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Speaker 1: Happy Monday, guys. How are you welcome into the Monday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parolt. You can follow me on Twitter at sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt, and we are here thanks to bet MGM

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Speaker 1: every morning on Bettingpros dot com, on YouTube and wherever

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Speaker 1: you get your podcasts. All right, so yesterday and had

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Speaker 1: a good day. But hey, it's even though yesterday wasn't

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Speaker 1: the good day. I was okay with what happened because

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Speaker 1: one the Red Sox game got all thrown at a

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Speaker 1: whack when COVID nineteen came in and affected the Phillies.

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Speaker 1: So I had bet the yes run in the first

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Speaker 1: inning because of Aaron Nola's very impressive record twelve and six.

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Speaker 1: I think it was to a yes and a run

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Speaker 1: in the first inning. He gets scratched. They go with

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Speaker 1: a whole bullpen game. It changed everything up. The Red

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Speaker 1: Red Sox preparation gets tossed up into the air and

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Speaker 1: then that's stunk. So that was a loss there, but

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Speaker 1: that happens COVID era. We're just kind of live with

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Speaker 1: those things. The Red Sox lost the game five to four,

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Speaker 1: but really bad base running mistake by the Red Sox

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Speaker 1: late in that game by by Vasquez, who got thrown

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Speaker 1: out trying to stretch into a wide turnover first base.

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Speaker 1: If he doesn't do that, he stays on. The game

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Speaker 1: is tied five to five, Red Sox maybe have a

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Speaker 1: chance to win the game an extra inning. So just

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Speaker 1: to kind of a bummer of a game, Red Sous

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Speaker 1: lose four or five going into the All Star break,

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Speaker 1: which is not good, but they are way up and

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Speaker 1: headed towards our seventy nine win total. At some point

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Speaker 1: in August, they'll get to seventy nine wins and we'll

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Speaker 1: cash that ticket for the Red Sox to win more

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Speaker 1: than seventy nine games. So I'm beginning to come around

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Speaker 1: in the idea of betting the Red Sox to win

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Speaker 1: the American League East. I'm just not really there just yet,

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Speaker 1: but I'm I'm coming around. I'm coming around on it,

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Speaker 1: so we've got a so Then then I kind of

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Speaker 1: went a little crazy with the NBA game. I'd only

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Speaker 1: bet one game, and I kind of said I wanted

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Speaker 1: to be more heavily involved with that, so I added

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Speaker 1: three more bets to the podcast on the Discord channel

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Speaker 1: for official plays. We end up going two and five overall,

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Speaker 1: but two and one on the plays we added, so

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Speaker 1: got the Bucks minus four and a half. Correct. I

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Speaker 1: should have taken the Bucks in the first half. I

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Speaker 1: thought they'd win the first quarter, but they lost the

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Speaker 1: first quarter and they blew out the Suns in the

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Speaker 1: second quarter. They were leading big At by fifteen points

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Speaker 1: at halftime, so they covered that two and a half

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Speaker 1: three and a half point line at the first half easy.

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Speaker 1: So we got the first quarter wrong, got the game

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Speaker 1: right at minus four and a half, and we got

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Speaker 1: the Bucks team total over one twelve and a half right.

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Speaker 1: Cam Johnson goes one for five from behind the three

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Speaker 1: point line, need just one more of those threes to

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Speaker 1: go down for his prop to go over one and

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Speaker 1: a half threes. So that's an unfortunate miss there. But

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Speaker 1: you know, all in all, you know, England wasn't my bet.

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Speaker 1: That was my boys bet. If you had taken what

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Speaker 1: I said last weekend, I said bet in our last

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Speaker 1: I don't know Wednesday, I said bet Italy. And then

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Speaker 1: when you know people that I trust, And as I said,

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Speaker 1: I gave my guy, Papa Bear, I gave him the

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Speaker 1: dustin Poorier victory. So he bet that and he turned

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Speaker 1: around and said, look, I'm gonna he went heavy on England.

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Speaker 1: And when you lose a game on penalty kicks, it

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Speaker 1: came down to the last kicker for England is a teenager.

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Speaker 1: I mean, look, that's just soccer sucks. I'm sorry if

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Speaker 1: you like betting soccer, betting, soccer sucks. That's just what

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Speaker 1: it is. But you go down to penalty kicks, It's

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Speaker 1: not like it's a bad handicap. It's a coin flip.

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Speaker 1: Like literally, it's a coin flip. So those days are

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Speaker 1: gonna happen. Right, that's just chocked that up. Just a

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Speaker 1: sports betting and we move on to the All Star

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Speaker 1: break from Major League Baseball. All right, there's not a

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Speaker 1: lot going on today. We are into a period of

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Speaker 1: time where most people kick their heels up and just

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Speaker 1: kind of, you know, take a vacation if you will,

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Speaker 1: literally or figuratively from sports betting. But I've got a

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Speaker 1: couple of plays for you, just because we're junkies and

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Speaker 1: we want to get some action on the home run derby. Well,

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Speaker 1: I've got two plays with the home run derby, and

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you my favorite college football win total

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Speaker 1: bet so far. I'm gonna have a bunch of them

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Speaker 1: as we head towards the year, but I wanted to

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Speaker 1: add on because there's not a lot of handicapping going

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Speaker 1: into the Home Run Derby. I'm not going to get

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Speaker 1: into who wins. I'm not betting on Shoatani and I'm

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Speaker 1: not betting on Joey gallow But I think Joey Gallo

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Speaker 1: could win the thing. I think if you want to

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Speaker 1: get a flyer on him to win it, go ahead.

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Speaker 1: My bets have to do with a couple of prop

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Speaker 1: bets that you can jump in on. And if you

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Speaker 1: want to use the bet MGM twenty buck bet to

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Speaker 1: win one hundred dollars on any event with the promo

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Speaker 1: code Juice one hundred always above me here on YouTube.

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Speaker 1: If you ever forget about what the code is, a

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Speaker 1: code the Juice one hundred when you're watching on YouTube,

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Speaker 1: here's the thing. You can use that twenty buck bet

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Speaker 1: on either of these three bets I'm going to give you,

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Speaker 1: because they are all at bet MGM. In fact, one

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Speaker 1: of them at bet MGM, you're going to get nine

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Speaker 1: points feet better to kind of give the bet away

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Speaker 1: than what you'd see on FanDuel Okay, so you get

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Speaker 1: you chop around here and you can find a much

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Speaker 1: better number at bet MGM versus other books in terms

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Speaker 1: of where we are. Okay, so here are here are

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Speaker 1: the first two for the home run derby. All right again,

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Speaker 1: I'm not getting involved in anything but these two props.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you the longest home run in the

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Speaker 1: first round in the longest home run overall here. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So in the first round at bet MGM, the distance

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Speaker 1: for the longest home run in the first round is

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Speaker 1: five hundred and five feet. The longest home run ever

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Speaker 1: hit at coors Field was gian Carlos Stanton when he

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Speaker 1: was with the Marlins. He hit a five hundred and

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Speaker 1: four foot home runs off Chad Bettis on August the sixth,

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Speaker 1: two thy sixteen. These are the official These are the

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Speaker 1: official home runs distance wise, ever hit at coors Field. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so when you're talking about, you know, a five hundred

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Speaker 1: and four foot home run, this is projected, right, But

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Speaker 1: that's not I mean, okay, that's far right. But you

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Speaker 1: could say, wait, the home run derby. Aren't we going

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Speaker 1: with juice baseballs? Yes? Aren't we dealing with chorus field? Yes? Okay,

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Speaker 1: and aren't we dealing with players trying to hit as

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Speaker 1: hard as they can, as far as they can. Yes,

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Speaker 1: Michael Taylor of the Nationals back in twenty fifteen hit

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Speaker 1: a ball four hundred and ninety three feet for the

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Speaker 1: second longest official home run. And then a guy named

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Speaker 1: Rangel Revello of the Cardinals, who I've never heard of,

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Speaker 1: hit a home run two hundred hit home run four

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Speaker 1: hundred and eighty seven feet back in September of twenty nineteen,

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Speaker 1: and that tie Trevor Story's home run of four hundred

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Speaker 1: and eighty seven feet. That Trevor Story is the Rockies

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Speaker 1: hit off of Andrew Suarez of the Giants back in

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Speaker 1: September of twenty eighteen. Trevor Story is in the home

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Speaker 1: run Derby. Okay, he's up against Joey Gallo in the

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Speaker 1: first round. Now, I don't know if Trevor Story can

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Speaker 1: beat Joey Gallo in the head to head, but we'll

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Speaker 1: say this, if Trevor Story is hitting a baseball four

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Speaker 1: hundred and eighty seven feet a course field during a game,

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Speaker 1: Trevor Story can hit a baseball over five hundred and

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Speaker 1: five feet in the first round. The over five hundred

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Speaker 1: and five feet for the longest home run in the

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Speaker 1: first round is minus one fifteen at bet MGM. We're

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Speaker 1: betting over five hundred point five feet over for a

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Speaker 1: half a unit at minus one fifteen. Longest home run

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Speaker 1: in the first round, Okay, Like I said, if it

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Speaker 1: goes anywhere near the five hundred and four foot home

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Speaker 1: run that John Carlos Stanton hit back in twenty sixteen,

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Speaker 1: we're clearing that with relative ease. Right, we're getting over

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Speaker 1: five hundred and five feet. We're good minus one fifteen

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Speaker 1: in the first round. Now, the first round involves every

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Speaker 1: participant show Atani, Juan Soto, Salvador Perez, Pete Alonzo, Joey Gallo,

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Speaker 1: Trevor Story, Matt Olsen, and Trey Mancini. Any one of

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Speaker 1: those guys hits a home run five hundred and one feet, cash, Okay,

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Speaker 1: five hundred and one feet we cash. That's the ticket

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Speaker 1: for round one. Half a unit and the same is

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Speaker 1: going to go for the longest home run in the

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Speaker 1: entire competition. Five hundred and ten and a half feet

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Speaker 1: is the number. Now, I saw books at five oh

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Speaker 1: three and a half. All right, I can't give that

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Speaker 1: to you because it's not available. Okay, five hundred and three.

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Speaker 1: There were certain books that I saw, but nothing that

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Speaker 1: people would be widely available. I feel comfortable giving you

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Speaker 1: five ten and a half and not the five oh

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Speaker 1: three and a half that I saw earlier yesterday. Is

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Speaker 1: because FanDuel is at five nineteen for this number, BEDMGM

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Speaker 1: is at five ten and a half. That is a

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Speaker 1: monster eight and a half feet of value here. You've

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Speaker 1: got from BEDMGM at minus one twenty five for the

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Speaker 1: longest home run to be hit in the home run derby,

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Speaker 1: and we're coming back here. It's five nineteen and a

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Speaker 1: half now, by the way, so it is a full

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Speaker 1: nine feet of value you for the over it. And

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Speaker 1: they're going minus one ten on this, but we're going

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Speaker 1: five to ten and a half minus one twenty five

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Speaker 1: for a half a unit for the longest home run

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Speaker 1: hit at Coors Field. These balls are juiced beyond all belief.

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Speaker 1: Given what we have seen with the lack of home

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Speaker 1: runs and a lack of offense, I expect these things

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Speaker 1: to be super balls coming up here. Baseball wants headlines

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Speaker 1: five hundred and fifty foot home run. They want something

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Speaker 1: stupid to happen. They want ballparks, like practically leaving the

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Speaker 1: ballpark coming up here tonight's for the home run derby.

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Speaker 1: So rather than sweat who wins, rather than sweat what lineup,

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Speaker 1: if I was gonna bet somebody, I would bet Pee Alonzo. Okay,

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Speaker 1: if you want to talk about who I would put

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Speaker 1: my money on to win this thing, Pete Alonzo at

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Speaker 1: plus five hundred I think is a pretty good bet.

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Speaker 1: Joey Gallo decent bet. Shoe Atani the favorite doesn't always

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Speaker 1: win this thing. But if you want to bet like

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Speaker 1: a matchup like a Tani versus Gallo in the final, okay, maybe.

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Speaker 1: But I'm just not gonna get too crazy into all this.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna enjoy the home contest versus sweating out who

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Speaker 1: beats whom, and just expect a ton of power from

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Speaker 1: the entire field in the first round and then everyone.

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Speaker 1: I mean, look, if a guy hits a home run

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Speaker 1: five hundred and eleven feet in the first round, we cash, Okay,

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Speaker 1: so I think you you can with one swing, we

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Speaker 1: can cash two bets in the first round. That's why

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Speaker 1: I like this, all right. So it's a half a

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Speaker 1: unit on each first round over five hundred and five

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Speaker 1: feet five hundred point five feet, and then for the

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Speaker 1: whole whole home run derby over five ten and a

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Speaker 1: half five hundred and ten feet and a half a

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Speaker 1: foot for minus one twenty five one fifteen minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty five. Both of those are a half a unit.

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Speaker 1: We're going to whole unit here into the home run derby.

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Speaker 1: Let's watch, and let's again, one swing in the first

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Speaker 1: round gets us to like five twelve, five eleven, and

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Speaker 1: we catch both bets in the first round. So that's

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Speaker 1: the hope that one swing can catch both bets for us.

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Speaker 1: All right, So that's all I've got for the home

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Speaker 1: run derby. For my favorite college football future, I again

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Speaker 1: am going to bet MGM. And again you can use

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Speaker 1: this if you want the twenty buck wager. You can

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Speaker 1: go ahead and jump on it if you'd like. Here's

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Speaker 1: where we are the UNLV Rebels. Now, I know you

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Speaker 1: might go, Matt, didn't you go with UNV basketball last

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Speaker 1: year and you were rail? Yep? Okay, but let's talk

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Speaker 1: about you and to be football for a second. Okay,

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Speaker 1: you want to be football. Their win total is set

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Speaker 1: at one and a half one and a half. They

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Speaker 1: went zero to six last year. In the first year

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Speaker 1: under Marcus Arroyo who left Oregon who came over to

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Speaker 1: coach UNLV. He had no offseason, he had no defense,

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Speaker 1: and his offense was not very good. Seventeen points per game,

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Speaker 1: less than three hundred and forty yards of offense per game.

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Speaker 1: It was ugly. It was really really ugly. They've got

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Speaker 1: a TCU transfer named Justin Rodgers, who's a big kid.

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Speaker 1: They got a sophomore named Doug Brumfield who's coming in here.

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Speaker 1: But their defense is bad. Okay, their defense is not good,

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Speaker 1: but they've got some winnable football games. And here's the thing.

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Speaker 1: They will be playing in Allegiance Stadium. They will be

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Speaker 1: playing in this gorgeous, awesome, brand spanking new football stadium

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Speaker 1: that is gonna have any college kid jack to go

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Speaker 1: out there and play. Now, it could work both ways,

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Speaker 1: because you've got your rivals coming in here as well,

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Speaker 1: and the season is gonna hinge. I think I think

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Speaker 1: the offense will be better. I think the offensive line

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Speaker 1: is gonna be better for you and LV. I think

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Speaker 1: they could get some better quarterback play for you and LV.

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Speaker 1: But their defense is gonna be really important. They have

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Speaker 1: got to figure out a way to stop getting run over.

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Speaker 1: They got killed on the ground last year, gave up

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Speaker 1: so many yards. We need two wins, Okay, we need

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Speaker 1: two wins from this schedule. The opener against Eastern Washington,

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Speaker 1: a tough team, but they have got to win that game,

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Speaker 1: all right. That that's a must win. You know, they

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Speaker 1: must win that game because they're not winning. Week two

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Speaker 1: at Arizona State and the Iowa State game here on

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Speaker 1: September the eighteenth is going to be a virtual It's

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Speaker 1: probably going to be a home game for Iowa State.

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Speaker 1: I know my friends who work in Ames in Des

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Speaker 1: Moines have told me that there are charter planes coming

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Speaker 1: to Vegas from Ames and from des Moines for this game.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be a takeover Iowa State. It's going

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Speaker 1: to have one of their best teams maybe ever. And

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Speaker 1: UNLV I mean, Iowa State fans love to party, they

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Speaker 1: love to come to Vegas. Iowa people love coming here.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to Iowa at the end of August. More

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Speaker 1: on that a little bit later on, but we'll talk

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Speaker 1: a lot about this Iowa State game when I'm in

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Speaker 1: des Moines coming up in the end of August. But

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Speaker 1: that's just a complete you know they're gonna get killed

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Speaker 1: in that game. But then they play at Fresno State, Okay,

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Speaker 1: at a Mountain West game. They're at utsa tough team

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Speaker 1: on the road open dates home for Utah State, home

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Speaker 1: for San Jose State, at Nevada in the big rivalry

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Speaker 1: game at New Mexico, a game they probably should win.

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Speaker 1: Home against Hawaii, maybe a game they can sneak late

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Speaker 1: in the year. Home for San Diego State, maybe they

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Speaker 1: can steal one and shock some people there. And then

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Speaker 1: at air Force maybe they could find a way to

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Speaker 1: get that. But they miss Boise State, they miss Colorado State,

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Speaker 1: and they miss Wyoming. I mean, they're missing some of

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Speaker 1: the big boys in the Mountain West Conference. In Marcus

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Speaker 1: Arroyo's second season, he gets an offseason workout program, he

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Speaker 1: gets to work with his players. He'll have a crowd

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Speaker 1: showing up, full capacity crowd coming up for UNLV, and

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Speaker 1: I need two wins and it's even money. This is

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Speaker 1: my favorite bet right now of the college football season

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Speaker 1: at bet MGM over one and a half wins for

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Speaker 1: UNLV at even money one unit. We're going full unit

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Speaker 1: on UNLV to win two football games. That's all I

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Speaker 1: need beat Eastern Washington to start the year, and then

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Speaker 1: upset somebody else one of these home games, one of

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Speaker 1: these road games. Beat New Mexico, beat Nevada a rivalry game.

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Speaker 1: Just win two games. That's all we need. I'm betting it.

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Speaker 1: I like it a lot. I think the team will

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Speaker 1: be better. Marcus Arroyo is a young guy doing some

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Speaker 1: great things in recruiting offensive mind. I think U and

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Speaker 1: V takes a big step forward, and all that is

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Speaker 1: is going from zero wins to two wins. Okay, That's

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Speaker 1: all I need is U and LV to win two

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Speaker 1: football games this year. Most likely it's the win over

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Speaker 1: Eastern Washington and then winning against New Mexico or air

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Speaker 1: Force on the road. One of those two games. Most

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Speaker 1: likely that's the road game that they win, and they

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Speaker 1: win two games. I'm not saying two wins is a

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Speaker 1: great season, just saying two wins is all we need

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Speaker 1: to cash this proper even money for UNLV at BETEMGM

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Speaker 1: over one and a half wins for UNLV is my

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Speaker 1: favorite college football bet right now, sitting here in the

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Speaker 1: middle of July. All right, the plays today one college

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Speaker 1: football two bets in the home run Derby first round

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Speaker 1: more a home run going longer than five hundred and

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Speaker 1: five feet and overall in the entire tournament, the entire

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Speaker 1: Derby home run hit getting hit more than five hundred

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Speaker 1: and ten and a half feet both aut a half

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Speaker 1: unit minus one twenty five and minus one fifteen for

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Speaker 1: the home run Derby. Let's see some power. Let's see

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Speaker 1: some warm temperatures and some springy baseballs flying out a

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Speaker 1: course field coming up to night tier for the home

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Speaker 1: run Derby. Those are the plays and a reminder, we

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Speaker 1: have the Discord bet that will happen four thirty four

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Speaker 1: four thirty is somewhere in that range. I'll give every

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Speaker 1: everyone the alert Pacific time seven to seven thirty Eastern time.

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Speaker 1: I'll give everybody the alert. We will do the Discord bet.

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Speaker 1: We'll try to find a win here. We're five and nine.

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Speaker 1: If I'm cricker five and eight, I gotta go check

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Speaker 1: that either five and eight or five and nine on

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Speaker 1: the Discord bet of the week. Let's find a winner

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Speaker 1: here for something to jump in in here on if

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Speaker 1: it's you know, to play for Tuesday and it's gonna

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Speaker 1: be a play most likely on the All Star Game. Right,

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Speaker 1: We'll try to find something, and I may I'll even

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Speaker 1: let you extend it to Wednesday if you want. If

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Speaker 1: you want to extend it to the to to have

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Speaker 1: the bet beyond Wednesday, have it be for the NBA Finals,

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Speaker 1: if you want to do that. I don't have a

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Speaker 1: problem with. Hey, Matt, there's not much going on but Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: If you guys want to put pick something for the

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Speaker 1: Discord bet and keep it on the same schedule as

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Speaker 1: doing it a Monday afternoon, but we can do it

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Speaker 1: for Wednesday's game if you want, because Tuesday is kind

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Speaker 1: of funky obviously with no baseball game besides the whole

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Speaker 1: besides the All Star Game. So we'll extend it a

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Speaker 1: little bit if you want to go ahead and bet,

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Speaker 1: or maybe you want to bet MLS. Who knows, So

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Speaker 1: seven thirty Eastern Time, seven seven thirty somewhere in that range,

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Speaker 1: we'll start the Discord Bet of the Week conversation on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel. You can get a link to it

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Speaker 1: underneath me here on YouTube. If you're listening to it,

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Speaker 1: it's bettingpros dot Com slash chat. To get in to it,

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Speaker 1: and while you're on the YouTube channel, make sure you

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Speaker 1: hit subscribe when you hit subscribe, you triple your entries

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Speaker 1: into the opportunity to win in the Magic Johnson autographed jersey,

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Speaker 1: which will be given away at the end of the month.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Barotz, following me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: sports Doc Matt. Each and every morning, it's the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice podcast right here on bettingpros dot com, brought you

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Speaker 1: by BEDAMGM