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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Tuesday? Welcome into

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Speaker 1: another episode of the Dili Juice Podcast with me Matt

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Speaker 1: Peroltz at Sports Talk. Matt to follow me on Twitter.

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Speaker 1: This podcast being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot Com.

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Speaker 1: Juice in the search bar at Olmahsteaks dot com. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so I am heading back to Boston today, going on vacation.

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Speaker 1: I'm just I'm wearing my Patriot stuff. I'm wearing a

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Speaker 1: little Cape cod shirt. Not going to the Cape this time.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to Boston and to Maine. So yeah, tomorrow's

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Speaker 1: podcast might be a little different. Just FYI, I gotta

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Speaker 1: get it done. I'm gonna be kind of a mess.

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Speaker 1: It's a travel day. Travel days are always crazy. But

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Speaker 1: I'll be in Boston for three days, Main for four,

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Speaker 1: Boston for two, and then back to Vegas. So that's

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Speaker 1: what the next couple of days are going to be like.

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Speaker 1: A little bit of a different backdrop and setting for

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Speaker 1: us here for the daily juice. Nice College World Series.

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Speaker 1: We got Florida in Game two, right LSU in Game three,

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Speaker 1: right LSU to win the College World Series, and a

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Speaker 1: plus four thirty five some of you guys got as

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Speaker 1: high as plus eight hundred on that bet. That's great

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Speaker 1: for LSU to win the College World Series. Heads back

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Speaker 1: a bit with Florida and Tennessee to win the College

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Speaker 1: World Series, but overall a very profitable College World Series.

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Speaker 1: Profitable Monday, two and one mark for us on the

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Speaker 1: night with the over in the Reds game that came

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Speaker 1: in a little bit delayed because of what happened with

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Speaker 1: the rain there, and then we got LSU right as well.

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Speaker 1: We got to unfortunately four run to the Braves, not five.

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Speaker 1: We got five. It would have been a sweep. Four

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Speaker 1: and a half was the number they came in with.

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Speaker 1: Four we came up a little bit short. So two

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Speaker 1: and one night for us there, but night on the picks,

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Speaker 1: profitable night on the futures, and we head towards a

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Speaker 1: Tuesday with now really nothing to bet on but baseball

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Speaker 1: and the yuck. But before we get to the picks,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about the picks for two day. So let's

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Speaker 1: start with what's going on here with the Reds and

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Speaker 1: the Orioles. We bet the over for the game yesterday.

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Speaker 1: Hit I got a really scary bet, like a really,

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Speaker 1: really really scary bet. How about a first five under?

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Speaker 1: It's Abbot versus Wells. Okay, I don't want the bullpens.

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Speaker 1: The bullpens are bad for both these teams. I want

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Speaker 1: no part of it. Look what happened after the rain delay.

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Speaker 1: The bullpen came in and the Reds got torched. Abbot's

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Speaker 1: lefty for the Reds. He's two and l on the road,

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Speaker 1: has not given up a run yet, ERA of zero,

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Speaker 1: opposing batting average of two oh nine, no earn runs,

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Speaker 1: two starts, eleven innings. He will get scored upon here,

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Speaker 1: but how many runs is the question. He's facing up

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Speaker 1: against Wells, who's four and two with a two point

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Speaker 1: five to four ERA, opposing batting average of one ninety one.

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Speaker 1: He's only given up fourteen earned runs in fifty innings

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Speaker 1: at home in a ballpark that does give up a

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Speaker 1: lot of runs. So we're gonna bite the bullet here.

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Speaker 1: Even money bet under four and a half runs. Don't

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Speaker 1: want the bullpens under four and a half. Reds Orioles

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Speaker 1: first five, Like this is a game you don't watch.

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Speaker 1: You just it's a white knuckle ride. This is gonna

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Speaker 1: be something else. But I'm betting it under four and

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Speaker 1: a half even money, one unit down, reds Orioles under

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Speaker 1: four and a half first five. Speaking of white knuckle rides,

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Speaker 1: the the Red Sox are taking on Sandy Alcantra and

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Speaker 1: the Marlins. The total is nine in this game, it's

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Speaker 1: minus one twenty. Look, this is not much of a breakdown.

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Speaker 1: This is not some big elaborate thing. The numbers are

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Speaker 1: now starting to creep up on al Contra, as they should.

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Speaker 1: But I mean, these numbers don't make any sense to me.

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Speaker 1: At nine, okay, it should be ten or higher. The

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Speaker 1: Red Sox score a ton of runs at home. Al

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Speaker 1: Contra has just been straight up bad. There's really no

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Speaker 1: other way around it. They're just not a good team.

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Speaker 1: Right now, Boston is twenty three fifteen and one to

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Speaker 1: the over at home at Fenway Park. You've got a

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Speaker 1: Marlins team that has been scoring more runs recently, even

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Speaker 1: though they got off to come a rocky start, they

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Speaker 1: have been scoring more. In fact, on the road. They're

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Speaker 1: now nineteen and nineteen to the over, so they're flat

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Speaker 1: on the over. But that's pretty good considering how they started.

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Speaker 1: They really didn't hit very well at all. Al Contra

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Speaker 1: is going here for the Marlins, and I think anytime

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Speaker 1: Alcntra's pitching, you just had bet the over. He'll proven otherwise.

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Speaker 1: It's not a knock on him. I'm a big fan

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Speaker 1: of his. I've got that bet on the Marlins, so

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Speaker 1: I watch a lot of Marlins games. Marlins have lost

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Speaker 1: two games in a row heading into this series. Boston's

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Speaker 1: twenty one and eighteen at home. Marlins are twenty and

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Speaker 1: eighteen on the road. Garrett Whitlock for the Red Sox

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Speaker 1: is four and two with a four point five zero

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Speaker 1: ERA at Fenway Park three point three eight ERA. That's okay,

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Speaker 1: not outstanding seven earned runs and eighteen innings worth of work.

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Speaker 1: Red Sox bullpen, though has been known to give up

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Speaker 1: some runs. But really this comes down to all contra

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Speaker 1: and the fact that he's two and six with a

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Speaker 1: five point zero eight ERA, and he's just not the

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Speaker 1: same pitcher five point three six ERA on the road.

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Speaker 1: He's one in two on the road and posing batting

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Speaker 1: average of two seventy four, twenty five earned runs and

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Speaker 1: forty two innings pitched on the road. Nah Man over

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Speaker 1: nine Red Sox and the Marlins minus one min one fifteen.

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Speaker 1: We're laying one point one to five units down on that.

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Speaker 1: We're jumping in here with the Red Sox over nine,

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Speaker 1: and I'll speaking of first fives man, the first fives

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Speaker 1: for the Pirates. The Unders have been hitting consistently, but

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go against this trend here. Look, the Pirates

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Speaker 1: are bad. The thirty five and forty two. They've lost one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, ten, eleven, thirteen, twelve, thirteen, nine,

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Speaker 1: twelve out of thirteen games they've lost. Okay, now they're

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Speaker 1: home against the the Padres. You Darvis, going to the hill.

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Speaker 1: You'se not being good on the road. It's five and

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Speaker 1: six four point eight four road era is actually nothing

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Speaker 1: to really write home about. But the lineup for this

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Speaker 1: Pirate team. This is made for you, Darvish, to have

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Speaker 1: a good outing six point one six ERA three and

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Speaker 1: three on the year for Darvis on the Road two

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Speaker 1: fifty seven opposing batting every twenty six earned runs in

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Speaker 1: thirty eight innings worth of work. That's disgusting for you,

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Speaker 1: Darvis on the Road, not you Darvis like, but it's

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Speaker 1: the Pirates. They don't go against anybody first five. It's

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Speaker 1: rich Hill first five on the run line, meaning the

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Speaker 1: Padres have to be winning after five innings. Rich Hill

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Speaker 1: is six and seven with a four point three four ERA.

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Speaker 1: Rich Hill at home has an array of four point

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Speaker 1: six two is three and four, posing batting average two

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Speaker 1: seventy three. It's minus one twenty five at FanDuel. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna lay it the Padres to be winning after five

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Speaker 1: innings up against the Pirates. Just think this is going

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Speaker 1: to be a rough one. I don't want to give

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Speaker 1: them to the bullpens. I just want the starters beat

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Speaker 1: up on rich Hill here a little bit and get

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Speaker 1: an opportunity for the lead. I mean it could be

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Speaker 1: the total is four and a half in the first five,

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Speaker 1: it could be three to one. That's my fear. You know,

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Speaker 1: it could be two to one. It's my fear. I

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Speaker 1: don't want to play around. I feel like it's an

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Speaker 1: over game. I think the Padres is a better bet.

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Speaker 1: Padres to be winning after five run line Padres minus

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Speaker 1: one twenty five. It's baseball. These are going to be

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Speaker 1: quick podcasts because there's not a lot to break into

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Speaker 1: and get into with these things. Three bets, like normal,

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Speaker 1: We're going with the under four and a half runs

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Speaker 1: first five Reds and the Orioles Padres first five run

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Speaker 1: line up against the Pirates here at mius one twenty

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Speaker 1: five even money on the first bet, and then the

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Speaker 1: Red Sox and the Marlins over nine at minus one

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Speaker 1: fifteen for one point one five units down on that. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's have some fun this week. Go up to a

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Speaker 1: good start here, having a profitableek so far. Let's get

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Speaker 1: back on the winning track for the week as well.

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Speaker 1: I will talk to you from Boston when I tape

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Speaker 1: the podcast for tomorrow, but for now, it should be

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Speaker 1: a fun week. Min Is Matt Parol. Follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning it

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Speaker 1: is the Deal News podcast. I was being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by omah stakes dot com,