WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2021 Week 10 NFL Guessing Lines Show with Chris Andrews 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:12.240 Check it down, man now, down now, and I'm just 0:00:12.360 --> 0:00:15.440 called the scoring all. This is a numbers game with 0:00:15.560 --> 0:00:22.000 Gill Alexander. It is a numbers game. Good Monday morning 0:00:22.040 --> 0:00:26.320 to you, Gil Alexander. Week ten Guessing Lines in the 0:00:26.440 --> 0:00:29.720 National Football League. It's Gill Alexander, of course, the start 0:00:29.720 --> 0:00:31.880 of the show each and every Monday. Here Christie andrews 0:00:31.880 --> 0:00:33.879 my Mitch book from behind the desk gear at the 0:00:33.880 --> 0:00:36.760 South Point Hotel Casino. Jeff Parlay is here as well. 0:00:36.920 --> 0:00:40.160 If you're new to the Monday edition of a Numbers Game. 0:00:40.479 --> 0:00:43.160 Guessing Lines is a tribute, a nod to the old 0:00:43.159 --> 0:00:46.000 Stardust radio show of the same ilk from back in 0:00:46.040 --> 0:00:49.080 the day, and nod to old Vegas where the exercises 0:00:49.400 --> 0:00:51.760 that I'm in a cocoon. I hear the matchups, and 0:00:51.800 --> 0:00:53.360 I come up with a line, and Christie tells me 0:00:53.400 --> 0:00:56.000 what he is going to post, and within that exercise 0:00:56.240 --> 0:00:58.840 we try to extract some firsthand value. It's the upcoming 0:00:58.880 --> 0:01:02.960 week's line, and of course what we do while doing 0:01:03.000 --> 0:01:06.080 that is look back at everything that happened yesterday and Chris, 0:01:06.200 --> 0:01:09.720 first of all, good morning to you, Good morning, Good morning, Jeff. 0:01:09.760 --> 0:01:11.640 We came in you came in the studio and Jeff, 0:01:11.760 --> 0:01:13.680 Jeff says, is that one of your top three days 0:01:13.680 --> 0:01:16.039 of all time? And I said, how about top one? 0:01:16.440 --> 0:01:21.200 And you said top one, best day you've ever had ever? Well, 0:01:21.240 --> 0:01:24.440 here at the south point, here at the south point. Well, 0:01:24.560 --> 0:01:27.800 good for you, Well, thank you, thank you for me. 0:01:28.400 --> 0:01:34.600 Rud will split it. How's that sound? I will begin 0:01:34.680 --> 0:01:36.560 the show as I do always. Ladies and gentlemen, you 0:01:36.560 --> 0:01:43.680 can hit the survivor record scratch sounder. This is what happened. Yeah, 0:01:43.800 --> 0:01:47.840 it's the enemy. I did not survive the carnage. Who 0:01:48.280 --> 0:01:50.640 thank you for that as well as luck would have it. 0:01:50.680 --> 0:01:54.360 I was also on Jacksonville radio this morning, which was 0:01:54.400 --> 0:01:58.040 just even crueler than anything. I had the bills yesterday. 0:01:58.520 --> 0:02:01.520 Um it in the end, the bills, and we'll get 0:02:01.560 --> 0:02:06.920 to the bills just looked horrible, just horrible against the 0:02:06.960 --> 0:02:10.280 Jacksonville Jaguars. Um. But my whole, my whole calculus on 0:02:10.360 --> 0:02:14.400 this was I didn't trust the Saints, probably correctly, so 0:02:14.880 --> 0:02:16.800 I was never going to take Dallas. I had already 0:02:16.840 --> 0:02:20.160 used Indian casey. I didn't trust Baltimore, and even though 0:02:20.200 --> 0:02:22.640 that got home, I think I was right not to 0:02:22.680 --> 0:02:25.320 trust that very lucky to get home. And so my 0:02:25.400 --> 0:02:27.240 whole thing was, you know what, I'm using one of 0:02:27.280 --> 0:02:30.120 my two Thanksgiving plays. I'm using the Bills because I 0:02:30.160 --> 0:02:32.920 still have Dallas ready to go. Then I don't trust 0:02:32.960 --> 0:02:35.800 the Bills. I think the Bills are really fraudulent team. 0:02:35.960 --> 0:02:38.680 They haven't beaten anybody, So I'm gonna use them against Jacksonville. 0:02:38.720 --> 0:02:40.640 I'm gonna get away with that one because they're still 0:02:40.800 --> 0:02:43.079 they can bully up on Jacksonville. And then we'll talk 0:02:43.120 --> 0:02:48.600 next week. Nope, let me last thing about this. Let 0:02:48.600 --> 0:02:51.360 me just rank what is so dist what is so 0:02:51.480 --> 0:02:54.160 distraught and what makes you so distraught about losing a survivor. 0:02:55.320 --> 0:02:57.880 A distant third is that you lost your money that 0:02:57.919 --> 0:03:00.640 you paid before they say, you don't even care about that. Second, 0:03:00.800 --> 0:03:02.600 the money you could have one or you thought you 0:03:02.639 --> 0:03:05.360 might be a participant in splitting at the end of 0:03:05.360 --> 0:03:07.480 the season. That's number two. But you know the number 0:03:07.520 --> 0:03:10.359 one thing is that you just don't get to play 0:03:10.400 --> 0:03:13.640 it anymore. It's so much fun from a week to 0:03:13.680 --> 0:03:18.240 sirt basis. And anyway, those are survivor entries eliminated. Uh 0:03:18.360 --> 0:03:20.640 two forty nine were on the Bills. A hundred twenty 0:03:20.680 --> 0:03:23.160 two were on the Saints, A hundred eleven on the Cowboys. 0:03:23.360 --> 0:03:26.240 This was the remaining eleven hundred plus in circa and 0:03:26.280 --> 0:03:28.799 then some straight Rams, Raiders, Niners, and Bengals. We'll see 0:03:28.800 --> 0:03:30.680 about the Steelers tonight. That was the other team I 0:03:30.720 --> 0:03:33.520 didn't trust. So the Steelers lose tonight that I have 0:03:33.600 --> 0:03:37.280 no regrets whatsoever. Yeah, well, you know, we talked a 0:03:37.280 --> 0:03:39.120 little bit about it before the show, so I'm not 0:03:39.120 --> 0:03:42.440 supposed to talk anymore. It was it was carnage for 0:03:42.520 --> 0:03:44.840 us to let's just put it. Okay, we'll leave it 0:03:44.880 --> 0:03:48.960 at that. What's number one, Jeffrey, Good morning, guys, Good morning, 0:03:49.240 --> 0:03:54.640 Thursday night. Baltimore a Miami, Yes, Baltimore, Miami Thursday Night. 0:03:54.840 --> 0:03:57.920 So Baltimore is a potential I would imagine survivor pick 0:03:57.960 --> 0:04:01.000 for those moving on who still have them. Baltimore comes 0:04:01.080 --> 0:04:04.080 from way behind to beat Minnesota. They were down twenty 0:04:04.120 --> 0:04:07.280 four to ten. Baltimore was to Minnesota early in the 0:04:07.320 --> 0:04:10.120 third quarter, and we'll get to Minnesota layer good God. 0:04:11.040 --> 0:04:14.160 Three straight touchdown drives from the Ravens the middle, one 0:04:14.160 --> 0:04:16.440 of which the second of those three was in eighteen play, 0:04:16.520 --> 0:04:20.520 eighty two yard ten minutes and seventeen second drive and 0:04:20.520 --> 0:04:22.400 they outscored him. From being down twenty four to ten, 0:04:22.440 --> 0:04:25.200 they outscored the Vikings to seven the rest of the way. 0:04:25.400 --> 0:04:28.560 Baltimore uh fourth and two at their own thirty six, 0:04:28.600 --> 0:04:31.320 down twenty four to ten with twelve thirty nine left 0:04:31.320 --> 0:04:34.279 in the third quarter, they convert eventually leads to a 0:04:34.320 --> 0:04:36.160 fourth and goal at the one in a touchdown pass 0:04:36.320 --> 0:04:39.919 to make it twenty four to seventeen. Subsequent drive, fourth 0:04:39.960 --> 0:04:42.960 and one at their own twenty seven, this time down 0:04:43.520 --> 0:04:45.920 to seventeen to nineteen left in the third quarter, they 0:04:45.960 --> 0:04:50.640 go for it, sneak convert that leads to score. That 0:04:50.720 --> 0:04:53.599 was the ten seventeen drive, the longest touchdown drive since 0:04:53.600 --> 0:04:57.800 two thousand for that franchise. That's what it took. They 0:04:57.880 --> 0:04:59.840 just kept going for fourth and short in their own 0:04:59.839 --> 0:05:02.200 t ratory. They didn't care. They got it done and 0:05:02.240 --> 0:05:06.320 they win. Lamar forty one for two sixty six, three touchdowns, 0:05:06.360 --> 0:05:08.919 two picks, sack three times, twenty one carries for a 0:05:09.000 --> 0:05:12.000 hundred twenty yards, so three touchdown passes in a hundred 0:05:12.000 --> 0:05:14.719 twenty yards on the ground. He's twelve and oh straight 0:05:14.800 --> 0:05:16.960 up all time versus the NFC. Make of that what 0:05:17.120 --> 0:05:20.560 you will Marky's Hollywood Brown nine of nine catches for 0:05:20.640 --> 0:05:24.560 one sixteen. The Ravens out first down to the Vikings 0:05:24.640 --> 0:05:30.560 thirty six to thirteen. Wow, good god, five hundred total yards. 0:05:30.600 --> 0:05:33.440 They out gained the Vikings five hundred three eighteen and 0:05:33.440 --> 0:05:35.919 the and the Ravens were minus two in turnovers and 0:05:35.960 --> 0:05:38.680 still won this game. They had a forty six oh 0:05:38.720 --> 0:05:41.320 four to twenty three forty in time of possession. Remember 0:05:41.360 --> 0:05:44.279 went to overtime, and so that's the Ravens coming back 0:05:44.320 --> 0:05:47.240 their six and two Yet again, seems you look up 0:05:47.240 --> 0:05:48.880 every year after eight games and they're six and two. 0:05:49.120 --> 0:05:52.479 Miami beats Houston in the Battle of one and Seven's 0:05:52.760 --> 0:05:54.719 was the only it's only the second game in NFL 0:05:54.760 --> 0:05:57.680 history between two one and seven teams. They snapped their 0:05:57.720 --> 0:06:00.560 seven game losing streak to announced for the game, Like, 0:06:00.600 --> 0:06:02.920 how do they keep this under wraps all week? We 0:06:03.600 --> 0:06:05.920 don't know. It's like, oh, it's gonna be Jacoby percent. 0:06:05.960 --> 0:06:07.720 And I'm thinking all those people had the Dolphins. By 0:06:07.720 --> 0:06:09.400 the way, as soon as they announced Rod Taylor was 0:06:09.440 --> 0:06:12.400 playing Friday, the Dolphins were out for me too. So 0:06:12.400 --> 0:06:14.320 they get Jacoby percent on top of it and they 0:06:14.320 --> 0:06:17.520 win snapped their seven game losing streak. Uh, there's four 0:06:17.560 --> 0:06:21.360 takeaways and five The Dolphins had four takeaways and five sacks, 0:06:21.640 --> 0:06:26.120 zero touchdowns allowed forty four one touchdown, two pick, sack 0:06:26.200 --> 0:06:28.520 four times. Waddle was as big as target eight for 0:06:28.640 --> 0:06:32.080 eighty three, but they were out gained by Texas excuse 0:06:32.080 --> 0:06:34.560 by the by Houston to seventy two to two sixty two. 0:06:34.600 --> 0:06:37.640 Dolphins only had forty seven yards rushing the Hall's Houston 0:06:37.680 --> 0:06:41.400 to only fourteen first downs, had five turnovers to Houston's 0:06:41.400 --> 0:06:43.960 four toners. Maagin had five turnovers. You want a football game? 0:06:44.520 --> 0:06:46.440 Nine total sacks in this game too? This was This 0:06:46.440 --> 0:06:48.640 game was a picasso. There's no other way to say it. 0:06:48.880 --> 0:06:52.080 Dolphins seventeen, Texans nine. I'll say Baltimore minus seven and 0:06:52.080 --> 0:06:55.520 a half on the road Thursday night. Uh, you're you're 0:06:55.560 --> 0:06:59.120 pretty much right on It's well, it's mostly seven. I 0:06:59.200 --> 0:07:01.240 see seven with little juice on the favorite. I see 0:07:01.279 --> 0:07:03.800 a seven flat see seven a half juice on the dog. 0:07:04.960 --> 0:07:07.200 My numbers are way higher than this. I gotta tell you, 0:07:07.279 --> 0:07:10.920 I think Miami is just horrible. I mentioned it last week. 0:07:11.240 --> 0:07:14.480 I think when you have one veteran team going against 0:07:15.440 --> 0:07:17.920 a non veteran team. I give the veteran team a 0:07:18.000 --> 0:07:21.560 much bigger edge in these Thursday night games. I mean, 0:07:21.600 --> 0:07:23.560 I had this thing double digits. You know, I think 0:07:23.640 --> 0:07:26.560 Miami is just horrible. They beat a horrible, horrible team 0:07:26.600 --> 0:07:29.560 yesterday and looked horrible in doing it. And like you said, 0:07:29.560 --> 0:07:32.280 the Ravens here they are six and two once again. 0:07:33.520 --> 0:07:35.239 But you know, you look back at the Ravens, they 0:07:35.280 --> 0:07:39.080 have not been unimpressive. I mean they keep winning games. 0:07:39.120 --> 0:07:42.600 You know, somewhere psychologically we we we have not been 0:07:42.600 --> 0:07:44.480 impressed with them. But I think you look back, they're 0:07:44.520 --> 0:07:47.720 they're pretty, They're they're they're a legit team. Anyway, I'm 0:07:47.720 --> 0:07:50.240 gonna open seven and a half flat. You want to 0:07:50.240 --> 0:07:51.880 come in and take that seven and a half, folks, 0:07:52.000 --> 0:07:54.000 lay eleven and ten, which you can't do anywhere else 0:07:54.000 --> 0:07:56.320 in the world at this point time. Be my guest, 0:07:56.400 --> 0:07:58.480 it's gonna be available for you right here at the 0:07:58.520 --> 0:08:01.360 South seven and a half, right on the money. All right, 0:08:01.400 --> 0:08:07.000 what's the first Sunday morning, Jeff Jacksonville in Indianapolis? Do 0:08:07.040 --> 0:08:10.360 we have to already? So Indianapolis coming off the extra rest, 0:08:10.360 --> 0:08:13.440 Remember they beat the Jets on Thursday night almost the 0:08:13.480 --> 0:08:15.920 greatest backdoor cover in the history of mankind from the Jets. 0:08:15.920 --> 0:08:19.440 Not quite Wentz thirty two seventy two, three touchdown though 0:08:19.480 --> 0:08:23.040 picksack once Taylor nineteen for one seventy two, two touchdowns 0:08:23.080 --> 0:08:25.360 on the ground, hinds six or seventy four on the 0:08:25.360 --> 0:08:28.680 ground with the touchdown. Pittman Junior five catches sixty four 0:08:29.240 --> 0:08:31.800 yards for and and a touchdown. They had five hundred 0:08:31.840 --> 0:08:33.800 thirty two yards in that game against the Jets, but 0:08:33.840 --> 0:08:36.400 they gave up four eighty six. But two hundred sixty 0:08:36.480 --> 0:08:39.000 rushing yards was the difference. They were plus two in turnovers. Okay, 0:08:39.080 --> 0:08:42.000 Jacksonville yesterday, talk about teams. You said Dolphins look bad 0:08:42.000 --> 0:08:45.920 in victory. Jacksonville beats the Bills nine to six, and 0:08:45.920 --> 0:08:48.520 and it's like, Okay, I don't know if this says 0:08:48.559 --> 0:08:51.559 anything about Jacksonville, but it sure says a lot about 0:08:51.559 --> 0:08:56.680 the Bills. Who looks so soft yesterday? Trevor Lawrence fifteen 0:08:56.720 --> 0:09:02.239 of twenty six for one eighteen one eighteen chrissy, no touchdowns, 0:09:02.240 --> 0:09:04.400 no picks, He was sacked twice. He had a four 0:09:04.440 --> 0:09:07.720 point five four yards per attempt in the win. That's 0:09:07.760 --> 0:09:10.840 the second lowest such figure this season for a starting 0:09:10.920 --> 0:09:14.720 quarterback in victory. The worst of those numbers starting quarterback 0:09:14.720 --> 0:09:17.319 in victories coming later on the show. So four point 0:09:17.320 --> 0:09:19.520 five for yards for attempt for Lawrence and victory. The 0:09:19.600 --> 0:09:22.719 Jacksonville Jaguars only had sixteen first downs. They only had 0:09:22.720 --> 0:09:25.520 two hundred and eighteen total yards were out Game three 0:09:25.600 --> 0:09:28.000 wanted to eighteen, but they were plus two in turnovers. 0:09:28.240 --> 0:09:30.120 They took the ball away three times. They had an 0:09:30.200 --> 0:09:33.080 NFL low two takeaways in their first seven games of 0:09:33.080 --> 0:09:36.720 the season. Now, there was a couple of things on 0:09:36.760 --> 0:09:38.120 this This is the first of all, was my first 0:09:38.200 --> 0:09:40.280 road Survivor pick of the year of the year two. 0:09:40.559 --> 0:09:41.959 There was a couple of things right with the right 0:09:42.000 --> 0:09:45.439 tackle of the Jaguars probably false starts every single play 0:09:45.640 --> 0:09:50.640 and they never call it. But oh well, Buffalo had 0:09:50.679 --> 0:09:53.480 fourth and two at the Jacksonville thirty eight. They false started. 0:09:53.800 --> 0:09:56.640 That looked very much like an off sides on Jacksonville 0:09:56.880 --> 0:09:59.240 like the other way. And Scott Hanson, by the way, 0:09:59.280 --> 0:10:01.160 do you watch the red zone, the non direct TV 0:10:01.240 --> 0:10:04.040 red zone. Scott Hanson was killing me yesterday this Josh 0:10:04.080 --> 0:10:06.959 Allen sacking Josh Allen thing where he also had to 0:10:07.000 --> 0:10:09.720 pick in a fumble recovery. He could not stop talking 0:10:09.720 --> 0:10:13.920 about it, maybe ten times. The Jaguars first win in 0:10:13.960 --> 0:10:17.200 North America, their first win in Jacksonville since Week one 0:10:17.200 --> 0:10:22.120 of last season. I hate myself, uh jacksonvilleity. I'll say 0:10:22.120 --> 0:10:24.080 Indie minus eight and a half sp the difference between 0:10:24.080 --> 0:10:27.199 the seven and the ten. It's well, it's ten, and 0:10:27.240 --> 0:10:30.600 I see ten and a half my numbers coming like thirteen. 0:10:30.720 --> 0:10:34.560 I am not buying into this jackson But I don't 0:10:34.559 --> 0:10:37.160 like the Colts either. Well, I I've said it before 0:10:37.200 --> 0:10:39.719 and they you know, they definitely stumbled against Tennessee two 0:10:39.720 --> 0:10:42.719 weeks ago. I think the Colts are finally starting to 0:10:42.760 --> 0:10:45.240 get it together a little bit. I really do, and 0:10:45.280 --> 0:10:47.960 I think they've been kind of on that version. Now. 0:10:48.000 --> 0:10:50.319 Do I trust Carson Wentz all the way through? Not really? 0:10:50.679 --> 0:10:53.719 But do I trust him against Jacksonville. Yes. So I'm 0:10:53.720 --> 0:10:56.880 gonna open this ten and a half. I see mostly well, 0:10:56.920 --> 0:10:58.520 I see ten and ten and a half. I'm gonna 0:10:58.559 --> 0:10:59.920 have ten and a half. If I see this trend 0:11:00.160 --> 0:11:02.520 higher in any way, shape or form, I'm gonna go higher. 0:11:03.120 --> 0:11:04.880 But right now we'll be at the top of the market, 0:11:04.920 --> 0:11:09.000 which is ten and a half. Um So but I 0:11:09.240 --> 0:11:12.040 I could have the culture. Nobody here. I could not 0:11:12.080 --> 0:11:15.800 play the Jaguars. I know they won. Yesterday looked ridiculously bad. 0:11:15.960 --> 0:11:19.000 It's so bad. And and for those who are like, wait, 0:11:19.040 --> 0:11:21.719 if Chrissie has it right north of ten, you must 0:11:21.720 --> 0:11:25.360 be running about the Jack Garth. No, I'm not. No, 0:11:25.520 --> 0:11:28.520 I'm not oh so bad. You don't want to get 0:11:28.559 --> 0:11:31.679 trampled by everybody else running to that ten and a 0:11:31.720 --> 0:11:33.880 half just stands up, moving the women and the children 0:11:33.920 --> 0:11:35.760 out of the way to get rid of the fire. 0:11:36.200 --> 0:11:39.920 I will not be that guy. Okay, just starting guessing 0:11:39.960 --> 0:11:42.599 lines looking for value, Chris, he's posting the ten and 0:11:42.640 --> 0:11:46.080 a half. Then there ten and a half. Just starting. 0:11:46.080 --> 0:11:47.959 We'll keep it going with guessing lines for week ten, 0:11:48.600 --> 0:11:51.640 reviewing all the carnage from yesterday. The National Football League, 0:11:51.640 --> 0:11:53.800 it's a numbers game at Feast and these sports betting networks, 0:11:53.840 --> 0:11:57.280 Gail Alexander, Christie Andrews do a little guessing lines for 0:11:57.360 --> 0:11:59.840 week number ten in the National Football You can't believe 0:11:59.800 --> 0:12:02.319 we're week ten. We got tweets at beating the book. 0:12:03.200 --> 0:12:07.079 Marcus Phillips, our friend Marcus from Spain, from Espana. He says, 0:12:07.120 --> 0:12:09.439 I'm getting off the hype train of Kyle Shanahan being 0:12:09.440 --> 0:12:11.920 a good coach personally has run out of excuses in 0:12:11.960 --> 0:12:14.640 San Francisco. His record shows who he is, especially as 0:12:14.679 --> 0:12:19.080 he chooses the players every year, and he is very irregular. 0:12:19.840 --> 0:12:25.200 Irregular might be a language mediocre. I think, he says. 0:12:25.360 --> 0:12:27.120 I saw that tweet. I think Marcus is right on. 0:12:27.160 --> 0:12:29.720 I gotta tell you, well, yeah, we'll get to that. Yeah, well, Mike, 0:12:30.080 --> 0:12:32.079 this is Eric Eager from Pro Football Focus had this 0:12:32.120 --> 0:12:36.000 stat the other week. Kyle Shanahan's winning percentage is the 0:12:36.040 --> 0:12:39.240 coach of the San Francisco forty niners is worse than 0:12:39.360 --> 0:12:43.800 Mike's single terries was WHOA, that's exactly wow. I reacted. 0:12:44.280 --> 0:12:46.199 I didn't believe it. I had to look it up. 0:12:46.520 --> 0:12:50.400 That's how flabbergas that was. Beat cricket man Mr Andrews 0:12:50.400 --> 0:12:52.480 has to be the most reasonable and likable bookie in 0:12:52.480 --> 0:12:55.719 the world. It's like getting gambling advice from your favorite grandpa. 0:12:55.840 --> 0:13:00.800 How do you take to that last word that's flattered 0:13:02.000 --> 0:13:06.920 about uncle, uncle, maybe grandpa Jesus. I have one grandson. 0:13:07.000 --> 0:13:12.880 He's he's four. Yeah, he's a little exactly sorry sorry 0:13:12.920 --> 0:13:15.559 with that charitable gambler a lot of injury uncertainly last 0:13:15.600 --> 0:13:18.000 week factored into some guessing lines thoughts. Gil's eight and 0:13:18.040 --> 0:13:20.800 seven on the season, Chrissie seven and two in his 0:13:20.920 --> 0:13:23.520 last nine back on it. Uh here on numbers game 0:13:23.559 --> 0:13:25.640 tenn he's turned seven pacific. Thank you, charitable gambler. He's 0:13:25.640 --> 0:13:29.000 always there for the tweet before every guessing lines. Uh 0:13:29.040 --> 0:13:32.840 coach Bryant any tennis place today? Okay, well that kid. No, 0:13:33.160 --> 0:13:35.240 we're gonna wait till. We're gonna wait till next year. 0:13:35.320 --> 0:13:37.800 Maybe maybe they'll do some finals men's and women's when 0:13:37.800 --> 0:13:39.800 we get to the uh till to the year long 0:13:39.840 --> 0:13:43.280 finals next week. Let's see. Jeff Kai Kendall, you are right. 0:13:43.559 --> 0:13:46.440 Losing in Survivor takes all the fun out of the season. 0:13:46.520 --> 0:13:48.600 What hurts worse is that there are only about six 0:13:48.880 --> 0:13:51.680 d left after nine weeks. In Enjoy your Day, and 0:13:51.679 --> 0:13:54.160 from Paul Carr our soccer guys on this show, he 0:13:54.160 --> 0:13:56.000 goes totally agree with the reasons to be sad about 0:13:56.040 --> 0:13:58.920 being asked in Survivor. He said, I had the Cowboys. 0:13:58.960 --> 0:14:02.200 I already missed the clean mental gymnastics of it all. Yeah, 0:14:02.240 --> 0:14:04.120 I mean that's what it is. It's the not being 0:14:04.120 --> 0:14:07.679 able to play vaccinated man. I understand Chris Hansen is 0:14:07.679 --> 0:14:11.960 already working on at documentary about the Josh Allen Josh 0:14:12.040 --> 0:14:16.320 Allen things. Quote they said it was impossible. Unquote. It's 0:14:16.360 --> 0:14:19.160 so true. It's like, just stop already with it. Is 0:14:19.160 --> 0:14:21.200 that he knew. It's like he knew. I had Buffalo 0:14:21.200 --> 0:14:24.840 and Survivor. Uh. Tommy Rowe Gil's hatred for my beloved 0:14:24.920 --> 0:14:27.480 Jags continues. It's okay, this team is going to continue 0:14:27.480 --> 0:14:29.640 to play hard and take down a couple more teams 0:14:29.640 --> 0:14:32.600 contending for the playoffs. I don't hate Youred Jaguars. I 0:14:32.680 --> 0:14:37.800 just lost it then and Survivor. Okay, what's next? Did 0:14:37.840 --> 0:14:42.120 Jaguars play hard? Wait? You really excited about that way yesterday? 0:14:42.160 --> 0:14:48.960 Second away from yesterday? Okay, this is actually a pretty 0:14:49.000 --> 0:14:53.680 reasonable game. Cleveland and New England Cleveland, Okay. So among 0:14:53.760 --> 0:14:55.960 the results yesterday, I mean, I'm sure there were people 0:14:55.960 --> 0:14:57.640 who thought Cleveland would cover I'm sure that people who 0:14:57.640 --> 0:15:01.000 thought Cleveland will win. Did you think Cleveland would crush Cincinnati? Uh? 0:15:01.000 --> 0:15:04.160 Baker Mayfield fourteen of twenty one for two eighteen, two touchdowns, 0:15:04.160 --> 0:15:07.080 no picks. He was sacked twice. Nick Chubb fourteen for 0:15:07.200 --> 0:15:09.840 one thirty seven two touchdowns. But all you have to 0:15:09.840 --> 0:15:12.880 know is the turnover difference. Cleveland was plus three in 0:15:12.880 --> 0:15:16.720 turnovers once again, a hundred and fifty three rushing yards. 0:15:16.920 --> 0:15:19.960 It's their seventh game this season. The Browns with a 0:15:20.040 --> 0:15:23.080 hundred fifty plus rushing yards. That's the most in the NFL. 0:15:23.320 --> 0:15:25.360 They did have ten penalties for eighty four yards. They 0:15:25.360 --> 0:15:27.960 gotta clean that up, Denzel Wards. So this was also 0:15:28.000 --> 0:15:30.880 a theme yesterday, the pick six theme. Every team that 0:15:30.920 --> 0:15:33.760 had a pick six won their football game. Denzel Ward 0:15:33.800 --> 0:15:36.400 did it for the Browns ninety nine yard and interception 0:15:36.440 --> 0:15:38.960 return for a touchdown. I don't know if it's set 0:15:39.000 --> 0:15:41.120 the tone six minutes and two seconds into the game, 0:15:41.160 --> 0:15:43.200 but it did make it seven and nothing. Bengals did 0:15:43.200 --> 0:15:45.480 tie it at seven, set at seven seven, but by 0:15:45.480 --> 0:15:48.080 halftime it was twenty four to ten. Miles Garrett one 0:15:48.120 --> 0:15:50.040 and a half sacks. He's got an NFL high twelve 0:15:50.080 --> 0:15:53.960 as well. And then New England. The New England Patriots 0:15:54.000 --> 0:15:56.080 are a half a game behind the Bills for the 0:15:56.160 --> 0:15:59.200 lead in the a f C East. I had more 0:15:59.240 --> 0:16:01.520 than one person yesterday text me, Hey, what are the 0:16:01.560 --> 0:16:05.040 odds on the Patriots to win the NFC. By the way, 0:16:05.080 --> 0:16:07.560 here's this ridiculous Monday night football stat that I feel 0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:10.600 compelled to repeat, even though I know it's ridiculous. Teams 0:16:10.600 --> 0:16:12.280 that have won on Monday Night football are eight and 0:16:12.320 --> 0:16:15.520 o their next game this year. I don't know what 0:16:15.520 --> 0:16:16.680 that had to do with New England. I don't know 0:16:16.720 --> 0:16:17.960 how that got into this note that has to do 0:16:18.000 --> 0:16:21.360 with Kansas City. But okay, uh four and oh straight up? 0:16:21.360 --> 0:16:23.200 The Patriots are four and oh straight up on the 0:16:23.280 --> 0:16:26.440 road this season. Mac Jones yesterday in victory, there was 0:16:26.520 --> 0:16:28.760 so much of this again. Trevor Lawrence had a hundred 0:16:28.760 --> 0:16:31.560 eighteen yards passing in victory. Mac Jones was twelve of 0:16:31.600 --> 0:16:35.760 eighteen for one thirty nine, one touchdown, one picksack twice, 0:16:36.280 --> 0:16:39.280 Romandre Stevenson ten carries for sixty two, two catches for 0:16:39.280 --> 0:16:42.760 forty four and keeping with the pick six name J. C. Jackson, 0:16:43.440 --> 0:16:45.080 one of his two picks was a pick six of 0:16:45.160 --> 0:16:47.480 Sam Donald, who went eighty eight yards of the house 0:16:47.480 --> 0:16:49.360 seven twelve left in the third quarter made it twenty 0:16:49.400 --> 0:16:51.960 one to six New England and from that point forward 0:16:52.200 --> 0:16:54.400 it was Katie Barr the door. We'll get to Sam 0:16:54.480 --> 0:16:59.320 Donald later, I said Patriots by three here hosting Cleveland 0:16:59.320 --> 0:17:01.280 to five and four. Teams didn't know what else to 0:17:01.360 --> 0:17:03.520 make it. It's two and a half. That's exactly what 0:17:03.640 --> 0:17:06.080 my power rating has come to. We haven't mentioned qb 0:17:06.280 --> 0:17:10.600 R yet. You mentioned the Patriots and Jones. Uh, it's 0:17:10.680 --> 0:17:14.560 QBR seven point two. Really not not that great. Different 0:17:14.640 --> 0:17:17.160 team did look good, I mean no doubt. And I've 0:17:17.200 --> 0:17:19.959 mentioned before I have like a grading system. Uh if 0:17:20.040 --> 0:17:22.560 you if you're grade over a hundred, you did pretty good. 0:17:22.600 --> 0:17:25.080 Both these teams graded over a hundred yesterday, so they 0:17:25.080 --> 0:17:29.280 did well. Baker Mayfield QBR yesterday eighty two point seven 0:17:30.119 --> 0:17:32.160 and you know, which is very good. By the way. 0:17:32.200 --> 0:17:35.320 A little thing with Cleveland fans. They've been looking for 0:17:35.359 --> 0:17:40.240 a quarterback since Brian's site. That's like they finally have 0:17:40.320 --> 0:17:42.120 a good one. Is he great? No? Is he worth 0:17:42.119 --> 0:17:45.080 the number one draft choice? No, he's good, but he's good. 0:17:46.119 --> 0:17:48.880 They want to get rid of him, like for what 0:17:49.560 --> 0:17:52.199 for case Keenum. Is there anybody in the pipeline this 0:17:52.280 --> 0:17:54.159 year that I don't see anybody coming out of college 0:17:54.160 --> 0:17:57.720 that you have to have. This is your quarterback. He's 0:17:57.840 --> 0:18:00.320 pretty good. You know you can win with the skuy 0:18:00.520 --> 0:18:03.600 you know quick complaining all the time. Do you not 0:18:03.680 --> 0:18:06.040 remember all these other quarterbacks that you had for the 0:18:06.119 --> 0:18:08.880 last forty years. I said this all last year when 0:18:08.920 --> 0:18:12.840 when Beckham didn't play. He now that now that he's 0:18:12.840 --> 0:18:14.840 gone for good and we'll find out today where he's going. 0:18:16.080 --> 0:18:19.399 He looks Baker Mayfield again, the word I used all 0:18:19.480 --> 0:18:21.240 last year when he didn't have Beckham on the field, 0:18:21.520 --> 0:18:25.480 unburdened like he Baker Mayfield can act as cool as 0:18:25.480 --> 0:18:27.760 he wants, but when Beckham's out there, he just it 0:18:27.840 --> 0:18:29.600 appears that he feels the need to get the ball 0:18:29.640 --> 0:18:32.240 to Beckham just to keep him happy. Now without him 0:18:32.240 --> 0:18:33.840 on the field, and it always seems this way, he 0:18:33.880 --> 0:18:35.959 just feels like, you know what, you can play organically 0:18:36.119 --> 0:18:40.239 good football, doesn't have to worry about him. It's like 0:18:40.320 --> 0:18:42.520 you're walking, you know. With Beckham in the lineup and 0:18:42.680 --> 0:18:44.879 on the field, he was like walking on eggshells. You know, 0:18:44.920 --> 0:18:50.400 we've been in relationships like that with you're laughing, Yeah, 0:18:50.440 --> 0:18:52.840 I'm trying not to laugh, but we've been in that. 0:18:53.320 --> 0:18:55.600 But anyway, getting back to the number, it's two and 0:18:55.600 --> 0:18:57.640 a half everywhere. I think two and a half is fine. 0:18:57.680 --> 0:19:00.200 I think three would be a take for me. Think 0:19:00.200 --> 0:19:01.520 two and a half puts it right in the middle. 0:19:01.520 --> 0:19:03.600 And by the way, if you look over the course 0:19:03.640 --> 0:19:05.440 of time, if you take the two and a half 0:19:05.520 --> 0:19:09.840 more than you lay it, you're better off taking, particularly 0:19:09.840 --> 0:19:12.440 like the Browns, despite how tempting, the minus two and 0:19:12.440 --> 0:19:14.720 a half, despite how tempting. That's why it's two and 0:19:14.760 --> 0:19:19.159 a half and not three, Jeffrey. The next one to 0:19:19.160 --> 0:19:25.080 the Atlanta Falcons at the Dallas Cowboys. So Atlanta beats 0:19:25.119 --> 0:19:30.280 New Orleans and that was Coup's third game winning field 0:19:30.280 --> 0:19:32.560 goal this season. With zero zero left on the clock 0:19:33.320 --> 0:19:36.240 for Atlanta, Yeah, they were up twenty four to six 0:19:36.280 --> 0:19:38.520 over the Saints. Atlanta was in the fourth quarter. Then 0:19:38.560 --> 0:19:41.200 they gave up three consecutive touchdown drives to New Orleans. 0:19:41.280 --> 0:19:43.920 New Orleans final three drives, and then it was the 0:19:43.960 --> 0:19:48.600 big play Ryan to Uh to Cordarol Patterson that changed 0:19:48.640 --> 0:19:50.119 the game, that allowed for that field goal to be 0:19:50.160 --> 0:19:53.080 set up. Atlanta deserved to win that football game. UH 0:19:53.080 --> 0:19:56.280 Saint Survivors go down. Ryan twenty three for thirty for 0:19:56.400 --> 0:19:59.120 three forty three from Mattie Ice two touchdowns note picks 0:19:59.119 --> 0:20:01.760 he was stacked twice. Call Darrel Patterson six catches for 0:20:01.760 --> 0:20:05.520 one including that sixty four yard or accounted for more 0:20:05.560 --> 0:20:08.080 than half of that yardage with one oh one left 0:20:08.119 --> 0:20:10.600 down the right sideline when they were down twenty five 0:20:10.680 --> 0:20:13.399 to twenty four, which set up the game winner. Only 0:20:13.480 --> 0:20:16.280 thirty four rushing yards of the Falcons and victory. They 0:20:16.320 --> 0:20:18.000 had a fourth and inches at their own forty six, 0:20:18.040 --> 0:20:19.879 up three to nothing halfway through the second quarter. They 0:20:19.880 --> 0:20:22.240 got stopped. No consequence to that. We'll go through all 0:20:22.240 --> 0:20:25.560 the ridiculous fourth down. It's not ridiculous, but really we 0:20:25.560 --> 0:20:27.720