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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Sunday? Welcome in

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Speaker 1: to another episode of the Daily Juice Podcast with me

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Speaker 1: Matt Pereltz at Sports Talk Matt to follow me across

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Speaker 1: all socials in this podcast being brought to you by

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Speaker 1: two and one night on yesterday's pod, But a two

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Speaker 1: and two day overall my school UMass did not show up. Interceptions, fumbles,

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Speaker 1: mistakes all over the place, and that was tough scored

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Speaker 1: in their first drive. It was seven to seven, and

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Speaker 1: then all hell broke loose and they got killed, so

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Speaker 1: that did not come in. Unfortunately, we did not get

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Speaker 1: the UMAs game right, and then we didn't get the

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Speaker 1: over in the UNC and the South Carolina game. I

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Speaker 1: bet North Carolina. My as two and a half talked

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Speaker 1: about that last night. I should have just taken just

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Speaker 1: giving you the side, not the total in the game.

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Speaker 1: But we got it wrong. So two and two there

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Speaker 1: on the day, down point two units. So with that said,

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Speaker 1: we go into Sunday now up two point eight units

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Speaker 1: on the week. I've got three bets on all three

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Speaker 1: college football games. I don't know what baseball is. I

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Speaker 1: told you we're not betting baseball until Tuesday, so just

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Speaker 1: heads up on that, FYI. That's what we're doing here,

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Speaker 1: three games, three bets, all in college football. Our first

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Speaker 1: football Sunday, even though it's not pro football, a first

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Speaker 1: football Sunday of the twenty twenty three football season. Before

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Speaker 1: I give you the picks for today, reminder on what

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Speaker 1: bet placement. So it's important to remind yourself seventy two

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Speaker 1: hours from Sunday, so really do this by Wednesday. Don't

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Speaker 1: cut it that close. Okay, Monday Tuesday? When do it? Now?

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Speaker 1: Do it today if you want to take advantage of this.

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Speaker 1: on YouTube TV. Also, we're at one hundred and sixty

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Speaker 1: that one. All right, let's start with the first game

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Speaker 1: of the day and that is Rutgers and Northwestern. Yuck.

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Speaker 1: That's the keyword for this game. Yuck. Northwestern had to

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Speaker 1: fire their coach due to a hazing scandal, and Pat

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Speaker 1: Fitzgerald is gone. Rutgers is back with an offense that

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Speaker 1: can't do anything but a defense that's very, very good.

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Speaker 1: You look at the way these teams last year, points

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Speaker 1: per game for Northwestern twelve point eight points per game

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Speaker 1: for Rutgers thirteen. Yes, there are some new faces, Yes,

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Speaker 1: transfer portals can give you more weapons, but defensively, well,

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Speaker 1: they're hard to score on. Points given up last year,

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Speaker 1: not easy to score on either one of these teams,

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Speaker 1: and opposing points per game they give up twenty eight

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Speaker 1: for Northwestern thirty one for Rutgers. If you want to

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Speaker 1: bet this game and bet a side, I think betting

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Speaker 1: on Rutgers at home lank six and a half is

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Speaker 1: not a horrible way of doing it. But at home

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Speaker 1: last year Rutgers they were four and two to the over.

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Speaker 1: On the road Northwestern they were three and three to

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Speaker 1: the under. But I don't think either team's offense is

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Speaker 1: going to do anything this game. And I also think

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Speaker 1: this is a game where the running clock is going

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Speaker 1: to have a really big impact. We talked about this

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Speaker 1: a couple of podcasts ago as to what this clock

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Speaker 1: is going to look like. Unders have been prevailing, I

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Speaker 1: mean not overwhelmingly, but they have been prevailing when teams

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Speaker 1: want to run the football. However, the under is going

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Speaker 1: to be a very live bet. The total was thirty

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Speaker 1: nine and a half it was forty and a half.

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Speaker 1: Now it was thirty nine and a half. The score

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Speaker 1: at Knights defense, they're very good. They're returning most of

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Speaker 1: their front seven. They could have one of the best

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Speaker 1: defenses in the entire Big Ten. They're gonna be hard

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Speaker 1: to score on. And Greg Ciano is a defensive guy. Okay. Northwestern, well,

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Speaker 1: they have turmoil all over the place. They've got issues,

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Speaker 1: massive distractions, everything going on, and I just don't think

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Speaker 1: that they're going to be able to do much. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this is one of the worst offenses in the entire

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Speaker 1: Big Ten for Northwestern going up against this defense for Rutgers.

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Speaker 1: Now Rutgers is offense on the other side, equally not

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Speaker 1: very good. They've got a pretty good defense. It's not great,

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Speaker 1: It's okay. It might be good enough though, with a

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Speaker 1: run heavy offense for Rutgers, with this running clock to

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Speaker 1: keep this game until like a seventeen to ten type

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Speaker 1: of final. Look, this is not going to be a

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Speaker 1: fun game to watch. This is a bet and forget it. Okay,

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Speaker 1: just bet the under and then look up and say

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Speaker 1: do we win or not? Because watching this game is

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Speaker 1: going to be difficult. I will not be watching this game.

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Speaker 1: I can tell you right now, I got stuff that

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Speaker 1: you do during the day, not do not watching this game.

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna bet it. Northwestern Rutgers under thirty nine

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Speaker 1: and a half for one point one units. Bet number two.

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Speaker 1: Oregon State at San Jose State. The line is sixteen

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Speaker 1: and a half for Oregon State. Dju from Clemson is

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Speaker 1: the starting quarterback for Oregon. Everyone's jumping up and down Oregon, Oregon, Oregon,

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Speaker 1: Oregon State. Rather, here's another point. Oregon State's an unbelievable

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Speaker 1: running offense. Dju is a running quarterback. He can't pass

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Speaker 1: all that well, as we know from his Clemson days.

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Speaker 1: They don't want him to throw all that much. To

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Speaker 1: be quite honest, this game has the potential to be

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Speaker 1: a shootout because I don't like the defense for San

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Speaker 1: Jose State, and I don't know much about Oregon State's

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Speaker 1: defense enough that I think they'll give up points watching

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Speaker 1: them last year. This is their first game San Jose

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Speaker 1: State played on the road at USC. They were only

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Speaker 1: down seven at half to d US, and they covered

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Speaker 1: the thirty one point number they covered on the road

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Speaker 1: against USC. They also scored a lot on USC, which

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Speaker 1: was pretty impressive. Here. I think there's enough weapons here

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Speaker 1: for San Jose State with a game under their belt

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Speaker 1: to keep it close at home. Now, how close number

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Speaker 1: sixteen and a half? You find a seventeen out there

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Speaker 1: be all over that number. That's a great number to grab.

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Speaker 1: I got sixteen and a half on this. But San

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Speaker 1: Jose State scoring twenty eight points against the Trojans, who's

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Speaker 1: arguably their defense isn't great. But no one's defense in

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Speaker 1: the back twelve is great. The Pac twelve is it's

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Speaker 1: all offense, no defense, right. I think you have an

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Speaker 1: offense that has weapons, an offense that can move the football,

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Speaker 1: an offense that can score, and a defense that can

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Speaker 1: slow down DJU enough. I don't think they win the

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Speaker 1: football game, okay, But I also think that this team,

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Speaker 1: the Spartans, they've got a lot of they got a

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Speaker 1: chip on their shoulder. They've been pretty good over the

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Speaker 1: last couple of years. They're a well coached team, decent quarterback.

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Speaker 1: Oregon State has not been good against the number on

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Speaker 1: the road. Santase's State has been pretty good against the

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Speaker 1: number at home when they're dogs. It's PAC twelve school

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Speaker 1: going in our home opener, San Jose State I'll take

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Speaker 1: the home dog plus sixteen and a half. Give me

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Speaker 1: the Spartans at plus sixteen and a half at home

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Speaker 1: up against Oregon State, and you want to sprinkle on

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Speaker 1: the money line. I don't mind that at all. To

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Speaker 1: sprinkle on the money line here. Most often, when you

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Speaker 1: bet the dog, you gotta think can the dog win

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Speaker 1: the game? Yeah? I think they could potentially could be

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Speaker 1: in the game late, at least with a chance to

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Speaker 1: maybe upset Oregon State. I think sixteen and a half

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Speaker 1: is too many points. San Jose State plus sixteen and

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Speaker 1: a half for one point one units. Now, third bet

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Speaker 1: got to explain this, all right. Part of the handicap

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Speaker 1: on LSU to go over nine and a half wins, okay,

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Speaker 1: for them to win ten games is for LSU to

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Speaker 1: win this game. Okay, I think LSU loses to Alabama.

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Speaker 1: I think they probably get tripped up by somebody else. Okay,

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Speaker 1: they can lose this game and lose to Alabama and

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Speaker 1: then beat everyone else and go ten and two and

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Speaker 1: we go over. But I'm not positive LSU beats Florida State.

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Speaker 1: So if you have bet the LSU over nine and

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Speaker 1: a half wins, I'm not saying I'm hedging here, but

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Speaker 1: I'm hedging. Okay, I'm gonna take Florida State plus two.

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Speaker 1: There's a chance that if LSU wins the game by one,

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Speaker 1: we could win them both. We could have an LSU win.

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Speaker 1: That's great forest you get Florida State plus the points better.

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Speaker 1: But I think there's a good shot that the number

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Speaker 1: doesn't matter either LSU wins and covers or Florida State

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Speaker 1: wins the game outright, So you don't really need to

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Speaker 1: play around with the points. You can if you want to.

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Speaker 1: It's plus one ten Florida State on the money line

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Speaker 1: or minus one ten plus two, so it's only a

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Speaker 1: twenty cents difference. But maybe that matters to you on this.

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Speaker 1: Just take the two points in case you know you

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Speaker 1: need them. You might, I don't think you're going to personally,

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Speaker 1: but this is a battle of whose quarterback is a

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Speaker 1: real Heisman Trophy contender. Is this offense for LSU going

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Speaker 1: to do enough to put up big numbers to allow

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Speaker 1: an actual Heisman Trophy candidacy to come out of this game?

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Speaker 1: Because I think the winner of this, Jayden Daniels, if

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Speaker 1: he beats Florida State, that's huge for him. I think

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Speaker 1: he'll obviously pick up a lot of momentum and a

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Speaker 1: lot of eyeballs if they beat Florida State top ten team.

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Speaker 1: But I also think that Jordan Travis could have the

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Speaker 1: same exact thing. Jordan Travis beats Jayden Daniels, He's got

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Speaker 1: that head to head up against him, and he's going

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Speaker 1: to go, look what I just did, opener. This is

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Speaker 1: a coin flip game. Okay, straight up, this is a

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Speaker 1: coin flip game. So I don't have a strong read

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Speaker 1: on it. I don't have a strong read. I think

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Speaker 1: the over could be in play. I think there could

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Speaker 1: be a live bet opportunity to bet the over, so

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Speaker 1: I don't mind say, okay, what about the total in

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Speaker 1: over bet is not bad to make. I'll be betting

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Speaker 1: that bit live, probably a total bet live and during

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Speaker 1: this game. But because I've got the LSU future, I'm

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Speaker 1: going to bet Florida State at plus two. If you

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Speaker 1: don't want to follow this, if you want to face this,

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Speaker 1: if you don't like this idea, that's fine. I have

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Speaker 1: no problem with that. I understand it. But if LSU

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Speaker 1: wins this game, if I'm wrong, LSU wins this game,

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Speaker 1: I feel really good about LSU cashing that ticket. For

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Speaker 1: LSU to win, to win more than nine and a

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Speaker 1: half games, they'll open up one to oh. I still

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Speaker 1: think they lose to Alabama, but they may go eleven

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Speaker 1: and one and go over that nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take Florida State here. Remember I bet

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Speaker 1: my futures for more than one unit, even though I

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Speaker 1: do discount it for one unit. I don't like recommending

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Speaker 1: more than one unit on any plays. It's always a

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Speaker 1: one unit bet, but as sort of a protection hedge

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Speaker 1: if you will on the LSU future, I'm gonna take

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Speaker 1: Florida State Florida State plus two tonight up against LSU.

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Speaker 1: You may hate the idea, you may hate the strategy.

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Speaker 1: That's fine. You don't have to follow this if you want.

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Speaker 1: I'm just telling you what I am betting. All right,

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Speaker 1: we are up two point eight units. As long as

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Speaker 1: we get one bet right, it'll be a winning week.

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Speaker 1: If you go zero and three, it's a losing week.

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Speaker 1: In two, it's a winning week. Two and one obviously

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Speaker 1: a winning day and a winning week for us here.

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Speaker 1: So just need to hit one of these today to

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Speaker 1: get a winning week, have another winning week. I gotta

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Speaker 1: start counting. The last losing week we had I think

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Speaker 1: was three weeks ago or four weeks ago. So we've

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Speaker 1: been on a pretty good run here two and one,

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Speaker 1: two and one, two and one on the podcast the

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Speaker 1: last three days. Let's see if we can end the

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Speaker 1: week with another two and one mark here heading towards Monday,

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Speaker 1: and there'll be another college football beat coming up tomorrow.

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Speaker 1: We'll see how we'll do it under thirty nine and

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Speaker 1: a half, Rutgers in northwestern San Jose stayed at home

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Speaker 1: at plus sixteen and a half and Florida State plus

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Speaker 1: two to one point one units. Bet down on all

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Speaker 1: three of those bets three point three units down on

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Speaker 1: the day on a Sunday, talk to you guys in

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel, Bettingpros dot com slash Chat to join

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Speaker 1: that and this podcast, the Daily Juice podcast every single morning.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me on socials at Sports Talk

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Speaker 1: Matt or on the Discord channel as well. The Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot Com.