ohio State broke the bank

526
00:30:32,280 --> 00:30:35,000
Speaker 1: this year with twenty million dollars. So even if you

527
00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:39,040
Speaker 1: had the biggest budget possible in the in college football,

528
00:30:39,800 --> 00:30:45,040
Speaker 1: you're going to give forty percent of that to Quinn Yours,

529
00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:48,120
Speaker 1: who many could argue is kind of the liability of

530
00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:52,000
Speaker 1: this Texas team. I don't see it, and I don't

531
00:30:52,040 --> 00:30:54,360
Speaker 1: buy it. And if I were you and I see

532
00:30:54,360 --> 00:30:57,680
Speaker 1: these headlines, I would just assume most of them are fake.

533
00:30:57,960 --> 00:31:01,000
Speaker 1: Doesn't mean there's not money behind it, but the numbers

534
00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:12,520
Speaker 1: getting thrown out are just completely fabricated. NFL playoffs, we're

535
00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:16,560
Speaker 1: talking about the NFL playoffs. You bet we are get

536
00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:20,400
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537
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538
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539
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540
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541
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543
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544
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546
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551
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561
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Speaker 1: Okay, as we come down the home stretch, we have

562
00:32:47,680 --> 00:32:50,960
Speaker 1: four games this week. We got a National Championship. That's five.

563
00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:54,520
Speaker 1: We got an AFC and NFC. That's seven in the

564
00:32:54,560 --> 00:33:00,800
Speaker 1: Super Bowl, so I count eight football games left, which

565
00:33:01,000 --> 00:33:04,200
Speaker 1: makes me really sad. I don't count spring football. So

566
00:33:04,240 --> 00:33:08,000
Speaker 1: we really got to take these games in, enjoy them,

567
00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:12,160
Speaker 1: and most importantly, gamble on them. The Pro Bowl either

568
00:33:12,560 --> 00:33:14,920
Speaker 1: I do not, do they even still play or is

569
00:33:14,960 --> 00:33:17,600
Speaker 1: that flag football? Or no clue what they're even doing there.

570
00:33:18,480 --> 00:33:22,080
Speaker 1: But I got my main fan, Stucky, from the Action Network.

571
00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:25,880
Speaker 1: You can find them basically everywhere. Action Network podcast, Big

572
00:33:25,920 --> 00:33:29,520
Speaker 1: Bets on campus. I actually watched a little college hoops

573
00:33:29,520 --> 00:33:32,520
Speaker 1: the other day. Stucky Cooper Flag looks pretty freaking good.

574
00:33:32,760 --> 00:33:35,280
Speaker 1: He played Miami that probably has like me and you

575
00:33:35,360 --> 00:33:38,480
Speaker 1: on the squad. But holy shit, I guess don't see

576
00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:40,320
Speaker 1: how he's not gonna be good in the NBA. But

577
00:33:40,360 --> 00:33:43,560
Speaker 1: other than that, Stucky, how we doing good.

578
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:48,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, just getting ready for It's crazy time for me.

579
00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:51,920
Speaker 4: I mean, I have doing this, just did my NFL podcast,

580
00:33:51,960 --> 00:33:58,080
Speaker 4: Action Network podcast after this, have National Championship preview podcasts,

581
00:33:58,120 --> 00:34:02,600
Speaker 4: Big Bets on Campus in a college basketball podcast for

582
00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:06,080
Speaker 4: the weekend. So crazy time of the year, but excited

583
00:34:06,120 --> 00:34:09,720
Speaker 4: for the football For my money, it's the best weekend

584
00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:10,640
Speaker 4: in the NFL season.

585
00:34:11,160 --> 00:34:13,880
Speaker 1: You gamble a lot on college hoops right now, or

586
00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:16,920
Speaker 1: do you wait for the football season and or you conference.

587
00:34:17,000 --> 00:34:20,960
Speaker 4: Not as much volume as I will have, especially like

588
00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:25,440
Speaker 4: it's just it's like college football, these rosters are changing

589
00:34:25,600 --> 00:34:27,799
Speaker 4: so drastically that it's hard for me to keep up.

590
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:29,359
Speaker 4: I mean because it's so much more work to keep

591
00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:34,799
Speaker 4: up in the off season with college football, like and

592
00:34:35,000 --> 00:34:36,759
Speaker 4: to try to keep up with the college basketball in

593
00:34:36,760 --> 00:34:41,360
Speaker 4: college football is crazy. So yeah, I'm betting it. But

594
00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:46,640
Speaker 4: ye will really start to pick up here after this weekend,

595
00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:49,000
Speaker 4: get college football in the rearview, and then you know

596
00:34:49,120 --> 00:34:52,120
Speaker 4: NFL would only be three games left. So but excited

597
00:34:52,200 --> 00:34:56,960
Speaker 4: for to enjoy these last football games. This weekend is

598
00:34:57,040 --> 00:35:04,680
Speaker 4: usually awesome. There's two favorites of a touchdown or more.

599
00:35:05,320 --> 00:35:09,719
Speaker 4: We haven't had two favorites sweep against the spreads of

600
00:35:09,760 --> 00:35:13,480
Speaker 4: both cover multiple We haven't had multiple favorites cover of

601
00:35:13,520 --> 00:35:16,320
Speaker 4: seven or more points on divisional weekend since two thousand

602
00:35:16,320 --> 00:35:21,200
Speaker 4: and one. Sixteen times we've had multiple favorites of seven

603
00:35:21,239 --> 00:35:25,160
Speaker 4: or more points since two thousand and one, all sixteen

604
00:35:25,200 --> 00:35:29,480
Speaker 4: at least one dog covered. So history says at least

605
00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:32,920
Speaker 4: the Chiefs or the Lions are going to get a

606
00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:38,080
Speaker 4: scare here, and maybe an NFL favorite of seven or

607
00:35:38,120 --> 00:35:40,600
Speaker 4: more points is due to go down in the playoffs

608
00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:47,000
Speaker 4: because we've seen eighteen straight win outright, which is an

609
00:35:47,120 --> 00:35:50,680
Speaker 4: NFL record since the merger. The last time a favorite

610
00:35:50,680 --> 00:35:53,080
Speaker 4: of seven or more points lost in the playoffs, you

611
00:35:53,080 --> 00:35:55,799
Speaker 4: got to go back to twenty nineteen, I believe when

612
00:35:55,800 --> 00:35:58,160
Speaker 4: the Ravens lost to the Titans.

613
00:35:59,360 --> 00:36:03,120
Speaker 1: Were a touchdown favorite. Last year against the Packers at home,

614
00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:09,200
Speaker 1: none probably six. Yeah, it might have been a little under,

615
00:36:09,360 --> 00:36:11,799
Speaker 1: but that was that had upset written all over. It

616
00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:14,760
Speaker 1: wouldn't have been quite a touchdown. Obviously last year the Chiefs,

617
00:36:15,280 --> 00:36:17,879
Speaker 1: which is crazy to say, but it is true, they

618
00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:23,279
Speaker 1: did upset the Bills based on the gambling line, right,

619
00:36:23,400 --> 00:36:25,600
Speaker 1: which in fairness, like I think a lot of people

620
00:36:26,920 --> 00:36:29,160
Speaker 1: I didn't bet against that game bet against the next two.

621
00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:30,880
Speaker 1: But I think a lot of people thought they were

622
00:36:30,880 --> 00:36:32,560
Speaker 1: going to go down, and they did.

623
00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:35,520
Speaker 4: The Ravens too. Ravens too. That was like a four

624
00:36:35,520 --> 00:36:38,040
Speaker 4: point favorite. Yeah, and the Division Round last year they

625
00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:41,560
Speaker 4: that that did count as one of the not covering

626
00:36:41,640 --> 00:36:43,560
Speaker 4: I think the forty nine like ten point favorites.

627
00:36:43,560 --> 00:36:44,920
Speaker 2: In that game, they only won by three.

628
00:36:45,080 --> 00:36:45,920
Speaker 1: Against the Packers.

629
00:36:46,520 --> 00:36:49,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, so uh.

630
00:36:49,080 --> 00:36:50,840
Speaker 1: Didn't just win by three. I mean they were down

631
00:36:51,040 --> 00:36:53,200
Speaker 1: most of the game. I mean they were getting they

632
00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:56,520
Speaker 1: were in trouble. They were in major trouble.

633
00:36:57,640 --> 00:36:57,839
Speaker 2: Yep.

634
00:36:58,080 --> 00:37:01,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, that was Uh, it's close. So we're kind of

635
00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:07,799
Speaker 4: overdue for one. It's hard to see the Chiefs ever

636
00:37:07,880 --> 00:37:08,399
Speaker 4: going down.

637
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:12,759
Speaker 1: Well, let's let's just start with that game. All lines

638
00:37:12,800 --> 00:37:16,360
Speaker 1: here presented by DraftKings. Obviously they played, you know, a

639
00:37:16,400 --> 00:37:21,319
Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago. Houston actually was more than serviceable

640
00:37:21,320 --> 00:37:23,120
Speaker 1: in that game and hit a big play to Tank

641
00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:27,279
Speaker 1: Dell and then his lake shattered, knee shattered, and his

642
00:37:27,440 --> 00:37:31,400
Speaker 1: career feels like in Jeopardy now, and it just derailed Houston.

643
00:37:31,560 --> 00:37:36,040
Speaker 1: I mean, you had guys on the sideline crying. There's

644
00:37:36,120 --> 00:37:39,319
Speaker 1: just I mean, he he looked awesome in that game.

645
00:37:39,360 --> 00:37:42,160
Speaker 1: Second straight year. Obviously he has a devastating knee injury

646
00:37:42,200 --> 00:37:44,879
Speaker 1: in the end zone. I mean, it was I don't

647
00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:47,120
Speaker 1: even know what to say. And then, you know, a

648
00:37:47,160 --> 00:37:51,319
Speaker 1: lot like the Packers, I feel like Houston had high

649
00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:53,640
Speaker 1: hopes and then when you watched him, even though they

650
00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:56,000
Speaker 1: both made the playoffs, I know Houston won the division

651
00:37:56,040 --> 00:37:58,720
Speaker 1: part of it, as their division sucked. Something just looked

652
00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:01,359
Speaker 1: off most of the year, and even in that game

653
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:04,919
Speaker 1: last week against the Chargers, you're like, God, this team

654
00:38:04,920 --> 00:38:07,200
Speaker 1: looks like shit. And then that final series of the

655
00:38:07,239 --> 00:38:10,880
Speaker 1: first half, the snap CJ, they almost miss it, and

656
00:38:10,920 --> 00:38:12,880
Speaker 1: then he makes an incredible play and they never kind

657
00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:15,640
Speaker 1: of look back, and Herbert fell apart, and the Chiefs,

658
00:38:15,680 --> 00:38:18,000
Speaker 1: who were winning every game, Everyone's like, God, this team's

659
00:38:18,000 --> 00:38:20,360
Speaker 1: not that good, not that good. Finally get healthy and

660
00:38:20,400 --> 00:38:25,080
Speaker 1: look incredible, and now it feels like, I don't know,

661
00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:28,400
Speaker 1: a borderline lock, maybe that they won't I don't know

662
00:38:28,400 --> 00:38:30,439
Speaker 1: if everyone would bet their life savings that they're gonna

663
00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:32,440
Speaker 1: represent the AFC in the Super Bowl because of how

664
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:35,560
Speaker 1: good the Bills and Ravens are, but it does feel

665
00:38:35,600 --> 00:38:39,320
Speaker 1: like universally it would be stunning, not only if the

666
00:38:39,400 --> 00:38:42,000
Speaker 1: Chiefs don't win this game, but like, win this game

667
00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:44,000
Speaker 1: by a lot. They're eight and a half point favored.

668
00:38:44,719 --> 00:38:48,080
Speaker 1: Like I would have said, anything's possible. But watching the

669
00:38:48,120 --> 00:38:50,280
Speaker 1: way they played when they had to flip a switch,

670
00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:53,640
Speaker 1: and let's face it, a little like the Kevin Durant Warriors.

671
00:38:54,320 --> 00:38:58,799
Speaker 1: Their season was really always about January and it kind

672
00:38:58,800 --> 00:39:01,759
Speaker 1: of they proved actually they started taking it seriously in December,

673
00:39:02,000 --> 00:39:04,799
Speaker 1: and last year it took the Raiders game. So I

674
00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:07,520
Speaker 1: actually think Houston's a little underrated because they have such

675
00:39:07,600 --> 00:39:10,719
Speaker 1: high end players like CJ's obviously can be really good.

676
00:39:11,080 --> 00:39:13,760
Speaker 1: Nico Is would start for every team in the NFL.

677
00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:17,080
Speaker 1: They have a two sweet pass rushers, they have the

678
00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:20,360
Speaker 1: best corner. It's like they have high end impact players.

679
00:39:20,800 --> 00:39:23,680
Speaker 1: Problem is, their offensive line is a major problem and

680
00:39:24,040 --> 00:39:26,160
Speaker 1: the Chiefs defensive line is gonna be well rested. So

681
00:39:26,560 --> 00:39:28,680
Speaker 1: it feels like a lot of points for me, you know,

682
00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:32,560
Speaker 1: eight and a half. But man, I have a hard

683
00:39:32,600 --> 00:39:35,880
Speaker 1: time if the Chiefs are clicking and Houston, I mean,

684
00:39:35,880 --> 00:39:39,480
Speaker 1: he played a good half of football. Could this thing

685
00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:42,560
Speaker 1: get ugly fast? Because if I was gonna take a side,

686
00:39:42,680 --> 00:39:44,680
Speaker 1: I think he'd have to lay the points for Kansas City.

687
00:39:45,880 --> 00:39:47,879
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think the line's a bit too high. I mean,

688
00:39:47,960 --> 00:39:50,440
Speaker 4: Mahomes and this team rarely ever covered these numbers. I mean,

689
00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:52,360
Speaker 4: I think they're zero and six this year against the

690
00:39:52,360 --> 00:39:55,319
Speaker 4: spread as a favorite of over a touchdown. I do

691
00:39:55,400 --> 00:39:57,600
Speaker 4: think it's not a great matchup for the Texans.

692
00:39:57,640 --> 00:40:00,000
Speaker 1: I mean started doing it the last couple of weeks

693
00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:00,800
Speaker 1: down the stretch.

694
00:40:01,880 --> 00:40:04,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, but again they were they were short favorites.

695
00:40:05,000 --> 00:40:08,320
Speaker 4: I mean, like against they were minus three. They closed

696
00:40:08,440 --> 00:40:12,239
Speaker 4: against the Texans at home. That's crazy on Christmas. Now

697
00:40:12,239 --> 00:40:14,760
Speaker 4: they're might a say nap. Now, the Texans lost Jimmy

698
00:40:14,800 --> 00:40:18,640
Speaker 4: Ward in that game, and then more importantly, they lost

699
00:40:19,040 --> 00:40:22,359
Speaker 4: Tanked Dell and they were cooking that Chiefs defense before

700
00:40:22,400 --> 00:40:24,360
Speaker 4: he got hurt. They also had offensive line injuries. They

701
00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:27,160
Speaker 4: were playing without a couple of other defensive starters that

702
00:40:27,200 --> 00:40:31,200
Speaker 4: they'll have back, I think the Chiefs defense. But well,

703
00:40:31,239 --> 00:40:33,920
Speaker 4: first of all, I should say, Dome team going outdoors

704
00:40:33,960 --> 00:40:39,040
Speaker 4: frigid temperatures not ideal, and historically those teams have not

705
00:40:39,160 --> 00:40:43,160
Speaker 4: fared well. Although for what it's worth, home teams coming

706
00:40:43,160 --> 00:40:46,240
Speaker 4: off of a buy in the divisional round, only forty

707
00:40:46,239 --> 00:40:48,200
Speaker 4: two percent against the spread is a favorite of seven

708
00:40:48,280 --> 00:40:51,880
Speaker 4: or more seventeen and twenty four against the spread. But

709
00:40:52,520 --> 00:40:55,440
Speaker 4: you look at this game, I do think that the

710
00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:58,720
Speaker 4: Chiefs defense is overrated and they're gonna be healthy. Jalen

711
00:40:58,719 --> 00:41:01,520
Speaker 4: Watson should be back. That helped their secondary. But if

712
00:41:01,560 --> 00:41:04,360
Speaker 4: you look all year, I mean, did they play the

713
00:41:04,440 --> 00:41:07,440
Speaker 4: Ravens put up four to fifty in Week one? After that,

714
00:41:07,520 --> 00:41:10,360
Speaker 4: did they play a single team that was healthy? I

715
00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:14,320
Speaker 4: mean Week two, Higgins was out, you know the Falcons

716
00:41:14,320 --> 00:41:15,919
Speaker 4: they were that was when Cousins was and they lost

717
00:41:16,120 --> 00:41:18,239
Speaker 4: two of the best offensive linemen in the first half

718
00:41:18,239 --> 00:41:20,799
Speaker 4: to injury. You know, you had no mcconkee in one

719
00:41:20,840 --> 00:41:22,759
Speaker 4: matchup with the Chargers. The other one, their tackles were

720
00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:26,359
Speaker 4: out and Herbert was hurt, Tank Dell gets hurt for Houston.

721
00:41:26,520 --> 00:41:29,880
Speaker 4: Just mentioned San Francisco lost literally every single skill position

722
00:41:29,920 --> 00:41:33,239
Speaker 4: player there before or during the game early on. No

723
00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:35,239
Speaker 4: Evans or Godwin for Tampa Bay. I mean, I can

724
00:41:35,280 --> 00:41:37,960
Speaker 4: go on and on. So I do think that the

725
00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:41,480
Speaker 4: pass defense is a little over Raighton. Now is Houston

726
00:41:41,520 --> 00:41:43,319
Speaker 4: the team that's really going to take advantage of that?

727
00:41:44,400 --> 00:41:47,360
Speaker 4: Probably not. I mean, their offensive line is not great.

728
00:41:48,960 --> 00:41:52,840
Speaker 4: What is the path here for Houston? Because I actually

729
00:41:52,840 --> 00:41:56,880
Speaker 4: the Chiefs defense a little overrated. Their pass defense and

730
00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:58,919
Speaker 4: their run defense has been really good this year. They've

731
00:41:58,960 --> 00:42:03,640
Speaker 4: really improved in that aspect. But their Chiefs offense might

732
00:42:03,680 --> 00:42:09,280
Speaker 4: be underrated because, I mean, you have Travis kelce rested.

733
00:42:09,440 --> 00:42:12,600
Speaker 4: We always see him up his game. I think he's

734
00:42:12,640 --> 00:42:15,240
Speaker 4: gone fourteen straight playoff games with five or more catches,

735
00:42:15,280 --> 00:42:17,440
Speaker 4: which is an NFL record, and seventy or more yards

736
00:42:17,440 --> 00:42:20,080
Speaker 4: and all of them, which is just insane. But you

737
00:42:20,160 --> 00:42:24,240
Speaker 4: got Hollywood brown back Hopkins more assimilated into the offense.

738
00:42:24,280 --> 00:42:27,920
Speaker 4: It's helped out Worthy Pacheck go back healthy. Curious to

739
00:42:27,920 --> 00:42:29,680
Speaker 4: see what they do at left tackle with Joe Toney.

740
00:42:29,760 --> 00:42:32,040
Speaker 4: Do they put him out there it hurts the run game,

741
00:42:32,640 --> 00:42:33,960
Speaker 4: or do they put him at left guard where their

742
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:35,000
Speaker 4: run games more effective.

743
00:42:35,080 --> 00:42:35,560
Speaker 2: I don't know.

744
00:42:36,120 --> 00:42:38,719
Speaker 4: But this offense could just come out firing and just

745
00:42:38,840 --> 00:42:41,920
Speaker 4: the short passes and that you might really miss Jimmy

746
00:42:41,960 --> 00:42:45,279
Speaker 4: Ward and Jalen Petrie here. But the Texans do have

747
00:42:45,320 --> 00:42:49,080
Speaker 4: a path. The rundy's really good, and they have two

748
00:42:49,160 --> 00:42:52,360
Speaker 4: really good corners on the outside, and they have two

749
00:42:52,960 --> 00:42:58,040
Speaker 4: elite edge rushers that can cause havoc. So they getting

750
00:42:58,080 --> 00:43:02,200
Speaker 4: the Chiefs into passing downs. And then getting to mahomes

751
00:43:02,239 --> 00:43:04,160
Speaker 4: and you're gonna have to cause turnovers. I mean, I

752
00:43:04,239 --> 00:43:06,960
Speaker 4: go back the last time a fifteen win team lost

753
00:43:06,960 --> 00:43:10,160
Speaker 4: in the divisional round. You gotta go back twenty eleven,

754
00:43:10,200 --> 00:43:13,319
Speaker 4: the Giants who were nine and seven and ended up

755
00:43:13,360 --> 00:43:19,000
Speaker 4: winning the Super Bowl. They they beat the fifteen and

756
00:43:19,080 --> 00:43:21,799
Speaker 4: one Packers with a Hall of Fame quarterback. And how

757
00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:25,200
Speaker 4: do they do it? Turnovers? For the think four turnovers

758
00:43:25,200 --> 00:43:28,359
Speaker 4: and Hakeem Knicks went nuts. I think you have like

759
00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:30,080
Speaker 4: one hundred and eighty yards in the first half. That

760
00:43:30,120 --> 00:43:33,160
Speaker 4: has to be Nico Collins and you got a four turnovers.

761
00:43:33,760 --> 00:43:37,680
Speaker 4: So but it's it's hard to see. I mean, what

762
00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:39,680
Speaker 4: you're gonna have to do here is you're not gonna

763
00:43:39,680 --> 00:43:42,799
Speaker 4: able to run it with mixing. And the Texans have

764
00:43:42,920 --> 00:43:45,840
Speaker 4: increased their early down pass rate from like fifty percent

765
00:43:45,920 --> 00:43:48,120
Speaker 4: to like sixty five percent since Week twelve, which is

766
00:43:48,160 --> 00:43:50,800
Speaker 4: top three in the league, which I think is smart.

767
00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:53,040
Speaker 4: You're gonna have to just I think spread them out.

768
00:43:53,360 --> 00:43:55,759
Speaker 4: Your receiving options aren't great, and you're just gonna have

769
00:43:55,760 --> 00:43:58,560
Speaker 4: to tell Hope Stroud is on strout has to use

770
00:43:58,560 --> 00:44:01,120
Speaker 4: his legs. And I do think if you're looking for

771
00:44:01,160 --> 00:44:05,120
Speaker 4: a prop one that I do like Dalton Schultz over

772
00:44:05,400 --> 00:44:07,480
Speaker 4: thirty three, thirty four and a half, thirty five and

773
00:44:07,520 --> 00:44:09,719
Speaker 4: a half, wherever it is yards over three and a

774
00:44:09,760 --> 00:44:13,560
Speaker 4: half catches tight end has gone over forty yards twelve

775
00:44:13,560 --> 00:44:16,960
Speaker 4: of seventeen games for Kansas, twelve of sixteen games against

776
00:44:17,040 --> 00:44:20,280
Speaker 4: Kansas City excluding the finale. They're one of the worst

777
00:44:20,480 --> 00:44:24,480
Speaker 4: defenses in the NFL against tight ends, tight ends ravaging

778
00:44:24,520 --> 00:44:27,480
Speaker 4: about six catches for seventy yards per game. They just

779
00:44:27,480 --> 00:44:31,000
Speaker 4: put Stover their backup on ir and when Dell went

780
00:44:31,040 --> 00:44:33,799
Speaker 4: out against the Chiefs earlier, Schultz ended up having five

781
00:44:33,840 --> 00:44:37,080
Speaker 4: catches for forty five yards. So they're gonna all the

782
00:44:37,120 --> 00:44:38,600
Speaker 4: attention is gonna be a new of collums. You're gonna

783
00:44:38,680 --> 00:44:41,080
Speaker 4: McDuffie following them around. Schultz has got to be the

784
00:44:41,200 --> 00:44:43,200
Speaker 4: check down. You got to get the ball to them quick.

785
00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:46,200
Speaker 4: You're probably gonna be playing from behind. So I think

786
00:44:46,239 --> 00:44:49,040
Speaker 4: it could be a big day for Schultz. I think

787
00:44:49,080 --> 00:44:52,400
Speaker 4: it's a bit too many points, but because the Chiefs

788
00:44:52,480 --> 00:44:54,640
Speaker 4: just don't play to cover these numbers, right Like, if

789
00:44:54,640 --> 00:44:56,479
Speaker 4: you look at the Bills and the Ravens, they're gonna

790
00:44:56,480 --> 00:44:59,239
Speaker 4: have all these blowouts. But the Chiefs. They're gonna be

791
00:44:59,320 --> 00:45:02,400
Speaker 4: methodical and at the end of the game, they just

792
00:45:02,520 --> 00:45:04,440
Speaker 4: they know their defense is good. They're gonna have like

793
00:45:04,440 --> 00:45:06,719
Speaker 4: an eight minute drive and then ended up kneeing on

794
00:45:06,760 --> 00:45:10,040
Speaker 4: the ball. And so I think it's a bit too

795
00:45:10,040 --> 00:45:13,240
Speaker 4: many points. The Texans defense is elite, but it's definitely

796
00:45:13,280 --> 00:45:17,920
Speaker 4: scary indoor team going outdoors, frigid temperatures, Kansas City rested

797
00:45:18,000 --> 00:45:20,399
Speaker 4: offense could be just it could just look a lot

798
00:45:20,440 --> 00:45:24,400
Speaker 4: better and at Stroud behind that offensive line, trying to

799
00:45:24,400 --> 00:45:26,319
Speaker 4: deal with Chris Jones could be problematic.

800
00:45:27,360 --> 00:45:31,440
Speaker 1: You know, one thing I played is you can get

801
00:45:31,480 --> 00:45:35,760
Speaker 1: Travis Kelce plus one point fifty just to score a touchdown.

802
00:45:36,040 --> 00:45:38,120
Speaker 1: I mean last year in the first two playoff games

803
00:45:38,360 --> 00:45:40,600
Speaker 1: or I guess the ones against the Bills and the Ravens.

804
00:45:40,640 --> 00:45:44,120
Speaker 1: He had two against the Bills and one against the Ravens. Obviously,

805
00:45:44,200 --> 00:45:46,680
Speaker 1: the Ravens kind of the ones at the tone. To me,

806
00:45:46,840 --> 00:45:49,480
Speaker 1: he's a pretty big tone setter for them. And we

807
00:45:49,800 --> 00:45:52,400
Speaker 1: talked about them saving up I mean, of all the

808
00:45:52,440 --> 00:45:55,919
Speaker 1: guys they save, obviously Mahomes, they're very dependent on him

809
00:45:56,200 --> 00:45:59,560
Speaker 1: to make big plays. Chris Jones definitely throughout the season,

810
00:45:59,560 --> 00:46:03,080
Speaker 1: like Travis has shown life over the last month, but really,

811
00:46:03,120 --> 00:46:06,239
Speaker 1: this is what he plays for now. Like I think

812
00:46:06,280 --> 00:46:09,200
Speaker 1: it's an auto hammer. If you can get plus money

813
00:46:09,239 --> 00:46:12,560
Speaker 1: odds on Travis Kelsey scoring a touchdown in any playoff game,

814
00:46:12,600 --> 00:46:13,560
Speaker 1: the Chiefs play.

815
00:46:14,560 --> 00:46:17,239
Speaker 4: Kelsey props are just for free money, no matter where

816
00:46:17,320 --> 00:46:21,200
Speaker 4: the books put the line. Historically, it's insane. Yeah, he

817
00:46:21,360 --> 00:46:24,960
Speaker 4: just he's at three weeks too, probably will be look

818
00:46:25,200 --> 00:46:31,640
Speaker 4: as fresh and rejuvenated as he has since last playoffs.

819
00:46:32,760 --> 00:46:35,080
Speaker 1: Let's let's go to the next game. I mean, it's

820
00:46:35,120 --> 00:46:37,719
Speaker 1: kind of crazy that the two games on Saturday. One's

821
00:46:37,760 --> 00:46:39,239
Speaker 1: an eight and a half point line, the other is

822
00:46:39,280 --> 00:46:41,960
Speaker 1: a nine and a half point line. Pretty crazy swing, right.

823
00:46:42,000 --> 00:46:45,000
Speaker 1: This game opened up in Detroit at like five and

824
00:46:45,040 --> 00:46:48,080
Speaker 1: a half six points and is now on DraftKings it's

825
00:46:48,160 --> 00:46:49,839
Speaker 1: nine and a half. Who knows, I mean, maybe gets

826
00:46:49,920 --> 00:46:53,919
Speaker 1: ten by the time they kick off. I feel more

827
00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:57,719
Speaker 1: confident in this spot for Detroit than I do in

828
00:46:57,800 --> 00:47:00,359
Speaker 1: Kansas City, like you just listed. I mean, they playing

829
00:47:00,400 --> 00:47:01,920
Speaker 1: a lot of close games they just happened to win

830
00:47:01,960 --> 00:47:05,239
Speaker 1: like ninety nine point nine percent of them. I think

831
00:47:05,280 --> 00:47:08,880
Speaker 1: Detroit really showed something in that Week eighteen game against Minnesota.

832
00:47:08,960 --> 00:47:11,560
Speaker 1: They're even more well rested. You know, they get the

833
00:47:11,680 --> 00:47:14,239
Speaker 1: unique advantage of, like when their coaches interview, like I've

834
00:47:14,239 --> 00:47:16,680
Speaker 1: seen Kellen Moore's interviewing, and I don't I mean, it's

835
00:47:16,719 --> 00:47:19,480
Speaker 1: just the rules are the rules on Friday afternoon of

836
00:47:19,520 --> 00:47:21,319
Speaker 1: a playoff week. Like their guys got to bang them

837
00:47:21,320 --> 00:47:24,160
Speaker 1: out during the bye week before they even technically knew

838
00:47:24,160 --> 00:47:26,320
Speaker 1: who they were playing. So it doesn't take away anything.

839
00:47:27,040 --> 00:47:30,040
Speaker 1: And like I think all the pressures on the Lions

840
00:47:30,600 --> 00:47:34,280
Speaker 1: in the NFC, they have home field. They have playoff

841
00:47:34,360 --> 00:47:38,040
Speaker 1: experience now, like literally all their guys that hadn't been

842
00:47:38,080 --> 00:47:40,160
Speaker 1: like the Jared Goffs coming from other teams got to

843
00:47:40,160 --> 00:47:43,880
Speaker 1: play in three playoff games last year. And this Washington

844
00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:46,800
Speaker 1: team's an incredible story. And listen, I take them seriously.

845
00:47:47,040 --> 00:47:49,439
Speaker 1: They're obviously well coached, they're tough, The coach is good.

846
00:47:49,960 --> 00:47:53,800
Speaker 1: You know, Terry mclaurin's a fantastic player. But this feels

847
00:47:53,840 --> 00:47:56,200
Speaker 1: like a spot. I mean, I just think Detroit can

848
00:47:56,280 --> 00:47:58,120
Speaker 1: go pedal to the medal. And listen, we talked about

849
00:47:58,200 --> 00:48:01,480
Speaker 1: rookie quarterbacks and he definitely passed that first test on

850
00:48:01,520 --> 00:48:04,200
Speaker 1: the road in Tampa, which I wouldn't exactly say is

851
00:48:04,239 --> 00:48:06,440
Speaker 1: the craziest place to play on the road. In their defense,

852
00:48:06,520 --> 00:48:10,120
Speaker 1: especially the secondary not great right now. But like, I'm

853
00:48:10,120 --> 00:48:12,200
Speaker 1: not trying to diminish anything away from Jade Daniels. The

854
00:48:12,200 --> 00:48:16,279
Speaker 1: guy's been a fucking baller this year. I don't know, man,

855
00:48:16,520 --> 00:48:18,920
Speaker 1: I don't see how Washington keeps this thing close. I

856
00:48:19,000 --> 00:48:21,840
Speaker 1: like Detroit here big yeah.

857
00:48:21,640 --> 00:48:22,080
Speaker 2: I mean yeah.

858
00:48:22,080 --> 00:48:24,200
Speaker 4: I gotta give credit Daniels. I had the Bucks last

859
00:48:24,200 --> 00:48:28,560
Speaker 4: week and saying he like it came down to Baker Mayfield.

860
00:48:28,560 --> 00:48:31,160
Speaker 4: They botched that handoff, and he botched the fun and

861
00:48:31,200 --> 00:48:34,080
Speaker 4: he fumbled the snap. Guess who didn't make any of

862
00:48:34,080 --> 00:48:37,000
Speaker 4: those mistakes of his Daniels, and he was poised throughout.

863
00:48:38,160 --> 00:48:41,200
Speaker 1: I'm not trying to make an excuse for Baker. I

864
00:48:41,239 --> 00:48:43,960
Speaker 1: think for Liam Cohen though, to have assuming that's like

865
00:48:44,040 --> 00:48:46,520
Speaker 1: a you know, a quick end around try to get

866
00:48:46,560 --> 00:48:50,880
Speaker 1: to the edge. I think you gotta you know, mitigate

867
00:48:51,160 --> 00:48:54,720
Speaker 1: your potential disasters there and just run some basic plays

868
00:48:54,760 --> 00:48:57,200
Speaker 1: in spots like that like that was that's a little

869
00:48:57,280 --> 00:48:59,400
Speaker 1: risky in the second half of a tight game in

870
00:48:59,440 --> 00:49:01,279
Speaker 1: the playoffs, is not that's fair.

871
00:49:01,360 --> 00:49:06,440
Speaker 4: I also, it's second and one, it's third and one,

872
00:49:06,880 --> 00:49:09,239
Speaker 4: and you know, you go backwards. If it's second and one,

873
00:49:10,080 --> 00:49:13,960
Speaker 4: why not take a shot if you want to do that,

874
00:49:14,280 --> 00:49:16,000
Speaker 4: or just pick up the first und sneak the ball.

875
00:49:16,600 --> 00:49:18,879
Speaker 4: I mean, do a touchbush. In three to five years

876
00:49:18,880 --> 00:49:21,600
Speaker 4: now everyone will do a touch push. It's unstoppable. And

877
00:49:21,960 --> 00:49:23,880
Speaker 4: instead you go backwards and then backwards and then you

878
00:49:23,960 --> 00:49:28,200
Speaker 4: kick a field goal and that was a disastrous situation.

879
00:49:28,239 --> 00:49:30,320
Speaker 4: So yeah, I thought Kohen got too cute at times,

880
00:49:30,360 --> 00:49:31,160
Speaker 4: But it.

881
00:49:31,120 --> 00:49:33,480
Speaker 1: Feels like everyone's instituted it. Like the Ravens do it

882
00:49:33,480 --> 00:49:36,640
Speaker 1: with Mark Andrews. Were they doing it with I think

883
00:49:36,680 --> 00:49:38,960
Speaker 1: they've done it this year with Mariota, who's a little

884
00:49:39,000 --> 00:49:41,719
Speaker 1: bigger than Jayden. It's like everyone has their own kind

885
00:49:41,760 --> 00:49:43,840
Speaker 1: of version of it. Most people don't have a quarterback

886
00:49:43,880 --> 00:49:46,640
Speaker 1: that squats eight thousand pounds like Jalen, but you have

887
00:49:46,719 --> 00:49:47,719
Speaker 1: other players on the team.

888
00:49:47,760 --> 00:49:50,040
Speaker 4: They they have other players. They just practice once a week,

889
00:49:50,120 --> 00:49:52,840
Speaker 4: practice taking snaps and moving forward. I mean it's not difficult,

890
00:49:53,200 --> 00:49:55,279
Speaker 4: and that's a success rate is ninety five percent. How

891
00:49:55,320 --> 00:49:58,480
Speaker 4: many times you've see in a game where these teams

892
00:49:58,480 --> 00:50:01,080
Speaker 4: are lining up in shotgun at the goal line and

893
00:50:01,080 --> 00:50:04,640
Speaker 4: they get stuffed. I mean it's insane. So I mean

894
00:50:04,719 --> 00:50:06,319
Speaker 4: to not do it's just malpractice.

895
00:50:06,360 --> 00:50:08,239
Speaker 2: But yeah, that I.

896
00:50:08,200 --> 00:50:10,320
Speaker 4: Will say, the line of defense still has major issues.

897
00:50:10,360 --> 00:50:13,160
Speaker 4: I mean, yeah, they got to Donald, who's seeing goes,

898
00:50:13,160 --> 00:50:15,000
Speaker 4: But we saw what the Rams did at Donald as well.

899
00:50:15,280 --> 00:50:17,760
Speaker 4: And it's not like the Rams have a great defense.

900
00:50:18,200 --> 00:50:20,520
Speaker 4: You gotta go back. You know, the Bills put up

901
00:50:20,560 --> 00:50:23,880
Speaker 4: fifty on Detroit. The I mean if the forty nine

902
00:50:23,920 --> 00:50:25,520
Speaker 4: ers should have put up fifty and they weren't at

903
00:50:25,560 --> 00:50:29,120
Speaker 4: full strength, they couple bad party throwers. Otherwise there they

904
00:50:29,120 --> 00:50:31,800
Speaker 4: probably win that game. Even the Bears, they're dead offense,

905
00:50:32,000 --> 00:50:34,080
Speaker 4: you know, put up three under fifty four in yards,

906
00:50:34,440 --> 00:50:36,760
Speaker 4: so there's a path of command. The lines really struggle

907
00:50:36,800 --> 00:50:39,560
Speaker 4: with mobile quarterbacks, like really bad. They play cover one

908
00:50:39,680 --> 00:50:43,799
Speaker 4: ton of man, they blitz. Mclarin's gonna have to have

909
00:50:43,840 --> 00:50:45,360
Speaker 4: to have a big day. It's not like they've had

910
00:50:45,400 --> 00:50:47,440
Speaker 4: an explosive passing offense. It's not like this is the

911
00:50:47,440 --> 00:50:50,040
Speaker 4: Bills of the Ravens. So maybe the lines will be

912
00:50:50,040 --> 00:50:55,080
Speaker 4: all right. But historically these playoff games with the high

913
00:50:55,120 --> 00:50:57,400
Speaker 4: total this sold was fifty five and a half indoors

914
00:50:58,200 --> 00:51:00,600
Speaker 4: go over. I think seven of the last eight with

915
00:51:00,640 --> 00:51:03,560
Speaker 4: a total fifty four more have gone over. It would

916
00:51:03,560 --> 00:51:05,560
Speaker 4: be over nothing. For me. Fifty five's a key number

917
00:51:05,560 --> 00:51:08,319
Speaker 4: and you need fifty five or better. But I don't

918
00:51:08,320 --> 00:51:11,399
Speaker 4: see how the how Washington stops Detroit. I mean, their

919
00:51:11,400 --> 00:51:14,840
Speaker 4: defense is really bad. They I mean they're twenty seventh

920
00:51:14,840 --> 00:51:17,960
Speaker 4: against the run. They play a ton of man golf.

921
00:51:18,000 --> 00:51:20,240
Speaker 4: Was the number one quarterback the NFL against man coverage

922
00:51:20,640 --> 00:51:23,239
Speaker 4: this year. I don't know how they get stops because

923
00:51:23,239 --> 00:51:26,160
Speaker 4: they're not going to get pressure and their secondary is bad.

924
00:51:27,320 --> 00:51:30,239
Speaker 4: So what can Daniels do the other what makes this

925
00:51:30,360 --> 00:51:32,400
Speaker 4: tough even for the total, but also the side. I

926
00:51:32,440 --> 00:51:34,760
Speaker 4: mean you could also get a backdoor here because Washington's

927
00:51:34,800 --> 00:51:39,279
Speaker 4: gonna put up some points fourth down bariants. There will

928
00:51:39,280 --> 00:51:44,840
Speaker 4: be many fourth downs in this game. Washington has the

929
00:51:44,960 --> 00:51:49,719
Speaker 4: number one EPA so expected points at it of any

930
00:51:49,760 --> 00:51:52,560
Speaker 4: team over the past twenty years on fourth downs. They're

931
00:51:52,840 --> 00:51:55,799
Speaker 4: the most aggressive team on fourth downs this year, only

932
00:51:55,840 --> 00:51:59,080
Speaker 4: behind the Lions. So do the Lions and they've gotten

933
00:51:59,160 --> 00:52:01,200
Speaker 4: like all of them. Do they keep getting those fourth downs?

934
00:52:01,200 --> 00:52:03,960
Speaker 4: If not, it could be a long bed because you're

935
00:52:03,960 --> 00:52:05,959
Speaker 4: gonna get the ball back to Detroit and they're gonna score.

936
00:52:05,960 --> 00:52:07,520
Speaker 4: So there's a lot of aarans with the fourth down

937
00:52:07,880 --> 00:52:10,520
Speaker 4: calls in this game. Someone I do like Sam Laporta

938
00:52:10,880 --> 00:52:13,719
Speaker 4: over yardage. I think forty eight and a half last

939
00:52:13,800 --> 00:52:17,640
Speaker 4: year's last two playoff games nine catches, nine catches. He's

940
00:52:17,680 --> 00:52:20,520
Speaker 4: healthy now and if you look over his past five games,

941
00:52:21,239 --> 00:52:24,360
Speaker 4: he's averaging five point eight catches for sixty seven yards

942
00:52:25,120 --> 00:52:28,400
Speaker 4: over his first eleven about two point eight for thirty

943
00:52:28,440 --> 00:52:32,120
Speaker 4: five healthy, getting targeted. Washington cannot cover tight ends, so

944
00:52:32,360 --> 00:52:36,719
Speaker 4: I think Laporta has a big day. The spread I'm

945
00:52:36,800 --> 00:52:39,120
Speaker 4: undecided on. I kind of like the over. I think

946
00:52:39,120 --> 00:52:40,880
Speaker 4: it's just it could come down to a back door.

947
00:52:41,880 --> 00:52:44,600
Speaker 4: It could come down to just one or two fourth

948
00:52:44,680 --> 00:52:46,520
Speaker 4: downs that both these teams are probably gonna go there.

949
00:52:46,480 --> 00:52:48,400
Speaker 4: Pab There's probably gonna be like six or seven at

950
00:52:48,480 --> 00:52:52,360
Speaker 4: least fourth downs in this game. I do feel confident

951
00:52:52,400 --> 00:52:54,359
Speaker 4: the lines scoring, though, so maybe like a Lion's team

952
00:52:54,360 --> 00:52:55,680
Speaker 4: total over because.

953
00:52:55,400 --> 00:52:59,320
Speaker 1: The line I'm looking right now, you can get basically

954
00:53:00,040 --> 00:53:03,720
Speaker 1: even odds anywhere after thirty three and a half points.

955
00:53:03,719 --> 00:53:06,480
Speaker 2: I think they should get to thirty four plus.

956
00:53:07,320 --> 00:53:09,040
Speaker 1: Would it shock you if they win this game? Or

957
00:53:09,800 --> 00:53:14,160
Speaker 1: forty to seventeen or something like that. So if you

958
00:53:14,239 --> 00:53:17,879
Speaker 1: wanted to get aggressive, you can get basically plus two

959
00:53:18,000 --> 00:53:20,640
Speaker 1: seventy at over you know, thirty nine and a half.

960
00:53:20,760 --> 00:53:22,719
Speaker 1: If you wanted to think they could score like forty five,

961
00:53:22,760 --> 00:53:25,160
Speaker 1: you can get three to one, four to one. I mean,

962
00:53:25,640 --> 00:53:27,880
Speaker 1: I think this could be one of their regular season

963
00:53:27,880 --> 00:53:30,360
Speaker 1: games now, once they got to forty and had a

964
00:53:30,400 --> 00:53:32,480
Speaker 1: decent lead. I think with like six seven minutes, I

965
00:53:32,560 --> 00:53:34,880
Speaker 1: think they would be pretty careful given what's on the

966
00:53:34,880 --> 00:53:38,440
Speaker 1: line here. But I could see would shock you at

967
00:53:38,480 --> 00:53:40,640
Speaker 1: halftime if they got twenty four to twenty seven inch

968
00:53:40,680 --> 00:53:43,880
Speaker 1: points and they're gonna come out fucking firing. I mean,

969
00:53:43,880 --> 00:53:46,200
Speaker 1: this is a pretty big moment for Ben Johnson right now.

970
00:53:46,680 --> 00:53:49,400
Speaker 1: Obviously the connection of him and Brady and it's kind

971
00:53:49,440 --> 00:53:51,719
Speaker 1: of crazy, but it feels like, you know, he might

972
00:53:51,960 --> 00:53:54,239
Speaker 1: might go to the Raiders, but just a pretty big

973
00:53:54,320 --> 00:53:57,680
Speaker 1: muscle flex of his team's healthy, and he just knows,

974
00:53:57,760 --> 00:54:00,440
Speaker 1: like maybe not this individual game, but for them to

975
00:54:00,480 --> 00:54:02,799
Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl, like it's gonna be more on

976
00:54:02,840 --> 00:54:04,960
Speaker 1: his shoulders than it is like Aaron Glen can only do.

977
00:54:05,080 --> 00:54:06,680
Speaker 1: He could blitz all he wants. I mean, their players

978
00:54:06,719 --> 00:54:09,880
Speaker 1: are their players right, like offensively, like their margin feerr

979
00:54:10,760 --> 00:54:14,839
Speaker 1: just over the next whatever six twelve, eighteen, one hundred

980
00:54:14,840 --> 00:54:16,880
Speaker 1: and eighty minutes. Is like they got to score a

981
00:54:16,880 --> 00:54:20,400
Speaker 1: lot of points like they got. They can't be punning

982
00:54:20,440 --> 00:54:24,360
Speaker 1: often and I expect I mean, this is kind of

983
00:54:24,360 --> 00:54:28,680
Speaker 1: the culmination of this guy's career as a coordinator, kind

984
00:54:28,680 --> 00:54:32,000
Speaker 1: of a muscle flex like his almost Kyle Shanahan moment

985
00:54:32,040 --> 00:54:35,560
Speaker 1: for the Atlanta Falcons with Maddy Ice. Now, obviously they

986
00:54:35,600 --> 00:54:38,680
Speaker 1: blew it at the end, which ironically has bled into

987
00:54:38,680 --> 00:54:41,640
Speaker 1: his Niner career, but that stretch with with Julio and

988
00:54:41,680 --> 00:54:44,479
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan was really kind of got the ball rolling

989
00:54:44,560 --> 00:54:46,879
Speaker 1: for the guy, right. Obviously he had momentum, and same

990
00:54:46,880 --> 00:54:51,640
Speaker 1: thing with Ben Jonsony. I like the Lions. I think

991
00:54:51,640 --> 00:54:53,960
Speaker 1: there's just a lot of pressure on the Lions and

992
00:54:54,040 --> 00:54:55,799
Speaker 1: this is I don't know if the game that's really

993
00:54:55,800 --> 00:55:12,720
Speaker 1: gonna come to fruition, but I like that there. H Okay,

994
00:55:12,800 --> 00:55:18,680
Speaker 1: let's go to Sunday. As you alluded to before, we

995
00:55:18,760 --> 00:55:21,239
Speaker 1: hopped on the weather in Philadelphia and I lived there

996
00:55:21,239 --> 00:55:23,080
Speaker 1: for a couple of years. A year obviously from that area,

997
00:55:23,320 --> 00:55:26,200
Speaker 1: it can be pretty cold, especially in the middle of January,

998
00:55:26,680 --> 00:55:30,120
Speaker 1: and that's a pretty big factor here for a team

999
00:55:30,120 --> 00:55:33,319
Speaker 1: that plays in the Dome in the Rams. Now, the

1000
00:55:33,440 --> 00:55:38,719
Speaker 1: Rams obviously went from looking pretty crappy I thought down

1001
00:55:38,760 --> 00:55:41,600
Speaker 1: the stretch of the season to just playing a pretty

1002
00:55:41,600 --> 00:55:45,440
Speaker 1: impressive game. And maybe it was. You tell me, is

1003
00:55:45,480 --> 00:55:48,960
Speaker 1: that just a perfect matchup for the Rams playing Minnesota

1004
00:55:48,960 --> 00:55:52,280
Speaker 1: that beat them twice this year? Obviously their front is powerful, fast,

1005
00:55:52,360 --> 00:55:57,480
Speaker 1: and the Minnesota Vikings offensive line is not good. Sam

1006
00:55:57,600 --> 00:56:00,319
Speaker 1: Darnold had negative momentum coming from the playoff game. And

1007
00:56:00,440 --> 00:56:03,120
Speaker 1: I don't know where you stand, but one take I

1008
00:56:03,160 --> 00:56:05,759
Speaker 1: had is, like, listen, Kevin O'Connell has been anointed as

1009
00:56:05,840 --> 00:56:07,839
Speaker 1: like a McVeigh a Shannon handle of floor. He's got

1010
00:56:07,920 --> 00:56:11,640
Speaker 1: no big wins in his career. He's basically like a taller, skinnier,

1011
00:56:12,120 --> 00:56:15,080
Speaker 1: better regular season version of Mike McDaniel. But in that

1012
00:56:15,120 --> 00:56:18,279
Speaker 1: game specifically, I'm not against passing the ball, but when

1013
00:56:18,320 --> 00:56:21,280
Speaker 1: your quarterback's really rattled and your offensive line is getting

1014
00:56:21,320 --> 00:56:24,200
Speaker 1: smoked ten to three in the first half, even when

1015
00:56:24,200 --> 00:56:26,839
Speaker 1: it's seventeen to three, if you just get a sustainable drive,

1016
00:56:26,880 --> 00:56:28,839
Speaker 1: maybe get a field goal, you settle everything down maybe

1017
00:56:28,960 --> 00:56:31,480
Speaker 1: seventeen to six. Then you get a turnover, like you're

1018
00:56:31,520 --> 00:56:34,279
Speaker 1: not totally out of the game, and he just is

1019
00:56:34,320 --> 00:56:36,839
Speaker 1: obsessed with passing, itst like this is not gonna work

1020
00:56:36,880 --> 00:56:39,520
Speaker 1: Kevin and I thought he gets pretty pass happy. That's why.

1021
00:56:39,600 --> 00:56:41,960
Speaker 1: Big picture, like, if you're just gonna insert JJ McCarthy

1022
00:56:42,000 --> 00:56:44,320
Speaker 1: next year, a guy that literally came from a college

1023
00:56:44,320 --> 00:56:47,640
Speaker 1: program that was run heavy, that's never been dependent, it's

1024
00:56:47,680 --> 00:56:50,680
Speaker 1: gonna be a tough transition conversation for a separate day.

1025
00:56:50,719 --> 00:56:54,080
Speaker 1: But overall, like maybe that's just a perfect matchup. When

1026
00:56:54,080 --> 00:56:56,680
Speaker 1: we saw early in the season, like the Eagles just

1027
00:56:56,760 --> 00:56:59,279
Speaker 1: have a lot more talent than the Rams, because there's

1028
00:56:59,320 --> 00:57:02,680
Speaker 1: not a person thinking about this today. If you just

1029
00:57:02,800 --> 00:57:05,719
Speaker 1: pulled every GM in the league, would you want Sirianni

1030
00:57:05,880 --> 00:57:09,520
Speaker 1: or McVeigh, it'd be thirty two nothing McVeigh, right, including

1031
00:57:09,520 --> 00:57:12,160
Speaker 1: the Eagles. And then if you said McVeigh, you got

1032
00:57:12,200 --> 00:57:15,439
Speaker 1: to higher Sirianni, what position would he give Sirianni, He'd

1033
00:57:15,440 --> 00:57:17,560
Speaker 1: be like his wide receiver coach or tight end coach. Right,

1034
00:57:17,560 --> 00:57:20,160
Speaker 1: he wouldn't even be his coordinate. But the Eagles are

1035
00:57:20,240 --> 00:57:23,200
Speaker 1: kind of uniquely suited because like, yeah, it's Sirianna doesn't

1036
00:57:23,200 --> 00:57:25,360
Speaker 1: really fuck with either. It's like Callen gets to run

1037
00:57:25,400 --> 00:57:28,960
Speaker 1: that and Vic definitely gets to run that, and that

1038
00:57:29,000 --> 00:57:32,120
Speaker 1: defensive line. I mean Jalen Carter a pretty big muscle

1039
00:57:32,160 --> 00:57:34,000
Speaker 1: flex for Howie, like, yeah, we'll take a swing a

1040
00:57:34,040 --> 00:57:36,000
Speaker 1: little bumpy early on. Now the guy looks like, I

1041
00:57:36,040 --> 00:57:41,560
Speaker 1: don't know Chris Jones two point zero UNO. So all

1042
00:57:41,560 --> 00:57:44,000
Speaker 1: their young guys, I mean the two corners Dejeene and

1043
00:57:44,040 --> 00:57:47,600
Speaker 1: Mitchell are studs. C J. Gardner is bringing them just

1044
00:57:47,640 --> 00:57:50,040
Speaker 1: a physical element that they clearly lack last year.

1045
00:57:50,680 --> 00:57:53,440
Speaker 4: And Jack Jahn is an All Pro but they brought

1046
00:57:53,480 --> 00:57:55,560
Speaker 4: him into be an edge rusher. He's an All Pro linebacker,

1047
00:57:55,560 --> 00:57:58,040
Speaker 4: which was a huge position of need that's been massive.

1048
00:57:58,080 --> 00:58:00,160
Speaker 4: But yeah, they definitely will miss Dean a little bit.

1049
00:58:00,080 --> 00:58:02,840
Speaker 1: Here because Owen Brooks last year when he had to

1050
00:58:02,840 --> 00:58:05,240
Speaker 1: come in. You know, the forty nine ers lost Drake

1051
00:58:05,280 --> 00:58:07,880
Speaker 1: Greenlaw in the Super Bowl with the Achilles and throughout

1052
00:58:07,880 --> 00:58:09,880
Speaker 1: the season when they'd get guys binged up like he

1053
00:58:10,000 --> 00:58:12,680
Speaker 1: is a major drop off if you have a solid starter,

1054
00:58:13,080 --> 00:58:15,560
Speaker 1: and the Kobe's kind of come into his own. So

1055
00:58:15,800 --> 00:58:19,520
Speaker 1: I want to take the rams here. I just think

1056
00:58:19,560 --> 00:58:22,400
Speaker 1: there might be a pretty big talent gap just player

1057
00:58:22,440 --> 00:58:26,080
Speaker 1: for a player, and ultimately the coaching advantage. I don't

1058
00:58:26,080 --> 00:58:27,760
Speaker 1: know if it can totally rear its head because I

1059
00:58:27,920 --> 00:58:30,439
Speaker 1: don't really know, like what It's not like Sirianni's telling

1060
00:58:30,520 --> 00:58:32,040
Speaker 1: Callen or Vic Fangio what to do.

1061
00:58:33,480 --> 00:58:36,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean Fangio McVeigh that they have some history.

1062
00:58:36,600 --> 00:58:41,720
Speaker 4: Fangio famously kind of put out the blueprint against McVeigh

1063
00:58:41,960 --> 00:58:44,440
Speaker 4: in the regular season when.

1064
00:58:44,280 --> 00:58:45,320
Speaker 1: He was with the Bears.

1065
00:58:45,560 --> 00:58:48,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, Belichick took in the Super Bowl and shut down

1066
00:58:49,600 --> 00:58:52,200
Speaker 4: the Rams, and then they had their rematch earlier this

1067
00:58:52,320 --> 00:58:54,680
Speaker 4: year where McVeigh had a good script earlier, but then

1068
00:58:54,720 --> 00:58:58,480
Speaker 4: Fangio ended up getting the better of him. McVeigh. This

1069
00:58:58,520 --> 00:59:00,120
Speaker 4: is a top spot for the Rams. I mean you

1070
00:59:00,120 --> 00:59:05,000
Speaker 4: played Monday night, so you're on short road. Yeah, and

1071
00:59:05,360 --> 00:59:08,320
Speaker 4: now you're going across the country and you're an indoor

1072
00:59:08,360 --> 00:59:11,720
Speaker 4: team going outdoors into weather could be snow, it could

1073
00:59:11,760 --> 00:59:12,360
Speaker 4: be some wind.

1074
00:59:13,000 --> 00:59:14,760
Speaker 2: And one of the.

1075
00:59:14,760 --> 00:59:16,360
Speaker 4: Things that I think contributed that last because I do

1076
00:59:16,400 --> 00:59:18,200
Speaker 4: think it's a good matchup in a way. Vikings are

1077
00:59:18,280 --> 00:59:22,280
Speaker 4: really zone heavy blitz. Stafford's been really good against both

1078
00:59:22,280 --> 00:59:26,880
Speaker 4: this year. But McVeigh rested all of his starters week eighteen.

1079
00:59:27,000 --> 00:59:29,440
Speaker 4: Didn't care about the seed. He's got an older quarterback,

1080
00:59:30,080 --> 00:59:33,360
Speaker 4: He's got guys that hadn't been rested since I think

1081
00:59:33,360 --> 00:59:35,680
Speaker 4: their by was Week five, I think it was most

1082
00:59:35,720 --> 00:59:36,600
Speaker 4: important for Stafford.

1083
00:59:36,600 --> 00:59:38,800
Speaker 2: He looked fresh indoors.

1084
00:59:38,920 --> 00:59:40,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, you look kind of like how he

1085
00:59:40,160 --> 00:59:42,480
Speaker 4: did in that Buffalo game when they went toe to

1086
00:59:42,480 --> 00:59:44,200
Speaker 4: toe with Buffalo and won a game in the forties.

1087
00:59:44,360 --> 00:59:49,760
Speaker 4: But we've also seen Stafford outdoors this year. I mean

1088
00:59:50,440 --> 00:59:53,480
Speaker 4: you want to look Rams outdoors. This is I kind

1089
00:59:53,480 --> 00:59:55,000
Speaker 4: of like the first half undering this game. And these

1090
00:59:55,000 --> 00:59:58,160
Speaker 4: are two of the worst first quarter offenses in the NFL.

1091
00:59:58,160 --> 01:00:00,320
Speaker 4: I mean, the Eagles starts slow every week. See they

1092
01:00:00,360 --> 01:00:02,880
Speaker 4: got a fumbled kickoff on the first play the game,

1093
01:00:02,880 --> 01:00:05,960
Speaker 4: which led to a touchdown. But these are horrible early

1094
01:00:07,000 --> 01:00:11,800
Speaker 4: first quarter offenses, especially the Rams outdoors on the road.

1095
01:00:12,040 --> 01:00:14,720
Speaker 4: Here are they're games. They played five games outdoors this year.

1096
01:00:14,720 --> 01:00:17,040
Speaker 4: They were down ten six at the half against the Bears,

1097
01:00:17,520 --> 01:00:22,440
Speaker 4: down thirteen to three against the Seahawks, three to three

1098
01:00:23,560 --> 01:00:26,640
Speaker 4: against the Niners, and that that was a game with weather,

1099
01:00:27,240 --> 01:00:30,600
Speaker 4: down nine to six at the Jets, and they were

1100
01:00:30,680 --> 01:00:35,200
Speaker 4: up fourteen to ten at New England. Cumulative score forty

1101
01:00:35,240 --> 01:00:37,600
Speaker 4: five thirty two average score. They were down nine point

1102
01:00:37,640 --> 01:00:42,479
Speaker 4: six to six point four in those games. So yeah,

1103
01:00:42,520 --> 01:00:44,720
Speaker 4: these are also two top six red zone defenses. Both

1104
01:00:44,760 --> 01:00:47,800
Speaker 4: offense has been struggled in the red zone and the

1105
01:00:47,840 --> 01:00:50,200
Speaker 4: Eagles just yeah, they tore them apart. And they didn't

1106
01:00:50,200 --> 01:00:53,040
Speaker 4: even have Devonte Smith in that first meeting. You can

1107
01:00:53,080 --> 01:00:54,720
Speaker 4: say the Rams also didn't have their right tackle.

1108
01:00:54,760 --> 01:00:55,120
Speaker 2: Aven't seen.

1109
01:00:55,160 --> 01:00:57,959
Speaker 4: They didn't have Higbee, who I think is going to play.

1110
01:00:58,000 --> 01:01:01,600
Speaker 4: But the problem for the ram is that the Eagles

1111
01:01:01,640 --> 01:01:06,680
Speaker 4: offensive line can neutralize is good the Rams pass rush

1112
01:01:06,920 --> 01:01:09,400
Speaker 4: and the RAMS secondary is not very good.

1113
01:01:09,760 --> 01:01:09,880
Speaker 1: Now.

1114
01:01:10,040 --> 01:01:14,720
Speaker 4: Hurts was last week just rust and the concussion. He's

1115
01:01:14,720 --> 01:01:16,960
Speaker 4: holding the ball too long. I don't think ag Brown's

1116
01:01:17,000 --> 01:01:19,919
Speaker 4: fully healthy. And then the weather so win that could

1117
01:01:19,960 --> 01:01:22,880
Speaker 4: help the Rams, Like, because you're gonna have to sew

1118
01:01:22,920 --> 01:01:24,479
Speaker 4: up to try to stop the run here, Well.

1119
01:01:24,360 --> 01:01:26,240
Speaker 1: Why wouldn't you just do that, put nine in the

1120
01:01:26,240 --> 01:01:29,360
Speaker 1: box and be like, Okay, Jalen, you beat us because

1121
01:01:29,480 --> 01:01:31,360
Speaker 1: down I would say the majority of the season. He

1122
01:01:31,400 --> 01:01:33,880
Speaker 1: had a couple moments, but it has been a lot

1123
01:01:33,920 --> 01:01:37,240
Speaker 1: of struggle. And I do think we can make fun

1124
01:01:37,280 --> 01:01:40,240
Speaker 1: of the book reading all you want. I think the

1125
01:01:40,280 --> 01:01:43,080
Speaker 1: AJ Brown Jalen Hurts thing. I mean that you can't

1126
01:01:43,120 --> 01:01:46,640
Speaker 1: tell me anything else. Besides, there's something weird going on. There,

1127
01:01:46,680 --> 01:01:49,280
Speaker 1: like he's not just reading the book to try trying

1128
01:01:49,280 --> 01:01:51,240
Speaker 1: to calm down so he doesn't attack Jalen because he

1129
01:01:51,240 --> 01:01:53,680
Speaker 1: thinks he's getting open and fucking Jalen can't see anything

1130
01:01:53,720 --> 01:01:56,240
Speaker 1: in their passing games. Why would anyone's trying to be

1131
01:01:56,360 --> 01:01:59,440
Speaker 1: critical of Kellen Moore where it's like, okay, I understand

1132
01:01:59,520 --> 01:02:02,680
Speaker 1: the charge, or like button heads with McCarthy, like in

1133
01:02:02,680 --> 01:02:04,800
Speaker 1: this situation, like if your quarterback just is in the

1134
01:02:04,800 --> 01:02:07,040
Speaker 1: pocket and doesn't see anything and then nothing happens, Like

1135
01:02:07,440 --> 01:02:10,080
Speaker 1: that's not always on the coach, especially when you've got

1136
01:02:10,080 --> 01:02:12,000
Speaker 1: a J. Brown and Davonte Smith of Dallas God he

1137
01:02:12,080 --> 01:02:16,200
Speaker 1: runner routes. I mean, I'm sorry, Yeah, they have.

1138
01:02:16,160 --> 01:02:18,280
Speaker 4: An identity crisis. I don't know exactly what's going on

1139
01:02:18,320 --> 01:02:20,520
Speaker 4: because the pieces are there. You go Barkley, it's round

1140
01:02:20,520 --> 01:02:24,360
Speaker 4: for two thousand yards, got her two great receivers, one

1141
01:02:24,400 --> 01:02:27,240
Speaker 4: of the best offensive lines in the NFL, quarterback who's

1142
01:02:27,240 --> 01:02:30,920
Speaker 4: performed well at the highest levels. But something's off. I

1143
01:02:31,400 --> 01:02:34,280
Speaker 4: like the offense at the structure and how they want

1144
01:02:34,320 --> 01:02:38,800
Speaker 4: to operate, and something is is so off I can't

1145
01:02:38,800 --> 01:02:40,200
Speaker 4: put my finger on it. Because a lot of them,

1146
01:02:40,200 --> 01:02:43,120
Speaker 4: what they do is not Helen Morres. So I don't

1147
01:02:43,120 --> 01:02:46,479
Speaker 4: know if it's like they can't mesh what Hurts wants

1148
01:02:46,520 --> 01:02:49,320
Speaker 4: to do, and then Sirianni maybe is also trying to

1149
01:02:49,320 --> 01:02:53,080
Speaker 4: put his say in and that's why they're like the

1150
01:02:53,160 --> 01:02:55,960
Speaker 4: script is really bad, Like they can never score early.

1151
01:02:56,640 --> 01:03:00,520
Speaker 1: They're lucky that, you know how he's such a GM

1152
01:03:00,600 --> 01:03:03,520
Speaker 1: they nailed the two corner picks because their dbs were terrible.

1153
01:03:03,520 --> 01:03:04,440
Speaker 4: They went and got Barkley.

1154
01:03:04,840 --> 01:03:07,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, and they got Barkley and they got Fangio. That

1155
01:03:07,200 --> 01:03:10,240
Speaker 1: is really kind of because when you're like last week,

1156
01:03:10,320 --> 01:03:11,920
Speaker 1: I had a buddy in the league text me, it's like,

1157
01:03:11,920 --> 01:03:14,480
Speaker 1: if the Packers just played above average game, the Eagles

1158
01:03:14,480 --> 01:03:16,880
Speaker 1: would have been in major trouble. But fucking Jordan Lovell

1159
01:03:16,880 --> 01:03:19,640
Speaker 1: like mirror you out there. So it's like when you

1160
01:03:19,760 --> 01:03:22,320
Speaker 1: just can't I mean that their offense for a team

1161
01:03:22,400 --> 01:03:24,920
Speaker 1: like you said, that isn't just loaded like high price.

1162
01:03:25,040 --> 01:03:27,640
Speaker 1: These are like Lane Johnson's a Hall of Famer. AJ's

1163
01:03:27,680 --> 01:03:30,560
Speaker 1: been one of the better players of this generation. Sakwon

1164
01:03:31,120 --> 01:03:32,600
Speaker 1: not gonna be a Hall of Famer because he'll probably

1165
01:03:32,640 --> 01:03:35,200
Speaker 1: never get the numbers, but is a Hall of Fame talent.

1166
01:03:35,760 --> 01:03:38,560
Speaker 1: You know, It's like it's pretty crazy how much they struggled.

1167
01:03:38,560 --> 01:03:42,480
Speaker 1: It's in Green Bay. I mean solid effort by halfleey,

1168
01:03:42,520 --> 01:03:44,560
Speaker 1: but that's not exactly the eighty five Bears from a

1169
01:03:44,560 --> 01:03:45,840
Speaker 1: personnel standpoint, is it?

1170
01:03:45,840 --> 01:03:48,040
Speaker 4: And and their top corner was out.

1171
01:03:48,200 --> 01:03:50,760
Speaker 1: The linebacker Cooper of fifty six is a monster. That

1172
01:03:50,800 --> 01:03:51,480
Speaker 1: guy's sweet.

1173
01:03:51,960 --> 01:03:52,120
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1174
01:03:52,160 --> 01:03:55,160
Speaker 4: The Packers also got so they they they kind of

1175
01:03:55,160 --> 01:03:56,720
Speaker 4: they got. The Eagles got away with it. I mean

1176
01:03:56,680 --> 01:03:59,480
Speaker 4: their defense is really good, but Jenkins got hurt. Then

1177
01:03:59,560 --> 01:04:01,600
Speaker 4: pack is the worst backup guards in the NFL, and

1178
01:04:01,640 --> 01:04:05,920
Speaker 4: they were just kidding every player. They also lost three

1179
01:04:05,960 --> 01:04:09,680
Speaker 4: of their starting receivers to injury, like it was insane.

1180
01:04:10,800 --> 01:04:14,160
Speaker 4: The Eagles got away with that offensive performance because number one,

1181
01:04:14,200 --> 01:04:16,760
Speaker 4: their defense was really good, and number two the Packers

1182
01:04:16,760 --> 01:04:18,760
Speaker 4: they were so inept. But part of that was just

1183
01:04:18,800 --> 01:04:21,040
Speaker 4: all the injuries and then the turnover. You know, on

1184
01:04:21,080 --> 01:04:23,520
Speaker 4: the first play in the game, the mis field goal.

1185
01:04:23,760 --> 01:04:26,000
Speaker 1: The guard plays. I mean, that's as bad as you'll

1186
01:04:26,000 --> 01:04:26,800
Speaker 1: see in the NFL.

1187
01:04:26,920 --> 01:04:29,320
Speaker 4: I mean there was three holding goals within the first

1188
01:04:29,320 --> 01:04:32,160
Speaker 4: two drives on the same guard, the backup.

1189
01:04:31,800 --> 01:04:33,600
Speaker 1: Guard, but then he yanked and put the other guy

1190
01:04:33,640 --> 01:04:37,120
Speaker 1: in the and that that guy flew into the center

1191
01:04:37,160 --> 01:04:38,360
Speaker 1: it looked like he broke his ankle.

1192
01:04:39,360 --> 01:04:44,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, that was bad, bad news. So yeah, I like

1193
01:04:44,120 --> 01:04:45,760
Speaker 4: the first half under. I think this will be lower

1194
01:04:45,800 --> 01:04:50,400
Speaker 4: scoring early. I do think that, like what the Eagles,

1195
01:04:50,520 --> 01:04:52,400
Speaker 4: They're going to look back at that first like something

1196
01:04:52,520 --> 01:04:55,880
Speaker 4: still off with the passing attack. I don't know if

1197
01:04:55,920 --> 01:04:58,920
Speaker 4: they solve that in a week, but I do think

1198
01:04:58,960 --> 01:05:00,919
Speaker 4: that they want to. They're gonna come out, they're gonna

1199
01:05:00,960 --> 01:05:02,360
Speaker 4: run the ball. The most run heavy team in the

1200
01:05:02,480 --> 01:05:05,280
Speaker 4: NFL with them in the Packers, and they're gonna want

1201
01:05:05,280 --> 01:05:08,760
Speaker 4: to wear down the Rams and they're gonna rely on

1202
01:05:08,800 --> 01:05:11,400
Speaker 4: their defense. And that's what happened in the first meeting.

1203
01:05:12,160 --> 01:05:14,640
Speaker 4: Barkley had seventy five yards at the half, which is

1204
01:05:14,640 --> 01:05:17,240
Speaker 4: really good, but he finished with two hundred and fifty.

1205
01:05:17,680 --> 01:05:19,840
Speaker 4: He went off in the second half. The Rams defensive

1206
01:05:19,840 --> 01:05:23,320
Speaker 4: line just wore down. So yeah, I think this will

1207
01:05:23,360 --> 01:05:26,760
Speaker 4: be lower scoring. I think the Rams will be more

1208
01:05:26,840 --> 01:05:30,600
Speaker 4: run heavy this week. Cooper Cup's just not the same guy.

1209
01:05:30,800 --> 01:05:32,840
Speaker 4: Eagles can play more man, they can get pressure without

1210
01:05:32,840 --> 01:05:37,720
Speaker 4: blitzing Stafford outdoors. It's gonna be tough for them. It's

1211
01:05:38,040 --> 01:05:41,280
Speaker 4: Nick Nikool is gonna have to go nuts. I don't

1212
01:05:41,280 --> 01:05:43,640
Speaker 4: know he's probably gonna have that twelve catches or something

1213
01:05:45,160 --> 01:05:47,240
Speaker 4: and they're gonna have to hold up in the red zone.

1214
01:05:47,240 --> 01:05:49,040
Speaker 4: Both these reds, both these defenses are good in the

1215
01:05:49,040 --> 01:05:52,040
Speaker 4: red zone. But I think I need seven to bet

1216
01:05:52,040 --> 01:05:54,480
Speaker 4: the Rams given all the situations. But m McVeigh verus

1217
01:05:54,480 --> 01:05:57,160
Speaker 4: fantasy a great chest match. Curious McVeigh sometimes has these

1218
01:05:57,160 --> 01:06:00,320
Speaker 4: wrinkles with different formations on what he's gonna see if

1219
01:06:00,320 --> 01:06:03,560
Speaker 4: Fangi has a wrinkle. But McVeagh has been good in

1220
01:06:03,560 --> 01:06:06,000
Speaker 4: these spots. He's fifty, He's sixteen and seven against the

1221
01:06:06,000 --> 01:06:10,000
Speaker 4: spread on short rest twelve and two his last fourteen games.

1222
01:06:10,000 --> 01:06:12,680
Speaker 4: There's something when he goes like even across the country

1223
01:06:12,720 --> 01:06:14,960
Speaker 4: short rest, he he gets his team, he gets the

1224
01:06:15,000 --> 01:06:19,680
Speaker 4: most out of his team in these situations. But uh yeah,

1225
01:06:19,800 --> 01:06:22,960
Speaker 4: good good coordinator battle here especially and I've been impressed

1226
01:06:23,000 --> 01:06:25,160
Speaker 4: with Schule too on the defensive side, but especially Fangio

1227
01:06:25,160 --> 01:06:28,560
Speaker 4: oversus me today totally. That's that's gonna be a fascinating watch.

1228
01:06:28,640 --> 01:06:32,960
Speaker 4: But first half under for me, I could see the

1229
01:06:33,040 --> 01:06:34,120
Speaker 4: Rams and probably needs seven.

1230
01:06:35,800 --> 01:06:38,400
Speaker 1: I do think obviously there's no topping when you win

1231
01:06:38,440 --> 01:06:42,280
Speaker 1: a super Bowl, but you know, in this I'm not

1232
01:06:42,320 --> 01:06:44,160
Speaker 1: trying to take anything away from McVeigh. It's not like,

1233
01:06:44,240 --> 01:06:47,040
Speaker 1: you know, his super Bowl did come against Zach Taylor,

1234
01:06:47,040 --> 01:06:48,960
Speaker 1: who I don't know if you know in decades, is

1235
01:06:49,000 --> 01:06:51,000
Speaker 1: going to be remembered as you know, it's not like

1236
01:06:51,040 --> 01:06:52,800
Speaker 1: Tom Coughlin, like who'd you beat in the Super Bowl?

1237
01:06:52,840 --> 01:06:57,240
Speaker 1: Belichick twice? But I do think this would be by far,

1238
01:06:57,480 --> 01:07:00,520
Speaker 1: and he's he's got eight playoff victories, I mean, his best.

1239
01:07:00,560 --> 01:07:03,000
Speaker 1: This would be like his Picasso moment as a coach,

1240
01:07:03,040 --> 01:07:05,640
Speaker 1: to go on the road and beat Philly, Like you said,

1241
01:07:05,680 --> 01:07:08,160
Speaker 1: factoring in the short week, factoring in this team wasn't

1242
01:07:08,160 --> 01:07:11,840
Speaker 1: supposed to be even that good. They win the division, Uh,

1243
01:07:11,960 --> 01:07:13,800
Speaker 1: they beat the shit out of Minnesota. It would be

1244
01:07:14,640 --> 01:07:17,400
Speaker 1: it would be a pretty big like crowning achievement early,

1245
01:07:17,800 --> 01:07:20,120
Speaker 1: you know, for the in the guy's career, I think,

1246
01:07:20,160 --> 01:07:22,840
Speaker 1: and again like super Bowl, there's no topping that, but

1247
01:07:23,320 --> 01:07:25,840
Speaker 1: you do have moments throughout your coaching career, like it's

1248
01:07:25,880 --> 01:07:28,840
Speaker 1: like it's listen, Kyle Shanahan a terrible year. He has

1249
01:07:28,840 --> 01:07:32,040
Speaker 1: had some pretty incredible wins in the playoffs, like went

1250
01:07:32,080 --> 01:07:34,720
Speaker 1: on the road and you know, beat Aaron Rodgers in

1251
01:07:34,760 --> 01:07:38,000
Speaker 1: a freezing cold game with Jimmy Garoppolo doing nothing, Like

1252
01:07:38,160 --> 01:07:40,240
Speaker 1: you have those type moments like how the hell did

1253
01:07:40,280 --> 01:07:43,920
Speaker 1: you pull that off? You know, Andy's had many in Philly.

1254
01:07:43,960 --> 01:07:45,720
Speaker 1: He had a ton of those throughout his career.

1255
01:07:45,800 --> 01:07:50,160
Speaker 5: When Harbo Harball's had a bunch on the road. It's

1256
01:07:50,160 --> 01:07:51,920
Speaker 5: just a big deal as it goes on. You know

1257
01:07:52,000 --> 01:07:55,840
Speaker 5: the thing about Belichick, you remove his six Super Bowls,

1258
01:07:56,160 --> 01:07:58,200
Speaker 5: he has a ton of those over the years, like

1259
01:07:58,200 --> 01:07:58,560
Speaker 5: how do you.

1260
01:07:58,560 --> 01:08:00,480
Speaker 1: Beat the Ravens in that game? Like what do you

1261
01:08:00,520 --> 01:08:02,880
Speaker 1: do to Mike Tomlin in that game? It's just like

1262
01:08:02,920 --> 01:08:04,960
Speaker 1: those are moments that like, oh, yeah, this guy's a

1263
01:08:05,000 --> 01:08:07,000
Speaker 1: law Hall of Fame or one of the greats. So

1264
01:08:07,520 --> 01:08:09,520
Speaker 1: that's the thing that would make me nervous. I'm an

1265
01:08:09,520 --> 01:08:13,320
Speaker 1: Eagles fan, like everyone acknowledges our team's better, but it's

1266
01:08:13,360 --> 01:08:16,439
Speaker 1: like this coach clearly is just cooking up some because

1267
01:08:16,439 --> 01:08:19,479
Speaker 1: everyone's like Kevin O'Connor McVeigh, same guy, No, not exactly,

1268
01:08:19,800 --> 01:08:21,479
Speaker 1: like not even close.

1269
01:08:22,640 --> 01:08:28,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, and and McVeigh he'll he'll deserve now. And maybe

1270
01:08:28,240 --> 01:08:31,120
Speaker 4: it's just random and not correlated, but if they win

1271
01:08:31,120 --> 01:08:34,920
Speaker 4: this game in Stafford looks great outdoors, that's probably related

1272
01:08:34,960 --> 01:08:38,719
Speaker 4: to his decision. That everyone gave him shit for for resting.

1273
01:08:38,760 --> 01:08:41,920
Speaker 4: Everyone not worried about to see, but he's wanted to

1274
01:08:41,960 --> 01:08:44,200
Speaker 4: stay healthy and get his older quarterback rest. So he

1275
01:08:44,200 --> 01:08:47,960
Speaker 4: looks good here after not looking good down the stretch. Uh,

1276
01:08:49,360 --> 01:08:52,639
Speaker 4: that'll be another feather in his cap. But yeah, Ram's

1277
01:08:52,720 --> 01:08:55,960
Speaker 4: just gotta keep this close, keep it low scoring, ugly

1278
01:08:56,840 --> 01:09:00,639
Speaker 4: stops in the red zone, and then look there's weather.

1279
01:09:00,880 --> 01:09:05,720
Speaker 4: Jake Elliott's been doesn't look great, look as awful as

1280
01:09:05,760 --> 01:09:09,479
Speaker 4: field goals here, you get a turnover, you get hurts

1281
01:09:09,479 --> 01:09:14,639
Speaker 4: to you know, make a boneheaded throw because I also

1282
01:09:14,680 --> 01:09:16,280
Speaker 4: don't think a j. Brown might be I think he's

1283
01:09:16,280 --> 01:09:18,720
Speaker 4: still just not one hundred percent with his knee and

1284
01:09:18,760 --> 01:09:23,400
Speaker 4: there's just something going on there other than that. But yeah,

1285
01:09:23,560 --> 01:09:25,280
Speaker 4: excited for that one. But you gotta keep an eye

1286
01:09:25,280 --> 01:09:33,120
Speaker 4: on the weather. It could be bad.

1287
01:09:39,800 --> 01:09:43,759
Speaker 1: Okay, let's get to the main event. I have no clue.

1288
01:09:43,880 --> 01:09:47,799
Speaker 1: I see three scenarios out of the four that are possible.

1289
01:09:48,680 --> 01:09:51,880
Speaker 1: Ravens Bills win either one in a closer game, just

1290
01:09:51,920 --> 01:09:54,840
Speaker 1: a good NFL game. The Ravens, like what happened in

1291
01:09:54,880 --> 01:09:58,960
Speaker 1: the regular season, separate as the game goes on. I

1292
01:09:59,040 --> 01:10:03,000
Speaker 1: don't see I have a hard time seeing the Bills

1293
01:10:03,040 --> 01:10:05,640
Speaker 1: winning a game by like fifteen to twenty points or

1294
01:10:05,760 --> 01:10:08,160
Speaker 1: just you know, a commanding victory. Like, to me, if

1295
01:10:08,200 --> 01:10:10,160
Speaker 1: they're gonna win, they're gonna win a close game. I

1296
01:10:10,560 --> 01:10:13,960
Speaker 1: just can't see like them doing like looking like what

1297
01:10:14,000 --> 01:10:16,320
Speaker 1: the Rams just look like against Minnesota. You're like, they

1298
01:10:16,360 --> 01:10:21,040
Speaker 1: just won thirty one to whatever. But this is just fantastic. Obviously,

1299
01:10:21,120 --> 01:10:24,439
Speaker 1: the storylines speak for themselves. A ton of pressure on

1300
01:10:24,479 --> 01:10:27,519
Speaker 1: both teams, both quarterbacks who were just I mean, look

1301
01:10:27,640 --> 01:10:31,680
Speaker 1: like they fucking mastered the position last weekend. I just

1302
01:10:32,520 --> 01:10:35,759
Speaker 1: I'm leaning your squad here, and you know the Bills

1303
01:10:35,800 --> 01:10:41,000
Speaker 1: are an underdog at home, but the Ravens defense is just,

1304
01:10:41,120 --> 01:10:43,040
Speaker 1: to me, the biggest difference if we just both go.

1305
01:10:43,200 --> 01:10:48,439
Speaker 1: Offenses are awesome, quarterbacks are dominant. Obviously, Derrick Henry is

1306
01:10:48,520 --> 01:10:52,360
Speaker 1: much more famous than James Cook, but I think James

1307
01:10:52,400 --> 01:10:54,720
Speaker 1: Cook's emergence over this last year and a half, I mean,

1308
01:10:54,720 --> 01:10:58,519
Speaker 1: he's changed their offense. But is Buffalo good enough on

1309
01:10:58,680 --> 01:11:03,000
Speaker 1: defense to slow down this freight train? Because I don't know,

1310
01:11:03,439 --> 01:11:05,040
Speaker 1: you know, you could argue there's when you get an

1311
01:11:05,040 --> 01:11:07,120
Speaker 1: all time great quarterback, they're just gonna figure it out.

1312
01:11:07,439 --> 01:11:09,679
Speaker 1: But I do know that Baltimore is just really damn

1313
01:11:09,680 --> 01:11:12,080
Speaker 1: good on defense, So yeah, they might not stop every time,

1314
01:11:12,120 --> 01:11:14,720
Speaker 1: but they're gonna get more stops than Buffalo, So that

1315
01:11:14,760 --> 01:11:17,040
Speaker 1: that's where I would lean right now. It just feels

1316
01:11:17,080 --> 01:11:19,519
Speaker 1: like Baltimore's the better team.

1317
01:11:21,240 --> 01:11:24,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, I make it a coin flip. And the Ravens defense,

1318
01:11:24,240 --> 01:11:27,320
Speaker 4: since like week eleven, has been number one in the NFL.

1319
01:11:28,080 --> 01:11:31,360
Speaker 4: They made some changes personnel wise. They put Humphrey in

1320
01:11:31,360 --> 01:11:34,920
Speaker 4: the slot, kept him there, put what Rdarius Washington back

1321
01:11:34,920 --> 01:11:36,240
Speaker 4: at safety, got rid of some of the veterans, and

1322
01:11:36,280 --> 01:11:38,040
Speaker 4: then put Kyle Hamilton back there, and then change how they

1323
01:11:38,080 --> 01:11:42,760
Speaker 4: communicate Kyle Hamilton's kind of directing everybody after the play

1324
01:11:42,880 --> 01:11:44,000
Speaker 4: comes into Roqueline.

1325
01:11:46,040 --> 01:11:48,080
Speaker 1: If we just looked at it from a personnel standpoint,

1326
01:11:48,360 --> 01:11:51,479
Speaker 1: how many of how many of Buffalo's eleven starters on

1327
01:11:51,560 --> 01:11:53,040
Speaker 1: defense would start for the Ravens.

1328
01:11:59,320 --> 01:12:05,920
Speaker 4: Let's see, probably so none of the safeties Taran Johnson, Well,

1329
01:12:06,080 --> 01:12:08,439
Speaker 4: you've got Humphreys and all pro Tron Johnson, he's their

1330
01:12:08,720 --> 01:12:13,320
Speaker 4: best defender, he's their slot. I don't even know if

1331
01:12:13,360 --> 01:12:18,320
Speaker 4: he would start. Probably Christian Bedford, Whrsill Douglas is getting

1332
01:12:18,360 --> 01:12:23,639
Speaker 4: up there in age Milano's as well, one of the

1333
01:12:23,640 --> 01:12:30,720
Speaker 4: the edge rushers Rosa because the Ravens edge rushers are

1334
01:12:30,760 --> 01:12:31,360
Speaker 4: not great.

1335
01:12:31,400 --> 01:12:33,360
Speaker 1: That's like, but that's what we're talking about here. There

1336
01:12:33,400 --> 01:12:36,519
Speaker 1: is a pretty substantial difference of how many guys would

1337
01:12:36,520 --> 01:12:39,160
Speaker 1: start for you know, one team, like a personnel difference

1338
01:12:39,240 --> 01:12:42,920
Speaker 1: right now, and that's you know, Buffalo eighth. That's why

1339
01:12:42,960 --> 01:12:45,759
Speaker 1: I like Baltimore in this game. Is the personnel on defense.

1340
01:12:46,680 --> 01:12:49,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I will say that.

1341
01:12:49,160 --> 01:12:53,240
Speaker 1: Mc dormot's mcdermot's obviously a really really high end defensive.

1342
01:12:52,720 --> 01:12:53,679
Speaker 2: Coordinator, right.

1343
01:12:53,960 --> 01:12:58,640
Speaker 4: Yeah. The one of the I've props wise, I like

1344
01:12:58,680 --> 01:13:00,400
Speaker 4: Isaiah likely. One of the reason, as I do, is

1345
01:13:00,400 --> 01:13:02,280
Speaker 4: that the Bills can't cover over the middle of the field.

1346
01:13:03,040 --> 01:13:07,080
Speaker 4: Their safeties are bad, linebackers aren't great in coverage, and

1347
01:13:07,800 --> 01:13:09,439
Speaker 4: I'm curious to see how they play this because in

1348
01:13:09,439 --> 01:13:11,800
Speaker 4: the first meeting, the Ravens run at thirty four times

1349
01:13:11,800 --> 01:13:13,880
Speaker 4: for two hundred and seventy one yards average eight yards

1350
01:13:13,880 --> 01:13:18,640
Speaker 4: per carry. Bills and McDermott, by definition, they want to

1351
01:13:18,640 --> 01:13:23,080
Speaker 4: play their safeties back prevent explosive plays. The problem is

1352
01:13:23,360 --> 01:13:27,120
Speaker 4: they're not great at stopping the run. They're gonna They're undersized,

1353
01:13:27,120 --> 01:13:30,479
Speaker 4: in the defensive line, you're not gonna be able to

1354
01:13:30,479 --> 01:13:33,080
Speaker 4: stop anyway. So I think they're gonna have to change.

1355
01:13:33,080 --> 01:13:35,840
Speaker 4: They're gonna to go a little heavier here, and likely

1356
01:13:35,880 --> 01:13:39,240
Speaker 4: he lined up I think out wide last week without Flowers,

1357
01:13:39,240 --> 01:13:42,240
Speaker 4: he lined up out wide twenty eight times, in the

1358
01:13:42,280 --> 01:13:45,720
Speaker 4: slot fifteen times. I think you can have a huge

1359
01:13:45,800 --> 01:13:47,240
Speaker 4: day over the middle of the field, and this should

1360
01:13:47,240 --> 01:13:49,040
Speaker 4: be a competitive game like games script wise, it's not

1361
01:13:49,040 --> 01:13:50,519
Speaker 4: gonna be like a blout where the Ravens don't just

1362
01:13:50,600 --> 01:13:54,679
Speaker 4: run it and end the game. But the biggest difference

1363
01:13:54,720 --> 01:13:58,160
Speaker 4: with these two teams, you have MVP caliber quarterbacks, great offenses,

1364
01:14:00,040 --> 01:14:04,960
Speaker 4: unbelievable offenses, good offensive lines. Quarterbacks aren't going to take sacks,

1365
01:14:05,000 --> 01:14:07,720
Speaker 4: can use their legs, like a lot of similarities in

1366
01:14:07,760 --> 01:14:10,280
Speaker 4: the offenses. You don't have like star studded receivers, but

1367
01:14:10,280 --> 01:14:13,560
Speaker 4: you have a lot of nice weapons and they do

1368
01:14:13,640 --> 01:14:14,920
Speaker 4: a lot of different things in the run gaming.

1369
01:14:15,040 --> 01:14:18,080
Speaker 1: Because do you think flowers plays in this game are probably.

1370
01:14:17,840 --> 01:14:22,680
Speaker 4: Not no, And I mean at the first thing, he

1371
01:14:22,720 --> 01:14:24,719
Speaker 4: only had like one catch for fifteen yards, Like that's

1372
01:14:25,479 --> 01:14:27,880
Speaker 4: the Bill's corners are pretty good, so he's not even

1373
01:14:27,920 --> 01:14:29,880
Speaker 4: that He art's a little bit like placks and like

1374
01:14:29,960 --> 01:14:32,479
Speaker 4: deep shot, but the Ravens are going to just like

1375
01:14:32,720 --> 01:14:34,080
Speaker 4: do what they did in the first meeting. It's like

1376
01:14:34,080 --> 01:14:35,720
Speaker 4: throw over the middle of the field, use the tight ends,

1377
01:14:35,840 --> 01:14:40,120
Speaker 4: use the backs, throw to Justice Hill more. And that's

1378
01:14:40,479 --> 01:14:44,200
Speaker 4: a weakness of the Bills. The biggest difference in this

1379
01:14:44,240 --> 01:14:45,680
Speaker 4: game is that the Ravens have one of the best

1380
01:14:45,720 --> 01:14:49,000
Speaker 4: run defenses in the NFL, so they can stop the

1381
01:14:49,080 --> 01:14:53,240
Speaker 4: Bills rushing attack without changing what they do, Whereas the

1382
01:14:53,280 --> 01:14:56,160
Speaker 4: Bills do not have a good rushing rush defense, so

1383
01:14:56,800 --> 01:14:59,400
Speaker 4: they're either going to get gashed or they have to

1384
01:14:59,479 --> 01:15:02,400
Speaker 4: change with the they do. And the Ravens are also

1385
01:15:02,640 --> 01:15:07,559
Speaker 4: much stronger up the gut and in the center, in

1386
01:15:07,600 --> 01:15:10,480
Speaker 4: the middle of the field with their safeties and linebackers

1387
01:15:10,479 --> 01:15:13,200
Speaker 4: and the Bills. Now, I also I should mention that

1388
01:15:13,200 --> 01:15:15,120
Speaker 4: Bills fans are probably yelling this summer that in the

1389
01:15:15,120 --> 01:15:16,720
Speaker 4: first meeting, I mean, Toron Johnson is one of the

1390
01:15:16,760 --> 01:15:18,920
Speaker 4: best SLocker winners NFL, he didn't play, and then a

1391
01:15:18,920 --> 01:15:21,080
Speaker 4: couple of their linebackers didn't play. You had like Nicholas

1392
01:15:21,080 --> 01:15:24,160
Speaker 4: Morrow and Baal and Spector out there. I think Eagles

1393
01:15:24,200 --> 01:15:26,879
Speaker 4: just to sign more out of their practice squad inspector

1394
01:15:27,760 --> 01:15:30,760
Speaker 4: a special teams guy, so they were missing some starters there,

1395
01:15:30,760 --> 01:15:35,479
Speaker 4: but just schematically, it's not gonna work. So I'm curious

1396
01:15:35,479 --> 01:15:37,000
Speaker 4: to see how they play it the way that I

1397
01:15:37,040 --> 01:15:39,720
Speaker 4: think it plays out because the Ravens d's been trending up,

1398
01:15:39,720 --> 01:15:41,240
Speaker 4: the Bills de's been trending down even though they've been

1399
01:15:41,240 --> 01:15:44,120
Speaker 4: getting healthier, and they are the second worst defense over

1400
01:15:44,120 --> 01:15:46,000
Speaker 4: the middle of the field in the NFL this year.

1401
01:15:47,960 --> 01:15:52,960
Speaker 4: The just numbers wise, Lamar Jackson is the most profitable

1402
01:15:53,800 --> 01:15:56,320
Speaker 4: quarterback in NFL history against the spread in the first

1403
01:15:56,360 --> 01:15:59,880
Speaker 4: half of games. He has insane numbers. There's always like

1404
01:15:59,880 --> 01:16:02,400
Speaker 4: a little shock to the system. I also think in

1405
01:16:02,439 --> 01:16:03,760
Speaker 4: this match up, like they're going to be able to

1406
01:16:03,800 --> 01:16:05,880
Speaker 4: come out and run the ball and sustain drives a

1407
01:16:05,920 --> 01:16:08,080
Speaker 4: little easier than the Bills, who are probably gonna get

1408
01:16:08,080 --> 01:16:12,040
Speaker 4: stuffed on a couple of runs and they might end

1409
01:16:12,120 --> 01:16:13,960
Speaker 4: up hunting a few more times in the first half.

1410
01:16:14,120 --> 01:16:16,200
Speaker 4: So Raven's first half moneyline, even though I think it's

1411
01:16:16,240 --> 01:16:18,760
Speaker 4: a point fi game, makes sense to me. Guess who's

1412
01:16:18,760 --> 01:16:22,080
Speaker 4: the most profitable quarterback in NFL history in the second

1413
01:16:22,120 --> 01:16:26,080
Speaker 4: AF against spread, Josh Allen. He's fifteen and two against

1414
01:16:26,120 --> 01:16:28,160
Speaker 4: the spread this year in the second half, seventy four

1415
01:16:28,280 --> 01:16:31,080
Speaker 4: forty four and three against the spread in the second half.

1416
01:16:31,400 --> 01:16:34,640
Speaker 4: Most profitable quarterback NFL history, second AFRI against spread. So

1417
01:16:35,360 --> 01:16:37,240
Speaker 4: and that makes sense to me, Like Raven's gonna come out.

1418
01:16:37,280 --> 01:16:38,839
Speaker 4: They don't really have the change what they do on defense.

1419
01:16:38,880 --> 01:16:41,479
Speaker 4: They're gonna be able to sustain Drize running it and

1420
01:16:41,560 --> 01:16:45,160
Speaker 4: additionally touching them back what you said, Or has done

1421
01:16:45,160 --> 01:16:46,600
Speaker 4: a good job this year in his first year, but

1422
01:16:47,320 --> 01:16:50,080
Speaker 4: a lot of that was player driven and McDermott still

1423
01:16:50,120 --> 01:16:54,160
Speaker 4: a much better defensive code. I trust McDermott to make

1424
01:16:54,800 --> 01:16:56,680
Speaker 4: better second half adjustment, same thing I told you in

1425
01:16:56,680 --> 01:16:58,720
Speaker 4: the Super Bowl by I like the Niners first half

1426
01:16:58,800 --> 01:17:00,679
Speaker 4: last year instead of the full game against the Cheeses.

1427
01:17:00,680 --> 01:17:03,400
Speaker 4: Like I trust Bags more than Wilkes to make adjustments.

1428
01:17:03,400 --> 01:17:04,960
Speaker 4: And that's what came of fruition.

1429
01:17:05,080 --> 01:17:09,160
Speaker 1: So last week was more personnel issue with the Steelers

1430
01:17:09,280 --> 01:17:12,040
Speaker 1: or a ski schematic issue with Tomlinn and Austin, Like

1431
01:17:12,080 --> 01:17:14,280
Speaker 1: why why do they look like they got no shot

1432
01:17:14,360 --> 01:17:17,120
Speaker 1: right now to stop them where they used to? It

1433
01:17:17,160 --> 01:17:19,599
Speaker 1: feels like they just completely lost.

1434
01:17:21,200 --> 01:17:24,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, I it's a good question. I don't really truly

1435
01:17:24,360 --> 01:17:27,920
Speaker 4: know the answer. I think that like so much of

1436
01:17:27,960 --> 01:17:35,519
Speaker 4: what they did was driven by the greatness of what

1437
01:17:36,600 --> 01:17:38,599
Speaker 4: like they would fall off a gate points per game,

1438
01:17:39,280 --> 01:17:42,320
Speaker 4: and I don't know if Watt's either fallen off or

1439
01:17:42,360 --> 01:17:45,000
Speaker 4: he's not. He wasn't healthy, like he just he just

1440
01:17:45,120 --> 01:17:48,320
Speaker 4: wasn't having the same impact as he normally would in

1441
01:17:48,360 --> 01:17:51,120
Speaker 4: the run in the past, and I would just a

1442
01:17:51,200 --> 01:17:56,240
Speaker 4: huge gap. They also had a lot of injuries. But yeah,

1443
01:17:56,240 --> 01:17:59,280
Speaker 4: I mean they always had Lamar's number, but the last

1444
01:17:59,280 --> 01:18:02,639
Speaker 4: two times not so much. But Watt's impact just wasn't

1445
01:18:02,680 --> 01:18:04,800
Speaker 4: the same this year. I don't know if he was

1446
01:18:04,960 --> 01:18:08,240
Speaker 4: healthier if we're just seeing a decline.

1447
01:18:07,880 --> 01:18:10,080
Speaker 1: Because I think the hard, hard part is and that

1448
01:18:10,120 --> 01:18:13,280
Speaker 1: they've you know, won They at first they took away

1449
01:18:13,400 --> 01:18:17,000
Speaker 1: Henry or they took away Lamar, and then Henry went off,

1450
01:18:17,040 --> 01:18:20,120
Speaker 1: and they kind of were like going back between, you know,

1451
01:18:20,479 --> 01:18:22,200
Speaker 1: which guy do we stop because it's hard to take

1452
01:18:22,280 --> 01:18:25,360
Speaker 1: him both on some of the like the you know,

1453
01:18:25,439 --> 01:18:27,759
Speaker 1: the concepts of the zone read or whatever.

1454
01:18:27,800 --> 01:18:30,280
Speaker 4: You Yeah, they basically said, we're gonna take out, try

1455
01:18:30,320 --> 01:18:32,680
Speaker 4: to take out Henry and live with Lamar running it.

1456
01:18:33,240 --> 01:18:36,120
Speaker 1: That'll be interesting. While McDermott does like, because you can't.

1457
01:18:36,200 --> 01:18:39,360
Speaker 1: I I could live with Lamar run around. I don't

1458
01:18:39,360 --> 01:18:42,000
Speaker 1: think you can just let Henry go for a buck seventy.

1459
01:18:42,400 --> 01:18:44,000
Speaker 1: I think you're a lock to lose.

1460
01:18:44,400 --> 01:18:47,479
Speaker 4: The Ravens also went multiple backs or multiple tight ends

1461
01:18:47,520 --> 01:18:50,519
Speaker 4: and ninety percent of snaps. They had fifteen snaps last

1462
01:18:50,520 --> 01:18:53,000
Speaker 4: week with Josh Jones, and there's a sixth offensive lineman.

1463
01:18:53,880 --> 01:18:57,439
Speaker 4: And the Bills used their base defense, which is when

1464
01:18:57,439 --> 01:18:59,960
Speaker 4: there's not an extra d back on the field, less

1465
01:19:00,520 --> 01:19:02,280
Speaker 4: than any team in the NFL. They just dining the

1466
01:19:02,360 --> 01:19:04,880
Speaker 4: highest with sixty backs. So like, you're not gonna do

1467
01:19:04,880 --> 01:19:07,559
Speaker 4: that a lot. Ravens come out with six offensive linemen

1468
01:19:07,760 --> 01:19:12,800
Speaker 4: likely and Andrews, you have sixty, it's not gonna work.

1469
01:19:12,920 --> 01:19:16,640
Speaker 4: And then so yeah, it's tough. The Ravens are like

1470
01:19:18,040 --> 01:19:22,240
Speaker 4: a unique offense that you know because McDermott in the

1471
01:19:22,280 --> 01:19:26,479
Speaker 4: defense that he built in Buffalo. It's built to stop

1472
01:19:26,560 --> 01:19:30,280
Speaker 4: most you know, modern offense. Most offenses are like spread,

1473
01:19:30,560 --> 01:19:33,559
Speaker 4: but the Ravens have like a different, unique offense, which

1474
01:19:33,640 --> 01:19:35,880
Speaker 4: is one of their advantages in that most of the

1475
01:19:35,920 --> 01:19:38,559
Speaker 4: defenses don't see offenses like them whenever weekend. They're not

1476
01:19:38,600 --> 01:19:41,200
Speaker 4: built to stop offenses like that, which is why the

1477
01:19:41,320 --> 01:19:44,919
Speaker 4: Ravens numbers historically they're like this year they were.

1478
01:19:45,400 --> 01:19:46,960
Speaker 2: Like a top ten offense of all time.

1479
01:19:47,439 --> 01:19:51,280
Speaker 4: Same and part of that is just defenses aren't built

1480
01:19:51,320 --> 01:19:54,080
Speaker 4: to stop them and don't see it often. At least

1481
01:19:54,120 --> 01:19:56,360
Speaker 4: the Bills sawid earlier this year. We'll see what McDermott

1482
01:19:56,360 --> 01:19:58,799
Speaker 4: does adjustment wise, but that makes sense to me. Ravens

1483
01:19:58,840 --> 01:20:04,240
Speaker 4: first half and then what happens Bills are down. Let

1484
01:20:04,280 --> 01:20:09,719
Speaker 4: Josh Allen be Josh Allen make barrel plays, not gonna

1485
01:20:09,720 --> 01:20:11,760
Speaker 4: geta not gonna be under a ton of pressure here.

1486
01:20:12,840 --> 01:20:15,360
Speaker 4: Ravens don't generate like a ton of pressure. He can

1487
01:20:15,439 --> 01:20:20,120
Speaker 4: use his legs by time, hit some passes down the field,

1488
01:20:20,520 --> 01:20:25,519
Speaker 4: Josh Allen magic, Ravens get tight on the road. And

1489
01:20:25,560 --> 01:20:29,880
Speaker 4: then it comes down to, you know, like can can

1490
01:20:29,880 --> 01:20:32,360
Speaker 4: the Ravens get a couple first downs in the game

1491
01:20:32,439 --> 01:20:33,920
Speaker 4: or are they punning it back down? And can he

1492
01:20:34,000 --> 01:20:35,240
Speaker 4: drive to score? Like That's how I think the game

1493
01:20:35,280 --> 01:20:39,080
Speaker 4: is gonna play offf like raven Obviously this I could

1494
01:20:39,080 --> 01:20:40,920
Speaker 4: be well off, Like it could be a fumble in

1495
01:20:40,960 --> 01:20:44,080
Speaker 4: the kickoff opening kickoff and it changes everything. But I

1496
01:20:44,080 --> 01:20:46,680
Speaker 4: could see that Ravens come out. They're the it's a

1497
01:20:46,680 --> 01:20:48,880
Speaker 4: good matchup for them. Bills are gonna have to adjust

1498
01:20:49,000 --> 01:20:51,960
Speaker 4: and they're not gonna be able to win this game.

1499
01:20:52,040 --> 01:20:55,640
Speaker 2: Running. Ravens can move the ball, running and throwing in

1500
01:20:55,720 --> 01:20:56,360
Speaker 2: the middle of the field.

1501
01:20:56,760 --> 01:20:59,439
Speaker 4: Josh Allen second half, seen him before, easily do Yeah,

1502
01:21:00,280 --> 01:21:01,679
Speaker 4: that's how I think the game is gonna play out.

1503
01:21:01,720 --> 01:21:04,439
Speaker 4: So yeah, I'm probably gonna have some Ravens first half,

1504
01:21:04,880 --> 01:21:08,519
Speaker 4: some likely props, likely to score a touchdown, likely over

1505
01:21:08,600 --> 01:21:14,000
Speaker 4: reception yards, and then I might have some Bills second half,

1506
01:21:14,080 --> 01:21:15,519
Speaker 4: money one if they're trailing at the half.

1507
01:21:17,160 --> 01:21:19,080
Speaker 2: But I'll be rooting for the Ravens. I'm a Ravens fan.

1508
01:21:19,200 --> 01:21:19,919
Speaker 2: Go Ravens.

1509
01:21:20,840 --> 01:21:22,200
Speaker 1: You can parlay.

1510
01:21:22,560 --> 01:21:22,760
Speaker 2: You know.

1511
01:21:22,800 --> 01:21:25,360
Speaker 1: Basically, if you take Lamar and Josh to each get

1512
01:21:25,360 --> 01:21:27,640
Speaker 1: a rushing touchdown throughout the game, it's basically five to

1513
01:21:27,680 --> 01:21:31,880
Speaker 1: one plus four ninety because if you if you like it,

1514
01:21:31,880 --> 01:21:34,599
Speaker 1: in that situation, Josh doing shit down the stretch down

1515
01:21:34,600 --> 01:21:37,479
Speaker 1: a little bit, he easily could score. And obviously Lamar's

1516
01:21:37,520 --> 01:21:40,680
Speaker 1: a threat to score against I mean, score against the

1517
01:21:40,680 --> 01:21:43,559
Speaker 1: eighty five Bears. I know, I know you got to run,

1518
01:21:43,600 --> 01:21:48,360
Speaker 1: but I gotta hit you. On the National Championship it

1519
01:21:48,439 --> 01:21:51,519
Speaker 1: feels like it's hard to see Ohio State losing. But

1520
01:21:51,720 --> 01:21:53,840
Speaker 1: the one thing I think you gotta say with Notre Dame,

1521
01:21:54,240 --> 01:21:55,800
Speaker 1: and I think you saw this in the final four,

1522
01:21:55,920 --> 01:21:58,840
Speaker 1: is like all the four teams have high end dudes

1523
01:21:58,880 --> 01:22:01,639
Speaker 1: on defense and the one thing Texas has a really

1524
01:22:01,680 --> 01:22:05,600
Speaker 1: good defense. I don't know how Notre Dame wouldn't be

1525
01:22:05,640 --> 01:22:07,519
Speaker 1: considered in that class. And you could even argue, are

1526
01:22:07,560 --> 01:22:10,800
Speaker 1: their dbs or their corners better than what Texas was

1527
01:22:10,880 --> 01:22:14,000
Speaker 1: rolling out? And I do think that I always screw

1528
01:22:14,080 --> 01:22:16,840
Speaker 1: up his name, but Kittlekowski whoever the defensive coordinator for Texas,

1529
01:22:16,840 --> 01:22:20,320
Speaker 1: a former boys State guy. Obviously they're really good defensive

1530
01:22:20,360 --> 01:22:24,240
Speaker 1: coordinator and did a really good job. Obviously Tate Win

1531
01:22:24,320 --> 01:22:26,280
Speaker 1: that's the third wide receiver. But I think you would live.

1532
01:22:26,479 --> 01:22:28,559
Speaker 1: Every team in the country would live you're playing Ohio

1533
01:22:28,600 --> 01:22:31,400
Speaker 1: State with Okay, we neutralize the other two guys. Tate's

1534
01:22:31,439 --> 01:22:34,680
Speaker 1: going nuts, like we can live with that. So does

1535
01:22:34,720 --> 01:22:35,920
Speaker 1: Notre Dame have a shot here?

1536
01:22:37,720 --> 01:22:41,880
Speaker 4: It's gonna be tough. The thing is is that that

1537
01:22:41,920 --> 01:22:45,240
Speaker 4: I think the two keys of this game one, I

1538
01:22:45,240 --> 01:22:48,960
Speaker 4: mean Notre Dame. Ohio State has let let up nothing

1539
01:22:49,000 --> 01:22:51,280
Speaker 4: on the ground. I mean, if you go back, they're

1540
01:22:51,320 --> 01:22:54,040
Speaker 4: three playoff games. They're their number one rated rush defense

1541
01:22:54,280 --> 01:22:58,800
Speaker 4: in college football. They played Tennessee, Oregon in Texas, three

1542
01:22:58,880 --> 01:23:03,240
Speaker 4: really good, really good rushing attacks, two of the best

1543
01:23:03,280 --> 01:23:06,519
Speaker 4: offensive lines in Oregon and Texas. They had ninety six

1544
01:23:06,640 --> 01:23:08,519
Speaker 4: rushes for one hundred and eighty seven yards, less than

1545
01:23:08,560 --> 01:23:11,320
Speaker 4: two yards per carry if you remove the sacks, just

1546
01:23:11,320 --> 01:23:13,599
Speaker 4: three point eight yards per carry. And by the way,

1547
01:23:13,600 --> 01:23:16,120
Speaker 4: Ohio State had sixteen sacks for one hundred and eighteen yards.

1548
01:23:16,840 --> 01:23:19,360
Speaker 4: That's important because they can get pressure without blitzing. And

1549
01:23:19,479 --> 01:23:21,760
Speaker 4: Riley Leonard's been really bad under pressure when he's not

1550
01:23:21,840 --> 01:23:25,280
Speaker 4: being blitzed outside the top one hundred this year, So

1551
01:23:25,360 --> 01:23:26,680
Speaker 4: I don't know Notre Dame is gonna be able to

1552
01:23:26,720 --> 01:23:31,639
Speaker 4: run it here and right Leond's gonna be under pressure

1553
01:23:31,720 --> 01:23:34,439
Speaker 4: like the Ohio State defensive ends, and the way to

1554
01:23:34,479 --> 01:23:36,280
Speaker 4: be Ohio State is like their corners are kind of

1555
01:23:36,280 --> 01:23:38,439
Speaker 4: their weakness relatively speaking, but the Penn State, I mean,

1556
01:23:38,479 --> 01:23:42,760
Speaker 4: Notre Dame doesn't have great receivers, so it's gonna it's

1557
01:23:42,760 --> 01:23:44,400
Speaker 4: hard for me to see Notre Dame moving the ball

1558
01:23:44,439 --> 01:23:47,639
Speaker 4: here at all. I mean, their offense was already limited.

1559
01:23:47,680 --> 01:23:49,120
Speaker 4: You go back to the Georgia game. They scored on

1560
01:23:49,120 --> 01:23:50,519
Speaker 4: a you know, a kick return and then a fall

1561
01:23:50,600 --> 01:23:53,439
Speaker 4: ball and they're playing a backup quarterback. You know, Penn State.

1562
01:23:53,840 --> 01:23:56,880
Speaker 4: They're down. Their offense can't do anything and you know,

1563
01:23:56,920 --> 01:24:00,400
Speaker 4: they found a way but get a turn over late.

1564
01:24:00,439 --> 01:24:04,640
Speaker 4: But their offense is not that dynamic, especially if they

1565
01:24:04,640 --> 01:24:06,840
Speaker 4: can't run the ball. And then on the other side

1566
01:24:06,840 --> 01:24:10,320
Speaker 4: of the ball. Notre Dame plays more man coverage than

1567
01:24:10,360 --> 01:24:14,240
Speaker 4: any team in college football. Now, they were great in it,

1568
01:24:14,560 --> 01:24:16,080
Speaker 4: and their corners were great all year and they even

1569
01:24:16,120 --> 01:24:19,439
Speaker 4: lost Morris and their arguably their top corner earlier this season.

1570
01:24:20,760 --> 01:24:24,120
Speaker 4: But you can't play man I mean they did it

1571
01:24:24,160 --> 01:24:25,639
Speaker 4: last year, but they I mean, you don't. You don't

1572
01:24:25,640 --> 01:24:29,880
Speaker 4: play exclusively manner zone. Yeah, but they are they going

1573
01:24:29,960 --> 01:24:32,719
Speaker 4: to change it up because Texas played zone and they said,

1574
01:24:32,960 --> 01:24:35,880
Speaker 4: you know, we're gonna put our attention on Jeremiah Smith.

1575
01:24:35,880 --> 01:24:37,320
Speaker 4: We're not gonna let you beat us deep. We're gonna

1576
01:24:37,360 --> 01:24:39,760
Speaker 4: make you drive the field and then make mistakes. And

1577
01:24:39,800 --> 01:24:41,240
Speaker 4: that that's what happened, and they were in the game.

1578
01:24:41,360 --> 01:24:42,920
Speaker 4: They could score at the goal line. The other thing is,

1579
01:24:42,920 --> 01:24:45,640
Speaker 4: obviously goal line on red zone defense is historically good.

1580
01:24:45,640 --> 01:24:47,280
Speaker 4: So even when Notre Dame gets down there, how are

1581
01:24:47,280 --> 01:24:48,320
Speaker 4: they punching it in the end zone?

1582
01:24:48,800 --> 01:24:49,320
Speaker 2: I don't know.

1583
01:24:50,000 --> 01:24:52,040
Speaker 4: I do also think that if you look Notre Dame,

1584
01:24:52,840 --> 01:24:57,760
Speaker 4: they they didn't play many elite receivers this year. I

1585
01:24:57,760 --> 01:25:01,360
Speaker 4: mean they're the passing offense that they fail to. Georgia

1586
01:25:01,520 --> 01:25:03,439
Speaker 4: was their backup quarterback who warned Georgia scares here on

1587
01:25:03,479 --> 01:25:06,160
Speaker 4: the outside. I mean Nady Arian Smith goes the NFL.

1588
01:25:06,160 --> 01:25:09,960
Speaker 4: He had one catch for sixty seven yards. Yeah, you

1589
01:25:09,960 --> 01:25:13,000
Speaker 4: go back Penn State, the receivers are all terrible. It

1590
01:25:13,040 --> 01:25:15,360
Speaker 4: was Tyler Warren who had six catches for seventy five yards.

1591
01:25:15,640 --> 01:25:17,400
Speaker 4: But you go back the only two games where they

1592
01:25:17,400 --> 01:25:22,800
Speaker 4: played like elite receivers. USC mkayle Lemon had nine catches

1593
01:25:22,800 --> 01:25:25,240
Speaker 4: for one hundred and thirty three yards. USC had four

1594
01:25:25,280 --> 01:25:27,679
Speaker 4: players with a catch over twenty yards. They had almost

1595
01:25:27,720 --> 01:25:30,000
Speaker 4: six hundred yards of offense in that game. And they

1596
01:25:30,120 --> 01:25:32,000
Speaker 4: recently made a quarterback jeans they were going with the backup.

1597
01:25:32,040 --> 01:25:35,680
Speaker 4: And then Louisville who had a really good offense to

1598
01:25:35,800 --> 01:25:37,360
Speaker 4: Corey Brooks, who will play in the NFL. He had

1599
01:25:37,400 --> 01:25:40,439
Speaker 4: five for seventy one and two touchdowns. Colin Lacy at

1600
01:25:40,439 --> 01:25:42,599
Speaker 4: five for seventy one. Louisville three players with the reception

1601
01:25:42,640 --> 01:25:46,640
Speaker 4: over twenty yards, So that's it. Like Sir Rott for

1602
01:25:46,680 --> 01:25:49,120
Speaker 4: Indiana's good he at four for seventy. Other than that,

1603
01:25:49,120 --> 01:25:52,960
Speaker 4: they played like service academies backup quarterback. So this is

1604
01:25:53,000 --> 01:25:56,120
Speaker 4: scary going up against Ohio State if you're gonna play

1605
01:25:56,120 --> 01:25:58,679
Speaker 4: man really good. Al Gold's a really good defensive coordinator.

1606
01:25:58,680 --> 01:25:59,960
Speaker 4: What does he do? He's got to mix it up.

1607
01:26:01,200 --> 01:26:03,880
Speaker 4: I do think eg Buka is a worth a look

1608
01:26:03,920 --> 01:26:08,400
Speaker 4: props wise, he's over nineteen and a half receiving yards

1609
01:26:09,000 --> 01:26:11,360
Speaker 4: over nineteen and a half longest reception. I should say

1610
01:26:11,439 --> 01:26:15,200
Speaker 4: he's done that nine to fifteen games this year. And

1611
01:26:15,720 --> 01:26:17,599
Speaker 4: I think there's gonna be attention on jeremih Smith. He's

1612
01:26:17,600 --> 01:26:20,440
Speaker 4: good against man Ori zone. They're gonna have him running crossers.

1613
01:26:20,479 --> 01:26:22,320
Speaker 4: And the way you beat this Notre Dame cover one

1614
01:26:22,360 --> 01:26:25,040
Speaker 4: when they are man you gotta take deep shots, and

1615
01:26:25,120 --> 01:26:28,080
Speaker 4: I think they're gonna take them here and against Notre

1616
01:26:28,160 --> 01:26:30,639
Speaker 4: Dame the past two years when Marvion Harrison was there,

1617
01:26:30,840 --> 01:26:34,200
Speaker 4: he had seven for ninety six and nine for ninety

1618
01:26:34,600 --> 01:26:37,639
Speaker 4: and if you want a long shot, egg booka over

1619
01:26:37,800 --> 01:26:42,040
Speaker 4: ninety yards all yards over ninety yards plus. I don't know,

1620
01:26:42,200 --> 01:26:44,280
Speaker 4: it'll be probably the plus three fifty plus four hundred.

1621
01:26:45,240 --> 01:26:49,160
Speaker 4: He's hit ninety last two years against Notre Dame. I

1622
01:26:49,160 --> 01:26:52,120
Speaker 4: think he's gonna get a lot of looks here, and

1623
01:26:52,160 --> 01:26:55,240
Speaker 4: he needs ninety three to set the all time school record.

1624
01:26:55,360 --> 01:26:56,479
Speaker 2: And this is his last game.

1625
01:26:56,800 --> 01:27:00,639
Speaker 4: So even if they're up big, yeah, a couple more.

1626
01:27:00,479 --> 01:27:02,639
Speaker 1: Times they're Mike Evans moment for him.

1627
01:27:02,720 --> 01:27:02,960
Speaker 2: Yep.

1628
01:27:03,800 --> 01:27:06,599
Speaker 4: Ohio State also changed their running scheme after their offensive

1629
01:27:06,600 --> 01:27:09,599
Speaker 4: line injuries, and they run more gap runs. Notre Dame

1630
01:27:09,640 --> 01:27:13,200
Speaker 4: struggles there, So it's gonna be really tough for Notre Dame.

1631
01:27:13,280 --> 01:27:14,840
Speaker 4: I'm curious to see how much man they run and

1632
01:27:14,880 --> 01:27:17,200
Speaker 4: what they do, what al Golden does the path for

1633
01:27:17,320 --> 01:27:20,720
Speaker 4: Notre Dame. You gotta get pressure. The al gohing is

1634
01:27:20,720 --> 01:27:23,120
Speaker 4: gonna send pressure. You gotta Howard can struggle under pressure

1635
01:27:23,120 --> 01:27:24,360
Speaker 4: and make a mistake. You gotta get urner. This is

1636
01:27:24,360 --> 01:27:25,599
Speaker 4: Notre Dame is done all year. It's what they've done

1637
01:27:25,600 --> 01:27:29,000
Speaker 4: all plus get turnovers. They've been They're really well coached.

1638
01:27:29,280 --> 01:27:31,479
Speaker 4: Marcus Streaming's got to be aggressive in the right times,

1639
01:27:32,160 --> 01:27:35,080
Speaker 4: you know, maybe like a crazy special teams play, you

1640
01:27:35,080 --> 01:27:36,960
Speaker 4: got a steal possession. And then in the middle eight.

1641
01:27:37,280 --> 01:27:39,120
Speaker 4: Notre Dame has been the best team in college fooball

1642
01:27:39,120 --> 01:27:41,680
Speaker 4: in the middle eight, and we saw it all their

1643
01:27:41,680 --> 01:27:44,320
Speaker 4: playoff games. The final four minutes of the first half,

1644
01:27:44,640 --> 01:27:46,760
Speaker 4: first four minutes for the second half. I mean, you

1645
01:27:46,760 --> 01:27:48,400
Speaker 4: saw there was a minute and a half stretch against

1646
01:27:48,439 --> 01:27:49,680
Speaker 4: Georgia that basically decided the game.

1647
01:27:50,320 --> 01:27:52,280
Speaker 1: Pot swing against Penn State.

1648
01:27:52,720 --> 01:27:55,479
Speaker 4: Ten point swing against Penn State. So like they got

1649
01:27:55,479 --> 01:27:57,960
Speaker 4: a steel possession there. So it's gonna come down to

1650
01:27:57,960 --> 01:28:01,439
Speaker 4: their D scheme. And but it's just hard for me

1651
01:28:01,520 --> 01:28:04,639
Speaker 4: to see how Notre Dame moves the ball. Notre Dame

1652
01:28:04,640 --> 01:28:06,559
Speaker 4: prop by like a Nias Williams their back, who's getting

1653
01:28:06,560 --> 01:28:08,479
Speaker 4: a ton of run. It's good in pass projection. They're

1654
01:28:08,479 --> 01:28:10,280
Speaker 4: gonna they got They could throw them Texas through to

1655
01:28:10,320 --> 01:28:14,240
Speaker 4: their backs all day last weekend. I think he can

1656
01:28:14,280 --> 01:28:17,120
Speaker 4: go over his reception yards, but it's probably gonna be

1657
01:28:17,120 --> 01:28:21,720
Speaker 4: Ohio State. It's it kind of reminds me of This

1658
01:28:21,800 --> 01:28:29,080
Speaker 4: game is very similar to Chiefs Texans in that just

1659
01:28:29,160 --> 01:28:35,000
Speaker 4: the talent and the matchup isn't great, but you have

1660
01:28:35,040 --> 01:28:38,840
Speaker 4: a good defense and you're gonna have to steal.

1661
01:28:38,840 --> 01:28:40,599
Speaker 2: You're gonna have to steal some things.

1662
01:28:40,600 --> 01:28:43,840
Speaker 4: You're gonna have to be aggressive on fourth downs, and

1663
01:28:43,840 --> 01:28:45,839
Speaker 4: then you're gonna have to create terms with your defense.

1664
01:28:46,160 --> 01:28:48,240
Speaker 4: So but it's just gonna be hard for them to

1665
01:28:48,280 --> 01:28:51,080
Speaker 4: play Man and Will Howard's been the number two quarterback

1666
01:28:51,080 --> 01:28:54,320
Speaker 4: in coat football against man all game the way that

1667
01:28:54,360 --> 01:28:57,200
Speaker 4: they have been because this is a different animal. Penn

1668
01:28:57,200 --> 01:28:59,679
Speaker 4: States receivers are horrendous. They all even transfer, they transferred,

1669
01:28:59,680 --> 01:29:02,040
Speaker 4: all of them transfer after the game. They were not

1670
01:29:02,040 --> 01:29:05,880
Speaker 4: good all year. Georgia backup quarterback didn't have great receivers,

1671
01:29:06,920 --> 01:29:11,599
Speaker 4: you know, in Indiana. This is a different animal. So yeah,

1672
01:29:11,840 --> 01:29:14,080
Speaker 4: I fear that Ohio States is going to hit a

1673
01:29:14,120 --> 01:29:15,960
Speaker 4: bunch of deep shots because the receivers are so good.

1674
01:29:16,600 --> 01:29:20,439
Speaker 4: And then Notre Dame playing from behind against Ohio State,

1675
01:29:21,200 --> 01:29:23,280
Speaker 4: it's probably not gonna end well because you're just not

1676
01:29:23,400 --> 01:29:24,559
Speaker 4: You can't the I don't think they're gonna be able

1677
01:29:24,560 --> 01:29:26,400
Speaker 4: to run on Ohio States. So yeah, it's got to

1678
01:29:26,439 --> 01:29:29,639
Speaker 4: be a Freeman and Al golden master class and they're

1679
01:29:29,640 --> 01:29:31,320
Speaker 4: gonna have to get some mistakes from Ohio State.

1680
01:29:32,360 --> 01:29:36,439
Speaker 1: Good take there, Stucky, have a good weekend, make some money,

1681
01:29:36,439 --> 01:29:38,640
Speaker 1: and look forward. To watching your Ravens play on the

1682
01:29:38,680 --> 01:29:41,360
Speaker 1: heavyweight matchup on Sunday night. Yeah.

1683
01:29:41,439 --> 01:29:43,200
Speaker 4: Only we only got one good game last weekend.

1684
01:29:43,360 --> 01:29:44,559
Speaker 2: Let's get some. Yeah.

1685
01:29:44,560 --> 01:29:46,000
Speaker 1: I think we got three out of four. I feel

1686
01:29:46,040 --> 01:29:47,240
Speaker 1: I feel some good vibes coming.

1687
01:29:47,400 --> 01:29:49,040
Speaker 4: Yeah. Same, I think we'll get some good games.

1688
01:29:49,040 --> 01:29:49,519
Speaker 1: I think.

1689
01:29:51,160 --> 01:29:53,280
Speaker 4: We got a funny feeling that textans keep it close.

1690
01:29:53,400 --> 01:29:55,559
Speaker 4: All right, I could be well, but I think the

1691
01:29:55,600 --> 01:29:58,719
Speaker 4: other two should be competitive, and I think Bill's Ravens

1692
01:29:58,720 --> 01:30:01,800
Speaker 4: should be a classic. So uh yeah, three good days

1693
01:30:01,800 --> 01:30:03,639
Speaker 4: of football. Enjoy and I'll talk to you next week,

1694
01:30:03,680 --> 01:30:04,000
Speaker 4: my brother.

1695
01:30:04,120 --> 01:30:04,680
Speaker 1: Okay, see you.

1696
01:30:08,280 --> 01:30:08,919
Speaker 2: The volume

1697
01:30:11,760 --> 01:30:11,800
Speaker 1: M