WEBVTT - Denial to Delay: The Battle Over the Clean Air Act

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<v Speaker 1>The past two years has seen the Supreme Court of

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<v Speaker 1>the United States fundamentally reshaped the government's ability to regulate

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<v Speaker 1>greenhouse gas emissions. I'm primarily talking about rulings in three

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<v Speaker 1>cases West Virginia versus EPA in twenty twenty two, and

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<v Speaker 1>then two cases called Loperbright and Corner Post in twenty

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<v Speaker 1>twenty four. Loperbright got a lot of attention because it

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<v Speaker 1>is the case that got rid of what's called Chevron deference.

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<v Speaker 1>Chevron deference was a president that was in place for

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<v Speaker 1>a number of decades. It basically said that when legislation

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<v Speaker 1>or a particular statute has not been explicit about exactly

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<v Speaker 1>how a law should be implemented by an agency, it's

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<v Speaker 1>up to that agency to decide how to implement the law.

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<v Speaker 1>The idea of being that laws are often quite vague,

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<v Speaker 1>it's up to regulatory agencies to implement those laws based

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<v Speaker 1>on what they're exports are telling them. That is gone now,

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<v Speaker 1>which means prepare to see a lot of lawsuits about regulations,

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<v Speaker 1>particularly environmental regulations. The Corner Post ruling came out during

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<v Speaker 1>the same Supreme Court session and got almost no coverage,

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<v Speaker 1>but is equally problematic when it comes to environmental and

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<v Speaker 1>climate policy. That case got rid of the statute of

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<v Speaker 1>limitations on legal challenges to previously passed legislation. So if

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<v Speaker 1>you think about the most recent ten years or so,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, an administration comes in, they pass a new

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<v Speaker 1>power plant rule, it gets challenged, that makes its way

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<v Speaker 1>through the court. We have not seen, for example, a

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<v Speaker 1>challenge to a rule that came about in the Clinton

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<v Speaker 1>administration because there was a statute of limitations on that

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<v Speaker 1>sort of litigation. Now that's gone. So just think about

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<v Speaker 1>what that might mean if the Koch brothers, for example,

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<v Speaker 1>continue to fire up their litigation machine and start filing

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<v Speaker 1>suits challenging all of the past twenty years worth of

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<v Speaker 1>environmental regulations. That is what we are in for in

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<v Speaker 1>the years ahead now. Before West Virginia came along and

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<v Speaker 1>said that because the Cleaner Act didn't explicitly lay out

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<v Speaker 1>climate policy, the EPA cannot use it to regulate greenhouse

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<v Speaker 1>gas emissions. Another case, Massachusetts versus EPA, ruled that in

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen seventy when the Clean Air Act was passed, climate

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<v Speaker 1>science was quote in its infancy, and they inferred from

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<v Speaker 1>that that Congress could not possibly have meant for that

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<v Speaker 1>Act to be used to regulate anything related to climate change.

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<v Speaker 1>In a new study in Ecology Quarterly, Naomia Rescuez and

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<v Speaker 1>a handful of other researchers with her at Harvard University

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<v Speaker 1>decided to look into whether that is even true this

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<v Speaker 1>idea that climate science was in its infancy in nineteen seventy.

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<v Speaker 1>What they found was that climate science really was not

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<v Speaker 1>in its infancy in nineteen seventy. Then, in fact, there

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<v Speaker 1>was not only quite a bit of scientific knowledge about

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<v Speaker 1>climate change, both at the oil companies themselves as we know,

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<v Speaker 1>and also in the government, but that even in a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of popular culture, climate change as a thing that

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<v Speaker 1>was happening and that was understood to be caused by

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<v Speaker 1>fossil fuel combustion, was pretty commonly known. They found all

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<v Speaker 1>of these really incredible examples of late night talk shows

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<v Speaker 1>talking about it, beat poets talking about it, movies, TV shows,

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<v Speaker 1>all kinds of spots where it seemed unlikely that people

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<v Speaker 1>would be talking about this issue if it was not

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<v Speaker 1>more widely known. That research calls into question a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of the assumptions that some of these recent rulings have

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<v Speaker 1>been based on, which makes things a little more interesting.

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<v Speaker 1>I talked to Aresquez about her research, what was new

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<v Speaker 1>and surprising to her, how this history shapes how we

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<v Speaker 1>understand the whole history of climate science in general. And

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<v Speaker 1>I also called up Patrick Parento at Vermont Law School

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<v Speaker 1>to ask about how this new research might play into

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<v Speaker 1>the cases we're expecting to see in the next couple

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<v Speaker 1>of years. That's all coming up after this quick break.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Amy Westervelt and this is drilled. I wanted to

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<v Speaker 1>just ask you first, what prompted you to start looking

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<v Speaker 1>into this. Did you start doing the research after West

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<v Speaker 1>Virginia versus EPA or was there another.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, this paper has been super long in coming, and

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<v Speaker 2>it's actually taken a long time, partly because it turned

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<v Speaker 2>out to be a much much bigger project than we expected.

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<v Speaker 2>That party is, we all had other day jobs, so

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<v Speaker 2>this is like being actually as a second project or

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<v Speaker 2>a third project. So the short answer is, actually, I've

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<v Speaker 2>been interested in this question really ever since Mass versus EPA,

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<v Speaker 2>when Big in court said that in nineteen seventy climate

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<v Speaker 2>science was in its infancy and implied therefore that there

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<v Speaker 2>was no way Congress could have really understood the problem

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<v Speaker 2>enough for them to intend for the cleaner app to

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<v Speaker 2>apply to CO two rehouse gases. Yes, well, I say science,

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<v Speaker 2>who was working on the history of cloud science. That

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<v Speaker 2>statement that client science was in its infancy.

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<v Speaker 3>I knew it was wrong.

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<v Speaker 2>I just knew that was false, because already by that

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<v Speaker 2>time I had been working probably about five years already

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<v Speaker 2>on the history of climate science.

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<v Speaker 3>And I knew that already in the nineteen fifties.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, in the fifties we see the beginning of

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<v Speaker 2>what becomes a sustained you know, half a century of

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<v Speaker 2>important scientific work on CO two, the greenhouse effair and

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<v Speaker 2>its potential implications. But what I didn't know was how

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<v Speaker 2>much had that been communicated to government. And you might

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<v Speaker 2>recall Emergency of Doubt. We cite the nineteen sixty five

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<v Speaker 2>Peace Sack Report on Environment that has a whole appendix

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<v Speaker 2>about climate change. And we know by the time we

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<v Speaker 2>wrote Merchants of Doubt, which was in twenty ten, we

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<v Speaker 2>knew that at least President Johnson was aware of it.

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<v Speaker 2>We know that that report landed on his desk, and

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<v Speaker 2>we know that he mentions CO two and climate in

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<v Speaker 2>his Special Message to Congress that year. So I knew

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<v Speaker 2>that there was a pretty significant scientific conversation already taking

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<v Speaker 2>place by nineteen sixty five. I knew that Dave Keeling

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<v Speaker 2>by sixty five had already concluded that he had enough

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<v Speaker 2>data to say, Yeah, this is going to be a

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<v Speaker 2>big deal. And we knew that it had reached the

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<v Speaker 2>executive branch through Peasact. But what we didn't know at

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<v Speaker 2>that time was how broad was the conversation and did

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<v Speaker 2>Congress know about this, because obviously we have separation of

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<v Speaker 2>powers in the US government, so it's plausible that, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>the executive branch might know stuff that they did not

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<v Speaker 2>communicate clearly to the legislative branch. So that was something

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<v Speaker 2>that I had been interested in for a long time.

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<v Speaker 2>And then at some point I can't remember exactly when

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<v Speaker 2>this was, but it was shortly after I moved to Harvard's.

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<v Speaker 2>This would have been twenty thirteen, fourteen fifteen, something like that.

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<v Speaker 2>Jody Freeman called me kind of asking the same question,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, what did we know about what was known

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<v Speaker 2>about this issue when the Cleaner Act was written. Because

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<v Speaker 2>the preambleton Cleaner Act includes the words whether in climate

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<v Speaker 2>so ut any straightforward, non tortured reading of the statue,

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<v Speaker 2>it obviously relates to weather and climate, because the words

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<v Speaker 2>are in the statue and were that you talks about impacts.

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<v Speaker 3>Impacts on weather and climate are one of the things

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<v Speaker 3>they say. It seems pretty obvious.

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<v Speaker 2>But the other side had argued in a couple of

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<v Speaker 2>amikas briefs, oh, well, when they used the word climate,

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<v Speaker 2>they didn't really mean it the way we mean it

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<v Speaker 2>today to mean global climate change. They were just talking

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<v Speaker 2>about the climate of California or the climate of North Carolina.

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<v Speaker 2>They were thinking about local effects and climate. Well, so

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<v Speaker 2>we thought, well we could answer that question. And it

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<v Speaker 2>is true that sometimes words can be used in different ways,

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<v Speaker 2>and it is true the word climate can refer to

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<v Speaker 2>local or global climate.

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<v Speaker 3>So I hired.

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<v Speaker 2>Colleen, my GRADUA student coming in the near Christiansen, who's

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<v Speaker 2>the second althar on the paper, to just do a

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<v Speaker 2>little bit of digging, and very quickly the project grew

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<v Speaker 2>and we discovered this really astonishingly broad and deep conversation

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<v Speaker 2>among scientists and among Congress and members of Congress about

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<v Speaker 2>this issue about global climate change related to greenhouse gases

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<v Speaker 2>in the atmosphere. And so we started working on this,

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<v Speaker 2>raised a little money pay for calling to be a

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<v Speaker 2>research assisted and as it grew, when we found more

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<v Speaker 2>relevant things than we recruited in Hanna Conway to join

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<v Speaker 2>the project. And then West Virginia happened, and this so

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<v Speaker 2>called Major Questions doctrine. And one of the things that

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<v Speaker 2>the court said in that case, as you know, was

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<v Speaker 2>to introduce the standard of the vast economic and political significance,

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<v Speaker 2>and generally that if something is a vast economic and

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<v Speaker 2>political significance, that it raises the bar for agency regulation,

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<v Speaker 2>and that therefore the statute has to be absolutely explicit

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<v Speaker 2>before an agency could make choices. Now, we could argue

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<v Speaker 2>about the justificational wisdom of that claim, but I'm not

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<v Speaker 2>a legal experts so.

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<v Speaker 3>I wouldn't want to get into that.

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<v Speaker 2>But what we did know when that decision came out

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<v Speaker 2>was that we actually had people in the nineteen sixties

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<v Speaker 2>talking about the potentially vast economic and political significance of

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<v Speaker 2>doing something about C two, And we even had conferences

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<v Speaker 2>where people from Ford Motor Company had been at the

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<v Speaker 2>conference discussing these issues. There was a report on electric

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<v Speaker 2>cars by the Department of Transportation that specifically talks about

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<v Speaker 2>how CO two might force us to convert the entire

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<v Speaker 2>automobile fleet to electric. Well that kind of lit a

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<v Speaker 2>fire on us and said, Okay, we've a work on

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<v Speaker 2>this project for years, kind of back burner. We need

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<v Speaker 2>to put this on the front burner and we need

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<v Speaker 2>to get this written. And so that's the story about

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<v Speaker 2>the paper and why it's now coming out. So it

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<v Speaker 2>absolutely is relevant to West Virginia, but it was not

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<v Speaker 2>motivated originally about West Virginia.

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<v Speaker 3>That's so interesting.

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<v Speaker 1>I know you're not a legal scholar, and I'm going

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<v Speaker 1>to try not to ask you legal strategy question.

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<v Speaker 3>But I have curious if you've heard from folks.

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<v Speaker 1>In the legal realm about how having this information might

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<v Speaker 1>help with the next I mean, like, I know, the

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<v Speaker 1>EPA's most recent power plant guidelines have already been challenged,

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<v Speaker 1>and I imagine that they're going to fall into this

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<v Speaker 1>thicket of major questions doctor and now post Shavon Dufferin's

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<v Speaker 1>staff too.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, well, I'm sort of careful about that.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't spend a lot of time talking to lawyers

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<v Speaker 2>who are actively engaged in these kinds of cases in

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<v Speaker 2>advance of me doing my research, because I really want

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<v Speaker 2>us to look at the evidence as objective as possible

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<v Speaker 2>and let the tips fall, and then it's up to

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<v Speaker 2>lawyers and judges to decide the consequences and implications.

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<v Speaker 3>So I mean, this isn't part of a legal strategy.

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<v Speaker 2>And although I'm sure that some of our opponents will

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<v Speaker 2>probably claim that it's not part of a legal strategy,

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<v Speaker 2>wasn't written to support any kind of particular legal approach,

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<v Speaker 2>or much less any particular case. But obviously we think

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<v Speaker 2>it has implications. We wouldn't have done the work if

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<v Speaker 2>we didn't think it mattered. And so let me read

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<v Speaker 2>you something that actually Ashton wrote in response to a

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<v Speaker 2>query from a different journalist about this. So asked MacFarlane

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<v Speaker 2>with jdphd student who's just finished his jd at Harvard

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<v Speaker 2>Law School and now is working with me doing a PhD.

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<v Speaker 2>And we recruited to partici making this party because we

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<v Speaker 2>felt like we did want a little bit more legal insights.

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<v Speaker 2>And he's studied with Jodi Freeman and Richard Lazarus and

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<v Speaker 2>all the big name environmental law professors at Harvard. So

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<v Speaker 2>here's why he wrote the major questions. Doctrine requires a

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<v Speaker 2>clear statement from Congress to authorize regulatory action of vast

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<v Speaker 2>economic and political significance. The doctrine reflects an assumption that

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<v Speaker 2>Congress would be exceptionally clear when granting an agency highly

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<v Speaker 2>significant regulatory power. How do we determine what counts as

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<v Speaker 2>a quote major question and a quote clear statement. The

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<v Speaker 2>Supreme Court has implied that the inquiry depends on both

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<v Speaker 2>context and history. Yet the Court missed large swats of

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<v Speaker 2>relevant history about climate change, which we present in this article.

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<v Speaker 2>This history is important not only to the wholesale question

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<v Speaker 2>of whether the Cleaner Act covers greenhouse gases, which we

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<v Speaker 2>think it clearly does and our paper then supports that,

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<v Speaker 2>but also to the retail question of whether any new

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<v Speaker 2>climate regulation is sufficiently well authorized. And then he goes

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<v Speaker 2>on to say, the Court has not said, perc actually

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<v Speaker 2>how history informs the major question analysis, nor what types

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<v Speaker 2>of historical material matter most. Our key point is there's

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<v Speaker 2>a whole lot of history that the Court overlooked, and

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<v Speaker 2>it should not overlook that history in future climate cases.

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<v Speaker 2>And I guess what I would add to that is

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<v Speaker 2>that so much of what the Court claimed was about

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<v Speaker 2>this issue of the clear statement, and they've repeatedly implied

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<v Speaker 2>both in Mass versus EPA and in West Virginia, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>sort of continue to imply this idea that there's no

0:13:27.720 --> 0:13:29.959
<v Speaker 2>way that Congress could really have intended this to apply

0:13:30.040 --> 0:13:32.319
<v Speaker 2>to Co. Two A because they didn't really know and

0:13:32.360 --> 0:13:36.439
<v Speaker 2>be because they hadn't anticipated the vast economic significance. And

0:13:36.480 --> 0:13:39.000
<v Speaker 2>we think this paper shows that both of those implications

0:13:39.040 --> 0:13:39.440
<v Speaker 2>are wrong.

0:13:40.320 --> 0:13:44.560
<v Speaker 1>I called up Patrick Parento at Vermont Law School to

0:13:44.720 --> 0:13:48.320
<v Speaker 1>ask about how this new research might come into play

0:13:48.520 --> 0:13:51.000
<v Speaker 1>in some of the cases we expect to see in

0:13:51.040 --> 0:13:52.600
<v Speaker 1>the months and years ahead.

0:13:53.640 --> 0:13:58.520
<v Speaker 4>The bottom line is, what we're now talking about is

0:13:58.559 --> 0:14:03.199
<v Speaker 4>the margin. We know we're going to lose almost all

0:14:03.280 --> 0:14:04.920
<v Speaker 4>of the cases that make.

0:14:04.800 --> 0:14:07.320
<v Speaker 5>It to the Supreme Court docket.

0:14:07.720 --> 0:14:12.480
<v Speaker 4>It's now a question of can you in some cases

0:14:13.440 --> 0:14:14.480
<v Speaker 4>work the margins?

0:14:14.520 --> 0:14:18.200
<v Speaker 5>And that means either Roberts or Barrett, maybe.

0:14:18.040 --> 0:14:23.600
<v Speaker 4>Even sometimes Kavanaugh, almost never Gorsich or Alito or Thomas.

0:14:24.040 --> 0:14:27.200
<v Speaker 4>If you're alert as an advocate, as a lawyer arguing

0:14:27.240 --> 0:14:28.280
<v Speaker 4>these cases.

0:14:29.000 --> 0:14:30.320
<v Speaker 5>There's got to be a way to.

0:14:30.160 --> 0:14:34.800
<v Speaker 4>Cobble together votes if you can convince them that the

0:14:34.840 --> 0:14:38.200
<v Speaker 4>text of the statue ought to be interpreted in a

0:14:38.240 --> 0:14:41.240
<v Speaker 4>certain way that they call the best reading.

0:14:41.320 --> 0:14:44.560
<v Speaker 5>That's where we've come to. What's the best reading?

0:14:45.040 --> 0:14:48.680
<v Speaker 4>Of the text of the statue, since we're all textualists now,

0:14:49.000 --> 0:14:52.160
<v Speaker 4>as Justice Kagan has famously said, and so you know,

0:14:52.480 --> 0:14:57.320
<v Speaker 4>the best reading does to some extent turn on what

0:14:57.440 --> 0:15:03.560
<v Speaker 4>was on Congress's mind. Intend what can we infer from

0:15:03.560 --> 0:15:07.960
<v Speaker 4>the type of words and language they used was their intent?

0:15:08.160 --> 0:15:10.480
<v Speaker 5>And we know that both of the cases both are

0:15:10.480 --> 0:15:11.080
<v Speaker 5>the rules I.

0:15:11.000 --> 0:15:15.200
<v Speaker 4>Should say that are now in litigation, the car rules,

0:15:15.240 --> 0:15:15.840
<v Speaker 4>the tail.

0:15:15.640 --> 0:15:18.120
<v Speaker 5>Piper rules, and the power plant rules.

0:15:19.320 --> 0:15:23.320
<v Speaker 4>We know the odds are one or both of them

0:15:23.360 --> 0:15:25.200
<v Speaker 4>are going to wind up on the.

0:15:25.160 --> 0:15:26.400
<v Speaker 5>Supreme Court docket.

0:15:27.040 --> 0:15:31.920
<v Speaker 4>But the point is the combination of all these decisions

0:15:32.040 --> 0:15:38.360
<v Speaker 4>West Virginia lowerl Bright Open Ruling, Chevron Corner Post knocking

0:15:38.400 --> 0:15:41.160
<v Speaker 4>out the six year statute of limitations, meaning pretty of

0:15:41.200 --> 0:15:43.920
<v Speaker 4>the rules on the books is fair game. We haven't

0:15:43.920 --> 0:15:47.600
<v Speaker 4>begun to see the avalanche of lawsuits that we're going

0:15:47.680 --> 0:15:51.720
<v Speaker 4>to see with specific legal foundation and Koch Brothers' money. Man,

0:15:51.760 --> 0:15:54.320
<v Speaker 4>oh man, So you have to look at that whole

0:15:54.560 --> 0:15:56.840
<v Speaker 4>suite that we've seen, and of course we've got more coming.

0:15:57.080 --> 0:16:00.680
<v Speaker 4>When you look at that, the agency lawyers and.

0:16:00.760 --> 0:16:03.760
<v Speaker 5>The staff technical staff, you.

0:16:03.640 --> 0:16:08.920
<v Speaker 4>Know they've got to be thinking, man, can we get

0:16:08.960 --> 0:16:14.440
<v Speaker 4>five votes? Can we get five votes, you know, and

0:16:15.240 --> 0:16:17.840
<v Speaker 4>do you just do a headcount and you figure out

0:16:18.160 --> 0:16:22.400
<v Speaker 4>who can we get to support this interpretation. But you know,

0:16:22.480 --> 0:16:28.240
<v Speaker 4>they're zeroing in on already what was It's sometimes called

0:16:28.320 --> 0:16:33.120
<v Speaker 4>antecedent interpretations of a statute.

0:16:33.120 --> 0:16:34.840
<v Speaker 5>In this case, we're talking Clean Air Act.

0:16:35.400 --> 0:16:38.720
<v Speaker 4>So for the car rules and the power plant rules,

0:16:38.880 --> 0:16:43.160
<v Speaker 4>they're going back to the nineteen seventy Act, increasing forward

0:16:43.720 --> 0:16:47.600
<v Speaker 4>and the history and how they've been interpreted before, so

0:16:47.680 --> 0:16:50.800
<v Speaker 4>that the newest, the interpretation.

0:16:50.240 --> 0:16:54.280
<v Speaker 6>Of today is not new. So now we'll find out.

0:16:54.880 --> 0:16:55.680
<v Speaker 5>Now we will.

0:16:55.520 --> 0:17:02.720
<v Speaker 6>Really find out if APA's attempts to testify these two rules.

0:17:03.000 --> 0:17:08.320
<v Speaker 6>We'll find out whether it's possible for EPA to get

0:17:08.359 --> 0:17:12.359
<v Speaker 6>the five votes they need to uphold these two rules,

0:17:13.080 --> 0:17:20.400
<v Speaker 6>or whether Morrissey and Company West Virginia Company are right

0:17:21.240 --> 0:17:25.520
<v Speaker 6>that no matter what EPA tries to do to address climates,

0:17:25.520 --> 0:17:27.680
<v Speaker 6>they're going to lose because everything they do is a

0:17:27.720 --> 0:17:31.960
<v Speaker 6>major question. They don't get any difference. The best breaking

0:17:32.000 --> 0:17:34.560
<v Speaker 6>of the statue is not what EPA says it is.

0:17:34.520 --> 0:17:34.920
<v Speaker 5>Et cetera.

0:17:35.359 --> 0:17:43.679
<v Speaker 4>So in that sense, this really robust, sophisticated analysis of

0:17:43.720 --> 0:17:46.520
<v Speaker 4>the history of the Clean Air Act, it's got to

0:17:46.600 --> 0:17:47.320
<v Speaker 4>make a difference.

0:17:48.680 --> 0:17:51.359
<v Speaker 1>Okay, there are a number of things in here that

0:17:51.640 --> 0:17:54.399
<v Speaker 1>are really interesting and that had not been published before

0:17:54.520 --> 0:17:57.000
<v Speaker 1>and that people did not know about in terms of

0:17:57.040 --> 0:17:59.880
<v Speaker 1>this history. I imagine there were things that were surprising

0:18:00.119 --> 0:18:03.440
<v Speaker 1>you too. What were some of the most surprising discoveries

0:18:03.440 --> 0:18:06.480
<v Speaker 1>in terms of when people were talking about what, Well,

0:18:06.520 --> 0:18:06.880
<v Speaker 1>there were.

0:18:06.760 --> 0:18:07.760
<v Speaker 3>A bunch of things.

0:18:08.359 --> 0:18:13.200
<v Speaker 2>The biggest surprise actually was was, you know, Sports Illustrated

0:18:13.200 --> 0:18:16.480
<v Speaker 2>and the Weekly Reader, and just to see the way

0:18:16.520 --> 0:18:21.280
<v Speaker 2>that this had permeated into popular culture and popular conversation

0:18:21.600 --> 0:18:24.400
<v Speaker 2>very very early on, and I think we all fell

0:18:24.400 --> 0:18:28.920
<v Speaker 2>in love with the Alan Ginsburg piece. Here's this beat poet, right,

0:18:28.920 --> 0:18:31.080
<v Speaker 2>he's a poet, not a scientist. He's on the MERV

0:18:31.119 --> 0:18:33.200
<v Speaker 2>Griffith Show, which is one of the most popular talk

0:18:33.240 --> 0:18:35.960
<v Speaker 2>shows on television in those days. I mean MERV Griffith

0:18:36.000 --> 0:18:39.240
<v Speaker 2>was the opera of the nineteen sixties. And he's talking

0:18:39.240 --> 0:18:43.400
<v Speaker 2>about climate change. He's talking about the ice caps melting,

0:18:43.880 --> 0:18:46.480
<v Speaker 2>and he's linking it to cars. He says, pollution from

0:18:46.520 --> 0:18:49.359
<v Speaker 2>automobiles can melt the ice cap and you know, flood

0:18:49.400 --> 0:18:51.240
<v Speaker 2>the coastal cities of the world. I mean, that is

0:18:51.280 --> 0:18:54.960
<v Speaker 2>one hundred percent global climate change. As we understand it today,

0:18:55.080 --> 0:18:58.919
<v Speaker 2>and Alan Ginsburg has got it in a nutshell in

0:18:58.960 --> 0:19:03.080
<v Speaker 2>the nineteen sixties, he's talking about it on Primetime. And

0:19:03.160 --> 0:19:06.040
<v Speaker 2>then the other piece I really loved was so then

0:19:06.480 --> 0:19:09.800
<v Speaker 2>and Ashton found this. So then this angry constituent in

0:19:09.920 --> 0:19:14.119
<v Speaker 2>Washington State rites to his senator, Henry Jackson. And Henry

0:19:14.160 --> 0:19:16.639
<v Speaker 2>Jackson was one of the most famous powerful senators of

0:19:16.720 --> 0:19:18.960
<v Speaker 2>that time, someone whose name was well known to me

0:19:19.000 --> 0:19:21.280
<v Speaker 2>that I remember from my own childhood. I mean, I

0:19:21.320 --> 0:19:24.080
<v Speaker 2>remember we didn't like Scoop Jackson because he was very

0:19:24.160 --> 0:19:26.800
<v Speaker 2>pro Vietnam War. So this is a very famous name.

0:19:26.800 --> 0:19:29.240
<v Speaker 2>I mean, this whole project, all these names that I

0:19:29.280 --> 0:19:32.000
<v Speaker 2>already knew kept popping up. These were not minor people.

0:19:32.320 --> 0:19:34.520
<v Speaker 2>So Scoop Jackson's one of the most powerful people in

0:19:34.560 --> 0:19:37.760
<v Speaker 2>the US Congress at the time. The constituentent writes to

0:19:37.840 --> 0:19:41.040
<v Speaker 2>him complaining, asking him to do something about it, and

0:19:41.160 --> 0:19:43.639
<v Speaker 2>Jackson reads the letter and instead of just throwing it in

0:19:43.760 --> 0:19:46.000
<v Speaker 2>the bin or thinking it's a hoax or whatever, or

0:19:46.000 --> 0:19:49.560
<v Speaker 2>the guy's crazy, he writes a letter to the president's

0:19:49.600 --> 0:19:53.080
<v Speaker 2>science advisor Lee to Bridge. This is the advisor to

0:19:53.160 --> 0:19:57.120
<v Speaker 2>Richard Nixons or Republican president, and he says to to Bridge, well,

0:19:57.400 --> 0:19:59.560
<v Speaker 2>you know what about this? Is there any truth in this?

0:20:00.080 --> 0:20:02.920
<v Speaker 2>And Leegia Bridge writes back a multipage letter in which

0:20:02.960 --> 0:20:06.879
<v Speaker 2>he explains very carefully and patiently. He explains to Henry

0:20:06.920 --> 0:20:10.080
<v Speaker 2>Jackson that yes, actually this is a real thing. And

0:20:10.119 --> 0:20:11.960
<v Speaker 2>then a few months later he goes on Meet the

0:20:12.000 --> 0:20:15.480
<v Speaker 2>Press again mainstream American television to talk about the issue

0:20:15.480 --> 0:20:17.520
<v Speaker 2>and even says we might need to have a carbon tax.

0:20:17.720 --> 0:20:20.879
<v Speaker 2>And this is in nineteen sorry I fraid of sixteen

0:20:20.920 --> 0:20:22.760
<v Speaker 2>nine or seventy, but right before the passage of the

0:20:22.760 --> 0:20:26.359
<v Speaker 2>Cleaner Act. So here you have a powerful senator, the

0:20:26.440 --> 0:20:30.199
<v Speaker 2>science advisor to a Republican president, just talking openly and

0:20:30.240 --> 0:20:33.960
<v Speaker 2>honestly about this issue and not being dismissive, not thinking

0:20:34.040 --> 0:20:37.720
<v Speaker 2>to hoax, but actually taking it seriously and trying to learn.

0:20:38.040 --> 0:20:40.640
<v Speaker 3>And I just thought that was kind of beautiful. It's

0:20:40.680 --> 0:20:44.000
<v Speaker 3>so interesting. I also bought the Frank Capra movie.

0:20:43.920 --> 0:20:46.240
<v Speaker 2>Capra Will Be Speak To And you know, mister science,

0:20:46.280 --> 0:20:49.600
<v Speaker 2>I know that was brilliant too. Any Frank Capra, super

0:20:49.720 --> 0:20:52.160
<v Speaker 2>famous name from the history of film. Right, So again

0:20:52.720 --> 0:20:55.439
<v Speaker 2>I feel like for me, the biggest surprise overall is

0:20:55.600 --> 0:20:58.679
<v Speaker 2>I knew scientists were talking about this, but as you know,

0:20:59.040 --> 0:21:01.960
<v Speaker 2>a lot of scientific conversations can be very in the weeds.

0:21:02.400 --> 0:21:05.760
<v Speaker 2>Scientists can really live in their own science bubble, and

0:21:06.119 --> 0:21:10.320
<v Speaker 2>so what I didn't know was how broadly this information

0:21:10.400 --> 0:21:13.600
<v Speaker 2>had percolated in the nineteen sixties. That I guess was

0:21:13.640 --> 0:21:16.959
<v Speaker 2>the biggest surprise, And of course that reinforces our claim

0:21:17.600 --> 0:21:20.800
<v Speaker 2>that Congress was aware of this. They were talking about it,

0:21:20.840 --> 0:21:23.600
<v Speaker 2>they knew about it, they heard testimony about it, they

0:21:23.600 --> 0:21:28.480
<v Speaker 2>were getting information from leading scientists like the President's science advisor,

0:21:28.640 --> 0:21:31.560
<v Speaker 2>like the head of ENCAR, Gordon MacDonald, who's serving on

0:21:32.000 --> 0:21:36.160
<v Speaker 2>CEQ at that time. Important leading scientists are talking to important,

0:21:36.240 --> 0:21:40.439
<v Speaker 2>leading members of Congress, and that's crucial then in the

0:21:40.440 --> 0:21:44.480
<v Speaker 2>context of the Major Questions doctrine for understanding what Congress

0:21:44.560 --> 0:21:47.119
<v Speaker 2>knew about this issue and therefore what they could have

0:21:47.200 --> 0:21:48.680
<v Speaker 2>intended when they wrote this law.

0:21:49.440 --> 0:21:52.040
<v Speaker 1>In any of the stuff that you found, did you

0:21:52.119 --> 0:21:56.679
<v Speaker 1>get any sense of why they steered clear of being

0:21:56.720 --> 0:21:58.400
<v Speaker 1>more specific in the law?

0:21:58.760 --> 0:22:00.639
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I wed think we do know that answer to that,

0:22:00.960 --> 0:22:03.080
<v Speaker 2>and our group had a lot of discussions about this.

0:22:03.880 --> 0:22:05.560
<v Speaker 2>I mean, part of this whole thing has to do

0:22:05.600 --> 0:22:07.919
<v Speaker 2>with whether or not they understood CO two to be

0:22:07.960 --> 0:22:11.880
<v Speaker 2>a pollutant, and therefore whether they intended these discussions about

0:22:11.920 --> 0:22:14.800
<v Speaker 2>pollution to include CO two. The answer to that question

0:22:14.880 --> 0:22:16.960
<v Speaker 2>is absolutely yes, and that was one of the other

0:22:17.000 --> 0:22:21.000
<v Speaker 2>big surprises. It was astonishing to us how many conferences

0:22:21.040 --> 0:22:24.600
<v Speaker 2>on air pollution in the nineteen sixties discuss CO two

0:22:25.119 --> 0:22:28.360
<v Speaker 2>and how many reports that are written on air pollution

0:22:29.440 --> 0:22:31.960
<v Speaker 2>mentioned CO two as a pollutant. So there's absolutely no

0:22:32.080 --> 0:22:35.520
<v Speaker 2>question that they understand that CO two is a pollutant.

0:22:35.880 --> 0:22:39.200
<v Speaker 2>But there's two things that we think happened. The first

0:22:39.240 --> 0:22:42.879
<v Speaker 2>is that there's a very clear conversation about what kind

0:22:43.000 --> 0:22:46.280
<v Speaker 2>of a pollutant is it. So while they recognize that

0:22:46.320 --> 0:22:49.439
<v Speaker 2>it's definitely a pollutant, they also say, and this is

0:22:49.760 --> 0:22:52.280
<v Speaker 2>it still comes up even today, that it's a different

0:22:52.440 --> 0:22:55.119
<v Speaker 2>kind of pollutant. And so the way we've been thinking

0:22:55.119 --> 0:22:58.240
<v Speaker 2>about it now is taking a parallel from public health

0:22:58.600 --> 0:23:01.600
<v Speaker 2>to distinguish between a que and chronic threats, or cute

0:23:01.600 --> 0:23:05.240
<v Speaker 2>and chronic disease. So they recognize that CO two is

0:23:05.240 --> 0:23:07.240
<v Speaker 2>a pollutant, but they say it's a different kind of

0:23:07.320 --> 0:23:10.159
<v Speaker 2>pollutant than the sort of things that are leading to

0:23:10.440 --> 0:23:13.919
<v Speaker 2>smog in Los Angeles or New York other urban areas,

0:23:14.320 --> 0:23:18.399
<v Speaker 2>and the immediate attention of the moment is on the

0:23:18.440 --> 0:23:21.360
<v Speaker 2>acute pollutants, because they are literally killing people right People

0:23:21.400 --> 0:23:24.199
<v Speaker 2>are going to the emergency room in Los Angeles on

0:23:24.280 --> 0:23:29.040
<v Speaker 2>bad air days, and so understandably, the primary focus of

0:23:29.160 --> 0:23:32.480
<v Speaker 2>discussion is on these acute pollutants, which then lead the

0:23:32.480 --> 0:23:35.800
<v Speaker 2>EPA to create the national ambient air quality standards for

0:23:35.880 --> 0:23:39.320
<v Speaker 2>things like Knox smocks, our snack margery, stuff like that.

0:23:39.560 --> 0:23:42.960
<v Speaker 2>But they also understand that these other things are pollutants too,

0:23:43.560 --> 0:23:46.040
<v Speaker 2>and that they need to be dealt with, but maybe

0:23:46.040 --> 0:23:49.080
<v Speaker 2>not immediately. And so we come across various reports where

0:23:49.080 --> 0:23:51.600
<v Speaker 2>they say things like in the fullness of time, and

0:23:51.640 --> 0:23:53.639
<v Speaker 2>so we have a long discussion in our group of about, well,

0:23:53.680 --> 0:23:56.200
<v Speaker 2>what do they mean by in due course or in

0:23:56.240 --> 0:23:59.160
<v Speaker 2>the fullness of time? And that's actually a really hard

0:23:59.320 --> 0:24:01.679
<v Speaker 2>question to answer. But here's how I've been thinking about it.

0:24:01.760 --> 0:24:04.240
<v Speaker 2>You know, the team thinks that, like Hannah Conway, I

0:24:04.240 --> 0:24:06.080
<v Speaker 2>remember asking this to her specifiction, she said, well, she

0:24:06.200 --> 0:24:08.360
<v Speaker 2>thinks that they thought it meant like within the decade,

0:24:08.680 --> 0:24:11.159
<v Speaker 2>that we were going to deal with these acute threats first,

0:24:11.200 --> 0:24:14.119
<v Speaker 2>but then we would get to these other chronic threats,

0:24:14.520 --> 0:24:17.760
<v Speaker 2>and I think that the scientific community was part of

0:24:17.800 --> 0:24:21.680
<v Speaker 2>that because the scientists themselves recognized that even though they

0:24:21.680 --> 0:24:26.080
<v Speaker 2>were confident that CO two, if it was left unabated,

0:24:26.200 --> 0:24:28.760
<v Speaker 2>would lead to climate change, or would almost certainly, or

0:24:28.800 --> 0:24:29.440
<v Speaker 2>would probably.

0:24:29.480 --> 0:24:31.000
<v Speaker 3>You can put in whatever cameo.

0:24:30.800 --> 0:24:33.199
<v Speaker 2>You want, but there were a lot of details that

0:24:33.240 --> 0:24:36.280
<v Speaker 2>in the nineteen sixties were not well understood. For example,

0:24:36.840 --> 0:24:39.720
<v Speaker 2>you see questions about ocean heat uptake, you see this

0:24:40.119 --> 0:24:44.240
<v Speaker 2>about the biosphere. So these were big scientific questions which

0:24:44.280 --> 0:24:48.399
<v Speaker 2>scientists themselves understood needed to be addressed. So in the

0:24:48.480 --> 0:24:51.639
<v Speaker 2>nineteen seventies, that's when we see the growth of climate modeling.

0:24:51.680 --> 0:24:54.879
<v Speaker 2>That's when Suki Minabi begins to build his first climate

0:24:54.920 --> 0:24:57.600
<v Speaker 2>models at the Geophysical Sluid Dynamics, the work from which

0:24:57.600 --> 0:25:00.320
<v Speaker 2>he finally want to know about prize couple years ago.

0:25:00.760 --> 0:25:03.480
<v Speaker 2>So there's this sense in the scientific community that, oh, yeah,

0:25:03.520 --> 0:25:05.840
<v Speaker 2>that makes sense, We've got more work to do. And

0:25:05.880 --> 0:25:08.680
<v Speaker 2>so I think that everyone involved in this conversation, both

0:25:08.720 --> 0:25:12.359
<v Speaker 2>the scientists and the legislatures, understood that CO two was

0:25:12.359 --> 0:25:15.480
<v Speaker 2>a threat, understood that it was a serious threat, understood

0:25:15.480 --> 0:25:18.439
<v Speaker 2>that it would have vast economic and political consequences.

0:25:19.200 --> 0:25:20.840
<v Speaker 3>Either way, whether we regulated or.

0:25:20.840 --> 0:25:23.600
<v Speaker 2>We didn't regulate it, it would have vast consequences. But

0:25:24.400 --> 0:25:26.199
<v Speaker 2>they thought, you know, we have a little time to

0:25:26.240 --> 0:25:28.680
<v Speaker 2>work this out. And what they meant by a little

0:25:28.680 --> 0:25:32.720
<v Speaker 2>time was a decade or maybe two. And that actually

0:25:32.760 --> 0:25:35.240
<v Speaker 2>fits with the larger history that I've written about, if

0:25:35.240 --> 0:25:38.119
<v Speaker 2>you think about it. So in the nineteen seventies we

0:25:38.160 --> 0:25:41.120
<v Speaker 2>begin to see the first global conferences on climate change,

0:25:41.600 --> 0:25:44.760
<v Speaker 2>we see the National Academy issues a couple of reports,

0:25:44.840 --> 0:25:47.720
<v Speaker 2>the famous Charny Report, and then in the eighties we

0:25:47.760 --> 0:25:51.240
<v Speaker 2>get the creation of the IPCC and in nineteen ninety

0:25:51.240 --> 0:25:53.600
<v Speaker 2>two the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change.

0:25:53.880 --> 0:25:56.040
<v Speaker 3>So, in fact, the sorting of.

0:25:56.000 --> 0:25:59.760
<v Speaker 2>The science and the move to regulate CO two do

0:26:00.119 --> 0:26:04.200
<v Speaker 2>happened within the one to two decade framework that people anticipated.

0:26:04.359 --> 0:26:07.280
<v Speaker 2>But the giant butt in the story of the giants

0:26:07.280 --> 0:26:10.040
<v Speaker 2>spanner in the works is that in the late eighties,

0:26:10.040 --> 0:26:12.960
<v Speaker 2>as the science starts to come together, that's when the

0:26:12.960 --> 0:26:14.840
<v Speaker 2>fossil fuel industry begins to try.

0:26:14.680 --> 0:26:15.080
<v Speaker 3>To fight it.

0:26:15.200 --> 0:26:17.639
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, one thing I want to ask you about is

0:26:17.680 --> 0:26:19.840
<v Speaker 1>that I don't know we've started hearing from the fossil

0:26:19.840 --> 0:26:23.600
<v Speaker 1>fuel companies in the last ten years maybe a little

0:26:23.600 --> 0:26:26.720
<v Speaker 1>bit less. This's the whole idea of like, well everybody knew,

0:26:26.760 --> 0:26:30.160
<v Speaker 1>so you can't just hold us accountable, right. I'm sure

0:26:30.240 --> 0:26:32.920
<v Speaker 1>that they will find ways to use the stuff in

0:26:33.000 --> 0:26:35.280
<v Speaker 1>here to bolster the argument. So I'm curious what you

0:26:35.320 --> 0:26:35.959
<v Speaker 1>think about that.

0:26:36.200 --> 0:26:39.800
<v Speaker 2>Well, that's exactly the same argument that the tobacco industry used.

0:26:40.119 --> 0:26:43.040
<v Speaker 2>They are once again using the tobacco playbook. And there's

0:26:43.119 --> 0:26:46.359
<v Speaker 2>two important answers to that. Yes, we did know, but

0:26:46.520 --> 0:26:50.520
<v Speaker 2>then we got confused about this because of what the

0:26:50.560 --> 0:26:54.160
<v Speaker 2>fossil fuel industry did. They worked actively to undermine our

0:26:54.200 --> 0:26:56.719
<v Speaker 2>knowledge and understanding. And we may do a follow up

0:26:56.720 --> 0:26:59.280
<v Speaker 2>paper to answer exactly that question. I mean, why was

0:26:59.320 --> 0:27:02.320
<v Speaker 2>all this underst standing lost? You know, why did so

0:27:02.359 --> 0:27:05.720
<v Speaker 2>many Americans say, by the eighties and nineties and even

0:27:05.760 --> 0:27:07.960
<v Speaker 2>into the two thousands, think we didn't really know that

0:27:08.000 --> 0:27:10.200
<v Speaker 2>there was no scientific consensus, all that stuff.

0:27:10.000 --> 0:27:11.040
<v Speaker 3>I've worked on in the past.

0:27:11.280 --> 0:27:14.280
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, the answer to that is fossil fuel industry malfeasance.

0:27:14.600 --> 0:27:17.679
<v Speaker 2>So they are responsible for the fact that we lost

0:27:17.840 --> 0:27:19.880
<v Speaker 2>this knowledge that we actually used to have.

0:27:20.320 --> 0:27:21.359
<v Speaker 3>So that's the first part.

0:27:21.400 --> 0:27:23.920
<v Speaker 2>And then second part is that I'm not a legal scholar,

0:27:23.960 --> 0:27:26.600
<v Speaker 2>but the law is very clear. If you produce a

0:27:26.640 --> 0:27:30.480
<v Speaker 2>product that kills people, the fact that some people knew

0:27:30.480 --> 0:27:33.200
<v Speaker 2>that it may kill people doesn't get you off the right.

0:27:33.240 --> 0:27:37.200
<v Speaker 2>Corporations have legal responsibilities. Just because someone may or may

0:27:37.200 --> 0:27:41.280
<v Speaker 2>not have known about saying doesn't absolve you from legal

0:27:41.320 --> 0:27:44.320
<v Speaker 2>and moral responsibility for the consequences of your actions.

0:27:44.680 --> 0:27:54.359
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that's it for this time. We'll be back soon

0:27:54.440 --> 0:27:57.280
<v Speaker 1>with another episode. Don't forget to check out the print

0:27:57.520 --> 0:28:00.800
<v Speaker 1>stories on our website at drilled dot media. Yeah, and

0:28:00.920 --> 0:28:05.320
<v Speaker 1>with various co publishing partners including Rolling Stone and Vox.

0:28:05.760 --> 0:28:09.840
<v Speaker 1>This episode was mixed and mastered by Peter Duff. Our

0:28:09.920 --> 0:28:13.120
<v Speaker 1>theme music is Bird in the Hand by Forenown. Our

0:28:13.240 --> 0:28:16.639
<v Speaker 1>artwork is by Matthew Fleming. You can also check us

0:28:16.640 --> 0:28:20.880
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0:28:30.520 --> 0:28:35.080
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