1
00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:01,560
Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

2
00:00:01,560 --> 00:00:03,720
Speaker 2: How are you welcome to I can't believe in week

3
00:00:03,840 --> 00:00:06,880
Speaker 2: nine it is time for early bets, survivor plays and

4
00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:10,560
Speaker 2: things you should fire on right now into the NFL weekend.

5
00:00:10,640 --> 00:00:11,479
Speaker 1: He's Pat Fitzmorse.

6
00:00:11,520 --> 00:00:15,840
Speaker 2: I'm Matt Perelz Pat eighteen three and one. That was

7
00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:19,760
Speaker 2: the number for favorites and overs in week number eight.

8
00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:21,400
Speaker 1: Crazy week.

9
00:00:21,720 --> 00:00:24,640
Speaker 2: The books did not do well, the public did very well.

10
00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:27,160
Speaker 2: Bankrolls are rich and happy today. How are you as

11
00:00:27,200 --> 00:00:30,680
Speaker 2: we had to week nine? Same old as last week?

12
00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:32,240
Speaker 2: Or we get into kind of an upset week in

13
00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:32,640
Speaker 2: your mind?

14
00:00:32,640 --> 00:00:33,080
Speaker 1: This week?

15
00:00:33,440 --> 00:00:34,000
Speaker 3: Oh boy?

16
00:00:34,159 --> 00:00:36,320
Speaker 4: Well, I hope we don't get the same as last week,

17
00:00:36,360 --> 00:00:39,479
Speaker 4: mat because I believe the average margin of victory was

18
00:00:39,600 --> 00:00:42,199
Speaker 4: over eighteen points. It did not get a lot of

19
00:00:42,200 --> 00:00:46,040
Speaker 4: photo finishes. It was not a real thrilling week of action.

20
00:00:46,200 --> 00:00:48,519
Speaker 4: I mean, it was an interesting week. I think the

21
00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:50,720
Speaker 4: cream kind of rose to the top. The teams that

22
00:00:50,760 --> 00:00:53,400
Speaker 4: can go deep into the playoffs kind of showed it.

23
00:00:53,600 --> 00:00:58,080
Speaker 4: The Eagles, the Bills, the Packers all had these convincing victories,

24
00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:00,000
Speaker 4: and I think it sorted out some of the pretenders,

25
00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:03,040
Speaker 4: the Patriots and of course the Colts. I don't want

26
00:01:03,040 --> 00:01:06,000
Speaker 4: to give the Colts short shrift either. But we did

27
00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:08,639
Speaker 4: see some of the teams with winning records that maybe

28
00:01:08,680 --> 00:01:11,920
Speaker 4: weren't all that great fall by the way side of

29
00:01:12,080 --> 00:01:15,800
Speaker 4: the Falcons the Cowboys. So yeah, it was a real

30
00:01:15,880 --> 00:01:20,120
Speaker 4: interesting week in sort of what happened. The games themselves

31
00:01:20,280 --> 00:01:21,120
Speaker 4: not that interesting.

32
00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:23,559
Speaker 2: So how this works, guys, we give you three bets

33
00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:25,720
Speaker 2: that we like for this coming week. We give you

34
00:01:25,760 --> 00:01:27,920
Speaker 2: one play you should fire on right now, and a

35
00:01:27,959 --> 00:01:31,399
Speaker 2: survivor pick in regardless of what you have available, will

36
00:01:31,400 --> 00:01:33,280
Speaker 2: tell you what we think you should use if you

37
00:01:33,360 --> 00:01:35,640
Speaker 2: have it available, But obviously we don't know the path

38
00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:38,280
Speaker 2: you have used for a survivor. If you were in

39
00:01:38,360 --> 00:01:41,400
Speaker 2: the Circus Survivor and still alive, congratulations, because you were

40
00:01:41,440 --> 00:01:43,800
Speaker 2: one of two thousand entries that are left of the

41
00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:48,960
Speaker 2: eighteen thousand plus that started for eighteen point seven million dollars. Because,

42
00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:53,320
Speaker 2: like you mentioned, the Falcons OUCH and the Bengals OUCH,

43
00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:56,800
Speaker 2: taking down pretty much half the field that was remaining

44
00:01:57,120 --> 00:01:59,320
Speaker 2: here in Las Vegas for the biggest survivor pools. So

45
00:01:59,400 --> 00:02:01,600
Speaker 2: we'll give you some as to if you are still

46
00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:04,040
Speaker 2: alive in your own personal survivor pool, how can you

47
00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:06,040
Speaker 2: use the roster today.

48
00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:08,320
Speaker 1: But bet number one for you, Pat, What do you

49
00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:08,880
Speaker 1: like this week?

50
00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:12,919
Speaker 4: I like the forty nine ers getting two and a

51
00:02:12,960 --> 00:02:16,680
Speaker 4: half at the New York Giants, and Matt, I don't

52
00:02:16,760 --> 00:02:20,160
Speaker 4: love betting West Coast teams playing early afternoon games on

53
00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:22,440
Speaker 4: the East Coast, but I am making an exception here.

54
00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:24,560
Speaker 3: I like the spot for the forty nine ers.

55
00:02:24,600 --> 00:02:27,120
Speaker 4: They have the taste of blood in their mouths coming

56
00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:30,360
Speaker 4: off that disappointing loss to the Texans, and there's a

57
00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:33,200
Speaker 4: good chance to get quarterback Brock Purty back from turf

58
00:02:33,240 --> 00:02:36,160
Speaker 4: tow this week. They could get wide receiver Ricky Piersall

59
00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:39,639
Speaker 4: back to Both of them are expected to be evaluated

60
00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:41,720
Speaker 4: on Wednesday and we'll know more about their status then.

61
00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:45,120
Speaker 4: But I just think that the Cam Skataboo injury is

62
00:02:45,280 --> 00:02:48,919
Speaker 4: such a soul crusher for the Giants. Not only was

63
00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:52,120
Speaker 4: he a very good running back, he was the team mascot.

64
00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:56,200
Speaker 4: Like Cam Skataboo was becoming such an essential part of

65
00:02:56,240 --> 00:03:00,400
Speaker 4: the Giants team identity. There's this big hole without him,

66
00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:02,680
Speaker 4: and I wouldn't be surprised if the Giants kind of

67
00:03:02,720 --> 00:03:07,320
Speaker 4: crumbled the week after losing Skataboo to that grotesque ankle injury.

68
00:03:07,880 --> 00:03:11,239
Speaker 4: So the Giants are bad against the run, their cornerbacks

69
00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:15,320
Speaker 4: are suspect, their best wide receivers Wandel Robinson. I just

70
00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:17,920
Speaker 4: think the forty nine Ers are the far better team,

71
00:03:17,960 --> 00:03:20,280
Speaker 4: and coming off that loss, I expect a better showing

72
00:03:20,320 --> 00:03:21,560
Speaker 4: from the forty nine ers.

73
00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:24,600
Speaker 2: I would agree. And look, I was on the Niners.

74
00:03:24,680 --> 00:03:27,040
Speaker 2: I had teased them up. That interception that mac Jones

75
00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:29,200
Speaker 2: threw in the end zone burned two bets. I was

76
00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:31,440
Speaker 2: on the over forty one and a half. The game

77
00:03:31,480 --> 00:03:33,960
Speaker 2: fell forty one. I needed them to hit hit that

78
00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:36,640
Speaker 2: field goal to cover to wind up losing by eight

79
00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:39,000
Speaker 2: and not losing by eleven. So it was a frustration

80
00:03:39,120 --> 00:03:41,520
Speaker 2: for me to watch Mac Jones in the fourth quarter,

81
00:03:41,600 --> 00:03:43,120
Speaker 2: and I think the Niners would agree.

82
00:03:43,240 --> 00:03:45,480
Speaker 1: So I think brock Purty coming back is a big deal.

83
00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:48,040
Speaker 2: I also think, and I'm with you on this, that

84
00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:51,360
Speaker 2: the Niners feel like, even with all their injuries, that

85
00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:55,680
Speaker 2: they are still a playoff slash Super Bowl contender and

86
00:03:56,120 --> 00:03:58,680
Speaker 2: they need to beat the Giants because the Texans game

87
00:03:58,760 --> 00:04:00,680
Speaker 2: was one they could have had and it got away

88
00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:03,680
Speaker 2: from them, and the Giants are so banged up. Brian

89
00:04:03,760 --> 00:04:06,960
Speaker 2: Dabble is look I'm on the under five and a

90
00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:09,200
Speaker 2: half wins for the Giants because I didn't think Brian

91
00:04:09,280 --> 00:04:11,800
Speaker 2: Dabble would make it to either Thanksgiving or Christmas. I'm

92
00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:13,760
Speaker 2: still on that opinion that I think the guy might

93
00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:16,400
Speaker 2: be out as the you know, as a fired coach

94
00:04:16,400 --> 00:04:18,600
Speaker 2: in the NFL, given what's happening. Sure he can use

95
00:04:18,640 --> 00:04:22,240
Speaker 2: the excuses of what's happening with the injuries, but it's

96
00:04:22,279 --> 00:04:26,520
Speaker 2: a rookie. It's it's it's Kyle Shanahan against a rookie quarterback.

97
00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:29,440
Speaker 2: And it's Robert Salo who's doing a really good job

98
00:04:29,440 --> 00:04:32,280
Speaker 2: with that defense against a rookie quarterback without any weapons.

99
00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:34,640
Speaker 2: So I'm surprised it's only two and a half, to

100
00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:36,359
Speaker 2: be quite honest, I mean that's a number that I

101
00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:39,320
Speaker 2: think climbs as the week, So I think under three

102
00:04:39,400 --> 00:04:41,760
Speaker 2: is a really good look. I'm gonna do something that

103
00:04:41,800 --> 00:04:44,440
Speaker 2: I've never that I never do, and that's gonna recommend

104
00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:48,240
Speaker 2: a double digit favorite because I hate laying big numbers.

105
00:04:48,760 --> 00:04:51,880
Speaker 2: But until the Titans show me anything, until they show

106
00:04:51,920 --> 00:04:55,080
Speaker 2: that they actually are interested in playing football. Over the

107
00:04:55,160 --> 00:04:58,400
Speaker 2: last two years, they've covered a grand total of four times.

108
00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:02,280
Speaker 2: This team does not cover. They lose and they get annihilated,

109
00:05:02,600 --> 00:05:04,600
Speaker 2: and now they have a Charger team that needs it

110
00:05:04,640 --> 00:05:07,120
Speaker 2: coming off of a bye. Give me the Chargers. I'll

111
00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:09,400
Speaker 2: lay the ten points. It's not an in depth handicap.

112
00:05:09,440 --> 00:05:12,039
Speaker 2: It's not some you know, great number play. It's not

113
00:05:12,120 --> 00:05:14,960
Speaker 2: some like look at the scheme. This is the Titans

114
00:05:14,960 --> 00:05:18,000
Speaker 2: stink like on every level. They completely and totally stink,

115
00:05:18,240 --> 00:05:20,520
Speaker 2: and the Chargers need this game. Are you comfortable a

116
00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:20,960
Speaker 2: in ten?

117
00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:22,120
Speaker 3: I am.

118
00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:26,040
Speaker 4: I just saw that stat about the Titans being four

119
00:05:26,040 --> 00:05:28,640
Speaker 4: and twenty one against the spread in their last twenty

120
00:05:28,680 --> 00:05:30,880
Speaker 4: five games, and I can't remember if that if I

121
00:05:30,920 --> 00:05:34,920
Speaker 4: saw that before or after the Colts game last week

122
00:05:34,960 --> 00:05:37,680
Speaker 4: that they did not cover in Matt So yeah, I mean,

123
00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:41,840
Speaker 4: which is pretty remarkable considering that you know your Vegas

124
00:05:41,880 --> 00:05:44,680
Speaker 4: is going to adjust for you, if the market will

125
00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:48,640
Speaker 4: adjust for you, and yet you're still underperforming the market

126
00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:49,280
Speaker 4: every time.

127
00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:51,400
Speaker 3: I totally get it. I'm with you.

128
00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:54,200
Speaker 4: Plus, the Chargers get an extra rest advantage having played

129
00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:55,479
Speaker 4: on Thursday night last week.

130
00:05:55,800 --> 00:05:58,040
Speaker 2: Oh right, sorry, the extra rest, not the buye. Sorry,

131
00:05:58,080 --> 00:06:00,719
Speaker 2: but it's an extra rest. It's a mini buy the they're

132
00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:02,440
Speaker 2: coming off of. But I just I think if you

133
00:06:02,440 --> 00:06:04,640
Speaker 2: look at the Chargers and they see what's coming with

134
00:06:04,680 --> 00:06:08,520
Speaker 2: the case with Casey Chiefs. You can't feel comfortable going

135
00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:11,720
Speaker 2: uh oh like the Chiefs or the Chiefs again. So

136
00:06:12,040 --> 00:06:14,120
Speaker 2: we gotta go and focus, and we got to go

137
00:06:14,160 --> 00:06:15,880
Speaker 2: and play our best football the rest of the way.

138
00:06:15,880 --> 00:06:17,440
Speaker 2: And we play a bad team and another on the road.

139
00:06:17,440 --> 00:06:19,680
Speaker 2: But we play a bad team. We got to take

140
00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:22,440
Speaker 2: care of business, run the football, keep it away.

141
00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:23,680
Speaker 1: Cam Ward is.

142
00:06:24,040 --> 00:06:26,400
Speaker 2: You know, we'll see how his rookie year ends. But

143
00:06:26,440 --> 00:06:28,480
Speaker 2: so far it's been kind of a C C plus

144
00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:31,400
Speaker 2: type performance in his rookie year. But again, they fired

145
00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:35,040
Speaker 2: his head coach got fired, so that's a tough deal.

146
00:06:35,080 --> 00:06:37,400
Speaker 2: So guys are playing for jobs. I think guys are

147
00:06:37,400 --> 00:06:40,120
Speaker 2: looking elsewhere. I'll lay the ten points with the Chargers

148
00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:41,760
Speaker 2: here in a big win on the road in Nashville.

149
00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:43,680
Speaker 1: Bet number two for you, Pat where you're going.

150
00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:47,120
Speaker 4: We're going right back to the forty nine Ers Giants game.

151
00:06:47,360 --> 00:06:51,240
Speaker 4: That I also like forty nine Ers Giants under. I

152
00:06:51,320 --> 00:06:53,560
Speaker 4: know the Giants defense is bad. I know the forty

153
00:06:53,640 --> 00:06:56,240
Speaker 4: nine Ers defense is banged up and coming off a

154
00:06:56,240 --> 00:06:58,920
Speaker 4: pretty poor performance against the Texans. They were the first

155
00:06:58,920 --> 00:07:01,039
Speaker 4: team to let CJ. St I'd throw for three hundred

156
00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:03,800
Speaker 4: plus yards all season. But I think Robert Sala is

157
00:07:03,800 --> 00:07:07,040
Speaker 4: going to rally the troops after the poor showing against Houston.

158
00:07:07,480 --> 00:07:10,640
Speaker 4: And you talked about it a second ago, Matt and

159
00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:14,000
Speaker 4: Jackson Darts a rookie quarterback going against Robert Sala and

160
00:07:14,400 --> 00:07:18,000
Speaker 4: Dart has been really impressive for the Giants, very resourceful.

161
00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:21,880
Speaker 4: But it's not sort of like pick apart a defense

162
00:07:23,080 --> 00:07:25,720
Speaker 4: the way Drake May is doing. He's not that kind

163
00:07:25,720 --> 00:07:27,720
Speaker 4: of young quarterback. He's kind of fly by the seat

164
00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:30,080
Speaker 4: of his pants one read if it's not their take

165
00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:33,160
Speaker 4: off and run. I think that sort of style might

166
00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:36,400
Speaker 4: have a shelf life to it, and I think the

167
00:07:36,400 --> 00:07:39,800
Speaker 4: shelf life might be running out. So Dart was already

168
00:07:39,800 --> 00:07:42,280
Speaker 4: short on pass catchers and I always lost his Belkou

169
00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:44,520
Speaker 4: running back in Camp Scataboo. So I like this game

170
00:07:44,520 --> 00:07:45,080
Speaker 4: to go under.

171
00:07:46,200 --> 00:07:48,680
Speaker 2: I see your point, I do, and I do think

172
00:07:48,720 --> 00:07:50,600
Speaker 2: this giant offense is going to have a difficult time

173
00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:53,440
Speaker 2: moving the football against an angry forty nine ers team.

174
00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:55,880
Speaker 2: The injuries is the only concern I've got, just because

175
00:07:55,880 --> 00:07:58,240
Speaker 2: they are so banged up, and you know, with no

176
00:07:58,320 --> 00:08:00,920
Speaker 2: Fred Warner and no Nick Bosa, like they just have

177
00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:04,040
Speaker 2: so many key injuries, but they've had the next man

178
00:08:04,160 --> 00:08:07,080
Speaker 2: up mentality all year long, and I think after the

179
00:08:07,120 --> 00:08:09,640
Speaker 2: loss last week, I do think Robert Solid's going to

180
00:08:09,720 --> 00:08:12,480
Speaker 2: be in these guys' ear all week long to get

181
00:08:12,520 --> 00:08:14,440
Speaker 2: them ready for this game, saying, guys, we have to

182
00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:16,680
Speaker 2: win this game. We can't allow a team like the

183
00:08:16,720 --> 00:08:20,040
Speaker 2: Giants to push us around and run the football, because really,

184
00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:22,640
Speaker 2: what's left to do. There's no kimscata, but what's left

185
00:08:22,680 --> 00:08:24,400
Speaker 2: to do for the Giants. They aren't going to have

186
00:08:24,680 --> 00:08:27,640
Speaker 2: Jackson Dark drop back thirty five times and throw the football,

187
00:08:27,920 --> 00:08:29,840
Speaker 2: So it's gonna be about a running game. And that

188
00:08:29,920 --> 00:08:31,840
Speaker 2: just plays right back into your narrative for the under.

189
00:08:31,920 --> 00:08:33,920
Speaker 2: It's like the game plan for the Giants would feed

190
00:08:34,040 --> 00:08:36,160
Speaker 2: right into it. And if Brock Purty is coming back,

191
00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:39,439
Speaker 2: Ricky Purcell coming back is big. But that passing attack

192
00:08:39,520 --> 00:08:42,880
Speaker 2: still is lacking, and you've got Christian McCaffrey, and what

193
00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:44,480
Speaker 2: are gonna do with Christian mccafrey. You gonna run the

194
00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:47,680
Speaker 2: football or give him screenplays. So that also keeps the

195
00:08:47,720 --> 00:08:50,400
Speaker 2: clock rolling and in place towards the under.

196
00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:51,680
Speaker 1: So I like your play.

197
00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:54,880
Speaker 2: I like your play the under I'm not overthinking things

198
00:08:54,880 --> 00:08:57,160
Speaker 2: this week. I'm not going crazy. I'm not gonna go

199
00:08:57,200 --> 00:08:58,920
Speaker 2: in depth. I'm not gonna go, oh my gosh, look

200
00:08:58,960 --> 00:09:00,960
Speaker 2: at all these different trends. I'm gonna lay the three

201
00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:04,840
Speaker 2: points with Indianapolis on the road up against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

202
00:09:04,920 --> 00:09:05,320
Speaker 1: I get it.

203
00:09:05,360 --> 00:09:07,720
Speaker 2: We're gonna see back to back Mike Tomlin home dog

204
00:09:07,760 --> 00:09:10,520
Speaker 2: trend days. Right, that might be gone after what just

205
00:09:10,559 --> 00:09:14,640
Speaker 2: happened to the Packers. That defense stinks, pat like they stink,

206
00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:16,840
Speaker 2: and I can't believe how bad they are. I don't

207
00:09:16,840 --> 00:09:19,440
Speaker 2: care what Aaron Rodgers does. I don't care what DK

208
00:09:19,600 --> 00:09:22,520
Speaker 2: Metcalf does. They still can't really run the football either,

209
00:09:22,920 --> 00:09:24,959
Speaker 2: but they can't stop anybody.

210
00:09:25,080 --> 00:09:26,679
Speaker 1: I don't know where TJ. Watt has been.

211
00:09:27,000 --> 00:09:29,680
Speaker 2: They've got injuries again in the secondary. They look old.

212
00:09:29,960 --> 00:09:33,000
Speaker 2: Ramsey looks like he's playing for the retirement home. I

213
00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:36,600
Speaker 2: don't know what to make of Pittsburgh going forward, except

214
00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:39,520
Speaker 2: that the Ravens are favored to win the division for

215
00:09:39,559 --> 00:09:42,320
Speaker 2: a reason. But I got Jonathan Taylor playing at a

216
00:09:42,400 --> 00:09:45,560
Speaker 2: ridiculous level looking to run the football, and then Daniel

217
00:09:45,640 --> 00:09:47,640
Speaker 2: Jones to be able to play action and play off

218
00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:48,160
Speaker 2: of it.

219
00:09:48,160 --> 00:09:50,040
Speaker 1: It's not a big number. I'll lay the three.

220
00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:52,400
Speaker 2: I like Indy to go into Pittsburgh and give the

221
00:09:52,400 --> 00:09:55,400
Speaker 2: Steelers back to back home dog losses, which is a

222
00:09:55,480 --> 00:09:57,679
Speaker 2: rarity in a season for Mike Tomlin.

223
00:09:57,760 --> 00:09:59,720
Speaker 1: But give me the Colts. Where are you on? Colts?

224
00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:04,760
Speaker 4: Steel Jordan Love completed twenty straight passes against this Pittsburgh defense,

225
00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:07,760
Speaker 4: and they kind of the Packers sort of gave Josh

226
00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:11,280
Speaker 4: Jacobs a rest in that second half and let Emmanuel

227
00:10:11,360 --> 00:10:14,040
Speaker 4: Wilson run over this defense. So what do you think

228
00:10:14,120 --> 00:10:19,040
Speaker 4: Jonathan Taylor is going to do? Yeah, So I don't

229
00:10:19,080 --> 00:10:21,520
Speaker 4: know if I'm going to be with you on this one, Matt.

230
00:10:21,600 --> 00:10:25,520
Speaker 4: But like normally, I would love the spot with Pittsburgh

231
00:10:25,559 --> 00:10:27,840
Speaker 4: coming off a bad home game, staying at home and

232
00:10:27,880 --> 00:10:30,960
Speaker 4: getting like the revenge bounce back game at home. But

233
00:10:31,160 --> 00:10:34,440
Speaker 4: like whereas normally that would be an automatic Steelers bet

234
00:10:34,480 --> 00:10:36,800
Speaker 4: for me, I'm not betting Steelers either, because I think

235
00:10:36,840 --> 00:10:38,559
Speaker 4: this team might just be that bad.

236
00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:42,240
Speaker 1: I think the offense is bad too, the defensive bad,

237
00:10:42,240 --> 00:10:43,640
Speaker 1: but the office is bad too.

238
00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:46,800
Speaker 4: Aaron Rodgers does not want to get hit, like anytime

239
00:10:46,840 --> 00:10:48,960
Speaker 4: the Steelers had third and long that game, he was

240
00:10:49,040 --> 00:10:52,080
Speaker 4: more concerned about where Micah Parsons was than where his

241
00:10:52,200 --> 00:10:56,640
Speaker 4: receivers were. So like that ball control style can work.

242
00:10:57,040 --> 00:11:00,320
Speaker 4: I think it works better against lesser opponents, and there

243
00:11:00,360 --> 00:11:01,440
Speaker 4: not a lesser opponent.

244
00:11:02,040 --> 00:11:02,199
Speaker 1: Now.

245
00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:04,760
Speaker 2: There's a lot of momentum in Indianapolis. Their defense is

246
00:11:04,800 --> 00:11:07,439
Speaker 2: a bit better than people think. Shane Steikin's got these

247
00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:10,320
Speaker 2: guys you know, flying around, and I think everyone's gonna

248
00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:12,760
Speaker 2: tell them all week that, Okay, Pittsburgh is the side

249
00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:15,640
Speaker 2: because Pittsburgh lost last week and they're going to be

250
00:11:15,679 --> 00:11:16,640
Speaker 2: ferociously mad.

251
00:11:16,679 --> 00:11:19,400
Speaker 1: And here comes TJ. Watt and company. I'm sorry, Cam

252
00:11:19,600 --> 00:11:20,959
Speaker 1: Edward and TJ. Watt.

253
00:11:21,040 --> 00:11:22,760
Speaker 2: You pay him a lot of money to go out

254
00:11:22,760 --> 00:11:25,559
Speaker 2: there and be game wreckers. And Jordan Love sat back

255
00:11:25,559 --> 00:11:27,520
Speaker 2: there like he was having a cup of coffee, like

256
00:11:27,600 --> 00:11:29,760
Speaker 2: he was just like, thank you, thank you, thank you,

257
00:11:29,880 --> 00:11:32,560
Speaker 2: thank you. I mean, twenty consecutive completions is ridiculous. I

258
00:11:32,559 --> 00:11:34,559
Speaker 2: know Jordan Love's good. I know Matt Laford to go

259
00:11:34,679 --> 00:11:37,360
Speaker 2: off at the coordinator. I know the team runs an offense.

260
00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:40,080
Speaker 2: It's difficult to stop. But twenty completions in a row,

261
00:11:40,800 --> 00:11:42,400
Speaker 2: oh boy, not good.

262
00:11:42,760 --> 00:11:44,920
Speaker 1: Number three for you? Where are you going this week?

263
00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:50,400
Speaker 4: Ravens Dolphins Thursday Night under fifty and a half points, Matt.

264
00:11:50,720 --> 00:11:51,240
Speaker 1: Interesting.

265
00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:55,439
Speaker 4: Yeah, Lamar Jackson is expected back with the Ravens from

266
00:11:55,440 --> 00:11:56,440
Speaker 4: his hamstring injury.

267
00:11:56,440 --> 00:11:57,160
Speaker 3: But are we going to.

268
00:11:57,200 --> 00:12:00,920
Speaker 4: Gats Lamar at one hundred percent running around for big

269
00:12:01,040 --> 00:12:04,280
Speaker 4: chunk games, scrambling around to buy time for his pass catchers.

270
00:12:04,440 --> 00:12:06,400
Speaker 4: Or do the Ravens just sort of lean on Derrick

271
00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:09,880
Speaker 4: Henry against a really bad Miami run defense, chew the

272
00:12:09,960 --> 00:12:13,200
Speaker 4: clock with that ground game. And as banged up as

273
00:12:13,200 --> 00:12:17,200
Speaker 4: the Ravens defense has been, it's getting healthier. They're not

274
00:12:17,240 --> 00:12:20,880
Speaker 4: getting non d Metabuek back, but they're getting a lot

275
00:12:20,880 --> 00:12:23,640
Speaker 4: of their other players back or have gotten them back

276
00:12:23,960 --> 00:12:26,760
Speaker 4: in the last week. And the Ravens just held the

277
00:12:26,760 --> 00:12:30,360
Speaker 4: Bears to sixteen points. And yes, the Dolphins offense clicked

278
00:12:30,400 --> 00:12:33,760
Speaker 4: against the Falcons last week. I'm not all that confident

279
00:12:34,160 --> 00:12:37,800
Speaker 4: to can play two straight good games, plus Matt a

280
00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:40,920
Speaker 4: Thursday night game. Sometimes offenses are a little out of

281
00:12:40,960 --> 00:12:43,320
Speaker 4: whack in the Thursday night games. I just think fifteen

282
00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:46,120
Speaker 4: and a half points is way too tall.

283
00:12:46,240 --> 00:12:46,839
Speaker 1: I like it.

284
00:12:47,320 --> 00:12:50,280
Speaker 2: I think it's because of where the Ravens are. I

285
00:12:50,320 --> 00:12:52,480
Speaker 2: don't know what the Ravens are at the moment, and

286
00:12:52,559 --> 00:12:55,960
Speaker 2: so I think when it comes to the offense, you know,

287
00:12:56,120 --> 00:12:58,679
Speaker 2: protecting Lamar at all costs is going to be what

288
00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:01,079
Speaker 2: the Ravens are going to do. They just know they

289
00:13:01,160 --> 00:13:03,520
Speaker 2: lied on the injury report trying to keep people off

290
00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:06,400
Speaker 2: Lamar as to what exactly has been going on with him,

291
00:13:06,440 --> 00:13:08,360
Speaker 2: And so Snoop comes in and plays really well.

292
00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:10,480
Speaker 1: But now you have Lamar back, I don't think. I

293
00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:11,320
Speaker 1: think you're absolutely right.

294
00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:13,079
Speaker 2: I doubt we're going to see him doing seven step

295
00:13:13,120 --> 00:13:15,760
Speaker 2: drops and asking him to run around with the potential

296
00:13:15,800 --> 00:13:19,040
Speaker 2: of re injuring that hamstring, because well, look at the division.

297
00:13:19,400 --> 00:13:21,440
Speaker 2: It's open right now for the Ravens. They have a

298
00:13:21,559 --> 00:13:24,240
Speaker 2: very easy schedule for the next five weeks. They will

299
00:13:24,240 --> 00:13:27,480
Speaker 2: be favored in all five weeks going forward, and if

300
00:13:27,520 --> 00:13:30,120
Speaker 2: they go five to Zher, this team will be in

301
00:13:30,160 --> 00:13:33,440
Speaker 2: first place. So like it's gonna be interest see how

302
00:13:33,480 --> 00:13:35,760
Speaker 2: the Ravens handled the next month and a half. And

303
00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:39,360
Speaker 2: so protecting Lamar and using Henry, I think you're completely right.

304
00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:42,480
Speaker 2: I just need that defense to wake up, Like I

305
00:13:42,920 --> 00:13:45,040
Speaker 2: just need the Ravens defense. Like what the heck has

306
00:13:45,080 --> 00:13:47,520
Speaker 2: been going on with the Ravens defense, Like this was

307
00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:50,520
Speaker 2: their strength going into the year five first round picks

308
00:13:50,520 --> 00:13:52,440
Speaker 2: in the secondary, like what are we doing?

309
00:13:52,760 --> 00:13:54,880
Speaker 1: Like? How are you allowing teams to move the ball

310
00:13:54,920 --> 00:13:55,160
Speaker 1: on you?

311
00:13:55,520 --> 00:13:58,760
Speaker 4: And they they did look bad against the Bears early

312
00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:00,920
Speaker 4: in that game, but then they kind of get rallied

313
00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:03,320
Speaker 4: a little bit and got it together and improved. I'm

314
00:14:03,320 --> 00:14:05,839
Speaker 4: hoping that sticks. Do you do you like either side

315
00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:06,600
Speaker 4: in that game?

316
00:14:07,080 --> 00:14:09,000
Speaker 2: I mean in terms of a number, no, because it's

317
00:14:09,000 --> 00:14:10,720
Speaker 2: seven and a half. I do think you could same

318
00:14:10,760 --> 00:14:13,800
Speaker 2: game tease this rather that this is to me, I

319
00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:15,920
Speaker 2: think you're right. I think you take it from fifty one,

320
00:14:16,120 --> 00:14:18,439
Speaker 2: you tease it up to fifty seven and a half

321
00:14:18,480 --> 00:14:21,080
Speaker 2: and go under. And you take the Ravens from seven

322
00:14:21,120 --> 00:14:22,560
Speaker 2: and a half, and you tease it down to one

323
00:14:22,560 --> 00:14:25,640
Speaker 2: and a half, you take Baltimore. So I think that's

324
00:14:25,720 --> 00:14:28,520
Speaker 2: the way I'll approach this. I don't I'm not interested

325
00:14:28,520 --> 00:14:30,760
Speaker 2: in laying seven and a half points. But again, last

326
00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:34,640
Speaker 2: week it didn't matter, it was all favorites. Now is

327
00:14:34,680 --> 00:14:37,040
Speaker 2: there a big revenge from the books coming? I mean,

328
00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:40,240
Speaker 2: you thought last week was really hook alicious. This week

329
00:14:40,280 --> 00:14:42,600
Speaker 2: it's even worse. I mean, Detroit's laying eight and a

330
00:14:42,640 --> 00:14:47,760
Speaker 2: half points to to Minnesota, Green Bay is laying thirteen

331
00:14:48,160 --> 00:14:50,640
Speaker 2: to Carolina. I mean there are some real I mean

332
00:14:50,920 --> 00:14:54,880
Speaker 2: the Rams are thirteen or fourteen point favorites against New Orleans.

333
00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:57,520
Speaker 2: The books didn't like last week. The books are making

334
00:14:57,560 --> 00:14:57,920
Speaker 2: you pay.

335
00:14:58,280 --> 00:15:00,920
Speaker 4: The Dolphins were really like the only dog that kind

336
00:15:00,920 --> 00:15:04,000
Speaker 4: of came through last week, and the Jets. They certainly

337
00:15:04,040 --> 00:15:07,640
Speaker 4: and the Jets, the Dolphins certainly tripped us up. Yeah,

338
00:15:08,080 --> 00:15:10,120
Speaker 4: but like I thought that was going to be their

339
00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:12,520
Speaker 4: way of the white Flag game. I mean, maybe that

340
00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:15,720
Speaker 4: comes this week, but I don't know. It's it's ever

341
00:15:15,760 --> 00:15:17,960
Speaker 4: since that blowout lost to the Colt in Week one,

342
00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:21,760
Speaker 4: the Dolphins have really only had one non competitive game.

343
00:15:22,440 --> 00:15:24,160
Speaker 4: It's not a lot of people have said they've quit

344
00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:26,040
Speaker 4: on Mike McDaniel. I don't think they've quit on him

345
00:15:26,080 --> 00:15:29,640
Speaker 4: at all. So fair, Yeah, we'll see. I mean, maybe

346
00:15:29,680 --> 00:15:31,760
Speaker 4: we get a competitive game, but I just don't think it's.

347
00:15:31,680 --> 00:15:32,680
Speaker 3: Going to be a high scoring game.

348
00:15:32,720 --> 00:15:32,880
Speaker 1: Yeah.

349
00:15:32,920 --> 00:15:35,560
Speaker 2: Once the quarterback change came down, I was off the Falcons.

350
00:15:35,720 --> 00:15:37,760
Speaker 2: I dropped that game of I'm not betting that game

351
00:15:37,760 --> 00:15:39,560
Speaker 2: because of the quarterback. I did not think her cousins

352
00:15:39,560 --> 00:15:41,760
Speaker 2: would look that bad. I didn't think the Falcons would

353
00:15:41,760 --> 00:15:44,600
Speaker 2: be that ugly on offense against that Dolphins team that

354
00:15:44,720 --> 00:15:48,720
Speaker 2: just completely dominated. Finally, for me, I'm going to Sunday

355
00:15:48,800 --> 00:15:50,720
Speaker 2: Night Casey against the Bills.

356
00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:53,080
Speaker 1: This number is creeping up everywhere.

357
00:15:53,240 --> 00:15:55,400
Speaker 2: You can find it at hard Rock Bet at fifty

358
00:15:55,480 --> 00:15:56,840
Speaker 2: two at the time of taping.

359
00:15:57,040 --> 00:15:58,520
Speaker 1: Everybody else it's over.

360
00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:00,680
Speaker 2: I think this thing goes as high as fifty four

361
00:16:01,040 --> 00:16:03,360
Speaker 2: for the Chiefs and the Bills before we hit the

362
00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:05,200
Speaker 2: resistance point between these two teams.

363
00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:08,680
Speaker 1: But I watched the Bills. I watched the Chiefs.

364
00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:12,480
Speaker 2: I know what that Bill's defensive line cannot do, and

365
00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:15,080
Speaker 2: that stopped the run. And I think there is massive

366
00:16:15,080 --> 00:16:17,880
Speaker 2: play action opportunities for Patrick Mahomes and company to pick

367
00:16:17,960 --> 00:16:20,520
Speaker 2: up big plays to get the running game with Pacheco

368
00:16:20,560 --> 00:16:23,080
Speaker 2: and Hunt going, and then play action and go over

369
00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:25,200
Speaker 2: the top to the weapons that they've got. I think

370
00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:27,480
Speaker 2: that Bill's defense is in trouble. They're gonna give up

371
00:16:27,520 --> 00:16:29,960
Speaker 2: big points to Kansas City on the flip side. That

372
00:16:30,080 --> 00:16:33,280
Speaker 2: means the Bills have to score and keep pace. Give

373
00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:35,360
Speaker 2: me the over fifty two for the Bills and the

374
00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:37,520
Speaker 2: Chiefs coming up on Sunday Night football.

375
00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:42,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, And at Oliver Key, piece of the Bills defense,

376
00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:44,840
Speaker 4: he tore his biceps on Sunday, so they're not gonna

377
00:16:44,840 --> 00:16:45,160
Speaker 4: have him.

378
00:16:45,160 --> 00:16:46,080
Speaker 3: That's a big loss.

379
00:16:46,280 --> 00:16:47,800
Speaker 4: I don't know if the Bills are gonna get day

380
00:16:47,840 --> 00:16:49,960
Speaker 4: Kwon Jones or Matt Mulano back this week.

381
00:16:50,120 --> 00:16:52,480
Speaker 3: Those guys were both out in Week eight, so I

382
00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:53,880
Speaker 3: mean the Chiefs.

383
00:16:53,760 --> 00:16:56,200
Speaker 4: They have their issues up front two with no Josh

384
00:16:56,200 --> 00:16:59,560
Speaker 4: Simmons and possibly no Tray Smith who's got a back issue.

385
00:17:00,720 --> 00:17:02,800
Speaker 4: But I think we are going to get points in

386
00:17:02,880 --> 00:17:03,320
Speaker 4: this game.

387
00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:04,080
Speaker 3: So I'm with.

388
00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:06,119
Speaker 1: You here, Yeah, the Bills need it.

389
00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:08,760
Speaker 2: I mean, as a Patriot fan, go kse go get

390
00:17:08,760 --> 00:17:11,000
Speaker 2: that W to the Patriots because the Pats have got

391
00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:13,440
Speaker 2: a game at home that they should absolutely win coming

392
00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:15,840
Speaker 2: up this week, and I'd be very curious to see

393
00:17:15,880 --> 00:17:18,520
Speaker 2: how the Patriots are going to deal with the success

394
00:17:18,800 --> 00:17:21,440
Speaker 2: that they have had because they just I mean Atlanta

395
00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:24,359
Speaker 2: coming in after what they looked like last week. Patriots

396
00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:27,080
Speaker 2: are big favorites, five and nasty, six point favorites. They

397
00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:28,879
Speaker 2: can get a W at home, the Pats will be

398
00:17:28,920 --> 00:17:32,080
Speaker 2: seven and two. If the Bills lose, the Patriots will

399
00:17:32,080 --> 00:17:34,080
Speaker 2: have a game and a half lead on the Bills

400
00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:37,840
Speaker 2: in the AFC East, which is nut at the halfway

401
00:17:37,880 --> 00:17:40,040
Speaker 2: point of the season, the Patriots are up by more

402
00:17:40,080 --> 00:17:43,200
Speaker 2: than a game on the Buffalo Bills for the race.

403
00:17:43,760 --> 00:17:46,040
Speaker 4: If someone could have told you that in Week one,

404
00:17:46,359 --> 00:17:48,639
Speaker 4: after the Patriots lost to the Raiders and the Bills

405
00:17:48,720 --> 00:17:50,200
Speaker 4: knocked off the Ravens.

406
00:17:50,080 --> 00:17:53,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, you'd be like, come on, yeah, please, come on,

407
00:17:53,320 --> 00:17:55,600
Speaker 2: that's ridiculous. That's a home or take Matt. You can't

408
00:17:55,640 --> 00:17:58,480
Speaker 2: say that. Well, look what's going on. It's pretty remarkable.

409
00:17:58,800 --> 00:17:59,520
Speaker 1: Guys, track your.

410
00:17:59,480 --> 00:18:01,720
Speaker 2: Bets in stay accountable and level up by downloading the

411
00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:04,359
Speaker 2: Betting Pros app with sportsbooks Sink automatically track your bets

412
00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:07,159
Speaker 2: across all major sportsbooks in one spot. Easily monitor your

413
00:18:07,160 --> 00:18:10,280
Speaker 2: bet performance by sport and bet type, including picks, props,

414
00:18:10,280 --> 00:18:13,240
Speaker 2: and parlays. Great custom betting systems to find winning trends

415
00:18:13,280 --> 00:18:16,399
Speaker 2: and profitable opportunities. New users can get six months of

416
00:18:16,440 --> 00:18:18,600
Speaker 2: Betting Pros Premium for free with their first.

417
00:18:18,359 --> 00:18:20,600
Speaker 1: Deposit and wager at one of our partners sportsbooks.

418
00:18:20,760 --> 00:18:24,440
Speaker 2: Learn more at Bettingpros dot com slash premium all right

419
00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:27,600
Speaker 2: for survivor Obviously we don't know guys what you have available,

420
00:18:27,640 --> 00:18:30,359
Speaker 2: but in case you have these teams available, where are

421
00:18:30,359 --> 00:18:32,760
Speaker 2: you going for survivor this week, pat Oh.

422
00:18:33,080 --> 00:18:36,480
Speaker 3: I mean we both like the Chargers here, don't we. Matt.

423
00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:38,840
Speaker 4: I mean they're one of your best bets and just

424
00:18:38,840 --> 00:18:41,720
Speaker 4: just pick on the Titans, right, Like, It's only backfired

425
00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:45,120
Speaker 4: once this season, and that was because the Cards completely

426
00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:47,720
Speaker 4: shot themselves in the They shot themselves in the foot

427
00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:52,600
Speaker 4: like three times. So I guess the other teams you

428
00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:55,440
Speaker 4: could consider. If you didn't play the Packers at home

429
00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:58,080
Speaker 4: against the Bengals in Week six, you could play them

430
00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:00,919
Speaker 4: at home against the Panthers. Like the Packers do have

431
00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:03,320
Speaker 4: this bad habit of playing with their food and not

432
00:19:03,440 --> 00:19:07,120
Speaker 4: decisively beating the teams they should beat decisively. In fact,

433
00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:08,679
Speaker 4: that was kind of the case with the Bengals in

434
00:19:08,680 --> 00:19:11,760
Speaker 4: Week six. But the Panthers don't have a quarterback who

435
00:19:11,800 --> 00:19:15,119
Speaker 4: can solve the Packers defense. It's hard to imagine the

436
00:19:15,160 --> 00:19:18,200
Speaker 4: Packers losing to the Panthers in Green Bay. And I

437
00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:21,080
Speaker 4: think you could play the Rams against the Saints, especially

438
00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:24,399
Speaker 4: if the Saints give rookie quarterback Tyler Shuck his first

439
00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:25,520
Speaker 4: NFL start.

440
00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:26,800
Speaker 1: On the road.

441
00:19:27,560 --> 00:19:31,600
Speaker 2: Sean McVeigh, Yeah, I mean the Rams I think are

442
00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:33,880
Speaker 2: going to be the number one pick because I think

443
00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:36,159
Speaker 2: a lot of people are keeping the rams where they

444
00:19:36,320 --> 00:19:38,560
Speaker 2: I mean, they've been holding on to the rams for

445
00:19:38,600 --> 00:19:41,280
Speaker 2: a game like this, so I think you will see

446
00:19:41,440 --> 00:19:44,520
Speaker 2: a lot of people on the rams. Obviously, the Chargers

447
00:19:44,520 --> 00:19:47,000
Speaker 2: are going to be the other very popular selection coming

448
00:19:47,080 --> 00:19:50,000
Speaker 2: up this week as well. I'll be curious to see

449
00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:52,200
Speaker 2: if people are going to use the Lions this week.

450
00:19:52,359 --> 00:19:54,919
Speaker 2: Is this the week that they use Detroit? It is

451
00:19:54,920 --> 00:19:57,040
Speaker 2: a divisional game, so i'd recommend not doing that. But

452
00:19:57,119 --> 00:20:00,560
Speaker 2: the dumpster fire that's the Vikings currently. Maybe this is

453
00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:02,800
Speaker 2: a good spot to take the Lions because Okay, here

454
00:20:02,800 --> 00:20:06,240
Speaker 2: comes JJ McCarthy. But are they high on Jj? He

455
00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:08,639
Speaker 2: was the emergency quarterback the last two weeks. Have they

456
00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:11,439
Speaker 2: been hiding him? Has he been healthy? And just they

457
00:20:11,440 --> 00:20:13,399
Speaker 2: don't trust him? And so now they've got you know,

458
00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:15,520
Speaker 2: they put Carson Wentz out there and broke his shoulder

459
00:20:15,560 --> 00:20:17,639
Speaker 2: and so there's a lot of problems going on right

460
00:20:17,640 --> 00:20:20,360
Speaker 2: now in Minnesota. So I think you could potentially use

461
00:20:20,600 --> 00:20:21,200
Speaker 2: the Vikings.

462
00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:21,760
Speaker 1: But I'm with you.

463
00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:24,399
Speaker 2: I think we're looking at the Rams being a very

464
00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:27,080
Speaker 2: popular pick. I would use the Chargers if you have

465
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:30,359
Speaker 2: the Chargers available, if you've burned both of those options,

466
00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:33,680
Speaker 2: I think you could look at maybe Detroit as an

467
00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:36,680
Speaker 2: option as well. I would be careful with Baltimore. I

468
00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:38,760
Speaker 2: think people are going to want to use the Ravens.

469
00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:41,480
Speaker 2: I'd be careful with them, just because I think you're right.

470
00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:44,280
Speaker 2: I think Miami is a little bit better than people think,

471
00:20:44,320 --> 00:20:46,359
Speaker 2: and they're fighting at the moment for Mike McDaniel. So

472
00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:48,159
Speaker 2: I would be a little concerned about using the Ravens

473
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:50,720
Speaker 2: with Lamar coming back, because we just assume the Ravens

474
00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:52,840
Speaker 2: are going to turn it around. What if they don't

475
00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:56,280
Speaker 2: like what if they lose this game because it's a

476
00:20:56,320 --> 00:20:58,520
Speaker 2: short week and Lamar coming back and he plays poorly,

477
00:20:58,560 --> 00:20:59,879
Speaker 2: he turns the ball over and whatnot.

478
00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:02,360
Speaker 1: So be a little careful about using.

479
00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:03,919
Speaker 2: That Thursday night game. I've heard people say the use

480
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:06,560
Speaker 2: Thursday with the Ravens. I'd be a little little careful with.

481
00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:07,400
Speaker 1: That, guys.

482
00:21:07,440 --> 00:21:09,280
Speaker 2: Today's show is being brought to you by hard Rock Bet.

483
00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:11,280
Speaker 2: Role with hard Rock Bet for a huge week of sports.

484
00:21:11,320 --> 00:21:14,320
Speaker 2: This week, the NBA is back. You got Baseball game four,

485
00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:16,919
Speaker 2: tonight hockey. What a time of the year to be

486
00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:19,399
Speaker 2: a better New customers plays a five dollars bet and

487
00:21:19,400 --> 00:21:20,760
Speaker 2: if it hits, you know, only get your winnings, but

488
00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:22,920
Speaker 2: also one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. I

489
00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:24,879
Speaker 2: want to see what everyone else is betting tonight, you

490
00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:26,720
Speaker 2: guys can go and check it out with hard rock Bet.

491
00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:29,480
Speaker 2: They literally show you what everyone's betting. Another reason why

492
00:21:29,520 --> 00:21:31,840
Speaker 2: to download the app just for the information. Tap discover

493
00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:34,480
Speaker 2: and you can see trending picks and parlays at any time.

494
00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:37,640
Speaker 2: Hard Rock Bet offers daily promos as well as what's

495
00:21:37,640 --> 00:21:40,360
Speaker 2: going on tonight for Game four. There's new promos every day,

496
00:21:40,560 --> 00:21:42,040
Speaker 2: so if you're listening to this thing later, you just

497
00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:44,000
Speaker 2: open up the app and check out what you've got.

498
00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:44,760
Speaker 1: Any day of the week.

499
00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:46,840
Speaker 2: Check out the hard rock Bet sports book app and

500
00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:48,800
Speaker 2: make your first deposit today.

501
00:21:49,200 --> 00:21:51,240
Speaker 5: Payble and bonus bets not a cash offer offered by

502
00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:53,200
Speaker 5: the Seminole Tribe of Florida. In Florida, offered by a

503
00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:54,520
Speaker 5: seminal hard Rock Digital LLC.

504
00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:55,200
Speaker 1: In other states.

505
00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:58,960
Speaker 5: Must be twenty one and physically president Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana,

506
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:01,359
Speaker 5: New Jersey, Ohio, ten or Virginia to play. Terms and

507
00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:04,080
Speaker 5: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight

508
00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:06,560
Speaker 5: eight eight, admit it in Indiana. If you are something

509
00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:08,399
Speaker 5: you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call

510
00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:10,840
Speaker 5: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem, called

511
00:22:10,840 --> 00:22:15,879
Speaker 5: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.

512
00:22:15,960 --> 00:22:18,840
Speaker 2: All right, for a bet you would lock in right now? Pat,

513
00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:20,479
Speaker 2: what would it be? What would you fly on here?

514
00:22:20,520 --> 00:22:21,080
Speaker 1: On Tuesday?

515
00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:23,800
Speaker 4: I want the Bills catching one and a half against

516
00:22:23,800 --> 00:22:27,760
Speaker 4: the Chiefs, Matt. This game opened at what like Bills

517
00:22:27,880 --> 00:22:30,400
Speaker 4: minus two and a half, but apparently the Chiefs are

518
00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:33,800
Speaker 4: public darlings now more than ever. We got an early

519
00:22:33,960 --> 00:22:35,960
Speaker 4: four point move towards the Chiefs, and maybe part of

520
00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:39,560
Speaker 4: that was the news I guess that at Oliver had

521
00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:44,160
Speaker 4: torn his biceps. So again, big loss for sure, although

522
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:46,160
Speaker 4: I worry about it a little less against a team

523
00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:49,080
Speaker 4: like the Chiefs. It doesn't have a real powerful running game.

524
00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:52,439
Speaker 4: I mean they run just to keep the defense off balance,

525
00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:54,919
Speaker 4: like they are about the forward pass. I just I

526
00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:57,760
Speaker 4: don't think the Bills should be home underdog to anyone.

527
00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:01,720
Speaker 4: And Patrick Mahomes has owned the Bills in the playoffs.

528
00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:05,160
Speaker 4: He's four and zero against them in the postseason. Hasn't

529
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:07,560
Speaker 4: ever lost to them in the playoffs, but in the

530
00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:10,679
Speaker 4: regular season, Mahomes is one in four against the Bills

531
00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:13,280
Speaker 4: all time, and the Bills do of arrest advantage. The

532
00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:15,520
Speaker 4: Chiefs are going on the road and playing on a

533
00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:18,640
Speaker 4: short week after a Monday and night game. So yeah,

534
00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:21,280
Speaker 4: I guess you can make me a coppo in the

535
00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:23,320
Speaker 4: Bill's mafia for a week. I'm gonna take them as

536
00:23:23,359 --> 00:23:25,720
Speaker 4: a home dog, and I'm going to join you in

537
00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:27,119
Speaker 4: playing this game over as well.

538
00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:29,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the overbetter, but I'm with you on

539
00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:31,960
Speaker 2: offense because I don't like the Bills defense. So I

540
00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:34,000
Speaker 2: do think the Bills offense needs to move the ball,

541
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:37,679
Speaker 2: and I think Josh Allen, look it's primetime, Josh Allen, Okay,

542
00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:40,240
Speaker 2: he is eight and oh now after a lost.

543
00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:42,200
Speaker 1: So they're coming off a win, a dominant.

544
00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:44,800
Speaker 2: Win over the Panthers, went on the road, and look,

545
00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:47,560
Speaker 2: they know what has to happen for them, and going

546
00:23:47,600 --> 00:23:50,680
Speaker 2: through Kansas City Patriots are an awesome story. They're ahead

547
00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:53,360
Speaker 2: of schedule. I don't think anybody really thinks that they're

548
00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:56,159
Speaker 2: going to become playoff time a roadblock for either the

549
00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:58,720
Speaker 2: Chiefs or the Bills. And these two teams with what's

550
00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:00,760
Speaker 2: going on with the Ravens. These two teams feel like

551
00:24:00,760 --> 00:24:03,880
Speaker 2: they're on a collision course for another AFC Championship game

552
00:24:04,080 --> 00:24:06,840
Speaker 2: for a right to go to the Super Bowl. Bills

553
00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:09,919
Speaker 2: are going to need to protect home field. They've already

554
00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:12,200
Speaker 2: had their hiccup at home. They lost to the Patriots

555
00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:15,040
Speaker 2: at home. They've had their you know, their one bad game.

556
00:24:15,520 --> 00:24:18,600
Speaker 2: Can't have another one. They absolutely need Casey doesn't need this.

557
00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:21,399
Speaker 2: Look at the division, like, Chargers, don't worry you. The

558
00:24:21,520 --> 00:24:23,680
Speaker 2: Raiders are god awful and the Broncos are still trying

559
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:26,119
Speaker 2: to figure out who exactly they are. So I mean,

560
00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:27,919
Speaker 2: if the Chiefs Playbay, the Chiefs are capable of they

561
00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:31,160
Speaker 2: should beat the division games and win the division. Bills

562
00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:33,240
Speaker 2: have a much different conversation going on around them at

563
00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:35,199
Speaker 2: the moment, given what's going on with the Patriots. So

564
00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:39,000
Speaker 2: I'm with you on that. I would fire on the Chargers.

565
00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:40,879
Speaker 2: I don't want this thing going to ten and a

566
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:44,320
Speaker 2: half to twelve to thirteen. I think as the week progresses,

567
00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:47,199
Speaker 2: it's just going to balloon as more people find out

568
00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:50,359
Speaker 2: about that trend about their points, you know, about what

569
00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:54,639
Speaker 2: has happened against the number for the Titans, I'm just

570
00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:56,200
Speaker 2: concerned this number. It is going to be thirteen and

571
00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:58,120
Speaker 2: a half by kickoff, so I'd want it at ten,

572
00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:01,440
Speaker 2: and I take it now because I would be surprised

573
00:25:01,480 --> 00:25:03,480
Speaker 2: if we see a game in which we don't see

574
00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:06,120
Speaker 2: a Charger win by double digits. It's just I don't

575
00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:08,480
Speaker 2: know if it's by ten, eleven, twelve, thirteen. I would

576
00:25:08,480 --> 00:25:10,399
Speaker 2: hate it if they win by thirteen points and we

577
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:12,480
Speaker 2: don't cover because it was thirteen and a half.

578
00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:15,120
Speaker 1: So I want the early number with the Chargers pass ten.

579
00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:18,280
Speaker 4: I do think that one is gonna move eventually. I

580
00:25:18,280 --> 00:25:20,160
Speaker 4: don't think it stays at ten. I agree it goes

581
00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:21,560
Speaker 4: higher than that probably.

582
00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:23,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the pros once the limits open up,

583
00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:24,840
Speaker 2: I think the pros are gonna come in and hammer

584
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:26,840
Speaker 2: the vast majority of the bets and the vast majority

585
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:29,040
Speaker 2: of the money. And it's Tuesday, so it's only pro

586
00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:32,000
Speaker 2: money coming in is on the Chargers laying ten. So

587
00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:33,920
Speaker 2: you can even get under get nine and a half

588
00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:36,080
Speaker 2: at at ESPN bet in a hard rock bet at

589
00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:38,440
Speaker 2: the moment, so you can find a better.

590
00:25:38,280 --> 00:25:39,040
Speaker 1: Number out there.

591
00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:42,680
Speaker 2: Guys, if you have not downloaded Picktracker, check it out.

592
00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:44,960
Speaker 2: You can track all your bets in one place with

593
00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:47,439
Speaker 2: the Betting Pros Picktracker. It syncs up with your sports

594
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:50,240
Speaker 2: books to tally picks that you make, which miss and

595
00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:52,280
Speaker 2: which hit. Plus, it gives you a live look at

596
00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:53,760
Speaker 2: what the public is doing and you can use real

597
00:25:53,800 --> 00:25:56,040
Speaker 2: time tracking data to determine which place to make and

598
00:25:56,040 --> 00:25:58,399
Speaker 2: which place to fade. Track your picks today with Betting

599
00:25:58,400 --> 00:26:01,199
Speaker 2: Pros to Picktracker at Betting Pros dot com sas Tracking

600
00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:04,439
Speaker 2: or on the Betting Pros app. All right, any final

601
00:26:04,520 --> 00:26:07,159
Speaker 2: thoughts as we head off into Week number nine in

602
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:07,760
Speaker 2: the NFL.

603
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:10,400
Speaker 4: You know, Matt I wanted to take the Bengals as

604
00:26:10,480 --> 00:26:13,680
Speaker 4: home dogs to the Bears, but we don't know if

605
00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:18,200
Speaker 4: Trey Hendrickson is going to play. He got slammed from

606
00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:23,000
Speaker 4: behind in that game against the Jets and he's questionable

607
00:26:23,080 --> 00:26:26,680
Speaker 4: with a hip injury. I love the Bengals getting two

608
00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:28,919
Speaker 4: and a half at home if Hendrickson plays, but if not,

609
00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:32,040
Speaker 4: that defense is just a complete disaster and the Bears

610
00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:35,479
Speaker 4: probably will beat them convincingly. So that's one thing I'm

611
00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:37,880
Speaker 4: gonna be watching and trying to like jump on any

612
00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:40,800
Speaker 4: Trey Hendrickson news to play that game one way or

613
00:26:40,840 --> 00:26:41,160
Speaker 4: the other.

614
00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:44,919
Speaker 2: For me, it's Seattle against Washington. Mike McDonald is a

615
00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:47,320
Speaker 2: complete genius on the road. They can't win home games,

616
00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:50,200
Speaker 2: but they're dominant on the road, and Washington looked really

617
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:52,760
Speaker 2: bad last night. We'll see what Jaden Daniels looks like

618
00:26:52,800 --> 00:26:54,760
Speaker 2: in terms of whether he's getting able to come back

619
00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:56,520
Speaker 2: or not. The number being three and a half, I

620
00:26:56,520 --> 00:26:58,280
Speaker 2: don't think you got a fire on it early. That's

621
00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:00,320
Speaker 2: why I didn't put it on there, but it was.

622
00:27:00,520 --> 00:27:02,040
Speaker 2: It was two and a half at open. The first

623
00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:03,600
Speaker 2: move was to three and a half. I think that

624
00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:06,240
Speaker 2: number just will climb as the week goes, and once

625
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:07,959
Speaker 2: we find out about Jayden Daniels, I think you might

626
00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:10,080
Speaker 2: see a four or five pop in. So if you

627
00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:12,560
Speaker 2: get any injury news on Jayden Daniels, you may want

628
00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:16,520
Speaker 2: to fire on Seattle quickly. But the numbers are crazy

629
00:27:16,720 --> 00:27:19,119
Speaker 2: for the Seattle head coach on the road. He's one

630
00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:22,760
Speaker 2: of the best road coaches in the NFL. Small number like,

631
00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:24,800
Speaker 2: I like Seattle on the road against Washington, but I

632
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:26,399
Speaker 2: want to watch that number and watch what happens with

633
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:27,560
Speaker 2: Jane Daniels, and.

634
00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:30,320
Speaker 4: Three and a half suggests that Daniels is not expected

635
00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:33,520
Speaker 4: back right Typically a hamstring is not a one week injury,

636
00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:36,680
Speaker 4: so that Washington offense was completely stuck in the mud

637
00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:39,200
Speaker 4: with Mariota in Kansas City on Monday night.

638
00:27:39,680 --> 00:27:42,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I like Seattle's defense a lot so and

639
00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:45,320
Speaker 2: then Sam Donalds played pretty well, So I that's the

640
00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:47,360
Speaker 2: other game I would watch, just from number of perspective

641
00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:50,280
Speaker 2: is taking Seattle up against Washington.

642
00:27:50,440 --> 00:27:52,360
Speaker 1: He is Pat Fitzmore's I'm Matt Pearrelz. We are back

643
00:27:52,359 --> 00:27:52,760
Speaker 1: next week.

644
00:27:52,800 --> 00:27:56,119
Speaker 2: Every Tuesday, you guys hear us early Bis plays Survivor

645
00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:58,040
Speaker 2: in More. Hope to see you back here next week

646
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:00,960
Speaker 2: for another edition to this on Thetting Pros YouTube channel.

647
00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:04,320
Speaker 6: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

648
00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:06,760
Speaker 6: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

649
00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:08,560
Speaker 6: by leaving a positive review on.

650
00:28:08,560 --> 00:28:10,200
Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

651
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:13,080
Speaker 6: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

652
00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:16,840
Speaker 6: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

653
00:28:16,920 --> 00:28:19,399
Speaker 6: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros