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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also.

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Speaker 1: All right, here we go, we're throwing in so spec

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Speaker 1: I'm sitting it to CASHTI. We see most gamble is

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Speaker 1: when they go to gamble, they go to wind.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible, big bank, small banks. I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate kabine you want to pack.

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Speaker 1: And we are underway.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I am Evan Abrams,

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Speaker 2: the director of Researcher Media here at the Action Network,

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Speaker 2: and I am joined by just a man who's up

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Speaker 2: eight units so far today, the futures expert, the man himself,

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Speaker 2: Brandon Anderson. What is going on? Brandon? How are you now?

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Speaker 3: Got the Vikings Jersey back on school baby to finish

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Speaker 3: the night out with the Vikings. Win, We're back, you know,

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Speaker 3: win a couple of games in a row. Right to

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Speaker 3: talk some football, maybe the most exciting day of football ever.

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Speaker 3: A lot of favorites winning today, as I'm sure you'll

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Speaker 3: get into. But you know, football Sunday, how bad can

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Speaker 3: it be?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? I was gonna say we ended with an interesting

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Speaker 2: Sunday night football game, but your Vikings did get the

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Speaker 2: winning cover. So let's start there. So Minnesota covers this six.

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Speaker 2: They win the game twenty one to thirteen, game goes

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Speaker 2: under forty seven. Honestly, my notes at the top of

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Speaker 2: this one is this game kind of looked like it

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Speaker 2: was a tribute to Anthony Richardson for a little while.

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Speaker 2: Both quarterbacks were exactly giving you the tribute you saw.

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Speaker 2: And also they were kind of both looking like Jets

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Speaker 2: quarterbacks for a little bit there until Darnold kind of

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Speaker 2: looked his way looked better in the end. But I mean,

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Speaker 2: the first thing I look at in the box score

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Speaker 2: and the thing that really like jumps out to me,

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Speaker 2: which I kind of gave Minnesota the winning the end,

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Speaker 2: is the fact they had twenty nine first downs. Indy

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Speaker 2: only had thirteen in this one. So overall, Minnesota deserve

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Speaker 2: the cover. Glad they got there, because there was a

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Speaker 2: few opportunities, especially in the second half. You know, there

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Speaker 2: could have been a back door, there could have been

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Speaker 2: a situation where Indy got it. But yeah, I mean,

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Speaker 2: from a point of view from INDI's offense, it was

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Speaker 2: the worst offensive game of the year for them in

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Speaker 2: terms of EPA per drive. So you know, comparing back

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Speaker 2: and forth, we know Flak would look good, but he

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Speaker 2: did not look good today and it was I think

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Speaker 2: both defenses honestly look pretty good behind Bradley and Flores,

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Speaker 2: but in the end, Flora's just looked better and I

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Speaker 2: think really gave them a lot of trouble. A few

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Speaker 2: things worth noting here. Minnesota's kicker Shard missing two field

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Speaker 2: goals in the first half almost cost them, but Vikings

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Speaker 2: drove into indie territory on all five of their first possessions.

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Speaker 2: They got a punt fumble, missfield goal, and a missfield goal,

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Speaker 2: and at that point you're saying to yourself, well, Minnesota

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Speaker 2: can't cover the game. And then kind of Flacco does

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Speaker 2: Flacco throwing interceptions in the red zone, Darnald throws it

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Speaker 2: back and pick again. It was an absolute mess. From

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Speaker 2: a stats point of view, Sunday night football unders has

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Speaker 2: been an interesting trend that has continued here seven and

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Speaker 2: two this year, thirty eight and seventeen last three years,

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Speaker 2: seventy one and forty five since twenty nineteen, and the

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Speaker 2: other stat I think that's interesting. NFC North, so outside

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Speaker 2: of the Bears today, even with the record nineteen and

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Speaker 2: eight against the spread, outside of the division at eleven

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Speaker 2: and two against the spread at home, Minnesota to me

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Speaker 2: looked good. They're better than Indie overall. They should have.

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Speaker 2: They got the cover. They deserved it. And next week

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Speaker 2: that's the interesting part. Next week Minnesota's at Jacksonville. They're

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Speaker 2: laying five points, so got to keep it running against

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Speaker 2: a team that might be looking like they're firing their

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Speaker 2: head coach.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean Minnesota to me, even as the Vikings

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Speaker 3: Faneca and ment, I don't know that this team is

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Speaker 3: great right now. I don't think that they are what

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Speaker 3: a five to zero team was supposed to look like.

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Speaker 3: But they're six and two and they played Jacksonville and

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Speaker 3: Tennessee the next two weeks. We're doing the AFC South

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Speaker 3: Division right now, so unless something goes wrong, you're eight

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Speaker 3: and two, you're a playoff team. Like eight and two,

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Speaker 3: you're almost definitely making the playoffs. We did the Jacksonville.

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Speaker 3: We took Minnesota minus three and a half. I believe

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Speaker 3: on the look ahead it's already up to five against Jacksonville.

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Speaker 3: That one's move in that direction. And yeah, I mean

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Speaker 3: they got the job done. They I had actually look,

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Speaker 3: as you were talking, you said, these looked like two

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Speaker 3: Jets quarterbacks tonight, and I was like, well, Sam Arnold

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Speaker 3: was wait, Joe Flacco was he was, He's played for

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Speaker 3: a lot.

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Speaker 2: It works perfect, it works well.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, we actually got some Jets quarterbacks here

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Speaker 3: getting the job done.

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Speaker 2: It was weird.

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Speaker 3: Koc's offense usually has been really good early in the game.

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Speaker 3: Script the first fifteen plays is when they're getting their offense.

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Speaker 3: They were getting it, and then they're just getting the

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Speaker 3: terrible interception in the end zone, stupid fumble stuff like that.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I think what you have here being fair

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Speaker 3: to my own team, I think you have two relatively

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Speaker 3: average teams, and I think Minnesota is just the better

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Speaker 3: average team. With Joe Flacco instead of Richardson, you get

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Speaker 3: a higher floor. It's a little safer in theory. Was

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Speaker 3: isn't really a lot safer tonight anyway. But you're taking

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Speaker 3: away the ceiling, and I think against a team like

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Speaker 3: Minnesota that's a little better than you, you need the ceiling.

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Speaker 3: And that's why a lot of people are pretty upset

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Speaker 3: about the benching. I get it. I get that the veterans.

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Speaker 3: Maybe you want the move. We talked about it a

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Speaker 3: week ago. But I think that's why this has been

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Speaker 3: such a big talking point, so it'll began to see.

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Speaker 3: If you have Joe Flacco and you're a short underdog

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Speaker 3: like this, relatively short, you're supposed to compete and when

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Speaker 3: that sort of game, that's why you play the veteran,

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Speaker 3: not the young guy. They can't afford too many more

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Speaker 3: games like this otherwise they really need to make a

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Speaker 3: move back. So I think that's the thing to pay

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Speaker 3: attention to with Indy going forward.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, before we move on, you had mentioned this Vikings.

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Speaker 2: We're seven and zero against a first quarter spread zero zero,

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Speaker 2: so that run comes to an end and honestly hard

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Speaker 2: for the Colts to win if they never get in

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Speaker 2: the red zone, which they never did tonight, so that

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Speaker 2: probably wasn't happening. All right, let's move on. One o'clock

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Speaker 2: games Miami at Buffalo. Miami covers the six and a

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Speaker 2: half but loses thirty each. Twenty seven goes over forty nine,

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Speaker 2: a relatively rare close win for Josh Allen when he

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Speaker 2: usually tends to blow people out. Brandon, what you got here?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, a relatively rare close fun game for the day

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Speaker 3: two if for being totally honest, So just just a

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Speaker 3: good one, really, back and forth division battle. Honestly, that's

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Speaker 3: a rarety in this division rivalry. Buffalo is now one,

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Speaker 3: I believe thirteen of fourteen against Miami, and a lot

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Speaker 3: of them haven't been closed. I think actually this time

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Speaker 3: we saw Mike McDaniel find some answers. Finally we talked

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Speaker 3: about this. I was on the eighth Chan super Escalator,

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Speaker 3: and the whole thing with Buffalo is they do the

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Speaker 3: two safeties. They make you win underneath, and it looked

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Speaker 3: like Mike McDaniel and the Miami offense are like, okay,

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Speaker 3: great John new Smith five catches out of the backfield monster,

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Speaker 3: two catches for thirty two eight. Chan finishes with eight

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Speaker 3: catches fifty eight yards, two scores, a big day for him,

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Speaker 3: big day running. That's the Yak attack. That's the just

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Speaker 3: get the ball to our guys in the flat. If

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Speaker 3: that's you're given us, great, we got guys that can

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Speaker 3: do that. They kind of accepted it. The problem is

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Speaker 3: Buffalo got a touchdown on fourth down. Buffalo got a

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Speaker 3: sixty three yard broken tackle touchdown. It's kind of a

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Speaker 3: coin flip game. But Miami played a kind of a

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Speaker 3: coin flip game against Arizona last week and now they

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Speaker 3: just lost two coin flips and they're two and six.

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Speaker 3: I think Miami is better than what they look like,

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Speaker 3: and they could have won this game. And you get

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Speaker 3: down to the end, Dolphins drive late, eleven plays, eighty

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Speaker 3: one yards, they score touchdown to tie it. Josh Allen

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Speaker 3: third down, they're trying to do something, they're really doing nothing.

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Speaker 3: Miami is holding up. Alan makes some time, chucks it deep.

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Speaker 3: Former Buffalo Bill's safety Jordan Poyer, long time Bill safety

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Speaker 3: Jordan Poyer playing for Miami, now gets what I thought

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Speaker 3: was a pretty questionable call the defenseless receiver. I thought

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Speaker 3: there was a lot of that going all day today.

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Speaker 3: Just some really close fifty to fifty calls that's like, oh,

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Speaker 3: fifteen yards in the first down. Totally changes the complexion

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Speaker 3: of the game, gets Buffalo moving forward. Tyler Bass said,

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Speaker 3: missed next point earlier, that's why I was tied, not

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Speaker 3: a one point lead. Hits a sixty one yarder for

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Speaker 3: the win. I think, from Buffalo's standpoint, pretty close to

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Speaker 3: clinches the division. Like we still got a couple months

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Speaker 3: to go, assuming Josh Allen doesn't get hurt for a

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Speaker 3: long time. I think that's probably where this looks. Miami,

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Speaker 3: they could have won, They could have won last week.

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Speaker 3: They didn't. They're now two and six. They still play

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Speaker 3: the Packers, the Texans, they played the forty nine ers,

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Speaker 3: they played the Jets twice. Not exactly in that class,

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Speaker 3: but not easy ones. Miami looks better, the offense is

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Speaker 3: looking pretty good. They're kind of figuring some things out.

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Speaker 3: Now you gotta win games. This was a game that

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Speaker 3: I kind of feel like this is pretty close to

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Speaker 3: season over for them. They needed this one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you dropped this one, and you drop the one

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Speaker 2: against Arizona, and it feels like, Okay, these could have

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Speaker 2: been two wins. It turns everything around if you're a

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Speaker 2: Jets fan. A good win by Buffalo in my opinion,

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Speaker 2: since that division's over with you either, Miami just kind

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Speaker 2: of fall off. Okay, Detroit at green Bay, you know,

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Speaker 2: this was probably the other okay, decent game of the day,

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Speaker 2: even though it was a blowout most of it. But

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Speaker 2: Detroit covers the three twenty four to fourteen final goes

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Speaker 2: under forty eight. I just don't know how. You just

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Speaker 2: don't talk about the beginning of the game. Love's pick

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Speaker 2: six goes to seventeen to three Detroit Gibs touchdown twenty

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Speaker 2: four to three Detroit at this point, especially great lead

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Speaker 2: block on that Gibbs touch on by Pennay Soul just

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Speaker 2: super super easy, and the entire day it just looked

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Speaker 2: like the offense from green Bay side was very difficult.

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Speaker 2: Every time they were trying to move the ball downfield,

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Speaker 2: they'd find Jayden Reid on a pass, but then they

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Speaker 2: you know, three and outs after that, they just couldn't

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Speaker 2: get easy chips down the field to be able to

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Speaker 2: get themselves in position to score points, and by the

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Speaker 2: time they even got anything going, it was honestly too late.

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Speaker 2: Detroit's defense also probably the story here when you look overall,

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Speaker 2: and this is one note I made, so green Bay

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Speaker 2: goes three of twelve on third down this year, Detroit's

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Speaker 2: defense is allowing under thirty percent on third down, best

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Speaker 2: mark in the NFL. I think it's probably one of

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Speaker 2: the more underrated marks since we talk about their offense

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Speaker 2: so much, but just a tremendous job. Overall. Detroit just

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Speaker 2: keeps covering, and it's honestly, at this point become almost stupid.

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Speaker 2: So over the last fifty five games dating back to

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Speaker 2: in the middle of twenty twenty one, they are forty

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Speaker 2: and fifteen against the spread, seventy two point seven percent

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Speaker 2: over the last fifty five games, and the GOP superlatives

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Speaker 2: are just also becoming kind of dumb. He has eleven

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Speaker 2: touchdown passes and seventeen incompletions in his last five starts,

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Speaker 2: also almost a seventy five percent completion percentage on two

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Speaker 2: hundred and eleven attempts since two thousand. The only person

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Speaker 2: higher through this amount of games with that many attempts

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Speaker 2: is Drew Brees in twenty eighteen. He is doing some

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Speaker 2: very crazy things. But it's also worth noting anybody who

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Speaker 2: has bet against the Lions over the last two weeks,

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Speaker 2: they only had two hundred and sixty one yards or

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Speaker 2: less and covered his favorites both times. No team had

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Speaker 2: done that since two thousands. So Detroit's looking good. It's

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Speaker 2: not showing up completely in the box score other than

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Speaker 2: Gov's efficiency. Next week Detroit in Houston Sunday Night Football,

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Speaker 2: and looking at the line right now, Detroit is minus

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Speaker 2: four and a half. Now, I believe we still won't

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Speaker 2: have Nico, which we could talk about Houston at another point,

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Speaker 2: but that's completely changed their offense, So an interesting game,

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Speaker 2: but nonetheless Detroit continues to look dominant. Just crazy there.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a really marquee game. It's fun one we'll

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Speaker 3: be talking about a week from now. Houston, you know,

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Speaker 3: of course, just played Thursday night and was underdogs to

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Speaker 3: the two and six Jets and then lost as underdogs accordingly,

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I mean Houston. You should have a team

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Speaker 3: with a record and a profile as good as Houston's

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Speaker 3: to be a significant above a field goal underdog against

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Speaker 3: the Lions. My question for you, do you think that

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Speaker 3: line early on it's moved up, it's past the key number? Now?

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Speaker 3: Is that line telling us more about how good people

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Speaker 3: think Detroit is or how not good Houston is?

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Speaker 2: You just can't make it too much bigger, especially being

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Speaker 2: on the road in such a high profile game against

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Speaker 2: a team who also is what six and three now

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Speaker 2: understanding what their six and three looks like, It's a

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Speaker 2: tricky one for me. I just think the last few

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Speaker 2: weeks everything in my heart, the way I like to gamble,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna want to take Houston and try to find

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Speaker 2: a way to take Houston, especially the way Detroit's just

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Speaker 2: been covering the last few weeks, but I don't know

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Speaker 2: if I want to get in the way of that juggernaut.

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Speaker 2: So enjoy, let's keep going here. New England at Tennessee

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Speaker 2: will go back to the one o'clock windows. So New

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Speaker 2: England covers the three and a half points spread, but

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Speaker 2: loses twenty seventeen in overtime. The under thirty eight and

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Speaker 2: a half barely gets there. One interesting trend getting into this,

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Speaker 2: so teams after facing the Lions now go to zero

256
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Speaker 2: and seven against the spread because Tennessee does not get

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Speaker 2: the cover here and fourteen to twenty six over the

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Speaker 2: last three years. So take it for what you will.

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Speaker 2: But Brandon, what'd you see?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean the real question here is why is

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Speaker 3: this game so high in the rundown? And the answer

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Speaker 3: is this is the Action Network podcast and this was

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Speaker 3: the gambling game of the day. If you're betting on

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Speaker 3: a lot of games here, this is the one that

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Speaker 3: came down to the end. So look, I'll be honest, like,

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Speaker 3: I don't know what your setup is, but mine on

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Speaker 3: a Sunday, I've got the two screens. I got red

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Speaker 3: zone on the big screen, so I'm getting everything all

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Speaker 3: at once. Then I got like you know the YouTube

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Speaker 3: the four screens over here with the top games. I'm choosing.

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Speaker 3: Love the setup. Let's just say New England Tennessee is

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Speaker 3: not one of the four chosen games. So I'm kind

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Speaker 3: of I'm in the zone. I'm watching the four I'm

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Speaker 3: watching the red zone. Patriots Titans pops up on red

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Speaker 3: zone in like the third quarter. I'm like, what when

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Speaker 3: did this game start?

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Speaker 1: Like?

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Speaker 3: Nothing is happening over here, it's ten ten. I know

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Speaker 3: where the ten came from. Nothing's going on. This was

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Speaker 3: one of my you know, hot read unders from a

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Speaker 3: week ago that we did. I'm like, great, perfect, Just

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Speaker 3: just keep doing nothing. See you later. We get down

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Speaker 3: to the end, Patriots are driving. Drake May throws the

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Speaker 3: longest shortest hill mary in NFL history. They're like, inside,

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Speaker 3: what was I guess seven yeard pass or something? I

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Speaker 3: think I counted. He scrambled around. He took over ten

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Speaker 3: seconds to throw that close to the end zone, just scrambling, scrambling, scrambling,

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Speaker 3: getting hit, chucks it up across his body, shouts to

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Speaker 3: our guy Brennan for the big Drake May touchdown, tie

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Speaker 3: the game. But what are you doing? Just go for two?

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Speaker 3: Come on? Let's let the Patriots and Titans. Who needs

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Speaker 3: that suddenly? Now you got our attention as betters. It's

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Speaker 3: seventeen seventeen. We're in overtime. The Titans are driving right

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Speaker 3: down the field. And here's the drama again. Seventeen seventeen.

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Speaker 3: We're at thirty four totals at thirty eight, thirty eight

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Speaker 3: and a half. Depending where you got it, fuel goal

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Speaker 3: goes under, get a touchdown, you're going over. Titans are

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Speaker 3: minus three, minus three and a half. Fueld goal might push,

299
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Speaker 3: maybe you win the bet, depending on where you got it.

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Speaker 3: Touchdown and it flips the bet. It looked for all

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Speaker 3: the world watching the game like Tennessee was just gonna

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Speaker 3: push right on down the field into the end zone.

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Speaker 3: They're just running the ball. Tony Pollard had one hundred

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Speaker 3: and twenty eight yards today on twenty eight carries. That's

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Speaker 3: what a fella was gonna happen. Finally, the Patriots defense

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Speaker 3: holds up, holds them the field goal. May throws a pick,

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Speaker 3: hot redunder hits, the Patriots hold on, the Lions streak

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Speaker 3: holds on. That to me was the drama of the day.

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Speaker 3: This is like the DJN Game of the day. So

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Speaker 3: that's why you know every other recap pot out there,

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Speaker 3: this will be like the ten second mention at the end.

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Speaker 3: This was the fun one for us as betters. I

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Speaker 3: think Drake May looked good. He made some mistakes, big

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Speaker 3: strip sack cost them some points, four sacks, two interceptions,

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Speaker 3: but he ran for ninety five yards, he threw for

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Speaker 3: over two hundred. He had that hail Mary touchdown from

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Speaker 3: seven yeards out at the end. To me, that's perfect

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Speaker 3: Drake May looking good, flashing and losing the game. That

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Speaker 3: is the platonic ideal outcome for the Patriots in a

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Speaker 3: game this season. For the Titans, I thought they're much better.

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Speaker 3: I think it's kind of a damaging win. They drop

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Speaker 3: quote unquote to two and six. There are like eight

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Speaker 3: teams with two wins right now. You don't want to

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Speaker 3: fall into that group, and height Will levis, that's not

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Speaker 3: where this franchise is going. You need the quarterback. So

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Speaker 3: Patriots are one of those teams that they're now tied with.

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Speaker 3: I think this could be, weirdly a game that kind

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Speaker 3: of sets the franchise back down the line by getting

329
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Speaker 3: over the line. But fun game for us betting, just

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Speaker 3: by the way it ended. And you know, how else

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Speaker 3: are you gonna talk about Patriots Titans and.

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Speaker 2: That maybe Girodmeo didn't go for two on purpose because

333
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Speaker 2: he was like, I need a better chance to lose

334
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Speaker 2: the game, and the only way to do what that

335
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Speaker 2: would be to kick the field, kick the extra point.

336
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Speaker 2: The only other thing. Both teams, in my opinion, started

337
00:16:50,800 --> 00:16:53,880
Speaker 2: the correct quarterback in this game. I know both teams

338
00:16:53,880 --> 00:16:56,760
Speaker 2: have started multiple but this game between Mason Rudolph and

339
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Speaker 2: Drake May was the quarterback the way it was supposed

340
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Speaker 2: to be. All right in the middle here, I'm going

341
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Speaker 2: to give one big stat something that is overarching from

342
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Speaker 2: the weekend, and then we'll kind of get to the

343
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Speaker 2: best of the rest. There's no surprise here. I said

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Speaker 2: it earlier today on Convince Me this morning we were

345
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Speaker 2: talking about favorites. So now this week thirteen and one

346
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Speaker 2: straight up in week nine are favorites ten and four

347
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Speaker 2: against the spread. Last five weeks favorites are now forty

348
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Speaker 2: six twenty six and one, So that is sixty four percent.

349
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Speaker 2: Just an unreal run. After in October thirty eight, twenty

350
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Speaker 2: two and one against the spread, best month for a

351
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Speaker 2: favorite since twenty seventeen and best October in the wildcard era.

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Speaker 2: So we are, you know, officially seeing the turnaround here.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's keep rolling and we'll get a little

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Speaker 2: quicker through these. So Dallas at Atlanta from the one

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Speaker 2: o'clock window, Atlanta covers the three goes under fifty two barely.

356
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Speaker 2: It was twenty seven to twenty one, and it got

357
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Speaker 2: a little hairy there with rushing. But I will say this,

358
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Speaker 2: dating back to last year, Cowboys have really struggled there recently,

359
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Speaker 2: three and ten against the spread in their last thirteen games,

360
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Speaker 2: one of the worst marks in the NFL. So, Brandon,

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Speaker 2: what'd you see here?

362
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Speaker 3: I mean, honestly, I didn't see a lot, to be honest,

363
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Speaker 3: Like this should have been one of our better games

364
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Speaker 3: of the day. This is the one that I replaced

365
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Speaker 3: Patriots and Titans with at the top of the lineup.

366
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Speaker 3: Wasn't that interesting, to be honest, It just kind of

367
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Speaker 3: the Falcons did the thing. It's yet another one of

368
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Speaker 3: those games where the Cowboys only lost by one score.

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Speaker 3: No they didn't. The Cowboys are getting crushed in these games.

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Speaker 3: This is the Ravens again, Not quite, this is the

371
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Speaker 3: Lions game again. The Cowboys I believe I saw have

372
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Speaker 3: trailed by double digits with the ball, I think like

373
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Speaker 3: second most in the entire NFL. And they did that

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Speaker 3: again here they're just late in the game. Get a

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Speaker 3: fourteen play eighty six yard touchdown, way to go. Now

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Speaker 3: you lost by only sixty still lost like that. We're

377
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Speaker 3: not fooling anybody, Dallas. We know what's happening here. Three

378
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Speaker 3: and five. They've lost three in a row. Obviously. The

379
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Speaker 3: big story here is Dak Prescott leave hurt. The weird

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Speaker 3: thing is they show him on the sideline like flexing

381
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Speaker 3: his hand. They're not sure what's happening with his throwing hand,

382
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Speaker 3: and then they're like, oh, Dak is questionably returned with

383
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Speaker 3: the hamstring injury. Like, I don't know, my hand is

384
00:19:12,920 --> 00:19:15,240
Speaker 3: not attached to my ham strings. I don't know what's

385
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Speaker 3: happening with that. Then he's out, didn't come back again.

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Speaker 3: Up next for Dallas, huge game against the Eagles, our

387
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Speaker 3: big afternoon game next week, then Texans that's obviously the

388
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Speaker 3: big state rivalry game. Texans are good. Then Washington Division

389
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Speaker 3: rivalry game. They cannot afford to lose Dak Prescott for

390
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Speaker 3: even like a game. Right now, they're three and five.

391
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Speaker 3: I think if Dak misses like even a game, they're

392
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Speaker 3: teetering on the brink already. They're not competing against these

393
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Speaker 3: better teams anyhow, Falcons are just a lot better. Bijan

394
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Speaker 3: had another big day, did not find the end zone

395
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Speaker 3: for my best bet, but eighty six rushing, fifty nine receiving,

396
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Speaker 3: and seven catches three touchdowns. For Kirk, I thought Dallas

397
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Speaker 3: was terrible on late downs, especially third downs. Three of

398
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Speaker 3: thirteen they turn it over and downs four times. I'm

399
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Speaker 3: not really been a big believer in the Falcons. They

400
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Speaker 3: kind of fall into like that Colts Vikings bucket of like, yeah,

401
00:20:07,359 --> 00:20:10,680
Speaker 3: sure you're kind of around average, but around average team

402
00:20:10,720 --> 00:20:13,800
Speaker 3: in the NFC South is now six and three, and

403
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Speaker 3: I think looking forward, you've heard a lot about how

404
00:20:16,560 --> 00:20:19,200
Speaker 3: easy their schedule is. I think Atlanta has an outside

405
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Speaker 3: shot to be favored every game left the rest of

406
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Speaker 3: the season. Wow, So what happens then? Could they go

407
00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:27,080
Speaker 3: to fourteen and three? Probably not, but like what if

408
00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:29,000
Speaker 3: they get a couple of those Quinn flip games? Their

409
00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:33,400
Speaker 3: way is that Hey, Kirk cousins like stealth MVP conversation later,

410
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Speaker 3: I don't know that seems like a bit much. Is

411
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Speaker 3: that a Bijon Offensive Player of the Year candidate. That's

412
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Speaker 3: a guy that was popular before the season. Drake London

413
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Speaker 3: also left hurt here, so when you see where he

414
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Speaker 3: ends up, I don't know. I don't think the Falcons

415
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Speaker 3: are that great, but you don't have to be that great.

416
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Speaker 3: If the schedule is really soft and they kind of

417
00:20:49,600 --> 00:20:51,880
Speaker 3: got through the harder part and they're winning these games,

418
00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:53,959
Speaker 3: they're set up pretty well here going forward.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, don't disagree. Atlanta in New Orleans next week line

420
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Speaker 2: is only three, which is a little uh she considering

421
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Speaker 2: Noah Lave no Shaheed and New Orleans has looked pretty terrible.

422
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Speaker 2: But people see how that goes. All right, let's move

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Speaker 2: on Chicago at Arizona. Arizona covers the one and a

424
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Speaker 2: half twenty nine to nine. Final goes under forty four

425
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Speaker 2: and a half. I mean, the only thing you could

426
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Speaker 2: really say watching this entire game would just be Bear's

427
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Speaker 2: miscues kind of led to the final score before the half.

428
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Speaker 2: Chicago sack turnover fumble, Keenan drop leads to a field goal,

429
00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:34,639
Speaker 2: the fifty three yard touchdown and Ibra right before the

430
00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:37,280
Speaker 2: half and then Ebra flu says he calls a pass

431
00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:40,760
Speaker 2: pressure that's on me, basically taking fault for allowing the

432
00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:43,560
Speaker 2: touchdown before the half. Chicago then has the fourth and

433
00:21:43,600 --> 00:21:46,400
Speaker 2: eleven in the second half, goes forward on the Arizona

434
00:21:46,440 --> 00:21:49,520
Speaker 2: forty four and has just an awful sack. It was

435
00:21:49,560 --> 00:21:52,680
Speaker 2: just absolutely terrible from Caleb Williams. And you look, honestly

436
00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:56,240
Speaker 2: the entire game, six sacks of Caleb and this was

437
00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:59,480
Speaker 2: from next Gen stats. Sixteen different Cardinals got a pressure

438
00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:02,520
Speaker 2: against the Bears this Sunday. Those the most individual players

439
00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:04,720
Speaker 2: to get a pressure for a defense since twenty eighteen.

440
00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:08,680
Speaker 2: Caleb's now been sacked twenty nine times in eight games.

441
00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:12,040
Speaker 2: Fields being sacked thirty one times in twenty twenty two

442
00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:15,640
Speaker 2: is the only year higher in Bears history through this mark.

443
00:22:15,920 --> 00:22:19,160
Speaker 2: And Caleb I had an ankle injury of some sort

444
00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:21,040
Speaker 2: in this one. I think he's gonna be fine going forward,

445
00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:23,720
Speaker 2: but he is getting absolutely rocked back there and it

446
00:22:23,840 --> 00:22:27,080
Speaker 2: showed in this one. And then think about this. The

447
00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:30,400
Speaker 2: Cardinals walked into this game with a twenty six point

448
00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:34,199
Speaker 2: six six percent pressure rate and they pressured him on

449
00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:37,000
Speaker 2: forty six percent of dropbacks in this one. So just

450
00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:41,520
Speaker 2: an unreal onslaught and it showed in the final score.

451
00:22:43,000 --> 00:22:45,399
Speaker 2: But even looking entire year, and I think I've been

452
00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:48,440
Speaker 2: talking about this week over week, and listen, there could

453
00:22:48,480 --> 00:22:50,920
Speaker 2: be a number of factors here, from the offensive line

454
00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:53,919
Speaker 2: to the running game not being fantastic most weeks. But

455
00:22:54,080 --> 00:22:57,160
Speaker 2: he's twenty fourth or worse in EPA per play success

456
00:22:57,280 --> 00:23:01,119
Speaker 2: rate and completion percentage over expected the entire season. So

457
00:23:01,200 --> 00:23:03,800
Speaker 2: that is just really where the Bears are at the moment.

458
00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:06,040
Speaker 2: And you look at some of these numbers, and I

459
00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:09,440
Speaker 2: tweeted this one out. So Chicago has now lost nineteen

460
00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:12,800
Speaker 2: consecutive road games on a Sunday, going back to twenty

461
00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:16,080
Speaker 2: twenty one. Their last win was Nick Foles as quarterback.

462
00:23:16,280 --> 00:23:18,480
Speaker 2: They're zero to four on the road this year, and

463
00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:22,160
Speaker 2: three and eighteen straight up last three years. They still

464
00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:25,359
Speaker 2: have after last week and this week now the hardest

465
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:28,920
Speaker 2: remaining strength to schedule about sixty over sixty two percent

466
00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:32,680
Speaker 2: win percentage for their opponents. So Chicago, this just isn't

467
00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:35,919
Speaker 2: getting easier. And next week you get New England and

468
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:38,120
Speaker 2: I'm not sure you should be a seven point favorite,

469
00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:40,560
Speaker 2: but you should get the win. And then from Arizona's

470
00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:43,360
Speaker 2: point of view, we should be giving ourselves some collapse here.

471
00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:45,840
Speaker 2: Five and four leads the NFC West. We called that

472
00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:49,480
Speaker 2: a few weeks ago and seen San Francisco and you know,

473
00:23:49,520 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 2: the Seattle having a little bit of a tough time there.

474
00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:55,520
Speaker 2: So that's great. They've won three straight for the first

475
00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:58,000
Speaker 2: time in three years, and they've got the third easiest

476
00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:00,760
Speaker 2: remaining strength to schedule. So on on the up and.

477
00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:04,439
Speaker 3: Up around here in Chicago and Matt Eberflus not on

478
00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:06,480
Speaker 3: the up and up. Folks are not happy with the

479
00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:07,640
Speaker 3: coaching staff right now.

480
00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:11,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's been seriously tough and we'll see how it goes.

481
00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:14,080
Speaker 2: They better beat New England, but all right, let's let's

482
00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:17,800
Speaker 2: keep going here, New Orleans at Carolina. Carolina wins twenty

483
00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:21,760
Speaker 2: three to twenty two, covers the seven goes over forty three.

484
00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:25,440
Speaker 2: The only underdog right now to win outright in this

485
00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:28,720
Speaker 2: week in Dennis Allen now one eight and one against

486
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:30,760
Speaker 2: the spread as a road favorite. What do you got here, Brandon?

487
00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:33,919
Speaker 3: Yeah, great relegation battle in the NFC is South here,

488
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,720
Speaker 3: big win by Carolina, trying to stay up and fight

489
00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:39,399
Speaker 3: with the big guys. Here, here's two stats for you,

490
00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:42,760
Speaker 3: Derek curR and Dennis Allen lose as touchdown or more

491
00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:46,840
Speaker 3: favorites a record one hundred and eighty ninth time. Not really,

492
00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:50,439
Speaker 3: Bryce Young improves to three and seventeen lifetime. Only one

493
00:24:50,480 --> 00:24:51,960
Speaker 3: of those stats was made up by the way that

494
00:24:52,040 --> 00:24:55,040
Speaker 3: Bryce Young is the real number three and seventeen. My guy,

495
00:24:55,400 --> 00:24:59,520
Speaker 3: congrats on the win. Chris Olave another concussion. I think

496
00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:02,680
Speaker 3: that's like five in the last five years. I kind

497
00:25:02,680 --> 00:25:05,480
Speaker 3: of think this season is done. The Saints season certainly

498
00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:08,280
Speaker 3: has done seven game losing streak after that two and

499
00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:11,679
Speaker 3: zero start that seems like ages ago. I think this

500
00:25:11,800 --> 00:25:14,200
Speaker 3: might be the end for Dennis Allen too. You can't

501
00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:17,399
Speaker 3: be the only favorite to lose to the Panthers that

502
00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:20,919
Speaker 3: everyone's been steamrolling for so long. I don't know what

503
00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:23,040
Speaker 3: we're doing with the Dennis Allen era if this is

504
00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:26,600
Speaker 3: not the end. So maybe all the injuries give the excuse.

505
00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:29,679
Speaker 3: But man, this is the sort of football day it

506
00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:32,719
Speaker 3: was today where we're leading with Titans Patriots and then

507
00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:35,320
Speaker 3: a Panther Saints game that was our like one dramatic

508
00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:39,120
Speaker 3: game of the day. But that's the football somedays, truly.

509
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:41,880
Speaker 2: Who dat? All right, let's move forward here Washington at

510
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:45,640
Speaker 2: the Giants, Washington covers the four and a half. Somehow

511
00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:48,240
Speaker 2: Someway barely by a half a point, winning twenty seven

512
00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:51,240
Speaker 2: to twenty two. Giants felt like they had multiple opportunities

513
00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:54,080
Speaker 2: and two point conversions goes over forty four and a half.

514
00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:57,080
Speaker 2: The fun one here is rookie QBS now eleven and

515
00:25:57,200 --> 00:26:00,159
Speaker 2: zero against the spread as a favorite this year with

516
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:03,399
Speaker 2: Jade and Daniels cover and hey, Daniel Jones over, we

517
00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:05,600
Speaker 2: don't see that every day. So what do you got here, Brandon?

518
00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:10,560
Speaker 3: Daniel Jones halftimeline here four for six passing for zero yards?

519
00:26:11,080 --> 00:26:13,840
Speaker 3: Did you have a touchdown with the zero yards? And

520
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:17,160
Speaker 3: by the way, that touchdown at home from Sarah York

521
00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:21,440
Speaker 3: he had between that touchdown and his previous one at

522
00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:25,120
Speaker 3: MetLife Stadium, the Kansas City Chiefs won two Super Bowls.

523
00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:28,080
Speaker 3: That's how long it's been since Daniel Jones threw a

524
00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:33,359
Speaker 3: passing touchdown until today. That's a rough stat. Giants scorelight

525
00:26:33,560 --> 00:26:36,040
Speaker 3: missed the two and that was big on the spread.

526
00:26:36,080 --> 00:26:36,320
Speaker 2: Here.

527
00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:38,800
Speaker 3: We had Commanders mine two and a half on the

528
00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:41,160
Speaker 3: look ahead, but it got to three, three and a half,

529
00:26:41,240 --> 00:26:43,480
Speaker 3: four four and a half depending on that range. They

530
00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:47,280
Speaker 3: end up winning by five. That two pointer basically cover

531
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:50,919
Speaker 3: the spread. Here Commander's first team to officially clinch the

532
00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:53,879
Speaker 3: win total over six and a half. They are seven

533
00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:57,320
Speaker 3: and two. Looking good, Jane Daniels, I'll be looking really good.

534
00:26:57,440 --> 00:26:58,280
Speaker 3: Four Rookie of the Year.

535
00:26:58,920 --> 00:27:02,920
Speaker 2: All right, let's move move towards Rams Seahawks now, so

536
00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:06,639
Speaker 2: Rams cover the two. They win twenty six to twenty.

537
00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:09,400
Speaker 2: Game goes under forty eight and a half, but most

538
00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:14,080
Speaker 2: importantly over time and kind of unexpected overtime. Just an

539
00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:16,879
Speaker 2: absolute chaos of an end of the game where I

540
00:27:16,880 --> 00:27:19,240
Speaker 2: feel like both teams didn't want to win this one.

541
00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:22,360
Speaker 2: We had so many interceptions at one point I almost

542
00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:25,280
Speaker 2: couldn't add them all up, and the start of the

543
00:27:25,280 --> 00:27:28,760
Speaker 2: game was legitimately terrible. We had eight punts and an

544
00:27:28,800 --> 00:27:32,199
Speaker 2: interception in the first nine drives. I almost had nothing

545
00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:35,600
Speaker 2: to say about this game until things started happening and

546
00:27:35,640 --> 00:27:38,160
Speaker 2: Puka decided to get ejected, and I was like, Okay,

547
00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:41,160
Speaker 2: we finally have something to talk about here. But all

548
00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:44,120
Speaker 2: I can say is no. DK Metcalf and Jackson Smith

549
00:27:44,240 --> 00:27:48,080
Speaker 2: Nijigba became basically DK Metcalf and Gino Smith looked for

550
00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:51,320
Speaker 2: him every opportunity, except for the fact that two red

551
00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:54,960
Speaker 2: zone turnovers. Gino Smith the first player for this via

552
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:57,720
Speaker 2: sport Radar, first player since at least nineteen ninety one

553
00:27:57,840 --> 00:28:00,600
Speaker 2: could throw two interceptions from inside the ten in the

554
00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:03,280
Speaker 2: fourth quarter of a one score game. He threw this

555
00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:08,280
Speaker 2: entire game away and it took literally almost the entire

556
00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:10,840
Speaker 2: overtime for them to actually lose it, which is kind

557
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:14,920
Speaker 2: of lucky. But Gino ten interceptions on the season tied

558
00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:17,560
Speaker 2: for the most in the NFL. That is an underrated storyline.

559
00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:21,480
Speaker 2: But also Gino basically two hundred plus passing yards above

560
00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:23,840
Speaker 2: everyone else, leading the league in passing yards. He was

561
00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:26,840
Speaker 2: forty five to one in the preseason, so you are

562
00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:31,120
Speaker 2: getting all sorts of Geno this year. And then I'll

563
00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,400
Speaker 2: give you one stat before we move on. Here. McVeigh

564
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:35,800
Speaker 2: with the win and the cover twenty nine eighteen and

565
00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:39,280
Speaker 2: one ats Verus the NFC West. In his career good numbers,

566
00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:42,200
Speaker 2: he is just six and ten ats Verus the Niners

567
00:28:42,280 --> 00:28:45,600
Speaker 2: and twenty three eight and one ats was the Cardinals

568
00:28:45,640 --> 00:28:49,600
Speaker 2: and Seahawks. So figures out a way. Somehow Stafford makes

569
00:28:49,600 --> 00:28:52,680
Speaker 2: some good throws, but that is the one there, all right,

570
00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:55,360
Speaker 2: Let's get to this one o'clock window again branded back

571
00:28:55,360 --> 00:28:59,840
Speaker 2: to you, Denver at Baltimore. Baltimore covers the nine forty

572
00:28:59,840 --> 00:29:02,800
Speaker 2: one one to ten final over forty six and a half,

573
00:29:03,280 --> 00:29:07,160
Speaker 2: bon Nicks's first ATS loss on the road, and Lamar,

574
00:29:07,360 --> 00:29:09,400
Speaker 2: as usual, covers in the first half. What else you

575
00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:10,080
Speaker 2: got for us?

576
00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:12,640
Speaker 3: Yeah? Look, Ravens, this is what you're supposed to do

577
00:29:12,760 --> 00:29:15,080
Speaker 3: against teams you're way better than. This is the thing

578
00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:17,400
Speaker 3: you're supposed to do, and not the other games lately

579
00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:20,320
Speaker 3: like these are two five and three teams. This is

580
00:29:20,360 --> 00:29:22,719
Speaker 3: supposed to be by the records and even matchup. It

581
00:29:22,760 --> 00:29:25,800
Speaker 3: did not feel like it. This is not an underlying

582
00:29:25,880 --> 00:29:28,760
Speaker 3: numbers thing here. This is what the game was. Forty

583
00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:31,640
Speaker 3: one to ten is the difference between the Ravens and

584
00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:34,960
Speaker 3: the Broncos. Seven point three yards of play for Baltimore.

585
00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:38,760
Speaker 3: This Denver defense that the metrics had said was really good,

586
00:29:39,040 --> 00:29:43,000
Speaker 3: just didn't have a chance. Lamar three touchdowns, three incompletions.

587
00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:46,400
Speaker 3: That's a pretty good ratiot, Derek Henry. Yet another one

588
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:49,960
Speaker 3: hundred yard rushing plus two scores in a win. That's one.

589
00:29:50,080 --> 00:29:53,400
Speaker 3: Keeps on hitting in Baltimore wins. Bon Nicks catches a

590
00:29:53,440 --> 00:29:55,520
Speaker 3: touchdown for some reason, took a big hit at the

591
00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:58,800
Speaker 3: goal line, So I guess that happens. That to me

592
00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:01,440
Speaker 3: felt like the play that you run in like Week

593
00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:03,320
Speaker 3: eight of the college season when you're like trying to

594
00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:05,240
Speaker 3: help your quarterback win the Heights win, You're like, you

595
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:07,480
Speaker 3: know what, you know, it'd be good on the highlight reel.

596
00:30:07,680 --> 00:30:10,760
Speaker 3: Let's get a touchdown catch in there. That's their one

597
00:30:10,800 --> 00:30:12,840
Speaker 3: score for the game. So I guess we got that one.

598
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:14,720
Speaker 3: This was an absolute domination.

599
00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:17,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, when you have two teams with the same record

600
00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:19,320
Speaker 2: and a spread of nine and then a final margin

601
00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:22,720
Speaker 2: a thirty one, you figure they probably just got it right. Okay,

602
00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:27,920
Speaker 2: Jacksonville at Philly, Philly doesn't cover. They win twenty eight,

603
00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:30,640
Speaker 2: twenty three, doesn't cover the seven and a half goes

604
00:30:30,800 --> 00:30:34,640
Speaker 2: over forty six. Jacksonville started this game punt, punt, turnover,

605
00:30:34,720 --> 00:30:39,160
Speaker 2: on downs, punt interception, halftime punt, and then they still

606
00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:42,640
Speaker 2: ended up covering the game. And that's because the Eagles

607
00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:46,320
Speaker 2: can never ever ever close out games, especially at home.

608
00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:49,680
Speaker 2: They are they've lost six straight games against the spread

609
00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:52,160
Speaker 2: at home, and then I look this one up. So

610
00:30:52,280 --> 00:30:55,320
Speaker 2: last two seasons, the Eagles are now five six and

611
00:30:55,360 --> 00:30:57,680
Speaker 2: two against the spread when they are a favorite, and

612
00:30:57,720 --> 00:30:59,560
Speaker 2: they have a ten plus point lead at any point

613
00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:03,120
Speaker 2: in their game. This is completely their recipe. The recipe

614
00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:05,880
Speaker 2: is get up, figure it out, and then blow the

615
00:31:05,920 --> 00:31:08,080
Speaker 2: game because Nick Sirianni can't figure it out and get

616
00:31:08,080 --> 00:31:12,840
Speaker 2: the run and burn the clock from I will say

617
00:31:12,840 --> 00:31:19,320
Speaker 2: this so recently, Jalen Hurts has been absolutely ridiculous, absolutely ridiculous.

618
00:31:19,320 --> 00:31:20,640
Speaker 2: You look at some of these numbers over the last

619
00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:23,720
Speaker 2: four games, first and EPA per play, even with Jared

620
00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:26,959
Speaker 2: goffrom the NFL, he's first in success right. He has

621
00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:29,960
Speaker 2: twelve touchdowns, zero turnovers with a four to zero record.

622
00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:32,960
Speaker 2: So I just think that's getting a little underplayed. He

623
00:31:33,040 --> 00:31:36,000
Speaker 2: is playing great stuff here and AJ Brown got hurt

624
00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:38,200
Speaker 2: in this one, and he looked good even after AJ

625
00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:41,920
Speaker 2: Brown got hurt, and that AJ Brown injury right now

626
00:31:42,440 --> 00:31:45,840
Speaker 2: kind of question marks. It's a knee injury. Status is unknown.

627
00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:48,200
Speaker 2: I assume we're going to find out more on Monday.

628
00:31:49,120 --> 00:31:52,560
Speaker 2: And then the last thing Saquon Barkley, even with the fumble,

629
00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:56,200
Speaker 2: is just what he brings to this offense. And the

630
00:31:56,280 --> 00:31:58,760
Speaker 2: numbers I looked up was this, so second half Saquon

631
00:31:59,240 --> 00:32:02,080
Speaker 2: eighty four care He's for six hundred and five yards

632
00:32:02,120 --> 00:32:04,560
Speaker 2: seven point two yards per carry in the second half,

633
00:32:04,760 --> 00:32:07,239
Speaker 2: even better than Derrick Henry this year. So he is

634
00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:10,960
Speaker 2: completely wearing opponents out and it showed here as they

635
00:32:11,120 --> 00:32:15,360
Speaker 2: barely squeaked by Jacksonville. All right, let's move to the

636
00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:18,960
Speaker 2: one o'clock window finally before Monday night football, and these

637
00:32:18,960 --> 00:32:22,000
Speaker 2: are the last two ones. So Las Vegas at Cincinnati.

638
00:32:22,360 --> 00:32:25,640
Speaker 2: Cincinnati covers the aid at home forty one twenty four

639
00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:27,880
Speaker 2: Felick on red zone. Every time we saw this game,

640
00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:30,400
Speaker 2: there was a touchdown goes over forty four and a half.

641
00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:32,680
Speaker 2: What do you got here, Brandon, Yeah, that's one of those.

642
00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:34,640
Speaker 3: We show you every score in every game. Let's go

643
00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:36,640
Speaker 3: back to Cincinnati for another one, because it was never

644
00:32:36,720 --> 00:32:41,000
Speaker 3: really close. Bengals steamrolled. I'm here, pretty problematic for the

645
00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:43,440
Speaker 3: Raiders to go three point seven yards will play for

646
00:32:43,520 --> 00:32:47,040
Speaker 3: barely two undred dard's against this Bengals defense. That is

647
00:32:47,080 --> 00:32:50,640
Speaker 3: not great for the Raiders. Burl five touchdowns second time

648
00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:54,800
Speaker 3: this season. Technically six touchdowns because some goofy late pick

649
00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:57,800
Speaker 3: six to the Raiders. That made it a little closer. Again.

650
00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:01,520
Speaker 3: Bengals are four and five. Now remember the slow start

651
00:33:01,800 --> 00:33:04,800
Speaker 3: four and five, first home win of the season. Huge

652
00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:08,560
Speaker 3: game coming up against Baltimore on Thursday night, finally a

653
00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:12,240
Speaker 3: Thursday game you want to watch, and a little preview.

654
00:33:12,760 --> 00:33:14,240
Speaker 3: Stay tuned for the hot read. We're coming back to

655
00:33:14,280 --> 00:33:15,400
Speaker 3: the Bengals when we get there.

656
00:33:15,840 --> 00:33:18,440
Speaker 2: Love it all right, last one o'clock game, and this

657
00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:21,200
Speaker 2: is a last one for sure. So Chargers at Cleveland.

658
00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:24,280
Speaker 2: Chargers cover the two on the road twenty seven to ten.

659
00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:27,600
Speaker 2: It stays under forty one and a half again, as

660
00:33:27,640 --> 00:33:31,600
Speaker 2: Herbert is now seventeen and four to the under since

661
00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:33,840
Speaker 2: the start of last year. What else can you tell

662
00:33:33,920 --> 00:33:35,520
Speaker 2: us about Chargers Browns.

663
00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:38,440
Speaker 3: As little as possible. Jamis went and already in mid

664
00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:42,720
Speaker 3: season form. Six sacks, three interceptions, all in the second half.

665
00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:45,440
Speaker 3: I think Jamis was so bad Browns fan just instantly

666
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:48,040
Speaker 3: started booting Deshaun Watson again at some point in this game.

667
00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:52,360
Speaker 3: Every Chargers game this season still under forty points seven

668
00:33:52,360 --> 00:33:55,240
Speaker 3: and one to the under. Now for Chargers games, crazy.

669
00:33:55,440 --> 00:34:07,400
Speaker 2: All right, let's now get you to Monday Night Football.

670
00:34:07,520 --> 00:34:09,520
Speaker 2: I will give you a few pieces of information and

671
00:34:09,520 --> 00:34:11,640
Speaker 2: then Brandy can give you some bets he likes. So

672
00:34:12,160 --> 00:34:15,200
Speaker 2: this season Monday Night Football eight and three to the over,

673
00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:17,680
Speaker 2: which is a complete contrast to what we talked about

674
00:34:17,719 --> 00:34:20,120
Speaker 2: on Sunday Night Football, which is going under and that

675
00:34:20,400 --> 00:34:22,480
Speaker 2: through eight weeks, this is the best season for overs

676
00:34:22,520 --> 00:34:24,120
Speaker 2: on Monday Night Football since two thousand and eight and

677
00:34:24,160 --> 00:34:27,520
Speaker 2: two thousand and nine, so seeing something different. There. One

678
00:34:27,680 --> 00:34:31,160
Speaker 2: interesting on the field stat for this one, so Bucks

679
00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:35,080
Speaker 2: Chiefs on Monday Night Football with the spread of let's

680
00:34:35,080 --> 00:34:36,960
Speaker 2: see what it is right now, it is nine for

681
00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:39,160
Speaker 2: the Chiefs with a total of forty five and a half.

682
00:34:39,480 --> 00:34:42,960
Speaker 2: These are the top two teams in third down conversion percentage.

683
00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:47,640
Speaker 2: Bucks are one, Chiefs are two. So understanding no Godwin

684
00:34:47,719 --> 00:34:50,600
Speaker 2: and no Evans, but let's see what Baker can do

685
00:34:50,680 --> 00:34:52,799
Speaker 2: to keep up with that and Mahomes three and oh

686
00:34:52,880 --> 00:34:54,960
Speaker 2: straight up and against the spread and night games this year,

687
00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:57,160
Speaker 2: so it's got to cover the nine to keep that going.

688
00:34:57,239 --> 00:35:00,239
Speaker 2: The two bets, I was looking at Icle Hardman over

689
00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:03,160
Speaker 2: seven and a half receiving yards. He's now basically the

690
00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:06,520
Speaker 2: wide receiver three for Kansas City. We're projecting him for

691
00:35:06,600 --> 00:35:10,719
Speaker 2: about eighteen receiving yards thirty and twenty nine snaps the

692
00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:13,440
Speaker 2: last two weeks. His targets are going down, but to me,

693
00:35:13,520 --> 00:35:15,080
Speaker 2: it's just part of the play. I think it's a

694
00:35:15,120 --> 00:35:17,560
Speaker 2: little low. The other one. I'm going back to the

695
00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:21,200
Speaker 2: well and Action Network favorite. I like Kate Otton over

696
00:35:21,239 --> 00:35:24,359
Speaker 2: four and a half received receptions, ten targets and back

697
00:35:24,400 --> 00:35:26,160
Speaker 2: to back games, and he is and this is the

698
00:35:26,160 --> 00:35:28,520
Speaker 2: important one for me. So without Godwin and Evans, he

699
00:35:28,520 --> 00:35:32,800
Speaker 2: has seventeen first read designated targets in his last two games.

700
00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:35,640
Speaker 2: Most of any tight end, Baker is very much looking

701
00:35:35,640 --> 00:35:38,439
Speaker 2: his way, and you assume they'll have a trailing game

702
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:42,319
Speaker 2: script here and tight Ends versus Kansas City, Bowers had

703
00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:45,840
Speaker 2: five catches, Kittle had six, Juwan Johnson had five, Kasiki

704
00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:50,040
Speaker 2: seven likely nine. So I think Kate Atton finds a way. Brandon,

705
00:35:50,040 --> 00:35:50,759
Speaker 2: what are you thinking here?

706
00:35:50,880 --> 00:35:52,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, we love Kate Odd in that Action Network. I

707
00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:54,759
Speaker 3: think that was a stuck that special right for one

708
00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:57,560
Speaker 3: of the playoff live shows that we had. It crowds

709
00:35:57,600 --> 00:36:01,080
Speaker 3: out and had the big game. Obviously Aton's playing so

710
00:36:01,239 --> 00:36:04,320
Speaker 3: well right now is the Bucks don't have any receivers left.

711
00:36:04,560 --> 00:36:06,920
Speaker 3: Mike Evans doesn't look like he's gonna play. Chris Godwin

712
00:36:06,920 --> 00:36:11,040
Speaker 3: obviously had that horrific injury. Jalen McMillan is possibly injured

713
00:36:11,080 --> 00:36:15,720
Speaker 3: here a hamstring as well. Evans on the hamstring. Sterling

714
00:36:15,760 --> 00:36:20,239
Speaker 3: Shepherd apparently still in the NFL on hamstring injury. There's

715
00:36:20,280 --> 00:36:22,160
Speaker 3: not a lot of weapons here, and it's a bumber

716
00:36:22,200 --> 00:36:24,239
Speaker 3: because the Bucks have become a pretty fun team and

717
00:36:24,239 --> 00:36:26,600
Speaker 3: this would have been a really cool game and now

718
00:36:26,600 --> 00:36:28,640
Speaker 3: they just don't have a lot of options here. I

719
00:36:28,680 --> 00:36:30,839
Speaker 3: think two on the other side of the ball. It's

720
00:36:30,880 --> 00:36:33,520
Speaker 3: not a great matchup for the Bucks defense. Todd Bowles

721
00:36:33,600 --> 00:36:36,600
Speaker 3: defense has not been as good as it has looked

722
00:36:36,640 --> 00:36:38,760
Speaker 3: in the years past, not getting a lot of pressure

723
00:36:38,800 --> 00:36:42,440
Speaker 3: on and they're especially bad against the short stuff. The

724
00:36:42,520 --> 00:36:45,720
Speaker 3: short stuff is the one thing the Chiefs do really well. Still,

725
00:36:45,719 --> 00:36:48,759
Speaker 3: Like it's real annoying watching the Chiefs because we want

726
00:36:48,840 --> 00:36:50,799
Speaker 3: them to like light it up downfield and they're not

727
00:36:50,840 --> 00:36:53,840
Speaker 3: really doing it. What they're doing is success, right stuff.

728
00:36:53,840 --> 00:36:57,520
Speaker 3: They're just moving the ball, They're matriculating down the field, right.

729
00:36:58,040 --> 00:36:59,200
Speaker 3: I think we're gonna see a lot of that, and

730
00:36:59,200 --> 00:37:01,400
Speaker 3: we're gonna get maybe more dull game here of just

731
00:37:01,520 --> 00:37:04,680
Speaker 3: kind of the Chiefs just slowly winning, you know, like

732
00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:08,440
Speaker 3: the vice just slowly tightening as they chew up the

733
00:37:08,480 --> 00:37:10,680
Speaker 3: clock these long drives. We might get some wind and

734
00:37:10,800 --> 00:37:14,040
Speaker 3: rain as well, so a couple angles. I think if

735
00:37:14,040 --> 00:37:17,640
Speaker 3: you can get a teaser leg down to three, preferably

736
00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:19,440
Speaker 3: below three, but I don't know if we'll get an

737
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:21,120
Speaker 3: eight and a half anymore there. You might do like

738
00:37:21,160 --> 00:37:23,719
Speaker 3: a six and a half teaser. The Chiefs win by

739
00:37:23,760 --> 00:37:25,440
Speaker 3: three a lot, so I want to get below the

740
00:37:25,480 --> 00:37:28,640
Speaker 3: three if we can. Patrick Mahomes when he has a

741
00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:32,319
Speaker 3: touchdown favorite or more forty eight and five straight up,

742
00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:35,000
Speaker 3: so you're not going to lose the game. And in

743
00:37:35,080 --> 00:37:37,480
Speaker 3: those forty eight wins, he's only failed to cover minus

744
00:37:37,480 --> 00:37:39,359
Speaker 3: two and a half if you get that teaser down

745
00:37:39,360 --> 00:37:42,560
Speaker 3: there two times. So if you can tease it down there,

746
00:37:42,600 --> 00:37:44,640
Speaker 3: I think this is a great way to maybe start

747
00:37:44,680 --> 00:37:46,239
Speaker 3: a teaser in the next week. There's a lot of

748
00:37:46,239 --> 00:37:49,439
Speaker 3: big favorites coming up, so maybe start an early leg

749
00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:51,880
Speaker 3: here and add to it later. For just this game,

750
00:37:52,200 --> 00:37:54,360
Speaker 3: I'll take the chief second half line minus four and

751
00:37:54,400 --> 00:37:58,040
Speaker 3: a half. This has just been a thing that they've

752
00:37:58,040 --> 00:38:00,800
Speaker 3: been covering week after week. They did not cover last

753
00:38:00,840 --> 00:38:03,400
Speaker 3: week for the first time all season the second half,

754
00:38:03,680 --> 00:38:06,080
Speaker 3: but they're six and the one ats second half spread.

755
00:38:06,840 --> 00:38:09,840
Speaker 3: Until last week against the Raiders, they had covered the

756
00:38:09,880 --> 00:38:13,040
Speaker 3: second half line, including the playoff games twelve straight games.

757
00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:15,239
Speaker 3: This is what they do. They get their ely lead,

758
00:38:15,680 --> 00:38:18,640
Speaker 3: they chew the clock. The defense is so good, and

759
00:38:18,760 --> 00:38:20,160
Speaker 3: they just kind of suck the life out of this

760
00:38:20,280 --> 00:38:22,640
Speaker 3: game and take care of business. So I take a

761
00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:25,480
Speaker 3: chief second half pick mins four and a half.

762
00:38:25,760 --> 00:38:27,400
Speaker 2: If you're gonna go chief second half, you might as

763
00:38:27,400 --> 00:38:29,480
Speaker 2: well take Chief second half under as well, since that

764
00:38:30,160 --> 00:38:32,799
Speaker 2: tends to hit a lot too. All right, let's go

765
00:38:33,040 --> 00:38:37,239
Speaker 2: to the hot read. Brandon, you've got two picks. What

766
00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:42,440
Speaker 2: are you doing? Hot rap by ice rights ice cream?

767
00:38:42,960 --> 00:38:49,560
Speaker 3: Say yeah, second straight sweep on the highway. We had

768
00:38:49,560 --> 00:38:51,480
Speaker 3: our ugly unders last week. We're gonna have a little

769
00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:53,400
Speaker 3: more fun this week. Back to some spreads, and I

770
00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:56,000
Speaker 3: love this first one. I teased it already. Let's go

771
00:38:56,080 --> 00:39:00,719
Speaker 3: Thursday night, Begles Ravens, big, big game. I like the

772
00:39:00,719 --> 00:39:02,759
Speaker 3: Bengals here. Give me the Bengals plus six and a

773
00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:05,640
Speaker 3: half again, Bengals one, three all the way back to

774
00:39:05,640 --> 00:39:08,080
Speaker 3: four and five. This is a huge game for them.

775
00:39:08,400 --> 00:39:11,960
Speaker 3: You can save your season win in Baltimore. Get to

776
00:39:12,120 --> 00:39:15,160
Speaker 3: five hundred and I think again the Bengals here. If

777
00:39:15,200 --> 00:39:17,640
Speaker 3: they win this game, they've got a shot to be

778
00:39:17,680 --> 00:39:20,120
Speaker 3: favored every game. The rest of the season based on

779
00:39:20,200 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 3: how people are thinking about them. Key name here that's

780
00:39:23,120 --> 00:39:27,080
Speaker 3: not here is Mike McDonald. Joe Burrow had really struggled

781
00:39:27,080 --> 00:39:29,280
Speaker 3: against Mike McDonald the last couple of years.

782
00:39:29,800 --> 00:39:30,280
Speaker 2: They played.

783
00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:33,480
Speaker 3: Already a month ago, Joe Burrow had five touchdowns and

784
00:39:33,480 --> 00:39:36,200
Speaker 3: three hundred ninety two yards. He lit up this very

785
00:39:36,239 --> 00:39:39,200
Speaker 3: beautiful Baltimore secondary and I think that he can do

786
00:39:39,280 --> 00:39:42,800
Speaker 3: that again. Hopefully t Higgins is back here playing with

787
00:39:43,000 --> 00:39:45,680
Speaker 3: Jamar Chase as well, keeping eye on that this is

788
00:39:45,680 --> 00:39:49,960
Speaker 3: a rivalry obviously here. AFC North underdogs is my favorite

789
00:39:50,040 --> 00:39:52,640
Speaker 3: Division two bet underdogs, and that's been most profitable the

790
00:39:52,719 --> 00:39:55,719
Speaker 3: last two decades. For their last six games, these two

791
00:39:55,760 --> 00:39:59,040
Speaker 3: teams have been within one score, including a two point game,

792
00:39:59,200 --> 00:40:02,040
Speaker 3: two three point game. I think we got close gam here.

793
00:40:02,080 --> 00:40:04,360
Speaker 3: I think the Bengals, even if they don't win, have

794
00:40:04,480 --> 00:40:07,360
Speaker 3: to keep this competitive. There's some positive trends here for

795
00:40:07,560 --> 00:40:10,920
Speaker 3: just road division underdogs between three and seven points fifty

796
00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:13,799
Speaker 3: six percent, ats six to six and a half point

797
00:40:14,000 --> 00:40:17,440
Speaker 3: road underdogs fifty seven percent. It's a lot of sample there,

798
00:40:17,520 --> 00:40:20,880
Speaker 3: those are pretty good trends. Zach Taylor fifty nine percent

799
00:40:20,960 --> 00:40:24,319
Speaker 3: ats against better than five hundred teams. John Harbaugh has

800
00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:26,839
Speaker 3: actually been not great as a division favorite, only forty

801
00:40:26,880 --> 00:40:30,520
Speaker 3: three percent. And then a couple more trends here that

802
00:40:30,520 --> 00:40:34,600
Speaker 3: I especially love in the spot Lamar Jackson three to

803
00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:38,520
Speaker 3: ten point home favorite seven eighteen and one ats twenty

804
00:40:38,560 --> 00:40:42,440
Speaker 3: eight percent covered today, Just fine, thank you very much.

805
00:40:42,920 --> 00:40:46,520
Speaker 3: Probably see about next week. Joe Burrow as a field

806
00:40:46,560 --> 00:40:51,200
Speaker 3: goal underdog or more including the playoffs sixteen and three

807
00:40:51,440 --> 00:40:55,560
Speaker 3: against the spread, untouchable, including he's won as a field

808
00:40:55,600 --> 00:40:58,880
Speaker 3: goaler longer underdog eight of the last twelve games outright

809
00:41:00,120 --> 00:41:03,120
Speaker 3: percent ROI on the money line on those. So give

810
00:41:03,160 --> 00:41:05,920
Speaker 3: me the Bengals plus six and a half and give

811
00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:08,000
Speaker 3: me the Bengals plus two twenty five of the money line.

812
00:41:08,040 --> 00:41:09,040
Speaker 3: I think they can win this game.

813
00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:11,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I was gonna say, I'm not the biggest fan

814
00:41:11,520 --> 00:41:14,319
Speaker 2: of Zach Taylor, but let's hope they plan to sit

815
00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:16,560
Speaker 2: out Tea this week against the Raiders. Get the win

816
00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:19,480
Speaker 2: and make sure he's back for the Thursday short week game.

817
00:41:19,600 --> 00:41:22,200
Speaker 2: It'd be the smart move, all right, number two, what's

818
00:41:22,200 --> 00:41:23,680
Speaker 2: your number two? What are you doing? Yeah?

819
00:41:23,760 --> 00:41:25,200
Speaker 3: Last one. I'm gonna take a team coming off of

820
00:41:25,280 --> 00:41:26,799
Speaker 3: bye week here, and that's a big part of the cap.

821
00:41:26,840 --> 00:41:28,719
Speaker 3: Give me the forty nine ers minus five and a

822
00:41:28,760 --> 00:41:30,920
Speaker 3: half at the box only one book. I see that

823
00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:32,799
Speaker 3: out there. You want to get that before the key number.

824
00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:35,960
Speaker 3: If you can decent chance, we might get Christian McCaffrey

825
00:41:36,000 --> 00:41:38,359
Speaker 3: back here. That's been week ten. Has been the thing

826
00:41:38,440 --> 00:41:40,799
Speaker 3: that all the Internet doctor's been saying for months now.

827
00:41:41,239 --> 00:41:43,480
Speaker 3: Out of the bye week, get him out here, get

828
00:41:43,560 --> 00:41:46,680
Speaker 3: him healthy. I think, just a healthier offense overall. Meanwhile,

829
00:41:47,200 --> 00:41:49,200
Speaker 3: we just talked about the Bucks. They haven't played yet,

830
00:41:49,520 --> 00:41:51,239
Speaker 3: so the forty nine ers have come out the buye week.

831
00:41:51,280 --> 00:41:53,279
Speaker 3: The Bucks are coming off a short week after Monday

832
00:41:53,320 --> 00:41:56,120
Speaker 3: Night football with none of their receivers. So you have

833
00:41:56,239 --> 00:41:58,759
Speaker 3: Tampa all getting injured on the short week, you have

834
00:41:58,880 --> 00:42:01,800
Speaker 3: San Fran getting healthy on the bye week. That's a

835
00:42:01,840 --> 00:42:04,759
Speaker 3: great spot for US road favorites off of bye week

836
00:42:04,880 --> 00:42:08,759
Speaker 3: sixty ats if they are favored by more than five

837
00:42:08,880 --> 00:42:13,000
Speaker 3: points seventy percent ATS twenty six and eleven to the spread.

838
00:42:13,160 --> 00:42:17,160
Speaker 3: Over the last two decades, Todd Bowles facing a team

839
00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:19,360
Speaker 3: coming out of bye a week has never covered a

840
00:42:19,440 --> 00:42:23,239
Speaker 3: spread zero to five ATS lifetime. So great spot here,

841
00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:25,920
Speaker 3: just playing the spot below the key number, and again,

842
00:42:26,520 --> 00:42:29,239
Speaker 3: same stuff we said about the Chiefs game, I think

843
00:42:29,280 --> 00:42:32,319
Speaker 3: the Bucks defense is not set up to defend an

844
00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:35,560
Speaker 3: offense as good as the Niners. Here, just that short stuff,

845
00:42:35,640 --> 00:42:37,799
Speaker 3: the yak stuff, get the ball, the playmakers and let

846
00:42:37,880 --> 00:42:41,440
Speaker 3: them beat you. I think if the Bucks don't look

847
00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:43,960
Speaker 3: good Monday night against the Chiefs, and that's why we're

848
00:42:43,960 --> 00:42:46,880
Speaker 3: playing this now. Sorry, but the Niners offense is a

849
00:42:46,880 --> 00:42:48,719
Speaker 3: lot better than the Chiefs offense right now with all

850
00:42:48,760 --> 00:42:50,520
Speaker 3: the weapons that they have. So if the if the

851
00:42:50,640 --> 00:42:53,839
Speaker 3: Chiefs offense does stuff to them, I think this line

852
00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:56,479
Speaker 3: gets to six, gets to seven, could even get past

853
00:42:56,600 --> 00:43:00,200
Speaker 3: those key numbers. So give me the Niners now, the

854
00:43:00,239 --> 00:43:02,200
Speaker 3: five and a half, and we'll take them against the

855
00:43:03,120 --> 00:43:05,600
Speaker 3: slowly ailing Bucks as we had towards the back half

856
00:43:05,640 --> 00:43:06,160
Speaker 3: of the season.

857
00:43:06,840 --> 00:43:09,680
Speaker 2: Yeah. I like that after playing Kansas City facing a

858
00:43:09,760 --> 00:43:12,799
Speaker 2: tough San Francisco team on the rest, completely makes sense.

859
00:43:13,000 --> 00:43:15,400
Speaker 2: All right, Before we wrap up, let's hear from Patrick

860
00:43:15,440 --> 00:43:18,480
Speaker 2: Everson from Vegas Insiders and how things looked in Las Vegas.

861
00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:20,440
Speaker 1: All right, Evan, thanks a lot good to join the

862
00:43:20,600 --> 00:43:25,040
Speaker 1: Action Network podcast to recap NFL Week nine, and the

863
00:43:25,120 --> 00:43:29,440
Speaker 1: public betters are probably happily recapping this with fatter wallets.

864
00:43:30,200 --> 00:43:33,040
Speaker 1: There was some give and take to a degree on Sunday,

865
00:43:33,640 --> 00:43:37,080
Speaker 1: but overall, through fourteen games you got the favorites going

866
00:43:37,160 --> 00:43:41,080
Speaker 1: ten and four against the spread key favorites particularly one

867
00:43:41,160 --> 00:43:45,600
Speaker 1: and covered the number in several spots, most notably the

868
00:43:45,840 --> 00:43:50,200
Speaker 1: Washington Commanders and the Detroit Lions. At betam Jam, for example,

869
00:43:50,840 --> 00:43:53,719
Speaker 1: no team took more spread tickets and no team took

870
00:43:53,800 --> 00:43:57,160
Speaker 1: more spread money than the Washington Commanders. That's on straight bets,

871
00:43:57,480 --> 00:43:59,560
Speaker 1: and of course they were probably playing Washington in the

872
00:43:59,640 --> 00:44:03,360
Speaker 1: parla and the money line parlays number two and straight

873
00:44:03,440 --> 00:44:07,040
Speaker 1: bet spread tickets the Lions number two and straight bet

874
00:44:07,120 --> 00:44:10,359
Speaker 1: spread money the Lions and the Lions won and covered

875
00:44:10,360 --> 00:44:12,960
Speaker 1: as well, rolling while Washington beat the New York Giants

876
00:44:13,360 --> 00:44:15,919
Speaker 1: covered the number by denying the Giants a two point

877
00:44:15,920 --> 00:44:18,280
Speaker 1: conversion at the end, which was made for a pretty

878
00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:21,320
Speaker 1: big swing for the sports books and the betters, and

879
00:44:21,400 --> 00:44:23,840
Speaker 1: this time in the betters favor which they certainly enjoyed.

880
00:44:23,880 --> 00:44:26,960
Speaker 1: So again, a pretty good week for the public at

881
00:44:27,040 --> 00:44:31,000
Speaker 1: sports books across the country and here in Las Vegas

882
00:44:31,800 --> 00:44:37,160
Speaker 1: at BETHAMGM, Tristan Davis, national senior trader there said, really

883
00:44:37,320 --> 00:44:40,800
Speaker 1: not too bad considering the results in the late slate,

884
00:44:40,840 --> 00:44:43,160
Speaker 1: and by the late slate he's talking about that Lions game,

885
00:44:43,719 --> 00:44:47,160
Speaker 1: the Rams winning and covering against Seattle in over time.

886
00:44:47,920 --> 00:44:52,240
Speaker 1: The Eagles didn't cover, but they did win, which advanced

887
00:44:52,280 --> 00:44:55,759
Speaker 1: money line parlays, and obviously the Lions helped advance money

888
00:44:55,800 --> 00:44:57,760
Speaker 1: line parlays as well. And then you get the Vikings

889
00:44:57,800 --> 00:45:02,160
Speaker 1: winning and covering on Sunday night. So again, a pretty

890
00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:04,200
Speaker 1: good day for the public. And as Tristan put it,

891
00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:06,200
Speaker 1: the public had a good day and I'm sure they

892
00:45:06,239 --> 00:45:10,279
Speaker 1: will roll that over into the Chiefs on Monday night.

893
00:45:10,520 --> 00:45:13,440
Speaker 1: A couple of other odds makers noted that there were pockets,

894
00:45:13,440 --> 00:45:15,840
Speaker 1: including betem Jam honestly noted that there were pockets of

895
00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:19,359
Speaker 1: good spots for the books. Most notably Chris Andrews at

896
00:45:19,360 --> 00:45:22,520
Speaker 1: the South Point said Carolina was really good getting that

897
00:45:22,680 --> 00:45:27,880
Speaker 1: upset as a touchdown home underdog against New Orleans. Miami

898
00:45:28,360 --> 00:45:30,719
Speaker 1: was universally pretty good. The Bills were a pretty well

899
00:45:30,760 --> 00:45:33,640
Speaker 1: bet team, one of the few popular favorites that did

900
00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:37,120
Speaker 1: not cover the spread on Sunday, so Miami covering was good.

901
00:45:37,160 --> 00:45:39,920
Speaker 1: At the South Point also was good for bet MGM.

902
00:45:40,080 --> 00:45:42,080
Speaker 1: Christian Sipalini weigh in on that, so that was a

903
00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:45,759
Speaker 1: good result, you know, Miami managing to push Buffalo all

904
00:45:45,760 --> 00:45:47,600
Speaker 1: the way to the end there before losing by three

905
00:45:48,120 --> 00:45:50,360
Speaker 1: when they were six point I believe six point dogs.

906
00:45:50,880 --> 00:45:53,640
Speaker 1: So those were a couple of spots that worked out

907
00:45:53,640 --> 00:45:56,800
Speaker 1: well for the bookmakers at a couple of different slots

908
00:45:57,320 --> 00:45:59,400
Speaker 1: looking ahead to Monday kind of alluded to it a

909
00:45:59,480 --> 00:46:02,120
Speaker 1: moment ago with the with some of these parlays and

910
00:46:02,160 --> 00:46:04,840
Speaker 1: moneyline parlays that are live that are certainly going to

911
00:46:04,880 --> 00:46:08,600
Speaker 1: be rolling to the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday night

912
00:46:08,960 --> 00:46:12,880
Speaker 1: at betam Jam. As we head into Monday, interesting game

913
00:46:13,560 --> 00:46:15,400
Speaker 1: because over the course of the week, a couple of

914
00:46:15,400 --> 00:46:19,000
Speaker 1: different books, including betam Jam seeing more point spread tickets

915
00:46:19,040 --> 00:46:22,720
Speaker 1: and more point spread money on the Buccaneers on Sunday

916
00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:24,920
Speaker 1: what betam Jam was seeing with sixty six percent of

917
00:46:24,960 --> 00:46:27,640
Speaker 1: spread tickets and seventy percent of spread money on the Buccaneers,

918
00:46:28,360 --> 00:46:29,840
Speaker 1: and a couple of odds makers over the course of

919
00:46:29,840 --> 00:46:32,160
Speaker 1: the week said there was sharp play on the Buccaneers

920
00:46:32,200 --> 00:46:35,759
Speaker 1: in this game as well. However, most of the money

921
00:46:35,800 --> 00:46:37,480
Speaker 1: coming in on this game is going to come in

922
00:46:37,640 --> 00:46:39,800
Speaker 1: on Monday. It's going to come in closer to kickoff,

923
00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:44,279
Speaker 1: and I'm sure, those numbers are probably going to change significantly.

924
00:46:44,360 --> 00:46:46,520
Speaker 1: Maybe they won't favor the Chiefs on straight bets at

925
00:46:46,560 --> 00:46:51,480
Speaker 1: the end, but as I alluded to parlays, moneyline parlays,

926
00:46:51,480 --> 00:46:54,160
Speaker 1: et cetera, those are going to run to the Kansas

927
00:46:54,160 --> 00:46:56,440
Speaker 1: City Chiefs. So don't be surprised even if somehow the

928
00:46:56,520 --> 00:47:00,400
Speaker 1: Bucks are leading in straight bets on the spread and

929
00:47:01,120 --> 00:47:03,520
Speaker 1: even straight bets on the money line, that they might

930
00:47:03,600 --> 00:47:06,040
Speaker 1: need the Bucks tomorrow night to kill off the remaining

931
00:47:06,160 --> 00:47:08,000
Speaker 1: parlays and money line parlays.

932
00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:09,080
Speaker 3: So there you have it.

933
00:47:09,160 --> 00:47:11,680
Speaker 1: That's a wrap on NFL week nine. Not too bad

934
00:47:11,719 --> 00:47:15,040
Speaker 1: a week to be a public better and the books

935
00:47:15,320 --> 00:47:17,879
Speaker 1: hoping to get some back in the Monday night game

936
00:47:17,960 --> 00:47:20,759
Speaker 1: by probably wanting to Bucks outright win to break up

937
00:47:20,760 --> 00:47:21,920
Speaker 1: those money line parlays.

938
00:47:22,440 --> 00:47:26,239
Speaker 2: All right, Week nine in the books, awesome. Thanks for

939
00:47:26,320 --> 00:47:29,920
Speaker 2: listening everyone to the Action Network podcast. Me and Brandon

940
00:47:29,960 --> 00:47:34,239
Speaker 2: will be back next week, same time, same place. Enjoy

941
00:47:34,320 --> 00:47:37,080
Speaker 2: the week, enjoy the show, enjoy everything, and see you

942
00:47:37,080 --> 00:47:37,560
Speaker 2: guys later.

943
00:47:53,200 --> 00:47:57,680
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

944
00:47:57,760 --> 00:48:00,520
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, Help is

945
00:48:00,560 --> 00:48:03,640
Speaker 1: available twenty four seven at one eight hundred gambler