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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Monday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perolt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt and we are not fans of

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Speaker 2: John Rahm Today Man Alive, John Ram.

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Speaker 1: What happened? Everything was perfect the entire round.

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Speaker 2: Everything was going exactly how we thought it would go.

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Speaker 2: And then he blew up on sixteen seventeen and eighteen

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Speaker 2: in winds Up, shooting over seventy and a half and

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Speaker 2: effectively destroys the entire day for us because we get

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Speaker 2: the Royals team total under now we won plus one

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Speaker 2: twenty two, and that we won plus money. My math

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Speaker 2: is a little bit off here, Okay, so sorry about that.

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Speaker 2: It's not dramatic. It's down one point three five units

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Speaker 2: on the day, not one point five seven.

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Speaker 1: But John Rom killed the day.

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Speaker 2: Because if John Rom, if we don't lose that one

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Speaker 2: point one five and instead we win that one point

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Speaker 2: one five, we're good. Nora in over Vegas, Nope, he

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Speaker 2: blew up in a big way. That was the bad

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Speaker 2: bet of the day and it was also the most

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Speaker 2: expensive bet of the day, So that wasn't great. The

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Speaker 2: props went one in one on the Oksee Thunder. Big

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Speaker 2: win for them. You got those props on the betting

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Speaker 2: pros app by searching at sports Talk Matts put a

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Speaker 2: two and three day for us on that down one

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Speaker 2: point three five, not one point five seven, but one

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Speaker 2: point three five.

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Speaker 1: That did not kill the week.

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Speaker 2: We were up over four units on the week, So

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Speaker 2: another winning week for us. We have cooled off a

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Speaker 2: little bit here over the last couple of days, but

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Speaker 2: we were eight of nine for winners. Now we're nine

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Speaker 2: and eleven for winners for winning days, so still a

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Speaker 2: good time. Just a little bit of a hiccup, and

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Speaker 2: we hope to pick things back up here for us.

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Speaker 2: Still very much way up on the year, way up

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Speaker 2: on the month, way up since April the first. As

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Speaker 2: we head into the middle part of May, welcome to

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Speaker 2: the first day of twenty twenty five, where I'm only

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Speaker 2: betting baseball. Now, I would normally hesitate to do this,

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Speaker 2: and I normally would be really against doing this. But

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Speaker 2: the only reason why I am a little bit more

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Speaker 2: on the okay side for doing this is because of

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Speaker 2: the record that we have accumulated betting baseball. It's actually

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Speaker 2: been not horrible. We're thirteen and eight by last count.

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Speaker 2: I think we're better than that, up five units. I

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Speaker 2: think we're better than that. To be quite honest, I

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Speaker 2: don't think that's been updated as quickly as we would like.

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Speaker 2: So that's, you know, one of those situations where I

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Speaker 2: am gonna go, I'm okay.

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Speaker 1: With us pushing our luck here a little bit.

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Speaker 2: I'm okay with us having to make it a little

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Speaker 2: decision and say, okay, we need to be a little

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Speaker 2: bit more aggressive in baseball. And I got four bets

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Speaker 2: for us coming up here in Major League Baseball.

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Speaker 1: But before I give you the picks for today.

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Speaker 2: Let's have a conversation about our friends at fan Duel.

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Speaker 2: You guys, FanDuel wants to promote and boost your bets.

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Speaker 2: New Fandel customers can bet five dollars and win two

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Speaker 2: hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. If your first

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Speaker 2: bet hits, just head on over to bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 2: slash FanDuel to get started. That's Bettingpros dot com slash

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Speaker 2: FanDuel and make your plays on Fandel. If you like

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Speaker 2: to bet baseball, you can do that. Many of these

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Speaker 2: odds that I'm gonna use today are from the FanDuel Sportsbook,

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Speaker 2: So just FYI on that, and don't forget about the

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Speaker 2: fact that we've got the NBA Player Prop Contest, the

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Speaker 2: Betting Pros Player Prop Contest, It is still.

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Speaker 1: Going on right now. NBA Playoffs, it's live.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna pull that second round winner here this week

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Speaker 2: to give you that jersey signed by one mister Tony

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Speaker 2: Parker of these Hi Antonio Spurs. The grand prize will

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Speaker 2: be a signed Alan Iverson jersey to be given away

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Speaker 2: in June during the NBA Finals. But we've got the

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Speaker 2: Eastern Conference Finals Indiana and New York and the Western

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Speaker 2: Conference Finals, ok see in Minnesota.

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Speaker 1: We'll tell you later.

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Speaker 2: On this week for what the jersey's going to be

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Speaker 2: that will give away this week. But join us now

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Speaker 2: at Bettingpros dot com, slash Playoffs or on the Betting

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Speaker 2: Pros app. Okay, let's get into it, and let's start

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Speaker 2: with a bet a game that I've got two bets on.

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Speaker 2: And I don't normally do this, but did you know

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Speaker 2: that the Giants have won every single game that Robbie

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Speaker 2: Ray has pitched and started this season? Robby ray is

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Speaker 2: six and oh himself with a three point zero four ERA.

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Speaker 2: He has been tremendous. Robbie ray On at home this

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Speaker 2: year has a two point three to two ERA. He

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Speaker 2: is three and oh at home, opposing batting average of

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Speaker 2: two thirteen. He's given up just eight earned runs in

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Speaker 2: thirty one innings worth of work. He's been outstanding. And

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Speaker 2: you know who he is pitching against, the one and

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Speaker 2: only Casey Royals, who consistently are giving us this chance

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Speaker 2: to fade them on their team total. Now, they won

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Speaker 2: yesterday two to one, beating the Cardinals, but they scored

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Speaker 2: two runs. So the Royals, let's go back here after

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Speaker 2: they scored seven runs against the Astros. The Royals have

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Speaker 2: scored one, three, three zero in two five straight games

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Speaker 2: under three and a half or four and a half runs.

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Speaker 2: What are the books doing? Well, they're not gonna go

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Speaker 2: to three because they don't want to go to three.

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Speaker 2: So now they're getting juicy. Yesterday was plus one twenty two.

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Speaker 1: Not today.

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Speaker 2: Today, we're gonna jump in on minus money. We're gonna

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Speaker 2: lay juice minus one twenty five on the Royals team

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Speaker 2: total under three and a half runs. However, because this

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Speaker 2: is now the start of the road trip. And because

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Speaker 2: it's Robbie Ray and it's the Giants' money line, we're

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Speaker 2: gonna jump in and take the Giants to win this

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Speaker 2: game with Robbie Ray to stay undefeated and the team

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Speaker 2: stay undefeated in games pitched by Robbie Ray under three

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Speaker 2: and a half runs team total for the Royals combined

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Speaker 2: with the Giants.

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Speaker 1: To win the game.

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Speaker 2: Let's take a four to three win for the Giants,

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Speaker 2: and let's just call it a day with two wins

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Speaker 2: here for us on that so two games, two bets.

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Speaker 2: Don't normally do this, but Royals team total under three

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Speaker 2: and a half for Mys one fifteen, I say one

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Speaker 2: twenty five. Sorry, Mie one fifteen for one point one

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Speaker 2: five units Giants money line and Mis one eighteen for

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Speaker 2: one point one eight units. Now let's go to the

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Speaker 2: Pirates and you can throw together the parlay. Because, by

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Speaker 2: the way, the parlay that I told you to bet

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Speaker 2: again hit Diamondbacks Phillies. And what was the third leg?

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Speaker 2: I played the Tigers for plus money. I played Diamondbacks,

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Speaker 2: Phillies and Tigers that cashed for me yesterday at a

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Speaker 2: plus two fifty parlay. Oh, Diamondbacks against the against the Rockies, right,

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Speaker 2: and the Phillies against the Pirates, and then who else

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Speaker 2: did we bet against? I'm blanking and me it was

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Speaker 2: against the Royals. I can't remember. They won, so I

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Speaker 2: don't think that was the play. I forget who we

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Speaker 2: bet against because we had the Pirates losing, we had

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Speaker 2: the Rockies losing, and then on the third one, I

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Speaker 2: apologize my break, it's late, my brain's not working. But

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Speaker 2: you could do a parlay today if you want, Oh, Cubs,

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Speaker 2: that's right, Cubs against the White Sox and the Cubs won.

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Speaker 2: Cubs are at the Marlins, you can take that, Reds

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Speaker 2: are at the Pirates, you can take that.

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Speaker 1: You can take Mariners at the.

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Speaker 2: White Sox, although the White Sox at home or a

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Speaker 2: better team and on the road, and.

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Speaker 1: Then you can take the Phillies at the Rockies. That

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Speaker 1: four leg money line parlay.

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Speaker 2: You can go ahead and let me tell you what

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Speaker 2: that pays if you want to through a four leg

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Speaker 2: money line parlay.

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Speaker 1: A lot of these are road teams, though, so it's

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Speaker 1: a little actually all four of it.

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Speaker 2: It's a four team road parlay at plus four eighty five.

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Speaker 2: Philly's Mariners Cubs, Reds. I don't know, so you can

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Speaker 2: do that if you like. But what I'm doing is

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Speaker 2: read to money line. Why well, Nick Lodola is pitching,

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Speaker 2: he's due. I hate that right handicap. He's due, but

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Speaker 2: he's lost. Is the team has lost his last three starts.

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Speaker 2: It's not been his fault, it's been the bullpen's fault.

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Speaker 2: Nick Lodolo has gone five and a third three earned

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Speaker 2: runs against the White Sox, six innings, two earned runs

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Speaker 2: against Atlanta five and a third. He got crushed by Washington.

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Speaker 2: That was his fault. He got six runs, that was

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Speaker 2: his fault. Then he gave win seven innings, no earned

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Speaker 2: runs against the Rockies, five and two thirds, three earned

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Speaker 2: runs against the Marlins. They lost to the Marlins, the Nationals,

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Speaker 2: the Braves, and the White Sox. Only one of those

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Speaker 2: starts was bad. He's been really good. So you might go,

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Speaker 2: like Matt, Well, and what are you doing taking the Reds?

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Speaker 2: The Reds always lose. Well, here's the problem for the Pirates.

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Speaker 2: They're they're throwing Mitch Keller and Mitch Keller at home.

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Speaker 2: This year has been an absolute disaster. Five point three

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Speaker 2: three ERA. He's zero to three opposing batting average of

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Speaker 2: two I'm sorry, two seventy nine. He's walked ten people

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Speaker 2: at home, sixteen earned runs, thirty one hints in twenty

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Speaker 2: seven innings worth of work. That is absolutely awful. He's

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Speaker 2: one in five on the year overall with a four

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Speaker 2: point one five ERA, and they've lost six consecutive and

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Speaker 2: seven of eight starts made by Mitch Keller two to one,

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Speaker 2: five nothing, nine four eight four five four three nothing,

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Speaker 2: six straight. They won two to one in thirteen over

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Speaker 2: the Cardinals and then nine to four to the Yankees.

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Speaker 2: Now give me the Reds. It's a short price. We're

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Speaker 2: betting on the Reds on the money line. Here to

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Speaker 2: get a w Red's money lines Mice one twenty at

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Speaker 2: one point two units. Finally, Red Sox are hosting the Mets.

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Speaker 2: It's nineteen eighty six all over again. The Mets are

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Speaker 2: throwing their ace. Cody Senga is tremendous so far this year,

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Speaker 2: four and two with a one point zero two ERA.

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Speaker 1: It has been lights out.

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Speaker 2: Nineteen walks in forty four and a third innings worth

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Speaker 2: of work is thirty three HiT's only one home run

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Speaker 2: given up for Senga. However, call it a spidy sense,

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Speaker 2: call it whatever you want. The Red Sox are red

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Speaker 2: hot right now in terms of hitting the baseball. They

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Speaker 2: only scored four runs yesterday against the Braves, but they

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Speaker 2: should have scored more. Devors hit a grand slam. That's

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Speaker 2: only scored four. They should have had more. But the

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Speaker 2: bull pilm was okay for the Braves, and the Red

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Speaker 2: Sox just didn't get any timely hits, but they hit

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Speaker 2: a grand slam yesterday. Raphael Devers is nuclear at the moment.

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Speaker 2: Senga on the road. It has a one point five

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Speaker 2: ERA two to one record twenty four innings worth of work,

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Speaker 2: opposing matting average of one eighty three, fifteen hits only

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Speaker 2: in twenty four innings.

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Speaker 1: He's been great, okay, so no debating this.

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Speaker 2: He's won his last two starts two to one, seven

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Speaker 2: to one, lost the d Backs four to two in

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Speaker 2: Washington five to four, and then three straight games he

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Speaker 2: had with shutouts. He had been tremendous. Eight nothing, two nothing.

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Speaker 2: He'd been great. The Red Sox, on the other hand,

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Speaker 2: are throwing a rookie and this kid's been up and down.

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Speaker 2: Hunter Dobbins has been kind of up and down. He's

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Speaker 2: twenty five years old, going triple A into the Red Sox.

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Speaker 2: Three straight games he has pitched, the Red Sox have

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Speaker 2: lost six five, two, one, four to three, but his

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Speaker 2: first two starts were ten to three and eighteen to seven,

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Speaker 2: both overs, So he's three and two to the over

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Speaker 2: so far this season. In games that he has started,

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Speaker 2: he gave up five earned runs to Detroit and his

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Speaker 2: last start on the road. In his last home start,

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Speaker 2: he gave up four earned runs to Minnesota.

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Speaker 1: Here's the thing. The Red Sox.

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Speaker 2: Score over four runs a game at or over five

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Speaker 2: runs a game at home, and the Mets score over

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Speaker 2: five runs a game or over over four runs.

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Speaker 1: A game on the road.

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Speaker 2: This season, the Mets four point eight that's top ten

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Speaker 2: in Major League Baseball for runs scored on.

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Speaker 1: The road this year.

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Speaker 2: So if they get their average of five runs and

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Speaker 2: the Red Sox get their average of five point two

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Speaker 2: to two or five runs, we're going over nine. Okay,

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Speaker 2: we're going over nine here and again it's senga and

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Speaker 2: it's slightly juiced to the over. You might go, well,

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Speaker 2: it might need to be all the Mets. Well, the

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Speaker 2: Braves just scored ten by themselves yesterday. Red Sox are

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Speaker 2: at home. Red Sox should score four to five runs.

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Speaker 2: How many will the Mets score? Six or seven? I

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Speaker 2: think that's probably pretty good in particular against the Red

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Speaker 2: Sox bullpen.

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Speaker 1: The Mets do not.

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Speaker 2: Strike out, and the Mets hit the ball and they score.

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Speaker 2: The Mets are a really good team this year, and

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Speaker 2: they're a really good road team as well. So this

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Speaker 2: is where from an offensive standpoint, I think you just

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Speaker 2: have to take a look at what's going on. They

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Speaker 2: lost eight to two yesterday to the Yankees. You know,

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Speaker 2: the Mets aren't going to be happy about that. They're

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Speaker 2: going to be frustrated about losing that game. They're now

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Speaker 2: twelve and thirteen on the road this year. Red Sox

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Speaker 2: have been better at home, as most teams are. They're

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Speaker 2: twelve and eleven at home, twenty three and twenty five

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Speaker 2: overall in the year. Red Sox have got to get

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Speaker 2: going here. They've now lost five of six games. No

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Speaker 2: good there for the Red Sox. But I'm going to

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Speaker 2: bet the over nine for the Red Sox and the

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Speaker 2: Mets at minus one twenty. All right, so plays for

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Speaker 2: today Royals team total, rinse and repeat, Bett, keep it

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Speaker 2: going under three and a half team total for the

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Speaker 2: Royals at MICE one fifteen, Giants money line at mice

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Speaker 2: won eighteen for one point one eight units, Red's money

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Speaker 2: line at minus one twenty for one point two units,

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Speaker 2: and the Red Sox and the Mets over mis over

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Speaker 2: nine at MIS one ten for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: Two winning weeks in the month of May.

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Speaker 2: We start the third week of.

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Speaker 1: May, and let's keep it rolling.

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Speaker 2: Let's get another one here. Going started off right on

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Speaker 2: a Monday. Mine's Matt Parol. Do you guys playing me

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Speaker 2: goss on my socials at Sports Talk Matt every single

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Speaker 2: morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice