WEBVTT - 1139 | MLB Draft Superlatives, Home Run Derby Preview 0:00:10.800 --> 0:00:17.799 This time Lague Cracker. 0:00:18.960 --> 0:00:35.600 Bring we will see you Toms the Dunner. 0:00:36.280 --> 0:00:41.440 Welcome Laming hang Out, Welcome to the Just Baseball Show. 0:00:41.560 --> 0:00:45.240 It is Sunday, July twelfth, and you got the three 0:00:45.280 --> 0:00:47.559 of us that Jack McFall and Arm Late and I 0:00:47.600 --> 0:00:50.720 am Peter Rapple. And today we are doing a twenty 0:00:50.840 --> 0:00:54.800 twenty six home run derby preview and a recap. What 0:00:54.960 --> 0:00:58.680 kind of superlatives about the twenty twenty six MLB Draft 0:00:58.720 --> 0:01:02.520 Because Arm Tyler and I did a three hour stream 0:01:02.560 --> 0:01:04.600 on the draft, So now we're going to look at 0:01:04.640 --> 0:01:09.360 the best of most underrated picks, best value picks, a 0:01:09.360 --> 0:01:11.360 bunch of other fun things with the draft. And it's 0:01:11.360 --> 0:01:13.920 all brought to you by bet MGM. And if you 0:01:13.959 --> 0:01:17.120 haven't signed up for betmgm yet, use bonus code just 0:01:17.200 --> 0:01:19.319 Baseball when signing up and you will get up to 0:01:19.360 --> 0:01:21.920 a fifteen hundred dollars new player offer on your first 0:01:21.920 --> 0:01:24.640 wager with BETMGM. Here's how it works. You just download 0:01:24.640 --> 0:01:28.240 the betmgm app and sign up using bonus code just Baseball, 0:01:28.240 --> 0:01:30.920 Deposit at least ten bucks, and place your first wager 0:01:31.240 --> 0:01:34.120 on any game, and if that bet loses, you'll receive 0:01:34.400 --> 0:01:38.679 up to fifteen hundred bucks in bonus bets, and maybe, 0:01:38.959 --> 0:01:42.440 just maybe, if you haven't made a bet on BETMGM yet, 0:01:42.680 --> 0:01:45.000 it's the perfect time to do so. ARM for the 0:01:45.080 --> 0:01:48.400 Home Run Derby because I built out and Jack, you'll 0:01:48.400 --> 0:01:51.520 love this a statistical model for the Home Run Derby, 0:01:51.960 --> 0:01:57.320 a simulation. It simulated the Derby two hundred thousand times. Nope, 0:01:57.440 --> 0:01:59.760 you gotta do more. And what you're also going to 0:01:59.800 --> 0:02:02.680 appreciate and I don't want to spoil it yet, but 0:02:03.000 --> 0:02:07.200 it came to a conclusion that a person who went 0:02:07.240 --> 0:02:10.000 to Citizens Bank Park and had eight beers and bet 0:02:10.040 --> 0:02:13.000 On vibes would also come to that conclusion. So whether 0:02:13.040 --> 0:02:15.840 you build out a model and simulate the Derby two 0:02:15.919 --> 0:02:18.600 hundred thousand times, or you drink eight beers, you're going 0:02:18.639 --> 0:02:19.640 to come to the same answer. 0:02:20.120 --> 0:02:24.600 My preferred models usually simulate North the six hundred thousand times, 0:02:24.600 --> 0:02:29.480 So please ask your engine to simulate it four hundred 0:02:29.480 --> 0:02:30.360 thousand more times? 0:02:30.520 --> 0:02:31.440 How many like? 0:02:31.680 --> 0:02:35.320 How long did it take to simulate two hundred thousand times? 0:02:35.360 --> 0:02:38.200 Nothing? Claude just does it immediately. So I just put 0:02:38.080 --> 0:02:40.079 in four thousand. 0:02:40.639 --> 0:02:42.440 I could do it, you know what, Yeah, just say 0:02:42.520 --> 0:02:45.239 keep going, keep going, keep going until your computer starts 0:02:45.240 --> 0:02:45.880 foaming at the. 0:02:45.800 --> 0:02:47.600 Mouthpeter, I'm tired. 0:02:49.919 --> 0:02:51.400 I'm going to bounce you guys through the show. I'm 0:02:51.400 --> 0:02:53.680 going to go simulate the Derby eight hundred thousand more 0:02:53.720 --> 0:02:56.160 times so I could get the same answer, all right, 0:02:56.200 --> 0:02:59.200 the same answer again as if just you said that 0:03:00.000 --> 0:03:01.320 feels like it's going to be this guy. 0:03:01.400 --> 0:03:03.639 So it was cool, though, I'm excited to kind of 0:03:03.639 --> 0:03:07.160 compare the thoughts and we'll contrast there. But yeah, it 0:03:07.240 --> 0:03:08.680 is funny that it kind of took you to the 0:03:08.720 --> 0:03:13.119 same answer that it kind of just vibes guy out 0:03:13.120 --> 0:03:15.400 and right Field just there for a good time, was 0:03:15.440 --> 0:03:17.520 going to go with his prediction too exactly. 0:03:17.960 --> 0:03:19.920 I assume it's all Wilson contreras. 0:03:19.520 --> 0:03:23.880 Right, Wilson guy. In the history of a Derby. 0:03:24.160 --> 0:03:27.440 Wilson gatures the sneaky value sneaky value of wilskatuz. But 0:03:27.480 --> 0:03:29.720 I'm record be betting him. So let's go over the 0:03:29.760 --> 0:03:33.440 rules first, because this is the first year the Derby 0:03:33.480 --> 0:03:35.520 has changed in a long time. We got used to 0:03:35.560 --> 0:03:37.680 the timer and then they said no timer, we're changing 0:03:37.680 --> 0:03:41.280 it again. So each hitter gets twenty swings in the 0:03:41.320 --> 0:03:45.120 first round, and every swing counts against that total, whether 0:03:45.160 --> 0:03:47.920 the ball leaves the yard or not. A hitter. A 0:03:48.000 --> 0:03:52.120 hitter who homers on his final swing keeps swinging until 0:03:52.160 --> 0:03:55.920 he makes an out. The four highest home run totals 0:03:56.000 --> 0:04:00.040 advanced to seeded head to head semi finals, and the 0:04:00.080 --> 0:04:03.480 two winners meet in the final with fifteen swings per 0:04:03.520 --> 0:04:06.480 hitter in both of those rounds, and then the totals 0:04:06.560 --> 0:04:11.560 reset each round. There are no bonus rounds and no timeouts. 0:04:11.920 --> 0:04:15.400 First round ties are broken by the longest home run, 0:04:15.680 --> 0:04:20.400 and the later rounds use a three swing swing off. 0:04:20.760 --> 0:04:23.400 Any questions, no much. 0:04:23.440 --> 0:04:25.680 My immediate thought was, all of a sudden, it feels 0:04:25.720 --> 0:04:26.920 like age matters less. 0:04:27.000 --> 0:04:29.839 Now, Yes, I'm with you, that was my exact thought. 0:04:30.480 --> 0:04:33.600 And it's like the guys who I agree have more stamina. 0:04:33.680 --> 0:04:35.200 Like I remember, we've talked about a lot of the 0:04:35.240 --> 0:04:37.680 younger guys who have ended up winning this competition. That's 0:04:37.720 --> 0:04:41.520 why in twenty twenty four when Taoscar won it, not 0:04:41.560 --> 0:04:43.679 only was that you know a player in the field 0:04:43.680 --> 0:04:45.320 that was ranked fifth or six, but he was an 0:04:45.320 --> 0:04:47.599 older player. He was kind of the only guy to 0:04:47.680 --> 0:04:52.320 win in this timer era that was above the age 0:04:52.360 --> 0:04:54.640 of twenty eight years old. So now we throw all 0:04:54.640 --> 0:04:57.279 of that out the window. We finally get to watch 0:04:57.320 --> 0:05:00.360 guys just hit dangers. Those are the rules. We don't 0:05:00.360 --> 0:05:02.799 have to It's not like every five seconds you're seeing 0:05:02.800 --> 0:05:04.880 a ball fly, especially arm I know you and I 0:05:05.000 --> 0:05:07.360 especially have been to the home run Derby now five 0:05:07.440 --> 0:05:10.640 or six times. Jack, you two, like when the balls 0:05:10.680 --> 0:05:13.680 are just going out so quickly, you don't get to 0:05:13.920 --> 0:05:17.160 sit there and enjoy any of the homers. No, that 0:05:17.480 --> 0:05:18.480 that's a huge thing. 0:05:18.520 --> 0:05:21.400 The other thing is, you know, if you remember the 0:05:21.480 --> 0:05:24.360 pre clock era of the home run Derby, a lot 0:05:24.360 --> 0:05:26.800 of people get very frustrated by the sheer number of takes. 0:05:26.880 --> 0:05:28.560 It's like, how do we get these guy to how 0:05:28.560 --> 0:05:31.680 do we get these guys to swing more? But we 0:05:31.760 --> 0:05:34.640 had the opportunity to try both, and I think I'd 0:05:34.680 --> 0:05:37.360 prefer watching guys take and then watching the ball fly 0:05:37.480 --> 0:05:40.599 as opposed to, okay, how many swings did you just 0:05:40.680 --> 0:05:41.320 get off here? 0:05:41.400 --> 0:05:43.080 And it's like I can't even track a baseball. 0:05:43.160 --> 0:05:46.120 So I like it could be a lesser of two 0:05:46.200 --> 0:05:48.560 evils type of conversation, But I think this one is 0:05:48.600 --> 0:05:50.120 certainly the lesser of two evils. 0:05:50.400 --> 0:05:52.800 That's the thing I agree with. Well, one also a 0:05:52.839 --> 0:05:56.839 bad picture, which is an unfortunate circumstance, can't fully derail 0:05:57.440 --> 0:06:00.440 a guy, like It'll still be difficult, it'll hurt you 0:06:00.480 --> 0:06:01.960 a little bit. But when you're on a timer, like 0:06:02.240 --> 0:06:04.839 if your pitcher can't find it, like you're you're screwed. 0:06:05.080 --> 0:06:07.640 Your time's ticking. But now I think it's a more 0:06:07.680 --> 0:06:11.680 relaxed setting where you get X amount of swings. I 0:06:11.680 --> 0:06:13.200 think it at least, you know, allows a guy to 0:06:13.200 --> 0:06:14.479 be able to find it a little bit and not 0:06:14.600 --> 0:06:16.760 rush it. The other side is just that, Yeah, I 0:06:16.839 --> 0:06:19.600 would more than happily watch a guy spin on a 0:06:19.600 --> 0:06:22.599 couple balls that just aren't located well to be able 0:06:22.640 --> 0:06:24.640 to see how far it flies and soak it in. 0:06:25.360 --> 0:06:27.800 Then just see three in the air. It feels like 0:06:27.839 --> 0:06:29.440 at the same time, I have no idea where to look, 0:06:29.480 --> 0:06:31.640 and and right as you're watching it fly like that, 0:06:31.920 --> 0:06:33.960 the next ball is on its way. So now I 0:06:34.000 --> 0:06:36.760 think the changes are good. I'm excited about it, but 0:06:36.760 --> 0:06:39.040 I'm also like, there's always going to be something. It 0:06:39.440 --> 0:06:41.880 seems like it's impossible to make it perfect. So I'm 0:06:41.960 --> 0:06:44.080 eagerly awaiting what I'm not going to like, But I'm 0:06:44.080 --> 0:06:46.840 going to focus on the positives. I'm going to straight 0:06:46.960 --> 0:06:49.480 what I normally do. I'm pretty fired up to figure 0:06:49.480 --> 0:06:50.960 out what I hate too. It's like, you know what, 0:06:51.000 --> 0:06:53.280 I decide, I hate this new thing. So I wake 0:06:53.360 --> 0:06:54.760 up every day just getting ready to do. 0:06:55.160 --> 0:06:58.080 What can I hate today? That's new, fresh and exciting. 0:06:58.800 --> 0:07:01.880 So I'm glad that you did bring up arm the 0:07:01.920 --> 0:07:05.600 pitchers right? Could they get the yips? Could they start 0:07:05.600 --> 0:07:08.920 throwing balls? I still think and I'm curious your guys 0:07:08.960 --> 0:07:12.200 is of this opinion. I still think it matters. Like 0:07:12.280 --> 0:07:16.280 I think, the better the BP thrower, the more familiar 0:07:16.400 --> 0:07:19.960 you are with said BP thrower, likely the better you're 0:07:20.120 --> 0:07:23.000 going to do. Because you know, some guys like I 0:07:23.000 --> 0:07:25.880 remember Pete Alonso cal Rawley last year, they won with 0:07:25.920 --> 0:07:26.360 their dad. 0:07:26.720 --> 0:07:29.680 This wasn't a coach who was, you know, an expert 0:07:29.720 --> 0:07:32.560 BP thrower. This was their dad when they were used to, 0:07:33.240 --> 0:07:35.840 you know, facing this guy throughout their entire childhood and 0:07:35.920 --> 0:07:36.680 the middle years. 0:07:36.960 --> 0:07:38.960 Did Alonzo win with his dad or did he win 0:07:39.040 --> 0:07:41.760 with Iron Dave Jous who is the best BP? 0:07:42.000 --> 0:07:45.760 It was the best BPF. Literally, he won multiple and 0:07:45.800 --> 0:07:47.680 I think one of them was either with his dad 0:07:47.760 --> 0:07:52.160 or his cousin. I'm nine percent sure it was a 0:07:52.200 --> 0:07:56.160 family member, but I think that familiar exactly. I think 0:07:56.160 --> 0:07:59.720 that familiarity matters, or a guy who's been throwing you 0:07:59.760 --> 0:08:02.880 back practice in the cage for two years, like Kyle 0:08:02.920 --> 0:08:06.200 Schwarber's guy. One that I think is the biggest concern 0:08:06.760 --> 0:08:10.560 is Bryce Harper's BP pitcher. He even said that they're 0:08:10.640 --> 0:08:15.480 going in blind. What's his name? His name is Dino Ebel, 0:08:16.120 --> 0:08:18.960 the dad of Trey Ebl who just got drafted by 0:08:18.960 --> 0:08:20.440 the Milwaukee Brewers. 0:08:20.520 --> 0:08:23.040 And Brady and the third race coach of the LA Dodgers, 0:08:23.080 --> 0:08:24.560 Dino Evil exactly. 0:08:25.360 --> 0:08:28.320 He's a good BP thrower. But Harper even said we're 0:08:28.360 --> 0:08:31.920 going in blind because he's never thrown to Harper in 0:08:31.960 --> 0:08:34.760 his life. I feel like that could end up hurting 0:08:34.800 --> 0:08:36.640 Harper thoughts. 0:08:39.200 --> 0:08:41.040 My pushback on that when we were talking out of it before, 0:08:41.120 --> 0:08:44.480 is that like he's kind of dialed. I feel like 0:08:44.520 --> 0:08:46.400 on the BP, I think he's gonna be money to 0:08:46.559 --> 0:08:49.360 throw into like generations of kids. He's gonna be nasty 0:08:49.400 --> 0:08:51.800 with it. But there is kind of a cadence and 0:08:51.840 --> 0:08:53.960 timing and familiarity. I'm sure that is a big part 0:08:53.960 --> 0:08:58.040 of it, and I think that does contribute. But Dino 0:08:58.160 --> 0:08:59.520 might be locked I don't know. 0:09:00.080 --> 0:09:01.960 And to your point, arm Dino has thrown in the 0:09:03.080 --> 0:09:04.520 in the home run derby before. 0:09:04.800 --> 0:09:06.640 So that's big too. I think if you've thrown in 0:09:06.679 --> 0:09:08.800 the derby before, like you could be a big league 0:09:08.840 --> 0:09:11.760 third base coach, but not until the lights are on 0:09:11.800 --> 0:09:14.679 you and there's forty thousand people there. And like your 0:09:14.960 --> 0:09:18.600 ability to gently throw a ball over the plate, which 0:09:18.640 --> 0:09:20.800 is I think harder than throwing it hard over the 0:09:20.800 --> 0:09:24.559 plate from that distance, like it is basically makes or 0:09:24.600 --> 0:09:27.640 breaks a Major League Baseball player's opportunity to win the derby. 0:09:28.000 --> 0:09:30.840 I think it's got to be crazy, crazy, nerve racking 0:09:30.840 --> 0:09:34.080 if you've never done it before, but you go ahead. 0:09:34.400 --> 0:09:37.280 No, no, no, But if anybody knows nerve wracking BP, 0:09:37.440 --> 0:09:40.199 it's probably deno Ebel, who has to throw to Otani 0:09:40.280 --> 0:09:43.000 every day. And like, I understand that it's not in 0:09:43.000 --> 0:09:46.000 a public setting, but if you're throwing to Otani constantly, 0:09:46.000 --> 0:09:47.960 and you're throwing to Freeman and Mets, you better be 0:09:48.080 --> 0:09:51.360 locked in. And I feel good about a Dodger BP 0:09:51.520 --> 0:09:52.560 thrower throwing to Harper. 0:09:52.880 --> 0:09:56.840 So it's funny. Like my statistical bottle, two hundred thousand simulations, 0:09:56.880 --> 0:09:58.440 I had to rank them, and the rest of the 0:09:58.480 --> 0:10:01.200 guys have pretty good BP throwers, So I ranked Harper's 0:10:01.240 --> 0:10:03.440 guy last because they've never thrown to each other. But 0:10:03.559 --> 0:10:04.680 generally speaking, I don't. 0:10:04.559 --> 0:10:07.240 Wait, you had to rank the throwers for Claude, rank 0:10:07.320 --> 0:10:09.959 the throwers. Let's man, no, no, do it three hundred 0:10:09.960 --> 0:10:11.040 thousand more times and then we'll. 0:10:10.920 --> 0:10:12.480 Start some more times. 0:10:12.720 --> 0:10:15.400 I think the best the best BP thrower, Junior camer 0:10:15.480 --> 0:10:17.599 Arrow's got a good one. They got through to the 0:10:18.200 --> 0:10:21.079 Randy Rose Arena when he finishes the runner up, and 0:10:21.160 --> 0:10:24.439 through to Cameron Arrow himself last year when camen Aro 0:10:24.520 --> 0:10:26.800 was the runner up. So that's my number one ranked 0:10:26.800 --> 0:10:29.240 BP thrower. I love the derby. 0:10:30.040 --> 0:10:31.319 I don't know does he have what it takes to 0:10:31.360 --> 0:10:33.360 push him across the finish line. It doesn't sound like. 0:10:33.440 --> 0:10:35.920 A lot of runner ups. Maybe shy Dokam tri sim 0:10:36.360 --> 0:10:38.120 some of the gatorade too, or is it just the 0:10:38.200 --> 0:10:41.120 hitters that get it during the timeout? Some of these 0:10:41.120 --> 0:10:44.000 pictures may need some gatorade but no timer, so again 0:10:44.040 --> 0:10:45.400 they get to take their time a little bit. 0:10:45.880 --> 0:10:46.880 Yeah, no doubt. 0:10:47.120 --> 0:10:49.520 That was a very entertating segment about BP throwers. Let's 0:10:49.520 --> 0:10:51.079 talk about whom you actually think is going to win 0:10:51.120 --> 0:10:53.120 the Derby? Talk about who we think is going to 0:10:53.160 --> 0:10:56.000 win the Derby? Arm where are you out here? 0:10:57.000 --> 0:11:00.320 This is, as Peyton said a couple episodes ago, this 0:11:00.440 --> 0:11:02.960 is like the ball Knower's Derby, And Jack and I speculated, 0:11:03.000 --> 0:11:04.520 like who could fill the last couple of spots. We 0:11:04.600 --> 0:11:06.760 knew it would be Schwarber, and we thought very confidently 0:11:06.800 --> 0:11:08.560 that it would be Harper as well. We get those two. 0:11:09.200 --> 0:11:11.480 I would not have thought that Murakami would be in 0:11:11.480 --> 0:11:14.679 this thing, and I think that brings a really fun element. 0:11:15.360 --> 0:11:17.559 We talked about it. Peter and I talked about it 0:11:17.600 --> 0:11:20.680 a little bit before we hit record of like maybe 0:11:20.760 --> 0:11:24.040 he hasn't played in a while, but I think, as 0:11:24.080 --> 0:11:25.960 Peter brought this point up, like, I think it actually 0:11:26.000 --> 0:11:29.040 works in his favor one because he's gonna feel fresh 0:11:29.080 --> 0:11:32.240 and feel good. But too, there's no chance that Murakami's 0:11:32.240 --> 0:11:34.360 in this thing if he's not feeling great, Like even 0:11:34.360 --> 0:11:36.720 if the hammy was a little tight, I don't think 0:11:36.800 --> 0:11:40.280 he's doing this thing. So I just think now this field, 0:11:40.320 --> 0:11:43.760 how ridiculous it is, and the age thing not mattering 0:11:43.800 --> 0:11:47.360 as much. It's really hard to not kind of stray 0:11:47.400 --> 0:11:51.000 back towards or drift back towards the vets and like 0:11:51.040 --> 0:11:54.240 a Schwarber or even when Otako was younger. I just 0:11:54.280 --> 0:11:56.079 think this setting, all of a sudden is pretty exciting 0:11:56.120 --> 0:11:59.080 because his swing is just scrooved for just balls in 0:11:59.120 --> 0:12:03.160 the air hard consistently, and I think it could work 0:12:03.200 --> 0:12:05.760 really well from Murakami as well. But Schwerbur in the 0:12:05.800 --> 0:12:08.440 bank with this format's going to be tough too. But 0:12:08.480 --> 0:12:09.679 I'm excited about Murakami. 0:12:10.160 --> 0:12:12.640 Yeah, real quick on the Murakami thing, and Jack, I'm 0:12:12.640 --> 0:12:15.920 curious to your thoughts on this too. It's you can 0:12:16.000 --> 0:12:17.800 kind of there's two forks in the road and you 0:12:17.920 --> 0:12:20.959 go either direction with mun To Taka Murakami. One is 0:12:21.440 --> 0:12:24.200 he's only played three games since you returned from the IL, 0:12:24.559 --> 0:12:26.560 and now he has to go do this home run derby, 0:12:26.800 --> 0:12:30.280 even though he has done I think two in Japan. 0:12:30.320 --> 0:12:32.360 I know he's done one. I think it's two in Japan, 0:12:32.679 --> 0:12:36.920 but he's ever done one Stateside. Obviously, completely new rules 0:12:37.520 --> 0:12:40.520 after the injury, he's not going to do all that well, 0:12:41.200 --> 0:12:44.040 or you could look at it, he's the freshest he 0:12:44.120 --> 0:12:46.760 has come back. He clearly is healthy because the white 0:12:46.760 --> 0:12:49.480 socks are playing him, and he agreed to do the derby. 0:12:49.760 --> 0:12:51.760 Even though it's not much of a stamina game, you 0:12:51.800 --> 0:12:54.760 still have to have some stamina to be punishing baseball's 0:12:54.760 --> 0:12:57.240 four hundred and forty feet out of the ballpark, right, 0:12:57.320 --> 0:13:00.599 So which way do you lean on, murra Commy, Is 0:13:00.640 --> 0:13:04.080 that the health thing is actually completely overblown and he's 0:13:04.120 --> 0:13:06.440 the freshest or do you think it actually will affect 0:13:06.480 --> 0:13:09.679 him during the derby? Before I answer this question, does 0:13:09.679 --> 0:13:11.120 this sound awful? Right now? 0:13:11.240 --> 0:13:13.880 I'm at the Fort Lauernale Hollywood International Airport, So why 0:13:13.880 --> 0:13:15.920 don't you guys talk a little bit about more about 0:13:15.920 --> 0:13:18.480 the rest of the field, and I'll chime in, Actually, no, 0:13:18.559 --> 0:13:20.480 never mind, they're not done. You guys talk a little 0:13:20.480 --> 0:13:22.280 bit more about the rest of the field, and then 0:13:22.360 --> 0:13:24.880 when they do decide to shut up on the speakers, 0:13:25.200 --> 0:13:26.240 I will jump up six. 0:13:26.480 --> 0:13:26.800 All right. 0:13:26.840 --> 0:13:29.920 I assumed that Jack agrees with you, and I are 0:13:30.120 --> 0:13:31.720 that I don't think the health is going to affect 0:13:31.800 --> 0:13:34.920 him that much, So I do like Murakami. I also 0:13:34.960 --> 0:13:37.640 think that Jack Haglion is going to be a problem. Yeah, 0:13:37.760 --> 0:13:41.080 I think that Jack Haglion because again, I think again, 0:13:41.320 --> 0:13:43.840 we should focus on left handed bats. At a citizens 0:13:43.880 --> 0:13:47.560 Bank Park, per baseball Savon's park factor one fifteen for 0:13:47.600 --> 0:13:51.200 homers for lefties, one oh five for righties. Generally speaking, 0:13:51.760 --> 0:13:54.600 citizens Bank Park plays better for the left handed bats, 0:13:54.679 --> 0:13:58.800 especially power wise, and per our friends at Ballpark, Palell 0:13:59.440 --> 0:14:01.600 about eight to ten mile on our winds blowing out 0:14:01.640 --> 0:14:04.440 to right center, so the wind is helping the lefties. 0:14:04.920 --> 0:14:09.400 The stadium already helps the lefties and all the lefties 0:14:09.400 --> 0:14:13.000 that this competition rake right. So you've got a couple 0:14:13.080 --> 0:14:15.600 ritings who might have to overcome a couple of deficiencies 0:14:15.640 --> 0:14:16.920 that the lefties get in their favor. 0:14:17.040 --> 0:14:20.800 Check I cut the field in half for myself. Personally, 0:14:20.920 --> 0:14:25.880 I view four as legit, legit contenders, and I guess 0:14:25.880 --> 0:14:29.200 Schwarber's in there too. The guy that is number five 0:14:29.240 --> 0:14:31.640 for me, like I think Jordan Walker could put together 0:14:31.800 --> 0:14:34.080 some crazy swings, I don't know if he's gonna win 0:14:34.160 --> 0:14:36.480 this whole thing. The guy that I keep coming back 0:14:36.520 --> 0:14:39.120 to but is outside the top four for me is 0:14:39.160 --> 0:14:41.120 Ben Rice, Like I think Ben Rice can have a 0:14:41.200 --> 0:14:45.160 really solid showing in this derby, but he's five for me. 0:14:45.320 --> 0:14:48.520 And the four legit contenders that I feel like are 0:14:48.560 --> 0:14:53.480 coming into this are Schwarber, Murakami, Caglione, and Junior. I 0:14:53.560 --> 0:14:56.240 understand that it's more favorable to a left handed hitter, 0:14:56.320 --> 0:14:58.880 but at the end of the day, Junior is Junior. 0:14:59.040 --> 0:15:01.800 What we've seen from him and these swings, man, it 0:15:01.840 --> 0:15:04.800 could be absolutely ridiculous, But I think Kagleiann's a really 0:15:04.840 --> 0:15:05.240 good shout. 0:15:05.320 --> 0:15:05.680 Right now. 0:15:06.120 --> 0:15:09.240 I think Murri Kami is my pick, but I don't 0:15:09.280 --> 0:15:11.960 feel really good about that. Well, the model feels pretty 0:15:11.960 --> 0:15:13.760 good about that. I got a number two, Jack, You 0:15:13.800 --> 0:15:16.920 and the model you're simulating everything. Wow, how what was he? 0:15:17.040 --> 0:15:20.520 Like sixty five thousand simulations came out to Murakami or no? 0:15:20.560 --> 0:15:24.400 Like so the eighth number eight on the totem pole. 0:15:24.480 --> 0:15:26.360 How many of the two hundred thousand did he win? 0:15:26.600 --> 0:15:31.760 Derby? That is a good question, So let me scroll on, 0:15:31.920 --> 0:15:32.920 Like what was the deviation? 0:15:33.080 --> 0:15:35.000 Yeah, it is in terms a good question, like was 0:15:35.040 --> 0:15:37.600 there someone that was just so cooked? But there's no 0:15:37.640 --> 0:15:38.480 way because they're all. 0:15:38.520 --> 0:15:42.600 Like Wilson Contreras won fourteen Derbys of the two hundred thousand. 0:15:42.840 --> 0:15:45.080 I mean, phi Philly's fans aren't gonna like this. 0:15:45.240 --> 0:15:45.640 Harper? 0:15:47.200 --> 0:15:50.920 How many did Harper win for the two hundred Harper one. 0:15:52.720 --> 0:15:55.840 Now I'm trying to give you a percentage. It's like 0:15:56.520 --> 0:16:00.360 five point five percent. Five point five percent. 0:16:00.480 --> 0:16:03.520 Okay, it's like the it's like SpongeBob trying to pass 0:16:03.520 --> 0:16:06.560 his boating exam. You needed seven hundred, you got six. 0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:10.920 That's what the coming in coming in seventh. I had Wilson, 0:16:10.920 --> 0:16:15.680 Cantreras coming in sixth, Ben Rice, then Jordan Walker, and 0:16:15.760 --> 0:16:20.440 my top four were CAGs, Murakami, Cameron Aro and Schwarber. 0:16:20.440 --> 0:16:25.120 But it's actually ranked Schwarber number one, Murakami number two, 0:16:26.200 --> 0:16:28.960 Caglione number three, camon Arow number four. 0:16:30.320 --> 0:16:32.720 It's hard to argue against that. I do like I 0:16:32.760 --> 0:16:37.720 do like the order there I do. There's I want 0:16:37.720 --> 0:16:39.720 to go Schwarber, and there's part of me that like 0:16:39.800 --> 0:16:42.720 I could see it just going, oh gosh, of course 0:16:42.720 --> 0:16:44.400 it was Schwarber, and we watch him win with the 0:16:44.440 --> 0:16:46.720 bank behind him, and just it's just this most like 0:16:47.640 --> 0:16:49.680 I don't want to say predictable, but just kind of 0:16:49.720 --> 0:16:51.960 chalk situation that would be amazing to see. At the 0:16:52.000 --> 0:16:54.080 same time, but I also could see it just Harper 0:16:54.160 --> 0:16:56.240 is like, you think that guy's gonna go down without 0:16:56.240 --> 0:16:58.200 a fight, Like it's one that I think, like you 0:16:58.240 --> 0:17:03.200 can't fully value the just dog in that guy and 0:17:03.240 --> 0:17:05.680 how bad he's gonna want it, Like I think Bryce 0:17:05.720 --> 0:17:08.879 Harper really will want this bad and I think that 0:17:08.920 --> 0:17:11.639 part's gonna make it fascinating. And also the part that, like, 0:17:12.600 --> 0:17:15.600 he's a guy that is just so consistent with his swing, 0:17:15.920 --> 0:17:18.520 and I just think about an MVP in this kind 0:17:18.520 --> 0:17:20.680 of setting, he could kind of get into a rhythm 0:17:20.720 --> 0:17:22.919 here where he's just putting them out pretty consistently. So 0:17:23.359 --> 0:17:26.760 I do I agree with the top end. I think 0:17:26.800 --> 0:17:29.120 I'd put Harper a couple of spots up, but maybe 0:17:29.119 --> 0:17:30.520 that's just because he's Bryce Harper. 0:17:30.600 --> 0:17:33.120 It's so funny. Yeah, real quick. 0:17:33.160 --> 0:17:35.479 I mean, you remember the run that Harper went on 0:17:35.560 --> 0:17:37.720 in Washington. Obviously he was a much younger version of 0:17:37.720 --> 0:17:39.439 Bryce Harper at that time when he won the derby 0:17:39.440 --> 0:17:42.199 in Washington, But like you remember the end of some 0:17:42.320 --> 0:17:45.199 of his rounds in Washington where it was rinse and 0:17:45.240 --> 0:17:49.680 repeat identical, like ballflight was identical. He was just peppering 0:17:49.720 --> 0:17:52.600 it was it was, to Arm's point, like the exact 0:17:52.760 --> 0:17:56.200 same thing like eight times at the end of these rounds. 0:17:57.080 --> 0:18:00.560 I think what the model is failing to count for 0:18:00.840 --> 0:18:02.760 is that dog in them? And I think that's what 0:18:02.800 --> 0:18:05.280 models always fail to do. That's why models every single 0:18:05.280 --> 0:18:07.639 season when we do our win totals episode arm the 0:18:07.680 --> 0:18:09.919 Brewers are every year like eighty one and a half, 0:18:10.359 --> 0:18:12.200 We're like, what, that's why you got to touch grass 0:18:12.200 --> 0:18:15.040 and watch the game exactly so here. But here's the 0:18:15.040 --> 0:18:17.720 thing about Bryce Harper, Right, you look at the stack 0:18:17.800 --> 0:18:20.560 cast outa from this year, like he doesn't have the 0:18:20.600 --> 0:18:23.400 power that he used to. So we're kind of relying 0:18:23.440 --> 0:18:26.560 on with Harper compared to the rest of the field, because, 0:18:26.600 --> 0:18:28.000 I mean, this is a collection of some of the 0:18:28.000 --> 0:18:30.560 greatest power hitters in all of baseball. And Bryce Harper 0:18:30.640 --> 0:18:32.320 is having a great season. But he has twenty home 0:18:32.400 --> 0:18:34.000 runs for a reason. Right, He's not going to hit 0:18:34.040 --> 0:18:37.680 forty five jacks this year. He's a really, really good hinter, 0:18:37.760 --> 0:18:40.760 but I wouldn't even say that home runs are necessarily 0:18:41.080 --> 0:18:44.000 his game at this point compared to everybody else. I mean, 0:18:44.040 --> 0:18:46.520 I've Ben Rice finishing six and he's got twenty nine 0:18:46.600 --> 0:18:50.040 jacks this year. Wilson controlls per Ballpark. Powell has the 0:18:50.080 --> 0:18:53.119 most no doubter home runs. It's the most that have 0:18:53.160 --> 0:18:55.800 gone over four hundred and twenty feet this year, so 0:18:56.000 --> 0:18:58.680 and then Jordan Walker, Jack Haglion and the rest. It's 0:18:58.720 --> 0:19:03.879 like he just doesn't compare batted ball data wise to 0:19:04.119 --> 0:19:08.040 these guys. It is just it's Harper in Philly. Yeah, 0:19:08.080 --> 0:19:11.080 so I'm not even really debating you because saying the 0:19:11.080 --> 0:19:15.960 words Harper and Philly at the derby, I do like it. 0:19:16.640 --> 0:19:18.679 I did bet him to get bounced in the first round, though, 0:19:18.720 --> 0:19:20.600 I will admit bounce walkers round. 0:19:21.080 --> 0:19:23.399 Walker's ability to move the bat at just such an 0:19:23.400 --> 0:19:25.479 elite level. I mean, if not for Junior Commonero, he's 0:19:25.520 --> 0:19:28.560 the guy that's moving the bad consistently the fastest in 0:19:29.160 --> 0:19:31.680 Major League Baseball right now, with an average bat speed 0:19:31.760 --> 0:19:34.040 north of seventy nine. Him and Junior are the only 0:19:34.040 --> 0:19:36.959 two guys in that department. So that part of it, 0:19:37.000 --> 0:19:40.000 I think there's gonna be a way that Jordan Walker 0:19:40.000 --> 0:19:42.919 inserts himself into this in terms of maybe he has 0:19:42.960 --> 0:19:45.000 one of the longest home runs, maybe he has like 0:19:45.520 --> 0:19:49.840 a really good round. I just I can't overlook Jordan 0:19:49.920 --> 0:19:52.440 Walker in this whole thing, and I just think he's 0:19:52.480 --> 0:19:54.639 going to give you a nice little run, even he 0:19:54.680 --> 0:19:56.199 might have a just a really good first round, and 0:19:56.200 --> 0:19:58.120 it's like just he gets beaten by a better round. 0:19:58.160 --> 0:19:59.480 I think we're just going to see a good showing 0:19:59.520 --> 0:20:02.399 from Jordan, but I wanted to shout that out. I 0:20:02.440 --> 0:20:05.320 think Murakami has a chance to do something really special here, 0:20:05.520 --> 0:20:07.720 and that's where I keep going back to. But soa 0:20:07.760 --> 0:20:11.520 can CAGs, and so can Schwarber. So my mind goes everywhere, 0:20:11.520 --> 0:20:12.520 and I think this is going to be one of 0:20:12.560 --> 0:20:14.240 the most competitive journeys we've ever had. 0:20:15.240 --> 0:20:17.800 I agree, But Jack, what I was going back to 0:20:17.840 --> 0:20:20.760 the beginning, right, you simulated two hundred thousand times, you 0:20:20.880 --> 0:20:23.200 drink eight beers and you go to Citizens Bank Park, 0:20:23.280 --> 0:20:26.080 and they all come to the same conclusion. Schwar bombs 0:20:26.080 --> 0:20:29.440 Warber at the Yeah, Schwarber at the bank. Because I'm 0:20:29.440 --> 0:20:31.960 also looking at you know, from even a betting angle, 0:20:32.000 --> 0:20:35.240 Schwarber is the odds on favorite, but my model says 0:20:35.280 --> 0:20:38.240 he should be like the definitive favorite, like he's even 0:20:38.320 --> 0:20:41.680 undervalued because they're trying to balance the odds across the rest. 0:20:41.760 --> 0:20:44.200 Like I think Ben Rice is even overvalued. I think 0:20:44.200 --> 0:20:47.119 Wilson Gatreroz is overvalued. I think Bryce Harper is overvalued. 0:20:47.200 --> 0:20:50.280 I think Jeordan Walker is overvalued. And in most simulations, 0:20:51.720 --> 0:20:54.879 Kyle Schuber wins it. So I'm going with Schwarber exactly. 0:20:54.960 --> 0:20:57.400 That met like the guy at the top. See you're 0:20:57.440 --> 0:20:58.840 the guy at the top right now. 0:20:59.400 --> 0:21:02.879 Yeah, you're the guys. It's the it's the Bell curve. 0:21:03.440 --> 0:21:06.359 It's the dumb It's the dumb. All lies in the 0:21:06.520 --> 0:21:10.639 middle being angry the bell curve meme. Everybody in the 0:21:10.640 --> 0:21:12.359 middle is like, oh, I hate this. There are so 0:21:12.359 --> 0:21:15.359 many different ways this could go like that. 0:21:15.480 --> 0:21:17.600 And then it's like, no, it's just schwar bobs in Philly. 0:21:17.640 --> 0:21:18.840 So Kylee s Forwarber is my pick. 0:21:20.440 --> 0:21:23.360 I as much as I want to kind of make 0:21:23.400 --> 0:21:26.200 the same pick, I really do think Schwarber is is 0:21:26.280 --> 0:21:29.480 kind of the most likely scenario there. But for the 0:21:29.520 --> 0:21:33.040 sake of being different different, I'm gonna go I'm gonna 0:21:33.040 --> 0:21:36.359 go Murrakami here. I think Markami puts on a special 0:21:36.400 --> 0:21:37.600 show Jack. 0:21:37.640 --> 0:21:40.080 For the sake of copying Orham, I'm sticking with my 0:21:40.160 --> 0:21:40.960 Murrakami pick. 0:21:41.359 --> 0:21:46.840 I like Murakami. Can I ben on a runner up? Yeah? 0:21:47.160 --> 0:21:47.560 Do whatever? 0:21:47.680 --> 0:21:50.720 Junior I think I think Junior is the runner up again. 0:21:51.880 --> 0:21:54.159 The way Junior backspins Baseball's like that was something that 0:21:54.240 --> 0:21:55.920 I think I've said that on the podcast now four 0:21:56.000 --> 0:22:00.160 or five, maybe seven thousand times. Dude, backspins baseball's differently, 0:22:00.280 --> 0:22:01.760 the batspeed is out of control. 0:22:02.440 --> 0:22:06.040 Yeah, and it's just did you account for average spin 0:22:06.160 --> 0:22:08.359 orientation on in your model? 0:22:08.840 --> 0:22:13.520 Every number? Every number, even numbers that haven't been invented yet. Really, 0:22:13.920 --> 0:22:15.320 I can't tell you. I'd have to kill you. 0:22:17.480 --> 0:22:21.080 I think that. Yeah, I cank got into my head. 0:22:21.119 --> 0:22:23.399 I'm going Schwarber, but I'm going Marikkami. 0:22:23.920 --> 0:22:25.080 How does how does claude work? 0:22:25.119 --> 0:22:25.199 Like? 0:22:25.200 --> 0:22:27.840 Could you text me a link to this prompt? And 0:22:27.920 --> 0:22:32.320 I could just like, yes, absolutely, yeah, please text me 0:22:32.400 --> 0:22:34.959 the link to. I was telling ARM two, like making 0:22:35.000 --> 0:22:38.359 this model is more fun than actually betting the Derby. 0:22:39.160 --> 0:22:41.720 It's like it's like the people that love fantasy mock drafts, right, 0:22:41.760 --> 0:22:43.159 it's fantasy mock draft season. 0:22:44.440 --> 0:22:47.040 Oh that's a love it. In comparison though, it's like 0:22:47.320 --> 0:22:49.680 mock draft is your actual drafter for you're all nervous, 0:22:49.800 --> 0:22:51.600 but the mock draft you're doing through all these different 0:22:51.640 --> 0:22:55.080 scenarios that it's so much fun. So I'm going with Schwarber, Arms, 0:22:55.080 --> 0:22:57.840 go with Mrkkami, Jack's going with Mark COMMI I will 0:22:57.840 --> 0:22:59.880 pick a runner up as well. I kind of want 0:22:59.880 --> 0:23:02.840 to go with Murrakami, but I also want to go 0:23:02.880 --> 0:23:05.119 with CAGs, so to be different, I'll go with Kags 0:23:05.160 --> 0:23:05.920 as my runner up. 0:23:06.119 --> 0:23:09.280 N nice. Yeah, I think Schwarmrsu Murakami and what could 0:23:09.280 --> 0:23:12.360 be an all time showdown would be special. 0:23:12.400 --> 0:23:14.879 I hope the bracket sets up that way. I agree, 0:23:15.280 --> 0:23:17.280 So make sure to go check out the Home Run derby. Obviously, 0:23:17.320 --> 0:23:19.159 if you're watching the show, you're probably gonna watch the 0:23:19.200 --> 0:23:21.600 Home Run Derby and also check us out at Other 0:23:21.720 --> 0:23:27.199 Half Brewing the day after the derby, Tuesday, July fourteenth, 0:23:27.240 --> 0:23:30.560 at seven pm Eastern. The boys are going to be 0:23:30.560 --> 0:23:33.920 at Other Half Brewing five dollars select beers. That should 0:23:33.920 --> 0:23:35.800 be enough to get you out there, but we're also 0:23:35.840 --> 0:23:37.960 going to be live MB trivia. We're going to be 0:23:37.960 --> 0:23:40.600 given out prizes. The Marine Layer Pod guys are going 0:23:40.600 --> 0:23:42.680 to be there at the entire Just Baseball staff. A 0:23:42.760 --> 0:23:46.320 bunch of people have rsvped already to head out to 0:23:46.520 --> 0:23:50.040 our event. Again. It's at Other Half Brewing in Philly 0:23:50.480 --> 0:23:55.280 Tuesday July fourteenth, from seven pm to eleven pm. We 0:23:55.400 --> 0:23:58.800 hope to see everybody there all right, Arm and I 0:23:58.840 --> 0:24:03.360 are going to talk about drafts superlatives, and Jack has 0:24:03.440 --> 0:24:06.040 to go take a flight, so he won't talk about 0:24:06.040 --> 0:24:08.400 the draft with us, but it's going to be really 0:24:08.440 --> 0:24:10.960 fun and podcast p I'm curious that we can hear 0:24:11.000 --> 0:24:13.840 from our friends from Hampton Farms before we talk about 0:24:13.840 --> 0:24:14.280 the draft. 0:24:15.280 --> 0:24:18.199 The best power hitters in the game pride themselves on 0:24:18.240 --> 0:24:21.600 swinging hard and maximizing exsit velocity, and they can't do 0:24:21.720 --> 0:24:25.600 that without muscle. 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So, like we said at the beginning 0:24:58.080 --> 0:25:00.760 of the show, we did a three hour live stream. 0:25:00.920 --> 0:25:05.040 We went through every single pick with our thoughts, and 0:25:05.080 --> 0:25:06.840 now we've had some time to kind of sit with 0:25:06.880 --> 0:25:12.439 these opinions. Right. Yeah, And I'm really excited because we 0:25:12.680 --> 0:25:16.320 have the biggest winner of the draft, the biggest head 0:25:16.440 --> 0:25:19.760 scratcher pick, because you made a really good point when 0:25:19.760 --> 0:25:24.600 we were talking about the topics. Everybody wants to talk about, Oh, 0:25:24.680 --> 0:25:28.200 this team lost the draft or this pick was terrible. 0:25:28.760 --> 0:25:32.520 We have no idea. Let's not pretend, folks, that we 0:25:32.640 --> 0:25:36.760 have any idea how this eighteen year old high schooler 0:25:37.160 --> 0:25:40.680 is going to develop at the time. Could we disagree 0:25:41.880 --> 0:25:46.439 is the away from consensus? Sure? Sure, but we're not 0:25:46.480 --> 0:25:48.560 going to call it a bad pick because we don't 0:25:48.600 --> 0:25:50.399 know what the team saw that maybe we don't have 0:25:50.480 --> 0:25:51.040 access to. 0:25:51.600 --> 0:25:53.199 That's the biggest thing. I was going to say, Like, 0:25:54.240 --> 0:25:55.720 we might be right. I might be right if I 0:25:55.720 --> 0:25:59.520 don't like the pick, but they know that player more 0:25:59.520 --> 0:26:01.800 intimately than I do, so maybe there's something they know. 0:26:01.880 --> 0:26:04.520 So we could say it's a head scratcher. But yeah, 0:26:04.560 --> 0:26:06.800 I just can't subscribe to like you're the loser of 0:26:06.840 --> 0:26:09.640 the thing that we don't even have any results yet 0:26:09.640 --> 0:26:11.840 of how it may go exactly. 0:26:12.040 --> 0:26:14.560 And so we have the best value pick, we have 0:26:14.600 --> 0:26:17.800 the best fit, we have the most underrated pick. We 0:26:17.880 --> 0:26:20.199 have the highest ceiling of a player in this draft 0:26:20.280 --> 0:26:23.560 and also the highest floor. We also have quickest MLB 0:26:23.800 --> 0:26:28.399 and the biggest boom or bust prospect. So arm let's 0:26:28.400 --> 0:26:31.199 start at the top. Who was the biggest winner of 0:26:31.240 --> 0:26:32.600 the twenty twenty six draft. 0:26:33.160 --> 0:26:35.520 Yeah, I gotta go with it with a chalky answer, 0:26:35.560 --> 0:26:37.720 and I'm going to go with the team that had, 0:26:37.840 --> 0:26:40.959 you know, bonus pool allocation that was like the size 0:26:40.960 --> 0:26:43.160 of the GDP of like a small country. And it's 0:26:43.160 --> 0:26:45.399 the Chicago White Sox. You had the number one overall pick, 0:26:45.640 --> 0:26:49.560 but then you also have just a ridiculous amount of 0:26:49.600 --> 0:26:51.240 bonus pool money. Right, they go out and they make 0:26:51.280 --> 0:26:53.720 that trade, They trade Jacob Gonzalez, they get the compa 0:26:53.840 --> 0:26:56.399 pick to add a couple more million, you know, into 0:26:56.480 --> 0:26:59.640 their bonus pool, to put it over twenty million dollars. 0:27:00.040 --> 0:27:01.440 What do they do? They go out, they take the 0:27:01.520 --> 0:27:04.000 number one player in the class or you know what 0:27:04.280 --> 0:27:06.920 viewed by many as the number one player in the class. 0:27:07.080 --> 0:27:10.760 Then they go out and get a bunch of high upside, 0:27:10.880 --> 0:27:13.680 exciting prepsters beyond that where you'll get land and tell 0:27:13.720 --> 0:27:15.800 me which was like a shoe in to be added 0:27:15.840 --> 0:27:17.320 to the fold. Of course, son of Jim, tell me 0:27:17.520 --> 0:27:19.000 cole Prose's a guy that I think a lot of 0:27:19.040 --> 0:27:20.879 people are excited about and they're gonna have to pay 0:27:20.880 --> 0:27:23.320 a pretty penny to be able to add Alex Weinngartner, 0:27:23.520 --> 0:27:27.520 another prepster from Jersey that has tons of upside that 0:27:27.560 --> 0:27:29.760 they're excited to be able to sign, and again won't 0:27:29.800 --> 0:27:33.440 come cheap. There's several other prepsters that they took within 0:27:33.480 --> 0:27:36.120 the first fifteen picks that they are able to use 0:27:36.359 --> 0:27:40.080 their all time bonus pool, you know, bonus pool value 0:27:40.200 --> 0:27:42.720 to be able to sign these guys away from college commitments. 0:27:42.960 --> 0:27:46.800 You have, again one of the more accomplished college bats 0:27:46.800 --> 0:27:48.520 at the top, one of the best shortstop prospects we've 0:27:48.520 --> 0:27:51.240 seen in a very long time, and then you've got 0:27:51.320 --> 0:27:54.439 all of these high upside high school kids behind that 0:27:54.440 --> 0:27:57.000 that I think is really really exciting, mixing some college 0:27:57.040 --> 0:27:59.000 pieces as well. But I think just the way of 0:27:59.040 --> 0:28:01.600 balancing out number one pick in the draft with a 0:28:01.640 --> 0:28:04.320 ton of high upside prepsters, it's hard to argue against 0:28:04.320 --> 0:28:06.960 the White Sox being the team that you know, brought 0:28:06.960 --> 0:28:09.080 in the most talent to their organization. And that's what 0:28:09.119 --> 0:28:10.720 twenty and a half million dollars can do. 0:28:10.720 --> 0:28:12.800 For you, one hundred percent. And I also loved the 0:28:12.880 --> 0:28:16.120 pick of Joey Voulsko. He's pitched trut of the University 0:28:16.200 --> 0:28:18.440 of Georgia. He was one of my favorite pitchers to 0:28:18.480 --> 0:28:20.320 watch last year in college baseball, and I was shocked 0:28:20.320 --> 0:28:22.639 to see him go at pick seventy seven. But I 0:28:22.680 --> 0:28:25.040 also think there was the biggest loser that we didn't mention, 0:28:25.200 --> 0:28:30.400 and it's Rob Manfred when he mispronounced Rock Chalouski Arm. 0:28:30.480 --> 0:28:34.639 He's the Commissioner of Baseball and he's mispronouncing the number 0:28:34.680 --> 0:28:38.200 one pick and what I guess was the number one 0:28:38.200 --> 0:28:40.640 pick for what the last year, and he messes up 0:28:40.640 --> 0:28:43.320 his name. Dude. I mean, it's inexcuseable. 0:28:43.400 --> 0:28:45.560 It's crazy because we were at the Futures Games day 0:28:45.560 --> 0:28:48.720 and they put up like a highlight reel like we're 0:28:48.760 --> 0:28:51.840 just promoting the draft in the recent picks, and like 0:28:52.320 --> 0:28:55.840 very obviously, they didn't show the one to one pick. 0:28:55.920 --> 0:28:58.280 They went straight to like the number two pick, which 0:28:58.400 --> 0:29:01.920 was you know, him saying, here's Grady Emerson or whoever 0:29:01.920 --> 0:29:04.040 it was like with the number two pick, is Grady Emerson. 0:29:04.240 --> 0:29:07.240 The fact that for the remainder of time now, like 0:29:07.280 --> 0:29:10.120 any Rock Cholaski edit that the White Socks do, or 0:29:10.160 --> 0:29:11.920 that any team does, or you know that the league 0:29:11.960 --> 0:29:14.040 wants to do, and it's so classic. You always see 0:29:14.040 --> 0:29:16.440 like where it all began, right with the number one 0:29:16.480 --> 0:29:19.240 pick and it's Rock Chowlaski, and then it goes into 0:29:19.280 --> 0:29:20.680 the minor leagues and the majors and you see the 0:29:20.680 --> 0:29:22.400 whole progression, like we've seen those types of edits with 0:29:22.400 --> 0:29:24.080 Bobby Witt and all these different guys all the time 0:29:24.800 --> 0:29:28.400 that you can't do that beyond that. And obviously Rock 0:29:28.480 --> 0:29:30.160 was thrilled. He saw him get so emotional and it 0:29:30.200 --> 0:29:33.000 was just a special time for him regardless. But dude, 0:29:33.080 --> 0:29:35.240 this is the most special, like one of the most 0:29:35.240 --> 0:29:37.600 special days of his entire life, maybe the most at 0:29:37.600 --> 0:29:40.920 this point for him. And you're the commission Major League Baseball. 0:29:41.000 --> 0:29:42.600 The only thing you have to do is just pronounce 0:29:42.640 --> 0:29:44.440 his name. Right. It's just like a basic human right. 0:29:44.480 --> 0:29:47.760 We have just to pronounce our names, right. I think 0:29:47.800 --> 0:29:51.400 that is one of the most embarrassing faux pause I 0:29:51.440 --> 0:29:54.080 can remember the commissioner of any sport in a long time, 0:29:54.120 --> 0:29:55.480 and it may not seem like that big of a deal, 0:29:55.600 --> 0:29:58.600 but this was like the obvious one to one candidate, 0:29:58.680 --> 0:30:00.440 and if it didn't go one, you he was going 0:30:00.440 --> 0:30:03.720 in the top three picks. Has he never said his 0:30:03.840 --> 0:30:07.240 name once until that point? What? What happened? How does 0:30:07.280 --> 0:30:09.640 that happen? I think it's inexcusable and to me, like, 0:30:10.680 --> 0:30:13.240 I can't think of a justification for it other than 0:30:13.680 --> 0:30:14.760 Manfred just didn't care. 0:30:16.400 --> 0:30:18.560 I think that's the biggest blunder since the twenty twenty 0:30:18.600 --> 0:30:22.760 four All Star Game when that woman's saying the national anthem. 0:30:23.240 --> 0:30:25.720 Remember that was that the frigging no. Do you remember 0:30:25.720 --> 0:30:28.400 when the woman was intoxicating? 0:30:28.480 --> 0:30:31.360 Yeah, yeah, she was not, she was Yeah. That was bad. 0:30:32.320 --> 0:30:32.880 That was bad. 0:30:33.080 --> 0:30:36.160 Yeah. I think that is the biggest blunder since then 0:30:36.400 --> 0:30:38.640 on the public stage of an MLB event. 0:30:39.000 --> 0:30:43.320 Better or worse than calling the World Series Trophy a 0:30:43.360 --> 0:30:44.080 hunk of metal. 0:30:46.800 --> 0:30:48.960 I think it's the same. It's just all garbage. It's 0:30:49.040 --> 0:30:50.720 just all horrible looks for everybody. 0:30:51.120 --> 0:30:52.040 I think it's worse. 0:30:54.040 --> 0:30:55.800 It might be worse. I mean they're all bad. It's 0:30:55.840 --> 0:30:59.280 like they're all zero out of tens the number one, 0:30:59.440 --> 0:31:01.800 they're all zero. Yeah, it's the number one pick. I 0:31:01.800 --> 0:31:04.360 don't know what. I can't believe they did that or 0:31:04.600 --> 0:31:07.480 Rob Manford did that? All right? My biggest winner was 0:31:07.480 --> 0:31:09.960 also the White Sox for basically everything that you said. 0:31:10.240 --> 0:31:12.680 When you have the most bonus pull money, you pick 0:31:12.800 --> 0:31:17.760 number one overall, the fan base goes wild. That's the 0:31:17.760 --> 0:31:20.200 biggest winner of the draft. There were plenty of other winners. 0:31:20.240 --> 0:31:22.160 A lot of teams had really good drafts. Was there 0:31:22.200 --> 0:31:23.760 any that off the top of your mind, Like, I'm 0:31:23.800 --> 0:31:25.840 sure the White Sox were the biggest winner, but there 0:31:25.880 --> 0:31:27.080 was plenty of winners. 0:31:27.400 --> 0:31:29.840 Yeah, you know, I loved Oakland or oh, I love 0:31:29.880 --> 0:31:33.959 the Athletics draft. You know, Drew Burris slipping quote unquote 0:31:33.960 --> 0:31:35.840 to eight might sound crazy to say slip, but I 0:31:35.920 --> 0:31:38.080 just I just love what he's able to bring to 0:31:38.120 --> 0:31:39.720 the table. And I think he's a guy that you 0:31:39.840 --> 0:31:41.840 should have won a couple of picks earlier so to 0:31:41.880 --> 0:31:43.480 be able to get him. And then Mason Edwards to 0:31:43.560 --> 0:31:47.000 grab you know, the lefty there at the forty seventh pick, 0:31:47.120 --> 0:31:49.000 and then gave Gackle, Like, I just love their top 0:31:49.040 --> 0:31:51.200 three picks a lot. I think Roman Martin's a sneaky 0:31:51.200 --> 0:31:53.680 guy that they got in the fourth round. You know, 0:31:53.880 --> 0:31:56.520 it's kind of a little bit shocky college guys, but 0:31:56.640 --> 0:31:58.680 I think all guys that they were very happy and 0:31:58.760 --> 0:32:01.000 fortunate to have kind of like and where they landed. 0:32:01.040 --> 0:32:05.040 So I really liked the Athletics draft, and I even thought, 0:32:05.120 --> 0:32:08.520 you know that the Brewers as always like they're going 0:32:08.600 --> 0:32:10.160 to have and we're gonna talk about them a little 0:32:10.160 --> 0:32:12.400 bit more because there's some overlap here. But the tray 0:32:12.480 --> 0:32:15.680 Evil fit is cool because you know, his brother Brady 0:32:15.760 --> 0:32:17.760 is you know, really been tearing it up in the 0:32:17.760 --> 0:32:20.200 Brewer system, and I know they love him Strasneider will 0:32:20.200 --> 0:32:21.480 talk about a little bit later we but to be 0:32:21.480 --> 0:32:23.680 able to get him in the second round a knack 0:32:23.760 --> 0:32:25.440 with their fifth round pick was exciting. I know there's 0:32:25.440 --> 0:32:28.160 several other picks that Tyler was really bullish on as well. 0:32:28.200 --> 0:32:30.400 The Brewers always do quite a good job. But it 0:32:30.440 --> 0:32:33.280 was funny going through it. You know, every team's process 0:32:33.280 --> 0:32:35.920 has just become so refined that you can look at 0:32:35.920 --> 0:32:38.440 every draft and kind of understand what they were thinking, 0:32:38.440 --> 0:32:39.960 how they were approaching it, and you know, kind of 0:32:39.960 --> 0:32:41.440 get behind it. Yeah. 0:32:41.480 --> 0:32:45.680 Absolutely, And sorry, I just got thrown off a little 0:32:45.680 --> 0:32:47.920 bit because my computer is about to die. Folks were 0:32:47.920 --> 0:32:50.080 in Philly. You know, things are a little bit messed up. 0:32:50.080 --> 0:32:52.000 We're trying to give you the best live stream possible. 0:32:52.160 --> 0:32:54.400 But before I plug in my laptop. Let's talk about 0:32:54.440 --> 0:32:57.920 the biggest head scratcher, biggest head scratcher in this draft, 0:32:58.920 --> 0:33:02.640 the pick that just made you you don't understand. It's 0:33:02.640 --> 0:33:05.200 not like it's a bad pick, because again, I don't 0:33:05.200 --> 0:33:06.880 think any of us can call anything a bad pick 0:33:06.920 --> 0:33:09.320 at this point. We already talked about that. But the 0:33:09.360 --> 0:33:12.200 move the draft pick that just made you go, what. 0:33:13.640 --> 0:33:16.280 Yeah, and you know like he could age really well. 0:33:16.560 --> 0:33:20.000 And I would venture to guess that the I know 0:33:20.040 --> 0:33:23.800 that the the Royals love Zion Rose, and so maybe 0:33:23.800 --> 0:33:26.400 there's something there that that they see and and I 0:33:26.440 --> 0:33:28.400 mean I what I do see with Zion Rose at 0:33:28.440 --> 0:33:31.280 six overall is he's one of the better bat to 0:33:31.320 --> 0:33:34.560 ball guys that we saw in this draft. My concern is, 0:33:35.360 --> 0:33:37.280 while he's a good athlete, there's not a ton of 0:33:37.320 --> 0:33:40.000 defensive value yet. I think there's there's some some hope 0:33:40.040 --> 0:33:41.800 that he can maybe move over to center and give 0:33:41.840 --> 0:33:45.240 you value there. But my concern with Rose is as 0:33:45.280 --> 0:33:46.960 good as he is back to ball wise, I don't 0:33:46.960 --> 0:33:49.280 know how much confidence I have in the consistency quality 0:33:49.280 --> 0:33:52.000 of contact. Wise, he's not as good at being able 0:33:52.080 --> 0:33:54.680 or to consistently pull the ball as you'd probably like 0:33:54.720 --> 0:33:56.560 to see, and I think that limits him some. I 0:33:56.560 --> 0:33:58.680 think that results in a lot more like inside out 0:33:58.680 --> 0:34:02.240 swings and then you probably want to see. I do 0:34:02.320 --> 0:34:04.240 have some concern that it's just gonna be an uphill 0:34:04.280 --> 0:34:06.280 battle for Rose compared to some of the other guys 0:34:06.280 --> 0:34:07.880 that were drafted in that range to get to that 0:34:07.920 --> 0:34:10.719 three plus war plateau. He has tools, I know, the 0:34:10.760 --> 0:34:14.880 makeup is lauded incredibly well. People really like what he 0:34:14.920 --> 0:34:16.919 brings to the table. He's obviously a winner, Like there's 0:34:16.960 --> 0:34:19.080 a lot of intangibles to like. But when you look 0:34:19.080 --> 0:34:20.760 at what the Royals did after that, because you imagine 0:34:20.760 --> 0:34:22.399 that's a big savings pick, Like a lot of people 0:34:22.440 --> 0:34:25.920 thought that the Royals may get Rose with their thirtieth 0:34:26.000 --> 0:34:29.640 overall selection, there wasn't like that clear, clear, clear cut, 0:34:29.960 --> 0:34:33.160 you know, overslot guy that I think compensates for I 0:34:33.480 --> 0:34:35.200 rab was a good pick. Like there's a couple other 0:34:35.239 --> 0:34:39.040 guys that I know, you know, Tyler had mentioned, we're intriguing, 0:34:39.080 --> 0:34:40.960 like Kendon Johnson. I'm sure he's going to get an 0:34:41.000 --> 0:34:43.439 overslot deal. There's a couple other guys that you could 0:34:43.440 --> 0:34:44.840 look at and say are probably going to get an 0:34:44.920 --> 0:34:47.560 overslot deal. But at the same time, I don't know 0:34:47.600 --> 0:34:50.000 if there was that clear cut man they were able 0:34:50.000 --> 0:34:51.759 to snag him like they were able to get you 0:34:52.200 --> 0:34:54.000 get by him down to the fourth round. Like you 0:34:54.040 --> 0:34:56.399 google the Red Sox. What they do is Shaffner. There's 0:34:56.400 --> 0:34:58.279 a couple guys that they bought down that I think 0:34:58.320 --> 0:35:00.800 made it make a lot of sense with the Royals, 0:35:01.080 --> 0:35:03.759 at least at this present moment, I don't see that 0:35:04.160 --> 0:35:06.160 to make it make sense to go Zion Rose at 0:35:06.239 --> 0:35:08.440 number six when you had some of the guys that 0:35:08.440 --> 0:35:10.360 were available on the board, including you know, like a 0:35:10.440 --> 0:35:13.080 Drew Burris or an Eric Booth. 0:35:13.920 --> 0:35:17.319 Yeah, no, I think that is the answer. But if 0:35:17.320 --> 0:35:21.440 I were to get a second pick in there, I 0:35:21.440 --> 0:35:23.759 think I would go with the Mets taking Carson Wiggins. 0:35:24.080 --> 0:35:28.839 And basically I'm looking at Tyler Jennings, who does such 0:35:28.880 --> 0:35:31.480 a great job again at just baseball dot Com made 0:35:31.520 --> 0:35:34.480 a big board of three hundred and thirteen prospects, and 0:35:34.520 --> 0:35:36.439 with the twenty seventh pick in the draft, the Mets 0:35:36.520 --> 0:35:39.160 drafted Carson Wiggins. He is ranked one hundred and forty 0:35:39.239 --> 0:35:42.879 third on Tyler's big board. And it's not me necessarily 0:35:43.000 --> 0:35:45.240 just looking at the big board and seeing the biggest difference. 0:35:45.840 --> 0:35:48.640 It's also like this guy pitched at Arkansas and he's 0:35:48.719 --> 0:35:52.920 mostly a two pitch guy. He's got this buzzsawv of fastball. 0:35:52.960 --> 0:35:54.719 He's got a great fastball, there's no doubt about it. 0:35:54.760 --> 0:35:58.640 That's I'm sure what Dave Stearnson company saw and said 0:35:58.680 --> 0:36:00.719 we can build off that. Right now, he's kind of 0:36:00.760 --> 0:36:03.319 working with a fastball that's in the upper nine. He's 0:36:03.360 --> 0:36:05.520 even touched one hundred miles an hour and a really 0:36:05.520 --> 0:36:10.040 really good slider. However, he only sometimes will toss in 0:36:10.080 --> 0:36:13.719 a curveball, and he has major command issues. So you're 0:36:13.760 --> 0:36:17.359 talking about a guy who has huge reliever risk in 0:36:17.400 --> 0:36:21.760 the first round. And it's not reliever risk just because 0:36:21.760 --> 0:36:24.719 he has command issues, but he has four pitches. It's 0:36:24.880 --> 0:36:28.160 double reliever risk because he really only has two pitches. 0:36:28.800 --> 0:36:30.880 And I just felt like at that part of the 0:36:31.000 --> 0:36:34.279 draft again, it confused me. Could he go to the 0:36:34.320 --> 0:36:37.400 Mets and they turn him around completely, They give him 0:36:37.440 --> 0:36:39.600 one or two more pitches and they will find the 0:36:39.600 --> 0:36:42.120 command and that fastball really plays up and he ends 0:36:42.160 --> 0:36:45.920 up being a steal Absolutely. But at the current moment, 0:36:46.640 --> 0:36:49.279 looking at Tyler's Big Board, ranked one hundred and forty three. 0:36:49.600 --> 0:36:52.520 Watching him at Arkansas just be inconsistent and the command 0:36:52.600 --> 0:36:55.319 was not there, knowing he has two pitches, I was 0:36:55.400 --> 0:36:59.200 surprised to see him go again twenty seventh overall. 0:37:00.000 --> 0:37:03.279 And I think another part of that equation was that 0:37:03.320 --> 0:37:05.759 the health side a little bit clearly the Mets, who 0:37:05.840 --> 0:37:08.719 have let medicals stop them from signing their first round 0:37:08.719 --> 0:37:10.279 pick in the past. We'll see what happens here, but 0:37:10.400 --> 0:37:13.560 I'd imagine that they're gonna They're gonna sign Wiggins. Yeah, 0:37:13.840 --> 0:37:17.120 they clearly feel okay about it. There's a fun temple 0:37:17.239 --> 0:37:18.600 to start with when you've got the heater. But I 0:37:18.640 --> 0:37:21.359 agree with the time that he's missed with the lack 0:37:21.400 --> 0:37:25.000 of polish. Overall, the Mets see something, and you know, 0:37:25.000 --> 0:37:27.960 with pitchers especially like things changed so quickly as you 0:37:28.000 --> 0:37:30.640 alluded to, so it could make sense quite quickly. But 0:37:30.719 --> 0:37:34.240 at this present moment, I do agree that it could 0:37:34.320 --> 0:37:37.520 seem like it may not be the best value at 0:37:37.520 --> 0:37:40.919 this point because I also know that that Tyler didn't 0:37:40.920 --> 0:37:42.799 love the Robbins pick either, and so it's like, if 0:37:42.800 --> 0:37:45.480 you didn't flank that with a pick that maybe made 0:37:45.480 --> 0:37:47.000 it make sense. If it's a savings pick on the 0:37:47.040 --> 0:37:49.279 top as well, it can become a little bit more 0:37:49.280 --> 0:37:50.960 of a head scratcher, exactly. 0:37:51.040 --> 0:37:53.000 Let's move over to the next one, which is the 0:37:53.040 --> 0:37:56.719 best value pick in the draft? Right? You know, we 0:37:56.719 --> 0:37:58.799 could dive into the fifth and sixth round, but I'm 0:37:58.800 --> 0:38:01.200 sure we're likely going to be focusing still on the 0:38:01.239 --> 0:38:03.320 first couple of rounds unless you want to go deeper. 0:38:03.360 --> 0:38:05.200 But who is your best value pick? 0:38:05.280 --> 0:38:05.440 Right? 0:38:05.480 --> 0:38:08.040 We're looking at was this guy draft in the second 0:38:08.080 --> 0:38:10.080 you thought he should have gone to the first, you know, 0:38:10.239 --> 0:38:13.239 signing bonus everything. Best value pick? 0:38:13.840 --> 0:38:17.080 Yeah, I think it's probably Sawyer Strasneider just lent into 0:38:17.120 --> 0:38:20.759 the Brewers where he did in the second round. With Strasneider, 0:38:20.960 --> 0:38:23.240 I just I feel like there's a very exciting skill 0:38:23.280 --> 0:38:25.239 set here. There's a little bit of concern that he 0:38:25.280 --> 0:38:27.200 may swing and miss, but now you put him in 0:38:27.239 --> 0:38:29.839 this organization with the Brewers that have just done such 0:38:29.880 --> 0:38:33.160 an incredible job at developing hitters, and hey, you think 0:38:33.200 --> 0:38:35.319 about that fit too. We're gonna talk about fit, but 0:38:35.520 --> 0:38:37.840 just in general, you're getting a guy that I thought 0:38:37.840 --> 0:38:40.279 was a top twenty player in the class, and you 0:38:40.280 --> 0:38:42.360 could make a case was maybe a top fifteen player 0:38:42.400 --> 0:38:43.880 in this class. I thought was one of the more 0:38:43.920 --> 0:38:46.680 exciting of those Tier two bats, and you get him 0:38:46.680 --> 0:38:50.480 at sixty six. I think that's a really good value 0:38:50.560 --> 0:38:54.719 pick there by the Brewers, who just consistently draft quite well. 0:38:54.719 --> 0:38:56.960 But the bat speed stands out to me. The bats 0:38:57.000 --> 0:38:59.319 of ball. Again, there is some with concern, but the 0:38:59.360 --> 0:39:03.640 contact right was right there with like a Ace Reese 0:39:04.000 --> 0:39:06.799 and Tyler Bell, And so when you look at it 0:39:06.800 --> 0:39:10.279 from that perspective, like you got him a lot later 0:39:10.320 --> 0:39:12.560 than those guys, I think he's a better athlete than 0:39:12.560 --> 0:39:15.560 he's getting credit for. Might give him some running center, 0:39:15.560 --> 0:39:18.000 but ultimately I think you play a solid corner the Armstrong. 0:39:18.480 --> 0:39:20.240 I just feel like the some of this guy's parts 0:39:20.280 --> 0:39:22.480 are are are quite good, and I was so very 0:39:22.520 --> 0:39:25.799 surprised to see him slide out of that first round. 0:39:25.800 --> 0:39:27.400 And I do wonder if maybe the Brewers was able 0:39:27.440 --> 0:39:29.040 to buy him down a little bit there with the 0:39:29.320 --> 0:39:30.319 evil pick at the top. 0:39:30.800 --> 0:39:33.520 Yeah, we're gonna get two best fits soon. And I 0:39:33.560 --> 0:39:35.480 really love the fit with sort of show center with 0:39:35.520 --> 0:39:38.640 the Brewers because I think there is hit tool concerns there. 0:39:39.280 --> 0:39:41.799 Who's pretty good at teaching guys how to hit. Yeah, 0:39:42.000 --> 0:39:43.879 Milwaukee Berds, they might be the best at it. Right, 0:39:44.040 --> 0:39:47.080 the way they turned around Andrew Vaughn turned around a 0:39:47.160 --> 0:39:49.839 number of guys, I mean, right, they get, you know, 0:39:50.400 --> 0:39:53.000 a bunch of praise and deservedly so for turning around 0:39:53.040 --> 0:39:55.360 all these pitchers. They're doing the same with the bats, 0:39:55.840 --> 0:39:58.759 like Garrett Mitchell has been banged up and hurt and 0:39:59.280 --> 0:40:02.759 incredibly consistent, but he just keeps getting better and better. Right, 0:40:02.760 --> 0:40:04.960 They've turned around a number of guys. So for a 0:40:04.960 --> 0:40:07.200 guy with hit tool concerns, with a lot of other tools, 0:40:07.719 --> 0:40:10.200 to go over to the Brewers, it's hard not to 0:40:10.200 --> 0:40:14.759 really like that one. My mine is another really good 0:40:14.840 --> 0:40:17.880 organization with a guy that we talked about at length 0:40:18.640 --> 0:40:22.400 on the draft stream. That's Bo Lawrence, Bo Lawrence whatever. 0:40:22.480 --> 0:40:24.800 All I know is he's six for five, two hundred pounds, 0:40:25.600 --> 0:40:28.279 and he's got a really really smooth swing. He's a 0:40:28.320 --> 0:40:32.080 prep guy. But I think, and you correct me if 0:40:32.120 --> 0:40:35.280 I'm wrong, here are the fact that he's an older eighteen, 0:40:35.680 --> 0:40:38.839 that he's nineteen years old. Do you think that these 0:40:38.960 --> 0:40:41.560 draft models who are trying to get guys in their 0:40:41.640 --> 0:40:46.120 organizations younger and younger maybe overlooked him just because in 0:40:46.200 --> 0:40:49.439 terms of the prep guys he's one of the older players. 0:40:50.600 --> 0:40:52.800 It's it's interesting because, like even then, I feel like, 0:40:52.840 --> 0:40:56.440 if you're on the right side of of nineteen, it's 0:40:56.520 --> 0:40:59.480 such a crazy phrase to say you're generally going to 0:40:59.560 --> 0:41:02.200 be five, but maybe that could bake into it. I 0:41:02.239 --> 0:41:04.120 do know even a matter of a few months does 0:41:04.239 --> 0:41:08.520 sway these draft models, generally speaking. But I think that 0:41:08.680 --> 0:41:11.000 was a heck of a grab there for the Dodgers, 0:41:11.000 --> 0:41:14.200 and I had him as my most underrated pick because 0:41:14.239 --> 0:41:16.520 there's kind of an overlap there, because I mean, when 0:41:16.719 --> 0:41:19.839 with Laurns, you're getting somebody that is six foot five 0:41:20.040 --> 0:41:23.240 with a great feel to hit, that already has shown 0:41:23.280 --> 0:41:26.279 improved athleticism, which you don't typically see for a guy 0:41:26.320 --> 0:41:29.440 that's that lanky and big for his size. You just 0:41:29.480 --> 0:41:32.040 see like the awkward baby draft thing. Instead, you have 0:41:32.080 --> 0:41:34.360 a really smooth swing and a guy that's continued to 0:41:34.360 --> 0:41:36.359 develop and move his feet better on the left side 0:41:36.400 --> 0:41:38.439 of the infield. Probably gonna play third base, but looks 0:41:38.440 --> 0:41:39.880 like he's gonna have a chance to stick there and 0:41:39.880 --> 0:41:42.560 provide some value there. And then you think about how 0:41:42.600 --> 0:41:45.520 much power he can grow into with such an easy 0:41:45.560 --> 0:41:47.799 and smooth swing as he just continues to fill out 0:41:47.800 --> 0:41:49.759 and yeah, just kind of generate a little bit more 0:41:49.800 --> 0:41:52.799 whip and this could be a very fun combination of 0:41:52.880 --> 0:41:55.600 hit and power. And you talk about an organization that 0:41:55.640 --> 0:41:59.319 can help maximize that, I think you're gonna Seelronce be 0:41:59.320 --> 0:42:01.880 able to get a lot more out of his base 0:42:01.960 --> 0:42:04.719 and just to tap into more juice in an organization 0:42:04.800 --> 0:42:07.560 like the Dodgers, who is just just consistently helped their players. 0:42:07.239 --> 0:42:11.000 Do that, Dodgers getting value picks. I bet it's making 0:42:11.040 --> 0:42:15.000 everybody in the YouTube chat just squirm. Thank you everybody 0:42:15.080 --> 0:42:17.880 joining live here on YouTube. Hopefully you guys enjoyed the 0:42:17.960 --> 0:42:20.400 draft stream yesterday and you're currently enjoying this dream. The 0:42:20.400 --> 0:42:22.839 best way to support this dream for absolutely free, all 0:42:22.880 --> 0:42:25.560 we ask just smash the like bundon and subscribe. And 0:42:25.600 --> 0:42:28.319 if you're listening after the fact on audio, best way 0:42:28.360 --> 0:42:31.040 to support the show for free is to leave a 0:42:31.200 --> 0:42:34.919 five star review. All right, let's get over to best fit. 0:42:35.360 --> 0:42:37.960 So a player like we've kind of already talked about 0:42:38.000 --> 0:42:40.000 some of these guys where you know, it might be 0:42:40.040 --> 0:42:42.799 a profile that has a problem, but they go to 0:42:42.840 --> 0:42:46.839 an organization that's the best at fixing that problem. Arm 0:42:46.840 --> 0:42:48.880 who's your best fit of the draft. 0:42:49.200 --> 0:42:52.120 So for me, I want a little bit different from 0:42:52.239 --> 0:42:54.000 that path because I do have a couple of guys 0:42:54.040 --> 0:42:55.920 I didn't kind of fit that mold, and like Strasnider 0:42:56.000 --> 0:42:58.480 is one of those. But in terms of the best fit, 0:42:58.600 --> 0:43:01.120 I just thought about like kind of needing each other. 0:43:01.239 --> 0:43:04.920 And I go to Jackson, Flora with the San Francisco Giants, 0:43:04.960 --> 0:43:07.040 and you have a Bay Area kid. You have the 0:43:07.040 --> 0:43:09.880 top right hander in the class and the top pitcher 0:43:09.880 --> 0:43:13.480 in the class comfortably, and you have a Giants organization 0:43:14.200 --> 0:43:17.640 that really needs pitching help. I mean, and we talk 0:43:17.680 --> 0:43:19.640 about not really drafting on need shore, but like when 0:43:19.680 --> 0:43:21.480 you think about the fit and what he brings to 0:43:21.520 --> 0:43:25.359 this organization immediately, we just put out our Giants' top 0:43:25.360 --> 0:43:29.680 fifteen prospects and they have two right handed pitching prospects 0:43:29.680 --> 0:43:32.840 in the top fifteen, both are at low A. So 0:43:32.920 --> 0:43:34.480 when you bring in a guy that could kind of 0:43:34.520 --> 0:43:36.959 immediately you get assign him straight to the Texas League 0:43:37.000 --> 0:43:40.240 to double A and just watch him overwhelm hitters. Also, 0:43:40.920 --> 0:43:44.880 the fastball is clearly plus, the sleeper is gross, and 0:43:44.920 --> 0:43:47.239 he has two variations of that breaking ball ones that 0:43:47.400 --> 0:43:50.320 a little bit harder as well. That looks like it's gross, 0:43:50.600 --> 0:43:52.919 and then you have a kick change that's developing as well. 0:43:53.080 --> 0:43:55.160 I mean, he's just comfortably going to be the best 0:43:55.160 --> 0:43:58.560 pitching prospect in that system. And their next best pitching 0:43:58.560 --> 0:44:01.640 prospect is a righty with a nasty sweeper and a 0:44:01.640 --> 0:44:04.600 good fastball and Kinder Martinez, but again he's at low A. 0:44:04.880 --> 0:44:07.120 So I love what Flora brings there as a Bay 0:44:07.160 --> 0:44:10.279 Area kid, and I'm sure he's thrilled to be, you know, 0:44:10.360 --> 0:44:13.240 in that organization. It just felt like both both sides, 0:44:13.400 --> 0:44:14.680 it just matched up perfectly. 0:44:15.080 --> 0:44:19.319 I love that I tried to find a guy who 0:44:20.400 --> 0:44:23.919 you know, has a couple of issues, but the team 0:44:23.960 --> 0:44:26.040 that he went to are going to be able to 0:44:26.080 --> 0:44:29.480 resolve those. And I thought a perfect example of that 0:44:29.600 --> 0:44:33.000 was Liam Peterson going to the Cleveland Guardians. Because Liam 0:44:33.040 --> 0:44:37.200 Peterson watching him at Florida, I was always just perpetually 0:44:37.239 --> 0:44:39.680 disappointed in him, And I don't mean it in a 0:44:39.719 --> 0:44:43.520 bad way. It's just because I saw so much talent. 0:44:44.400 --> 0:44:47.120 He has incredible stuff. If you look at some of 0:44:47.160 --> 0:44:50.160 these stuff plus models, like our friend Lance Brazowski put 0:44:50.200 --> 0:44:52.680 out his top arms in this draft and it was 0:44:52.760 --> 0:44:55.840 Jackson Flora one, and it was Liam Peterson two. And 0:44:55.880 --> 0:44:57.880 a big reason why is he was noting you know, 0:44:58.120 --> 0:45:00.880 all the different offerings that he has. You know, his 0:45:00.960 --> 0:45:03.400 ability to spin the baseball. He's got a great fastball. 0:45:03.440 --> 0:45:06.040 He just has really good stuff, but the command can 0:45:06.080 --> 0:45:08.360 get a little bit out of whack right even control 0:45:08.400 --> 0:45:11.320 within the zone, he's just simply not throwing strikes forget command. 0:45:11.600 --> 0:45:14.160 Control goes out the window with him sometimes. And at 0:45:14.160 --> 0:45:16.680 the University of Florida, they don't have the best pitching 0:45:16.680 --> 0:45:19.600 development generally when looking at some of the top programs 0:45:19.840 --> 0:45:22.279 in college baseball. So I just feel like it is 0:45:22.320 --> 0:45:27.080 a guy who could be great and who just brought 0:45:27.120 --> 0:45:30.439 him in the Cleveland Guardians, one of the best organizations 0:45:30.480 --> 0:45:33.600 for pitching development. So I was actually curious where Peterson 0:45:33.680 --> 0:45:35.920 was going to go in this draft because I thought, oh, 0:45:35.920 --> 0:45:38.560 if he goes to a team that doesn't have great development, 0:45:39.239 --> 0:45:40.799 I don't know how well it's going to work. But 0:45:40.840 --> 0:45:43.000 once he landed with the Guardians, if everyone was watching 0:45:43.040 --> 0:45:45.560 the draft stream, if you saw me smile, that was 0:45:45.600 --> 0:45:48.560 my biggest smile from the whole draft, because I thought 0:45:48.600 --> 0:45:51.680 that is perfect. Put him there and the Guardians are 0:45:51.719 --> 0:45:53.799 going to make him a frontline guy, So I thought 0:45:53.840 --> 0:45:56.360 that fit was perfect, perfect. 0:45:56.880 --> 0:45:58.840 I like that one on a good shout from coach 0:45:58.880 --> 0:46:02.319 TK get me a good correction on me Giants double 0:46:02.360 --> 0:46:04.279 A is not in the Texas League. What am I 0:46:04.320 --> 0:46:08.640 doing here? I'm supposed to know minor league ball. 0:46:06.480 --> 0:46:10.800 I love our chat some of the smartest people and 0:46:10.920 --> 0:46:12.480 especially in our discord too. And if you want to 0:46:12.520 --> 0:46:16.040 continue to talk draft stuff, you know Derby All Star Weekend, 0:46:16.200 --> 0:46:18.279 everything up until the deadline. It's a perfect time to 0:46:18.360 --> 0:46:20.120 join our discord again, which you can find in the 0:46:20.160 --> 0:46:23.040 episode description. But special shout out to our chat smartest 0:46:23.040 --> 0:46:25.759 baseball people out there, no doubt about it. All Right, 0:46:25.800 --> 0:46:29.479 So we still have most underrated pick, highest ceiling, highest floor, 0:46:29.560 --> 0:46:33.879 quickest to MLB, and the biggest boom or bust prospect. 0:46:33.960 --> 0:46:36.600 But podcast P I think it's a good time to 0:46:36.920 --> 0:46:40.360 hear one last time from our friends at Hampton Farms Peanuts. 0:46:40.880 --> 0:46:45.640 So let's talk about the most underrated pick in the 0:46:45.680 --> 0:46:51.080 twenty twenty six MLB draft. I can go first, Let 0:46:51.080 --> 0:46:55.000 me go first. Why not let me first? I went 0:46:55.160 --> 0:46:58.359 with Cam Fluky to the Detroit Tigers, and they might 0:46:58.400 --> 0:47:01.360 not seem underrated, but here's my take. I think he 0:47:01.440 --> 0:47:04.719 ends up being the best pitcher from this draft. That's 0:47:04.760 --> 0:47:05.040 the take. 0:47:05.160 --> 0:47:06.719 Better than Flora. 0:47:06.800 --> 0:47:08.520 I don't think he's better than Flora now. 0:47:08.760 --> 0:47:10.200 No, like you think he's gonna be better than Flora. 0:47:10.239 --> 0:47:11.600 I think he's going to be better than Flora. I 0:47:11.600 --> 0:47:13.239 see a lot of Tyler glass Now in his game, 0:47:13.640 --> 0:47:17.680 because first of all, I think he has potentially electric fastball. 0:47:17.920 --> 0:47:19.920 But the problem is and the reason why he dropped 0:47:19.960 --> 0:47:22.600 a little bit. I mean, this was starting pitcher one 0:47:22.800 --> 0:47:27.600 going into the college baseball season, but unfortunately he got injured, 0:47:27.680 --> 0:47:31.520 came back, was a little bit inconsistent, But we know pitchers, 0:47:31.680 --> 0:47:34.719 these guys get hurt. But this guy just has stupid, 0:47:34.760 --> 0:47:37.120 loud stuff. And you see that curveball that is very 0:47:37.160 --> 0:47:39.320 similar to Glass now, which the one that just falls 0:47:39.320 --> 0:47:41.400 off the table. But he also has this mid eighties 0:47:41.440 --> 0:47:44.279 to high eighties slider that I've also seen work really well, 0:47:44.320 --> 0:47:46.080 and he's even danced around with a change up a 0:47:46.080 --> 0:47:50.040 little bit. I mean there's potentially four offerings high nineties heater, 0:47:50.480 --> 0:47:53.600 and he's a big guy extension down the mound. Like 0:47:53.680 --> 0:47:59.120 I think that the injury and post injury inconsistencies dropped 0:47:59.200 --> 0:48:01.680 him down the board. But if he came out and 0:48:01.760 --> 0:48:05.000 had the season that I think people were expecting before 0:48:05.080 --> 0:48:07.680 the injury. This guy could have been taken number one, 0:48:08.160 --> 0:48:10.840 not overall over Rock as the number one pitcher in 0:48:10.920 --> 0:48:14.160 this draft. So the fact that he fell to twenty three, 0:48:14.640 --> 0:48:17.040 and you look at the numbers two right, the numbers, 0:48:17.320 --> 0:48:21.000 the surface level era numbers, they don't jump out at anyone. 0:48:21.040 --> 0:48:23.200 I saw Tigers fans being like, Scott Harris took what 0:48:23.719 --> 0:48:26.960 a guy with a mid four zra Like what? And 0:48:27.000 --> 0:48:31.120 I'm thinking to myself, I think Scott Harris crushed this pick. 0:48:31.200 --> 0:48:33.160 I love Cam Fluke. I think he will end up 0:48:33.200 --> 0:48:34.680 being the best pitcher from this draft. 0:48:35.200 --> 0:48:40.239 If Scott Harris deviated from prep, a prep hitter with 0:48:40.320 --> 0:48:43.160 a college right handed arm, I think there's something he's 0:48:43.200 --> 0:48:46.120 really liking here, and I would imagine that he probably 0:48:46.239 --> 0:48:49.000 was their best player available at that point. I would 0:48:49.080 --> 0:48:51.680 just that's pure conjecture, but just knowing how Harris has 0:48:51.719 --> 0:48:55.560 typically approached the draft and just generally not being an 0:48:55.640 --> 0:49:00.120 archetype that he goes after as as frequently, I do 0:49:00.120 --> 0:49:02.040 you agree that this is probably somebody that they were 0:49:02.120 --> 0:49:04.280 very excited to add. And I think the secondary command 0:49:04.360 --> 0:49:06.000 is going to be an important thing to monitor. But 0:49:06.040 --> 0:49:09.360 it's not that the secondaries aren't good. There. The gyro 0:49:09.480 --> 0:49:11.600 slider looks like it can be a good bridge pitch, 0:49:11.640 --> 0:49:14.000 and as you mentioned, like the curve ball is a banger. 0:49:14.480 --> 0:49:17.320 The challenge is those bangers can be hard to land consistently, 0:49:17.360 --> 0:49:20.440 so just finding he has some more consistency with that 0:49:20.480 --> 0:49:22.919 will be big for Fluki. It's a long arm action, 0:49:23.080 --> 0:49:24.880 so you know, it might just be the way he 0:49:24.920 --> 0:49:26.200 throws and he can time it up, and he has 0:49:26.239 --> 0:49:28.400 shown the ability to time it up pretty consistently in 0:49:28.440 --> 0:49:31.320 the past, getting hurt I think really through a wrench 0:49:31.480 --> 0:49:33.640 in his progress and of course in his draft stock. 0:49:33.719 --> 0:49:36.000 But there's a guy that could absolutely be a monster, 0:49:36.120 --> 0:49:39.920 And in terms of upside, it's hard to argue that 0:49:39.960 --> 0:49:42.520 there's another one, maybe outside of Rojas, because you'reeting a 0:49:42.520 --> 0:49:45.719 prep left to you throws fuel, but that has more upside. 0:49:46.040 --> 0:49:48.279 The way, if you look at Flora and Rojas, the 0:49:48.280 --> 0:49:50.920 next time that has the most upside is comfortably Fluky, 0:49:51.000 --> 0:49:53.240 and I don't think there's anybody else that's close. 0:49:53.719 --> 0:49:56.800 Yeah, So I love the pick Fluke did the Tigers, 0:49:56.800 --> 0:49:59.480 and a reason why I called it underrated is, you know, 0:49:59.600 --> 0:50:02.640 post everyone's giving their takes. I didn't hear one freaking 0:50:02.680 --> 0:50:05.600 take about cam Fluki and then yeah, I'm looking at 0:50:05.600 --> 0:50:07.520 Tigers fans and they don't like the pick. I'm like, 0:50:07.560 --> 0:50:08.080 what the hell? 0:50:08.440 --> 0:50:09.200 I loved the pick. 0:50:09.239 --> 0:50:11.000 It was one of my favorite picks, So I thought 0:50:11.040 --> 0:50:13.240 it's underrated for me for based on what I'm seeing. 0:50:13.239 --> 0:50:15.480 Maybe some other Tigers fans are loving it. Maybe I 0:50:15.560 --> 0:50:17.799 just didn't see some people also saying that they love it. 0:50:18.120 --> 0:50:21.600 But yeah, rating fell for me. I totally hear that. 0:50:21.680 --> 0:50:24.080 I didn't really see many opinions at all. 0:50:25.239 --> 0:50:26.840 I love the pick, and that's. 0:50:26.680 --> 0:50:29.120 The thing for me, going back to you know, the 0:50:29.120 --> 0:50:31.239 player we already mentioned and Bogloran, so I don't want 0:50:31.239 --> 0:50:33.719 to go too deep into it again. But maybe part 0:50:33.719 --> 0:50:35.160 of it's because just no one wants to see the 0:50:35.160 --> 0:50:39.040 Dodgers succeed, but you know, and maybe Dodgers fans in 0:50:39.080 --> 0:50:41.279 particular probably very excited about this. But to be able 0:50:41.360 --> 0:50:44.560 to get Lauren's at forty, I think is really exciting. 0:50:44.560 --> 0:50:46.680 Not often do you get a high school bat with 0:50:46.840 --> 0:50:49.239 the relatively higher for than most high school bats that 0:50:49.280 --> 0:50:52.480 you see in the high ceiling. To put in that organization, 0:50:52.560 --> 0:50:55.200 I think it's just so exciting. I thought he was 0:50:55.239 --> 0:50:57.160 a top twenty, you know player in this class. I 0:50:57.160 --> 0:50:58.279 thought he's a guy that could have went in the 0:50:58.320 --> 0:51:00.759 middle of the first round. So the fact that the 0:51:00.800 --> 0:51:02.600 Dodgers are able to get him there at forty when 0:51:02.719 --> 0:51:04.480 you know they're not working we're talking about bonus pools, 0:51:04.480 --> 0:51:07.000 they're not working with too much. They're they're very limited 0:51:07.000 --> 0:51:09.120 because of you know, the restrictions that come with spending 0:51:09.120 --> 0:51:10.480 as much money as they do. Like that was their 0:51:10.520 --> 0:51:12.640 first selection. And with your first selection, when you got 0:51:12.760 --> 0:51:14.200 to wait to pick forty and then by the way, 0:51:14.200 --> 0:51:16.000 you're not going to pick again till pick one thirty two, 0:51:16.200 --> 0:51:17.680 and then you're not gonna pick again to pick two 0:51:17.760 --> 0:51:20.279 twenty three, you really are hoping that you're gonna get 0:51:20.280 --> 0:51:23.240 somebody to land into your lap there. And and also 0:51:23.280 --> 0:51:24.839 like they're gonna have to make the numbers work because 0:51:24.840 --> 0:51:26.520 they don't have a big bonus pool and I don't 0:51:26.520 --> 0:51:29.160 think Alron's is going to be signing for anything less 0:51:29.200 --> 0:51:31.719 than at least the full slot value there. So I 0:51:31.719 --> 0:51:34.839 think it's a it was an underrated selection that you know, 0:51:35.120 --> 0:51:37.400 when you have a class like this, you might they 0:51:37.440 --> 0:51:39.359 might be able to snipe a couple of players in 0:51:39.400 --> 0:51:41.960 those later round because if they're the freaking Dodgers and 0:51:42.000 --> 0:51:43.359 they have so many scouts and they do a good 0:51:43.400 --> 0:51:46.160 job on that front. But I think with the draft 0:51:46.239 --> 0:51:49.120 like this, like Laurns can can make or break it 0:51:49.160 --> 0:51:51.239 in a lot of ways because they just again they 0:51:51.239 --> 0:51:53.759 have one pick in the top one thirty, and so 0:51:53.840 --> 0:51:55.600 the fact that it's a guy like Arons that fell 0:51:55.719 --> 0:51:58.160 to them, I think is it's really underrated at how 0:51:58.239 --> 0:52:00.000 much he can end up making this draft class. 0:52:00.600 --> 0:52:02.520 Let's go to the highest ceiling. And my answer is 0:52:02.560 --> 0:52:04.200 going to be quick because I think I've said this 0:52:04.239 --> 0:52:07.239 one eighty thousand times. I think Von Lackey could be JT. 0:52:07.360 --> 0:52:10.120 Real Muto with power, with more power. And we were 0:52:10.160 --> 0:52:12.360 even talking about it on the couch last night and 0:52:13.280 --> 0:52:16.640 Peyton goes, so you think von Lackey can be a 0:52:16.680 --> 0:52:18.359 Hall of Famer And I go, I don't know about 0:52:18.360 --> 0:52:22.279 hall of famer and he goes, JT. Real Muto with 0:52:22.320 --> 0:52:24.400 more power as a hall of Famer, and then I 0:52:24.440 --> 0:52:26.160 give him a little smile and I'm like, yeah, I 0:52:26.160 --> 0:52:28.160 think he could be a Hall of Famer. I freaking 0:52:28.280 --> 0:52:31.239 love Von Lackey. So Von Lackey again last year hit 0:52:31.280 --> 0:52:33.640 three ninety seven with a twelve ninety one OPS at 0:52:33.640 --> 0:52:36.640 the catcher position for the Minnesota Twins, and he was 0:52:36.680 --> 0:52:39.640 a brick wall behind home plate. You knew when you 0:52:39.680 --> 0:52:42.720 were facing Georgia Tech you were not stealing a base. 0:52:42.880 --> 0:52:46.920 Why Von Lackey shuts down running games and he also 0:52:47.120 --> 0:52:50.879 shuts down pass balls and wild pitches. Nothing gets by 0:52:50.920 --> 0:52:53.879 this guy. Now, the framing, that's something that's the next 0:52:53.880 --> 0:52:56.000 point that needs to develop. But over the last five 0:52:56.080 --> 0:52:58.960 years watching college baseball, I would say he's the second 0:52:59.000 --> 0:53:03.719 best defense and defender at the catching position behind Caden Bodined. 0:53:03.800 --> 0:53:06.480 I think he's that level of a defender, and if 0:53:06.520 --> 0:53:09.960 I think he improves receiving wise, this guy could go 0:53:10.000 --> 0:53:12.040 win a Gold Glove. And then we get to the 0:53:12.120 --> 0:53:17.160 offense where it's freakish, freakish baseball abilities, Like I love 0:53:17.239 --> 0:53:20.840 the way that you were breaking it down where you 0:53:20.840 --> 0:53:22.839 know what, instead of saying you broke it down, why 0:53:22.840 --> 0:53:23.560 he's to break it down? 0:53:23.920 --> 0:53:26.040 Yeah, I mean, he's just he's a guy that just 0:53:26.239 --> 0:53:28.520 was a late bloomer in baseball in general, like under 0:53:28.560 --> 0:53:31.960 recruited and really broke out two years ago and then 0:53:32.000 --> 0:53:33.640 followed it up with the year that he had this year. 0:53:33.640 --> 0:53:35.480 And I think the biggest thing is you just kind 0:53:35.480 --> 0:53:37.360 of see an athlete going out there and just competing. 0:53:37.800 --> 0:53:39.880 I don't think there's a ton of focus on mechanics, 0:53:40.000 --> 0:53:42.520 and I think he's refined them a bunch for sure 0:53:42.800 --> 0:53:45.160 as he's played more. But it's just a really good 0:53:45.200 --> 0:53:47.040 athlete going out there and just doing his thing. And 0:53:47.080 --> 0:53:49.160 I think guys he continues to refine the mechanics more 0:53:49.160 --> 0:53:51.160 and more, it's only going to help him. But you 0:53:51.200 --> 0:53:53.480 just see the athleticism in the box. It's a huge gather. 0:53:53.840 --> 0:53:55.680 It gets to like his front foot's almost touching his 0:53:55.760 --> 0:53:58.239 back foot, but he's still able to just control his 0:53:58.360 --> 0:54:02.280 weight so well. He's able to hold backside and adjust, 0:54:02.440 --> 0:54:05.240 and the feel for the barrel, I mean, it's just pretty. 0:54:05.600 --> 0:54:08.480 It's just so impressive that a guy that again just 0:54:08.520 --> 0:54:09.719 kind of looks like he's going up there and playing 0:54:09.719 --> 0:54:12.000 wof fotball has the body control that he has. And 0:54:12.040 --> 0:54:13.719 I do think there's gonna be some some little things 0:54:13.760 --> 0:54:16.439 to simplifies he gets the pro ball, maybe the gather 0:54:16.480 --> 0:54:18.239 doesn't need to be that pronounced. He can find the 0:54:18.280 --> 0:54:20.640 back hip and coil a little bit more easily without 0:54:20.640 --> 0:54:22.960 such a big move. Maybe the hands don't move as late, 0:54:23.080 --> 0:54:25.279 but I think that's part of the intrigue with the 0:54:25.360 --> 0:54:27.080 von Lackiez. He just kind of looks like he's going 0:54:27.080 --> 0:54:29.680 out there and playing and making it look so good 0:54:29.760 --> 0:54:30.439 despite that. 0:54:30.680 --> 0:54:34.959 One hundred percent so I and again I say g Chrumuto, 0:54:35.480 --> 0:54:38.279 not because because of the defense, but also because of 0:54:38.320 --> 0:54:42.120 the sneaky speed right stole what fifteen sixteen bases last 0:54:42.160 --> 0:54:45.000 year for Georgia Tech. Like he's a good runner, he's 0:54:45.040 --> 0:54:48.240 got stupid juice. He has very similar batted ball metrics 0:54:48.480 --> 0:54:52.480 to Rockchulowski, who also has stupid juice. And he also 0:54:52.840 --> 0:54:55.480 has a high ceiling as well, and went number one overall, 0:54:55.560 --> 0:54:58.520 getting the highest bonus for a number one pick in 0:54:58.600 --> 0:55:01.839 the history of the draft. And they're very similar. And 0:55:02.040 --> 0:55:03.880 I think that Von Lackey could end up being a 0:55:03.920 --> 0:55:07.719 better catcher defensively than Rok Chulowski is a shortstop. And 0:55:07.719 --> 0:55:09.600 that's not even saying that Rock Chilowski is a bad 0:55:09.600 --> 0:55:11.960 defender at shortstop. That's not even saying he's average. I 0:55:12.000 --> 0:55:14.080 think he's gonna be really good. I just think Von 0:55:14.160 --> 0:55:16.960 Lackey could be a difference maker behind the plate and 0:55:17.000 --> 0:55:20.400 then the makeup. I think it's Adie Graad makeup. Seriously, 0:55:20.520 --> 0:55:23.399 He's like one of my favorite personalities I've ever seen, 0:55:23.680 --> 0:55:25.960 Like the way his Georgia Tech teammates talk about him, 0:55:26.040 --> 0:55:28.360 Drew Burris when they finally lost that last game and 0:55:28.360 --> 0:55:31.160 he's speaking about Von Lackey and his postgame presser, and 0:55:31.239 --> 0:55:34.120 before he could even talk about Lackey, he started choking 0:55:34.200 --> 0:55:37.000 up about how much he meant to him, like and 0:55:37.080 --> 0:55:39.319 Drew Burris is the leader, like he said, he's his 0:55:39.560 --> 0:55:43.399 favorite player he's ever watched, Like Von Lackey, I think 0:55:43.600 --> 0:55:45.640 is just I'm in love with the man. I'm in 0:55:45.640 --> 0:55:47.279 love with him, and I'm not afraid to say it. 0:55:47.440 --> 0:55:50.359 So now I do see I do see him as 0:55:50.440 --> 0:55:52.080 kind of an orc shifter in the way that he 0:55:52.120 --> 0:55:55.040 goes about his business and as a catcher and the 0:55:55.080 --> 0:55:57.960 culture you know that just there's all these things that 0:55:58.000 --> 0:55:59.480 I think you look at and you say, that's it's 0:55:59.480 --> 0:56:02.680 really exciting to bring this guy into your organization. And uh, 0:56:03.280 --> 0:56:05.880 just beyond that, even if he doesn't reach his ceiling offensively, 0:56:05.960 --> 0:56:08.080 with the defensive prowess he has, with the ability to 0:56:08.840 --> 0:56:12.200 just carry himself at a high level and I think 0:56:12.239 --> 0:56:14.239 he's going to grow into a really good just just 0:56:14.600 --> 0:56:17.480 pitch caller, just game manager, however you want to call it. 0:56:17.520 --> 0:56:19.040 He just seems like he checks all the boxes that 0:56:19.080 --> 0:56:19.960 you want out of a catcher. 0:56:20.360 --> 0:56:22.600 What about you, who has the highest ceiling? 0:56:23.600 --> 0:56:26.480 I gotta go with with Eric Booth Junior. I think 0:56:26.480 --> 0:56:29.000 when you have a player like this, where you have 0:56:29.000 --> 0:56:31.719 an elite runner with plus defense in center field and 0:56:32.000 --> 0:56:34.719 he's flashed comfortably above average power as well from the 0:56:34.760 --> 0:56:37.440 left side, I mean, I think this has got to 0:56:37.520 --> 0:56:40.120 be the highest ceiling if everything comes together the swing 0:56:40.160 --> 0:56:42.680 mechanics and use some refining. I think there's you can 0:56:42.719 --> 0:56:43.960 see in the video like there's a little bit of 0:56:43.960 --> 0:56:46.239 a hitch in the swing. But even with that, his 0:56:46.280 --> 0:56:48.080 bats of ball has been as good as any prepster 0:56:48.200 --> 0:56:49.800 in the class. And I think it's only going to 0:56:49.880 --> 0:56:52.080 improve as that kind of hitch as he brings his 0:56:52.160 --> 0:56:54.200 hands down lad and and a little bit of a 0:56:54.239 --> 0:56:58.120 flat path gets smoothed out. You've seen rags of losses 0:56:58.160 --> 0:57:00.800 that are comfortably above average. He's physical. His dad played 0:57:00.800 --> 0:57:03.239 football and I think was a record breaking like kick 0:57:03.280 --> 0:57:07.640 returner in college. You can see the explosiveness. You can 0:57:07.680 --> 0:57:11.440 see the twitch and you pair of that with impact defensively, 0:57:11.840 --> 0:57:14.160 the ability to impact the baseball, a good feel for 0:57:14.200 --> 0:57:15.799 the barrel, and it's like, this guy could be a 0:57:15.800 --> 0:57:18.040 five tool star if it all comes together. 0:57:18.480 --> 0:57:21.560 Yeah, I love the pick. And I remember I was 0:57:21.640 --> 0:57:24.600 running some of my pro comps by Tyler and I 0:57:24.680 --> 0:57:26.880 was like, is it crazy to say he's kind of 0:57:26.880 --> 0:57:29.880 like Corbin Carroll? And Tyler goes, no, not really, right 0:57:29.920 --> 0:57:32.880 if he achieves that ceiling that we're talking about with 0:57:32.920 --> 0:57:35.680 the explosion at the plate, the ton of speed on 0:57:35.720 --> 0:57:38.640 the base is the ability to defend the position, But 0:57:38.680 --> 0:57:40.840 we're talking about ceiling, and now we're going to talk 0:57:40.840 --> 0:57:46.200 about floor, like who has the highest floor? Mine is simple. 0:57:47.520 --> 0:57:49.840 I would be shocked if Rock Schwlowski isn't at least 0:57:49.840 --> 0:57:52.720 a pretty good big leaguer, Like, you know, I think 0:57:52.920 --> 0:57:55.160 you talked about some of the slight concerns that you 0:57:55.240 --> 0:57:57.280 have with his swing a little bit. That hitch that 0:57:57.360 --> 0:58:02.520 he has, isn't that his only issue? I think defensively, 0:58:02.520 --> 0:58:04.680 he's going to feel this position. He's got a good arm, 0:58:04.720 --> 0:58:07.560 He's always had a ton of power at every stop 0:58:07.600 --> 0:58:10.320 he's gone through, Like he's been one of the best 0:58:10.360 --> 0:58:13.440 players in college baseball now for a while, in you know, 0:58:13.560 --> 0:58:17.120 only a few short years, he's just done everything that's 0:58:17.160 --> 0:58:20.800 been asked of him and put up stupid numbers at 0:58:20.880 --> 0:58:23.840 every stop. Like this is the guy. He's the number 0:58:23.840 --> 0:58:27.520 one overall pick. I think I'm not saying his floor 0:58:27.680 --> 0:58:33.160 is Dansby. It's not, because again you never know with 0:58:33.240 --> 0:58:35.919 number one overall picks, we never know. But I feel 0:58:35.960 --> 0:58:38.720 like his thirtieth percentile outcomes dance Py Swants and who 0:58:38.800 --> 0:58:41.080 signed a one hundred and seventy five million dollar contract. 0:58:41.840 --> 0:58:43.680 And I'm not saying I think Von Lucky is a 0:58:43.720 --> 0:58:46.680 higher ceiling. I think Grady Emerson potentially is a higher ceiling. 0:58:47.040 --> 0:58:50.360 But if we're talking about floor, he is a big leaguer, 0:58:50.640 --> 0:58:52.080 I mean, and I think he's a good one. 0:58:52.560 --> 0:58:55.680 Yeah, when you defend the position like that, and then 0:58:55.920 --> 0:58:59.000 you look at what he's been able to do just 0:58:59.120 --> 0:59:01.320 offensively in his track record. Right, this is a guy 0:59:01.400 --> 0:59:06.640 that was a top two ish round pick prospect out 0:59:06.640 --> 0:59:09.440 of high school and then he goes to UCLA and 0:59:09.600 --> 0:59:11.840 just puts up in a thousand ops in three years, 0:59:12.360 --> 0:59:15.160 you know, well, above average contact right stand out, EV's 0:59:15.160 --> 0:59:17.440 a good feel for the strike zone, like he has 0:59:17.520 --> 0:59:19.400 the pedigree, and he's been one of the more you know, 0:59:19.560 --> 0:59:24.280 I think I would say well followed prospects in a 0:59:24.320 --> 0:59:27.320 while that you look at and you just say, you 0:59:27.480 --> 0:59:29.840 keep putting up these these these high bars for him, 0:59:29.840 --> 0:59:31.560 and he just keeps meeting them. And that's always going 0:59:31.600 --> 0:59:34.000 to happen anytime a guy's a legit draft prospecting him 0:59:34.000 --> 0:59:35.960 aout Dylan Cruz, right, and like Dylan Cruise is kind 0:59:35.960 --> 0:59:38.480 of a guy that's not reaching his median outcome right now, 0:59:38.680 --> 0:59:40.480 and even then, I think what we're seeing this year 0:59:40.840 --> 0:59:42.959 is like, even if he's in his twentyeth thirtieth percent 0:59:43.080 --> 0:59:45.080 our outcome, he's still going to be a big ligger 0:59:45.080 --> 0:59:48.880 for a little while. I for a while with Rock Chulawski, 0:59:48.920 --> 0:59:51.200 he's just you have the track record that he has 0:59:51.240 --> 0:59:53.920 as a top high school guy going to college, having 0:59:53.960 --> 0:59:56.640 the success that he's had. And my one gripe, I 0:59:56.640 --> 0:59:59.480 guess right, the little nitpick that you can have with 0:59:59.640 --> 1:00:03.000 him is some of the little swing mechanic aspects, and 1:00:03.120 --> 1:00:05.440 I think it could cause you know, how late the 1:00:05.520 --> 1:00:08.040 hands have to come back up and where the barrel tips. 1:00:08.240 --> 1:00:10.200 He could cause a little bit of challenges maybe on 1:00:10.240 --> 1:00:12.360 stuff in I don't love like how he gets so 1:00:12.640 --> 1:00:15.040 deep into his base two strikes, But even with all 1:00:15.080 --> 1:00:17.320 of that, he put up some of the better, you know, 1:00:17.480 --> 1:00:19.880 contact traits of these top bats in the class. He 1:00:20.000 --> 1:00:22.840 put up ridiculous eggs, velosities. We saw him consistently slug, 1:00:23.160 --> 1:00:25.640 and I mean he has the ability to manipulate his 1:00:25.800 --> 1:00:27.720 swing in his path to you know. 1:00:28.160 --> 1:00:28.840 Make it work. 1:00:29.040 --> 1:00:31.160 Like there's times where he's getting crowded inside and he 1:00:31.200 --> 1:00:32.600 can just pull his hands in and almost put a 1:00:32.600 --> 1:00:34.760 half swing and punch a ball still over the wall 1:00:34.800 --> 1:00:37.080 and left field. There's times where pitches are breaking away 1:00:37.080 --> 1:00:38.400 and he's a little bit late and he can still 1:00:38.480 --> 1:00:40.600 just shoot it the other way. And then when he 1:00:40.680 --> 1:00:43.760 gets his A plus swing off like it is incredibly impressive. 1:00:43.840 --> 1:00:46.200 So the ability to just just kind of maneuver and 1:00:46.280 --> 1:00:48.120 manipulate with his swing tells me that I think he 1:00:48.200 --> 1:00:51.760 can make those little refinements to smooth things out and 1:00:51.840 --> 1:00:54.919 make it translate more quickly to upper level baseball, because 1:00:54.920 --> 1:00:56.840 you know he's going to be challenged quite quickly. And 1:00:56.880 --> 1:00:59.040 then when you are a defender like he is a shortstop, 1:00:59.600 --> 1:01:01.720 you have a good chance to you know, I think 1:01:01.840 --> 1:01:04.920 kind of reach that danceby Swanson outcome, which would be 1:01:04.920 --> 1:01:07.840 a really good player. Like I think that's a really solid, solid, 1:01:07.960 --> 1:01:10.880 solid outcome. Of course you're dreaming on, you know, a 1:01:11.000 --> 1:01:12.920 perennial All Star when you take a guy at this 1:01:13.080 --> 1:01:15.320 one one. But I also think you got a really 1:01:15.320 --> 1:01:17.480 good chance at just having a multi win shortsot for 1:01:17.520 --> 1:01:18.880 a long time. There you go. 1:01:19.040 --> 1:01:20.640 Who's your highest floor is? 1:01:20.720 --> 1:01:20.760 That? 1:01:20.960 --> 1:01:21.320 Is it rock? 1:01:21.760 --> 1:01:22.960 That's mine? There you go. 1:01:23.840 --> 1:01:25.960 So we still have two more. We have Quickest to 1:01:26.000 --> 1:01:29.120 the big leagues and the biggest boom er Bus prospect. 1:01:29.800 --> 1:01:32.120 Talk about what's going on with our friends at Lydd's. 1:01:33.000 --> 1:01:35.040 Got a pretty cool event coming up, Yes, we do, 1:01:35.360 --> 1:01:38.120 hanging out with Ryan Howard. If you're here in Philly, 1:01:38.560 --> 1:01:41.760 come on and check it out Monday July thirteenth at 1:01:41.920 --> 1:01:46.280 ten am at the Lydds Fashion Hall District or the 1:01:46.320 --> 1:01:49.640 district mall excuse me, Lydd's Fashion District Mall excuse me. 1:01:49.720 --> 1:01:52.560 There's a lot of buzzwords in there. But excited. Monday 1:01:52.640 --> 1:01:54.720 July thirteenth at ten am you can meet Ryan Howard. 1:01:54.880 --> 1:01:57.400 I believe we'll be able to get some signatures, get 1:01:57.440 --> 1:01:59.040 a picture with him, one of the two. It'll be 1:01:59.120 --> 1:02:00.960 pretty fun. But I'm very much looking forward to that 1:02:00.960 --> 1:02:02.840 We're gonna film some content with him. I mean, this 1:02:03.000 --> 1:02:06.000 is a guy that tormented my Marlins when I was 1:02:06.040 --> 1:02:09.040 growing up watching him him launch fifty homers. I think 1:02:09.120 --> 1:02:11.000 this is one of the guys that just kind of 1:02:11.320 --> 1:02:13.080 channels to the childhood there. So if you're out here 1:02:13.120 --> 1:02:15.600 in Philly, come meet Ryan Howard, come hang out with 1:02:15.720 --> 1:02:19.480 us July thirteenth, ten am at the Lydds Fashion District Mall. 1:02:19.840 --> 1:02:21.520 Yeah, it's gonna be a ton of fun guys again 1:02:21.640 --> 1:02:26.320 Lydd's Fashion District Mall in Philly, ten am on Monday. 1:02:26.960 --> 1:02:31.640 All right, quickest to MLB Mine again will be somewhat quick. 1:02:32.800 --> 1:02:37.400 The Blue Jays drafted Cole Carlin out of Arizona State 1:02:38.080 --> 1:02:40.640 in the first round, and I was looking at some 1:02:40.840 --> 1:02:46.920 quotes afterwards and they said that he has two October pitches. 1:02:48.320 --> 1:02:51.040 Now what does that mean? Well, Cole Carlin's a bitcher 1:02:51.080 --> 1:02:55.080 out of Arizona State. Heater like you wouldn't believe. I mean, 1:02:55.160 --> 1:02:57.320 this can he he can from the left side. He 1:02:57.360 --> 1:02:59.840 could rattle it up to triple digits. He's touching in 1:03:00.160 --> 1:03:03.480 high nineties right. It is a big time heater and 1:03:03.560 --> 1:03:06.040 he's got an excellent slider as well. I mean podcast 1:03:06.080 --> 1:03:07.840 p is putting it on the screen. That's him hitting 1:03:07.960 --> 1:03:10.920 one oh one. You know when he's got this dirty 1:03:11.040 --> 1:03:14.040 slider again high eighties, is even touched in the low nineties, 1:03:14.360 --> 1:03:16.720 And I agree with him. And I was thinking to myself, 1:03:17.000 --> 1:03:20.520 why did they say two pitches for October? And I 1:03:20.640 --> 1:03:23.480 do remember that the Royals brought up their draft pick 1:03:23.720 --> 1:03:26.280 as a pitcher, another left who ended up pitching for 1:03:26.440 --> 1:03:28.680 them in the playoffs. Now, I'm not saying the Blue 1:03:28.760 --> 1:03:30.920 Jays are going to make the playoffs, but what I 1:03:31.000 --> 1:03:34.080 am saying is it is wide open and the Blue 1:03:34.160 --> 1:03:37.480 Jays could also use a left handed reliever. So I 1:03:37.560 --> 1:03:41.080 would not be surprised if Cole Carlin is called up 1:03:41.320 --> 1:03:43.920 this season if the Blue Jays need him late, just 1:03:44.000 --> 1:03:48.600 because he has those two pitches. Right now, I'm just saying, 1:03:49.200 --> 1:03:51.439 in terms of quickest to the big leagues, I'm calling 1:03:51.520 --> 1:03:53.880 my shot on that one. He pitches for the Blue 1:03:53.960 --> 1:03:56.760 Jays this season. This season, I hope the. 1:03:56.760 --> 1:03:59.800 Blue Jays can can kind of nestle their way back 1:03:59.840 --> 1:04:03.280 in the hunt to make that possible too. So who's 1:04:03.320 --> 1:04:06.040 your pick for fastest of the big leagues? Quickest of 1:04:06.080 --> 1:04:08.120 the big leagues. Yes, yeah, I still got to go 1:04:08.280 --> 1:04:11.360 Rock Scholowski. Yeah, I know it's a boring pick. Again, 1:04:11.720 --> 1:04:15.320 I just I I look at his skill set, I 1:04:15.400 --> 1:04:16.880 look at what the way that you're gonna have to 1:04:16.960 --> 1:04:18.640 challenge this guy pretty quickly. I know people have made 1:04:18.640 --> 1:04:20.720 the comments, go oh, I didn't hit that well against 1:04:20.720 --> 1:04:25.720 Friday starters. Whatever, I promise you like, he's gonna be fine. 1:04:26.280 --> 1:04:29.480 And I really do think like the White Sox hitting 1:04:29.520 --> 1:04:32.200 infrastructure has changed a lot, and I do think that 1:04:32.280 --> 1:04:34.640 this is a situation where if there are some slight 1:04:34.720 --> 1:04:37.160 adjustments to make, like, the White Sucks are finally in 1:04:37.160 --> 1:04:38.480 a position where I think they can do that. And 1:04:38.520 --> 1:04:40.640 I think that starts at the top of Showman Derek S. 1:04:40.640 --> 1:04:42.840 Sherman and what he's done, but all the way down, 1:04:43.120 --> 1:04:45.120 I do think the White Sox have the infrastructure now 1:04:45.200 --> 1:04:47.840 to just kind of help a Rock Scholowski make those 1:04:48.080 --> 1:04:50.440 minor tweaks. The gloves there already so you don't have 1:04:50.480 --> 1:04:51.840 to really worry about that. And the thing is, like 1:04:52.440 --> 1:04:54.800 with Rock, I think those final little stretch, like the 1:04:55.560 --> 1:04:59.120 final couple pieces to putting it all together offensively can 1:04:59.200 --> 1:05:01.080 happen at the Big League because there's so many different 1:05:01.080 --> 1:05:02.600 ways that he can impact the game. And this is 1:05:02.640 --> 1:05:04.640 an offense that bangs, like you don't need Rock to 1:05:04.640 --> 1:05:06.200 get up there and be a lead off hitter right away. 1:05:06.640 --> 1:05:09.120 Now you can get up there and hit the bottom 1:05:09.120 --> 1:05:11.320 of the order, defend, and eventually he's gonna be a 1:05:11.360 --> 1:05:12.919 guy that's in the heart of your order. That's the goal. 1:05:13.280 --> 1:05:15.120 But for a White Sox team that you know wants 1:05:15.160 --> 1:05:18.240 to be competitive and I think can be, it is 1:05:18.360 --> 1:05:20.600 right now obviously and can be throughout next year as well. Like, 1:05:20.680 --> 1:05:21.959 that's gonna be a guy that I think they would 1:05:22.080 --> 1:05:24.960 they would love to have involved there. So look, I 1:05:25.040 --> 1:05:27.400 mean there's there's some things front office wise, I'm not 1:05:27.560 --> 1:05:29.880 totally bought into Chris Getz and all of that, But 1:05:29.960 --> 1:05:32.640 I like Showman. I like what they've done on the 1:05:32.760 --> 1:05:35.600 hitting side, and I think Julawski is gonna benefit from 1:05:35.600 --> 1:05:36.760 that because of how close he's going to be to 1:05:36.760 --> 1:05:38.120 the big leagues immediately, and I think they're going to 1:05:38.120 --> 1:05:39.600 want to get him more and kind of directly with 1:05:39.680 --> 1:05:43.200 the Showman more quickly. How he fits in will be interesting. 1:05:43.480 --> 1:05:45.280 I think, you know, there's gonna be some some things 1:05:45.320 --> 1:05:47.120 that have to move around, but obviously you make things 1:05:47.160 --> 1:05:49.800 happen for him, and I think we see him right 1:05:49.840 --> 1:05:51.400 at the start of next year. I think there's a 1:05:51.440 --> 1:05:53.760 really good chance that we could see him early next season. 1:05:54.280 --> 1:05:57.640 Wow, let's go to our biggest boom or bust prospect, 1:05:58.240 --> 1:06:00.920 and you already kind of talked about Eric book Junior, 1:06:01.200 --> 1:06:03.720 who got drafted to the Orioles, and I still do 1:06:03.880 --> 1:06:06.960 think there's some potential bust to his profile. I lean 1:06:07.040 --> 1:06:09.360 more towards boom. I really like him as a prospect, 1:06:09.760 --> 1:06:13.040 but I think Jacob Lombard dropping to the Marlins was 1:06:13.120 --> 1:06:15.840 kind of indicative of that profile where it is big 1:06:15.920 --> 1:06:18.960 time boom or bust. And even Tyler brought him up 1:06:19.120 --> 1:06:22.840 on the draft stream where you know, he kind of 1:06:22.880 --> 1:06:25.040 compared him to Elijah Green, the draft pick by the 1:06:25.160 --> 1:06:27.360 Nationals a few years ago. It was currently kind of 1:06:27.360 --> 1:06:31.920 struggling in Higa, where it's this guy with major, major tools. 1:06:32.440 --> 1:06:35.800 I mean, Lombard is a fantastic defender, He's got a 1:06:35.920 --> 1:06:38.480 ton of juice at the plate. He's even a solid 1:06:38.560 --> 1:06:41.880 runner as well, but the hit tool concern right, and 1:06:41.960 --> 1:06:43.800 I think that's what a lot of teams were looking 1:06:43.840 --> 1:06:46.400 at where he was potentially mocked at number four to 1:06:46.480 --> 1:06:48.880 the Giants. He was mocked at number five, he was 1:06:48.960 --> 1:06:51.720 mocked at number six, and I think it was somewhat 1:06:51.800 --> 1:06:54.920 surprising to see him fall down to fourteen, But then 1:06:55.000 --> 1:06:58.960 with a guy of his talent magnitude, getting him at 1:06:59.080 --> 1:07:03.040 fourteen is definitely worth the try. Like generally, I love 1:07:03.120 --> 1:07:04.800 the pick for the Marlins. I actually think it was 1:07:04.840 --> 1:07:08.560 one of the better value picks. But this is the guy. 1:07:08.560 --> 1:07:10.720 If he figures it out offensively with the hit tool, 1:07:11.640 --> 1:07:13.600 I mean you're looking at a potential five tool player, 1:07:14.000 --> 1:07:16.880 and if he doesn't, you can be looking at Elijah Green. Yeah, 1:07:17.000 --> 1:07:18.640 not why I think he's the biggest boom er Bus 1:07:18.760 --> 1:07:19.680 prospect in this draft. 1:07:20.040 --> 1:07:22.360 I think it's a great shout because I think he's 1:07:22.400 --> 1:07:25.160 as tooled up as is just about anybody. And that's 1:07:25.200 --> 1:07:28.120 the exciting part. The power speed combination that you could 1:07:28.160 --> 1:07:30.320 get from Lombard is nuts. But yeah, the biggest concern 1:07:30.440 --> 1:07:33.000 is hit tool and that's where you can you look 1:07:33.000 --> 1:07:35.680 at like a Connor Griffin. And the biggest concern with 1:07:35.760 --> 1:07:38.520 Connor Griffin was hit tool. Nobody had any questions about 1:07:38.760 --> 1:07:41.520 the tools otherwise, and obviously Connor Griffin's on a little 1:07:41.520 --> 1:07:43.640 bit of a different level. But you know, at the 1:07:43.720 --> 1:07:46.280 time there was some concerns about the hit tool, and 1:07:46.320 --> 1:07:49.440 that's why he slid a little bit. And you look 1:07:49.480 --> 1:07:52.200 at Lombard, that is the one question. No one is 1:07:52.320 --> 1:07:55.680 questioning the raw ability in the up side there. So, yeah, 1:07:55.720 --> 1:07:57.720 there's a world where he could be an all star 1:07:57.880 --> 1:07:59.920 level player, and there's a world where he could stop 1:08:00.080 --> 1:08:01.600 out in the minor leagues. And you can say that 1:08:01.640 --> 1:08:03.720 about just about anybody in the first round. But I 1:08:03.760 --> 1:08:05.360 don't think to this degree, and I'm with you, I 1:08:05.440 --> 1:08:07.760 think this is this is one of the wider ranges 1:08:07.800 --> 1:08:09.840 of outcomes that you have in the draft. But that's 1:08:09.840 --> 1:08:14.240 also why you make that pick at six or five, 1:08:14.320 --> 1:08:16.479 which was still a very big possibility. You're okay with it, 1:08:16.560 --> 1:08:18.400 but you're you're a little on edge. You're like, oh, 1:08:18.880 --> 1:08:21.519 this is a wide delta here. But when you have 1:08:21.600 --> 1:08:23.400 a player like this fall to you, you know, like 1:08:23.439 --> 1:08:26.000 where the Marlins were able to get him at fourteen, 1:08:26.439 --> 1:08:28.200 now you're more than willing to take that risk right 1:08:28.240 --> 1:08:30.479 middle of the first round. That upside You don't often 1:08:30.479 --> 1:08:32.320 get players are that kind of upside at fourteen, You're 1:08:32.360 --> 1:08:34.280 gonna roll that dice. But it just seemed like the 1:08:34.320 --> 1:08:37.880 teams you know ahead of that weren't quite willing to 1:08:38.040 --> 1:08:41.000 risk the downside for the upside exactly. 1:08:41.040 --> 1:08:42.519 And I assume he was your pick as well, or 1:08:42.560 --> 1:08:44.000 did you have a different boomer Bus guy. 1:08:44.479 --> 1:08:45.719 I gotta go Justin Lebron. 1:08:46.080 --> 1:08:47.439 Okay, yeah, that's a good one too, Guys. 1:08:47.760 --> 1:08:51.519 Yeah, this because Justin Lebron is a boomer Bus player 1:08:51.680 --> 1:08:57.080 on both sides of the game, offensively and defensively. Offensively 1:08:57.439 --> 1:09:01.160 like he has the tools to be a really productive hitter. 1:09:01.600 --> 1:09:05.200 This guy entered the season as a potential one to 1:09:05.280 --> 1:09:09.080 one candidate and finished the regular season and entered the 1:09:09.120 --> 1:09:11.439 draft as one of the most polarizing players in the class. 1:09:12.120 --> 1:09:15.080 So we still saw him land to the to the 1:09:15.160 --> 1:09:17.960 Reds and in the middle of the first round roughly. 1:09:18.600 --> 1:09:21.840 But I had no idea where this guy was gonna land. 1:09:21.880 --> 1:09:24.679 And when I threw fewers out to people, you would 1:09:24.680 --> 1:09:27.200 get answers all over the map. And I can't remember 1:09:27.680 --> 1:09:30.880 a player like this polarizing in a little bit. And 1:09:30.960 --> 1:09:32.800 the big part of that is because, I mean, you 1:09:32.840 --> 1:09:36.000 saw what he did in his sophomore year, and he 1:09:36.120 --> 1:09:37.960 saw the flashes, and you think, oh, if your builds 1:09:37.960 --> 1:09:39.720 on that, My gosh, this guy could could easily be, 1:09:39.960 --> 1:09:41.360 you know, one of the top players in the in 1:09:41.439 --> 1:09:46.280 the class overall. But with the flashes of excitement. Offensively 1:09:46.360 --> 1:09:48.519 in the twitch and the bat speed, you saw forty 1:09:48.600 --> 1:09:51.840 percent whift rate this season on breaking balls, you saw 1:09:52.000 --> 1:09:57.120 just some non competitive swings against higher quality secondaries. And 1:09:57.200 --> 1:09:58.920 then on the on the on the defensive side of things, 1:09:59.560 --> 1:10:02.639 there's all of the tools to be a plus defender 1:10:02.880 --> 1:10:04.360 and you look at me say, wow, this guy could 1:10:04.360 --> 1:10:07.679 be awesome. He makes some acrobatic plays and difficult throws 1:10:07.720 --> 1:10:09.960 of different angles and the range is so impressive. And 1:10:09.960 --> 1:10:12.560 then other times he's sitting back on balls and just 1:10:12.960 --> 1:10:16.280 they're eating them up, and you're like, what's going on here? 1:10:16.600 --> 1:10:19.479 He made eighteen errors this season, And you see a 1:10:19.520 --> 1:10:21.600 guy with the tools to be plus but booting the 1:10:21.720 --> 1:10:24.200 routine and you just kind of like hit in your head, 1:10:24.240 --> 1:10:26.320 You're like, what what's the deal here? In his drafter 1:10:26.439 --> 1:10:29.599 is ops drops one hundred and fifty points. So that's 1:10:29.640 --> 1:10:32.920 where with Lebron, like you've seen flashes of what could 1:10:32.960 --> 1:10:36.320 be a really special player, but you've also seen frustration 1:10:36.560 --> 1:10:39.479 in both sides of the game. So there's a world 1:10:39.479 --> 1:10:41.439 where you hit to hit a parlay and it's you know, 1:10:41.760 --> 1:10:44.560 a well above average bat and a plus shortstop. I 1:10:44.600 --> 1:10:46.200 think a lot of things have to go right. But 1:10:46.280 --> 1:10:49.360 then there's also a world where he's frustrating defensively and 1:10:49.400 --> 1:10:51.040 whiffing all the time against secondaries. 1:10:52.080 --> 1:10:55.200 I totally agree with you. I think Justin Lebron absolutely 1:10:55.320 --> 1:10:57.920 is one of the most polarizing players in this entire draft. 1:10:59.040 --> 1:11:01.760 But I feel like, and I know that you know, 1:11:02.080 --> 1:11:05.320 we already finished all of our things on our docket, 1:11:05.840 --> 1:11:09.360 but we would be remiss if we didn't talk about 1:11:09.720 --> 1:11:11.760 the second pick in the MLB Draft and the fifth 1:11:11.760 --> 1:11:14.559 pick in the MLB Draft, Grady Emerson to the Rays. 1:11:14.720 --> 1:11:17.599 I mean, you said that this is your favorite player 1:11:17.680 --> 1:11:22.080 in the draft, So we can't go the podcast, a 1:11:22.240 --> 1:11:25.719 draft recap podcast without talking about these two picks. Because 1:11:25.880 --> 1:11:28.639 when we were watching film, you also love Derek Curle. 1:11:28.720 --> 1:11:30.400 So I want to hand it over to you to 1:11:30.439 --> 1:11:32.880 talk about Grady Emerson to the Rays at number two 1:11:33.280 --> 1:11:36.320 and Derek Curle to the Pirates at number five. 1:11:36.920 --> 1:11:40.799 Yeah. I absolutely love Emerson. That's that's my top overall 1:11:40.840 --> 1:11:42.720 player in the class. And I just I think this 1:11:42.840 --> 1:11:45.080 is going to be another high school kid that just Rakes. 1:11:45.439 --> 1:11:47.840 His swing is so advanced for his age, but he's 1:11:47.880 --> 1:11:50.320 also I think has more juice in there than he's 1:11:50.320 --> 1:11:52.280 getting credit for it. He reminds me so much of 1:11:52.560 --> 1:11:56.120 and there's no relation but Cole Emerson, where the field 1:11:56.160 --> 1:11:59.240 to hit is just stand out, it's just natural. And 1:11:59.360 --> 1:12:02.120 then the two some kind of variables are how much 1:12:02.160 --> 1:12:04.320 power does the ultimately grow into and what's the defense 1:12:04.360 --> 1:12:06.720 going to look like? And I think Grady Emerson is 1:12:06.720 --> 1:12:09.559 ahead of where Colt was defensively, but Colt is now 1:12:09.640 --> 1:12:12.360 proven that he can be, you know, solid everyday defensive shortstop. 1:12:12.520 --> 1:12:15.160 I think Grady the defense can be trained a little 1:12:15.200 --> 1:12:18.400 bit more right like he could be an above average shortstop. 1:12:18.439 --> 1:12:20.479 And if that's part of his game there, then the 1:12:20.520 --> 1:12:22.920 biggest question becomes how much powers in there. I think 1:12:22.960 --> 1:12:25.400 the hit can be plus if it's above average you know, 1:12:25.600 --> 1:12:28.640 power to pair like, it's going to be a very 1:12:28.760 --> 1:12:30.880 well rounded profile that's going to be difficult to book. 1:12:30.880 --> 1:12:32.960 A hole in the makeup is really impressive. The way 1:12:32.960 --> 1:12:35.560 he goes about his business, there's shades of like the 1:12:35.640 --> 1:12:37.439 Jojo Parker side of things too, where I just think 1:12:37.439 --> 1:12:40.439 he's gonna hit and hit and hit and with Jojo, 1:12:40.560 --> 1:12:42.960 you don't have quite I think the range and the 1:12:43.040 --> 1:12:45.880 quickness that Grady Emerson has. So if you have an 1:12:45.880 --> 1:12:48.880 above average shortstop with just the feel to hit the 1:12:48.960 --> 1:12:51.639 power potential that I think is being undersold, I think 1:12:51.680 --> 1:12:53.960 Emerson has it has the ability to be just above 1:12:54.000 --> 1:12:57.280 average tools across the board highlighted by what could be 1:12:57.479 --> 1:12:58.760 just a plus hit tool. 1:12:59.600 --> 1:13:03.920 And when I arrived from the airport, I walked into 1:13:04.080 --> 1:13:06.559 our Airbnb and all of you guys are sitting around 1:13:06.720 --> 1:13:09.080 and you got your laptop open, and I said, what 1:13:09.120 --> 1:13:11.719 are you looking at. You're like, I'm watching Derek Currila 1:13:11.800 --> 1:13:14.280 hit and I was like, what do you see? And 1:13:14.360 --> 1:13:17.080 You're like, he's so hitterish. I love this guy, and 1:13:17.160 --> 1:13:19.040 then he ends up going number five overall. And during 1:13:19.080 --> 1:13:20.600 our draft room, I look right over at you and 1:13:20.640 --> 1:13:23.200 I'm like, they took your guy. They took your guy. 1:13:24.160 --> 1:13:27.120 Yeah, I just in a class where there was just 1:13:27.240 --> 1:13:29.800 kind of unknown and like the outside of the rock 1:13:29.880 --> 1:13:32.280 Emerson Lackey tier at the top and yeah, you can 1:13:32.320 --> 1:13:34.439 maybe shadow just Eric Booth in the ceiling, and I 1:13:34.479 --> 1:13:37.840 think you could throw Buris in there. But outside of 1:13:37.880 --> 1:13:41.160 those guys, I think there's like Okay, there's a little 1:13:41.160 --> 1:13:42.800 bit of swing and miss. Here's this guy gonna hit enough. 1:13:43.280 --> 1:13:44.960 You know what kind of defensive value are going to 1:13:45.000 --> 1:13:46.840 are you going to get? Curriel looks like you can 1:13:46.880 --> 1:13:49.040 give you above average defense and center and this might 1:13:49.120 --> 1:13:50.960 be the best bat to ball guy in the draft. 1:13:50.960 --> 1:13:53.519 And I know the contact rates like are are probably 1:13:53.560 --> 1:13:55.519 really similar to like his ion rows. But for me, 1:13:56.000 --> 1:13:58.280 Curriel's bat to ball is going to translate to you know, 1:13:58.680 --> 1:14:01.240 more hits, at least at this where the swing is 1:14:01.320 --> 1:14:03.439 more geared for you know, I think loft to all 1:14:03.560 --> 1:14:07.040 fields despite him not being a big power guy. That again, 1:14:07.080 --> 1:14:09.000 I think he can go get it in center field 1:14:09.240 --> 1:14:11.280 and you're seeing him at least be what I think 1:14:11.280 --> 1:14:13.400 could be an above average defender your pair of that 1:14:13.520 --> 1:14:15.960 with just such a good feel for the barrel, it's 1:14:16.000 --> 1:14:18.000 tough to beat him inside. He can shoot balls. The 1:14:18.080 --> 1:14:21.040 other way, he can I think, surprise you with a 1:14:21.160 --> 1:14:23.439 little bit more thumped than expected. And if he's able 1:14:23.439 --> 1:14:26.120 to sneak out eight to ten homers with the ability 1:14:26.160 --> 1:14:28.880 to split the gaps all the time both ways, spoil 1:14:29.000 --> 1:14:31.320 tough pitches, feel for the zone and just overall feel 1:14:31.360 --> 1:14:33.720 for the barrel. This is such a high probability big 1:14:33.800 --> 1:14:36.639 leaguer with the ability to stick in center as well, 1:14:37.000 --> 1:14:40.120 that I could totally understand why the pirates said, Hey, 1:14:40.240 --> 1:14:41.880 he might not have the ceiling as some of these 1:14:41.920 --> 1:14:43.840 other guys, but we'll take him at five and be 1:14:43.920 --> 1:14:44.519 happy about it. 1:14:45.120 --> 1:14:48.320 So that's our draft recap, and we didn't talk about 1:14:48.360 --> 1:14:51.320 every pick, but if you're curious our thoughts on every pick, 1:14:51.479 --> 1:14:54.120 check out our YouTube channel. We did a three and 1:14:54.160 --> 1:14:56.120 a half I think it was three hours and fifteen 1:14:56.160 --> 1:15:00.479 minute live stream where it's arm, it's myself, it's Tyler Jennings, 1:15:01.120 --> 1:15:03.439 is ahead of amateur scouting here at Just Baseball talking 1:15:03.520 --> 1:15:07.360 through every single pick. So and because I love you all, 1:15:07.600 --> 1:15:11.200 I timestamped that entire three hour thing so you can 1:15:11.240 --> 1:15:14.800 even score right to your team's player. If we didn't 1:15:14.840 --> 1:15:16.200 mention it, I thought we got through a ton of 1:15:16.240 --> 1:15:18.040 picks and this one I had a lot of fun. 1:15:18.120 --> 1:15:20.600 Hopefully you did too, and I hope that everybody in 1:15:20.640 --> 1:15:23.360 our YouTube comments section did as well. The best way 1:15:23.400 --> 1:15:25.679 to support the Just Baseball Show is to make sure 1:15:25.720 --> 1:15:28.360 that you smash the like button and hit that big 1:15:28.479 --> 1:15:31.599 red subscribe button. And for all the audio folks leaving 1:15:31.640 --> 1:15:34.280 a five star review is the best way to help 1:15:34.320 --> 1:15:36.840 out the show. Before we end ARM, let's quickly shout 1:15:36.920 --> 1:15:40.160 out Other Half Brewing are event on Tuesday for the 1:15:40.280 --> 1:15:43.360 All Star Game again at Other Half Brewing seven to 1:15:43.479 --> 1:15:46.880 eleven PM, five dollars beers. Folks coming out with us. 1:15:47.080 --> 1:15:50.439 Drink five dollar beers. Then you get MLB trivia and prizes, 1:15:50.680 --> 1:15:53.680 watch the Alctar game together, come on down and then 1:15:54.080 --> 1:15:58.120 on Monday, we're doing a meet and greet with Philly 1:15:58.200 --> 1:16:03.360 Starr Ryan Howard at ten am. And that is Podcast P. 1:16:03.479 --> 1:16:04.760 You're going to have to put the graphic up. I 1:16:04.880 --> 1:16:06.960 just forget the name of this mall. It's the Lydds 1:16:07.160 --> 1:16:09.960 Fashion District Mall, Monday at. 1:16:09.920 --> 1:16:12.160 The Fashion District Mall. But I keep reading the sentence 1:16:12.280 --> 1:16:14.720 Lidd's Fashion District Mall too, and I keep saying that. 1:16:15.200 --> 1:16:17.920 What we do know It's Monday, July thirteenth at ten 1:16:18.080 --> 1:16:23.000 am the Lids store at the Fashion District Mall in Philly, 1:16:23.600 --> 1:16:27.920 Meet and greet with Ryan Howard. Special shout out also 1:16:28.000 --> 1:16:31.160 to Podcast P for brilliant producing once again for arm Layton. 1:16:31.520 --> 1:16:34.599 I'm Peter Apple. We'll see you live here on YouTube 1:16:34.640 --> 1:16:36.920 one thirty pm Eastern on Tuesday, we're going to do 1:16:37.000 --> 1:16:40.280 home Run derby recap Ulstar game preview. We'll think about 1:16:40.360 --> 1:16:42.800 something else, but until then, with that, thank you for