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Speaker 1: Hey everybody, Welcome back to the Betting Pros Podcast, brought

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Speaker 1: to you by bet MGM. I'm your host, Dan Harris.

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Speaker 1: Find me on Twitter at Dan Harris eighty. It is

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Speaker 1: early in the week, which means it is time to

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Speaker 1: take a first look at the week seven NFL lines

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Speaker 1: with me. Here to do that is Brendan Tuma, our

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Speaker 1: friend from Fantasy Pros. Find him on Twitter at Too

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Speaker 1: Much Tuma. Brendan, thank you for jumping on the podcast today.

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Speaker 1: How are you, Dan?

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Speaker 2: I'm excited to be here. As you know, and with

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Speaker 2: all podcasts we do, I look forward to your on

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Speaker 2: air bullying today.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's how I work, and you're quite familiar with

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Speaker 1: that having appeared on many podcasts with me, But this

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Speaker 1: is the first time you've been on the Betting Pros podcast.

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Speaker 1: So I am excited to have you here because I

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Speaker 1: know you have been itching to come on and have

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Speaker 1: me bully you on as many platforms as possible. Get

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Speaker 1: sign take one Barkley jersey.

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Speaker 2: Again.

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Speaker 1: All you do leave a review for the show on

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Speaker 1: usually watch this one on our YouTube channel, this one

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Speaker 1: is not being recorded on video. We're a little shorthanded

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Speaker 1: this week, so it's just the audiovers right now. Sorry,

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Speaker 1: if you want to see my shining face and see

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Speaker 1: what Tuma actually look like. And again, regardless of this

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Speaker 1: show being on there, it's good to subscribe to that

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel anyway. Again, YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.

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Speaker 1: We do a Sunday morning live stream eleven am to

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Speaker 1: twelve pm with me and Matt Parwl breaking down the

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Speaker 1: entire slate. We do some prop bets, all that great stuff,

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Speaker 1: so make sure you are subscribed there in addition to

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Speaker 1: the fact that it gets two three extra entries into

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Speaker 1: this contest. All right, let's get into the games here.

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Speaker 1: Let's start with the Thursday night game weird one. Here,

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Speaker 1: the Browns obviously are dealing with a ton of injuries.

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Speaker 1: There's a lot of uncertainty, so maybe there's value in

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Speaker 1: betting it now. Maybe we need to wait to see

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Speaker 1: what exactly happens here between Baker Mayfield and Odell Beckham

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Speaker 1: Junior and Nick Jubb, although latest news sounds like certainly

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Speaker 1: Chubb is not going to be able to make it.

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Speaker 1: The Browns here are at home against the Broncos. They

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Speaker 1: are laying now three and a half points. Some books

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Speaker 1: are already at three and the total here is a

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Speaker 1: minuscool forty two and a half. What do you think

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Speaker 1: of this line?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so the Browns are really hurting with this, and

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Speaker 2: you and I I think one of the biggest edges

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Speaker 2: you can find NFL. You know, sports betting is just

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Speaker 2: getting so much more popular these days that we all

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Speaker 2: know the Baker Mayfield injury storyline, the Nick Chubb one.

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Speaker 2: I think one of the remaining edges that you can

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Speaker 2: find for yourself, that listeners can can handle for themselves

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Speaker 2: is looking at offensive line injuries. Defensive player injuries, those

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Speaker 2: for obvious reasons, just don't get as much publicity. But

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Speaker 2: the Browns in Week six they were out, they were

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Speaker 2: without Jedrick Wills or Jack Conklin, So you know it's

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Speaker 2: not just the injuries to the skill position players that

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Speaker 2: are bothering them. And I think for most NFL teams, Dan,

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Speaker 2: I'm sure you agree with this, Like if an NFL

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Speaker 2: team loses their starting left tackle, you know that's a problem,

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Speaker 2: but most teams can you know, recover for that. It's

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Speaker 2: where you get multiple two three injuries along your offensive

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Speaker 2: line that real issues start to happen. So the combination

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Speaker 2: of Baker, who is in the sling in the postgame

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Speaker 2: press conference, not having their dynamic running backs, the offensive

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Speaker 2: line being banged up. The early lean is just screaming

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Speaker 2: Broncos to me, Are you in line with me on

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Speaker 2: that or yeah?

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Speaker 1: Absolutely? I think that if you're listening to this and

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Speaker 1: the line is still at three and a half, I mean, Brendan,

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Speaker 1: we were talking, I mean I think it opened. What

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Speaker 1: was it when it opened? Was it closer to five?

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Speaker 1: Is that what the opening line was?

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Speaker 2: I saw it at Browns minus five originally, and understandably

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Speaker 2: it's moved.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I look, there are books already that are out

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Speaker 1: there that are at three. As we said, it's at

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Speaker 1: three at Fox Bed, it's at three at Fandel. It's

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Speaker 1: still the consensus line again at three and a half,

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Speaker 1: because that's where it is at Draft Kings points. Bet

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Speaker 1: the majority of books. I would bet it immediately. You

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Speaker 1: can get it at three and a half because if

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Speaker 1: you're getting overfield goal here, even on the road with

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Speaker 1: the Broncos. I mean that the Browns are so incredibly

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Speaker 1: banged up, and you did mention it that offensive line

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Speaker 1: injuries are probably the most impactful from a betting line perspective.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I agree that the public doesn't necessarily see

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Speaker 1: that or feel that as much. But I mean, it's

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Speaker 1: not just the fact that they don't have a running back.

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Speaker 1: It's not just the fact that bigger Mayfield may not play.

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Speaker 1: It's not just the fact that olde Beckham Jner may

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Speaker 1: not play, although those are all big factors, but it

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Speaker 1: is something where again, the offensive line was absolutely decimated,

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Speaker 1: and you know, the scheme is good enough to sort

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Speaker 1: of get around that, but not against the Broncos, who

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Speaker 1: are really good against the run. They're probably going to

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Speaker 1: be pretty angry and pumped up here. They need a

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Speaker 1: win here. They start at three and oh they're now

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Speaker 1: three and three. So I agree, if you can get

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Speaker 1: it over, you know, even getting the field goal, I'm

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Speaker 1: fine with it begetting overfield goal. I would love to

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Speaker 1: get it. Any thoughts on the total, I mean, it's

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Speaker 1: forty two and a half, so it's pretty pretty light here.

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Speaker 2: We always know that weird things happen on Thursday night.

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Speaker 2: The games just don't always play out the same way

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Speaker 2: they might have otherwise on a Sunday. So with that,

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Speaker 2: you know, and all the Browns injuries, they think, yeah,

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Speaker 2: grabbing the points makes sense. This is such a Thursday

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Speaker 2: night game too, just in the sense where my instant

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Speaker 2: lean is underdog and under expecting kind of a low

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Speaker 2: scoing game. Here. The Broncos and Browns have two of

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Speaker 2: the better defenses. Again, the Browns are a little banged

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Speaker 2: up all around, defensively included. But but yeah, I think

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Speaker 2: that that would be the play that I would go to.

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Speaker 2: I do know that myself and some others that I

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Speaker 2: like to make some bets with we on Thursdays often

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Speaker 2: prefer taking the underdog and under just because the games

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Speaker 2: are are always so weird and you never know how

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Speaker 2: those good to shake, so we will grab the points

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Speaker 2: in this case.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with that. Let's go to The Falcons

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Speaker 1: are visiting the Dolphins. The Falcons are laying two and

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Speaker 1: a half points here, and the totals forty seven and

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Speaker 1: a half. The weird thing here, obviously, is that the

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Speaker 1: Dolphins declined the bye after London, so they're gonna be

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Speaker 1: a little jet lagged, I'm tureing me, while the Falcons

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Speaker 1: came off London and they are on a bye off

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Speaker 1: the bye, pardon me, so they're well rested here. Calvin

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Speaker 1: Ridley should be back for this one. What do you

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Speaker 1: think about this one where the Falcons are laying two

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Speaker 1: and a half total forty seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: We should mention ahead of time that this is it's

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Speaker 2: kind of a gross slate for NFL games this weekend.

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Speaker 2: There's not a lot. There's a six teams on a bye.

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Speaker 2: A lot of the good teams, the Bills, the Chargers,

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Speaker 2: the Cowboys aren't playing this week and this game. I

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Speaker 2: forget where I heard this, but I laughed when I did.

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Speaker 2: It feels like we've already had this game this year.

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Speaker 2: Falcons Dolphins too, obviously of the bigger underperformers this season.

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Speaker 2: I do think it's time to start criticizing this Dolphins

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Speaker 2: regime a bit. I know it's easy to do so

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Speaker 2: after they just lost to the Jaguars in London, and

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Speaker 2: it's easy to do so because they only have one

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Speaker 2: win this season. But they had so much draft capital

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Speaker 2: coming into this rebuild in some of those first round picks.

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Speaker 2: It's not just too they took some offensive linemen in

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Speaker 2: the first round in twenty twenty who aren't even active

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Speaker 2: on game days. It's just been a bit of a

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Speaker 2: disaster in that they're on their third offensive coordinator in

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Speaker 2: three years. You add in the fact that they are

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Speaker 2: coming off the London game and the Falcons are coming

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Speaker 2: off a buy, and I would lean Falcons in this situation.

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Speaker 2: I usually like to zig when others are zagging, and

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Speaker 2: you know, take teams coming off a loss and fade

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Speaker 2: teams coming off a big emotional win. But in this case,

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Speaker 2: you just add in all those factors and I can't

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Speaker 2: get away from the Falcons.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think I'm probably going to stay

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Speaker 1: away from it because I do think that the Dolphins

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Speaker 1: are a little bit better than they've shown. They obviously

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Speaker 1: have been pretty banged up at receiving or I think

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Speaker 1: to help them offensively for sure, But I just I

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Speaker 1: don't think I can fully factor in what it's like

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Speaker 1: to come off London and come off a bad loss

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Speaker 1: to a Jaguars team and then come back to the

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Speaker 1: States and play a well rested Falcons team who again

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Speaker 1: isn't quite as bad as they look sort of early

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Speaker 1: on in the year where I think everybody was burying them.

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Speaker 1: So I think it's probably a game that I'm gonna avoid.

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Speaker 1: I actually could see teasing up the Dolphins in a

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Speaker 1: two team teaser two eight and a half points, getting

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Speaker 1: them over both crossing both key numbers here. But as

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Speaker 1: a regular bet, I think I'm just gonna stay away

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Speaker 1: from it. But I think if you have to go

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Speaker 1: one way, you'd probably go to Falcons, just because again,

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Speaker 1: coming off the by, I just don't think that you

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Speaker 1: can possibly back the Dolphins at you know, getting less

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Speaker 1: than a field goal here. How about Washington now is

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Speaker 1: visiting Green Bay. The Packers are currently laying nine and

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Speaker 1: a half points and the total is forty eight and

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Speaker 1: a half. What do you think?

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Speaker 2: There are some big spread this week? This is obviously

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Speaker 2: one of them. And with the big spreads a lot

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Speaker 2: of time, I like to take the points. You know,

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Speaker 2: NFL teams are usually closer in competition than the general

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Speaker 2: public gives them credit for it. This is one where

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Speaker 2: I would lean the Packers early, and it's part of

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Speaker 2: it is just really a bet against Washington because it's

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Speaker 2: you know, it's no secret their defense has been one

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Speaker 2: of the more disappointing units in all of football this season.

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Speaker 2: That's a saying that we're hearing a lot lately, and

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Speaker 2: it's not just that, It's not just that they don't

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Speaker 2: know the talent like their d line is one of

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Speaker 2: the most talented in the NFL. It's that they don't

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Speaker 2: do anything with that talent. They don't run stunts, they

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Speaker 2: don't design coverages, and their secondary is just really easy

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Speaker 2: to attack. You remember early in the season, the Bills

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Speaker 2: offense were struggling. Josh Allen himself was struggling, but heading

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Speaker 2: into that Washington game, a lot of people thought it

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Speaker 2: was a good bounce back spot because Washington's defense, they

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Speaker 2: just they play really static. They rush their four passers

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Speaker 2: and they sit back and teams, smart teams and good

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Speaker 2: quarterbacks can figure it out. And on the other side

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Speaker 2: of the ball this week, it's going to be Amon

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Speaker 2: Rodgers and DeVante Adams and Matt Lafleur and all those guys.

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Speaker 2: So I think this is one where the Packers can

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Speaker 2: lay the hammer a bit. I know it's not the Bears,

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Speaker 2: but I still expect Rodgers to own them in this one. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I do lean the Packers here as long as it's

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Speaker 1: single digits basically, which it is right now. Washington just

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Speaker 1: looks like it's kind of in disarray right now. The

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Speaker 1: whole team the whole year has kind of just looked unsettled,

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Speaker 1: and we mentioned every week on the show. Basically the

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Speaker 1: defense and how badly it's underperformed is one of the

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Speaker 1: biggest surprises to me as somebody who obviously dives deep,

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Speaker 1: not only on a betting side, but from a fantasy standpoint,

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Speaker 1: you know, when we get into the season and makes

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Speaker 1: projections and everything like that. I'm just I'm shocked with

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Speaker 1: how poor the defense is played overall. So you certainly

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Speaker 1: could see Aaron Rodgers here carving them up and again,

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Speaker 1: given how they performed against Kansas City, given how Taylor

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Speaker 1: Heineg's coming back down to Earth, Antonio Gibson is banged up,

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Speaker 1: he may not be able to play. Even Terry McLaurin

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Speaker 1: coming into the game, They're just it's just a team

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Speaker 1: that feels like you want to fade right now. So

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Speaker 1: as long as you can get it under ten, I

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Speaker 1: wouldn't be surprised if it hits ten, by the way,

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Speaker 1: because I think this seems like a game where the

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Speaker 1: public's probably going to back the Packers here. Under ten,

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Speaker 1: then you'll eventually get some resistance. But I wouldn't be

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Speaker 1: surprised if it moved up a little bit. So if

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Speaker 1: you do like it for me, I would probably hit it. Now,

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Speaker 1: let's get to a pretty big here divisional game. You've

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Speaker 1: got the Ravens taking on the Bengals in Baltimore. The

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Speaker 1: Ravens are laying six and a half, the totals forty

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Speaker 1: seven and a half. What do you think.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so with the big Bengals and the Ravens, we

258
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Speaker 2: obviously normally think of the AFC North, as you know,

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Speaker 2: very tough, run the ball, defense minded football. This season,

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Speaker 2: the Bengals and the Ravens are two of the highest

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Speaker 2: neutral pass rated teams of the season, meaning that in

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Speaker 2: neutral gamescrips, they are a liking to throw the ball.

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Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson is dropping back to throw more than he

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Speaker 2: ever has in his career. But what the Bengals are

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Speaker 2: trying to do this season and the teams with Joe

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Speaker 2: Mixon healthy, is really, you know, take some pressure off

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Speaker 2: the offensive line. I've been pretty impressed with Zach Taylor

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Speaker 2: so far this year. I think a lot of us,

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Speaker 2: especially like you said in the Fantasy World, kind of

270
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Speaker 2: expected the Bengals to come out and just throw and

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Speaker 2: chuck and have no regard for the offensive line. They're

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Speaker 2: trying to establish a run game, but it seems like

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Speaker 2: they do really want to lean on Mixing when he's healthy.

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Speaker 2: He is healthy in this one. AFC North the spread,

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Speaker 2: I'm not positive what to do with it, but I

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Speaker 2: do lean the under with these two.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, this is just a game I don't really want

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Speaker 1: to touch at this point. I hate over unders. It's stupid,

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Speaker 1: I guess, and it's simplistic, but I really hate over

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Speaker 1: unders with the Ravens. I just do because you know,

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Speaker 1: at any given time, no matter what, they could look

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Speaker 1: totally under control. And you know, I think back to

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Speaker 1: the Monday night game, you know, where they eventually won

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Speaker 1: in overtime, and how to stagnant their offense looked in

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Speaker 1: the first half against the Colts, and then they just

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Speaker 1: went absolutely in the second half, which I think they're

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Speaker 1: able to do at any given time. So this is

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Speaker 1: really something where I don't have a great feel for it.

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Speaker 1: I think if I had to go somewhere with the spread,

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Speaker 1: I would probably lean the Ravens. I have not fully

291
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Speaker 1: bought into the Bengals yet, as impressive as obviously they

292
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Speaker 1: were against I don't know whatever you want to call

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Speaker 1: the Lions team from last week, but I'm probably staying

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Speaker 1: away from it. I think right now, what about the

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Speaker 1: Patriots at home taking on the Jets. Patriots laying seven,

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Speaker 1: the total is forty two and a half. Patriots coming

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Speaker 1: off a really really devastating loss here, a game that

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Speaker 1: looked like they were going to at least be able

299
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Speaker 1: to win. Certainly betters are are burned by it, the

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Speaker 1: betters who had both the under and the Patriots there

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Speaker 1: last week. So lank seven forty two and a half

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Speaker 1: in New England.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. So we like to joke about you, you know,

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Speaker 2: being a little bit of an on air pully whenever

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Speaker 2: I'm around on a pod. But this is I think

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Speaker 2: where I get you back, because, as you know, listeners

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Speaker 2: know you are a Jets fan, and I'm coming in

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Speaker 2: here as a Patriots fan. My team is face. Did

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Speaker 2: you say the spread for this one? I think I

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Speaker 2: saw it at minus seven?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, at seven?

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Speaker 2: Okay? Yeah. So, first of all, the story of the

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Speaker 2: Patriots season has just been Mac Jones, that the team

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Speaker 2: has seemingly found their quarterback. I think Mac against the

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Speaker 2: Cowboys this past Sunday was the best game I've seen

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Speaker 2: by a rookie quarterback of any of the six rookie

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Speaker 2: quarterbacks so far this season. I think the Patriots being

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Speaker 2: zero to four at home is not something that necessarily

319
00:14:29,040 --> 00:14:32,200
Speaker 2: should factor into Better's minds. But it's just like this

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00:14:32,320 --> 00:14:35,680
Speaker 2: Patriots team is not what it once was. Of course

321
00:14:36,080 --> 00:14:39,200
Speaker 2: we know that. I don't think it's dropped or their

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Speaker 2: stature within the league has dropped low enough to the

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Speaker 2: point where they aren't going to take care of business

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Speaker 2: against the Jets. This is the second time we've seen

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Speaker 2: these two teams play. I know that Zach Wilson and

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Speaker 2: Robert Sala and company are coming off a buye, but

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Speaker 2: this is a spot even with the seven points. And

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Speaker 2: I don't love huge spreads when the team doesn't have

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Speaker 2: a lot of offensive firepower because they might not be

330
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Speaker 2: able to, you know, really extend those leads. But given

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Speaker 2: everything we've seen from the Patriots this year, it's just

332
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Speaker 2: such a get right spot for them. I know they

333
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Speaker 2: struggled against the Texans on the road. This is just

334
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Speaker 2: it feels a little different now that it's at home

335
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Speaker 2: and the Pats have had a tough schedule and they've

336
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Speaker 2: gotten some of these games out of their way. So

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Speaker 2: iilean PATRIOTSY. I know you might criticize me for calling

338
00:15:23,720 --> 00:15:25,520
Speaker 2: it a bit of a homer pick, But what say

339
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Speaker 2: you about your Jets?

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Speaker 1: Ah, I don't really have a good lean on it.

341
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Speaker 1: If it gets too over a touchdown, I will probably

342
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Speaker 1: find the value with the Jets, and I think in

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Speaker 1: a vacuum, if you take a step back, this strikes

344
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Speaker 1: me as probably a spot where more quote unquote sharp

345
00:15:43,080 --> 00:15:45,040
Speaker 1: betters are going to be on the Jets. I know

346
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Speaker 1: the Patriots beat up on the Jets earlier in the year,

347
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Speaker 1: but it's a little bit of a different team. I

348
00:15:49,800 --> 00:15:52,920
Speaker 1: think the Jets, not that they're playing well or anything

349
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Speaker 1: like that, but they're at least a little healthier here

350
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Speaker 1: that get to come off a bye. The Patriots played

351
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Speaker 1: a really tough overtime game. They're probably a little tired

352
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Speaker 1: right now. And really the Patriots just they're not explosive.

353
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Speaker 1: They don't have the horses. And again, they hung with

354
00:16:07,320 --> 00:16:10,800
Speaker 1: the Cowboys absolutely as kind of I expected, and they

355
00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:13,200
Speaker 1: find a way to hang with teams, you know, like

356
00:16:13,240 --> 00:16:15,280
Speaker 1: the Bucks, where they're expected to get blown out, but

357
00:16:15,320 --> 00:16:19,040
Speaker 1: they really haven't played that great against teams that they're

358
00:16:19,080 --> 00:16:22,120
Speaker 1: expected to dominate. So it's probably a stay away for

359
00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:24,880
Speaker 1: me here at seven. If it gets to over seven.

360
00:16:24,960 --> 00:16:28,120
Speaker 1: I probably will take the Jets here coming off the buye,

361
00:16:28,800 --> 00:16:31,120
Speaker 1: but I doubt i'd take the Patriot Like I'm just

362
00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:33,440
Speaker 1: not interested in backing the Patriots team right here with

363
00:16:33,560 --> 00:16:35,560
Speaker 1: anything like a big spread. And we talked, I mean

364
00:16:35,560 --> 00:16:38,120
Speaker 1: you mentioned it. There are a lot of expreads this week.

365
00:16:38,360 --> 00:16:41,240
Speaker 1: So if you like underdog betting, which you know probably

366
00:16:41,520 --> 00:16:43,720
Speaker 1: the quote unquote sharp side is going to be taking

367
00:16:43,760 --> 00:16:46,400
Speaker 1: a lot of the underdogs, this is your week. I'm

368
00:16:46,440 --> 00:16:48,720
Speaker 1: not sure it's your week here with the Panthers though,

369
00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:53,080
Speaker 1: visiting the Giants. The Panthers are laying three here. Total

370
00:16:53,120 --> 00:16:55,880
Speaker 1: is forty three. A lot of low totals in these games,

371
00:16:55,880 --> 00:16:57,560
Speaker 1: which again you mentioned it, this is not the most

372
00:16:57,840 --> 00:17:00,920
Speaker 1: exciting week of football games. Actually, with so many teams

373
00:17:01,000 --> 00:17:03,640
Speaker 1: on buy, a lot of the matchups are kind of disappointing.

374
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Speaker 1: But look, the Panthers are coming in here. They somehow

375
00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:09,080
Speaker 1: made a game of that against the Vikings, even though

376
00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:12,000
Speaker 1: they look like they were about to get completely blown out.

377
00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:16,359
Speaker 1: The Giants got demolished by the Rams. You know, felt

378
00:17:16,440 --> 00:17:18,920
Speaker 1: kind of bad for them, frankly. They are dealing with

379
00:17:19,320 --> 00:17:22,280
Speaker 1: offensive line injuries, they are dealing with injuries to their

380
00:17:22,320 --> 00:17:25,040
Speaker 1: receiving corps, not sure who's going to be healthy here,

381
00:17:25,320 --> 00:17:29,480
Speaker 1: Giants getting three at home with the total at forty three.

382
00:17:29,520 --> 00:17:30,080
Speaker 1: What do you think?

383
00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:32,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, so, I think the Giants is a little bit

384
00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:34,320
Speaker 2: of a similar situation to the Browns, where there's just

385
00:17:34,359 --> 00:17:36,879
Speaker 2: like so many injuries that we need to wait and

386
00:17:36,920 --> 00:17:39,720
Speaker 2: see a little later in the week, who exactly is

387
00:17:39,720 --> 00:17:42,399
Speaker 2: going to be playing, especially among their receivers, and if

388
00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:45,320
Speaker 2: Sakwan Barkley is going to be back. But in general,

389
00:17:45,359 --> 00:17:48,080
Speaker 2: this game and this game just comes down to two

390
00:17:48,119 --> 00:17:51,080
Speaker 2: teams that one team I like what they're doing overall

391
00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:54,400
Speaker 2: as a franchise, and one that I don't like backing

392
00:17:54,480 --> 00:17:56,960
Speaker 2: or like trusting. The Panthers. They are coming off three

393
00:17:57,000 --> 00:17:59,600
Speaker 2: straight losses and they've just they've just been doing a

394
00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:01,520
Speaker 2: really lot of smart things the past few years. I

395
00:18:01,520 --> 00:18:04,320
Speaker 2: think they've added a lot of defensive talent over their

396
00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:07,399
Speaker 2: past three drafts. Brian Burns, Derek Brown, Jeremy Chin, and

397
00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:09,920
Speaker 2: then J. C. Horn this year before he got hurt,

398
00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:13,320
Speaker 2: he got he went down, they instantly traded for CJ. Henderson.

399
00:18:13,359 --> 00:18:16,040
Speaker 2: They traded for Stefan Gilmore, and I think Gilmore has

400
00:18:16,040 --> 00:18:17,440
Speaker 2: a chance to play in this one.

401
00:18:17,520 --> 00:18:17,760
Speaker 1: Yep.

402
00:18:18,000 --> 00:18:20,480
Speaker 2: Not saying that that might swing you know, the line

403
00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:23,040
Speaker 2: anything more than like a you know, half a point

404
00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:26,200
Speaker 2: or something like that, but it is just something notable,

405
00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:29,320
Speaker 2: And in general, I do like what the Panthers do

406
00:18:29,440 --> 00:18:32,040
Speaker 2: as a franchise, whereas the Giants, I just don't love

407
00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:36,760
Speaker 2: backing Jason Garrett organizations or teams that have anything to

408
00:18:36,800 --> 00:18:38,760
Speaker 2: do with Jason Garrett. I just don't trust them to

409
00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:41,000
Speaker 2: make the optimal decision at times. So I'm going to

410
00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:44,920
Speaker 2: go to the Panthers taking the small favorite here coming

411
00:18:44,920 --> 00:18:47,800
Speaker 2: off the three straight losses and the Giants just dealing

412
00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:49,800
Speaker 2: with everything that they're dealing with injury was.

413
00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:52,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm in a total agreement on this one. So

414
00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:54,920
Speaker 1: it's three is a consensus line over at betting bros

415
00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:56,760
Speaker 1: dot com. It is three at the majority of books,

416
00:18:57,000 --> 00:18:58,600
Speaker 1: but there are a couple of two and a half's

417
00:18:58,600 --> 00:19:00,000
Speaker 1: out there. So if you can get it at five,

418
00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:04,080
Speaker 1: bet at points, bet at a couple other places here

419
00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:07,439
Speaker 1: that I'm looking at, I would hit that certainly at

420
00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:10,080
Speaker 1: two and a half, but even at three, I agree.

421
00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:12,560
Speaker 1: I mean, I you know the Panthers now, I mean

422
00:19:12,600 --> 00:19:14,960
Speaker 1: you see what they look like when you know they

423
00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:18,800
Speaker 1: have to face a little higher end competition, and they've

424
00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:21,600
Speaker 1: got no Christian McCaffrey, and they've had injuries you mentioned Horn.

425
00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:24,360
Speaker 1: Obviously they may be getting a little bit here of

426
00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:27,960
Speaker 1: help coming in, but I still think that the disparity

427
00:19:27,960 --> 00:19:31,840
Speaker 1: between these two teams, it's just it's too great at

428
00:19:31,840 --> 00:19:34,680
Speaker 1: this point to you know, be thinking about backing the

429
00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:38,080
Speaker 1: Giants at a field goal or less here if it

430
00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:40,919
Speaker 1: moves beyond that, maybe because the Giants have a way

431
00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:43,280
Speaker 1: of sort of surprising you not often as home, and

432
00:19:43,320 --> 00:19:46,440
Speaker 1: you know about you know, Daniel Jones's record here at

433
00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:48,879
Speaker 1: home when it comes to covering the spread, it is

434
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:50,800
Speaker 1: not great as much better on the road. You can

435
00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:52,440
Speaker 1: write that off as narrative, but I think that there

436
00:19:52,520 --> 00:19:54,960
Speaker 1: is actually something to it. And the crowd is pretty

437
00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:57,639
Speaker 1: much abandoning them, so the home field advantage does not

438
00:19:57,720 --> 00:20:00,119
Speaker 1: mean all that much. So I do lean the Panthers here.

439
00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:02,199
Speaker 1: I'd hit it three. I'd probably hit it even if

440
00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:04,359
Speaker 1: it gets over field goal at this point, but certainly

441
00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:05,920
Speaker 1: it's two and a half at a couple of bucks,

442
00:20:05,960 --> 00:20:08,600
Speaker 1: and I would run to do that if I could.

443
00:20:08,880 --> 00:20:10,880
Speaker 1: This is a big one. Now. After this Monday night game,

444
00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:14,800
Speaker 1: the Chiefs are visiting the Titans. The Chiefs are laying

445
00:20:15,040 --> 00:20:17,880
Speaker 1: four and a half, and the total here is a

446
00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:21,879
Speaker 1: whopping fifty six and a half. Big wins here for

447
00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:23,720
Speaker 1: both these teams. I mean, the Chiefs kind of had

448
00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:26,000
Speaker 1: a walk in the park against Washington, but they needed

449
00:20:26,000 --> 00:20:28,760
Speaker 1: to get right game. They finally covered a spread, which

450
00:20:28,840 --> 00:20:32,119
Speaker 1: rarely happens for them. The Titans come through here in

451
00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:37,000
Speaker 1: a game on Monday Night football against the Bills. They

452
00:20:37,040 --> 00:20:39,280
Speaker 1: suffer some injuries through it. It sounds you know, I

453
00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:42,160
Speaker 1: don't know how serious h Leo Jones's hamstring is, but

454
00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:44,399
Speaker 1: you know, I'd be surprised at this point if he

455
00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:46,919
Speaker 1: suits up on Sunday and there are coming off a

456
00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:48,600
Speaker 1: short week in a hard fought game. So what do

457
00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:50,560
Speaker 1: you think here about the Chiefs visiting and a crazy

458
00:20:50,600 --> 00:20:51,960
Speaker 1: total of fifty six and a half.

459
00:20:52,640 --> 00:20:54,800
Speaker 2: It's funny. I almost wish I would feel a lot

460
00:20:54,840 --> 00:20:56,800
Speaker 2: better about the Titans if they didn't just have that,

461
00:20:56,920 --> 00:21:00,959
Speaker 2: you know, huge emotional, exciting win on Monday Night. You know,

462
00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:02,800
Speaker 2: now it's going to be a short week for them too,

463
00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:05,480
Speaker 2: just because of what we talked about early on a

464
00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:08,200
Speaker 2: lot of times with betting, you know, the public has

465
00:21:08,280 --> 00:21:11,639
Speaker 2: such short memories it's a lot about you know, fading

466
00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:14,200
Speaker 2: teams coming off the big wins and you know, buying

467
00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:16,800
Speaker 2: in on good teams that we know are good that

468
00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:20,600
Speaker 2: might have had a disappointing week. So all that being said, though,

469
00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:22,800
Speaker 2: then on the other side, we have this Chief situation

470
00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:24,600
Speaker 2: where there's been a lot and I know they kind

471
00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:27,600
Speaker 2: of got right a bit against Washington, although that game

472
00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:29,960
Speaker 2: was close for a little But there's so much talk

473
00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:32,920
Speaker 2: right now about the Chiefs struggling offense, and really, when

474
00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:35,280
Speaker 2: you look down at it, though, it's just about turnovers.

475
00:21:35,359 --> 00:21:37,520
Speaker 2: It's not that they're struggling to move the ball at all.

476
00:21:37,720 --> 00:21:41,280
Speaker 2: They have nine turnovers within the opponent's forty yard line.

477
00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:44,160
Speaker 2: It almost feels sometimes that they're just playing backyard football,

478
00:21:44,560 --> 00:21:47,359
Speaker 2: that they're you know, not as focused as they maybe

479
00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:49,960
Speaker 2: should be because they've been to the big game two

480
00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:52,240
Speaker 2: years in a row now and they just you know,

481
00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:54,080
Speaker 2: the regular season doesn't mean as much for them. But

482
00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:57,480
Speaker 2: they're averaging an NFL high three point two points per drive,

483
00:21:57,560 --> 00:22:01,760
Speaker 2: so they can move the ball. It's just about not

484
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:06,360
Speaker 2: turning it over. The Titans, meanwhile, we know what they

485
00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:08,560
Speaker 2: want to do is established to run with Derrick Henry

486
00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:12,680
Speaker 2: and the Chief's defense is so horrible. In their last

487
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:17,880
Speaker 2: game against Washington, Washington's O line graded out by PFF

488
00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:20,120
Speaker 2: as the best O line of the week, and I think,

489
00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:21,800
Speaker 2: you know a big part of that was playing against

490
00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:23,720
Speaker 2: the Chiefs. So I think this is the classic case

491
00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:26,480
Speaker 2: where you have the home dog. The Titan strength plays

492
00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:29,840
Speaker 2: into the Chief's weakness. The public is usually going to

493
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:31,600
Speaker 2: be on the Chiefs. You just add it all up.

494
00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:34,200
Speaker 2: And the Titans, even though they're coming off the big

495
00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:37,280
Speaker 2: emotional win, and I weirdly don't love that. I still

496
00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:39,760
Speaker 2: like the Titans in the spot. Everything else about my

497
00:22:39,840 --> 00:22:41,840
Speaker 2: process points me in their direction.

498
00:22:42,600 --> 00:22:44,879
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just don't know. The Times are not a

499
00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:47,440
Speaker 1: good football team, and I mean they're not a terrible

500
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:49,280
Speaker 1: football team or anything like that. I love the Times.

501
00:22:49,280 --> 00:22:50,880
Speaker 1: I back them all the time, and I back them,

502
00:22:51,440 --> 00:22:54,520
Speaker 1: you know, against the Bills here because I just think

503
00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:58,240
Speaker 1: that their hole is greater than the sum of their parts.

504
00:22:58,240 --> 00:23:01,119
Speaker 1: And probably Derrick Henry covers up a lot of ills.

505
00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:03,479
Speaker 1: I mean, their secondary is terrible, and they again they

506
00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:06,879
Speaker 1: have more injuries here after this game. They probably should

507
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:08,720
Speaker 1: make a trade, but that's something not here or there.

508
00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:11,720
Speaker 1: I think I might use this as a teaser piece here.

509
00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:13,600
Speaker 1: I think I could see this as a game where

510
00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:17,160
Speaker 1: I pushed the Titans up six, get it over ten

511
00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:19,520
Speaker 1: because again, the biggest thing with the Titan it's like

512
00:23:19,800 --> 00:23:22,960
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry is not human and even off a short week,

513
00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:25,760
Speaker 1: it doesn't matter his workloads, Like you can just run

514
00:23:25,800 --> 00:23:27,800
Speaker 1: and run and run, and that is what they're going

515
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:29,480
Speaker 1: to try to do and control the clock and everything

516
00:23:29,520 --> 00:23:31,680
Speaker 1: like that. Aj Brown thankfully looked healthy. No more food

517
00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:34,520
Speaker 1: poisoning at the very least. So it is something where

518
00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:36,920
Speaker 1: I like that I kind of lean the under a

519
00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:39,199
Speaker 1: little bit. It's just the numbers so high too, Like

520
00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:42,320
Speaker 1: I get that, it's you know, you know, the Chiefs

521
00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:44,080
Speaker 1: can score on anybody and they can put up whatever

522
00:23:44,080 --> 00:23:46,000
Speaker 1: you want. Obviously came in with the under in the

523
00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:48,359
Speaker 1: last game. Both these teams can put up points. But

524
00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:49,960
Speaker 1: I lean under a little bit. Fifty six and a

525
00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:53,520
Speaker 1: half is just I mean, it's just it's silly, you know,

526
00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:56,960
Speaker 1: at this point, and not that it's wrong, but it

527
00:23:57,040 --> 00:23:59,080
Speaker 1: just seems silly. And I know public loves the over,

528
00:23:59,200 --> 00:24:01,240
Speaker 1: so their lines are inflated a little bit. But I

529
00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:04,320
Speaker 1: probably lean under. But it's not something where at four

530
00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:07,400
Speaker 1: and a half again because it's an emotional spot, as

531
00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:09,520
Speaker 1: you mentioned, and because they're coming off the short week

532
00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:12,639
Speaker 1: and the Jefs are still pretty desperate for a win

533
00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:15,280
Speaker 1: here so they can keep up with the division leaders.

534
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:17,720
Speaker 1: I'm just probably I'm only going to do it as

535
00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:19,639
Speaker 1: a teaser piece. I'm not going to touch it here

536
00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:22,080
Speaker 1: at that kind of dead number. What about the Eagles,

537
00:24:22,080 --> 00:24:25,880
Speaker 1: who I back routinely for absolutely no reason, getting three

538
00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:29,120
Speaker 1: here visiting Las Vegas with the Raiders a total at

539
00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:30,200
Speaker 1: forty nine.

540
00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:34,600
Speaker 2: So I didn't touch the Raiders Broncos game in Week six,

541
00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:36,200
Speaker 2: and part of that was just, you know, coming off

542
00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:38,800
Speaker 2: the whole Grooden situation, I didn't know how the Raiders

543
00:24:38,800 --> 00:24:41,760
Speaker 2: would respond. I thought it was such a huge factor though,

544
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:43,440
Speaker 2: that it could go one way or the other. Either

545
00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:46,640
Speaker 2: the team is demoralized and you know, they just lay

546
00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:49,560
Speaker 2: an egg, or they play really fired up and inspired

547
00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:52,320
Speaker 2: and they play really well. And that's what happened, is

548
00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:55,040
Speaker 2: the latter situation. Now, the question is will that last?

549
00:24:55,119 --> 00:24:57,720
Speaker 2: Was that a one week thing for them, or is

550
00:24:57,760 --> 00:24:59,600
Speaker 2: this going to be, you know, the new Raiders and

551
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:01,840
Speaker 2: that we can buy back into them similar to how

552
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:04,439
Speaker 2: we were during the first three weeks of the season.

553
00:25:04,520 --> 00:25:07,080
Speaker 2: One little note that I found studying this game is

554
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:10,159
Speaker 2: that Derek Carr has been great against zone defenses this

555
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:12,240
Speaker 2: year and that the Eagles play some of the least

556
00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:14,800
Speaker 2: amount of man in the NFL, so that would be

557
00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:19,280
Speaker 2: another reason to go in the direction of the Raiders. This, again,

558
00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:22,879
Speaker 2: just the whole Vegas situation for me, is the biggest

559
00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:26,520
Speaker 2: stay away in football right now. So I think a

560
00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:28,920
Speaker 2: lot of it comes down to your feel on the Raider,

561
00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:30,960
Speaker 2: and that's you know, I'm definitely you and I both

562
00:25:31,080 --> 00:25:35,159
Speaker 2: know more analytically minded guys, so we don't typically bet

563
00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:37,080
Speaker 2: off things like feel in that. But I think that

564
00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 2: this is what it comes down to, and that's why

565
00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:41,680
Speaker 2: I don't necessarily trust my numbers on it. I'd picked

566
00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:43,960
Speaker 2: the Raiders if I had to because about that note

567
00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:49,040
Speaker 2: about Car against zone defenses, but I just cannot overlook

568
00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:52,280
Speaker 2: the coaching factor and what that might do to this game.

569
00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:54,680
Speaker 1: I don't want anything to do with this game as

570
00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:56,880
Speaker 1: of right now. Now. It's funny because sometimes I say

571
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 1: that on a Monday or Tuesday, and then I dive

572
00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:02,400
Speaker 1: into it. I usually what just you guys know when

573
00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:04,600
Speaker 1: you were listening, because I mean, we do our best

574
00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:08,640
Speaker 1: bet Show on Thursday, and I generally I don't know

575
00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:10,600
Speaker 1: what I'm like nine to three or something over the

576
00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:12,600
Speaker 1: last four weeks because I take a lot of time.

577
00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:15,320
Speaker 1: On Wednesday is when I really kind of dig into

578
00:26:15,320 --> 00:26:17,400
Speaker 1: everything as best I can, and then on Thursday as well,

579
00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:19,800
Speaker 1: depending on when we record before I kind of reach

580
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:22,480
Speaker 1: my final consensus on it. So sometimes I have a

581
00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:24,880
Speaker 1: feeling early on in the week and then I get

582
00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:27,399
Speaker 1: to a different point later on the week. But I

583
00:26:27,440 --> 00:26:29,159
Speaker 1: can't imagine I'm going to want anything to do with

584
00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:32,960
Speaker 1: this game again. The Raiders like fantastic a great win

585
00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:35,840
Speaker 1: over the Broncos. They dominated that game. That's great, But

586
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:39,560
Speaker 1: is this now a letdown spot? And the Eagles, who

587
00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:41,960
Speaker 1: I think are so much better than what we have

588
00:26:42,080 --> 00:26:44,960
Speaker 1: seen from them, and so I always sort of lean

589
00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:48,200
Speaker 1: towards wanting to back them, and I back them against

590
00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:50,159
Speaker 1: the Bucks and that wound up working out, although it

591
00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:53,720
Speaker 1: was pretty ugly. I just can't trust the coaching staff

592
00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:55,840
Speaker 1: right now, Like I'm not impressed at all with what

593
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:59,800
Speaker 1: Nick Sirianni has done. And again, you know, I'm hopeful

594
00:26:59,840 --> 00:27:02,080
Speaker 1: that the Eagles sort of understand that they need to

595
00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:04,280
Speaker 1: run the ball now more you saw them have success

596
00:27:04,280 --> 00:27:06,439
Speaker 1: here with Miles Sanders. That is where the Raiders are

597
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:09,520
Speaker 1: a little more vulnerable than through the air. But man,

598
00:27:09,600 --> 00:27:11,040
Speaker 1: this is just a game I'm going to stay away from,

599
00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:12,959
Speaker 1: which I don't mind it all. You can stay out

600
00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:15,480
Speaker 1: a game, that is what I'm going to do here. Brandon,

601
00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:19,360
Speaker 1: you said you really really don't like these giant spreads,

602
00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:22,320
Speaker 1: and we've got several of them. So let's just start

603
00:27:22,359 --> 00:27:27,359
Speaker 1: off with the Lions visiting the Rams fourteen and a

604
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:31,600
Speaker 1: half points. The total is fifty and a half. Are

605
00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:34,959
Speaker 1: you willing to you know, take an underdog getting more

606
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:36,600
Speaker 1: than two touchdowns here with the Lions or what?

607
00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:41,040
Speaker 2: So? Yeah, just looking at my show notes here, and

608
00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:44,280
Speaker 2: we're moving for listeners who are following along, We've moved

609
00:27:44,320 --> 00:27:47,000
Speaker 2: on to the four five, four to twenty five pm

610
00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:49,600
Speaker 2: Eastern time games, and this is where all the huge

611
00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:51,480
Speaker 2: spreads are. So a lot of the public, I know,

612
00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:56,000
Speaker 2: will you know, do teasers and parlays around you know

613
00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:57,560
Speaker 2: what time the games are at, so they'll do a

614
00:27:57,600 --> 00:28:00,680
Speaker 2: one o'clock parlay, a four o'clock parlay. Because of that,

615
00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:03,760
Speaker 2: with all the huge spreads in the late afternoon slay,

616
00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:07,320
Speaker 2: I think we could see some really interesting teasers coming

617
00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:10,639
Speaker 2: from all of these. Now, this isn't the one of

618
00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:13,719
Speaker 2: the three that I want to take the underdog in.

619
00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:15,960
Speaker 2: We'll get to that in a sec. But my note

620
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:18,640
Speaker 2: for this game is, you know, the Rams their thing

621
00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:21,320
Speaker 2: with their offense right now, especially for fantasy. We know

622
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:23,320
Speaker 2: that they score a lot of points and that they

623
00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:26,720
Speaker 2: have a great offense, but they don't, you know, run

624
00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:29,320
Speaker 2: a million plays a game. They're not trying to generate

625
00:28:29,880 --> 00:28:33,119
Speaker 2: offense by pure volume. It's just that they're playing so

626
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:35,760
Speaker 2: efficiently right now. I mean, it's one of those things

627
00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:38,200
Speaker 2: that before the season, this is a prediction that I

628
00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:40,360
Speaker 2: know I had a lot of people had, but it

629
00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:43,000
Speaker 2: just worked out the way you expected. It's, oh, you

630
00:28:43,080 --> 00:28:45,320
Speaker 2: take Sean McVay and you take away Jared Goff, and

631
00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:47,440
Speaker 2: you're putting Matthew Stafford, and the offense is going to

632
00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:49,239
Speaker 2: look a lot better. It's exactly what happened. We can

633
00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:51,320
Speaker 2: all feel good about how that worked out. You know,

634
00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:54,320
Speaker 2: that doesn't always happen with our preseason takes, especially when

635
00:28:54,360 --> 00:28:57,520
Speaker 2: it comes to fantasy football. But so you add that in.

636
00:28:57,640 --> 00:28:59,600
Speaker 2: This is the Jared Goff ball, by the way, he

637
00:28:59,720 --> 00:29:03,120
Speaker 2: is going to play against the Rams. So there's that

638
00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:04,080
Speaker 2: name revenge game.

639
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:04,880
Speaker 1: Man, let's go.

640
00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:07,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, So I would lead the Rams. This one is

641
00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:11,520
Speaker 2: to stay away for me of the bunch, just because

642
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:16,200
Speaker 2: just because with the Rams, I don't know if the

643
00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:18,720
Speaker 2: number of plays that they're gonna run is gonna lead

644
00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:21,160
Speaker 2: them to, you know, extending that huge lead.

645
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:24,040
Speaker 1: I have no interest in this game. Like I again,

646
00:29:24,400 --> 00:29:27,280
Speaker 1: when you get to spread this big, it's nuts. It's

647
00:29:27,320 --> 00:29:30,720
Speaker 1: almost impossible to back the favorite. And what's funny, Brendan

648
00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:33,600
Speaker 1: is that before this last game against the Bengals, sort

649
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:36,440
Speaker 1: of the whole narrative on the Lions. I like the

650
00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:38,320
Speaker 1: Lions getting three and a half. I didn't bet it,

651
00:29:38,360 --> 00:29:42,200
Speaker 1: but I liked it more against the Bengals because they

652
00:29:42,240 --> 00:29:45,479
Speaker 1: fight right, they fight with Dan Campbell, they put up

653
00:29:45,560 --> 00:29:48,360
Speaker 1: they keep things close or they'll come back at the

654
00:29:48,440 --> 00:29:50,440
Speaker 1: end of the game. And then they got completely blown

655
00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:54,320
Speaker 1: out against the Bengals. So the bottom line is just

656
00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:59,280
Speaker 1: like there's such a disparity in talent level on these

657
00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:01,760
Speaker 1: teams every which way. I mean, I think if you

658
00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:05,160
Speaker 1: had to, the Rams could put up fifty points by

659
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:07,480
Speaker 1: themselves if they wanted to write, if they were like,

660
00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:09,440
Speaker 1: you know what, we just got to keep our foot

661
00:30:09,840 --> 00:30:12,520
Speaker 1: on the gas. We're gonna go crazy here. The lines

662
00:30:12,520 --> 00:30:16,840
Speaker 1: would have, you know, difficulty putting up points. If I

663
00:30:16,840 --> 00:30:19,200
Speaker 1: had to go one way, I'd probably go with a

664
00:30:19,240 --> 00:30:21,960
Speaker 1: favorite over fourteen and a half. And again that's just

665
00:30:22,000 --> 00:30:23,920
Speaker 1: the consensus line, and that is where it is at

666
00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:27,320
Speaker 1: most books. You go to a Fox, bet it's fifteen.

667
00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:30,480
Speaker 1: You go to Fandle or bet mgm, it's fifteen and

668
00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:33,960
Speaker 1: a half. Like, it's just nuts for me at this point,

669
00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:36,640
Speaker 1: But I don't care, Like I'll stay away and my

670
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:39,440
Speaker 1: guess is not getting down to fourteen. So I don't

671
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:41,000
Speaker 1: think you have to rush to bet this wherever you

672
00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:44,120
Speaker 1: are because it really doesn't matter at this point. But yeah,

673
00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:46,440
Speaker 1: this is just crazy, as is the next game, which

674
00:30:46,480 --> 00:30:50,600
Speaker 1: is the Texans visiting the Cardinals. The Cardinals are laying

675
00:30:50,600 --> 00:30:55,080
Speaker 1: a tidy seventeen points in this game. The total is

676
00:30:55,560 --> 00:30:58,640
Speaker 1: forty seven, So, Tuma, what do you think about this one?

677
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:01,800
Speaker 2: Yeah? These are just getting insane. I think the biggest

678
00:31:01,840 --> 00:31:05,120
Speaker 2: thing to note Tyron Taylor with his hamstring injury. It

679
00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:06,960
Speaker 2: doesn't look like he'll be back to this one, which

680
00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:10,400
Speaker 2: will mean another week of Davis Miles. When it comes

681
00:31:10,440 --> 00:31:13,240
Speaker 2: to these really big spreads, I think the thing you

682
00:31:13,320 --> 00:31:16,880
Speaker 2: want to look at is the defense, because we know

683
00:31:17,440 --> 00:31:19,200
Speaker 2: for a team to you know, get out your big league,

684
00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:21,720
Speaker 2: they probably need to have some sort of explosive offense

685
00:31:21,800 --> 00:31:24,160
Speaker 2: or at least, you know, an effective offense, which we

686
00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:27,680
Speaker 2: know that the Cardinals do with Kyler Murray. But I

687
00:31:27,680 --> 00:31:30,040
Speaker 2: think the thing about Arizona is that over the past

688
00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:33,600
Speaker 2: few years the defensive efficiency has improved ever since you know,

689
00:31:33,640 --> 00:31:36,800
Speaker 2: Cliff Kingsbury got there, advanced Joseph as the defensive coordinator.

690
00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:39,840
Speaker 2: What this means, though, is that they can hold leads.

691
00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:42,640
Speaker 2: It's not like a chief situation where they can get

692
00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:44,640
Speaker 2: out to these big leads and then the defense is

693
00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:46,360
Speaker 2: just gonna let the other team right back in it,

694
00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:49,000
Speaker 2: which allows way back to a cover. Is the Cardinals

695
00:31:49,120 --> 00:31:53,560
Speaker 2: defense is surprisingly good enough to the point where I

696
00:31:53,600 --> 00:31:57,080
Speaker 2: could see them holding down this lead again. This spread

697
00:31:57,160 --> 00:31:59,120
Speaker 2: is we'll still get to my favorite one of it

698
00:31:59,160 --> 00:31:59,960
Speaker 2: still isn't kind.

699
00:31:59,800 --> 00:32:02,080
Speaker 1: Of Oh we haven't even gotten to your favorites by

700
00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:02,560
Speaker 1: of the week.

701
00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:05,080
Speaker 2: No, we haven't yet. Oh my goodness's going to be

702
00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:08,080
Speaker 2: coming up next again. This is another situation where I

703
00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:11,880
Speaker 2: lean Cardinals because I believe that that defense can hold

704
00:32:12,280 --> 00:32:15,440
Speaker 2: onto the big lead, but man, it is terrifying to

705
00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:16,560
Speaker 2: take a minus seventeen.

706
00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:22,920
Speaker 1: I think I could do it Brendan like again here.

707
00:32:23,080 --> 00:32:25,280
Speaker 1: I mean, if people have followed me, they know, like,

708
00:32:25,680 --> 00:32:28,320
Speaker 1: I'm not often interested in taking these giant spreads on

709
00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:32,600
Speaker 1: either side, just because it's so silly to do it,

710
00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:35,200
Speaker 1: and I certainly don't want to take a favorite almost

711
00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:37,480
Speaker 1: ever with these times. Again, I would take the Rams

712
00:32:37,520 --> 00:32:40,360
Speaker 1: if I had to go one way and another, because

713
00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:43,040
Speaker 1: the potential for back to our cover is just always there.

714
00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:45,400
Speaker 1: Something flukey can happen, and you mentioned it right from

715
00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:48,800
Speaker 1: the start. These are NFL teams, like they're all NFL teams.

716
00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 1: They're the you know, elite athletes of the elite athletes,

717
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:55,240
Speaker 1: So having these giant spreads is really something that's crazy

718
00:32:55,360 --> 00:32:57,480
Speaker 1: to me. If I had to go somewhere here, I

719
00:32:57,680 --> 00:33:00,840
Speaker 1: probably would take the Textan just because I think that

720
00:33:01,520 --> 00:33:05,680
Speaker 1: they're probably able to put up enough of a fight offensively.

721
00:33:05,760 --> 00:33:08,040
Speaker 1: It's not great. I don't expect to Hoteller to be back,

722
00:33:08,240 --> 00:33:10,440
Speaker 1: but if you know, if the Cardinals take their foot

723
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:12,920
Speaker 1: off the gas a little bit here that they would

724
00:33:13,000 --> 00:33:14,320
Speaker 1: you know, the Texans would be able to get it

725
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:16,440
Speaker 1: back to their cover. But it's just not something where

726
00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:18,040
Speaker 1: I'm going I want to go anywhere near. I don't

727
00:33:18,040 --> 00:33:19,680
Speaker 1: care where the line moves. But all I really care

728
00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:22,080
Speaker 1: about is getting into your favorite spread. Please tell me

729
00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:25,120
Speaker 1: that it involves the Bears visiting the Bucks and the

730
00:33:25,160 --> 00:33:27,880
Speaker 1: Bear is getting thirteen points and or the total of

731
00:33:27,920 --> 00:33:28,960
Speaker 1: forty seven and a half.

732
00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:32,600
Speaker 2: It does. And I'm scared to say this on air

733
00:33:32,720 --> 00:33:36,040
Speaker 2: to back Matt Maggie led team as my favorite spread

734
00:33:36,040 --> 00:33:37,840
Speaker 2: of the week, But I do like the Bears in

735
00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:40,080
Speaker 2: this situation. And it's again going off what I was

736
00:33:40,120 --> 00:33:42,320
Speaker 2: just talking about with the Cardinals and being able to

737
00:33:42,440 --> 00:33:45,520
Speaker 2: hold onto that big lead. That's not what this Bucks

738
00:33:45,560 --> 00:33:48,040
Speaker 2: defense is able to do right now. They were having

739
00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:50,680
Speaker 2: major issues in the secondary. They brought in Richard Sherman

740
00:33:50,920 --> 00:33:53,440
Speaker 2: and now he's hurt as well. So right now the

741
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:55,920
Speaker 2: Bucks defense. You know, we all expect the Bucks to

742
00:33:55,920 --> 00:34:01,160
Speaker 2: put up points here, obviously, but I don't necessarily. I

743
00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:03,160
Speaker 2: don't feel like I can count on them to hold

744
00:34:03,240 --> 00:34:06,000
Speaker 2: that lead. Now, if you told me that the Bears

745
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:07,640
Speaker 2: were going to come out and that they were going

746
00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:11,440
Speaker 2: to run that Cowboys game, remember Week one, the Cowboys,

747
00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:14,360
Speaker 2: they just didn't even bother running Zeke. They would just

748
00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:16,520
Speaker 2: throw a throw throw, which, as we've learned, is the

749
00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:19,480
Speaker 2: way to attack the Bucks. If you told me that

750
00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:21,840
Speaker 2: they were going to lead into that strategy, I would

751
00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:25,200
Speaker 2: love this bet so much. Even more, I oddly feel

752
00:34:25,239 --> 00:34:28,280
Speaker 2: like I can't trust the Bears coaching staff right now

753
00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:30,919
Speaker 2: to do that. And I can see, you know, them

754
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:34,680
Speaker 2: more so, wanting to take pressure off their offensive line,

755
00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:37,360
Speaker 2: take pressure off their rookie quarterback by trying just to

756
00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:40,280
Speaker 2: run into an absolute brick wall that's the Bucks d line.

757
00:34:40,400 --> 00:34:43,480
Speaker 2: But I do think you know, I don't think you know,

758
00:34:43,520 --> 00:34:46,640
Speaker 2: in sports gambling we should necessarily try to predict what

759
00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:48,799
Speaker 2: the coaches will do in that situation. I think we

760
00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:52,200
Speaker 2: should just look where the edges are and the Bears

761
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:54,640
Speaker 2: passing game, I think justin Fields is getting a little

762
00:34:54,640 --> 00:34:58,120
Speaker 2: more comfortable. Betters might not want a bet on him

763
00:34:58,120 --> 00:35:00,520
Speaker 2: because he hasn't erupted just yet, but this as good

764
00:35:00,520 --> 00:35:03,680
Speaker 2: of a spot as long as the Bears a line

765
00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:05,600
Speaker 2: can protect him for you know, at least a few

766
00:35:05,640 --> 00:35:08,279
Speaker 2: seconds to get the ball out and expose that secondary.

767
00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:11,000
Speaker 2: And you know, this is the exact type game where

768
00:35:11,040 --> 00:35:15,120
Speaker 2: I think the odds for a backdoor cover are higher

769
00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:17,880
Speaker 2: than in the either the rams or the cardinal spreads.

770
00:35:18,280 --> 00:35:20,600
Speaker 1: You know, I actually like in this game. I like

771
00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:22,959
Speaker 1: the over. That's where I would lean and I would

772
00:35:22,960 --> 00:35:24,680
Speaker 1: bet it. Now, there is a forty seven, you know

773
00:35:24,719 --> 00:35:27,200
Speaker 1: there it's between forty seven forty and forty seven and

774
00:35:27,239 --> 00:35:29,160
Speaker 1: a half. So if you're out of forty seven and

775
00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:30,919
Speaker 1: a half, you want to wait for forty seven, that's fine.

776
00:35:31,160 --> 00:35:34,640
Speaker 1: But to me, I agree with a lot of what

777
00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:37,359
Speaker 1: you're saying. But I think to me that says more

778
00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:41,319
Speaker 1: of the over rather than the Bears being able to cover. Now,

779
00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:43,800
Speaker 1: I know the Bears have a solid defense and everything

780
00:35:43,840 --> 00:35:45,200
Speaker 1: like that, and they don't put up a ton of

781
00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:47,920
Speaker 1: points or anything like that. I was I don't want

782
00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:50,799
Speaker 1: to use the word impressed because I think that's too much,

783
00:35:51,120 --> 00:35:55,400
Speaker 1: but I was less unimpressed with Justin Fields last week,

784
00:35:55,760 --> 00:35:57,759
Speaker 1: you know again, and they he had a career high

785
00:35:57,760 --> 00:36:01,000
Speaker 1: at least in pass attempts and completely and I think

786
00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:03,520
Speaker 1: that you know, he has an arm. You can push

787
00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:05,600
Speaker 1: the ball down the field a little bit. With Darnell

788
00:36:05,680 --> 00:36:08,319
Speaker 1: Mooney in this game, so I think, you know, with

789
00:36:08,440 --> 00:36:10,920
Speaker 1: him being a running quarterback, not that it did Jalen

790
00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:12,640
Speaker 1: Hurts all that much, but that you know, they were

791
00:36:12,680 --> 00:36:14,640
Speaker 1: able in the end to put up points here, this

792
00:36:14,719 --> 00:36:16,680
Speaker 1: does strike me as a game where both teams are

793
00:36:16,719 --> 00:36:17,920
Speaker 1: going to be able to put up points and the

794
00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:19,720
Speaker 1: Bears are going to be able to put up more points.

795
00:36:19,719 --> 00:36:22,400
Speaker 1: And I think most people expect here with this game.

796
00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:24,839
Speaker 1: And I do think i'd lean the over here at

797
00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:27,840
Speaker 1: forty seven and a half. Again, I'm not really taking

798
00:36:28,239 --> 00:36:30,560
Speaker 1: I just don't want to go with the spread here

799
00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:32,400
Speaker 1: at this point. It sounds like you like it at thirteen.

800
00:36:32,480 --> 00:36:35,279
Speaker 1: What if it drops? Does it matter? Brendan? I mean,

801
00:36:35,480 --> 00:36:37,960
Speaker 1: you know it's obviously under two touchdowns. Do you care

802
00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:40,759
Speaker 1: about whether or not it's thirteen, twelve, twelve and a

803
00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:42,600
Speaker 1: half anything like that? Are you just good with it

804
00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:44,560
Speaker 1: basically at around that level?

805
00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:47,200
Speaker 2: I do agree with you that the over is, you know,

806
00:36:47,280 --> 00:36:49,319
Speaker 2: the other play in this game, that if that's your

807
00:36:49,320 --> 00:36:50,800
Speaker 2: belief of how this game is going to go, that

808
00:36:50,840 --> 00:36:52,399
Speaker 2: I'm fine with betting that. Yeah. I would. I would

809
00:36:52,440 --> 00:36:54,680
Speaker 2: take the Bears if it went down to twelve and

810
00:36:54,680 --> 00:36:56,200
Speaker 2: a half. I do think we want to be priced

811
00:36:56,239 --> 00:36:59,000
Speaker 2: sensitive and not just take them at no matter what

812
00:36:59,040 --> 00:37:02,160
Speaker 2: the number is. But with these three huge spreads in

813
00:37:02,200 --> 00:37:05,600
Speaker 2: the four o'clock games, at least in the Eastern time zone.

814
00:37:06,960 --> 00:37:09,920
Speaker 2: I do think that there's something about Vegas is building

815
00:37:09,920 --> 00:37:13,040
Speaker 2: in a couple extra points towards the favorites. They just

816
00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:17,080
Speaker 2: don't want to get, you know, crushed on the favorites covering.

817
00:37:17,160 --> 00:37:19,319
Speaker 2: So I almost feel like we're almost with all these

818
00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:22,799
Speaker 2: games getting you know, just tacking on you know, who

819
00:37:22,840 --> 00:37:24,480
Speaker 2: knows how many one and a half, two, two and

820
00:37:24,520 --> 00:37:27,640
Speaker 2: a half points to each of these spreads, because Vegas

821
00:37:27,680 --> 00:37:30,680
Speaker 2: needs to somehow find a way to get the public

822
00:37:30,719 --> 00:37:33,040
Speaker 2: to bet on these bad teams. And I think, you know,

823
00:37:33,520 --> 00:37:35,360
Speaker 2: of the three of them, the Bears is definitely the

824
00:37:35,360 --> 00:37:37,240
Speaker 2: one that I would want to attack the most.

825
00:37:37,440 --> 00:37:40,520
Speaker 1: All right, here's one of my favorite games of the weekend,

826
00:37:40,560 --> 00:37:43,640
Speaker 1: so I'm interested to hear what you think. It's Sunday

827
00:37:43,719 --> 00:37:46,680
Speaker 1: Night Football. It is the Colts visiting the forty nine

828
00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:49,640
Speaker 1: Ers off of by The Colts are getting three and

829
00:37:49,640 --> 00:37:53,600
Speaker 1: a half points here. It's pretty much universal across every book.

830
00:37:53,840 --> 00:37:56,640
Speaker 1: The total is forty five. You've obviously got the forty

831
00:37:56,719 --> 00:37:59,160
Speaker 1: nine ers coming off the buy here. It sounds like

832
00:37:59,239 --> 00:38:02,279
Speaker 1: it's going to be Jimmy Garoppolo. The Colts put up

833
00:38:02,280 --> 00:38:04,319
Speaker 1: a big win over the Texans as they needed to

834
00:38:04,360 --> 00:38:08,640
Speaker 1: do coming off that horrific loss against the Ravens, they

835
00:38:08,680 --> 00:38:11,080
Speaker 1: have some injuries. Of course, Paris Campbell's probably going to

836
00:38:11,160 --> 00:38:13,759
Speaker 1: miss this game here with his foot injury. You've also

837
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:16,680
Speaker 1: got Ty Hilton maybe going to miss the game with

838
00:38:16,800 --> 00:38:19,400
Speaker 1: his quad injuries. So do you have any feelings on

839
00:38:19,440 --> 00:38:21,080
Speaker 1: this one? The forty nine Ers laying three and a

840
00:38:21,120 --> 00:38:22,200
Speaker 1: half total forty five.

841
00:38:23,120 --> 00:38:24,920
Speaker 2: Yeah. I like the forty nine Ers, And I think

842
00:38:25,040 --> 00:38:27,880
Speaker 2: Kyle Shanahan is just one of the most interesting coaches

843
00:38:28,480 --> 00:38:31,000
Speaker 2: in football because I think when it comes to you know,

844
00:38:31,160 --> 00:38:34,600
Speaker 2: general team building and maybe some in game management stuff,

845
00:38:34,600 --> 00:38:38,719
Speaker 2: he's definitely extremely questionable and probably a bit overrated. But

846
00:38:39,000 --> 00:38:41,319
Speaker 2: just as a pure play caller, I think, you know,

847
00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:44,400
Speaker 2: he might be the best offense, the best quote unquote

848
00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:47,120
Speaker 2: offensive coordinator in the league. And I almost think that

849
00:38:47,160 --> 00:38:49,799
Speaker 2: would be you know, his perfect role moving forward. But

850
00:38:50,200 --> 00:38:52,800
Speaker 2: so for him to come off a bye and have

851
00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:55,680
Speaker 2: you know, just two weeks to prepare, you know, all

852
00:38:55,680 --> 00:38:57,720
Speaker 2: the plays that he wants to draw up to attack

853
00:38:57,760 --> 00:39:00,920
Speaker 2: this Colts defense, I am interested in that. And I

854
00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:03,879
Speaker 2: think the other thing is, you know, the public might

855
00:39:03,920 --> 00:39:06,800
Speaker 2: be willing to go in on the Colts a little

856
00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:10,000
Speaker 2: bit more because of how well they played, I'll bite

857
00:39:10,440 --> 00:39:13,480
Speaker 2: it coming against the Texans. One note is that Wentz

858
00:39:13,560 --> 00:39:17,200
Speaker 2: earned the highest single game PFF grade of his career

859
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:20,080
Speaker 2: last week, which is really surprising considering, you know, some

860
00:39:20,120 --> 00:39:22,680
Speaker 2: of the highs he had with the Eagles. But I

861
00:39:22,719 --> 00:39:25,200
Speaker 2: think the thing with that game is is that it

862
00:39:25,239 --> 00:39:27,799
Speaker 2: was perfect conditions. And I think that's where where we're

863
00:39:27,840 --> 00:39:29,799
Speaker 2: at with Wentz. That if he has all the time

864
00:39:29,840 --> 00:39:33,000
Speaker 2: in the world to throw the ball with good offensive

865
00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:35,080
Speaker 2: line playing, he's playing against a bad defense, you know,

866
00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:38,640
Speaker 2: he can look still pretty formidable. But you know, going

867
00:39:38,680 --> 00:39:41,480
Speaker 2: on the road on Sunday night, coming off the Texans

868
00:39:41,520 --> 00:39:45,120
Speaker 2: game into San Francisco, I don't think that these conditions

869
00:39:45,120 --> 00:39:47,640
Speaker 2: will be nearly as good for him. And again, just

870
00:39:47,680 --> 00:39:49,560
Speaker 2: you know Shanahan coming off of bye, I'm going to

871
00:39:49,640 --> 00:39:52,520
Speaker 2: try to trust the play caller in him. In general

872
00:39:52,840 --> 00:39:55,320
Speaker 2: for season long stuff, I do think, you know, I

873
00:39:55,800 --> 00:39:57,839
Speaker 2: tend to shy away from a lot of forty nine

874
00:39:57,960 --> 00:40:01,600
Speaker 2: ers things because of the questions I brought up. But

875
00:40:01,719 --> 00:40:03,960
Speaker 2: you know, for this one game, I do like the

876
00:40:03,960 --> 00:40:04,839
Speaker 2: forty nine ers here.

877
00:40:05,120 --> 00:40:06,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I'm on the other side. I get

878
00:40:06,960 --> 00:40:08,520
Speaker 1: that it's Sunday night football, and I get that the

879
00:40:08,520 --> 00:40:10,399
Speaker 1: forty nine ers are off the bye. Everything you said

880
00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:13,640
Speaker 1: is true, I just don't I think there are two sides,

881
00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:16,879
Speaker 1: So number one, I don't trust the forty nine ers

882
00:40:17,160 --> 00:40:19,239
Speaker 1: offense right now, and I think it's going to be

883
00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:21,319
Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo, which I don't know if it's a good

884
00:40:21,320 --> 00:40:23,320
Speaker 1: thing or a bad thing for whatever they have. Obviously,

885
00:40:23,400 --> 00:40:25,440
Speaker 1: Lance was exciting but made a lot of mistakes. But

886
00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:27,600
Speaker 1: they could have very easily beaten the Cardinals in that game.

887
00:40:28,120 --> 00:40:30,960
Speaker 1: But they don't have George Kittle. I think that really

888
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:32,840
Speaker 1: hurts when you've got Jimmy Garoppolo.

889
00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:33,279
Speaker 2: You know.

890
00:40:33,320 --> 00:40:36,480
Speaker 1: Again, Elijah Mitchell is fine, but the running back situation

891
00:40:36,600 --> 00:40:39,920
Speaker 1: is not exactly. They don't have you know, Rehemoster back there,

892
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:42,839
Speaker 1: which does make a difference. Brandon a Yuk has been

893
00:40:42,880 --> 00:40:46,520
Speaker 1: completely irrelevant this year. It's all Deebo Samuel. And conversely,

894
00:40:46,880 --> 00:40:48,839
Speaker 1: I think the Colts are finding their footing a little bit,

895
00:40:48,880 --> 00:40:51,520
Speaker 1: and I think, to be as fair as possible, a

896
00:40:51,520 --> 00:40:54,279
Speaker 1: lot of it is just Carson Wentz being healthy now,

897
00:40:54,520 --> 00:40:58,920
Speaker 1: and again, Wentz was horrific last year in Philadelphia, and

898
00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:01,160
Speaker 1: I think almost all of that had to do with

899
00:41:01,239 --> 00:41:04,560
Speaker 1: the fact that once that offensive line was terrible and

900
00:41:04,600 --> 00:41:07,040
Speaker 1: he was pressured pretty much every time he dropped back,

901
00:41:07,160 --> 00:41:09,040
Speaker 1: he got in his own head. He couldn't get out

902
00:41:09,040 --> 00:41:11,839
Speaker 1: of it. The offensive line for the Colts, I mean,

903
00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:14,560
Speaker 1: they've been banged up, they've had their issues, but they're

904
00:41:14,600 --> 00:41:18,279
Speaker 1: you know, you know, five hundred percent better than what

905
00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:21,680
Speaker 1: we saw last year from the Philadelphia offensive line. I

906
00:41:21,760 --> 00:41:23,799
Speaker 1: think that's given him a little bit of confidence. And again,

907
00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:26,280
Speaker 1: yeah it was against the Texans, but Brendan he played

908
00:41:26,360 --> 00:41:28,840
Speaker 1: very well against the Ravens too on the road in

909
00:41:28,920 --> 00:41:31,439
Speaker 1: that game. So you know, I think for me, I'm

910
00:41:31,520 --> 00:41:35,200
Speaker 1: starting to more come to the table here a little

911
00:41:35,200 --> 00:41:39,680
Speaker 1: bit with now Wentz getting healthier, with having more time

912
00:41:39,719 --> 00:41:42,880
Speaker 1: in Frank Reich's system and everything like that. Jonathan Taylor

913
00:41:42,920 --> 00:41:46,040
Speaker 1: is an absolute stud. They were using him correctly. This

914
00:41:46,120 --> 00:41:47,840
Speaker 1: strikes me as a game that they're going to be

915
00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:50,279
Speaker 1: able to keep close. And if I'm getting it over

916
00:41:50,280 --> 00:41:52,040
Speaker 1: a field goal, which I think, by the way, it's

917
00:41:52,080 --> 00:41:53,880
Speaker 1: probably going to stay. I don't I don't think this

918
00:41:53,960 --> 00:41:56,280
Speaker 1: is going to be something where again a Colts team

919
00:41:56,320 --> 00:41:59,640
Speaker 1: going on the road on a Sunday night football game

920
00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:03,080
Speaker 1: to take on a very very strong forty nine ers.

921
00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:06,960
Speaker 1: You know, defense at home, you know again on Sunday

922
00:42:07,040 --> 00:42:09,680
Speaker 1: night football off of bye I don't see, you know,

923
00:42:09,840 --> 00:42:12,640
Speaker 1: everybody coming out here to back the Colts. But that's

924
00:42:12,680 --> 00:42:15,359
Speaker 1: actually where I come in at over a field goal here,

925
00:42:15,440 --> 00:42:16,320
Speaker 1: So I'm.

926
00:42:16,160 --> 00:42:16,560
Speaker 2: Gonna go there.

927
00:42:16,600 --> 00:42:18,239
Speaker 1: We're gonna be on opposite side of the game, which

928
00:42:18,280 --> 00:42:19,720
Speaker 1: is fine. Do you have any thoughts on the total?

929
00:42:19,760 --> 00:42:21,480
Speaker 1: I kind of lean the under here. I don't. It

930
00:42:21,520 --> 00:42:24,279
Speaker 1: doesn't strike me as a huge offensive explosion. I know,

931
00:42:24,360 --> 00:42:26,399
Speaker 1: forty five, forty five and a half not a huge

932
00:42:26,480 --> 00:42:28,360
Speaker 1: number or anything, but it still strikes me as something

933
00:42:28,600 --> 00:42:30,360
Speaker 1: where I don't expect a ton of points to be

934
00:42:30,360 --> 00:42:30,919
Speaker 1: scored here.

935
00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:33,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, if anything, I could see, I agree with you

936
00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:36,319
Speaker 2: that the spread will probably stay where it is, and

937
00:42:36,320 --> 00:42:38,440
Speaker 2: that if anything, the over under might go a little

938
00:42:38,440 --> 00:42:40,520
Speaker 2: bit up on the over. So if you do want to,

939
00:42:40,600 --> 00:42:42,800
Speaker 2: you know, bet the under, which is my lean, I

940
00:42:42,800 --> 00:42:45,160
Speaker 2: would maybe wait till later in the week to see

941
00:42:45,280 --> 00:42:47,440
Speaker 2: where it settles in at. And yeah, I do think

942
00:42:47,440 --> 00:42:49,040
Speaker 2: it matters. What you said about that is a good

943
00:42:49,080 --> 00:42:52,160
Speaker 2: point about Wentz getting healthier. You and I, you know,

944
00:42:52,200 --> 00:42:54,360
Speaker 2: we came up through the Fantasy Pros news desk, so

945
00:42:54,440 --> 00:42:58,000
Speaker 2: we're always monitoring the you know day to day practice reports,

946
00:42:58,000 --> 00:43:00,480
Speaker 2: if a player is limited or full and all of that.

947
00:43:01,040 --> 00:43:03,240
Speaker 2: And you know Wentz early in the year he was playing,

948
00:43:03,239 --> 00:43:05,399
Speaker 2: but he was only getting in limited practices and now

949
00:43:05,440 --> 00:43:07,439
Speaker 2: he's been the past two weeks, he's been getting in

950
00:43:07,680 --> 00:43:10,920
Speaker 2: full practices, So there is legitimacy to the saying that

951
00:43:10,960 --> 00:43:12,239
Speaker 2: Wentz is getting healthier.

952
00:43:12,920 --> 00:43:15,120
Speaker 1: And again you just watch him, you know what's going on.

953
00:43:15,160 --> 00:43:17,160
Speaker 1: And the fact that he played in Week one mind

954
00:43:17,200 --> 00:43:20,320
Speaker 1: boggling because again again that five to twelve week timetable.

955
00:43:20,520 --> 00:43:22,920
Speaker 1: They really pushed them. And to be fair, their backup

956
00:43:23,000 --> 00:43:25,440
Speaker 1: quarterback situation is one of the worst in the league.

957
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:27,600
Speaker 1: So I guess I get it in that sense. But

958
00:43:27,960 --> 00:43:30,960
Speaker 1: now that he's getting healthier again, regardless of whether or

959
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:33,080
Speaker 1: not to Y Hilton can play. The fact that Michael

960
00:43:33,080 --> 00:43:35,360
Speaker 1: Pittman Junior is there, their scheme opens up everything. And

961
00:43:35,360 --> 00:43:38,200
Speaker 1: again Jonathan Taylor and their defenses is fine. You know,

962
00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:41,240
Speaker 1: it's not quite as strong as it was. Their secondary

963
00:43:41,239 --> 00:43:43,200
Speaker 1: has been really banged up all year, but I don't

964
00:43:43,200 --> 00:43:45,760
Speaker 1: think that matters that much against the forty nine ers. Again,

965
00:43:46,000 --> 00:43:48,520
Speaker 1: great coaching staff, they've had an extra week to prepare.

966
00:43:48,560 --> 00:43:50,399
Speaker 1: That's a great thing for them, but I still lean

967
00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:53,040
Speaker 1: towards the Colts at overfield goal. Last game here, Monday

968
00:43:53,120 --> 00:43:56,360
Speaker 1: night football. You know, you go back a year, Brandon,

969
00:43:56,400 --> 00:43:58,440
Speaker 1: and you go back two years, this game would be

970
00:43:58,640 --> 00:44:01,759
Speaker 1: the most exciting game history man kind. Right now, it's

971
00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:04,440
Speaker 1: very much a all right, it's Monday Night football, so

972
00:44:04,520 --> 00:44:07,160
Speaker 1: I'll watch it. The Saints are visiting the Seahawks. The

973
00:44:07,200 --> 00:44:09,880
Speaker 1: Saints right now are laying five points. The total is

974
00:44:09,960 --> 00:44:12,359
Speaker 1: forty three and a half. Man, again, you go back

975
00:44:12,400 --> 00:44:13,840
Speaker 1: a year or two, the total in this game is

976
00:44:13,880 --> 00:44:15,440
Speaker 1: like fifty five and a half at this point. But

977
00:44:15,880 --> 00:44:17,799
Speaker 1: what do you think here, Tuma? You know you've got

978
00:44:17,800 --> 00:44:19,680
Speaker 1: I'm sure Geno Smith again. You know, you know they're

979
00:44:19,719 --> 00:44:21,799
Speaker 1: kicking the tires on the quarterbacks. But I'm sure it's

980
00:44:21,800 --> 00:44:24,720
Speaker 1: going to be Gino Smith here again for the Seahawks.

981
00:44:24,719 --> 00:44:26,120
Speaker 1: What do you think, man?

982
00:44:26,360 --> 00:44:28,960
Speaker 2: Do you have this up? Did this move already a

983
00:44:29,040 --> 00:44:31,120
Speaker 2: point or two in the direction of the States? I

984
00:44:31,120 --> 00:44:32,880
Speaker 2: think it might have opened at three and a half.

985
00:44:33,239 --> 00:44:35,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, there are some books that are still

986
00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:38,960
Speaker 1: out there at four and a half at this point,

987
00:44:39,000 --> 00:44:41,920
Speaker 1: but it's the consensus is five. When I'm looking through

988
00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:44,440
Speaker 1: all the books, almost everyone is at five There is

989
00:44:44,480 --> 00:44:46,600
Speaker 1: a five and a half out there at FanDuel, there's

990
00:44:46,640 --> 00:44:50,240
Speaker 1: a four and a half at bet MGM. So it's

991
00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:53,040
Speaker 1: all over the place. But yeah, it moves here obviously,

992
00:44:53,120 --> 00:44:54,960
Speaker 1: you know from what we saw on Sunday night.

993
00:44:55,640 --> 00:44:58,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, the more the higher it gets, the more scared

994
00:44:58,200 --> 00:45:00,319
Speaker 2: I get, because that came in prepared to, you know,

995
00:45:00,400 --> 00:45:03,320
Speaker 2: really talk up the Saints in this spot. I think

996
00:45:03,880 --> 00:45:06,719
Speaker 2: the Geno Smith factor all the you know, maybe it's

997
00:45:06,800 --> 00:45:08,960
Speaker 2: just you know, the crowd that I follow and interact

998
00:45:09,000 --> 00:45:10,920
Speaker 2: with on Twitter, but it feels like a lot of

999
00:45:10,920 --> 00:45:13,480
Speaker 2: people really want Geno Smith to do well, and they're

1000
00:45:13,560 --> 00:45:16,239
Speaker 2: rooting for Gino Smith and he just already had a

1001
00:45:16,280 --> 00:45:19,680
Speaker 2: prime time game and he helped you know betters who

1002
00:45:19,760 --> 00:45:21,920
Speaker 2: might have you know, wanted to bet on him cover.

1003
00:45:22,120 --> 00:45:24,160
Speaker 2: And now there's another chance, you know where it's you know,

1004
00:45:24,160 --> 00:45:26,480
Speaker 2: an Island game and people can come in and say, oh,

1005
00:45:26,480 --> 00:45:28,319
Speaker 2: I want to bet on Geno Smith. You know he

1006
00:45:28,360 --> 00:45:30,480
Speaker 2: did well for me last week. And you know, the

1007
00:45:30,480 --> 00:45:33,960
Speaker 2: Seahawks are at home and everything too, But man, I

1008
00:45:34,000 --> 00:45:36,400
Speaker 2: do kind of want to fade Gino at this spot.

1009
00:45:36,440 --> 00:45:39,120
Speaker 2: I know that's nothing crazy to say for when it

1010
00:45:39,160 --> 00:45:41,640
Speaker 2: comes to you know, sports gambling people who were betting

1011
00:45:41,640 --> 00:45:43,880
Speaker 2: against Geno, you know, five eight years ago when he

1012
00:45:43,920 --> 00:45:46,400
Speaker 2: was a starter for your favorite team, the Jets. But

1013
00:45:46,920 --> 00:45:48,640
Speaker 2: I just think, you know, the Saints again coming off

1014
00:45:48,680 --> 00:45:50,000
Speaker 2: of buy I don't want to put too much weight

1015
00:45:50,040 --> 00:45:51,800
Speaker 2: into that with all these games, but it is a

1016
00:45:51,880 --> 00:45:53,919
Speaker 2: little bit of a factor. I also think that there's

1017
00:45:53,960 --> 00:45:57,439
Speaker 2: now tape out there of what Seattle wants to do

1018
00:45:57,880 --> 00:46:00,200
Speaker 2: with Gino. I mean, they didn't change things up too

1019
00:46:00,320 --> 00:46:02,840
Speaker 2: much as to what they did with Russell Wilson, and

1020
00:46:02,880 --> 00:46:04,919
Speaker 2: you know, week to week, Pete Carroll isn't the type

1021
00:46:04,920 --> 00:46:06,759
Speaker 2: where he's going to overhaul the game plan. You know.

1022
00:46:06,760 --> 00:46:08,680
Speaker 2: The Seahawks kind of are what they are and they

1023
00:46:08,760 --> 00:46:10,800
Speaker 2: try to go out and match teams and they often

1024
00:46:10,840 --> 00:46:13,319
Speaker 2: do well. But I just you know, again coming off

1025
00:46:13,480 --> 00:46:16,360
Speaker 2: the high of Gino, I would you know, like it

1026
00:46:16,400 --> 00:46:19,480
Speaker 2: a lot more. The closer down you can get to,

1027
00:46:20,239 --> 00:46:22,440
Speaker 2: you know, whatever it is, four three and a half,

1028
00:46:22,480 --> 00:46:25,520
Speaker 2: maybe we'll see where the line goes. But so as

1029
00:46:25,520 --> 00:46:27,440
Speaker 2: of right now, this is one I definitely wait on

1030
00:46:27,520 --> 00:46:29,759
Speaker 2: to see where it settles. I want to be on

1031
00:46:29,840 --> 00:46:31,640
Speaker 2: the Saints, but I also again want to be price

1032
00:46:31,719 --> 00:46:33,799
Speaker 2: sensitive and I don't want to be taken, you know,

1033
00:46:33,880 --> 00:46:36,040
Speaker 2: minus five and a half on the road for on

1034
00:46:36,080 --> 00:46:37,839
Speaker 2: the other side of the ball. Let's be honest, I'm

1035
00:46:37,880 --> 00:46:40,239
Speaker 2: not sure we can fully trust in Jameis Winston either.

1036
00:46:41,080 --> 00:46:44,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is that I make the Princess Bride analogy

1037
00:46:44,920 --> 00:46:47,120
Speaker 1: a lot. I clearly cannot choose the wine in front

1038
00:46:47,160 --> 00:46:48,840
Speaker 1: of me, and I clearly cannot choose the wine in

1039
00:46:48,880 --> 00:46:50,960
Speaker 1: front of you, which is something you probably don't get

1040
00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:53,799
Speaker 1: because you're ten years old. But regardless, I don't know

1041
00:46:54,120 --> 00:46:55,799
Speaker 1: what to do with this one here as I look

1042
00:46:55,840 --> 00:46:59,799
Speaker 1: at it. It's just something where Look, the Seahawks, they

1043
00:47:00,080 --> 00:47:04,040
Speaker 1: played better than expected, I think, you know, even Pittsburgh here,

1044
00:47:04,920 --> 00:47:07,399
Speaker 1: you know, against the Steelers, they put up a fight.

1045
00:47:07,480 --> 00:47:11,080
Speaker 1: There were moments for Gino, you know, before he eventually

1046
00:47:11,520 --> 00:47:14,359
Speaker 1: blew it. But they're going to be tired here again.

1047
00:47:14,400 --> 00:47:16,200
Speaker 1: I mean, they get the extra day, so even though

1048
00:47:16,239 --> 00:47:18,560
Speaker 1: they played Sunday night. You've got the Saints coming off

1049
00:47:18,640 --> 00:47:21,080
Speaker 1: a bye. The Seahawks, you know, they want to run

1050
00:47:21,120 --> 00:47:24,280
Speaker 1: the ball, but they it's unclear whether or not Alex

1051
00:47:24,320 --> 00:47:26,560
Speaker 1: Collins is even going to be healthy for this game here.

1052
00:47:26,600 --> 00:47:30,400
Speaker 1: Coming into the game, they just don't really have the horses.

1053
00:47:30,719 --> 00:47:33,600
Speaker 1: The Saints defense is very solid, but the dead number

1054
00:47:33,600 --> 00:47:35,160
Speaker 1: of five, it's just not a game I really want

1055
00:47:35,160 --> 00:47:39,120
Speaker 1: to go near, you know. I And again you think

1056
00:47:39,120 --> 00:47:40,880
Speaker 1: about it, Maybe it's a teaser piece. Maybe tease it

1057
00:47:40,920 --> 00:47:42,759
Speaker 1: up to eleven, you get it above ten, But even then,

1058
00:47:43,640 --> 00:47:46,360
Speaker 1: I just don't. You know, the Seahawks are well coached,

1059
00:47:46,400 --> 00:47:49,319
Speaker 1: but you know, the Saints at any given moment, even

1060
00:47:49,320 --> 00:47:51,640
Speaker 1: with James Winston out there, you know, can put up

1061
00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:55,440
Speaker 1: you know, a thirty spot if everything breaks right for them.

1062
00:47:55,480 --> 00:47:57,400
Speaker 1: They're not gonna have Michael Thomas back or anything like that,

1063
00:47:57,480 --> 00:47:59,399
Speaker 1: but I'm not sure it matters when you get them

1064
00:47:59,400 --> 00:48:02,680
Speaker 1: off buy here. So this is this is a really

1065
00:48:02,760 --> 00:48:05,439
Speaker 1: gross slate of games, Brendan, Like this is I'm sorry

1066
00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:08,319
Speaker 1: that we had you on for what amounts to you know,

1067
00:48:08,360 --> 00:48:12,239
Speaker 1: a slate that probably nobody really wants to wants to

1068
00:48:12,280 --> 00:48:15,160
Speaker 1: bet at this point. But your favorite bet, Brendan, as

1069
00:48:15,200 --> 00:48:16,839
Speaker 1: you look at this weekend, I mean we talked about

1070
00:48:16,840 --> 00:48:19,120
Speaker 1: a little bit. Is it the Bears getting thirteen or

1071
00:48:19,160 --> 00:48:21,600
Speaker 1: is that just your favorite of the big spreads.

1072
00:48:22,080 --> 00:48:24,640
Speaker 2: That's definitely my favorite going in right now. Yeah, I

1073
00:48:24,640 --> 00:48:26,279
Speaker 2: was gonna say, I appreciate you having me on on

1074
00:48:26,440 --> 00:48:27,240
Speaker 2: the grossest slates.

1075
00:48:27,239 --> 00:48:29,360
Speaker 1: So yeah, that's the only way I get on. That's it.

1076
00:48:29,520 --> 00:48:31,040
Speaker 2: But part of part of that is, like like we

1077
00:48:31,080 --> 00:48:32,799
Speaker 2: said up top, you know, the six teams on buy,

1078
00:48:32,880 --> 00:48:34,799
Speaker 2: a lot of the good teams are on by So

1079
00:48:35,160 --> 00:48:37,840
Speaker 2: for me just looking as the overall slate as the

1080
00:48:38,040 --> 00:48:40,480
Speaker 2: as a whole, you know, Washington is still the Washington

1081
00:48:40,480 --> 00:48:42,400
Speaker 2: defense is still just a unit I really want to

1082
00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:44,920
Speaker 2: attack and I just really trust you know, Anne Rodgers

1083
00:48:44,960 --> 00:48:46,960
Speaker 2: and Matte Lafour what to do in that spot. And

1084
00:48:47,000 --> 00:48:48,960
Speaker 2: then on the other side, it is you know, for

1085
00:48:49,040 --> 00:48:51,560
Speaker 2: an underdog pick, it would be the Bears getting plus

1086
00:48:51,640 --> 00:48:53,359
Speaker 2: their team. I just I really think when it comes

1087
00:48:53,400 --> 00:48:55,480
Speaker 2: to those big spreads that the thing that you want

1088
00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:58,440
Speaker 2: to look at is the favorites defense and whether or

1089
00:48:58,480 --> 00:49:01,200
Speaker 2: not we can trust them to protect those big leads

1090
00:49:01,239 --> 00:49:04,160
Speaker 2: and give us insurance against you know, backdoor covers.

1091
00:49:04,560 --> 00:49:07,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, whenever you're listening to this, I do

1092
00:49:07,480 --> 00:49:10,200
Speaker 1: like the Broncos getting three and a half, which I

1093
00:49:10,200 --> 00:49:13,160
Speaker 1: would like that again overfield goal for sure. I lean

1094
00:49:13,239 --> 00:49:17,400
Speaker 1: the Panthers getting three against the Giants as well visiting

1095
00:49:17,440 --> 00:49:20,840
Speaker 1: New Jersey technically, which I'm there. I like the Cults

1096
00:49:20,880 --> 00:49:22,560
Speaker 1: getting three and a half. I mean, maybe I'll feel

1097
00:49:22,600 --> 00:49:24,640
Speaker 1: differently about this once I dig into them, once I

1098
00:49:24,680 --> 00:49:26,759
Speaker 1: look a little more into the trends and everything like that.

1099
00:49:26,840 --> 00:49:30,720
Speaker 1: But I feel like the Colts are, you know, something

1100
00:49:30,719 --> 00:49:33,120
Speaker 1: where they could have let even against the Texans, they

1101
00:49:33,120 --> 00:49:36,160
Speaker 1: could have let that Monday night completely derail their season.

1102
00:49:36,680 --> 00:49:39,440
Speaker 1: They didn't. They played well, and they did exactly what

1103
00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:41,239
Speaker 1: they needed to do, and I could see them coming

1104
00:49:41,239 --> 00:49:43,719
Speaker 1: out here and putting up a big effort. So that's

1105
00:49:43,760 --> 00:49:45,759
Speaker 1: why Lean, Brendan, thank you for doing I talk to

1106
00:49:45,760 --> 00:49:48,560
Speaker 1: every day anyway, Brendan, so I appreciate it you you know,

1107
00:49:48,640 --> 00:49:51,080
Speaker 1: doing it on a podcast as well. Remind everybody where

1108
00:49:51,080 --> 00:49:52,600
Speaker 1: they can find you and more of your work.

1109
00:49:53,360 --> 00:49:56,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm on Twitter at too much too. Might do

1110
00:49:56,360 --> 00:49:59,360
Speaker 2: a lot of fantasy writing for Fantasypros dot com. You

1111
00:49:59,400 --> 00:50:01,680
Speaker 2: know a lot of base we're in the offseason right now,

1112
00:50:01,719 --> 00:50:05,400
Speaker 2: but also you know several NFL articles a week, a

1113
00:50:05,400 --> 00:50:07,880
Speaker 2: lot of the expert notes that you read when you

1114
00:50:07,880 --> 00:50:10,160
Speaker 2: click on a player on Fantasy Pros and you go

1115
00:50:10,200 --> 00:50:12,840
Speaker 2: to that little note section. You can find some of

1116
00:50:12,880 --> 00:50:16,600
Speaker 2: my rating on that as well. Dan, this was a

1117
00:50:16,600 --> 00:50:18,000
Speaker 2: lot of fun. I appreciate it.

1118
00:50:18,000 --> 00:50:20,080
Speaker 1: It was, and I will say for baseball. By the way,

1119
00:50:20,480 --> 00:50:23,080
Speaker 1: if you're listening to this, you're probably just a gambler,

1120
00:50:23,239 --> 00:50:26,640
Speaker 1: sports gambler generally, probably not limited to just football. There

1121
00:50:26,800 --> 00:50:31,160
Speaker 1: was a lot of MVP betting talk that we had

1122
00:50:31,520 --> 00:50:34,800
Speaker 1: on the fans Bro side of our football podcast for baseball,

1123
00:50:34,840 --> 00:50:37,080
Speaker 1: which again we do a lot of. And so if

1124
00:50:37,120 --> 00:50:40,520
Speaker 1: you listened, certainly to Joe who hosted one of the shows,

1125
00:50:40,640 --> 00:50:42,880
Speaker 1: you probably got in on Sho Hao Tani very early.

1126
00:50:43,040 --> 00:50:45,640
Speaker 1: You also got in on Bryce Harper as an MVP

1127
00:50:46,360 --> 00:50:49,920
Speaker 1: very early when it was plus three thousand, which right

1128
00:50:49,960 --> 00:50:52,440
Speaker 1: now looks like the favorite. So it's a good listen

1129
00:50:52,560 --> 00:50:54,560
Speaker 1: for that as well as just if you do happen

1130
00:50:54,560 --> 00:50:56,239
Speaker 1: to play fantasy. All right, guys, we're going to be

1131
00:50:56,239 --> 00:50:58,480
Speaker 1: back as usual on Thursday with our best bets of

1132
00:50:58,480 --> 00:51:00,439
Speaker 1: the weekend, where we have been very very You're hot

1133
00:51:00,600 --> 00:51:02,359
Speaker 1: right now, so that is great, So make sure you're

1134
00:51:02,400 --> 00:51:04,680
Speaker 1: subscribed here again. Go to our YouTube channel a YouTube

1135
00:51:04,880 --> 00:51:06,799
Speaker 1: dot com slash Betting Pros to make sure you are

1136
00:51:06,840 --> 00:51:09,160
Speaker 1: subscribed there as well, and I will talk to you

1137
00:51:09,239 --> 00:51:25,200
Speaker 1: again on Thursday.