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Speaker 1: And welcome in a little different start because it is

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Speaker 1: a replayoff the Tuesday show, and that means college football

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Speaker 1: playoff rankings got released immediately after that. We did not

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Speaker 1: include that in the live show, so it's gonna sound

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Speaker 1: a little wonky, little discolobulated. But about an hour after

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Speaker 1: our live show aired last night, I watched the Playoff

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Speaker 1: Committee reveal their rankings. This is what I had to say. Enjoy,

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Speaker 1: and then the rest of the show as usual will

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Speaker 1: follow after the College Football Playoff Committee rankings reaction. All right,

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Speaker 1: college Football Playoff rankings released two point zero version. We're

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Speaker 1: headed into week twelve. We got Georgia Tennessee this Saturday.

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Speaker 1: We got a lot of claims of sec bias out there.

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Speaker 1: We'll do the rankings. Agree with that as the College

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Speaker 1: Football Playoff Committee agree with that? Apparently not because I'm

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Speaker 1: looking at Oregon, Ohio State, Penn State in Indiana all

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Speaker 1: in the top five and then Brigham Young behind them

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Speaker 1: for good measure. Now, it is very, very popular as

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Speaker 1: these playoff rankings are released in weeks one and two

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Speaker 1: and three to say don't worry, relax, everything will work

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Speaker 1: itself out. Well, everyone knows that we're not idiots. Having

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Speaker 1: said that, it does matter where you're ranked. We have

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Speaker 1: seen time and time again teams ranked too low to climb,

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Speaker 1: teams ranked too high to really fall. So I'm paying

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Speaker 1: attention to some of this right now. I tell you.

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Speaker 1: The first thing that stands out to me is George's

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Speaker 1: got to win Saturday. Where's the Georgia's twelve. Georgia is

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Speaker 1: ranked twelfth because of the tie ins and stuff. If

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Speaker 1: the playoffs started today, Georgia would not be in the playoff.

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Speaker 1: And I think I've fielded a lot of questions from

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Speaker 1: Georgia fans. So I'm from Georgia this week, and they're saying,

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Speaker 1: do we have to win against Tennessee Saturday? Could we

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Speaker 1: still get in with a third loss, you know, because

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Speaker 1: we've got the number one strength of schedule in the country.

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Speaker 1: It looks like the answer is no. I guess anything

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Speaker 1: could happen, but it looks to me this was already

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Speaker 1: my hunch. But it looks to me like they're telling

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Speaker 1: you you better win. And then on the other hand,

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Speaker 1: Tennessee they got one loss. Right now, they're a nine

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Speaker 1: and a half point dog. We're still questioning whether Nico

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Speaker 1: is gonna play or not. I wonder how far they

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Speaker 1: fall if they go down there and lose. They're sitting

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Speaker 1: at seventh right now. If they go down there and lose,

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Speaker 1: and that's their second loss, there are two losses on

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Speaker 1: the road, one of thems to Arkansas, one of them

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Speaker 1: to Georgia. They got to win over Alabama. How far

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Speaker 1: will they fall? Will they fall like out? Will they

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Speaker 1: fall to ten or eleven? I wonder how the committee's

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Speaker 1: going to treat Tennessee if that happens. Like I said,

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Speaker 1: the Big Ten's got four of the top five here.

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Speaker 1: Now that's not going to be the way that shakes out.

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Speaker 1: Oregon plays Ohio State presumably in the Big Ten championship game.

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Speaker 1: If they don't, that means Indiana has sprung a big

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Speaker 1: upset and they may be in the thing. Penn State's

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Speaker 1: sitting at number four, even with a loss already to

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Speaker 1: Ohio State. So it looks to me for all the

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Speaker 1: world like Penn State unless they just totally botch this thing.

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Speaker 1: Their floor is a home playoff game. Penn State like

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Speaker 1: the furthest they fall after all the tie ins are

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Speaker 1: on or if they keep winning, is seventh or sixth

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Speaker 1: or something like that, so it looks like one of

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Speaker 1: the caveats to the whole home playoff proposition. When we

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Speaker 1: first launched this twelve team deal, was people wondering, Ooh,

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Speaker 1: what would a home playoff game in state college look

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Speaker 1: like in the third week of December. Looks like we're

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Speaker 1: going to see it, like I would, I would be

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Speaker 1: hard pressed to imagine a scenario if Penn State takes

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Speaker 1: care of business where we don't see that right now.

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Speaker 1: For what it's worth, the bracket would have ole Miss

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Speaker 1: with an incredible draw. To me, and this is not

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Speaker 1: to disrespect anyone, you know how sky high I am

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Speaker 1: on ole Miss. Ole Miss was ranked eleventh in these

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Speaker 1: playoff committee rankings. I've got them at number four in

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Speaker 1: the JP pole right now, which is detached. That's not

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Speaker 1: what I think the playoff ranking should be, but that's

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Speaker 1: a power rating, like how good I think the teams are.

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Speaker 1: Ole Miss is really dangerous right now. And if the

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Speaker 1: bracket were to play out this way, ole Miss would

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Speaker 1: go to Penn State, And honestly, I don't really care

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Speaker 1: where that game's played. I don't think Penn State could

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Speaker 1: match ole Miss scoring, and I think Old Miss would

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Speaker 1: win that game. And then ole Miss would play Brigham

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Speaker 1: Young in the next round, and ole Miss would probably

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Speaker 1: house Brigham Young and they would be in the semi

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Speaker 1: finals having played Penn State and Brigham Young. And that's

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Speaker 1: ole Miss as the eleven seed. Just to give you

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Speaker 1: an idea of how this thing could play out. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 1: I Bama would go to Indiana right now like that,

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Speaker 1: that's not gonna happen. Either Indiana is gonna be way

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Speaker 1: up high or Indiana is not going to be in

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Speaker 1: the thing. Because I happen to believe this is controversial,

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Speaker 1: and I may be wrong on this, I happen to

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Speaker 1: believe if Indiana loses a game, they're gonna fall out

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Speaker 1: because Indiana's one shot to validate their existence with an

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Speaker 1: otherwise strength of schedule. That's garbage, not their fault, but

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Speaker 1: it's still garbage. Is go beat Ohio State. If they

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Speaker 1: beat Ohio State, they'll probably be higher than seventh. And

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Speaker 1: if they don't, then I don't think they're going to

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Speaker 1: be in the playoff. But you know, for argument's sake,

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Speaker 1: right now, Bama would go to Indiana. You know, selfishly,

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Speaker 1: I hope we do get some of these warm weather

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Speaker 1: schools going to cold weather climates, because we can just

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Speaker 1: like figure that out once and for all. There's always

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Speaker 1: been this theory that somehow, if the thermometers has forty

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Speaker 1: or thirty five degrees, Southern teams would just freeze to

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Speaker 1: death and barely even show up. We'll see we make

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Speaker 1: it to test that theory this year. A couple of

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Speaker 1: other things. Okay, I love the story of Brigham Young.

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Speaker 1: I love the story of Indiana. I know when I

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Speaker 1: talk like I do, sometimes it sounds like I don't

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Speaker 1: like it. I like it just as much as the

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Speaker 1: next guy does. We're not here to reward stories. We're

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Speaker 1: here to put the best teams in the playoff, and

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Speaker 1: you can define that however you want to, however you

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Speaker 1: define it. We're here to put the best teams in

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Speaker 1: the playoff, and I think the closer we get to

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Speaker 1: selection Sunday, the closer we're getting to have being to

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Speaker 1: have an uncomfortable conversation about your Brigham Young's even Indiana.

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Speaker 1: Indiana is a big ten team, so normally they wouldn't

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Speaker 1: qualify here. It just so happens their strength of schedule

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Speaker 1: is so bad that we also have to put them

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Speaker 1: in this equation because Indiana profiles like a Big Twelve

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Speaker 1: team in terms of strength to schedule, and the uncomfortable

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Speaker 1: conversation is, you're gonna have to get away from what

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Speaker 1: these teams records are. You're gonna have to get away

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Speaker 1: from you are what your record says you are protocol,

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Speaker 1: because forget how you feel for a second. It is

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Speaker 1: understandable that they're playing a different caliber of football entirely

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Speaker 1: in the SEC this year than the Big Twelve. The

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Speaker 1: depth of the conference is pretty insane. I don't think

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Speaker 1: the SEC has the elite team or teams that it once,

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Speaker 1: you know, was known to have every year. But they

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Speaker 1: got like seven or eight pretty to really good ones

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Speaker 1: and the Big Twelve is not the same caliber football.

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Speaker 1: And the reason I'm mentioning that is we're still looking

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Speaker 1: at Brigham Young. I got nothing against BYU. I want

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Speaker 1: you to understand what I'm saying, but we're looking at

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Speaker 1: Brigham Young and we're putting them at six right now.

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Speaker 1: They're at six because they're undefeated. So the argument is

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Speaker 1: what more can they do than when the games that

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Speaker 1: you know they're scheduled to play well. The answer is nothing.

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Speaker 1: It's not Brigham Young's fault. They play in the conference.

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Speaker 1: They do, but it's also not you know, Tennessee's fault,

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Speaker 1: or it's not Alabama's fault or Old Missus fault, And

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Speaker 1: I just can we be real for a second and

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Speaker 1: we will admit let me finish my thought here. I

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Speaker 1: talk like I'm in a room full of people. Let

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Speaker 1: me finish this thought for a second. I think most

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Speaker 1: of you would pick Alabama if they played Brigham Young tomorrow.

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Speaker 1: I think most of you would pick Old miss to

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Speaker 1: beat them if they played tomorrow. I think most of

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Speaker 1: you would. Maybe you wouldn't, but I think most of

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Speaker 1: you would. All Right, I have a space in me

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Speaker 1: that is capable of saying, I think Alabama's better than

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Speaker 1: Brigham Young. However, Brigham Young has earned you know, a

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Speaker 1: higher rating or whatnot or higher ranking in this case.

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Speaker 1: I'm willing to have both sides of that argument. But

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Speaker 1: at the end of the day, you better at least

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Speaker 1: be playing the same caliber football. You better have at

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Speaker 1: least the same comparably same competitive depth in your schedule.

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Speaker 1: And Boise doesn't have that. Brigham Young doesn't have that.

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Speaker 1: And that is why as long as bringing Young keeps winning,

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Speaker 1: they're fine. They'll actually, they'll get a top four seed

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Speaker 1: as long as they keep winning. I am just curious,

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Speaker 1: slash fascinated at what the Committee's gonna do if Brigham

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Speaker 1: Young goes to the Big Twelve championship game and loses.

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Speaker 1: I think they may drop them out. I'm just telling you,

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Speaker 1: I think they may drop them out entirely because I

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Speaker 1: don't think that that Committee's going to sit there and

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Speaker 1: allow room for two Big twelve teams at the table

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Speaker 1: if they've got that logjam of potential two loss SEC teams.

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Speaker 1: And as much as folks would hate it, and it's

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Speaker 1: still hypothetical, I think i'd agree with the committee if

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Speaker 1: they were to do that. Just got to be honest.

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Speaker 1: It's the same with Indiana. They go un defeated, moot point,

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Speaker 1: forget everything I'm saying, it doesn't matter. But if they

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Speaker 1: lose to Ohio State, I think they're to drop them out,

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Speaker 1: and I think it'd be justified. You are not merely

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Speaker 1: what your record says you are in the sport. This

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Speaker 1: is not the NFL. And every you know, every summer,

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Speaker 1: I go down this list of reasons why I believe that,

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Speaker 1: and most of you agree, But then half of you

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Speaker 1: who agree in the summer, come playoff selection time, you

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Speaker 1: just go back into bunker mentality. You go back into

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Speaker 1: you are what your record says you are mentality. And

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Speaker 1: that's not the case. If that were the case, then

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Speaker 1: none of you would ever yell at the SEC. See.

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Speaker 1: The same kind of person who's going to advocate for

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Speaker 1: Brigham Young to be in even if they lose, or

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Speaker 1: for Indiana to be in even if they lose, is

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Speaker 1: the same person who yells the SEC should never play

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Speaker 1: FCS teams, the SEC should play nine conference games. Why

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Speaker 1: in the world would you Why if you're sending me

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Speaker 1: the message that your record is all that matters, why

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Speaker 1: would I ever challenge myself? Why would I voluntarily add

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Speaker 1: another conference game on my team's plates. Why would I

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Speaker 1: that garant when you got sixteen teams that that's guaranteed

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Speaker 1: eight more losses spread amongst your conference? Why would you

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Speaker 1: ever do that? So there is a conversation that's gonna

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Speaker 1: have to be had there. It's gonna be uncomfortable. There

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Speaker 1: is a world. There is a world, and I don't

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Speaker 1: know who it would be, but there's a world where

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Speaker 1: you could have a team with two more losses than

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Speaker 1: another team to me, deserve to be above that team.

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Speaker 1: That's possible because of the vast disparity and potential strength

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Speaker 1: of schedule here and the other thing. It sounds like

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Speaker 1: I'm knocking the little guy. I'm not. I'm just speaking truth.

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Speaker 1: You guys can't let Boise have a bye. You cannot

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Speaker 1: let Boise be one of those top four seas. I'm

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Speaker 1: just telling you, you are. You are inviting disaster if

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Speaker 1: you just call it like the record says you should

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Speaker 1: call it, and you put Boise higher than you know,

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Speaker 1: locking down that twelve set. If you put them as

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Speaker 1: one of the four highest rank conference champs and they

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Speaker 1: get a first round by and you're sitting there and

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Speaker 1: you are you are actually suggesting that that is deserved.

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Speaker 1: You are going to signify to the SEC and the

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Speaker 1: Big ten. This is not for you. This model is

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Speaker 1: not for you, because everyone would understand how lappable that is.

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Speaker 1: I think autobids are laughable to begin with, but everyone

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Speaker 1: would understand how laughable that is. And don't do it.

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Speaker 1: I'm telling you, as much as it will make you

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Speaker 1: feel good, do not do it. Take my word for it,

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Speaker 1: take my word for it. Do not do it. So

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Speaker 1: there we go. We are right now on November twelfth,

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Speaker 1: got a couple of more of these things to come out.

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Speaker 1: It's inevitable that people are going to be upset and

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Speaker 1: there will be wailing and gnashing of teeth. That's inevitable.

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Speaker 1: Notre Name's sitting there at eight Are they going to

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Speaker 1: be kept in there? Are they going to be kept

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Speaker 1: that high? Is Notre Name going to get a home

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Speaker 1: playoff game? A lot remains to be seen Tennessee George's

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Speaker 1: big game this weekend. Georgia better win that game. That's

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Speaker 1: all I gotta say for now. I'm normally one to

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Speaker 1: call them the masses, but not tonight. I'm glad. I'm

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Speaker 1: telling you guys it's okay to be angry. You should

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Speaker 1: be angry. I'd be angry if I were you. I

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Speaker 1: just think it's important to channel the anger properly. Let's

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Speaker 1: harness that properly, because anger without resolution is just foolish.

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Speaker 1: As me Mal would say, there's some stuff that's messed

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Speaker 1: up right now about college football, specifically what time the

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Speaker 1: games kick off. We're gonna address it. I have heard you.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna address it. We're jam packed high A topic

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Speaker 1: glorious downtown Nashville, Tennessee, on this Tuesday night, November twelfth

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Speaker 1: year of our lower twenty twenty four. I am happy

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Speaker 1: to be brought to you by Academy Sports and Outdoors.

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Speaker 1: They are are presenting partner. They bring this show to

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Speaker 1: you free of charge, and I'm happy to be on

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Speaker 1: the air. It is Tuesday night, and that means it's

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Speaker 1: prediction Night. And we got a couple of big games

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Speaker 1: to break down. I got winners against the spread. I

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Speaker 1: got winners straight up, or at least I hope I do.

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Speaker 1: But we've got drama. We've got crises and controversy all

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Speaker 1: over the great landscape of college football. Not the least

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Speaker 1: of which is why in the world can I not

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Speaker 1: even remember the last time Ohio State kicked off a

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Speaker 1: game that wasn't at noon? And how did we get

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Speaker 1: ourselves into this predicament? And who or whom is really

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Speaker 1: to blame? SEC bias? I'm hearing that again. A lot

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Speaker 1: of claims about SEC bias these days, SEC bias in

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Speaker 1: our own show, but also SEC bias in the playoff

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Speaker 1: committee process. Is it true? Is it real? Is it warranted?

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Speaker 1: We'll talk about it. I got a brand new JP

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Speaker 1: pole to drop on you tonight as well. They're watching

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Speaker 1: us in Jacksonville, Florida. I know they're watching us in Champagne, Illinois,

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Speaker 1: and Hickson, Tennessee, and Lawton, Oklahoma. Guys, we are jam

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Speaker 1: packed as jam packed can be. Let's let's all together

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Speaker 1: just pop open an ice cold zvia tonight. For the

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Speaker 1: first time, I'm drinking the straight cola flavor on the show.

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Speaker 1: I've been really heavily. You want to talk about sec bias,

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Speaker 1: We've had cream soda bias on the show. So I'm

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Speaker 1: just going straight cola tonight. I'll sip from the chalice

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Speaker 1: as the evening warrants. But in the meantime, everybody else

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Speaker 1: is talking about this. We've got to talk about this.

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Speaker 1: We got a controversy. You're of a big noon controversy,

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Speaker 1: if you will, in college football, and that is the

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Speaker 1: way that the TV contracts are structured for the Big ten.

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Speaker 1: Some of you are kicking off games at noon like

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Speaker 1: every week in a row, and it's become a full

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Speaker 1: blown college football crisis. Now, there are two things you

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Speaker 1: need to know about me. One, I love college football,

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Speaker 1: and I love college football fans, and I don't like

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Speaker 1: talking about any sport other than college football. Number two.

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Speaker 1: I love noon kickoffs. I love them. I love them.

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Speaker 1: I love them. But number one supersedes number two. And

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Speaker 1: as someone who fancies himself the future commissioner of college football,

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Speaker 1: I gotta say a lot of you are angry about

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Speaker 1: this big noon kickoff situation, and I have heard you,

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Speaker 1: and I'm willing to take my own best interests and

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Speaker 1: put them on the shelf for a second. So as

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Speaker 1: far as the rest of this show is concerned, my

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Speaker 1: love for noon kickoffs is irrelevant. Total moot point or

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Speaker 1: mute point, as I used to say until like four

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Speaker 1: years ago when someone corrected me. And I am just

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Speaker 1: here to talk about what matters to you, and what

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Speaker 1: matters to you is you guys are sick of it.

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Speaker 1: I mean, we have got a situation in the Big

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Speaker 1: Ten right now where they've got multiple television partners, but

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Speaker 1: there's exclusivity in the broadcast windows. Blah blah blah. What

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Speaker 1: does all that mean? Well, it means if you're really

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Speaker 1: good and therefore Fox wants to feature you a vast

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Speaker 1: majority of the time. I e. Ohio State, you end

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Speaker 1: up in a situation like the Buckeyes find themselves in

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Speaker 1: right now, and that is they turn on their TVs

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Speaker 1: and they watch Bama and Georgia and LSU in primetime constantly. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 1: Ohio State, as of November thirtieth, which is a couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks away, they will have wrapped their season. I

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Speaker 1: kid you not. This is not a typo playing six

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Speaker 1: consecutive noon Eastern time kickoffs. Now, how does this happen? Well,

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Speaker 1: it happens because that's what Ohio State and the member

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Speaker 1: institutions in the Big Ten signed off on. That's what happened.

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Speaker 1: It's tough to overstate how big of a disaster Kevin

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Speaker 1: Warren was as the commissioner of the Big Ten. Just

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Speaker 1: call it like it is. It's okay, you can speak

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Speaker 1: out against the guy. He's not around anymore. They celebrated.

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Speaker 1: Do you remember this. We talked about it on the

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Speaker 1: show Colin. It was back then. It was just me

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Speaker 1: and you. Remember when the Big Ten signed their brand

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Speaker 1: new revolutionary media rights deal. And what was the big

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Speaker 1: selling point, well, two of them. One was seven years,

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Speaker 1: eight billion dollars. Fairly noteworthy. Not even management makes that much.

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Speaker 1: I don't think inflation. I don't know what's done his salary. Secondly,

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Speaker 1: the big takeaway was while the SEC has signed exclusively

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Speaker 1: with ESPN, we're in bed with everybody my word, not theirs.

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Speaker 1: And the whole flex of this media rights deal with

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Speaker 1: the Big ten was not only do we have our

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Speaker 1: deal with Fox, We've got our deal with CBS. I

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Speaker 1: worked for CBS full disclosure, and we've got our deal

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Speaker 1: with NBC. So we're gonna spread our product out amongst

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Speaker 1: all the networks. Well, here's what's really happened. What's really

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Speaker 1: happened is that the devil was in the details. Gasp, Yes,

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Speaker 1: I know, the devil was in the details. And as

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Speaker 1: it turns out, yes they signed with multiple networks, but

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Speaker 1: each network had window exclusivity. Now that is a real

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Speaker 1: fancy TV jargon way of saying that Fox was always

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Speaker 1: going to have the noon window every Saturday, CBS was

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Speaker 1: always going to have the three thirty window every Saturday,

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Speaker 1: and NBC was always going to have I think the

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Speaker 1: seven thirty window every Saturday. Fox gets a majority of

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Speaker 1: the number one picks. There's kind of a lottery system,

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Speaker 1: but Fox gets first choice most weeks. Fox cannot choose

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Speaker 1: an Oregon game or a usc game because that would

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Speaker 1: be a nine to thirty local kickoff for them. So

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Speaker 1: that was just baked into the bylaws of the Big Ten.

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Speaker 1: And so in a conference right now where it's Ohio State,

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Speaker 1: and then if you take Oregon out of the equation,

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Speaker 1: what Penn State. Michigan's a big brand, but they're bad

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Speaker 1: this year. There's not much to choose from, guys. It's

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Speaker 1: not an invent that's as deep as the SEC where

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Speaker 1: you can go seven or eight teams deep and you

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Speaker 1: still got a playoff contender on your hands, and you've

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Speaker 1: still got a really nationally relevant move the meter sort

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Speaker 1: of team on your hands. The Big Ten is not

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Speaker 1: followed through on their end of the deal. The conference

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Speaker 1: is not deep enough, there's not enough quality inventory on

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Speaker 1: the shelf. And so really, at the end of the day, Fox,

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Speaker 1: as much as you want to demonize them, and I

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Speaker 1: don't work for Fox, although I love the guys over there,

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Speaker 1: they're doing no different than what you nor I would

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Speaker 1: do if we ran the network given the letter of

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Speaker 1: the law and the contract that we signed, and that

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Speaker 1: is get Ohio State on as much as possible. And

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Speaker 1: if we can't get Ohio State, let's go get Penn

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Speaker 1: State and Oh, by the way, maybe they'll be playing

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Speaker 1: each other, and who cares if it's in state college.

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Speaker 1: We cannot put our game on in primetime. That's what

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Speaker 1: this contract that we signed with this league says. So

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Speaker 1: we're gonna put it on at high noon. I was

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Speaker 1: at this game a couple of weeks ago. Now, selfishly

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Speaker 1: I loved it because I could get out of there.

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Speaker 1: But for the rest of the one hundred eleven thousand

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Speaker 1: in attendance, I wish, like nothing else it was at night.

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Speaker 1: For you guys, white out. It would have been a

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Speaker 1: white out game. Joel Klatt stepped up, and Joel Clatt,

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Speaker 1: friend of the program, made several points, you know, cause

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Speaker 1: folks were attacking Fox over this. Mean, why does Fox

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Speaker 1: keep making us play at noon? Why does Fox keep

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Speaker 1: putting all the big games at noon? They don't. That's

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Speaker 1: the window they identified a long time ago, and they

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Speaker 1: were right to identify that noon window. It always baffled

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Speaker 1: me that college football just kind of voluntarily punted the

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Speaker 1: noon window and waited until three point thirty or seven

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Speaker 1: or eight to put the big games on. And Fox said,

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Speaker 1: wait a second, So this entire neighborhood's filled, but this

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Speaker 1: lot here, no one's moved into, no one's built on it,

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Speaker 1: and doesn't look like it's zoned off. There's nothing wrong

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Speaker 1: with it. Let's build on it. And they built on it,

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Speaker 1: and they build a really, really nice house on it,

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Speaker 1: so much so that you wonder why did no one

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Speaker 1: move in before. But then they signed a deal with

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Speaker 1: the Big ten and this whole window exclusivity business that

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Speaker 1: indicated if gets a big game, you're not putting it

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Speaker 1: at seven thirty. You're putting that thing right there. You're

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Speaker 1: putting it at noon. And that's the way it's gonna be.

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Speaker 1: Your conference signed off on that. Your conference was the

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Speaker 1: one that negotiated that. There are a lot of reasons

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Speaker 1: why that got negotiated that way, but at the end

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Speaker 1: of the day, that's why it got negotiated. Fox has

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Speaker 1: done nothing different than what you nor I would do.

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Speaker 1: Klatt was pointing that out the other day, and then

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Speaker 1: they brought the torches and pitchforks for him, And I'm

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Speaker 1: just sitting over here in Nashville watching him have to

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Speaker 1: defend himself, and eventually I knew what he'd do. He'd

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Speaker 1: just tap out on social because he's got other things

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Speaker 1: to do. But he was making some good points. You

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Speaker 1: guys had a problem with some of the points, like

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Speaker 1: Clat's out there saying the numbers have been great, the

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Speaker 1: ratings have been great, and then you're yelling back, of

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Speaker 1: course the ratings have been great. We have no other option.

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Speaker 1: What are we gonna do not watch Ohio State football?

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Speaker 1: Like the Big Time rating in the noon window doesn't

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Speaker 1: justify putting these games in the noon window. We would

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Speaker 1: watch at two am, like we lived in Okinawa, Japan

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Speaker 1: if we needed to. And he's right, and you guys right,

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Speaker 1: everyone's right. And I would remind you, by the way,

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Speaker 1: we got a lot of folks watching live. Please sub

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Speaker 1: to this channel because we do the show free. We

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Speaker 1: would like to keep it free. And all we do

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Speaker 1: is talk college football all a year, nothing other than

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Speaker 1: college football on this channel. So we appreciate you, guys,

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Speaker 1: but it all comes down to who you serve really. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So that's a lot of complaining. I just recapped a

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Speaker 1: lot of the complaints that exist in the Big Ten

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Speaker 1: right now. It's not a problem in the SEC because

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Speaker 1: in the SEC they signed with one partner. So ESPN

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Speaker 1: has the entire day. They've got a noon kickoff window.

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Speaker 1: They got three thirty, then they'll stagger another one to

427
00:21:35,800 --> 00:21:38,520
Speaker 1: four fifteen. Then they'll do a six and a seven

428
00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:42,280
Speaker 1: thirty slash eight like they just they have the entire day,

429
00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:45,520
Speaker 1: and they select the biggest games in the conference and

430
00:21:45,520 --> 00:21:48,240
Speaker 1: they put them wherever they want to. And so it's

431
00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:50,800
Speaker 1: great in the SEC, it's not so great for some

432
00:21:50,840 --> 00:21:52,800
Speaker 1: of you in the Big Ten right now. If the

433
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:55,280
Speaker 1: Big Ten were deeper, if the Big Ten were shaped

434
00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:58,040
Speaker 1: like the SEC right now, you know, if the SEC

435
00:21:58,119 --> 00:22:02,119
Speaker 1: existed under the Big Tens television infrastructure, it'd be a

436
00:22:02,119 --> 00:22:04,840
Speaker 1: lot more favorable to you because you wouldn't have to

437
00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:07,600
Speaker 1: load Georgia up with half a dozen noon kickoffs. Because

438
00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:10,480
Speaker 1: Alabama's really good, and Texas is really good, and South

439
00:22:10,520 --> 00:22:13,360
Speaker 1: Carolina has become really good, and A and M's fascinating,

440
00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:15,400
Speaker 1: and LSU's been in the mix. And here comes old

441
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:18,719
Speaker 1: Mez and whoa look at Tennessee. It's deep in the SEC.

442
00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:22,520
Speaker 1: It's not deep in the Big Tennant's Ohio State, it's Oregon.

443
00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:24,320
Speaker 1: But we can't have them play a noon game on

444
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:26,320
Speaker 1: the west coast, and so what is it? It's Penn State.

445
00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:29,880
Speaker 1: That's it. That's really it, right, now, So that's unfortunate.

446
00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:34,120
Speaker 1: And if Iowa or Minnesota, or Michigan State or Michigan

447
00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:37,359
Speaker 1: this year, Wisconsin, if those teams and brands were holding

448
00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:39,600
Speaker 1: up there into the bargain Nebraska, then it'd be a

449
00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:43,240
Speaker 1: different story. But it's not. So that's the complaining. That's

450
00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:45,600
Speaker 1: the complaint. I've said nothing different than all of you

451
00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:48,680
Speaker 1: have already said. What I want to do is try

452
00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:53,960
Speaker 1: and find solution. So anytime there's something wrong in college football,

453
00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:56,520
Speaker 1: whether it be officiating or whether it be too many

454
00:22:56,560 --> 00:22:58,640
Speaker 1: games or kicking off in the noon window and we'd

455
00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:01,360
Speaker 1: love to see him later in the day, everybody automatically

456
00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:04,520
Speaker 1: reverts to defending their position. I got to get defensive.

457
00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:06,680
Speaker 1: I gotta explain why it is the way it is. Well,

458
00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:10,680
Speaker 1: how about less defending and more finding ways to fix it?

459
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:14,760
Speaker 1: Right now, Fox, NBCCBS, they're all within their letter of

460
00:23:14,800 --> 00:23:17,520
Speaker 1: the law that they signed through contract to do whatever

461
00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:20,800
Speaker 1: they're currently doing. No one's doing anything illegal, no one's

462
00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:24,199
Speaker 1: doing anything underhanded. It's operating the way it's supposed to

463
00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:27,800
Speaker 1: operate based on the model that was agreed to. The

464
00:23:27,800 --> 00:23:30,439
Speaker 1: model sucks. The model you signed off on sucks. The

465
00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:33,320
Speaker 1: model the previous commissioner of the Big Ten and the

466
00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:37,639
Speaker 1: member institutions up there signed off on sucks. So you

467
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:39,800
Speaker 1: got to ask yourself who you serve. Do you serve

468
00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:42,399
Speaker 1: each other? Do you serve the coaches and the presidents,

469
00:23:42,520 --> 00:23:46,959
Speaker 1: do you serve nameless, faceless television executives, or do you

470
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:50,600
Speaker 1: serve the people that give that media rights deal its value?

471
00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:53,119
Speaker 1: To begin with the fans. The fans. I know you

472
00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:54,800
Speaker 1: don't like to talk about them, but they are the

473
00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:56,680
Speaker 1: reason for your very existence right now. A lot of

474
00:23:56,760 --> 00:23:59,639
Speaker 1: you hold down six and seven figure jobs because of

475
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:02,560
Speaker 1: those fans allow you to exist. They allow this industry

476
00:24:02,600 --> 00:24:05,440
Speaker 1: to exist. This is not the football business. This is

477
00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:08,359
Speaker 1: the entertainment business. We've talked about this many times before.

478
00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:10,960
Speaker 1: So do you serve those people? Because if you do

479
00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:13,320
Speaker 1: serve those people, and at least you claim you do

480
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:17,480
Speaker 1: it your upfronts, If you serve those people, then you

481
00:24:17,560 --> 00:24:20,639
Speaker 1: find a way to inject some fluidity into this situation.

482
00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:23,000
Speaker 1: This starts at the league office, by the way. It

483
00:24:23,040 --> 00:24:25,520
Speaker 1: starts in the Big Ten league office. It starts with

484
00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:27,960
Speaker 1: Tony Pettiti, who is from this world, by the way,

485
00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:31,720
Speaker 1: and is not responsible for this mess, but ultimately maybe

486
00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:33,800
Speaker 1: responsible for trying to find a way to clean it up.

487
00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:36,879
Speaker 1: If you mean what you say when you claim that

488
00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:38,359
Speaker 1: you're in it for the fans and you want the

489
00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:41,359
Speaker 1: best presentation for the fans, then you get your network

490
00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:45,280
Speaker 1: partners in the same room and you say, guys, on

491
00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:49,879
Speaker 1: one hand, everyone's following the letter in this contract. But

492
00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:53,119
Speaker 1: on the other hand, it is totally stupid for us

493
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:56,080
Speaker 1: to have Ohio State go to State College and kick

494
00:24:56,119 --> 00:24:59,320
Speaker 1: that game off at noon. It's ludicrous for Penn State

495
00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:02,359
Speaker 1: thereafter couple of weeks later to have to settle for

496
00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:05,520
Speaker 1: Washington as their wide out game. Oh and by the way,

497
00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:07,280
Speaker 1: we're gonna throw it on Peacock where no one has

498
00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:09,520
Speaker 1: any clue how to present it. It's stupid, It makes

499
00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:12,280
Speaker 1: no sense, It doesn't serve anyone. It doesn't even serve us.

500
00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:15,960
Speaker 1: It ultimately erodes away at the value of the very

501
00:25:16,040 --> 00:25:19,880
Speaker 1: product that we're being paid eight billion dollars to license

502
00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:24,200
Speaker 1: out because nobody wins when everyone loses, and the Big

503
00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:26,000
Speaker 1: ten is a product is not going anywhere. It's not

504
00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:29,760
Speaker 1: going to disappear, But the value is maximized, or would

505
00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:32,240
Speaker 1: be maximized in my opinion, if everyone in the room

506
00:25:32,560 --> 00:25:35,360
Speaker 1: just work together and there's a little fluidity, and no,

507
00:25:35,720 --> 00:25:38,080
Speaker 1: I don't have to come off this stance because this

508
00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:40,159
Speaker 1: piece of paper, this contract says I don't have to.

509
00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:43,359
Speaker 1: But I will anyway, because ultimately, if I give a

510
00:25:43,359 --> 00:25:45,880
Speaker 1: little here, I can take a little three weeks later,

511
00:25:46,040 --> 00:25:48,600
Speaker 1: and we can both get more favorable time slots and

512
00:25:48,640 --> 00:25:53,080
Speaker 1: we can all serve the conference better. Then the conference elevates.

513
00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:56,199
Speaker 1: Because Ohio State's one primetime game per year is not

514
00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:59,080
Speaker 1: Western Michigan. I'm not kidding you. That's a real thing

515
00:25:59,119 --> 00:26:03,000
Speaker 1: this year, and they have that primetime spectacle every couple

516
00:26:03,040 --> 00:26:05,119
Speaker 1: of weeks, just like the big boys down south do.

517
00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:09,119
Speaker 1: Those are recruiting tools. Guys, do you understand how hard

518
00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:12,399
Speaker 1: it is for high school football players to play on

519
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:16,960
Speaker 1: Friday nights and then get to Columbus Ohio on a Saturday,

520
00:26:17,080 --> 00:26:21,639
Speaker 1: or get to State College Pennsylvania on a Saturday. You

521
00:26:22,359 --> 00:26:26,200
Speaker 1: are penny wise pound foolish in counting your dollar bills

522
00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:28,840
Speaker 1: and saying, oh, screw it you. The contract's the contract.

523
00:26:28,840 --> 00:26:31,160
Speaker 1: People will tune in no matter what. These ratings are good,

524
00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:34,080
Speaker 1: no matter what. It's so ignorant. It doesn't serve anyone,

525
00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:36,439
Speaker 1: It doesn't serve your fans. It doesn't even serve you

526
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:40,040
Speaker 1: long term. It's just everyone has five foot thinking instead

527
00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:42,000
Speaker 1: of five year thinking in this sport these days. So

528
00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:45,600
Speaker 1: who do you serve? I simply ask that at the

529
00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:48,640
Speaker 1: league office and at the network level, who do you serve?

530
00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:51,520
Speaker 1: If you serve fans, you'll find a way to fix this.

531
00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:55,119
Speaker 1: No one in the room thinks that the current structure

532
00:26:55,920 --> 00:26:58,960
Speaker 1: is the best suited structure. Everyone knows is jacked up.

533
00:27:00,119 --> 00:27:03,520
Speaker 1: Fix it. Everyone shouts at the NCAA because they're so

534
00:27:03,760 --> 00:27:06,159
Speaker 1: archaic and they're so slow to change, and it's like

535
00:27:06,200 --> 00:27:10,199
Speaker 1: trying to turn the Titanic in Moon Lake. Phoenix City residents,

536
00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:13,960
Speaker 1: we'll understand the reference. Well, don't act like them, then,

537
00:27:14,600 --> 00:27:16,840
Speaker 1: don't be like them. Learn a lesson from our friends

538
00:27:16,880 --> 00:27:20,600
Speaker 1: in Indianapolis and do something different, you know, actually serve

539
00:27:20,680 --> 00:27:23,399
Speaker 1: the fans for a change. Academy Sports and Outdoors does it?

540
00:27:23,840 --> 00:27:27,960
Speaker 1: Perhaps Academy should be reworking the big tens television media

541
00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:30,240
Speaker 1: rights deal right now. Got a couple of new grand

542
00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:34,399
Speaker 1: openings this weekend. We're opening Academy Sports and Outdoors every

543
00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:38,080
Speaker 1: weekend in the Dallas market. We got one opening up

544
00:27:38,240 --> 00:27:42,000
Speaker 1: coraus Kana Course. Kana I think is the pronunciation. You

545
00:27:42,040 --> 00:27:46,160
Speaker 1: guys know it, you live there, you know it, and Meridian, Mississippi. Meridian,

546
00:27:46,160 --> 00:27:49,199
Speaker 1: Mississippi is already academy country. Those people just have to

547
00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:52,080
Speaker 1: travel a little ways to get there. But no longer.

548
00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:55,120
Speaker 1: We're opening a brand new academy in Meridian, Mississippi this week.

549
00:27:55,119 --> 00:27:57,399
Speaker 1: If you don't have one in your backyard, ask for one,

550
00:27:57,600 --> 00:27:59,680
Speaker 1: and in the meantime you can go to academy dot com.

551
00:27:59,680 --> 00:28:03,199
Speaker 1: But you guys show up. This is the rule. I

552
00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:06,400
Speaker 1: have a chalice of supremacy here. I am drinking zva

553
00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:08,560
Speaker 1: out of it as we speak. You can drink whatever

554
00:28:08,600 --> 00:28:10,480
Speaker 1: you want out of yours, but they aren't for sale.

555
00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:12,400
Speaker 1: The only way you lock down one of these bad

556
00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:15,400
Speaker 1: boys is answer one of the challenges of the show.

557
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:17,920
Speaker 1: And one of the challenges is when we open a

558
00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:21,199
Speaker 1: new academy in your backyard, go there and prove to

559
00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:23,200
Speaker 1: me that you went there, and five of you will

560
00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:26,640
Speaker 1: get child live supremacy after this weekend. Let me take

561
00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:29,480
Speaker 1: a sip out of this. I haven't tasted this yet.

562
00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:35,159
Speaker 1: Uh yeah, it's legit. It really does taste like cola,

563
00:28:35,480 --> 00:28:37,480
Speaker 1: which I haven't been able to drink in years because

564
00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:41,200
Speaker 1: it's sloaded with sugar now Zevia zero sugar Baby, Okay,

565
00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:45,760
Speaker 1: I will be this weekend in Athens, Georgia. I have

566
00:28:45,840 --> 00:28:47,720
Speaker 1: not been to a Georgia home game in a little while,

567
00:28:47,760 --> 00:28:49,840
Speaker 1: seeing Georgia on the road many times, seen him in

568
00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:52,240
Speaker 1: neutral sites many times. It's been a little while since

569
00:28:52,280 --> 00:28:54,080
Speaker 1: I got down to Georgia for a game. And the

570
00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:57,080
Speaker 1: whole New Saturday tour, fueled by Quick Trip is allowing

571
00:28:57,080 --> 00:28:58,920
Speaker 1: it to happen. And I just want to ask you,

572
00:28:59,000 --> 00:29:02,880
Speaker 1: have you seen the line on this game? What you

573
00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:05,280
Speaker 1: think it is? Well, if you're watching or you already know,

574
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:07,560
Speaker 1: but if you had to close your eyes and you

575
00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:09,480
Speaker 1: set a line on this based on what you've seen

576
00:29:09,480 --> 00:29:12,080
Speaker 1: from Georgia and Tennessee, would you have guessed Georgia minus

577
00:29:12,160 --> 00:29:18,080
Speaker 1: nine and a half? What do we learn from this line?

578
00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 1: What I learned is that a lot of the intangibles

579
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:24,880
Speaker 1: and the tangibles that have created the mystique of what

580
00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:28,200
Speaker 1: Georgia football is under Kirby Smart odds makers believe are

581
00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:32,920
Speaker 1: still there. There is this floor, it's really high for

582
00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:37,840
Speaker 1: Georgia through which they've not fallen. Like even Georgia at

583
00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:41,040
Speaker 1: their worst, they've been crash proof. They've been disaster proof,

584
00:29:41,080 --> 00:29:43,760
Speaker 1: Like what's happening to FSU would never happen to Georgia

585
00:29:43,760 --> 00:29:47,360
Speaker 1: in a million years. We all know that you've been

586
00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:50,560
Speaker 1: able to count on them though. If there is a setback,

587
00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:52,720
Speaker 1: and there hadn't been very frequently, but if there is,

588
00:29:52,760 --> 00:29:56,520
Speaker 1: you can count on them to respond emphatically. And a

589
00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:59,680
Speaker 1: lot of that, and a lot of Georgia at home,

590
00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:02,360
Speaker 1: a lot of that that's been bottled up, and we've

591
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:04,560
Speaker 1: learned a lot. They assume it's still there. Nine and

592
00:30:04,600 --> 00:30:07,880
Speaker 1: a half's a big number, and Nico's playing, Niko Yamlabe

593
00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:10,560
Speaker 1: is playing. So this is not a line that's indicative

594
00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:14,280
Speaker 1: of Tennessee's quarterback being out. He's baked into this nine

595
00:30:14,280 --> 00:30:17,440
Speaker 1: and a half. Let's dive into this game. It's got

596
00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:19,280
Speaker 1: to be an identity game for Georgia. I was just

597
00:30:19,320 --> 00:30:22,120
Speaker 1: down in Baton Rouge last week and coming off the field,

598
00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:24,320
Speaker 1: that's what a lot of those BAMA coaches were saying.

599
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:27,000
Speaker 1: That's an identity game, man, that's what we should be. Well,

600
00:30:27,080 --> 00:30:29,480
Speaker 1: if Georgia wins this game Saturday and we're down there

601
00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:31,600
Speaker 1: on the field and the coaches are walking off and

602
00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 1: the players are walking off, that's what they should be

603
00:30:33,440 --> 00:30:37,480
Speaker 1: yelling identity game. So that brings me to this question.

604
00:30:38,040 --> 00:30:39,880
Speaker 1: Georgia fans can answer it for all I care. I

605
00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:42,760
Speaker 1: just love an answer. What is Georgia's offensive identity? What

606
00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:44,960
Speaker 1: is it? They're one hundred and fourth in rush yards

607
00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:48,480
Speaker 1: per game. They've had two plus turnovers in five of

608
00:30:48,520 --> 00:30:51,840
Speaker 1: their last six games. The wide receiver positions already not great,

609
00:30:51,880 --> 00:30:54,960
Speaker 1: but they've been dropping balls. There is no game changing

610
00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:57,880
Speaker 1: pass catcher on this team. It was Brock Bauers last year.

611
00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:00,280
Speaker 1: The tight end position does not even feature one of

612
00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:03,600
Speaker 1: those guys. Carson Beck's been much less effective. I think

613
00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:06,640
Speaker 1: partly that's on his shoulders, and partly it's because of

614
00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:11,120
Speaker 1: the cumulative effect of what I just said. Nevertheless, Bama

615
00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:13,200
Speaker 1: was a mess too. I'm gonna go back and reference

616
00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:15,200
Speaker 1: that game last week because I think there's a corollary

617
00:31:15,240 --> 00:31:18,160
Speaker 1: to this one. Bama had been a mess, Bama had

618
00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:21,760
Speaker 1: looked disastrous offensively, But then they found themselves last week,

619
00:31:21,800 --> 00:31:25,560
Speaker 1: didn't they? And to them finding themselves was let's run

620
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:28,400
Speaker 1: mill row down their throat. Let's run it forty eight

621
00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:31,080
Speaker 1: times against LSU if we have to. Now, that may

622
00:31:31,120 --> 00:31:34,240
Speaker 1: not be what Georgia has to do. Here. But whatever

623
00:31:34,280 --> 00:31:36,960
Speaker 1: that identity is, there's no excuse for them to be

624
00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:39,560
Speaker 1: in the one hundreds in rush yards per game. There's

625
00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:41,440
Speaker 1: no reason for them to be turning the ball over

626
00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:43,360
Speaker 1: like this. And you know, good and well, it's not

627
00:31:43,400 --> 00:31:47,440
Speaker 1: that Kirby Smart has forgotten how to emphasize ball control

628
00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:50,760
Speaker 1: and how to emphasize a strong, powerful ground game. It's

629
00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:54,640
Speaker 1: just that that hasn't clicked with them this year. Maybe

630
00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:57,880
Speaker 1: it's personnel to some degree, but George's personnel in the

631
00:31:57,920 --> 00:32:00,520
Speaker 1: worst years is still the envy of most the country.

632
00:32:00,520 --> 00:32:03,080
Speaker 1: So you will never convince me that it's just a

633
00:32:03,080 --> 00:32:05,920
Speaker 1: poverty roster down there. And oh well, we'll chalk this

634
00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:08,000
Speaker 1: one up as a lost season and wait till next year.

635
00:32:08,240 --> 00:32:11,120
Speaker 1: You just need the click game like Bama had last week.

636
00:32:11,360 --> 00:32:13,200
Speaker 1: You need that click game and if Georgia gets it,

637
00:32:13,240 --> 00:32:15,800
Speaker 1: Georgia win this game. If Georgia gets that, then this

638
00:32:15,840 --> 00:32:19,320
Speaker 1: point spread makes sense. Is this the best defense they faced,

639
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:22,440
Speaker 1: because it's either them or Old Miss. Last week, Texas

640
00:32:22,520 --> 00:32:24,440
Speaker 1: was really good on the road as well, but Texas

641
00:32:25,320 --> 00:32:28,640
Speaker 1: allowed Georgia to set up in really favorable field positions,

642
00:32:28,640 --> 00:32:30,240
Speaker 1: so that entire game was kind of thrown out a

643
00:32:30,240 --> 00:32:33,640
Speaker 1: whack Tennessee's top twenty against the run and against the pass.

644
00:32:33,760 --> 00:32:37,360
Speaker 1: They can probably given what we've seen from Georgia so

645
00:32:37,400 --> 00:32:39,560
Speaker 1: far this year, they can probably do what Old Miss

646
00:32:39,560 --> 00:32:42,000
Speaker 1: did last week and stop the run with like a

647
00:32:42,040 --> 00:32:44,480
Speaker 1: standard box or even a light box, which you should

648
00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:46,120
Speaker 1: never be able to say about Georgia, but we've been

649
00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:48,560
Speaker 1: able to say it this year. Their defense has held

650
00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:52,080
Speaker 1: every team to eighteen or less. Is that the kind

651
00:32:52,120 --> 00:32:54,480
Speaker 1: of game we get Saturday? One thing's obvious to me

652
00:32:54,600 --> 00:32:58,680
Speaker 1: about Tennessee. This one could go so many different directions.

653
00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:01,600
Speaker 1: This is not a game that I would guarantee will

654
00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:04,000
Speaker 1: be close. A lot of times, when you're walking into

655
00:33:04,040 --> 00:33:06,320
Speaker 1: the stadium, you know how, you'll see a fan of

656
00:33:06,360 --> 00:33:08,840
Speaker 1: the opposing team and you'll say, I should be a

657
00:33:08,840 --> 00:33:11,480
Speaker 1: good one. Either way, I'm not gonna say that either

658
00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:13,560
Speaker 1: one of these teams can win my three touchdown Saturday.

659
00:33:14,080 --> 00:33:18,520
Speaker 1: Neither would surprise me. Really high variance game. Tennessee could

660
00:33:18,600 --> 00:33:20,960
Speaker 1: blow this game open, and here's what it would take.

661
00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:25,520
Speaker 1: It would take nothing more than Niko Iamaliava hitting the

662
00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:29,080
Speaker 1: deep shots that Josh Hipel has been calling and will

663
00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:31,960
Speaker 1: continue to call. You remember that game a few weeks ago,

664
00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:34,680
Speaker 1: in Knoxville, they were playing Bama and there were a

665
00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:38,320
Speaker 1: ton of wide open guys running in that mammoth secondary

666
00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:41,400
Speaker 1: and Nico finally hit one of them. It felt like

667
00:33:41,440 --> 00:33:43,720
Speaker 1: half a dozen were there that he missed hit a

668
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:47,240
Speaker 1: couple last week. Does he hit a couple or three

669
00:33:47,520 --> 00:33:50,719
Speaker 1: or four of those this week? Oh Miss had several

670
00:33:50,760 --> 00:33:53,200
Speaker 1: twenty plus yard plays last week. Some of them were

671
00:33:53,200 --> 00:33:55,560
Speaker 1: on the ground, some of them through the air. Tennessee

672
00:33:55,600 --> 00:33:57,440
Speaker 1: can do that better than them. And the reason I

673
00:33:57,480 --> 00:34:00,120
Speaker 1: mentioned Nico is because if he does that, if he

674
00:34:00,200 --> 00:34:03,640
Speaker 1: pops one just one of them early, and that loosens

675
00:34:03,680 --> 00:34:07,960
Speaker 1: George's defense up, this should be Dylan Sampson's moment. Tennessee

676
00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:11,399
Speaker 1: has not run the ball highly effectively against Georgia since

677
00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:14,000
Speaker 1: Hypel's been there. They were okay last year, but the

678
00:34:14,120 --> 00:34:17,440
Speaker 1: last three times this team, this Tennessee team has come

679
00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:21,160
Speaker 1: to Athens two point six yards per carry, zero yards

680
00:34:21,200 --> 00:34:24,680
Speaker 1: per carry, two point two yards per carrie. It's really

681
00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:28,360
Speaker 1: a feast or famine moment for Tennessee because the glass

682
00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:31,640
Speaker 1: half full scenario in your mind, you could envision Nico

683
00:34:31,719 --> 00:34:34,680
Speaker 1: hitting some deep shots early and then Hypel just calling

684
00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:37,200
Speaker 1: the game. He would normally call, and Georgia feels like

685
00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:40,440
Speaker 1: they're a step behind defensively, and Tennessee takes the crowd

686
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:44,160
Speaker 1: out of it, and Tennessee starts getting Georgia really uncomfortable

687
00:34:44,160 --> 00:34:46,840
Speaker 1: because they're finally playing their best offensive game of the season.

688
00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:49,120
Speaker 1: That could happen. What also could happen is what's happened

689
00:34:49,160 --> 00:34:51,800
Speaker 1: in Tennessee many times this year. They go into the

690
00:34:51,800 --> 00:34:55,720
Speaker 1: half scoreless. Either one of those things could happen. You're

691
00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:58,480
Speaker 1: gonna have a hard time selling me definitively that you

692
00:34:58,600 --> 00:35:02,160
Speaker 1: know which way this is gonna go. Tennessee is a

693
00:35:02,600 --> 00:35:05,080
Speaker 1: big drop off on the road team. That to me

694
00:35:05,239 --> 00:35:08,400
Speaker 1: is why this would be their biggest win under Hypol

695
00:35:08,520 --> 00:35:11,480
Speaker 1: after the twenty twenty two Bama game. This would be

696
00:35:11,520 --> 00:35:14,080
Speaker 1: bigger than anything he's done there because they've been different

697
00:35:14,080 --> 00:35:16,520
Speaker 1: away from home. If they can go on the road

698
00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:20,640
Speaker 1: and get this one, it is a real landmark program

699
00:35:20,680 --> 00:35:23,560
Speaker 1: defining win for them. Here's something else that's pretty glaring

700
00:35:23,600 --> 00:35:28,560
Speaker 1: to me. Tennessee's got a significant third down edge both

701
00:35:28,600 --> 00:35:31,520
Speaker 1: ways in this matchup. Tennessee's offense is top forty in

702
00:35:31,600 --> 00:35:35,120
Speaker 1: converting them. Georgia's defense is ninety second in the country

703
00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:39,960
Speaker 1: in third down conversions allowed. Georgia's offense is eighty third

704
00:35:40,120 --> 00:35:43,320
Speaker 1: in the country in third down conversion rate, and Tennessee's

705
00:35:43,360 --> 00:35:47,600
Speaker 1: defense is number two. So if that stat profile holds,

706
00:35:48,440 --> 00:35:52,760
Speaker 1: this point spread makes no sense. Does it hold? Colin,

707
00:35:52,840 --> 00:35:55,240
Speaker 1: Let's take a look at what the model thinks. Model

708
00:35:55,960 --> 00:35:59,000
Speaker 1: is almost in line with FanDuel. FanDuel's got Georgia minus

709
00:35:59,080 --> 00:36:02,279
Speaker 1: nine and a half. Our model has Georgia minus eight

710
00:36:02,320 --> 00:36:05,800
Speaker 1: and a half. I think there are some significant edges,

711
00:36:06,200 --> 00:36:09,200
Speaker 1: significant edges for Tennessee in this game. But I'll tell

712
00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:11,800
Speaker 1: you what else I can't shake out of my mind.

713
00:36:12,680 --> 00:36:16,279
Speaker 1: I got so much respect for the competitive makeup of

714
00:36:16,320 --> 00:36:20,600
Speaker 1: Georgia's program, not necessarily this year's team. They've been competitive.

715
00:36:20,600 --> 00:36:23,040
Speaker 1: I'm not saying they hadn't been competitive, they just haven't

716
00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:25,840
Speaker 1: been vintaged Georgia at times, which is not the biggest

717
00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:28,240
Speaker 1: crime in the world. That's the way the sport's supposed

718
00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:30,200
Speaker 1: to work. You have ebbs and flows. You're not supposed

719
00:36:30,239 --> 00:36:33,840
Speaker 1: to just be a lead every year. But there's a resolve,

720
00:36:33,960 --> 00:36:37,160
Speaker 1: there's a medal, there's a competitive character that is synonymous

721
00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:40,240
Speaker 1: with Georgia football under Kirby Smart that will not allow

722
00:36:40,360 --> 00:36:43,640
Speaker 1: me to envision them losing this game Saturday, and I

723
00:36:43,719 --> 00:36:47,000
Speaker 1: see several edges for Tennessee in the game. I'm telling you,

724
00:36:47,080 --> 00:36:49,759
Speaker 1: I see several ledges, and there is a world where

725
00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:53,920
Speaker 1: Tennessee bends that thing crooked in the second half. My

726
00:36:54,040 --> 00:36:57,160
Speaker 1: respect for Georgia's competitive character as a program will not

727
00:36:57,280 --> 00:37:00,359
Speaker 1: allow me to fully go there. Tennessee's being given way

728
00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:02,760
Speaker 1: too many points. In my opinion, I will take Tennessee

729
00:37:02,800 --> 00:37:04,840
Speaker 1: in the points. It is one of my best bets

730
00:37:04,840 --> 00:37:07,160
Speaker 1: of the week. But George is gonna win this football

731
00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:09,680
Speaker 1: game somehow, some way. George is gonna win this football game.

732
00:37:10,040 --> 00:37:12,600
Speaker 1: I say somehow, some way, like it's a coin flip.

733
00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:16,279
Speaker 1: According to odds makers, it's not, but man, it is

734
00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:19,440
Speaker 1: in my mind. And so I am taking Tennessee plus

735
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:21,320
Speaker 1: the points plus nine and a Half's one of the

736
00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:23,160
Speaker 1: ram Noodle Express bets bets of the week. But you

737
00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:25,719
Speaker 1: give me Georgia to win. And I don't think anyone

738
00:37:25,760 --> 00:37:29,520
Speaker 1: in that fan base cares one iota as long as

739
00:37:29,520 --> 00:37:31,279
Speaker 1: they get this win. I don't really think they care

740
00:37:31,760 --> 00:37:37,799
Speaker 1: by how many hold on a second. Okay, so, so

741
00:37:38,280 --> 00:37:41,520
Speaker 1: really big breaking news in the year. Right as we

742
00:37:41,560 --> 00:37:44,040
Speaker 1: wrap up the segment, Okay, so this changes things and

743
00:37:44,080 --> 00:37:46,160
Speaker 1: it's a good thing. Jesse told me this. Jesse told

744
00:37:46,200 --> 00:37:47,560
Speaker 1: me this right before we were going to move on.

745
00:37:48,040 --> 00:37:54,080
Speaker 1: So news like, as we're talking, Nico not expected to play.

746
00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:58,120
Speaker 1: That's Chris Filka, right, all right, So Chris Filica reporting

747
00:37:58,360 --> 00:38:01,560
Speaker 1: Nico and Maalaiava not expect to play, which was different

748
00:38:01,600 --> 00:38:04,040
Speaker 1: than what we were hearing earlier on today as Tennessee

749
00:38:04,080 --> 00:38:08,440
Speaker 1: starting quarterback. That is a total game changer that I

750
00:38:08,520 --> 00:38:10,919
Speaker 1: believe will move that number, because I do not think

751
00:38:10,920 --> 00:38:12,799
Speaker 1: that was baked in. I don't think that was baked

752
00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:15,160
Speaker 1: in at all. So I'll tell you what we'll probably

753
00:38:15,200 --> 00:38:27,480
Speaker 1: do is will probably Jesse. How definitive? Does that sound? Okay?

754
00:38:27,800 --> 00:38:30,080
Speaker 1: All right, so we're live, like obviously we're live. So

755
00:38:30,120 --> 00:38:33,640
Speaker 1: here's what I'll do. I'll leave my prediction as is

756
00:38:33,680 --> 00:38:36,279
Speaker 1: for now. Luckily we have a Thursday show coming up,

757
00:38:36,640 --> 00:38:38,799
Speaker 1: so that'll be cleared up by the time we do

758
00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:41,920
Speaker 1: the Thursday show. So as of now, I'll stick with

759
00:38:41,960 --> 00:38:45,120
Speaker 1: Georgia wins Tennessee covers. But we're riding it in pencil.

760
00:38:45,200 --> 00:38:47,319
Speaker 1: Forget this, this is not a pen We're riding it

761
00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:50,439
Speaker 1: in pencil, and then we will adjust accordingly. What would

762
00:38:50,440 --> 00:38:51,880
Speaker 1: have made me really mad is had we done the

763
00:38:51,880 --> 00:38:55,040
Speaker 1: show and then that news pops afterwards. Cause that happens

764
00:38:55,080 --> 00:38:58,000
Speaker 1: occasionally as well. We'll be there either way. All right,

765
00:38:58,040 --> 00:39:00,319
Speaker 1: Quick Triple fuel us there. We do know that we

766
00:39:00,360 --> 00:39:02,320
Speaker 1: are proud to partner with Quick Trip. They are fueling

767
00:39:02,320 --> 00:39:04,800
Speaker 1: the whole New Saturday tour. We've been all over the country.

768
00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:07,120
Speaker 1: I haven't added up the mileage yet. We probably need

769
00:39:07,160 --> 00:39:10,560
Speaker 1: to do that at some point, but it's been intense.

770
00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:13,239
Speaker 1: We've been on planes every single week. Finally we get

771
00:39:13,440 --> 00:39:16,879
Speaker 1: a game within driving distance this week. We appreciate them.

772
00:39:17,080 --> 00:39:19,560
Speaker 1: We've been handing out free tanks of gas left and right,

773
00:39:19,600 --> 00:39:21,879
Speaker 1: handed another one out this morning. I met with Quick

774
00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:24,600
Speaker 1: Trip this morning. In fact, I met with Academy this

775
00:39:24,680 --> 00:39:28,759
Speaker 1: morning as well, on the same meeting. Imagine imagine if

776
00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:31,839
Speaker 1: two of those big time partners came together as one. Oh,

777
00:39:32,200 --> 00:39:35,239
Speaker 1: that never happened. I guess we appreciate Quick Trip though,

778
00:39:35,440 --> 00:39:38,759
Speaker 1: always and forever. Let's move on. I've got several more

779
00:39:38,800 --> 00:39:42,359
Speaker 1: games to get to, and I am just I'm monitoring

780
00:39:43,120 --> 00:39:47,200
Speaker 1: our little news feed over here. You know, Jesse, send

781
00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:49,600
Speaker 1: Chris Filica a DM and tell him it would be

782
00:39:49,640 --> 00:39:51,719
Speaker 1: proper for him to give us a heads up in

783
00:39:51,760 --> 00:39:54,400
Speaker 1: the future. He doesn't owe it to us or anything.

784
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:57,680
Speaker 1: I just think he should do it anyway. Okay, you know,

785
00:39:57,760 --> 00:40:01,000
Speaker 1: Texas goes to Arkansas Saturday, and I know that many

786
00:40:01,040 --> 00:40:03,120
Speaker 1: of you were not paying attention to this game, and

787
00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:05,600
Speaker 1: the line on the game's Texas minus thirteen and a

788
00:40:05,640 --> 00:40:08,440
Speaker 1: half and it's a noon kickoff Eastern time on ABC.

789
00:40:09,160 --> 00:40:12,480
Speaker 1: But they called this place Fayetnam for a reason, and

790
00:40:12,600 --> 00:40:15,400
Speaker 1: Texas is one of the first to remind you why

791
00:40:15,560 --> 00:40:18,160
Speaker 1: they call it Fayetnam. Last time they went up there

792
00:40:18,160 --> 00:40:23,560
Speaker 1: a couple of years ago, Nightmare, total nightmare, just ambushed Arkansas,

793
00:40:23,719 --> 00:40:25,719
Speaker 1: laid in the weeds, and Texas rolls in their number

794
00:40:25,760 --> 00:40:29,000
Speaker 1: fifteen in the country, forty to twenty one, and it

795
00:40:29,080 --> 00:40:31,800
Speaker 1: really didn't even feel that close. Arkansas's off a bye

796
00:40:31,840 --> 00:40:34,239
Speaker 1: here now that means a little bit, But last time

797
00:40:34,320 --> 00:40:37,239
Speaker 1: Arkansas was at home off a bye, LSU kind of

798
00:40:37,239 --> 00:40:41,480
Speaker 1: handled them. So Tayalin Green looks to be healthy, Quinnin

799
00:40:41,560 --> 00:40:43,759
Speaker 1: Jackson looks to be back in this game. But the

800
00:40:43,800 --> 00:40:46,239
Speaker 1: bad news is Texas to me, feels like they may

801
00:40:46,239 --> 00:40:48,040
Speaker 1: be ready to hit their stride. I think there's a

802
00:40:48,040 --> 00:40:51,279
Speaker 1: lot of upward mobility still with Texas. Last time we

803
00:40:51,320 --> 00:40:53,600
Speaker 1: saw them, they blew out Florida last week, and the

804
00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:55,440
Speaker 1: last time we saw Arkansas they got blown out by

805
00:40:55,440 --> 00:40:59,000
Speaker 1: Ole Miss, So you're lasting images not all that great

806
00:40:59,160 --> 00:41:02,719
Speaker 1: for the Pigs. I learn a lot about teams like

807
00:41:02,800 --> 00:41:06,000
Speaker 1: Texas in these moments because I look at Oregon, which

808
00:41:06,040 --> 00:41:07,719
Speaker 1: is the number one team in the country right now

809
00:41:07,719 --> 00:41:11,160
Speaker 1: in the playoff standings, and I don't just think about

810
00:41:11,160 --> 00:41:13,239
Speaker 1: what they did against Ohio State. I think about the

811
00:41:13,239 --> 00:41:15,560
Speaker 1: next week when they went to Purdue and blew them out,

812
00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:17,879
Speaker 1: and then they played Illinois and they blew them out.

813
00:41:17,920 --> 00:41:20,440
Speaker 1: And they just keep blowing people out, which is a

814
00:41:20,440 --> 00:41:23,319
Speaker 1: big deal because the elite teams do that. They blow

815
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:26,920
Speaker 1: the teams out they're supposed to, and then pretenders they

816
00:41:26,960 --> 00:41:28,960
Speaker 1: struggle with those teams they're supposed to blow out. Maybe

817
00:41:29,000 --> 00:41:32,279
Speaker 1: they beat them, but they still struggle with them. Texas,

818
00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:35,480
Speaker 1: if they are what I think they are, should go

819
00:41:35,600 --> 00:41:38,200
Speaker 1: into Arkansas and it should be tough, and it shouldn't

820
00:41:38,239 --> 00:41:40,359
Speaker 1: be easy at the beginning, but they should pull away

821
00:41:40,400 --> 00:41:43,840
Speaker 1: in the second half. Should and I'll tell you what

822
00:41:43,880 --> 00:41:45,480
Speaker 1: else they should do. They should have a lot of

823
00:41:45,480 --> 00:41:49,160
Speaker 1: success throwing the ball, they should be able to manage

824
00:41:49,239 --> 00:41:52,680
Speaker 1: Arkansas secondary Arkansas's one hundred and twenty fifth against the

825
00:41:52,680 --> 00:41:56,360
Speaker 1: past this year, Texas's top ten in that category. Offensively,

826
00:41:56,400 --> 00:41:59,120
Speaker 1: there're problems been turnovers. They've turned the ball over. They

827
00:41:59,120 --> 00:42:02,280
Speaker 1: did against Georgia. Georgia four of their six scoring drives

828
00:42:02,600 --> 00:42:07,280
Speaker 1: started in Texas territory. Vandy hung with them because Texas

829
00:42:07,360 --> 00:42:10,839
Speaker 1: set them up in plus territory. You make Arkansas drive

830
00:42:10,880 --> 00:42:13,000
Speaker 1: the length of the field, Arkansas will not beat you.

831
00:42:13,040 --> 00:42:16,120
Speaker 1: But what Arkansas can do if you give them favorable

832
00:42:16,520 --> 00:42:20,520
Speaker 1: field position situations is they are a top five explosive

833
00:42:20,520 --> 00:42:23,040
Speaker 1: play offense in the country. That's what they can do.

834
00:42:23,160 --> 00:42:26,200
Speaker 1: Sustain drives not so much. But if you set them

835
00:42:26,239 --> 00:42:28,280
Speaker 1: up on your forty two yard line, couple of plays

836
00:42:28,320 --> 00:42:30,160
Speaker 1: into the end zone before you even know what hits you,

837
00:42:30,239 --> 00:42:33,200
Speaker 1: that they can do. So that's Number one area to

838
00:42:33,200 --> 00:42:36,560
Speaker 1: be careful. Number two and here's the hammer, and this

839
00:42:36,600 --> 00:42:39,720
Speaker 1: is the reason why I really like Texas in this game.

840
00:42:40,320 --> 00:42:43,719
Speaker 1: They are number one defensively and explosive plays allowed. So

841
00:42:43,840 --> 00:42:46,239
Speaker 1: even the one area where Arkansas makes you look and

842
00:42:46,239 --> 00:42:49,560
Speaker 1: say ooh, ooh, circle that one, Texas says, yeah, we'll

843
00:42:49,560 --> 00:42:53,440
Speaker 1: do you one better. So turnovers could always be an issue. Yes,

844
00:42:53,719 --> 00:42:57,520
Speaker 1: obviously no one can forecast that. But Texas defense is

845
00:42:58,200 --> 00:43:02,360
Speaker 1: three straight games with three plus takes away. So Texas

846
00:43:02,400 --> 00:43:05,399
Speaker 1: has actually been the one forcing the issue, not Arkansas. Colin.

847
00:43:05,440 --> 00:43:07,040
Speaker 1: Let's take a look at what the model thinks. The

848
00:43:07,120 --> 00:43:10,480
Speaker 1: FanDuel number is Texas minus thirteen and a half. The

849
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:13,760
Speaker 1: model is a little bit more bullish on the horns.

850
00:43:13,760 --> 00:43:16,920
Speaker 1: They got Texas minus fourteen. We have Texas minus fourteen,

851
00:43:17,920 --> 00:43:20,680
Speaker 1: and I think they'll do it. I got some Texas

852
00:43:20,719 --> 00:43:23,640
Speaker 1: folks texting me as recently as last night, reminding me

853
00:43:24,239 --> 00:43:27,919
Speaker 1: of the long and storage track record and treacherous track

854
00:43:28,000 --> 00:43:31,640
Speaker 1: record of Texas going into Vietnam formerly known as Fateful.

855
00:43:32,760 --> 00:43:35,080
Speaker 1: But I'm not falling for it this time. I think

856
00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:36,920
Speaker 1: Texas will go in there, and I think they'll take

857
00:43:36,960 --> 00:43:39,040
Speaker 1: care of business, and I think they'll win, and I

858
00:43:39,080 --> 00:43:43,799
Speaker 1: think they'll cover. And if I'm wrong, I'm wrong. One

859
00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:45,480
Speaker 1: more game to get to here. Let me make sure

860
00:43:45,520 --> 00:43:47,680
Speaker 1: this is the order I was going to go in. Yes,

861
00:43:47,719 --> 00:43:50,439
Speaker 1: it is one more game, and I got some things

862
00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:52,279
Speaker 1: to talk about after this. I got a JP pole

863
00:43:52,320 --> 00:43:57,680
Speaker 1: coming up, I got I've got an investigation into sec

864
00:43:57,840 --> 00:44:00,000
Speaker 1: bias that we're going to put on the show tonight,

865
00:44:00,040 --> 00:44:02,040
Speaker 1: because you know, if you can count on me to

866
00:44:02,080 --> 00:44:05,760
Speaker 1: do one thing, it is to in a neutral fashion

867
00:44:06,600 --> 00:44:08,920
Speaker 1: investigate sec bias. I'm here to do it for you.

868
00:44:11,320 --> 00:44:16,960
Speaker 1: In the meantime, I have to admit something before we

869
00:44:17,000 --> 00:44:19,759
Speaker 1: break down this game, Colin, you can lead this out

870
00:44:19,760 --> 00:44:23,680
Speaker 1: of the regular video. If Utah won last week, I

871
00:44:23,760 --> 00:44:28,160
Speaker 1: was gonna be at Utah Colorado. I needed Utah to win.

872
00:44:28,719 --> 00:44:32,359
Speaker 1: They didn't. Some would say the game was snatched from

873
00:44:32,400 --> 00:44:35,279
Speaker 1: their jaws of victory or jaws of feet, or however

874
00:44:35,280 --> 00:44:38,279
Speaker 1: that's saying goes. Nevertheless, I was gonna go to the

875
00:44:38,280 --> 00:44:40,520
Speaker 1: Colorado game. I was gonna go to Utah Colorado. We

876
00:44:40,520 --> 00:44:42,880
Speaker 1: were that close. Colorado has done everything they're supposed to do.

877
00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:45,960
Speaker 1: I just needed Utah to be competitive enough and they weren't. Okay,

878
00:44:46,000 --> 00:44:49,080
Speaker 1: here we go. Utah is at Colorado Saturday. It's a

879
00:44:49,080 --> 00:44:53,080
Speaker 1: noon kickoff, ten am Mountain time. And no one in

880
00:44:53,120 --> 00:44:56,000
Speaker 1: Boulder is complaining. They just love the attention. I got

881
00:44:56,040 --> 00:44:57,840
Speaker 1: a sentence for you, and I want you to go

882
00:44:57,880 --> 00:45:00,360
Speaker 1: back in time, and I want you to imagine a

883
00:45:00,440 --> 00:45:06,480
Speaker 1: year younger's version of yourself hearing the following sentence, Colorado

884
00:45:06,560 --> 00:45:11,480
Speaker 1: controls their destiny and it's mid November. What would you

885
00:45:11,520 --> 00:45:14,200
Speaker 1: have said had I told you that a year ago?

886
00:45:14,400 --> 00:45:17,239
Speaker 1: What would you said if I said a year from now, Colorado,

887
00:45:17,480 --> 00:45:21,080
Speaker 1: this team that everyone's hating on rightfully so, is going

888
00:45:21,080 --> 00:45:23,840
Speaker 1: to control their destiny in the middle of November, you

889
00:45:23,920 --> 00:45:28,080
Speaker 1: would have probably been fairly surprised. Yeah, well, here they are.

890
00:45:28,840 --> 00:45:30,560
Speaker 1: All they got to do is win and they're in.

891
00:45:30,920 --> 00:45:32,200
Speaker 1: All they got to do is win and they're in

892
00:45:32,200 --> 00:45:36,080
Speaker 1: the playoff. By the way, Utah has lost five in

893
00:45:36,120 --> 00:45:39,000
Speaker 1: a row. They were very competitive last week against Brigham Young.

894
00:45:39,920 --> 00:45:45,200
Speaker 1: And we also have the November air theory in play here. Obviously,

895
00:45:45,520 --> 00:45:47,800
Speaker 1: all these kids on Colorado's team, most of these coaches

896
00:45:47,840 --> 00:45:51,919
Speaker 1: on Colorado's team, they haven't breathed that thin November air.

897
00:45:51,960 --> 00:45:55,120
Speaker 1: And I don't mean literally like Mountain air. I mean

898
00:45:55,200 --> 00:45:59,120
Speaker 1: playoff air. I mean air that coincides with conversations you've

899
00:45:59,160 --> 00:46:02,880
Speaker 1: never been part of before. Some teams are okay with it,

900
00:46:03,320 --> 00:46:07,080
Speaker 1: other teams, other organizations don't handle it so well. Utah's

901
00:46:07,120 --> 00:46:10,319
Speaker 1: defense is dangerous here because they've gotten healthy and they

902
00:46:10,360 --> 00:46:13,160
Speaker 1: are probably the biggest test I think Colorado has faced

903
00:46:13,200 --> 00:46:16,799
Speaker 1: since Nebraska, and Nebraska shut him down pretty thoroughly. Now

904
00:46:16,800 --> 00:46:19,640
Speaker 1: that was a while back, so Colorado has become a

905
00:46:19,680 --> 00:46:23,359
Speaker 1: lot better as a team. The front seven here will

906
00:46:23,400 --> 00:46:26,480
Speaker 1: be a pretty big mismatch for Colorado's offensive line, and

907
00:46:26,560 --> 00:46:29,040
Speaker 1: the crowbar theory is in play because of that. The

908
00:46:29,080 --> 00:46:32,600
Speaker 1: crowbar theory is when you cannot run the ball, which

909
00:46:32,640 --> 00:46:36,719
Speaker 1: Colorado really can't all that well, and you're disproportionately reliant

910
00:46:36,760 --> 00:46:41,279
Speaker 1: on a quarterback making big plays, which Colorado is, you

911
00:46:41,440 --> 00:46:44,760
Speaker 1: can if you face the wrong defense, have the crowbar

912
00:46:44,840 --> 00:46:46,920
Speaker 1: thrown in the bicycle spokes. And the reason that I've

913
00:46:46,920 --> 00:46:49,840
Speaker 1: always phrased it like that is because you're working theory

914
00:46:49,920 --> 00:46:53,480
Speaker 1: in your mind. Is if we average thirty three points

915
00:46:53,520 --> 00:46:57,200
Speaker 1: per game, even if we face a good defense, Okay,

916
00:46:57,239 --> 00:46:59,440
Speaker 1: even if they hold us down, maybe we'll still score

917
00:46:59,440 --> 00:47:02,640
Speaker 1: twenty four. But that is not what crowbar theory suggests.

918
00:47:02,719 --> 00:47:05,600
Speaker 1: Crowbar theory suggests you could be a team that averages

919
00:47:05,640 --> 00:47:08,520
Speaker 1: thirty three per game, but if you face the wrong defense,

920
00:47:08,600 --> 00:47:12,600
Speaker 1: they just shut you down entirely. Thus, the crowbar is

921
00:47:12,600 --> 00:47:14,319
Speaker 1: thrown in the spokes. If you throw a crow bar

922
00:47:14,360 --> 00:47:16,840
Speaker 1: in the bicycle spokes, the bike doesn't slow down. The

923
00:47:16,880 --> 00:47:21,040
Speaker 1: bike goes from moving to immediately stopping. You fly over

924
00:47:21,080 --> 00:47:24,120
Speaker 1: the handlebars. It's ugly. Me Moll's got to patch you up.

925
00:47:24,239 --> 00:47:26,359
Speaker 1: You find an excuse not to go to school until

926
00:47:26,360 --> 00:47:29,760
Speaker 1: the following Monday. Does that happen here? If it doesn't happen,

927
00:47:30,560 --> 00:47:34,520
Speaker 1: it's because Shador Sanders took over. They probably don't need

928
00:47:34,560 --> 00:47:37,439
Speaker 1: thirty five plus points in this. It's probably a game.

929
00:47:37,440 --> 00:47:40,879
Speaker 1: If they can get to thirty, they should be able

930
00:47:40,920 --> 00:47:43,000
Speaker 1: to count on a win here. Because Utah has not

931
00:47:43,040 --> 00:47:45,919
Speaker 1: been able to score a lot and Utah is down

932
00:47:45,960 --> 00:47:49,879
Speaker 1: their number one quarterback. The tight ends down, so it's

933
00:47:49,920 --> 00:47:53,480
Speaker 1: not a high powered ute offense by any stretch. One

934
00:47:53,560 --> 00:47:56,600
Speaker 1: area that Utah defense can be had in, though, is

935
00:47:56,640 --> 00:47:59,640
Speaker 1: the explosive play They're eighty fifth in the country eighty

936
00:47:59,680 --> 00:48:03,480
Speaker 1: fifth an explosive play rate given up, which is Colorado's specialty.

937
00:48:03,520 --> 00:48:05,480
Speaker 1: You just got to have time. This may be a

938
00:48:05,520 --> 00:48:08,279
Speaker 1: game where you guys have seen it before, should or

939
00:48:08,360 --> 00:48:11,640
Speaker 1: get sacked five six times, but it's in the course

940
00:48:11,680 --> 00:48:13,960
Speaker 1: of a big win because that's just the blueprint for

941
00:48:13,960 --> 00:48:17,319
Speaker 1: that team right now. A lot of this, you know,

942
00:48:17,360 --> 00:48:20,560
Speaker 1: a lot of that explosive play rate for Colorado or

943
00:48:20,600 --> 00:48:23,120
Speaker 1: for Utah that's run based, you're gonna have to do

944
00:48:23,160 --> 00:48:26,760
Speaker 1: it through the air. Utah I think kind of needs

945
00:48:26,840 --> 00:48:29,800
Speaker 1: that stat profile we saw last week in that Bama

946
00:48:29,920 --> 00:48:32,440
Speaker 1: LSU game that we were at. I think Utah needs

947
00:48:32,719 --> 00:48:35,440
Speaker 1: a stat sheet that looks like that. Forty eight runs,

948
00:48:35,520 --> 00:48:39,360
Speaker 1: eighteen passes. It's not going to be the quarterback position

949
00:48:39,760 --> 00:48:43,480
Speaker 1: that accumulates the run yardage. But that's the game they need.

950
00:48:43,520 --> 00:48:45,799
Speaker 1: They need to grind it to a halt. They need

951
00:48:45,840 --> 00:48:48,879
Speaker 1: to bleed clock, they need to limit possessions, and they

952
00:48:48,920 --> 00:48:50,640
Speaker 1: can do that. But what you can't do is get

953
00:48:50,680 --> 00:48:53,000
Speaker 1: down thirteen to nothing early and be playing catch up.

954
00:48:53,040 --> 00:48:55,319
Speaker 1: What does the model think here? The FanDuel number is

955
00:48:55,360 --> 00:48:59,799
Speaker 1: Colorado minus ten and a half. The model thinks Colorado

956
00:48:59,880 --> 00:49:04,440
Speaker 1: is minus eleven, so it largely agrees. I think Utah

957
00:49:04,560 --> 00:49:08,440
Speaker 1: has enough here defensively to really challenge in this game.

958
00:49:08,760 --> 00:49:12,160
Speaker 1: This is as wide of a spread variance as you'll

959
00:49:12,160 --> 00:49:15,759
Speaker 1: get because Colorado's never been hotter and Utah's never been

960
00:49:15,760 --> 00:49:18,719
Speaker 1: colder this year, and so ten and a half is

961
00:49:19,080 --> 00:49:21,839
Speaker 1: a stretch to me. Even though the model agrees, I

962
00:49:21,840 --> 00:49:24,080
Speaker 1: think the numbers a little too big. I think Colorado

963
00:49:24,120 --> 00:49:26,480
Speaker 1: will win the game. I will take Utah to cover,

964
00:49:26,520 --> 00:49:29,359
Speaker 1: so I'm gonna split the difference there. They're watching us

965
00:49:29,360 --> 00:49:34,000
Speaker 1: in Lander, Wyoming. I would imagine that place looks pretty

966
00:49:34,000 --> 00:49:38,240
Speaker 1: picturesque this time of year. Oxford, Mississippian Forest City, Iowa.

967
00:49:38,560 --> 00:49:42,000
Speaker 1: We appreciate you guys so much for being tuned in.

968
00:49:42,120 --> 00:49:47,439
Speaker 1: Let me refresh this page right quick, all right, Week

969
00:49:47,480 --> 00:49:50,880
Speaker 1: twelve edition of the JP Pole has been released. Bravely,

970
00:49:51,000 --> 00:49:53,800
Speaker 1: we have released the JP Pole before the college football

971
00:49:53,840 --> 00:49:57,560
Speaker 1: playoff rankings, which has nothing to do with the JP Pole.

972
00:49:57,680 --> 00:49:59,239
Speaker 1: This is not what I think the rankings should be.

973
00:49:59,320 --> 00:50:01,000
Speaker 1: It's not what I think the should be. It has

974
00:50:01,040 --> 00:50:03,120
Speaker 1: nothing to do with merit whatsoever. I don't care if

975
00:50:03,120 --> 00:50:05,640
Speaker 1: you won or lost last week. It does not matter.

976
00:50:05,760 --> 00:50:07,520
Speaker 1: It does not matter, It does not matter. It's just

977
00:50:07,600 --> 00:50:10,520
Speaker 1: neutral field favorability. I'm about to show you these teams

978
00:50:10,520 --> 00:50:12,520
Speaker 1: in order of how the model would favor them on

979
00:50:12,560 --> 00:50:14,960
Speaker 1: a neutral field against each other if the games were

980
00:50:14,960 --> 00:50:18,520
Speaker 1: played this weekend. So as pointless as it is to

981
00:50:18,560 --> 00:50:20,839
Speaker 1: say that every week, I still say it every week. Colin,

982
00:50:20,920 --> 00:50:22,840
Speaker 1: Let's take a look at one through five, because we

983
00:50:22,880 --> 00:50:25,319
Speaker 1: have a new number one team in the country. It's

984
00:50:25,360 --> 00:50:27,560
Speaker 1: gonna be hard for some of you to believe, but

985
00:50:27,640 --> 00:50:30,480
Speaker 1: the model has put Ohio State back at number one,

986
00:50:30,800 --> 00:50:34,880
Speaker 1: and it is bumped Oregon down to number two. Truthfully,

987
00:50:35,320 --> 00:50:37,480
Speaker 1: I think Oregon's a better football team than Ohio State

988
00:50:37,560 --> 00:50:41,440
Speaker 1: right now. The model disagrees. FanDuel does as well. FanDuel

989
00:50:41,480 --> 00:50:44,160
Speaker 1: would favor Ohio State against Oregon if they played on

990
00:50:44,160 --> 00:50:47,040
Speaker 1: a neutral field today, and spoiler alert, they may very

991
00:50:47,040 --> 00:50:49,759
Speaker 1: well do that in three weeks in the Big Ten

992
00:50:49,880 --> 00:50:52,640
Speaker 1: championship game. So maybe we'll get our shot to see

993
00:50:52,920 --> 00:50:56,479
Speaker 1: Texas is number three. I still think there is room

994
00:50:56,520 --> 00:50:58,960
Speaker 1: to grow. I still think Texas has the ceiling of

995
00:50:58,960 --> 00:51:01,840
Speaker 1: the number one team in the country tree. That's me personally,

996
00:51:02,080 --> 00:51:06,440
Speaker 1: But they're number three right now. Ole Miss extreme detachment

997
00:51:06,719 --> 00:51:09,520
Speaker 1: between the model and what the AP says. And I

998
00:51:09,520 --> 00:51:12,640
Speaker 1: imagine what the playoff committee is gonna say. There are

999
00:51:12,640 --> 00:51:16,080
Speaker 1: not many teams that we would favor overall Miss right now.

1000
00:51:16,360 --> 00:51:18,960
Speaker 1: In fact, three of them, the model would favor Old

1001
00:51:19,000 --> 00:51:21,279
Speaker 1: Miss over Alabama. Right now, the model would favor Old

1002
00:51:21,320 --> 00:51:23,160
Speaker 1: Miss over Georgia. That you just saw him beat them.

1003
00:51:24,320 --> 00:51:27,640
Speaker 1: Ole Miss is dangerous, man, Ole Miss is. They're as

1004
00:51:27,640 --> 00:51:29,560
Speaker 1: good as I have seen them look in a long time.

1005
00:51:29,600 --> 00:51:32,000
Speaker 1: Bama is up to five. They jumped three spots up

1006
00:51:32,000 --> 00:51:35,600
Speaker 1: to number five. There is a four and a half

1007
00:51:35,640 --> 00:51:38,680
Speaker 1: point gap between number one and number five right now.

1008
00:51:39,160 --> 00:51:42,279
Speaker 1: Just an fyi, Georgia is down to number six. That

1009
00:51:42,480 --> 00:51:46,359
Speaker 1: is easily their lowest spot of the year. Notre Dame

1010
00:51:46,440 --> 00:51:49,880
Speaker 1: is at number seven, still very solid. Then there's a

1011
00:51:49,880 --> 00:51:52,040
Speaker 1: little bit of a drop off between seven and eight.

1012
00:51:52,400 --> 00:51:55,080
Speaker 1: Between Notre Dame and Penn State, there is about a

1013
00:51:55,080 --> 00:51:58,160
Speaker 1: two point gap, so I mean between Notre Dame and

1014
00:51:58,239 --> 00:52:01,759
Speaker 1: number one is a six point gap. But then there

1015
00:52:01,840 --> 00:52:04,399
Speaker 1: is a two and a half point gap between seven

1016
00:52:04,440 --> 00:52:06,799
Speaker 1: and eight. So a little tiered, little tear drop there.

1017
00:52:07,520 --> 00:52:11,200
Speaker 1: T I e. R. Tennessee is at nine. Indiana is

1018
00:52:11,239 --> 00:52:13,719
Speaker 1: at ten. Still shocked that Indiana is this high and

1019
00:52:13,800 --> 00:52:18,360
Speaker 1: a power rating. Just amazing job by that staff and players.

1020
00:52:18,400 --> 00:52:20,720
Speaker 1: You know, the entire roster too, all right, our biggest

1021
00:52:20,800 --> 00:52:24,600
Speaker 1: jump of the week. Not surprising. The fraudulent AP has

1022
00:52:24,600 --> 00:52:27,400
Speaker 1: only just now realized that South Carolina is still playing

1023
00:52:27,440 --> 00:52:32,200
Speaker 1: this year. The JP poll impure rat poison form has

1024
00:52:32,239 --> 00:52:35,520
Speaker 1: put South Carolina at number eleven. I want you to

1025
00:52:35,560 --> 00:52:39,279
Speaker 1: hear me when I tell you this. The model would

1026
00:52:39,280 --> 00:52:42,000
Speaker 1: pick South Carolina to win the ACC Right now. The

1027
00:52:42,040 --> 00:52:46,080
Speaker 1: model would favor South Carolina, the sixth best team in

1028
00:52:46,120 --> 00:52:50,080
Speaker 1: the SEC, over anyone in the ACC right now. Now,

1029
00:52:50,120 --> 00:52:52,480
Speaker 1: we are going to put that theory to the test.

1030
00:52:52,640 --> 00:52:55,280
Speaker 1: So South Carolina plays at Clemson in a few weeks,

1031
00:52:55,760 --> 00:52:58,279
Speaker 1: so we'll find out how they really do stack up

1032
00:52:58,280 --> 00:53:02,399
Speaker 1: over there. And notice twelve thirteen, fourteen to fifteen, all

1033
00:53:02,480 --> 00:53:07,120
Speaker 1: ACC teams Miami, Louisville, Clemson, SMU are right there. There's

1034
00:53:07,200 --> 00:53:10,520
Speaker 1: a two point gap between Miami, the number one team

1035
00:53:10,520 --> 00:53:14,279
Speaker 1: in the ACC, and SMU from a power rating standpoint.

1036
00:53:14,520 --> 00:53:18,120
Speaker 1: The fourth team, SMU and Miami appear to be on

1037
00:53:18,160 --> 00:53:21,719
Speaker 1: a collision course into the conference title game. But the

1038
00:53:21,719 --> 00:53:24,560
Speaker 1: model still likes Louisville a lot. Model still likes Clemson.

1039
00:53:24,600 --> 00:53:26,279
Speaker 1: I'm not as I on Clemson, but the model is

1040
00:53:26,960 --> 00:53:29,680
Speaker 1: so yeah. I think the big takeaway there, and we're

1041
00:53:29,680 --> 00:53:31,759
Speaker 1: going to talk about SEC bias in a little while.

1042
00:53:31,760 --> 00:53:34,759
Speaker 1: Don't worry, I will address it. Whatever that means. The

1043
00:53:34,760 --> 00:53:39,920
Speaker 1: model has six SEC teams above any ACC team and

1044
00:53:40,040 --> 00:53:44,320
Speaker 1: obviously above any Big twelve team, just a different caliber

1045
00:53:44,360 --> 00:53:48,680
Speaker 1: of depth of competition being featured by the SEC. This year.

1046
00:53:48,719 --> 00:53:53,160
Speaker 1: An m is sixteen, LSU seventeen, LSU dropped five spots

1047
00:53:53,600 --> 00:53:55,480
Speaker 1: there you go. I think they dropped a little bit

1048
00:53:55,520 --> 00:53:57,839
Speaker 1: further in the AP. This is not about merit, it's

1049
00:53:57,840 --> 00:54:00,720
Speaker 1: about neutral field favorability. I don't care how bad LSU

1050
00:54:00,760 --> 00:54:02,799
Speaker 1: looked the other night. They would still be favored over

1051
00:54:02,880 --> 00:54:06,680
Speaker 1: Kansas State if they played okay, Colorado's eighteen, USC's nineteen,

1052
00:54:06,760 --> 00:54:09,040
Speaker 1: Kansas State's twenty. I know a lot of you are

1053
00:54:09,040 --> 00:54:11,279
Speaker 1: gonna have a problem with USC. I don't know what

1054
00:54:11,360 --> 00:54:13,759
Speaker 1: to tell you. They'd be favored over these teams. They'd

1055
00:54:13,760 --> 00:54:15,600
Speaker 1: be favored over a lot of teams with much better

1056
00:54:15,640 --> 00:54:22,239
Speaker 1: records than them, because that's how favorability works. Tulane is underrated.

1057
00:54:23,040 --> 00:54:25,680
Speaker 1: The AP snuck Tulane in there at twenty five. And

1058
00:54:25,719 --> 00:54:27,200
Speaker 1: I told you the other night I thought they were

1059
00:54:27,200 --> 00:54:29,719
Speaker 1: still underrated, And the answer should have been what are

1060
00:54:29,719 --> 00:54:32,400
Speaker 1: they rated, Josh, Well, they should be rated twenty First,

1061
00:54:32,600 --> 00:54:34,840
Speaker 1: the AJP pole has Tulane all the way up at

1062
00:54:34,880 --> 00:54:39,440
Speaker 1: twenty one. Rat poison alert. Just ban this video in

1063
00:54:39,480 --> 00:54:43,440
Speaker 1: the Greater New Orleans area at John Sumral ban that video.

1064
00:54:43,520 --> 00:54:45,480
Speaker 1: We don't want those guys knowing they're any good in

1065
00:54:45,480 --> 00:54:49,319
Speaker 1: that locker room. Gross. Ugh, you guys are terrible, but

1066
00:54:49,360 --> 00:54:52,560
Speaker 1: really you're not Brigham Young's at twenty two. We have

1067
00:54:52,640 --> 00:54:54,360
Speaker 1: exempted them. They will always have a spot in the

1068
00:54:54,440 --> 00:54:57,120
Speaker 1: JP Pole as long as they're undefeated. Iowa is twenty three.

1069
00:54:58,360 --> 00:55:01,480
Speaker 1: Cal has jumped into the top twenty five col How

1070
00:55:01,480 --> 00:55:04,359
Speaker 1: about that man, Florida State has got a win over

1071
00:55:04,440 --> 00:55:06,840
Speaker 1: a top twenty five team. I hope you people realize

1072
00:55:06,880 --> 00:55:09,680
Speaker 1: that all of you hating on Mike Norvelli's firing everyone

1073
00:55:09,719 --> 00:55:12,720
Speaker 1: down there. He's got to win over top twenty five team.

1074
00:55:13,040 --> 00:55:15,160
Speaker 1: He got losses against a bunch of them, including teams

1075
00:55:15,160 --> 00:55:16,719
Speaker 1: that aren't in the top twenty five. He's got himself

1076
00:55:16,800 --> 00:55:20,879
Speaker 1: top twenty five win. And Arizona State Kenny Dillingham there.

1077
00:55:20,960 --> 00:55:23,160
Speaker 1: They go to Kansas State this week, and they go

1078
00:55:23,200 --> 00:55:27,520
Speaker 1: there as a top twenty five JP pole team. Between

1079
00:55:28,800 --> 00:55:31,319
Speaker 1: number thirteen and number twenty five there is a five

1080
00:55:31,360 --> 00:55:34,359
Speaker 1: point gap, so there is a couple of tiers there

1081
00:55:34,400 --> 00:55:36,280
Speaker 1: at the top. But then once you get into thirteen

1082
00:55:36,320 --> 00:55:38,960
Speaker 1: to twenty five range, it is very compressed. I mean

1083
00:55:38,960 --> 00:55:42,240
Speaker 1: it is packed up really really tightly. So I thought, okay,

1084
00:55:42,280 --> 00:55:44,440
Speaker 1: let's unveil the JP poll in tonight's show, and then

1085
00:55:44,480 --> 00:55:48,239
Speaker 1: everyone's gonna hate it. Let's just see I mean, I'm

1086
00:55:48,239 --> 00:55:50,440
Speaker 1: looking at the live chat over here, there is no

1087
00:55:50,600 --> 00:55:53,520
Speaker 1: way cal or Arizona State would be favored over Boise.

1088
00:55:53,640 --> 00:55:56,640
Speaker 1: You're actually right about that. You are actually right about

1089
00:55:56,680 --> 00:56:00,480
Speaker 1: that YJP Boise would be favored over both of those teams.

1090
00:56:00,880 --> 00:56:04,040
Speaker 1: The model disagrees with that. Let me be clear. I

1091
00:56:04,120 --> 00:56:06,719
Speaker 1: hit up FanDuel about this all the time. They do

1092
00:56:06,840 --> 00:56:09,880
Speaker 1: disagree with the model's placement of Boise. The model, for

1093
00:56:10,000 --> 00:56:14,320
Speaker 1: the record, we have Boise at like number twenty seven,

1094
00:56:14,840 --> 00:56:18,360
Speaker 1: so a little bit lower. But you are right. In

1095
00:56:18,840 --> 00:56:22,160
Speaker 1: true odds making world, if this game was happening, like

1096
00:56:22,239 --> 00:56:26,120
Speaker 1: if Arizona State played Boise, Boise would be favored small,

1097
00:56:26,160 --> 00:56:28,799
Speaker 1: but they'd be favored. We would disagree with it, and

1098
00:56:28,840 --> 00:56:31,280
Speaker 1: we would immediately bet against Boise, is all I'm telling

1099
00:56:31,280 --> 00:56:33,319
Speaker 1: you there. So there is a discrepancy. You are right

1100
00:56:33,360 --> 00:56:37,680
Speaker 1: about that. All right, let's move on. I thought since

1101
00:56:37,719 --> 00:56:42,600
Speaker 1: we did the JP pole probably immunity, I thought we

1102
00:56:42,600 --> 00:56:46,080
Speaker 1: should follow up with probably one of the biggest claims

1103
00:56:46,120 --> 00:56:49,400
Speaker 1: against the JP Pole or the APE pole or the

1104
00:56:49,440 --> 00:56:53,480
Speaker 1: College Football Playoff Committee rankings, and that is SEC bias.

1105
00:56:54,719 --> 00:56:58,799
Speaker 1: SEC bias is alive and well, and if you don't

1106
00:56:58,840 --> 00:57:03,280
Speaker 1: believe me, go follow so Daniel Jeremetrius Canal on Twitter.

1107
00:57:03,680 --> 00:57:08,440
Speaker 1: I mean, this morning, he is loitering outside of FSU Stadium.

1108
00:57:09,120 --> 00:57:11,400
Speaker 1: Don't know why, don't know what he's doing there. As

1109
00:57:11,400 --> 00:57:13,720
Speaker 1: far as I know, he hasn't moved back to Tallahassee,

1110
00:57:13,960 --> 00:57:17,840
Speaker 1: but he's out there in the shadow of his former stadium,

1111
00:57:18,320 --> 00:57:22,960
Speaker 1: just rambling incoherently about SEC bias and blue blood blias.

1112
00:57:23,000 --> 00:57:26,600
Speaker 1: And I'm like, how many biases can one have? But really,

1113
00:57:26,600 --> 00:57:28,680
Speaker 1: what are we talking about here? Because I want answers.

1114
00:57:29,240 --> 00:57:32,560
Speaker 1: If Daniel Knell is right and he's identified a problem,

1115
00:57:32,600 --> 00:57:35,040
Speaker 1: I want to fix the problem. I just need to know.

1116
00:57:35,640 --> 00:57:38,280
Speaker 1: As many of you complained about SEC bias, I need

1117
00:57:38,320 --> 00:57:42,360
Speaker 1: to know from you, is it real and is it

1118
00:57:42,400 --> 00:57:45,520
Speaker 1: a real problem or is it just something you don't like.

1119
00:57:45,720 --> 00:57:49,040
Speaker 1: A bunch of SEC teams are ranked really highly. Is

1120
00:57:49,080 --> 00:57:52,000
Speaker 1: that flawed or is it just something that you're not

1121
00:57:52,160 --> 00:57:55,320
Speaker 1: happy with? Because these are two very different diagnoses and

1122
00:57:55,360 --> 00:57:59,640
Speaker 1: therefore I would prescribe very different medication for one versus

1123
00:57:59,640 --> 00:58:05,000
Speaker 1: the other. So to start with, if you're telling me

1124
00:58:05,080 --> 00:58:08,160
Speaker 1: about SEC bias, I need to know what you're talking about.

1125
00:58:08,480 --> 00:58:11,240
Speaker 1: If you're talking about our show, for example, we get

1126
00:58:11,240 --> 00:58:13,200
Speaker 1: accused of this all the time. There's too much SEC

1127
00:58:13,280 --> 00:58:15,400
Speaker 1: bias on the show. There's too much SEC on the show.

1128
00:58:15,680 --> 00:58:17,520
Speaker 1: I would ask you, well, if you're doing a national

1129
00:58:17,520 --> 00:58:21,840
Speaker 1: college football show and you're trying to serve the viewership,

1130
00:58:22,320 --> 00:58:25,400
Speaker 1: and the viewership is disproportionately telling you both by where

1131
00:58:25,440 --> 00:58:28,520
Speaker 1: they live but also by what they click on that

1132
00:58:28,560 --> 00:58:34,440
Speaker 1: they're most interested in SEC content featuring the high caliber programs,

1133
00:58:34,640 --> 00:58:36,640
Speaker 1: how would you stack your show any differently? I mean,

1134
00:58:36,680 --> 00:58:39,560
Speaker 1: would you really have led with Oregon versus Illinois the

1135
00:58:39,640 --> 00:58:41,720
Speaker 1: other day? Because a lot of you had a problem

1136
00:58:42,000 --> 00:58:44,040
Speaker 1: with how we stack the show, And you know what,

1137
00:58:44,080 --> 00:58:46,360
Speaker 1: that's all a matter of opinion. But I go back

1138
00:58:46,400 --> 00:58:48,760
Speaker 1: and forth with you guys. Sometimes I always respect your opinion.

1139
00:58:48,800 --> 00:58:51,320
Speaker 1: I don't need you to like everything here. In fact,

1140
00:58:51,520 --> 00:58:53,680
Speaker 1: I welcome it when you disagree with me. But I've

1141
00:58:53,680 --> 00:58:55,640
Speaker 1: gone back and forth with several of you when you've

1142
00:58:55,880 --> 00:58:58,920
Speaker 1: claimed that the show was too SEC heavy, and I've said, well,

1143
00:58:58,920 --> 00:59:03,200
Speaker 1: how would you have stacked it differently? And usually those

1144
00:59:03,320 --> 00:59:06,120
Speaker 1: arguments end in most of you seeing my way of thinking.

1145
00:59:06,960 --> 00:59:08,840
Speaker 1: Because if there was another way of thinking that made

1146
00:59:08,880 --> 00:59:10,640
Speaker 1: more sense, I would go with that way of thinking.

1147
00:59:11,120 --> 00:59:13,440
Speaker 1: So that's part one of SEC bias, but part two

1148
00:59:13,440 --> 00:59:17,120
Speaker 1: of SEC bias gets out of the area of subjectivity

1149
00:59:17,920 --> 00:59:20,080
Speaker 1: and it gets into the lanes that really matter, like

1150
00:59:20,160 --> 00:59:23,040
Speaker 1: how the teams are ranked and how the playoff committee

1151
00:59:23,040 --> 00:59:26,920
Speaker 1: stacks the teams. So, if you are upset and you

1152
00:59:26,960 --> 00:59:29,600
Speaker 1: think there's too much SEC bias in the process of

1153
00:59:29,640 --> 00:59:33,440
Speaker 1: the rankings right now, especially the college football playoff rankings,

1154
00:59:33,840 --> 00:59:40,280
Speaker 1: I'd ask you this, what properly calibrated ranking system would

1155
00:59:40,280 --> 00:59:42,640
Speaker 1: not have a ton of SEC teams in the top

1156
00:59:42,680 --> 00:59:47,080
Speaker 1: twenty right now? Just pick any ranking system you want,

1157
00:59:47,840 --> 00:59:51,960
Speaker 1: if it's properly and fairly calibrated, how would you not

1158
00:59:52,040 --> 00:59:54,680
Speaker 1: have a ton of SEC teams in the top twenty. Remember,

1159
00:59:55,240 --> 00:59:57,479
Speaker 1: there's a big difference, and it shouldn't be this way

1160
00:59:57,640 --> 01:00:00,800
Speaker 1: versus I don't like that it's this way because there

1161
01:00:00,800 --> 01:00:03,439
Speaker 1: are a lot of things I don't like that are

1162
01:00:03,760 --> 01:00:06,920
Speaker 1: technically right. I don't like driving twenty five in a

1163
01:00:06,920 --> 01:00:09,080
Speaker 1: school zone, but there's a reason I need to drive

1164
01:00:09,080 --> 01:00:13,760
Speaker 1: twenty five in a school zone. And similarly, I'm asking

1165
01:00:13,800 --> 01:00:19,080
Speaker 1: you what properly calibrated and properly presented method for ranking

1166
01:00:19,080 --> 01:00:21,680
Speaker 1: teams would not have a ton of SEC teams in

1167
01:00:21,720 --> 01:00:23,760
Speaker 1: the top twenty right now, and I looked at a

1168
01:00:23,840 --> 01:00:26,280
Speaker 1: number of them today. You already know what the Playoff

1169
01:00:26,280 --> 01:00:29,280
Speaker 1: Committee rankings say. I looked at my power ratings. I've

1170
01:00:29,280 --> 01:00:32,040
Speaker 1: got eight SEC teams in the top seventeen. So then

1171
01:00:32,080 --> 01:00:34,160
Speaker 1: you may say, well, everyone knows you're biased against the

1172
01:00:34,240 --> 01:00:37,840
Speaker 1: S or for the SEC. Josh, I would argue otherwise.

1173
01:00:37,960 --> 01:00:40,600
Speaker 1: I mean, my name literally was packed twelve paate until

1174
01:00:40,600 --> 01:00:43,680
Speaker 1: they killed my conference. But if you don't want to

1175
01:00:43,720 --> 01:00:46,959
Speaker 1: take my word for it, is Bill Connolly good enough

1176
01:00:46,960 --> 01:00:48,840
Speaker 1: for you? Is the S and P plus good enough

1177
01:00:48,840 --> 01:00:51,720
Speaker 1: for you? I don't exactly think he has SEC tramp

1178
01:00:51,800 --> 01:00:55,000
Speaker 1: stamped on his lower back. He's got nine SEC teams

1179
01:00:55,040 --> 01:00:59,240
Speaker 1: in his top seventeen today. So I ask again, is

1180
01:00:59,280 --> 01:01:02,280
Speaker 1: it all SEC bias or is it just a much

1181
01:01:02,400 --> 01:01:06,240
Speaker 1: deeper conference? Maybe not so many elite teams this year,

1182
01:01:06,560 --> 01:01:08,880
Speaker 1: but is it a deeper conference than all the other leagues.

1183
01:01:09,680 --> 01:01:12,920
Speaker 1: My answer would be yes, obviously, maybe your opinion differs.

1184
01:01:13,400 --> 01:01:15,240
Speaker 1: I keep hearing a lot of this stuff that's said

1185
01:01:15,240 --> 01:01:17,560
Speaker 1: in the abstract. I was listening to Canel. He and

1186
01:01:17,600 --> 01:01:19,960
Speaker 1: I go back and forth about this via text message

1187
01:01:20,240 --> 01:01:22,600
Speaker 1: just as much as we do publicly. Well, you can't

1188
01:01:22,680 --> 01:01:26,560
Speaker 1: let five SEC teams in the playoff? Why why all

1189
01:01:26,600 --> 01:01:30,200
Speaker 1: of these statements are absent in any context? How do

1190
01:01:30,240 --> 01:01:32,040
Speaker 1: you even know what the picture is going to look like.

1191
01:01:32,520 --> 01:01:34,760
Speaker 1: It could be that there's a bunch of chaos and

1192
01:01:34,840 --> 01:01:39,040
Speaker 1: there aren't enough SEC teams to even qualify for consideration.

1193
01:01:39,240 --> 01:01:42,120
Speaker 1: It could be that all of the chalk holds and

1194
01:01:42,200 --> 01:01:45,720
Speaker 1: there are five or six deserving teams sitting there at

1195
01:01:45,760 --> 01:01:48,160
Speaker 1: the end of the day. We don't know, is the point.

1196
01:01:48,400 --> 01:01:52,360
Speaker 1: But if the situation plays out favorably for the SEC,

1197
01:01:52,760 --> 01:01:54,600
Speaker 1: what do you mean you can't let five of them men?

1198
01:01:56,120 --> 01:01:58,920
Speaker 1: What if there aren't six more deserving teams or seven

1199
01:01:58,920 --> 01:02:00,960
Speaker 1: more deserving teams or whatever is. Of course you can

1200
01:02:01,040 --> 01:02:03,240
Speaker 1: let five of them men. You could put three of

1201
01:02:03,240 --> 01:02:05,920
Speaker 1: them men if the rest of the conference doesn't deserve it.

1202
01:02:06,080 --> 01:02:09,360
Speaker 1: And then I'll have someone I guarantee you tonight this

1203
01:02:09,360 --> 01:02:11,640
Speaker 1: will happen. Someone will shoot back at me if I

1204
01:02:11,680 --> 01:02:14,680
Speaker 1: talk about Ole miss for example, Well they lost to Kentucky,

1205
01:02:15,000 --> 01:02:18,560
Speaker 1: they sure did. And then I just sit there and

1206
01:02:18,640 --> 01:02:20,560
Speaker 1: I twiddle my thumbs and I wait and I wait

1207
01:02:20,560 --> 01:02:22,080
Speaker 1: and I wait, and there's no follow up. It's just

1208
01:02:22,480 --> 01:02:27,760
Speaker 1: they lost to Kentucky. Period. So that's a data point.

1209
01:02:27,840 --> 01:02:30,680
Speaker 1: That's one data point. Of course, they just beat Georgia

1210
01:02:30,800 --> 01:02:33,720
Speaker 1: last week, and of course when you look at their

1211
01:02:33,760 --> 01:02:37,040
Speaker 1: overall resume, they will have beaten a few quality teams

1212
01:02:37,320 --> 01:02:40,640
Speaker 1: and their losses will have been on the road to

1213
01:02:40,800 --> 01:02:43,440
Speaker 1: LSU in a game they didn't trail for a single second.

1214
01:02:43,720 --> 01:02:47,680
Speaker 1: They also went and handled South Carolina Like these things

1215
01:02:47,720 --> 01:02:51,520
Speaker 1: won't matter. They lost to Kentucky again. This is backwards

1216
01:02:51,560 --> 01:02:56,400
Speaker 1: logic that is disproportionately applied to teams in conferences that

1217
01:02:56,440 --> 01:02:59,040
Speaker 1: you don't happen to Like I always noticed this, if

1218
01:02:59,040 --> 01:03:02,120
Speaker 1: you applied the same standard across the board, you'd eliminate

1219
01:03:02,200 --> 01:03:05,640
Speaker 1: far more non SEC teams than you would SEC teams.

1220
01:03:05,680 --> 01:03:08,360
Speaker 1: But people don't do that. And then I get the

1221
01:03:08,640 --> 01:03:11,080
Speaker 1: you need to hold these teams accountable for losing, Well,

1222
01:03:11,080 --> 01:03:13,280
Speaker 1: you need to apply proper standards. Well, I don't really

1223
01:03:13,320 --> 01:03:15,520
Speaker 1: think you want that. A lot of you who are

1224
01:03:15,520 --> 01:03:18,200
Speaker 1: claiming that, I don't think you want that, because what

1225
01:03:18,240 --> 01:03:21,040
Speaker 1: it sounds like you're asking for is blind resumes, right,

1226
01:03:22,760 --> 01:03:25,760
Speaker 1: and it sounds fair, doesn't it. Oh yeah, forget about

1227
01:03:25,760 --> 01:03:29,720
Speaker 1: the SEC bias. Remove the Georgia logo in the Texas

1228
01:03:29,760 --> 01:03:32,360
Speaker 1: A and M logo. Let's just judge these teams based

1229
01:03:32,400 --> 01:03:36,040
Speaker 1: off their merit. Guys, I am telling you if you're

1230
01:03:36,080 --> 01:03:39,560
Speaker 1: anti SEC, that's the last thing you want, because, believe

1231
01:03:39,600 --> 01:03:43,479
Speaker 1: me or not, your better weapon against keeping a bunch

1232
01:03:43,480 --> 01:03:46,600
Speaker 1: of SEC teams out of the playoff is the SEC sticker.

1233
01:03:47,040 --> 01:03:50,760
Speaker 1: Because if you go blind resume, I promise you, if

1234
01:03:50,760 --> 01:03:55,160
Speaker 1: you properly calibrate the criteria and everyone is judged equally,

1235
01:03:56,000 --> 01:04:00,400
Speaker 1: quality wins strength of schedule, you're gonna have half a

1236
01:04:00,400 --> 01:04:03,200
Speaker 1: dozen SEC teams. Make that thing. You forget about the

1237
01:04:03,200 --> 01:04:06,440
Speaker 1: two loss teams. If you went blind resume and you

1238
01:04:06,520 --> 01:04:09,560
Speaker 1: did not know whose resume you were looking at, you'd

1239
01:04:09,640 --> 01:04:12,880
Speaker 1: end up arguing for a team like South Carolina if

1240
01:04:12,920 --> 01:04:14,400
Speaker 1: you judged all of it properly at the end of

1241
01:04:14,440 --> 01:04:17,080
Speaker 1: the year, and then I'd hit a button and you'd

1242
01:04:17,080 --> 01:04:19,320
Speaker 1: see the logo and you go, oh, never mind, ner my, nermind,

1243
01:04:19,360 --> 01:04:22,240
Speaker 1: what do you mean? Never mind? Well, it's an SEC team,

1244
01:04:22,240 --> 01:04:24,640
Speaker 1: but that's not supposed to matter. Remember, we agree to

1245
01:04:24,680 --> 01:04:27,040
Speaker 1: go blind resume, which is what this is supposed to be.

1246
01:04:27,080 --> 01:04:30,960
Speaker 1: By the way, after conference Championship Saturday happens, and then

1247
01:04:31,000 --> 01:04:34,360
Speaker 1: you fill the autobid buckets. Should we not go at

1248
01:04:34,400 --> 01:04:37,560
Speaker 1: your sketch left to right and erase the conference affiliation

1249
01:04:38,000 --> 01:04:40,240
Speaker 1: and just see the thing based off resume. Is that

1250
01:04:40,280 --> 01:04:42,440
Speaker 1: not how that's supposed to work. I think a lot

1251
01:04:42,440 --> 01:04:44,920
Speaker 1: of you advocate for that until you find out the

1252
01:04:44,960 --> 01:04:48,640
Speaker 1: consequences of your advocation. Your advocation could end up with

1253
01:04:48,680 --> 01:04:50,920
Speaker 1: even more SEC teams in this thing. Now, I'm gonna

1254
01:04:51,040 --> 01:04:53,240
Speaker 1: suggest a theory here. I can't prove it because we

1255
01:04:53,240 --> 01:04:57,080
Speaker 1: haven't seen it happen yet. I happen to believe that

1256
01:04:57,160 --> 01:04:59,640
Speaker 1: if we get to the finish line and there are

1257
01:04:59,680 --> 01:05:04,040
Speaker 1: five verse six SEC resumes that are pretty darn competitive,

1258
01:05:04,720 --> 01:05:07,000
Speaker 1: I happen to think one of the only things that's

1259
01:05:07,040 --> 01:05:09,840
Speaker 1: going to keep five or six of them out is

1260
01:05:09,880 --> 01:05:12,640
Speaker 1: the fact that they are SEC teams. You may listen

1261
01:05:12,640 --> 01:05:15,520
Speaker 1: to that, say, no, Josh, SEC bias rules dictate that

1262
01:05:15,880 --> 01:05:18,640
Speaker 1: more SEC teams would make it in. Well, that's not

1263
01:05:18,800 --> 01:05:21,400
Speaker 1: the way I think that room's gonna handle that. The

1264
01:05:21,440 --> 01:05:25,200
Speaker 1: way that room's gonna handle it is they're not AI robots.

1265
01:05:25,240 --> 01:05:27,960
Speaker 1: They are humans. And so if it comes down to

1266
01:05:28,000 --> 01:05:30,880
Speaker 1: it and you've got a Texas A and M resume

1267
01:05:31,560 --> 01:05:34,720
Speaker 1: versus A resume that of Notre Dame, or you know

1268
01:05:34,760 --> 01:05:38,200
Speaker 1: that of a second ACC team or something like that.

1269
01:05:38,440 --> 01:05:41,200
Speaker 1: It's not gonna sound like a blind resume. What it's

1270
01:05:41,200 --> 01:05:45,200
Speaker 1: gonna sound like is do we put Notre Dame in here?

1271
01:05:45,320 --> 01:05:48,160
Speaker 1: Or do we put a fifth SEC team in That's

1272
01:05:48,200 --> 01:05:51,120
Speaker 1: what it would sound like. You notice, you notice it's

1273
01:05:51,120 --> 01:05:53,560
Speaker 1: not merit versus merit at that point. It's not resume

1274
01:05:53,680 --> 01:05:58,160
Speaker 1: versus resume. It's fifth SEC team versus Notre Dame at

1275
01:05:58,160 --> 01:06:00,840
Speaker 1: that point. And I'm telling you Notre Dame would get

1276
01:06:00,840 --> 01:06:03,560
Speaker 1: the nod because I think someone in the back of

1277
01:06:03,600 --> 01:06:06,200
Speaker 1: their mind would say, guys, are we really going to

1278
01:06:06,280 --> 01:06:10,280
Speaker 1: put a fifth SEC team in here over Notre Day?

1279
01:06:10,320 --> 01:06:12,240
Speaker 1: Are we really going to do that? I mean, they've

1280
01:06:12,240 --> 01:06:16,640
Speaker 1: already got enough. Let's give someone else a shot. Do

1281
01:06:16,680 --> 01:06:18,800
Speaker 1: you think that's more likely or do you think it's

1282
01:06:18,840 --> 01:06:22,280
Speaker 1: more likely that athletic directors, because that's who the committee

1283
01:06:22,360 --> 01:06:24,880
Speaker 1: is made up of, from all over the country, are

1284
01:06:24,880 --> 01:06:26,720
Speaker 1: going to all of a sudden decide no, we want

1285
01:06:26,720 --> 01:06:28,320
Speaker 1: to load it up with SEC teams. What do you

1286
01:06:28,320 --> 01:06:31,160
Speaker 1: think is more likely? For all the SEC bias conspiracy

1287
01:06:31,160 --> 01:06:32,960
Speaker 1: theorists out there, what do you think is more likely?

1288
01:06:34,680 --> 01:06:37,600
Speaker 1: It's my theory. We'll see how it works out. All

1289
01:06:37,680 --> 01:06:42,840
Speaker 1: odds presented on this show courtesy of FanDuel. I appreciate

1290
01:06:42,880 --> 01:06:45,560
Speaker 1: them so much. Many of you know that I appreciate

1291
01:06:45,600 --> 01:06:47,320
Speaker 1: a lot because I say it every show. But many

1292
01:06:47,320 --> 01:06:49,320
Speaker 1: of you know we never had a sports betting partner

1293
01:06:49,400 --> 01:06:51,120
Speaker 1: until this year. And I'm going to tell you why

1294
01:06:51,160 --> 01:06:54,480
Speaker 1: that is. They approached us, all of them approached us,

1295
01:06:54,800 --> 01:06:57,720
Speaker 1: but I would always shoot back the same thing. I'm

1296
01:06:57,720 --> 01:07:00,360
Speaker 1: not going to advocate for certain things, and I have

1297
01:07:00,440 --> 01:07:03,880
Speaker 1: to have responsible gaming woven into the partnership. And a

1298
01:07:03,920 --> 01:07:06,720
Speaker 1: lot of them didn't want to go for it because

1299
01:07:06,720 --> 01:07:09,200
Speaker 1: it would be bad for business, at least in their perception.

1300
01:07:10,000 --> 01:07:13,880
Speaker 1: FanDuel not only went for it, FanDuel encouraged us. FanDuel said,

1301
01:07:13,960 --> 01:07:17,440
Speaker 1: feel free to take the spot in the show that

1302
01:07:17,480 --> 01:07:20,680
Speaker 1: we have paid for and talk about things like responsible

1303
01:07:20,720 --> 01:07:25,040
Speaker 1: gaming and talk about concepts like backing away if you

1304
01:07:25,080 --> 01:07:28,560
Speaker 1: can't afford to bet on a game, just just deleting

1305
01:07:28,600 --> 01:07:30,720
Speaker 1: the app for a little while if you're in a

1306
01:07:30,760 --> 01:07:34,360
Speaker 1: bad place, or use the app, but instead of placing

1307
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Speaker 1: a bet on Syracuse minus three and a half, check

1308
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Speaker 1: out the responsible gaming tab FanDuel dot com backslash RG,

1309
01:07:41,480 --> 01:07:45,040
Speaker 1: which stands for Responsible Gaming is something that I regularly

1310
01:07:45,080 --> 01:07:47,000
Speaker 1: direct some of you too, because a lot of you

1311
01:07:47,000 --> 01:07:50,000
Speaker 1: will come in my DMS and you'll ask for advice,

1312
01:07:50,080 --> 01:07:53,040
Speaker 1: and it's blatantly obvious. You're asking for advice to try

1313
01:07:53,080 --> 01:07:55,640
Speaker 1: and dig yourself out of a hole, and that is

1314
01:07:56,240 --> 01:07:59,360
Speaker 1: horrific strategy. You're on tilt at that point. You're not

1315
01:07:59,400 --> 01:08:02,640
Speaker 1: thinking clear. You have not practiced proper money management, and

1316
01:08:02,640 --> 01:08:04,880
Speaker 1: you're getting yourself in trouble. And I don't want to

1317
01:08:04,920 --> 01:08:06,760
Speaker 1: see that. I don't want to see that from anyone here.

1318
01:08:07,120 --> 01:08:10,320
Speaker 1: This is for entertainment, and it's fun with money you

1319
01:08:10,320 --> 01:08:12,920
Speaker 1: can afford to lose. Hear me loud and clear. If

1320
01:08:12,960 --> 01:08:16,040
Speaker 1: you cannot afford to lose money, do not bet a

1321
01:08:16,120 --> 01:08:18,360
Speaker 1: dime on this stuff. You can have fun. You can

1322
01:08:18,360 --> 01:08:20,160
Speaker 1: sit there on the bench and watch it. Maybe down

1323
01:08:20,240 --> 01:08:22,280
Speaker 1: the road you get yourself in a little better position,

1324
01:08:22,680 --> 01:08:26,519
Speaker 1: you've got some discretionary income. That's great. The reason we

1325
01:08:26,560 --> 01:08:28,879
Speaker 1: partner with fanduels because they actually believe in that stuff

1326
01:08:29,040 --> 01:08:31,720
Speaker 1: and we regularly have meetings about it, and I really

1327
01:08:31,800 --> 01:08:35,640
Speaker 1: appreciate them. So do not ever borrow money to do

1328
01:08:35,680 --> 01:08:39,439
Speaker 1: this stuff. Understand proper money management. Don't ever double down

1329
01:08:39,439 --> 01:08:41,519
Speaker 1: and triple down to dig yourself out of a hole.

1330
01:08:41,640 --> 01:08:45,200
Speaker 1: I mean, can you imagine getting yourself in a position

1331
01:08:46,000 --> 01:08:50,680
Speaker 1: in the holiday season where you're having to choose between

1332
01:08:51,280 --> 01:08:56,400
Speaker 1: presents and gifts for family and children versus. But you know,

1333
01:08:56,439 --> 01:08:59,280
Speaker 1: I got to have some action on this weekday Mac game.

1334
01:08:59,360 --> 01:09:01,439
Speaker 1: No you don't. No, you do not at all. So

1335
01:09:01,560 --> 01:09:05,200
Speaker 1: let's be smart, let's have fun, but let's be very responsible. Now.

1336
01:09:05,240 --> 01:09:09,439
Speaker 1: Having said that, if you fit the latter category instead

1337
01:09:09,439 --> 01:09:12,360
Speaker 1: of the product category, we are on two games already.

1338
01:09:12,400 --> 01:09:14,599
Speaker 1: One of them is Ohio minus seven and a half.

1339
01:09:14,600 --> 01:09:16,160
Speaker 1: We locked that one in the other day. That line

1340
01:09:16,280 --> 01:09:17,760
Speaker 1: jumped as soon as we did. I don't want to

1341
01:09:17,800 --> 01:09:20,880
Speaker 1: claim responsibility. I'm just saying the line jump. And earlier

1342
01:09:20,880 --> 01:09:23,519
Speaker 1: tonight we got on Tennessee plus nine and a half.

1343
01:09:23,720 --> 01:09:27,160
Speaker 1: Of course, moments later we had the announcement that Nico's

1344
01:09:27,200 --> 01:09:29,640
Speaker 1: not expected to play. But I'm a man of my word,

1345
01:09:29,760 --> 01:09:31,840
Speaker 1: so we have to stick with what we rolled with

1346
01:09:32,200 --> 01:09:34,160
Speaker 1: and we'll just see what the rest of the week brings.

1347
01:09:34,479 --> 01:09:38,439
Speaker 1: Sign Up for FanDuel at FanDuel dot com Backslash CFB

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Speaker 1: Or call one eight seven seven eight Hope, n Y.

1361
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Speaker 1: Or text h op E n Y in New York. Okay,

1362
01:10:35,600 --> 01:10:39,320
Speaker 1: I thought that I would end the show tonight on

1363
01:10:39,560 --> 01:10:43,280
Speaker 1: something that would be lighthearted. It would make me feel

1364
01:10:43,320 --> 01:10:46,040
Speaker 1: great about myself, and it would make most of you

1365
01:10:46,120 --> 01:10:47,920
Speaker 1: feel good too. But some of you are going to

1366
01:10:47,960 --> 01:10:51,719
Speaker 1: feel terrible because this is targeting. I should be ejected

1367
01:10:51,720 --> 01:10:54,880
Speaker 1: from the show after this. You all made bold predictions

1368
01:10:54,880 --> 01:10:58,479
Speaker 1: in August. Do you remember that I do hundreds two

1369
01:10:58,520 --> 01:11:01,880
Speaker 1: thousands of you submitted bold predictions, and my only rule

1370
01:11:02,080 --> 01:11:04,320
Speaker 1: was you have to be willing to bet your own

1371
01:11:04,360 --> 01:11:06,680
Speaker 1: money on this stuff. Don't give me fantasy land. I

1372
01:11:06,680 --> 01:11:09,400
Speaker 1: want stuff you really believe in. And I questioned whether

1373
01:11:09,439 --> 01:11:13,160
Speaker 1: some of you believed in this stuff, And here's my evidence.

1374
01:11:13,240 --> 01:11:15,679
Speaker 1: Let's just go through some of these, shall we. First

1375
01:11:15,720 --> 01:11:20,519
Speaker 1: prediction from Douglas in New Hartford, New York, Nebraska goes

1376
01:11:20,560 --> 01:11:23,839
Speaker 1: eleven to one and will make the College football Playoff.

1377
01:11:25,360 --> 01:11:29,120
Speaker 1: Nebraska is five and four entering week twelve. Douglas, the

1378
01:11:29,160 --> 01:11:32,160
Speaker 1: offensive coordinator has been fired, which was one of the

1379
01:11:32,200 --> 01:11:34,960
Speaker 1: most predictable things of the twenty twenty four season. They've

1380
01:11:35,000 --> 01:11:37,720
Speaker 1: still got to go to USC They've got Wisconsin, They've

1381
01:11:37,760 --> 01:11:40,519
Speaker 1: got at Iowa. They are not fighting to make the playoff.

1382
01:11:40,840 --> 01:11:44,559
Speaker 1: They are fighting for bowl eligibility at this point. I

1383
01:11:44,640 --> 01:11:47,559
Speaker 1: graded this a nine point seventy five on the boldness scale,

1384
01:11:48,760 --> 01:11:51,880
Speaker 1: and it panned out. This is a busted prediction. Next up,

1385
01:11:52,560 --> 01:11:56,960
Speaker 1: another nine point seventy five, Another busted prediction. This one

1386
01:11:57,000 --> 01:12:00,439
Speaker 1: takes us to the Big twelve and Kelly and Vegas

1387
01:12:00,439 --> 01:12:03,320
Speaker 1: friend of the program. This hurts. This hurts my heart,

1388
01:12:03,720 --> 01:12:06,280
Speaker 1: but not as much as it hurts her reputation. Avery

1389
01:12:06,360 --> 01:12:11,360
Speaker 1: Johnson wins the Heisman of what this was never happening?

1390
01:12:11,520 --> 01:12:13,960
Speaker 1: And Avery Johnson hasn't had a terrible year or anything.

1391
01:12:14,240 --> 01:12:16,479
Speaker 1: But he's just over two hundred passing yards per game.

1392
01:12:16,720 --> 01:12:21,160
Speaker 1: Jesse tells me that's good for sixty fourth nationally. Not

1393
01:12:21,280 --> 01:12:26,000
Speaker 1: Heisman material, pet State material, but not Heisman material. Kansas

1394
01:12:26,040 --> 01:12:28,920
Speaker 1: State as a team has also kind of slightly been off.

1395
01:12:28,960 --> 01:12:31,320
Speaker 1: They're not quite elite this year. So I don't know

1396
01:12:31,320 --> 01:12:33,759
Speaker 1: in what world Avery Johnson was ever winning the Heisman,

1397
01:12:33,840 --> 01:12:37,679
Speaker 1: but not this one. This is yet another busted prediction.

1398
01:12:38,160 --> 01:12:40,200
Speaker 1: I feel great because these are not my predictions. My

1399
01:12:40,240 --> 01:12:43,040
Speaker 1: favorite thing in the world is to shell out all

1400
01:12:43,080 --> 01:12:46,280
Speaker 1: the blame that I possibly can while accepting none of

1401
01:12:46,280 --> 01:12:49,280
Speaker 1: it myself. Next up, this one was a ten on

1402
01:12:49,360 --> 01:12:53,800
Speaker 1: the boldness scale Daryl from Fort Lauderdale, Florida, who Daryl

1403
01:12:53,840 --> 01:12:57,720
Speaker 1: came with the heat and then he burned himself. ACC

1404
01:12:58,040 --> 01:13:03,519
Speaker 1: champion FSU will face Big twelve champion UCF in the playoff.

1405
01:13:06,600 --> 01:13:09,000
Speaker 1: FSU is currently one in nine. As you may know,

1406
01:13:09,640 --> 01:13:12,760
Speaker 1: UCF is four and six. I had stats in Info

1407
01:13:12,840 --> 01:13:17,080
Speaker 1: run the numbers. There are currently thirty three Power four

1408
01:13:17,120 --> 01:13:22,759
Speaker 1: teams with more wins than FSU and UCF combined. Somewhere

1409
01:13:22,760 --> 01:13:24,640
Speaker 1: in the back of Daryl's mind, these were going to

1410
01:13:24,680 --> 01:13:29,120
Speaker 1: be a conference champions facing off in the playoff. In reality,

1411
01:13:30,960 --> 01:13:33,720
Speaker 1: I want to be kind. It is, after all, we

1412
01:13:33,800 --> 01:13:37,479
Speaker 1: are bordering on the holiday season. I want to be kind, Okay,

1413
01:13:37,720 --> 01:13:39,920
Speaker 1: I don't need to drag these guys through the mud anymore.

1414
01:13:40,640 --> 01:13:43,519
Speaker 1: I don't think Florida State's gonna make the playoff, like

1415
01:13:43,560 --> 01:13:46,879
Speaker 1: I really. I don't love their odds in the ACC

1416
01:13:47,040 --> 01:13:49,960
Speaker 1: title race, Jesse, we don't have odds on FSU to

1417
01:13:50,000 --> 01:13:54,080
Speaker 1: win the ACC, right, No, we do not. Man, they

1418
01:13:54,120 --> 01:13:59,920
Speaker 1: got Charleston Southern and then they got Florida. I mean,

1419
01:14:00,479 --> 01:14:05,160
Speaker 1: it's November twelfth, and we are asking ourselves, can FSU

1420
01:14:05,240 --> 01:14:10,320
Speaker 1: get to three wins? Next? Up? You know that one?

1421
01:14:10,479 --> 01:14:13,000
Speaker 1: That one didn't even feel good. That was almost irresponsible

1422
01:14:13,000 --> 01:14:15,479
Speaker 1: and unfair. The next one was a nine point seventy

1423
01:14:15,520 --> 01:14:19,160
Speaker 1: five on the boldness scale. Tucker hit me and said

1424
01:14:19,680 --> 01:14:21,920
Speaker 1: Texas A and M will have a losing record but

1425
01:14:22,000 --> 01:14:24,840
Speaker 1: still beat Texas. Well. The reason this was a nine

1426
01:14:24,880 --> 01:14:27,160
Speaker 1: point seventy five is because an A and M team

1427
01:14:27,240 --> 01:14:30,200
Speaker 1: good enough to beat Texas was never going to be

1428
01:14:30,320 --> 01:14:33,400
Speaker 1: sub five hundred, and so A and M is seven

1429
01:14:33,439 --> 01:14:35,479
Speaker 1: and two. They're in the thick of the playoff race.

1430
01:14:36,120 --> 01:14:38,920
Speaker 1: So part one of that is dead and buried. The

1431
01:14:38,920 --> 01:14:41,400
Speaker 1: worst case is seven and five, and that's not gonna happen,

1432
01:14:41,439 --> 01:14:44,599
Speaker 1: by the way, So the good news is they may

1433
01:14:44,640 --> 01:14:47,840
Speaker 1: beat Texas. Texas at last check was favored by four

1434
01:14:47,880 --> 01:14:49,960
Speaker 1: and a half against A and M. FanDuel had that

1435
01:14:50,040 --> 01:14:51,800
Speaker 1: number up as recently as last week. I don't know

1436
01:14:51,840 --> 01:14:54,519
Speaker 1: what it is today. That game is still three weeks away,

1437
01:14:55,479 --> 01:14:58,800
Speaker 1: but man, I mean sub five hundred, but you beat Texas.

1438
01:14:58,920 --> 01:15:00,759
Speaker 1: If A and M was sub high some five hundred,

1439
01:15:01,120 --> 01:15:03,519
Speaker 1: Texas would go in there favored by like three to

1440
01:15:03,600 --> 01:15:06,439
Speaker 1: four touchdowns. So that was never gonna happen. I didn't think.

1441
01:15:07,320 --> 01:15:08,719
Speaker 1: I don't know if I don't know if you guys

1442
01:15:08,840 --> 01:15:13,240
Speaker 1: enjoyed that, but I did. That's really good because I

1443
01:15:13,280 --> 01:15:17,920
Speaker 1: mean I picked LSU to beat Alabama last week. So

1444
01:15:18,200 --> 01:15:20,680
Speaker 1: it's been tough for me. It's been really tough. And

1445
01:15:20,680 --> 01:15:24,320
Speaker 1: here's the thing about that. When you're around these programs

1446
01:15:24,360 --> 01:15:27,320
Speaker 1: a lot, you get to know everybody and they all

1447
01:15:27,520 --> 01:15:29,360
Speaker 1: watch the show, and if they don't watch the show,

1448
01:15:29,400 --> 01:15:32,680
Speaker 1: they are made aware when you pick against them. And

1449
01:15:32,880 --> 01:15:35,439
Speaker 1: the worst feeling in the world, like the smallest you

1450
01:15:35,520 --> 01:15:38,280
Speaker 1: feel all week, is when you're around a team in

1451
01:15:38,320 --> 01:15:40,880
Speaker 1: the post game and they just won and defied a

1452
01:15:40,880 --> 01:15:44,599
Speaker 1: prediction of yours emphatically, and they all just walk up

1453
01:15:44,640 --> 01:15:47,799
Speaker 1: and they give you a smile, and it's the worst

1454
01:15:47,800 --> 01:15:50,360
Speaker 1: thing they could do because you know what's behind the smile.

1455
01:15:50,720 --> 01:15:54,519
Speaker 1: You know, you know without question, what they're thinking. And

1456
01:15:54,560 --> 01:15:57,479
Speaker 1: then they put you in the post game video as

1457
01:15:57,520 --> 01:16:00,600
Speaker 1: Alabama is wont to do, and they did again. But

1458
01:16:00,680 --> 01:16:03,599
Speaker 1: I'm telling you, I'm telling you there's coming to day.

1459
01:16:04,080 --> 01:16:05,840
Speaker 1: We're I'm gonna pick Alabama to win a big game

1460
01:16:05,920 --> 01:16:08,840
Speaker 1: and they're gonna do it. And if that social team

1461
01:16:09,120 --> 01:16:12,240
Speaker 1: and that digital media team does not feature us wall

1462
01:16:12,320 --> 01:16:15,400
Speaker 1: to wall, it could get retitious. We could go after

1463
01:16:15,439 --> 01:16:18,920
Speaker 1: them legally. I hear they have pretty deep intam but

1464
01:16:19,080 --> 01:16:23,080
Speaker 1: we need we need one. We need one for him.

1465
01:16:23,560 --> 01:16:25,400
Speaker 1: All right, I am out of here. We are going

1466
01:16:25,400 --> 01:16:28,680
Speaker 1: to go watch the college football playoff rankings reveal and

1467
01:16:28,680 --> 01:16:30,599
Speaker 1: then I'll be a sudden you about that later, Fornac.

1468
01:16:30,880 --> 01:16:33,479
Speaker 1: Until then, for producer Jesse direct Colin, I'm Josh Bay.

1469
01:16:33,560 --> 01:16:36,200
Speaker 1: Take care, have a great rest of your Tuesday evening

1470
01:16:36,280 --> 01:16:47,559
Speaker 1: and god Bless. Sign up for FanDuel at FanDuel dot

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Speaker 1: expires seven days after receipt. Do you have a gambling problem?

1477
01:17:11,479 --> 01:17:14,760
Speaker 1: If so, call one eight hundred gambler or visitfanduel dot

1478
01:17:14,800 --> 01:17:18,880
Speaker 1: com backslash RG call one eight eight eight seven eight

1479
01:17:19,000 --> 01:17:23,000
Speaker 1: nine seven seven seven seven, or visit CCPG dot org

1480
01:17:23,200 --> 01:17:27,519
Speaker 1: backslash chat in Connecticut, or visit MD Gamblinghelp dot org

1481
01:17:27,560 --> 01:17:31,400
Speaker 1: in Maryland. Hope is here, visit Gambling Heelpline m A

1482
01:17:31,560 --> 01:17:34,479
Speaker 1: dot org or call eight hundred three two seven fifty

1483
01:17:34,600 --> 01:17:37,960
Speaker 1: fifty for twenty four seven support in Massachusetts. Or call

1484
01:17:38,040 --> 01:17:41,439
Speaker 1: one eight seven seven eight Hope, n Y. Or text

1485
01:17:41,680 --> 01:17:44,519
Speaker 1: h O P E n Y in New York