Speaker 1: Welcome back to a Numbers game with Ryan Grodowski. What
Speaker 1: can I say about this week's episode. It's about a
Speaker 1: place where men were born to run, a place that
Speaker 1: gets slippery when wet, and it's not a nursing home.
Speaker 1: It's a retirement community. Yes, I'm referring to the great
Speaker 1: state of New Jersey, home of Bruce Springsteen, John bon Jovi,
Speaker 1: and the Sopranos. This episode is all about New Jersey
Speaker 1: and whether or not it can become America's next swing state.
Speaker 1: But before I talk about the Garden State, I want
Speaker 1: to go back in time a little bit, all the
Speaker 1: way to the year two thousand. That election obviously was
Speaker 1: important for a number of reasons. It elected George W.
Speaker 1: Bush as the forty third president. It was the first
Speaker 1: election year that Hillary Clinton won an election on her
Speaker 1: own for the United States Senate in New York and
Speaker 1: began her political career, which obviously didn't go to the
Speaker 1: places that she dreamed. And it would be the last
Speaker 1: time that the state of Vermont would elect a Republican
Speaker 1: to the United States Senate after having consistently elected Republicans
Speaker 1: for over a century. But most importantly, it created the
Speaker 1: modern political map Now there have been six elections since
Speaker 1: the year two thousand, and for the most part, they've
Speaker 1: kind of more or less looked a lot the same.
Speaker 1: Thirty five states have voted the same exact way in
Speaker 1: all seven elections from two thousand to twenty twenty four. Now,
Speaker 1: you might say fifteen states is a lot that have
Speaker 1: changed direction over that time, and that's true, fifteen states
Speaker 1: is a lot. But if you cut up the states
Speaker 1: that have only voted one time at the last seven,
Speaker 1: so like voted six of seven times the same exact way,
Speaker 1: like New Hampshire, for example, or North Carolina or Indiana.
Speaker 1: And if you take states have only voted twice in
Speaker 1: in a different direction five of the seven, six of
Speaker 1: the seven or seven and seven states that have voted
Speaker 1: the same exact way in the last seven consecutive elections,
Speaker 1: you only have nine states left that have continuously flipped
Speaker 1: back and forth for a quarter of a century. Nine
Speaker 1: states is not that many, especially when you consider that
Speaker 1: in the seven elections before two thousand, that would be
Speaker 1: going back to the in nineteen seventy two, there were
Speaker 1: only thirteen states that voted the same exact way. I mean,
Speaker 1: you can throw in a few more states that only
Speaker 1: voted bublic in one time, like Minnesota, which went Republican
Speaker 1: in nineteen seventy two, or only went Democrat one time,
Speaker 1: which would be like Texas in nineteen seventy six. The
Speaker 1: ma gets a little more full, but you get my point.
Speaker 1: There were a lot more flippable swing states in the
Speaker 1: previous three decades that in the post two decades since
Speaker 1: the year two thousand. Now a number of states worst
Speaker 1: swing states since two thousand have become reliably blue like
Speaker 1: Oregon or Colorado, or reliably red like Tennessee, Missouri or Ohio. Yes,
Speaker 1: Tennessee Missouri worst swing states back in the year two thousand,
Speaker 1: but only one state went from being reliably red or
Speaker 1: reliably blue to becoming a state that is the other way,
Speaker 1: and that's Virginia. Virginia was a reliably red state is
Speaker 1: now a reliably blue state. And only af handful of
Speaker 1: states have really gone from being reliably red or blue
Speaker 1: to even being swing states, like Georgia and North Carolina.
Speaker 1: It's kind of that mid Atlantic strip right there that
Speaker 1: has seen a tremendous population growth from people all over
Speaker 1: the country and the world coming So with the post
Speaker 1: two thousand election. We've become very use to the idea
Speaker 1: swing states in America is only going to get smaller
Speaker 1: and smaller and smaller. But in twenty twenty four it
Speaker 1: reversed because a number of states moved sharply the right. Florida, Iowa,
Speaker 1: Ohio are no longer considered swing states. Trump won them
Speaker 1: all by over ten points. Texas, which Democrats had hoped
Speaker 1: and believed that they were in their grass by the
Speaker 1: end of the decade, that's kind of just gone out
Speaker 1: the window. Now. New York moved eleven points towards Republicans,
Speaker 1: California moved nine, Massachusetts eight, Rhode Island seven, and Illinois six.
Speaker 1: But even that tremendous growth to the right by those
Speaker 1: swing states, that dramatic swing towards Trump, none of them
Speaker 1: can be considered swing states because they're so far left
Speaker 1: to begin with. California, for example, would have to repeat
Speaker 1: that same swing two more times to even be considered competitive.
Speaker 1: New York would have to move that entire eleven points
Speaker 1: all over again to be competitive, and then still it
Speaker 1: wouldn't be a reliably red state. But that takes us
Speaker 1: back to New Jersey. New Jersey swung ten points to
Speaker 1: the right, with Trump Winny forty six percent of the
Speaker 1: vote to Kamala Harris's fifty two two percent. This is
Speaker 1: the best any Republican has done in the state since
Speaker 1: two thousand and four, when George W. Bush only lost
Speaker 1: it by six point seven percent to Democratic nominee John Kerry,
Speaker 1: and only the third time in the last thirty five
Speaker 1: years that a Republican came within single digits of flipping
Speaker 1: this very blue state. So in twenty twenty four, New
Speaker 1: Jersey was basically as blue as Arizona was red. And
Speaker 1: if Arizona is a swing state, then is New Jersey.
Speaker 1: That's the big question that I'm going to sit there
Speaker 1: and grapple with because something else is going on. It's
Speaker 1: more than a single election, It's more than just Trump.
Speaker 1: Every month since June of twenty twenty one, Republicans have
Speaker 1: been registering more new voters than Democrats, sometimes by a
Speaker 1: few hundred, sometimes by several thousand, but it's added up.
Speaker 1: In June twenty twenty one, New Jersey had two point
Speaker 1: five to five million Democrats and one point four to
Speaker 1: six million Republicans and another two point four to three
Speaker 1: million independents. And I'll break down numbers like this, New
Speaker 1: Jersey had one hundred and twenty thousand more Democrats than
Speaker 1: independents and one million, ninety thousand more Democrats than Republicans.
Speaker 1: So fast forward to twenty twenty five, when the new
Speaker 1: registration numbers just came up on March first. March first
Speaker 1: one twenty five, Democrats had two point four to four
Speaker 1: to eight million registered voters, Republicans had one point six
Speaker 1: one million, and independence had two point four million. Now,
Speaker 1: I know it's a lot of numbers. Are just throw
Speaker 1: a to you. I'll make it easy outbreak down this way,
Speaker 1: the Democrats voter advantage. Voter enrollment advantage in New Jersey
Speaker 1: went from one point zero nine million to eight hundred
Speaker 1: and thirty four thousand, so two hundred and sixty thousand
Speaker 1: voter advantage collapse over the course of four years. People
Speaker 1: registering for third party Actually, if you can mind, all
Speaker 1: the third parties have forty thousand more voters than Democrats do,
Speaker 1: which wasn't the case New Jersey. Usually Democrats were always
Speaker 1: the dominant party. And now remember voter registration changes like
Speaker 1: people changing their voter orstration. That is usually the last
Speaker 1: part of some one's political evolution. In other words, people
Speaker 1: will switch how they vote. They'll switch to what podcast
Speaker 1: they listen to, what papers they read, how they vote
Speaker 1: in local elections, usually in the national elections, or vice versa,
Speaker 1: depending on which election is coming up. The last thing
Speaker 1: to change is someone's actual voter registration. That's the last
Speaker 1: thing that's that they're going to do. They will be
Speaker 1: a registered Democrat and but Republican or vice versa, sometimes
Speaker 1: for decades before they actually make the switch, which is
Speaker 1: why I state like West Virginia or Kentucky or Louisiana
Speaker 1: had huge Democrat voter advantage dating back from the nineteen fifties,
Speaker 1: even though they'd been Republican states for many, many many years,
Speaker 1: going back to the Regular Revolution and Nixon Revolution. But
Speaker 1: that's the case for New Jersey. We're seeing this mass
Speaker 1: swing to the right, and we're seeing it with people
Speaker 1: actually re registering to vote. Twenty twenty four was not isolated,
Speaker 1: wasn't in a bubble. Twenty twenty four was the third
Speaker 1: consecutive election that New Jersey moved to the right. In
Speaker 1: twenty twenty one, New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy, he was
Speaker 1: supposed to sail to an easy reelection victory. Most polls
Speaker 1: had him winning between nine and eleven points, and he
Speaker 1: ended up winning by just three against Jack Chitdarelli, who
Speaker 1: was running again for governor this year. Three points was
Speaker 1: a shocker, and Jack Chitdarelli did not have national support.
Speaker 1: In twenty twenty two, Republicans gained a congressional seat in
Speaker 1: the state, despite it being massively jerrymandered in favor of Democrats.
Speaker 1: In twenty twenty two, Republicans actually gained a congressional seat
Speaker 1: in the US House delegation, and the state's voting population
Speaker 1: moved five points to the Republican that was in the
Speaker 1: midterms of twenty twenty two. They moved another three points
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty four in the House. Now, it hasn't
Speaker 1: all been smooth sailing for the New Jersey GOP. They
Speaker 1: did lose six state Assembly seats in twenty twenty three,
Speaker 1: but that was mostly due to redistricting. Republicans have actually
Speaker 1: only decreased their support in that massive landslide loss by
Speaker 1: two points in the popular vote from the previous year
Speaker 1: when they won six Assembly seats. Yet all this proves
Speaker 1: is that there's a slow but progressive drum beat tours
Speaker 1: the GOP in the Garden State. Who knows. Like I said,
Speaker 1: we've been here before. George W. Bush became very very
Speaker 1: close to putting New Jersey in play in two thousand
Speaker 1: and four. I'll bite with a much different coalition. He
Speaker 1: had a lot more suburbanites in places like Morris County,
Speaker 1: while Trump has a lot more urban and minority voters
Speaker 1: in places like Pa sae It County. But he was
Speaker 1: the first Republican since George H. W. Bush to get
Speaker 1: that close in nineteen ninety two. So nineteen eety two,
Speaker 1: two thousand and four, in twenty twenty four, it's almost
Speaker 1: like every decade or two we're seeing this swing. This
Speaker 1: could be the permanent one though, If the realignment is real,
Speaker 1: If these former Democrats with heavy emphasis on the ethnic
Speaker 1: white Italians like an Ocean County and Asians and Hispanics,
Speaker 1: it's all very possible that this will be the coalition
Speaker 1: that makes New Jersey into play, makes New Jersey the
Speaker 1: next swing state. One last set of numbers before we
Speaker 1: get to our guests. An Emerson College poll, which is
Speaker 1: a hit and miss polling company. It's not my favorite,
Speaker 1: but I'll take it because it's not the worst. In
Speaker 1: late January, they found that President Donald Trump is more
Speaker 1: popular than Democratic Governor Phil Murphy in New Jersey. Phil
Speaker 1: Murphy is leaving office with a forty four percent approval rating,
Speaker 1: which isn't terrible, but when you consider among Republicans it's
Speaker 1: only fourteen percent and among independence is twenty seven percent,
Speaker 1: you realize on just how much he needs Democrat how
Speaker 1: much only Democrats are really supporting him, and supporting him
Speaker 1: by a lot. So could this mean that we end
Speaker 1: up with the red New Jersey, a Republican governor in
Speaker 1: the state or Republican legislature. Let's talk to our guest
Speaker 1: who's trying to make it all happen. You're listening to
Speaker 1: It's a numbers game with Ryan Grodowski. We'll be right back.
Speaker 1: Scott Pressler has become iconic among Republican circles, being over
Speaker 1: six feet tall with long brown hair flowing beautiful brown hair.
Speaker 1: People have taken notice because he's one been outspoken Trump supporter,
Speaker 1: but also because he's done the really hard work of
Speaker 1: registering new voters. He runs the nonprofit Early Vote Action,
Speaker 1: intending to register voters and get them to get Republicans
Speaker 1: vote early, which would be wonderful. Scott, thanks for being
Speaker 1: on the show.
Speaker 2: Hey, thank you, Ryan.
Speaker 3: Well, we delivered Pennsylvania last year and this year we
Speaker 3: were headed to the Garden State.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the episode's all about New Jersey. So I want
Speaker 1: to know before we get started. You know, people have
Speaker 1: known you for going out and registering voters and writing
Speaker 1: letters before that. I remember when you used to write
Speaker 1: letters thank you people vote for voting for Trump. This
Speaker 1: is back in like twenty seventeen. How did you get
Speaker 1: started in politics and was this always your ambition to
Speaker 1: work in politics.
Speaker 3: No, I never thought I would be doing this life.
Speaker 3: I graduated from college. I couldn't find a job despite
Speaker 3: graduating with a three point six y three in criminal justice.
Speaker 3: But this was under Obama. The economy was heearable. It
Speaker 3: was hard for millennials to find their place in society.
Speaker 3: And so as I'm walking dogs for a living, as
Speaker 3: I'm working at an elementary school, which were not my passions,
Speaker 3: but I understand that those are good integral parts of
Speaker 3: our society. I went, gosh, we can continue on this
Speaker 3: direction with President Obama, or I can be a cog
Speaker 3: in the machine and I can try to change society
Speaker 3: for the better, and so in twenty fourteen, I moved
Speaker 3: to Texas.
Speaker 2: That's why I always have cowboy boots.
Speaker 3: And my first political job ever was helping to elect
Speaker 3: now Governor Greg Abbot down in Galveston, Texas. And so
Speaker 3: for me, it's really been over the last decade a
Speaker 3: political evolution of going from starting with Governor Abbot to
Speaker 3: defeating Hillary Clinton in twenty sixteen to protect the Supreme Court,
Speaker 3: to doing trash pickups in twenty nineteen inspired by President Trump.
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, and now I'm really I think seen as
Speaker 3: one of the voter registration gurus on the right that
Speaker 3: has become a political strategist for the Republican Party.
Speaker 1: Yeah. You know, Scott, You're one of the people that
Speaker 1: I can kind of relate to the most in the
Speaker 1: sense of like you have an idea and you put
Speaker 1: the wheels behind it and you just make it happen.
Speaker 1: There's really no fixed, you know, job, Like you probably
Speaker 1: don't know what you're going to be in five years,
Speaker 1: but if you if your brain thinks of something worth
Speaker 1: running towards, I'm you could probably do it. It's a
Speaker 1: very unusual like life, and there's not many people I
Speaker 1: know who kind of have it. So I just thought
Speaker 1: of that, like, so what you do is not easy,
Speaker 1: and I'm seeing you give a lot of seminars and speeches.
Speaker 1: You kind of spurred this like voter registration, grassroots effort, right,
Speaker 1: how is that? How did that come about? And what
Speaker 1: is that like?
Speaker 3: Net So, going into twenty eighteen, I was working for
Speaker 3: a not for profit that I couldn't be political, And
Speaker 3: I want to make it clear. Early Vote Action respectfully
Speaker 3: is a political action committee or APAC, so we can
Speaker 3: take unlimited contributions, but we are not tex depectable and.
Speaker 2: That's Early Voteaction dot com. So I just want to
Speaker 2: make that clue now.
Speaker 1: No, it's important, it's important.
Speaker 3: And I knew that twenty eighteen had the potential to
Speaker 3: be really bad for the president. You know, the Democrats
Speaker 3: kept saying over and over that Hillary won the popular vote,
Speaker 3: and you know, that was the me too movement, and
Speaker 3: it was the year of being a woman, and I
Speaker 3: was like, gosh, twenty eighteen is going to be so bad.
Speaker 3: So a month before the election, I was like, Okay,
Speaker 3: I need to quit my job. I'm going to do
Speaker 3: everything I can, travel to Florida and New Jersey all
Speaker 3: over and try to keep members of Congress in those seats. Now,
Speaker 3: ultimately we lost it, and so going into twenty nineteen
Speaker 3: was a regrouping period for me. And I was like, Scott,
Speaker 3: you have no job with Scott. The Republican Party right
Speaker 3: now just lost big time. What are we going to
Speaker 3: do to shake things up? And I just had this
Speaker 3: idea pop into my head, kind of like what you
Speaker 3: said just a moment ago, and I went, You're going
Speaker 3: to travel.
Speaker 2: The country and you're going to teach people how to register.
Speaker 3: To vote, because even the Republican Party is not doing
Speaker 3: the grassroots organizing required in order to win elections. My
Speaker 3: first event, Ryan was in Connecticut, where they have more
Speaker 3: cows than people over in that state. And my first event,
Speaker 3: and I think it was dan Berry, we got protested
Speaker 3: because I think the Democrats knew, Wow, this guy, if
Speaker 3: we don't stop him now, is going to become an
Speaker 3: organizer within the Republican Party. And despite the fact that
Speaker 3: they protested us, we had more than double, perhaps triple
Speaker 3: the amount of attendees. And I literally just started going
Speaker 3: across the country from Connecticut to Fuquey, Verina, North Carolina,
Speaker 3: down to Sarasota, Florida, and each of them I did,
Speaker 3: gathered more attendees, got bigger, My social media profile grew,
Speaker 3: and people went, Wow, this guy is getting stuff done.
Speaker 3: And so I spent twenty nineteen through twenty twenty two
Speaker 3: all on my lonesome organizing, traveling probably forty plus states
Speaker 3: across the country, teaching people how to register other people
Speaker 3: to vote.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it was really inspiring. First of all, I think
Speaker 1: I'm going to start talking about myself in third person
Speaker 1: when I'm having internal conversations like you. I think that
Speaker 1: that would be really good for me. But to know
Speaker 1: that it was I as I mean, we started, I
Speaker 1: don't even know what we met, but I saw the
Speaker 1: growth happen, and I saw the growth happen very quickly
Speaker 1: because it is very hard work and it's something that
Speaker 1: is not sexy and it's not glamorous, and most people
Speaker 1: don't want to do because there are easier, sexier, glamorous
Speaker 1: things to do. When we talked, we spoke in twenty
Speaker 1: twenty four or twenty twenty three, whatever. I mentioned to
Speaker 1: you that there were forty four million non college educated
Speaker 1: white Americans who were not veraged voting. Two point eight
Speaker 1: million were in Pennsylvania. What did you notice in Pennsylvania
Speaker 1: that other people didn't like? How did you even find
Speaker 1: how to like non registered people?
Speaker 2: Well?
Speaker 3: I am very much a data guy and mathematical and
Speaker 3: so here's how I approach elections. I went, gosh, Joe
Speaker 3: Biden quote unquote one a Pennsylvania by eighty thousand votes
Speaker 3: in twenty twenty, and I went, okay, how are we
Speaker 3: going to recoup those eighty thousand voters and turn those
Speaker 3: into Republicans? And so I went as opposed to conversion
Speaker 3: and persuasion, which are important. Don't get me wrong. We
Speaker 3: need to be in the business of courting Democrat voters.
Speaker 3: But ultimately, there are so many Republicans that are not
Speaker 3: registered to vote. Eighty thousand truckers in Pennsylvania. I would
Speaker 3: assume logically the majority of those are going to be Conservatives.
Speaker 3: My organization is really vote Action. So I went, okay,
Speaker 3: a trucker is probably not voting because that person is
Speaker 3: busy serving us and they're probably driving rigs on election day.
Speaker 3: Let's get them a meal in ballot, Let's get them
Speaker 3: to vote early and lock in those eighty thousand votes.
Speaker 3: Then we have the Amish community over especially in the
Speaker 3: hub of Lancaster, Pennsylvania.
Speaker 2: Now, this community, let's be real.
Speaker 3: Governor Shapiro, a Democrat, has been attacking, waging a war
Speaker 3: on their raw milk, their dairy they're farming. Then you
Speaker 3: have society as a whole, which is coming down on
Speaker 3: their bodily autonomy to choose not to have a vaccine
Speaker 3: put into their children, their families. And then you have
Speaker 3: the government coming down on their religious freedom and their
Speaker 3: school choice. And it just clipped, and I said, why
Speaker 3: are we not making a real concerted effort to register that.
Speaker 2: Amagh to vote?
Speaker 3: Knowing Ryan that they get married on Tuesdays in November, y'all,
Speaker 3: what happens on Tuesdays in November election day.
Speaker 2: Let's get the homage to Meilan Ballot. Let's get it.
Speaker 1: They only get married on Tuesday November.
Speaker 3: They get married largely on Tuesdays in November.
Speaker 1: Yes, I never knew that before. Okay, that's fascinating, all right.
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, oh no.
Speaker 3: And it was like a full circle moment because this
Speaker 3: was like a week prior to the twenty twenty four
Speaker 3: deadline to register to vote, and we're over in Lancaster
Speaker 3: at an Amish benefit and this Amish woman comes up
Speaker 3: to check her status because she can't do it herself online,
Speaker 3: so we did it for her. She wasn't registered, they
Speaker 3: removed her, so we got her registered and she goes, oh,
Speaker 3: you know what, I'd better get myself a meal on ballot.
Speaker 2: I'm going to three weddings on election day. And it
Speaker 2: just went.
Speaker 3: It was like an Aha moment that what I had
Speaker 3: been practicing in the field had been come into fruition.
Speaker 2: And we used mail in.
Speaker 3: Ballats to deliver President Trump the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Then
Speaker 3: we have eight hundred thousand veterans in Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania is
Speaker 3: the fourth largest home to veterans in the entire nation.
Speaker 3: So we went to every VFW, we went to every
Speaker 3: American legion, and you would be shocked by the amount
Speaker 3: of veterans that tell me, Scott, I already served our country.
Speaker 3: I already did my part. I don't have to vote
Speaker 3: because I already stopped communism overseas. And so really that's
Speaker 3: where I come in. And we have to court them
Speaker 3: and say, listen, thank you so much for your service.
Speaker 3: We're so grateful for your sacrifice. But communism is here
Speaker 3: domestically it's on our shores, and this is something we
Speaker 3: must be continuously vigilant by voting here in our country.
Speaker 2: And last, and probably the most important, and you'll notice
Speaker 2: all of these groups. What were you talking about with
Speaker 2: the forgotten men and American people, the white working class, Well,
Speaker 2: if you look at the demographics, I would assume that
Speaker 2: a lot of truckers are of that group, the homisher
Speaker 2: of that group, veterans are of that group. And last, hunters,
Speaker 2: three thousand hunters in Pennsylvania, thirty percent, three zero are
Speaker 2: not registered to vote. That's three hundred thousand votes.
Speaker 3: That is game over. That is the election. We went
Speaker 3: to every gun shop, every gun show, and I do
Speaker 3: believe that our work at early vote Action registering fifty
Speaker 3: five zero thousand voters helped to deliver the Commonwealth and
Speaker 3: two congressional seats Ryan mackenzie and Resnahan protecting.
Speaker 1: Seven eight right.
Speaker 3: Seven and eight, and then protecting Scott Peri in tenths
Speaker 3: over in York, Adam Staffin. And then last, the most
Speaker 3: important thing that we helped deliver as a family was
Speaker 3: Senator Dave McCormick.
Speaker 1: Right, I mean his vote, his election was very very tight.
Speaker 1: So yeah, absolutely, I completely agree you're listening to It's
Speaker 1: a numbers game with Ryan Gerdowski. We'll be right back
Speaker 1: after this message. Going back to New Jersey. You know
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty one that Phil Murphy the governor, won
Speaker 1: by eighty four thousand, two hundred and ninety four votes.
Speaker 1: That was his margin of victory over Jack Chidrelli. The
Speaker 1: Republicans since them have one hundred and seven thousand new
Speaker 1: voters and Democrats have lost one hundred and twenty eight
Speaker 1: thousand voters. There's clearly momentum Republicans in the state, in
Speaker 1: the Garden State. What is your goal then, going forwards
Speaker 1: is how many you want to write short to vote next?
Speaker 1: I guess seven months or whatever it is. Six months.
Speaker 3: Sure, well, it's kind of it's kind of fortuitous that
Speaker 3: I would be heading to New Jersey, a state that
Speaker 3: was lost by approximately eighty thousand votes, and twenty twenty
Speaker 3: one after helping to deliver Pennsylvania, another commonwealth that was
Speaker 3: decided by eighty thousand votes. And so my feeling in
Speaker 3: this race is, as you just mentioned, the numbers are
Speaker 3: already moving in our direction. Republicans have gained, Democrats have lost,
Speaker 3: and in fact, if you have been looking at the data,
Speaker 3: and the month of January, Democrats lost two thousand voters statewide.
Speaker 3: Republicans gained ten thousand in January. Then the Secretary of
Speaker 3: State did a purge in the month of February that
Speaker 3: Democrats lost eighty seven thousand voters. Republicans lost thirty seven
Speaker 3: thousand voters, for a net loss for Democrats of forty
Speaker 3: nine thousand voters. So when you take that twenty twenty
Speaker 3: one was decided by eighty thousand and the Democrats already
Speaker 3: done down approximately fifty nine thousand, that shows me. Listen,
Speaker 3: my New Jersey people that are listening right now, if
Speaker 3: we get every single Trump voter out to vote this
Speaker 3: year on Tuesday, November fourth, twenty twenty five, you will
Speaker 3: replace Democrat Governor Murphy with a Republican governor.
Speaker 2: Period.
Speaker 1: Now is does you do amazing? Where is the R
Speaker 1: and C doing anything to help you?
Speaker 2: I will say I want to give a shout out.
Speaker 3: So here is a departure, and look, I'm not here
Speaker 3: to I'm not here to be antagonistic. That's not my goal.
Speaker 3: I'm a nice guy. Let's just say the previous administration
Speaker 3: did not invest in twenty twenty one in New Jersey. However,
Speaker 3: you know what's already happened, Ryan and February, just a
Speaker 3: week ago, Chairman Michael Wattley was at an event in
Speaker 3: New Jersey. Casey Crosby, the coach here that replaced Laura Trump,
Speaker 3: is doing in a event with me on March.
Speaker 2: Thirteenth with Chairman Carlos Santos and Union County, New Jersey.
Speaker 3: And I know, I know we're talking New Jersey right now,
Speaker 3: but this is important. You know what's happening on April first,
Speaker 3: there's a Wisconsin Supreme Court election that is going to
Speaker 3: decide which party controls the Supreme Court going into twenty
Speaker 3: twenty eight. Casey Crosby, that beautiful coach here that we
Speaker 3: have with the rn C, she is already coming to Wisconsin,
Speaker 3: something that the RNC didn't do in twenty twenty three
Speaker 3: when we lost the Supreme Court. So this new RNC
Speaker 3: is transformative and is finally listening to the grassroots and
Speaker 3: is working with the grassroots.
Speaker 1: Now. Union County, for those who don't know, is very democratic.
Speaker 1: It's in the metropolitan New York City area. That's where
Speaker 1: we saw the biggest Republican growth in the last election,
Speaker 1: huge growth in Passaic County up everything near it touches
Speaker 1: the New York City metro area and Kathy Hokals congestion
Speaker 1: taxes not popular in that area. I will tell you
Speaker 1: as a as a lifelong New York it's not really
Speaker 1: popular outside Manhattan. The Have you noticed any continued push
Speaker 1: from these areas. There's a lot of Hispanics, a lot
Speaker 1: of Asians, But I mean, have you seen this kind
Speaker 1: of continued change? What have they said to you? If
Speaker 1: you've met any voters who changed their minds?
Speaker 3: Well, part of it is seeing the change in leaderships.
Speaker 3: So number one is Carlos Santos, clearly of Hispanic descent,
Speaker 3: is now the chairman of Union County. He wasn't He
Speaker 3: earned his way into that position. And over in Kenilworth
Speaker 3: at a VFW hall just weeks ago, we had two
Speaker 3: hundred and forty six attendees in February in New Jersey
Speaker 3: and Union County. It's nice saying those momentum and Bean County.
Speaker 1: By the way, you cannot get two hundred and forty six.
Speaker 1: There weren't two hundred and forty six Republicans, let alone,
Speaker 1: I mean two years ago. It is I think Union County,
Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure was the only county Chris Christi loss
Speaker 1: when he had his landslide in twenty thirteen.
Speaker 2: I'll look that up later.
Speaker 1: I might be wrong. I'm pretty sure that I'm corrected
Speaker 1: as the only county loss. That's how democratic it was,
Speaker 1: despite winning the state by twenty points, super democratic. I
Speaker 1: cannot believe there were two hundred and forty six Republicans
Speaker 1: in a single room in the county.
Speaker 3: Oh oh well, what we're going to do is, when
Speaker 3: this clip is up there, this audio, I'm going to
Speaker 3: reply with the video of me with the two hundred
Speaker 3: and forty six people behind me. Because you know that
Speaker 3: I like to show the work that I do, and
Speaker 3: so there's a Scott Presler video for every single event
Speaker 3: that I do.
Speaker 2: But I do want to give a shout out to
Speaker 2: Passaic County. There's a wonderful man.
Speaker 3: His name is Anthony and he is the owner of
Speaker 3: gunn for Hire in Passic County, New Jersey. Now, as
Speaker 3: you mentioned, there are two very critical communities that are
Speaker 3: within this county that I think are going to be
Speaker 3: decisive to try to our Republican candidate winning the governorship
Speaker 3: this November and those are a the Hispanic community, but
Speaker 3: especially our Puerto Ricans and our Dominicans. They are heavy
Speaker 3: in this district. And you know what gives me hope.
Speaker 3: We did a training over at gun for Hire. We
Speaker 3: were registering people to vote. I taught voter registration. We
Speaker 3: even registered one of the workers, the young people that
Speaker 3: was getting people's waivers to go and shoot there at
Speaker 3: the establishment, and several members of Hispanic community that are
Speaker 3: running for State Assembly came over to me.
Speaker 2: These were all young Hispanic men and it was just
Speaker 2: so cool to see that the tide is.
Speaker 3: Really shifting and that the Republican Party is this faith, family, finance,
Speaker 3: freedom party, and I think that is what is attracting
Speaker 3: the Hispanic community to us. But one community that we
Speaker 3: also must continue to shore up, especially after the track
Speaker 3: jity of October seventh, is the Orthodox Jewish community. There
Speaker 3: was a lot of room for growth, and so we
Speaker 3: are making a concerted effort to get the Orthodox in
Speaker 3: Pasaic registered. And also over in a town called Lakewood,
Speaker 3: over an ocean.
Speaker 1: Super super super Jewish, they actually elected. They voted for Trump.
Speaker 1: I used margins and they elected a Democrat for the
Speaker 1: state House who was a Rabbi. I don't think that
Speaker 1: that guy can hold on though, because Orthodox usually have
Speaker 1: huge turnouts in off yr elections, but when everyone's voting,
Speaker 1: the numbers aren't that high. So hopefully we'll be in
Speaker 1: back that seat too well.
Speaker 3: And Republicans were also smart, Ryan, because what we did is, look,
Speaker 3: we understand the different needs of the state. The June
Speaker 3: tenth primary, New Jersey June tenth primary, so everybody registered
Speaker 3: with a party so you can vote in your closed primary.
Speaker 3: They actually moved it back a week because of the
Speaker 3: religious recognization of one of the spiritual holidays that they're having.
Speaker 3: So that shows me that the Republican Party is listening
Speaker 3: and they're going, Wow, we can get more people to
Speaker 3: vote if we choose a date.
Speaker 2: That's not on a religious holiday.
Speaker 1: Well, Scott, I gotta tell you, in Passaic County, usually
Speaker 1: the only reason Dominicans and Puerto Ricans would be getting
Speaker 1: together at a gun show is to shoot each other.
Speaker 1: But they're getting together for you because you are bringing
Speaker 1: every louve, bringing to quote the great Moire Rose from
Speaker 1: schitz Creek. You have all the bigger of a wartime operator.
Speaker 1: Thank you so much for being on this show where
Speaker 1: can people go to get involved, get active and join
Speaker 1: your organization?
Speaker 2: Thank you well. I want to be clear.
Speaker 3: In addition to our work helping to flip the New
Speaker 3: Jersey governorship from blue to red on Tuesday, November four,
Speaker 3: twenty twenty five, we are continuing our work in the
Speaker 3: Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. We are going to be expanding to Nevada,
Speaker 3: and in twenty twenty six, we're going to help President
Speaker 3: Trump keep the House of Representatives. If you want to
Speaker 3: support our work financially, then I encourage you today help
Speaker 3: me hire more staff in Pennsylvania and New Jersey and Nevada.
Speaker 3: Please go to Early Vote Action dot com. That's Early
Speaker 3: Vote Action dot com.
Speaker 2: Again.
Speaker 3: We can receive unlimited financial contributions. We also accept crypto
Speaker 3: Ethereum solana, So if you would like to give us
Speaker 3: some sutoshi's today, we welcome you at our Early Vote actions.
Speaker 1: Scott, you are so great. Thank you, thank you, thank you,
Speaker 1: thank you for doing this. I know you're such a
Speaker 1: busy man. We'll hopefully speak soon and I'll keep everyone
Speaker 1: updated all your great thanks. Thank you again for listening
Speaker 1: to a numbers game with Ryan Gardowski. Appreciate you being here.
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