1 00:00:10,640 --> 00:00:13,319 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Saturday morning edition of the Daily Juice 2 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:17,239 Speaker 1: podcast on Bettingpros dot com. I'm your host, Matt Paralt. 3 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:20,040 Speaker 1: This whole thing, this whole great podcast is being brought 4 00:00:20,040 --> 00:00:24,200 Speaker 1: to you by bet mg M. All right, we did well. 5 00:00:24,440 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 1: We had a bunch of good hits and only one 6 00:00:27,520 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 1: bet wrong and it happened to be the first bet 7 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:32,519 Speaker 1: of the day, a rekev Hey Year. In just one second, 8 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:34,519 Speaker 1: I will also get into a little bit of a 9 00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:37,519 Speaker 1: strategy play for you guys, some explanation as to how 10 00:00:37,560 --> 00:00:39,879 Speaker 1: I go about things. Somebody on Twitter was asking me 11 00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:41,760 Speaker 1: a bunch of questions that I want to get to here, 12 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:44,040 Speaker 1: and then I want to get to our four plays 13 00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:47,200 Speaker 1: for you. I've got one in baseball, one in basketball, 14 00:00:47,479 --> 00:00:50,879 Speaker 1: one in hockey, and one in the UFC for the 15 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:56,040 Speaker 1: fight card happening tonight here in Las Vegas. So let's 16 00:00:56,080 --> 00:00:59,240 Speaker 1: start with just a quick recap of yesterday and the 17 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 1: big one, the Vancouver Canucks cashing a plus one seventy 18 00:01:02,840 --> 00:01:05,320 Speaker 1: five ticket for US by their knocking out of the 19 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 1: defending champs in the Saint Louis Blues. Very impressive six 20 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:11,480 Speaker 1: to two win in Game number six. Vancouver moves on 21 00:01:11,800 --> 00:01:13,959 Speaker 1: to take on the Vegas Golden Knights. That's gonna be 22 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:18,119 Speaker 1: a tremendous series. I cannot wait to watch those those 23 00:01:18,160 --> 00:01:21,560 Speaker 1: games between those two talented hockey teams. So really cool stuff. 24 00:01:21,800 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 1: With that, we are happy to see the Red Sox 25 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 1: get going. Like we talked about, they've won three games 26 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:29,960 Speaker 1: in a row. Now they've won two games, actually three 27 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:32,240 Speaker 1: games straight on the run line, which is really interesting. 28 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 1: They're up eight to nothing and then the Orioles scored 29 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 1: five runs. It was kind of like, nah, really, you 30 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:39,440 Speaker 1: aren't gonna do this, are you? And then they won, 31 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 1: so that was good. We're gonna ride that train. You 32 00:01:41,800 --> 00:01:44,039 Speaker 1: can probably predict what my pick from baseball is gonna 33 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:47,240 Speaker 1: be coming up for today. And then we saw a 34 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:51,000 Speaker 1: really impressive performance by the Boston Celtics over the last 35 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:53,080 Speaker 1: two minutes of that basketball game. They go on a 36 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:55,960 Speaker 1: ten to ozero run, they cover that five and that 37 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 1: four and a half five point line. Huge win for 38 00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 1: the public, really bad loss for the sports books. They 39 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:05,520 Speaker 1: took it pretty badly. But Utah's win over Denver was 40 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:07,840 Speaker 1: really impressive. That was the pick we got wrong. But 41 00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:10,480 Speaker 1: the Flyers got home for us, which was really cool 42 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:12,960 Speaker 1: to see them get a victory and knock out the 43 00:02:13,000 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 1: Montreal Canadians on the money line, and then we wound 44 00:02:16,240 --> 00:02:18,840 Speaker 1: up seeing a win and cover for the Clippers, although 45 00:02:18,880 --> 00:02:22,400 Speaker 1: it kind of stinks because the Clippers, I mean, unfortunately, 46 00:02:22,440 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 1: I'm bummed out that it looks like Luca Doncis has 47 00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:27,520 Speaker 1: an injury. We don't know the real severity of the 48 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:29,200 Speaker 1: injury of the ankle, but you just got to cross 49 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:31,919 Speaker 1: your fingers and hope that it's nothing too serious. So 50 00:02:32,200 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 1: it was a five in one day for us yesterday. 51 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 1: Our record over the last six days, we are sixteen 52 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:45,560 Speaker 1: and nine, up four and a half units over the 53 00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:48,639 Speaker 1: last six days. Okay, sixteen and nine up four and 54 00:02:48,680 --> 00:02:51,560 Speaker 1: a half units, which is pretty good. Okay, So I 55 00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 1: mean historically, I think we're up three units in totality 56 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:58,520 Speaker 1: since we started this podcast. So nothing extraordinary, but it's 57 00:02:58,520 --> 00:03:00,760 Speaker 1: better to be up than down. And I just want 58 00:03:00,760 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 1: to take a second to address something here quickly because 59 00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:06,679 Speaker 1: somebody on Twitter yesterday, and I always love the interaction, 60 00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:09,880 Speaker 1: I love the conversation at sports Talk Matt is my 61 00:03:09,919 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 1: Twitter account, and this person said to me, why don't 62 00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:16,639 Speaker 1: you just pick if you're going for your record, why 63 00:03:16,680 --> 00:03:20,040 Speaker 1: don't you just pick like heavy favorites all the time, 64 00:03:20,400 --> 00:03:23,280 Speaker 1: Like why don't you pick minus two fifty and three hundred? 65 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:25,560 Speaker 1: And why not? If you're keeping track and you care 66 00:03:25,560 --> 00:03:28,200 Speaker 1: about your record, why not you just give out you know, 67 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:34,200 Speaker 1: these surefire, guaranteed type wins. Look, that's not how I bet. 68 00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:37,400 Speaker 1: Because here, if I go and do that and then 69 00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:40,000 Speaker 1: we have a really bad day, well you can have 70 00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:44,000 Speaker 1: say I bet three minus three hundred. Okay, we're going 71 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:46,240 Speaker 1: off one hundred dollars, right, so we're gonna go ahead 72 00:03:46,280 --> 00:03:50,400 Speaker 1: and lay three hundred dollars down on either on three bets. 73 00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 1: If you lose all three, if it gets really funky 74 00:03:53,440 --> 00:03:56,080 Speaker 1: and you just have a horrible day, that's just not 75 00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:59,120 Speaker 1: smart bank roll management in my opinion. And look, it's 76 00:03:59,120 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 1: been to what your bankirl is one thousand dollars, five thousand, 77 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:03,800 Speaker 1: whatever your bank roll is, whatever your one unit is, 78 00:04:03,840 --> 00:04:07,040 Speaker 1: ten dollars, one hundred dollars, five hundred dollars, whatever it is. 79 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:11,000 Speaker 1: I just don't particularly believe in it, And so I 80 00:04:11,120 --> 00:04:14,000 Speaker 1: actually bet money here. This is my real money I'm wagering. 81 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:16,159 Speaker 1: So why would I just want to go and lay 82 00:04:16,200 --> 00:04:19,239 Speaker 1: heavy chalk all the time and then get my teeth 83 00:04:19,279 --> 00:04:21,800 Speaker 1: kicked in when I know I'm gonna have a bad day. 84 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:25,480 Speaker 1: So to me, it's about flat wagering. It's about bank 85 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:28,760 Speaker 1: roll management. And look, the record's important to me, right, 86 00:04:28,839 --> 00:04:31,320 Speaker 1: But I'm doing this every single day. We're gonna have 87 00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:33,800 Speaker 1: ups and downs. And so the person was like, well, 88 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:36,239 Speaker 1: you got a really bad day yesterday. Okay, I understand 89 00:04:36,240 --> 00:04:38,159 Speaker 1: I had a bad day yesterday. But like I just said, 90 00:04:38,360 --> 00:04:41,520 Speaker 1: over the last six days, we're sixteen and nine and 91 00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:43,760 Speaker 1: we're up four and a half units. I mean, I 92 00:04:43,800 --> 00:04:47,320 Speaker 1: can't really argue with that. I can't. That's not horrible. Now. 93 00:04:47,360 --> 00:04:49,800 Speaker 1: Not every six day stretch has been like that, okay, 94 00:04:49,960 --> 00:04:54,000 Speaker 1: but we've been pretty good since last Saturday. And it's 95 00:04:54,040 --> 00:04:56,240 Speaker 1: a little bit, I guess last Sunday. It's just a 96 00:04:56,240 --> 00:04:58,960 Speaker 1: little bit anger and anger is the wrong word. But 97 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:01,039 Speaker 1: I just want you guys to understand something that, like, 98 00:05:01,160 --> 00:05:03,800 Speaker 1: I'm doing this because I want to have fun. I 99 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:06,240 Speaker 1: love doing this. It's so fun to do sports gambling. 100 00:05:06,600 --> 00:05:09,760 Speaker 1: But my philosophy is my philosophy. If you don't like it, 101 00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:12,680 Speaker 1: I understand you may have your own ideas. It's just 102 00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 1: that I'm not gonna lay heavy chalk because I've been 103 00:05:15,520 --> 00:05:17,720 Speaker 1: doing this long enough to know what happens when you 104 00:05:17,800 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 1: do that. So I rarely recommend you, guys, laying more 105 00:05:21,800 --> 00:05:24,960 Speaker 1: than minus to ten. That's the number. That's when I 106 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:28,240 Speaker 1: get to my to my threshold for juice. I just 107 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:30,920 Speaker 1: I think it's expensive. And that's about it. Two fifty 108 00:05:31,000 --> 00:05:34,839 Speaker 1: maybe once in a while, but very rarely. And is 109 00:05:34,880 --> 00:05:37,400 Speaker 1: it more difficult to pick winners at minus one ten? 110 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 1: Of course it is. That's why the books make it 111 00:05:39,440 --> 00:05:42,480 Speaker 1: minus one ten. Right, we lay one hundred and ten 112 00:05:42,560 --> 00:05:46,599 Speaker 1: dollars down. They lay one hundred right just right there. 113 00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:50,600 Speaker 1: Over the course of you know, three sixty five. The 114 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:55,280 Speaker 1: edge they have is tremendous fifty three percent, right, that's 115 00:05:55,320 --> 00:05:57,680 Speaker 1: the number we're trying to get over, fifty three percent. 116 00:05:58,200 --> 00:06:01,360 Speaker 1: So that's why I don't lay heavy chalk, because you're 117 00:06:01,360 --> 00:06:04,719 Speaker 1: giving them even more of an advantage when you do that. 118 00:06:05,240 --> 00:06:08,920 Speaker 1: So it's difficult, Yes, And I'm gonna have bad days, Yes, 119 00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:11,919 Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna screw up sometimes. Yes. Is it 120 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:15,479 Speaker 1: better to fade my plate sometimes? Yes? And if that happens, 121 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:17,520 Speaker 1: I'm not mad at you if you do that. I've 122 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:20,000 Speaker 1: recommended that sometimes, saying look at maybe you just go 123 00:06:20,080 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 1: the other way if you disagree. This is entertainment, This 124 00:06:23,480 --> 00:06:26,640 Speaker 1: is for fun, This is what I enjoy. But this 125 00:06:26,760 --> 00:06:28,799 Speaker 1: is where my money is going. And if I lose, 126 00:06:28,880 --> 00:06:33,279 Speaker 1: I lose. Okay, that happens. I recognize that. So just 127 00:06:33,440 --> 00:06:37,240 Speaker 1: understand that I'm not interested in laying heavy favorites every day. 128 00:06:37,880 --> 00:06:41,000 Speaker 1: Just because you think it's gonna happen, doesn't mean it's 129 00:06:41,040 --> 00:06:45,400 Speaker 1: gonna happen. All right. Just because you think it's always 130 00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:49,800 Speaker 1: a huge favorite, that's a guarantee, right eh? Not always? Okay, 131 00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:52,880 Speaker 1: Look at what happened with the Miwukee Bucks, right, you know, 132 00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:57,320 Speaker 1: you lay minus two ninety minus three ten, Milwaukee loses outright. 133 00:06:57,839 --> 00:07:01,279 Speaker 1: You get smoked when that happens. In those upsets in sports, 134 00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:04,680 Speaker 1: those things happen all the time. So just a little 135 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:07,599 Speaker 1: soap boxed moment there for me to explain what's going 136 00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:09,320 Speaker 1: on in the picks that we're making here on the 137 00:07:09,400 --> 00:07:11,360 Speaker 1: Daily Juice. All right, The Dayly Juice is brought to 138 00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:14,440 Speaker 1: you by bet MGM. 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But BETMGM wants 164 00:08:27,200 --> 00:08:29,560 Speaker 1: you to know you go to betmgm dot com for 165 00:08:29,680 --> 00:08:32,079 Speaker 1: terms and conditions. You must be twenty one years or 166 00:08:32,120 --> 00:08:35,760 Speaker 1: older and physically located in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey or 167 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:38,679 Speaker 1: West Virginia. Please gamble responsibly. And if you have a 168 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:42,400 Speaker 1: gambling problem called one in hundred five two two forty 169 00:08:42,400 --> 00:08:45,679 Speaker 1: seven hundred if you're in Colorado or Nevada, one hundred 170 00:08:45,679 --> 00:08:48,480 Speaker 1: gambler in New Jersey or West Virginia, or one in 171 00:08:48,600 --> 00:08:52,720 Speaker 1: hundred with it four plays for you. I don't need 172 00:08:52,760 --> 00:08:54,800 Speaker 1: to go really in depth here. With the Red Sox 173 00:08:55,880 --> 00:08:59,600 Speaker 1: minus one twenty on the money line, now they counted that. 174 00:08:59,800 --> 00:09:02,960 Speaker 1: The at betting pros counted that win yesterday because I 175 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:05,280 Speaker 1: told you I was betting it, and I did. I 176 00:09:05,280 --> 00:09:07,640 Speaker 1: didn't have any numbers, but I was just betting it 177 00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:09,520 Speaker 1: because I knew the Red Sox were gonna win. They 178 00:09:09,559 --> 00:09:13,440 Speaker 1: went up eight to nothing, they nearly blew it, and 179 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 1: they wound up winning eight to five. So they won 180 00:09:15,840 --> 00:09:18,559 Speaker 1: on the run line. They've won three straight games on 181 00:09:18,600 --> 00:09:21,439 Speaker 1: the run line. By the way, after losing eight consecutive 182 00:09:21,440 --> 00:09:24,439 Speaker 1: games on the run line, they've now won three games 183 00:09:24,800 --> 00:09:27,480 Speaker 1: on the run line. I'm not gonna recommend betting the 184 00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:29,920 Speaker 1: run line. I'm just gonna say, bet the Red Sox 185 00:09:29,960 --> 00:09:33,120 Speaker 1: to win. The Orioles are garbage, but the Red Sox 186 00:09:33,160 --> 00:09:35,760 Speaker 1: are not as bad as they have played. And a 187 00:09:35,760 --> 00:09:38,560 Speaker 1: lot of teams get right by playing the Baltimore Orioles 188 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:41,520 Speaker 1: in Camden Yards, and that's exactly what the Red Sox 189 00:09:41,520 --> 00:09:44,320 Speaker 1: are gonna be able to do here minus one twenty 190 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:46,760 Speaker 1: on the money line. We're taking the Red Sox to 191 00:09:46,840 --> 00:09:50,720 Speaker 1: win their fourth consecutive game after losing nine straight games 192 00:09:50,760 --> 00:09:53,079 Speaker 1: and eight straight on the run line. We're taking the 193 00:09:53,080 --> 00:09:55,080 Speaker 1: Boston Red Sox on the money line here to beat 194 00:09:55,120 --> 00:09:58,559 Speaker 1: the Baltimore Orioles. I don't care who's pitching. It's action anyway, 195 00:09:58,960 --> 00:10:02,520 Speaker 1: but the Red Sox win against Baltimore once again. The 196 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:05,520 Speaker 1: bats are alive. Devers is hitting. It's good to see 197 00:10:05,840 --> 00:10:09,080 Speaker 1: Xander Bogarts is hitting. Even Jady Martinez getting some action. 198 00:10:09,280 --> 00:10:11,720 Speaker 1: So this offense for the Red Sox is finally coming 199 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:15,520 Speaker 1: into form. They're playing defense again. Look, Baltimore helps a 200 00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:17,640 Speaker 1: lot of teams get right and that's what's happening here 201 00:10:17,640 --> 00:10:19,880 Speaker 1: in this series. For the Boston Red Sox. We're gonna 202 00:10:19,920 --> 00:10:22,040 Speaker 1: ride it for as long as we can. So Red 203 00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:25,560 Speaker 1: Sox on the money line, play number two. Speaking of 204 00:10:25,559 --> 00:10:29,800 Speaker 1: the La Lakers, Lakers and the Portland Trailblazers, Game number 205 00:10:29,880 --> 00:10:33,640 Speaker 1: three here from the bubble in Orlando. Lakers seven and 206 00:10:33,679 --> 00:10:35,840 Speaker 1: a half point favorites. That's a half a point up 207 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:38,719 Speaker 1: from where they were in game number two. And the 208 00:10:38,760 --> 00:10:42,280 Speaker 1: total here in this game is to twenty five. These 209 00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:45,439 Speaker 1: two teams, we have bet the under in these last 210 00:10:45,520 --> 00:10:47,680 Speaker 1: in the first two games for the Lakers in the 211 00:10:47,679 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 1: Portland Trail Blaers, actually no, we bet the under, Yester. 212 00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:51,800 Speaker 1: We bit the under in game two. I think we 213 00:10:51,920 --> 00:10:54,600 Speaker 1: just played. I forget what we played in game one, 214 00:10:54,679 --> 00:10:57,360 Speaker 1: but we had the under in the last game. The 215 00:10:57,400 --> 00:11:00,440 Speaker 1: total is two twenty five here is That's what I 216 00:11:00,520 --> 00:11:02,760 Speaker 1: think is gonna happen in this game, and it might 217 00:11:02,840 --> 00:11:06,360 Speaker 1: be a little bit dangerous. They've opened up these numbers 218 00:11:06,840 --> 00:11:09,800 Speaker 1: lower every game. It was two thirty five, and it 219 00:11:09,840 --> 00:11:13,440 Speaker 1: was two thirty and now it's two twenty five. I 220 00:11:13,440 --> 00:11:16,480 Speaker 1: think folks are gonna see that they made money in 221 00:11:16,559 --> 00:11:19,319 Speaker 1: game one and two betting the under, and I think 222 00:11:19,320 --> 00:11:21,640 Speaker 1: they're gonna come back to the well again. We're gonna 223 00:11:21,679 --> 00:11:24,320 Speaker 1: go against that here and we're gonna take the over. 224 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:27,800 Speaker 1: I think this is where both the Lakers and the 225 00:11:27,840 --> 00:11:31,280 Speaker 1: Trail Blazers get going. Going into this series. I mean, 226 00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:34,000 Speaker 1: Portland had been scoring about one hundred and fourteen points 227 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:36,920 Speaker 1: a game. They had gone, you know, up to one 228 00:11:37,000 --> 00:11:39,520 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty six. I think in the last three 229 00:11:39,559 --> 00:11:41,160 Speaker 1: or four games of the Bubble. They were the most 230 00:11:41,160 --> 00:11:43,960 Speaker 1: prolific scoring team in the Bubble. The Lakers want to 231 00:11:44,240 --> 00:11:47,040 Speaker 1: slow them down, and they're not running as much as 232 00:11:47,080 --> 00:11:49,840 Speaker 1: they move they want to, but they're missing threes like crazy. 233 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:52,720 Speaker 1: I know Lillard's fingers a little bit concerning, but I 234 00:11:52,760 --> 00:11:55,880 Speaker 1: think the Blazers, who have been so bad defending on 235 00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:58,000 Speaker 1: the three point line, the second worst team in the 236 00:11:58,120 --> 00:12:02,040 Speaker 1: NBA in the regular season at defending threes, I think 237 00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:05,199 Speaker 1: this is the game the Lakers get hot, Lebron gets hot. 238 00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:07,360 Speaker 1: I think this is the game where both teams get 239 00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:11,200 Speaker 1: hot and the over comes in here. We're gonna go 240 00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:15,280 Speaker 1: over to twenty five for the Lakers and the Portland 241 00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:19,240 Speaker 1: Trailblazers for Game number three. I got one hockey play 242 00:12:19,320 --> 00:12:22,280 Speaker 1: for you here as the NHL wants to go. The 243 00:12:22,400 --> 00:12:24,560 Speaker 1: NHL is not gonna wait around. We're not gonna have 244 00:12:25,160 --> 00:12:29,680 Speaker 1: any type of time between series. The Colorado Avalanche and 245 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:33,480 Speaker 1: the Dallas Stars. They begin their Western Conference second round 246 00:12:33,559 --> 00:12:38,560 Speaker 1: series here on Saturday. This is a game where I 247 00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:43,080 Speaker 1: think tired legs could really factor in. So Dallas and 248 00:12:43,120 --> 00:12:48,200 Speaker 1: Colorado both going into this with high profile, high potent offenses. 249 00:12:48,240 --> 00:12:50,800 Speaker 1: The Avalanche of putting in so many goals. I mean, 250 00:12:51,000 --> 00:12:54,320 Speaker 1: they've just scored seven to one in back to back 251 00:12:54,360 --> 00:12:57,120 Speaker 1: games as they took care of the Coyotes. Now Dallas 252 00:12:57,160 --> 00:13:01,760 Speaker 1: is a better defensive team than the Coyote. However, this 253 00:13:01,800 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 1: Avalanche team is flying around, so is Dallas. By the way, 254 00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:09,520 Speaker 1: Dallas's offense has played pretty well here in this bubble, 255 00:13:09,960 --> 00:13:13,240 Speaker 1: and I think, as I mentioned, fatigue could come in here, 256 00:13:13,800 --> 00:13:16,840 Speaker 1: and I think you could see some sloppy plays. I 257 00:13:16,880 --> 00:13:19,000 Speaker 1: think you might see guys just getting a little bit 258 00:13:19,120 --> 00:13:23,080 Speaker 1: you know, lax with the puck turnovers, good scoring opportunities. 259 00:13:23,320 --> 00:13:26,120 Speaker 1: The total list in this game is five and a half, 260 00:13:26,880 --> 00:13:30,320 Speaker 1: so I got this at plus one ten for over 261 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:33,600 Speaker 1: five and a half goals for this game. Now, the 262 00:13:33,640 --> 00:13:38,160 Speaker 1: series price is Avalanche minus two to fifty too expensive. 263 00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:39,960 Speaker 1: I thought about taking the Stars at plus two ten 264 00:13:40,000 --> 00:13:42,439 Speaker 1: for the series, but I think the avalanchere gonna wind 265 00:13:42,480 --> 00:13:44,400 Speaker 1: up winning this series. Their offense is very, very good, 266 00:13:44,400 --> 00:13:46,880 Speaker 1: but the under is juiced up to minus one thirty. 267 00:13:47,320 --> 00:13:49,920 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the plus money here at plus one 268 00:13:50,080 --> 00:13:53,240 Speaker 1: ten and go over five and a half goals and 269 00:13:53,320 --> 00:13:56,480 Speaker 1: expect both these offenses to have a good start and 270 00:13:56,679 --> 00:14:00,439 Speaker 1: maybe some tired legs with turnovers in poor play. Colorado 271 00:14:00,440 --> 00:14:03,840 Speaker 1: has been so incredibly hot offensively, and I think Dallas 272 00:14:03,840 --> 00:14:06,319 Speaker 1: brings a lot of firepower as well. I think we 273 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:08,480 Speaker 1: go off to a game one start here. I'm gonna 274 00:14:08,480 --> 00:14:11,400 Speaker 1: play the over five and a half goals at plus 275 00:14:11,520 --> 00:14:15,480 Speaker 1: one ten for the Stars in the Avalanche, and finally 276 00:14:15,880 --> 00:14:18,360 Speaker 1: we have a fight night to break down. There is 277 00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:21,720 Speaker 1: a great breakdown of this headline fight here in Las 278 00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:25,880 Speaker 1: Vegas between Frankie Heger and Pedro Munos here on bettingpros 279 00:14:25,920 --> 00:14:29,120 Speaker 1: dot Com, TJ Perun wrote it it's a really good 280 00:14:29,160 --> 00:14:30,840 Speaker 1: and I hope I'm saying Teach's last Namer and I 281 00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:33,760 Speaker 1: apologize if I'm not, but it's a really good breakdown 282 00:14:33,800 --> 00:14:36,000 Speaker 1: of what's gonna happen, I think coming up and it's 283 00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:39,000 Speaker 1: I actually had this before I even read TJ's article. 284 00:14:39,320 --> 00:14:41,600 Speaker 1: I had this pick written down because I spoke to 285 00:14:41,680 --> 00:14:44,640 Speaker 1: Nick Kolakas from Circus Sports. I was in the book 286 00:14:44,680 --> 00:14:46,400 Speaker 1: for the first time. I was in a sports book 287 00:14:46,720 --> 00:14:49,400 Speaker 1: on Friday for the first time in six months, and 288 00:14:49,440 --> 00:14:51,760 Speaker 1: I saw Nick Kelekas I was at Circa Sports, and 289 00:14:51,800 --> 00:14:54,200 Speaker 1: we broke down that down this fight together. And look, 290 00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:58,640 Speaker 1: Frankieger is the former lightweight champion. All right, this is 291 00:14:58,680 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 1: a guy who at one fot was really impressive. Tom's 292 00:15:02,800 --> 00:15:05,360 Speaker 1: over a New Jersey. He brings all those Jersey folks. 293 00:15:05,360 --> 00:15:07,880 Speaker 1: He's a future Hall of Fame inductee in the UFC. 294 00:15:08,440 --> 00:15:13,320 Speaker 1: He's had incredible victories via Faber and BJ Penn, and 295 00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:15,600 Speaker 1: now he's going down to the one thirty five division 296 00:15:15,600 --> 00:15:18,040 Speaker 1: because essentially the one forty five division he had nothing 297 00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:19,680 Speaker 1: left up there. No one wanted to fight him, and 298 00:15:19,680 --> 00:15:22,280 Speaker 1: he really, to be honest, he's just gotten up there 299 00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:24,280 Speaker 1: in age. He wasn't gonna be able to compete, but 300 00:15:24,320 --> 00:15:27,320 Speaker 1: the bantamweight division's really difficult, and he's going up against 301 00:15:27,320 --> 00:15:31,880 Speaker 1: a really good fighter in munials here who is trying 302 00:15:31,920 --> 00:15:35,720 Speaker 1: to build on his Brazilian jiu jitsu black belt, on 303 00:15:35,880 --> 00:15:38,560 Speaker 1: his ability to submit and knock guys out. He has 304 00:15:38,640 --> 00:15:42,480 Speaker 1: beaten Rob font he knocked out Cody Garbrandt. This is 305 00:15:42,520 --> 00:15:45,840 Speaker 1: a very difficult fight for Edgar. He said the weight 306 00:15:45,880 --> 00:15:48,720 Speaker 1: cut wasn't going to be hard, and maybe it wasn't hard. 307 00:15:48,720 --> 00:15:51,200 Speaker 1: I mean he made weight relatively easily. But this is 308 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:56,480 Speaker 1: a guy who has real impressive skills and he's fought 309 00:15:56,560 --> 00:16:00,440 Speaker 1: aljaminer Sterling. I think you can look at Frankie Edgar, 310 00:16:01,440 --> 00:16:04,160 Speaker 1: tip the cap to the guy, so you're incredible. But 311 00:16:04,240 --> 00:16:06,600 Speaker 1: at this weight class, at this weight division, I think 312 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:09,560 Speaker 1: it's too much Pedro here. I got it by knockout 313 00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:14,160 Speaker 1: at plus one forty here in Vegas, but Pedro might knockout. 314 00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:16,960 Speaker 1: I mean, it's too much juice to lay if you 315 00:16:17,000 --> 00:16:18,880 Speaker 1: want to just go ahead and bet the fight for 316 00:16:18,960 --> 00:16:23,120 Speaker 1: him to win, it's too sixty. It's two seventy to eighty. 317 00:16:23,560 --> 00:16:25,840 Speaker 1: It's just too much juice to lay it here for 318 00:16:25,840 --> 00:16:28,880 Speaker 1: Pedro to win. So to me, I mean, cause it's 319 00:16:28,880 --> 00:16:30,760 Speaker 1: a fight, and look, Frankie can win this fight. I'm 320 00:16:30,800 --> 00:16:32,920 Speaker 1: not saying it's impossible for him to win. I'm just 321 00:16:33,000 --> 00:16:36,240 Speaker 1: gonna go with Pedro here by knockout at plus one 322 00:16:36,400 --> 00:16:40,080 Speaker 1: forty against Frank Dieger in the main event of UFC 323 00:16:40,120 --> 00:16:44,480 Speaker 1: Fight Night here in Las Vegas, so Red Sox money 324 00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:49,080 Speaker 1: line Lakers over over for the Avalanche in the Dallas 325 00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:51,000 Speaker 1: Stars for five and a half goals at plus one 326 00:16:51,120 --> 00:16:55,440 Speaker 1: ten and Pedro by knockout at plus one forty here 327 00:16:55,440 --> 00:16:59,240 Speaker 1: in Vegas for UFC Fight Night on ESPN Plus. We're 328 00:16:59,240 --> 00:17:02,560 Speaker 1: having a good week. Let's hopefully continue having a good week. 329 00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:04,960 Speaker 1: You can always reach out to me on Twitter at 330 00:17:05,000 --> 00:17:07,679 Speaker 1: sports Talk. Matt is my Twitter account, Send me a 331 00:17:07,760 --> 00:17:10,320 Speaker 1: DM talk to me about your plays and your thoughts. 332 00:17:10,600 --> 00:17:13,240 Speaker 1: Let's cross our fingers. Let's keep it rolling here. Good 333 00:17:13,320 --> 00:17:15,639 Speaker 1: day yesterday with a five to one mark. Let's do 334 00:17:15,720 --> 00:17:18,600 Speaker 1: it again. Let's get back rolling here, sixteen to nine 335 00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:21,600 Speaker 1: over the last six days. Let's keep the ball going 336 00:17:21,600 --> 00:17:24,360 Speaker 1: in the right direction. My name is Matt Perraultz. We're 337 00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:27,160 Speaker 1: back on a Sunday for another edition of the Daily 338 00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:36,600 Speaker 1: Juice podcast, presented by BETMGM here off of pencros dot Com.