WEBVTT - BI Weekend: Deere Earnings, Paramount, UFC Deal 

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. This is Bloomberg Intelligence

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<v Speaker 1>with Paul Sweeney.

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<v Speaker 2>The real app performance has been the US corporate high yield.

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<v Speaker 1>Paul Sweeney on Bloomberg Radio, YouTube and Bloomberg Originals.

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<v Speaker 5>I'm Paul Sweeney and I'm Lisa Matteo filling in on

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<v Speaker 5>Bloomberg Intelligence.

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<v Speaker 2>Today's Bloomberg Intelligence Show we dig inside the big business

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<v Speaker 2>stories impacting Wall Street and the global markets.

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<v Speaker 5>Aage in every week we provide in depth research and

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<v Speaker 5>hundred and thirty industries are analysts cover worldwide.

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<v Speaker 2>Today we'll look at al Paramount buying the rights to

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<v Speaker 2>UFC fights will impact it's streaming service.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, it's a look at earnings from the networking bell

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<v Speaker 5>Weather Cisco Systems.

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<v Speaker 2>First, we look at third quarter earnings from the farm

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<v Speaker 2>at machinery leader Deer.

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<v Speaker 5>This week, Deer reported earnings that beat analyst projections, but

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<v Speaker 5>the company trimmed its projected net income for twenty twenty five.

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<v Speaker 5>This comes as customers were made cautious due to trade

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<v Speaker 5>uncertainty and the health of the US economy.

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<v Speaker 2>For more, Lisa and I were joined by Chris Chielino,

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Intelligence Senior US machinery analyst. We first asked Christopher's

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<v Speaker 2>key takeaways from Deer earnings.

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<v Speaker 4>Listen, I mean, this really wasn't a particularly great quarter.

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<v Speaker 4>Three key results were mixed at best. It was really

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<v Speaker 4>a low quality earnings beat, primarily driven by a lower

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<v Speaker 4>tax rate. And as you alluded to, they did cut

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<v Speaker 4>their twenty to twenty five guidance, But to be honest,

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<v Speaker 4>I don't think that really changes the investment thesis here.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, we still expect earnings to bottom this year.

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<v Speaker 4>We're still looking at a very you know, gradual recovery

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<v Speaker 4>as twenty twenty six unfolds. The reduction in the outlook

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<v Speaker 4>was really driven by weakness in their construction business, and

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<v Speaker 4>it appears to us that it was really more of

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<v Speaker 4>a function of some of the higher tariffs and costs

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<v Speaker 4>coming through. We knew that construction forestry was really going

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<v Speaker 4>to bear the brunt of the tariff impact, but this

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<v Speaker 4>court just came in, you know, a little bit more

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<v Speaker 4>of a headwind that we anticipated. It doesn't appear to

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<v Speaker 4>be that there's been much of a change in terms

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<v Speaker 4>of you know, farm fundamentals and their appetite to go

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<v Speaker 4>out and buy equipment.

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<v Speaker 5>Hey, Qrich, can you get more into the struggle that

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<v Speaker 5>farmers are facing that that's impacting deer.

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<v Speaker 4>Sure, you know, we've been in this kind of prolonged

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<v Speaker 4>downturn in the ag ecotomy. Crop prices continued to deteriorate,

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<v Speaker 4>farm fundamentals remain weak, interest rates remain high. We have

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<v Speaker 4>the you know, the overhanger, the uncertainty around the trade

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<v Speaker 4>environment and export market access. Really there's really no signs

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<v Speaker 4>or i would, you know, say green shoots yet that

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<v Speaker 4>we're at this inflection point. I think the positive takeaway

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<v Speaker 4>is that, you know, inventories are coming down, deer's not

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<v Speaker 4>going to have to massively underproduce a retail demand next year.

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<v Speaker 4>So even if we're looking at a flatish type of

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<v Speaker 4>environment in terms of underlying retail demand. We're still looking

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<v Speaker 4>at probably higher production and some pricing coming through, which

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<v Speaker 4>should still generate some operating leverage in the business.

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<v Speaker 2>So, Chris, when demand is down for their core farm equipment,

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<v Speaker 2>what does deer typically do? Do they let inventories build?

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<v Speaker 2>Do they get promotional to move inventory out the door?

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<v Speaker 2>How did they usually manage that?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so this is it's a delicate balancing act, right.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, it's almost impossible to time the cycle. And

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<v Speaker 4>what they've been doing, you know, for the better part

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<v Speaker 4>of this year, and even at the end of last year,

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<v Speaker 4>they had been underproducing retail demand to bring down those

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<v Speaker 4>elevated inventories. They've done really a commendable job on new equipment.

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<v Speaker 4>The big issue right now is still on the used

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<v Speaker 4>equipment inventory side, particularly on tractors, which are still quite elevated.

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<v Speaker 4>And you're right, they are allocating more merchandising programs and

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<v Speaker 4>pool funds to help address that issue and move the equipment.

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<v Speaker 4>And I think you see that partly reflected in their

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<v Speaker 4>production precision ad business this quarter and pricing actually flip negative,

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<v Speaker 4>which was a surprise to us. It does appear that

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<v Speaker 4>this is you know, relatively transitory. We should expect pricing

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<v Speaker 4>to bounce back next quarter. But yeah, it's been a

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<v Speaker 4>you know, they've done a real good job of managing inventories.

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<v Speaker 4>It's just you know, when you're slogging along through the

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<v Speaker 4>bottom of the cycle here, it does become quite challenging.

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<v Speaker 5>So then I got to follo up, are you still

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<v Speaker 5>cautious about the pace of their recovery?

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<v Speaker 4>Yes, you know, I would say signs of a recovery

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<v Speaker 4>are still you know, pretty elusive to us. And if

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<v Speaker 4>you just look over the last couple of months, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>you continue to see further downward pressure on crop prices,

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<v Speaker 4>which at the end of the day is one of

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<v Speaker 4>the bigger drivers of deer's business and farmer cash receipts.

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<v Speaker 4>We had a pretty ugly WASDI report this week. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>it looks like we're going to get another year of

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<v Speaker 4>record corn production, so those stockpiles continue to build, which

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<v Speaker 4>is really going to keep a you know, somewhat of

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<v Speaker 4>a stealing on crop prices here in the near term.

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<v Speaker 4>So we think this recovery is going to look much

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<v Speaker 4>more modest or subdued than what we typically see during

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<v Speaker 4>a normal cycle. Right now, we're still anticipating you know,

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<v Speaker 4>a modest you know, flat to up five percent. Next

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<v Speaker 4>here in terms of underlying retail demand for lar Jack,

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<v Speaker 4>particularly in North America.

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<v Speaker 5>All right, thanks to Chris Chielino, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior US

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<v Speaker 5>machinery analyst.

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<v Speaker 2>We moved next to a conversation about the global fintech

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<v Speaker 2>company ny X. NYAX trades on the NASDAC under the

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<v Speaker 2>ticker NYAX.

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<v Speaker 5>The company is focused on payment software and devices for

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<v Speaker 5>the self service space where no cashier is present, and

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<v Speaker 5>the company recently reported second quarter profit that more than

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<v Speaker 5>doubled analyst expectations.

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<v Speaker 2>This week, guest host Normal Lind and I were joined

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<v Speaker 2>by nyak's chief financial officer, Segit Manure, and we began

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<v Speaker 2>the conversation by asking Segite for more background on what

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<v Speaker 2>NIAX does.

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<v Speaker 6>So we are actually the global leader in payment and

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<v Speaker 6>management solution for the unattended market. And what does it

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<v Speaker 6>mean unattended? It's really the vending machine massals chair ev

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<v Speaker 6>chargers when it's just you in front of the machine,

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<v Speaker 6>does not cashier in between. And in fact, if you

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<v Speaker 6>bought a drink in a vending machine lately at the JFKA,

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<v Speaker 6>you probably used one of our Nayaks Yellow devices. So

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<v Speaker 6>we have more than hundred thousand customers. We sell our

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<v Speaker 6>product in more than one hundred and twenty countries, and

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<v Speaker 6>we have a very simple mission statement to.

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<v Speaker 3>Help our customers grow the business. What does it mean?

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<v Speaker 6>Increase their revenue, decrease their cost and through loyalty, create

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<v Speaker 6>that stickness with our customers with their customers.

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<v Speaker 7>How do you stay ahead in today's fintech landscape? Of

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<v Speaker 7>course there's a lot of players now.

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<v Speaker 6>So actually in our area there's not a lot of competition.

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<v Speaker 6>I'm talking about the payment and in the unattended space.

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<v Speaker 6>So in fact, you know, we are the only global,

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<v Speaker 6>as I said, a player in this unattended space. It's

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<v Speaker 6>a very fragmented business and decentralized, so there's a lot

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<v Speaker 6>of small players and we are with our global solution

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<v Speaker 6>basically integrated hardware, payment and services all together, we can

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<v Speaker 6>bring that to the local market. It's also a very

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<v Speaker 6>highly regulated market, so there's a lot of barriers to entry,

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<v Speaker 6>so whether it's a regulation on payment, whether it's privacy,

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<v Speaker 6>and with our global solution, with us being there for

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<v Speaker 6>twenty years, we were able to overcome that. We look

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<v Speaker 6>at ourselves as a payment company, and what do you

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<v Speaker 6>need as a payment company?

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<v Speaker 3>You need basically three things.

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<v Speaker 6>You need the trust, you need the scalability, and you

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<v Speaker 6>really need the easy doing business. So from a trust perspective,

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<v Speaker 6>we build that trust over the twenty years. We have

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<v Speaker 6>a very strong brand. Look now for the yellow devices.

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<v Speaker 6>You would see that everywhere from an easy to do

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<v Speaker 6>business with it's again it's a bit to B to see.

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<v Speaker 6>So we have a very you know, it's a high

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<v Speaker 6>profile company. You go to whether it's the cow wash

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<v Speaker 6>to the vending machine and you see us. So B

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<v Speaker 6>to B it's all about regulation and we were able

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<v Speaker 6>to overcome that. When it comes to B to see,

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<v Speaker 6>as I said, it's in front of us and you

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<v Speaker 6>want that in a nanosecond to get your snack, to

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<v Speaker 6>get your coffee. So on scalability, this is where we

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<v Speaker 6>are focusing right. This is what takes time to build.

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<v Speaker 6>And we've showed that we are using more than eighty

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<v Speaker 6>distributors all around the world right, so we are setying

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<v Speaker 6>our products straight to the OEM. So when the vending machine,

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<v Speaker 6>the massage share, the kid ride are coming from the manufacturers,

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<v Speaker 6>it will already bring that NIX device.

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<v Speaker 2>Talk to us about the EV business electric vehicle business.

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<v Speaker 2>How are you guys approaching that? What is your expectation

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<v Speaker 2>for how that business will grow for you?

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<v Speaker 3>So great question.

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<v Speaker 6>EV is definitely one of the three main growth drivers

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<v Speaker 6>as we look into twenty twenty five and even beyond.

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<v Speaker 3>There was a few elements there.

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<v Speaker 6>It can be as easy as any unattended verticals that

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<v Speaker 6>we're already in and we're already working with the ivy

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<v Speaker 6>Goo Electrified America Electrifi Canada where we are providing the

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<v Speaker 6>payment device, but it can.

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<v Speaker 3>Also be where we are developed.

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<v Speaker 6>The management suite, the electricity management suite that has a

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<v Speaker 6>lot of regulations around it, and we were able to

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<v Speaker 6>accommodate that as well. And then for small businesses which

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<v Speaker 6>I haven't mentioned that, but most of our customers.

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<v Speaker 3>Are small and small and medium businesses.

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<v Speaker 6>That's where we provide the old solution, the hard well,

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<v Speaker 6>the management electricity basically as well as payment. So iv

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<v Speaker 6>we just signed announced the agreement with Hotel which is

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<v Speaker 6>a potential of one hundred thousand ivy charging stations to

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<v Speaker 6>be deployed in North America and also in Europe and

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<v Speaker 6>many other contracts like that. That shows the potential with

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<v Speaker 6>the fact that we are a global company, so it

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<v Speaker 6>can be done in France or in the state of

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<v Speaker 6>California and you have the same exact product all around

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<v Speaker 6>the globe.

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<v Speaker 7>Are there any particular market gaps or audiences that are

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<v Speaker 7>underserved that you're targeting right now?

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<v Speaker 6>So in the unattended space, which is the majority of

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<v Speaker 6>our revenue today, definitely there's a place on the EV

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<v Speaker 6>to grow and the electric vehicle charges, smart coolers is

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<v Speaker 6>a very fast growing area parking as well micro market,

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<v Speaker 6>So this is in the unattended, but we also are

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<v Speaker 6>stepping in into more of areas, like as I said,

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<v Speaker 6>the EV charger, that is beyond the payment or even

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<v Speaker 6>the retail. What we've learned over the twenty years that

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<v Speaker 6>we're doing business business with small businesses is that they're

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<v Speaker 6>still in the attendant, inside the store, inside the whatever

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<v Speaker 6>it is that you're selling does not a good product

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<v Speaker 6>for those small businesses, and we are extending that into

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<v Speaker 6>other countries as well.

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<v Speaker 5>Our thanks to Nayak's chief financial officer, Sagit Manor coming

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<v Speaker 5>up a look at where we are with robotaxis in

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<v Speaker 5>the US and the rest of the world.

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<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Bloomberg Intelligence on Bloomberg Radio, providing in

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<v Speaker 2>depth research and data on two thousand companies and one

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<v Speaker 2>hundred and thirty industries.

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<v Speaker 5>You can access Bloomberg Intelligence via Bigo on the terminal.

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<v Speaker 5>I'm Lisa Matteo and.

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<v Speaker 8>I'm Paul Sweeney.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Bloomberg Intelligence with Paul Sweeney on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 5>I'm Paul Sweeney and I'm Lisa Matteo filling in on

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<v Speaker 5>Bloomberg Intelligence.

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<v Speaker 2>We move next to some news in the media and

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<v Speaker 2>entertainment space.

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<v Speaker 5>This week we heard that Paramount has acquired the exclusive

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<v Speaker 5>rights to show all events from the Ultimate Fighting Chain

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<v Speaker 5>Championship in the US over the next seven years. It's

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<v Speaker 5>a seven point seven billion dollar deal designed to boost

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<v Speaker 5>Paramount plus streaming service for more.

0:12:07.679 --> 0:12:10.360
<v Speaker 2>Lisa and I were joined by Getha Ranganath and Bloomberg Intelligence.

0:12:10.400 --> 0:12:13.080
<v Speaker 2>Analysts on US media were first to ask Etha if

0:12:13.120 --> 0:12:16.079
<v Speaker 2>the UFC can be considered a good deal for Paramount.

0:12:16.360 --> 0:12:19.040
<v Speaker 9>No one saw this coming. I mean, the Paramount Skuydiance

0:12:19.320 --> 0:12:23.040
<v Speaker 9>transaction just closed last week August seventh, and we were

0:12:23.080 --> 0:12:25.640
<v Speaker 9>still kind of waiting for some inkling of what the

0:12:25.679 --> 0:12:28.120
<v Speaker 9>go to strategy or the go forward strategy would be

0:12:28.200 --> 0:12:30.959
<v Speaker 9>from you know, David Ellison's team. And here you go

0:12:31.040 --> 0:12:34.079
<v Speaker 9>with the bank, you know, paying almost eight billion dollars

0:12:34.120 --> 0:12:38.160
<v Speaker 9>for UFC rights. Now they are premier sports rights, so

0:12:38.240 --> 0:12:42.880
<v Speaker 9>they're definitely making a big statement here. Yes, you're absolutely right.

0:12:43.040 --> 0:12:46.480
<v Speaker 9>UFC has over one hundred million fans in the United States.

0:12:46.520 --> 0:12:49.360
<v Speaker 9>Their current deal is with ESPN. They were getting paid

0:12:49.400 --> 0:12:52.120
<v Speaker 9>about five hundred million a year, so this is you know,

0:12:52.120 --> 0:12:54.200
<v Speaker 9>more than one hundred and twenty percent search so it

0:12:54.240 --> 0:12:57.319
<v Speaker 9>is definitely a pretty penny And what Paramount is hoping

0:12:57.480 --> 0:13:00.400
<v Speaker 9>is that this really gets them onto the sports so

0:13:00.520 --> 0:13:03.679
<v Speaker 9>makes them a must have platform. And we're talking here

0:13:03.679 --> 0:13:07.040
<v Speaker 9>about Paramount Plus, which is their streaming platform, which is

0:13:07.080 --> 0:13:10.439
<v Speaker 9>known for really some great scripted content and some sports.

0:13:10.760 --> 0:13:13.439
<v Speaker 9>But this is really a big way for them to

0:13:13.559 --> 0:13:16.000
<v Speaker 9>kind of make a statement, make a really bold splash

0:13:16.080 --> 0:13:17.840
<v Speaker 9>on the sports streaming stage.

0:13:18.000 --> 0:13:19.920
<v Speaker 5>All right, KEITHA, I'm trying to take this in stride

0:13:19.920 --> 0:13:23.040
<v Speaker 5>because my husband is a big UFC fan, so he

0:13:23.120 --> 0:13:25.560
<v Speaker 5>watches it on ESPN. So does this mean that I

0:13:25.720 --> 0:13:29.319
<v Speaker 5>have to get Paramount Plus on time? Don't tell me.

0:13:29.280 --> 0:13:29.640
<v Speaker 6>That, GIP.

0:13:30.720 --> 0:13:34.480
<v Speaker 9>Sorry, Lisa, Yes, you do because everything all of the

0:13:34.559 --> 0:13:38.160
<v Speaker 9>UFC contents. So you know, what we'd initially thought was

0:13:38.200 --> 0:13:41.320
<v Speaker 9>that UFC was kind of going to split this packages.

0:13:41.360 --> 0:13:43.360
<v Speaker 9>You know, they have the Fight Night, which is the

0:13:43.360 --> 0:13:46.920
<v Speaker 9>weekly bi weekly kind of you know matchups that you see,

0:13:47.080 --> 0:13:49.360
<v Speaker 9>and then they have their big Marquee events, which are

0:13:49.360 --> 0:13:51.480
<v Speaker 9>the numbered events with you know, the likes of O'Connor

0:13:51.559 --> 0:13:55.120
<v Speaker 9>McGregor all these other big superstar players and you got

0:13:55.160 --> 0:13:57.160
<v Speaker 9>to pay out of your pocket for that pay per view.

0:13:57.760 --> 0:14:00.760
<v Speaker 9>They're actually now making all of that content, both the

0:14:00.800 --> 0:14:03.880
<v Speaker 9>market events as well as the Fight Nights, all available

0:14:04.160 --> 0:14:07.400
<v Speaker 9>to Paramount Plus subscribers, so there's no pay per view anymore.

0:14:07.640 --> 0:14:09.920
<v Speaker 9>But yeah, unfortunately your husband's going to have to subscribe

0:14:09.960 --> 0:14:10.800
<v Speaker 9>to Paramount Plus.

0:14:11.800 --> 0:14:16.120
<v Speaker 2>Well, this is what I think you do. Every streamer

0:14:16.160 --> 0:14:17.880
<v Speaker 2>you put on, you have to take one off, go

0:14:18.000 --> 0:14:20.320
<v Speaker 2>to the family. Okay, we're putting on Paramount Plus.

0:14:20.720 --> 0:14:21.400
<v Speaker 8>What are you giving back?

0:14:21.400 --> 0:14:22.120
<v Speaker 5>What are we giving back?

0:14:22.200 --> 0:14:24.160
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, exactly that's how you do it. Thank you, Gaitha.

0:14:24.560 --> 0:14:29.480
<v Speaker 2>What is realistically the buld case for Paramount sky Dance Corporation.

0:14:29.920 --> 0:14:32.600
<v Speaker 9>Yes, I think you know, we we really need of course,

0:14:32.640 --> 0:14:34.320
<v Speaker 9>you know, this kind of tells us that They're definitely

0:14:34.320 --> 0:14:36.200
<v Speaker 9>going to keep the streaming platforms. See some of the

0:14:36.440 --> 0:14:39.520
<v Speaker 9>some of the concerns Paul before, you know, before the

0:14:39.520 --> 0:14:42.840
<v Speaker 9>deal actually closed, was what is sky Dance really interested in?

0:14:42.960 --> 0:14:46.360
<v Speaker 9>So they don't really have any expertise in running TV assets.

0:14:46.720 --> 0:14:49.080
<v Speaker 9>All that they really cared about was the Paramount Studio

0:14:49.200 --> 0:14:51.280
<v Speaker 9>because you know, sky Dance is a big studio and

0:14:51.320 --> 0:14:53.160
<v Speaker 9>they were really really interested in the studio assets. So

0:14:53.160 --> 0:14:56.080
<v Speaker 9>we really didn't have any direction in terms of what

0:14:56.120 --> 0:14:59.120
<v Speaker 9>they were going to do with the cable networks. Viacom

0:14:59.320 --> 0:15:02.440
<v Speaker 9>has a bunch of those. You have the CBS broadcast network,

0:15:02.480 --> 0:15:05.360
<v Speaker 9>you have the Paramount Plus streaming platform. What this deal

0:15:05.400 --> 0:15:07.960
<v Speaker 9>signals is they're definitely interested in the streaming platform and

0:15:08.040 --> 0:15:11.520
<v Speaker 9>the CBS broadcast network because you know, they did say

0:15:11.520 --> 0:15:14.200
<v Speaker 9>that they're going to simulcast some of those UFC games

0:15:14.240 --> 0:15:16.240
<v Speaker 9>on the CBS broadcast networks. I think that is going

0:15:16.280 --> 0:15:18.360
<v Speaker 9>to be a core part of their portfolio. What we're

0:15:18.400 --> 0:15:20.040
<v Speaker 9>still not clear about is what they're going to do

0:15:20.080 --> 0:15:22.680
<v Speaker 9>with some of the cable networks. So you know, whether

0:15:22.680 --> 0:15:25.560
<v Speaker 9>it's a BET or an MTV or a Comedy Central,

0:15:25.680 --> 0:15:28.040
<v Speaker 9>we really don't know what the strategy is there. Chances

0:15:28.080 --> 0:15:31.280
<v Speaker 9>are they might look to monetize those assets, you know,

0:15:31.360 --> 0:15:34.000
<v Speaker 9>sell them. But really I think the big play for

0:15:34.320 --> 0:15:37.360
<v Speaker 9>a paramount is going to come down to make these

0:15:37.400 --> 0:15:39.760
<v Speaker 9>bigger and bigger investments. If they really want to be

0:15:40.560 --> 0:15:43.600
<v Speaker 9>a credible you know, streamer, they have to obviously go

0:15:43.640 --> 0:15:46.240
<v Speaker 9>after these big deals, which is exactly what they did

0:15:46.240 --> 0:15:48.120
<v Speaker 9>with the UFC. We'll have to wait and watch and

0:15:48.160 --> 0:15:52.000
<v Speaker 9>see exactly what their aspirations are, but it depends if

0:15:52.000 --> 0:15:55.080
<v Speaker 9>they're if they're willing to kind of make these big investments,

0:15:55.160 --> 0:15:58.520
<v Speaker 9>they could become you know, arguably one of the top

0:15:58.520 --> 0:16:00.800
<v Speaker 9>three or one of the top four platforms.

0:16:00.480 --> 0:16:04.239
<v Speaker 5>Our Thanks to Geitha Ranganath and Bloomberg Intelligence analyst on US.

0:16:04.000 --> 0:16:06.080
<v Speaker 2>Media, we've moved next to an M and A deal

0:16:06.160 --> 0:16:07.160
<v Speaker 2>in the apparel space.

0:16:07.240 --> 0:16:09.720
<v Speaker 5>This week, we heard that the Canadian clothing company Guilden

0:16:09.840 --> 0:16:12.960
<v Speaker 5>Activewear agreed to buy the US underwear maker Haines Brand

0:16:13.200 --> 0:16:16.120
<v Speaker 5>for about two point two billion dollars in cash and stock.

0:16:16.440 --> 0:16:19.880
<v Speaker 5>Gilden is aiming to double its annual sales with the transaction.

0:16:20.360 --> 0:16:22.400
<v Speaker 2>For more guest host Normal Lind and I were joined

0:16:22.400 --> 0:16:26.040
<v Speaker 2>by Abigail guildbartin Bloomberg Intelligence Footwear and ath leisure analyst.

0:16:26.120 --> 0:16:28.600
<v Speaker 2>We first asked Abbaga able to discuss who Guilden is

0:16:28.600 --> 0:16:30.400
<v Speaker 2>and why they're buying an underwear company.

0:16:30.640 --> 0:16:32.960
<v Speaker 10>I think a lot of people probably own Guilden and

0:16:33.040 --> 0:16:37.160
<v Speaker 10>don't know it right because it's really a basic apparel manufacturer.

0:16:37.560 --> 0:16:39.840
<v Speaker 10>So they create the T shirts that then they sell

0:16:39.880 --> 0:16:42.240
<v Speaker 10>to your favorite sports teams or to Walmart, and then

0:16:42.280 --> 0:16:44.360
<v Speaker 10>they put the logos on it. So they're heavily in

0:16:44.480 --> 0:16:48.480
<v Speaker 10>the printware space. They do have exposure to innerwear, which

0:16:48.480 --> 0:16:51.240
<v Speaker 10>is what Haines is, Haynes' is, you know, the basics underwears,

0:16:51.280 --> 0:16:55.080
<v Speaker 10>bras teas, and they used to be in activewear till

0:16:55.080 --> 0:16:58.760
<v Speaker 10>they spun off Champion, so they're very complimentary. Yes, they

0:16:58.800 --> 0:16:59.960
<v Speaker 10>spent off Champion about a year.

0:17:00.320 --> 0:17:03.360
<v Speaker 7>Okay, interesting and I definitely remember Gilden. As you mentioned,

0:17:03.400 --> 0:17:05.080
<v Speaker 7>when you just start to look into the tags of

0:17:05.080 --> 0:17:07.440
<v Speaker 7>your T shirts, you'll start to see the name pop

0:17:07.560 --> 0:17:10.360
<v Speaker 7>up there. But I mean, what's the latest with consolidation

0:17:10.560 --> 0:17:13.439
<v Speaker 7>more broadly in your industry. I know you have a

0:17:13.480 --> 0:17:15.439
<v Speaker 7>lot of names that you cover that are doing a

0:17:15.440 --> 0:17:16.160
<v Speaker 7>lot of mergers.

0:17:16.240 --> 0:17:18.159
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, definitely, I think you know it comes out of

0:17:18.200 --> 0:17:22.439
<v Speaker 10>time with tariffs and costs looming as well as I

0:17:22.440 --> 0:17:25.760
<v Speaker 10>mean for this acquisition, I think it's been considered for

0:17:25.800 --> 0:17:28.040
<v Speaker 10>a while as actually there was a whole proxy battle

0:17:28.080 --> 0:17:30.520
<v Speaker 10>about it a few years ago where they actually ousted

0:17:30.520 --> 0:17:34.440
<v Speaker 10>the CEO over it, and then he has returned since

0:17:34.480 --> 0:17:37.960
<v Speaker 10>then and they completely changed the board over So this

0:17:38.040 --> 0:17:41.000
<v Speaker 10>didn't come completely out of nowhere. But I think it

0:17:41.040 --> 0:17:42.800
<v Speaker 10>makes a lot of sense just in terms of, you know,

0:17:42.840 --> 0:17:46.400
<v Speaker 10>Gilden's building out their whole manufacturing footprint and it's once

0:17:46.440 --> 0:17:48.960
<v Speaker 10>again really complimentary. They already kind of make everything that

0:17:49.000 --> 0:17:51.639
<v Speaker 10>Haines does, but on a larger scale at a lower cost.

0:17:52.160 --> 0:17:56.040
<v Speaker 2>And Haines Brand's based in Winston Salem, North Carolina. Yeah,

0:17:56.040 --> 0:17:59.560
<v Speaker 2>I'm sure Sarah talk to us about you mentioned the tariffs.

0:18:00.040 --> 0:18:02.040
<v Speaker 2>How is it impacting your world, because I would think

0:18:02.040 --> 0:18:03.000
<v Speaker 2>that would be immediate.

0:18:03.520 --> 0:18:06.199
<v Speaker 10>Yes, so it definitely is impacting my world with you know,

0:18:06.240 --> 0:18:09.760
<v Speaker 10>the footwear brands, but for Guilden and Haines. Actually, Guilden

0:18:09.800 --> 0:18:13.480
<v Speaker 10>is one of the largest users of US cotton, so yes,

0:18:13.600 --> 0:18:16.639
<v Speaker 10>they are probably one of the largest ones, and so

0:18:17.280 --> 0:18:19.679
<v Speaker 10>that is actually going to help them not have to

0:18:19.720 --> 0:18:22.120
<v Speaker 10>deal with as many tariff costs just since products are

0:18:22.119 --> 0:18:24.760
<v Speaker 10>made with US cotton, so they're subject to a lower

0:18:24.840 --> 0:18:27.399
<v Speaker 10>teriff rate, so that's actually something that they can benefit from.

0:18:27.600 --> 0:18:30.679
<v Speaker 10>They also are less exposed to Asia and more in

0:18:30.680 --> 0:18:34.240
<v Speaker 10>Central America as well as Haynes Brands. Their manufacturing footprints

0:18:34.280 --> 0:18:37.879
<v Speaker 10>are very complementary and overlap, so they'll be able to

0:18:37.960 --> 0:18:41.560
<v Speaker 10>kind of mitigate that pretty well. But for Haines Brands,

0:18:41.080 --> 0:18:46.840
<v Speaker 10>its Guilden gives them a much more financial stability and opportunity.

0:18:46.280 --> 0:18:49.520
<v Speaker 5>For that our thanks to Abigail gil Martin Bloomberg Intelligence,

0:18:49.520 --> 0:18:51.280
<v Speaker 5>Footwear and at the Leisure Analyst.

0:18:51.480 --> 0:18:53.960
<v Speaker 2>Each week we look at research from Bloomberg and EF

0:18:54.000 --> 0:18:55.800
<v Speaker 2>previously known as New Energy Finance.

0:18:55.840 --> 0:18:58.119
<v Speaker 5>They're the team at Bloomberg that tracks and analyzes the

0:18:58.200 --> 0:19:03.520
<v Speaker 5>energy transition from commodities to transport, industries, buildings, and agriculture sectors.

0:19:03.840 --> 0:19:06.960
<v Speaker 2>This week we look at the autonomous vehicles robotaxis. Guest

0:19:07.000 --> 0:19:09.040
<v Speaker 2>host Normal Linden and I were joined by Andrew Grant

0:19:09.119 --> 0:19:11.240
<v Speaker 2>be n EF, head of Intelligent Mobility.

0:19:11.440 --> 0:19:14.000
<v Speaker 5>He discussed what's happening in the robotaxi space and some

0:19:14.080 --> 0:19:15.960
<v Speaker 5>of the hot battlegrounds for developers.

0:19:16.160 --> 0:19:18.720
<v Speaker 2>I began by asking Andrew where we are with robotaxis

0:19:18.760 --> 0:19:20.440
<v Speaker 2>in the US. And the rest of the world.

0:19:20.520 --> 0:19:22.600
<v Speaker 11>Wouldn't it be a great way to have a way

0:19:22.640 --> 0:19:26.040
<v Speaker 11>to measure the progress that we have on the robotaxi

0:19:26.040 --> 0:19:28.960
<v Speaker 11>side and the self driving vehicle side. Sometimes it could

0:19:28.960 --> 0:19:32.960
<v Speaker 11>be quite difficult to monitor the sector, and there's a

0:19:32.960 --> 0:19:34.760
<v Speaker 11>lot of promises made and there's a lot happening in

0:19:34.800 --> 0:19:37.520
<v Speaker 11>the kind of AI black box, and what we try

0:19:37.560 --> 0:19:41.240
<v Speaker 11>to do is measure things that you can actually see

0:19:41.480 --> 0:19:44.439
<v Speaker 11>and count. So we've been looking at some real operational

0:19:44.440 --> 0:19:46.960
<v Speaker 11>statistics that have been coming out from some of the

0:19:47.040 --> 0:19:50.399
<v Speaker 11>robotaxi companies and coming up with a way to grade

0:19:50.440 --> 0:19:54.359
<v Speaker 11>how serious an operation is. Can are these projects actually

0:19:54.359 --> 0:19:57.480
<v Speaker 11>operating on public roads? Are they offering their rides to

0:19:57.640 --> 0:19:59.080
<v Speaker 11>the general public or do you need to be on

0:19:59.080 --> 0:20:01.680
<v Speaker 11>a selective weight lift? Are they putting their money where

0:20:01.720 --> 0:20:04.840
<v Speaker 11>their mouths are and charging a fee for the service?

0:20:05.080 --> 0:20:08.480
<v Speaker 11>Do they actually have a safety driver in the vehicle

0:20:08.600 --> 0:20:11.000
<v Speaker 11>or human still supervising in the vehicle or have they

0:20:11.000 --> 0:20:14.280
<v Speaker 11>pulled that? And are they able to operate in all

0:20:14.280 --> 0:20:16.960
<v Speaker 11>weather conditions twenty four hours a day, seven days a week.

0:20:17.040 --> 0:20:19.520
<v Speaker 11>And if they kind of score five out of five

0:20:19.840 --> 0:20:23.199
<v Speaker 11>in our grade, that's a fully functional operational robotaxi service.

0:20:24.000 --> 0:20:26.840
<v Speaker 11>We counted out eight of those operating different cities around

0:20:27.160 --> 0:20:29.240
<v Speaker 11>around the world, I should say around the world. At

0:20:29.240 --> 0:20:31.359
<v Speaker 11>the moment, it's just China in the US.

0:20:31.720 --> 0:20:34.199
<v Speaker 7>Okay, so we're seeing China in the US as the

0:20:34.200 --> 0:20:35.040
<v Speaker 7>two leaders here.

0:20:35.480 --> 0:20:39.159
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, at the moment we have of four companies that

0:20:39.200 --> 0:20:43.840
<v Speaker 11>have met those grades. We do have another sixteen projects

0:20:43.840 --> 0:20:46.959
<v Speaker 11>that are kind of four out of five on our

0:20:47.040 --> 0:20:50.680
<v Speaker 11>ranking metric there. I should mention that Tesla just gets too.

0:20:50.760 --> 0:20:53.919
<v Speaker 11>But a lot of these companies are looking to expand

0:20:53.960 --> 0:20:58.680
<v Speaker 11>outside their home markets, certainly expanding to places like Singapore

0:20:58.960 --> 0:21:02.159
<v Speaker 11>and Middle East and UAE, and then of course Europe,

0:21:02.200 --> 0:21:04.560
<v Speaker 11>which at the moment there's regulations that are kind of

0:21:04.600 --> 0:21:07.960
<v Speaker 11>previncing a wider spread rollout of robotaxis. But a lot

0:21:07.960 --> 0:21:11.840
<v Speaker 11>of these companies are targeting twenty twenty six for deployment

0:21:11.880 --> 0:21:14.240
<v Speaker 11>across a number of European cities.

0:21:14.840 --> 0:21:17.720
<v Speaker 2>So who are the leaders here at this early stage.

0:21:17.920 --> 0:21:20.400
<v Speaker 11>I mean, really, you're talking about Weimer with the most

0:21:20.440 --> 0:21:25.200
<v Speaker 11>projects that meet out grading of fully operational robotaxi services.

0:21:25.840 --> 0:21:30.960
<v Speaker 11>But from the Chinese automakers, the China robotaxi developer side,

0:21:31.040 --> 0:21:34.800
<v Speaker 11>you're also talking about by do we ride ponyai that

0:21:34.920 --> 0:21:38.600
<v Speaker 11>are scoring highly on these metrics and looking to expand.

0:21:38.480 --> 0:21:41.000
<v Speaker 7>What are some of the regulatory hurdles here? Are there

0:21:41.040 --> 0:21:44.280
<v Speaker 7>any areas, in particular in the United States where it's

0:21:44.359 --> 0:21:45.719
<v Speaker 7>a bit more open season.

0:21:46.240 --> 0:21:49.359
<v Speaker 11>It's a very complex regulatory environment at the moment because

0:21:49.760 --> 0:21:55.600
<v Speaker 11>you can kind of have these national federal level ambitions,

0:21:55.680 --> 0:21:59.280
<v Speaker 11>but really it comes down to not just even state level,

0:21:59.320 --> 0:22:01.040
<v Speaker 11>but down to city level, where you need to work

0:22:01.080 --> 0:22:03.879
<v Speaker 11>really closely with a lot of these regulators to deploy

0:22:03.960 --> 0:22:08.400
<v Speaker 11>these services in a tightly geffinced environment. So you need

0:22:08.440 --> 0:22:10.879
<v Speaker 11>to be actively if you're a robotaxy developer, you need

0:22:10.960 --> 0:22:13.720
<v Speaker 11>to be actively talking to a lot of these regulators

0:22:13.720 --> 0:22:16.119
<v Speaker 11>and helping them understand what you're trying to do and

0:22:16.160 --> 0:22:18.240
<v Speaker 11>how you're trying to complement what they want to do

0:22:18.320 --> 0:22:21.159
<v Speaker 11>on the public transport side or on they transport infrastructure

0:22:21.200 --> 0:22:23.439
<v Speaker 11>side to make this work and make it a valuable

0:22:23.440 --> 0:22:28.399
<v Speaker 11>project for both for both entities. So I always describe

0:22:28.400 --> 0:22:32.640
<v Speaker 11>the regulatory environment it's very iterative. You kind of need

0:22:32.680 --> 0:22:34.920
<v Speaker 11>to take one box, proved to your regulators how you're doing,

0:22:35.000 --> 0:22:38.399
<v Speaker 11>and then continue to grow that relationship and kind of

0:22:38.400 --> 0:22:41.439
<v Speaker 11>build the regulations with them, and a lot of knowledge

0:22:41.880 --> 0:22:44.600
<v Speaker 11>exchange needs to happen as you progress.

0:22:45.080 --> 0:22:48.080
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I'm just looking at yourself driving vehicle tractor at

0:22:48.200 --> 0:22:51.520
<v Speaker 2>wwwwna dot com. Have to be a Bloomberg terminal user,

0:22:51.520 --> 0:22:55.360
<v Speaker 2>I believe, yes, but very very cool. It's an interactive

0:22:55.440 --> 0:22:58.320
<v Speaker 2>kind of model showing you where around the world. So

0:22:58.400 --> 0:23:02.280
<v Speaker 2>what are the gating issues here? Andrew? It's for fuller

0:23:02.280 --> 0:23:05.399
<v Speaker 2>and fuller deployment going out over the next several years.

0:23:05.480 --> 0:23:10.960
<v Speaker 2>Is it regulatory? Is it technology? Is it capital? What

0:23:11.040 --> 0:23:14.040
<v Speaker 2>are the key drivers for just I guess adoption over

0:23:14.040 --> 0:23:14.959
<v Speaker 2>the next seple years.

0:23:15.160 --> 0:23:16.800
<v Speaker 11>I mean, we talk a lot about the technology and

0:23:16.840 --> 0:23:19.679
<v Speaker 11>the regulatory side, and both need to improve, and I

0:23:19.680 --> 0:23:22.480
<v Speaker 11>think both will. What's probably doesn't get enough attention, and

0:23:22.520 --> 0:23:24.760
<v Speaker 11>we're starting to see a lot more focus on that.

0:23:24.800 --> 0:23:27.520
<v Speaker 11>At the moment. Is just the value chain really starting

0:23:27.560 --> 0:23:32.000
<v Speaker 11>to take shape. Building a car, building the software and

0:23:32.040 --> 0:23:35.919
<v Speaker 11>the related hardware that goes into powering a self driving vehicle,

0:23:36.800 --> 0:23:41.719
<v Speaker 11>matching the vehicle with users owning the vehicle. These are

0:23:41.720 --> 0:23:45.240
<v Speaker 11>all things that have different skill sets from a company perspective.

0:23:45.240 --> 0:23:47.720
<v Speaker 11>They have different capital requirements, and they have different paid

0:23:47.760 --> 0:23:50.600
<v Speaker 11>back periods. So we're starting to see different roles for

0:23:51.160 --> 0:23:54.119
<v Speaker 11>in this part of value chain. You're seeing the many

0:23:54.200 --> 0:23:57.800
<v Speaker 11>deals that say Uber has signed over the last eighteen months.

0:23:58.160 --> 0:24:01.560
<v Speaker 11>They've signed deals with at least ten different self driving

0:24:01.640 --> 0:24:05.080
<v Speaker 11>vehicle developers across the taxi and truck space and the

0:24:05.119 --> 0:24:08.400
<v Speaker 11>delivery blot space, I should say as well. And they're

0:24:08.440 --> 0:24:13.000
<v Speaker 11>really trying to put the best foot forward to borrow

0:24:13.359 --> 0:24:16.359
<v Speaker 11>the Jeff Bezos expression just focus on what makes the

0:24:16.359 --> 0:24:20.040
<v Speaker 11>beer taste better and really specialize in the different areas.

0:24:20.440 --> 0:24:22.560
<v Speaker 11>So we're really starting to see a more robust and

0:24:22.600 --> 0:24:25.360
<v Speaker 11>definitive shape form for the robotaxidatty chain.

0:24:25.480 --> 0:24:28.359
<v Speaker 5>Our thanks to Andrew Grant being af head of intelligent

0:24:28.440 --> 0:24:31.359
<v Speaker 5>mobility coming up and in depth look at Treasury Secretary

0:24:31.359 --> 0:24:33.760
<v Speaker 5>Scott Bessen then his role in the Trump administration.

0:24:34.119 --> 0:24:37.479
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Bloomberg Intelligence on Bloomberg Radio, providing research

0:24:37.480 --> 0:24:39.359
<v Speaker 2>and data on two thousand companies in one hundred and

0:24:39.400 --> 0:24:40.080
<v Speaker 2>thirty industries.

0:24:40.119 --> 0:24:43.119
<v Speaker 5>You can access Bloomberg Intelligence via Big on the terminal.

0:24:43.160 --> 0:24:45.240
<v Speaker 5>I'm Lisa Matteo and Paul Sweeney.

0:24:45.280 --> 0:24:46.320
<v Speaker 8>This is Bloomberg.

0:24:53.880 --> 0:24:59.440
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Bloomberg Intelligence with Paul Sweeney on Bloomberg Radio.

0:25:00.640 --> 0:25:03.199
<v Speaker 5>And I'm Lisa Matteo filling in on Bloomberg Intelligence.

0:25:03.320 --> 0:25:05.520
<v Speaker 2>We move next to news from the networking Bill Weather

0:25:05.600 --> 0:25:08.960
<v Speaker 2>Cisco Systems. This week, Cisco reported fourth quarter earnings that

0:25:09.080 --> 0:25:10.719
<v Speaker 2>narrowly beat analyst expectations.

0:25:10.760 --> 0:25:13.280
<v Speaker 5>The company also gave a forecast for the current fiscal year,

0:25:13.320 --> 0:25:16.640
<v Speaker 5>with sales between fifty nine and sixty billion dollars. That's

0:25:16.720 --> 0:25:20.520
<v Speaker 5>roughly in line with analysts expectations, and the lukewarm forecast

0:25:20.600 --> 0:25:23.840
<v Speaker 5>disappointed investors who hoped for a boost from massive AI

0:25:23.960 --> 0:25:25.000
<v Speaker 5>data center projects.

0:25:25.080 --> 0:25:26.720
<v Speaker 2>For more on ess, Lisa and I were joined by

0:25:26.800 --> 0:25:30.440
<v Speaker 2>wou Jinho, Bloomberg Intelligence senior technology analysts. The first ask

0:25:30.560 --> 0:25:33.160
<v Speaker 2>Wooje for his takeaways on Cisco earnings.

0:25:33.280 --> 0:25:35.760
<v Speaker 12>At the end of the day, the guidance was a

0:25:35.800 --> 0:25:39.200
<v Speaker 12>reminder that they are still tied to IT spending, and

0:25:39.720 --> 0:25:42.800
<v Speaker 12>you know, I viewed it as more as prudent conservatism

0:25:42.840 --> 0:25:44.680
<v Speaker 12>because they don't know what's happening on the second half

0:25:44.720 --> 0:25:48.439
<v Speaker 12>of the year given where we are, you know, we

0:25:48.480 --> 0:25:50.440
<v Speaker 12>have little visibility in terms of rates as well as

0:25:50.480 --> 0:25:54.159
<v Speaker 12>tire still.

0:25:52.600 --> 0:25:55.440
<v Speaker 2>So the company recognized about one billion dollars in AI

0:25:55.520 --> 0:25:59.280
<v Speaker 2>revenue on fiscal twenty twenty five, and I guess AI

0:25:59.320 --> 0:26:02.600
<v Speaker 2>infrastructure or for large from large cloud of providers who

0:26:02.600 --> 0:26:05.000
<v Speaker 2>are over eight hundred million in the quarter. So where

0:26:05.040 --> 0:26:06.159
<v Speaker 2>do we think these numbers can go?

0:26:07.440 --> 0:26:12.280
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, Look, Paul, they forecasted a billion dollars in orders

0:26:12.280 --> 0:26:15.720
<v Speaker 12>for fiscal twenty five. They double that in fiscal twenty six.

0:26:15.840 --> 0:26:19.040
<v Speaker 12>Recognize the billion of it this year. I wouldn't be

0:26:19.119 --> 0:26:23.200
<v Speaker 12>surprised if AI revenues grow at least another fifty percent

0:26:23.280 --> 0:26:27.720
<v Speaker 12>from here. And they're penetrating multiple pockets right not only

0:26:27.760 --> 0:26:30.120
<v Speaker 12>into the cloud, but if you think about a longer term,

0:26:30.400 --> 0:26:33.679
<v Speaker 12>when enterprise adoption really starts kicking in, there is going

0:26:33.720 --> 0:26:34.520
<v Speaker 12>to be a growth driver.

0:26:34.640 --> 0:26:36.280
<v Speaker 1>So we have to.

0:26:36.240 --> 0:26:39.560
<v Speaker 12>See where it'll be in twenty six and twenty seven

0:26:39.560 --> 0:26:42.040
<v Speaker 12>when enterprise grows. But the partnership with then video should

0:26:42.040 --> 0:26:43.960
<v Speaker 12>be beneficial to the longer term.

0:26:44.080 --> 0:26:47.240
<v Speaker 5>What is it AI sector? Is it just to competitive?

0:26:47.280 --> 0:26:49.800
<v Speaker 5>I mean, who are some of their peers? How are

0:26:49.800 --> 0:26:50.840
<v Speaker 5>they doing against them?

0:26:51.400 --> 0:26:54.360
<v Speaker 12>Well, if we think about it, well, they have multiple

0:26:55.080 --> 0:26:58.080
<v Speaker 12>they're in AI in multiple vectors right, so from a

0:26:58.119 --> 0:27:02.399
<v Speaker 12>networking space as one of the bigger competitors, as well

0:27:02.440 --> 0:27:06.880
<v Speaker 12>as a smaller company called Celestica from they also they're

0:27:06.880 --> 0:27:10.520
<v Speaker 12>also very very big on optical components, and they're coming

0:27:10.600 --> 0:27:15.159
<v Speaker 12>up against companies like Marvel as well as Siena, and

0:27:16.440 --> 0:27:21.119
<v Speaker 12>they also provide AI servers, and think about Dell and HPE.

0:27:21.720 --> 0:27:25.960
<v Speaker 12>So look, is it competitive, yes, but they're one of

0:27:26.000 --> 0:27:30.040
<v Speaker 12>the few American vendors that can actually supply components all

0:27:30.080 --> 0:27:31.440
<v Speaker 12>the way to the system hardware.

0:27:32.400 --> 0:27:35.720
<v Speaker 2>Which what what are companies like Cisco and and Dell

0:27:35.800 --> 0:27:39.400
<v Speaker 2>and some other big American companies throughout the tech stack chain?

0:27:39.440 --> 0:27:42.720
<v Speaker 2>What are they saying just about the environment in terms

0:27:42.720 --> 0:27:46.679
<v Speaker 2>of demand from their customers. Are they sensing waning demand

0:27:46.880 --> 0:27:49.320
<v Speaker 2>or wavering demand? Just to see how some of these

0:27:49.440 --> 0:27:51.920
<v Speaker 2>I don't know, teriffs other economic policies may work out.

0:27:52.640 --> 0:27:55.520
<v Speaker 12>Sure, Paul, you know, Cisco is one of the first

0:27:55.720 --> 0:27:58.679
<v Speaker 12>hardware belt weathers that came out. I will tell you

0:27:58.720 --> 0:28:02.400
<v Speaker 12>from from the numbers that I've seen on the companies

0:28:02.400 --> 0:28:05.640
<v Speaker 12>that have reported, you know, the IT spending environment has

0:28:05.640 --> 0:28:08.640
<v Speaker 12>actually been more resilient than I had thought. I went

0:28:08.720 --> 0:28:11.879
<v Speaker 12>into the quarter with my mediar outlook as being a

0:28:11.960 --> 0:28:16.280
<v Speaker 12>little bit cautious and negative, and quite frankly, the results

0:28:16.280 --> 0:28:19.000
<v Speaker 12>have come in better than I anticipated. The outlooks have

0:28:19.080 --> 0:28:21.720
<v Speaker 12>come in better than I anticipated. But the fact of

0:28:21.720 --> 0:28:23.480
<v Speaker 12>the matter is, I don't know what's going to happen

0:28:23.480 --> 0:28:26.119
<v Speaker 12>past December, and I think the Cisco's guidance reflect that.

0:28:26.680 --> 0:28:28.240
<v Speaker 12>We'll have a better sense in a couple of weeks

0:28:28.240 --> 0:28:31.560
<v Speaker 12>from now when companies like Dell and then HPE after

0:28:31.720 --> 0:28:32.919
<v Speaker 12>Labor Day when they.

0:28:32.800 --> 0:28:35.720
<v Speaker 5>Report, did they talk about their guidance at all about

0:28:35.720 --> 0:28:38.520
<v Speaker 5>the impacts? We mentioned tariff quickly, but did the impact

0:28:38.520 --> 0:28:40.560
<v Speaker 5>of tariffs? If so, like, how do they intend to

0:28:40.640 --> 0:28:42.080
<v Speaker 5>lessen that impact from tariffs?

0:28:42.640 --> 0:28:45.920
<v Speaker 12>You know, you know, Cisco has been probably one of

0:28:45.920 --> 0:28:50.560
<v Speaker 12>the better companies in terms of managing expectations of tariffs

0:28:50.880 --> 0:28:54.280
<v Speaker 12>as well as maneuvering the supply chain with the tariff.

0:28:54.320 --> 0:28:58.160
<v Speaker 12>So in terms of managing expectations, they embedded tariff impact

0:28:58.200 --> 0:29:01.240
<v Speaker 12>in their guidance, and because came in a little bit

0:29:01.360 --> 0:29:05.000
<v Speaker 12>lower than we had anticipated, that actually helped the EPs

0:29:05.200 --> 0:29:07.720
<v Speaker 12>just a little bit going forward.

0:29:08.120 --> 0:29:10.520
<v Speaker 8>You know, all of the guidance.

0:29:10.800 --> 0:29:14.240
<v Speaker 12>Includes the tariff impact. Now, the one thing I will add,

0:29:15.200 --> 0:29:18.680
<v Speaker 12>we're still waiting for the semiconductor rulings as it relates

0:29:18.720 --> 0:29:21.840
<v Speaker 12>to Section two three to two. We'll see where it stands.

0:29:22.120 --> 0:29:25.120
<v Speaker 12>If we do have a negative ruling there, that could

0:29:25.600 --> 0:29:29.840
<v Speaker 12>not only affect Cisco's guidance and margins, but also the

0:29:29.840 --> 0:29:31.320
<v Speaker 12>rest of the electronics space.

0:29:31.440 --> 0:29:34.960
<v Speaker 5>All right, thanks to Woo Jinho, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior technology analyst.

0:29:35.280 --> 0:29:37.800
<v Speaker 2>This week we focus on a Bloomberg Big Takes story

0:29:37.920 --> 0:29:42.000
<v Speaker 2>entitled Scott Bessant on Taris, deficis and Trump's Economic Plan.

0:29:42.160 --> 0:29:44.800
<v Speaker 5>You can find it on Bloomberg dot Com and The Terminal.

0:29:45.080 --> 0:29:47.360
<v Speaker 5>It's also the cover story this week for the Bloomberg

0:29:47.400 --> 0:29:48.720
<v Speaker 5>Business Week magazine.

0:29:48.840 --> 0:29:51.400
<v Speaker 2>The story looks at how US Treasury Secretary Scott Besson

0:29:51.560 --> 0:29:54.200
<v Speaker 2>has the ear of President Donald Trump and why nervous

0:29:54.240 --> 0:29:56.560
<v Speaker 2>investors worldwide hope it stays that way.

0:29:56.680 --> 0:29:59.960
<v Speaker 5>Bloomberg's Eric Shatsker and Daniel Flatley co wrote the story,

0:30:00.120 --> 0:30:02.880
<v Speaker 5>and we're part of the team that recently interviewed Besson.

0:30:03.120 --> 0:30:03.840
<v Speaker 8>Earlier in the week.

0:30:03.920 --> 0:30:06.360
<v Speaker 2>Guest host Norman lind and I were joined by Eric Schatsker,

0:30:06.560 --> 0:30:09.440
<v Speaker 2>editorial director for a Bloomberg New Economy. We began the

0:30:09.440 --> 0:30:11.920
<v Speaker 2>conversation by asking Eric for his key takeaways from the

0:30:11.960 --> 0:30:12.680
<v Speaker 2>best in interview.

0:30:12.960 --> 0:30:16.480
<v Speaker 8>Well, first of all, the man is unbelievably busy. Spent

0:30:16.520 --> 0:30:19.600
<v Speaker 8>a day at the Treasury Department with alcoholague, Dan Flatley

0:30:20.320 --> 0:30:23.840
<v Speaker 8>and to observe how much he gets done in the

0:30:23.880 --> 0:30:26.400
<v Speaker 8>course of the day, including spending an extended amount of

0:30:26.440 --> 0:30:29.000
<v Speaker 8>time with US gives you a window into the life

0:30:29.000 --> 0:30:31.880
<v Speaker 8>of the Treasury Secretary in the Trump administration. And it's

0:30:31.920 --> 0:30:35.120
<v Speaker 8>important to emphasize in the Trump administration because this particular

0:30:35.120 --> 0:30:38.920
<v Speaker 8>Treasury secretary has been given a whole host of responsibilities

0:30:38.920 --> 0:30:42.560
<v Speaker 8>that go beyond that of the typical Treasury secretary. We

0:30:42.640 --> 0:30:45.440
<v Speaker 8>know that the Treasury secretary in any administration is involved

0:30:45.440 --> 0:30:48.240
<v Speaker 8>in tax policy, is involved in economic sanctions, is involved

0:30:48.240 --> 0:30:51.600
<v Speaker 8>in financial regulation and the like. But President Trump has

0:30:51.680 --> 0:30:56.280
<v Speaker 8>tasked Scott Besson with trade negotiations, with striking and not

0:30:56.440 --> 0:30:59.920
<v Speaker 8>just any old trade negotiations China perhaps the most difficult

0:31:00.240 --> 0:31:03.960
<v Speaker 8>negotiation of all, Japan, which was successful, South Korea, which

0:31:04.040 --> 0:31:08.080
<v Speaker 8>was successful, in Indonesia, the list goes on. He's also

0:31:08.120 --> 0:31:12.320
<v Speaker 8>the acting IRS Commissioner. He also crafted the deal that

0:31:12.480 --> 0:31:15.600
<v Speaker 8>the very novel and original deal that the United States

0:31:15.640 --> 0:31:19.240
<v Speaker 8>struck with Ukraine for a share of that country's mineral

0:31:19.280 --> 0:31:22.960
<v Speaker 8>resource wealth back in April. These are not and furthermore,

0:31:22.960 --> 0:31:25.800
<v Speaker 8>I have to add he was instrumental in getting the

0:31:25.840 --> 0:31:30.760
<v Speaker 8>One Big Beautiful Bill through opposition in both among Republicans

0:31:30.800 --> 0:31:32.880
<v Speaker 8>in both the House and the Senate in order to

0:31:32.920 --> 0:31:36.360
<v Speaker 8>meet the president's self imposed July fourth deadline. So Scott

0:31:36.400 --> 0:31:40.120
<v Speaker 8>Besson has taken on way more than your traditional Treasury

0:31:40.160 --> 0:31:43.760
<v Speaker 8>secretary does, and much of that is because the President

0:31:43.840 --> 0:31:45.680
<v Speaker 8>himself has asked him to do so.

0:31:46.640 --> 0:31:48.479
<v Speaker 7>And it seems as though a lot of people see

0:31:48.720 --> 0:31:51.240
<v Speaker 7>Beson as really having the president's ear here. And this

0:31:51.320 --> 0:31:54.840
<v Speaker 7>is a really fantastic story. Okay, what was the most

0:31:54.840 --> 0:31:56.959
<v Speaker 7>surprising element through your conversation with him?

0:31:57.000 --> 0:31:57.120
<v Speaker 11>Oh?

0:31:57.160 --> 0:32:01.320
<v Speaker 8>Well, there's so many surprises. Say that the thing I

0:32:01.440 --> 0:32:05.040
<v Speaker 8>didn't fully appreciate and which he spelled out for us

0:32:05.120 --> 0:32:08.440
<v Speaker 8>and which others spelled out for us, is the degree

0:32:08.560 --> 0:32:12.480
<v Speaker 8>to which this is something he sought after going back

0:32:12.520 --> 0:32:16.040
<v Speaker 8>many years. Besen told us that he thought about joining

0:32:16.040 --> 0:32:19.480
<v Speaker 8>the Trump campaign as early as twenty sixteen, but at

0:32:19.480 --> 0:32:21.440
<v Speaker 8>that time he just started a new hedge fund, Key

0:32:21.440 --> 0:32:24.240
<v Speaker 8>Square Group, and he didn't feel like he could abandon

0:32:24.280 --> 0:32:27.920
<v Speaker 8>his employees or abandon his clients. But what he did

0:32:27.960 --> 0:32:30.520
<v Speaker 8>do was start to get to know the people close

0:32:30.560 --> 0:32:35.640
<v Speaker 8>to Trump almost immediately thereafter, starting with Steve Bannon and

0:32:35.680 --> 0:32:40.640
<v Speaker 8>subsequently Peter Navarro, Stephen Moore, Kevin Hassett. For example, Trump's

0:32:40.640 --> 0:32:44.000
<v Speaker 8>close economic advisors Art Laffer. He went down to see

0:32:44.120 --> 0:32:47.600
<v Speaker 8>Art Laugher in the South, made a pilgrimage of starts

0:32:48.200 --> 0:32:53.440
<v Speaker 8>to get Art Laugher's blessing for his ambitions to become

0:32:53.520 --> 0:32:58.000
<v Speaker 8>Treasury secretary, and these he didn't make known to Trump

0:32:58.400 --> 0:33:00.720
<v Speaker 8>until November of twenty two, three throws, so it was

0:33:00.720 --> 0:33:03.760
<v Speaker 8>almost a six year period in which he was maneuvering

0:33:04.160 --> 0:33:07.720
<v Speaker 8>to position himself that for a shot at Treasury secretary.

0:33:07.760 --> 0:33:11.440
<v Speaker 8>And when he saw Trump in that November twenty twenty

0:33:11.480 --> 0:33:13.920
<v Speaker 8>three meeting at mar A Lago, Trump asked him if

0:33:13.920 --> 0:33:16.080
<v Speaker 8>he wanted the job, if he was interested in being

0:33:16.160 --> 0:33:18.680
<v Speaker 8>fed chair, and Besen said, no, I have another job

0:33:18.680 --> 0:33:20.320
<v Speaker 8>in mind. Very good.

0:33:21.680 --> 0:33:25.840
<v Speaker 2>The Street Eric gives Scott Bessen a fair amount of

0:33:25.840 --> 0:33:29.080
<v Speaker 2>credit for walking to President back from maybe some of

0:33:29.120 --> 0:33:33.080
<v Speaker 2>the more difficult tariffs that were initially announced. Is that

0:33:33.120 --> 0:33:36.840
<v Speaker 2>a valid point. Did Scott Besson play a big role

0:33:36.920 --> 0:33:39.040
<v Speaker 2>in walking the president back a little bit and does

0:33:39.040 --> 0:33:40.840
<v Speaker 2>he take credit for that or is he kind of demure?

0:33:41.200 --> 0:33:46.600
<v Speaker 8>Besson insists that his job is not to explain things

0:33:46.600 --> 0:33:50.520
<v Speaker 8>to the president or to advise the president. It is

0:33:50.560 --> 0:33:54.120
<v Speaker 8>to present the president with a series of options. Here's

0:33:54.120 --> 0:33:56.800
<v Speaker 8>path one, here's path two, here's here's path three. And

0:33:56.840 --> 0:33:59.360
<v Speaker 8>I will explain to you where we get if we

0:33:59.440 --> 0:34:01.600
<v Speaker 8>go down one, if we go down two, or if

0:34:01.600 --> 0:34:04.440
<v Speaker 8>we go down three. And he leaves it ultimately for

0:34:04.480 --> 0:34:07.920
<v Speaker 8>Trump to make the decision. That's very I wouldn't say

0:34:07.920 --> 0:34:10.920
<v Speaker 8>that's unique to this president, but Trump has a very

0:34:10.960 --> 0:34:14.240
<v Speaker 8>particular view of his role as a decider in chief

0:34:14.520 --> 0:34:16.880
<v Speaker 8>in this administration that is perhaps different from what we

0:34:16.920 --> 0:34:20.319
<v Speaker 8>saw with Biden, or with Obama, or even going back

0:34:20.360 --> 0:34:22.920
<v Speaker 8>in history to other Republicans like George W. Bush and

0:34:23.000 --> 0:34:27.000
<v Speaker 8>maybe even Ronald Reagan. So Besont does not claim credit

0:34:27.400 --> 0:34:30.920
<v Speaker 8>for being the de escalationist, but it is clear talking

0:34:30.920 --> 0:34:34.239
<v Speaker 8>to people around him and to understanding how the market

0:34:34.560 --> 0:34:38.600
<v Speaker 8>thinks market psychology, if you will, which is one of

0:34:38.640 --> 0:34:41.160
<v Speaker 8>his areas of expertise, having been a macro hedge fund

0:34:41.239 --> 0:34:45.160
<v Speaker 8>manager for almost forty years. That is where it really counts.

0:34:45.160 --> 0:34:48.880
<v Speaker 8>The market trusts him, and the market, based on its observations,

0:34:48.960 --> 0:34:51.560
<v Speaker 8>draws these conclusions rightly or wrongly.

0:34:51.920 --> 0:34:54.799
<v Speaker 2>Does he share any concerns he may have about just

0:34:54.920 --> 0:34:59.360
<v Speaker 2>getting somehow involved in some of the crossfire that it

0:34:59.400 --> 0:35:02.520
<v Speaker 2>happens around President Trump and getting into President Trump's bad

0:35:02.600 --> 0:35:04.839
<v Speaker 2>graces or just kind of I mean, because it's such

0:35:04.840 --> 0:35:07.800
<v Speaker 2>a perilous those people that fight fly close to President

0:35:07.880 --> 0:35:10.120
<v Speaker 2>Trump historically have done at their own risk.

0:35:10.640 --> 0:35:12.560
<v Speaker 8>Well, the former vice president, so.

0:35:12.560 --> 0:35:15.680
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, how does he negotiate? Does he even acknowledge that

0:35:15.760 --> 0:35:16.239
<v Speaker 2>that's a risk.

0:35:17.400 --> 0:35:21.600
<v Speaker 8>What I divine from the conversations we had with the

0:35:21.640 --> 0:35:26.840
<v Speaker 8>Treasury Secretary is that it there is a formula for

0:35:27.000 --> 0:35:34.560
<v Speaker 8>success in the Trump administration, and it means making certain

0:35:34.680 --> 0:35:36.960
<v Speaker 8>compromises if you will with yourself. You can come in

0:35:37.000 --> 0:35:39.160
<v Speaker 8>with your own ideas, but it is not your job

0:35:39.200 --> 0:35:42.000
<v Speaker 8>to advance that agenda. So you have to make some

0:35:42.040 --> 0:35:46.440
<v Speaker 8>compromises if you don't. And Steven Minuchin, the former treasure secretary,

0:35:46.440 --> 0:35:49.439
<v Speaker 8>points this out, if you cannot represent the president well,

0:35:49.440 --> 0:35:52.279
<v Speaker 8>in other words, if you can't get behind what the

0:35:52.280 --> 0:35:56.160
<v Speaker 8>president wants, the role has no power. What's the point

0:35:56.200 --> 0:35:59.000
<v Speaker 8>of being in DC. What's the point of abandoning a

0:35:59.040 --> 0:36:01.360
<v Speaker 8>forty year career in finance where your rose to be

0:36:01.400 --> 0:36:05.200
<v Speaker 8>one of the most successful hedge fund managers? And have

0:36:06.040 --> 0:36:08.640
<v Speaker 8>you know for it all to be worthless, had to

0:36:08.680 --> 0:36:10.120
<v Speaker 8>have no power. No, you want to be able to

0:36:10.120 --> 0:36:13.279
<v Speaker 8>wield influence and get things done. And that's very much

0:36:13.320 --> 0:36:16.200
<v Speaker 8>in the back of Scott Besant's mind. What's my legacy

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<v Speaker 8>as Treasury Secretary going.

0:36:17.680 --> 0:36:21.480
<v Speaker 5>To be our Thanks to Eric Shatzker, editorial Director Bloomberg

0:36:21.520 --> 0:36:22.800
<v Speaker 5>New Economy, that's.

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<v Speaker 2>This week's edition of Bloomberg Intelligence on Bloomberg Radio, providing

0:36:25.840 --> 0:36:28.400
<v Speaker 2>in depth research and data on two thousand companies in

0:36:28.400 --> 0:36:29.640
<v Speaker 2>one hundred and thirty industries.

0:36:29.719 --> 0:36:32.200
<v Speaker 5>And remember you can access Bloomberg Intelligence via b I

0:36:32.280 --> 0:36:34.319
<v Speaker 5>go on the terminal. I'm Lisa Mattheo and.

0:36:34.360 --> 0:36:35.080
<v Speaker 8>I'm Paul Sweeney.

0:36:35.160 --> 0:36:35.719
<v Speaker 11>Stay with us.

0:36:35.800 --> 0:36:38.200
<v Speaker 2>Today's top stories and global business headlines are coming up

0:36:38.440 --> 0:36:43.120
<v Speaker 2>right now.