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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network Podcast. It's good for the winds,

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Speaker 1: all right.

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Speaker 2: Here we go throwing specular So I'm saying it's a catch.

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Speaker 3: To see the most gamblers when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 3: they go to win.

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Speaker 1: God, that's incredible. Big banks, small banks.

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Speaker 2: I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right.

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Speaker 1: This is the ultimate Kabaki.

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Speaker 2: And we are underway.

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Speaker 3: What up, everybody, and welcome to the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 3: I'm your host, Chris Raybon, and this is your conference

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Speaker 3: Championship betting preview with odds courtesy of bet MGM, the

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Speaker 3: official odds provider of the Action Network Podcast. I'm joined,

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Speaker 3: as always by my Action Network colleague, the Prime Minister

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Speaker 3: of Degenerate Nation, Stucky Stuck. What's going on, man, I

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Speaker 3: was just talking to you off air about you had

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Speaker 3: the Bill's future. I had the Bills. That's pretty heavy

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Speaker 3: on the Bills. That was a still hurting a little

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Speaker 3: bit from that game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I could have won a lot of money to

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Speaker 2: Bill's when bowls. My only future just a gut punch

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Speaker 2: and typical fashion is that we another losing overtime one

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Speaker 2: to nine and overtime this year all with underdogs. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I thought maybe because we didn't win the coin toss.

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Speaker 2: Every other underdog that I've had, even four four or

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Speaker 2: five point underdogs that they don't win the they win

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Speaker 2: the coin toss and then don't cover. But yeah, I

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Speaker 2: called every play at the end, which is really unfortunate.

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Speaker 2: And I me, drunk from a bar, can do this.

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Speaker 2: I said, squib it. Right at the discord a touchdown,

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Speaker 2: I didn't even celebrate. I said, squid the kick. There's

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Speaker 2: thirteen seconds left. I also said, when Tyra kills score

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Speaker 2: and I said, fine, that is great. Like the worst

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Speaker 2: case scenario would have been dem scorning with like twelve

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Speaker 2: seconds left. Bill's get the ball to get on and

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Speaker 2: they score. And then I said squib it. And then

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Speaker 2: I said, don't play too soft, like don't get and

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Speaker 2: then they did. And then they called time out and

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Speaker 2: I say, they're gonna go to Kelsey for twenty five

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Speaker 2: up the scene, they went to Kelsea of twenty five

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Speaker 2: seam and then of course lose the coin toss. Just brutal.

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Speaker 2: I mean, way to lose fourteen to one in a

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Speaker 2: game where the Chiefs for twenty to one before the

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Speaker 2: final kickoff, and there were so many things you could

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Speaker 2: have done. They were literally twenty to one on the

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Speaker 2: money line. So many things you could have done in

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Speaker 2: that game. You could have tackled, everyone, could have held,

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Speaker 2: everyone could have squipped it. You could have done many,

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Speaker 2: many different things to try and end that game, and

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Speaker 2: they didn't none of them. And by the way, it's

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Speaker 2: the first game in an incredible game. I mean, obviously

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Speaker 2: I lost a lot of potential money and it was

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Speaker 2: another overtime cup punch. What went OVERTIU ends in twenty

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Speaker 2: twenty three, I promised, But a first game in NFL

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Speaker 2: history where you had a quarterback who passed for at

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Speaker 2: least three hundred and twenty five yards through at least

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Speaker 2: three touchdowns, had no interceptions, and rushed for sixty yards.

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Speaker 2: Patrick Williams is the first quarterback in the nfls to

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Speaker 2: do that. Oh wait, Josh Allen was also. It was

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Speaker 2: the first two quarterbacks NFL should do it, and that

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Speaker 2: happened in the same game. So yeah, that was brutal.

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Speaker 2: But what are you gonna do?

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Speaker 1: Do you think this is affecting them? Because I've noticed this.

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Speaker 3: Now with a few teams, Like do you think some

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Speaker 3: of these interviews for the coordinators are affecting them? Because

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Speaker 3: like for me, it was like Leslie Frazer really kind

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Speaker 3: of fucked up at the end because you rushed four

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Speaker 3: on that play to Kelsey have to see normally you

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Speaker 3: rush three in that situation. So it's like it just

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Speaker 3: seemed like one of those things where they were playing

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Speaker 3: like this normal defense where they shouldn't have been, Like

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Speaker 3: and I thought Gables game plan and I know he

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Speaker 3: interviewed with Joe Shane on I think like Saturday or something.

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Speaker 3: I didn't think Gables game plan was great either. I

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Speaker 3: mean that was all Josh Nowen just wowing them back

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Speaker 3: at the end. So I mean, what do you think

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Speaker 3: of is that? Is that having any effect.

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Speaker 1: Or is it just these coaches are shit in the

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Speaker 1: bed coordinators? I should say, I mean it.

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Speaker 2: Could, you know, It's it's hard to say. It depends

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Speaker 2: on how much time they're taking that week, Like is

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Speaker 2: it a quick like let me get on a zoom

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Speaker 2: call for a half hour an hour and just shoot

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Speaker 2: the ship and see how I get along with someone,

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Speaker 2: or are they like is there a couple meetings and

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Speaker 2: is it distracting in their head? It all comes down

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Speaker 2: to how much time you're taking away from preparation, because

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Speaker 2: every minute every minute does count in these big play

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Speaker 2: playoff games. You can use that extra hour to come

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Speaker 2: up with some little nuance. You see something else on tape.

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Speaker 2: Incredible week of games, maybe the best ever and the Titans.

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Speaker 2: The other frustrating part is Jeff Swam doesn't get a

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Speaker 2: single Look what the hell the Titans all throw the

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Speaker 2: tight ends against There's.

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Speaker 1: Another bad game play, bad game plan.

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Speaker 2: Sneak the ball. I don't I got to say this

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Speaker 2: on this podcast. The Titans with that game, if they

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Speaker 2: knew how to sneak the ball on.

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Speaker 3: Fo or Or, I mean, I would have even been

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Speaker 3: less upset if they just straight up handed it to

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Speaker 3: Henry out the third death and then see.

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Speaker 1: Like you know what I mean, Like same thing with

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Speaker 1: the first play of the game.

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Speaker 3: It's like, is it really worth like a fourteen yard

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Speaker 3: completion instead of getting like Henry and the crowd into

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Speaker 3: it right away. You know, like if even if Henry

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Speaker 3: had done for like zero yards on that first play,

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Speaker 3: you know, as long as he hit somebody or somebody

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Speaker 3: hit him, the crowd would have been hyped up. But

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Speaker 3: instead you want to play action to get what you know,

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Speaker 3: fourteen yards and Tannhill throws it right to the Bengals.

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Speaker 1: I mean I didn't like any.

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Speaker 2: Even a healthy Derek Henry. Do you know what Derick

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Speaker 2: Henry is for his career? Most his career has been

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Speaker 2: healthy playing. He's about seventy eight percent on third and

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Speaker 2: fourth and one. Yeah, do you know what most quarterbacks

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Speaker 2: are and fourth to fourth and one? Yeah, just basic percentages.

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Speaker 2: But credit to the Bengals for pulling out that win.

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Speaker 2: Forty nine ers.

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Speaker 1: That is what I called.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I didn't call it in the moment, but

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Speaker 3: I wrote an article actually, you know, talking about kind

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Speaker 3: of looking at the DVA profiles the Super Bowl team,

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Speaker 3: seeing like what the cutoffs were, and like I was like, yo,

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Speaker 3: the Packers of the Leaks were special teams like this,

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Speaker 3: no team has ever gotten to the Super Bowl with

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Speaker 3: a bottom four special team.

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Speaker 1: Like forget winning it, like not even gotten there.

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Speaker 3: And then they just collapsed on special teams Like that

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Speaker 3: was the worst.

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Speaker 2: Performance from DVOA perspective of the season, single game.

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Speaker 3: And then the worst team already coming in, which was

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Speaker 3: even more crazy.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, it was a problem all year long. And

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Speaker 2: then the Rams survive, Thank god. I had the Rams

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Speaker 2: the NCS, and I was like watching this like oh

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Speaker 2: Man Brady's World man like just and fumble after fumble,

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Speaker 2: melt after melt. But luckily they hit they hit cup

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Speaker 2: and they hit them deep enough to where they could

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Speaker 2: not come up short on a field goal. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: just an incredible weekend of games. So every underdog in

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Speaker 2: favored almost one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, of course, basically.

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Speaker 2: The final play if not for their final thirteen seconds

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Speaker 2: in Kansas City. Yeah.

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Speaker 3: All right, let's get onto the championship Sunday six Pack

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Speaker 3: before we jump in three quick notes. Number one, In

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Speaker 3: case you're new here, please download the award winning Action

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Speaker 3: Network app. It's the top righted app for sports betters

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Speaker 3: and what you track every bet that you make. Speaking

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Speaker 3: of the Action App, if you want to reference this

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Speaker 3: episode six Pack picks anytime, just use the apps follow

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Speaker 3: feature follow Sunday six Pack. We track those picks there

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Speaker 3: every Friday during the season. And finally, obviously, next week

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Speaker 3: is the Super Bowl bye week, so the Action Network

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Speaker 3: podcast will only have a Monday episode, but the following week,

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Speaker 3: which is the week weading up to the Super Bowl,

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Speaker 3: we'll have a bunch of great episodes featuring Stucky and

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Speaker 3: I plus Sean Kerner, Raheem Palmer, Brandon Anderson, and we'll

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Speaker 3: cover the game from top to bottom, including our.

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Speaker 1: Favorite prop bets, long shots, and all that good shit.

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Speaker 3: So don't worry when it comes to betting on the

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Speaker 3: Super Bowl. The Action Network podcast will have you covered.

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Speaker 3: All right, give the people what they want. Let's open

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Speaker 3: the Conference Championship Sunday six Pack presented by our friends

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Speaker 3: at Athletic Brewing.

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Speaker 1: Company Thirst Deeper Action. Let's crack open the Sunday six

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Speaker 1: pack to add insult to injury.

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Speaker 3: Uh. The failure for the Bills to cover also costs

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Speaker 3: me a tie with you, so you're still up a

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Speaker 3: point heading into the divisional round. For this round, there's

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Speaker 3: only obviously two games, so we'll each do a side

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Speaker 3: and then we'll each do two props. I guess he

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Speaker 3: could have done a total if we liked Anny, but yeah,

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Speaker 3: I'm more in line with the total, So we're going

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Speaker 3: to do a side here and uh and two props.

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Speaker 1: So stuck you're at first where you're going.

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Speaker 2: I'll give you a chance to come back again. Make

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Speaker 2: it fun. People want to know props or so we can.

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Speaker 2: I don't like any totals either, but I've had two

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Speaker 2: props this season, and they're both tight ends Swim and

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Speaker 2: then Kittle, and I think they could bind for one gap,

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Speaker 2: so hopefully we can do.

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Speaker 3: I did kind of warn you about that indirectly. I

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Speaker 3: was like, I mean, Kittle's not a nobody tight.

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Speaker 1: End though, so it's like it doesn't completely apply, but I'll.

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Speaker 2: Start off with a high level conference championship. By the way,

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Speaker 2: I went back even further than Action Labs, and I

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Speaker 2: went back to the last twenty five conference championships in

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Speaker 2: each favorites twenty five and twenty five favorites of a

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Speaker 2: touchdown or more, eight and eleven overs. By the way,

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Speaker 2: over that stretch fifty games, thirty seventeen and three going

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Speaker 2: over by more than a field goal per game, it's

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Speaker 2: a sixty four percent clip. This is something random it

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Speaker 2: came across. I don't think it means anything, but if

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Speaker 2: just throw it out there since it applies this week,

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Speaker 2: if you can make any sense of it, it's been

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Speaker 2: a good over week historically, and if the road teams

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Speaker 2: game went under the previous week, which happened in both games,

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Speaker 2: then last week for both road teams the overs fourteen

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Speaker 2: one and two to the over. I think that's probably

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Speaker 2: just noise, but it found that interesting. Since nineteen seventy

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Speaker 2: favorites of seven or more in conference championships thirty two

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Speaker 2: and five straight up, but only fifteen and twenty two

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Speaker 2: against the spread since two thousand and one. If you

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Speaker 2: want a more modern cut, in conference championships and Super Bowls,

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Speaker 2: favorites of seven or more points to both conference championships

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Speaker 2: and super Bowls nineteen and eight straight up seventy percent,

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Speaker 2: but only nine, sixteen and two against the spread thirty

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Speaker 2: six percent. And another relevant one for the forty nine ers.

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Speaker 2: Since the wild card round began in nineteen seventy eight,

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Speaker 2: teams to play their third straight road game, which is

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Speaker 2: the forty nine Ers are six and twelve against the

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Speaker 2: spread and five and thirteen straight up in the conference championship.

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Speaker 2: Another one if you want to keep in mind. The

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Speaker 2: last one I'll throw out here is the one that

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Speaker 2: I keep my eye on postseason favorites of more than

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Speaker 2: a field goal if they're trailing by more than a

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Speaker 2: field goal at the half, they're twenty and ten against

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Speaker 2: the spread in the second half over the past twenty years.

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Speaker 2: But let me go back to the third road game

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Speaker 2: home teams in the Conference Championship, that would all favor

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Speaker 2: the Rams. But that leads me to my first pick

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Speaker 2: of the Conference Championship weekend six pack, and I'm going

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Speaker 2: with the San Francisco forty nine Ers plus three and

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Speaker 2: a half at bet MGM. Here's the thing, I throw

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Speaker 2: all them out. I mean, the Rams didn't have a buy.

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Speaker 2: They've both been traveling, and this could end up being,

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Speaker 2: like we say, every time these two teams play here

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Speaker 2: a home game for the forty nine Ers, I'll be

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Speaker 2: curious to see what the like, what the crowd looks like,

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Speaker 2: but I would imagine at worst it's fifty to fifty

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Speaker 2: and these tickets are insane, by the way, if you

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Speaker 2: look on the secondary market. But I'm not gonna make

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Speaker 2: this too difficult because I bet the forty nine Ers

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Speaker 2: against the Rams almost every time. It's just a great

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Speaker 2: matchup for them. We always talk about this is when

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Speaker 2: you want to back Jimmy G and Kyle Shannan as

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Speaker 2: a dog. Jimmy G fifteen to four against the spread

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Speaker 2: as a dog, covering by nine points per game. And

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Speaker 2: by the way, he's fourteen and five straight up as

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Speaker 2: a dog. That's the best winning percentage of any quarterback

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Speaker 2: in the Super Bowl or as an underdog. He's nine

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Speaker 2: and two against the spread when getting three or more

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Speaker 2: Shanahan eighteen and ten against the spread as a road dog,

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Speaker 2: covered by three and a half points per game. He's

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Speaker 2: also seven and three against the spread against McBay McVeigh

249
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Speaker 2: four and oh straight up as a dog over the

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Speaker 2: past two season, and six and oh straight up the

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Speaker 2: past three. He's won all five games where he's been

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Speaker 2: a dog. He got swept in twenty eighteen when the

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Speaker 2: Rams were thirteen and three and the forty Niners were

254
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Speaker 2: four and twelve. The forty nine Ers had Mullins and

255
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Speaker 2: Bethard as their quarterbacks in those two games. It was

256
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Speaker 2: just a great matchup for the forty nine ers. McVeagh

257
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Speaker 2: has basically been Shanahan's Sun. And as I said, there's

258
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Speaker 2: not much of a home crowd advantage here, if any,

259
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Speaker 2: and there's familiarity. You know, it's a division game. The

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Speaker 2: forty nine Ers have been here plenty, So I make

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Speaker 2: this home field advantage here zero nada, and I make

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Speaker 2: these two teams essentially even in my power ratings. I

263
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Speaker 2: actually did give the Rams half a point. You could

264
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Speaker 2: argue zero regardless, I make the line around one, so

265
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Speaker 2: I took the three and a half here. I think

266
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Speaker 2: there's like home field being baked into this. I was

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Speaker 2: looking at some look aheadlines for the Chiefs against the Rams.

268
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Speaker 2: They were minus two and a half in the Super Bowl,

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Speaker 2: and it or excuse me, minus one and a half

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Speaker 2: against the Rams and minus two and a half against

271
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Speaker 2: the forty nine ers. That implies it's like a one

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Speaker 2: point difference between these two teams. So what is the

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Speaker 2: home field here? I don't edit. I don't think this

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Speaker 2: line should be over a field goal. And you're gonna

275
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Speaker 2: hear this narrative, Oh, you can't beat the same team

276
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Speaker 2: three three times in the same season. Well, since two

277
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Speaker 2: thousand and two, teams that swept the regular season have

278
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Speaker 2: gone five and three straight up in the rematch of

279
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Speaker 2: division teams in the playoffs.

280
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Speaker 1: And one of those.

281
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Speaker 3: Losses was the Saints to Tom Brady last year, which

282
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Speaker 3: was you know, that's Tom Brady.

283
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Speaker 2: Yep, yep, and you know it's just a really good

284
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Speaker 2: matchup for the forty nine ers. It's Oh but by

285
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Speaker 2: the way, I didn't get this off my off my

286
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Speaker 2: chest because so many people said it. The Bills deserve

287
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Speaker 2: to lose because they didn't get a stop. Well, the

288
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Speaker 2: Chiefs didn't get a stop before then, Sorry, how to

289
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Speaker 2: get mine? Get that off my chest? But the Rams

290
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Speaker 2: only allowed one quarterback this year to average over nine

291
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Speaker 2: yards pert tempt. That was Jimmy g He did it twice.

292
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Speaker 2: They can attack the middle of the field, They can

293
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Speaker 2: use the Rams aggress this against them. Their defensive line

294
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Speaker 2: is playing such an elite level. That was the deciding

295
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Speaker 2: factor in both meetings. I think this year, you know,

296
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Speaker 2: I just think that these two teams are essentially dead,

297
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Speaker 2: even in a neutralish setting that both teams are really

298
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Speaker 2: familiar with. So I'll take the field goal in the

299
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Speaker 2: hook all day, every day here in a match of

300
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Speaker 2: the forty nine ers have owned. If I had a guess,

301
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Speaker 2: fight goes out a field goal last couple of minutes.

302
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Speaker 3: Absolutely, I'm the only kind of silver lining for me

303
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Speaker 3: that you took this pick is that if for some

304
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Speaker 3: reason it doesn't work out, I won't have lost, but

305
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Speaker 3: I'll still have lost because I'm still.

306
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Speaker 1: Going to play this.

307
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Speaker 3: You know, this is always my favorite spot to back

308
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Speaker 3: Niners against the Rams. I can't believe we're getting more

309
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Speaker 3: than a field goal I mean, I know, the Rams

310
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Speaker 3: beat the Bucks and that was impressive, but we've and

311
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Speaker 3: we've seen the Rams and this is kind of interesting

312
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Speaker 3: because it's exactly what you don't want to do against

313
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Speaker 3: the forty nine ers. We've seen the Rams kind of

314
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Speaker 3: get up big early and then kind of and you

315
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Speaker 3: would think that's good against the forty nineers.

316
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Speaker 1: It makes them pass more, but they're still gonna run.

317
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Speaker 1: And we've seen the Rams.

318
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Speaker 3: Kind of wilt late where it's like, you know, that

319
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Speaker 3: Bucks game essentially was a toss up, you know, then

320
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Speaker 3: be's Bucks kind of like the Bills, I thought chose

321
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Speaker 3: to play a bad defensive play on that cup play,

322
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Speaker 3: but we saw them do it against the forty nineers

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Speaker 3: when they got up seventeen nothing week eighteen. So this

324
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Speaker 3: Rams team talented very good, but forty nine ers have

325
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Speaker 3: the O line to protect, and on the other side,

326
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Speaker 3: their four man rush is coming on real strong, which

327
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Speaker 3: means you could drop seven, you know, that's the best

328
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Speaker 3: way to kind.

329
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Speaker 2: Of guard their down. Blitzing. Yeah, they'll blitzed. That's one

330
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Speaker 2: of the reasons I like the Rams last week against

331
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Speaker 2: the Bucks because they looked and guess what final play

332
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Speaker 2: they gain the Cup for some reason. Yeah, they're blitzing

333
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Speaker 2: his man. Yeah, you have a kicker that just came

334
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Speaker 2: short forty seven, so like I can see the blitz

335
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Speaker 2: if you're like playing Tucker right and you're like, I

336
00:14:44,360 --> 00:14:47,000
Speaker 2: can't let them have fifteen or ten. Let me just

337
00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:49,520
Speaker 2: try to get a negative play here. But that was

338
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Speaker 2: pretty much the Rams had to get like thirty thirty

339
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Speaker 2: five yards for a comfortable field goal because their kicker

340
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Speaker 2: who was hurt, just came up short from forty seven.

341
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Speaker 2: So and then blitzing cups man and knowing that Stafford's

342
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Speaker 2: so good against the blitz, and that's like where his

343
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Speaker 2: eyes are going to look right away. First man, I

344
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Speaker 2: mean Bowles is great, No one's perfect. I disagree with

345
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Speaker 2: that call obviously. Times twenty twenty he gets a sack

346
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Speaker 2: of force the fubble. It was like Bulls is a genius.

347
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Speaker 2: But yeah, and that's one of the reasons I said, look,

348
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Speaker 2: Stafford and these receivers, he's played really well against the blitz.

349
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Speaker 2: That's the forty nine ers will not and don't have

350
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Speaker 2: to do here. Cup's gonna get his that they gonna

351
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Speaker 2: get hit against everybody.

352
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Speaker 1: Absolutely.

353
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Speaker 3: The thing about the format rushers and I've been you know,

354
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Speaker 3: kind of tracking this San Francisco. They were pretty zone

355
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Speaker 3: heavy throughout the year, but they've been able to play,

356
00:15:35,360 --> 00:15:37,080
Speaker 3: you know, just kind of drop seven on almost every

357
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Speaker 3: play now, Like if you look back at the postseason,

358
00:15:38,960 --> 00:15:41,320
Speaker 3: like they become even more zone heavy, they're just dropping

359
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Speaker 3: guys into coverage now.

360
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Speaker 2: And yeah, their d lines, that's like weak nine has

361
00:15:46,320 --> 00:15:49,360
Speaker 2: just they have They've found the pieces that are fit

362
00:15:49,520 --> 00:15:51,480
Speaker 2: and you know, they move like key inside and they

363
00:15:51,560 --> 00:15:53,960
Speaker 2: move both and a lot, and like their stunts and

364
00:15:54,040 --> 00:15:59,240
Speaker 2: everything are just causing absolute havoc in opponents backfields without

365
00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:01,840
Speaker 2: having the blitz, and that's been one of the biggest

366
00:16:01,880 --> 00:16:04,280
Speaker 2: turn ups. And then, as we always talk about, your

367
00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:07,640
Speaker 2: D line is playing at that high the level, your secondary,

368
00:16:07,680 --> 00:16:10,040
Speaker 2: which is healthier now, doesn't have to be as good.

369
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Speaker 2: And then they obviously work in fandom.

370
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Speaker 3: Yeah, do you think it's worth I mean, do you

371
00:16:16,160 --> 00:16:17,880
Speaker 3: think we're not getting a four right or do you

372
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Speaker 3: think it's worth waiting?

373
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Speaker 2: I don't. I think that there's home field baked into here.

374
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Speaker 2: There's also maybe uncertainty with Jimmy G's injuries because like

375
00:16:27,720 --> 00:16:31,320
Speaker 2: he didn't have to do much, but he made some okay, throws,

376
00:16:31,360 --> 00:16:32,560
Speaker 2: I wasn't and it was in the cold.

377
00:16:32,800 --> 00:16:34,960
Speaker 1: Some terrible ones, many terrible terrible ones.

378
00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:36,120
Speaker 2: But there were some drops too.

379
00:16:36,720 --> 00:16:38,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, kittle, kittle, Yeah, Like.

380
00:16:39,120 --> 00:16:41,480
Speaker 2: Uh, Jimmy's always gonna have a couple of terrible throws.

381
00:16:41,760 --> 00:16:43,400
Speaker 2: And that was in the cold. I was like, whatever

382
00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:45,640
Speaker 2: injuries he has, you know, that was a week a

383
00:16:45,640 --> 00:16:49,040
Speaker 2: week ago. Once the game starts, so I didn't see

384
00:16:49,040 --> 00:16:52,200
Speaker 2: anything where I was like, all right, this guy can't

385
00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:56,200
Speaker 2: really throw the ball. And I think that's part maybe

386
00:16:56,200 --> 00:16:57,880
Speaker 2: why that's baked in the line. But I think eventually

387
00:16:57,880 --> 00:17:01,120
Speaker 2: this closes three. So I would grab the three n yeah,

388
00:17:01,160 --> 00:17:01,680
Speaker 2: all right.

389
00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:06,080
Speaker 3: For my first pick and the second overall of the

390
00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:09,720
Speaker 3: Championship Round six pack, I'm going with the Cincinnati Bengals

391
00:17:09,720 --> 00:17:13,439
Speaker 3: plus seven and a half at BETMGM against the Kansas

392
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Speaker 3: City Chiefs, and I make this line closer to five.

393
00:17:18,160 --> 00:17:21,240
Speaker 3: I think this is a massive number for the Chiefs.

394
00:17:21,280 --> 00:17:23,400
Speaker 3: Even as good as they played, you know, on offense

395
00:17:23,520 --> 00:17:26,680
Speaker 3: against the Bills there, I still think this Bengals team

396
00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:29,320
Speaker 3: has some advantages when it comes to playing the Chiefs.

397
00:17:29,480 --> 00:17:31,919
Speaker 3: First of all, the Chiefs their scheme just you know,

398
00:17:32,119 --> 00:17:33,520
Speaker 3: and they do switch it up a little bit, but

399
00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:36,720
Speaker 3: their scheme still relies on more man coverage than almost

400
00:17:36,920 --> 00:17:38,680
Speaker 3: every team in the NFL. They play the sixth most

401
00:17:38,680 --> 00:17:42,760
Speaker 3: man this year, including the playoffs. Cincinnati an NFL high

402
00:17:42,800 --> 00:17:46,639
Speaker 3: eleven point four yards per targeted pass attempt against man coverage.

403
00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:50,080
Speaker 3: We know they shred man coverage here, so you know,

404
00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:53,760
Speaker 3: and you can see some blitzes with that. But also

405
00:17:54,080 --> 00:17:57,119
Speaker 3: you just look at how these teams have played this

406
00:17:57,280 --> 00:17:59,000
Speaker 3: year and then what that meant for the first game,

407
00:17:59,040 --> 00:18:01,720
Speaker 3: because you know, kind of looked at Kansas City and said,

408
00:18:02,200 --> 00:18:04,720
Speaker 3: you know, it's probably gonna be closer than people think

409
00:18:04,720 --> 00:18:08,240
Speaker 3: in that first matchup, and Cincinnati ends up out gaining

410
00:18:08,280 --> 00:18:11,719
Speaker 3: him four seventy five to four to fourteen yards per

411
00:18:11,760 --> 00:18:15,040
Speaker 3: play Cincinnati seven and a half, Kansas City seven point one.

412
00:18:15,800 --> 00:18:17,919
Speaker 1: So Cincinnati has proven that I can kind of do this.

413
00:18:17,960 --> 00:18:20,520
Speaker 3: Now. Obviously that was in Cincinnati, so it's going to

414
00:18:20,600 --> 00:18:22,400
Speaker 3: be a switch now at Cincinnati going on the road

415
00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:25,639
Speaker 3: for the first time. But you like, even with that

416
00:18:25,680 --> 00:18:28,440
Speaker 3: win against Buffalo, which we know could have gone either way,

417
00:18:29,040 --> 00:18:31,560
Speaker 3: Kansas City against teams that made the other three final

418
00:18:31,640 --> 00:18:35,760
Speaker 3: four teams, they played Buffalo twice, Tennessee one, Cincinnati once,

419
00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:38,520
Speaker 3: they're now one in three. They've been out scored one

420
00:18:38,600 --> 00:18:41,600
Speaker 3: thirty five to ninety six. Obviously, you go one and three,

421
00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:43,560
Speaker 3: you get the overtime win against Buffalo, So none of

422
00:18:43,560 --> 00:18:46,680
Speaker 3: the wins have come by seven or more in those

423
00:18:46,680 --> 00:18:50,080
Speaker 3: four games. Kansas City's played nineteen games this year, a

424
00:18:50,119 --> 00:18:53,159
Speaker 3: lot not as against not as good competition as Cincinnati.

425
00:18:53,359 --> 00:18:55,440
Speaker 3: Only eight have ended with a Casey win by eight

426
00:18:55,520 --> 00:18:59,879
Speaker 3: or more. Meanwhile, Cincinnati's played nineteen games, only two have

427
00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:02,760
Speaker 3: ended with losses of eight or more. Only three have

428
00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:05,280
Speaker 3: ended with losses by more than three. So even when

429
00:19:05,320 --> 00:19:07,960
Speaker 3: the Bengals get out played, it's Joe Burrow, it's Jamar Chase,

430
00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:10,159
Speaker 3: it's t Higgins, it's Tyra Boyd, they can get a

431
00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:10,680
Speaker 3: back door.

432
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Speaker 1: That's why I'm surprised this number is quite as.

433
00:19:12,760 --> 00:19:16,320
Speaker 3: High as it is, because the Bengals are a live dogs,

434
00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:19,359
Speaker 3: I think to win the game, but they could certainly

435
00:19:19,359 --> 00:19:20,920
Speaker 3: get a back door. I mean, we saw the Bills,

436
00:19:21,000 --> 00:19:24,040
Speaker 3: you know, drive down the field in ridiculous situations last week.

437
00:19:24,080 --> 00:19:25,840
Speaker 1: I think the Bengals can do some of that.

438
00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:28,400
Speaker 3: Obviously, you know, the pass protection is going to be key,

439
00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:30,320
Speaker 3: but I think it's a good thing that happened that

440
00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:33,880
Speaker 3: the pass protection breakdowns happened last week against Tennessee, which

441
00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:35,480
Speaker 3: was kind of why I was on Tennessee. I figured

442
00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:38,600
Speaker 3: Tennessee would have a major edge up front. But I

443
00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:40,440
Speaker 3: think now you can kind of scheme, you know, maybe

444
00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:42,200
Speaker 3: you get the ball out of Burrow's hands a little quicker.

445
00:19:42,280 --> 00:19:44,119
Speaker 3: I think some of the man covera will also dictate

446
00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:47,119
Speaker 3: his throws a little bit quicker. So I don't necessarily

447
00:19:47,119 --> 00:19:48,000
Speaker 3: expect eight sacks.

448
00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:48,240
Speaker 2: Please.

449
00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:50,520
Speaker 3: The man still went for over three hundred, did Joe

450
00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:53,240
Speaker 3: Burrow even with all those sacks, obviously back them up,

451
00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:55,960
Speaker 3: get you get more yards nine oh nine? Sorry, no,

452
00:19:56,040 --> 00:19:59,199
Speaker 3: I must have missed one. Yeah, nine sacks. So it's

453
00:19:59,240 --> 00:20:01,520
Speaker 3: a good thing that happened last week when when Tennessee

454
00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:03,800
Speaker 3: puts up only sixteen, because you're gonna need more than

455
00:20:03,800 --> 00:20:06,960
Speaker 3: that obviously to beat the Chiefs. But I think they'll

456
00:20:07,000 --> 00:20:09,280
Speaker 3: be able to adjust some things, you know, maybe they'll

457
00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:11,600
Speaker 3: maybe this is the Uzoma underweak, maybe they've even been

458
00:20:11,600 --> 00:20:13,520
Speaker 3: a block over to more, maybe it's Nixon, you know,

459
00:20:13,560 --> 00:20:15,040
Speaker 3: but they'll be able to do some things, you know.

460
00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:16,920
Speaker 3: I thought they that one play where they got the

461
00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:19,040
Speaker 3: quick class to Chase and he went for like fifty,

462
00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:21,440
Speaker 3: I think you can kind of you can implement more

463
00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:23,120
Speaker 3: of that. You don't always have to go deep with him,

464
00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:25,400
Speaker 3: especially when you still got Higgins.

465
00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:28,160
Speaker 1: And Boyd can can be in the intermediate as well.

466
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:31,639
Speaker 3: So I think this line is just way too big

467
00:20:31,920 --> 00:20:34,840
Speaker 3: that Chiefs should obviously be favored. I jinxed the last

468
00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:37,040
Speaker 3: two last two times I was on the pod, I

469
00:20:37,080 --> 00:20:38,639
Speaker 3: had the team, had a team that I was picking,

470
00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:41,000
Speaker 3: which I usually don't do, and I jinxed it.

471
00:20:41,080 --> 00:20:42,280
Speaker 1: So I'm going the opposite way.

472
00:20:42,480 --> 00:20:44,080
Speaker 3: We'll give them my homes his props because he had

473
00:20:44,080 --> 00:20:46,679
Speaker 3: a massive game, one of my favorite games, even though

474
00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:49,080
Speaker 3: I was pissed that at the outcome. But I just

475
00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:50,800
Speaker 3: think this is way too many points for a team

476
00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:54,160
Speaker 3: that's lost by eight or more twice all season long

477
00:20:54,240 --> 00:20:56,400
Speaker 3: and has a It's just like one of the biggest

478
00:20:56,440 --> 00:20:59,600
Speaker 3: threats besides maybe the Chiefs and Bills for a backdoor cover.

479
00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:01,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree. I'm just trying to decide it's gonna

480
00:21:01,840 --> 00:21:02,800
Speaker 2: get a seven a half. I will be on the

481
00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:05,920
Speaker 2: Bengals at seven or more. I'm closer to on five

482
00:21:05,960 --> 00:21:08,600
Speaker 2: five and a half. Look, there's a big misconception out

483
00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:10,800
Speaker 2: there that the Bengals and I was on the Bengals

484
00:21:10,800 --> 00:21:12,840
Speaker 2: plus five and I haven't closed around a field goal

485
00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:15,680
Speaker 2: saying home and their their their home field is worth

486
00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:17,640
Speaker 2: almost nothing. You give the Chiefs two if you want,

487
00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:20,800
Speaker 2: you're around five and a half six from that close.

488
00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:22,840
Speaker 2: But there's a and the Bengals won that game. There's

489
00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:24,840
Speaker 2: this big misconception, Oh, the refs handed the game to

490
00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:29,320
Speaker 2: the Bengals. Complete asinine. There is. Yeah, the Chiefs had

491
00:21:29,320 --> 00:21:31,720
Speaker 2: a butt, they had a garbage horsecar. They called three

492
00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:33,959
Speaker 2: p i's and Chiefs should have been about nine. If

493
00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:35,880
Speaker 2: you go back and watch that game, they were playing

494
00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:37,480
Speaker 2: extremely physical. I think they just said, look, we're going

495
00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:38,880
Speaker 2: to try to get away with as many as we can.

496
00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:41,600
Speaker 2: I will say that Bill Livinovich was my favorite ref

497
00:21:41,600 --> 00:21:43,200
Speaker 2: in the NFL. Is doing this game. He barely calls

498
00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:45,160
Speaker 2: any penalties. Now he has a new crew, but we'll

499
00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:47,480
Speaker 2: say they mix and match the guys for his crew,

500
00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:49,399
Speaker 2: so it's not the same career at all year. But

501
00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:51,399
Speaker 2: he tends to air on the side of caution. But

502
00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:53,320
Speaker 2: if you look at that game, can we talk to

503
00:21:53,359 --> 00:21:55,040
Speaker 2: no One mentions that if you look at the win

504
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:57,760
Speaker 2: probability added of a penalty yeah, it's going to look

505
00:21:57,760 --> 00:21:58,720
Speaker 2: like the rest of the side of the game because

506
00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:01,919
Speaker 2: there was a penalty on a fourth down, which basically

507
00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:04,879
Speaker 2: gave the Bengals a new set of downs, which basically

508
00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:07,520
Speaker 2: went from okay, Mahomes getting the ball back fifty to

509
00:22:07,560 --> 00:22:09,800
Speaker 2: fifty to one hundred percent chance the Bengals are gonna

510
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:11,920
Speaker 2: win on that one call. You look, that win probably

511
00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:14,439
Speaker 2: added on and it was at penalty. But can we

512
00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:17,040
Speaker 2: talk about Mahomes had two two throws in the second

513
00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:20,119
Speaker 2: half with drop picks, two wide open drop picks by

514
00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:22,480
Speaker 2: the Bengals. So I think that the no one talks

515
00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:23,919
Speaker 2: about that or.

516
00:22:24,040 --> 00:22:26,560
Speaker 1: My homet group to two fifty nine night game, you

517
00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:27,000
Speaker 1: know what I.

518
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:32,000
Speaker 2: Mean, held held Kelsey n Hill under combined under six

519
00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:35,840
Speaker 2: yards per catch. Not no other team this year held

520
00:22:35,880 --> 00:22:38,040
Speaker 2: them to under seven. So they actually did a pretty

521
00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:39,800
Speaker 2: good job, but they made them. I mean, look, the

522
00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:43,320
Speaker 2: Bengals disguise their coverage as well. They have really good safeties,

523
00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:46,360
Speaker 2: so they're pretty you know, veteran corners who can be beat,

524
00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:47,960
Speaker 2: and they can be beat over the middle of the field.

525
00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:51,440
Speaker 2: They've been playing better in that respect of late, thanks

526
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:53,800
Speaker 2: Jeff Slain. But they're not going to give up a

527
00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:55,600
Speaker 2: ton of exposive place. They're gonna make the Chiefs work

528
00:22:55,600 --> 00:22:57,120
Speaker 2: for it, just like the Bills did. That's all that.

529
00:22:57,119 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 2: That's that was the cap last week and didn't make

530
00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:02,520
Speaker 2: any mistakes and he was great, but it was all

531
00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:05,760
Speaker 2: just one to eight yard passes the entire day and

532
00:23:05,800 --> 00:23:09,120
Speaker 2: then you know, yak after the catch until that final drive.

533
00:23:09,200 --> 00:23:11,399
Speaker 2: That's what the Bengals are gonna do here, and then

534
00:23:11,400 --> 00:23:14,560
Speaker 2: they're gonna try and make make Mahmes make a mistake

535
00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:17,560
Speaker 2: or two. That's basically what this is. But the Bengals

536
00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:21,480
Speaker 2: won that game fair and square, and people are gonna say,

537
00:23:22,080 --> 00:23:25,480
Speaker 2: is the Chiefs defense fix? They were? People were the

538
00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:27,440
Speaker 2: Chiefs defense's back, And I said, look, it's not the worst.

539
00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:29,560
Speaker 2: I've been saying this. It's not the worst defense in

540
00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:31,879
Speaker 2: the NFL anymore. But people were saying, like this is

541
00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:34,920
Speaker 2: a good defense. Now, No, this defense is trash. It's

542
00:23:34,920 --> 00:23:38,080
Speaker 2: a trash defense. Look here's what they've played since we ate.

543
00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:40,760
Speaker 2: When everyone says they've been fixed, and when I've been

544
00:23:40,760 --> 00:23:42,159
Speaker 2: saying that they were fixed, but when I'm when I

545
00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:43,840
Speaker 2: say fixed, I mean from like thirty first to like

546
00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:46,040
Speaker 2: twenty third or twenty fourth best in the league. They

547
00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:49,040
Speaker 2: peer the defenses, the top offenses that they faced. You

548
00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:51,400
Speaker 2: gotta remember, they played the Packers without Aaron Rodgers. They

549
00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:54,280
Speaker 2: played the Cowboys without all the receivers. They played the Bills.

550
00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:58,280
Speaker 2: Bills put up thirty six lost in overtime. The Chargers

551
00:23:58,280 --> 00:24:00,400
Speaker 2: put up twenty eight lost in overtime.

552
00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:04,120
Speaker 1: Game shipload yards too. The Chargers gained to shipload yards

553
00:24:04,119 --> 00:24:04,560
Speaker 1: in that game.

554
00:24:04,600 --> 00:24:07,840
Speaker 2: And you know the only other two full strength offenses

555
00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:11,280
Speaker 2: that they face that are in the top fifteen DVA

556
00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:14,119
Speaker 2: the Broncos, who were just going up and down the

557
00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:16,520
Speaker 2: field even with Drew Locke. There are other games that

558
00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:20,240
Speaker 2: they played. They played the Steelers twice, the Giants, the

559
00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:24,800
Speaker 2: shorthanded Packers and the shorthanded Cowboys, and every other team

560
00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:28,639
Speaker 2: legit offense at full strength has easily put up twenty

561
00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:31,720
Speaker 2: eight through thirty six with ease. So I don't see

562
00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:35,320
Speaker 2: why the Bengals can't get to twenty one to twenty

563
00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:37,920
Speaker 2: four with ease. And if the Chiefs are at thirty

564
00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:39,680
Speaker 2: one thirty four, the Bengals can get a back door.

565
00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:41,040
Speaker 2: I think the Bengals could have a shot to win

566
00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:42,879
Speaker 2: this game. If Mahomes makes the mistake. You gotta remember

567
00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:46,040
Speaker 2: this is still a Chiefs team offense that has been inconsistent,

568
00:24:46,040 --> 00:24:49,760
Speaker 2: and everyone says, well, they don't try in certain weeks,

569
00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:54,560
Speaker 2: like they just takes one or two interceptions. It could

570
00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:56,480
Speaker 2: be a tip ball, doesn't have to be a Mahomes mistake,

571
00:24:56,840 --> 00:24:59,480
Speaker 2: and the Bengals can capitalize. I think I think turnovers

572
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:02,280
Speaker 2: are gonna be mad in this game. And Mahomes slucked

573
00:25:02,280 --> 00:25:04,800
Speaker 2: at fifteen to sixteen to one against the spread as

574
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:08,000
Speaker 2: a favorite of seven or more including the postseason, eight

575
00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:10,240
Speaker 2: and eleven the past two seasons. That speaks a lot

576
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:13,440
Speaker 2: to the defense. Burrow in his career ten and two

577
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:15,200
Speaker 2: against the spread as a dog of at least three

578
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:18,760
Speaker 2: points eighty three point three percent, covering by about five

579
00:25:18,800 --> 00:25:22,480
Speaker 2: points per game. Maybe there's a tiny Chiefs hangover, like

580
00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:25,200
Speaker 2: just emotional, like we got through the Bills, We're going

581
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:27,200
Speaker 2: to the super Bowl. I don't know. You wouldn't think

582
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:29,680
Speaker 2: that in arrowhead, but teams coming off in ot winning

583
00:25:29,720 --> 00:25:32,040
Speaker 2: the playoffs, you would think that, Oh, cyb of relief.

584
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:34,639
Speaker 2: They're just three and eleven straight up and five to

585
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:38,160
Speaker 2: nine against the spread the week after, for whatever, that's worse.

586
00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:40,879
Speaker 3: But I would say that's a great stat because I

587
00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:42,600
Speaker 3: was gonna I didn't even mention it.

588
00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:46,720
Speaker 1: But the Bengals played Saturday. They and their defense the

589
00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:48,760
Speaker 1: Titans only had like about what fifty four plays I

590
00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:49,160
Speaker 1: think it.

591
00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:52,000
Speaker 3: Was, you know, so they're they're gonna they have the

592
00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:53,360
Speaker 3: extra day their defenses.

593
00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:54,439
Speaker 1: And that's really what it is.

594
00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:56,840
Speaker 3: Because the Bills in Chiefs defenses were both gas and

595
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:58,399
Speaker 3: you know by the time we got to overtime. But

596
00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:00,600
Speaker 3: the Chiefs Bills played Sunday night, so they played the

597
00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:02,880
Speaker 3: last game. The Bengals played the first game on Saturday.

598
00:26:03,080 --> 00:26:06,960
Speaker 3: So like the rest disadvantage is maximized toward the Bengals

599
00:26:07,040 --> 00:26:10,040
Speaker 3: because the Chiefs not only played this emotional redraining game,

600
00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:11,960
Speaker 3: they played the last game and they played a shit

601
00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:13,240
Speaker 3: ton of snaps anyway.

602
00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:15,480
Speaker 1: Got you know, even on offense, guys are probably exhausted.

603
00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:17,960
Speaker 3: I mean, you know, Hill and Couch, everything's after the catch, right,

604
00:26:18,040 --> 00:26:21,240
Speaker 3: So it's like, yeah, yeah, you know, from that perspective,

605
00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:22,920
Speaker 3: I mean, is that worth maybe half a point?

606
00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:23,399
Speaker 1: Maybe?

607
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:25,760
Speaker 3: I mean, given those numbers, I mean it could it

608
00:26:25,800 --> 00:26:27,520
Speaker 3: could be, you know, given that those what is it

609
00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:28,080
Speaker 3: three and eleven?

610
00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:29,800
Speaker 1: You said, yeah, that's a great Yeah, that's a great

611
00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:30,760
Speaker 1: stet we'll.

612
00:26:30,560 --> 00:26:32,760
Speaker 2: Talk rematch of non division teams. You already talk the

613
00:26:32,800 --> 00:26:36,040
Speaker 2: rematch of division teams. Teams that sweep actually have had

614
00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:38,160
Speaker 2: the edge. And the third meeting in the playoffs. Well,

615
00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:41,240
Speaker 2: teams that won the regular season meeting between non division teams,

616
00:26:41,240 --> 00:26:42,439
Speaker 2: so they only met want in their meeting to get

617
00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:44,720
Speaker 2: in the playoffs. They're four to two this year between

618
00:26:44,760 --> 00:26:47,280
Speaker 2: non division teams, you know, thirteen seconds away from five

619
00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:51,280
Speaker 2: to one teams that won the first beating historically thirty

620
00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:54,760
Speaker 2: three and nineteen in the postseason between non division teams. Sure,

621
00:26:55,080 --> 00:26:57,320
Speaker 2: straight up, yea. I think that the Bengals can hang

622
00:26:57,359 --> 00:26:59,400
Speaker 2: around here with their offense. They're on the like you said,

623
00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:01,000
Speaker 2: they're on the road for the second straight game, but

624
00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:04,120
Speaker 2: they get an extra day, they extra day of prep rest.

625
00:27:04,160 --> 00:27:07,680
Speaker 2: It's not crazy travel. And neither team had to buy, right,

626
00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:09,800
Speaker 2: neither team had to buy to start so, and Barrow

627
00:27:09,880 --> 00:27:12,640
Speaker 2: has been in these environments like Arrowhead or whatever they

628
00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:15,200
Speaker 2: call it now, is the one of the loudest, if

629
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,959
Speaker 2: not the loudest. I think it's the loudest in the

630
00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:21,240
Speaker 2: entire NFL. But Barrow's played in all these big games

631
00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:24,320
Speaker 2: his entire career, especially in the SEC National championships. He

632
00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:27,119
Speaker 2: won't be phased by this. Got to give props to

633
00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:30,240
Speaker 2: my homes. I mean, you're going against the greatest quarterback

634
00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:31,720
Speaker 2: in the world, who's seven and one at home in

635
00:27:31,720 --> 00:27:34,560
Speaker 2: the playoffs. Twenty three touchdowns, one interception, three hundred and

636
00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:38,000
Speaker 2: eighteen yards per game passing one hundred and twenty quarterback grating.

637
00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:40,159
Speaker 2: But it's difference beween winning this game, which I think

638
00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:43,480
Speaker 2: the Chiefs ultimately will, and covering seven, which also speaks

639
00:27:43,480 --> 00:27:46,200
Speaker 2: to some of the deficiencies on the candasity's defensive side.

640
00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:48,560
Speaker 2: I do think Tony Badger will play. He's in concussion protocol.

641
00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:52,399
Speaker 2: But worth mentioning. The most interesting dynamic for me is,

642
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:55,600
Speaker 2: you know, so I think the Bengals are just gonna say, okay,

643
00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:59,040
Speaker 2: Chiefs try to drive up down the field methodically, I'm

644
00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:00,800
Speaker 2: going to take away the exposed play. I don't think

645
00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:03,000
Speaker 2: that that's They're gonna have some disguised looks, which you

646
00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:04,359
Speaker 2: do a really good job of. They do really good

647
00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:07,879
Speaker 2: job of mixing up all their different coverages. Will the

648
00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:10,760
Speaker 2: Chiefs blitz that's the big thing. So you don't blitz Burrow.

649
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:12,560
Speaker 2: You don't play man against Burrow. But they did it

650
00:28:12,560 --> 00:28:15,399
Speaker 2: in the first meeting and he absolutely roasted them. Burrow

651
00:28:15,480 --> 00:28:17,560
Speaker 2: tennis to tightly. So the first two teams that that

652
00:28:17,600 --> 00:28:20,840
Speaker 2: Burrough played, they don't blitz. The Titans and Raiders never blitz,

653
00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:23,119
Speaker 2: and it's actually not a great matchup four Burrow. But

654
00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:25,480
Speaker 2: the Titans in the side of the blitz ten times.

655
00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:27,920
Speaker 2: Last week Burrow went ten to ten for one hundred

656
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:34,280
Speaker 2: and ninety two yards. Why only sacked once. So I

657
00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:37,960
Speaker 2: think that the the interesting adjustment will be the Chiefs

658
00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:40,680
Speaker 2: because the Bengals offensive line has been a mess. I

659
00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:44,360
Speaker 2: think that the Chiefs might play coverage more, not blitz

660
00:28:44,440 --> 00:28:46,440
Speaker 2: as much. The other thing I'm trying to figure out

661
00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:48,360
Speaker 2: is does Zach Taylor come out and say I'm gonna

662
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 2: try to run it and then play keep away, which

663
00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 2: normally I would say that's awful, But like, in a way,

664
00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:57,520
Speaker 2: if you do that early, because the Chiefs run defense

665
00:28:57,600 --> 00:29:00,160
Speaker 2: is so bad, I don't like that approach, but I

666
00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:02,600
Speaker 2: like the fault and because of the Chiefs run defense,

667
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:04,760
Speaker 2: it might end up working out. But I want Borrow

668
00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:07,800
Speaker 2: in empty sets. That's basically how they can pass protect

669
00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:11,200
Speaker 2: Burrow in empty sets this year has been elite nine

670
00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:13,120
Speaker 2: and a half yards per tenth compared to eight non

671
00:29:13,280 --> 00:29:16,160
Speaker 2: empty sets in the playoffs this year, He's been sacked

672
00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:19,520
Speaker 2: once in an empty set, ten times in a non

673
00:29:19,560 --> 00:29:22,040
Speaker 2: empty set. He's twelve or fourteen passing in an empty set.

674
00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:23,960
Speaker 2: So I think that's you gotta spread them out. You

675
00:29:23,960 --> 00:29:26,280
Speaker 2: gotta spread the defense out, and then you know, you

676
00:29:26,320 --> 00:29:28,560
Speaker 2: got to dare the Chiefs to blitch you or they don't,

677
00:29:28,600 --> 00:29:30,680
Speaker 2: and then Barrow can kind of diagnose where he's gonna

678
00:29:30,680 --> 00:29:33,440
Speaker 2: go with the ball. So yeah, I completely agree with you.

679
00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:33,680
Speaker 3: Here.

680
00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:36,400
Speaker 2: I'm waiting to just I'm glancing at the market to

681
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:40,360
Speaker 2: see I'm trying to diagnose. Okay, do I think this

682
00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:42,120
Speaker 2: is going to tick up to seven and a half.

683
00:29:42,480 --> 00:29:43,719
Speaker 1: It's that seven a half. It's that seven a half

684
00:29:43,760 --> 00:29:47,240
Speaker 1: a bendom gym right now. That's the picks. It's a no.

685
00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:49,880
Speaker 1: I'm at this point, I'm holding out. Maybe we get

686
00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:50,200
Speaker 1: an eight.

687
00:29:50,280 --> 00:29:51,959
Speaker 3: I mean, maybe we can buy up to an eight

688
00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:54,040
Speaker 3: or so, Like this wine is already at seven and

689
00:29:54,080 --> 00:29:54,760
Speaker 3: a half, which.

690
00:29:54,600 --> 00:29:56,720
Speaker 2: Is I'm gonna take sums. I would add I would

691
00:29:56,720 --> 00:29:58,520
Speaker 2: add eight eight and a half. I'll add a little bit,

692
00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 2: but I think that I don't. I don't want to

693
00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:02,239
Speaker 2: risk missing the seven and a half, yeah, and then

694
00:30:02,280 --> 00:30:02,840
Speaker 2: it gets.

695
00:30:02,600 --> 00:30:04,680
Speaker 1: Like the Niners, right yeah.

696
00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:05,680
Speaker 2: Same thing with the seven and a half and three

697
00:30:05,720 --> 00:30:07,680
Speaker 2: and a half here. But that'll bring me to my

698
00:30:07,880 --> 00:30:12,560
Speaker 2: second pick of the Conference Championship weekend six pack. I'm

699
00:30:12,560 --> 00:30:15,200
Speaker 2: gonna go with Tyler Boyd over thirty eight and a

700
00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:19,040
Speaker 2: half reception yards, so you know what to do about

701
00:30:19,080 --> 00:30:21,520
Speaker 2: the under. But when I the way that I look

702
00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:23,479
Speaker 2: at this game, and by the way, he's ad one

703
00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:27,360
Speaker 2: hundred and sixty consecutive targets from in the slot without

704
00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:29,000
Speaker 2: a drop the way that I look at this game

705
00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:31,680
Speaker 2: is I think that the Bengals are gonna go a

706
00:30:31,720 --> 00:30:35,959
Speaker 2: lot of empty set formations. And by the way, like

707
00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:39,000
Speaker 2: you can pretty much project, you would know better than me.

708
00:30:39,080 --> 00:30:43,520
Speaker 2: But like Higgins, Chase, and Boyd, they're probably they're gonna

709
00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:45,640
Speaker 2: get like a round equal amount of snaps, right Like

710
00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:47,600
Speaker 2: if you look last week, they all got like thirty

711
00:30:47,640 --> 00:30:49,840
Speaker 2: eight snaps in the first half and then like I

712
00:30:49,840 --> 00:30:51,840
Speaker 2: think Chase got like three more for the game.

713
00:30:52,040 --> 00:30:54,880
Speaker 3: I can give you the exact route numbers actually, like

714
00:30:55,040 --> 00:30:57,640
Speaker 3: I usually look at route participation, which is the percentage

715
00:30:57,640 --> 00:31:00,000
Speaker 3: of dropbacks that they run a route. So last week,

716
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:04,120
Speaker 3: Chase ninety eight percent, Higgins ninety eight percent, Boyd ninety

717
00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:04,680
Speaker 3: six percent.

718
00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:07,960
Speaker 2: Yeah. So and then if you look at what, okay,

719
00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:11,240
Speaker 2: what did the Chiefs do last week? They said we

720
00:31:11,360 --> 00:31:13,840
Speaker 2: got to take away digs and they basically were bracketing

721
00:31:13,880 --> 00:31:16,000
Speaker 2: them in and saying, he's not gonna beat us. I

722
00:31:16,040 --> 00:31:20,640
Speaker 2: think Davis had like seven thousand yards. So I think

723
00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:23,080
Speaker 2: that they're gonna try and say, okay, I mean after

724
00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:25,160
Speaker 2: the first game. I mean, what did Chase.

725
00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:28,080
Speaker 3: Have in the first game, like sixty six eleven twelve

726
00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:30,320
Speaker 3: eleven of twelve for two sixty six?

727
00:31:30,520 --> 00:31:32,480
Speaker 2: They have no one that can cover in one on one.

728
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:34,920
Speaker 2: I mean, not many people do at all. So I

729
00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:36,920
Speaker 2: think that you're gonna get us, You're gonna get safety help,

730
00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:39,560
Speaker 2: You're gonna get a lot of attention there, and I

731
00:31:39,560 --> 00:31:42,720
Speaker 2: think that's gonna open up some opportunities for Boyd, who's

732
00:31:42,800 --> 00:31:45,360
Speaker 2: just very reliable. I think this number is very low

733
00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:48,080
Speaker 2: just because of the flashiness of like Chase and then

734
00:31:48,160 --> 00:31:50,680
Speaker 2: Higgins who's so good as well. But I think that

735
00:31:50,760 --> 00:31:53,400
Speaker 2: Boyd's gonna kind of sneak under the radar here. I

736
00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:56,040
Speaker 2: think I think he's gonna get like four or five targets.

737
00:31:56,040 --> 00:31:58,280
Speaker 2: He doesn't drop balls. He's not gonna go for like

738
00:31:58,360 --> 00:32:01,080
Speaker 2: eighty after catching one, although he did against the Dolphins

739
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:02,880
Speaker 2: I think earlier this year. But I think a lot

740
00:32:02,880 --> 00:32:04,959
Speaker 2: of attention on Chase here. I think Boyd can be

741
00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:08,160
Speaker 2: part of that benefactor and uh yeah, so give me

742
00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:10,719
Speaker 2: the over there, which I think probably should be. Like

743
00:32:11,120 --> 00:32:14,720
Speaker 2: I don't know, he averaged fifty receiving yards take them.

744
00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:16,560
Speaker 3: During the y about three and a half. Yeah, to

745
00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:18,160
Speaker 3: take away about three and a half. That's to get

746
00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 3: about meeting around forty six forty yeah, I was gonna

747
00:32:21,000 --> 00:32:23,360
Speaker 3: say around forty five. And then like I have I'm

748
00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:25,680
Speaker 3: gonna have a bet on the Bengals. So then there's

749
00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:29,120
Speaker 3: also like quotation, but there's also like ANTIQ relations as well,

750
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:31,000
Speaker 3: like if the Bengals don't have a chance to cover seven,

751
00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:33,280
Speaker 3: are get blown out, like they're just gonna be chucking

752
00:32:33,320 --> 00:32:35,920
Speaker 3: it more and going faster and just throwing it and

753
00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:39,720
Speaker 3: throwing it. So the game state is, you know, just

754
00:32:39,760 --> 00:32:42,000
Speaker 3: based on the line, is gonna be the Bengals having

755
00:32:42,000 --> 00:32:43,720
Speaker 3: to throw. And then there's a good chance that the

756
00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:46,920
Speaker 3: Bengals are throwing from behind at the end where the

757
00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:49,800
Speaker 3: Chiefs are playing even softer, so there's even opportunities there.

758
00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:52,760
Speaker 3: But I just think all the attention on Chase here,

759
00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:55,120
Speaker 3: which is what you have to do, is going to

760
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:56,760
Speaker 3: open up some opportunities for Boyd.

761
00:32:56,840 --> 00:32:59,840
Speaker 2: So give me Boyd over receiving yards over thirty eight

762
00:33:00,400 --> 00:33:03,320
Speaker 2: forty five ish, I think would be a fair more

763
00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:04,040
Speaker 2: fair number here.

764
00:33:04,520 --> 00:33:06,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, I haven't projected for their medians.

765
00:33:07,080 --> 00:33:11,240
Speaker 3: I have Chase around eighty, Higgins seventy two, boy forty eight,

766
00:33:11,920 --> 00:33:14,760
Speaker 3: Uzoma thirty four. Most of those other lines are kind

767
00:33:14,760 --> 00:33:17,479
Speaker 3: of in line with the market, but boy just the

768
00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:18,320
Speaker 3: one that's kind.

769
00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:19,840
Speaker 1: Of you know, do you like Boyd too?

770
00:33:20,400 --> 00:33:22,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean very well, be honest, I think it's

771
00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:25,840
Speaker 3: just it's just a matter of like his actual media

772
00:33:25,840 --> 00:33:27,720
Speaker 3: and over the last few games as lower. So I

773
00:33:27,760 --> 00:33:29,600
Speaker 3: think that's I think the books are just using like

774
00:33:30,040 --> 00:33:31,760
Speaker 3: I don't know exactly what their formula is, but I

775
00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:34,080
Speaker 3: think it's something where they're not looking at full season

776
00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:36,080
Speaker 3: or probably looking at like last six, last eight, something

777
00:33:36,200 --> 00:33:37,880
Speaker 3: something to that extent.

778
00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:40,840
Speaker 2: So, but you also had two games that went well

779
00:33:40,920 --> 00:33:45,040
Speaker 2: under that were completely completely different, yeah games, and I

780
00:33:45,040 --> 00:33:46,320
Speaker 2: think this is going to be as well.

781
00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:50,240
Speaker 3: No, yeah, absolutely, And like you said that their game

782
00:33:50,280 --> 00:33:52,320
Speaker 3: point on digs I thought was good, but that opened up.

783
00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:54,160
Speaker 3: I mean, it's if it's not boy it's gonna be

784
00:33:54,160 --> 00:33:55,800
Speaker 3: T Higgins, like it's Jamar.

785
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:57,800
Speaker 1: Chase will probably be around his number.

786
00:33:57,840 --> 00:33:59,920
Speaker 3: I mean, maybe he goes for another like one fifty out,

787
00:34:00,280 --> 00:34:02,920
Speaker 3: but he'll probably be close it to his real number.

788
00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:05,520
Speaker 3: It's hard to really held him far under I think regardless,

789
00:34:05,560 --> 00:34:08,600
Speaker 3: but I think one of the other two guys, maybe

790
00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:12,000
Speaker 3: even Useoma, but one of Higgins and Boyd I think

791
00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:17,280
Speaker 3: has a big game and Boyd's number. Yeah.

792
00:34:17,760 --> 00:34:21,520
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820
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821
00:35:51,120 --> 00:35:52,120
Speaker 4: Let's get back to the show.

822
00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:57,440
Speaker 3: For my second pick in the fourth overall of the

823
00:35:57,560 --> 00:36:01,360
Speaker 3: Championship Week Sunday six pack, I'm owing cam Akers under

824
00:36:01,400 --> 00:36:03,879
Speaker 3: sixty and a half rushing yards against the forty nine ers.

825
00:36:04,120 --> 00:36:06,320
Speaker 3: We talked about this matchup already. One of the reasons

826
00:36:06,360 --> 00:36:10,480
Speaker 3: why the Rams haven't been able to have as much

827
00:36:10,480 --> 00:36:13,319
Speaker 3: success against San Francisco on the offensive side of the

828
00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:17,200
Speaker 3: ball is because their offense is kind of driven by

829
00:36:17,200 --> 00:36:19,000
Speaker 3: their running game, and they just haven't been able to.

830
00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:19,680
Speaker 1: Run on San Francisco.

831
00:36:19,719 --> 00:36:22,359
Speaker 3: And that's not surprising case. San Francisco's second in run

832
00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:26,360
Speaker 3: defense DVA. Rams running backs in the two games combined

833
00:36:27,280 --> 00:36:31,360
Speaker 3: ninety seven yards on thirty five carries. So that's forty

834
00:36:31,400 --> 00:36:34,640
Speaker 3: eight and a half yards per game by the running backs.

835
00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:37,200
Speaker 3: And this number is twelve yard, you know, thirteen yeards high.

836
00:36:37,239 --> 00:36:39,400
Speaker 3: You need really to get over that just with cam

837
00:36:39,520 --> 00:36:42,200
Speaker 3: Akers alone. And I think you know, Campmakers got ninety

838
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:45,080
Speaker 3: two percent of the backfield carries last week. You know,

839
00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:47,680
Speaker 3: Sony Michelle was he actually was more involved in their

840
00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:49,640
Speaker 3: pass game than he was in a run game. But

841
00:36:50,040 --> 00:36:52,560
Speaker 3: cam Akers twenty four carries is forty eight yards last

842
00:36:52,560 --> 00:36:55,319
Speaker 3: week against another stout run defense. So there's an out

843
00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:57,120
Speaker 3: here even if Cam akers a geinst like twenty twenty

844
00:36:57,120 --> 00:36:59,439
Speaker 3: five touches, you know, like he had five for three

845
00:36:59,480 --> 00:37:01,799
Speaker 3: in the last matchup against the Niners. But there's an

846
00:37:01,840 --> 00:37:04,280
Speaker 3: out here even if he gets like a massive workload.

847
00:37:04,520 --> 00:37:06,839
Speaker 3: But you know he fumbled a couple of times, he's

848
00:37:06,880 --> 00:37:09,200
Speaker 3: still coming back. And you know, that last game was

849
00:37:09,239 --> 00:37:12,520
Speaker 3: so inefficient that I think maybe Vegas And says, okay,

850
00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:14,840
Speaker 3: you know, like let's split this up a little more evenly,

851
00:37:14,880 --> 00:37:17,160
Speaker 3: like ninety two percent. That's that's hard for even like

852
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:19,680
Speaker 3: a Derek Henry or somebody to get you know, consistently.

853
00:37:19,760 --> 00:37:23,240
Speaker 3: So I think Acres will be closer to like seventy

854
00:37:23,239 --> 00:37:26,120
Speaker 3: five percent in terms of the carries, which would leave him,

855
00:37:26,160 --> 00:37:27,040
Speaker 3: you know in the fifties.

856
00:37:27,080 --> 00:37:28,160
Speaker 1: You know, in is like a median.

857
00:37:28,520 --> 00:37:31,480
Speaker 3: But I think even if he gets like a full,

858
00:37:31,760 --> 00:37:33,960
Speaker 3: you know, twenty twenty five touch workload, which also the

859
00:37:34,040 --> 00:37:36,200
Speaker 3: Rams have to be winning for that to happen as well,

860
00:37:36,680 --> 00:37:39,000
Speaker 3: I think they're going to try to throw on the

861
00:37:39,080 --> 00:37:41,600
Speaker 3: Niners a little more than than than they did even

862
00:37:41,600 --> 00:37:43,600
Speaker 3: against a Buck, because the Niners run defense has been

863
00:37:44,000 --> 00:37:44,759
Speaker 3: even better than.

864
00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:47,319
Speaker 1: The Bucks this year. So I think you have a

865
00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:49,960
Speaker 1: lot of outs here for cam Akers under sixty and

866
00:37:50,000 --> 00:37:51,320
Speaker 1: a half rushing yards.

867
00:37:51,640 --> 00:37:53,000
Speaker 2: I like it. Yeah, that's been one of the keys

868
00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:55,560
Speaker 2: to this forty nine ers. They're front and they can

869
00:37:55,600 --> 00:38:00,000
Speaker 2: stop the rams rushing attack, which is what McVeigh built

870
00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:02,319
Speaker 2: everything off of, and they don't have to commit too

871
00:38:02,360 --> 00:38:04,440
Speaker 2: many other guys and then they're not blitzing, and then

872
00:38:04,480 --> 00:38:06,560
Speaker 2: you can't you know, McVeigh likes to kind of pray

873
00:38:06,560 --> 00:38:08,600
Speaker 2: on that aggressiveness one. All right, everyone's coming up trying

874
00:38:08,600 --> 00:38:09,719
Speaker 2: to stop throning the four. No, I don't have to

875
00:38:09,800 --> 00:38:14,920
Speaker 2: do that. Yeah, So all right. For my third pick

876
00:38:14,960 --> 00:38:20,160
Speaker 2: and the fifth overall of the Conference Championship Weekend six pack,

877
00:38:20,440 --> 00:38:24,480
Speaker 2: I'm going with Jimmy G under two and a half

878
00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:28,279
Speaker 2: rushing yards. This bet seems just miserable. Gotta watch this

879
00:38:28,440 --> 00:38:31,960
Speaker 2: entire game and hope that Jimmy G doesn't have one scramble.

880
00:38:32,280 --> 00:38:34,600
Speaker 2: So now I know why what it's like to bet props.

881
00:38:34,600 --> 00:38:36,640
Speaker 2: Who wants to bet these unders? That's usually why they

882
00:38:36,800 --> 00:38:39,160
Speaker 2: have some value. I remember my greatest properly and by

883
00:38:39,160 --> 00:38:41,120
Speaker 2: the way, was when I wrote it up because I'm

884
00:38:41,120 --> 00:38:42,960
Speaker 2: not a prop player. I wrote it up for the

885
00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:46,520
Speaker 2: Action Network AP like it was Eagles Bucks. This was

886
00:38:46,560 --> 00:38:48,920
Speaker 2: like when we first started and I had this, like

887
00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:51,680
Speaker 2: I just wrote this is my favorite. Prop was a

888
00:38:51,719 --> 00:38:56,799
Speaker 2: standalone article about Brady over one and a half rushing

889
00:38:56,880 --> 00:38:59,080
Speaker 2: yards like plus some money, and he like towards the

890
00:38:59,160 --> 00:39:02,600
Speaker 2: end of the first half, like stumbled forward for two

891
00:39:02,680 --> 00:39:05,719
Speaker 2: yards and I went crazy and then I was like, shit,

892
00:39:05,760 --> 00:39:07,520
Speaker 2: I got I got a sweat, Like I gotta remember,

893
00:39:07,520 --> 00:39:09,759
Speaker 2: I got n down kneel downs. But they I think

894
00:39:09,760 --> 00:39:10,560
Speaker 2: they ended up losing.

895
00:39:10,800 --> 00:39:13,880
Speaker 3: And Brady's actually good at like getting zero yard neel downs,

896
00:39:13,880 --> 00:39:15,920
Speaker 3: Like he gets those like like as close as it

897
00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:17,279
Speaker 3: can be to the line.

898
00:39:17,600 --> 00:39:21,239
Speaker 2: Yep, it's not Mahomes, right, So yeah, I'll go with

899
00:39:21,320 --> 00:39:23,160
Speaker 2: Jimmy g under two and a half rush yards for

900
00:39:23,200 --> 00:39:26,239
Speaker 2: what it's worth. Over the last three games, he has

901
00:39:26,320 --> 00:39:28,480
Speaker 2: zero for zero yards, one for one yard, and one

902
00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:31,239
Speaker 2: for one yard. Why that's important. I mean, if you

903
00:39:31,320 --> 00:39:33,759
Speaker 2: go back for his season stats, he's you know, he

904
00:39:33,760 --> 00:39:37,920
Speaker 2: has thirty eight carries for fifty one yards, but he

905
00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:39,400
Speaker 2: had a game against the Eagles where he ran it

906
00:39:39,440 --> 00:39:42,920
Speaker 2: eleven times for twenty yards. But you know, over the

907
00:39:42,920 --> 00:39:45,279
Speaker 2: second half of the season, he's been trending way down

908
00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:46,719
Speaker 2: in that bar, but I don't really care about that.

909
00:39:47,120 --> 00:39:49,600
Speaker 2: I really care about this particular game and the fact

910
00:39:49,640 --> 00:39:52,160
Speaker 2: that Jimmy G is dealing with injuries, and I do

911
00:39:52,239 --> 00:39:54,920
Speaker 2: not think that they want him running at all, like

912
00:39:55,000 --> 00:39:58,080
Speaker 2: gets throw the ball away. Also, as much as I

913
00:39:58,120 --> 00:40:00,000
Speaker 2: want to yell for quarterback sneaks, don't think you're get

914
00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:03,640
Speaker 2: quarterback sneaks here with you know, a hurt shoulder, hurt thumb,

915
00:40:03,680 --> 00:40:06,560
Speaker 2: like you're gonna get maybe some And it scares me

916
00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:08,640
Speaker 2: with shouting him like I'm gonna want him to sneak it.

917
00:40:08,640 --> 00:40:10,440
Speaker 2: Maybe he brings its lance to sneak the ball in

918
00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:13,440
Speaker 2: a fourth and one, but you're probably gonna get everything

919
00:40:13,440 --> 00:40:16,160
Speaker 2: else and hopefully doesn't put the uh. He did sneak it.

920
00:40:16,200 --> 00:40:18,000
Speaker 2: He did try to sneak it with Jimmy when he

921
00:40:18,040 --> 00:40:20,719
Speaker 2: had when he put Trent Williams in uh for the

922
00:40:20,880 --> 00:40:22,160
Speaker 2: for to win the game, so he could say it

923
00:40:22,200 --> 00:40:23,919
Speaker 2: like maybe to win the game. But I just don't

924
00:40:23,960 --> 00:40:26,239
Speaker 2: think Jimmy G's gonna be running much. Ramps play out

925
00:40:26,239 --> 00:40:28,000
Speaker 2: of his own, so it's not like he's gonna be

926
00:40:28,080 --> 00:40:32,240
Speaker 2: dropping back and then like everyone is gone down the field.

927
00:40:32,360 --> 00:40:35,120
Speaker 2: And I mean, Jimmy G is not uh pride Mike

928
00:40:35,239 --> 00:40:38,240
Speaker 2: Vick and then he's gonna have this you know, avenue

929
00:40:38,280 --> 00:40:39,839
Speaker 2: to take off. I don't think there's gonna be many

930
00:40:39,840 --> 00:40:43,520
Speaker 2: opportunities to do that, and I actually think the forty

931
00:40:43,560 --> 00:40:45,040
Speaker 2: nunders have a really good chance to win the game,

932
00:40:45,960 --> 00:40:50,000
Speaker 2: so you could get some meal downs as well. So yeah,

933
00:40:50,040 --> 00:40:52,200
Speaker 2: I think that this it's fun prop and I think

934
00:40:52,200 --> 00:40:53,960
Speaker 2: that there's a good chance that goes under when you

935
00:40:54,160 --> 00:40:57,600
Speaker 2: consider the matchup, on who they're playing, and then the

936
00:40:57,640 --> 00:40:59,920
Speaker 2: fact that he's dealing with an injury. So I think

937
00:41:00,040 --> 00:41:02,680
Speaker 2: that he knows that he's probably been instructed to, like, okay,

938
00:41:02,719 --> 00:41:05,960
Speaker 2: instead of running for two yards and like maybe getting hit,

939
00:41:06,160 --> 00:41:08,480
Speaker 2: just like throw it away, Jimmy g under two and

940
00:41:08,520 --> 00:41:09,600
Speaker 2: a half. We'll have some fun.

941
00:41:10,120 --> 00:41:12,080
Speaker 3: I mean throw it away, not not to the other team,

942
00:41:12,160 --> 00:41:13,560
Speaker 3: because because that's finish his issue.

943
00:41:13,640 --> 00:41:16,239
Speaker 1: It's like hopefully have onefully they tell him not to like,

944
00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:18,640
Speaker 1: you know, run it instead of throwing it to the

945
00:41:18,640 --> 00:41:21,400
Speaker 1: other team. But yeah, no, that's a that's a shark thing.

946
00:41:21,480 --> 00:41:24,319
Speaker 3: Like anytime you see the zone defenses, I think that

947
00:41:24,400 --> 00:41:26,640
Speaker 3: helps because again, like you said, all eyes are going

948
00:41:26,680 --> 00:41:28,640
Speaker 3: to be on the quarterbacks. So these guys like car

949
00:41:28,680 --> 00:41:30,400
Speaker 3: and Jimmy, who might get a scramble or two, and

950
00:41:30,480 --> 00:41:33,640
Speaker 3: like you know, man heavy defenses usually aren't going to

951
00:41:33,680 --> 00:41:36,480
Speaker 3: get those even one against a defense like this, So

952
00:41:36,520 --> 00:41:38,919
Speaker 3: it's all gonna come down to number one, like you said,

953
00:41:38,960 --> 00:41:42,160
Speaker 3: quarterback sneaks, which he might need two quarterback sneaks you know,

954
00:41:42,239 --> 00:41:45,600
Speaker 3: to get and and then you know, kneel downs. If

955
00:41:45,600 --> 00:41:49,279
Speaker 3: he gets even one kneel down, you're probably good. So yeah,

956
00:41:49,400 --> 00:41:52,040
Speaker 3: that's that's actually a sharp play, all right. For my

957
00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:55,520
Speaker 3: third and final pick, the sixth overall of the Championship

958
00:41:55,560 --> 00:41:58,759
Speaker 3: Week Sunday six pack, I'm going with Van Jefferson over

959
00:41:58,840 --> 00:42:02,200
Speaker 3: twenty nine and a half receives eaving yards. This is

960
00:42:02,200 --> 00:42:04,960
Speaker 3: another one where kind of like Tyler Boyd, he's had

961
00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:07,239
Speaker 3: some bad games lately and that's kind of driven the

962
00:42:07,280 --> 00:42:07,680
Speaker 3: number down.

963
00:42:07,719 --> 00:42:08,440
Speaker 1: I'm surprised it's this.

964
00:42:08,560 --> 00:42:11,640
Speaker 3: Well, he's still been over in thirteen of nineteen games

965
00:42:11,960 --> 00:42:15,279
Speaker 3: this season, so that's a pretty high rate just kind

966
00:42:15,280 --> 00:42:17,560
Speaker 3: of taking out, you know, all the recency bias and

967
00:42:17,600 --> 00:42:20,680
Speaker 3: just looking at the season long numbers. But the key

968
00:42:20,719 --> 00:42:22,720
Speaker 3: for Jefferson is and that's why I have him projected

969
00:42:22,719 --> 00:42:26,439
Speaker 3: way over this He's run a route on eighty six

970
00:42:26,680 --> 00:42:30,120
Speaker 3: percent of dropbacks in the first playoff game, ninety five

971
00:42:30,160 --> 00:42:33,240
Speaker 3: percent of the dropbacks last playoff game, and his median

972
00:42:33,280 --> 00:42:35,920
Speaker 3: for the seasons eighty nine. So, like, I know, he's

973
00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:38,160
Speaker 3: had some bad games and he's like their fourth or

974
00:42:38,200 --> 00:42:40,880
Speaker 3: fifth option a lot of weeks, But people don't realize

975
00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:42,799
Speaker 3: if this guy's on the field every snap and he's

976
00:42:42,840 --> 00:42:45,520
Speaker 3: not like a DeMarcus Robinson, where's gonna get like no targets, Like,

977
00:42:45,680 --> 00:42:47,960
Speaker 3: he's still gonna get targets, and he's still he can

978
00:42:48,040 --> 00:42:51,960
Speaker 3: get this in one catch. So Stafford's passing prop this

979
00:42:52,000 --> 00:42:54,239
Speaker 3: week is around two eighty, which I think is fair.

980
00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:56,560
Speaker 3: You would only need about ten to eleven percent of

981
00:42:56,560 --> 00:42:59,000
Speaker 3: Stafford's yard to get over that, and again he can

982
00:42:59,000 --> 00:43:01,520
Speaker 3: get over that on one single catch. I think the

983
00:43:01,600 --> 00:43:04,160
Speaker 3: Rams are gonna have to throw a little more against

984
00:43:04,200 --> 00:43:07,120
Speaker 3: San Francisco. I talked about their run, their struggles running

985
00:43:07,120 --> 00:43:09,400
Speaker 3: the ball earlier, and they've always They only averaged seventeen

986
00:43:09,440 --> 00:43:11,400
Speaker 3: and a half runs by backs in those in the

987
00:43:11,440 --> 00:43:14,600
Speaker 3: two games against San Francisco, so you could kind of

988
00:43:14,640 --> 00:43:18,080
Speaker 3: expect them, just by necessity, to have to go run heavier.

989
00:43:18,160 --> 00:43:20,080
Speaker 3: And then we're kind of building in the fact that

990
00:43:20,080 --> 00:43:22,520
Speaker 3: both of us think this line is too big, you know,

991
00:43:22,640 --> 00:43:24,839
Speaker 3: which means that the Rams may be in some more

992
00:43:24,840 --> 00:43:27,920
Speaker 3: negative game script than you think, you know, because we

993
00:43:27,920 --> 00:43:29,440
Speaker 3: think this line should be closer to you know, one

994
00:43:29,520 --> 00:43:31,200
Speaker 3: or two, and the Rams are three and a half

995
00:43:31,200 --> 00:43:31,760
Speaker 3: point favorite.

996
00:43:31,800 --> 00:43:33,759
Speaker 1: So I just think that all of these kind of.

997
00:43:33,760 --> 00:43:38,280
Speaker 3: Confound factors that are kind of combining to make books

998
00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:42,000
Speaker 3: kind of post this number way too low for Van Jefferson.

999
00:43:42,000 --> 00:43:44,840
Speaker 3: So over twenty nine and a half re season for Jefferson.

1000
00:43:44,440 --> 00:43:46,520
Speaker 2: Any any issues he has, like a semi knee injury,

1001
00:43:46,520 --> 00:43:47,319
Speaker 2: any concern there?

1002
00:43:47,719 --> 00:43:49,719
Speaker 3: No, I think he's gonna I mean unless like, if

1003
00:43:49,719 --> 00:43:51,840
Speaker 3: he's you can obviously wait. But the fact that the

1004
00:43:52,160 --> 00:43:54,279
Speaker 3: prop is posted. If he doesn't play, you get no action.

1005
00:43:54,440 --> 00:43:56,279
Speaker 3: So if he if he plays, he's gonna be out there.

1006
00:43:56,320 --> 00:43:57,239
Speaker 3: You know they're not gonna play.

1007
00:43:57,280 --> 00:43:59,800
Speaker 2: If he plays, If he plays one snap right, then

1008
00:43:59,800 --> 00:44:01,120
Speaker 2: it's action. Is that how it works?

1009
00:44:01,160 --> 00:44:01,359
Speaker 3: Yeah?

1010
00:44:01,400 --> 00:44:01,840
Speaker 2: Yeah?

1011
00:44:02,080 --> 00:44:04,799
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean damn, So what can if he gets

1012
00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:05,239
Speaker 3: ruled out?

1013
00:44:05,280 --> 00:44:06,200
Speaker 1: If he gets ruled.

1014
00:44:06,040 --> 00:44:09,920
Speaker 3: Out, can I get like a, I don't know, whatever,

1015
00:44:10,040 --> 00:44:11,360
Speaker 3: It's fine, I'll just go with it.

1016
00:44:11,440 --> 00:44:12,520
Speaker 1: I don't think he's getting ruled out.

1017
00:44:12,520 --> 00:44:14,239
Speaker 2: I mean, they wouldn't have if he gets ruled out,

1018
00:44:15,040 --> 00:44:17,600
Speaker 2: you'll sweet out or I'll retweet you too what you're.

1019
00:44:19,080 --> 00:44:19,279
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1020
00:44:19,320 --> 00:44:22,439
Speaker 3: Yeah, So because I'm pretty like you, if you bet

1021
00:44:22,440 --> 00:44:24,279
Speaker 3: this and he doesn't play, you'll you won't lose your mind,

1022
00:44:24,360 --> 00:44:25,319
Speaker 3: like that is what I'm trying to say.

1023
00:44:25,400 --> 00:44:27,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, and if he does, I think it's a great line.

1024
00:44:27,640 --> 00:44:29,200
Speaker 1: So that's gonna do it.

1025
00:44:29,320 --> 00:44:34,480
Speaker 3: For the Conference Championship weekend six pack to recap, Stuck

1026
00:44:34,560 --> 00:44:36,800
Speaker 3: is going with the Niners plus three and a half,

1027
00:44:37,120 --> 00:44:39,640
Speaker 3: Tyler Boyd over thirty eight and a half receiving yards

1028
00:44:39,680 --> 00:44:43,640
Speaker 3: of Jimmy Garoppolo under two and a half rushing yards.

1029
00:44:44,080 --> 00:44:48,760
Speaker 3: I'm going with the Cincinnati Bengals plus seven and a half,

1030
00:44:49,280 --> 00:44:52,640
Speaker 3: Cam Akers under sixty and a half rushing yards and

1031
00:44:52,760 --> 00:44:56,960
Speaker 3: Van Jefferson over twenty nine and a half receiving yards.

1032
00:44:57,400 --> 00:44:59,279
Speaker 2: That no, by the way, one question before before you

1033
00:44:59,480 --> 00:45:03,720
Speaker 2: closed out money aside this weekend could now your answer

1034
00:45:03,719 --> 00:45:06,480
Speaker 2: could involve potential money or something that you would see

1035
00:45:06,480 --> 00:45:08,320
Speaker 2: for the Super Bowl. But I don't have many features,

1036
00:45:08,360 --> 00:45:11,440
Speaker 2: but maybe you like would love a proper aside if

1037
00:45:11,480 --> 00:45:14,160
Speaker 2: you your preferred Super Bowl matchup? What do you want

1038
00:45:14,200 --> 00:45:14,479
Speaker 2: to say?

1039
00:45:14,800 --> 00:45:19,480
Speaker 3: I think I want to see a Cincinnati San Francisco

1040
00:45:19,640 --> 00:45:24,840
Speaker 3: super Bowl because early nineties es eies maybe, yeah, I

1041
00:45:24,840 --> 00:45:25,319
Speaker 3: think you had.

1042
00:45:25,200 --> 00:45:26,560
Speaker 1: Two of them. I think you had two of them.

1043
00:45:26,640 --> 00:45:29,400
Speaker 1: You have that in play, but you also have I

1044
00:45:29,440 --> 00:45:30,920
Speaker 1: think that would mean.

1045
00:45:30,800 --> 00:45:32,759
Speaker 3: Like Joe Burrow has a chance to arrive in a

1046
00:45:32,840 --> 00:45:35,040
Speaker 3: year two and I just think that's fascinating, Like I

1047
00:45:35,080 --> 00:45:35,640
Speaker 3: love Burrow.

1048
00:45:36,160 --> 00:45:37,560
Speaker 1: I find it. And then on the.

1049
00:45:37,480 --> 00:45:40,040
Speaker 3: Other side, uh, you know, I think it's still going

1050
00:45:40,080 --> 00:45:41,680
Speaker 3: to be tougher for the Niners to beat the Chiefs.

1051
00:45:41,719 --> 00:45:44,920
Speaker 3: You know, it's like I think the Bengals are a

1052
00:45:44,920 --> 00:45:47,240
Speaker 3: little more beatable for the Niners, and that gives Jimmy

1053
00:45:47,280 --> 00:45:49,160
Speaker 3: de a chance to win one. And then like, what's

1054
00:45:49,200 --> 00:45:51,200
Speaker 3: the narrative I he wins that super Bowl? Right, you know,

1055
00:45:51,360 --> 00:45:53,560
Speaker 3: is like what's going on with Trey Lance, Like what's

1056
00:45:53,600 --> 00:45:55,359
Speaker 3: going on if Jimmy g has now won Super Bowl

1057
00:45:55,400 --> 00:45:57,640
Speaker 3: and he's already been twice in like his you know,

1058
00:45:57,719 --> 00:46:00,160
Speaker 3: only a few full seasons as a starter because most

1059
00:46:00,200 --> 00:46:00,839
Speaker 3: of the y is he was hurt.

1060
00:46:00,840 --> 00:46:01,279
Speaker 2: He was hurt.

1061
00:46:01,480 --> 00:46:03,520
Speaker 1: It's like every year he's like a full on starter.

1062
00:46:03,719 --> 00:46:04,920
Speaker 1: It's like they go to the Super Bowl.

1063
00:46:05,760 --> 00:46:08,000
Speaker 3: So you know, there's just all these kind of narratives

1064
00:46:08,040 --> 00:46:10,719
Speaker 3: that play on a niner side, So I'd like them

1065
00:46:10,719 --> 00:46:12,640
Speaker 3: to be in like a winnable game where like the

1066
00:46:12,680 --> 00:46:14,279
Speaker 3: spread is probably not going to be further than like,

1067
00:46:14,320 --> 00:46:15,799
Speaker 3: you know, a couple of points, probably not even gonna

1068
00:46:15,800 --> 00:46:17,160
Speaker 3: be a field goal if they play the Bengals.

1069
00:46:17,200 --> 00:46:18,160
Speaker 1: So yeah, that's what I'm going.

1070
00:46:18,160 --> 00:46:20,359
Speaker 2: How about you? And then with the Rams if they

1071
00:46:20,360 --> 00:46:23,759
Speaker 2: play at home, right, yeah, but that's basically where the

1072
00:46:23,760 --> 00:46:25,839
Speaker 2: forty nine ers play at home too. I'll go forty

1073
00:46:25,880 --> 00:46:27,799
Speaker 2: nine Ers Bengals too. We'll get some new blood in there.

1074
00:46:27,840 --> 00:46:31,680
Speaker 2: And the Bengals remind me a lot like they've been

1075
00:46:31,680 --> 00:46:34,880
Speaker 2: getting little fortunate with turnovers and third that the defense

1076
00:46:34,960 --> 00:46:37,880
Speaker 2: is playing up. But they remind me a lot about

1077
00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:42,359
Speaker 2: of the some of the old Ravens teams, like like

1078
00:46:42,880 --> 00:46:46,160
Speaker 2: not dominant defense, like two thousand and one Ravens, like

1079
00:46:46,239 --> 00:46:49,400
Speaker 2: twenty twelve Ravens when they won the Super Bowl. But

1080
00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:52,120
Speaker 2: there was a couple of raven Sees with Flacco that

1081
00:46:52,239 --> 00:46:54,960
Speaker 2: like would go on runs in the playoffs, would go

1082
00:46:55,000 --> 00:46:57,359
Speaker 2: to Foxborough and no one woul give them a chance.

1083
00:46:57,400 --> 00:47:00,719
Speaker 2: They'd always be catching seven points. I'd always bet them,

1084
00:47:00,719 --> 00:47:03,440
Speaker 2: and they'd always cover, and they'd win. About fifty percent

1085
00:47:03,480 --> 00:47:06,120
Speaker 2: of the time, I'm getting a lot of vibes, the

1086
00:47:06,200 --> 00:47:09,080
Speaker 2: same vibes from those teams of this Bengals team. There's

1087
00:47:09,120 --> 00:47:13,239
Speaker 2: just something going on with them right now. And uh,

1088
00:47:13,280 --> 00:47:15,399
Speaker 2: we'll see who day. He's never lost the.

1089
00:47:15,480 --> 00:47:18,120
Speaker 3: Coffee Borough man, it's burrough Man. Like that's what's going

1090
00:47:18,160 --> 00:47:21,000
Speaker 3: home with Damber big game is Burrow and.

1091
00:47:21,000 --> 00:47:23,160
Speaker 1: Chase Man and these dudes. The crazy thing is they've

1092
00:47:23,160 --> 00:47:23,760
Speaker 1: been here before.

1093
00:47:23,760 --> 00:47:26,160
Speaker 3: They've done this together before, like they've been in big

1094
00:47:26,200 --> 00:47:29,520
Speaker 3: games before. Obviously different stage, but yeah, man, I would

1095
00:47:29,560 --> 00:47:30,160
Speaker 3: love to see them.

1096
00:47:30,200 --> 00:47:31,600
Speaker 1: And then I mean, like I like.

1097
00:47:31,640 --> 00:47:34,840
Speaker 3: The Joe cool Joe cool flock Oak, Yeah, Burrow, and

1098
00:47:34,880 --> 00:47:36,799
Speaker 3: then it's like, imagine if like Jimmy G is the

1099
00:47:36,800 --> 00:47:39,040
Speaker 3: one to end Burrows like a run like that. Like

1100
00:47:39,320 --> 00:47:41,440
Speaker 3: I just want to see the narrative because like Jimmy

1101
00:47:41,440 --> 00:47:43,439
Speaker 3: G gets so much hate right and it's like, yeah,

1102
00:47:43,480 --> 00:47:46,399
Speaker 3: he makes some disgusting throws, but like his record is great.

1103
00:47:46,560 --> 00:47:48,799
Speaker 1: You mentioned his record is an underdog is great. He's

1104
00:47:48,840 --> 00:47:49,359
Speaker 1: always there.

1105
00:47:49,400 --> 00:47:52,480
Speaker 3: He's got the like Foxborough under Brady experience. So like

1106
00:47:52,520 --> 00:47:54,239
Speaker 3: at one point everyone did think he was going to

1107
00:47:54,280 --> 00:47:55,680
Speaker 3: be like that next week quarterback.

1108
00:47:56,120 --> 00:47:58,440
Speaker 1: So like I just would love to see the narratives

1109
00:47:58,440 --> 00:47:59,040
Speaker 1: if Jimmy G.

1110
00:47:59,120 --> 00:48:01,080
Speaker 2: Won, but like I mean, then you've got to pay

1111
00:48:01,120 --> 00:48:03,440
Speaker 2: them and then yeah, well you don't and then do

1112
00:48:03,440 --> 00:48:05,440
Speaker 2: you trade lance? Like I don't know what that's crazy.

1113
00:48:05,520 --> 00:48:08,439
Speaker 3: Yeah, wouldn't that be the most like Shanahan thing ever,

1114
00:48:08,520 --> 00:48:10,719
Speaker 3: like Shanahan get cute thing ever, like win the super

1115
00:48:10,719 --> 00:48:13,600
Speaker 3: Bowl with Jimmy G and then and then let them go. Yeah,

1116
00:48:15,160 --> 00:48:17,040
Speaker 3: so like yeah, just a lot allow.

1117
00:48:16,840 --> 00:48:17,560
Speaker 2: Would be real fun.

1118
00:48:17,600 --> 00:48:20,399
Speaker 3: But I mean after this weekend, it's hard to any

1119
00:48:20,600 --> 00:48:22,880
Speaker 3: any matchup would be so would be great because I

1120
00:48:22,880 --> 00:48:24,360
Speaker 3: mean we already got treated to like four.

1121
00:48:24,239 --> 00:48:27,239
Speaker 1: Super Bowls almost like this divisional round was just insane.

1122
00:48:27,320 --> 00:48:28,400
Speaker 1: So and that.

1123
00:48:28,280 --> 00:48:32,160
Speaker 3: Concludes our conference Championship Sunday six pack presented by Athletic

1124
00:48:32,200 --> 00:48:35,520
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1125
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1129
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1137
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Speaker 1: That's act Ion one zero. Cheers. All right, We're out

1138
00:49:20,239 --> 00:49:20,840
Speaker 1: of here. Stuck.

1139
00:49:21,200 --> 00:49:25,000
Speaker 3: You can follow Stucky at Stucky two on Twitter. You

1140
00:49:25,000 --> 00:49:27,759
Speaker 3: can also follow him at the same handle in the

1141
00:49:27,800 --> 00:49:29,799
Speaker 3: Action Network app. The same is true for me on

1142
00:49:29,880 --> 00:49:33,279
Speaker 3: my Twitter and the Action app at Chris Raybond That's

1143
00:49:33,360 --> 00:49:34,440
Speaker 3: r y b o N.

1144
00:49:34,880 --> 00:49:36,799
Speaker 1: And be sure to leave us a review.

1145
00:49:36,520 --> 00:49:40,239
Speaker 3: On Apple podcast or Spotify and we'll give out some

1146
00:49:40,280 --> 00:49:45,440
Speaker 3: more swag on the next show for you first some

1147
00:49:45,800 --> 00:49:48,120
Speaker 3: reviews that we picked, so keep doing it.

1148
00:49:48,239 --> 00:49:49,080
Speaker 1: Thanks for listening.

1149
00:49:49,440 --> 00:49:54,760
Speaker 2: Let's get this money. Lets go

1150
00:50:00,760 --> 00:50:05,680
Speaker 3: The same students to the same sting the state