1
00:00:14,040 --> 00:00:15,840
Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Wednesday?

2
00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:18,400
Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of the Dili Juice Podcast with

3
00:00:18,440 --> 00:00:21,040
Speaker 2: me Matt Perrault at Sports Talk Matt two follow me

4
00:00:21,079 --> 00:00:23,720
Speaker 2: across all socials. After an oh and one night last night,

5
00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:27,160
Speaker 2: the dbags got throttled by the Mets. We got that

6
00:00:27,200 --> 00:00:29,520
Speaker 2: bet wrong and the other bet we couldn't go one

7
00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:31,920
Speaker 2: in one because that game got rained out between Texas

8
00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:34,840
Speaker 2: and the White Sox. So just a small one unit

9
00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:36,960
Speaker 2: down or one point one unit down night for us

10
00:00:37,080 --> 00:00:41,440
Speaker 2: on that. But we head towards a Wednesday where if

11
00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:43,760
Speaker 2: you're just tuning in, you may not know what I'm

12
00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:47,479
Speaker 2: doing here. So the last two weeks on Wednesday, I

13
00:00:47,520 --> 00:00:50,080
Speaker 2: have bet golf. This is the last golf tournament to

14
00:00:50,120 --> 00:00:53,199
Speaker 2: bet on in the PGA Tour season. It starts the

15
00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:55,920
Speaker 2: Silly season after that, and I'm not betting the Silly

16
00:00:56,000 --> 00:00:59,680
Speaker 2: season because the competitiveness really trails off and it gets

17
00:00:59,680 --> 00:01:02,000
Speaker 2: to be a much different type of environment. So the

18
00:01:02,040 --> 00:01:05,240
Speaker 2: Tour Championship is starting at East Lake coming up here

19
00:01:05,280 --> 00:01:06,080
Speaker 2: on Thursday.

20
00:01:06,160 --> 00:01:07,880
Speaker 1: These bets start Thursday.

21
00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:11,000
Speaker 2: Today is Wednesday, so we won't have anything going today

22
00:01:11,120 --> 00:01:13,119
Speaker 2: because I'm going to give you a college football bet

23
00:01:13,200 --> 00:01:16,200
Speaker 2: because I'm giving you one college football game every day

24
00:01:16,600 --> 00:01:19,759
Speaker 2: heading into the week. So we have a Monday, a Tuesday,

25
00:01:20,080 --> 00:01:23,440
Speaker 2: another bet here on Wednesday for Saturday, and then we'll

26
00:01:23,440 --> 00:01:26,440
Speaker 2: get into some other plays and picks as well for Thursday,

27
00:01:26,520 --> 00:01:30,240
Speaker 2: for Friday, for Sunday, for Monday. As we roll here

28
00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:34,839
Speaker 2: with the college football Week one schedule. So I've got

29
00:01:35,160 --> 00:01:38,040
Speaker 2: four bets in the PGA doing the same thing I've

30
00:01:38,080 --> 00:01:41,120
Speaker 2: done the last two weeks. We've got three half unit

31
00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:44,160
Speaker 2: plays and one four round head to head half unit

32
00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:47,160
Speaker 2: play to give you guys. It's been profitable, it's been fun.

33
00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:51,160
Speaker 2: So let's keep rolling here with doing this. The Wednesday

34
00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:54,560
Speaker 2: bets have been profitable both the last two weeks. We

35
00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:56,880
Speaker 2: weren't profitable on Sunday, but that's going to be added

36
00:01:56,920 --> 00:02:00,680
Speaker 2: to the fourth and final round. We were profitable Sunday

37
00:02:00,680 --> 00:02:03,560
Speaker 2: we went too and oh. This past Sunday we went

38
00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:06,200
Speaker 2: oh and two, So pretty much a wash there. But

39
00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:09,040
Speaker 2: we'll get into this. The tour Championship is wonky. I'll

40
00:02:09,040 --> 00:02:10,679
Speaker 2: tell you about it here in just one second, and

41
00:02:10,720 --> 00:02:12,400
Speaker 2: then I got another bet for us here with a

42
00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:14,760
Speaker 2: big college football game coming up this weekend.

43
00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:16,560
Speaker 1: Before I give you the picks.

44
00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:19,200
Speaker 2: Let's just remind you of what's going on with Betting

45
00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:25,520
Speaker 2: Pros right now with what they're calling a pick six tournament. Okay,

46
00:02:25,919 --> 00:02:28,919
Speaker 2: this is against the spread, This is for the NFL,

47
00:02:29,400 --> 00:02:31,639
Speaker 2: and this is something you guys can join right now

48
00:02:31,639 --> 00:02:32,320
Speaker 2: if you want.

49
00:02:32,120 --> 00:02:32,800
Speaker 1: To be a part of it.

50
00:02:32,840 --> 00:02:35,400
Speaker 2: And I know there's a lot of these contests and

51
00:02:35,440 --> 00:02:38,720
Speaker 2: tournaments that are jumping around, but Betting Pros is Pick

52
00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:42,560
Speaker 2: six tournaments is a fifty dollars entry. It's a five

53
00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:46,959
Speaker 2: hundred max entry contest. Users will pick six games against

54
00:02:46,960 --> 00:02:49,519
Speaker 2: the spread every week. You get one point for every

55
00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:53,399
Speaker 2: correct pick that you make. Top three every week get

56
00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:56,920
Speaker 2: a payout based upon the number of people entering the

57
00:02:57,000 --> 00:03:01,239
Speaker 2: overall yearly contest. The top twenty five will get paid

58
00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:02,960
Speaker 2: out as well. If you want to be a part

59
00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:05,239
Speaker 2: of this, you must be signed up ahead of Week

60
00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:07,760
Speaker 2: one with the NFL. This is an NFL Pick Show,

61
00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:12,399
Speaker 2: our pick contest Bettingpros dot Com slash splash to get

62
00:03:12,400 --> 00:03:16,440
Speaker 2: in Bettingpros dot Com slash splash the Betting Pros Pick

63
00:03:16,480 --> 00:03:19,480
Speaker 2: six Tournament. Fifty bucks to get in. Five max entries

64
00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:24,720
Speaker 2: per contestant, six games ats every week, weekly and total

65
00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:28,359
Speaker 2: year payouts available for anybody who wants to jump into

66
00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:31,240
Speaker 2: that right now with the betting pros pick six fifty

67
00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:34,560
Speaker 2: dollars entry tournaments with six games against the spread each

68
00:03:34,600 --> 00:03:38,320
Speaker 2: week in the NFL for eighteen weeks. All right, let

69
00:03:38,360 --> 00:03:40,520
Speaker 2: me set up the Tour Championship. Okay, So here's where

70
00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:44,280
Speaker 2: we're at. The field begins Thursday at Eastlake. Scotty Scheffler

71
00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:48,160
Speaker 2: is at ten hundred par. Why this is a staggered

72
00:03:48,200 --> 00:03:51,400
Speaker 2: scoring system based upon the points accumulated. This is for

73
00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:54,440
Speaker 2: twenty five million dollars. Okay, this is a gigantic purse.

74
00:03:55,000 --> 00:04:00,400
Speaker 2: Scotty Scheffler ten under first place, Zander Schoffeli eight under,

75
00:04:00,560 --> 00:04:05,320
Speaker 2: Second place, Decie Matuyama seven under. He has a back injury,

76
00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:10,360
Speaker 2: by the way, careful with Matsuyama third, Keegan Bradley off

77
00:04:10,400 --> 00:04:13,840
Speaker 2: his win last week six under he's in fourth, and

78
00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:17,920
Speaker 2: Ludwig Olberg five under he's in fifth position.

79
00:04:18,600 --> 00:04:23,040
Speaker 1: After that, we go t six Roy Backleroy.

80
00:04:22,600 --> 00:04:26,960
Speaker 2: Calmarrikawa, Wyndham Clark, Sam Burns, Patrick Cantley. That are all

81
00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:31,240
Speaker 2: tied for sixth and tied for eleventh is Son J. M. Thigala,

82
00:04:31,600 --> 00:04:35,880
Speaker 2: Lowry Scott Feenow. Okay, that Ryan's that rounds out your

83
00:04:35,920 --> 00:04:40,960
Speaker 2: top eleven places. There's only thirty golfers. Okay, we're gonna

84
00:04:40,960 --> 00:04:43,520
Speaker 2: be able to move around fast here. It's gonna be

85
00:04:43,600 --> 00:04:46,839
Speaker 2: kind of wild. An eagle on a whole can swing

86
00:04:46,880 --> 00:04:49,720
Speaker 2: your whole golf tournament. You can go from twentieth to

87
00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:53,039
Speaker 2: seconds in this golf tournament. Right, It's gonna be wild

88
00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:56,800
Speaker 2: to see how these swings play out here with east Lake.

89
00:04:57,279 --> 00:05:01,039
Speaker 2: But let's start with a guy that we have bet

90
00:05:01,080 --> 00:05:02,880
Speaker 2: on a bunch over the last couple of weeks.

91
00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:04,440
Speaker 1: Ludwig Oberg.

92
00:05:04,800 --> 00:05:08,280
Speaker 2: All Right, Oberg is a guy I think we have

93
00:05:08,320 --> 00:05:10,400
Speaker 2: to take a look at with how hot he was.

94
00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:14,839
Speaker 2: One of the things that he got into in last

95
00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:18,279
Speaker 2: week's tournament was he was missclubbing like crazy. I watched

96
00:05:18,320 --> 00:05:21,760
Speaker 2: the whole round, kept on flying the green, kept on.

97
00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:25,359
Speaker 2: His yardage was all messed up. Why they were at

98
00:05:25,520 --> 00:05:29,080
Speaker 2: mile high they were in Denver three hundred yard course.

99
00:05:29,400 --> 00:05:31,600
Speaker 2: His yardage book was all messed up. So we got

100
00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:34,520
Speaker 2: pumped up on Sunday, flew the green constantly. The guy

101
00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:39,000
Speaker 2: was scrambling like crazy, great scrambler. I don't know if

102
00:05:39,000 --> 00:05:41,960
Speaker 2: he has that big of a problem here, Okay, I

103
00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:45,880
Speaker 2: mean he's been pretty good at this golf tournament, and

104
00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:50,880
Speaker 2: he's hot top five. He starts in the top five, Okay,

105
00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:55,360
Speaker 2: if he stays there, it's plus one eighty five. And again,

106
00:05:55,440 --> 00:05:58,520
Speaker 2: these are numbers in Vegas. Okay, your book may have

107
00:05:58,560 --> 00:05:59,440
Speaker 2: different prices.

108
00:05:59,560 --> 00:05:59,839
Speaker 1: Shop.

109
00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:02,760
Speaker 2: These are the numbers. I am betting you can do

110
00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:04,880
Speaker 2: what you want with these numbers. But every book may

111
00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:07,200
Speaker 2: be different. Some books may not offer top five, some

112
00:06:07,279 --> 00:06:10,320
Speaker 2: books may not offer head to heads. Just the nature

113
00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:14,800
Speaker 2: of the beast. Okay, oberg top five. He could win

114
00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:17,120
Speaker 2: this thing, straight up, he could win this tournament. I

115
00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:19,960
Speaker 2: really think he can win this tournament. But I think

116
00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:22,280
Speaker 2: he will get back to where he was. I don't

117
00:06:22,279 --> 00:06:25,200
Speaker 2: think he'll have the same problems with club selection that

118
00:06:25,279 --> 00:06:27,040
Speaker 2: he had in the last tournament.

119
00:06:27,320 --> 00:06:28,719
Speaker 1: He starts five under.

120
00:06:29,880 --> 00:06:32,080
Speaker 2: I mean he's five strokes back a Scotty Scheffler to

121
00:06:32,120 --> 00:06:34,040
Speaker 2: start the tournament from the get go.

122
00:06:34,120 --> 00:06:35,280
Speaker 1: But I mean at five.

123
00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:37,240
Speaker 2: Hundred par, he's the only guy at five under par

124
00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:41,920
Speaker 2: and he's currently in fifth place. Ober top five half

125
00:06:41,960 --> 00:06:44,520
Speaker 2: a unit at plus one eighty five. To stay right

126
00:06:44,560 --> 00:06:46,640
Speaker 2: where he is, right there and maybe even come close,

127
00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:49,120
Speaker 2: and he might win this thing. He's live to win

128
00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:53,520
Speaker 2: this thing at three under par. Let's talk about Shane

129
00:06:53,520 --> 00:06:56,560
Speaker 2: Lowry and the way Shane Lowry has played. Last week

130
00:06:56,640 --> 00:07:01,280
Speaker 2: came in thirteenth at the BMW Championship. Shane Lowry has

131
00:07:01,320 --> 00:07:04,159
Speaker 2: a chance here. Okay, he has one top ten and

132
00:07:04,200 --> 00:07:07,000
Speaker 2: two top twenty finishes over his last five tournaments. He's

133
00:07:07,040 --> 00:07:11,040
Speaker 2: playing well. He is a guy who is finished with

134
00:07:11,120 --> 00:07:14,240
Speaker 2: a score lower than the tournament average in three of

135
00:07:14,280 --> 00:07:17,559
Speaker 2: his last five tournaments. And when it comes to playing

136
00:07:17,600 --> 00:07:20,800
Speaker 2: the Tour Championship, this is a guy who in the

137
00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:25,320
Speaker 2: past five years has not played in this. He's finally

138
00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:30,840
Speaker 2: made this thing. He's hungry. Thirteenth place at the BMW

139
00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:33,360
Speaker 2: last week. Like I mentioned, he's got a chance here

140
00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:36,040
Speaker 2: to come in and come in the top ten. Not

141
00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:37,960
Speaker 2: that hard for him to get into the top ten

142
00:07:38,080 --> 00:07:41,080
Speaker 2: given where he is. He's currently at three under par,

143
00:07:41,240 --> 00:07:43,800
Speaker 2: which is eleventh. If he rides up in the top ten,

144
00:07:44,440 --> 00:07:47,720
Speaker 2: Shane Lowry would cash a plus two to twenty five

145
00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:51,280
Speaker 2: ticket for US. I like a rookie here, Shane Lowry,

146
00:07:51,600 --> 00:07:54,360
Speaker 2: pumped to be there, wanting to go after it, go

147
00:07:54,400 --> 00:07:57,640
Speaker 2: out there, free and clear and just go shoot. Thirteenth

148
00:07:57,760 --> 00:08:01,840
Speaker 2: last week, playing well, Shane already top ten at plus

149
00:08:01,880 --> 00:08:05,840
Speaker 2: two twenty five for a half a unit. Third bet.

150
00:08:06,360 --> 00:08:09,720
Speaker 2: Let's go back to Adam Scott. He's at three under par.

151
00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:15,760
Speaker 2: I mean the guy missed so many potts in the

152
00:08:15,800 --> 00:08:16,480
Speaker 2: last tournament.

153
00:08:17,120 --> 00:08:19,400
Speaker 1: I mean he was in the trap all the time.

154
00:08:19,600 --> 00:08:20,320
Speaker 1: He had a couple.

155
00:08:20,680 --> 00:08:23,440
Speaker 2: Adam Scott had some sand saves last week that were

156
00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:30,080
Speaker 2: absolutely gorgeous. I mean, like epic elite, world class sand saves.

157
00:08:30,160 --> 00:08:35,120
Speaker 2: Last week. He's playing really well. It's the same bet

158
00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:38,679
Speaker 2: he came in tied for twenty fifth last year, or

159
00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:43,559
Speaker 2: antry two years ago. At the Tour Championship in twenty nineteen,

160
00:08:44,200 --> 00:08:45,319
Speaker 2: he came in sixth.

161
00:08:45,520 --> 00:08:47,800
Speaker 1: That was a while ago. So he hasn't made it

162
00:08:47,880 --> 00:08:50,240
Speaker 1: here in a long time. But he's made it.

163
00:08:51,080 --> 00:08:53,920
Speaker 2: He took second at the BMW Championship and he could

164
00:08:53,920 --> 00:08:54,600
Speaker 2: have won the thing.

165
00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:56,040
Speaker 1: He was right there.

166
00:08:56,280 --> 00:09:00,600
Speaker 2: Eleven under par for him, and he's got three top

167
00:09:01,000 --> 00:09:03,800
Speaker 2: He's had three top tens in his last five appearances

168
00:09:04,520 --> 00:09:07,520
Speaker 2: and he's come in top five in two of those outings.

169
00:09:07,640 --> 00:09:13,320
Speaker 2: He's red hot, second, eighteenth, tenth, second his last four

170
00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:16,840
Speaker 2: tournaments for Adam Scott. Top ten is plus one seventy

171
00:09:16,840 --> 00:09:20,839
Speaker 2: five for Adam Scott. I mean keep on giving me

172
00:09:20,880 --> 00:09:22,720
Speaker 2: plus money on Adam Scott to come in the top

173
00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:28,960
Speaker 2: ten again top thirty. Great competition, but top ten ties included.

174
00:09:29,120 --> 00:09:33,000
Speaker 2: Remember ties must be included here. Adam Scott plus one

175
00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:35,720
Speaker 2: seventy five half a unit to come in the top

176
00:09:35,760 --> 00:09:39,320
Speaker 2: ten at the Tour Championship. Okay, so three bets for

177
00:09:39,480 --> 00:09:44,720
Speaker 2: four rounds. We're going Oberg top five. That's plus one

178
00:09:44,760 --> 00:09:48,800
Speaker 2: eighty five, Lowry top ten that's plus two to twenty

179
00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:52,040
Speaker 2: five and Adam Scott top ten that's plus one seventy

180
00:09:52,080 --> 00:09:56,640
Speaker 2: five half unit place. Now one head to head. Let's

181
00:09:56,679 --> 00:09:59,640
Speaker 2: talk about Sun GM. We've been backing him a bunch

182
00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:03,200
Speaker 2: here during the playoffs. He is now a member of

183
00:10:03,240 --> 00:10:06,880
Speaker 2: the President's Cup team. He is a guy who was

184
00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:09,920
Speaker 2: the co runner up in twenty twenty two.

185
00:10:09,880 --> 00:10:10,600
Speaker 1: At East Lake.

186
00:10:11,720 --> 00:10:16,200
Speaker 2: He's a guy who averaged four birdies per round, twelfth

187
00:10:16,240 --> 00:10:20,000
Speaker 2: best on tour, and he's got a legitimate shot to

188
00:10:20,040 --> 00:10:25,000
Speaker 2: win this thing, all right. M is three under tied

189
00:10:25,080 --> 00:10:28,800
Speaker 2: for eleventh at the moment. He's in a head to

190
00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:34,000
Speaker 2: head up against Tony Fenw. Tony Fenw is also at

191
00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:37,000
Speaker 2: three under par. But Tony female is a little bit

192
00:10:37,040 --> 00:10:42,080
Speaker 2: of a concern for me. Thirteenth, sixteenth, and twelfth not awful.

193
00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:45,320
Speaker 2: Missed the cut of the Open Championship. But in terms

194
00:10:45,360 --> 00:10:49,040
Speaker 2: of his history at the Tour Championship last year, twentieth

195
00:10:50,120 --> 00:10:53,679
Speaker 2: shot seventy sixty eight seventy sixty eight, four under par.

196
00:10:54,679 --> 00:10:56,599
Speaker 1: He's three hundred to start the tournament.

197
00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:00,800
Speaker 2: In twenty twenty two, came in ninth at eleven hunder

198
00:11:00,880 --> 00:11:05,480
Speaker 2: par in twenty one, eleventh shot even par in twenty

199
00:11:05,520 --> 00:11:10,600
Speaker 2: twenty seventeenth. If we get Sun jaym into the top ten,

200
00:11:11,640 --> 00:11:13,520
Speaker 2: I think he beats Tony fen Now on a head

201
00:11:13,559 --> 00:11:16,440
Speaker 2: to head. In fact, as I said, I think im

202
00:11:16,520 --> 00:11:18,920
Speaker 2: is live to win this thing. I don't think Tony

203
00:11:19,000 --> 00:11:23,040
Speaker 2: Fenw is live to win this thing. So he hasn't

204
00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:26,079
Speaker 2: been great at this golf tournament, has been okay, hasn't

205
00:11:26,120 --> 00:11:28,600
Speaker 2: gone super low in this golf tournament. The lowest round

206
00:11:28,679 --> 00:11:32,400
Speaker 2: he's had dating back to twenty eighteen is a sixty six.

207
00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:34,640
Speaker 2: He did that in twenty twenty two, he did that

208
00:11:34,679 --> 00:11:37,880
Speaker 2: in twenty twenty. I mean, is Finale gonna get out

209
00:11:37,880 --> 00:11:38,640
Speaker 2: there and do that again?

210
00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:40,120
Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean again.

211
00:11:40,160 --> 00:11:44,120
Speaker 2: He shot seventy seventy three seventy two sixty eight played

212
00:11:44,160 --> 00:11:47,200
Speaker 2: well on Sunday at the BMW, but still came in

213
00:11:47,240 --> 00:11:51,760
Speaker 2: tied for thirteenth, sixteenth for the FedEx sixteen four rounds

214
00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:55,120
Speaker 2: in the sixties. Not bad, but again, I think Im

215
00:11:55,600 --> 00:11:58,840
Speaker 2: is a guy who knows this golf tournament really well,

216
00:11:59,160 --> 00:12:02,160
Speaker 2: who can attacked this golf tournament because because of this

217
00:12:02,200 --> 00:12:04,959
Speaker 2: golf course, because he's used to playing at this golf course,

218
00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:07,400
Speaker 2: and it just sets up really well for him. I

219
00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:09,160
Speaker 2: don't think he has any pressure here to go out

220
00:12:09,160 --> 00:12:12,320
Speaker 2: there and he can just fire at pins and play

221
00:12:12,600 --> 00:12:16,240
Speaker 2: loose and starting at three under par, I like it

222
00:12:16,320 --> 00:12:19,560
Speaker 2: a lot for him to potentially have a huge opportunity

223
00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:21,320
Speaker 2: to win this thing. I think he could win this thing,

224
00:12:21,880 --> 00:12:24,240
Speaker 2: and we backed him a bunch over the last couple

225
00:12:24,320 --> 00:12:28,880
Speaker 2: of days. He came in twenty fourth last year, following

226
00:12:28,880 --> 00:12:33,240
Speaker 2: the second appearance in twenty twenty two, sixteen under in

227
00:12:33,280 --> 00:12:37,160
Speaker 2: twenty twenty two, he shot sixty seven, sixty five, sixty six,

228
00:12:37,440 --> 00:12:41,200
Speaker 2: sixty six in twenty twenty two, ripped apart this golf tournament.

229
00:12:41,440 --> 00:12:44,360
Speaker 2: Hopefully he gets back to that type of performance because

230
00:12:44,360 --> 00:12:49,840
Speaker 2: he's been playing really well. Eleventh, fortieth, forty first, but seventh, fourth,

231
00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:53,880
Speaker 2: twelfth and third dating back to the Travelers Championship after

232
00:12:53,920 --> 00:12:57,079
Speaker 2: missing the cut at the US Open. Head to head

233
00:12:57,160 --> 00:13:00,160
Speaker 2: four rounds, betet to win a half a unit at

234
00:13:00,160 --> 00:13:04,360
Speaker 2: minus one twenty five, sunjaym Over, Tony Fenw at minus

235
00:13:04,360 --> 00:13:07,560
Speaker 2: one twenty five for bettit to win a half a unit.

236
00:13:07,600 --> 00:13:11,960
Speaker 2: So essentially it's one point six one units or so

237
00:13:12,360 --> 00:13:14,280
Speaker 2: to bet that to win a half a unit. Okay,

238
00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:17,839
Speaker 2: So four bets for the Tour Championship. We're betting all

239
00:13:17,840 --> 00:13:20,000
Speaker 2: of them to win a half a unit. There's three

240
00:13:20,040 --> 00:13:23,319
Speaker 2: plus money bets in one bet. We're laying Juice top five,

241
00:13:23,520 --> 00:13:27,280
Speaker 2: Oberg plus one eighty five, Lowry top ten plus two

242
00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:30,200
Speaker 2: to twenty five, and Adam Scott top ten at plus

243
00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:32,360
Speaker 2: one seventy five. Bet a half a unit there to

244
00:13:32,400 --> 00:13:35,240
Speaker 2: come in with those plays two units plus or so

245
00:13:35,920 --> 00:13:39,160
Speaker 2: in play for a four round event. Then the head

246
00:13:39,160 --> 00:13:43,040
Speaker 2: to head sundaym Over Tony Fenw again to win a

247
00:13:43,080 --> 00:13:45,280
Speaker 2: half a unit. So those are your four bets going

248
00:13:45,320 --> 00:13:49,520
Speaker 2: into East Lake here, which starts on Thursday. Okay, so

249
00:13:50,080 --> 00:13:52,000
Speaker 2: we'll have a ton of stuff going this weekend. We'll

250
00:13:52,160 --> 00:13:56,200
Speaker 2: all this college football, will have the Tour Championship to watch,

251
00:13:56,280 --> 00:14:00,079
Speaker 2: I mean, golf and football just a tremendous thing. So

252
00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:04,200
Speaker 2: sock football. I've given you the Clemson Georgia game we

253
00:14:04,320 --> 00:14:09,240
Speaker 2: talked about. I like the dog in that game. I

254
00:14:09,720 --> 00:14:12,160
Speaker 2: like an alternative number in that game. I think it's

255
00:14:12,160 --> 00:14:13,960
Speaker 2: gonna be fun to see how that all plays out.

256
00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:18,560
Speaker 2: I have another big game to talk about, and it

257
00:14:18,600 --> 00:14:21,160
Speaker 2: involves Penn State in West Virginia.

258
00:14:21,720 --> 00:14:22,720
Speaker 1: So let's talk weather.

259
00:14:22,760 --> 00:14:26,520
Speaker 2: Forecast for a second, thunderstorms and an eighty percent chance

260
00:14:26,600 --> 00:14:30,880
Speaker 2: to rain in Morgantown, West Virginia. The total is fifty

261
00:14:30,920 --> 00:14:34,720
Speaker 2: one and a half and it hasn't moved, hasn't moved

262
00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:40,320
Speaker 2: at all. When you start looking at Penn State defensively,

263
00:14:40,360 --> 00:14:43,840
Speaker 2: they should be tremendous. But where is their offense. They

264
00:14:43,960 --> 00:14:48,200
Speaker 2: killed West Virginia last year at home. This game's in Morgantown.

265
00:14:48,440 --> 00:14:50,200
Speaker 2: The number was as high as ten and a half.

266
00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:52,320
Speaker 2: It's been bet down to eight and a half. Everyone

267
00:14:52,480 --> 00:14:53,800
Speaker 2: is on West Virginia.

268
00:14:53,920 --> 00:14:55,880
Speaker 1: Everyone.

269
00:14:56,160 --> 00:15:00,720
Speaker 2: I can't really deal it at the moment, can't really

270
00:15:02,240 --> 00:15:04,880
Speaker 2: jump in with the masses on this. I'm a little

271
00:15:04,880 --> 00:15:08,800
Speaker 2: bit skeptical of West Virginia's ability to keep this game close,

272
00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:13,800
Speaker 2: but I do think they can do something defensively, and

273
00:15:13,880 --> 00:15:17,280
Speaker 2: I do think if the rain comes, Penn State will

274
00:15:17,280 --> 00:15:21,680
Speaker 2: look to run the football, and I think, just given

275
00:15:21,800 --> 00:15:25,600
Speaker 2: the way that James Franklin has been, I think he

276
00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:28,040
Speaker 2: may be kind of conservative and I don't think he'll

277
00:15:28,040 --> 00:15:30,320
Speaker 2: be looking to run the score up. I don't think

278
00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:33,280
Speaker 2: he'll be looking to just put this. Fifty one and

279
00:15:33,320 --> 00:15:36,000
Speaker 2: a half is the total, and I think we've got

280
00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:38,200
Speaker 2: a decent shot of going under here in this game.

281
00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:40,240
Speaker 2: If you can find a fifty two out there, that

282
00:15:40,280 --> 00:15:42,800
Speaker 2: would be tremendous. Fifty one and a half is the

283
00:15:42,800 --> 00:15:45,040
Speaker 2: best number I could find here in Vegas. On the

284
00:15:45,120 --> 00:15:47,960
Speaker 2: road last year, Penn State was three and three at home.

285
00:15:48,040 --> 00:15:50,480
Speaker 2: West Virginia also was three and three, so there's nothing

286
00:15:50,520 --> 00:15:54,640
Speaker 2: really to glean from that. But I think West Virginia's

287
00:15:54,640 --> 00:15:57,240
Speaker 2: offensive line is going to be a pretty good test

288
00:15:57,400 --> 00:15:59,200
Speaker 2: for Penn State. I think this is going to be

289
00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:00,000
Speaker 2: a fun battle.

290
00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:00,480
Speaker 1: Well.

291
00:16:00,640 --> 00:16:02,800
Speaker 2: I don't think we're going to see either offense just

292
00:16:02,880 --> 00:16:05,800
Speaker 2: completely open up and start throwing the ball all over

293
00:16:05,880 --> 00:16:09,160
Speaker 2: the place. That's not really drew Aller's strength from a

294
00:16:09,200 --> 00:16:12,680
Speaker 2: Penn State perspective. Penn State did score thirty four points

295
00:16:12,680 --> 00:16:15,120
Speaker 2: per game, and West Virginia scored twenty nine point four

296
00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:17,600
Speaker 2: points per game, but Penn State's defense only gave up

297
00:16:17,640 --> 00:16:20,400
Speaker 2: fourteen points per game. I don't think West Virginia wants

298
00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:23,040
Speaker 2: to get into a shootout here at all. I think

299
00:16:23,080 --> 00:16:24,760
Speaker 2: this is a tight game. This is like a twenty

300
00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:29,480
Speaker 2: eight to twenty type football game, low scoring, tight rain

301
00:16:29,560 --> 00:16:30,360
Speaker 2: comes into play.

302
00:16:30,800 --> 00:16:32,560
Speaker 1: I think, you know, weather could be issued.

303
00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:34,760
Speaker 2: I think the reason why the total hasn't moved, I

304
00:16:34,760 --> 00:16:36,560
Speaker 2: think it's because people are waiting to see the final

305
00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:37,200
Speaker 2: weather forecast.

306
00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:38,240
Speaker 1: We're still a couple of days away.

307
00:16:38,240 --> 00:16:40,160
Speaker 2: It's only Wednesdays, so we're a couple days away from

308
00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:43,040
Speaker 2: the game actually being played. I just I lean towards

309
00:16:43,080 --> 00:16:46,000
Speaker 2: West Virginia because everyone's down West Virginia. So if I

310
00:16:46,080 --> 00:16:48,720
Speaker 2: like the dog dogging under, right, I mean, it seems

311
00:16:48,760 --> 00:16:51,720
Speaker 2: to be a similar refrain dogging under. I think Penn

312
00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:54,040
Speaker 2: State's is going to play tight, close to the vest.

313
00:16:54,320 --> 00:16:56,040
Speaker 2: I don't think West Virginia is going to throw the

314
00:16:56,040 --> 00:16:58,040
Speaker 2: ball all over the place and look to get themselves.

315
00:16:58,240 --> 00:17:00,240
Speaker 2: They're gonna look to run the football. I mean West

316
00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:02,800
Speaker 2: Virginia ran the ball sixty two percent of the time

317
00:17:02,880 --> 00:17:05,640
Speaker 2: last year. That was six best in the country. Penn

318
00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:07,680
Speaker 2: State ran the ball fifty three percent of the time.

319
00:17:07,720 --> 00:17:10,600
Speaker 2: That was also near the top fifty of the country

320
00:17:10,920 --> 00:17:13,880
Speaker 2: passing the passing the football West Virginia they only threw

321
00:17:13,920 --> 00:17:15,720
Speaker 2: the ball thirty seven percent of the time last year.

322
00:17:16,240 --> 00:17:17,960
Speaker 1: Now different year Game one.

323
00:17:18,040 --> 00:17:20,680
Speaker 2: But just from a philosophy standpoint, I don't think West

324
00:17:20,760 --> 00:17:22,840
Speaker 2: Virginia at home is going to look to get into

325
00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:25,120
Speaker 2: a shootout with Penn State. I think they'd rather keep

326
00:17:25,160 --> 00:17:27,600
Speaker 2: it low scoring, play defense, run the football. I think

327
00:17:27,640 --> 00:17:30,200
Speaker 2: both teams want to run the ball and play defense.

328
00:17:30,840 --> 00:17:32,960
Speaker 2: I'm going to go under under fifty one and a

329
00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:37,200
Speaker 2: half Penn State in West Virginia for one point one units.

330
00:17:37,320 --> 00:17:39,200
Speaker 2: And look, we're going to be in for a lot

331
00:17:39,240 --> 00:17:42,359
Speaker 2: of really fun games here this coming weekend. And I

332
00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:46,880
Speaker 2: don't know how many bets I'll have. I mean there

333
00:17:46,920 --> 00:17:51,600
Speaker 2: may I don't know, there's three, five, six. I don't

334
00:17:51,600 --> 00:17:54,600
Speaker 2: want to go completely and totally overboard and just like

335
00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:59,120
Speaker 2: start betting on like everything, But I think I think

336
00:17:59,280 --> 00:18:02,000
Speaker 2: there are some real life opportunities here to jump on

337
00:18:02,119 --> 00:18:05,720
Speaker 2: games and be excited. I mean, obviously one versus fourteen

338
00:18:06,320 --> 00:18:08,520
Speaker 2: is a monster game, and a lot of people are

339
00:18:08,560 --> 00:18:11,320
Speaker 2: going to be watching this and being excited about one

340
00:18:11,440 --> 00:18:15,480
Speaker 2: Versus fourteen and Clemson and Georgia. But Penn State West

341
00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:17,840
Speaker 2: Virginia is going to have a ton of eyeballs. People

342
00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:19,760
Speaker 2: are going to be jumping up and down about watching,

343
00:18:19,960 --> 00:18:21,920
Speaker 2: you know, watching these teams go at it and see

344
00:18:22,320 --> 00:18:24,959
Speaker 2: Penn State could make the playoffs. It's not crazy. I mean,

345
00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:27,919
Speaker 2: Penn State. How many big tends make the playoffs? You

346
00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:30,200
Speaker 2: guys know how I feel about Iowa and Iowa's over

347
00:18:30,280 --> 00:18:32,760
Speaker 2: iwas win total, so I mean I like Iowa.

348
00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:35,159
Speaker 1: I can't wait to bet Iowa coming up here.

349
00:18:35,200 --> 00:18:36,720
Speaker 2: It's going to be fun, but it should be a

350
00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:40,240
Speaker 2: lot of fun. This is going to be a great

351
00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:42,720
Speaker 2: college football year. My name is Matt Perult. Follow me

352
00:18:42,760 --> 00:18:45,840
Speaker 2: across all socials at Sports Talk Matt. Every Morning Dale

353
00:18:46,000 --> 00:19:00,400
Speaker 2: Just podcast presented by Bettingpros dot Com