WEBVTT - Surveillance: Lawmakers Weigh Biden’s Stimulus Plan

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. I'm Tom Keane. Daily

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<v Speaker 1>we bring you insight from the best in economics, finance, investment,

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<v Speaker 1>and international relations. Find Bloomberg Surveillance on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud,

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot Com, and of course, on the Bloomberg Right Now.

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<v Speaker 1>On the virus, A definitive conversation on COVID with Deborah

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<v Speaker 1>Fuller of the University of Washington School of Medicine and

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<v Speaker 1>Microbiology Professor. I can't say enough about the esteem of

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<v Speaker 1>their program, Dr Fuller, I want to go to the

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<v Speaker 1>idea that we were all afraid of measles and maybe

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<v Speaker 1>EXCEENNI vaxers were less afraid of measles now and there's

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<v Speaker 1>different variants of measles D four B to whatever those

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<v Speaker 1>numbers are. Are the variants of this virus to be

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<v Speaker 1>treated like the variants of other things we've contained, or

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<v Speaker 1>the variance here different. The variance here could be could

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<v Speaker 1>be quite different. And that's just because we have increasing

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<v Speaker 1>evidence that some of these new stars COPE two variants

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<v Speaker 1>are not only gaining an ability to transmit more efficiently,

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<v Speaker 1>but developing mutations that could potentially evade uh antibody I

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<v Speaker 1>mean responses, and that would potentially suggest that our current vaccines, Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>it might, it might impact our the efficacy of our

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<v Speaker 1>current vaccines. Now, our vaccines are very high efficacy, much

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<v Speaker 1>higher than so we're not talking about complete loss of

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<v Speaker 1>protection by the vaccines. We're talking about a bit of

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<v Speaker 1>a decline that's say maybe, and that's still a very

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<v Speaker 1>very effective vaccine. But it's something that as vaccinologists we

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<v Speaker 1>keep an eye on because gets to a certain threshold,

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<v Speaker 1>we may get to a point where we have to

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<v Speaker 1>update those vaccines. With Dr Fullers, some people would put

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<v Speaker 1>this as a race, basically a race to get enough

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<v Speaker 1>people vaccinated before the virus mutates enough to set you

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<v Speaker 1>back further and cause an increased circulation of the virus.

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<v Speaker 1>How are we doing in that race? Yeah, it truly

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<v Speaker 1>is a race between viral evolution and vaccination rate. The

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<v Speaker 1>goal is to reach herd immunity. We are currently estimating

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<v Speaker 1>about of the population immune to be able to shut

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<v Speaker 1>down this pandemic. But herd immunity depends on two things,

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<v Speaker 1>and one is how transmissible is the virus and how

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<v Speaker 1>efficacious is your vaccine. So as the virus mutates, and

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<v Speaker 1>we talked about that that it commutate to increase transmission

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<v Speaker 1>and potentially reduce vaccine efficacy. That raises the bar in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of how many people we have to vaccinate. So

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<v Speaker 1>it's like this the cycle that pushes our goal posts

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<v Speaker 1>further down the line, So it truly is a race

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<v Speaker 1>and dr piller. Perhaps this is sort of an underappreciated

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<v Speaker 1>aspect of this pandemic. People expecting recovery and yet not

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<v Speaker 1>necessarily understanding how much this new strain of virus that

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<v Speaker 1>is more transmissible, possibly potentially according to some reports, more virulent,

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<v Speaker 1>how much that has accelerated the spread of the pandemic.

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<v Speaker 1>How much has that set us back in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>a need to vaccinate more people, Otherwise we're gonna be

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<v Speaker 1>dealing with lockdowns and other types of social distancing measures instead.

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<v Speaker 1>I think I think we started here hearing early on

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<v Speaker 1>when we started talking about her community, we're thinking sixty

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<v Speaker 1>six and now what we're hearing is and that could

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<v Speaker 1>even go go higher. And of course that's a huge

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<v Speaker 1>difference in terms of the numbers of people that will

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<v Speaker 1>need to receive the vaccine to get to that point.

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<v Speaker 1>And the more people you have to vaccinate, the longer

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<v Speaker 1>is going to take to get there. Should we assume

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<v Speaker 1>we will see a traditional vaccine work with some challenges today?

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<v Speaker 1>All the way J and J other experts like you

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Fuller talking about the efficacy of a more traditional vaccine,

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<v Speaker 1>do we need that in terms of more traditional vaccines like, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>like you mean, like the kinds that we had before

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<v Speaker 1>the RNA vaccines. Yeah, so, so the j J one

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<v Speaker 1>that's coming out, I would not categorize that as traditional.

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<v Speaker 1>That's actually kind of new as well. Is just using

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<v Speaker 1>a different way to deliver a genetic material into ourselves

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<v Speaker 1>so that we can produce the vaccines. So it's actually,

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<v Speaker 1>in some respects quite similar to the URNA vaccines. And

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<v Speaker 1>the vantage of both of these types of vaccines is

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<v Speaker 1>that should the virus undergo uh an evolution where it

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<v Speaker 1>is starting to reduce their efficacy, they are what we

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<v Speaker 1>call plug and play vaccines are very very quick to update.

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<v Speaker 1>You just have to swap out the genetic material and

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<v Speaker 1>the way you go to producing them. In the past,

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<v Speaker 1>our traditional vaccines would take somewhere between eight to nine

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<v Speaker 1>months to update. These ones, They're going to be weeks,

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<v Speaker 1>uh maybe a month to start to get back out again.

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<v Speaker 1>So this is that's good news for us that these

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<v Speaker 1>are the types of X means that can that can

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<v Speaker 1>chase that viral evolution much quicker. To just to wrap

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<v Speaker 1>things up, could we just get your assessment of the

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<v Speaker 1>administration's goal to vaccinate one million Americans per day for

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<v Speaker 1>a hundred days. We're already around those levels and have

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<v Speaker 1>been now for about a week or so. I wander

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<v Speaker 1>from your perspective, doctor, whether the goal itself is just

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<v Speaker 1>not bold enough or whether there will be supply issues

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<v Speaker 1>down the road that we need to address at the

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<v Speaker 1>moment that actually make that one million rate quite optimistic. Right. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>it it sounds impressive, but but it may not be enough.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's a good start, uh, to get to.

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<v Speaker 1>But if we want to get to a goal where

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<v Speaker 1>we keep talking about wanting to sort of be mass

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<v Speaker 1>free by labor Day or something, uh, we're probably going

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<v Speaker 1>to need to start there and then quickly accelerate maybe

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<v Speaker 1>double or even triple that rate to get to there.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think once some mechanisms are in place to

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<v Speaker 1>to achieve that consistently a million doses a day, then

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<v Speaker 1>that that's the kind of thing they could leverage to

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<v Speaker 1>continue to increase the rate and double and even triple

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<v Speaker 1>that just quickly. Do you have a place holder on

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<v Speaker 1>the calendar. It's the remarker out there for you that

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<v Speaker 1>you're thinking about when things not to get pet that

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<v Speaker 1>restriction start to be removed again. Well, I always keep

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<v Speaker 1>telling people that I'd love to have a mass free

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<v Speaker 1>day by Labor Day. But you know, and and it

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<v Speaker 1>goes from the perspective of you know, I've runed the

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<v Speaker 1>lab of twenty people, many of them are young parents

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<v Speaker 1>who are eager to see those kids go back to

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<v Speaker 1>school in the fall and get things back to normal.

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<v Speaker 1>Don't appreciate time come back, saying Dr of the University

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<v Speaker 1>of Washington School of Medicine television. This John mentioned China.

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<v Speaker 1>As we heard President at the Davos Agenda. We now

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<v Speaker 1>speak to truly an authority on this. George Magnus is

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<v Speaker 1>at Oxford University's China Center. We're thrilled he could join

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<v Speaker 1>us after his wonderful, hugely, hugely readable effort red Flags.

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<v Speaker 1>George Magnus, thrilled to have you on this day where

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<v Speaker 1>the leader of China speaks. What did not say? He's

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<v Speaker 1>very good, it's saying the appropriate things what did he

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<v Speaker 1>not speak of? Well, I only heard kind of brief

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<v Speaker 1>snippets of his address. I mean what he what he

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<v Speaker 1>didn't say actually, of course other things that you would

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<v Speaker 1>never expect him to say, which, of course are you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the nuances about China's economic recovery. I mean, he he

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<v Speaker 1>does talk about, you know, we mustn't have a cold

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<v Speaker 1>war mentality, which he didn't say he was partially responsible

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<v Speaker 1>for injecting into the global system. He did say that

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<v Speaker 1>decoupling leads to division, which is obviously appointed remark of

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<v Speaker 1>the United States, not saying that actually China has been

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<v Speaker 1>doing selective decoupling for years. Um. And he did say

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<v Speaker 1>that openness and inclusiveness are really important, which is something

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<v Speaker 1>that he didn't say China doesn't really practice. So um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, there's a there's a lot of the things

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<v Speaker 1>that he said that are the opposite of actually what

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<v Speaker 1>actually takes place in the country in the country. And George,

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<v Speaker 1>this is the big question, isn't it. What can the

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<v Speaker 1>incoming administration do to actually change the behavior of China.

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<v Speaker 1>Getting them to say the right things on the international

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<v Speaker 1>stage of the world with economic forum, that's one thing.

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<v Speaker 1>Getting them to act differently is another. Do you expect

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<v Speaker 1>a change in approach from the new administration in the

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<v Speaker 1>United States? I expect a change of tone, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>but not really a change of substance. And I think

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<v Speaker 1>the uh, you know, the and we've seen enough and

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<v Speaker 1>heard enough already, even though it's only like a week old,

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<v Speaker 1>not even the administration of the appointees who are in

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<v Speaker 1>key positions, M and I don't really hear or or

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<v Speaker 1>sense any marked change of direction. So I think it

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<v Speaker 1>would be unusual, given what we know about the individuals concerned,

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<v Speaker 1>if there wasn't a change of tone. And certainly strengthening

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<v Speaker 1>alliance is whether that's with Europe or with the Quad,

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<v Speaker 1>so Australia, Japan and India, U much stronger overtures towards

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<v Speaker 1>Indo Pacific countries. I mean, these kinds of things I

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<v Speaker 1>think will be forthcoming. And I think that is something

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<v Speaker 1>which the Chinese actually we're probably fearful of and why

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<v Speaker 1>they probably didn't want him elected. But I think that's

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<v Speaker 1>that's where I think sort of the rubber is going

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<v Speaker 1>to meet the road proverbially, is sort of a more

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<v Speaker 1>united kind of front amongst countries to confront China on

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<v Speaker 1>very very important issues, but not necessarily on tariffs, which

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<v Speaker 1>were never really going to be going to change anything. Meanwhile,

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<v Speaker 1>financial markets have been voting between the US and China

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<v Speaker 1>and opting for China. There was data out of the

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<v Speaker 1>UN saying that China overtook the United States for the

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<v Speaker 1>first time as the world's top destination for new foreign

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<v Speaker 1>direct investments this past year, and this has been ongoing

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<v Speaker 1>with a huge shift of financial firms ring to expand

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<v Speaker 1>in China despite some of these ongoing tensions between the US,

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<v Speaker 1>UH and China. Do you think that this money is

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<v Speaker 1>well founded in terms of its bed on the Chinese

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<v Speaker 1>economy going forward, based on its pre eminence in how

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<v Speaker 1>it has recovered from the pandemic versus say the US

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<v Speaker 1>and Europe, well at least, so, you know, it's like

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<v Speaker 1>so many things, it is, there's so much nuanced involved.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, I'm not saying that every company that puts

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<v Speaker 1>money to work in China is you know, it is

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<v Speaker 1>kind of throwing it down the drain. But actually we

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<v Speaker 1>also have to recognize, you know, there's a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>self serving money that's going into China and justifying it

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<v Speaker 1>on the basis of being there for that reason. But

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<v Speaker 1>I think that, you know, the the the essence of

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<v Speaker 1>the kind of the the the u N report or

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<v Speaker 1>the untapped report you referred to. I mean it's not

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<v Speaker 1>you know. I mean, the world is basically kind of

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<v Speaker 1>imploded because of the pandemic foreign direct investment ground to hold.

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<v Speaker 1>China managed to to its credit, to with Drawconian measures

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<v Speaker 1>to suppress COVID and allow its economy to come back. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know reasonably well during the last part of two

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<v Speaker 1>thousand and twenty um and uh, and the FDI flow

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<v Speaker 1>is going into China went up by four percenter. You're

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<v Speaker 1>not talking about a huge kind of amount, But yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean you know that. I mean, I do think

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<v Speaker 1>credit where credits due. I mean, they've they've certainly managed

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<v Speaker 1>to achieve and accomplish something with their economy which the

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<v Speaker 1>rest of us obviously are looking at slightly green and

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<v Speaker 1>TINGI with envy. But you know, in the fullness of time,

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<v Speaker 1>when imagine when we get on top of our own

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<v Speaker 1>pending problems, so I think they catch up, will become

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<v Speaker 1>quite apparent. George Wrights catch up, So please come back soon.

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<v Speaker 1>So much to talk about. Author of Red Flags, George

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<v Speaker 1>Magnus Oxford University, China Center Research Associate. And this day,

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<v Speaker 1>after all of the inauguration begin our political coverage forward

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<v Speaker 1>for President Biden and for our legislative branch. Brian Style

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<v Speaker 1>joins us now first out of the lock with the

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<v Speaker 1>fascinating first District of Wisconsin. This is less aspens Old District.

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<v Speaker 1>And then onto Paul Ryan, who Congress Style worked for

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<v Speaker 1>and he now holds court from Jamesville in the very

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<v Speaker 1>far west of the district over to the Lake and

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<v Speaker 1>of course over to Kenosha as well. Brian, it is

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<v Speaker 1>such an interesting district and really is the polarity of

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<v Speaker 1>America from Jamesville to Kenosha. How are you going to

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<v Speaker 1>straddle that polarity forward? Southeast Wisconsin is a great place

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<v Speaker 1>to live and work. It's about hard working families getting

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<v Speaker 1>the job done. What we need to do is actually

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<v Speaker 1>address the policies that are impacting people in Wisconsin are

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<v Speaker 1>across the country. We gotta work to get people back

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<v Speaker 1>to work, to keep America healthy, to defeat COVID, and

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<v Speaker 1>to keep our communities and our country safe. If we're

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<v Speaker 1>focused in on the policies that matter to workers and

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<v Speaker 1>families in Southeast Wisconsin, those are the values that matter

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<v Speaker 1>to everyone across the United States. We're gonna be able

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<v Speaker 1>to come together to move the ball forward on behalf

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<v Speaker 1>of the American run claim working for President Biden made

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<v Speaker 1>clear he needs bipartisan to succeed. How can you break

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<v Speaker 1>bread with President Biden? How can you break bread with

0:13:11.080 --> 0:13:14.920
<v Speaker 1>Speaker Pelosi? I think there's areas where we can come together.

0:13:15.000 --> 0:13:18.280
<v Speaker 1>We can come together to ultimately defeat this virus, making

0:13:18.280 --> 0:13:20.520
<v Speaker 1>sure that we have the resources on the front lines

0:13:20.600 --> 0:13:23.959
<v Speaker 1>for our nurses and our doctors, vaccine, development of vaccine rollout.

0:13:24.240 --> 0:13:27.040
<v Speaker 1>We can come together, I think on infrastructure. But at

0:13:27.040 --> 0:13:29.760
<v Speaker 1>the same time, that means Congress has to get to work.

0:13:29.800 --> 0:13:32.880
<v Speaker 1>Where we've seen on day one Joe Biden making pretty

0:13:32.920 --> 0:13:36.360
<v Speaker 1>extreme executive decisions that I think are against the interests

0:13:36.360 --> 0:13:38.320
<v Speaker 1>of the American people. We're gonna have to push back

0:13:38.320 --> 0:13:40.720
<v Speaker 1>against that. But I think we can come together to

0:13:40.760 --> 0:13:43.239
<v Speaker 1>work on some of the most pressing issues, in particular

0:13:43.559 --> 0:13:47.319
<v Speaker 1>getting workers back to work. Can you get behind a

0:13:47.360 --> 0:13:50.959
<v Speaker 1>one point nine trillion dollar packet for COVID relief? What

0:13:51.000 --> 0:13:53.520
<v Speaker 1>we've seen is a lot of money going in and

0:13:53.559 --> 0:13:56.360
<v Speaker 1>providing liquidity into the market. What we need to do

0:13:56.440 --> 0:14:00.000
<v Speaker 1>now is begin to target that relief to those individual

0:14:00.040 --> 0:14:02.600
<v Speaker 1>rules who have been impacted through no fault of their own.

0:14:02.679 --> 0:14:05.360
<v Speaker 1>These broad brush strokes of relief, I think I have

0:14:05.400 --> 0:14:08.800
<v Speaker 1>a risk of overheating and putting us further into debt

0:14:09.120 --> 0:14:12.400
<v Speaker 1>and in particular not being good stewards of taxpayer dollars.

0:14:12.400 --> 0:14:15.000
<v Speaker 1>I'd like to see us target that relief to those

0:14:15.000 --> 0:14:18.400
<v Speaker 1>people who have been negatively impact Think about people working

0:14:18.400 --> 0:14:21.360
<v Speaker 1>maybe in the service industry, your your cooks, or your

0:14:21.760 --> 0:14:24.600
<v Speaker 1>your frontline folks. That's where we need to target the

0:14:24.640 --> 0:14:27.080
<v Speaker 1>relief rather than these broad brush strokes, which are just

0:14:27.120 --> 0:14:30.800
<v Speaker 1>not a good use of taxpayer dollars in some instances.

0:14:30.920 --> 0:14:32.680
<v Speaker 1>So if that's where the money goes, would you be

0:14:32.680 --> 0:14:35.000
<v Speaker 1>behind the one point nine trillion. I mean, if you

0:14:35.000 --> 0:14:36.920
<v Speaker 1>look at the liquidit in the markets that was provided

0:14:36.920 --> 0:14:39.360
<v Speaker 1>by the Central Bank, this COVID relief package would do

0:14:39.400 --> 0:14:42.400
<v Speaker 1>something else. I think what we would be seeing is

0:14:42.440 --> 0:14:45.360
<v Speaker 1>some of this is not good use of taxpayer dollars

0:14:45.400 --> 0:14:47.640
<v Speaker 1>in the initial proposal. We're gonna have to see what's

0:14:47.640 --> 0:14:50.160
<v Speaker 1>actually written on paper. Some of these top line numbers

0:14:50.640 --> 0:14:53.760
<v Speaker 1>are being floated around on Capitol Hill. What I'd like

0:14:53.840 --> 0:14:57.000
<v Speaker 1>to see is us narrowly tailor this to those people

0:14:57.040 --> 0:14:59.960
<v Speaker 1>that have been impacted, rather than these big broad brush

0:15:00.000 --> 0:15:02.600
<v Speaker 1>strokes where they're going to try to implement all sorts

0:15:02.600 --> 0:15:06.440
<v Speaker 1>of policy objectives unrelated to COVID or unrelated to getting

0:15:06.440 --> 0:15:10.320
<v Speaker 1>folks back to work. Okay, I ninety four moving north

0:15:10.440 --> 0:15:12.920
<v Speaker 1>up to lake. It's part of your headache as well.

0:15:12.960 --> 0:15:16.000
<v Speaker 1>If we have stimulus, and congressmen, you we're gonna have

0:15:16.040 --> 0:15:19.280
<v Speaker 1>to have a bridge to nowhere infrastructure project. How do

0:15:19.400 --> 0:15:26.200
<v Speaker 1>you envision infrastructure as a conservative guy? One easy opportunity

0:15:26.240 --> 0:15:29.840
<v Speaker 1>there is, let's push forward with private sector infrastructure investment.

0:15:30.120 --> 0:15:32.440
<v Speaker 1>This is where I was so frustrated by Joe Biden's

0:15:32.480 --> 0:15:35.680
<v Speaker 1>decision on day one to kill the Keystone pipeline. That

0:15:35.760 --> 0:15:40.240
<v Speaker 1>was billions of dollars of private sector infrastructure investment, thousands

0:15:40.280 --> 0:15:44.400
<v Speaker 1>of jobs, hundreds of those jobs from southeast Wisconsin. Those

0:15:44.400 --> 0:15:46.000
<v Speaker 1>are the types of jobs that we should be able

0:15:46.040 --> 0:15:49.760
<v Speaker 1>to rally around. Private infrastructure investment would be critical, and

0:15:49.800 --> 0:15:52.320
<v Speaker 1>I was disappointed to see Joe Biden kill the Keystone

0:15:52.320 --> 0:15:55.320
<v Speaker 1>Pipeline on day one of his administration. Fine, but we're

0:15:55.440 --> 0:15:59.440
<v Speaker 1>looking forward? Is the common ground on infrastructure? I have

0:15:59.640 --> 0:16:04.280
<v Speaker 1>a aged watching nothing essentially nothing get done in Washington.

0:16:04.720 --> 0:16:09.120
<v Speaker 1>How do Republicans provide bipartisan leadership to get to a

0:16:09.240 --> 0:16:15.640
<v Speaker 1>second stimulus bill that builds bridges, fixes airports, etcetera. I

0:16:15.680 --> 0:16:17.840
<v Speaker 1>think the big conversation is what is the pay for?

0:16:18.000 --> 0:16:20.320
<v Speaker 1>How are we actually going to come together the side

0:16:20.320 --> 0:16:23.400
<v Speaker 1>of the ledger of we need to build infrastructure. I

0:16:23.440 --> 0:16:27.600
<v Speaker 1>think that is a broadfair, bipartisan analysis. I think the conversation,

0:16:27.640 --> 0:16:30.000
<v Speaker 1>the adult conversation in the room, is going to be

0:16:30.040 --> 0:16:31.480
<v Speaker 1>how are we going to pay for this? Is it

0:16:31.840 --> 0:16:35.000
<v Speaker 1>a look towards raising everyone's taxes? Are we gonna find

0:16:35.080 --> 0:16:38.720
<v Speaker 1>areas where we can provide efficiency and cut spending? Elsewhere?

0:16:38.720 --> 0:16:41.520
<v Speaker 1>Can we use user fees? That's the adult conversation we

0:16:41.560 --> 0:16:42.920
<v Speaker 1>have to have in the room. I think there is

0:16:42.960 --> 0:16:45.320
<v Speaker 1>consensus on the side of the ledger of we need

0:16:45.360 --> 0:16:48.040
<v Speaker 1>to invest in infrastructure. I'd like to see a conversation

0:16:48.280 --> 0:16:51.800
<v Speaker 1>about how we can be thoughtful, productive stewards of taxpayer dollars,

0:16:51.960 --> 0:16:55.680
<v Speaker 1>but also moving forward with that infrastructure investment. A congressman,

0:16:55.800 --> 0:16:58.000
<v Speaker 1>I've got to ask, and I know you're crushed. We

0:16:58.040 --> 0:17:02.240
<v Speaker 1>were frankly looking for your entreur to cancel you today.

0:17:02.400 --> 0:17:07.280
<v Speaker 1>The Green Bay Packers kicked a field goal. Congressman, help

0:17:07.400 --> 0:17:11.840
<v Speaker 1>me here, Paul Ryan, never want to let that happen. Bad,

0:17:11.920 --> 0:17:14.639
<v Speaker 1>bad decision. You gotta go for the touchdown when you

0:17:14.680 --> 0:17:17.639
<v Speaker 1>have one of the best red zone offenses in the

0:17:17.720 --> 0:17:20.520
<v Speaker 1>league with two minutes left. That's a decision that's gonna

0:17:20.560 --> 0:17:23.040
<v Speaker 1>haunt us until next season, for sure. I mean, this

0:17:23.080 --> 0:17:27.480
<v Speaker 1>is the Democrats fault, isn't it's we got somebody to

0:17:27.520 --> 0:17:30.760
<v Speaker 1>blame for that. That's a bad that's a bad football

0:17:30.800 --> 0:17:35.040
<v Speaker 1>talk for I know, I know, Congressman. I know you

0:17:35.280 --> 0:17:39.359
<v Speaker 1>condemned the mob that you know insurged on Capitol Hill

0:17:39.400 --> 0:17:43.560
<v Speaker 1>on January six, but you also voted against impeaching Donald Trump.

0:17:43.640 --> 0:17:47.280
<v Speaker 1>Does Donald Trump still have a place in the Republican Party.

0:17:48.200 --> 0:17:50.360
<v Speaker 1>I think we need to hold the criminals they came

0:17:50.440 --> 0:17:52.760
<v Speaker 1>into the Capitol accountable. We always need to hold people

0:17:52.760 --> 0:17:56.159
<v Speaker 1>accountable for their actions. I'm a big tent Republican. I

0:17:56.160 --> 0:17:58.640
<v Speaker 1>think there's plenty of room for lots of folks about

0:17:58.680 --> 0:18:01.040
<v Speaker 1>how we're going to move the all forward. I don't

0:18:01.080 --> 0:18:04.199
<v Speaker 1>think I'm teaching the president as productive. I voted against it.

0:18:04.520 --> 0:18:06.680
<v Speaker 1>I think the Senate should pass it aside and get

0:18:06.720 --> 0:18:08.800
<v Speaker 1>on with the work of the American people. The American

0:18:08.840 --> 0:18:11.480
<v Speaker 1>people want to get folks back to work, They want

0:18:11.480 --> 0:18:14.480
<v Speaker 1>to get America healthy. We need to keep our community safe.

0:18:14.680 --> 0:18:17.040
<v Speaker 1>Let's put partisan politics aside and get on with the

0:18:17.080 --> 0:18:20.000
<v Speaker 1>work of the American people. Right. But so, where do

0:18:20.000 --> 0:18:22.760
<v Speaker 1>you see Donald Trump fitting in the Republican Party. I

0:18:23.119 --> 0:18:26.800
<v Speaker 1>think he's a terrific voice about cutting taxes, about lowering

0:18:26.840 --> 0:18:30.000
<v Speaker 1>the regulatory burdens. I think he should be a continuing

0:18:30.080 --> 0:18:34.000
<v Speaker 1>voice to advance us on good, solid conservative policies going forward.

0:18:34.240 --> 0:18:36.439
<v Speaker 1>The bigger the tent. We need more people on the

0:18:36.440 --> 0:18:39.600
<v Speaker 1>Republican side, more people in the conservative movement to move

0:18:39.640 --> 0:18:43.359
<v Speaker 1>our country forward, not less. You've got some demographic challenges there.

0:18:43.880 --> 0:18:46.560
<v Speaker 1>We'll come back to you, Congressman next time. Green Bay

0:18:46.600 --> 0:18:50.680
<v Speaker 1>explains what the hell happened there? That was absolutely extraordinary.

0:18:50.720 --> 0:18:53.600
<v Speaker 1>He is from the first district of Wisconsin, is far

0:18:53.640 --> 0:18:56.720
<v Speaker 1>away from Green Bays. You can get this morning, Congress

0:18:56.760 --> 0:19:03.159
<v Speaker 1>and Style, thank you so much. Right now, as we

0:19:03.240 --> 0:19:07.040
<v Speaker 1>spoke to Mr Style of Wisconsin an hour ago, we

0:19:07.119 --> 0:19:11.600
<v Speaker 1>speak with Mr Evans of Philadelphia and Pennsylvania. His district

0:19:11.760 --> 0:19:16.040
<v Speaker 1>is important, it is hugely democratic in guidance, and he

0:19:16.280 --> 0:19:19.320
<v Speaker 1>is the leader of the third district of Pennsylvania were

0:19:19.320 --> 0:19:22.439
<v Speaker 1>throwed the Congressman Evans could join us. UH this morning,

0:19:22.920 --> 0:19:26.640
<v Speaker 1>Dwight Evans. You have a new Congress, You're in charge,

0:19:26.680 --> 0:19:30.000
<v Speaker 1>You've got a president. You've got your house again, and

0:19:30.119 --> 0:19:33.920
<v Speaker 1>lo and behold fifty fifty. Vice President Harris will give

0:19:33.920 --> 0:19:37.119
<v Speaker 1>that important voice in the vote in the Senate. What

0:19:37.240 --> 0:19:42.840
<v Speaker 1>does your team need to do to affect policy? I

0:19:42.840 --> 0:19:45.600
<v Speaker 1>think person said good morning too, and I think that

0:19:46.320 --> 0:19:50.320
<v Speaker 1>what we need to do is attempt to bring people

0:19:50.359 --> 0:19:54.320
<v Speaker 1>together within the Congress. I think that President Biden and

0:19:54.440 --> 0:19:58.040
<v Speaker 1>Vice President Harris the attempt to bring people together. The

0:19:58.160 --> 0:20:02.560
<v Speaker 1>first crusted device. We must crush the virus. There's a

0:20:02.640 --> 0:20:07.360
<v Speaker 1>direct connection between crushing of virus and the economy. UH

0:20:07.520 --> 0:20:11.040
<v Speaker 1>coming back. You need to do both of those combinations.

0:20:11.080 --> 0:20:15.440
<v Speaker 1>And I believe that President Biden Vice President has will

0:20:15.480 --> 0:20:19.320
<v Speaker 1>demonstrate that type of leadership. So they will first start

0:20:19.359 --> 0:20:25.040
<v Speaker 1>off with the facting distribution and in the initiative that

0:20:25.160 --> 0:20:30.040
<v Speaker 1>the President has put forward is the initiative of the

0:20:30.080 --> 0:20:35.679
<v Speaker 1>distribution of the vaccine, which I think is very essential

0:20:36.359 --> 0:20:38.840
<v Speaker 1>in terms of dealings problems. The second part of it

0:20:38.880 --> 0:20:43.119
<v Speaker 1>is dealing with the economy and dealing with the economy

0:20:43.520 --> 0:20:49.240
<v Speaker 1>in terms of small businesses, investing in infrastructure like schools,

0:20:49.280 --> 0:20:54.280
<v Speaker 1>reopening those types of and and the president um elect

0:20:54.400 --> 0:20:57.879
<v Speaker 1>or the president as he stated, it is basically attempting

0:20:58.040 --> 0:21:03.080
<v Speaker 1>to deal with both sides, UH, the Democratic Republicans, and

0:21:03.119 --> 0:21:05.080
<v Speaker 1>I think that we're in a good positions over that.

0:21:05.400 --> 0:21:08.600
<v Speaker 1>Chris fran surely chosen got the Black Caucus going. Charles

0:21:08.600 --> 0:21:11.280
<v Speaker 1>Wrangle renamed it in the seventies. I believe it was.

0:21:11.720 --> 0:21:15.280
<v Speaker 1>And you know, you now provide important leadership there. You

0:21:15.320 --> 0:21:18.800
<v Speaker 1>weren't joined by Reverend Warnock of Georgia, and you're also

0:21:18.920 --> 0:21:21.119
<v Speaker 1>joined by a Vice President of the United States with

0:21:21.160 --> 0:21:24.920
<v Speaker 1>an historic heritage. How will the new Black Caucus look

0:21:25.280 --> 0:21:29.360
<v Speaker 1>going forward? Well, I think that the new Black Caucus,

0:21:29.480 --> 0:21:32.639
<v Speaker 1>UH will look where it wants to get something done,

0:21:32.920 --> 0:21:37.680
<v Speaker 1>which is very essential. We know that either party cannot

0:21:37.680 --> 0:21:41.600
<v Speaker 1>do it by themselves and that's the reality. So the

0:21:41.600 --> 0:21:45.160
<v Speaker 1>Black Caucus was, I think will tend to bomban alliance

0:21:45.240 --> 0:21:48.520
<v Speaker 1>to attack the virus and then figure out how you

0:21:48.560 --> 0:21:53.320
<v Speaker 1>deal with small businesses. That's very important in terms of rebuilding,

0:21:53.400 --> 0:21:58.240
<v Speaker 1>building back this economy back. That's the reality that we face.

0:21:58.840 --> 0:22:01.800
<v Speaker 1>I believe that the pre than it is given the

0:22:01.880 --> 0:22:05.680
<v Speaker 1>opportunity can do those things. You're not talking about somebody

0:22:05.880 --> 0:22:11.000
<v Speaker 1>who is new at this UH. President Biden vice president

0:22:11.040 --> 0:22:15.360
<v Speaker 1>has have the skill set when you look at historically

0:22:16.119 --> 0:22:20.720
<v Speaker 1>president experience, he has shown years of experience in the

0:22:20.800 --> 0:22:24.639
<v Speaker 1>Senate Vice president United States. He has what I believe

0:22:24.840 --> 0:22:28.720
<v Speaker 1>that's there. You're talking about sixty members in the Congressional

0:22:28.760 --> 0:22:31.720
<v Speaker 1>Black Caucus. You're talking about six members on the Ways

0:22:31.760 --> 0:22:34.240
<v Speaker 1>and Means Committee. So I think when you look at it,

0:22:34.280 --> 0:22:37.160
<v Speaker 1>you basically have people who have the ability to bring

0:22:37.200 --> 0:22:41.520
<v Speaker 1>it together. He's given the opportunity to UH to implement

0:22:42.080 --> 0:22:45.119
<v Speaker 1>division and the agenda that he has representative. There's a

0:22:45.200 --> 0:22:48.040
<v Speaker 1>question about impeachment at this point and the wisdom behind

0:22:48.320 --> 0:22:52.640
<v Speaker 1>going forward with the trial given the immediacy of both

0:22:52.720 --> 0:22:56.159
<v Speaker 1>the vaccination rollout as well as the aid needed to

0:22:56.200 --> 0:22:57.800
<v Speaker 1>get to people. Do you think that it is a

0:22:57.880 --> 0:23:01.320
<v Speaker 1>mistake to move ahead so quickly with impeaching the former

0:23:01.400 --> 0:23:06.320
<v Speaker 1>President Trump. I believe we can do more than one thing.

0:23:06.760 --> 0:23:10.120
<v Speaker 1>I believe it's a question of accountability. The House has

0:23:10.200 --> 0:23:13.600
<v Speaker 1>voted for impeachment and that has now passed those to

0:23:13.640 --> 0:23:17.600
<v Speaker 1>the Senate. I believe that we can conduct vote, we

0:23:17.680 --> 0:23:22.800
<v Speaker 1>can implement the agenda regarding the virus and the economy,

0:23:22.920 --> 0:23:25.240
<v Speaker 1>and we also can deal with the impeachment. It is

0:23:25.240 --> 0:23:29.280
<v Speaker 1>a question of accountability. You can't ignore, you know. It's

0:23:29.320 --> 0:23:33.119
<v Speaker 1>not like the Constitution has written somewhere in there where

0:23:33.359 --> 0:23:36.679
<v Speaker 1>some document where it states that you can avoid the

0:23:36.800 --> 0:23:41.840
<v Speaker 1>aspect of accountability. No one is above the question of accountability.

0:23:42.359 --> 0:23:45.280
<v Speaker 1>I believe that process will be conducted in a very

0:23:45.320 --> 0:23:48.679
<v Speaker 1>fair open way and we should move forward. The Congressman,

0:23:48.680 --> 0:23:51.000
<v Speaker 1>thanks for being with us this morning, and we appreciate

0:23:51.000 --> 0:23:53.400
<v Speaker 1>your patience as we had some technical problems just moments ago.

0:23:53.440 --> 0:23:56.879
<v Speaker 1>Please come back soon. Democratic Congressman that Dwight Heavens of

0:23:56.960 --> 0:24:03.639
<v Speaker 1>Pennsylvania Duck Cass now with Seabreez and we'll do the

0:24:03.640 --> 0:24:06.000
<v Speaker 1>equity markets here. I know Doug's loaded the boat on

0:24:06.080 --> 0:24:08.800
<v Speaker 1>game Stop, so we'll see how that's going. He's gonna

0:24:08.800 --> 0:24:11.200
<v Speaker 1>buy the rest of the state of Florida here when

0:24:11.200 --> 0:24:14.119
<v Speaker 1>he clears that trade. But we have to start with

0:24:14.280 --> 0:24:17.600
<v Speaker 1>Henry Aaron Doug Cass. When I heard that Henry arn Uh,

0:24:18.680 --> 0:24:22.320
<v Speaker 1>I just waited for Tom Boswell of the Baltimore Son

0:24:22.320 --> 0:24:24.920
<v Speaker 1>and the Washington Post to published one of our great writers.

0:24:25.520 --> 0:24:30.720
<v Speaker 1>And Tom Boswell absolutely nailed our ute and I, Doug,

0:24:30.760 --> 0:24:33.439
<v Speaker 1>I think this needs to be said. The media for

0:24:33.520 --> 0:24:38.480
<v Speaker 1>baseball in our childhood was East Coast, Big City American League.

0:24:38.480 --> 0:24:42.040
<v Speaker 1>The National League barely existed, particularly when the two teams

0:24:42.040 --> 0:24:45.679
<v Speaker 1>from New York abandoned New York and Doug cass. For

0:24:45.880 --> 0:24:50.080
<v Speaker 1>me and my childhood, Henry Aaron was a box score

0:24:50.840 --> 0:24:52.760
<v Speaker 1>and he was on with Dizzy Dean on Game of

0:24:52.800 --> 0:24:55.320
<v Speaker 1>the Week every once in a while, and that's all

0:24:55.359 --> 0:24:58.800
<v Speaker 1>we knew about the guy. Yeah, I think that from

0:24:58.800 --> 0:25:05.040
<v Speaker 1>my vamped point, um tom seven home runs were impressive,

0:25:05.080 --> 0:25:08.679
<v Speaker 1>But to me it was the manner and the grace

0:25:09.080 --> 0:25:13.840
<v Speaker 1>of hammering Hank when he confronted the force of racist

0:25:13.920 --> 0:25:17.080
<v Speaker 1>vitriol in his pursuit of Babe Ruth's home run record.

0:25:17.560 --> 0:25:21.040
<v Speaker 1>I think that many forget how vicious the attacks were

0:25:21.119 --> 0:25:24.480
<v Speaker 1>on app. It was really an ugly moment for America,

0:25:24.600 --> 0:25:28.399
<v Speaker 1>for baseball and for American sports. It was dug in

0:25:28.520 --> 0:25:30.200
<v Speaker 1>and let's go to that because I you know, I'm

0:25:30.240 --> 0:25:33.520
<v Speaker 1>thinking about Edward Matthews is my father called him and

0:25:33.520 --> 0:25:37.640
<v Speaker 1>and all that go into the later part of his career.

0:25:37.680 --> 0:25:42.320
<v Speaker 1>He's already iconic, and then in the pursuit of that

0:25:43.200 --> 0:25:47.919
<v Speaker 1>iconic record. He just did it day after day, and

0:25:47.960 --> 0:25:52.240
<v Speaker 1>there was a grind to it that everybody he was

0:25:52.320 --> 0:25:56.800
<v Speaker 1>to hitting Tom that Sandy was two pitching um. They

0:25:56.840 --> 0:26:00.680
<v Speaker 1>started their major league baseball careers only one year apart.

0:26:00.760 --> 0:26:03.479
<v Speaker 1>There only one year difference in age. I know if

0:26:03.480 --> 0:26:06.520
<v Speaker 1>you knew that. But even my cousin Sandy couldn't put

0:26:06.840 --> 0:26:09.720
<v Speaker 1>Aaron away. I think that Aaron was one of only

0:26:09.800 --> 0:26:13.320
<v Speaker 1>five players to hit over three hundred during his career

0:26:13.359 --> 0:26:17.120
<v Speaker 1>against Sandy. But what was really impressive was his slash

0:26:17.160 --> 0:26:19.919
<v Speaker 1>line against Sandy. For those that don't know baseball like

0:26:19.960 --> 0:26:24.120
<v Speaker 1>we do, that's batting average, on base percentage, and slugging average,

0:26:24.480 --> 0:26:27.200
<v Speaker 1>and it was. His batting average against Sandy was three

0:26:27.280 --> 0:26:31.199
<v Speaker 1>sixty two, his on base percentage was thirty, and I

0:26:31.200 --> 0:26:35.000
<v Speaker 1>believe his slugging at at average was close to six fifty.

0:26:35.440 --> 0:26:37.160
<v Speaker 1>Doug Before we get to the markets, one more from

0:26:37.160 --> 0:26:39.000
<v Speaker 1>me on on Henry Aaron what I and he was

0:26:39.080 --> 0:26:41.680
<v Speaker 1>just before my time? But you know what, looking at

0:26:41.720 --> 0:26:43.719
<v Speaker 1>some of the statistics, there's so many that jump out

0:26:43.720 --> 0:26:45.399
<v Speaker 1>at you, but one of the ones that really jumps

0:26:45.400 --> 0:26:47.480
<v Speaker 1>out of me in this day and ages, he played

0:26:47.480 --> 0:26:50.800
<v Speaker 1>almost every game every year, well there was a hundred

0:26:50.840 --> 0:26:53.840
<v Speaker 1>fifty four games, a hundred sixty two games, no day offs,

0:26:53.960 --> 0:26:56.639
<v Speaker 1>you know, a day game after a night game. You

0:26:56.720 --> 0:26:59.440
<v Speaker 1>only played ten games in a row. He played every

0:26:59.440 --> 0:27:04.080
<v Speaker 1>single day, right and play and the great pictures completed

0:27:04.119 --> 0:27:06.720
<v Speaker 1>almost every game. That game was much different than that

0:27:07.400 --> 0:27:10.240
<v Speaker 1>the one M Paul one. The one stat that comes

0:27:10.280 --> 0:27:14.800
<v Speaker 1>out to me was that he's starting salary in um

0:27:15.119 --> 0:27:20.679
<v Speaker 1>N was six thousand dollars, but his ending salary was

0:27:20.720 --> 0:27:26.399
<v Speaker 1>only two thousand dollars. Yeah, just extraordinary, different time and place.

0:27:26.560 --> 0:27:30.040
<v Speaker 1>All right, Doug, we're starting here into earning season. Here,

0:27:30.680 --> 0:27:33.560
<v Speaker 1>give us us how important is this earning season for you,

0:27:33.680 --> 0:27:37.240
<v Speaker 1>as at least the actual numbers that get printed versus

0:27:37.280 --> 0:27:39.800
<v Speaker 1>maybe some of the guidance we hear from some of

0:27:39.840 --> 0:27:44.120
<v Speaker 1>these executives. I think the earning season is, um it's

0:27:44.160 --> 0:27:46.960
<v Speaker 1>somewhat irrelevant because there's a rear view mirror. And I

0:27:47.080 --> 0:27:51.000
<v Speaker 1>also also think, um Paul, it's it's taking a back

0:27:51.080 --> 0:27:56.000
<v Speaker 1>burner and on the front burner is is this pandemic

0:27:56.080 --> 0:28:00.480
<v Speaker 1>era central banking which is creating bubbles everywhere. If the

0:28:00.520 --> 0:28:03.280
<v Speaker 1>market was a song, it would be the Tin Pally,

0:28:03.600 --> 0:28:07.359
<v Speaker 1>the Tin Pan Alley hit. I'm forever blowing bubbles um,

0:28:07.400 --> 0:28:10.200
<v Speaker 1>and for John Faroh Tom, I would mention to him

0:28:10.240 --> 0:28:12.640
<v Speaker 1>that the song is currently the anthem of the English

0:28:12.800 --> 0:28:18.480
<v Speaker 1>Premier League club west Ham. UM. So I think we're

0:28:18.480 --> 0:28:21.720
<v Speaker 1>in the final phase of speculation. Speculation is running a

0:28:21.840 --> 0:28:25.800
<v Speaker 1>muck upon us. It's probably spelling doomed for the eleven

0:28:25.840 --> 0:28:30.439
<v Speaker 1>year bull market. Most should prepare. Most should not short,

0:28:30.520 --> 0:28:34.600
<v Speaker 1>but most should prepare for this by reducing risk profile. UM.

0:28:34.640 --> 0:28:37.640
<v Speaker 1>What's really concerning to me is that speculative behavior has

0:28:37.680 --> 0:28:43.520
<v Speaker 1>become normalized. Many are really enjoying small caps backs, large

0:28:43.520 --> 0:28:47.640
<v Speaker 1>cap testa speculations is growing ever more irrational. It's almost

0:28:47.680 --> 0:28:51.280
<v Speaker 1>like a Janis Joplin song get a while you can, um,

0:28:51.360 --> 0:28:54.080
<v Speaker 1>but history rhymes, and this is typically the last gas

0:28:54.600 --> 0:28:57.400
<v Speaker 1>of a bull market. And I think that the ute,

0:28:57.520 --> 0:29:02.480
<v Speaker 1>the young investors like Willie Sutton are attracted to these worthless,

0:29:02.600 --> 0:29:06.720
<v Speaker 1>sometimes worthless, shiny objects of speculation because, to quote Sutton

0:29:06.760 --> 0:29:09.239
<v Speaker 1>when asked why Rob's banks, that's where the money is.

0:29:09.440 --> 0:29:12.920
<v Speaker 1>So that today the money is in speculation and SPACs

0:29:12.960 --> 0:29:17.760
<v Speaker 1>and other you jaws epitomize that speculation. And every speculative

0:29:18.000 --> 0:29:21.880
<v Speaker 1>cycle has an outlandish example of gambling and speculation today.

0:29:21.880 --> 0:29:25.640
<v Speaker 1>It is games stop symbol gm e W traded at

0:29:26.120 --> 0:29:30.480
<v Speaker 1>ten this morning. Do what should our more traditional investor

0:29:30.560 --> 0:29:34.400
<v Speaker 1>to listen to US worldwide and across this nation. They're

0:29:34.440 --> 0:29:37.600
<v Speaker 1>not in those things. They have money in their pension plan.

0:29:38.000 --> 0:29:41.560
<v Speaker 1>Maybe they have an investment account as well. You can't

0:29:41.600 --> 0:29:43.680
<v Speaker 1>tell me they should go to cash, you know, all

0:29:43.680 --> 0:29:45.560
<v Speaker 1>of them. I mean, what do they do? Given the

0:29:46.280 --> 0:29:51.040
<v Speaker 1>foolishness they observe future short most should probably increase the

0:29:51.240 --> 0:29:55.520
<v Speaker 1>cash reserves relative to historic parameters. I personally find a

0:29:55.600 --> 0:29:58.080
<v Speaker 1>record low number of stocks that meet my standards for

0:29:58.160 --> 0:30:02.160
<v Speaker 1>purchase today and UM. I would say, for the second

0:30:02.160 --> 0:30:04.239
<v Speaker 1>time in the last few years, it's my view that

0:30:04.720 --> 0:30:08.280
<v Speaker 1>investors with the one or two year timeframe UM should

0:30:08.360 --> 0:30:12.160
<v Speaker 1>sell many of their equities UM. The most important thing

0:30:12.240 --> 0:30:14.480
<v Speaker 1>in looking at the larger cap stocks away from the

0:30:14.480 --> 0:30:18.800
<v Speaker 1>speculation tom is that almost every traditional valuation metric is

0:30:18.840 --> 0:30:24.280
<v Speaker 1>approaching all time highs. I have actually ten indicators, things

0:30:24.320 --> 0:30:29.680
<v Speaker 1>like median enterprise value to sales, Warren Buffett's favorite UM

0:30:30.160 --> 0:30:34.760
<v Speaker 1>sentiment stat market cap to g d P, enterprise value

0:30:34.760 --> 0:30:37.520
<v Speaker 1>to free cash flow, medium price to sales, medium price

0:30:37.600 --> 0:30:45.360
<v Speaker 1>to book, etcetera, etcetera, and they're all actually the historical percentile. So, Doug,

0:30:45.400 --> 0:30:47.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you know, obviously the bull cases you're well

0:30:47.200 --> 0:30:50.640
<v Speaker 1>well aware, is tremendous. Look liquidity in the marketplace. Uh,

0:30:50.680 --> 0:30:53.479
<v Speaker 1>the economy globally is going to set to open up

0:30:53.480 --> 0:30:57.600
<v Speaker 1>in the second half of this year, presumably Uh, stimulus

0:30:57.640 --> 0:31:00.560
<v Speaker 1>around the globe. That's kind of the bull que are

0:31:00.600 --> 0:31:04.680
<v Speaker 1>you saying that's fine? But the valuation is already pressing

0:31:04.680 --> 0:31:07.520
<v Speaker 1>that all in. I think that we have to apply

0:31:07.640 --> 0:31:11.120
<v Speaker 1>second level thinking, yes, Paul, Um, And I think I

0:31:11.200 --> 0:31:14.600
<v Speaker 1>look at market looking at the upside reward versus the

0:31:14.640 --> 0:31:17.440
<v Speaker 1>downside risk, and I see the upside reward being dwarf

0:31:17.640 --> 0:31:22.040
<v Speaker 1>by that. Um, to use Ben Graham's phrase, I see

0:31:22.080 --> 0:31:25.080
<v Speaker 1>little margin of safety for most stocks. Getting back to

0:31:25.120 --> 0:31:29.240
<v Speaker 1>what you just mentioned, Um, we know that investor sentiment,

0:31:29.320 --> 0:31:31.840
<v Speaker 1>is measured by almost every survey, has turned from fear

0:31:31.880 --> 0:31:35.960
<v Speaker 1>to greed since March. UM. I believe that the consensus

0:31:36.000 --> 0:31:41.360
<v Speaker 1>global economic and US corporate profit growth forecasts are too optimistic. Um.

0:31:41.400 --> 0:31:45.200
<v Speaker 1>I think we're under playing that small US businesses have

0:31:45.320 --> 0:31:49.239
<v Speaker 1>been gutted, and we'll leave a gap in consensus projections.

0:31:49.360 --> 0:31:53.800
<v Speaker 1>And I so UM. And I also think that the

0:31:53.840 --> 0:31:57.000
<v Speaker 1>Democratic Senate may mean more stimulus short term, but also

0:31:57.000 --> 0:32:00.240
<v Speaker 1>means higher taxes on income and investments, something something like

0:32:00.360 --> 0:32:03.480
<v Speaker 1>Cooperman talks about. And finally, I think we have this,

0:32:03.480 --> 0:32:06.360
<v Speaker 1>this k recovery, this horrible schism between the halves and

0:32:06.480 --> 0:32:10.160
<v Speaker 1>half not, and we have continued social division. It's approaching

0:32:10.240 --> 0:32:13.800
<v Speaker 1>dangerous levels, as we saw on January six, Doug Kiss,

0:32:13.840 --> 0:32:16.480
<v Speaker 1>here's the reality, and let's take it back to Henry Hearn.

0:32:17.080 --> 0:32:18.840
<v Speaker 1>I looked at the time of the game in nine

0:32:19.960 --> 0:32:25.400
<v Speaker 1>versus now. The players today are playing thirty four more

0:32:25.520 --> 0:32:30.160
<v Speaker 1>games a year over the thirty minutes longer game now,

0:32:31.080 --> 0:32:34.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean the hundred sixty two games and they're stretching

0:32:34.520 --> 0:32:37.960
<v Speaker 1>it out. I mean they're to me, they're almost exhausted,

0:32:38.440 --> 0:32:41.880
<v Speaker 1>just within the grind of the entertainment of it today. Yeah,

0:32:41.920 --> 0:32:43.800
<v Speaker 1>that's a problem, the same problem. I play a lot

0:32:43.800 --> 0:32:47.960
<v Speaker 1>of golf. Um, I've had lost hits a lawyer because

0:32:48.000 --> 0:32:52.120
<v Speaker 1>of the time consumption. Um. So there's But you know this,

0:32:52.680 --> 0:32:55.240
<v Speaker 1>I do like baseball. I like the purity of baseball.

0:32:55.280 --> 0:32:59.920
<v Speaker 1>I think you share this sentiment because that it's untimed. Yeah. Absolutely,

0:33:00.080 --> 0:33:01.800
<v Speaker 1>dot Cast, thank you so much for being with us

0:33:01.800 --> 0:33:04.280
<v Speaker 1>today on the markets and of course on the memory

0:33:04.520 --> 0:33:09.040
<v Speaker 1>of Hank Aaron, Mr Castle Sea Breeze Investments. Thanks for

0:33:09.120 --> 0:33:13.520
<v Speaker 1>listening to the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast. Subscribe and listen to

0:33:13.680 --> 0:33:19.400
<v Speaker 1>interviews on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, or whichever podcast platform you prefer.

0:33:19.960 --> 0:33:23.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm on Twitter at Tom Keane before the podcast. You

0:33:23.320 --> 0:33:26.760
<v Speaker 1>can always catch us worldwide. I'm Bloomberg Radio.