1
00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:04,480
Speaker 1: Hello, everybody, Welcome into the Betting Pros podcast. I'm Ryan Warmley,

2
00:00:04,559 --> 00:00:08,039
Speaker 1: joined today by Trell Furman Junior and by Matt Ruck. Guys,

3
00:00:08,119 --> 00:00:10,960
Speaker 1: we were talking March Madness. This is our betting guide

4
00:00:11,000 --> 00:00:12,680
Speaker 1: for the tournament as a whole. We've got some first

5
00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:14,480
Speaker 1: round bets in here as well. Coming up at the

6
00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:17,279
Speaker 1: end of the show. We got the bracket last night. Trell,

7
00:00:17,360 --> 00:00:19,000
Speaker 1: you and I did a show last night. Kind of

8
00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:21,319
Speaker 1: our instant reactions. Now that we've had a night to

9
00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:23,280
Speaker 1: kind of sleep on it, do you feel any different

10
00:00:23,320 --> 00:00:25,119
Speaker 1: about the bracket? Do you have any other reactions that

11
00:00:25,160 --> 00:00:26,600
Speaker 1: you feel now the day after.

12
00:00:27,440 --> 00:00:31,200
Speaker 2: Yes, I still think it's pretty comical that my U

13
00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:33,559
Speaker 2: and the seatsar Heels are in the tournament, and I

14
00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:34,320
Speaker 2: will say.

15
00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:38,960
Speaker 3: Still very very very much confused on how they got here.

16
00:00:39,240 --> 00:00:42,720
Speaker 2: But if I know anything, it's I've been betting March

17
00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:45,839
Speaker 2: Madness for a while and every time I fade the

18
00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:48,239
Speaker 2: team that I'm like, you should have never got in,

19
00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:50,959
Speaker 2: and then they end up winning a game. So I'm

20
00:00:51,080 --> 00:00:54,040
Speaker 2: I'm probably gonna end up betting North Carolina at some point.

21
00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:56,520
Speaker 1: Berl, do you have any before we get into our

22
00:00:56,520 --> 00:00:58,600
Speaker 1: best bets? Kind of initial takeaways from what we saw

23
00:00:58,680 --> 00:00:59,120
Speaker 1: last night.

24
00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:02,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, Carolina make to run. I think Carolina getting in

25
00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:07,800
Speaker 4: their draw is actually pretty good. And I mean, yes,

26
00:01:07,880 --> 00:01:10,679
Speaker 4: we can get angry at it. I really would love

27
00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:13,240
Speaker 4: to find out if we could videotape how this stuff

28
00:01:13,240 --> 00:01:16,000
Speaker 4: ever goes down to eliminate the questions, because you have

29
00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:17,880
Speaker 4: the head of the committee, who is the ad of

30
00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:21,840
Speaker 4: North Carolina. So you have somebody who obviously he claims

31
00:01:22,000 --> 00:01:26,040
Speaker 4: guess money. He claims he's leaving the room. But it's

32
00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:28,840
Speaker 4: kind of like, you know, like your wife leaves the room,

33
00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:31,600
Speaker 4: Like the rules still apply when your wife leaves the room.

34
00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:33,480
Speaker 4: Like just because your wife's not there doesn't mean like

35
00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:35,240
Speaker 4: the marriage is over. Like so like you're the head

36
00:01:35,240 --> 00:01:37,039
Speaker 4: of the committee, like you may not be there, but

37
00:01:37,080 --> 00:01:38,720
Speaker 4: like you're looking at the guys going like you know

38
00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:40,880
Speaker 4: what you're gonna do, right, like, oh, yeah, we got you.

39
00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:41,520
Speaker 5: Don't worry.

40
00:01:41,800 --> 00:01:44,600
Speaker 4: So that whole impropriety thing. I would have loved to

41
00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:48,160
Speaker 4: have heard the conversation because did West Virginia's coaching conversation

42
00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:51,040
Speaker 4: come into play? Because they brought up Tucker Devrees. And

43
00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:53,800
Speaker 4: when you bring up Tucker Devrees, he hasn't played in

44
00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:56,720
Speaker 4: three months he didn't play a single Big twelve.

45
00:01:56,400 --> 00:01:57,639
Speaker 3: Game eight games this season.

46
00:01:57,880 --> 00:02:00,080
Speaker 4: Like, and I love Tucker Devrees, I'm a Drake. I

47
00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:01,760
Speaker 4: mean I've bet on Drake a tun last year with

48
00:02:01,840 --> 00:02:04,400
Speaker 4: Darren DeVries and his son Tucker. So like to use

49
00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:08,160
Speaker 4: Tucker to Davrees injury as some type of metric to

50
00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:11,560
Speaker 4: keep West Virginia out. I'm like, hold on a second.

51
00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:14,880
Speaker 4: So and then is there a conversation you have about

52
00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:18,640
Speaker 4: Darren DeVries going to Iowa? He is their number one, look,

53
00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:21,799
Speaker 4: they want him to take over after fran McCaffrey was

54
00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:24,360
Speaker 4: fired earlier in the week. So did that come into

55
00:02:24,400 --> 00:02:26,639
Speaker 4: play the Indiana Ohio state conversation?

56
00:02:26,760 --> 00:02:27,720
Speaker 5: How did that go down?

57
00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:31,480
Speaker 4: Because metrically, you could say the net rating Carolina's better

58
00:02:31,520 --> 00:02:34,160
Speaker 4: than those two, But in terms of quad one wins,

59
00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:37,000
Speaker 4: which they claim they all look at, Carolina was a

60
00:02:37,120 --> 00:02:38,640
Speaker 4: joke in quad one wins.

61
00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:40,880
Speaker 5: So that was my biggest takeaway.

62
00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:43,440
Speaker 4: Is it like the interview afterwards, I felt like opened

63
00:02:43,520 --> 00:02:45,840
Speaker 4: up so many more questions about how the bracket was

64
00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:46,400
Speaker 4: put together.

65
00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:48,079
Speaker 5: How is Louisville in eight seed?

66
00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:50,919
Speaker 4: How is that eight nine game in which the Crickton

67
00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:53,240
Speaker 4: Blue Jays made the final of the Big East tournament

68
00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:56,560
Speaker 4: and Louisville made the final of the ACC tournaments, and

69
00:02:56,600 --> 00:02:59,760
Speaker 4: they're playing each other in Lexington, Kentucky in the backyard

70
00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:02,080
Speaker 4: of They're like, hey, look at we're gonna screw you

71
00:03:02,200 --> 00:03:05,280
Speaker 4: seed wise, but we're gonna put you in Lexington and

72
00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:08,040
Speaker 4: oh you'll play the number one seed overall in the

73
00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:08,560
Speaker 4: next game.

74
00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:11,440
Speaker 5: So there's a lot of questions on this bracket.

75
00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:13,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the West Virginia one is so interesting.

76
00:03:14,000 --> 00:03:16,400
Speaker 1: Like last night, we started taping as soon as the

77
00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:19,239
Speaker 1: selection show was over and we were talking about big snubs.

78
00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:21,119
Speaker 1: We didn't even mention West Virginia. We were talking about

79
00:03:21,120 --> 00:03:23,320
Speaker 1: Indiana Boise because it didn't even really cross. I didn't

80
00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:26,480
Speaker 1: register the fact that this team that was in the bracket.

81
00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:29,959
Speaker 1: Literally our bracket matrix one hundred and eleven out of

82
00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:32,560
Speaker 1: one hundred and eleven brackets had West Virginia easily in.

83
00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:34,480
Speaker 1: It didn't even like register with me, like, oh wait,

84
00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:37,360
Speaker 1: they're not absolutely crazy. And I feel like in the past,

85
00:03:37,720 --> 00:03:39,680
Speaker 1: this is anecdotal. I can't think of the right example

86
00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:40,800
Speaker 1: for it, but I feel like in the past we've

87
00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:43,600
Speaker 1: heard the committee say, like when players are injured, you're

88
00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:45,880
Speaker 1: just looking at the resume anyway and not trying to

89
00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:48,080
Speaker 1: take that in consideration. Some years it seems like they do.

90
00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:50,120
Speaker 1: So there's just not a lot of consistency in that

91
00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:51,680
Speaker 1: regard either for Duke.

92
00:03:52,080 --> 00:03:55,000
Speaker 4: I mean, like they have a I don't care what

93
00:03:55,080 --> 00:03:57,800
Speaker 4: Duke says about Cooper Flag. I don't care that they're

94
00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:00,560
Speaker 4: claiming that Cooper Flag is going to play. He's playing

95
00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:03,480
Speaker 4: in the first two games. There's no way Cooper Flag,

96
00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:05,760
Speaker 4: the number one pick overall in the NBA draft, is

97
00:04:05,760 --> 00:04:09,040
Speaker 4: playing in a meaningless one versus sixty eight game coming

98
00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:11,920
Speaker 4: up in this tournament. It's not happening. So he is

99
00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:14,280
Speaker 4: gonna sit. But they gave Duke a number one seed.

100
00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:17,640
Speaker 4: There wasn't even a conversation about the Kenyan Martin rule.

101
00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:20,080
Speaker 4: Remember Kenyan Martin, I'm forty seven, so I'm kind of

102
00:04:20,080 --> 00:04:23,120
Speaker 4: older than you guys. Kenyan Martin got hurt in the

103
00:04:23,120 --> 00:04:26,240
Speaker 4: Conference USA Final. He was the player of the year

104
00:04:26,320 --> 00:04:28,920
Speaker 4: in college basketball. They dropped them from a one seed

105
00:04:28,960 --> 00:04:31,719
Speaker 4: to a two seed because Kenyan Martin's injury happened in

106
00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:34,560
Speaker 4: the conference tournament, hurt his rib, that I.

107
00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:35,160
Speaker 5: Guess is gone.

108
00:04:35,200 --> 00:04:37,120
Speaker 4: Like twenty five years later, we're not even talking about

109
00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:40,280
Speaker 4: star players getting hurt having impact seeds because Duke should

110
00:04:40,279 --> 00:04:42,599
Speaker 4: have been impacted, but you can't touch the Golden goose,

111
00:04:42,640 --> 00:04:43,640
Speaker 4: and Duke is fine.

112
00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:44,200
Speaker 5: Obviously.

113
00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:46,840
Speaker 1: If you think you know college hoops, you can take

114
00:04:46,880 --> 00:04:48,839
Speaker 1: your bracket knowledge to the next level with the brand

115
00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:52,880
Speaker 1: new NCAA Tournament Pick Them Contest sponsored by FanDuel. Pick

116
00:04:52,920 --> 00:04:55,560
Speaker 1: your winners or make your predictions against the spread all

117
00:04:55,640 --> 00:04:57,400
Speaker 1: tournament long for a chance to win up to one

118
00:04:57,400 --> 00:05:01,040
Speaker 1: thousand dollars in fan duel, DFS credits into jerseys, and

119
00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:03,760
Speaker 1: free annual Betting Pro subscriptions. The best part is it's

120
00:05:03,760 --> 00:05:07,719
Speaker 1: completely free. Enter now at bettingpros dot com slash Contests

121
00:05:07,800 --> 00:05:12,200
Speaker 1: again bettingpros dot com slash Contests. All right, guys, let's

122
00:05:12,200 --> 00:05:13,960
Speaker 1: dive into some of our best bets. We've got a

123
00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:15,880
Speaker 1: couple different categories here. You guys are gonna be giving

124
00:05:15,920 --> 00:05:18,320
Speaker 1: out some of your favorite picks for these different categories.

125
00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:19,560
Speaker 1: Like I said, we're going to wrap up with some

126
00:05:19,600 --> 00:05:22,000
Speaker 1: first round bets as well. I want to start with

127
00:05:22,200 --> 00:05:24,920
Speaker 1: kind of the Cinderella Angle, the favorite double digit seed

128
00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:27,720
Speaker 1: to make a Sweet sixteen run per I will start

129
00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:27,960
Speaker 1: with you.

130
00:05:28,680 --> 00:05:31,560
Speaker 4: I think Colorado State has gotten a really good draw

131
00:05:31,720 --> 00:05:37,480
Speaker 4: I'm a big Nico medev media against excuse excuse me

132
00:05:37,480 --> 00:05:41,719
Speaker 4: meddev bed fan head. Go to the Rams, they get

133
00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:43,920
Speaker 4: a banged up Memphis team in the first round, there's

134
00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:46,120
Speaker 4: always a five to twelve matchup that I like with

135
00:05:46,240 --> 00:05:48,640
Speaker 4: them to come out of there. So I think Colorado

136
00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:50,880
Speaker 4: State is a team. To take a look at their

137
00:05:50,920 --> 00:05:55,440
Speaker 4: metrics both top fifty in offensive efficiency and defensive efficiency.

138
00:05:55,480 --> 00:05:57,479
Speaker 4: And I know the Mountain West Conference didn't get a

139
00:05:57,480 --> 00:05:59,839
Speaker 4: ton of love this year and it wasn't as strong

140
00:05:59,839 --> 00:06:02,560
Speaker 4: as it's been in previous years. But this is a

141
00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:06,279
Speaker 4: hot basketball team that came into the conference tournaments winning

142
00:06:06,320 --> 00:06:08,559
Speaker 4: six games in a row with a won all three,

143
00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:11,280
Speaker 4: winning the conference tournament, and now take on a Memphis

144
00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:13,960
Speaker 4: team that that's not gonna be almost likely without their

145
00:06:13,960 --> 00:06:17,360
Speaker 4: best player coming up. I think into the second round

146
00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:19,880
Speaker 4: you got a CSU team that could make a running

147
00:06:19,880 --> 00:06:21,760
Speaker 4: They win the first game, and then I think they

148
00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:24,839
Speaker 4: got a real shot Maryland or Grand Canyon. I watched

149
00:06:24,880 --> 00:06:27,919
Speaker 4: Grand Canyon play here in Vegas. I was saying, I

150
00:06:27,960 --> 00:06:31,520
Speaker 4: want them to play a slow, unathletic team and Grand

151
00:06:31,560 --> 00:06:32,400
Speaker 4: Canyon could win.

152
00:06:34,480 --> 00:06:35,200
Speaker 5: Didn't happen.

153
00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:39,880
Speaker 4: They didn't get a slow in unathletic team in Maryland

154
00:06:40,200 --> 00:06:44,080
Speaker 4: and they have no queen. There's nobody on that Grand

155
00:06:44,120 --> 00:06:46,280
Speaker 4: Canyon roster that's going to be able to handle queen

156
00:06:46,360 --> 00:06:49,560
Speaker 4: from Maryland. So that was a really bad draw. But

157
00:06:49,640 --> 00:06:52,800
Speaker 4: I think CSU can slow the pace down, can burn

158
00:06:53,040 --> 00:06:55,720
Speaker 4: the clock and really create a problem for Maryland in

159
00:06:55,760 --> 00:06:59,120
Speaker 4: the second round. I like CSU over Maryland. I like

160
00:06:59,200 --> 00:07:01,239
Speaker 4: the Rams to make run here to list week sixteen.

161
00:07:01,320 --> 00:07:04,480
Speaker 2: Oh if only there was a coach that could ruin

162
00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:08,440
Speaker 2: the athletic gift that Marylyn has in the tournament.

163
00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:11,960
Speaker 1: Ryan, we talked a bit about this last night. P

164
00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:13,640
Speaker 1: I'm not sure if you know this. I went to

165
00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:16,240
Speaker 1: Maryland and I'm a big Turt fan and so I

166
00:07:16,280 --> 00:07:18,840
Speaker 1: was not thrilled to see you put Colorado State as

167
00:07:18,880 --> 00:07:21,240
Speaker 1: your vigier when I was noticing the show sheet. But

168
00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:24,160
Speaker 1: I don't disagree. And in fact, you know a lot

169
00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:26,400
Speaker 1: of my Maryland fan friends were talking last night when

170
00:07:26,440 --> 00:07:28,320
Speaker 1: we saw the draw, like, oh, we've got like the

171
00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:30,320
Speaker 1: worst five seed, this is great. I was like, I'm

172
00:07:30,320 --> 00:07:32,560
Speaker 1: not looking past Colorado State. I agree with you on

173
00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:33,920
Speaker 1: the coach. I think he was a guy I wanted

174
00:07:33,960 --> 00:07:36,240
Speaker 1: the year they hired Willard. I really liked Medvet or

175
00:07:36,280 --> 00:07:37,080
Speaker 1: have you pronounce it?

176
00:07:37,320 --> 00:07:38,040
Speaker 5: Yes? Good.

177
00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:40,760
Speaker 1: I think he's an excellent coach. I think he's gonna

178
00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:42,480
Speaker 1: go end up going to Minnesota, so like maybe some

179
00:07:42,560 --> 00:07:44,840
Speaker 1: distraction there if they are kind of letting that get

180
00:07:44,840 --> 00:07:47,160
Speaker 1: inside the locker room. But they're good team. Torvik I

181
00:07:47,160 --> 00:07:49,240
Speaker 1: think has them as like a top ten team in

182
00:07:49,280 --> 00:07:51,240
Speaker 1: the last month, month and a half of the season

183
00:07:51,320 --> 00:07:53,800
Speaker 1: so far metrically like they have been playing as well

184
00:07:53,960 --> 00:07:56,120
Speaker 1: as almost anybody. So I think it's a good pick.

185
00:07:56,120 --> 00:07:59,040
Speaker 1: And as I discussed last night, I'm not a Kevin

186
00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:01,560
Speaker 1: Willard fan, so would not be surprised to see them

187
00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:03,760
Speaker 1: lose to a double digit Zeed Torell, what do you

188
00:08:03,800 --> 00:08:04,640
Speaker 1: think about this one?

189
00:08:05,040 --> 00:08:05,840
Speaker 3: No, I like it.

190
00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:08,960
Speaker 2: Plus three fifty odds for Colorado State, I think it's

191
00:08:08,960 --> 00:08:10,800
Speaker 2: all right. I think the big part for them is

192
00:08:10,840 --> 00:08:13,800
Speaker 2: actually getting past Memphis. I think that if you sit

193
00:08:13,840 --> 00:08:15,640
Speaker 2: there and you tell me you're getting either Grand Canyon

194
00:08:15,800 --> 00:08:17,520
Speaker 2: or Maryland in the second round, you feel.

195
00:08:17,320 --> 00:08:18,960
Speaker 3: Pretty al right about your odds.

196
00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:21,040
Speaker 2: But I think the big part is can they get

197
00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:23,440
Speaker 2: past that first round matchup with Memphis. They are Land

198
00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:25,000
Speaker 2: two and a half points there, so it looks like

199
00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:25,760
Speaker 2: this a little bit of ly.

200
00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:28,320
Speaker 5: They're the only twelve seed favor Torell though.

201
00:08:28,280 --> 00:08:31,200
Speaker 1: It opened as a pickup and then almost immediately moved. Yeah,

202
00:08:31,320 --> 00:08:32,040
Speaker 1: that's the part.

203
00:08:31,880 --> 00:08:34,240
Speaker 2: That's concerning me. And I don't think Memphis is no slouch.

204
00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:36,480
Speaker 2: So I think like, once you get past that first game,

205
00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:39,439
Speaker 2: you're golden. But it's the hard part is getting past Memphis.

206
00:08:39,960 --> 00:08:41,800
Speaker 1: Terrell, who's your favorite double digit seed to make the

207
00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:42,440
Speaker 1: feet sixteen?

208
00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:45,079
Speaker 3: I tried not to go home or here, but give

209
00:08:45,120 --> 00:08:46,640
Speaker 3: me my VCU rams. Man.

210
00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:51,280
Speaker 2: They play really really well defensively. They take away the

211
00:08:51,320 --> 00:08:54,280
Speaker 2: three point line, and that's how you beat BYU. You

212
00:08:54,320 --> 00:08:56,880
Speaker 2: force them off the three point line and don't let

213
00:08:56,960 --> 00:08:59,480
Speaker 2: them get hot. This VCU team can make this a

214
00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:02,640
Speaker 2: sixty sixty type of ugly game. And those are the

215
00:09:02,679 --> 00:09:04,880
Speaker 2: games that VCU plays in the non conference. They went

216
00:09:04,880 --> 00:09:06,600
Speaker 2: in a non conference and they played a bunch of

217
00:09:06,880 --> 00:09:10,520
Speaker 2: little ugly, really close games, really not getting destroyed by

218
00:09:10,520 --> 00:09:12,439
Speaker 2: a bunch of teams. And so I think that this

219
00:09:12,480 --> 00:09:14,320
Speaker 2: is what they do with this BYU team, And if

220
00:09:14,360 --> 00:09:17,000
Speaker 2: you tell me, they get past BYU and the next

221
00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:20,240
Speaker 2: round I potentially get Wisconsin, who has zero offense in

222
00:09:20,280 --> 00:09:22,120
Speaker 2: the last three four minutes of games.

223
00:09:22,520 --> 00:09:24,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, VCU has a really really good.

224
00:09:24,640 --> 00:09:26,720
Speaker 2: Chance to make it. I like the coach Ryan Odam,

225
00:09:26,760 --> 00:09:29,160
Speaker 2: and he's actually on the bubble to be getting another

226
00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:33,040
Speaker 2: big coaching opportunity, which VCU has been that standpoint for

227
00:09:33,080 --> 00:09:35,400
Speaker 2: a lot of coaches, where you have Shaka, you have

228
00:09:35,559 --> 00:09:37,559
Speaker 2: Mike Rhodes, like a lot of coaches go on to

229
00:09:37,600 --> 00:09:40,760
Speaker 2: bigger things. For VCU, so he needs that tournament run though,

230
00:09:40,840 --> 00:09:43,600
Speaker 2: He needs that tournament run that really really boost his stock,

231
00:09:43,640 --> 00:09:45,360
Speaker 2: and I think he could do it here. So yeah,

232
00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:48,480
Speaker 2: give me a little Sweet sixteen for VCU here at

233
00:09:48,559 --> 00:09:50,280
Speaker 2: plus for sixty.

234
00:09:50,280 --> 00:09:51,640
Speaker 1: Brol What do you think about this one? I mean,

235
00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:53,680
Speaker 1: I like, I like the winner of VCU BYU to

236
00:09:53,720 --> 00:09:55,800
Speaker 1: make the Sweet sixteen for sure. I definitely am not

237
00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:58,839
Speaker 1: backing Wisconsin, especially coming off four games in four days.

238
00:09:58,880 --> 00:10:01,959
Speaker 1: They're playing in Denver at altitude. I really worry about them.

239
00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:04,160
Speaker 1: So I really like the winner of BYUVCU. I could

240
00:10:04,200 --> 00:10:05,320
Speaker 1: see that one going either way.

241
00:10:05,880 --> 00:10:07,360
Speaker 5: Here's the thing with BYU.

242
00:10:07,640 --> 00:10:09,880
Speaker 4: I think BYU is going a halfway decent shot to

243
00:10:09,880 --> 00:10:12,280
Speaker 4: go to the final four. They've got to figure out

244
00:10:12,600 --> 00:10:16,520
Speaker 4: how to play defense enough to and then hit the

245
00:10:16,559 --> 00:10:18,440
Speaker 4: shots they hit in the Big Twelve Tournament.

246
00:10:18,440 --> 00:10:19,360
Speaker 5: Now they lost to Houston.

247
00:10:19,400 --> 00:10:21,000
Speaker 4: Okay, so like that's one of those things where like

248
00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:23,280
Speaker 4: you run into Houston, it's a top five team in

249
00:10:23,320 --> 00:10:26,720
Speaker 4: the country, they're gonna stop you. But the way they

250
00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:29,840
Speaker 4: shot against Iowa State just confirmed that. Okay, it's not

251
00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:32,240
Speaker 4: just at BYU, because they shot like that at home

252
00:10:32,280 --> 00:10:32,680
Speaker 4: all year.

253
00:10:32,720 --> 00:10:34,920
Speaker 5: I mean, Kansas went there and had a historic loss.

254
00:10:35,000 --> 00:10:37,440
Speaker 4: Like teams going to BYU have had a really hard

255
00:10:37,480 --> 00:10:40,079
Speaker 4: time winning in Probo this year. But now they went

256
00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:41,840
Speaker 4: on the road to a neutral and they shot in

257
00:10:41,920 --> 00:10:44,679
Speaker 4: Kansas City the way they shot at home. So I

258
00:10:44,679 --> 00:10:47,079
Speaker 4: think BYU is one of those teams, and it's looking

259
00:10:47,080 --> 00:10:49,000
Speaker 4: at my sleeper teams, you know, to take a deep

260
00:10:49,040 --> 00:10:52,439
Speaker 4: run here at twenty to one, you got BYU potentially

261
00:10:52,480 --> 00:10:55,000
Speaker 4: going to the final four. I like their draw, I

262
00:10:55,120 --> 00:10:57,640
Speaker 4: like their coach, I like their talent, and they shoot

263
00:10:57,679 --> 00:11:00,640
Speaker 4: the basketball as well as anybody in the country. I'm

264
00:11:00,679 --> 00:11:03,120
Speaker 4: a big BYU fan, So I have a hard time

265
00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:05,360
Speaker 4: fading BYU in this bracket because I do think b

266
00:11:05,480 --> 00:11:06,640
Speaker 4: YU is gonna be a problem.

267
00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:07,400
Speaker 3: That is.

268
00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:09,600
Speaker 1: Our next category is the kind of favorite long shot

269
00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:12,000
Speaker 1: bet to make the final four. You mentioned BYU twenty

270
00:11:12,000 --> 00:11:14,120
Speaker 1: to one. How do you like them matching up with

271
00:11:14,280 --> 00:11:16,280
Speaker 1: I mean, theoretically Duke on the other side of this

272
00:11:16,360 --> 00:11:19,520
Speaker 1: region in the final four, in the Elite eight to

273
00:11:19,520 --> 00:11:20,480
Speaker 1: get to the final four.

274
00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:23,360
Speaker 4: So I'm making this play because it's a long shot, right,

275
00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:25,480
Speaker 4: So we're talking about twenty to one. The way I

276
00:11:25,520 --> 00:11:27,439
Speaker 4: would do this is take the twenty to one pre

277
00:11:27,520 --> 00:11:29,640
Speaker 4: flop before we start. They go up against Duke, and

278
00:11:29,640 --> 00:11:31,400
Speaker 4: you're gonna be able to take back whatever you want

279
00:11:31,440 --> 00:11:33,880
Speaker 4: on Duke and guarantee yourself a ten to one return.

280
00:11:34,280 --> 00:11:37,080
Speaker 4: If Cooper Flag is playing for Duke legitimately playing and

281
00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:39,000
Speaker 4: I think by the Elite eight, Cooper Flag is playing

282
00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:43,160
Speaker 4: for Duke. They're not beating Duke like BYU doesn't have

283
00:11:43,240 --> 00:11:47,199
Speaker 4: the horses to handle. They can't guard Cooper Flag like

284
00:11:47,240 --> 00:11:48,920
Speaker 4: there's no one who, I mean really nobody in the

285
00:11:48,920 --> 00:11:51,000
Speaker 4: country is anybody who can really shut down and guard

286
00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:54,080
Speaker 4: Cooper Flag at his size and his athletic ability. So

287
00:11:54,280 --> 00:11:57,040
Speaker 4: to me, take the long shot the twenty to one BYU.

288
00:11:57,160 --> 00:11:58,880
Speaker 4: If they do make the Elite eight, you know you

289
00:11:58,920 --> 00:12:00,440
Speaker 4: got a heck of a chance to go ahead and

290
00:12:00,480 --> 00:12:03,240
Speaker 4: fade that and go ahead and have gar I think

291
00:12:03,240 --> 00:12:05,160
Speaker 4: you're guaranteed used of profit because I do Thinkduke would

292
00:12:05,160 --> 00:12:05,640
Speaker 4: win that game.

293
00:12:05,920 --> 00:12:08,679
Speaker 1: I would love to see even before that matchup BYU

294
00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:11,000
Speaker 1: against Alabama in the Seat sixteen because that would be

295
00:12:11,000 --> 00:12:14,200
Speaker 1: two top twelve teams on Ken Palm offensively, which be

296
00:12:14,320 --> 00:12:14,680
Speaker 1: very fun.

297
00:12:15,160 --> 00:12:17,880
Speaker 2: That's a two hundred total total.

298
00:12:18,679 --> 00:12:20,720
Speaker 4: If you can't play defense, you can't win in March.

299
00:12:21,360 --> 00:12:24,959
Speaker 4: I mean period, you can't win. I'm this love affair

300
00:12:25,000 --> 00:12:28,280
Speaker 4: with Alabama. I watched them. I was at the SEC tournament,

301
00:12:28,720 --> 00:12:31,679
Speaker 4: telling you Alabama is a problem. They have a big

302
00:12:31,760 --> 00:12:35,440
Speaker 4: issue when it comes to what Sears does. He shoots

303
00:12:35,480 --> 00:12:38,160
Speaker 4: them into games, he shoots them out of games. They've

304
00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:41,200
Speaker 4: got size, but they've got a lot of inconsistency up

305
00:12:41,240 --> 00:12:44,199
Speaker 4: and down that roster. Alabama might be one of those

306
00:12:44,200 --> 00:12:47,000
Speaker 4: teams we're talking about going home after one game, Like

307
00:12:47,040 --> 00:12:48,720
Speaker 4: you want to talk about the shocker of the entire

308
00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:50,760
Speaker 4: tournament that Bama would lose their first game.

309
00:12:51,280 --> 00:12:53,640
Speaker 1: Terrell, who's your long shot bet to make the Final four?

310
00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:57,520
Speaker 2: Give me Oregon at thirty one to one. Because it's

311
00:12:57,559 --> 00:13:00,000
Speaker 2: the whole Duke thing again. So we're telling me that

312
00:13:00,120 --> 00:13:02,679
Speaker 2: there's a potential that if Oregon gets that far and

313
00:13:02,720 --> 00:13:04,840
Speaker 2: a granted, Liberty is a good squad, so you have

314
00:13:04,920 --> 00:13:06,920
Speaker 2: to get past Liberty. But if they get that far

315
00:13:07,000 --> 00:13:09,360
Speaker 2: with data Autman, who is really really good in the

316
00:13:09,360 --> 00:13:11,360
Speaker 2: tournament against the spread, and you're telling me that he's

317
00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:13,400
Speaker 2: covering these numbers and he has a chance to win,

318
00:13:13,640 --> 00:13:15,960
Speaker 2: and he's going up against Cooper Flag and this duke team,

319
00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:18,599
Speaker 2: who I question in late game situations.

320
00:13:18,800 --> 00:13:20,240
Speaker 3: I think that they're really really good.

321
00:13:20,280 --> 00:13:22,200
Speaker 2: But if you push them and you make this a

322
00:13:22,200 --> 00:13:25,000
Speaker 2: competitive late game situation, I mean it took a freaking

323
00:13:25,080 --> 00:13:27,960
Speaker 2: lane violation for them to get past North Carolina. So

324
00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:31,320
Speaker 2: I think that is really really good opportunity where Data

325
00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:33,600
Speaker 2: Altman can coach that team up and knock off a

326
00:13:33,679 --> 00:13:35,439
Speaker 2: duke in that side of the bracket. And once you

327
00:13:35,520 --> 00:13:37,440
Speaker 2: knock off duke on that side of bracket, then I

328
00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:41,079
Speaker 2: think all the floodgates open. So yeah, I like Oregon

329
00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:43,240
Speaker 2: and Dana Aughtman to figure this out thirty one to

330
00:13:43,280 --> 00:13:44,960
Speaker 2: one just to make it to the final four.

331
00:13:45,120 --> 00:13:47,760
Speaker 1: Yes, please, Yeah, prob what do you think about this one?

332
00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:50,160
Speaker 1: I don't want to just like totally discount the losing streak,

333
00:13:50,240 --> 00:13:52,480
Speaker 1: but they lost six out of seven at that stretch

334
00:13:52,480 --> 00:13:54,600
Speaker 1: in kind of late January early February. Besides that, they

335
00:13:54,640 --> 00:13:56,360
Speaker 1: have two losses all year, so this is a good team.

336
00:13:57,040 --> 00:14:01,240
Speaker 4: Oh look, I cover Dana Altman at craig In really closely,

337
00:14:01,320 --> 00:14:05,120
Speaker 4: so I have ties to that program. I'm biased when

338
00:14:05,160 --> 00:14:07,000
Speaker 4: it comes to Oregon. You don't have to convince me

339
00:14:07,080 --> 00:14:09,040
Speaker 4: to take Oregon in the dance. When it comes to

340
00:14:09,040 --> 00:14:11,559
Speaker 4: in Altman in tournaments, whether it be at Creighton or Oregon,

341
00:14:11,880 --> 00:14:14,360
Speaker 4: the guy's an absolute wizard. He may be the best

342
00:14:14,400 --> 00:14:18,320
Speaker 4: coach in America nobody talks about. He has incredible ability

343
00:14:18,640 --> 00:14:19,520
Speaker 4: quick turns.

344
00:14:19,640 --> 00:14:21,520
Speaker 5: For Oregon. Watch what they do.

345
00:14:21,560 --> 00:14:23,600
Speaker 4: If they win their first game, they will have a

346
00:14:23,640 --> 00:14:26,440
Speaker 4: completely different game plan the next game, and it will

347
00:14:26,440 --> 00:14:29,200
Speaker 4: both fuddle the opponent as to who they're facing and

348
00:14:29,320 --> 00:14:32,880
Speaker 4: cause them really trouble to figure out the press. For Oregon,

349
00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:36,040
Speaker 4: historically speaking, Dana has been a pressing coach. He likes

350
00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:38,840
Speaker 4: to do some token pressure that really makes teams get

351
00:14:38,840 --> 00:14:41,600
Speaker 4: out of their offensive sets. Oregon loves to play under

352
00:14:41,680 --> 00:14:44,800
Speaker 4: games in tournaments for that reason. Yes, I can get

353
00:14:44,840 --> 00:14:46,760
Speaker 4: behind any Oregon bet you want to give me, I'll

354
00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:47,240
Speaker 4: get behind.

355
00:14:47,880 --> 00:14:49,880
Speaker 1: If you want to build the perfect bracket and take

356
00:14:49,920 --> 00:14:53,000
Speaker 1: down your pool, use the free bracket Optimizer at Bettingpros

357
00:14:53,040 --> 00:14:56,600
Speaker 1: dot com slash bracket. Optimize your picks using advanced data

358
00:14:56,640 --> 00:14:58,640
Speaker 1: and betting odds, lock in your favorites and will do

359
00:14:58,680 --> 00:15:01,960
Speaker 1: the rest. Find key mat and smart upset picks instantly

360
00:15:02,040 --> 00:15:06,000
Speaker 1: make your best bracket at bettingpros dot com slash Bracket.

361
00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:07,960
Speaker 1: All right, so we talk about favorite long shot to

362
00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:09,400
Speaker 1: make the final four. How about a favorite long shot

363
00:15:09,440 --> 00:15:10,040
Speaker 1: bet to win.

364
00:15:09,920 --> 00:15:11,720
Speaker 5: It all for all Tennessee.

365
00:15:12,320 --> 00:15:15,280
Speaker 4: So I'm a narrative guy when it comes to the tournaments.

366
00:15:15,800 --> 00:15:18,600
Speaker 4: This Rick Barnes story is so crazy. Rick Barnes has

367
00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:20,920
Speaker 4: done everything except win a national championship. And people will

368
00:15:20,960 --> 00:15:22,880
Speaker 4: tell you that this BET's horrible, just based on Rick

369
00:15:22,920 --> 00:15:26,160
Speaker 4: Barnes alone, that they cannot win a championships because Tennessee

370
00:15:26,160 --> 00:15:29,040
Speaker 4: is coached by Rick Barnes. Well why not this year?

371
00:15:29,360 --> 00:15:32,720
Speaker 4: And that whole conversation. Do they have the talent absolutely,

372
00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:33,800
Speaker 4: Do they have the point guard?

373
00:15:33,960 --> 00:15:34,280
Speaker 5: Yes?

374
00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:37,840
Speaker 4: Do they have a killer yes? How's their draw not bad?

375
00:15:37,960 --> 00:15:39,440
Speaker 4: Do they play a killer schedule?

376
00:15:39,680 --> 00:15:42,920
Speaker 5: Yes? Are they playing good basketball right now? Of course?

377
00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:45,440
Speaker 4: Look, I think the volunteers have as much of a

378
00:15:45,480 --> 00:15:48,000
Speaker 4: shot as anybody here. Out of a two seed they

379
00:15:48,040 --> 00:15:50,480
Speaker 4: play defense as well as anyone in the country. You

380
00:15:50,480 --> 00:15:52,560
Speaker 4: could say it's Saint John's in them, the two best

381
00:15:52,560 --> 00:15:55,560
Speaker 4: defensive teams in the country. If they hit shots, they

382
00:15:55,560 --> 00:15:58,320
Speaker 4: can beat anybody in the country. It's always that offensive

383
00:15:58,400 --> 00:15:59,760
Speaker 4: question when it comes to the balls.

384
00:16:00,560 --> 00:16:02,800
Speaker 1: Jay Wright couldn't win it all until he did. Tony

385
00:16:02,800 --> 00:16:05,320
Speaker 1: Bennett couldn't win it all until he did. Rick Barnes

386
00:16:05,640 --> 00:16:07,680
Speaker 1: couldn't win it all. Maybe he will. I like this

387
00:16:07,680 --> 00:16:09,920
Speaker 1: one a lot too, especially like looking at Kenpom. We

388
00:16:09,960 --> 00:16:11,600
Speaker 1: talked about this a little bit yesterday. The four to

389
00:16:11,640 --> 00:16:15,000
Speaker 1: one seeds are historically strong. In terms of the efficiency metrics.

390
00:16:15,320 --> 00:16:19,000
Speaker 1: Tennessee is fifth, and in most years a plus thirty

391
00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:21,160
Speaker 1: one net rating on ken Pom would be good enough

392
00:16:21,160 --> 00:16:24,000
Speaker 1: for one of the top two seeds in the entire term.

393
00:16:24,480 --> 00:16:26,840
Speaker 1: They're a very very strong team. It just happens to

394
00:16:26,840 --> 00:16:29,640
Speaker 1: be a year with four other ridiculously strong teams. I

395
00:16:29,680 --> 00:16:32,640
Speaker 1: agree that the draw is not that scary, like in

396
00:16:32,680 --> 00:16:34,560
Speaker 1: the slightest really, when we were doing kind of our

397
00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:36,760
Speaker 1: shoot from the hip final four picks last night, I

398
00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:38,680
Speaker 1: had them to make the title game and then ultimately

399
00:16:38,720 --> 00:16:40,720
Speaker 1: losing the title game. But I am totally with you

400
00:16:40,760 --> 00:16:43,520
Speaker 1: on Tennessee. I love that as a bet right now,

401
00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:46,760
Speaker 1: even with the Rick Barnes of it all. Terrell, what

402
00:16:46,800 --> 00:16:47,760
Speaker 1: do you think about Tennessee.

403
00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:50,560
Speaker 2: It's the Rick Barnes piece, like it's the Rick Barns piece,

404
00:16:50,600 --> 00:16:54,000
Speaker 2: and if he gets past and exercises those demons, then yeah,

405
00:16:54,040 --> 00:16:57,520
Speaker 2: it looks good. But I think that is interesting part

406
00:16:57,560 --> 00:16:59,680
Speaker 2: of the bracket. I'm kind of sold. And we'll talk

407
00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:02,880
Speaker 2: about on another team on that side and them making

408
00:17:02,920 --> 00:17:04,280
Speaker 2: it and so that kind of got me off at

409
00:17:04,280 --> 00:17:07,199
Speaker 2: Tennessee here, but I don't like the Tennessee look for me.

410
00:17:08,200 --> 00:17:10,280
Speaker 2: I actually changed my mind multiple times and changed it

411
00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:13,879
Speaker 2: again as we started. Michigan State already.

412
00:17:13,640 --> 00:17:16,440
Speaker 3: Won one though.

413
00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:18,800
Speaker 2: This is the best team Izzo's had in a while

414
00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:21,520
Speaker 2: that can do this, and I think that if they

415
00:17:21,560 --> 00:17:25,080
Speaker 2: can just find a way to score the basketball consistently,

416
00:17:25,160 --> 00:17:27,479
Speaker 2: especially from behind the three point line, they are going

417
00:17:27,520 --> 00:17:30,199
Speaker 2: to be really, really, really dangerous. The defense is an

418
00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:34,239
Speaker 2: astronomical level. I think that Auburn does get messed up

419
00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:38,200
Speaker 2: getting Louisville potentially in Kentucky. If that gets is, if

420
00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:42,240
Speaker 2: that's the thing, the perfect situation that gets Auburn out

421
00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:44,800
Speaker 2: of this side of the bracket, then I think Michigan State,

422
00:17:44,920 --> 00:17:47,359
Speaker 2: after the great season they had and how they performed

423
00:17:47,400 --> 00:17:49,359
Speaker 2: in a Big SANS tournament, I think that they're licking

424
00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:50,919
Speaker 2: their chops a little bit and they can go in

425
00:17:50,960 --> 00:17:52,439
Speaker 2: here and make a little bit of a run. So

426
00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:54,840
Speaker 2: if I had and they're right there on the borderline.

427
00:17:54,840 --> 00:17:56,840
Speaker 2: You know how we talk about top twenty ken palm

428
00:17:56,880 --> 00:18:00,160
Speaker 2: in offense defense, the twenty seven in offense and two

429
00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:02,040
Speaker 2: win defense on campound, So they're right there on the

430
00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:05,000
Speaker 2: borderline and maybe some things move right in their favor.

431
00:18:05,040 --> 00:18:06,600
Speaker 2: Give me Michigan State at thirty one.

432
00:18:06,560 --> 00:18:09,440
Speaker 4: To one, three hundred and twenty seventh. Though Terrell and

433
00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:13,199
Speaker 4: three point shooting, they can't shoot. They can't shoot like

434
00:18:13,280 --> 00:18:16,120
Speaker 4: I can't get behind Michigan State for that reason. They

435
00:18:16,359 --> 00:18:19,040
Speaker 4: defensively fine, but look what they played in the Big

436
00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:21,680
Speaker 4: Ten tournament. And I don't mind backing teams early in

437
00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:24,240
Speaker 4: the tournament. I think Michigan State's a good play. ATS wise,

438
00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:25,720
Speaker 4: think they're a good play. But once we get to

439
00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:28,879
Speaker 4: the sweet sixteen in the second weekend, I don't like

440
00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:29,880
Speaker 4: this Michigan team.

441
00:18:30,080 --> 00:18:32,280
Speaker 5: I'm a Michigan State team. I don't like any of

442
00:18:32,280 --> 00:18:33,840
Speaker 5: the Big Ten teams, to be quite honest, I don't

443
00:18:33,920 --> 00:18:36,200
Speaker 5: like Michigan. I don't like Maryland. I like Michigan State.

444
00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:37,960
Speaker 4: I think as we go into the tournament, I think

445
00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:40,600
Speaker 4: the Big Ten gets exposed. I was stunded how many

446
00:18:40,760 --> 00:18:43,280
Speaker 4: Big Ten teams got in. I watched a lot of

447
00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:45,240
Speaker 4: Big Ten basketball. I was like, what are we doing?

448
00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:47,960
Speaker 4: Why are there this many Big Ten teams getting in?

449
00:18:48,160 --> 00:18:50,360
Speaker 4: And we still saw you know, two teams in Indiana

450
00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:52,560
Speaker 4: and Ohio State both getting being left out out of

451
00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:54,320
Speaker 4: the Big Ten and they're ticked off in angry.

452
00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:56,120
Speaker 5: So there could have been ten teams from the Big

453
00:18:56,160 --> 00:18:57,800
Speaker 5: Ten in this in this bracket.

454
00:18:58,000 --> 00:19:01,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, Michigan State's interesting. They obviously are such a deep team.

455
00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:03,720
Speaker 1: It's been their calling card all year. The defense is great,

456
00:19:03,760 --> 00:19:06,240
Speaker 1: they won, you know, probably the second best conference in

457
00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:08,560
Speaker 1: college basketball this year. And yet I look at the

458
00:19:08,600 --> 00:19:10,800
Speaker 1: team and I'm like, besides Jace Richardson, who's the star

459
00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:13,240
Speaker 1: that steps up? Like, really when it matters most and

460
00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:15,280
Speaker 1: it goes out and wins you a game? Like so

461
00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:19,920
Speaker 1: much of their success is dependent on the depth, the effort,

462
00:19:20,119 --> 00:19:22,919
Speaker 1: the tom Izzo of it all. It's not necessarily the

463
00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:24,359
Speaker 1: players in a way it is for some of the

464
00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:26,840
Speaker 1: other top one or two seeds, So that that does

465
00:19:26,880 --> 00:19:29,560
Speaker 1: make me a little nervous on that side of it.

466
00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:31,160
Speaker 1: But but like you said, I mean it is tom Izzo.

467
00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:33,480
Speaker 1: He's one of what six or seven coaches in this

468
00:19:33,520 --> 00:19:36,000
Speaker 1: tournament to have won a title before, so it's not

469
00:19:36,000 --> 00:19:38,880
Speaker 1: like there's that many of them. Obviously obviously a great

470
00:19:38,920 --> 00:19:40,800
Speaker 1: coach there. Let's go to kind of along those lines,

471
00:19:41,359 --> 00:19:43,440
Speaker 1: the worst value bet to win it all, p I'll

472
00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:44,000
Speaker 1: start with you here.

473
00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:47,399
Speaker 4: Florida four to one, best team in the country, deepest

474
00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:50,159
Speaker 4: team of the country, hottest team of the country, be

475
00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:54,760
Speaker 4: winning the most historic conference we've ever seen. It's four

476
00:19:54,840 --> 00:19:57,040
Speaker 4: to one. I have a much better ticket on it.

477
00:19:57,080 --> 00:20:00,879
Speaker 4: But I've been backing the Gators literally since January. I

478
00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:03,080
Speaker 4: saw nothing over the weekend that's going to change my

479
00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:05,480
Speaker 4: opinion about the way that they play. They've got the

480
00:20:05,560 --> 00:20:07,480
Speaker 4: killer guard that you need. They've got a point guard

481
00:20:07,520 --> 00:20:09,520
Speaker 4: that doesn't turn the basketball over. They have a young

482
00:20:09,520 --> 00:20:12,040
Speaker 4: and hungry coach that wants to prove himself and show

483
00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:13,320
Speaker 4: he's among the elite.

484
00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:14,720
Speaker 5: Give me Florida all day.

485
00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:17,600
Speaker 1: I think he is among the elite. We talked about

486
00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:19,600
Speaker 1: that a little yesterday too. I think Todd Golden is

487
00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:23,520
Speaker 1: an excellent, excellent coach. And I said this last night too.

488
00:20:23,520 --> 00:20:26,000
Speaker 1: I texted my friend who's in Florida, love the day

489
00:20:26,000 --> 00:20:27,720
Speaker 1: they hired him, and I said, he's making a Final

490
00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:29,760
Speaker 1: four in the first three years he's in Florida. Like,

491
00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:32,080
Speaker 1: I think he's that good, So I'm not surprised that

492
00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:33,720
Speaker 1: he's been playing this this crazy well.

493
00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:36,359
Speaker 4: They're currently the odds on favorite. There were four to

494
00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:38,200
Speaker 4: one last night. They're plus two to fifty.

495
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:40,160
Speaker 5: Now, so everyone's came in to bet two to fifty.

496
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:42,160
Speaker 5: I bet i'mgm there. The odds on favorite.

497
00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:44,560
Speaker 4: Duke is a Duke at some books still has plus

498
00:20:44,600 --> 00:20:45,880
Speaker 4: two sixty plus two.

499
00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:47,119
Speaker 5: And that's a little bit of a better value.

500
00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:49,200
Speaker 2: I can't make a two plus two to sixty bet

501
00:20:49,200 --> 00:20:51,480
Speaker 2: on Duke. I just think it's too many things that

502
00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:54,600
Speaker 2: could go wrong with trying to insert two hurt players

503
00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:57,159
Speaker 2: back into the lineup and hope that they have the

504
00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:59,480
Speaker 2: regular production, like they could be in there and be

505
00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:02,639
Speaker 2: going as sixty percent, like we don't really know, And

506
00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:05,840
Speaker 2: so I cannot place a bet on Duke at those odds.

507
00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:08,200
Speaker 2: I'd rather just play them game to game and watch

508
00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:09,000
Speaker 2: what I'm doing there.

509
00:21:09,040 --> 00:21:10,760
Speaker 3: But Duke is one team I can't.

510
00:21:10,520 --> 00:21:13,280
Speaker 1: Bet, So let's go into our favorite bet to win

511
00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:15,720
Speaker 1: it all and Perau, you do still have Florida here,

512
00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:17,119
Speaker 1: just that better odds you got earlier.

513
00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:19,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, I got to attend to one. So like my

514
00:21:19,840 --> 00:21:22,040
Speaker 4: my favorite future bet on the on the Dance is Florida.

515
00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:24,040
Speaker 4: I have two plays with Iowa State at twenty to

516
00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:26,120
Speaker 4: one in Florida at ten to one. The Iowa State

517
00:21:26,160 --> 00:21:28,919
Speaker 4: BET's dead, there's too many injuries. Cyclones could lose their

518
00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:31,800
Speaker 4: first game given the injuries that they have suffered. But Florida,

519
00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:34,360
Speaker 4: I think is still the team to back. I think

520
00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:36,080
Speaker 4: you can shop it around if you don't want to

521
00:21:36,080 --> 00:21:38,080
Speaker 4: play the Florida one. I'll talk about what I'm doing

522
00:21:38,080 --> 00:21:39,920
Speaker 4: with Houston and Duke here in a second. But there's

523
00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:42,720
Speaker 4: ways you can play Florida from a game to game

524
00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:43,919
Speaker 4: perspective if you want.

525
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:45,919
Speaker 5: I just think if you look at the odds and

526
00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:47,080
Speaker 5: look at the four teams.

527
00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:50,280
Speaker 4: I'm not trying to totally disrespect Auburn as the number

528
00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:52,960
Speaker 4: one overall seed, but as Terrell said, they got a

529
00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:55,840
Speaker 4: very difficult game potentially in the second round in Lexington,

530
00:21:55,880 --> 00:21:58,760
Speaker 4: Kentucky against Louisville, but also on top of that, the

531
00:21:58,840 --> 00:22:01,359
Speaker 4: Yale game last year for Auburn and Bruce.

532
00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:03,439
Speaker 5: Pearl still really rings true to me.

533
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:06,800
Speaker 4: I can't get that out of my head that Auburn

534
00:22:06,840 --> 00:22:09,240
Speaker 4: consistently has been the team that has gone into these

535
00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:12,679
Speaker 4: tournaments and been exposed by a different style of play

536
00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:15,719
Speaker 4: because they've been playing in one conference for two months,

537
00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:18,359
Speaker 4: a very similar style. I mean every game I was

538
00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:20,919
Speaker 4: again I was in Nashville, like every game was the same.

539
00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:23,400
Speaker 4: Every offense in the SEC is pretty much the same.

540
00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:26,240
Speaker 4: They have athletic bigs that shoot threes, they have guards

541
00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:28,359
Speaker 4: that get into the lane and kick out to the wing.

542
00:22:28,560 --> 00:22:30,080
Speaker 5: And that's just college basketball.

543
00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:32,400
Speaker 4: But if you play a team that's gonna play differently,

544
00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:34,240
Speaker 4: and all of a sudden, you're taking on a Mountain

545
00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:36,800
Speaker 4: West Conference team or a team that's gonna do something

546
00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:39,240
Speaker 4: you're not ready for, or a team like Creighton who's

547
00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:41,040
Speaker 4: got a big guy who wants to slow it down

548
00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:43,760
Speaker 4: and throw lobs every day every game. I mean, there's

549
00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:46,960
Speaker 4: nobody that you really go, Okay, Auburn's gonna lose to anyone.

550
00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:49,080
Speaker 4: They're one of the best five teams in the country.

551
00:22:49,359 --> 00:22:51,600
Speaker 4: But I can't get behind Auburn for that reason. I

552
00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:54,400
Speaker 4: feel like they've got upset potential written all over them.

553
00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:56,160
Speaker 1: I'm glad you mentioned Auburn. I was actually gonna bring

554
00:22:56,200 --> 00:22:58,080
Speaker 1: up the fact that we haven't really said their name

555
00:22:58,119 --> 00:23:00,719
Speaker 1: all that much yet on this episode, and they are

556
00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:01,600
Speaker 1: the number one overall.

557
00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:06,200
Speaker 2: See, they've got they've got brew.

558
00:23:06,280 --> 00:23:09,199
Speaker 1: Obviously when Player of the Year candidate thinking about Bruce Pearl,

559
00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:11,280
Speaker 1: like we were just talking about Rick Barnes, he's been

560
00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:13,320
Speaker 1: at Auburn for a decade and he's gotten to the

561
00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:15,200
Speaker 1: second weekend once. He was that final four run in

562
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:18,800
Speaker 1: twenty nineteen. That's it. Like they have not gotten out

563
00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:22,120
Speaker 1: any other year. And you know that that last year

564
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:24,280
Speaker 1: when I had them in the final four last year,

565
00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:25,800
Speaker 1: So so last year's really hurt me.

566
00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 4: And they're stumbling on. I mean they've lost one, they've

567
00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:32,640
Speaker 4: lost three of fiction. Yeah, things are not going great

568
00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:34,919
Speaker 4: for Auburn at the moment. And I've watched Auburn closely

569
00:23:34,920 --> 00:23:37,399
Speaker 4: because one of my good friends, his sons, Simon Walker,

570
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:39,200
Speaker 4: is a four star recruit that's going to play next

571
00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:41,480
Speaker 4: year for Bruce Pearl and Auburn. So I've been watching

572
00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:43,480
Speaker 4: them and going like, Okay, let's see what this team does.

573
00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:45,719
Speaker 4: They've got a lot of guys who I think are

574
00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:48,240
Speaker 4: looking at their paychecks and looking at what's going to

575
00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:51,119
Speaker 4: happen in the future, and maybe looking at either transfer portal,

576
00:23:51,160 --> 00:23:54,360
Speaker 4: looking at nil money or looking at the NBA. And

577
00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:57,480
Speaker 4: I mean, Petway's an unbelievable guard. He's gone like he's

578
00:23:57,560 --> 00:23:59,280
Speaker 4: going to the NBA next year, is going to be

579
00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:01,840
Speaker 4: a lottery pick thing next year. So like, there's different

580
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:04,840
Speaker 4: players on that roster that concern me about the NAA

581
00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:07,000
Speaker 4: tournament going, all right, do they really want to make

582
00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:10,160
Speaker 4: this sacrifice? Are they going to make a business decision

583
00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:13,280
Speaker 4: when it comes to how they play in this tournament?

584
00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:15,240
Speaker 5: And they're going to have a war on their hands

585
00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:16,600
Speaker 5: potentially in the second round.

586
00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:18,720
Speaker 1: Terrell, what's your favorite bet to win it all?

587
00:24:19,280 --> 00:24:22,800
Speaker 2: I'm going with Houston. I think is going to be

588
00:24:22,840 --> 00:24:25,680
Speaker 2: able to get it done. They have all the intangibles.

589
00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:27,840
Speaker 2: You talk about those teams that got to be the

590
00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:30,600
Speaker 2: top twenty Ken Palm, that's Houston. They're right there. We

591
00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:33,560
Speaker 2: talk about the teams that nobody's really talking about. Nobody's

592
00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:35,720
Speaker 2: really talking about Houston as the fourth to one seed,

593
00:24:36,080 --> 00:24:38,879
Speaker 2: and it's because of what happened earlier in the season.

594
00:24:38,920 --> 00:24:41,080
Speaker 2: They took those couple of losses, everybody kind of wrote

595
00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:43,119
Speaker 2: them off. Oh Houston's not going to be that team.

596
00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:45,920
Speaker 2: They're gonna be good, maybe a top ten, top fifteen team,

597
00:24:46,080 --> 00:24:48,040
Speaker 2: And then they just go and run through the Big

598
00:24:48,119 --> 00:24:51,720
Speaker 2: Twelve with no resistance at all. They lost one game.

599
00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:54,840
Speaker 2: I think Houston's playing some of the best basketball. I

600
00:24:54,880 --> 00:24:58,080
Speaker 2: think they have the guards that are not only able

601
00:24:58,119 --> 00:25:00,720
Speaker 2: to defend, but able to score in the clutch time,

602
00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:03,720
Speaker 2: Like they went to Uzan in that Big Twelve championship

603
00:25:03,720 --> 00:25:06,240
Speaker 2: game and every single possession started with Uzan and he's

604
00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:07,480
Speaker 2: not even the best player on the team.

605
00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:08,800
Speaker 3: Like they're so deep.

606
00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:11,280
Speaker 2: And I think that if Camus selfson ever had a

607
00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:14,119
Speaker 2: team to make a run with Houston, now is the

608
00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:16,400
Speaker 2: time to make the run. He's got into the final four.

609
00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:18,320
Speaker 2: He understands what it takes to coach a team to.

610
00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:18,920
Speaker 3: The final four.

611
00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:21,960
Speaker 2: Now I think he finally gets close to the mountaintop.

612
00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:24,159
Speaker 2: So if this is not Florida, I think is Houston.

613
00:25:24,840 --> 00:25:26,600
Speaker 1: I I know they say like the tournament doesn't really

614
00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:28,639
Speaker 1: start till a one seed loses, So this is true

615
00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:30,440
Speaker 1: to a degree every year, but I feel like it's

616
00:25:30,720 --> 00:25:33,160
Speaker 1: to a higher degree than normal. It really does feel

617
00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:35,160
Speaker 1: like it's the one seeds versus the field, like they

618
00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:38,720
Speaker 1: are just so strong this year, you know, especially looking

619
00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:41,520
Speaker 1: at the metrics in a way that it feels different

620
00:25:41,560 --> 00:25:44,000
Speaker 1: than other years. We like a team like Tennessee. Right,

621
00:25:44,280 --> 00:25:46,680
Speaker 1: you know, Terrell talks about Michigan State making a run,

622
00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:49,600
Speaker 1: but it really feels like one of these four one

623
00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:51,159
Speaker 1: seeds is going to go all the way. When I

624
00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:52,400
Speaker 1: look at this field.

625
00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:53,560
Speaker 5: Well, it's not crazy.

626
00:25:53,560 --> 00:25:55,760
Speaker 4: And I've seen people that I respect their opinion saying

627
00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:58,000
Speaker 4: all four number one seeds will be in San Antonio,

628
00:25:58,080 --> 00:26:00,560
Speaker 4: and I don't really have too much of a pushback

629
00:26:00,600 --> 00:26:04,840
Speaker 4: on that, given the way that the NIL world has

630
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:08,760
Speaker 4: allowed the Power Conference teams to grab talent. If you

631
00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:11,080
Speaker 4: look at Auburn, I mean if you look at the SEC,

632
00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:14,120
Speaker 4: even every guy that was on the conferce, I think

633
00:26:14,119 --> 00:26:17,080
Speaker 4: the last five players did the player Conference Player of

634
00:26:17,119 --> 00:26:21,000
Speaker 4: the Year. The final five finalists were all at mid

635
00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:24,040
Speaker 4: majors last year, and like you just look at and

636
00:26:24,119 --> 00:26:26,399
Speaker 4: Or they started one or two years ago. They transferred

637
00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:29,520
Speaker 4: into the schools that they were at. So we're talking

638
00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:32,680
Speaker 4: about normally having a twelve seed, a thirteen seed, a

639
00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:35,639
Speaker 4: fourteen seed where they got one kid that could be

640
00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:39,080
Speaker 4: a star and a power conference. Well that kid no

641
00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:41,400
Speaker 4: longer plays at McNee States. You know, I know, Will

642
00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:44,000
Speaker 4: Wade's a popular pick, but Will Wade's going North Carolina

643
00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:46,320
Speaker 4: State or UNLV one of the two. He's getting one

644
00:26:46,359 --> 00:26:49,240
Speaker 4: of those two jobs. So like but like programs like that,

645
00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:52,840
Speaker 4: he would have one unbelievable star player that would take

646
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:54,640
Speaker 4: them to the tournament. And we spend all this time

647
00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:57,679
Speaker 4: talking about them. That doesn't really exist right now in

648
00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:00,320
Speaker 4: college basketball because if the kid could play, he got

649
00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:02,199
Speaker 4: a paycheck and he went to go play for a

650
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:05,480
Speaker 4: power conference school. So because of the depth of the powers,

651
00:27:05,520 --> 00:27:08,920
Speaker 4: You're right, the one Seeds, how deep they are. Houston absolutely,

652
00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:10,880
Speaker 4: they go eight deep. They can hurt you so many

653
00:27:10,920 --> 00:27:13,439
Speaker 4: different ways. Auburn goes eight deep, they can kill you.

654
00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:17,399
Speaker 4: Duke has got five top fifty players on their roster

655
00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:20,280
Speaker 4: and the player of the year. So if we sit

656
00:27:20,320 --> 00:27:22,920
Speaker 4: here in San Antonio and it's all four ones, not

657
00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:23,760
Speaker 4: gonna surprise me.

658
00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:27,240
Speaker 1: You can get your college basketball betting edge live by

659
00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:30,320
Speaker 1: joining Matt Pearl and Trell Furman Junior every Tuesday at

660
00:27:30,320 --> 00:27:33,240
Speaker 1: five point thirty pm Eastern on the Betting Pros YouTube

661
00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:36,040
Speaker 1: channel that's YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros for expert

662
00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:39,119
Speaker 1: NCAA tournament picks and betting breakdowns. Here are the best

663
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:42,080
Speaker 1: bets before the odds move. They'll of course be talking

664
00:27:42,080 --> 00:27:45,520
Speaker 1: about the tournament very heavily on that stream. I went

665
00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:47,600
Speaker 1: to kind of throw out a category just for you guys,

666
00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:49,840
Speaker 1: just any other general favorite bets that you have that

667
00:27:49,840 --> 00:27:52,119
Speaker 1: maybe didn't fall into one of the other discussions we

668
00:27:52,200 --> 00:27:53,800
Speaker 1: have anything stand out to you.

669
00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:56,320
Speaker 4: So I'm gonna take one hundred dollars and I'm gonna

670
00:27:56,400 --> 00:27:58,560
Speaker 4: roll it over every round for Houston and Duke. So

671
00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:01,560
Speaker 4: Houston and Duke to win thirty three cents with Houston,

672
00:28:01,560 --> 00:28:03,080
Speaker 4: you're gonna win fifteen cents with Duke.

673
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:04,600
Speaker 5: Okay, you're gonna win nothing.

674
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:07,560
Speaker 4: But as we start to go and you roll that

675
00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:10,880
Speaker 4: money line over, you're gonna have some pretty big numbers

676
00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:13,920
Speaker 4: potentially coming down the road. These are money line plays,

677
00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:15,960
Speaker 4: not just against the spread. Were just money line playing

678
00:28:15,960 --> 00:28:19,360
Speaker 4: and rolling it over. So that's how I'm going to approach.

679
00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:21,200
Speaker 4: I'm not gonna take two and a half to one.

680
00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:23,480
Speaker 4: It's ridiculous to do that. You could make way more

681
00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:26,639
Speaker 4: money betting this way than just rolling it over getting

682
00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:28,480
Speaker 4: him to the final four. So I think Houston is

683
00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:31,080
Speaker 4: making the final four. I'm not sure about Duke, but

684
00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,480
Speaker 4: I'm willing to at least back them to see.

685
00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:33,960
Speaker 5: What they're going to do.

686
00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:37,360
Speaker 4: In a Cooper flag plays, you're gonna have time between

687
00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:40,480
Speaker 4: games like the Sweet sixteen, and between the round to

688
00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:42,440
Speaker 4: thirty two and Sweet sixteen, you can start to see

689
00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:44,440
Speaker 4: what Duke looks like and whether you want to keep

690
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:48,040
Speaker 4: the experiment going. But that's how I'm playing Houston in Duke.

691
00:28:48,120 --> 00:28:50,320
Speaker 4: I'm not gonna bet anything pre flop. I'm just gonna

692
00:28:50,320 --> 00:28:52,680
Speaker 4: money line roll it over throughout the entire tournament.

693
00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:54,440
Speaker 1: Sure, what do you think about that rollover bet?

694
00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:55,000
Speaker 5: I like it.

695
00:28:55,360 --> 00:28:56,120
Speaker 3: I'm not mad at it.

696
00:28:56,360 --> 00:29:00,080
Speaker 2: I think that I haven't actually played that angle, but

697
00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:01,640
Speaker 2: I think it's a good angle because I think both

698
00:29:01,680 --> 00:29:04,000
Speaker 2: of those are my two final two, like those who

699
00:29:04,080 --> 00:29:06,040
Speaker 2: I think are the final two, and I think, you know,

700
00:29:06,600 --> 00:29:08,880
Speaker 2: it's a toss up between Florida and Houston. I would

701
00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:11,200
Speaker 2: love to see that type of matchup and those contrasts

702
00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:13,880
Speaker 2: and styles there. But yeah, I think that it's a

703
00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:16,560
Speaker 2: good play because ultimately, when I make my bracket, I'm

704
00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:18,280
Speaker 2: gonna have those two in the final two.

705
00:29:18,360 --> 00:29:19,840
Speaker 3: So I think that you're gonna make a lot of

706
00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:21,320
Speaker 3: money going sources. So yeah, I like it.

707
00:29:21,560 --> 00:29:23,080
Speaker 1: Were there any other kind of favorite bets that set

708
00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:23,720
Speaker 1: out for you, Trell?

709
00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:27,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, So I think what I'm gonna do is I'm

710
00:29:27,360 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 2: going to bet all the thirteen seeds on the money line.

711
00:29:30,360 --> 00:29:33,240
Speaker 2: As I look at the seeding one thirteen has been

712
00:29:33,280 --> 00:29:35,520
Speaker 2: a pretty good number that has gotten at least a

713
00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:38,200
Speaker 2: win and a number of different tournaments here. But also

714
00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:40,280
Speaker 2: I look at the teams and you get Yale going

715
00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:42,640
Speaker 2: up against Texas A and M, and oh man, that

716
00:29:42,640 --> 00:29:45,960
Speaker 2: one already just screens Auburn all over again from what

717
00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:48,600
Speaker 2: Yale did last year a different like Matt talked about

718
00:29:48,640 --> 00:29:50,600
Speaker 2: a different style playing at Texas A and M team

719
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:52,840
Speaker 2: they could potentially get the win out right there. Talk

720
00:29:52,880 --> 00:29:55,040
Speaker 2: about your Maryland Turpents and how I just don't trust

721
00:29:55,080 --> 00:29:56,920
Speaker 2: them in the tournament, so I wouldn't be surprised if

722
00:29:56,920 --> 00:30:00,080
Speaker 2: they dropped one. A high Point I think has a

723
00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:03,080
Speaker 2: really really good chance against Perdue, and I think high

724
00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:05,760
Speaker 2: Point can beat Perdue outright as well. If I get

725
00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:09,000
Speaker 2: two of these, and I didn't even mention and then

726
00:30:09,040 --> 00:30:12,520
Speaker 2: Akron against Arizona and I think Arizona can drop a game,

727
00:30:12,560 --> 00:30:14,880
Speaker 2: and we've seen Arizona dropping games in the tournament, and

728
00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:18,040
Speaker 2: so the thirteen seeds, they they I look at them

729
00:30:18,080 --> 00:30:19,800
Speaker 2: when I'm like, man, I don't know which one of

730
00:30:19,840 --> 00:30:21,800
Speaker 2: y'all are going to win, but I feel like two

731
00:30:21,840 --> 00:30:23,480
Speaker 2: of y'all are going to win. And if I two

732
00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:25,760
Speaker 2: of them win, I'm gonna be sitting pretty feasy. So

733
00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:28,520
Speaker 2: I'm taking money and I'm betting all the thirteen seeds

734
00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:29,120
Speaker 2: on the money line.

735
00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:30,680
Speaker 3: I think I'm gonna get two of those four.

736
00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:33,280
Speaker 5: And CBS had this yesterday.

737
00:30:33,360 --> 00:30:36,080
Speaker 4: If you want to follow that theory, in the last

738
00:30:36,320 --> 00:30:40,400
Speaker 4: five tournaments, fifty percent of the eleven seeds have won

739
00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:43,120
Speaker 4: the game outright over the sixth seed. So if you

740
00:30:43,160 --> 00:30:44,720
Speaker 4: want to go and talk about double digits, if you

741
00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 4: want to do that strategy, you're taking all thirteen pc.

742
00:30:47,280 --> 00:30:50,040
Speaker 4: You could go ahead all eleven seed, take all four

743
00:30:50,040 --> 00:30:51,840
Speaker 4: eleven seeds, and you're most likely going to get two

744
00:30:51,880 --> 00:30:54,280
Speaker 4: of them, and you're gonna wind up profitable by betting

745
00:30:54,360 --> 00:30:56,320
Speaker 4: all four eleven seed. You're gonna get plus you know,

746
00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:58,320
Speaker 4: three hundred plus four hundred. If two of them cash,

747
00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:00,640
Speaker 4: you're good. You're in the you're gonna be up big

748
00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:03,600
Speaker 4: if that holds. Were fifty percent of the teams win

749
00:31:03,920 --> 00:31:05,680
Speaker 4: the eleven seeds over the six seeds.

750
00:31:05,680 --> 00:31:07,080
Speaker 1: And speak of the eleven seeds, I'm not sure if

751
00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:08,600
Speaker 1: we're stilling the streaker or not, but there was a

752
00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:10,880
Speaker 1: stretch there where one of the play in game winners

753
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:14,000
Speaker 1: was winning a second game every single year, at least

754
00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:15,560
Speaker 1: one other game every single year.

755
00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:17,160
Speaker 5: I think it's Carolina.

756
00:31:17,360 --> 00:31:21,160
Speaker 4: I mean, I think they've got the talent, they've got

757
00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:23,720
Speaker 4: the nine lives. They got to feel like they got

758
00:31:23,720 --> 00:31:26,200
Speaker 4: to go justify themselves because you know what Hubert Davis

759
00:31:26,320 --> 00:31:29,320
Speaker 4: is going to do. Everyone is counting you guys out.

760
00:31:29,400 --> 00:31:32,360
Speaker 4: Everyone says you don't belong and RJ. Davis might just

761
00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:34,640
Speaker 4: go nuclear for two games and you know, shoot them

762
00:31:34,720 --> 00:31:35,600
Speaker 4: right into the second round.

763
00:31:35,680 --> 00:31:38,960
Speaker 2: And you have Chris Beard who is potentially going to

764
00:31:39,040 --> 00:31:41,640
Speaker 2: like five other schools after this, So you have that

765
00:31:41,760 --> 00:31:44,640
Speaker 2: angle that is always fun. And then the only thing

766
00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:46,880
Speaker 2: that concerns me about North Carolina is the fact that

767
00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:50,840
Speaker 2: the SEC really really put belt behind to an acc

768
00:31:51,040 --> 00:31:54,600
Speaker 2: this year and almost every single matchup they could. So

769
00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:56,720
Speaker 2: that's the only concern that I have for them is

770
00:31:56,760 --> 00:31:58,320
Speaker 2: that they get out of the first four, which I

771
00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:01,320
Speaker 2: feel pretty confident they will, and they go play an

772
00:32:01,360 --> 00:32:04,400
Speaker 2: SEC team, which typically has dominated the ACC over the

773
00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:08,240
Speaker 2: past couple of years. But yeah, very very I'm looking

774
00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:10,480
Speaker 2: at Texas too, man, because I was really really down

775
00:32:10,520 --> 00:32:13,080
Speaker 2: on Texas, but they got healthier and healthier and healthier,

776
00:32:13,280 --> 00:32:14,920
Speaker 2: and they went on a little bit of running at

777
00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:17,360
Speaker 2: SEC tournament. So if they come out of it and

778
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:19,000
Speaker 2: they decided to go on a little bit of run

779
00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:20,720
Speaker 2: one game or two, I wouldn't be surprised.

780
00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:23,840
Speaker 4: I'm so down on Texas, And then I watched them

781
00:32:23,840 --> 00:32:26,480
Speaker 4: and they, in my face, won two games, and I

782
00:32:26,520 --> 00:32:26,880
Speaker 4: was like, you.

783
00:32:26,880 --> 00:32:29,840
Speaker 5: Got to be kidding me. I mean, I'm with you.

784
00:32:29,960 --> 00:32:34,360
Speaker 4: I don't like Texas year, but they but they're playing well.

785
00:32:34,440 --> 00:32:37,160
Speaker 4: I mean, I think Arthur Koloma is such an absolute

786
00:32:37,200 --> 00:32:40,080
Speaker 4: cancer and every team he's gone to he's been problematic.

787
00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:42,720
Speaker 4: But he played really well in Nashville and he really

788
00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:44,880
Speaker 4: helped them out on the boards and hitting threes.

789
00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:46,520
Speaker 5: And like, I'm with you.

790
00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:50,440
Speaker 4: I'm not betting Texas because I'm clearly wrong with Texas,

791
00:32:50,840 --> 00:32:53,320
Speaker 4: but I don't think they're good, but they're playing well.

792
00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:55,360
Speaker 1: I want to just quickly ask pro because I saw

793
00:32:55,400 --> 00:32:57,520
Speaker 1: you kind of nodding when Torell was going through all

794
00:32:57,520 --> 00:33:00,120
Speaker 1: the thirteen seeds't we haven't talked much about pretty they

795
00:33:00,120 --> 00:33:02,200
Speaker 1: were in the title game last year. It's sounded like

796
00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:04,680
Speaker 1: you seem to like that pick of possibly high Point

797
00:33:04,760 --> 00:33:05,360
Speaker 1: upsetting them.

798
00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:07,360
Speaker 5: I love the high Point play. Yeah.

799
00:33:07,560 --> 00:33:09,800
Speaker 4: I think high Points got the potential, they got the coach,

800
00:33:10,120 --> 00:33:12,480
Speaker 4: They've got a lot of talent on that roster. I

801
00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:14,120
Speaker 4: think high Point is a team that were down in

802
00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:16,320
Speaker 4: their conference tournament a couple of times. They rallied and

803
00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:18,080
Speaker 4: came all the way back to win the thing. So

804
00:33:18,360 --> 00:33:20,520
Speaker 4: I think they've bet they're battle tested. They're not going

805
00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:22,760
Speaker 4: to be afraid of anybody in this tournament. And I

806
00:33:22,760 --> 00:33:25,560
Speaker 4: think if we're talking about teams that look like upset

807
00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:28,560
Speaker 4: makers in out of the mid majors, high Point fits

808
00:33:28,600 --> 00:33:31,080
Speaker 4: that bill of teams that want to go ahead and

809
00:33:31,120 --> 00:33:34,080
Speaker 4: be the David versus Goliath and take down Goliath.

810
00:33:34,960 --> 00:33:36,880
Speaker 5: I would back high Point for sure.

811
00:33:36,920 --> 00:33:39,600
Speaker 4: I would bet them definitely take the points, but money

812
00:33:39,600 --> 00:33:40,880
Speaker 4: line sprinkle on that play.

813
00:33:41,400 --> 00:33:44,240
Speaker 1: Prdue certainly has lost to double digit seeds in the

814
00:33:44,280 --> 00:33:46,320
Speaker 1: past on a number of occasions, including.

815
00:33:46,120 --> 00:33:48,560
Speaker 5: And I'm fading Big ten teams I'm fading the Big Ten.

816
00:33:48,920 --> 00:33:49,239
Speaker 5: I'm not.

817
00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:51,240
Speaker 4: I watched a lot of the Big Ten tournament and

818
00:33:51,280 --> 00:33:53,920
Speaker 4: I was like, oh my gosh, Wisconsin shoots way too

819
00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:56,480
Speaker 4: many threes. They can be any game in any game,

820
00:33:56,480 --> 00:33:57,920
Speaker 4: but they can shoot themselves out out.

821
00:33:57,800 --> 00:33:58,400
Speaker 5: Of any game.

822
00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:00,360
Speaker 4: I have no idea what Maryland was doing at the

823
00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:02,640
Speaker 4: end of the game against Michigan, like going back to

824
00:34:02,800 --> 00:34:04,760
Speaker 4: pep you know, eight year old.

825
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:08,760
Speaker 2: Basketball win that sort of like how that happens.

826
00:34:08,360 --> 00:34:11,480
Speaker 4: It's It's the simplest conversation. You have five seconds ago.

827
00:34:11,719 --> 00:34:13,680
Speaker 4: Donson's the only player on the court that could get

828
00:34:13,680 --> 00:34:16,800
Speaker 4: the ball from from the net to net in five seconds.

829
00:34:16,880 --> 00:34:19,000
Speaker 4: You know who what the play is, and how you

830
00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:21,000
Speaker 4: don't stop ball tackle the kid if you have to

831
00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:22,000
Speaker 4: make himIt free throws.

832
00:34:22,200 --> 00:34:24,200
Speaker 5: It was the singles I mean, I mean Kevin Willard,

833
00:34:24,560 --> 00:34:25,960
Speaker 5: I like the guy. I know you don't like it.

834
00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:28,520
Speaker 4: I actually like Kellvin Kevin Willard a lot, but that

835
00:34:28,680 --> 00:34:32,240
Speaker 4: was malpractice like that that game. I lost my mind

836
00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:34,480
Speaker 4: at the end of that game because of how basic

837
00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:37,000
Speaker 4: that play was and how Michigan won. And then the

838
00:34:37,040 --> 00:34:39,960
Speaker 4: same thing with yesterday with Wisconsin, like if the three

839
00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:42,600
Speaker 4: point shots not there, I mean normally Greg Guard's a

840
00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:44,480
Speaker 4: guy who can go ahead and change up his offense.

841
00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:49,120
Speaker 4: It was just jack three, jack three, jack three.

842
00:34:47,760 --> 00:34:49,640
Speaker 5: Watching that's all that.

843
00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:52,879
Speaker 2: Guys like they if this guy had does not hit

844
00:34:52,880 --> 00:34:54,600
Speaker 2: a shot, oh well just shoot it again. You might

845
00:34:54,640 --> 00:34:57,719
Speaker 2: hit the second time. Like that is then I cannot wait.

846
00:34:57,760 --> 00:34:59,960
Speaker 2: I should really be fading Wisconsin against Montanna.

847
00:35:00,160 --> 00:35:01,320
Speaker 3: I really really should.

848
00:35:01,560 --> 00:35:05,279
Speaker 4: It was malpracticed a whole tournament, and I'm watching Michigan State.

849
00:35:05,360 --> 00:35:08,600
Speaker 4: I'm like, Okay, is this team really good or is

850
00:35:08,640 --> 00:35:11,200
Speaker 4: this team just riding the coattails of Tom Izzo And

851
00:35:11,239 --> 00:35:14,400
Speaker 4: everyone's like, oh Izzo and March. Yeah, really because that

852
00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:17,280
Speaker 4: game against Wisconsin, they should have won that game against Wisconsin.

853
00:35:17,320 --> 00:35:19,160
Speaker 5: They shouldn't have lost that game. They should have won

854
00:35:19,200 --> 00:35:19,520
Speaker 5: that game.

855
00:35:19,520 --> 00:35:21,799
Speaker 4: They were up big in that game, up by nine

856
00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:23,080
Speaker 4: in the second half, and they blew it.

857
00:35:23,440 --> 00:35:25,640
Speaker 1: So like, yeah, I'm not even sure. Like if you

858
00:35:25,800 --> 00:35:28,000
Speaker 1: if you said, like you have to pick one Big

859
00:35:28,040 --> 00:35:30,600
Speaker 1: ten team to outperform their seed in this tournament, I'm

860
00:35:30,600 --> 00:35:33,440
Speaker 1: not even sure who I would want to back. It's

861
00:35:33,480 --> 00:35:34,280
Speaker 1: a great question.

862
00:35:34,440 --> 00:35:35,920
Speaker 3: I would form their seed.

863
00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:39,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, like to get at spring at least one upset

864
00:35:39,360 --> 00:35:39,920
Speaker 1: by seed.

865
00:35:40,080 --> 00:35:43,560
Speaker 2: I like, yeah, I mean, oh Man, because if you

866
00:35:43,560 --> 00:35:45,920
Speaker 2: put them up against Auburn, I don't think they're beating all.

867
00:35:45,960 --> 00:35:47,879
Speaker 3: The only reason I like Michigan State is a chance

868
00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:49,040
Speaker 3: that they don't play Auburn.

869
00:35:49,520 --> 00:35:51,799
Speaker 1: I think every single Big Ten team, if I had

870
00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:54,400
Speaker 1: to pick, they're going to underperform their seed or outperform

871
00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:56,520
Speaker 1: their seed. I'm picking underperformed. I can't think of one

872
00:35:56,520 --> 00:35:56,719
Speaker 1: that I.

873
00:35:57,560 --> 00:35:59,719
Speaker 4: Mean I would probably because I'm biased, I would pick

874
00:35:59,840 --> 00:36:02,040
Speaker 4: or if I had to pick one team to go,

875
00:36:03,600 --> 00:36:04,799
Speaker 4: oh my god.

876
00:36:08,280 --> 00:36:10,399
Speaker 3: Man, I thought he was about to say. I'm like, oh,

877
00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:11,840
Speaker 3: what seems he gonna say? Oregon.

878
00:36:12,520 --> 00:36:15,799
Speaker 5: Yeah, they're a big team. I agree, it's weird, but

879
00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:16,799
Speaker 5: they're a big team.

880
00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:20,160
Speaker 1: Maybe Illinois. And I don't like Illinois. I do like

881
00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:22,120
Speaker 1: the matchup with Kentucky because I think that would be

882
00:36:22,160 --> 00:36:24,120
Speaker 1: a back and forth game and they could I think

883
00:36:24,120 --> 00:36:25,960
Speaker 1: they could spring an upset over Kentucky if they get

884
00:36:25,960 --> 00:36:28,000
Speaker 1: to that point. I'm not sure they get to that point,

885
00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:30,840
Speaker 1: So maybe Illinois. Even though I'm not a huge Illinois

886
00:36:30,840 --> 00:36:33,799
Speaker 1: fan really or a Brad Underwood fan, it.

887
00:36:33,800 --> 00:36:36,879
Speaker 2: Would be generalssive if Illinois be whoever they came out

888
00:36:36,920 --> 00:36:39,200
Speaker 2: of that eleven game. Then the Kentucky game. If they

889
00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:42,520
Speaker 2: play Kentucky, I feel like I'm gonna be on Illinois Discanucky.

890
00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:43,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think a lot of people.

891
00:36:44,680 --> 00:36:47,960
Speaker 4: Brad Underwood is a really interesting story because when I

892
00:36:48,040 --> 00:36:49,759
Speaker 4: was working in Houston, he was the head coach to

893
00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:50,200
Speaker 4: Steven F.

894
00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:51,719
Speaker 5: Austin before he went to Illinois.

895
00:36:51,840 --> 00:36:54,799
Speaker 4: He does a ton of things himself, so he was

896
00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:56,960
Speaker 4: negotiating all of the contract for Steven F.

897
00:36:57,000 --> 00:36:57,360
Speaker 5: Austin.

898
00:36:57,400 --> 00:36:59,480
Speaker 4: So when I would call to have a conversation with

899
00:36:59,520 --> 00:37:02,080
Speaker 4: the universe, I was talking to the coach like he

900
00:37:02,120 --> 00:37:04,680
Speaker 4: didn't let anybody. He's a control freak. So like in

901
00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:08,200
Speaker 4: college basketball, control freaks sometimes do really really well. And

902
00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:11,000
Speaker 4: so I like Brad Underwood as a person as a coach,

903
00:37:11,000 --> 00:37:13,839
Speaker 4: I've had good relationship with him. I just think this

904
00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:17,120
Speaker 4: is an interesting year for Illinois because some I mean again,

905
00:37:17,280 --> 00:37:19,720
Speaker 4: like anybody else, the NAL money that they're throwing around

906
00:37:19,719 --> 00:37:21,960
Speaker 4: and the guys that they're grabbing a hold of. I

907
00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:24,600
Speaker 4: thought Illinois would be better in this world and getting

908
00:37:24,600 --> 00:37:27,120
Speaker 4: better players in this world, given the Orange crush and

909
00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:30,759
Speaker 4: given that their boosters tend to write checks. I think

910
00:37:30,800 --> 00:37:33,239
Speaker 4: Illinois is a program to watch in the future for

911
00:37:33,320 --> 00:37:34,640
Speaker 4: going ahead and buying players.

912
00:37:35,440 --> 00:37:38,200
Speaker 1: Let's wrap up with some of our favorite first round bets.

913
00:37:38,239 --> 00:37:39,200
Speaker 1: Per who you got.

914
00:37:39,440 --> 00:37:41,600
Speaker 4: So I've made three plays so far. The first is

915
00:37:41,680 --> 00:37:43,920
Speaker 4: Arkansas and these numbers are gone. Unfortunately they bet him

916
00:37:43,920 --> 00:37:45,960
Speaker 4: at the open. But Arkansas plus five and a half

917
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:49,600
Speaker 4: against Kansas, there's no way I am backing Bill self

918
00:37:49,640 --> 00:37:54,000
Speaker 4: and Ku. I mean that they are just one they're overrated,

919
00:37:54,200 --> 00:37:56,719
Speaker 4: Two they don't like each other. Three I'm not sure

920
00:37:56,800 --> 00:37:59,080
Speaker 4: Bill Selp knows how to coach this team. You have

921
00:37:59,160 --> 00:38:03,000
Speaker 4: Calipari who's in Providence, who every Italian pison in the

922
00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:05,359
Speaker 4: building is going to be cheering for him. Plus he's

923
00:38:05,360 --> 00:38:08,279
Speaker 4: a former UMAs coach. He's in the backyard there. So

924
00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:11,400
Speaker 4: I'm going with Arkansas plus five and a half. In

925
00:38:11,480 --> 00:38:14,799
Speaker 4: the same building later in the night, Saint John's laying

926
00:38:14,840 --> 00:38:17,680
Speaker 4: seventeen and a half. I think they're going to annihilate Omaha.

927
00:38:18,040 --> 00:38:22,200
Speaker 4: It's an awful matchup. Omaha defensively is horrible. Saint John's

928
00:38:22,280 --> 00:38:24,000
Speaker 4: is playing much better, and I think they have the

929
00:38:24,080 --> 00:38:27,120
Speaker 4: killer instincts Rick Patino took Providence to a Final four

930
00:38:27,200 --> 00:38:29,520
Speaker 4: back in the day. Everybody in that building is going

931
00:38:29,600 --> 00:38:32,840
Speaker 4: to be cheering for Saint John. So both games there

932
00:38:32,880 --> 00:38:35,879
Speaker 4: in Providence. I like, and then I saw you see

933
00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:39,160
Speaker 4: San Diego here at the Big West Tournament. As I said,

934
00:38:39,160 --> 00:38:41,839
Speaker 4: I'm fading Big ten teams. I've bet against Michigan three

935
00:38:41,840 --> 00:38:44,680
Speaker 4: straight games now I lost the first two third times.

936
00:38:44,760 --> 00:38:47,680
Speaker 4: The charm gave me the Tritons to go in there.

937
00:38:47,880 --> 00:38:51,200
Speaker 4: Michigan is in the three hundredths for turnover percentage, the

938
00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:53,200
Speaker 4: number two team in the country to turn you over.

939
00:38:53,600 --> 00:38:56,919
Speaker 4: You see San Diego. Too many turnovers for Michigan. I'll

940
00:38:56,920 --> 00:38:58,440
Speaker 4: take the Tritons to win the game outright.

941
00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:01,080
Speaker 1: One of the questions that I was thinking about asking

942
00:39:01,080 --> 00:39:02,600
Speaker 1: at the top of the show that I didn't get to,

943
00:39:02,840 --> 00:39:05,600
Speaker 1: but you almost answered here for me, is the second

944
00:39:05,640 --> 00:39:08,359
Speaker 1: round matchup that we want to see. We're getting Rick

945
00:39:08,400 --> 00:39:09,920
Speaker 1: Patino against John Caliparry.

946
00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:11,839
Speaker 5: I think that's an American Bowl.

947
00:39:12,000 --> 00:39:14,759
Speaker 3: We gonna have Tommy DeVito sit in court side. We're good,

948
00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:16,680
Speaker 3: it's gonna be good, It's gonna be great.

949
00:39:16,760 --> 00:39:20,560
Speaker 4: And they hate each other, passionately hate each other. So

950
00:39:20,600 --> 00:39:24,520
Speaker 4: because so quick story. Patino former point guard for U

951
00:39:24,520 --> 00:39:26,680
Speaker 4: mass who didn't get to play with Doctor J because

952
00:39:26,680 --> 00:39:28,399
Speaker 4: that was back in the day when point guards weren't

953
00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:30,880
Speaker 4: allowed to play as freshmen, so he didn't play with

954
00:39:30,880 --> 00:39:33,040
Speaker 4: Doctor J. Who's on the roster with Doctor J. So

955
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:35,880
Speaker 4: Patino always has seen like he's the UMass guy. So

956
00:39:35,960 --> 00:39:38,319
Speaker 4: Calipari goes to U Mass, he builds the Mullen Center,

957
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:40,279
Speaker 4: he goes to the Final four in nineteen ninety six,

958
00:39:40,360 --> 00:39:42,760
Speaker 4: and the two guys hate each other. So that would

959
00:39:42,760 --> 00:39:46,640
Speaker 4: be an unbelievable matchup for so many reasons. That's thirty

960
00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:49,080
Speaker 4: years of hatred between Patino and Calipari.

961
00:39:49,160 --> 00:39:53,120
Speaker 1: That would easily get prime billing TV window if we

962
00:39:53,160 --> 00:39:55,759
Speaker 1: get that game, I make I.

963
00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:57,759
Speaker 2: Know we said the double digit seed and I took

964
00:39:57,840 --> 00:40:01,640
Speaker 2: my homer pick of VCU. I am now looking up

965
00:40:01,680 --> 00:40:05,000
Speaker 2: odds for Arkansas to make it to the sweet sixteen.

966
00:40:06,239 --> 00:40:08,320
Speaker 2: I mean, if he gets this game against Potato, anything

967
00:40:08,360 --> 00:40:10,360
Speaker 2: could happen and that team can get up and boogie

968
00:40:10,360 --> 00:40:11,120
Speaker 2: Flay in his back.

969
00:40:11,440 --> 00:40:13,000
Speaker 3: I am now hitting down.

970
00:40:12,840 --> 00:40:15,919
Speaker 2: On Arkansas to make it to the sweet sixteen. As

971
00:40:16,000 --> 00:40:18,840
Speaker 2: for my first round bet, I don't think Georgia is

972
00:40:18,840 --> 00:40:21,279
Speaker 2: any good. I think Georgia has an issue scoring the

973
00:40:21,280 --> 00:40:24,600
Speaker 2: basketball consistently, and you have to be able to shoot

974
00:40:24,640 --> 00:40:27,239
Speaker 2: the ball lights out. If you are going to beat Gonzaga,

975
00:40:27,440 --> 00:40:28,960
Speaker 2: you have to shoot the ball lights out if you're

976
00:40:28,960 --> 00:40:31,160
Speaker 2: gonna beat Gonzaga, or you better be one of the

977
00:40:31,160 --> 00:40:33,040
Speaker 2: best defensive teams in the league. And I don't think

978
00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:35,360
Speaker 2: Georgia is that. I think Georgia has an issue of

979
00:40:35,400 --> 00:40:38,720
Speaker 2: turning the ball over. I think they have an issue

980
00:40:38,719 --> 00:40:40,920
Speaker 2: of turning the ball over. They turn the ball over

981
00:40:41,000 --> 00:40:43,359
Speaker 2: way too much. I think Gonzaga's gonna take advantage of that,

982
00:40:43,480 --> 00:40:45,719
Speaker 2: gonna get points off and turnover, run the score up,

983
00:40:45,920 --> 00:40:48,440
Speaker 2: offensive rebounding. I think it's gonna be a good matchup.

984
00:40:48,480 --> 00:40:50,720
Speaker 2: And that's gonna and then the Zags shoot eighty percent

985
00:40:50,760 --> 00:40:52,719
Speaker 2: from the line. That's what I need from a team

986
00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:54,680
Speaker 2: to cover six and a half. When I get down

987
00:40:54,719 --> 00:40:56,680
Speaker 2: close to the end of the game and you're shooting

988
00:40:56,760 --> 00:40:59,239
Speaker 2: eighty percent from the line, I think Gonzaga is gonna

989
00:40:59,280 --> 00:41:01,320
Speaker 2: run through Georgia in this game. Give me come Zaga

990
00:41:01,360 --> 00:41:02,200
Speaker 2: lane six and a half.

991
00:41:02,920 --> 00:41:04,640
Speaker 5: See that's what you mentioned.

992
00:41:05,800 --> 00:41:08,160
Speaker 4: When I saw that draw, I said, Wow, that Saint

993
00:41:08,200 --> 00:41:11,440
Speaker 4: Mary's four point zero. That's like playing Saint Mary's for

994
00:41:11,480 --> 00:41:14,239
Speaker 4: a fourth time. And they lost to Saint Mary's in

995
00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:16,920
Speaker 4: the regular season twice. They beat him in Vegas in

996
00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:19,600
Speaker 4: the final of the West Coast Conference Tournament when it

997
00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:21,640
Speaker 4: was basically a home game for them. There were so

998
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:24,280
Speaker 4: many Zag fans here like they always is, and Saint

999
00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:26,600
Speaker 4: Mary's just you know, had a hard time hitting shots.

1000
00:41:27,040 --> 00:41:31,160
Speaker 4: Georgia has a couple of really young, talented bigs that

1001
00:41:31,239 --> 00:41:34,200
Speaker 4: if as the years progressed, they've gotten better and better.

1002
00:41:34,280 --> 00:41:37,040
Speaker 4: Georgia was the best underteam on the road away from

1003
00:41:37,040 --> 00:41:39,759
Speaker 4: home this year all the way until we hit March

1004
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:43,120
Speaker 4: really late February. Then they became a dynamic over team,

1005
00:41:43,160 --> 00:41:44,719
Speaker 4: and I think like six of the last seven games

1006
00:41:44,719 --> 00:41:47,480
Speaker 4: for Georgia went over because they started the numbers got

1007
00:41:47,520 --> 00:41:50,400
Speaker 4: too low and they started to hit shots. That's a

1008
00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:52,880
Speaker 4: fast That's an awesome in game betting game for me.

1009
00:41:53,000 --> 00:41:55,080
Speaker 4: I want to watch that game to see how good

1010
00:41:55,120 --> 00:41:57,680
Speaker 4: Zaga matches up with the length of Georgia because they

1011
00:41:57,680 --> 00:41:59,359
Speaker 4: are a long basketball team.

1012
00:41:59,560 --> 00:42:02,280
Speaker 1: What would you think, per all about Gonzaga against Houston,

1013
00:42:02,280 --> 00:42:04,040
Speaker 1: Because if we get that in the second round, that's

1014
00:42:04,120 --> 00:42:06,600
Speaker 1: two top ten teams on Ken Pup. Obviously mark few

1015
00:42:06,840 --> 00:42:09,719
Speaker 1: gets to the Sweet sixteen very often, but going up

1016
00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:11,440
Speaker 1: against an excellent one, See what would you make of

1017
00:42:11,440 --> 00:42:12,440
Speaker 1: that matchup if we get it?

1018
00:42:13,160 --> 00:42:14,880
Speaker 5: I think Houston is gonna kill everybody.

1019
00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:18,319
Speaker 4: I mean, I have this like feeling that like we're

1020
00:42:18,320 --> 00:42:20,880
Speaker 4: gonna be talking about Houston, like not being tested till this,

1021
00:42:21,000 --> 00:42:23,640
Speaker 4: till San Antonio, till the Final four, Like they're just

1022
00:42:23,760 --> 00:42:27,040
Speaker 4: so much better, so much deeper. They have had this

1023
00:42:27,160 --> 00:42:31,640
Speaker 4: offensive explosion this year. They can hit threes like we've

1024
00:42:31,680 --> 00:42:34,160
Speaker 4: always We know about their offense, I mean, their defense.

1025
00:42:34,200 --> 00:42:36,799
Speaker 4: We know that they are the most dynamic rebounding team

1026
00:42:36,840 --> 00:42:40,560
Speaker 4: we've probably ever seen in college basketball, but their offense

1027
00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:44,320
Speaker 4: is the difference you can't score. I mean, BYU scored

1028
00:42:44,440 --> 00:42:46,960
Speaker 4: ninety nine on Iowa State in what fifty two? The

1029
00:42:47,000 --> 00:42:51,040
Speaker 4: next day against Houston, they scored half. So like, I

1030
00:42:51,680 --> 00:42:54,080
Speaker 4: don't think Gonzaga has much of a shot against Houston.

1031
00:42:54,560 --> 00:42:55,920
Speaker 1: The only other team that I want to ask you

1032
00:42:55,920 --> 00:42:57,279
Speaker 1: guys about quickly before we get out of here, just

1033
00:42:57,320 --> 00:42:59,759
Speaker 1: because we didn't mention them yet, Yukon is the two

1034
00:42:59,800 --> 00:43:03,520
Speaker 1: times I'm defending national champion. They're the eight seed Hairs.

1035
00:43:04,160 --> 00:43:06,520
Speaker 1: I'm not saying I'm gonna pick them to upset Florida,

1036
00:43:06,560 --> 00:43:08,440
Speaker 1: but I feel we at least have to ask kind

1037
00:43:08,480 --> 00:43:10,719
Speaker 1: of what their outlook looks like here given what we

1038
00:43:10,719 --> 00:43:12,320
Speaker 1: seen from Hurly the last two years and what we

1039
00:43:12,360 --> 00:43:13,920
Speaker 1: see from them in the tournament the last two years.

1040
00:43:14,239 --> 00:43:15,080
Speaker 1: Any thoughts on Yukon.

1041
00:43:15,600 --> 00:43:18,160
Speaker 4: I hate Dan Hurley, I hate Yukon, so I have

1042
00:43:18,239 --> 00:43:20,399
Speaker 4: a flaming passion for both of them. I U mass

1043
00:43:20,440 --> 00:43:23,960
Speaker 4: graduate and I'm a Creighton guy, so I hate Yukon tremendously.

1044
00:43:24,200 --> 00:43:26,080
Speaker 5: I hope they lose by forty is he?

1045
00:43:26,280 --> 00:43:27,960
Speaker 4: I mean, I'm really curious he gonna come out and

1046
00:43:27,960 --> 00:43:29,799
Speaker 4: call m with the best coach in America again?

1047
00:43:29,920 --> 00:43:31,239
Speaker 5: Is that Hurley's calling guard?

1048
00:43:31,400 --> 00:43:34,000
Speaker 4: I mean he was finally a little bit contrite after

1049
00:43:34,040 --> 00:43:35,680
Speaker 4: he lost to Creighton in the semi founds of the

1050
00:43:35,680 --> 00:43:37,680
Speaker 4: biggest tournament, where like the top two teams and the

1051
00:43:37,680 --> 00:43:41,120
Speaker 4: biggiest are playing, we shouldn't be there. Look, Liam mcneely's

1052
00:43:41,120 --> 00:43:43,719
Speaker 4: a tremendous player. He is one of the most fun

1053
00:43:43,760 --> 00:43:46,719
Speaker 4: guys to watch. He's cocky, arrogant, he believes in himself.

1054
00:43:47,120 --> 00:43:48,799
Speaker 4: But Yukon just isn't very good this year.

1055
00:43:49,200 --> 00:43:50,839
Speaker 1: Terrell. I know we kind of talked about this last night,

1056
00:43:50,880 --> 00:43:52,680
Speaker 1: but for those who missed that episode, any thoughts on

1057
00:43:52,760 --> 00:43:54,799
Speaker 1: Yukon maybe in a potential matchup with Florida or even

1058
00:43:54,840 --> 00:43:55,319
Speaker 1: getting there.

1059
00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:58,400
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, they're gonna have their hands full with Oklahoma,

1060
00:43:58,520 --> 00:44:01,360
Speaker 2: and I mean, hey, give credit, they were third saying

1061
00:44:01,360 --> 00:44:04,359
Speaker 2: no before they got to the SEC. So they were

1062
00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:07,000
Speaker 2: doing something right before they got SEC play and maybe

1063
00:44:07,040 --> 00:44:08,640
Speaker 2: that comes back up here in the tournament.

1064
00:44:08,680 --> 00:44:13,160
Speaker 3: But uh, I don't think they have anything for Florida honestly, truly.

1065
00:44:13,239 --> 00:44:15,560
Speaker 2: I think just like how Matt said that they think

1066
00:44:15,640 --> 00:44:18,000
Speaker 2: he thinks Houston is going to destroy everybody, I think

1067
00:44:18,000 --> 00:44:20,319
Speaker 2: Florida is really going to destroy everybody on the way.

1068
00:44:20,360 --> 00:44:23,160
Speaker 2: And so even if they make it to the second round,

1069
00:44:23,239 --> 00:44:24,920
Speaker 2: I think it's a double issue win by Florida.

1070
00:44:25,560 --> 00:44:28,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, look, Fears is a really good mean Oklahoma's getting

1071
00:44:28,040 --> 00:44:30,000
Speaker 4: slept on a little bit here because of the record

1072
00:44:30,040 --> 00:44:32,719
Speaker 4: and what happened in the SEC. But I watched her

1073
00:44:32,840 --> 00:44:36,359
Speaker 4: My Fears play in person. That kid's a lottery pick.

1074
00:44:36,719 --> 00:44:39,640
Speaker 4: He's he's the best player on the court almost every

1075
00:44:39,680 --> 00:44:41,959
Speaker 4: time he steps onto the court, and when he needs

1076
00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:45,040
Speaker 4: to take over the game for Oklahoma, he can do that.

1077
00:44:45,520 --> 00:44:48,640
Speaker 4: Yukon's got no answer for him. I mean, he is

1078
00:44:48,680 --> 00:44:51,240
Speaker 4: a really talented player and a lot of fun to watch.

1079
00:44:51,920 --> 00:44:53,640
Speaker 1: Well, we'll go ahead and wrap up there. Thanks everybody

1080
00:44:53,640 --> 00:44:55,040
Speaker 1: for tuning, and be sure to check out all of

1081
00:44:55,040 --> 00:44:57,839
Speaker 1: our tournament coverage on bettingpros dot com. Also checking into

1082
00:44:57,800 --> 00:44:59,960
Speaker 1: the Daily Juice with Matt Parrault, he'll be making pick

1083
00:45:00,160 --> 00:45:03,320
Speaker 1: throughout the whole tournament, and also those live streams with

1084
00:45:03,440 --> 00:45:06,759
Speaker 1: him and Terrell as well Format Andterrell, both of them

1085
00:45:06,800 --> 00:45:09,600
Speaker 1: hate Marylynd for some reason. I'm Ryde warmly thanks everybody

1086
00:45:09,600 --> 00:45:12,959
Speaker 1: for tuning in. We'll see you again next time. Thanks

1087
00:45:13,000 --> 00:45:15,560
Speaker 1: for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you love

1088
00:45:15,600 --> 00:45:17,880
Speaker 1: the show, the best freeway to support us is by

1089
00:45:17,960 --> 00:45:21,760
Speaker 1: leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Follow

1090
00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:24,719
Speaker 1: us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and Instagram

1091
00:45:24,760 --> 00:45:28,240
Speaker 1: at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube channel

1092
00:45:28,320 --> 00:45:36,759
Speaker 1: at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros