WEBVTT - Drive Time: Revisiting and Ranking Dolphins Recent Draft Success 0:00:01.639 --> 0:00:05.200 You are listening to the Miami Dolphins Podcast Network. This 0:00:05.360 --> 0:00:08.399 is Drive Time with Travis Wingfield. Back to throw to 0:00:08.600 --> 0:00:10.560 a looking clips about. 0:00:10.280 --> 0:00:13.200 A wide Dolphin touchdown. 0:00:13.320 --> 0:00:18.240 Trick call unclievable. It's just blue By for a second time. 0:00:18.520 --> 0:00:20.840 Don knew where he was going right away. I want 0:00:20.920 --> 0:00:23.520 to hit that man. I'm wanna help you. Someone will 0:00:23.560 --> 0:00:27.160 keep on his man away Wattle Wada to a shotguns 0:00:27.240 --> 0:00:30.120 back to throw, looking at them, it's up Myers touchdown. 0:00:31.000 --> 0:00:36.240 It's Waddle his sixth touchdown. Patown, how's the King? Drive 0:00:36.320 --> 0:00:40.720 Time with Travis Wingfield begins. Now, let me check your 0:00:40.720 --> 0:00:45.479 pulse if you're not. What is up? Dolphins? And welcome 0:00:45.560 --> 0:00:48.320 to the Draft Time Podcast, part of the Miami Dolphins 0:00:48.320 --> 0:00:52.800 Podcast Network, covering your team, your Miami Dolphins. How's it 0:00:52.840 --> 0:00:56.160 going everybody? I am your host, Travis Wingfield. And on 0:00:56.200 --> 0:00:58.880 today's show, we're gonna hear from Dolphins GM Chris Career, 0:00:59.120 --> 0:01:01.520 and I'm going to re visit a project I did 0:01:01.560 --> 0:01:04.800 back in twenty twenty one, taking a look at draft hits, 0:01:04.840 --> 0:01:07.680 and we'll expand that into free agency. Waiver wire trades 0:01:08.120 --> 0:01:10.639 the many ways to upgrade a football team and build 0:01:10.640 --> 0:01:14.040 a roster from the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist 0:01:14.120 --> 0:01:18.240 Health Training Complex. This is the Drive Time podcast, Hey 0:01:18.360 --> 0:01:23.400 Gaffe before anything else here On today show, the Dolphins 0:01:23.440 --> 0:01:28.240 announced eight practice squad additions cornerback Ethan Bonner, defensive end 0:01:28.360 --> 0:01:32.920 Randy Charlton, tight end Tanner Connor, linebacker Cameron Good, defensive 0:01:32.920 --> 0:01:38.600 tackled DeShawn Hand, linebacker Alexander aj Johnson, wide receiver Breln Sanders, 0:01:38.640 --> 0:01:42.760 and offensive lineman Alama Ulave. And I look at this 0:01:42.840 --> 0:01:44.640 list and I see a handful of guys that I 0:01:44.680 --> 0:01:46.520 think are going to contribute to your twenty twenty three 0:01:46.520 --> 0:01:49.760 Miami Dolphins in some former fashion. I start with the 0:01:49.800 --> 0:01:52.560 Shawan hand, a guy that I was personally very surprised 0:01:52.600 --> 0:01:54.880 he wasn't on the opening day roster. But also I 0:01:54.880 --> 0:01:56.960 think you can understand the move here and the way 0:01:56.960 --> 0:01:59.240 the Dolphins kind of used River Craycraft a year ago 0:01:59.320 --> 0:02:02.120 or John Jenkin a year ago, that role can certainly 0:02:03.240 --> 0:02:05.840 be filled by a guy that gets practice squad elevations. 0:02:05.880 --> 0:02:07.720 You get three, and so you kind of buy yourself 0:02:07.760 --> 0:02:10.200 some time there with regards to keeping him at arm's 0:02:10.280 --> 0:02:12.360 length before you put him on the active roster. And 0:02:12.400 --> 0:02:14.360 I'm sure we'll see, you know, some activity leading up 0:02:14.360 --> 0:02:17.040 to that as well. And the same story with Alexander Johnson. 0:02:17.040 --> 0:02:18.640 I think he was a guy that they brought in for, 0:02:18.960 --> 0:02:21.520 you know, not for no reason at all. So to 0:02:21.560 --> 0:02:23.240 get him here and to get a look at him 0:02:23.240 --> 0:02:25.280 at the linebacker spot in that game and kind of 0:02:25.280 --> 0:02:27.800 get him back into Vic Fangio's defense and running things 0:02:28.160 --> 0:02:30.240 makes a lot of sense there. And then Tanner Connor 0:02:30.320 --> 0:02:32.680 technically is your third tight end in the building right now. 0:02:32.960 --> 0:02:34.920 And you know, I mentioned this in the podcast yesterday. 0:02:34.919 --> 0:02:36.799 I think we could expect to see some more activity 0:02:36.800 --> 0:02:39.160 there as we get closer and closer to charge your week, 0:02:39.160 --> 0:02:41.080 which is now just a couple of days away. But 0:02:41.080 --> 0:02:43.400 I think that Tanner Connor has really shown some strides 0:02:43.400 --> 0:02:45.400 in the way he attacks the blocking games as far 0:02:45.440 --> 0:02:48.040 as his run blocking, and obviously the speed and athletic 0:02:48.080 --> 0:02:51.240 ability are there in the passing game as well. And 0:02:51.280 --> 0:02:53.480 then for a guy like Cameron Good to continue to 0:02:53.520 --> 0:02:56.040 develop Britlan Sanders as well, and then a couple of 0:02:56.080 --> 0:02:58.880 guys from this year's undrafted class looking to kind of 0:02:58.880 --> 0:03:01.680 get themselves feet wet in the league as practice squad 0:03:01.680 --> 0:03:04.680 members here, So plenty of activity, plenty of moves to come. 0:03:04.800 --> 0:03:07.760 We saw now three players from this Dolphins roster. We 0:03:07.840 --> 0:03:10.000 told this was a good and deep roster, right and 0:03:10.080 --> 0:03:12.160 we heard other folks say that they wouldn't have anybody 0:03:12.240 --> 0:03:15.440 signed off of their cuts. But we've had three players 0:03:15.440 --> 0:03:18.760 now claimed Elijah Higgins. This one really is a shot 0:03:18.760 --> 0:03:21.680 across the bow of old stringfield here. Really sad about 0:03:21.680 --> 0:03:23.560 that because I thought Elijah Higgins had some ability to 0:03:23.639 --> 0:03:25.920 make that transition to tight end. I thought he would 0:03:25.919 --> 0:03:27.760 be a long term player here. But he gets scooped 0:03:27.800 --> 0:03:30.160 up by the Arizona Cardinals, good for them, and then 0:03:30.320 --> 0:03:33.440 Ryan Hayes gets picked up by the Indianapolis Colts. So 0:03:33.480 --> 0:03:35.920 technically now you're draft class in twenty twenty three down 0:03:35.960 --> 0:03:38.680 to just two players with Cam Smith and Devon a 0:03:38.880 --> 0:03:42.120 chain on this podcast since we had Chris Greer coming 0:03:42.160 --> 0:03:44.560 up on the show today for his media availabilities, and 0:03:44.560 --> 0:03:46.360 we'll cover that in the final segment of the show. 0:03:47.240 --> 0:03:50.440 I tried to find an old script from twenty twenty one, 0:03:50.480 --> 0:03:53.200 but it was unsuccessful in that search, and in hindsight, 0:03:53.240 --> 0:03:55.400 probably better just redo the whole thing anyway, since you 0:03:55.440 --> 0:03:57.520 have a couple of more years of data to determine 0:03:57.560 --> 0:04:01.160 players success compared to how they were acquired. It was 0:04:01.200 --> 0:04:03.480 a podcast back in twenty twenty one. I went down 0:04:03.520 --> 0:04:05.720 every team's recent draft success and I went back to 0:04:05.720 --> 0:04:08.040 twenty sixteen because that was the year that Chris Career 0:04:08.600 --> 0:04:12.320 was hired as the sole GM of the football team. 0:04:12.560 --> 0:04:15.000 And the toughest part of this assignment, I think, is 0:04:15.000 --> 0:04:17.240 to define what is a hit and miss. And the 0:04:17.279 --> 0:04:18.760 more I went through it, the more I realized is 0:04:18.839 --> 0:04:22.400 kind of you know, subjective in terms of who you're 0:04:22.640 --> 0:04:25.800 talking to and you know, just full transparency. I put 0:04:25.839 --> 0:04:28.840 Phillips and Holland and Waddle in my star categories. I 0:04:28.839 --> 0:04:30.880 don't think other people from other teams might say that, 0:04:31.160 --> 0:04:32.920 but I know we have those three guys, and so 0:04:32.920 --> 0:04:35.960 that's kind of where the you know, subjectivity comes in there, 0:04:35.960 --> 0:04:37.800 and I think it can be difficult to have that, 0:04:37.880 --> 0:04:41.080 but I tried to be more beneficial to teams, especially 0:04:41.120 --> 0:04:43.200 as the rounds went on. Here you should probably tell 0:04:43.200 --> 0:04:45.360 you what the project is first, but I have four 0:04:45.400 --> 0:04:47.360 categories for what is a hit and miss and how 0:04:47.400 --> 0:04:51.159 we measure these certain categories in this assignment that I 0:04:51.160 --> 0:04:54.560 took on or assign myself. There's a star this is 0:04:54.640 --> 0:04:58.320 multiple Pro Bowls or an All Pro, or someone universally 0:04:58.320 --> 0:05:00.280 recognized as a top of the line player. Which is 0:05:00.279 --> 0:05:02.800 why I think Waddle, Holland, and Phillips all satisfy that 0:05:02.880 --> 0:05:05.720 I think most folks would agree. They cover the game 0:05:05.760 --> 0:05:07.640 on a national perspective and have an idea of what 0:05:07.760 --> 0:05:10.880 talent is. Would agree those guys are, you know, top 0:05:10.920 --> 0:05:13.560 ten at their position at very worst. The next is 0:05:13.600 --> 0:05:15.839 a hit, not the star status, but a player who's 0:05:15.839 --> 0:05:18.440 stuck around and contributed for multiple years to your team. 0:05:18.680 --> 0:05:20.640 Typically they find the way to the second contract, whether 0:05:20.640 --> 0:05:23.039 it's with your club or somebody else. For instance, a 0:05:23.080 --> 0:05:25.440 Minka Fitzpatrick was a guy that we drafted but did 0:05:25.440 --> 0:05:29.039 not stay here. Obviously coaching staff issues with him caused 0:05:29.040 --> 0:05:31.479 that departure. But then we have the incompletes, and this 0:05:31.520 --> 0:05:33.760 will include any rookie or most second year players. And 0:05:33.760 --> 0:05:35.320 that's why I didn't actually do the twenty twenty two 0:05:35.320 --> 0:05:37.919 and twenty twenty three draft classes. And that does seem 0:05:37.920 --> 0:05:40.760 like it's a little bit of manipulating these statistics there, 0:05:40.800 --> 0:05:43.799 because obviously Miami had two very light drafts those two years. 0:05:43.960 --> 0:05:45.720 But the whole point of this exercise was to tell 0:05:45.720 --> 0:05:49.640 you about how Miami built up this roster with almost 0:05:49.839 --> 0:05:52.160 you know, better than a half decade of good drafting 0:05:52.440 --> 0:05:55.039 to put themselves in position to spend draft picks on 0:05:55.160 --> 0:05:56.600 star talent. And then you have a balance of a 0:05:56.680 --> 0:06:00.000 roster of high end players, top of the market players 0:06:00.200 --> 0:06:03.040 with contributing guys on rookie contracts in those draft classes, 0:06:03.240 --> 0:06:05.000 and hopefully you can continue to kind of push that 0:06:05.040 --> 0:06:07.080 can down the road while you extend those young guys 0:06:07.279 --> 0:06:10.800 as they hit their second contracts. So no rookies, no 0:06:10.839 --> 0:06:13.560 second year players. You know, guys who've had some injury 0:06:13.560 --> 0:06:16.960 issues also figure into that incomplete status which I put 0:06:17.000 --> 0:06:19.479 Austin Jackson there. I know someone probably would disagree with that, 0:06:19.480 --> 0:06:20.719 but that's where I think he is right now. I 0:06:20.720 --> 0:06:22.719 want to see him play this year since we didn't 0:06:22.760 --> 0:06:24.480 get a chance to watch him in year three under 0:06:24.520 --> 0:06:26.680 a real offensive system because in twenty twenty and twenty 0:06:26.720 --> 0:06:30.960 twenty one we didn't have that, and then finally misses. 0:06:31.120 --> 0:06:33.960 That's probably pretty self explanatory, and round value will be 0:06:34.000 --> 0:06:36.919 assessed as well. So for instance, getting four years and 0:06:36.960 --> 0:06:40.600 twenty fifty six scrimmage yards from Miles Gaskin as well 0:06:40.640 --> 0:06:43.440 as thirteen touchdowns and a seventh round draft pick that's 0:06:43.480 --> 0:06:45.520 a hit, that's the same you know, that same production 0:06:45.560 --> 0:06:47.440 for a first round pick that's a miss. Does that 0:06:47.480 --> 0:06:49.240 make sense to y'all? So let's go ahead and get 0:06:49.279 --> 0:06:50.760 to that, and we'll start with our own division and 0:06:50.839 --> 0:06:53.360 with our own team here and again only going to 0:06:53.440 --> 0:06:55.280 do the draft for every team, but we'll circle back 0:06:55.320 --> 0:06:57.520 at the end and look at all of our off seasons, 0:06:57.600 --> 0:07:00.359 including free agents, trades, waiver all that fun and stuff 0:07:00.360 --> 0:07:02.360 at the very end. So we're not going to list 0:07:02.440 --> 0:07:04.840 twenty twenty two and twenty twenty three because it's too 0:07:04.920 --> 0:07:06.960 early to have a tell for how those guys pan out. 0:07:07.160 --> 0:07:10.320 We essentially had two red shirts last year in Azukama 0:07:10.400 --> 0:07:13.200 and Channing Tendall, so just too early to call on that. 0:07:13.200 --> 0:07:14.960 That also kind of impacts teams like the Jets and 0:07:14.960 --> 0:07:17.000 the Seahawks who had awesome rookie classes a year ago, 0:07:17.000 --> 0:07:19.480 who you can consider hits already. But then again, some 0:07:19.520 --> 0:07:21.640 guys look really good as rookies and don't pan out 0:07:21.680 --> 0:07:23.240 in their second and third year, so maybe it's not 0:07:23.280 --> 0:07:25.880 too early. Just trying to give you the full comprehensive 0:07:25.920 --> 0:07:28.320 pitcher here, So let's go ahead and do this thing. 0:07:28.600 --> 0:07:31.920 Like we've been talking about so stars, hits, incompletes, and 0:07:31.960 --> 0:07:34.760 misses drafts going back to twenty sixteen. I'm just going 0:07:34.840 --> 0:07:36.200 to talk about each team a little bit here. The 0:07:36.240 --> 0:07:38.200 Miami Dolphins, we probably would do their whole entire thing. 0:07:38.440 --> 0:07:41.760 In twenty sixteen, I had two stars, two hits, no incompletes, 0:07:41.800 --> 0:07:44.600 and four misses. The two stars there pretty obvious. I 0:07:44.640 --> 0:07:47.480 think Larry m tonzel Xavion Howard and then Jerome Baker 0:07:47.600 --> 0:07:50.640 Mike get Sicky were they two No, Sorry, that's twenty eighteen. 0:07:51.000 --> 0:07:53.600 Kenyon Drake and Jakeem Grant were the two hits again. 0:07:53.640 --> 0:07:55.320 Grant a six round draft pick who was one of 0:07:55.360 --> 0:07:57.760 the best return men not just in Dolphins history but 0:07:57.840 --> 0:08:00.480 league history. And Kenyon Drake, who had near one thousand 0:08:00.560 --> 0:08:02.560 yards one year, was here for you know, almost the 0:08:02.640 --> 0:08:04.680 duration of his Rickey contract, went on somewhere else and 0:08:04.720 --> 0:08:07.200 had good success in Arizona and Las Vegas as well. 0:08:07.280 --> 0:08:09.520 So that's a hit in the third round of the draft. 0:08:09.720 --> 0:08:11.880 And then the four misses that year as well, Leontay 0:08:11.920 --> 0:08:14.000 Carub being one of those guys. Twenty seventeen an absolute 0:08:14.040 --> 0:08:15.880 tire fire of a draft. We had one hit, it 0:08:15.920 --> 0:08:19.160 was Devon Godshaw. No stars, no one completes, six misses 0:08:19.200 --> 0:08:21.040 in that year's class. That was a rough draft for 0:08:21.040 --> 0:08:22.640 a lot of teams around the league. Twenty seventeen was 0:08:22.640 --> 0:08:24.560 not a very good draft class, except for the New 0:08:24.640 --> 0:08:26.440 Orleans Saints, who had the best draft class of all 0:08:26.480 --> 0:08:30.200 time in my opinion that year twenty eighteen. One star. 0:08:30.480 --> 0:08:33.120 That would be Minka Fitzpatrick. Of course he's no longer here. 0:08:33.320 --> 0:08:35.319 He turned into Austin Jackson, so I can see how 0:08:35.360 --> 0:08:38.760 you would you know Negate that hit. But just for 0:08:38.800 --> 0:08:40.680 the purpose of looking at who picked who, that was 0:08:40.679 --> 0:08:43.160 a draft hit at a superstar. But Miami had four 0:08:43.160 --> 0:08:46.160 more hits that year between Jason Sanders and the seventh 0:08:46.240 --> 0:08:48.520 round as a successful draft pick the all time leader 0:08:48.520 --> 0:08:51.040 in field goal persent for the Miami Dolphins, Jerome Baker, 0:08:51.160 --> 0:08:53.160 Mike Gasicki, and Durham Smyth in the fourth round. I 0:08:53.200 --> 0:08:55.480 also considered to be a draft hit at that spot 0:08:55.520 --> 0:08:58.199 because now he's going into year eighteen nineteen twenty one 0:08:58.240 --> 0:09:01.199 two year six that's a most guys don't do that 0:09:01.240 --> 0:09:03.360 in the league. And then three misses that year twenty 0:09:03.440 --> 0:09:06.600 nineteen one star, that's Christian Wilkins, two hits that is 0:09:06.640 --> 0:09:09.559 Andrew van Ginkel and Miles Gaskin no incompletes, and then 0:09:09.600 --> 0:09:13.480 three misses in twenty twenty. I have one incomplete in there, 0:09:13.520 --> 0:09:16.920 which you know, that's Austin Jackson. That's who I told 0:09:16.960 --> 0:09:18.920 you guys earlier, which the twenty twenty class on this 0:09:19.120 --> 0:09:22.439 entire project did not get many incompletes. But as far 0:09:22.440 --> 0:09:25.120 as star hits, I have two. Do you guys know 0:09:25.160 --> 0:09:26.640 who that is? I'm going to a tongue by Low 0:09:26.679 --> 0:09:28.000 and Rob Hunt, I think are two of the very 0:09:28.000 --> 0:09:31.200 best players at their position. I have three hits with 0:09:31.280 --> 0:09:34.080 Brandon Jones, Ray Kwon Davis, and this one I could 0:09:34.200 --> 0:09:36.720 understand an argument for because long snapper. Do you call 0:09:36.760 --> 0:09:38.440 it a hit? Maybe we don't, maybe we call it 0:09:38.440 --> 0:09:41.200 two hits. But Blake Ferguson is here for his fourth 0:09:41.240 --> 0:09:43.640 season and he's been pretty solid snaping the football. Of course, 0:09:43.679 --> 0:09:45.800 the one incomplete and then five misses, so I know 0:09:45.840 --> 0:09:47.560 everyone gets on that draft class for saying what a 0:09:47.600 --> 0:09:49.200 miss it was. And yeah, there were options in that 0:09:49.280 --> 0:09:52.480 first round to take over Austin Jackson and no Egbunoghny, 0:09:52.520 --> 0:09:53.880 but at the end of the day, You're going to 0:09:53.920 --> 0:09:55.240 see a lot of these teams that had a lot 0:09:55.280 --> 0:09:57.760 of picks like that. That's actually pretty good for how 0:09:58.559 --> 0:10:00.880 how most teams did five of the even picks worked 0:10:00.880 --> 0:10:04.120 out for you? Twenty twenty one three stars. I know 0:10:04.160 --> 0:10:06.439 that's going to be an argument for some three stars. 0:10:06.520 --> 0:10:10.960 No actual non star hits one incomplete that is Leam Eichenberg, 0:10:11.000 --> 0:10:13.440 although I'm more inclined to put that in the miscategory, 0:10:13.960 --> 0:10:16.360 and then three misses that year as well, so your 0:10:16.440 --> 0:10:20.840 six year totals there. I'm really curious to how this 0:10:20.840 --> 0:10:25.280 has received nine stars. Do we agree with that? Do 0:10:25.360 --> 0:10:32.480 we agree that Tunzel x, Minka, Christian Tu, Rob Hunt, 0:10:32.760 --> 0:10:37.080 Javon Holland, Jalen Waddle and Jalen Phillips are all star players. 0:10:38.040 --> 0:10:39.800 I mean, it's not a debate to me, but I'm 0:10:39.800 --> 0:10:43.880 curious what you guys think. Twelve additional hits two incompletes 0:10:44.360 --> 0:10:46.800 probably more like one, and then twenty four misses or 0:10:46.800 --> 0:10:48.920 twenty five misses depending on the incomplete, that gives you 0:10:49.320 --> 0:10:53.080 a superstar hit percentage of one ninety one, like your 0:10:53.120 --> 0:10:55.920 batting average is one ninety one on star players. Sounds bad, right, 0:10:55.960 --> 0:10:57.960 because one on one is on a good bitting average 0:10:58.120 --> 0:10:59.560 as you're gonna learn them to go through this project. 0:10:59.600 --> 0:11:02.959 It's very good. Your hit percentage is four forty seven. 0:11:03.360 --> 0:11:05.720 I'll also explain that in context here in a moment, 0:11:05.800 --> 0:11:07.760 So keep those numbers in mind. Let's go ahead and 0:11:07.800 --> 0:11:09.680 finish up the AFC Eastport. You do our first break 0:11:09.840 --> 0:11:13.160 the Patriots since twenty sixteen, tons of misses in there. 0:11:13.160 --> 0:11:15.120 I had thirty five misses out of fifty draft picks. 0:11:15.120 --> 0:11:17.600 I had just two superstars in that group and eleven hits. 0:11:17.800 --> 0:11:21.280 That gives them a star percentage of forty oh forty. 0:11:21.400 --> 0:11:24.280 Like your batting average is forty, your hit percentage is 0:11:24.280 --> 0:11:27.760 two sixty, so nearly well not really, but almost two 0:11:27.840 --> 0:11:30.319 hundred points less than what the Miami Dolphins did the 0:11:30.440 --> 0:11:33.120 Jets since twenty sixteen. And that's you know. I see 0:11:33.160 --> 0:11:34.880 the argument from the one guy on Twitter who just 0:11:34.920 --> 0:11:36.640 claims that the Jets built their team the right way 0:11:36.760 --> 0:11:38.360 and the Dolphins built their team the wrong way, and 0:11:38.400 --> 0:11:40.440 it just makes me laugh every time I see it, 0:11:40.440 --> 0:11:43.920 because this project alone tells you how stupid that is. 0:11:44.559 --> 0:11:47.400 Three stars over the course of six drafts for them, 0:11:47.840 --> 0:11:52.120 eight additional hits, one incomplete, and thirty five misses, and yeah, 0:11:52.200 --> 0:11:54.120 that doesn't include their twenty twenty two class, which is 0:11:54.200 --> 0:11:56.640 very very good. I can acknowledge that, but we didn't 0:11:56.679 --> 0:11:58.280 do it for this project because it's still too early 0:11:58.320 --> 0:12:00.640 for pretty much every draft class to gauge that, and 0:12:00.679 --> 0:12:02.720 even those rookies that hit, you never know. You just 0:12:02.720 --> 0:12:04.199 never know how it's going to play out. So the 0:12:04.320 --> 0:12:08.280 Jets star percentage is sixty four, not very good. Their 0:12:08.360 --> 0:12:11.199 hit percentage two thirty four, also not good at all. 0:12:11.480 --> 0:12:14.400 Buffalo Bill's draft since twenty sixteen, these guys hit the 0:12:14.440 --> 0:12:16.400 star power in back to back years. Three stars in 0:12:16.440 --> 0:12:19.160 twenty seventeen, three stars in twenty eighteen. What a heck 0:12:19.200 --> 0:12:21.960 of around that was in one of those years. Included 0:12:22.000 --> 0:12:25.679 Tradavius White, Matt Mulano, and shoot now I forget that one, 0:12:25.720 --> 0:12:27.880 but Josh Allen t remained Edmonds in that group, they 0:12:27.880 --> 0:12:29.600 had a couple of years of really good drafting. That's 0:12:29.640 --> 0:12:31.760 why they put themselves in position to go to playoffs 0:12:31.800 --> 0:12:33.600 back to back to back years after missing it for 0:12:33.640 --> 0:12:35.679 twenty years. And of course, when you hit your quarterback 0:12:35.720 --> 0:12:39.199 that helps too. So six stars over six years, fifteen 0:12:39.200 --> 0:12:42.040 additional hits, and that gave them a star percentage of 0:12:42.080 --> 0:12:44.880 one thirty six, Like it's tough to hit stars in 0:12:44.880 --> 0:12:46.800 the draft, man, Like, if you get one per year, 0:12:46.840 --> 0:12:50.160 you are absolutely slaying the draft. And then their hit percentage, 0:12:50.160 --> 0:12:51.800 they're one of the teams that has a better hit 0:12:51.840 --> 0:12:54.480 percentage of Miami. They are at four seventy seven compared 0:12:54.520 --> 0:12:57.679 to Miami's four forty seven. Let's do let's take our 0:12:57.679 --> 0:12:59.160 first break rate there and come back and we'll do 0:12:59.200 --> 0:13:01.680 the rest of these draft hits and misses and eventually 0:13:01.679 --> 0:13:05.240 get to the Miami Dolphins ranking in those two categories, 0:13:05.440 --> 0:13:08.679 and then also Chris careers, media availability, and entire offseasons 0:13:08.679 --> 0:13:11.520 in general. All that's next Draft Time podcast to your host, 0:13:11.559 --> 0:13:16.880 Travis Wingfield, brought to you by Auto Nation. We are 0:13:16.920 --> 0:13:20.360 looking back six years into the rear view for draft 0:13:20.400 --> 0:13:23.640 successes and failures and hits and superstars, and comparing the 0:13:23.679 --> 0:13:25.280 Dolphins of the rest of the league and why this 0:13:25.400 --> 0:13:27.920 roster is where it is today as pretty much a 0:13:28.000 --> 0:13:31.640 unanimous top five roster in terms of how most people 0:13:31.720 --> 0:13:34.240 view this team that have an idea, right, So we 0:13:34.280 --> 0:13:37.240 go back to the AFC North here as one team 0:13:37.280 --> 0:13:40.120 in the AFC East topp to Miami's overall hit percentage. 0:13:40.240 --> 0:13:43.080 But Miami stands a top right now. Four teams in 0:13:43.320 --> 0:13:45.720 on the star hit percentage. The Steelers, for instance, team 0:13:45.720 --> 0:13:48.319 that we always talk about as great drafting teams, right, 0:13:48.520 --> 0:13:50.880 just two star players and it's been since twenty seventeen 0:13:50.920 --> 0:13:53.640 with TJ. Watt since they last found their star player 0:13:54.000 --> 0:13:56.440 in the draft. They do have twelve additional hits, though, 0:13:56.640 --> 0:13:58.719 but a star percentage of just point zero four to 0:13:58.840 --> 0:14:01.200 one and a hit erunge of two to ninety two. 0:14:01.240 --> 0:14:03.280 You're gonna see a theme here. The teams that hit 0:14:03.280 --> 0:14:05.280 in the four hundreds for the most part are teams 0:14:05.320 --> 0:14:08.520 that are having success and winning you know, nine, ten, eleven, 0:14:08.559 --> 0:14:10.480 twelve games a year, find their way into the playoffs. 0:14:10.559 --> 0:14:12.560 I know the Dolphins have not had the playoff success, 0:14:12.920 --> 0:14:14.240 but the fact that they are one of the top 0:14:14.240 --> 0:14:16.200 five teams in terms of total wins over the last 0:14:16.240 --> 0:14:18.880 you know, three years, that's because of good drafting for 0:14:19.000 --> 0:14:21.320 years ahead in advance. So just keep that in mind. Please. 0:14:21.560 --> 0:14:23.640 The Ravens here since twenty sixteen, the other team we 0:14:23.640 --> 0:14:26.040 always talk about great drafting, right, and they are, don't 0:14:26.040 --> 0:14:28.280 get me wrong, But how about their star percentage? I 0:14:28.320 --> 0:14:30.480 have six stars here out of fifty six draft picks. 0:14:30.560 --> 0:14:32.960 That's a bidding average of one oh seven. Now, their 0:14:33.040 --> 0:14:36.360 hit percentage is phenomenal, and when one of your stars 0:14:36.360 --> 0:14:38.800 is the quarterback, that helps too. But their hit percentage 0:14:38.840 --> 0:14:41.080 is twenty nine for fifty six, that's five to eighteen. 0:14:41.800 --> 0:14:43.400 Is that the top I have? I think it is. 0:14:43.400 --> 0:14:44.960 I think that's number one team on here in terms 0:14:44.960 --> 0:14:47.480 of hitting draft picks. But the only team that batted 0:14:47.520 --> 0:14:50.240 over five hundred in this entire exercise, check that sort 0:14:50.280 --> 0:14:51.920 of the Saints. The Saints had a better one than that. 0:14:52.120 --> 0:14:54.080 So Saints and Ravens are the only teams that hit 0:14:54.120 --> 0:14:57.720 over five hundred in this particular you know baseball draft 0:14:57.720 --> 0:15:01.520 comparison that we're doing here, And that's a team that 0:15:01.560 --> 0:15:04.440 has sustain a ton of success, right, but also a 0:15:04.480 --> 0:15:06.520 reason why maybe they haven't been you know, in the 0:15:06.520 --> 0:15:08.960 playoffs last couple of years. One their quarterbacks gotten hurt. 0:15:09.080 --> 0:15:11.080 But the star stuff ran out in twenty eighteen and 0:15:11.120 --> 0:15:13.560 twenty sixteen they had two stars twenty seventeen, one star, 0:15:13.800 --> 0:15:18.320 twenty eighteen, three stars. So it's tough man. Drafting is very, 0:15:18.400 --> 0:15:21.400 very difficult in this league. The Bengals since twenty sixteen, 0:15:21.440 --> 0:15:24.280 they've drafted just four stars, that of course is Joe 0:15:24.280 --> 0:15:27.000 Burrow and Jamar Chase and T Higgins as a couple 0:15:27.080 --> 0:15:29.880 of those guys, and also Jesse Bates was the fourth 0:15:29.920 --> 0:15:31.840 one there for them. I also have them a seventeen 0:15:31.840 --> 0:15:34.000 additional hit, so twenty one out of fifty six gives 0:15:34.040 --> 0:15:36.320 them a three to seventy five batting average, and their 0:15:36.320 --> 0:15:39.280 star percentage is also under one hundred seventy one. For 0:15:39.360 --> 0:15:41.600 the Cincinnati Bengals, you guys see in this theme here, 0:15:41.800 --> 0:15:45.000 the Cleveland Browns five total stars. They've only had one 0:15:45.040 --> 0:15:48.880 since twenty eighteen, thirteen additional draft hits. That gives them 0:15:48.920 --> 0:15:51.880 a star percentage of just ninety and a hit percentage 0:15:51.880 --> 0:15:54.040 of three to twenty seven. It's tough out there. You 0:15:54.120 --> 0:15:56.280 go back to their twenty sixteen draft when they had 0:15:56.640 --> 0:15:59.920 just a million a million draft picks, fourteen of them. 0:16:00.400 --> 0:16:03.080 They had zero stars out of fourteen picks and four hits, 0:16:03.120 --> 0:16:04.440 and I was even being kind of kind on that 0:16:04.480 --> 0:16:06.880 probably could be more like three, but I digress. So 0:16:07.240 --> 0:16:09.800 their batting average is three twenty seven. The Texans going 0:16:09.840 --> 0:16:12.880 to AFC South now since twenty sixteen, and you look 0:16:12.880 --> 0:16:15.280 at after the tunnel trade, they did not do anything 0:16:15.320 --> 0:16:17.400 in the draft the last two years twenty twenty and 0:16:17.440 --> 0:16:19.280 twenty twenty one, which is the year before they trade 0:16:19.320 --> 0:16:21.560 Tons or after they trade Tunzel, and spent both first 0:16:21.640 --> 0:16:24.200 round picks to Miami. No stars out of that and 0:16:24.280 --> 0:16:27.120 just two hits and then four eight misses combined, so 0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:30.080 they had ten draft picks and had just two hits 0:16:30.120 --> 0:16:31.960 in two years. That's how you put yourself in position 0:16:31.960 --> 0:16:34.560 where the Texans are, where your roster is depleted and 0:16:34.600 --> 0:16:36.040 you have to go sign a bunch of one year 0:16:36.040 --> 0:16:38.920 stop gaps. It's tough living that way. But for the total, 0:16:38.960 --> 0:16:41.200 there one star over the course of six years. It 0:16:41.240 --> 0:16:42.960 was DeShawn Watson, who of course is no longer with 0:16:43.000 --> 0:16:44.800 the team and probably no longer a star. And then 0:16:44.840 --> 0:16:46.960 thirteen hits out of thirty eight. It's a star percentage 0:16:46.960 --> 0:16:51.080 of point oh two six. Compare that to Miami like 0:16:51.520 --> 0:16:54.240 it's not even close, and then hit percentage three sixty eight. 0:16:54.240 --> 0:16:57.840 The Colts since twenty sixteen four stars, and their last 0:16:57.880 --> 0:17:01.640 one was in twenty twenty. They've only had one since 0:17:01.680 --> 0:17:04.720 twenty eighteen. They did have Quentin Nelson and Shack Leonard 0:17:04.720 --> 0:17:07.080 in that year, though, but eighteen total hits. Their star 0:17:07.119 --> 0:17:09.520 percentage is point oh seven four, their hit percentage three 0:17:09.680 --> 0:17:12.320 thirty three. Another team that has not cleared Miami in 0:17:12.400 --> 0:17:15.600 the batting average Jacksonville. Back in twenty sixteen, they had 0:17:15.680 --> 0:17:18.359 three stars, but it has been downhill since then, only 0:17:18.440 --> 0:17:21.000 one star since it was in twenty twenty one. That's 0:17:21.040 --> 0:17:23.600 Trevor Lawrence. Of course, they have sixteen total hits, so 0:17:23.640 --> 0:17:26.199 a star percentage of point oh eighty seven and a 0:17:26.280 --> 0:17:29.639 four to thirty five hit percentage, so almost to Miami's 0:17:29.680 --> 0:17:31.439 cape level there, but a lot of that's been in 0:17:31.480 --> 0:17:33.600 recent years, which is why you're just now starting to 0:17:33.640 --> 0:17:40.000 see the Jaguars come to life. This exercise, I can 0:17:40.040 --> 0:17:43.040 look at two years of good drafting and typically in 0:17:43.080 --> 0:17:45.280 the third year that team's gonna be like a five 0:17:45.359 --> 0:17:48.360 hundred or better football team. It works across the board 0:17:48.359 --> 0:17:50.399 almost unanimously, except for the Chicago Bears, who will get 0:17:50.400 --> 0:17:52.760 to here in a minute. The Titans since twenty sixteen, 0:17:53.080 --> 0:17:55.200 three stars in that twenty nineteen class, and that includes 0:17:55.280 --> 0:17:57.480 David Long for the Miami Dolphins currently, but they have 0:17:57.600 --> 0:18:00.879 six total and fourteen additional hits, their star percentage one 0:18:00.960 --> 0:18:03.040 thirty nine, better than most teams, and a four to 0:18:03.080 --> 0:18:05.000