1
00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:17,120
Speaker 1: Hey, everybody, Welcome back to the Betting Bros NFL Podcast.

2
00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:19,040
Speaker 1: I'm your host Dan Harris with me is Matt Pearl.

3
00:00:19,120 --> 00:00:21,200
Speaker 1: Find us on Twitter at Dan Harris ad and that

4
00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:24,160
Speaker 1: Sports Talk. Matt, Matt, I mean, I know how you're

5
00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:26,320
Speaker 1: doing because I've been sitting here listening to you sweat

6
00:00:26,320 --> 00:00:28,920
Speaker 1: a bet. But how are you doing for the listener's sake?

7
00:00:29,240 --> 00:00:33,680
Speaker 2: I'm good. I'm really good. I got my vaccine shot,

8
00:00:33,800 --> 00:00:34,760
Speaker 2: so I'm good.

9
00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:35,920
Speaker 1: There one or number two?

10
00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:39,360
Speaker 2: Number one, okay, very good weeks, three weeks of good,

11
00:00:39,440 --> 00:00:42,440
Speaker 2: number two. Yeah, I mean, I'm excited to get to

12
00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:44,400
Speaker 2: get to these games. Only three games left in the

13
00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:46,440
Speaker 2: entire NFL season, so that's kind of a bummer.

14
00:00:46,720 --> 00:00:49,640
Speaker 1: I believe they made it, Matt, Like, do you ever

15
00:00:49,680 --> 00:00:53,640
Speaker 1: sit there and think that it's absolutely unreal that they

16
00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:56,400
Speaker 1: made it through the season, not only because coming into it,

17
00:00:56,480 --> 00:00:58,160
Speaker 1: I was very nervous that they were going to be

18
00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:01,000
Speaker 1: able to just get it rolling formally, and then you

19
00:01:01,160 --> 00:01:03,760
Speaker 1: had early on right, you had the postponements with some

20
00:01:03,800 --> 00:01:06,160
Speaker 1: of the games and the extra bye weeks, and then

21
00:01:06,240 --> 00:01:08,520
Speaker 1: things just looked like it was and they just kept

22
00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:10,880
Speaker 1: going and they made it work. It's incredible. That they

23
00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:11,479
Speaker 1: pulled this off.

24
00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:14,320
Speaker 2: I think, yeah, it's really impressive. And look, we're not

25
00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:16,520
Speaker 2: done with football because we're starting to see the schedules

26
00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:19,400
Speaker 2: come out for the FCS, so we're still gonna have that.

27
00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:21,480
Speaker 2: The books in Vegas are gonna have to book those games.

28
00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:23,920
Speaker 2: I mean, people are gonna require it. So we'll still

29
00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:27,040
Speaker 2: have football in the spring. There's no XFL or AF

30
00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:30,039
Speaker 2: this time around, but they'll be you know, Missouri Valley

31
00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:32,280
Speaker 2: and they'll be you know, North Dakota State games and

32
00:01:32,319 --> 00:01:34,440
Speaker 2: other things to watch and bet on. So we'll have

33
00:01:34,480 --> 00:01:36,560
Speaker 2: some spring football, but nothing like you know, high level

34
00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:39,920
Speaker 2: football or the NFL. But yeah, it's incredible and they

35
00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:42,600
Speaker 2: all should be commended for the sacrifices that they voluntarily

36
00:01:42,680 --> 00:01:45,320
Speaker 2: made to go through it all, all the protocols and

37
00:01:45,360 --> 00:01:48,120
Speaker 2: the testing. And look, I've taken I don't know, eight

38
00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:50,040
Speaker 2: or nine tests, seven or eight tests in my life

39
00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:53,800
Speaker 2: for COVID. I couldn't imagine being tested seven times a week. Yeah,

40
00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:56,680
Speaker 2: that's that's a lot, and that's really annoying, and I

41
00:01:56,920 --> 00:01:59,320
Speaker 2: mean that's got to be frustrating. It's gotta be frustrating

42
00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:01,000
Speaker 2: about not being able to go out and do what

43
00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:03,040
Speaker 2: you want to do on the road. So, yeah, it

44
00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:05,320
Speaker 2: is remarkable that we've we've made it all the way

45
00:02:05,360 --> 00:02:07,680
Speaker 2: to where we have fans in the stands for these

46
00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:08,800
Speaker 2: two games coming up Sunday.

47
00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:10,960
Speaker 1: And it's really funny because you used to think about

48
00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:13,519
Speaker 1: when you have whatever, six thousand, seven thousand fans, that

49
00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:16,160
Speaker 1: it would be just like, oh god, that stadium is dead.

50
00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:18,960
Speaker 1: And especially in Buffalo, you were listening to it, you're like,

51
00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:20,119
Speaker 1: oh my goodness.

52
00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:22,040
Speaker 2: You know, I've been making that case on my show

53
00:02:22,120 --> 00:02:25,000
Speaker 2: for like the last week and a half saying normally

54
00:02:25,040 --> 00:02:28,200
Speaker 2: when we're watching games where a stadium of sixty thousand

55
00:02:28,200 --> 00:02:32,000
Speaker 2: has seven thousand, it's apathy. Yeah, these are the diehards

56
00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:35,520
Speaker 2: of the diehards. These are the uber fan that are

57
00:02:35,520 --> 00:02:37,799
Speaker 2: going to these games who have been you know, ticket

58
00:02:37,800 --> 00:02:40,840
Speaker 2: holder for thirty years, who have been dreaming about a

59
00:02:40,840 --> 00:02:44,680
Speaker 2: Buffalo Bills team or a Chiefs you know, dynasty or whatever. Like,

60
00:02:44,800 --> 00:02:48,080
Speaker 2: there's just so many people, and there'll be Bills fans there.

61
00:02:48,120 --> 00:02:51,000
Speaker 2: They had to offer tickets to the Bills their fans,

62
00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:54,639
Speaker 2: So there'll be some Bills fans in Arrowhead, Arrowhead for

63
00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:57,359
Speaker 2: this game in Kansas City. So you know, I think

64
00:02:57,360 --> 00:02:59,840
Speaker 2: it's a really big, big, actually a pretty big factor

65
00:02:59,840 --> 00:03:01,880
Speaker 2: here that there's actually gonna be a home home field

66
00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:03,120
Speaker 2: environment for the first time.

67
00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:05,440
Speaker 1: Well, it's two really good games, so we're gonna get

68
00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:07,280
Speaker 1: into it, so a couple of things. We will have

69
00:03:07,440 --> 00:03:09,760
Speaker 1: one more of these before the Super Bowl. Will do

70
00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:11,720
Speaker 1: our usual Super Bowl show, but we are going to

71
00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:14,280
Speaker 1: be doing additional things during the Super Bowl. Matt and

72
00:03:14,280 --> 00:03:16,359
Speaker 1: I are going to be doing a live stream on

73
00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:19,560
Speaker 1: our YouTube channel YouTube dot com. Slash Betting Pros will

74
00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:21,160
Speaker 1: provide more details, but we're gonna do a lot of

75
00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:23,280
Speaker 1: giveaways and stuff like that, so you're gonna want to

76
00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:25,160
Speaker 1: tune in and be about an hour long with the

77
00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:26,720
Speaker 1: two of us. We'll give you all the details and

78
00:03:26,720 --> 00:03:29,200
Speaker 1: stuff like that before the show, but we'll have that again,

79
00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:31,640
Speaker 1: a ton of giveaways, talking about player props, talking about

80
00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:33,760
Speaker 1: everything we can with the game. There'll also be a

81
00:03:33,800 --> 00:03:36,320
Speaker 1: ton of stuff in our discord channel where you can

82
00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:39,080
Speaker 1: go to Betting Pros dot com slash chat. You should join.

83
00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:41,760
Speaker 1: It's always poppin'. It's a good time, especially on Super

84
00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:44,400
Speaker 1: Bowl Sunday. Yeah, it's going to be it's gonna be

85
00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:46,280
Speaker 1: nuts really in there. It's gonna be a lot of fun.

86
00:03:46,320 --> 00:03:47,000
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be hanging out.

87
00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:48,200
Speaker 2: We're giving away T shirts.

88
00:03:48,360 --> 00:03:50,600
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, we're gonna be giving away if you don't. Again,

89
00:03:50,600 --> 00:03:53,040
Speaker 1: that's Daily Juice, I assume, and maybe I take for

90
00:03:53,080 --> 00:03:55,240
Speaker 1: granted that everybody listens to this, listens to your Daily

91
00:03:55,280 --> 00:03:57,720
Speaker 1: Juice podcast, because it is the best podcast, of course,

92
00:03:58,120 --> 00:04:00,640
Speaker 1: but we have and I look, just because I invented it,

93
00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:03,600
Speaker 1: I get to say, but we we have tons of

94
00:04:03,640 --> 00:04:05,720
Speaker 1: swag right now, Matt h Are you you're wearing one

95
00:04:05,760 --> 00:04:06,000
Speaker 1: right now?

96
00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:09,880
Speaker 2: Are I'm sporting a Daily Juice very comfortable, very nice,

97
00:04:09,920 --> 00:04:13,360
Speaker 2: and affordable T shirt that's available on fantasypros dot com

98
00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:14,600
Speaker 2: slash shop. Nice.

99
00:04:14,800 --> 00:04:18,200
Speaker 1: Yes, that's correct, right now, right now. We also have

100
00:04:18,240 --> 00:04:19,360
Speaker 1: hoodies that we're gonna get hats.

101
00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:21,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, hoody's already flying off the shelves. But I got

102
00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:24,120
Speaker 2: like seven guys telling me that they bought hoodies already.

103
00:04:24,600 --> 00:04:27,760
Speaker 1: I know that's why. And really it's the you know,

104
00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:30,000
Speaker 1: reaction in our discord channel where everybody's like, I want

105
00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:31,920
Speaker 1: I want to and we're like, okay, great, well we'll

106
00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:34,080
Speaker 1: we'll get it up right away. So we did, so

107
00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:37,000
Speaker 1: it's great and everything like that. Separately, I will note, Matt,

108
00:04:37,040 --> 00:04:39,920
Speaker 1: you mentioned this on you know, Dailing Juice, but bet

109
00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:44,160
Speaker 1: MGM is launching in Michigan tomorrow or today probably by

110
00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:46,000
Speaker 1: the time you listen to this since Matt Friday yep,

111
00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:48,159
Speaker 1: a little bit late on Friday. I can get a

112
00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:52,840
Speaker 1: deposit match on a deposit up to five hundred dollars

113
00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:55,640
Speaker 1: when you use the code Juice one hundred. That is

114
00:04:55,680 --> 00:04:57,400
Speaker 1: the code that we use for Matt's Daily Juice. We're

115
00:04:57,440 --> 00:05:00,400
Speaker 1: using it here as well. Juice one hundred in Michigan.

116
00:05:00,520 --> 00:05:02,760
Speaker 1: One hundred percent match on your first deposit up to

117
00:05:02,880 --> 00:05:05,080
Speaker 1: five hundred dollars. All right, so let's know.

118
00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:07,680
Speaker 2: How angry that makes me. By the way, why do

119
00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:10,760
Speaker 2: you any idea how mad that makes me? Why? Because

120
00:05:11,000 --> 00:05:17,039
Speaker 2: we have nothing like that Vegas. Yeah, zip zero. You're lucky.

121
00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:21,159
Speaker 2: If you get fifty bucks in Vegas when you sign up,

122
00:05:21,200 --> 00:05:25,080
Speaker 2: it's like, great, give me your money. There's no thank you. Hey,

123
00:05:25,120 --> 00:05:28,560
Speaker 2: deposit five hundred bucks, I'm gonna match you five hundred dollars.

124
00:05:28,839 --> 00:05:32,760
Speaker 2: It's five hundred dollars in free bets. I mean that is,

125
00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:35,960
Speaker 2: it's essentially a five hundred dollars free roll you get.

126
00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:38,279
Speaker 2: It's incredible, I mean, it's absolutely incredible.

127
00:05:38,440 --> 00:05:40,320
Speaker 1: It's awesome and I had one before the Juice. But

128
00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:43,400
Speaker 1: when DraftKings came to New Hampshire, we also had a code,

129
00:05:43,520 --> 00:05:45,880
Speaker 1: you know for the show. I used it the headed

130
00:05:46,040 --> 00:05:48,640
Speaker 1: DraftKings and yeah, it's a free five hundred dollars bat.

131
00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:50,240
Speaker 1: You can get aggressive, you can have fun. And I

132
00:05:50,279 --> 00:05:52,400
Speaker 1: still remember, sort of like breaking it down. I have

133
00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:54,480
Speaker 1: a good story. I'll tell you another time about how

134
00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:57,080
Speaker 1: I used it, but yeah, it's it's.

135
00:05:56,920 --> 00:05:58,760
Speaker 2: Just make sure you use it on plus money, folks.

136
00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:00,800
Speaker 2: Just make sure that's the only advice I give you.

137
00:06:00,880 --> 00:06:02,640
Speaker 2: Bet what however you want, make sure you use it

138
00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:03,520
Speaker 2: on plus money.

139
00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:05,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I'm sure we all Doss one.

140
00:06:05,240 --> 00:06:07,600
Speaker 2: Ten or Moss one forty, don't bet on Connor McGregor

141
00:06:07,640 --> 00:06:07,840
Speaker 2: with it.

142
00:06:08,320 --> 00:06:10,080
Speaker 1: And I'm sure we all feel really bad for you

143
00:06:10,440 --> 00:06:12,200
Speaker 1: for you know, you don't you miss out and all that,

144
00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:14,680
Speaker 1: but you know you do live in Vegas, Matt, so

145
00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:17,960
Speaker 1: you do get you know, over there. All right, So

146
00:06:18,040 --> 00:06:21,000
Speaker 1: let's let's talk about last week very quickly. You know

147
00:06:21,080 --> 00:06:22,920
Speaker 1: what we did last week, what we've been doing, and

148
00:06:23,080 --> 00:06:24,440
Speaker 1: we can do whatever we want on this one. But

149
00:06:24,480 --> 00:06:27,840
Speaker 1: we were doing one against the spread, pick one over under,

150
00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:30,320
Speaker 1: pick and then one two team teaser that you know

151
00:06:30,360 --> 00:06:32,400
Speaker 1: we both kind of like to do. I had the

152
00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:34,240
Speaker 1: Bucks getting three and a half. Matt and I were

153
00:06:34,279 --> 00:06:36,840
Speaker 1: on the different sides of that game, as we talked about,

154
00:06:36,839 --> 00:06:39,080
Speaker 1: but we both bought the half a point to get

155
00:06:39,080 --> 00:06:40,680
Speaker 1: off three. So I had the Bucks getting three and

156
00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:42,919
Speaker 1: a half and a single game teaser with the Bucks

157
00:06:42,920 --> 00:06:45,000
Speaker 1: plus nine and the over forty five and a half.

158
00:06:45,200 --> 00:06:46,840
Speaker 1: But I also had the under forty five and a

159
00:06:46,880 --> 00:06:49,280
Speaker 1: half on the Rams and Packers game, which I really liked,

160
00:06:49,480 --> 00:06:51,720
Speaker 1: but you know, didn't hit. Of course, Matt, you had

161
00:06:51,720 --> 00:06:54,080
Speaker 1: the Browns and Chiefs under fifty seven, so that was right.

162
00:06:54,120 --> 00:06:55,800
Speaker 1: You missed on the Saints of course, lank two and

163
00:06:55,839 --> 00:06:58,560
Speaker 1: a half. And your teaser was the Rams getting twelve

164
00:06:58,600 --> 00:07:00,480
Speaker 1: and a half and the Ravens getting eight and a half.

165
00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:01,719
Speaker 1: So neither of those legs.

166
00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:01,960
Speaker 2: Yah.

167
00:07:02,320 --> 00:07:04,080
Speaker 1: Actually I know the Ravens really.

168
00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:06,479
Speaker 2: I mean, my other teacher was better. The other teacher,

169
00:07:06,960 --> 00:07:10,560
Speaker 2: my other teaser hit on teasers, but that teaser was disgusting.

170
00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:12,559
Speaker 1: Yeah, you always want to hear more of math picks.

171
00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:14,880
Speaker 1: Listen to Daily Jude. All right, let's get into it here, though.

172
00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:17,040
Speaker 1: Let's start with the Bucks at the Packers and I

173
00:07:17,080 --> 00:07:19,320
Speaker 1: will use the latest odds that we have over at

174
00:07:19,320 --> 00:07:21,600
Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com. Again Betting Pros, that'll give you the

175
00:07:21,640 --> 00:07:23,840
Speaker 1: odds of the various sports books that they have available.

176
00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:26,960
Speaker 1: The Packers are laying three, and there are a couple

177
00:07:27,040 --> 00:07:29,800
Speaker 1: of three and a halfs out there, including my book.

178
00:07:29,880 --> 00:07:32,680
Speaker 1: DraftKings is three and a half right now, but the

179
00:07:32,720 --> 00:07:34,920
Speaker 1: consensus line is three because that's the majority of it.

180
00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:37,520
Speaker 1: The over under is fifty one and a half. And

181
00:07:37,560 --> 00:07:39,160
Speaker 1: I'll give you the money line odds as well, in

182
00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:41,080
Speaker 1: case you think there's any value there. The Bucks are

183
00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:43,840
Speaker 1: plus one point fifty and the Packers right now are

184
00:07:43,960 --> 00:07:46,560
Speaker 1: minus one seventy five. All right, so let's talk about

185
00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:48,800
Speaker 1: this game. Matt general feeling. What do you think?

186
00:07:51,360 --> 00:07:54,360
Speaker 2: So I've been making this joke. I finished the regular

187
00:07:54,440 --> 00:07:57,440
Speaker 2: season up. I think it was like nine units. I've

188
00:07:57,480 --> 00:08:00,000
Speaker 2: given more than half of it back in the play

189
00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:04,600
Speaker 2: and it's been just awful. So I am really gun

190
00:08:04,720 --> 00:08:07,560
Speaker 2: shy when it comes to these two football games. And

191
00:08:08,520 --> 00:08:11,240
Speaker 2: if I had gun to my head, I'll take three.

192
00:08:11,520 --> 00:08:14,560
Speaker 2: I'll take the Packers. They're at home. I think this

193
00:08:14,640 --> 00:08:17,520
Speaker 2: offense is very good. I don't think that Tampa defense

194
00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:20,640
Speaker 2: is very good. I think the turnovers came from Drew

195
00:08:20,680 --> 00:08:23,720
Speaker 2: Brees and Jared Cook just not paying attention. So that

196
00:08:23,800 --> 00:08:25,560
Speaker 2: was a monster And it was twenty to twenty when

197
00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:27,720
Speaker 2: that fumble happened with Jared Cook and then the two

198
00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:30,280
Speaker 2: interceptions happened, it was really rough. They scored twenty one

199
00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:33,920
Speaker 2: points off the three turnovers, really four in totality for

200
00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:36,320
Speaker 2: the New Orleans Saints in that football game. That was

201
00:08:36,360 --> 00:08:38,080
Speaker 2: the difference in that game. It was still only a

202
00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:41,240
Speaker 2: ten point margin, so without the turnovers, Saints probably win

203
00:08:41,280 --> 00:08:44,640
Speaker 2: that game. So I look at the Packers at home.

204
00:08:44,880 --> 00:08:47,400
Speaker 2: I know it's not going to be frigid, but it's

205
00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:50,680
Speaker 2: still a Tampa Bay team in Green Bay, Wisconsin. There's

206
00:08:50,679 --> 00:08:53,440
Speaker 2: still a significant issue there with the weather and just

207
00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:56,439
Speaker 2: being cold and not so much Tom Brady. Everyone's saying, oh,

208
00:08:56,440 --> 00:08:59,080
Speaker 2: Brady's fine in the cold. I understand that point, but

209
00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:01,400
Speaker 2: the problem with it is is Brady played at home

210
00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:03,520
Speaker 2: in New England where they played the entire season. They

211
00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:05,719
Speaker 2: were used to it, they live there. You can't practicing

212
00:09:05,800 --> 00:09:08,040
Speaker 2: the cold in Tampa. So you're gonna go up there,

213
00:09:08,559 --> 00:09:10,880
Speaker 2: have to get situated in twenty four hours to go

214
00:09:10,960 --> 00:09:13,040
Speaker 2: play football, and I don't think it's Brady. I think

215
00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:15,440
Speaker 2: it's the receivers having a tough time hanging on to

216
00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:19,319
Speaker 2: a hard football and then fumbling the football a slick, hard,

217
00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:22,360
Speaker 2: cold football. So to me, I think these turnovers are

218
00:09:22,360 --> 00:09:25,200
Speaker 2: gonna flip flop. I think Tampa turns the football over

219
00:09:25,520 --> 00:09:27,440
Speaker 2: and I think the Packers win the game in cover.

220
00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:30,920
Speaker 1: Okay, so let's talk about something that I'm sure a

221
00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:33,000
Speaker 1: lot of our listeners are thinking about right now, Matt.

222
00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:36,280
Speaker 1: These teams met back in Week six, I believe, and

223
00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:40,520
Speaker 1: the Bucks trounced them thirty eight ten. That was Rogers'

224
00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:43,760
Speaker 1: worst game in the season. You're throwing that entirely out

225
00:09:43,800 --> 00:09:44,840
Speaker 1: at this point when you're thinking.

226
00:09:44,679 --> 00:09:46,680
Speaker 2: Of and neveryone throw out the two wins for the

227
00:09:46,679 --> 00:09:48,160
Speaker 2: Saints over the Bucks last week.

228
00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:49,720
Speaker 1: No, I'm not telling you it's wrong.

229
00:09:49,920 --> 00:09:52,640
Speaker 2: I'm saying, isn't that what everyone said? So, No, you

230
00:09:52,679 --> 00:09:54,760
Speaker 2: can't beat a team two three times? It's really hard.

231
00:09:54,800 --> 00:09:59,119
Speaker 1: Well, I mean, but that's a different situation, right, that's

232
00:09:59,160 --> 00:10:02,000
Speaker 1: a third time. That's the third time two teams that

233
00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:04,400
Speaker 1: you know generally. I know Brady wasn't there, but they

234
00:10:04,480 --> 00:10:06,880
Speaker 1: know each other pretty well. Of course, they played twice

235
00:10:07,120 --> 00:10:10,320
Speaker 1: every year. This was like a dominant performance here by

236
00:10:10,520 --> 00:10:12,800
Speaker 1: the by, you know, but yeah, a dominant performance by

237
00:10:12,800 --> 00:10:14,680
Speaker 1: the Saints of course at some point, but a dominant

238
00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:17,760
Speaker 1: but the only game that Rogers has really looked terrible.

239
00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:19,719
Speaker 1: But I'm just saying, are you you're throwing it out?

240
00:10:19,760 --> 00:10:20,480
Speaker 1: Doesn't matter at all.

241
00:10:20,679 --> 00:10:22,160
Speaker 2: It doesn't matter at all. It's nothing to me. It

242
00:10:22,160 --> 00:10:24,000
Speaker 2: was another year, it was a lifetime ago.

243
00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:26,480
Speaker 1: I'm in agreement with you. I want to make that

244
00:10:26,520 --> 00:10:29,120
Speaker 1: clear so extent anybody took that as me being like, Matt,

245
00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:30,920
Speaker 1: what are you doing, I'm in agreement with you that

246
00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:33,080
Speaker 1: I do not care about the game.

247
00:10:33,240 --> 00:10:33,400
Speaker 2: Now.

248
00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:36,679
Speaker 1: I went back and I watched that game, okay, like recently,

249
00:10:36,679 --> 00:10:38,640
Speaker 1: because I wanted to see what it was going to

250
00:10:38,679 --> 00:10:42,480
Speaker 1: look like. That game was bizarre, so you know, I

251
00:10:42,480 --> 00:10:44,480
Speaker 1: mean not bizarre, I guess, but it was just much

252
00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:50,160
Speaker 1: more of like surprising how little the Packers adapted to it.

253
00:10:50,200 --> 00:10:52,480
Speaker 1: You know, the offensively right, because Rogers is playing at

254
00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:54,600
Speaker 1: such a high level. The offense is playing at such

255
00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:57,480
Speaker 1: a high level, and you know, Rogers likes to take

256
00:10:57,520 --> 00:10:59,800
Speaker 1: the clock down right to the end of you know,

257
00:11:00,480 --> 00:11:03,520
Speaker 1: two seconds left and then snap the ball. And it

258
00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:07,240
Speaker 1: was just sort of like Rogers I felt like the

259
00:11:07,280 --> 00:11:09,920
Speaker 1: Bucks kept disguising what they were doing, and Rogers never

260
00:11:09,960 --> 00:11:13,080
Speaker 1: took any steps to try to figure it out, Like

261
00:11:13,160 --> 00:11:15,040
Speaker 1: he was just like, I'm just gonna wait the whole

262
00:11:15,080 --> 00:11:17,400
Speaker 1: time like we usually do. No trying to get them

263
00:11:17,400 --> 00:11:19,199
Speaker 1: to jump, no trying to see what they were in.

264
00:11:19,360 --> 00:11:21,480
Speaker 1: He's just gonna it's not gonna be the same right now.

265
00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:24,600
Speaker 1: Rogers is playing too well. And again I agree with you.

266
00:11:24,640 --> 00:11:27,439
Speaker 1: I think the weather is a factor here not I

267
00:11:27,520 --> 00:11:29,480
Speaker 1: think you put it summed it up very very well.

268
00:11:29,600 --> 00:11:32,199
Speaker 1: It's not Brady. Okay, we're not criticizing and saying Brady

269
00:11:32,240 --> 00:11:33,720
Speaker 1: can't play in the cult. Of course, he's played in

270
00:11:33,720 --> 00:11:36,320
Speaker 1: New England his entire career. But I do think that

271
00:11:36,640 --> 00:11:39,160
Speaker 1: it's different for the rest of the team, like they're

272
00:11:39,200 --> 00:11:42,160
Speaker 1: just not really going to be used to that. But

273
00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:45,600
Speaker 1: I lean towards the Packers. I don't love it, Matt.

274
00:11:45,640 --> 00:11:47,679
Speaker 1: For me, again, I'm at draftings, so it's at three

275
00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:50,199
Speaker 1: and a half. I don't love it at three and

276
00:11:50,240 --> 00:11:52,640
Speaker 1: a half. I just don't the hook really really.

277
00:11:52,880 --> 00:11:55,120
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, any of the three, I mean the three is,

278
00:11:56,080 --> 00:11:58,280
Speaker 2: I wouldn't play it because there's so many Every book

279
00:11:58,320 --> 00:12:00,679
Speaker 2: in Vegas is at three. I mean nobody at three

280
00:12:00,679 --> 00:12:02,319
Speaker 2: and a half in Vegas. So just to give you

281
00:12:02,360 --> 00:12:07,559
Speaker 2: an idea that essentially what this line is. Okay, it's

282
00:12:07,640 --> 00:12:10,679
Speaker 2: kind of basic, but this is what happens Tampa. If

283
00:12:10,720 --> 00:12:12,880
Speaker 2: you're at three and a half, you're getting Buck money.

284
00:12:13,520 --> 00:12:15,600
Speaker 2: If you're at two and a half, you're getting Packer money.

285
00:12:15,760 --> 00:12:16,000
Speaker 1: Yep.

286
00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:19,400
Speaker 2: That's basically wherever you're setting the number. So DraftKings needs

287
00:12:19,440 --> 00:12:23,040
Speaker 2: for whatever reason, DraftKings needs Tampa Bay money. That's why

288
00:12:23,200 --> 00:12:25,040
Speaker 2: that's why they're at three and a half, because they

289
00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:27,200
Speaker 2: must have gotten a couple of monster bets on the Packers,

290
00:12:27,760 --> 00:12:30,600
Speaker 2: so they're trying to get other money. They're trying to

291
00:12:30,600 --> 00:12:32,959
Speaker 2: get money on the Bucks at plus three and a

292
00:12:33,040 --> 00:12:36,200
Speaker 2: half to kind of, you know, balance that out, or

293
00:12:36,240 --> 00:12:38,800
Speaker 2: to try to limit the liability they've got on the game.

294
00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:42,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, realistically, you expect this to be a close game.

295
00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:44,760
Speaker 1: You expect a like a three roughly a three point

296
00:12:44,800 --> 00:12:46,120
Speaker 1: game or something close to it.

297
00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:50,640
Speaker 2: See, this is my question because of the teaser. I

298
00:12:50,640 --> 00:12:52,280
Speaker 2: want to play that everybody in the in their lives

299
00:12:52,320 --> 00:12:54,360
Speaker 2: are going to play. Every better is going to have

300
00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:59,480
Speaker 2: this ticket plus nine plus nine everyone. Yeah, I'm nervous

301
00:12:59,520 --> 00:13:00,600
Speaker 2: about a Packer or blowout.

302
00:13:01,200 --> 00:13:01,480
Speaker 1: Yep.

303
00:13:02,000 --> 00:13:04,480
Speaker 2: I really, I'm really nervous about the Packers killing the

304
00:13:04,520 --> 00:13:06,680
Speaker 2: teaser because the Packers go ahead and win, and a

305
00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:08,800
Speaker 2: part of me wants to tease through zero, and part

306
00:13:08,840 --> 00:13:14,080
Speaker 2: of me wants to take Packers massa zero because there

307
00:13:14,120 --> 00:13:16,880
Speaker 2: is no real difference. There's no real difference between plus

308
00:13:16,960 --> 00:13:18,800
Speaker 2: three and plus three, so I think the Packers could

309
00:13:18,840 --> 00:13:21,280
Speaker 2: win big. It's the second leg that I needed on.

310
00:13:21,320 --> 00:13:23,480
Speaker 2: I need the points, not on this leg. I need

311
00:13:23,480 --> 00:13:27,240
Speaker 2: the points on the Bills and Chief's leg. So that's

312
00:13:27,280 --> 00:13:30,000
Speaker 2: one reason why I could see myself violating that rule

313
00:13:30,040 --> 00:13:33,480
Speaker 2: and teasing through zero. But I hate, hate, hate, and

314
00:13:33,559 --> 00:13:36,480
Speaker 2: don't like doing that. So, as I said, I'm I'm

315
00:13:36,480 --> 00:13:39,680
Speaker 2: all over the place here. The teaser I'm gonna play

316
00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:43,240
Speaker 2: is actually on the total in this game to me.

317
00:13:43,280 --> 00:13:47,040
Speaker 1: Too, very so I have that my two team teaser

318
00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:50,040
Speaker 1: is going to take I mean spoiler alert, but my

319
00:13:50,160 --> 00:13:52,079
Speaker 1: two team teaser is going to be taking the bills

320
00:13:52,120 --> 00:13:52,680
Speaker 1: up to nine.

321
00:13:52,840 --> 00:13:53,000
Speaker 2: Yep.

322
00:13:53,040 --> 00:13:55,000
Speaker 1: And I'm gonna be teasing the total down on this

323
00:13:55,040 --> 00:13:56,600
Speaker 1: one and taking the over you're.

324
00:13:56,520 --> 00:13:59,600
Speaker 2: Doing, yeah, exact, same bet, yep, exactly, because that's my

325
00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:00,439
Speaker 2: two teams yep.

326
00:14:00,600 --> 00:14:02,920
Speaker 1: Yes, that's mine as well. I've already bet it, and

327
00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:04,760
Speaker 1: I think that that, oh why did.

328
00:14:04,640 --> 00:14:08,120
Speaker 2: You why didn't you wait until what? Until the until

329
00:14:08,120 --> 00:14:11,720
Speaker 2: you get four or five? Until you're gonna get You're

330
00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:14,520
Speaker 2: gonna get the second that Patrick Mahomes is cleared to

331
00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:17,439
Speaker 2: play that number is not saying it three and a half.

332
00:14:17,760 --> 00:14:21,560
Speaker 1: Okay, so three, Yeah, I've got a three, all right,

333
00:14:21,680 --> 00:14:24,560
Speaker 1: so that might be first of all number one. I'll

334
00:14:24,560 --> 00:14:26,840
Speaker 1: bet it again if so, and again if it goes.

335
00:14:26,880 --> 00:14:28,560
Speaker 1: If it goes to three and a half, doesn't matter

336
00:14:28,600 --> 00:14:30,760
Speaker 1: to me obviously, because you have to get to ten.

337
00:14:31,520 --> 00:14:33,120
Speaker 1: Right with a teaser, it doesn't matter.

338
00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:37,280
Speaker 2: But I oh no, it matters. It really four matters

339
00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:39,960
Speaker 2: on a six point teaser. Getting the ten matters big time.

340
00:14:40,560 --> 00:14:42,800
Speaker 1: I'm saying the difference between three and three and a

341
00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:45,480
Speaker 1: half for me, right, because on a teaser, if you

342
00:14:45,680 --> 00:14:48,720
Speaker 1: if you tie the second leg, you lose. Right.

343
00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:51,720
Speaker 2: No, It's just every every book is different. Some book

344
00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:53,920
Speaker 2: is a push, some book the whole. Some book have

345
00:14:54,000 --> 00:14:56,440
Speaker 2: the whole bets of push. Some books will give you

346
00:14:56,720 --> 00:15:00,120
Speaker 2: the odds on the first leg. But most books is

347
00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:02,320
Speaker 2: a straight push. If one leg, if only one leg

348
00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:05,000
Speaker 2: of the two leg teaser pushes, the whole BET's a push.

349
00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:07,280
Speaker 1: Okay, So the book then I used, I actually haven't

350
00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:09,000
Speaker 1: had it come up yet with racking book that I.

351
00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:11,560
Speaker 2: Think I get to push you get to ten the

352
00:15:11,600 --> 00:15:14,160
Speaker 2: whole book. If it falls on ten, the whole bet

353
00:15:14,200 --> 00:15:14,800
Speaker 2: will be a push.

354
00:15:14,840 --> 00:15:17,600
Speaker 1: Fair enough, fair enough on the book. And that's actually

355
00:15:17,640 --> 00:15:19,920
Speaker 1: my bad because I think I've just been assuming, basically

356
00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:21,480
Speaker 1: because the book that I used to play at when

357
00:15:21,480 --> 00:15:22,720
Speaker 1: I used to live in a place where I could

358
00:15:23,240 --> 00:15:25,560
Speaker 1: was with if you pushed a leg, you lost. So

359
00:15:25,600 --> 00:15:27,720
Speaker 1: that's kind of what I've been so but regardless, so

360
00:15:28,240 --> 00:15:29,840
Speaker 1: we'll get to that game. You know, we'll push that

361
00:15:29,880 --> 00:15:32,760
Speaker 1: game away, Matt when we get there. About what we

362
00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:35,480
Speaker 1: think the spread is going to do, because I I don't.

363
00:15:35,600 --> 00:15:39,040
Speaker 1: You may be absolutely right and putt put it out there.

364
00:15:39,120 --> 00:15:41,880
Speaker 1: You live in Vegas, you are well connected. I'm sure

365
00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:43,760
Speaker 1: you have a better idea of what's going to happen here.

366
00:15:43,920 --> 00:15:46,680
Speaker 1: I have always been assuming that this is price the

367
00:15:46,720 --> 00:15:49,440
Speaker 1: Bills Chiefs game, as if Mahomes is going to.

368
00:15:49,360 --> 00:15:52,400
Speaker 2: Play, But the public hasn't gotten involved yet.

369
00:15:52,600 --> 00:15:55,760
Speaker 1: You think that when Patrick Mahomes, all right, we'll get there.

370
00:15:56,200 --> 00:15:58,360
Speaker 1: Let's let's let's keep up with this game right now.

371
00:15:58,520 --> 00:16:00,520
Speaker 1: I think I agree with you in that I think

372
00:16:00,560 --> 00:16:05,040
Speaker 1: there is an absolute risk here that the Packers destroyed

373
00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:07,800
Speaker 1: the Bucks. I really do, because I get you. You

374
00:16:07,840 --> 00:16:11,480
Speaker 1: called it, Matt like last week's game was not overly

375
00:16:11,520 --> 00:16:14,720
Speaker 1: impressive by the Bucks. It really wasn't. They could have

376
00:16:14,880 --> 00:16:18,160
Speaker 1: easily lost that game had those certain things happened at

377
00:16:18,160 --> 00:16:20,160
Speaker 1: the end of the game and Drew Rees basically he

378
00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:22,320
Speaker 1: really did look like Peyton Manning in the last year

379
00:16:22,320 --> 00:16:24,640
Speaker 1: of his career at this point, and they still were

380
00:16:24,880 --> 00:16:27,000
Speaker 1: in that game, and of course they didn't have you know,

381
00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:29,760
Speaker 1: MVP Deontae Harris, who looked like he was going to

382
00:16:29,800 --> 00:16:32,000
Speaker 1: be a game changer for the first couple.

383
00:16:31,840 --> 00:16:33,280
Speaker 2: Of until he got.

384
00:16:33,560 --> 00:16:36,520
Speaker 1: Until he got hurt, until the first quarter and changed

385
00:16:36,520 --> 00:16:36,920
Speaker 1: the game.

386
00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:40,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I was, you know, it was brutal. I mean,

387
00:16:40,160 --> 00:16:42,760
Speaker 2: if he was he was electric, and then everything switched

388
00:16:42,760 --> 00:16:44,880
Speaker 2: when he got hurt. I was like, oh no.

389
00:16:44,880 --> 00:16:48,440
Speaker 1: So, but they did not look overly impressive or against Washington.

390
00:16:48,440 --> 00:16:51,240
Speaker 1: Now they are strong defensively, and they may have videvea

391
00:16:51,320 --> 00:16:54,240
Speaker 1: back here, which only strengthens their run defense.

392
00:16:54,280 --> 00:16:56,800
Speaker 2: So yeah, but I talked to somebody in Tampa about

393
00:16:56,800 --> 00:16:59,200
Speaker 2: that on my show and someone who's actually part of

394
00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:02,600
Speaker 2: the Bucks broadcast, and they don't think that a three

395
00:17:02,720 --> 00:17:06,480
Speaker 2: hundred pound man who hasn't played football for a long time, yep,

396
00:17:06,840 --> 00:17:08,800
Speaker 2: they don't think he's in game shape. So they think

397
00:17:08,840 --> 00:17:10,359
Speaker 2: even if he is in the game, he's on like

398
00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:12,960
Speaker 2: a ten to fifteen snapcount, Like, okay, maybe he makes

399
00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:15,880
Speaker 2: some plays, but they weren't. I thought the same thing.

400
00:17:15,960 --> 00:17:18,080
Speaker 2: I was like, oh, man, maybe you know, if Videvea

401
00:17:18,080 --> 00:17:19,720
Speaker 2: coming back could be a monster in the middle, he

402
00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:22,680
Speaker 2: could chew up a bunch of a bunch of black blockers.

403
00:17:22,960 --> 00:17:25,520
Speaker 2: And they were like, yeah, no, I wouldn't expect him

404
00:17:25,520 --> 00:17:26,960
Speaker 2: to be a big part of the game plan by

405
00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:28,960
Speaker 2: any means. He may play, he may be out there,

406
00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:30,800
Speaker 2: but like, don't expect him to be a you know,

407
00:17:31,080 --> 00:17:34,080
Speaker 2: a twenty five thirty snap type defensive player right.

408
00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:36,280
Speaker 1: Well, you know, regardless of course, even when they lost him,

409
00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:38,320
Speaker 1: the Bucks are still one of the best teams at

410
00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:41,040
Speaker 1: stopping the run, so you know, I think they'll be

411
00:17:41,040 --> 00:17:43,640
Speaker 1: able to do that. But again, against the past, it's

412
00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:48,399
Speaker 1: not like Carlton Davis is gonna take away DeVonta Adams,

413
00:17:48,400 --> 00:17:50,320
Speaker 1: you know, And either way, Rogers are just playing at

414
00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:52,479
Speaker 1: such a high level that he will be able to

415
00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:55,399
Speaker 1: sort of find, you know, the holes in the defense.

416
00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:58,040
Speaker 1: And again, I'm presuming at this point that I'm not

417
00:17:58,119 --> 00:17:59,879
Speaker 1: the only one who has gone back and watched that

418
00:18:00,040 --> 00:18:01,959
Speaker 1: game film of that first game and been like, you know,

419
00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:03,800
Speaker 1: maybe we need to switch this up a little bit

420
00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:05,359
Speaker 1: as to what we were doing because they were getting

421
00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:07,960
Speaker 1: too much pressure on Rogers. They were throwing deep too much.

422
00:18:08,080 --> 00:18:09,399
Speaker 1: So I think they're gonna change that. So I think

423
00:18:09,440 --> 00:18:11,359
Speaker 1: they're gonna be They're gonna be able to put up points.

424
00:18:11,680 --> 00:18:14,920
Speaker 1: And the Packers defense has played better. They're getting more

425
00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:17,240
Speaker 1: pressure lately, and you know, that's sort of the key

426
00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:20,480
Speaker 1: to Brady to get pleasure without blitzing, because when you realise,

427
00:18:20,600 --> 00:18:22,440
Speaker 1: he's just gonna tear you up if you can get

428
00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:24,639
Speaker 1: more pressure without blitzing, and they've been doing that a

429
00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:26,720
Speaker 1: little bit more lately. We don't know whether or not

430
00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:29,560
Speaker 1: Antonio Brown's gonna play. I guess he's trending up, but really,

431
00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:31,920
Speaker 1: you attack the Packers on the ground, so you'll see

432
00:18:31,920 --> 00:18:33,920
Speaker 1: probably a lot of Leonard Fournette. But I do think

433
00:18:33,920 --> 00:18:36,680
Speaker 1: there's gonna be a fair amount of scoring in this game,

434
00:18:37,600 --> 00:18:40,800
Speaker 1: and it is something where it lends itself. I think

435
00:18:40,840 --> 00:18:44,040
Speaker 1: to in game betting. If if you're not if you're

436
00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:46,560
Speaker 1: gunchy about the over at fifty, what did I say

437
00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:49,040
Speaker 1: fifty one and a half? If you're gun shy about that,

438
00:18:49,400 --> 00:18:52,800
Speaker 1: wait for the game and if if one side gets

439
00:18:52,880 --> 00:18:55,399
Speaker 1: up by like ten points or more, then they're just

440
00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:57,119
Speaker 1: both gonna then there's just gonna be a lot of

441
00:18:57,160 --> 00:18:58,879
Speaker 1: a ton of passing and the over is gonna go.

442
00:18:58,960 --> 00:18:59,920
Speaker 1: So that's what I would do with that. I don't

443
00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:01,520
Speaker 1: love Do you like the fifty one and a half

444
00:19:01,600 --> 00:19:03,879
Speaker 1: either way? Matt? Without teasing it? We said, we teach it.

445
00:19:03,880 --> 00:19:06,720
Speaker 2: Think it's right. I think I think the game falls

446
00:19:06,720 --> 00:19:08,560
Speaker 2: somewhere in there. I mean, I could see it falling

447
00:19:08,600 --> 00:19:11,800
Speaker 2: at fifty. You know, that's where my thirty to twenty

448
00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:15,920
Speaker 2: comes in. I'm like, yeah, there's the teaser killer right right.

449
00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:18,679
Speaker 2: If the Packers win by ten, that's it. And can

450
00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:21,400
Speaker 2: they win by ten? Yeah, and then they don't get

451
00:19:21,400 --> 00:19:22,760
Speaker 2: to the total, you know, they don't go to the

452
00:19:22,800 --> 00:19:25,720
Speaker 2: over thirty to twenty. It's a fifty point total, and

453
00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:27,680
Speaker 2: then so you lose on the under or the over

454
00:19:27,760 --> 00:19:30,919
Speaker 2: bet is a loss and the teasers a loss. So

455
00:19:31,560 --> 00:19:34,119
Speaker 2: that's my that's my like uh oh, in my brain

456
00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:36,080
Speaker 2: when I start thinking about how I would bet this,

457
00:19:36,359 --> 00:19:38,200
Speaker 2: that's the scenario that scares me the most.

458
00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:40,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, and again with this, Matt, like, when I look

459
00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:42,919
Speaker 1: at the two teams, you know they're both you know,

460
00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:45,239
Speaker 1: at this point, you know they're both They match up

461
00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:48,960
Speaker 1: pretty well. They're both solid defensively, they both have excellent quarterbacks.

462
00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:51,480
Speaker 1: I can both move the ball through the air, decent

463
00:19:51,560 --> 00:19:53,639
Speaker 1: run game, and everything like that. They match up pretty

464
00:19:53,640 --> 00:19:55,639
Speaker 1: well against each other to the point where when you

465
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:58,080
Speaker 1: look at it, yeah, three point spread feels right. But

466
00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:02,320
Speaker 1: like you I just I kind of have this feeling

467
00:20:02,840 --> 00:20:06,720
Speaker 1: that the Packers may just come out and smash them,

468
00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:10,000
Speaker 1: you know, Like I have this like just nagging feeling

469
00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:11,520
Speaker 1: in the back of my mind that in the cold

470
00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:15,280
Speaker 1: in Green Bay, they're just gonna come out and be

471
00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:17,800
Speaker 1: totally ready to avenge that loss.

472
00:20:17,840 --> 00:20:19,879
Speaker 2: So well, I think there's also a point that I've

473
00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:21,280
Speaker 2: been making on my radio show a little bit that

474
00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:23,280
Speaker 2: I haven't heard enough about across the country. Is it

475
00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:27,480
Speaker 2: so Rogers has one ring. The list of quarterbacks who

476
00:20:27,520 --> 00:20:30,800
Speaker 2: have one ring, it's pretty long. The list of quarterbacks

477
00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:33,639
Speaker 2: who have two rings, it's not that long list of

478
00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:36,720
Speaker 2: quarterbacks are three rings or more is really short. So

479
00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:39,440
Speaker 2: I mean Rogers can put himself in the big ben

480
00:20:39,600 --> 00:20:41,800
Speaker 2: in the you know, in the Peyton Manning. I mean

481
00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:43,840
Speaker 2: he can put himself into a category. I mean John

482
00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:46,439
Speaker 2: always got three, but he can put himself into a

483
00:20:46,440 --> 00:20:51,040
Speaker 2: category that you're like, huh, this is a different you know,

484
00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:55,680
Speaker 2: we're no longer discussing far versus Rogers. And I think

485
00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:58,760
Speaker 2: that extra ring. The winner of this game, in my mind,

486
00:20:58,880 --> 00:21:02,480
Speaker 2: is gonna win the championship. So yeah, I really do.

487
00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:05,080
Speaker 2: I think the winner of this wins at all. And

488
00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:07,280
Speaker 2: I think I've got a bet on the Packers, so

489
00:21:07,600 --> 00:21:09,479
Speaker 2: like a party me is like I thought the Packers

490
00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:11,520
Speaker 2: were the best team in football three weeks ago when

491
00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:13,720
Speaker 2: I made the bet, and I just got to ride

492
00:21:13,760 --> 00:21:18,600
Speaker 2: it here. So I do have, like my other play,

493
00:21:18,680 --> 00:21:22,480
Speaker 2: I don't normally do two team parlays, but I think

494
00:21:23,080 --> 00:21:26,640
Speaker 2: at FanDuel you could have gotten this this morning if

495
00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:31,119
Speaker 2: you took moneyline Packers money line Chiefs. You get plus

496
00:21:31,119 --> 00:21:35,880
Speaker 2: one fifty one odds on it. Really yeah, so it's

497
00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:38,280
Speaker 2: not bad. It's not a bad two leg teaser to

498
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:41,840
Speaker 2: two leg parlay, just straight money line number one Seeds win.

499
00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:46,640
Speaker 2: Number one Seeds make their way to Tampa. I mean,

500
00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:48,440
Speaker 2: I think it's a decent way of playing it. I mean,

501
00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:50,000
Speaker 2: I think it's a it's a decent way of not

502
00:21:50,040 --> 00:21:52,160
Speaker 2: having to worry about the points and worry about something

503
00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:55,359
Speaker 2: screwy happening with missed extra points or strange fumbles at

504
00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:59,240
Speaker 2: the end or whatever. Just Chiefs win, Packers win, and

505
00:21:59,280 --> 00:22:00,600
Speaker 2: you're at plus one fifty one.

506
00:22:00,960 --> 00:22:02,879
Speaker 1: Yeah, I've got a draft Kings right now because I've

507
00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:04,520
Speaker 1: just pulled it up. I always like to have it up, Matt,

508
00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:06,640
Speaker 1: just so I can check exactly where we are. It's

509
00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:09,200
Speaker 1: at one forty six, so it's it's right around there.

510
00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:13,200
Speaker 1: I do again, I think basically where I've come down

511
00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:15,959
Speaker 1: on this, and it is something where I think the

512
00:22:15,960 --> 00:22:18,240
Speaker 1: line is fair, is absolutely right. I could see it

513
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:20,840
Speaker 1: being a close game. But I'm starting, as I've just

514
00:22:21,000 --> 00:22:23,399
Speaker 1: looked into this more and more, I kind of just

515
00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:26,120
Speaker 1: I have this feeling like the pack Like I'm more

516
00:22:26,119 --> 00:22:28,320
Speaker 1: confident that the Packers are gonna win, way more confident

517
00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:30,000
Speaker 1: that the Packers are gonna win than I am that

518
00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:33,200
Speaker 1: the Chiefs win, even with Mahomes playing in that game.

519
00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:35,360
Speaker 1: So let's get to that game. Then, I think basically

520
00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:38,000
Speaker 1: where we come at as is at three, we like

521
00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:40,200
Speaker 1: the Packers, right, you're willing you're are you gonna bet

522
00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:41,480
Speaker 1: that with the Packers laying three?

523
00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:45,040
Speaker 2: Don't know yet? Okay, no, no, no, I told you

524
00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:48,680
Speaker 2: i'd I've been. I may be more exotic than being

525
00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:51,000
Speaker 2: then just taking straight sides and totals, we could give

526
00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:51,840
Speaker 2: me how bad I've been.

527
00:22:52,119 --> 00:22:54,880
Speaker 1: Oh, and look, we are at a point right now

528
00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:57,679
Speaker 1: where the lines are so sharp, you know, because they

529
00:22:57,680 --> 00:22:59,600
Speaker 1: have so much data and stuff like that. So do

530
00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:01,720
Speaker 1: I love of three or three and a half on

531
00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:02,480
Speaker 1: either of these games?

532
00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:02,680
Speaker 2: No?

533
00:23:02,760 --> 00:23:05,600
Speaker 1: I don't at all. So you know, I don't think

534
00:23:05,600 --> 00:23:07,520
Speaker 1: I would actually bout out. I'll make a play on

535
00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:09,280
Speaker 1: one of the sides at this point, right, but at

536
00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 1: three and a half, like, I think there's value on

537
00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:13,280
Speaker 1: the bucks, but I won't bet it because I just

538
00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:15,280
Speaker 1: have the feeling like the Packers are going to kind

539
00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:16,879
Speaker 1: of run with this one. So and I love the

540
00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:18,639
Speaker 1: total either. I think this total is right on, like

541
00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:21,240
Speaker 1: you at fifty one and a half money line parlay

542
00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:23,680
Speaker 1: is very interesting. But let's get to the second game now, Matt,

543
00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:26,760
Speaker 1: because you know you let let's start with the first

544
00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:28,600
Speaker 1: thing kind of that we we already teed up a

545
00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:31,159
Speaker 1: little bit. You think that once Mahomes is declared in

546
00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:34,800
Speaker 1: and I think at this point there's there's it's almost

547
00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:37,040
Speaker 1: a certainty at this point that he's going to play

548
00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:39,879
Speaker 1: just right. Okay, So you think when that comes in,

549
00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:42,280
Speaker 1: the public is going to come in hard on the

550
00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:45,000
Speaker 1: chiefs and the line is going to move? Yes, how

551
00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:46,040
Speaker 1: high do you think it gets?

552
00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:47,679
Speaker 2: Four? Four and a half?

553
00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:54,680
Speaker 1: Really? Okay? So that's interesting to me because and out

554
00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:57,720
Speaker 1: of curiosity, is this just the Matt Parral sort of

555
00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:00,520
Speaker 1: way of thinking, or have you talked to bookmakers who

556
00:24:00,600 --> 00:24:02,240
Speaker 1: are both affecting that, I mean.

557
00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 2: But both I mean. The expectation is if you have

558
00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:09,440
Speaker 2: bet the bills, you already bet them, because you could

559
00:24:09,440 --> 00:24:12,320
Speaker 2: have gotten four here in Vegas at an open The

560
00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:15,520
Speaker 2: open number in Vegas was four. So if you wanted

561
00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:18,160
Speaker 2: if you I guess, not the open but it was bet.

562
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:20,320
Speaker 2: It was. It was seesawed in the first six hours

563
00:24:20,320 --> 00:24:23,119
Speaker 2: of it being open to what finally stopped where it

564
00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:25,800
Speaker 2: opened up. One book had Chiefs miss two and a half,

565
00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:27,760
Speaker 2: another book had bills miss one and a half, and

566
00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:29,960
Speaker 2: then it all kind of homogenized together. Once the bets

567
00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:32,680
Speaker 2: started to fly in, but that was because one book

568
00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:35,080
Speaker 2: was banking on Mahomes. Another book was saying Mahomes is

569
00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:37,719
Speaker 2: going to be out. So after it all kind of

570
00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:40,920
Speaker 2: the dust settled, it was at four and you could

571
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:43,000
Speaker 2: find four all over town. So if you wanted to

572
00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:44,760
Speaker 2: bills at four, you've already bet them. That's why the

573
00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:47,399
Speaker 2: line came down to three. So we've seen nothing but

574
00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:51,480
Speaker 2: basically bills money come in. So the packer, sorry, the

575
00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:54,640
Speaker 2: chief money hasn't showed up yet, and so we're gonna

576
00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:57,280
Speaker 2: get chief money. When Mahomes is cleared to play and

577
00:24:57,280 --> 00:24:59,280
Speaker 2: there's no questions, he's out, he's out of the protocol

578
00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:02,480
Speaker 2: and there's no more question. You will see one hundred thousand,

579
00:25:02,520 --> 00:25:05,720
Speaker 2: two hundred thousand, three hundred thousand. I mean, all all

580
00:25:05,800 --> 00:25:09,040
Speaker 2: that stuff will hit will hit it. It will come down hard.

581
00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:13,560
Speaker 2: So I mean that I think is if you like

582
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:14,640
Speaker 2: the bills.

583
00:25:14,520 --> 00:25:18,320
Speaker 1: Wait now, Matt, don't you think that the sharp money

584
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:20,440
Speaker 1: will come in on the bills. If it keeps going

585
00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:22,639
Speaker 1: to four, it's gonna be fifty to fifty. Okay?

586
00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:26,840
Speaker 2: The start this is this is a really really hard game.

587
00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:27,320
Speaker 1: Okay.

588
00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:29,080
Speaker 2: I mean I think I think the second game is

589
00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:30,000
Speaker 2: harder than the first game.

590
00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:32,400
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I don't. I this game is very tough,

591
00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:34,720
Speaker 1: very tough. Now you it's funny because I don't. I

592
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:37,480
Speaker 1: don't feel that confident. And even if Mahomes plays, because

593
00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:40,160
Speaker 1: at the very least, and we're assuming Mahomes place, at

594
00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:42,640
Speaker 1: the very least, Matt he's gonna be limited by that tell.

595
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:44,600
Speaker 1: I mean, that's turf toe. We assume right that he

596
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:46,719
Speaker 1: has there with the toe injury that he suffered. I mean,

597
00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:50,439
Speaker 1: he if he's limping around that Mahomes limping around is

598
00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:52,600
Speaker 1: still probably the best quarterback in the NFL, but it

599
00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:56,320
Speaker 1: does take you know, his mobility being limited, that does

600
00:25:56,800 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 1: take away from him. So you think, though that they're

601
00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:01,560
Speaker 1: gonna you so confident that they're going to win this game.

602
00:26:04,280 --> 00:26:07,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I mean, I am. Here's here's how

603
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:10,000
Speaker 2: Here's how I feel about this game. I love the

604
00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:13,239
Speaker 2: under It's my favorite play of the game. Okay, at

605
00:26:13,280 --> 00:26:16,240
Speaker 2: fifty three and a half, Okay, I like teasing the

606
00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:19,120
Speaker 2: bills up because I don't think the Chiefs beat anybody

607
00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:20,320
Speaker 2: by big numbers anymore.

608
00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:22,320
Speaker 1: They don't cover ever at no ever.

609
00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:26,240
Speaker 2: So yes, and so I like getting four and a

610
00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:28,879
Speaker 2: half to five and teasing it up to ten or

611
00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:32,439
Speaker 2: eleven with the Bills. That's my second favorite play. And

612
00:26:32,480 --> 00:26:34,199
Speaker 2: then if I had to go ahead and bet it,

613
00:26:34,240 --> 00:26:38,640
Speaker 2: I'd take money line Chiefs. Okay, all right, that's that's

614
00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:42,239
Speaker 2: kind of I'm trying to ensure myself a little bit

615
00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:45,560
Speaker 2: that if I'm really wrong, if the Bills come out

616
00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:49,639
Speaker 2: and win by like thirty, Okay, I'm alright, because that

617
00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:51,000
Speaker 2: blows up the money line parlay.

618
00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:51,439
Speaker 1: Right.

619
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:55,719
Speaker 2: I think Patrick mahomes mobility is a big problem. If

620
00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:57,959
Speaker 2: he can't run around and he can't move, that's a

621
00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:00,000
Speaker 2: big issue. His arm still the arm, Okay, I'm not

622
00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:01,960
Speaker 2: I'm not saying you can't throw the football. He can,

623
00:27:02,560 --> 00:27:06,359
Speaker 2: but if he can't plant properly, or if he hurts

624
00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:08,720
Speaker 2: it early in the game, if he gets, you know, sacked,

625
00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:10,760
Speaker 2: and he hurts the foot early in the game, forget

626
00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:13,520
Speaker 2: the head. I mean, the foot's a bigger worry to me,

627
00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:15,240
Speaker 2: to be honest with you, that than any concussion is

628
00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:18,359
Speaker 2: show you'll be having no. So, I just the Bills

629
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:20,480
Speaker 2: defense has been playing really well and the Chiefs aren't

630
00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:23,520
Speaker 2: scoring touchdowns right now, they're kicking a ton of field goals. Yes,

631
00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:26,359
Speaker 2: So That's why the under is my favorite play of

632
00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:28,440
Speaker 2: the game. Is you know, if I had to bet

633
00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:29,960
Speaker 2: a side on it, or I had to be you know,

634
00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:32,080
Speaker 2: your side or total, I'm taking the total and going

635
00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:33,280
Speaker 2: under three and a half.

636
00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:35,879
Speaker 1: The only part of this game I'm touching is and

637
00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:37,880
Speaker 1: again if it moves up, I'll bet. I'll just bet

638
00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:41,200
Speaker 1: it again for sure. But I'm comfortable at plus nine

639
00:27:41,320 --> 00:27:45,080
Speaker 1: because I don't think there's I will be floored if

640
00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:48,119
Speaker 1: the Chiefs win this game by nine points or more like,

641
00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:49,920
Speaker 1: I'll be absolutely.

642
00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:51,159
Speaker 2: I know a lot of sharp people that like the

643
00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:52,680
Speaker 2: Bills just plus three and a half.

644
00:27:52,680 --> 00:27:55,560
Speaker 1: I'm telling you, I feel like if I have to

645
00:27:55,600 --> 00:27:57,720
Speaker 1: place a bet, I would do it. But Matt, you

646
00:27:57,760 --> 00:27:59,880
Speaker 1: remember that game early in the season when we took

647
00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:03,479
Speaker 1: Chiefs against the Ravens, when Mahlomes was getting money and

648
00:28:03,520 --> 00:28:05,840
Speaker 1: we were just like, right, why would you ever bet

649
00:28:05,840 --> 00:28:07,760
Speaker 1: against Patrick? Well, like, you know, it was just sort

650
00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:10,960
Speaker 1: of watching. It's almost comical what he can do. If

651
00:28:11,040 --> 00:28:13,760
Speaker 1: he is remotely close to one hundred percent and even limited,

652
00:28:14,000 --> 00:28:16,080
Speaker 1: they could have put up a ton of points against Cleveland.

653
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:18,600
Speaker 1: I mean, what he can do, you know, limping around

654
00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:22,480
Speaker 1: is better than any mortal man. But the Bills, and

655
00:28:22,520 --> 00:28:24,879
Speaker 1: this is I'm very interested to hear your take on it,

656
00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:27,560
Speaker 1: because you you have faded the Bills for the most

657
00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:31,000
Speaker 1: part all season long. But I'm so impressed by the Bills.

658
00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 1: And you know, against the Ravens, I realized that, you know,

659
00:28:33,800 --> 00:28:36,160
Speaker 1: Lamar doesn't throw that pick six, and that game could

660
00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:39,040
Speaker 1: have turned out very, very differently. Baltimore played a great

661
00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:43,440
Speaker 1: game defensively, but it was really really windy, like incredibly windy.

662
00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:46,360
Speaker 1: I don't really blame them the Bills, you know, I'm

663
00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:48,680
Speaker 1: just trying to like break it down. The Bills get

664
00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:50,480
Speaker 1: an extra day of rest here, and again you have

665
00:28:50,600 --> 00:28:53,160
Speaker 1: the Holmes, who's sort of you now, is a little

666
00:28:53,560 --> 00:28:56,400
Speaker 1: banged up. You know, the Bills are great in the

667
00:28:56,440 --> 00:28:59,040
Speaker 1: red zone. Part of it is because Josh Allen Can

668
00:28:59,280 --> 00:29:02,280
Speaker 1: you know, has the rushing threat obviously, but you know,

669
00:29:02,560 --> 00:29:05,840
Speaker 1: he's just playing in an exceptionally high, well high level.

670
00:29:06,120 --> 00:29:08,800
Speaker 1: Casey's not great as a red zone defense, Like, they're

671
00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:11,000
Speaker 1: not that good at keeping teams out of the end

672
00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:13,280
Speaker 1: zone once they get there. So the Bills are going

673
00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:15,720
Speaker 1: to be able to put up points in this game.

674
00:29:15,800 --> 00:29:18,360
Speaker 1: And that's especially true given the fact that everybody on

675
00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:22,360
Speaker 1: the Chiefs is injured. Like, just in thinking about how

676
00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:25,200
Speaker 1: this game's gonn unfold, Breeland is injured. I think he's

677
00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:28,520
Speaker 1: gonna play. He's practicing, but you know, maybe Cech plays.

678
00:29:28,560 --> 00:29:32,120
Speaker 1: I guess Watkins plays, and we guess Mahomes plays. But again,

679
00:29:32,320 --> 00:29:36,040
Speaker 1: the Chiefs defense just hasn't been quite that as good

680
00:29:36,200 --> 00:29:39,040
Speaker 1: in the second half against the pass, like, it's just

681
00:29:39,160 --> 00:29:41,040
Speaker 1: not quite as good. I mean, you looked at Mayfield.

682
00:29:41,080 --> 00:29:43,440
Speaker 1: He was able to move the ball pretty well. The

683
00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:47,720
Speaker 1: Bills linebackers are playing really well. You know, I don't know, man,

684
00:29:47,760 --> 00:29:49,520
Speaker 1: I'm getting like a weird I'm not going to bet

685
00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:52,000
Speaker 1: against Patrick mall I'm just not, like, because it's a

686
00:29:52,120 --> 00:29:54,960
Speaker 1: horrible thing to do. So even though the Bills at

687
00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:57,720
Speaker 1: plus three I think is the right side at this one,

688
00:29:58,000 --> 00:29:59,600
Speaker 1: I'm not going to actually place a bet on it.

689
00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:03,080
Speaker 1: But I don't know, man, especially with Mahomes, he's not

690
00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:04,560
Speaker 1: going to be one hundred percent right, Like that's the

691
00:30:04,600 --> 00:30:07,040
Speaker 1: one thing we know, right, He's just not gonna be

692
00:30:07,040 --> 00:30:08,120
Speaker 1: able to move around.

693
00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:10,880
Speaker 2: Well, Okay, so I got a couple of things on

694
00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:15,760
Speaker 2: ye Josh Allen. All right, So the Buffalo Bills do

695
00:30:15,880 --> 00:30:20,280
Speaker 2: not run the ball. Yes, They've simply just stopped. So

696
00:30:20,360 --> 00:30:23,200
Speaker 2: Brian Dabble not being a head coach saying he's gonna

697
00:30:23,240 --> 00:30:27,240
Speaker 2: stay for one more year, I think we underestimate that

698
00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:31,240
Speaker 2: a little bit because now he's focused on just this team,

699
00:30:31,280 --> 00:30:36,000
Speaker 2: just this quarterback. And I really wonder if Look, Buffalo

700
00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:38,040
Speaker 2: is a cold weather team going to Kansas City, so

701
00:30:38,080 --> 00:30:39,720
Speaker 2: they're not going to be affected by any cold weather,

702
00:30:39,720 --> 00:30:41,560
Speaker 2: which I think is a major benefit to them because

703
00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:43,200
Speaker 2: a lot of teams that go to Kansas City are

704
00:30:43,240 --> 00:30:46,160
Speaker 2: frozen when they get there. Yeah, and especially in I

705
00:30:46,160 --> 00:30:48,200
Speaker 2: mean I've been to a playoff game at Arrowhead in

706
00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:50,640
Speaker 2: January and I've sat nearly near the top of the

707
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:52,840
Speaker 2: bleachers and I nearly froze to death. I mean, it's

708
00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:56,560
Speaker 2: just super super cold and really really raw. That's the

709
00:30:56,600 --> 00:30:59,000
Speaker 2: thing about it. It's just it's a biting cold in

710
00:30:59,120 --> 00:31:01,360
Speaker 2: Kansas City. So I don't think that the chief the

711
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:03,280
Speaker 2: Chiefs will have a big advantage over the Bills there,

712
00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:05,760
Speaker 2: nor of a Josh Allen who's a quarterback play at Wyoming.

713
00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:08,600
Speaker 2: So that's okay. The wins a major factor. I got

714
00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:10,320
Speaker 2: to I want to find out it looks like eleven

715
00:31:10,360 --> 00:31:12,360
Speaker 2: mile pro or win Gus. That's not that big of

716
00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:14,120
Speaker 2: a deal, but I just I want to make sure

717
00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:16,640
Speaker 2: that stays there not get buffaloed again like last time

718
00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:19,520
Speaker 2: with the Ravens game. And so that's important. And then

719
00:31:19,600 --> 00:31:21,880
Speaker 2: I look at the red zone offense for the Bills

720
00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:24,080
Speaker 2: and the red zone offense with the Chiefs, and my

721
00:31:24,200 --> 00:31:27,080
Speaker 2: hope is that Kansas City will hold the Bills to

722
00:31:27,160 --> 00:31:29,200
Speaker 2: a bunch of field goals because it's hard to pass

723
00:31:29,240 --> 00:31:31,080
Speaker 2: in the red zone. If you can't run the ball

724
00:31:31,080 --> 00:31:32,640
Speaker 2: in the red zone, it can be tough to score.

725
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:36,120
Speaker 1: I know they're so good Matt at in the red

726
00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:38,320
Speaker 1: zone for offensively, even though they don't run the ball,

727
00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:39,880
Speaker 1: they're still really good at that.

728
00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:44,160
Speaker 2: But it is a championship game, is it's a different moment.

729
00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:46,640
Speaker 2: It's the first time he's ever been here. He wins,

730
00:31:46,640 --> 00:31:48,160
Speaker 2: and he goes to the Super Bowl. I mean, there's

731
00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:50,280
Speaker 2: just a lot of pressure that comes to this. So

732
00:31:50,360 --> 00:31:51,880
Speaker 2: I could see him gripping a little bit. I can

733
00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:55,360
Speaker 2: see him missopen receivers. I mean, this is where I'm

734
00:31:55,400 --> 00:31:57,840
Speaker 2: not the biggest Josh Allen fan, like everybody knows, but

735
00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:01,120
Speaker 2: I think between the twenties, I think this guy right

736
00:32:01,160 --> 00:32:04,400
Speaker 2: now is really really good. So the red zone. I'm

737
00:32:04,400 --> 00:32:07,160
Speaker 2: hoping for field goals from both sides. That's why I

738
00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:10,760
Speaker 2: like the under in this game. But yep, I'm very

739
00:32:10,760 --> 00:32:15,280
Speaker 2: interested to see what Kansas City's pressure package is and

740
00:32:15,320 --> 00:32:17,360
Speaker 2: if they're just gonna blitz the holy heck out of

741
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:20,840
Speaker 2: Josh Allen and say, okay, we trust our guys one

742
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:24,040
Speaker 2: on one. Because if so, I think Diggs could have

743
00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:27,840
Speaker 2: a monster game catching football. Yeah, and he could be

744
00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:29,200
Speaker 2: the guy he could be. He could be the key

745
00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:30,800
Speaker 2: to the whole thing. He may have like eight catches

746
00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:32,560
Speaker 2: for one hundred and twenty yards and two touchdowns.

747
00:32:32,600 --> 00:32:34,960
Speaker 1: And the thing is they're usually good against limiting you know,

748
00:32:35,040 --> 00:32:37,640
Speaker 1: they're usually good at limiting wide receivers. They're kind of

749
00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:40,360
Speaker 1: this funnel defense that funnels everything to the middle of

750
00:32:40,400 --> 00:32:42,880
Speaker 1: the field. And it is worth noting now that Cole Beasley,

751
00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:45,440
Speaker 1: who was banged up, is now off although I guess

752
00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:47,880
Speaker 1: he was off the injury report, but then today he

753
00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:50,600
Speaker 1: got back in a limited practice. So if he if

754
00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:52,960
Speaker 1: he were one hundred percent, I think he could actually

755
00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:54,240
Speaker 1: have a big game because I think the middle of

756
00:32:54,280 --> 00:32:56,120
Speaker 1: the field is where you might be able to kind

757
00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:58,840
Speaker 1: of exploit them. If he is limited again, it's going

758
00:32:58,880 --> 00:33:01,760
Speaker 1: to affect him same question. By the way, I realized, Look,

759
00:33:01,800 --> 00:33:04,240
Speaker 1: they they played each other before, and I think this

760
00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:06,480
Speaker 1: was like the Tuesday night game maybe or maybe it

761
00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:08,560
Speaker 1: was Monday Night football. I can't remember exactly when they played.

762
00:33:08,560 --> 00:33:11,400
Speaker 1: But you know, are you again that was twenty six seventeen.

763
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:13,680
Speaker 1: The Bills ran the ball a ton you know in

764
00:33:13,760 --> 00:33:16,000
Speaker 1: that game or you I assume, like the Green Bay game.

765
00:33:16,040 --> 00:33:18,560
Speaker 1: You're throwing out that game like you don't care about

766
00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:18,960
Speaker 1: it whatsoever.

767
00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:20,960
Speaker 2: I don't care about it. No, I don't care about it.

768
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:25,120
Speaker 2: I mean it's it's it's been so long ago. I mean,

769
00:33:25,160 --> 00:33:27,200
Speaker 2: this is a different chief team right now. I don't

770
00:33:27,200 --> 00:33:29,600
Speaker 2: know what's going Chiefs having coverage is remember the first.

771
00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:31,200
Speaker 1: I know of season?

772
00:33:31,280 --> 00:33:32,400
Speaker 2: Now what's going on?

773
00:33:32,560 --> 00:33:34,520
Speaker 1: I don't know. That's why I'm saying when that's why,

774
00:33:34,680 --> 00:33:36,200
Speaker 1: like we're like, oh, you want to wait for it

775
00:33:36,240 --> 00:33:38,680
Speaker 1: to get the plus four whatever, I'll take it plus nine.

776
00:33:38,800 --> 00:33:41,320
Speaker 1: I mean, the teams with my more than you know eight,

777
00:33:41,400 --> 00:33:43,720
Speaker 1: I will be absolutely shocked. But sorry, go ahead.

778
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:46,240
Speaker 2: I don't mean no, I just I just think that

779
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:49,520
Speaker 2: that's the key to me, Like that's the that's gonna

780
00:33:49,520 --> 00:33:53,800
Speaker 2: be the biggest difference is is you know, I want

781
00:33:53,800 --> 00:33:55,720
Speaker 2: to see it all comes down to Josh Allen. Josh

782
00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:58,280
Speaker 2: Allen plays well, they're gonna win this game. I really

783
00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:00,440
Speaker 2: think it's possible if he doesn't play up up to

784
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:05,320
Speaker 2: snuff Patrick Mahomes, if they give Patrick Mahomes any daylight,

785
00:34:05,480 --> 00:34:07,640
Speaker 2: I mean, if they give them the football back up

786
00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:10,759
Speaker 2: four with forty five seconds to go, they're gonna lose.

787
00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:15,920
Speaker 2: Like they cannot. They cannot give the Chiefs any daylight

788
00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:18,680
Speaker 2: to win the game, and if they do, they're gonna lose.

789
00:34:18,719 --> 00:34:20,680
Speaker 2: But I think they might be able to keep the

790
00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:21,320
Speaker 2: door closed.

791
00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:25,960
Speaker 1: Okay, So I think, Okay, So here's the thing. If

792
00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:30,080
Speaker 1: the spread does go past three, okay, like you're expecting

793
00:34:30,120 --> 00:34:32,480
Speaker 1: that it will if Mahomes gets in, I really thought

794
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:34,640
Speaker 1: it would stick at three. But if it does go up,

795
00:34:34,880 --> 00:34:38,880
Speaker 1: I'd probably bite the bullet and take the Bills because

796
00:34:38,880 --> 00:34:40,680
Speaker 1: I think they have a chance to win outright, and

797
00:34:40,880 --> 00:34:43,640
Speaker 1: because I think that the Chiefs just they don't blow

798
00:34:43,680 --> 00:34:45,799
Speaker 1: anybody out anymore, Like that's just not what they do.

799
00:34:45,880 --> 00:34:48,279
Speaker 1: They don't cover anymore. So I would rather take that

800
00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:50,319
Speaker 1: at three. I'm just staying away from it, man, because

801
00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:53,400
Speaker 1: I think the value is on the Bills even at three,

802
00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:56,080
Speaker 1: but I don't want to. I can't bring myself to

803
00:34:56,080 --> 00:34:58,640
Speaker 1: do it. To see what Patrick Mahomes is able to

804
00:34:58,640 --> 00:35:01,320
Speaker 1: do in that game For the total, You like the under,

805
00:35:01,760 --> 00:35:03,680
Speaker 1: I really don't like it. I think the only way

806
00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:05,920
Speaker 1: I'm touching the total is if it's in game and

807
00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,120
Speaker 1: the Bills get out to a lead. If the Bills

808
00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:10,920
Speaker 1: get out like they score fourteen points or something like that,

809
00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:13,680
Speaker 1: then it's I think it's gonna turn into a shootout.

810
00:35:13,960 --> 00:35:16,000
Speaker 1: Then I think it's gonna be like what because Mahomes

811
00:35:16,040 --> 00:35:18,120
Speaker 1: is able to put up if he if he needs to,

812
00:35:18,560 --> 00:35:21,239
Speaker 1: they'll score a touchdown in right fifty seconds, right right,

813
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:23,399
Speaker 1: any anytime. And if they're down by a little bit,

814
00:35:23,640 --> 00:35:25,680
Speaker 1: then I think the total is gonna explode and we'll

815
00:35:25,680 --> 00:35:28,440
Speaker 1: see where it goes. But yeah, other than that, I

816
00:35:28,480 --> 00:35:31,279
Speaker 1: don't know. Man, this game's both these games. I mean,

817
00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:33,839
Speaker 1: the lines are sharp, but it scares me. Manugh, it's

818
00:35:33,880 --> 00:35:36,719
Speaker 1: really just yeah, all right, Well let's get to our

819
00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:38,799
Speaker 1: official picks, Matt. Let's get because we do it. So

820
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:40,680
Speaker 1: you gotta take a you gotta take a spread, you

821
00:35:40,680 --> 00:35:42,680
Speaker 1: gotta take a side. I know you may not actually

822
00:35:42,680 --> 00:35:44,839
Speaker 1: bet it, but you have to take one side right now,

823
00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:45,319
Speaker 1: what is it?

824
00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:46,760
Speaker 2: Packer's minus three?

825
00:35:47,360 --> 00:35:49,360
Speaker 1: Okay, I'm gonna do the same.

826
00:35:49,200 --> 00:35:51,920
Speaker 2: Because because the Bills aren't. Once the Bills go to

827
00:35:51,960 --> 00:35:54,120
Speaker 2: four to four and a half, out prefer the Bills.

828
00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:54,640
Speaker 1: Yep.

829
00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:57,880
Speaker 2: But right now Bills at three, no, even three and

830
00:35:57,920 --> 00:35:58,320
Speaker 2: a half.

831
00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:02,280
Speaker 1: No, we are we are in the exact same situation then. Ohthough,

832
00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:04,200
Speaker 1: hold on, let me let me check what I said here,

833
00:36:04,280 --> 00:36:07,399
Speaker 1: just to make sure it is three. Okay, yeah, I'm

834
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:10,040
Speaker 1: with you right now. I'm gonna my favorite one would

835
00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:12,960
Speaker 1: be the Packers minus three. But if the Bills do

836
00:36:13,120 --> 00:36:16,040
Speaker 1: go past the field goal, I will take the Bills.

837
00:36:16,040 --> 00:36:18,120
Speaker 1: That will be my favorite play. And your total that

838
00:36:18,160 --> 00:36:21,440
Speaker 1: you like the most is the Chiefs Bills under.

839
00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:22,440
Speaker 2: Right, fifty three and a half.

840
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:26,120
Speaker 1: Yep, all right, Chiefs Bills under fifty three and a half.

841
00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:31,480
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go just to differentiate it. And again, look,

842
00:36:31,520 --> 00:36:34,200
Speaker 1: I'll be as honest possible because somebody asked this on Twitter, like,

843
00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:36,719
Speaker 1: do you bet everything that you gout, you know, sort

844
00:36:36,719 --> 00:36:39,279
Speaker 1: of talk about and on this. You know, most of

845
00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:41,759
Speaker 1: the time I do on this, I'm not like I'm

846
00:36:41,760 --> 00:36:43,719
Speaker 1: not you know, all that time. I'm not gonna make it.

847
00:36:43,719 --> 00:36:45,600
Speaker 2: I mean, I change. I bet every day, so sorry

848
00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:48,160
Speaker 2: information will. I mean, that was the thing about during

849
00:36:48,200 --> 00:36:50,120
Speaker 2: the football season that we would tape on a Thursday

850
00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:52,560
Speaker 2: and then on Sunday it'd be COVID problems and quarterbacks

851
00:36:52,600 --> 00:36:55,439
Speaker 2: being out and guys not there and it was coaches leaving.

852
00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:57,760
Speaker 2: It was like what the It was just constant chaos.

853
00:36:57,800 --> 00:36:59,960
Speaker 2: So like our plays on Thursday were kind of like

854
00:37:00,040 --> 00:37:02,560
Speaker 2: all right, and we all joked around like talking, you know,

855
00:37:02,600 --> 00:37:04,560
Speaker 2: on Sunday morning, we'll tell you what our real plays

856
00:37:04,600 --> 00:37:07,840
Speaker 2: are because we don't know on Thursday exactly what's gonna happen.

857
00:37:07,840 --> 00:37:09,920
Speaker 2: So it made it far more difficult to bet, you know,

858
00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:13,840
Speaker 2: on on taping to have our plays be actually counting, right.

859
00:37:14,080 --> 00:37:17,160
Speaker 1: And I agree, But I'm going to go the Bucks

860
00:37:17,280 --> 00:37:20,840
Speaker 1: Packers over fifty one and a half. I actually, you know, again,

861
00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:23,759
Speaker 1: both teams are a relatively strong defensively. I just think

862
00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:26,359
Speaker 1: that Aaron Rodgers is playing at a level right now

863
00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:29,360
Speaker 1: where he's not really going to be able to be contained.

864
00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:31,400
Speaker 1: And I think that the Bucks. But I think the

865
00:37:31,680 --> 00:37:33,240
Speaker 1: way the game plays out, if I have to choose

866
00:37:33,239 --> 00:37:35,600
Speaker 1: one way, is that the Packers get ahead, they put

867
00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:38,200
Speaker 1: up some points, you know, and Eventually, Tom you know,

868
00:37:38,520 --> 00:37:41,360
Speaker 1: leads them back, but they do fall short. And because

869
00:37:41,400 --> 00:37:43,040
Speaker 1: of that, I think there are going to be points

870
00:37:43,040 --> 00:37:44,560
Speaker 1: in this game. So I'll go over fifty one and

871
00:37:44,560 --> 00:37:47,360
Speaker 1: a half. But you you said it correctly. That's the line.

872
00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:49,600
Speaker 1: I mean that that's the right line for sure. So

873
00:37:49,680 --> 00:37:50,960
Speaker 1: I don't love it, but if I have to go

874
00:37:51,000 --> 00:37:52,759
Speaker 1: one way, that's what I'm doing. And it sounds like

875
00:37:52,760 --> 00:37:54,720
Speaker 1: we have the same two team teaser, Matt. You're teasing

876
00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:56,440
Speaker 1: that total down in the Packers.

877
00:37:56,520 --> 00:37:58,360
Speaker 2: That'll be the official two team teaser for me.

878
00:37:58,800 --> 00:38:01,560
Speaker 1: Okay, and is it Are you waiting to do it

879
00:38:01,560 --> 00:38:03,640
Speaker 1: for the best because we can say that there's no

880
00:38:03,800 --> 00:38:07,919
Speaker 1: way that the spread here unless Patrick Mahomes is ruled out,

881
00:38:07,920 --> 00:38:10,080
Speaker 1: which we basically are discounting at this point.

882
00:38:10,120 --> 00:38:12,200
Speaker 2: There's no way if he's rolled out the Lions Buffalo

883
00:38:12,280 --> 00:38:17,440
Speaker 2: miles three, right, And so you're so it's a monster difference.

884
00:38:17,080 --> 00:38:19,560
Speaker 1: No, no, no, no. But what I'm saying is you are

885
00:38:19,560 --> 00:38:21,879
Speaker 1: not concerned about that enough to bet it right now

886
00:38:21,920 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 1: at moving it from three to nine. You're gonna wait

887
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:27,640
Speaker 1: to make that bet. I want ten, right, So you're

888
00:38:27,719 --> 00:38:29,960
Speaker 1: what I'm saying is that you think the risk of

889
00:38:30,040 --> 00:38:32,680
Speaker 1: Mahomes being out is so minimal that you're gonna wait

890
00:38:33,200 --> 00:38:36,160
Speaker 1: on this bet to make this two deser, right, Okay, yeah, yeah,

891
00:38:36,239 --> 00:38:36,799
Speaker 1: yeah yeah.

892
00:38:36,840 --> 00:38:39,400
Speaker 2: So again I got a better chance of growing two

893
00:38:39,440 --> 00:38:44,960
Speaker 2: feet tomorrow night than Mahome's not playing. Okay, it's not happening.

894
00:38:44,800 --> 00:38:47,799
Speaker 1: Least, I don't know you that well, maybe that's a possibility.

895
00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:50,960
Speaker 1: I really it would be weird. But yeah, I agree

896
00:38:50,960 --> 00:38:54,560
Speaker 1: that he's playing again. I will gladly bet it again.

897
00:38:54,600 --> 00:38:56,640
Speaker 1: And the total actually for me when I had it

898
00:38:56,840 --> 00:38:59,000
Speaker 1: was fifty one on the Bucks Packers game. It's now

899
00:38:59,040 --> 00:39:00,799
Speaker 1: fifty one and a half for me pulling it down,

900
00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:03,279
Speaker 1: so it's moving a little bit. I'm fine to take

901
00:39:03,320 --> 00:39:05,520
Speaker 1: it right now at plus three because again I think

902
00:39:05,560 --> 00:39:07,480
Speaker 1: that that's a safe number. I think making that plus

903
00:39:07,560 --> 00:39:10,480
Speaker 1: nine for the Bills is totally safe if Matt's right.

904
00:39:10,560 --> 00:39:14,080
Speaker 1: And again I have been assuming this entire time that

905
00:39:14,200 --> 00:39:17,560
Speaker 1: they put it at plus three, and that they were

906
00:39:17,760 --> 00:39:20,759
Speaker 1: expecting basically like the only way it was going to move,

907
00:39:20,840 --> 00:39:25,160
Speaker 1: most likely was in Buffalo's favor, you know, coming to

908
00:39:25,239 --> 00:39:28,040
Speaker 1: this or whatever. I just I think that they're they're

909
00:39:28,040 --> 00:39:30,560
Speaker 1: going to leave it at plus three like that. That's

910
00:39:30,560 --> 00:39:32,839
Speaker 1: why I think they made that line assuming Mahomes would

911
00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:35,359
Speaker 1: play and that they assume the money. But I will

912
00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:37,319
Speaker 1: trust your judgment, of course, because you know a lot

913
00:39:37,360 --> 00:39:39,600
Speaker 1: more about that side of it than I will. And

914
00:39:39,640 --> 00:39:41,520
Speaker 1: so I'm willing to go with it at plus three.

915
00:39:41,520 --> 00:39:43,120
Speaker 1: If it goes to plus four, I'll bet it again

916
00:39:43,200 --> 00:39:45,880
Speaker 1: and get it ten without question. But that's where we are.

917
00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:47,200
Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, it's sounds.

918
00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:48,719
Speaker 2: And then the bonus is if you want to do

919
00:39:48,760 --> 00:39:50,760
Speaker 2: a two team money line parlay, you can get plus

920
00:39:50,800 --> 00:39:52,360
Speaker 2: money on Becker's Chiefs.

921
00:39:52,680 --> 00:39:55,359
Speaker 1: That's right, that's right. Yeah, I DraftKings one forty six.

922
00:39:55,400 --> 00:39:57,600
Speaker 1: He's had a fandle one fifty one. That's not a

923
00:39:57,600 --> 00:39:59,440
Speaker 1: bad way to go. And again, on that leg of it,

924
00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:02,960
Speaker 1: I feel I feel more confident that the Packers are

925
00:40:02,960 --> 00:40:04,719
Speaker 1: going to beat the Bucks than I need. The Chiefs

926
00:40:04,760 --> 00:40:05,279
Speaker 1: are gonna beat the.

927
00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:07,920
Speaker 2: Bills, And you can flip it around if you want

928
00:40:07,920 --> 00:40:09,120
Speaker 2: to change it up, if you if you think that

929
00:40:09,239 --> 00:40:10,920
Speaker 2: you think the Bills are gonna win the game. Outright,

930
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:12,719
Speaker 2: you can get even better money on that.

931
00:40:12,760 --> 00:40:13,960
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, that's right.

932
00:40:14,200 --> 00:40:17,640
Speaker 2: That's like plus two hundred bills a Bill's moneyline parlay

933
00:40:17,680 --> 00:40:19,759
Speaker 2: with the Packers, you know, and I think that is

934
00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:21,600
Speaker 2: a real good shot. That's what I'm gonna wind.

935
00:40:21,440 --> 00:40:22,880
Speaker 1: Up with plus two seventy seven.

936
00:40:22,920 --> 00:40:25,200
Speaker 2: Man, Dang, they made me nearly three to one.

937
00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:28,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's not a bad one actually to U to

938
00:40:28,480 --> 00:40:29,799
Speaker 1: consider doing all right.

939
00:40:29,840 --> 00:40:32,360
Speaker 2: I just think that. I just think the Bills find

940
00:40:32,400 --> 00:40:34,919
Speaker 2: a way to blow it. It's late.

941
00:40:35,160 --> 00:40:37,239
Speaker 1: I just find a way to give Homes given the

942
00:40:37,239 --> 00:40:38,279
Speaker 1: Bills history.

943
00:40:38,040 --> 00:40:40,439
Speaker 2: Yes, yep, I'm just giving you. I think it's Mahomes

944
00:40:40,520 --> 00:40:43,600
Speaker 2: magic at home. I just think there's something there where

945
00:40:43,600 --> 00:40:46,680
Speaker 2: the Bills are gonna do something stupid. They're gonna punt

946
00:40:46,719 --> 00:40:49,200
Speaker 2: on a fourth down they shouldn't punt on. They're gonna

947
00:40:49,239 --> 00:40:52,279
Speaker 2: give that little crack to Patrick Mahomes, and then he'll

948
00:40:52,280 --> 00:40:54,439
Speaker 2: blow that thing and he'll win the game. Like I think,

949
00:40:54,920 --> 00:40:55,840
Speaker 2: I don't think recover.

950
00:40:55,960 --> 00:40:58,880
Speaker 1: But really what it comes down to is exactly that,

951
00:40:58,920 --> 00:41:01,120
Speaker 1: which is why I can't make the bet, which is

952
00:41:01,480 --> 00:41:06,600
Speaker 1: you have to give Patrick Mahomes zero options, zero chances

953
00:41:06,960 --> 00:41:10,040
Speaker 1: to win that game or to whatever you want to do.

954
00:41:10,160 --> 00:41:11,799
Speaker 1: You have to give him zero because if you give

955
00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:15,640
Speaker 1: him a sliver, gimpy or not, he's going to make

956
00:41:15,640 --> 00:41:17,560
Speaker 1: it happen. Which is why I just cam bring myself.

957
00:41:17,560 --> 00:41:19,239
Speaker 2: I mean, just win the game, right, I mean it

958
00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:21,440
Speaker 2: can be like they can be down twenty six to

959
00:41:21,520 --> 00:41:23,799
Speaker 2: twenty yeah, and you get the football back to them

960
00:41:23,840 --> 00:41:26,400
Speaker 2: and then tend to go in one time out and

961
00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:28,920
Speaker 2: Mahomes goes eighty yards and scores a game winning touchdown.

962
00:41:28,960 --> 00:41:30,239
Speaker 2: You lose twenty seven to twenty six.

963
00:41:30,480 --> 00:41:31,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, Like these are really I.

964
00:41:32,120 --> 00:41:35,160
Speaker 2: Can easily see that happening. So you cover your bills teaser,

965
00:41:35,400 --> 00:41:37,160
Speaker 2: and you cover your bills plus three and a half

966
00:41:37,239 --> 00:41:39,800
Speaker 2: or plus four, yeah, but you get your Patrick Mahomes

967
00:41:39,880 --> 00:41:41,200
Speaker 2: money line parlay.

968
00:41:41,320 --> 00:41:44,879
Speaker 1: Yeah to hit. Yeah. All right, Well, obviously Matt will

969
00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:47,480
Speaker 1: give his official sort of Daily Juice plays on the

970
00:41:47,560 --> 00:41:50,880
Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast, and we will certainly have props. I've

971
00:41:50,920 --> 00:41:53,160
Speaker 1: got a couple of ideas already, Matt. On props, I'm

972
00:41:53,160 --> 00:41:54,480
Speaker 1: I'm starting to look at it because some of them

973
00:41:54,480 --> 00:41:55,960
Speaker 1: are out. I know, they don't come out for you

974
00:41:56,360 --> 00:41:58,760
Speaker 1: right until they have I'd.

975
00:41:58,680 --> 00:42:01,080
Speaker 2: Like that basically, like get them Saturday night.

976
00:42:01,360 --> 00:42:03,520
Speaker 1: Yeah you had to live in Vegas, Matt, poor guy.

977
00:42:03,560 --> 00:42:05,719
Speaker 1: But yes, I'll get them a little early, so I'll

978
00:42:05,719 --> 00:42:07,120
Speaker 1: try to get into you. And again, Matt will be

979
00:42:07,160 --> 00:42:10,120
Speaker 1: doing a live stream this weekend on Sunday, eleven o'clock

980
00:42:10,200 --> 00:42:15,200
Speaker 1: usual time at a wonderful YouTube dot com slash betting pros.

981
00:42:15,200 --> 00:42:17,759
Speaker 1: Go ahead there, we'll have our props and then again

982
00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:19,719
Speaker 1: we'll be doing something big for the Super Bowl. I

983
00:42:19,760 --> 00:42:22,040
Speaker 1: will let you guys know what that is. And again

984
00:42:22,120 --> 00:42:26,120
Speaker 1: join our discord betting bros dot com slash chat. We

985
00:42:26,160 --> 00:42:27,879
Speaker 1: were in there all the time and we'll be doing

986
00:42:27,880 --> 00:42:30,600
Speaker 1: that during the Super Bowl. Until then, enjoy this weekend's games.

987
00:42:30,680 --> 00:42:33,080
Speaker 1: It's going to be fun and we will talk to

988
00:42:33,120 --> 00:42:35,680
Speaker 1: you not next week, but the week after talking about

989
00:42:35,719 --> 00:42:36,239
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl.