WEBVTT - The Fifth Hour: BENNY VS. THE PENNY (Week 1) 0:00:00.760 --> 0:00:05.520 Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a 0:00:05.559 --> 0:00:09.320 week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants of 0:00:09.360 --> 0:00:13.000 the old republic a sole fashion of fairness. He treats 0:00:13.000 --> 0:00:15.880 crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the rich 0:00:15.920 --> 0:00:20.280 pill poppers in the penthouse to clearinghouse of hot takes. 0:00:20.360 --> 0:00:24.160 Break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with Ben 0:00:24.200 --> 0:00:33.120 Mallard starts right now in the air everywhere. We welcome 0:00:33.120 --> 0:00:37.800 you into a special edition of the Fifth Hour with 0:00:37.920 --> 0:00:41.800 Ben Maller and Danny g two guys. Is enough for me? 0:00:42.560 --> 0:00:49.199 By request, we have moved the penny right here. It 0:00:49.320 --> 0:00:53.400 is the beginning of a new season of Benny Versus 0:00:53.440 --> 0:00:57.640 the Penny Man versus Metal. And if you've never heard 0:00:57.680 --> 0:01:01.600 this before, it is one of the more unique bits 0:01:01.680 --> 0:01:05.520 that we've done. I've done this on terrestrial radio and 0:01:05.840 --> 0:01:10.720 on YouTube and the podcast for many, many, many years, 0:01:11.360 --> 0:01:14.000 and it's very simple. I spend a good amount of 0:01:14.040 --> 0:01:18.480 time handicapping NFL games. It's become a bit of a 0:01:19.120 --> 0:01:22.400 passing fad, if you will, for me over the years. 0:01:22.400 --> 0:01:24.399 But it's really more than that, because I've done it 0:01:24.440 --> 0:01:28.959 for so long. And and then we have an inanimate object, 0:01:29.280 --> 0:01:34.440 a penny, and we determine who can do a better job, 0:01:34.520 --> 0:01:37.959 someone that actually invests the most valuable resource we have 0:01:38.280 --> 0:01:44.000 time into this or an object which has no knowledge 0:01:44.080 --> 0:01:47.720 of anything going on. So that is the premise behind 0:01:48.320 --> 0:01:52.040 Benny versus the Penny, and it's a season long battle. 0:01:52.120 --> 0:01:55.600 And Danny G, you are representing the penny. You're the 0:01:55.760 --> 0:02:00.160 keeper of the penny, a hollowed, hollowed position and to 0:02:00.280 --> 0:02:06.520 have where legends like Turk Stevens and Guesscon and so 0:02:06.560 --> 0:02:09.560 many other people over the years, I wish I could 0:02:09.600 --> 0:02:12.960 pull off those suits have represented the penny. So it's 0:02:13.000 --> 0:02:14.639 a big honor for you, Danny G. I know this 0:02:14.720 --> 0:02:17.160 is a big accomplishment. You've done so many great radio 0:02:17.280 --> 0:02:20.560 jobs and now you are the keeper of the Penny. 0:02:20.639 --> 0:02:23.160 I can't wait until I can put this on my 0:02:23.280 --> 0:02:27.520 broadcasting resume, the Penny Keeper. And you know, one of 0:02:27.600 --> 0:02:30.639 the benefits of working on your live show all these 0:02:30.720 --> 0:02:34.320 years is I know where Coop hid the penny in 0:02:34.400 --> 0:02:39.520 the studio cool last, and so when I was in 0:02:39.560 --> 0:02:41.840 there this past weekend, I made sure to go to 0:02:41.880 --> 0:02:45.280 the hiding place. I got the penny and it's in 0:02:45.320 --> 0:02:48.160 my hand right now. Wow. Well that's good and you 0:02:48.440 --> 0:02:50.800 I look, it looks very nice. And so that is 0:02:50.840 --> 0:02:57.600 the magical penny marijuana residue on it, though it has 0:02:57.639 --> 0:03:00.880 been tarnished a little bit by the coop bloop. So 0:03:01.240 --> 0:03:03.639 normally at this point we look back at our record 0:03:03.720 --> 0:03:07.320 last week. I did not lose a game last week. Uh, 0:03:07.320 --> 0:03:09.960 and the Penny did not win a game last week. 0:03:10.000 --> 0:03:11.919 Depending on how you look at I'll be many bright 0:03:12.000 --> 0:03:15.320 side on this because it's a brand new week, it's 0:03:15.360 --> 0:03:21.280 a brand new season. Let's strike up the band. Welcome players, 0:03:21.480 --> 0:03:32.600 You're welcome. It's time now, Penny versus the Penny now. 0:03:32.639 --> 0:03:36.600 A mini Mallard monologue for Week one of the NFL. 0:03:36.640 --> 0:03:39.600 There are some themes in Week one as we get 0:03:39.680 --> 0:03:43.320 to these games here, and it's the same theme we 0:03:43.400 --> 0:03:46.680 get every year in Week one, although it feels like 0:03:46.720 --> 0:03:51.320 it's a little bigger this year. It's old faces in 0:03:51.440 --> 0:03:54.400 new places, or depending how you look at it, new 0:03:54.480 --> 0:03:59.840 faces in old places. But the quarterback roulette. Number of 0:04:00.040 --> 0:04:03.840 veteran quarterbacks have changed teams. Baker Mayfield going from Cleveland 0:04:04.240 --> 0:04:08.640 the Carolina, and you've got Russell Wilson now in Denver. 0:04:08.760 --> 0:04:12.200 They play against their old teams this week Matt Ryan 0:04:12.320 --> 0:04:14.680 making his debut when we get to the Colts game. 0:04:15.160 --> 0:04:18.160 So there are a lot of those type of storylines. 0:04:18.200 --> 0:04:21.240 We have new coaches in the NFL this season who 0:04:21.240 --> 0:04:24.080 are making their debuts, and these are all things that 0:04:24.160 --> 0:04:27.080 you have to factor in when you handicap a game, 0:04:27.480 --> 0:04:32.320 because if you have a season coach versus a new coach, 0:04:32.760 --> 0:04:35.880 typically the advantage goes in a large way to the 0:04:35.920 --> 0:04:38.360 coach that's actually done it before. It's kind of like 0:04:38.400 --> 0:04:41.480 your first school play, Danny, if you if you ever 0:04:41.800 --> 0:04:44.240 acting in school, the first time you do a school play, 0:04:44.279 --> 0:04:46.719 probably not gonna be that good. But the third or 0:04:46.760 --> 0:04:49.560 fourth time, you kind of get it. You kind of 0:04:49.640 --> 0:04:52.520 understand what's going on. So with that said, we'll get 0:04:52.600 --> 0:04:54.239 right to the games. That will start with the early 0:04:54.320 --> 0:04:58.360 games and the first game on the board, New Orleans 0:04:58.480 --> 0:05:02.080 at Atlanta. It is a on Fox. Kenny Albert and 0:05:02.160 --> 0:05:06.560 Jonathan Vilma have the call. The Saints opened up a 0:05:06.680 --> 0:05:09.200 three and a half point favorite. They're favored by five 0:05:09.279 --> 0:05:11.839 and a half in this game at the Mercedes Benz 0:05:11.920 --> 0:05:16.600 Stadium and the pick I'm gonna take the Falcons in 0:05:16.640 --> 0:05:19.960 this game. Now I'll tell you why. Jamis Winston Number one, 0:05:20.360 --> 0:05:23.160 returning as the Saints starter, coming off a torn to 0:05:23.240 --> 0:05:27.400 a c L. He does have to demonstrate to me 0:05:27.560 --> 0:05:30.279 that he is up to the challenge because of the 0:05:30.279 --> 0:05:33.400 the injury, lost a lot of weight, and Sean Payton 0:05:34.000 --> 0:05:36.520 never took the training wheels off Winston last year. He's 0:05:36.560 --> 0:05:40.000 not walking through that door now. Dennis Allen, who is 0:05:40.200 --> 0:05:43.680 a debacle or was it Debaco coaching the Raiders back 0:05:43.720 --> 0:05:46.280 in the day. The Saints still have Alvin Kamara. He 0:05:46.320 --> 0:05:49.039 didn't get suspended. He's playing in this game. He dodged suspension. 0:05:49.360 --> 0:05:53.080 Michael Thomas is back. But even in the glory days 0:05:53.120 --> 0:05:56.520 of the Saints, they've always been a bad team early 0:05:56.560 --> 0:06:00.240 in the in the season, certainly last last and full 0:06:00.240 --> 0:06:03.560 of years last eight seasons. New Orleans is just three 0:06:03.560 --> 0:06:06.960 and fifteen against the spread in weeks one and two, 0:06:07.000 --> 0:06:10.279 and a lot of that with Drew Brees and Sean Payton. 0:06:10.880 --> 0:06:13.839 And uh, this is more of a play against the 0:06:13.920 --> 0:06:16.280 Saints than it is on the Falcons. I don't like it, Lant. 0:06:16.360 --> 0:06:19.480 I think they're bad team like everyone else. Marcus Mariota 0:06:19.520 --> 0:06:24.080 returns as the starter, A former Raider backup, former Tennessee starter. 0:06:24.520 --> 0:06:28.279 He is playing with a parade of horribles. The Falcons 0:06:28.320 --> 0:06:32.960 are in Nomad's land at this point under center uh 0:06:33.440 --> 0:06:37.400 and also they have a coach in Arthur Smith, who 0:06:37.520 --> 0:06:40.839 is in year two. They've been bad in September, They've 0:06:40.880 --> 0:06:45.000 been bad in October and November and pretty much every 0:06:45.040 --> 0:06:46.760 other month there. There's a couple of reasons though, to 0:06:46.839 --> 0:06:52.120 think they can hang around. Typically, these divisional games are close, 0:06:52.240 --> 0:06:55.680 their nail biters, even when one team is much better 0:06:55.720 --> 0:06:59.479 than the other. And Kyle pitts very productive. You can 0:06:59.480 --> 0:07:00.880 get in the ends on a lot last year only 0:07:00.880 --> 0:07:04.400 one touchdown. Cordarrell Patterson has been very good as a 0:07:04.480 --> 0:07:07.520 running back, and they're very excited about Drake London, who's 0:07:07.560 --> 0:07:10.440 been dinged up here. But that The main reason to 0:07:10.520 --> 0:07:13.080 like the Falcons other than the divisional angle is their 0:07:13.120 --> 0:07:17.600 defensive backs A. J. Terrell and Casey Hayward very good, 0:07:17.680 --> 0:07:19.400 and so they should be able to slow down Michael 0:07:19.400 --> 0:07:22.680 Thomas and the rest of the Saints receivers. Saints will 0:07:22.680 --> 0:07:26.960 win the game, but the Falcons will cover Saints thirty 0:07:27.040 --> 0:07:31.040 and the Falcons twenty six. And the Penny picks all right, 0:07:31.080 --> 0:07:34.600 this is exciting. My very first flip of the penny 0:07:37.320 --> 0:07:41.160 and the penny is taking New Orleans. Alright, the penny 0:07:41.200 --> 0:07:44.880 taking the road team New Orleans at Atlanta. There in 0:07:45.440 --> 0:07:48.120 the a t L al right. Next up San Francisco 0:07:48.200 --> 0:07:52.920 at Chicago. It's on Fox. Joe Davis, the Dodger broadcaster, 0:07:53.120 --> 0:07:57.280 and Darryl moose Johnson have the call. The forty Niners 0:07:57.280 --> 0:07:59.800 opened up a six and a half point favorite, and 0:08:00.040 --> 0:08:04.120 they are a seven point favorite. Mild weather in Chicago 0:08:04.400 --> 0:08:08.160 as we start moving into the fall part of the calendar, 0:08:08.160 --> 0:08:11.800 although not quite yet into fall, seventies seven at kickoff 0:08:12.240 --> 0:08:15.840 on the shores of Lake Michigan and Soldier Field, mostly cloudy. 0:08:16.040 --> 0:08:20.360 Uh And I am going against my better judgment here, Danny. 0:08:20.400 --> 0:08:23.640 I'm gonna take the Chicago Bears plus the points in 0:08:23.640 --> 0:08:28.280 this game. Yeah. Mainly I'm betting against Trey Lance. I 0:08:28.360 --> 0:08:32.280 don't trust him. His first real opportunity as the man 0:08:33.040 --> 0:08:36.000 for the team from the Bay area there, and he 0:08:36.080 --> 0:08:39.400 doesn't have much rope with Jimmy g hanging on the sidelines. 0:08:39.880 --> 0:08:43.959 I know all the rhetoric that the Niners fancy themselves 0:08:44.000 --> 0:08:47.680 a Super Bowl contender, and they have a tremendous amount 0:08:47.679 --> 0:08:52.000 of talent on defense. I get all that, but there's 0:08:52.040 --> 0:08:54.640 no way that the Niners should be this bigger favorite 0:08:54.640 --> 0:08:57.200 with a neophyte at quarterback. And if you look at 0:08:57.240 --> 0:09:01.599 these Niner teams last five years, they're only eight and 0:09:01.640 --> 0:09:04.480 eight as a road favorite, So even when they've had 0:09:04.520 --> 0:09:07.840 some good teams, they haven't exactly dominated as a road 0:09:07.880 --> 0:09:11.680 favorite here. And uh, I realized that Justin Fields has 0:09:11.720 --> 0:09:14.760 a terrible offensive line and he also stinks as the 0:09:14.840 --> 0:09:18.680 quarterback for Chicago. Uh So I'm gonna need for to 0:09:18.720 --> 0:09:22.360 win this bet. I'm gonna need special teams and a 0:09:22.400 --> 0:09:26.840 couple of mistakes by Lance, a few timely turnovers here, 0:09:27.440 --> 0:09:30.560 and some oddities, some real oddities to take place. But 0:09:30.600 --> 0:09:32.520 I'm gonna do it anyway. I'll take the Niners to 0:09:32.559 --> 0:09:35.400 win the game on the road, but not cover the spread. 0:09:35.480 --> 0:09:39.360 Forty Niners twenty three, Bear seventeen the final, and the 0:09:39.400 --> 0:09:47.040 penny picks. The penny also goes with the Chicago Bears, 0:09:47.080 --> 0:09:49.960 all right, So the Penny and me agree, so either 0:09:50.200 --> 0:09:53.000 I can't lose on that one, all right? Next up 0:09:53.120 --> 0:09:57.480 Philadelphia at Detroit. It is on Fox as well. Adam A. 0:09:57.559 --> 0:10:01.240 Mean and Mark slay Rith have the call from the 0:10:01.280 --> 0:10:03.719 Motor City. The Eagles opened up a three and a 0:10:03.880 --> 0:10:07.200 point favorite. They are favorite by four. It's inside the 0:10:07.280 --> 0:10:10.600 dome at Ford Field, mild temperatures in Detroit. Also, not 0:10:10.679 --> 0:10:13.160 that it matters, but I'm gonna take the Lions in 0:10:13.200 --> 0:10:15.360 this game. I like the Lions as a home doog 0:10:15.720 --> 0:10:19.319 and the Eagles are riding the trendy train right now. 0:10:19.800 --> 0:10:24.679 They're the popular pick bipopular people. Jalen Hurts has has 0:10:24.720 --> 0:10:27.720 shown last season very good fantasy player, very good regular 0:10:27.760 --> 0:10:31.280 season player. Uh at least if you look at the 0:10:31.280 --> 0:10:34.920 the Gaudi statistics that he put up running the football, 0:10:35.040 --> 0:10:37.439 mixing with the past, people are saying he's an m 0:10:37.520 --> 0:10:40.720 VP candidate. I don't buy it. I'm on the other 0:10:40.760 --> 0:10:42.560 side here. I think the Eagles will win their share 0:10:42.559 --> 0:10:46.680 of regular season games, but I like the Lions this week. 0:10:46.760 --> 0:10:50.680 The Birds as a road favorite have a losing record 0:10:50.840 --> 0:10:56.559 since seventeen. Philly also has been a terrible team in September. 0:10:57.160 --> 0:11:00.000 They're three and thirteen against the spread their last six 0:11:00.040 --> 0:11:04.000 team games in September, and the Lions, despite all of 0:11:04.040 --> 0:11:07.840 the suckage in the Motor City Detroit, is nine and 0:11:07.920 --> 0:11:12.480 four their last thirteen games in September. So against the spread, 0:11:12.480 --> 0:11:14.960 those numbers So that's all we care about his gamblers, right, 0:11:14.960 --> 0:11:16.360 I don't care if they win straight up, it's do 0:11:16.440 --> 0:11:20.280 they cover the spread? And so the Lions coming off 0:11:20.320 --> 0:11:24.880 that hard knocks life here. Uh, they also got destroyed 0:11:24.920 --> 0:11:27.560 by the Eagles and the regular season last year. You 0:11:27.640 --> 0:11:30.960 have a casserole of middle of the road players in 0:11:31.000 --> 0:11:33.760 the Motor City. But we are going to take the 0:11:33.840 --> 0:11:38.520 Lions over a field goal at home, getting four points. 0:11:38.559 --> 0:11:45.000 In fact, stunner of the week. Lions upset the darlings 0:11:45.040 --> 0:11:50.760 of the NFC, the Eagles. Lions twenty nine Eagles, and 0:11:50.880 --> 0:11:54.800 expect Philly coach Nick Siriani to have some explaining to 0:11:54.960 --> 0:12:02.120 do after this game. And the Penny picks Danny Penny 0:12:02.280 --> 0:12:05.439 goes with the Eagles, all right, So the Pennies going 0:12:05.480 --> 0:12:09.200 the other way, going with the talk of the Philadelphia Eagles. 0:12:09.200 --> 0:12:12.920 It's Betty versus the Penny. Next up New England at Miami. 0:12:12.960 --> 0:12:18.600 It's on CBS. Greg Gumble and Adam Archiletta have the call, 0:12:19.400 --> 0:12:22.680 and the Dolphins opened up a two and a half 0:12:22.720 --> 0:12:25.839 point favorite. They're favored by three in this game. Light 0:12:26.040 --> 0:12:30.160 rain temperatures in the nineties at kick off in South 0:12:30.200 --> 0:12:33.559 Florida at Hard Rock Stadium, and that's a big factor. 0:12:33.600 --> 0:12:37.000 Many people saying that that will sway this game to 0:12:37.080 --> 0:12:39.880 the Dolphins, but I'm going the other way. I'm gonna 0:12:39.920 --> 0:12:42.360 take the Patriots in this game. I mentioned in the 0:12:42.440 --> 0:12:46.760 open rookie coaches versus veteran coaches. There's no greater mismatch 0:12:46.880 --> 0:12:49.920 this weekend than Mike McDaniel, who I'm pulling for. I 0:12:49.960 --> 0:12:54.760 hope I'm wrong, but Mike McDaniel's first game as Dolphins coach, 0:12:54.880 --> 0:12:58.120 never a play caller in the NFL, it was an 0:12:58.120 --> 0:13:01.360 assistant with the Niners is he's got a very odd 0:13:01.400 --> 0:13:05.160 personality and he's a good sound bite, and he takes over. 0:13:05.200 --> 0:13:07.280 Miami is getting a lot of love with Tyree Hill 0:13:07.720 --> 0:13:11.120 as he begins life in South Florida. And you've got 0:13:11.160 --> 0:13:14.320 to a tongue of Bloa, who's three and oh in 0:13:14.360 --> 0:13:20.719 his career against New England but bewilderedly bad numbers individually 0:13:20.840 --> 0:13:24.640 for two despite being three and oh, two touchdowns, two 0:13:24.679 --> 0:13:29.160 interceptions in his career passer rating below eighty two. But 0:13:29.320 --> 0:13:31.440 yet the Dolphins have been able to find a way 0:13:31.480 --> 0:13:34.600 with him under center to win those games New England. 0:13:35.280 --> 0:13:37.720 If you look at the recent trend here the last 0:13:37.840 --> 0:13:41.439 ten meetings. For the last five years, New England has 0:13:41.480 --> 0:13:44.880 won the first matchup and the Dolphins have won the 0:13:44.920 --> 0:13:48.720 second matchup in nine of the last ten seasons. So 0:13:48.800 --> 0:13:51.840 that's a trend. Trends are made to be broken, but 0:13:52.160 --> 0:13:55.160 it tells you typically these things go to the Patriots 0:13:55.160 --> 0:13:57.600 in round one, Round two goes to the Dolphins, and 0:13:57.640 --> 0:14:00.200 that the Patriots have a bunch of questions. The The 0:14:00.240 --> 0:14:05.240 Boston media has been going, sky is falling, Mac Jones 0:14:05.360 --> 0:14:09.559 not looking great. The offense, uh, not very good. Zombies 0:14:10.200 --> 0:14:13.480 under Matt Patricia's too lege as he's the de facto 0:14:13.880 --> 0:14:17.880 offensive coordinator. People bringing up the weather lot this the sticky, 0:14:17.920 --> 0:14:21.920 icky weather of September in South Florida, that will wear 0:14:22.000 --> 0:14:25.119 down the Patriots as they wear those navy blue uniforms, 0:14:25.120 --> 0:14:29.280 those jerseys in the second half. But I've learned over 0:14:29.320 --> 0:14:32.480 the years not to bet against Belichick, and he's always 0:14:32.520 --> 0:14:35.560 gotten the most. He's been able to squeeze the most 0:14:35.640 --> 0:14:38.880 out of the toothpaste tube and get all that toothpaste 0:14:38.920 --> 0:14:41.720 out at the end. He's got a huge coaching edge 0:14:42.160 --> 0:14:47.320 over the no name out of nowhere Mike McDaniel. Uh 0:14:47.400 --> 0:14:49.760 So I'm taking the patriotsy. I think this is a 0:14:49.880 --> 0:14:52.280 back and forth game. It will come down to a 0:14:52.360 --> 0:14:55.120 late field goal. I love getting the points here, even 0:14:55.160 --> 0:15:00.000 though it's only three points. Patriots twenty seven and the Dolphins. 0:15:00.000 --> 0:15:10.360 It's the final and the Penny picks Penny picks the Dolphins, 0:15:11.160 --> 0:15:14.160 all right, the Dolphins. These are two teams that your 0:15:14.240 --> 0:15:17.640 raiders Danny g might run into down the line if 0:15:17.680 --> 0:15:21.360 they make the playoffs. The Dolphins. Yeah, the Patriots are 0:15:21.360 --> 0:15:23.400 like a fringe playoff team that they made the playoffs 0:15:23.440 --> 0:15:26.200 last year. The Dolphins kind of in that weird both 0:15:26.240 --> 0:15:29.000 those teams fighting you would think for a wild card 0:15:29.040 --> 0:15:32.520 behind the Bills in the a f C East, all 0:15:32.520 --> 0:15:35.400 eyes on Mac Jones and coordinators. And on the other 0:15:35.440 --> 0:15:39.040 side to and Tyreek. Yeah, it's a it's a game. 0:15:39.120 --> 0:15:41.640 I will I will definitely have that in my rotation 0:15:41.960 --> 0:15:47.680 in the early television window. Next up, Pittsburgh at Cincinnati. 0:15:48.240 --> 0:15:53.440 It's on CBS. Iron Eagle and Charles Davis teaming up 0:15:53.520 --> 0:15:57.160 on this game. The Bengals. We had Charles Davis on 0:15:57.160 --> 0:16:01.320 this podcast not that long ago. Friend of the Bengals 0:16:01.480 --> 0:16:03.440 opened up a six and al point favorite. They have 0:16:03.480 --> 0:16:06.040 stayed a six and a half point favorite the newly 0:16:06.120 --> 0:16:10.200 named pay Corps Stadium, whatever that is, uh seventy five 0:16:10.240 --> 0:16:14.920 at kickoff in Cincinnati, right on the border of Kentucky. 0:16:15.120 --> 0:16:19.480 And I'm taking the Steelers in this game. Not because 0:16:19.520 --> 0:16:22.880 I love Mr Biscuit. I do not love my my 0:16:23.040 --> 0:16:25.880 Mr R Bisky as he begins under center. But I 0:16:25.920 --> 0:16:29.040 do believe in Mike Tomlin, and I know that Tomin's 0:16:29.040 --> 0:16:32.040 gonna run a very basic, rudimentary offense, a lot of 0:16:32.120 --> 0:16:35.760 Naja Harris and the running attack for Pittsburgh. Try to 0:16:35.800 --> 0:16:38.120 milk the clock as much as you can, let the 0:16:38.200 --> 0:16:42.280 defense and special teams win the game. Steelers defense should 0:16:42.280 --> 0:16:45.960 be top five in the NFL. I am not anti Bengals, 0:16:45.960 --> 0:16:48.480 though they have my name in their name. I'm not 0:16:48.600 --> 0:16:53.880 anti ben Gals. I don't trust Cincinnati though by this 0:16:54.000 --> 0:16:56.560 many points. I know they were in the Super Bowl 0:16:56.600 --> 0:17:00.280 last year. But Joe Burrow, he had a pretty big 0:17:00.320 --> 0:17:03.440 procedure and appen deck to me not that long ago. 0:17:03.600 --> 0:17:07.679 He supposedly lost twenty pounds or so had an infection 0:17:08.760 --> 0:17:12.960 obviously during that and uh, Mike Tomlin as a road 0:17:13.119 --> 0:17:18.280 underdog since has a six thirty six winning percentage been 0:17:18.359 --> 0:17:20.399 very good to play the Steelers on the road, although 0:17:20.800 --> 0:17:23.080 the last couple of years have not been that great. 0:17:24.040 --> 0:17:28.560 And the stat of status here Danny and the Penny 0:17:28.760 --> 0:17:32.560 the Super Bowl loser going back over twenty five years, 0:17:32.680 --> 0:17:35.320 last twenty six years, the team that lost the Super 0:17:35.359 --> 0:17:40.359 Bowl in their first game the following season five and 0:17:40.480 --> 0:17:42.840 twenty one against the spread. That's a less than two 0:17:42.960 --> 0:17:47.119 hundred winning percentage. I'm gonna ride that twenty five plus 0:17:47.200 --> 0:17:51.239 year trend and I'll take the Bengals to win the 0:17:51.320 --> 0:17:55.760 game but not cover the spread. Bengals thirty three, Steelers 0:17:56.240 --> 0:18:03.960 thirty and the Penny chiming in on this one. The 0:18:04.000 --> 0:18:08.280 Penny goes with the Steelers, alright, So disagreement on this 0:18:08.359 --> 0:18:11.199 game and we'll keep the train movement here. Next up, 0:18:11.280 --> 0:18:15.600 we stop out in New Jersey, the swamp Lands of Jersey. 0:18:15.640 --> 0:18:19.080 The j E t S Jets, Jets Jets the home team, 0:18:19.240 --> 0:18:23.960 Baltimore the road team in this game. It's on CBS. 0:18:24.040 --> 0:18:28.080 Andrew Catalan and James Lofton have the call. The Ravens 0:18:28.720 --> 0:18:30.720 a big road favorite. They opened up at four and 0:18:30.720 --> 0:18:32.440 a half, their favorite by seven and a half. We 0:18:32.520 --> 0:18:37.280 call this the Flacco factor in this game and the 0:18:37.280 --> 0:18:40.359 game being played at MetLife Stadium, mild temperatures in the 0:18:40.440 --> 0:18:44.440 high seventies and cloudy at kickoff in this one, and 0:18:44.640 --> 0:18:48.800 I'm actually gonna go against the Tide. I'm gonna take 0:18:48.800 --> 0:18:52.280 the Jets in this game. I'm betting on Joe Flacco. 0:18:52.480 --> 0:18:54.119 I don't love this game. It's not one of my 0:18:54.640 --> 0:18:56.959 it's not one of my favorite players, Danny. But I'm 0:18:56.960 --> 0:19:01.680 gonna take Joe Flacco in this game against his old team. Uh, 0:19:02.040 --> 0:19:04.800 mainly because I believe the Ravens have some issues here 0:19:05.600 --> 0:19:07.960 that have not been addressed. I don't love the Jets. 0:19:07.960 --> 0:19:13.479 Nobody loves the Jets year two under Robert Sala Lamar 0:19:13.680 --> 0:19:18.560 Jackson beginning the season as he's just coming off this 0:19:18.720 --> 0:19:23.560 contract negotiation which didn't really go his way. Every good 0:19:23.600 --> 0:19:26.720 game he has this year, he's gonna earn more money. 0:19:26.760 --> 0:19:30.600 Every bad game he's gonna lose a few shekels. And 0:19:30.760 --> 0:19:34.280 John Harbaugh's team as a road favorite. They actually have 0:19:34.280 --> 0:19:36.480 a winning record, but only three games above five hundred 0:19:36.520 --> 0:19:39.840 as a road favorite. Since he's been very good in 0:19:40.000 --> 0:19:44.920 season openers. John Harbaugh against the spread ten and four 0:19:44.960 --> 0:19:48.159 in his fourteen years coming into this year as the 0:19:48.240 --> 0:19:51.240 Ravens coach against the spread in the season opener, and 0:19:51.240 --> 0:19:53.240 they Jets have been bad and all that, I understand it, 0:19:53.560 --> 0:19:56.920 but I'm looking for some rust from Lamar. He didn't 0:19:56.960 --> 0:20:02.119 play at all really in the priests season, and the 0:20:02.200 --> 0:20:05.160 Jets just they're ugly ducklings. They gotta play ugly. That's 0:20:05.160 --> 0:20:07.280 the only way they can play. I also love betting 0:20:07.280 --> 0:20:13.200 against the public here. Over of the money is on 0:20:13.240 --> 0:20:16.199 the side of Baltimore. They think this is just a 0:20:16.400 --> 0:20:20.880 broken money machine handing out free money, taking the Ravens here. 0:20:21.359 --> 0:20:24.240 The reason I've learned over the years doing benny versus 0:20:24.240 --> 0:20:26.239 the penny. One of the reasons the sports books are 0:20:26.240 --> 0:20:30.720 so profitable is the public loading up thinking a game 0:20:30.840 --> 0:20:34.080 is just a gimme like this and uh and more 0:20:34.160 --> 0:20:37.200 times than not, when you see that amount of money 0:20:37.200 --> 0:20:40.000 on one side, you don't even really have to handicap 0:20:40.040 --> 0:20:41.800 the game, Mutch. You just go the other way. So 0:20:42.040 --> 0:20:43.880 I think the Ravens win the game. But that's two 0:20:43.880 --> 0:20:48.919 many points Ravens twenty three, Jets seventeen. In an ugly 0:20:49.119 --> 0:20:54.119 matchup early season, Jets and Ravens and the Penny picks, 0:20:57.920 --> 0:21:01.719 and he goes with the Ravens alright, Penny into the Ravens. 0:21:01.720 --> 0:21:05.080 It's penny versus the penny, Danny G representing the penny. 0:21:05.119 --> 0:21:09.719 Every Friday, tell a friend, but listen all weekends, Saturday, Sunday, 0:21:09.720 --> 0:21:12.840 doesn't matter when you listen. I do know over the years, 0:21:12.920 --> 0:21:16.400 Danny many a listener love to go back on Monday 0:21:16.440 --> 0:21:19.960 and Tuesday and listen to how shitty the picks are. 0:21:20.440 --> 0:21:23.520 So they they like the fact that I spend so 0:21:23.600 --> 0:21:26.679 much time handicapping and then it looked like a total 0:21:26.760 --> 0:21:33.680 jackass when the games are actually played. So yeah, exactly, exactly, 0:21:33.760 --> 0:21:35.720 because they don't do that when I have a good week, 0:21:36.119 --> 0:21:38.199 which happens every once in a while too. All right. 0:21:38.280 --> 0:21:43.800 Next up, Jacksonville at Washington. It's on Fox with Chris 0:21:43.840 --> 0:21:47.919 Myers and Robert Smith, our old colleague Chris Myers part 0:21:47.960 --> 0:21:54.000 of the Fox Sports Radio Alumni Association, and the Commanders 0:21:54.119 --> 0:21:56.679 opened up a three and half point favorite. They're favored 0:21:56.760 --> 0:21:59.719 by two and a half and again, temperature is kind 0:21:59.720 --> 0:22:04.320 of my high seventies. At kickoff at FedEx Field in Landover, Maryland, 0:22:05.200 --> 0:22:08.120 and I'm gonna take the Jags in this game bet 0:22:08.160 --> 0:22:13.000 against Carson Wentz. I think these teams are actually very similar. Uh, 0:22:13.040 --> 0:22:15.840 that's not a compliment for Washington. I don't think they're 0:22:15.840 --> 0:22:20.920 all that much more talented than Jacksonville is. And Carson 0:22:20.920 --> 0:22:23.679 Wentz has to show that he no longer has the 0:22:23.680 --> 0:22:28.240 brain farts which have haunted him his entire career. I'm 0:22:28.280 --> 0:22:33.879 I'm going against common sense. Jacksonville's riding a seventeen game 0:22:34.000 --> 0:22:37.960 road losing streak coming into this game. They're fresh off 0:22:38.000 --> 0:22:42.119 the Urban Meyer era and the Nomad's land once they 0:22:42.160 --> 0:22:46.680 got rid of Urban, so Doug Peterson Vanilla ice cream. 0:22:46.720 --> 0:22:49.040 Doug Peterson takes over as the head coach. He makes 0:22:49.080 --> 0:22:54.280 his debut in UH in a Jags hat and polo shirt, 0:22:54.880 --> 0:22:59.720 and he was hired to salvage the career of Trevor Lawrence, 0:22:59.720 --> 0:23:02.680 who seemed like he was going to be a prodigy 0:23:02.760 --> 0:23:05.600 coming out of Clemson and just was not that good 0:23:06.280 --> 0:23:10.199 last year. Understand. James Robinson, the running back for the 0:23:10.280 --> 0:23:14.560 jackson Is expected plays got an achilles situation Sean uh 0:23:14.640 --> 0:23:16.639 coming off an achilles, but he's supposed to play. And 0:23:16.680 --> 0:23:18.920 this is also the debut of the big money free 0:23:18.920 --> 0:23:24.080 agent receiver, Christian Kirk, who came over from Arizona. So 0:23:24.160 --> 0:23:26.399 he'll he'll he'll try to start making some money back 0:23:26.840 --> 0:23:30.320 earning the money that he got paid. And again, these 0:23:30.320 --> 0:23:33.119 teams are pretty even. Shouldn't spend too much time on 0:23:33.160 --> 0:23:36.199 this game. Uh, Jacksonville. The only thing that scares me. 0:23:36.240 --> 0:23:38.399 I like jackson I think there is talented, if not 0:23:38.440 --> 0:23:44.280 more talented than the Commandos, But the public also loves 0:23:45.040 --> 0:23:47.760 the Jags, and that scares me the amount of public 0:23:47.800 --> 0:23:50.800 money that is on Jacksonville, because as I've said, the 0:23:50.840 --> 0:23:55.080 public is usually wrong, but still handicapping the game. I'm 0:23:55.119 --> 0:23:57.920 gonna take Jacksonville to win the game outright, even though 0:23:57.920 --> 0:24:00.560 they're an underdog by two and apt points. Jags on 0:24:00.600 --> 0:24:05.920 a late field goal, win it twenty four, Commandos twenty three, 0:24:05.960 --> 0:24:14.199 and the Penny picks and he selects Jacksonville. Alright, So 0:24:14.240 --> 0:24:16.280 we agree on that one. And again the Benny versus 0:24:16.320 --> 0:24:18.240 the Fame of the West works if you just somehow 0:24:18.440 --> 0:24:22.840 did not listen to the beginning. The home team is Heads, 0:24:23.200 --> 0:24:26.400 the road team is Tales, and that's how we've done 0:24:26.400 --> 0:24:28.119 it for many, many years, and that's how we'll do 0:24:28.160 --> 0:24:31.840 it this season as well. On Benny versus the Penny. 0:24:31.880 --> 0:24:34.680 Next up Cleveland at Carolina, This game getting a lot 0:24:34.680 --> 0:24:39.920 of attention on CBS Spirodidas and Jay Feey. The Browns 0:24:40.040 --> 0:24:42.240 opened a three and a half point favorite, but that 0:24:42.320 --> 0:24:47.159 was when Deshaun Watson seemingly was gonna play. He's not playing. 0:24:47.200 --> 0:24:50.959 The Panthers are now a one point favorite. Rain showers, 0:24:51.560 --> 0:24:54.880 temperatures hovering around eight agrees at kick off at Bank 0:24:54.880 --> 0:24:59.199 of America stadiums, so the wet ball will be in 0:24:59.240 --> 0:25:01.800 play here. The foot all be a little damp if 0:25:01.840 --> 0:25:06.680 that forecast proves to be accurate in the Carolina's Panthers 0:25:07.280 --> 0:25:10.480 are my pick. I'm gonna take Carolina in this game. 0:25:10.520 --> 0:25:14.679