1 00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:17,880 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome to a Monday 2 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is 3 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:22,959 Speaker 1: Matt Parol. You guys can follow me across all of 4 00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:26,400 Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talc Matt, and boy was yesterday 5 00:00:26,480 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 1: a very interesting lesson in sports betting? Oh boy? So 6 00:00:31,520 --> 00:00:34,239 Speaker 1: we went one in three. We could have had a 7 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:38,000 Speaker 1: much better day the Red Sox. This is why betting 8 00:00:38,080 --> 00:00:40,879 Speaker 1: on Sunday baseball is so annoying. Right, So, I've told 9 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:42,640 Speaker 1: you guys this for I don't know how many years 10 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 1: of the Juice betting Sunday's wonky. So the Red Sox 11 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:49,600 Speaker 1: could not use or or all this Chapman. They're all 12 00:00:49,600 --> 00:00:54,680 Speaker 1: star closer. They had to go with other arms who 13 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:58,480 Speaker 1: gave up three runs in the ninth. Now it didn't 14 00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 1: matter because the Mets the Mariners. It wouldn't have matter, 15 00:01:01,800 --> 00:01:07,039 Speaker 1: but that was frustrating. It's seventeen to nine. The Jaguars 16 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:10,880 Speaker 1: just need to not give up a touchdown. They're up 17 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 1: by eight field goal. We're fine, we're gonna cover the 18 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:18,960 Speaker 1: two and a half. We're good. They let Spencer Rattler 19 00:01:19,080 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 1: run down the field and Spencer Ratler scores the touchdown. 20 00:01:22,520 --> 00:01:25,040 Speaker 1: We bet two and a half, so it didn't matter 21 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:26,680 Speaker 1: on the two point, but they gave up the two 22 00:01:26,680 --> 00:01:31,120 Speaker 1: point as well, and another tie. In the NFL, the 23 00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:36,600 Speaker 1: Raiders have two ties. Huh. Now the Jaguars have a tie. 24 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:39,520 Speaker 1: I mean, I know you don't want to play overtime. 25 00:01:39,560 --> 00:01:42,600 Speaker 1: It's stupid to play overtime when it comes to what's 26 00:01:42,600 --> 00:01:45,639 Speaker 1: happening in preseason football. But still, that's been a really 27 00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:50,320 Speaker 1: wild run on ties in the second and first week 28 00:01:50,400 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 1: of the NFL preseason. It wraps up tonight. More on 29 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 1: that here in just one second. But the Brewers game 30 00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:03,240 Speaker 1: was crazy. Did you watch it? I watched. I'm in 31 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 1: love with this Bruis team. We have a twenty seven 32 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:06,640 Speaker 1: to one ticket on it, and I'm in love with 33 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:10,040 Speaker 1: this Buist team. It's eight and a half to one now, 34 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:13,240 Speaker 1: by the way, so there's your CLV. They get a 35 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 1: two run home run from Contrere, so they're losing their 36 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:20,799 Speaker 1: down one nothing right again, they come storming back. They 37 00:02:20,800 --> 00:02:24,079 Speaker 1: get a two run home run. But because they've burned 38 00:02:24,320 --> 00:02:28,160 Speaker 1: so many high leverage arms on Friday and Saturday to 39 00:02:28,240 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 1: win those games, they had nobody left, so they had 40 00:02:32,040 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 1: to go with middle of the road reliever, so they 41 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:36,919 Speaker 1: give up a run in the ninth to two tie, 42 00:02:37,639 --> 00:02:40,200 Speaker 1: they can't score in the tenth, and then they go 43 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:41,679 Speaker 1: and give up a run. I mean they had the 44 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 1: bases loaded in the tenth and the Reds win three 45 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:51,160 Speaker 1: to two. Any other day and those high leverage relievers 46 00:02:51,200 --> 00:02:54,639 Speaker 1: are available for the Brewers. They win that game to 47 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:58,760 Speaker 1: to one, and we win that bet. Kind of a bummer. 48 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:01,320 Speaker 1: But the Brewers in the helps play a double header today. 49 00:03:01,560 --> 00:03:05,520 Speaker 1: They play a double header today. Yes, I'm betting the game, 50 00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:07,280 Speaker 1: but no, I'm not betting what you probably think. I'm 51 00:03:07,320 --> 00:03:09,080 Speaker 1: going to bet for the Brewers and the Cup, but 52 00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:13,080 Speaker 1: you probably should bet Brewers both moneyline money line money 53 00:03:13,080 --> 00:03:14,640 Speaker 1: line on both games. But I do have a play 54 00:03:14,639 --> 00:03:16,400 Speaker 1: in the first game coming up here at just one 55 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:18,960 Speaker 1: second before we give you the picks for today. On 56 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:21,639 Speaker 1: a Monday, I don't know what last week was. By 57 00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:23,919 Speaker 1: the way, I have to do the math. It's late, 58 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:25,480 Speaker 1: I'm tired and I want to do the math. So 59 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:28,239 Speaker 1: to tomorrow, i'll give you the recap. I'll tell you 60 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:30,480 Speaker 1: where we are for the whole month coming up tomorrow. Okay, 61 00:03:30,600 --> 00:03:33,079 Speaker 1: So I believe we had a winning day down two 62 00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:35,840 Speaker 1: point two units, what didn't even put out of a screen. Sorry, 63 00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:40,800 Speaker 1: Red Sox Mariners down a unit, Bears Crews up a unit, 64 00:03:41,160 --> 00:03:44,880 Speaker 1: Brewers money line down one point one, Jaggs Mius two 65 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:47,720 Speaker 1: and a half down one point one. So two point 66 00:03:47,720 --> 00:03:50,760 Speaker 1: two units down one in three day for us yesterday. 67 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:54,480 Speaker 1: But let me tell you about betting pros in the 68 00:03:54,520 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 1: Betting Pros systems that are available. The new Betting pro 69 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:02,800 Speaker 1: systems are there right now to help you design winning 70 00:04:02,840 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 1: strategies to make smarter bets. You can customize your betting 71 00:04:06,200 --> 00:04:09,240 Speaker 1: systems by sport, bet type, and timeframe to find the 72 00:04:09,280 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 1: best opportunities. Using real time data and expert analysis, track 73 00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:16,279 Speaker 1: the performance of different betting systems over time, and optimize 74 00:04:16,279 --> 00:04:19,720 Speaker 1: your bets to increase your chances of success. Download the 75 00:04:19,720 --> 00:04:23,000 Speaker 1: Betting Pros app today or go to Bettingpros dot com 76 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:27,480 Speaker 1: Slash systems to elevate your betting strategy and to start 77 00:04:27,520 --> 00:04:33,000 Speaker 1: making better, smarter bets. All right, let's start with Game 78 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:40,000 Speaker 1: one between the Cubs and the Brewers. Are we going 79 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:44,360 Speaker 1: to bet moneyline? No? Do I think you should? Yes? 80 00:04:45,480 --> 00:04:50,719 Speaker 1: But it's a doubleheader and I would rather come in 81 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:53,760 Speaker 1: and talk about Caid Horton for the Cubs in Game one. 82 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:57,800 Speaker 1: Don't know who's pitching Game two, but Caid Horton just 83 00:04:57,880 --> 00:05:01,599 Speaker 1: gave up his first earned run dating all the way 84 00:05:01,680 --> 00:05:05,760 Speaker 1: back to the ninth of July, one earn run by 85 00:05:05,760 --> 00:05:08,359 Speaker 1: the way in a four to one win over the 86 00:05:08,400 --> 00:05:14,360 Speaker 1: Blue Jays. He's given up one zero, zero, zero, zero, 87 00:05:14,920 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 1: four and zero earn runs dating back to the beginning 88 00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 1: of July. He's been tremendous. The twenty three year old 89 00:05:22,640 --> 00:05:25,240 Speaker 1: has been just lights out. He's seven and three with 90 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:28,719 Speaker 1: a three point zero seven ERA. Overall. At home, he 91 00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:31,120 Speaker 1: has a one point six y one ERA. He's three 92 00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:34,240 Speaker 1: and oh and opposing, batting every two oh four, eight 93 00:05:34,279 --> 00:05:37,159 Speaker 1: earned runs and forty four and two thirds innings worth 94 00:05:37,200 --> 00:05:40,480 Speaker 1: of work. I know Cincinnati's not that far from Chicago, 95 00:05:40,760 --> 00:05:43,480 Speaker 1: but the Brewers still played yesterday, have to fly in, 96 00:05:43,720 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 1: play early, and play in a doubleheader on top of that. 97 00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:53,520 Speaker 1: Caate Horton is tremendous, but so is Freddy Peralta. I mean, 98 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:55,359 Speaker 1: we've talked about Freddy a lot in terms of what 99 00:05:55,440 --> 00:05:58,720 Speaker 1: he's doing this year. Fourteen and five two point nine 100 00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:01,600 Speaker 1: ERA on the road, though he has a four ERA, 101 00:06:02,320 --> 00:06:05,240 Speaker 1: A six and four Mark Poson maatting average. Those two 102 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:08,320 Speaker 1: oh seven eleven home runs given up on the road 103 00:06:08,520 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 1: for Freddy Peralta in sixty three innings worth of work. 104 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:16,320 Speaker 1: Now two straight wins for the team with Perlza pitching 105 00:06:16,520 --> 00:06:20,040 Speaker 1: fourteen nothing and seven to two, then lost ten to 106 00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:22,640 Speaker 1: three in five one. He got give up five and 107 00:06:22,720 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 1: runs to these Cubs in Milwaukee in that ten to 108 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:30,360 Speaker 1: three loss back on the thirtieth of July. But because 109 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:34,200 Speaker 1: of the travel, because of the craziness with the Brewers 110 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:36,880 Speaker 1: and what just happened with the Reds and they may 111 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:41,640 Speaker 1: be tired, and the fact that the Cubs just it's 112 00:06:41,680 --> 00:06:44,720 Speaker 1: what the Cubs do right now. The Cubs don't score. 113 00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:48,279 Speaker 1: Their offense is just completely anemic. I don't know what 114 00:06:48,400 --> 00:06:51,680 Speaker 1: happened to it, but it's gone. Here are the scores 115 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:55,080 Speaker 1: for the Cub games dating back to the Cardinals series. 116 00:06:55,560 --> 00:06:58,120 Speaker 1: Three to two, five to one, four to one, two 117 00:06:58,160 --> 00:07:00,800 Speaker 1: to one, three to two, three to one on four 118 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:05,119 Speaker 1: and three. Those are all unders under under. The last 119 00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:08,000 Speaker 1: three games at home against the Pirates three two, three 120 00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:12,440 Speaker 1: to one, four three under eight and a half. Game 121 00:07:12,520 --> 00:07:16,200 Speaker 1: one we're playing the under for the Brewers and the 122 00:07:16,320 --> 00:07:20,160 Speaker 1: Cubs game one under eight and a half at minus 123 00:07:20,200 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 1: one ten Red Sox and the Orioles. Let's talk about 124 00:07:24,920 --> 00:07:27,480 Speaker 1: Boston as to what happened against the Marlins. For them, 125 00:07:27,520 --> 00:07:29,920 Speaker 1: that was disgusting, but that was a two to one game. 126 00:07:30,680 --> 00:07:32,520 Speaker 1: So it was the first game of that series. It 127 00:07:32,560 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 1: was a seven to five win, but the bullpen it 128 00:07:35,480 --> 00:07:37,960 Speaker 1: was really seven to one, and the bullpens gave up 129 00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:40,160 Speaker 1: four runs to the Marlins, but that was really a 130 00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:41,840 Speaker 1: seven to one. That was really an under game one 131 00:07:41,960 --> 00:07:44,200 Speaker 1: for the bullpens, and the game was god a reach 132 00:07:44,200 --> 00:07:48,400 Speaker 1: and just kind of throwing strikes. Orioles come to town 133 00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:51,320 Speaker 1: and the Orioles are throwing Trevor Rodgers, who's five and 134 00:07:51,400 --> 00:07:55,280 Speaker 1: two with a one point four to three eer. Rogers 135 00:07:55,320 --> 00:08:00,559 Speaker 1: has been tremendous one one one zero two one zero 136 00:08:00,800 --> 00:08:04,880 Speaker 1: two zero earned runs, three earned runs. Gating back to 137 00:08:04,920 --> 00:08:08,320 Speaker 1: the beginning of June. For Trevor Rodgers last time out 138 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:10,880 Speaker 1: against the Mariners four to three. We bet the under 139 00:08:10,920 --> 00:08:14,400 Speaker 1: in that game seven innings, one earned run. The bullpen 140 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:17,600 Speaker 1: is scary for Baltimore. No. Lie twelve numbers eight and 141 00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:21,440 Speaker 1: a half here, but Trevor Rodgers has been great. Dustin 142 00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 1: May was great in his last start for the Red Sox, 143 00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:29,160 Speaker 1: Houston on the road, six innings, no earned runs. He 144 00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 1: looked the part of a guy who has figured it out. 145 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:35,640 Speaker 1: Now willie against the Orioles here at home. I don't know, 146 00:08:36,080 --> 00:08:38,560 Speaker 1: but he's better at home. Like most pitchers are. Two 147 00:08:38,600 --> 00:08:41,720 Speaker 1: starts with the Red Sox, one good, one AH three 148 00:08:41,760 --> 00:08:44,480 Speaker 1: and two thirds at home against the Royals. His first 149 00:08:44,520 --> 00:08:46,600 Speaker 1: started at then Wait Park with the Red Sox. He 150 00:08:46,640 --> 00:08:48,880 Speaker 1: gave up three earn runs and a seven to three loss. 151 00:08:49,040 --> 00:08:52,360 Speaker 1: Then he turned it around, shut out Houston, one run 152 00:08:52,400 --> 00:08:54,440 Speaker 1: give up by the bull by the bullpen, fourteen to 153 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:56,880 Speaker 1: one win for the Red Sox. That game went over. 154 00:08:57,679 --> 00:09:00,840 Speaker 1: I'm gonna play the under here. I think Rodgers comes 155 00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 1: to town and the Red Sox, frankly, their offense has 156 00:09:04,160 --> 00:09:07,080 Speaker 1: not been tremendous. I mean, you look at the run 157 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:12,680 Speaker 1: scored by Boston three seven, two one, the fourteen against 158 00:09:12,679 --> 00:09:17,679 Speaker 1: the aftros a lot but six two, four ten against 159 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:23,280 Speaker 1: the Padres, but three six eight. I mean, it's it's good, 160 00:09:23,400 --> 00:09:26,920 Speaker 1: it's not tremendous. So I'm just gonna take the under 161 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:28,600 Speaker 1: in this game. I think the Red Sox, even though 162 00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:31,840 Speaker 1: it's a lefty lefties, Red Sox hit lefties. But I 163 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:34,040 Speaker 1: just think Red Sox arenn win the game. I don't 164 00:09:34,040 --> 00:09:36,000 Speaker 1: mind the Red Sox, but it's mice one twenty, mice 165 00:09:36,040 --> 00:09:38,000 Speaker 1: one thirty's bringing way you look. I don't mind the 166 00:09:38,040 --> 00:09:42,320 Speaker 1: Red Sox, but after what happened yesterday, little gun shy 167 00:09:42,400 --> 00:09:45,400 Speaker 1: on the Red Sox there. But Red Sox to win maybe, 168 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:47,680 Speaker 1: but I'll take the under eight and a half for 169 00:09:47,800 --> 00:09:52,800 Speaker 1: treasure Triva Rodgers and Dustin May Red Sox and the Orioles. Okay, 170 00:09:52,840 --> 00:09:55,719 Speaker 1: so we're gonna go Game one. Brewers Cubs under eight 171 00:09:55,720 --> 00:09:59,240 Speaker 1: and a half, Red Sox Orioles under eight and a half. 172 00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:02,360 Speaker 1: That at e money. Now let's go to the Loan 173 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:07,680 Speaker 1: NFL game. Monday night football going on here. Commanders didn't 174 00:10:07,679 --> 00:10:10,040 Speaker 1: play anybody against the Patriots and they lost the game 175 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:14,280 Speaker 1: forty eight eighteen. Now, Dan Quinn has said that he 176 00:10:14,360 --> 00:10:17,400 Speaker 1: is going to play Jayden Daniels and the starters for 177 00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:20,959 Speaker 1: a little bit here, but probably not a lot. The 178 00:10:20,960 --> 00:10:24,720 Speaker 1: Bengals didn't play well against the Eagles. They lost thirty 179 00:10:24,760 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 1: four to twenty seven. Joe Burrow went nine to ten 180 00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:31,680 Speaker 1: a couple of touchdowns. He's going to play again, and 181 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:34,800 Speaker 1: according to the head coach Zach Taylor, he's gonna play 182 00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:37,120 Speaker 1: the whole first quarter. Now, how big of a lead 183 00:10:37,160 --> 00:10:40,840 Speaker 1: will he build, I'm not sure, but that's good for 184 00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:44,679 Speaker 1: us to back the Bengals because the backups aren't bad. 185 00:10:45,120 --> 00:10:49,720 Speaker 1: Desmond Ritter and Jake Browning both understand the offense, both 186 00:10:49,720 --> 00:10:51,800 Speaker 1: have been in the system, and I think they'll come 187 00:10:51,800 --> 00:10:55,480 Speaker 1: in and play pretty well. The Bengals could see their 188 00:10:55,480 --> 00:10:59,280 Speaker 1: first round pick in Shimour Stewart out there playing, so 189 00:10:59,320 --> 00:11:01,960 Speaker 1: that's big. And Daniels might just have a cup of 190 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:06,040 Speaker 1: coffee and play one series and then be done. Look, 191 00:11:06,400 --> 00:11:08,360 Speaker 1: I think the Bengals are a team that have to 192 00:11:08,400 --> 00:11:10,880 Speaker 1: prove to everybody they can play early in the season, 193 00:11:11,480 --> 00:11:14,080 Speaker 1: given the fact that Zach Taylor has lost in the 194 00:11:14,120 --> 00:11:16,720 Speaker 1: first week of the season and back to back seasons. 195 00:11:16,880 --> 00:11:19,240 Speaker 1: And last year was the Patriots, a game they were 196 00:11:19,280 --> 00:11:21,520 Speaker 1: supposed to win and it really ended up hurting them 197 00:11:21,520 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 1: for their opportunity to make the playoffs. So I think 198 00:11:24,440 --> 00:11:27,719 Speaker 1: you got Monday night, you got prime time. The Commanders 199 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:31,120 Speaker 1: don't care about preseason. That's pretty much clear. The Bengals 200 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:36,160 Speaker 1: need to play well. The numbers three lay it Bengals 201 00:11:36,200 --> 00:11:39,880 Speaker 1: minus three up against the Commanders. Hopefully the fourth quarter 202 00:11:39,920 --> 00:11:44,079 Speaker 1: won't burn us like it did yesterday with backup quarterbacks. 203 00:11:44,120 --> 00:11:45,800 Speaker 1: But I like the backups for the Bengals better than 204 00:11:45,840 --> 00:11:50,880 Speaker 1: the backups for the Commanders. Let's go Bengals minus three 205 00:11:51,040 --> 00:11:54,120 Speaker 1: for one point one units. All right, So three plays 206 00:11:54,120 --> 00:11:56,720 Speaker 1: for us here on a Monday Brewers Cubs game one 207 00:11:56,960 --> 00:11:59,200 Speaker 1: under eight and a half at minus one, ten Red 208 00:11:59,240 --> 00:12:02,000 Speaker 1: Sox Orioles under eight and a half at even money, 209 00:12:02,200 --> 00:12:06,040 Speaker 1: and the Bengals minus three on Monday night football preseason 210 00:12:06,240 --> 00:12:08,800 Speaker 1: for one point one units. Mine's Matt par all the 211 00:12:08,800 --> 00:12:12,200 Speaker 1: follow me because all socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning. 212 00:12:12,200 --> 00:12:15,000 Speaker 1: Wherever you guys get your podcasts. It is the Daily 213 00:12:15,080 --> 00:12:27,920 Speaker 1: Juice