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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Tuesday morning edition on the Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt. You can follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. We're here thanks to betmgm

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Speaker 1: off of bettingpros dot com. And let me take a sip,

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Speaker 1: pull on ah the taste of Elijah Craig and old fashioned,

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Speaker 1: well earned boys and girls. That is our first Monday

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Speaker 1: Night football four. Oh and I'm very very happy right now.

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Speaker 1: So we had a good Sunday, We went eight and

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Speaker 1: four on Sunday. So I pushed it a little bit

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Speaker 1: on Monday and said, all right, let's see if we

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Speaker 1: can get off to a good start here. Let's go

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Speaker 1: full unit on all four plays, and let's see what happens.

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Speaker 1: All right, we go with the Alvin Kamara reception over

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Speaker 1: way over. We go with the Darren Waller reception, yardage

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Speaker 1: over way over. We took the over in the game

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Speaker 1: way over. Can Vegas do it? Can they go and

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Speaker 1: actually cover? Yep? And what about sprinkling a little on

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Speaker 1: the money line? Yeah I did that too. Didn't give

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Speaker 1: it out as the official play, but I told you

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Speaker 1: like little sprinkle, nothing too major, but little little sprinkle. Boom.

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Speaker 1: So four and no officially I went five and oh,

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Speaker 1: but four and ole officially on the Daily Juice. Yeah

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Speaker 1: that felt good, all right, if you know, to go

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Speaker 1: Monday and Sunday to go twelve and four after the

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Speaker 1: week when we had Yeah, we were we were owed

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Speaker 1: some magic. We were owed some some good performances. And

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Speaker 1: look at the entire country was on the Saints last night.

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Speaker 1: I actually because in Vegas you kind of get trapped

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Speaker 1: in a bubble a little bit, and the number crashed

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Speaker 1: here in Vegas. It went from five and a half

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Speaker 1: down to three and a half. And I said on

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Speaker 1: my radio show, I was watching this yesterday and I'm like,

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Speaker 1: look at if the line got to three, I would

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Speaker 1: have bet the Saints. I would have because I would

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Speaker 1: have said, let's just buy back here and let's just

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Speaker 1: see what happens, because wow, two and a half points

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Speaker 1: of value. I went for a middle. I thought Saints

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Speaker 1: could win by four and getting a middling opportunity. But

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Speaker 1: it never got to three. It stayed at three and

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Speaker 1: a half, and I just said, you know what, let's

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Speaker 1: just let it ride. So I was glad that I

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Speaker 1: did that, obviously, because it would have been a loss.

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Speaker 1: And the Saints are in trouble because Drew Brees Father

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Speaker 1: time is tapping that guy on the shoulder. And I

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Speaker 1: don't know if the broadcast booth deal he's got waiting

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Speaker 1: for him is going to be too enticing or what.

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Speaker 1: But Taysom Hill, Yeah, that guy probably gets more snaps

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Speaker 1: as the year goes on, and they probably run a

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Speaker 1: little bit of a different offense if this continues for

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Speaker 1: the Saints. So they've got a tough game against the

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Speaker 1: Packers coming up next week. We're gonna watch that closely

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Speaker 1: because the Saints my pick to win the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: I didn't bet it, I just picked it. Uh oh,

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Speaker 1: that's not great. Saints are not looking good at the moment.

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Speaker 1: Alvin Kamara look rate, he looked great, But no Michael Thomas.

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Speaker 1: So that's a big loss for that offense. And it

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Speaker 1: was so why we took the Raiders and Raiders win

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Speaker 1: the game easily. And how about John Gruden kicking that

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Speaker 1: field goal at the end. Okay, he wanted to cement it.

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Speaker 1: I told you, Look, the Chargers in their first game

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Speaker 1: and so FI covered. They lost, but they covered the

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Speaker 1: Rams in their first game at SOFI one outright, And

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Speaker 1: now the Raiders their first game in Allegiance win outright,

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Speaker 1: I think there's something to that. There's a lot of

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Speaker 1: juice with no fans being there, there's no juice. These

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Speaker 1: guys are having a tough time. Coaches and players are

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Speaker 1: all saying it feels like scrimmage is out there with

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Speaker 1: no fans. There's just not a lot of interest in it.

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Speaker 1: And they just they aren't playing well. So if you

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Speaker 1: have something to play for, like history, a chance to

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Speaker 1: go and as you saw Derek Carr after the game,

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Speaker 1: go and sign the wall, I mean, to have that

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Speaker 1: moment to play hard for something, is that's all the motivation.

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Speaker 1: I think some of these guys might need just a

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Speaker 1: little bit of an edge and they'll play a little

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Speaker 1: harder and a little crisper, you know, be a little

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Speaker 1: bit more focused. And you know, from a betting perspective,

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Speaker 1: we got to watch that. The other major story from

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Speaker 1: a betting perspective is clearly what is going on here

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Speaker 1: with the injuries. We're gonna have to be careful here.

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Speaker 1: But here's the one exciting point that I'm gonna make today.

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Speaker 1: This weekend, my favorite college football conference starts playing. The

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Speaker 1: SEC starts playing, and that is really exciting for me

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Speaker 1: because I love betting SEC football. So having that, we

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Speaker 1: may you know, we'll still go have you on the NFL,

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Speaker 1: but we may have the ability to avoid a bad

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Speaker 1: Sunday because we have a good Saturday just given. We

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Speaker 1: may have to have that because it could get very

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Speaker 1: difficult with the number of injuries. I mean, we may

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Speaker 1: have them, you know, third string guys out there, second

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Speaker 1: string quarterbacks, third string running backs, and wide receivers playing

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Speaker 1: big snaps for these teams that never thought they'd have

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Speaker 1: to go that far deep into the depth chart. So

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Speaker 1: for the plays today, following a four and oh night

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Speaker 1: last night, one basketball play in one college football future

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Speaker 1: that I'm going to get to here, and a little

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Speaker 1: bit of a lighter day. I'm not going to play

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Speaker 1: baseball because just no, not playing baseball. We didn't play

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Speaker 1: hockey last night. Basketball for the Eastern Conference. Game number

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Speaker 1: four is tomorrow night. We have game number two, sorry,

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Speaker 1: game number three tonight for the Nuggets and the Lakers.

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Speaker 1: So I do have a play on Matt coming up

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Speaker 1: in one college football play. But we are getting close

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Speaker 1: and West Virginia or one hundred and nine with it

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Speaker 1: ind Anna. Okay, let's talk college football here. Alabama taken

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Speaker 1: on Missouri, so this game opened. The line for this

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Speaker 1: game opened at twenty one. It was immediately bet all

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Speaker 1: the way to twenty eight at certain books. It's starting

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Speaker 1: to come back down a little bit because I think

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Speaker 1: people kind of freaked out when we're like, like, what's

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Speaker 1: the number. It's getting really high here. That's kind of interesting.

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Speaker 1: Alabama on the road. However, I got this at Circus

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Speaker 1: Sports here in Vegas. The line now is back down

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Speaker 1: to twenty six, and I bet it Alabama minus twenty six.

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Speaker 1: You may go, what, Okay, here's the thing. Missouri had

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Speaker 1: twelve players come down with COVID nineteen twelve. We don't

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Speaker 1: know exactly which players have come down with COVID nineteen,

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Speaker 1: but we know that they are only returning two players

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Speaker 1: on offense from last year's team and eight players on

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Speaker 1: defense from a top twenty five ranked defense last year.

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Speaker 1: By the way, but Eli Drinkwich is the new head coach,

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Speaker 1: first year at Missouri taking on Nick Saban and Alabama. Gulp.

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Speaker 1: So you've got Missouri taking on an angry Bama team

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Speaker 1: because they know every game matters. They're gonna have to

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Speaker 1: put up points. Style points will matter because they may

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Speaker 1: only have eight games. We'll see what the SEC gets in.

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Speaker 1: We'll see how many games they can play. But given

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Speaker 1: the fact that COVID nineteen is running around and disrupting

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Speaker 1: so many schedules, we don't know how many games Alabama

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Speaker 1: will play. As of right now, Missouri is eligible to

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Speaker 1: play due to SEC rules when it comes to COVID nineteen.

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Speaker 1: So I mean, Eli Drinkwitch is an offensive mind, not

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Speaker 1: a defensive mind. He's seen the higher scene for him

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Speaker 1: to be a little bit of a gamble. He's thirty

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Speaker 1: seven years old. Okay, he's young. It's a you know,

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Speaker 1: a Gus Malsan type of protege here. And this might

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Speaker 1: be really hard for a new coach to come in

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Speaker 1: with not a lot of players on offense returning, losing

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Speaker 1: a lot of their key players, some great guys on

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Speaker 1: defense coming back. But this is not a guy a

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Speaker 1: coach who is really a defensive mind. He is a

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Speaker 1: offensive minded guy taking on Alabama. With Mac Jones just

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Speaker 1: now being named the starter. This is a veteran and

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Speaker 1: the Alabama lineup is a veteran. Depth chart Bama, as

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Speaker 1: we know it's Alabama. They just run through people. They've

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Speaker 1: got a wide receiver corp Jalen Wattle is gonna have

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Speaker 1: a monster year for Alabama. They got a stable of

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Speaker 1: running backs, their defense is tremendous. Lay the twenty six

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Speaker 1: points here, Take it now before it goes back. Take

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Speaker 1: it all the way up to twenty eight. All right,

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Speaker 1: twenty eight's the threshold. That's what we saw the professionals.

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Speaker 1: When it got to twenty eight, that's in the pro

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Speaker 1: start to buy it back and it came back down.

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Speaker 1: So don't take it higher than twenty eight. But if

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Speaker 1: you can get at twenty six twenty six and a half,

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Speaker 1: I'm fine with that. It's a lot of points, I know.

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Speaker 1: But Alabama's going to curb stop these guys. In particular,

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Speaker 1: we don't know how many players are going to be

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Speaker 1: out for Missouri with COVID nineteen. If you test positive

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Speaker 1: for COVID nineteen, you have to sit for eighteen days

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Speaker 1: according to SEC rules. So this is a first year

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Speaker 1: head coach, a young head coach and offensive mind with

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Speaker 1: then a lot of good players coming back from Missouri

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Speaker 1: and a defense that could be okay, but this is Alabama,

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Speaker 1: so good luck. You're gonna get steamrolled here by the

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Speaker 1: Crimson Tide. So if you want to play a first half,

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Speaker 1: and we may double dip on this depending on how

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Speaker 1: many players from Missouri are out if the first half

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Speaker 1: line is fourteen, okay, And so we're really early in

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Speaker 1: the week, so we don't have the ability to bet

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Speaker 1: on first half props won't come out till later in

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Speaker 1: the week. But I'm telling you most likely I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: be on later in the week. I'm gonna come back

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Speaker 1: to this game, and I'm gonna bet the first half

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Speaker 1: for Alabama as well. So Bama lay's fourteen to thirteen

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Speaker 1: twelve Alabama for first half line. Yup taking that. Alabama

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Speaker 1: for the game, yup taking that as well. Here. I

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Speaker 1: expect Bama to blow the doors off Missouri here in

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Speaker 1: the first game of the season for the Crimson Tide,

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Speaker 1: given everything that's going on. A buddy of mine who's

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Speaker 1: in Alabama, I was talking to him, and him and

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Speaker 1: I have been watching Crimson Tide football games together for

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Speaker 1: nearly twenty years now, and he said to me, Matt,

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Speaker 1: why are the books taking any bets on this game? Like,

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Speaker 1: why are they actually booking this game? They don't know

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Speaker 1: how many players have have COVID, and as we know,

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Speaker 1: the way COVID works. Is that every time you're tested,

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Speaker 1: like more and more players might be you know, infected.

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Speaker 1: We don't know who's I mean, could be the starting quarterback,

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Speaker 1: could be the running back, I mean key. We don't

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Speaker 1: know yet for Missouri as to who has it, so

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Speaker 1: it is sort of a rolling the dice. That's why

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Speaker 1: I think the line opened at twenty one and immediately

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Speaker 1: bet up to twenty eight. As I said, to come

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Speaker 1: back down a little bit. So we're taking the Crimson

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Speaker 1: tide here. Minus twenty six is number I got today

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Speaker 1: for Alabama against Missouri coming up this weekend, and one

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Speaker 1: play for today and that is in the game involving

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Speaker 1: the Lakers and the Clippers. So I have a lean

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Speaker 1: on taking the Nuggets taking the seven points on Denver,

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Speaker 1: all right, But I did that in game one and

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Speaker 1: I got it wrong and it killed me because I

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Speaker 1: thought Game two went exactly how I thought Game one

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Speaker 1: would go, and so we got that game in game two.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what to make a Game three, to

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Speaker 1: be quite honest, I think the Lakers are gonna win.

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Speaker 1: I just don't know if Lebron's angry, but the way

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Speaker 1: that he played and then Anthony Davis got all the

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Speaker 1: love for the shoddy hit to win the game, and

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Speaker 1: so Lebron's gonna come out really angry and fired up.

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Speaker 1: I am a little concerned about that. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: avoid the side here and look at the total. I

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Speaker 1: got it at two fourteen, and I'm gonna go back

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Speaker 1: to the under here. And I just think, much like

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Speaker 1: I thought in Game one, the under was gonna go,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go back to the under as well. And

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Speaker 1: I think that this is a game as long as

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Speaker 1: it doesn't go to overtime. I think to fourteen coming

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Speaker 1: in the under. I mean two hundred and eight was

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Speaker 1: the number in the last game. I think we're gonna see.

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Speaker 1: I think game two is more likely than what happened

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Speaker 1: in Game one. I mean, Jokic is legit. He's really difficult.

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Speaker 1: I can't bet a prop, so follow me on Twitter.

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Speaker 1: I may add to the to it today, like I added,

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Speaker 1: I added, well I was gonna add I guess I

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Speaker 1: didn't add today, but I will add ad Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: I will add if I get a Jokic player prop

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Speaker 1: that somewhere like over give. His point total is somewhere

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Speaker 1: around twenty five somewhere in that general area. I will

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Speaker 1: love it. I want to see where Murray's prop is.

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Speaker 1: I want to see where Anthony Davis's props are. You know,

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Speaker 1: I can't find until the morning. But when it pops

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Speaker 1: in the morning, if I do like it, I may

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Speaker 1: add to THEE to the card. So hashtag is at

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice if you ever want to search just Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice stuff, I always hashtag it or at sports dook

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Speaker 1: Mount on Twitter. But just for right now, the official

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Speaker 1: play here on the morning of Tuesday, we're taking the

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Speaker 1: under two fourteen for the Nuggets and the Lakers in

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Speaker 1: game number three. So a little bit of a lighter

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Speaker 1: schedule here on a Tuesday, Tuesdays and Wednesdays, we're gonna

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Speaker 1: be a little bit like this. We're actually going to

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Speaker 1: add an interview soon here, either Tuesday or Wednesdays, We're

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Speaker 1: going to add a book maker interview to recap the

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Speaker 1: week because my goodness is the books were really happy

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Speaker 1: last night with the Raiders, because DraftKings reported that if

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Speaker 1: the Saints had covered last night, they were lost ten

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Speaker 1: million dollars. On the weekend, it went in one of

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Speaker 1: the worst weekends in the history of the DraftKings sports

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Speaker 1: book across the country because of the effect that, well,

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Speaker 1: the public, you guys did really well over the weekend

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Speaker 1: and you were flushed with money last night, and you

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Speaker 1: hammered the over and I was a little nervous about that,

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Speaker 1: but the over came through and I was like, okay,

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Speaker 1: that's great. And then going on the Raiders, we went

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Speaker 1: and went. We went against everybody, I mean, the whole public.

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Speaker 1: Some of you guys on Twitter were calling me out saying,

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Speaker 1: you know what you're talking about, this is a bad pick.

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Speaker 1: It's like, okay, I mean, there are certain games I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna stand on a soapbox four and that was one

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Speaker 1: of them. And I was gonna stand on a soapbox

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Speaker 1: and say plus five and a half, Raiders take it.

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Speaker 1: And it went down to three and a half. And

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Speaker 1: I felt pretty good about it because here in Vegas,

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Speaker 1: the numbers are going to move a lot for Raider

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Speaker 1: games just because the public and here, I mean were

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Speaker 1: the home of the Raiders. And now after winning the

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Speaker 1: first game, beating the Saints on Monday Night football, my gosh,

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Speaker 1: I mentioned on my radio show, but the second that

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Speaker 1: a foot hit a football, this became a football town

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Speaker 1: loved the gold Knights. This is a football towns gambling

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Speaker 1: was built on football. This sports gambling community in Vegas

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Speaker 1: was built on betting football, and we have football now

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Speaker 1: in Las Vegas, really really, really cool. So Alabama minus

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Speaker 1: twenty six is the first play for this weekend. Second

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Speaker 1: play is the under tonight for the Lakers and the Nuggets.

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Speaker 1: Potentially adding something later with a player prop once they

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Speaker 1: drop here in Vegas in the morning, So look for

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Speaker 1: that on my Twitter account at sports Talk Matt. We

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Speaker 1: are back every morning, every single day, three sixty five.

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Speaker 1: Subscribe to this podcast where you get your podcasts. Tell

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Speaker 1: a friend somebody had a great idea of giving homework.

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Speaker 1: Say hey, if you got a buddy who gambles, get

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Speaker 1: your buddy to listen. Get your buddy to be a

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Speaker 1: part of this. Get your buddy to follow me on Twitter.

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Speaker 1: Get your buddy to be involved in the Daily Juice.

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Speaker 1: We're having some fun. We're trying to grow the community

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Speaker 1: to make as big as possible. Here off of bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com minus Matt Parolt. Follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: sportstock Matt. Thanks to BETMGM for sponsoring the Daily Juice

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Speaker 1: each and every morning,