1 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:04,160 Speaker 1: Good morning. I'm John Tucker and. 2 00:00:04,080 --> 00:00:07,160 Speaker 2: I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. 3 00:00:07,720 --> 00:00:10,120 Speaker 1: In the markets, the S and P five hundred beginning 4 00:00:10,160 --> 00:00:13,039 Speaker 1: to day hovering at a record The so called Santa 5 00:00:13,039 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 1: Claus rally has left the index just half a percent 6 00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:19,600 Speaker 1: off its all time high. Despite warnings about overpot levels, 7 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 1: equities continue to power ahead on best. The Fed's going 8 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:25,840 Speaker 1: to cut rates as early as March, and Bloomberg's executive 9 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:28,640 Speaker 1: editor for Markets Paul Dobson says, there seems to be 10 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:30,440 Speaker 1: a lot of momentum in the markets. 11 00:00:30,720 --> 00:00:34,239 Speaker 3: It may be in anticipation of big New year flows 12 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:36,520 Speaker 3: into equity funds and people trying to get a little 13 00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:39,720 Speaker 3: bit ahead of that. As part of the explanation, I think, 14 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:41,879 Speaker 3: you know, we're getting very close to that record high 15 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:44,400 Speaker 3: in the SMP, and the market loves the target to chase. 16 00:00:44,680 --> 00:00:47,080 Speaker 1: Bloomberg's Paul Dobson says if the S and P five 17 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:49,960 Speaker 1: hundred completes a ninth straight week of gains, it will 18 00:00:49,960 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 1: be its longest winning streak since two thousand and four. 19 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 2: Well in Company News, john Tesla could soon lose its 20 00:00:56,320 --> 00:00:59,760 Speaker 2: title as the world's leader in electric vehicles. The Chinese 21 00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:04,200 Speaker 2: automaker BYD's sales or forecast to overtake Tesla this quarter. 22 00:01:04,600 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 2: Katrina Nicholas is Global Business editor for Bloomberg in Asia. 23 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:12,320 Speaker 4: BYD makes its own batteries and now it also makes 24 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 4: its own chips. That has shielded the company from a 25 00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 4: lot of supply chain crunches over the years. Remember back 26 00:01:18,240 --> 00:01:21,720 Speaker 4: in twenty twenty during COVID, we had a worldwide shortage 27 00:01:21,760 --> 00:01:25,080 Speaker 4: of semiconductors and that snarled a lot of automakers. They 28 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:27,800 Speaker 4: couldn't get the chips that they needed to make the cous. 29 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 2: And Bloomberg Global Business Editor Katrina Nicholas as BYD offers 30 00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:34,959 Speaker 2: half a dozen higher volume models that costs much less 31 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:38,000 Speaker 2: than what Tesla charges for its cheapest Model three sedan 32 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:38,679 Speaker 2: in China. 33 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 1: Meanwhile, Tesla preparing to roll out a revamped version of 34 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:45,360 Speaker 1: its Model Y from its Shanghai plant. Bloomberg News has 35 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 1: learned the electric carmaker currently conducting preparation work in China, 36 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 1: and mass production may start as soon as mid twenty 37 00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 1: twenty four. Sources say the new Model Why will have 38 00:01:55,840 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 1: much more obvious exterior and interior changes than the most 39 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:03,240 Speaker 1: recent update in October, which anadled a new wheel design 40 00:02:03,320 --> 00:02:04,400 Speaker 1: and ambient lighting. 41 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:08,080 Speaker 2: Well John another high tech company in the spotlight this morning, 42 00:02:08,160 --> 00:02:11,680 Speaker 2: Apple is appealing a US salesman of its smart watches 43 00:02:11,760 --> 00:02:14,640 Speaker 2: after the White House refuse to overturn the measure. The 44 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:17,600 Speaker 2: company is trying to defend a business that generates roughly 45 00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 2: seventeen billion dollars a year. Mark German covers Apple for 46 00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:22,800 Speaker 2: Bloomberg in Los Angeles. 47 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:25,400 Speaker 5: Apple's belief is they have a software update up at 48 00:02:25,440 --> 00:02:28,480 Speaker 5: sleeves that will bring the Apple Watch in compliance with 49 00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 5: the ITC. And so what Apple has done is they 50 00:02:30,880 --> 00:02:34,639 Speaker 5: submitted details of this software upgrade to the US Customs 51 00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:38,000 Speaker 5: Agency and on January twelve, the US Customs Agency will 52 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:40,560 Speaker 5: make a decision whether or not to approve the refresh 53 00:02:40,560 --> 00:02:42,600 Speaker 5: to the watch to make them fix. If they go 54 00:02:42,639 --> 00:02:46,080 Speaker 5: ahead and approve that and the ITC and other entities 55 00:02:46,120 --> 00:02:48,200 Speaker 5: and the US agree, the Apple Watch can come back 56 00:02:48,200 --> 00:02:49,000 Speaker 5: to market. 57 00:02:49,080 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 2: And Bloomber's Mark German says the US International Trade Commission 58 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:56,120 Speaker 2: determined in October that Apple violated two Massimo health technology 59 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:59,600 Speaker 2: patents with a blood oxygen sensor in its watches, and. 60 00:02:59,600 --> 00:03:02,160 Speaker 1: Karen saying in the tech sector, a couple of heavyweights 61 00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 1: joining forces on the artificial intelligence That's good. Details this 62 00:03:06,639 --> 00:03:08,360 Speaker 1: morning from Bloomberg's Jeff Bellinger. 63 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:13,080 Speaker 6: Legendary designer Johnny Ive and open ai Sam Altman are 64 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:16,360 Speaker 6: enlisting a veteran to work on a new artificial intelligence 65 00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:19,639 Speaker 6: hardware project. Sources say that as part of the effort, 66 00:03:19,760 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 6: outgoing Apple executive Tang Tan will join IVES design firm 67 00:03:24,560 --> 00:03:27,679 Speaker 6: love From, which will shape the look and capabilities of 68 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:31,040 Speaker 6: the new products. Altman, an executive who has become the 69 00:03:31,080 --> 00:03:35,240 Speaker 6: face of modern AI, plans to provide the software underpinnings. 70 00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:38,680 Speaker 6: The work marks one of the most ambitious efforts undertaken 71 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:41,840 Speaker 6: by IVES since he left Apple in twenty nineteen. The 72 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 6: designer is famous for the products he helped devise under 73 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:49,200 Speaker 6: Apple co founder Steve Jobs, including the iMac iPhone and 74 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:52,480 Speaker 6: the iPad. His hope is to turn the AI device 75 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:55,680 Speaker 6: work into a new company, but sources say development of 76 00:03:55,720 --> 00:04:00,680 Speaker 6: the product's remains at an early stage. Jeff Bellinger, Bloomberg Radio. 77 00:04:00,920 --> 00:04:02,760 Speaker 2: All right, Jeff, thanks, Now we turn to the latest 78 00:04:02,800 --> 00:04:05,640 Speaker 2: developments in the Middle East. US strikes on targets in 79 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 2: Iraq and fresh attacks by hu They militants in the 80 00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:11,680 Speaker 2: Red Sea, providing the latest warning signs that the war 81 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 2: in Gaza risks expanding into a wider conflict of stabilizing 82 00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:18,640 Speaker 2: the region. Ras Madison is news director for Europe, the 83 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:21,080 Speaker 2: Middle East and Africa for a Bloomberg News. 84 00:04:21,320 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 7: You've got all these groups operating in the region, supported 85 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:27,520 Speaker 7: by Iran, who are carrying out sort of unilateral attacks 86 00:04:27,560 --> 00:04:31,200 Speaker 7: on targets throughout the region, including these shippers, and of 87 00:04:31,200 --> 00:04:35,200 Speaker 7: course Iran sort of warning increasingly that this does increase 88 00:04:35,240 --> 00:04:37,320 Speaker 7: the risk that they get drawn in. It also increases 89 00:04:37,360 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 7: the risk that the US militarily gets drawn in because 90 00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:41,520 Speaker 7: of course they're having to shoot down a bunch of 91 00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 7: this stuff as it's flying around the region targeting this shipping. 92 00:04:44,680 --> 00:04:47,960 Speaker 7: And we're talking about a coalition of military ships in 93 00:04:48,000 --> 00:04:51,440 Speaker 7: the region potentially to escort some of this commercial shipping through, 94 00:04:51,560 --> 00:04:52,360 Speaker 7: and so all. 95 00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:55,479 Speaker 2: Of that adds to environment of high tension in Bloomberg's 96 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:59,320 Speaker 2: ras Madison says. Benjamin Netanyahu says Israel will expand it's 97 00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:03,480 Speaker 2: Garza ground defensive in the coming days, despite international efforts 98 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:05,640 Speaker 2: to halt the fighting and. 99 00:05:05,560 --> 00:05:08,279 Speaker 1: Back here at home care on. Thousands of migrants and 100 00:05:08,320 --> 00:05:11,800 Speaker 1: asylum seekers are moving north toward the American border. As 101 00:05:11,800 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 1: tom US officials prepared to meet with Mexico's president. That 102 00:05:15,520 --> 00:05:17,440 Speaker 1: story this morning from Bloomberg's and Baxter. 103 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:21,719 Speaker 8: The caravan has reached Chiapas, Mexico, thousands carrying signs that 104 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:25,800 Speaker 8: say exodus from poverty. The caravan hopes to reach the 105 00:05:25,839 --> 00:05:29,279 Speaker 8: border as Secretary of State Anthony Blincoln and Homeland Security 106 00:05:29,360 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 8: Chief Alejandro Majorcas meet with Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Odador. 107 00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:40,880 Speaker 8: The State Department says item one is quote unprecedented irregular 108 00:05:40,960 --> 00:05:44,359 Speaker 8: migration in the Western hemisphere. Now, the US says the 109 00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:48,560 Speaker 8: parties need to address border security challenges and identify ways 110 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:51,240 Speaker 8: for Mexico to help in the fight. Some of the 111 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:55,120 Speaker 8: caravan have traveled from as far away as South America. 112 00:05:55,480 --> 00:05:59,840 Speaker 8: At Baxter Bloomberg Radio. 113 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 1: All right, thanks Karen, and that brings us to five 114 00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:03,840 Speaker 1: oh seven Time down for a look at some of 115 00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:06,760 Speaker 1: the other stories making news around the world. For that, 116 00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:10,280 Speaker 1: we're joined by Bloomberg's Amy Morris. Amy, Good morning, Good 117 00:06:10,279 --> 00:06:10,920 Speaker 1: morning John. 118 00:06:11,000 --> 00:06:15,160 Speaker 9: Several pro Palestinian protesters were arrested after swarming Rockefeller Center, 119 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:18,080 Speaker 9: Grand Central and other areas of the long holiday weekend. 120 00:06:18,360 --> 00:06:21,200 Speaker 9: Police arrested at least a half dozen people for disorderly 121 00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:24,200 Speaker 9: conduct menacing at graffiti now In New York City, Mayor 122 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:27,719 Speaker 9: Eric Adams says there's always a serious concern about safety 123 00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:30,120 Speaker 9: in Time Square. On New Year's Eve, he says there's 124 00:06:30,160 --> 00:06:34,280 Speaker 9: an added concern protesters will disrupt more celebrations after pro 125 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:38,960 Speaker 9: Palestinian supporters tried to spoil the Rockefeller Center Christmas tree 126 00:06:39,080 --> 00:06:40,760 Speaker 9: lighting over this past year. 127 00:06:40,960 --> 00:06:43,440 Speaker 10: The police department did an amazing job doing the tree 128 00:06:43,520 --> 00:06:48,800 Speaker 10: lighting to mitigate any form of major disruptions, and they're 129 00:06:48,800 --> 00:06:49,640 Speaker 10: going to do it this year. 130 00:06:49,800 --> 00:06:52,359 Speaker 11: Adam says NYPD will monitor online chatter. 131 00:06:52,600 --> 00:06:56,039 Speaker 9: Top Biden administration officials are in Mexico today to discuss 132 00:06:56,080 --> 00:06:57,320 Speaker 9: the influx of migrants. 133 00:06:57,360 --> 00:06:59,159 Speaker 11: More on this from Bloomberg's Nancy Lyons. 134 00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:02,719 Speaker 12: US Secretary of State Anthony Blincoln in Secretary of Homeland 135 00:07:02,760 --> 00:07:07,640 Speaker 12: Security Alejandre Mayorcis will meet with Mexican President andres Manuel 136 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 12: Lopez Obrador to address the ongoing border security challenges and 137 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:14,960 Speaker 12: what each country can do to alleviate the problem. B 138 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:18,480 Speaker 12: Lincoln's office notes the migration across the southern border has 139 00:07:18,520 --> 00:07:22,200 Speaker 12: been unprecedented. B Lincoln is expected to focus on creating 140 00:07:22,280 --> 00:07:26,120 Speaker 12: legal pathways into the US as well as additional enforcement 141 00:07:26,640 --> 00:07:29,120 Speaker 12: in Washington. Nancy lyons Bloomberg Radio. 142 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:31,680 Speaker 9: Now, one of Mayor Adam's main focuses next year will 143 00:07:31,720 --> 00:07:34,600 Speaker 9: be trying to get the federal help on the migrant crisis. 144 00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:37,840 Speaker 10: I have to keep hammering away at this issue, and 145 00:07:38,120 --> 00:07:41,200 Speaker 10: I'm really pleased that we are now in the chorus 146 00:07:41,320 --> 00:07:43,560 Speaker 10: of other cities that are joining us. 147 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 9: There are currently sixty eight thousand asylum seekers in New 148 00:07:47,080 --> 00:07:49,800 Speaker 9: York City's care right now. And a new program would 149 00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:52,480 Speaker 9: allow New York City to direct money to new construction 150 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:57,120 Speaker 9: after a tax incentive favorable to developers lapsed last year. 151 00:07:57,280 --> 00:07:59,600 Speaker 9: The New York Times reports the plan would direct public 152 00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:03,720 Speaker 9: money toward mixed income housing projects in wealthier neighborhoods. The 153 00:08:03,760 --> 00:08:07,240 Speaker 9: hope is that developers will produce more affordable units using 154 00:08:07,280 --> 00:08:10,800 Speaker 9: the income from those high rent market rate apartments. The 155 00:08:10,840 --> 00:08:13,000 Speaker 9: Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you 156 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:14,280 Speaker 9: want it with Bloomberg News. 157 00:08:14,280 --> 00:08:16,840 Speaker 11: Now, I'm maybe Morrison. This is Bloomberg John. 158 00:08:16,960 --> 00:08:23,680 Speaker 1: All right, thanks Amy, and that brings us to five 159 00:08:23,760 --> 00:08:26,600 Speaker 1: ten on Wall Street. Time down for the Bloomberg Sports Update. 160 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:28,720 Speaker 1: And for that, here's Dan Schwarzman. 161 00:08:29,240 --> 00:08:30,160 Speaker 11: Good Morning John. 162 00:08:30,200 --> 00:08:32,840 Speaker 13: Week seventeen of The NFL season kicks off tomorrow in 163 00:08:32,880 --> 00:08:36,000 Speaker 13: Cleveland as the Browns are hosting the Jets. Cleveland is 164 00:08:36,040 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 13: ten and five, Jets coming at six and nine. Jets 165 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:41,160 Speaker 13: head coach Robert Salad talking about how the Jets can 166 00:08:41,200 --> 00:08:43,400 Speaker 13: take some inspiration from Cleveland season. 167 00:08:43,760 --> 00:08:46,679 Speaker 14: They're doing a really nice job. Defensively, they're playing at 168 00:08:46,679 --> 00:08:50,480 Speaker 14: an eightee level, very similar. Special teams are doing very well. 169 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:54,680 Speaker 14: But for sure, we'll definitely look at some things in 170 00:08:54,800 --> 00:08:57,480 Speaker 14: areas where we can be better, so in the event 171 00:08:57,760 --> 00:09:01,280 Speaker 14: this happens again, we can keep the vote above water 172 00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:03,840 Speaker 14: and just kind of replicate what they're doing. 173 00:09:04,000 --> 00:09:06,960 Speaker 13: That's courtesy of Jets dot Com. Trevor Simeons starting at 174 00:09:07,040 --> 00:09:09,640 Speaker 13: quarterback for the Jets. Joe Flacco for the Browns. GA 175 00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:12,280 Speaker 13: in the NBA to Detroit Pistons, setting a record for 176 00:09:12,400 --> 00:09:15,360 Speaker 13: most consecutive losses in a single season in league history 177 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:18,040 Speaker 13: as they dropped their twenty seventh in a row, losing 178 00:09:18,040 --> 00:09:20,880 Speaker 13: to the Brooklyn Nets won eighteen to one twelve, Cameron 179 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:23,800 Speaker 13: Johnson leading the Nets with twenty four points. Elsewhere in 180 00:09:23,840 --> 00:09:26,280 Speaker 13: the league, futility in Washington as the Wizards are five 181 00:09:26,320 --> 00:09:28,520 Speaker 13: and twenty four, losing to the Magic one twenty seven 182 00:09:28,559 --> 00:09:30,959 Speaker 13: to one nineteen, while the Spurs are only four and 183 00:09:31,080 --> 00:09:33,480 Speaker 13: twenty five after a one thirty one to eighteen home 184 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:36,080 Speaker 13: loss to the Jazz. The Nets added again tonight as 185 00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:38,280 Speaker 13: their home for the Milwaukee Bucks, while the Knicks are 186 00:09:38,320 --> 00:09:41,200 Speaker 13: on the road facing the thunder in Oklahoma City. The 187 00:09:41,280 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 13: three day NHL Christmas Holiday is over most of the 188 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:47,800 Speaker 13: league in action tonight. The Rangers home for the Washington Capitals. 189 00:09:48,040 --> 00:09:51,160 Speaker 13: Devil's welcoming in the Columbus Blue Jackets. It's the Boston 190 00:09:51,200 --> 00:09:53,599 Speaker 13: Bruins on the road of the Buffalo Sabers, while the 191 00:09:53,600 --> 00:09:56,640 Speaker 13: Islanders are home for the Pittsburgh Penguins. That's your Bloomberg 192 00:09:56,640 --> 00:09:59,000 Speaker 13: Sports update on Dan Schwartzman. 193 00:10:01,280 --> 00:10:04,239 Speaker 15: From coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, 194 00:10:04,640 --> 00:10:09,280 Speaker 15: Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Syria's Exam, the Bloomberg 195 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:13,480 Speaker 15: Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 196 00:10:14,880 --> 00:10:17,040 Speaker 1: Good morning, I'm John Tucker. We are looking at the 197 00:10:17,120 --> 00:10:20,160 Speaker 1: risk of a wider Admit East war. This morning. Fresh 198 00:10:20,200 --> 00:10:23,680 Speaker 1: attacks by Houthi rebels shipping in the Red Sea provided 199 00:10:23,720 --> 00:10:26,680 Speaker 1: the latest warning signs. Let's get the update this morning, 200 00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:30,000 Speaker 1: and I'm happy to say. We're joined by Bloomberg's Rob Mathieson, 201 00:10:30,040 --> 00:10:33,760 Speaker 1: the news director for Europe, the Middle East and Africa. 202 00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:37,120 Speaker 1: Ro's nice to talk to you again. It's not anything 203 00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:40,840 Speaker 1: new attacks in this region. What is different this time? 204 00:10:42,040 --> 00:10:42,640 Speaker 11: Well, that's right. 205 00:10:42,679 --> 00:10:45,280 Speaker 7: The attacks and themselves are not that new. They have 206 00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:49,200 Speaker 7: been a patent for many years now in this sort 207 00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:51,679 Speaker 7: of narrow area of water in the Red Sea. And 208 00:10:51,800 --> 00:10:54,560 Speaker 7: of course the Houthies who are based in Yemen but 209 00:10:54,640 --> 00:10:58,280 Speaker 7: bat by Iran sort of quite often targeting shipping in 210 00:10:58,320 --> 00:11:00,560 Speaker 7: the area, but again sort of harrying them more than 211 00:11:00,679 --> 00:11:03,920 Speaker 7: sort of causing serious damage. But what we're seeing is 212 00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:08,360 Speaker 7: an escalation in that pattern of attacks in the backdrop 213 00:11:08,440 --> 00:11:12,080 Speaker 7: of the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza. And 214 00:11:12,120 --> 00:11:14,720 Speaker 7: we're also seeing it come against the backdrop of those 215 00:11:14,800 --> 00:11:19,640 Speaker 7: other attacks that are going on, strikes against US forces 216 00:11:19,640 --> 00:11:23,720 Speaker 7: who are based in Iraq, retaliatory strikes against groups that 217 00:11:23,760 --> 00:11:26,840 Speaker 7: are operating in Iraq, all of those groups in the 218 00:11:26,960 --> 00:11:30,080 Speaker 7: end sort of seemingly linking back to Iran, which says 219 00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 7: it's not trying to disrupt commercial shipping in the area, 220 00:11:34,120 --> 00:11:36,960 Speaker 7: but neither is it seemingly raining in these groups that 221 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:39,600 Speaker 7: it supports and so all of that comes at a 222 00:11:39,640 --> 00:11:43,000 Speaker 7: moment of high tension in the region. You've got significant 223 00:11:43,000 --> 00:11:46,880 Speaker 7: military forces operating. The US Navy is in the area, 224 00:11:47,160 --> 00:11:51,560 Speaker 7: other countries sending naval ships to try and support shipping 225 00:11:51,640 --> 00:11:55,320 Speaker 7: that's passing through, and so the possibility of sort of 226 00:11:55,320 --> 00:11:58,640 Speaker 7: a broader conflict does exist as a result, although so 227 00:11:58,720 --> 00:12:01,959 Speaker 7: far we haven't seen that happen, and Iran has sort 228 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:05,680 Speaker 7: of urged some restraint itself. In a climate where you 229 00:12:05,760 --> 00:12:09,320 Speaker 7: just have shipping in such close proximity, the possibility of 230 00:12:09,360 --> 00:12:11,200 Speaker 7: a broader conflict cannot be ruled out. 231 00:12:11,520 --> 00:12:14,479 Speaker 1: Is this going to draw in other actors at this point. 232 00:12:15,760 --> 00:12:18,160 Speaker 7: Well, there are multiple actors on this sort of the 233 00:12:18,160 --> 00:12:21,680 Speaker 7: Iran supported side already involved in different ways. 234 00:12:21,720 --> 00:12:24,080 Speaker 11: Obviously in the conflict itself with Israel. 235 00:12:24,080 --> 00:12:27,760 Speaker 7: You've got Hesblah still lobbying things from the across the 236 00:12:28,200 --> 00:12:29,040 Speaker 7: Lebanon border. 237 00:12:29,120 --> 00:12:32,120 Speaker 11: You've got the Huthi's operating out of Yemen. 238 00:12:32,160 --> 00:12:35,160 Speaker 7: You've got groups operating out of Iraq, so they've got 239 00:12:35,240 --> 00:12:38,360 Speaker 7: quite a few proxies at the moment for Iran operating 240 00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:40,120 Speaker 7: in the region. On the other side, you've got the 241 00:12:40,200 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 7: US Navy quite actively trying to support shipping shooting down 242 00:12:44,520 --> 00:12:47,960 Speaker 7: drones and other rockets as they're firing through the air 243 00:12:48,000 --> 00:12:50,880 Speaker 7: from Yemen. You've got other countries sort of saying they 244 00:12:50,880 --> 00:12:53,920 Speaker 7: want to send their ships to support, and this talk 245 00:12:54,000 --> 00:12:59,559 Speaker 7: this plan for sort of a naval support task force 246 00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:03,680 Speaker 7: that's going to support shipping and deter further strikes in 247 00:13:03,679 --> 00:13:07,040 Speaker 7: the region. You've got India talking about sending warships. So again, 248 00:13:07,120 --> 00:13:10,120 Speaker 7: you've just got an awful lot of actors involved, none 249 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:12,400 Speaker 7: of whom who want really to end up in an 250 00:13:12,400 --> 00:13:17,800 Speaker 7: outright conflict. But again, with so much shipping in close proximity, 251 00:13:17,880 --> 00:13:20,560 Speaker 7: be it commercial shipping and naval shipping, the possibility of 252 00:13:20,559 --> 00:13:22,920 Speaker 7: an accident even cannot be ruled out. 253 00:13:23,040 --> 00:13:25,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, is it likely that the US would be forced 254 00:13:25,280 --> 00:13:28,359 Speaker 1: to act even more assertively in this region. 255 00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:32,040 Speaker 7: Well, they're very much not wanting to unless they have to, 256 00:13:32,160 --> 00:13:35,040 Speaker 7: particularly again when it comes to Yemen. The US has 257 00:13:35,080 --> 00:13:38,520 Speaker 7: been working hard in recent years to extricate itself from 258 00:13:38,640 --> 00:13:42,320 Speaker 7: Yemen and of course urging the Saudi Arabians to also 259 00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:46,240 Speaker 7: de escalate there, and not something that the US President 260 00:13:46,320 --> 00:13:50,160 Speaker 7: Joe Biden wants to get particularly directly involved in again 261 00:13:50,679 --> 00:13:52,760 Speaker 7: and certainly doesn't want to get involved in a one 262 00:13:52,800 --> 00:13:56,920 Speaker 7: on one conflict that involves Ran and so it does 263 00:13:56,960 --> 00:13:59,719 Speaker 7: exist as a possibility. The US very much doesn't want 264 00:13:59,760 --> 00:14:03,079 Speaker 7: to end up with boots on the ground in another conflict. 265 00:14:03,559 --> 00:14:06,600 Speaker 7: They've become very risk averse about that if you see 266 00:14:06,600 --> 00:14:10,760 Speaker 7: prior history involving places like Afghanistan for example, they don't 267 00:14:10,760 --> 00:14:13,800 Speaker 7: want to do that. But again, more and more they 268 00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:17,760 Speaker 7: are engaging directly in support of shipping in the region 269 00:14:17,800 --> 00:14:20,360 Speaker 7: and shooting down stuff that might be even flying towards 270 00:14:20,520 --> 00:14:23,760 Speaker 7: Israel from Yemen for example. So at some point it 271 00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:26,320 Speaker 7: doesn't become a bit moot. Are they sort of involved 272 00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:30,000 Speaker 7: militarily yes? Are they directly military involved? They would say no, 273 00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:31,040 Speaker 7: and they don't want to. 274 00:14:30,960 --> 00:14:34,240 Speaker 1: Be Whether or not this is your expertise, I don't know. 275 00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:38,000 Speaker 1: But in terms of the impact on commodities, especially oil 276 00:14:38,280 --> 00:14:40,760 Speaker 1: for instance, is it kind of surprising we haven't seen 277 00:14:40,840 --> 00:14:43,920 Speaker 1: a bigger jump in commodity prices as a result of 278 00:14:43,960 --> 00:14:44,600 Speaker 1: these attacks. 279 00:14:45,520 --> 00:14:49,000 Speaker 7: Well, we are seeing oil at least being supported as 280 00:14:49,040 --> 00:14:51,320 Speaker 7: a result of this. You've got brand near eighty one 281 00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:54,760 Speaker 7: dollars a barrel, it's about the highest level in almost 282 00:14:54,760 --> 00:14:58,120 Speaker 7: a month. You're also seeing gas prices rise in a 283 00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:01,320 Speaker 7: way that the commodity that may react more to this 284 00:15:01,680 --> 00:15:05,840 Speaker 7: is gas because of concerns around restrictions on supply in 285 00:15:05,840 --> 00:15:09,880 Speaker 7: the region if Iran really got involved in a conflict, 286 00:15:09,920 --> 00:15:13,120 Speaker 7: and so the immediate concern maybe less about oil and 287 00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:15,160 Speaker 7: how much needs to be shipped through that region or 288 00:15:15,160 --> 00:15:17,840 Speaker 7: how much oil can come from Iran, but really the 289 00:15:17,920 --> 00:15:20,640 Speaker 7: concern is about a possible impact on gas. We saw 290 00:15:20,680 --> 00:15:23,760 Speaker 7: some gas fields in fact out of operation in the 291 00:15:23,800 --> 00:15:27,240 Speaker 7: early days of this conflict between Israel and her mask 292 00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:29,240 Speaker 7: that was out of an abundance. 293 00:15:29,080 --> 00:15:32,120 Speaker 11: Of caution, and they have now resumed operation. 294 00:15:32,320 --> 00:15:35,640 Speaker 7: But really the commodity that may react the most of 295 00:15:35,680 --> 00:15:38,240 Speaker 7: this is gas, and that's one that we're watching closely. 296 00:15:38,280 --> 00:15:38,600 Speaker 5: Today. 297 00:15:40,040 --> 00:15:43,200 Speaker 1: You're listening to Bloomberg Daybreak. 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