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Speaker 1: The volume Collin Coward Podcasts presented by FanDuel Sports Book.

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Speaker 1: Please use the promo code Colin so they know we

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Speaker 1: sent you. Please use the promo code Colins c O

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Speaker 1: L I N FanDuel Sports Book App. Sign up. This

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Speaker 1: is Prime Cuts, best of the Colin Coward Podcasts. Gonna

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Speaker 1: be honest. I was damn good this week. Joe Burrow,

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Speaker 1: Chad Millman, I got a lot of takes. There were

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Speaker 1: a lot of frothy takes out there. Also. I want

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Speaker 1: to thank you, but the only way you can hear

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Speaker 1: me thank you is to go to the Prime Cuts.

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Speaker 1: It's called a tease. Baby. Let me start by saying

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Speaker 1: this a couple of times a year. I know that

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Speaker 1: you know, I'm on all these platforms and I don't

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Speaker 1: reach out a lot, but I also think it's important

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Speaker 1: to thank you from time to time. So a couple

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Speaker 1: times a year, I want to come out and just say, hey,

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Speaker 1: thank you very much for our support. So I got

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Speaker 1: some information yesterday on a lot of different things at

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Speaker 1: the Volume and Premiere Radio. I Heart Radio, my radio show.

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Speaker 1: We had over thirty million download podcast download just on

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Speaker 1: my radio show for October shattered every record. We had

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Speaker 1: well over thirty million, and I just want to say

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Speaker 1: thank you for the support. There's a million choice is

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Speaker 1: out there. I added Jason McIntyre to the show, and

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Speaker 1: I think he's funny and I can pitch him shit.

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Speaker 1: He pitches it back. You know, anytime you bring on

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Speaker 1: somebody new to the show, it's a new show. And

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Speaker 1: so I think he's done a really nice job to

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Speaker 1: ingratiate himself to the staff to come in. He loves

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Speaker 1: his gambling. He really is a well connected guy. So

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Speaker 1: he's been terrific and it makes me really happy because

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Speaker 1: I've known Jason for over a decade. He's a total grinder.

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Speaker 1: He's my kind of guy, and he's just having great success.

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Speaker 1: The audience is responding, and it makes me really really happy.

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Speaker 1: He's a great guy, works hard, family man, and so again,

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Speaker 1: thank you for your support. Three things I want to

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Speaker 1: talk about. Number one, So Steve Nash mutually parted ways

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Speaker 1: with the Brooklyn Nets. I think Steve Nash wanted out

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Speaker 1: because I don't know Steve Nash well, but I know

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Speaker 1: him and I know a couple of people who know

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Speaker 1: him well. And Steve Nash had said in the offseason

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Speaker 1: that you know, he was at wits end. He missed

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Speaker 1: Manhattan Beach, the lifestyle, the volleyball, the casual nature of it,

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Speaker 1: the quality of life that you know, the NBA is

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Speaker 1: a hard league to coach in. Our basketball cultures in

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Speaker 1: America and our football cultures in America are very different.

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Speaker 1: And the football culture is the coach has ultimate power.

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Speaker 1: You can be cut in professional football. Even Tom Brady

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Speaker 1: could be cut. You don't get the guaranteed long contracts.

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Speaker 1: Players have shorter careers due to a regular level of violence.

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Speaker 1: Players have to go to college for three or four

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Speaker 1: years where they are just part of a collective. The

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Speaker 1: biggest stars in college football. You know, it's often the coach.

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Speaker 1: Nick Saban's bigger than any Alabama player. And so players

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Speaker 1: walk into the NFL, even the stars, they're humble, they're hungry.

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Speaker 1: The football culture, the football media is tougher on players,

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Speaker 1: so they've got fixed skins. Most of them developed through

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Speaker 1: high school and college football. And the reality of NFL football,

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Speaker 1: where your careers are short. You're being tackled the physical

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Speaker 1: nature of it, and coaches have control. NBA basketball as

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Speaker 1: a whole, that culture is different. Spot talent at twelve

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Speaker 1: and thirteen years old and then coddle it, tell it

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Speaker 1: how smart it is, how great it is. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the NBA, you couldn't have even voted for Donald Trump,

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Speaker 1: and I'm no Trump fan. If that got out, you'd

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Speaker 1: be ostracized in the league. You know, there's one way

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Speaker 1: to vote, one way to think, and players tend to

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Speaker 1: be you know, one year of college shoe deals, big

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Speaker 1: money early can't be cut, and they have more power.

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Speaker 1: I have no problem with basketball players in America having

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Speaker 1: more power because the rosters are smaller and individual players

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Speaker 1: can have more of an impact on the outcome. So

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Speaker 1: it doesn't bother me. But when Adam Silver said, you

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Speaker 1: know my players are miserable, that's because pro basketball is

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Speaker 1: the first time anybody's told him no or has ridiculed

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Speaker 1: them or criticized them. You don't hear football players complaining

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Speaker 1: about the internet. You don't hear Roger Goodell saying my

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Speaker 1: players are miserable. If you're miserable making thirty million dollars

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Speaker 1: a year for shooting a basketball and making twenty million

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Speaker 1: selling shoes, you know, maybe it's not criticism on Twitter

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Speaker 1: or social media. Maybe it's you. And you know, Kyrie

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Speaker 1: Irving is part of the basketball culture that you don't

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Speaker 1: see it with a lot of players, But Kyrie Irving

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Speaker 1: has been told how grady is that he has no

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Speaker 1: interest in being part of a culture. Being co he mocks.

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Speaker 1: He rolls his eyes at being coached. Remember what he

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Speaker 1: said before he got to Brooklyn or when he got

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Speaker 1: to Brooklyn, we don't really need to coach here. He

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Speaker 1: thinks that he believes that like Steve Kerr, Popovich, Eric Spoelstra,

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Speaker 1: Tylu have no value. Can you imagine not only thinking

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Speaker 1: that but saying it out loud. That every football player

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Speaker 1: knows coaches matter. So basketball players have this ultimate power

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Speaker 1: very early in pro basketball. And if you were told yes,

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Speaker 1: your entire life if you got everything you wanted all

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Speaker 1: the time, you'd think you were pretty special. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Kawhi Leonard, I don't feel like playing Ben Simmons, I

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Speaker 1: don't feel like shooting Kyrie. I don't feel like being coached.

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Speaker 1: It feels like you get a lot of that in

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Speaker 1: professional basketball. I don't feel like I get a lot

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Speaker 1: of that in pro football. I mean, you occasionally get

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Speaker 1: a player that goes off the rails, like Antonio Brown,

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Speaker 1: but it's very, very rare, and most of your star

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Speaker 1: players are coachable, you know, like, just feel like you

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Speaker 1: can coach him hard. They play hard, they show up,

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Speaker 1: they can take Curtis even if it's social media. The

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Speaker 1: basketball culture in America, I mean, I love basketball, but

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Speaker 1: Kyrie has come to the point where he doesn't elevate teammates.

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Speaker 1: He doesn't want to be coached. I mean, if you're

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Speaker 1: ever quoting or agreeing with Alex Jones ever once, Like,

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Speaker 1: the line between winner and loser in America isn't how

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Speaker 1: much money you make, It isn't your educational background. If

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Speaker 1: you've ever agreed with Alex Jones on anything, you're a loser.

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Speaker 1: There's no debate on that. He is the biggest l

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Speaker 1: on the Internet. And if you've ever once agreed with

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Speaker 1: him or quoted him, you're in the l side. There's

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Speaker 1: the winner side and the loser side, the have side,

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Speaker 1: and the have not side. Ever quote or agree with

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Speaker 1: Alex Jones, That's the line. And I think Steve Nash

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Speaker 1: listened to some of these Kyrie Irving comments and anti

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Speaker 1: Semitic nonsense and agreeing with Alex Jones, and I just

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Speaker 1: think Steve Nash was disgusted, and I think Steve Nash

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Speaker 1: had an enough. Sean McVeigh has intimated like two or

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Speaker 1: three times in the last six months that he's going

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Speaker 1: to retire early. You know, he's thirty six years old,

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Speaker 1: gonna retire early. And I laugh at this. Pete Carroll

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Speaker 1: is seventy years old. Have you ever seen him on

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Speaker 1: the sideline? Does he look miserable? You know who's miserable?

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Speaker 1: Old guys walking around with their wives at a mall

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Speaker 1: at seventy four years old. They don't want to be

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Speaker 1: doing matt They got nothing to do. Go to any

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Speaker 1: mall in America at ten in the morning. See guys

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Speaker 1: with those tennis shoes on seventy five year old man?

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Speaker 1: You know, the kind of velcro. And they're sitting over

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Speaker 1: there wearing their doctors walking around and they're fucking miserable,

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Speaker 1: absolutely miserable. They can't wait to be able to have

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Speaker 1: their first Gin and tonic at a twelve fifteen in

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Speaker 1: the afternoon. They want to be sauced by the time

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Speaker 1: Mattlock comes on. Sean McVay will never find anything that

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Speaker 1: makes him happier. And I'm not talking like wife kid,

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Speaker 1: obviously that's the happiest I ever em or you are.

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Speaker 1: But this idea, this race to retire, come on, man, folks,

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Speaker 1: many of you hate me. Here's the bad news. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna die on the air. I'm going to be eighty

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Speaker 1: eight years old giving sports takes. My teeth are going

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Speaker 1: to fall out of my mouth on the air. Dang guy,

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Speaker 1: usual change klunk. My teeth will fall out, my dentures.

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Speaker 1: I talk sports. These guys coach football. Talking sports keeps

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Speaker 1: me young. Coaching football, Coaching twenty seven year olds keeps

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Speaker 1: you young. This race to retire, I get it. If

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Speaker 1: you work at a lug nut factory, don't get me wrong.

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Speaker 1: I get it. If you lift stuff, totally get it.

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Speaker 1: If you work in a factory. Totally get it. You know,

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Speaker 1: there's some manufacturing jobs that are really tough on people.

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Speaker 1: Don't get me wrong. That's a different life. But when

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Speaker 1: I hear coaches and broadcasters and politicians, I mean, there's

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Speaker 1: a reason the people running for president are in their

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Speaker 1: late seventies because you don't lift anything. How about new rule?

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Speaker 1: If you don't lift stuff, work as long as you can.

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Speaker 1: But Andy Reid, Nick Saban, Pete Carroll, I'm sorry. They

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Speaker 1: don't look miserable to me. They look engaged. They look

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Speaker 1: like they're in the game. I know somebody hate me.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to live with it. I'm in my

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Speaker 1: fifties now, I got thirty years of sports takes and

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Speaker 1: you know what, they're just gonna get better and better.

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Speaker 1: So it's a weird thing happening in society. Elon Musk

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Speaker 1: is going to change Twitter, and you know who knows

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Speaker 1: what's going to happen. I'm a believer that anytime you

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Speaker 1: create a barrier to entry, you clean up a place.

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Speaker 1: I used to do radio remotes when I was just

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Speaker 1: a radio guy, and you'd let anybody come. It was free,

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Speaker 1: and I mean it looked like that the canteen is

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Speaker 1: seen from Star Wars. I mean, if you gave people

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Speaker 1: a free key chain, it was brutal, and it's just like,

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Speaker 1: let's do remotest. Let's have some barrier to entry here.

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Speaker 1: Come on. So if Twitter charges eight bucks a month

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Speaker 1: to get verified or to be verified people, you're going

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Speaker 1: to clean some bots up and clean the bigotry and

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Speaker 1: the bots and these people that just attack women. It's

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Speaker 1: just gross. I think a smaller Twitter is a better Twitter.

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Speaker 1: But we do live in a funny world now that

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Speaker 1: adults have become children and children are forced to become adults.

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Speaker 1: Remember all you adults out there. I'll never watch the

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Speaker 1: NFL because of Kaepernick. A year later the ratings were up,

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Speaker 1: You're watching it even though their heart's in the right place.

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Speaker 1: I'll never watch the Browns with Deshaun Watson. Yeah, I

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Speaker 1: think he's gross too, But I bet if you check

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Speaker 1: in in two or three years, Browns fans will have

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Speaker 1: watched the Cleveland Browns. Your heart's in the right place

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Speaker 1: with that one, but you'll watch it. I'm not gonna

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Speaker 1: join Twitter for eight dollars. I'm out. I guarantee you

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Speaker 1: not a single blue check mark of note is out.

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Speaker 1: You know how along I've been hearing this. I'm I'm

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Speaker 1: quitting this. I won't do that. I won't do that.

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Speaker 1: I'm never coming back. By bye. See you. Everybody was

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Speaker 1: going to move to Canada or Europe because this conservative

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Speaker 1: is elected or this Republicans elected. Bye bye. You don't

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Speaker 1: have to announce it. It's not an airport. You don't

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Speaker 1: have to announce when you're leaving. You know, you don't

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Speaker 1: have to. There's no flight you have to give us

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Speaker 1: a heads up on. Just go. And yet kids now

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Speaker 1: are forced to sometimes be the adults in the family. Hey, dad,

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Speaker 1: I don't think you should go to the Capitol on

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Speaker 1: January sixth. Mom, and Dad, I think you're losing your

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Speaker 1: identity in your mind, going maga like I'm an independent,

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Speaker 1: all right, So I'm a socially left leaning, you know independent.

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Speaker 1: I don't really care, but I mean I care, but

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Speaker 1: I'll go either way on this stuff. But we are

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Speaker 1: forcing kids all over America to have to engage with

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Speaker 1: their parents and tell them to grow up and act

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Speaker 1: like adults, and adults are becoming children. You give them

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Speaker 1: that little phone and there I'm not gonna do this,

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Speaker 1: and I'm not gonna watch this and I'm not gonna go. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: you are, folks. If these threats mattered, I'd have no audience.

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Speaker 1: If these threats mattered, I would have absolutely no audience.

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Speaker 1: I had a petition once at ESPN over sixteen thousand

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Speaker 1: signatures to get rid of me. My boss has loved it.

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Speaker 1: They said, that's the price of relevance. You're becoming something.

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Speaker 1: People are making threats constantly in our society. Don't buy it.

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Speaker 1: I won't do this. I won't do this. I'll never

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Speaker 1: come back. The fact. I always look at it this way.

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Speaker 1: If you are so viscerally connected to like my show

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Speaker 1: that you reach out to yell or scream at me,

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Speaker 1: you're a fan. Now. Some of my fans hate me,

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Speaker 1: some like me, but you're a fan, and that's all

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Speaker 1: I'm trying to do, connect with people emotionally. I hope

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Speaker 1: I'm mostly right. Sometimes I'm wrong. I'm good with it.

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Speaker 1: I'm a public figure. Take your shots, take your swings,

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Speaker 1: but just maybe next time you make a big threat.

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Speaker 1: I won't watch the NFL because of Kapper Niken. I

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Speaker 1: So Joe Burrow didn't have to show up today. We

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Speaker 1: called his reps and said, listen, he played last night.

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Speaker 1: His time is going to be shrinking. Uh. Generally Joe plays,

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Speaker 1: you know, Sunday, Sunday afternoon. We do this on Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: But Joe Burrow and his rep said, nope, we want

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Speaker 1: to talk right now and that's after a pretty rough

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Speaker 1: Monday night football game which I had set on the

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Speaker 1: air on Fox on Monday at had a snake pit

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Speaker 1: field to it. Monday night game on the road divisional rival. Listen, Joe,

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Speaker 1: you guys had kind of turned the corner on first half.

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Speaker 1: When did you kind of get a sense in that

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Speaker 1: that you were like, Oh, crap, this is we're having

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Speaker 1: to protection issues. Well, you know, the first drive, we

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Speaker 1: moved it right down the field and Miles Garrett ended

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Speaker 1: up making a great play taking a ball on an

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Speaker 1: RPO and it fell random hands in their corner. And

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Speaker 1: so after that, you know, we just weren't quite able

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Speaker 1: to get our momentum back. After that, our defense had

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Speaker 1: two big turnovers we weren't able to capitalize on, and

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Speaker 1: then after that it kind of went all down hill.

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Speaker 1: It's a matchup league. The Jags have given the Colts problems.

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Speaker 1: It's just the way it's always been. Chargers to me,

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Speaker 1: have always matched up well with Mahomes. Andy reading the Chiefs.

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Speaker 1: I can remember justin Herbert's first starting the Pros against Mahomes,

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Speaker 1: You're like, Wow, they match up. Could it be argued

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Speaker 1: that Cleveland, because of their corners because of Miles, they

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Speaker 1: were tough matchup personnel wise. Yeah, they're really they're really

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Speaker 1: good pass us you always, I mean, we've they've made

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Speaker 1: giant plays, big impact plays against us every time we've

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Speaker 1: played them in their corners or some of the best

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Speaker 1: in the league. Denzil didn't play last night, but that

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Speaker 1: their guys stepped up and made big plays for him.

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Speaker 1: So you always got to give them credit. But we

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Speaker 1: also didn't play as well as we should have. You're

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Speaker 1: four and four, you're essentially halfway through the season. Give

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Speaker 1: me something you're really happy with. Well, apart from last night,

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Speaker 1: we've responded to all the adversity that we've gone through

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Speaker 1: so far, and that's a credit to the character of

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Speaker 1: the guys in the locker room. And this is just

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Speaker 1: like all the other times. It's a it's not a

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Speaker 1: panic mode by by any means. We're five and four

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Speaker 1: going into the bye last week. We have a chance

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Speaker 1: to go out and get a win this week and

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Speaker 1: go five and four and to the bye, just like

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Speaker 1: we did last year. So we we're not panicking about

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Speaker 1: where we're at. There's still a lot of football we played.

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Speaker 1: You know, I was saying this Morning on Fox on Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: I said, you know, it's a year by year league,

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Speaker 1: the Rams and the Bengals. This is why teams like

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Speaker 1: Philadelphia gets Robert Quinn, or the Niners get McCaffrey, or

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Speaker 1: the Ravens get Roquan Smith. Is when you're in that

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl bubble and there's a great player out there,

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Speaker 1: go get him. It's real Minnesota, a gaetst TJ. Hawkins

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Speaker 1: in a terrific tight end from Iowa. And go back

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Speaker 1: to last year at Week eight for you guys, and

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Speaker 1: I think people kind of forget that the magic ride

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Speaker 1: started later. Where were you last year at this time

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Speaker 1: we were, I mean this time last year we had

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Speaker 1: just lost the Jets on the road after a promising

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Speaker 1: start of the season, and then going into the Bibe,

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Speaker 1: we played the same Browns team that ended up kicking

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Speaker 1: our ass again last year at the same time. So

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Speaker 1: things are playing out very similar similarly the to how

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Speaker 1: they did early last year. And so hopefully we can

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Speaker 1: get a win this week into the bye and kind

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Speaker 1: of ride that momentum. Take me to the game last

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Speaker 1: year where you walked off the field and Joe you

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Speaker 1: felt like, all right, We've got because remember, now we

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Speaker 1: know you as winners, but at that time in the

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Speaker 1: history of the Bengals, where's the game. You're walking into

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Speaker 1: a tunnel homer away and you're like, it feels different,

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Speaker 1: Like we are we have crossed a threshold. You know,

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Speaker 1: after we played the Raiders on the road last year

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Speaker 1: was our first game after the bye. You know, it

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Speaker 1: was a it was a dirty, physical, ugly game that

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Speaker 1: we ended up making the plays at the end to

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Speaker 1: pull it out. And then we go into Denver I

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Speaker 1: think the week later and pull out another one just

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Speaker 1: like it, and we kind of figured out how to

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Speaker 1: win those kind of games, right you know, this year

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Speaker 1: we haven't. We haven't won those kind of games. We

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Speaker 1: haven't made those plays at the end early on to

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Speaker 1: put us in that position. So we we've got some

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Speaker 1: stuff to figure out. But nobody's panicking. We're excited about

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Speaker 1: the guys we have in the locker room. We're going

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Speaker 1: to put in another good week of practice and go

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Speaker 1: out there and put on a good performance on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: So you had a Peyton Manning meeting. He talked about that.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if he was one of your idols.

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Speaker 1: Obviously he's like I always I always look at Um Montana.

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Speaker 1: The one word I would say is cool. He was

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Speaker 1: always cool Manning to me, I would say academic, like

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Speaker 1: I think Peyton made everybody have to be smarter like

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Speaker 1: not that. I mean when I was growing up, I

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Speaker 1: don't remember talking about you know, you had to be

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Speaker 1: brilliant to be a quarterback, and like Peyton like raised

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Speaker 1: the bar, like you have to go to the line

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Speaker 1: with three plays. That's how I view him. How how

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Speaker 1: did you view Peyton Manning before you met him and

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Speaker 1: during it? Well, I mean he was one of the

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Speaker 1: guys that I hadn't I was growing up, and then

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Speaker 1: since I've come into the league, you can tell he

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Speaker 1: really cares about the game of football, and he's trying

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Speaker 1: to impart the wisdom that he had and has on

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Speaker 1: the game to people like me and people across the

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Speaker 1: league who are trying to do exactly what he did.

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Speaker 1: And he really cares about furthering the game and making

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Speaker 1: it a better product for the fans and for us

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Speaker 1: on the field. You know, it's interesting. Aaron Rodgers reportedly

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Speaker 1: in Peyton Manning did not love a lot of motion

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Speaker 1: behind them during a play. They wanted to see the defense.

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Speaker 1: How was it set go? So even you know, you

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Speaker 1: think to yourself, oh, all these quarters as smart as

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Speaker 1: Peyton is, Oh they want all emotion and not necessarily.

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Speaker 1: But when I think about that, for you, if somebody said, oh,

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Speaker 1: Joe Is really likes this and that, Like how when

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Speaker 1: you look at a defense, if you were constructing your

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Speaker 1: game plan, what do you like and what don't? I mean,

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Speaker 1: what do you really feel comfortable with? How much pre

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Speaker 1: snap motion do you like? Yeah, it just depends on

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Speaker 1: the defense. Certain certain defenses really give you a lot

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Speaker 1: of tells when you do a change of passing strength motion,

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Speaker 1: or you bring a tight end into the core, or

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Speaker 1: you started running back out and emptying you bringing back in.

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Speaker 1: Certain teams have tells like that, certain teams don't. So

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Speaker 1: I think it really just depends on the defense that

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Speaker 1: you're playing in the in the scouting report based off

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Speaker 1: those motions. Boomerasias and said recently that when he heard

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Speaker 1: you were like an All State point guard, He's like, oh,

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Speaker 1: he's going to be a great quarterback. And I think

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Speaker 1: there is value in that. I really do, because not

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Speaker 1: just the distribution of it, but I mean you kind

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Speaker 1: of a coach like what kind of point guard? Were

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Speaker 1: you I like to score points? I was definitely a

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Speaker 1: score you're Westbrook, that's exactly right, maybe slightly less half

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Speaker 1: slightly you like you you'd bring it up looking to score. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I would sixth grade, ould bring it up cross half

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Speaker 1: court and I'm shooting it if it's open. Wow. So

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Speaker 1: you never played with Clay Thompson. Did you ever have

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Speaker 1: a two guards? Say, bro the way the game was

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Speaker 1: built to be played yourself, pass into the wings. No.

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Speaker 1: I usually. I usually was able to score some points.

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Speaker 1: So nobody said too much. As you go halfway through

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Speaker 1: a season when the NFL expanded the season to seventeen games,

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Speaker 1: I said, it wouldn't bother me at all. If a

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Speaker 1: lot of players said, listen, I'm gonna take a second by,

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Speaker 1: that wouldn't bother me at all. And a quarterback is

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Speaker 1: a little different. But do you find now, Joe, this

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Speaker 1: is the second year with it, do you kind of

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Speaker 1: find the sensibility the psychology to us even though it's

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Speaker 1: only a game. But that's for a line that's fifty

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Speaker 1: eight more collisions? Yeah? Do you think have you noticed

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Speaker 1: the Bengals changing things? Players talking about that you're in

424
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:13,679
Speaker 1: your second year of this marathon adding a game. Yeah,

425
00:25:13,400 --> 00:25:16,640
Speaker 1: you know, for me coming into the league, my rookie

426
00:25:16,720 --> 00:25:18,520
Speaker 1: year is the only sixteen game season. I didn't even

427
00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:20,320
Speaker 1: make it through it, so all I know for a

428
00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:23,400
Speaker 1: full season in seventeen games, and it's definitely a grind.

429
00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:27,720
Speaker 1: It's a long season, and I would think if you

430
00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:30,119
Speaker 1: were to add a second bye, you'd probably go to

431
00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:33,040
Speaker 1: eighteen games. So you would add a game and added

432
00:25:33,040 --> 00:25:38,000
Speaker 1: by Right now, I think we're in a good spot

433
00:25:38,240 --> 00:25:45,439
Speaker 1: seventeenth game. It gives more opportunities for tiebreakers as far

434
00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:47,560
Speaker 1: as record goes, just because it's an od number of games.

435
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:49,800
Speaker 1: So I think I like the seventeen games. If you

436
00:25:49,840 --> 00:25:51,520
Speaker 1: were to add another game, and you would think you

437
00:25:51,520 --> 00:25:54,680
Speaker 1: would have to go to two buys. Do you already

438
00:25:54,800 --> 00:25:57,040
Speaker 1: know what you're going to do in your bye week?

439
00:25:57,080 --> 00:25:59,960
Speaker 1: You're just gonna sit and watch TV? Yeah, that's the play.

440
00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:01,960
Speaker 1: I just sit on the couch and not get my

441
00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:07,960
Speaker 1: workouts in and just relax at home. Do you escape

442
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:11,240
Speaker 1: from football? Yeah, you gotta get away from it for

443
00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:14,720
Speaker 1: you do two or three days. Yeah. The season is

444
00:26:14,760 --> 00:26:17,879
Speaker 1: so long. I mean it's a it's a six months season.

445
00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:19,479
Speaker 1: And then if you meet the super Bowl, it ends

446
00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:23,000
Speaker 1: up being seven months, so you gotta at some point

447
00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:24,959
Speaker 1: throughout that you gotta take a break and get your

448
00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:29,240
Speaker 1: mind off and come back refreshed. It's interesting because like

449
00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:32,280
Speaker 1: in college basketball, you play thirty six games NBA, it's

450
00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:36,359
Speaker 1: eighty two minimum. College football, you're now like an LSU

451
00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:39,440
Speaker 1: it's a thirteen or four game season. NFL's closer, it's

452
00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:42,400
Speaker 1: like sixteen seventeen. But when you made that playoff run

453
00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:46,280
Speaker 1: last year, you got hit a lot. I mean when

454
00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:49,160
Speaker 1: that season was over last year, I mean, did you

455
00:26:49,440 --> 00:26:55,200
Speaker 1: feel physically and mentally gasped, exhausted more mentally than physically.

456
00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:56,960
Speaker 1: My body is feeling good towards the end of the

457
00:26:57,040 --> 00:27:02,159
Speaker 1: year is the best I felt, But meant, the season

458
00:27:02,200 --> 00:27:04,359
Speaker 1: takes a toll. When you get into the playoffs and

459
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:06,480
Speaker 1: you get down the stretch towards the end of the year,

460
00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:09,119
Speaker 1: it's kind of different because every game is such a

461
00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:15,280
Speaker 1: must win that it's so intense you're already even looking

462
00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:17,440
Speaker 1: forward to the next week. It's like this is a

463
00:27:17,440 --> 00:27:20,880
Speaker 1: one week season, and so it doesn't really feel once

464
00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:22,760
Speaker 1: you get down to the nitty gritty, it doesn't feel

465
00:27:23,040 --> 00:27:28,280
Speaker 1: it goes by a lot faster. You play chess at

466
00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:33,159
Speaker 1: your locker. I'm a backgammon guy. Nobody ever I know

467
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:35,720
Speaker 1: how to play chess, or at least I did, but

468
00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:40,680
Speaker 1: backgammon was always my thing. What does it do? What is?

469
00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:42,840
Speaker 1: Where does it take you? What does it do? I

470
00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:45,440
Speaker 1: don't know. I like to play on game days before

471
00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:48,280
Speaker 1: the game every now and then, if it's a afternoon

472
00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:51,640
Speaker 1: game or a night game, kind of get your mind

473
00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:55,600
Speaker 1: firing a little bit, and you know, you're not thinking

474
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:59,760
Speaker 1: about other stuff, you're not focusing on the anxiety of game,

475
00:28:00,200 --> 00:28:02,040
Speaker 1: and you're getting away from it, but your mind is

476
00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:07,879
Speaker 1: still firing, getting ready for the day. So the trade

477
00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:13,480
Speaker 1: deadline came and college has a transfer portal. But the

478
00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:18,560
Speaker 1: one thing I've said where I don't think media or

479
00:28:18,640 --> 00:28:23,080
Speaker 1: fans get this. If I was traded tomorrow to another company,

480
00:28:24,600 --> 00:28:27,679
Speaker 1: I would be like my company didn't like me. And

481
00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:29,400
Speaker 1: then if I saw I was traded for like a

482
00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:32,280
Speaker 1: fifth round draft pick, I really like, Hell's that mean

483
00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:36,000
Speaker 1: I'm not better than a fifth round draft pick. I've

484
00:28:36,040 --> 00:28:41,360
Speaker 1: always thought we under appreciate the psychology players have to

485
00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:43,800
Speaker 1: deal with being shipped. I mean you literally you take

486
00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:46,760
Speaker 1: your daughter to school and hey, we're moving to Miami,

487
00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:51,960
Speaker 1: like on trading deadline, and I know Chase Claypool, Roquan Smith,

488
00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:54,640
Speaker 1: t J. Hawkinson a couple of days before or a

489
00:28:54,680 --> 00:29:00,240
Speaker 1: week before, Christian McCaffrey that part of the business. You've

490
00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:03,240
Speaker 1: seen players already moved by the Bengals. Yeah, like, could

491
00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:07,560
Speaker 1: you take me there too? I think it's not dehumanizing,

492
00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:10,920
Speaker 1: but it's really humbling, and I don't think we I

493
00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:16,680
Speaker 1: don't think we appreciate it. Yeah, it's definitely different from

494
00:29:17,400 --> 00:29:20,880
Speaker 1: anything you've ever experienced, just because every now and then

495
00:29:20,920 --> 00:29:24,479
Speaker 1: you're with a guy for you know, half a season,

496
00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:28,120
Speaker 1: and then he gets moved and you don't there's no

497
00:29:28,160 --> 00:29:31,040
Speaker 1: time to say bye or anything. He's cleaning out as locker.

498
00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:33,640
Speaker 1: He's gone. You don't have to see him. So it's pretty,

499
00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 1: like you said, humbling, and it's part of the business.

500
00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:41,840
Speaker 1: And you guys, livelihoods are on the line. This is

501
00:29:41,880 --> 00:29:44,480
Speaker 1: how people make money and provide for their family. And

502
00:29:44,520 --> 00:29:48,040
Speaker 1: so it's always it always makes you think about it.

503
00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:52,800
Speaker 1: So Jamar Chase is out. Thank god. You don't go

504
00:29:52,840 --> 00:29:56,000
Speaker 1: to the internet. You know, people are saying, you know,

505
00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:59,760
Speaker 1: without Jamar Chase, Joe Burrow, and I'm like, oh, people stop,

506
00:30:00,520 --> 00:30:03,680
Speaker 1: do you think to yourself, more looks for te, more

507
00:30:03,760 --> 00:30:06,920
Speaker 1: looks do you kind of in your mind math it

508
00:30:07,080 --> 00:30:10,400
Speaker 1: out or or I mean, listen, Jamar is a once

509
00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:13,719
Speaker 1: a decade. He's a generational talent. I can remember when

510
00:30:13,720 --> 00:30:15,360
Speaker 1: he was at LSU. I can remember going on the

511
00:30:15,360 --> 00:30:18,280
Speaker 1: air saying he's a pro football player playing at LSU.

512
00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:24,440
Speaker 1: Like he's better than there is there a situation Joe

513
00:30:24,600 --> 00:30:27,760
Speaker 1: without Jamar last night. Not that he's a crutch, but

514
00:30:28,120 --> 00:30:32,360
Speaker 1: he is so valuable to you. You trust him so implicitly.

515
00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:34,480
Speaker 1: Is it how much harder is it not playing with

516
00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:38,000
Speaker 1: like your ally? Yeah, whenever you have a guy like that,

517
00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:40,800
Speaker 1: it's gonna be out. It's gonna your offense will look different.

518
00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:45,560
Speaker 1: He's too elite of a player to think that you're

519
00:30:45,560 --> 00:30:47,560
Speaker 1: just gonna go out there and offense is going to

520
00:30:47,600 --> 00:30:50,480
Speaker 1: look exactly what's saying. It's not. So you have to

521
00:30:50,480 --> 00:30:56,560
Speaker 1: find ways to enhance the what your other guys do well.

522
00:30:56,960 --> 00:31:00,720
Speaker 1: And you know, last night, we we didn't make enough

523
00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:04,480
Speaker 1: plays to win the game. But T and tb Or

524
00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:08,680
Speaker 1: in my opinion, pro Bowl caliber receivers, and a lot

525
00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:11,600
Speaker 1: of our guys, the other three guys that played last night,

526
00:31:11,880 --> 00:31:14,280
Speaker 1: they're gonna have to step up two and they made

527
00:31:14,280 --> 00:31:17,560
Speaker 1: plays in the game last night, but overall collectively as

528
00:31:17,600 --> 00:31:20,160
Speaker 1: a unit, we got to pick up slack from Jamar

529
00:31:20,240 --> 00:31:25,400
Speaker 1: not being out there. Do you think Cleveland knowing Jamar

530
00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:31,479
Speaker 1: Chase wasn't out there defended you Joe Burrow differently stuff

531
00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:34,240
Speaker 1: to say. They were doing a lot of similar stuff

532
00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 1: that they were doing to us last year. So I

533
00:31:37,520 --> 00:31:41,360
Speaker 1: would say maybe they they change it slightly if if

534
00:31:41,440 --> 00:31:44,080
Speaker 1: Jamar's out there, but I think mostly they do the same.

535
00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:47,239
Speaker 1: When you going at half in a hole, what does

536
00:31:47,320 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 1: Zach say? There's not you know, there's not a lot

537
00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:53,360
Speaker 1: of time to sit there and talk about it. It's

538
00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:55,200
Speaker 1: just got to come back out and do our jobs.

539
00:31:55,720 --> 00:31:59,000
Speaker 1: And we've never for the most part, we always you know,

540
00:31:59,040 --> 00:32:00,920
Speaker 1: fight our away and claw our way back into games.

541
00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:02,480
Speaker 1: Last night we weren't able to make the plays to

542
00:32:02,560 --> 00:32:05,200
Speaker 1: do that. But it's more just talking game plan and

543
00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:06,800
Speaker 1: what you're gonna do in the second half based off

544
00:32:06,800 --> 00:32:09,480
Speaker 1: of the books you've seen. Yeah, that was the first

545
00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:12,280
Speaker 1: scoreless half you've had, and I believe like forty one games.

546
00:32:12,600 --> 00:32:14,480
Speaker 1: Was it weird walking off and when you walked down

547
00:32:14,520 --> 00:32:17,800
Speaker 1: were you pissed? Were you I mean, what was your

548
00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:22,000
Speaker 1: feeling when you walked off at half, motivated to come

549
00:32:22,040 --> 00:32:24,880
Speaker 1: on the second half and try to make make some

550
00:32:24,960 --> 00:32:27,760
Speaker 1: plays and put us back into it. Weren't able to

551
00:32:27,760 --> 00:32:29,800
Speaker 1: do that. We started making plays, you know, at the

552
00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:33,960
Speaker 1: end it was too little, too late. Yeah. So, um,

553
00:32:35,080 --> 00:32:39,480
Speaker 1: short week, how does it change for you? Yeah? Everything

554
00:32:39,560 --> 00:32:42,320
Speaker 1: is just going to be compressed, you know, we have

555
00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:46,120
Speaker 1: to We're down basically two days plan on Monday night

556
00:32:46,640 --> 00:32:49,200
Speaker 1: and so now we have to you know, kind of

557
00:32:49,200 --> 00:32:51,880
Speaker 1: condensed days, third down, red zone, maybe they're going to

558
00:32:51,960 --> 00:32:55,880
Speaker 1: be the same day. Based downs will be tomorrow, maybe

559
00:32:55,880 --> 00:33:01,200
Speaker 1: a third down review, an extra one, extra walkthrough here

560
00:33:01,240 --> 00:33:03,920
Speaker 1: or there. So the short weeks are always tough, but

561
00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:07,200
Speaker 1: you know we usually respond on these on these situations.

562
00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:09,520
Speaker 1: We've played well in the shore weeks in the past.

563
00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:18,240
Speaker 1: All right. Chad Milman ceco Action Network, All Odds provided

564
00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:20,240
Speaker 1: by Fan Duel. I had another winning week, thanks for

565
00:33:20,280 --> 00:33:22,440
Speaker 1: the Cleveland Browns. Didn't think it would be that ugly,

566
00:33:22,480 --> 00:33:25,520
Speaker 1: but it was. I have been on this belief that

567
00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:28,720
Speaker 1: the NFL scorings come down. I'm taking more dogs than ever,

568
00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:31,240
Speaker 1: and I've always preferred dogs, but I'm taking like four

569
00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:34,840
Speaker 1: out of five dogs a week. When points come at

570
00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:38,040
Speaker 1: a scarcity, I'll take them a lot. And Chad Milman's

571
00:33:38,120 --> 00:33:40,240
Speaker 1: joining us. I'll tell you the first one that jumps

572
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:45,160
Speaker 1: out to me is the Chargers are still banged up.

573
00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:47,840
Speaker 1: The Falcons are getting points at home. I don't trust

574
00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:50,720
Speaker 1: the Chargers at all. I don't know if they're well coached.

575
00:33:51,120 --> 00:33:54,520
Speaker 1: And I will say this, I think there's real misgivings

576
00:33:54,520 --> 00:33:57,640
Speaker 1: in that locker room with what's happening the play calling,

577
00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:03,040
Speaker 1: continued injuries. I don't love historically taking the Falcons, but

578
00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:07,200
Speaker 1: this looks like the play Sharper Square, totally sharp play

579
00:34:07,360 --> 00:34:12,719
Speaker 1: right here for everything you just said, real lack of trust.

580
00:34:13,200 --> 00:34:15,160
Speaker 1: From a better's point of view, I'm not going to

581
00:34:15,200 --> 00:34:17,120
Speaker 1: try to speculate what's happened in the locker room. I

582
00:34:17,160 --> 00:34:19,799
Speaker 1: don't know anyone there, but I can tell you that

583
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:22,600
Speaker 1: from a betting point of view, there's not a lot

584
00:34:22,640 --> 00:34:26,080
Speaker 1: of faith in what the Chargers are doing offensively. They

585
00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:29,560
Speaker 1: seem to have a pretty standard game plan in which

586
00:34:29,640 --> 00:34:32,920
Speaker 1: the play is try to get some yardage first and

587
00:34:33,000 --> 00:34:36,080
Speaker 1: second and then have Justin Herbert try to bail them

588
00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:39,799
Speaker 1: out on third down. And what really matters here are

589
00:34:39,800 --> 00:34:43,640
Speaker 1: two other things that you mentioned one the coaching to

590
00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:46,680
Speaker 1: the injuries. Now, for the injuries, you don't know what

591
00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:49,960
Speaker 1: you're going to be getting from the wide receiver positions.

592
00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:52,800
Speaker 1: You know you're not going to have your best left tackle.

593
00:34:52,880 --> 00:34:55,080
Speaker 1: You know you're not going to have your best defensive end.

594
00:34:55,600 --> 00:35:00,160
Speaker 1: Justin Herbert hasn't been amazing in the clutch plays that

595
00:35:00,239 --> 00:35:02,400
Speaker 1: he has been amazing at or at least made us

596
00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:06,200
Speaker 1: think he was a potential Super Bowl contender in years past.

597
00:35:06,760 --> 00:35:08,400
Speaker 1: But a lot of this is about the coaching. Like

598
00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:13,239
Speaker 1: Betters continue to be impressed with Arthur Smith and what

599
00:35:13,360 --> 00:35:16,879
Speaker 1: he is doing with the Falcons, their run scheme, they're

600
00:35:16,920 --> 00:35:20,120
Speaker 1: developing the way they're able to plug anyone in there

601
00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:24,759
Speaker 1: and they can consistently get yards on the ground and

602
00:35:24,840 --> 00:35:28,400
Speaker 1: control the game. And they like a home team getting

603
00:35:28,440 --> 00:35:31,719
Speaker 1: three points. It's a good spot for them. I'll throw

604
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:35,399
Speaker 1: another one at you. This is weird. I don't even

605
00:35:35,480 --> 00:35:39,280
Speaker 1: I can't believe I'm saying this. Commanders plus three against

606
00:35:39,280 --> 00:35:42,880
Speaker 1: the Vikings. Now, a couple of weeks ago, when the

607
00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:46,080
Speaker 1: Niners got Christian McCaffrey. First of all, they spent a

608
00:35:46,160 --> 00:35:48,120
Speaker 1: day trying to make the deal work, and then they

609
00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:51,160
Speaker 1: spent a lot of practice time trying to get him

610
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:54,799
Speaker 1: integrated into the offense. Minnesota's going to do the same thing.

611
00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:57,680
Speaker 1: They're going to spend a lot of time on t J. Hawkinson.

612
00:35:57,760 --> 00:36:01,200
Speaker 1: Those are rough weeks, right, You're spending a little more

613
00:36:01,239 --> 00:36:03,759
Speaker 1: time than you Wood. There's a new player. I'll say

614
00:36:03,800 --> 00:36:08,440
Speaker 1: this about the Commanders. Taylor Heineck may not be Carson Wentz.

615
00:36:08,560 --> 00:36:11,560
Speaker 1: They play better with him. They play better with him,

616
00:36:11,640 --> 00:36:13,680
Speaker 1: That's all I care about. It said about Bailey's appy.

617
00:36:14,160 --> 00:36:15,920
Speaker 1: I don't know if he's better than Mac, but sometimes

618
00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:17,680
Speaker 1: I think they play better with him. Sharper square. I

619
00:36:17,760 --> 00:36:21,440
Speaker 1: take the points and the Commanders. This is probably the

620
00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:24,160
Speaker 1: sharpest bet on the board. There's two bets that are

621
00:36:24,200 --> 00:36:27,200
Speaker 1: really really sharp right now. Lines have moved a decent

622
00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:31,680
Speaker 1: amount when we're talking about key numbers, three, four, etc.

623
00:36:32,600 --> 00:36:34,919
Speaker 1: This game opened to three and a half, got bet

624
00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:36,919
Speaker 1: down to three. I think there's a couple of things

625
00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:41,240
Speaker 1: going on here. One, the perception is way way off

626
00:36:41,440 --> 00:36:44,400
Speaker 1: on how good the Vikings are and what the Commanders

627
00:36:44,400 --> 00:36:46,359
Speaker 1: have been. And I think a lot of people are

628
00:36:46,360 --> 00:36:49,880
Speaker 1: still thinking about the Commanders as the Carson Wentz team,

629
00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:53,520
Speaker 1: not the Taylor Heineke team. Taylor Heineke. We've talked about

630
00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:58,120
Speaker 1: this QBR same as Carson Wentz for his career completion percentage,

631
00:36:58,120 --> 00:37:01,440
Speaker 1: same as Carson Wentz, and he's more mobile, So you're

632
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:04,600
Speaker 1: getting a better playmaker who also let's break it down

633
00:37:04,600 --> 00:37:08,360
Speaker 1: by the game, the Vikings are terrible guarding against the

634
00:37:08,480 --> 00:37:11,960
Speaker 1: other teams. Number one receiver Taylor Heineke is going to

635
00:37:12,080 --> 00:37:14,960
Speaker 1: the number one receiver Terry McLaurin more often than Carson

636
00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:19,360
Speaker 1: Wentz did. Right, the Vikings have been incredibly lucky this

637
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:22,040
Speaker 1: year we do the luck rankings. This is one of

638
00:37:22,040 --> 00:37:25,120
Speaker 1: those games where the luck ranking discrepancy is so high

639
00:37:25,160 --> 00:37:28,880
Speaker 1: between the Vikings and the Commanders. There's every single the

640
00:37:28,880 --> 00:37:33,560
Speaker 1: past three weeks. The Commanders are top ten in expected

641
00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:37,319
Speaker 1: points per play, right, so they're measuring how many points

642
00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:40,000
Speaker 1: would you expect to get on in particular play in

643
00:37:40,120 --> 00:37:44,400
Speaker 1: a vacuum. Commanders are playing exceptionally well. Commanders on defense

644
00:37:44,480 --> 00:37:46,799
Speaker 1: twenty six percent in pressure rate, that's in the top five.

645
00:37:47,160 --> 00:37:51,080
Speaker 1: Kirk against pressure twenty six in the league as a passer,

646
00:37:51,120 --> 00:37:53,680
Speaker 1: so there's a lot of things that are lining up

647
00:37:53,880 --> 00:37:56,520
Speaker 1: for the Commanders to be the team that wise guys

648
00:37:56,520 --> 00:38:02,560
Speaker 1: are backing this seems obvious, but I take a little

649
00:38:02,640 --> 00:38:05,839
Speaker 1: pride in calling the Jets over the Packers weeks ago

650
00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:08,480
Speaker 1: and I said, I just don't think green Bay is

651
00:38:08,600 --> 00:38:13,319
Speaker 1: very good. Detroit at home is pretty good, but if

652
00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:16,359
Speaker 1: it's at three and a half a division rival, a

653
00:38:16,400 --> 00:38:20,279
Speaker 1: green Bay team, we have to be honest here. Everything

654
00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:24,600
Speaker 1: is underperforming. I take Detroit. Sharper square, Yeah, you gotta

655
00:38:24,640 --> 00:38:27,200
Speaker 1: take Detroit, and it is the sharp play. It's one

656
00:38:27,239 --> 00:38:29,080
Speaker 1: that wise guys are starting to hold their nose a

657
00:38:29,080 --> 00:38:32,520
Speaker 1: little bit. Whereas earlier in the year, all of the

658
00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:36,400
Speaker 1: Wise guys loved the Lions and the Lions were covering

659
00:38:36,840 --> 00:38:38,360
Speaker 1: for them, and then there were a couple of weeks

660
00:38:38,360 --> 00:38:41,600
Speaker 1: where they got outplayed. In New England. They had a

661
00:38:41,600 --> 00:38:44,440
Speaker 1: game against the Cowboys where they probably should have covered,

662
00:38:44,520 --> 00:38:47,080
Speaker 1: but the box score showed a different result than what

663
00:38:47,160 --> 00:38:49,680
Speaker 1: actually happened, sort of in the game and what you

664
00:38:49,680 --> 00:38:53,040
Speaker 1: could have expected. They were big on the Lions this

665
00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:57,120
Speaker 1: past week against Miami and this was yeah, yeah, right,

666
00:38:57,160 --> 00:38:59,160
Speaker 1: and end up being a push right. The Lions closed

667
00:38:59,200 --> 00:39:02,560
Speaker 1: it for the game ended thirty one, twenty seven. A

668
00:39:02,560 --> 00:39:05,120
Speaker 1: lot of people were nervous about going back to back

669
00:39:05,160 --> 00:39:09,279
Speaker 1: the Lions again, but the bookmakers are hanging the hook right.

670
00:39:09,360 --> 00:39:11,080
Speaker 1: That half point is called the hook three and a

671
00:39:11,160 --> 00:39:14,640
Speaker 1: half and the fewest points the Lions have scored at

672
00:39:14,680 --> 00:39:17,799
Speaker 1: home this season is twenty seven. This past week they

673
00:39:17,880 --> 00:39:21,040
Speaker 1: barely had DeAndre Swift playing. Everyone expected him to play.

674
00:39:21,080 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 1: That's why they liked him so much, why they liked

675
00:39:23,040 --> 00:39:25,759
Speaker 1: the Lions so much. This past week, the Packers, they

676
00:39:25,760 --> 00:39:28,040
Speaker 1: can't even get to twenty seven. And the lines have

677
00:39:28,160 --> 00:39:30,640
Speaker 1: been doing this against defenses that are much much better

678
00:39:30,680 --> 00:39:34,359
Speaker 1: than the Packers, so they've got a real advantage here.

679
00:39:34,760 --> 00:39:36,800
Speaker 1: Let's say it's a shootout. I think that's going to

680
00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:39,600
Speaker 1: favor the Lions and divisional home dogs that under six

681
00:39:39,680 --> 00:39:42,600
Speaker 1: the past four seasons and sample size north of a hundred,

682
00:39:42,880 --> 00:39:46,560
Speaker 1: covered to sixty percent clip so precedent and what you're

683
00:39:46,560 --> 00:39:48,919
Speaker 1: seeing on the field is playing to your favor. Okay,

684
00:39:48,920 --> 00:39:52,120
Speaker 1: I'm gonna throw a favorite at you. The weather in

685
00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:54,440
Speaker 1: Chicago is going to be okay, I looked it up.

686
00:39:55,000 --> 00:39:58,960
Speaker 1: Sloppy Saturday, fine Sunday. I think we have to come

687
00:39:58,960 --> 00:40:02,239
Speaker 1: to terms with Miami. It's a pretty good football team.

688
00:40:03,239 --> 00:40:05,280
Speaker 1: Bradley chub will come in and just rush a passer

689
00:40:05,880 --> 00:40:09,239
Speaker 1: four and a halfs a lot, but the weather is

690
00:40:09,239 --> 00:40:13,960
Speaker 1: not a factor. I think we're starting to doubt to

691
00:40:14,320 --> 00:40:18,000
Speaker 1: a lot and they've given up now Roquan Smith and

692
00:40:18,080 --> 00:40:20,680
Speaker 1: Robert Quinn, those are two of their best defensive players.

693
00:40:20,680 --> 00:40:26,080
Speaker 1: It's not as fearsome as it was defensively ten days ago. Now.

694
00:40:26,160 --> 00:40:28,520
Speaker 1: I think Hebrew Lose is an excellent coach, but those

695
00:40:28,520 --> 00:40:31,600
Speaker 1: guys are really high end players are those are difference makers.

696
00:40:32,800 --> 00:40:36,920
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Miami here and also Chase Claypool.

697
00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:40,080
Speaker 1: I think he'll be great. I don't think he's great. Sunday,

698
00:40:40,560 --> 00:40:44,600
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Miami a favorite here. Sharper Square, totally square.

699
00:40:44,760 --> 00:40:47,959
Speaker 1: This was the other game that we got the moose

700
00:40:48,080 --> 00:40:50,920
Speaker 1: feedback about this week. On the Favorites, we'll do our

701
00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:54,320
Speaker 1: shop calls segment. The wise guys will call us after

702
00:40:54,360 --> 00:40:56,480
Speaker 1: our early week podcast, and then on the late week

703
00:40:56,520 --> 00:41:00,439
Speaker 1: podcast we'll give you listeners feedback on what they most

704
00:41:00,480 --> 00:41:04,960
Speaker 1: talked about. The two games they most talked about Washington.

705
00:41:05,120 --> 00:41:08,239
Speaker 1: I mentioned that earlier and the Bears, and this game

706
00:41:08,320 --> 00:41:10,680
Speaker 1: has moved from five and a half down to five

707
00:41:11,040 --> 00:41:14,400
Speaker 1: to four and a half, even after the Bradley Chubb trade,

708
00:41:14,760 --> 00:41:17,879
Speaker 1: which you would expect. Okay, the Dolphins, who people think

709
00:41:17,920 --> 00:41:21,000
Speaker 1: is a stronger team, just got stronger. It didn't move

710
00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:23,760
Speaker 1: after the Chase Cleypool trade. It moved after the Bradley

711
00:41:23,840 --> 00:41:27,759
Speaker 1: Chub trade in the direction of the Bears. Here's what

712
00:41:27,840 --> 00:41:30,600
Speaker 1: I think about what you just said regarding Robert Quinn

713
00:41:30,640 --> 00:41:35,120
Speaker 1: and Roquan Smith. This defense was terrible, truly terrible. Didn't

714
00:41:35,160 --> 00:41:37,520
Speaker 1: matter if you had Roquan Smith didn't have it matter

715
00:41:37,520 --> 00:41:39,799
Speaker 1: if you had Robert Quinn. He hadn't done anything this year.

716
00:41:40,080 --> 00:41:42,720
Speaker 1: Roquan Swith is making all those tackles because the Bears

717
00:41:42,760 --> 00:41:45,239
Speaker 1: have nobody else, so he's the only guy in a

718
00:41:45,280 --> 00:41:48,600
Speaker 1: position to do anything, and they still weren't very good

719
00:41:49,280 --> 00:41:52,600
Speaker 1: what they have done. Now, since they had that Thursday

720
00:41:52,719 --> 00:41:56,680
Speaker 1: night meltdown against Washington, they have realized how to use

721
00:41:57,120 --> 00:42:00,640
Speaker 1: justin fields. They are putting him in more rpo, more

722
00:42:00,920 --> 00:42:03,440
Speaker 1: designed runs. He is getting rid of the ball faster

723
00:42:03,840 --> 00:42:06,319
Speaker 1: now they've gotten him a weapon and Chase Claypool. They're

724
00:42:06,320 --> 00:42:08,719
Speaker 1: building this guy's confidence game to game. He had his

725
00:42:08,800 --> 00:42:11,719
Speaker 1: best game in the season last week against the Cowboys

726
00:42:11,960 --> 00:42:14,000
Speaker 1: in a twenty point loss that really could have been

727
00:42:14,120 --> 00:42:16,839
Speaker 1: much closer. So the wise guys are starting to find

728
00:42:16,840 --> 00:42:19,879
Speaker 1: some love for this Bears team, and so they've bet

729
00:42:19,880 --> 00:42:22,239
Speaker 1: the Bears at plus five and a half plus five,

730
00:42:22,280 --> 00:42:24,919
Speaker 1: and it is down to four and a half. Here's

731
00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:27,400
Speaker 1: the last game. I like, Ravens just lost a receiver

732
00:42:27,520 --> 00:42:30,239
Speaker 1: for their game Monday night in New Orleans. That's one

733
00:42:30,239 --> 00:42:33,160
Speaker 1: of the loudest crowds in the league. I think the

734
00:42:33,239 --> 00:42:36,960
Speaker 1: Saints have really good personnel and I took him last week.

735
00:42:37,520 --> 00:42:40,200
Speaker 1: I'm going to take him again. I think the Ravens

736
00:42:40,200 --> 00:42:42,600
Speaker 1: are a team that plays close games because there are

737
00:42:42,960 --> 00:42:46,480
Speaker 1: absolute limitations down the field. And now they've lost another receiver.

738
00:42:47,040 --> 00:42:49,279
Speaker 1: It's just too many points. And you know what, Man

739
00:42:49,480 --> 00:42:51,840
Speaker 1: Super Dome on Monday Night, those people don't need a

740
00:42:51,840 --> 00:42:55,280
Speaker 1: reason to party. They do it is. I always believe

741
00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:58,279
Speaker 1: it's like a five point advantage Monday Night in New

742
00:42:58,360 --> 00:43:01,240
Speaker 1: Orleans is not your typical three. It feels way closer

743
00:43:01,280 --> 00:43:03,200
Speaker 1: to four to five. I'm going to take the Saints

744
00:43:03,320 --> 00:43:07,760
Speaker 1: sharper square. That's a sharp play. And look, the Ravels

745
00:43:07,800 --> 00:43:11,479
Speaker 1: just got Rocon Smith. That's not really going to matter

746
00:43:11,560 --> 00:43:14,399
Speaker 1: when you're talking about the circumstances you just described, which

747
00:43:14,480 --> 00:43:18,759
Speaker 1: is the Saints at home in prime time are a

748
00:43:18,760 --> 00:43:21,360
Speaker 1: different team and they are a different team that can quote,

749
00:43:21,360 --> 00:43:24,040
Speaker 1: that can pressure the quarterback without having the blitz. They

750
00:43:24,080 --> 00:43:26,160
Speaker 1: are a team that is starting to see Alvin Kamara

751
00:43:26,280 --> 00:43:30,799
Speaker 1: get much much better. And the key factor here for

752
00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:33,800
Speaker 1: them is always going to be how does Andy Dalton

753
00:43:33,880 --> 00:43:37,280
Speaker 1: avoid the mistakes. We've seen what happens when he avoids

754
00:43:37,280 --> 00:43:40,720
Speaker 1: the mistakes. We've seen what happens when he makes the mistakes.

755
00:43:41,120 --> 00:43:42,920
Speaker 1: The wise guys are going to count on getting a

756
00:43:43,000 --> 00:43:46,680
Speaker 1: short home dog in a really get right spot in

757
00:43:46,760 --> 00:43:49,360
Speaker 1: prime time against a team that hasn't been able to

758
00:43:49,360 --> 00:43:52,879
Speaker 1: close anybody out, so totally sharp con All right, Now,

759
00:43:52,880 --> 00:43:55,400
Speaker 1: we do the game that I thought about, but I

760
00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:58,480
Speaker 1: want your professional opinion. Then we do the game that

761
00:43:58,760 --> 00:44:01,160
Speaker 1: I missed. So let's start with the game. I'm not

762
00:44:01,200 --> 00:44:04,719
Speaker 1: going to bet, but I want your professional opinion New England.

763
00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:07,200
Speaker 1: I would have taken New England minus four and a half.

764
00:44:07,840 --> 00:44:09,680
Speaker 1: I do worry about their offense, but I have a

765
00:44:09,760 --> 00:44:12,520
Speaker 1: history of Belichick and young quarterbacks, and I saw it

766
00:44:12,520 --> 00:44:17,000
Speaker 1: again last weekend. He just literally undresses them. Andy read

767
00:44:17,000 --> 00:44:20,880
Speaker 1: off a bye. Belichick against the young quarterback. I bet

768
00:44:21,040 --> 00:44:25,160
Speaker 1: both a lot and it's won me a lot. But

769
00:44:26,000 --> 00:44:31,040
Speaker 1: I worry about what New England has tell me, Sharper square,

770
00:44:31,080 --> 00:44:33,480
Speaker 1: where would I go if I did bet it? You

771
00:44:33,680 --> 00:44:37,879
Speaker 1: totally bet on the Colts, And it's everything you're saying

772
00:44:37,880 --> 00:44:40,719
Speaker 1: about Belichick is true, and what he did against the

773
00:44:40,800 --> 00:44:43,959
Speaker 1: Jets is totally true. But what was the final score

774
00:44:43,960 --> 00:44:47,320
Speaker 1: of that game? It's close? It was close. Yeah, it's close.

775
00:44:47,760 --> 00:44:50,200
Speaker 1: So do I really want to bet on the Patriots

776
00:44:50,880 --> 00:44:56,680
Speaker 1: as nearly six point favorites right when Shack Leonard is

777
00:44:56,680 --> 00:45:02,400
Speaker 1: probably office snap count? This Colts defense is top five,

778
00:45:02,719 --> 00:45:05,360
Speaker 1: top six in the NFL and sort of all the

779
00:45:05,400 --> 00:45:11,239
Speaker 1: advanced metrics, DVOA rush success rate, all the things that

780
00:45:11,360 --> 00:45:14,160
Speaker 1: betters think about from the running side of the ball

781
00:45:14,200 --> 00:45:18,480
Speaker 1: on defense, that's what they're great at. That's the strength

782
00:45:18,680 --> 00:45:22,640
Speaker 1: of the Patriots offense. Matt Jones and this passing offense

783
00:45:23,000 --> 00:45:25,960
Speaker 1: our bottom third in passing the ball downfield. So you've

784
00:45:25,960 --> 00:45:30,160
Speaker 1: got a limited Pats offense giving a lot of points.

785
00:45:30,719 --> 00:45:33,279
Speaker 1: They couldn't beat the Jets by more than five. And

786
00:45:33,360 --> 00:45:37,720
Speaker 1: Zach Wilson is probably the worst quarterback in the NFL

787
00:45:37,840 --> 00:45:41,280
Speaker 1: right now, and Matt Jones is terrible against zone defense.

788
00:45:41,440 --> 00:45:44,640
Speaker 1: That's what the Colts do really well. So I think

789
00:45:44,680 --> 00:45:47,120
Speaker 1: the wise guys are looking at the number more than

790
00:45:47,160 --> 00:45:49,879
Speaker 1: they're thinking about is it Sam Allinger, is it Bill

791
00:45:49,920 --> 00:45:52,680
Speaker 1: Belichick against a rookie? They're thinking about a Patriots team

792
00:45:52,680 --> 00:45:56,400
Speaker 1: that is pretty limited getting a relatively big number. And

793
00:45:56,560 --> 00:45:58,000
Speaker 1: let me give you one more stat. Let me give

794
00:45:58,000 --> 00:46:03,000
Speaker 1: you a stat. All right, all right, great stat. Underdogs

795
00:46:03,040 --> 00:46:05,719
Speaker 1: this season between three and ten points. So this game

796
00:46:05,800 --> 00:46:07,920
Speaker 1: is at five and a half of forty one and

797
00:46:07,960 --> 00:46:11,439
Speaker 1: twenty one against the spread this season, covering sixty six

798
00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:15,080
Speaker 1: percent at the time. And by the way, those underdogs

799
00:46:15,680 --> 00:46:18,279
Speaker 1: twenty five thirty six and one straight up. So if

800
00:46:18,320 --> 00:46:20,760
Speaker 1: you're betting those underdogs on the money line, you're winning

801
00:46:21,239 --> 00:46:26,000
Speaker 1: your ROI is twenty six percent. Can I add this

802
00:46:26,120 --> 00:46:30,840
Speaker 1: as America's honesty broker and a humble man, Yes, I

803
00:46:31,000 --> 00:46:34,360
Speaker 1: appear to have been right on my Zach Wilson is

804
00:46:34,440 --> 00:46:37,239
Speaker 1: Johnny Manziella with an arm take go ahead, give it

805
00:46:37,280 --> 00:46:42,640
Speaker 1: to me, bring the heat. Colin, as America's honesty broker

806
00:46:43,200 --> 00:46:50,080
Speaker 1: and humble you are genius, and the Zach Wilson take

807
00:46:50,680 --> 00:46:55,239
Speaker 1: is incredibly spot on. And I will never understand why

808
00:46:55,400 --> 00:46:59,239
Speaker 1: anybody thought this is the guy when everyone could say

809
00:46:59,719 --> 00:47:03,360
Speaker 1: he had an NFL offensive line at BYU had a

810
00:47:03,560 --> 00:47:06,080
Speaker 1: thousand years to throw the ball and was playing against

811
00:47:06,160 --> 00:47:09,040
Speaker 1: weekend competition. It made no sense that all of a

812
00:47:09,080 --> 00:47:10,880
Speaker 1: sudden this was going to be the guy. And I

813
00:47:10,920 --> 00:47:13,160
Speaker 1: think you've seen it with Robert Salo, right, he basically

814
00:47:13,200 --> 00:47:16,520
Speaker 1: just decided this guy stinks. I'm not banking my career

815
00:47:16,640 --> 00:47:19,400
Speaker 1: on this guy. He had Briefe Hall. He was making

816
00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:22,040
Speaker 1: sure brief Hall got the ball, making sure his defense

817
00:47:22,120 --> 00:47:24,160
Speaker 1: is going to win him some games. And even against

818
00:47:24,200 --> 00:47:26,600
Speaker 1: the Patriots with a terrible quarterback, they still kept it

819
00:47:26,640 --> 00:47:30,200
Speaker 1: pretty close. So you were one hundred percent right. The

820
00:47:30,280 --> 00:47:33,600
Speaker 1: Jets already got to find a new quarterback. Okay, the

821
00:47:33,640 --> 00:47:40,399
Speaker 1: game I missed, can I guess good? No, you don't

822
00:47:40,400 --> 00:47:42,880
Speaker 1: like favorites. I was gonna say Raiders minus one and

823
00:47:42,880 --> 00:47:46,200
Speaker 1: a half at Jackson, Oh god, no, a thousand percent

824
00:47:46,280 --> 00:47:50,760
Speaker 1: taking the Jacks. It's it's gonna burn me every week,

825
00:47:51,320 --> 00:47:53,719
Speaker 1: but I'm going to do it every single week. This

826
00:47:53,800 --> 00:47:57,000
Speaker 1: is a not very good Raiders team that is playing

827
00:47:57,040 --> 00:48:01,520
Speaker 1: against a jack team that is consistently unlucky. And what

828
00:48:01,680 --> 00:48:04,160
Speaker 1: I mean unlucky, like what are the parameters that go

829
00:48:04,200 --> 00:48:08,399
Speaker 1: into being unlucky? Kind of those fluke turnover plays, those

830
00:48:08,480 --> 00:48:14,960
Speaker 1: not converting. They are converting terrible. It's terrible. But there's

831
00:48:15,000 --> 00:48:19,000
Speaker 1: still a team that is playing two more wins statistically

832
00:48:19,239 --> 00:48:23,760
Speaker 1: than they have in the standings. And so I'm getting

833
00:48:23,760 --> 00:48:26,840
Speaker 1: them as an underdog at home against a Raiders team

834
00:48:27,000 --> 00:48:28,759
Speaker 1: that I just don't think it is very good. So

835
00:48:28,760 --> 00:48:31,160
Speaker 1: why wouldn't I play the Jaguars, all right? Which game

836
00:48:31,160 --> 00:48:36,360
Speaker 1: that I miss? Seahawks at the Cardinals? Why I wanted

837
00:48:36,400 --> 00:48:38,799
Speaker 1: to take that. Damn, I wanted to take that game.

838
00:48:38,840 --> 00:48:41,120
Speaker 1: So you may have taught me into that, do it.

839
00:48:41,480 --> 00:48:44,360
Speaker 1: I can't figure out why Arizona is favored here. You

840
00:48:44,400 --> 00:48:47,960
Speaker 1: have two defenses that statistically are relatively the same. Although

841
00:48:48,320 --> 00:48:50,959
Speaker 1: you're starting to see the Seahawks defense the last couple

842
00:48:50,960 --> 00:48:54,000
Speaker 1: of weeks yea when more towards the upper getting much

843
00:48:54,040 --> 00:48:56,400
Speaker 1: better getting pass rushed. The next last couple of weeks,

844
00:48:56,880 --> 00:48:58,799
Speaker 1: they're getting much much better. And then you look at

845
00:48:58,840 --> 00:49:01,239
Speaker 1: the offenses. The Seahawks have one of the most explosive

846
00:49:01,239 --> 00:49:05,120
Speaker 1: passing offenses in the NFL for every metric that anyone

847
00:49:05,200 --> 00:49:09,600
Speaker 1: cares about, and now their rushing game is getting so

848
00:49:09,680 --> 00:49:13,120
Speaker 1: much better because of what's happening with Kenneth Walker. So

849
00:49:13,600 --> 00:49:16,520
Speaker 1: this is a very good team. I'm not saying like

850
00:49:16,920 --> 00:49:18,759
Speaker 1: they've gone from being a team everyone thought was going

851
00:49:18,800 --> 00:49:20,520
Speaker 1: to be the worst in the NFC to all of

852
00:49:20,560 --> 00:49:23,880
Speaker 1: a sudden being a favorite to win the NFC. But

853
00:49:23,960 --> 00:49:26,760
Speaker 1: they're better than the Cardinals, and that's where we're talking

854
00:49:26,800 --> 00:49:30,239
Speaker 1: about the most important thing. This is a coaching mismatch,

855
00:49:30,520 --> 00:49:35,200
Speaker 1: and not just like Okay, Pete Carroll's underdog in his

856
00:49:35,320 --> 00:49:38,280
Speaker 1: career is brilliant winning it more than a sixty percent clip.

857
00:49:38,440 --> 00:49:42,160
Speaker 1: Cliff Kingsbury, very small sample size, has won maybe half

858
00:49:42,200 --> 00:49:46,600
Speaker 1: as many games as he's lost as a favorite. I

859
00:49:46,760 --> 00:49:50,040
Speaker 1: think very specifically, there's a metric called success rate, which

860
00:49:50,080 --> 00:49:53,360
Speaker 1: basically means how well do you do in early downs.

861
00:49:53,840 --> 00:49:58,280
Speaker 1: The Cards ring thirty first in play success rate meeting

862
00:49:58,280 --> 00:50:00,839
Speaker 1: they don't do very well in early down and then

863
00:50:00,880 --> 00:50:04,680
Speaker 1: they depend on Kyler Murray to bail them out. The

864
00:50:04,760 --> 00:50:08,799
Speaker 1: Seahawks third in success rate, meaning on the early downs

865
00:50:08,800 --> 00:50:11,840
Speaker 1: in a series, they are leading themselves into more successful

866
00:50:11,920 --> 00:50:16,040
Speaker 1: drives in easier places for their quarterback. This team shouldn't

867
00:50:16,040 --> 00:50:35,880
Speaker 1: be an underdog right now. The volume, make sure to

868
00:50:36,000 --> 00:50:39,759
Speaker 1: check out the Draymond Green Show. I brought Draymond Green

869
00:50:39,800 --> 00:50:42,360
Speaker 1: into the volume because one of the more entertaining voices

870
00:50:42,360 --> 00:50:46,920
Speaker 1: in sports. Unique perspective understands Behind the Rope also chops

871
00:50:47,040 --> 00:50:50,560
Speaker 1: up with guests like Gary Peyton, Zach Levine, Tracy McGrady.

872
00:50:50,719 --> 00:50:54,480
Speaker 1: Make sure download The Draymond Green Show wherever you get

873
00:50:54,560 --> 00:50:59,160
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