1 00:00:00,920 --> 00:00:05,160 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:10,480 Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan. All Right, here we go. 3 00:00:11,960 --> 00:00:17,160 Speaker 1: We're growing in Joe spectatular. I'm saying it's a cash touchdown. 4 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:20,920 Speaker 2: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they 5 00:00:20,960 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 2: go to win. 6 00:00:22,040 --> 00:00:26,239 Speaker 3: God, that's incredible. Big bank, small banks. I like to 7 00:00:26,280 --> 00:00:31,320 Speaker 3: make money. All right, this is the ultimate kabaka. 8 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:36,120 Speaker 2: And we are underway. 9 00:00:37,600 --> 00:00:40,640 Speaker 1: Hello, everyone, welcome back to another NFL episode of the 10 00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:43,960 Speaker 1: Action Network Podcast. I'm Matthew Freeman, the editor in chief 11 00:00:44,000 --> 00:00:47,519 Speaker 1: of Fantasy Labs. Today we are highlighting fantasy football sleepers 12 00:00:47,560 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 1: for your twenty nineteen drafts, and we have a full 13 00:00:50,720 --> 00:00:53,159 Speaker 1: house here. With me is Sean Corner and Chris Raybond. 14 00:00:53,320 --> 00:00:55,840 Speaker 1: Sean is our director of predictive Analytics and one of 15 00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:58,160 Speaker 1: the top end season fantasy football rankers for the past 16 00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:00,960 Speaker 1: half decade. And Chris is a senior editor and analyst 17 00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:02,600 Speaker 1: at the Action Network and a co host of the 18 00:01:02,640 --> 00:01:07,319 Speaker 1: Action Network show on Sirius XM Fantasy Radio. Raybaon, you 19 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:10,759 Speaker 1: and I have been cornerless on the last couple of pods. Sean, 20 00:01:10,920 --> 00:01:13,200 Speaker 1: did you have a good little vacation this past week? 21 00:01:13,560 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I was at a wedding, So yeah, it was nice. 22 00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:20,960 Speaker 4: Congrats to Matt and Lindsay for their wedding, and glad 23 00:01:20,959 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 4: to have the band back together. I feel like it's 24 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:25,200 Speaker 4: been like a month since all three of us have 25 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 4: been on, so yeah, it's all back. 26 00:01:27,720 --> 00:01:30,200 Speaker 1: It's been a long time. Good to be back, and 27 00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 1: good to be back with you guys, and good to 28 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:36,399 Speaker 1: have with us. Christopher Harris here to talk about the 29 00:01:36,440 --> 00:01:38,840 Speaker 1: Sleepers and the players that he is planting his flag on. 30 00:01:39,640 --> 00:01:44,120 Speaker 1: Christopher Harris is the proprietor of Harris Football. He's a podcaster, 31 00:01:44,360 --> 00:01:47,080 Speaker 1: a YouTuber, and one of the ogs of the fantasy 32 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 1: football industry. Chris, thanks for joining us. 33 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 5: Yeah, that's what happens when you're in ESPN. That was 34 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 5: a long time ago. It seems like a long time. 35 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:56,680 Speaker 5: It's only four years. It seems like a long time ago. 36 00:01:57,000 --> 00:01:59,639 Speaker 1: It was a lifetime ago, and that so much has happened, 37 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:03,200 Speaker 1: has really exploded since then. But yeah, you were you 38 00:02:03,240 --> 00:02:05,400 Speaker 1: were one of the early guys I was reading, so 39 00:02:05,760 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 1: it's cool to have me on the show. We are 40 00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 1: entering Week three of the NFL preseason. We're in the 41 00:02:09,960 --> 00:02:13,000 Speaker 1: thick of drafting season and everyone is looking at projections 42 00:02:13,000 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 1: and rankings and trying to identify sleepers, and Chris, I 43 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:20,000 Speaker 1: would like to get some insight into your ranking and 44 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:23,079 Speaker 1: projections process. What are the stats, where are the numbers? 45 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 1: What are the things you prioritize when evaluating players? 46 00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 5: So I think you probably already know the answer that question. 47 00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:31,560 Speaker 5: This is like a leading question. I'm in the hornet's nest. 48 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:33,400 Speaker 5: You're just gonna knock me into cut my knees out 49 00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 5: from under me. But you know my goal, and I 50 00:02:35,760 --> 00:02:38,160 Speaker 5: don't always live up to this goal. My goal is 51 00:02:38,200 --> 00:02:41,480 Speaker 5: to try to make the actual player ability be the 52 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:45,919 Speaker 5: most important thing in the equation. Sometimes I fail utterly, miserably. 53 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:49,040 Speaker 5: I mean, I have three RAMS receivers in my top twenty. 54 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:51,280 Speaker 5: That is not that they are the three most talented 55 00:02:51,280 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 5: receivers in the league. 56 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:52,520 Speaker 3: That's that. 57 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:55,119 Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm pretty sure the Rams offense is kind of good. 58 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:58,480 Speaker 5: And similarly, you know Damian Williams on another team, I'd 59 00:02:58,520 --> 00:03:01,160 Speaker 5: just be sort of not all that interested. And he's 60 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:03,600 Speaker 5: on the Chiefs, so he's awfully good. So I'd be 61 00:03:03,680 --> 00:03:06,359 Speaker 5: lying if I said talent is always the leading factor. 62 00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:08,880 Speaker 5: So my stick is that basically I watch every game 63 00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 5: during the season, and then in the off season, I 64 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:13,280 Speaker 5: watch all the players tons of film again and I 65 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:15,560 Speaker 5: really want to be the one who can kind of 66 00:03:15,600 --> 00:03:17,840 Speaker 5: see through the noise that we all have to fight 67 00:03:17,880 --> 00:03:21,960 Speaker 5: through with coaches lying and training, camp beet reporters getting 68 00:03:21,960 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 5: excited about guys and then the next day they forget 69 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:25,920 Speaker 5: they existed and all that stuff that we live and 70 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:27,680 Speaker 5: die with every day. My goal is to try to 71 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:30,560 Speaker 5: be as above it as I can be and try 72 00:03:30,720 --> 00:03:32,959 Speaker 5: and pick out the guys who I think are the 73 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:35,320 Speaker 5: best of the talents and the ones that I think 74 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:39,320 Speaker 5: are maybe being overestimated because despite a good situation. 75 00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:40,400 Speaker 3: I don't think they have a ton of talent. 76 00:03:40,880 --> 00:03:43,920 Speaker 5: I recognize that I fail in that sometimes, and I 77 00:03:43,960 --> 00:03:49,000 Speaker 5: certainly do consider last year's numbers and look at statistics 78 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:51,440 Speaker 5: and the tendencies of coaches and stuff like that, so 79 00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:54,120 Speaker 5: many factors, but I try to make the talent be 80 00:03:54,200 --> 00:03:54,880 Speaker 5: the number one. 81 00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:59,200 Speaker 1: So, Chris, you mentioned trying to cut through the noise, 82 00:03:59,280 --> 00:04:01,160 Speaker 1: or maybe it kind of ignore some of the noise 83 00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:02,600 Speaker 1: that you hear this time of year, and a lot 84 00:04:02,600 --> 00:04:06,080 Speaker 1: of it would seem to revolve around potential sleepers, the 85 00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:08,360 Speaker 1: guys who are kind of on the fringes of fantasy. 86 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:11,520 Speaker 1: Relevance who might explode? What do you think a sleeper is? 87 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:14,240 Speaker 1: So a decade ago, the sleeper was actually a thing, 88 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:16,599 Speaker 1: you know, but the fantasy football market is much sharper 89 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:19,120 Speaker 1: now there's more information, people are better informed, so it's 90 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:22,080 Speaker 1: harder to find late round producers who are relatively unknown. 91 00:04:22,120 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 1: So what do you think is an acceptable modern day 92 00:04:24,600 --> 00:04:26,040 Speaker 1: definition of a sleeper. 93 00:04:26,480 --> 00:04:27,640 Speaker 3: I know, it's so true. 94 00:04:27,760 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 5: I used to have a much easier job ten years ago. 95 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:32,359 Speaker 3: My job was a lot easier. Maybe all we're. 96 00:04:32,160 --> 00:04:34,520 Speaker 5: Really talking about is guys who come at what we 97 00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 5: considered to be sort of multi round value when we're 98 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:41,120 Speaker 5: comparing our own assessments to in our own ranks, to ADP. 99 00:04:41,360 --> 00:04:43,240 Speaker 5: I mean, I actually think you can make a case 100 00:04:43,279 --> 00:04:45,360 Speaker 5: that a sleeper is a sixth round pick, you know, 101 00:04:45,440 --> 00:04:47,080 Speaker 5: I think you can make a case that a sleeper 102 00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:48,840 Speaker 5: is a twelfth round pick. But you know, probably a 103 00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:50,360 Speaker 5: sleeper is in the second round pick or a first 104 00:04:50,400 --> 00:04:52,760 Speaker 5: round pick. But I think if you find value, it's 105 00:04:52,760 --> 00:04:55,000 Speaker 5: almost like as though the market is sleeping on this guy, 106 00:04:55,040 --> 00:04:57,240 Speaker 5: which kind of didn't really used to be the definition 107 00:04:57,320 --> 00:04:59,320 Speaker 5: of the term. It used to be much more. No, 108 00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:01,120 Speaker 5: who are the guys the double digit rounds who I 109 00:05:01,160 --> 00:05:04,240 Speaker 5: can take those are sleepers. And now it's almost like, okay, no, 110 00:05:04,400 --> 00:05:06,479 Speaker 5: I mean if I think this is not the case 111 00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:08,040 Speaker 5: for me, but I think Miles Sanders should be a 112 00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:09,719 Speaker 5: second round pick, and everybody's taken him in the fifth 113 00:05:09,760 --> 00:05:11,800 Speaker 5: of the sixth. I guess that, you know, because the 114 00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 5: market is now sleeping on them, that could kind of 115 00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 5: be a sleeper too. Maybe we're just really just talking 116 00:05:15,120 --> 00:05:17,400 Speaker 5: about value these days with the market so sharp. 117 00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:20,520 Speaker 1: So most people traditionally are thinking of sleepers as the 118 00:05:20,560 --> 00:05:23,160 Speaker 1: guys who are maybe in the later rounds, and at 119 00:05:23,160 --> 00:05:26,000 Speaker 1: this point, maybe yeah, the definition has just shifted to 120 00:05:26,080 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 1: something of value, and you can think of guys who 121 00:05:29,000 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 1: are in the higher rounds relatively well known as potential sleepers. 122 00:05:33,400 --> 00:05:36,520 Speaker 1: And some of those guys that you have recently planted 123 00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:39,760 Speaker 1: your flag on at the running back position Joe Mixon 124 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:42,760 Speaker 1: and mark Ingram and at wide receiver Keenan Allen, Stefan 125 00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:46,880 Speaker 1: Diggs and Cooper Cup, all of those guys are relatively known. 126 00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 1: I mean, people know who they are. They're going in 127 00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 1: the top six, top seven rounds in drafts. Can you 128 00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:54,480 Speaker 1: give us your thoughts on those guys and why it 129 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:57,640 Speaker 1: is that you think they provide kind of sleeper value 130 00:05:57,720 --> 00:05:59,120 Speaker 1: or multi round value. 131 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:01,200 Speaker 5: We could take them like case by case basis, it's 132 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:04,120 Speaker 5: hard to generalize. The thing for me that's common in 133 00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:06,760 Speaker 5: all of them is that I think, I mean, it's 134 00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:08,920 Speaker 5: hard to say Keenan Allen is like a multi round value. 135 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:10,480 Speaker 5: He's going in the second or third round, so it's 136 00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:13,520 Speaker 5: to go like stupid market picking a number one overall. 137 00:06:13,640 --> 00:06:16,080 Speaker 5: But I just sort of the flag thing is somewhat 138 00:06:16,080 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 5: about value and somewhat about just players I really like 139 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:20,760 Speaker 5: and want to sort of feel like I want on 140 00:06:20,800 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 5: a lot of my teams. But Diggs would be an example. 141 00:06:23,600 --> 00:06:25,279 Speaker 5: I think we're a couple of rounds off on Digson. 142 00:06:25,680 --> 00:06:27,559 Speaker 5: I think Digs and theel In are kind of around 143 00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:30,080 Speaker 5: the same level of valuation. I like Adam Feeling a lot. 144 00:06:30,120 --> 00:06:32,159 Speaker 5: I just think they both can be good, and Diggs 145 00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:34,640 Speaker 5: is the one who comes cheaper, so I'll wind up 146 00:06:34,640 --> 00:06:36,800 Speaker 5: feeling like he'll wind up on some of my teams. Ingram, 147 00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:38,520 Speaker 5: you know, I think I would take Ingram in the 148 00:06:38,520 --> 00:06:41,560 Speaker 5: second round. Seems like a really good system for him, 149 00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:43,719 Speaker 5: very good system for almost any running back. But also 150 00:06:43,960 --> 00:06:46,679 Speaker 5: it's not just system, because I really disliked Alex Collins 151 00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:47,120 Speaker 5: last year. 152 00:06:47,120 --> 00:06:49,520 Speaker 3: I just didn't think he'd play. I think Ingram played 153 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:50,280 Speaker 3: pretty well. 154 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:53,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, Joe Mixon is the guy who kind of stands 155 00:06:53,560 --> 00:06:55,600 Speaker 1: out most on this list to me, what are your 156 00:06:55,600 --> 00:06:56,240 Speaker 1: thoughts on him? 157 00:06:56,680 --> 00:06:59,760 Speaker 5: So again, I mean maybe his his average effisation might 158 00:06:59,760 --> 00:07:02,040 Speaker 5: be fIF I might be a ten. Right, So that's 159 00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:05,080 Speaker 5: not meant to capture some dramatic miscarriage of justice where 160 00:07:05,200 --> 00:07:07,280 Speaker 5: oh my god, I can't believe how late Joe Mixon going. 161 00:07:07,360 --> 00:07:09,920 Speaker 5: That's much more about me saying, you know what, no 162 00:07:09,920 --> 00:07:12,120 Speaker 5: matter the format, I believe in this player to such 163 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:15,280 Speaker 5: a degree that despite the team, despite the unknowns, with 164 00:07:15,400 --> 00:07:19,280 Speaker 5: the offensive system, despite the offensive line thing that everybody's 165 00:07:19,280 --> 00:07:21,480 Speaker 5: going to point to, despite not knowing this play caller, 166 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:23,440 Speaker 5: he is just a transcendent player. 167 00:07:23,480 --> 00:07:24,480 Speaker 3: He is fantastic. 168 00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:26,840 Speaker 5: And I don't think whatever the situation of Joe Mixon 169 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:28,440 Speaker 5: is this year, really don't think it's going to be 170 00:07:28,480 --> 00:07:30,760 Speaker 5: worse than last year when we all decided we liked him. 171 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:32,200 Speaker 3: I liked him last summer, but. 172 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:36,000 Speaker 5: I think he's so good that I don't worry about 173 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:38,320 Speaker 5: team them playing from behind. I don't worry about the 174 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:40,840 Speaker 5: offensive lineup. I don't worry about Andy Dalton. He is 175 00:07:40,880 --> 00:07:43,000 Speaker 5: going to be the centerpiece of that offense like he 176 00:07:43,120 --> 00:07:43,720 Speaker 5: was last year. 177 00:07:43,920 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 1: All right, Let's talk about some of the other players 178 00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:50,600 Speaker 1: on your planting the flag list who I think people 179 00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:54,360 Speaker 1: would would think of as qualifying as sleepers. Let's start 180 00:07:54,400 --> 00:07:58,280 Speaker 1: at the quarterback position. Russell Wilson. Are you worried about 181 00:07:58,280 --> 00:08:02,040 Speaker 1: how run heavy his offense was last year and any 182 00:08:02,080 --> 00:08:05,240 Speaker 1: possible regression in touchdown right, because those are the two 183 00:08:05,280 --> 00:08:07,560 Speaker 1: big things that people are pointing to as to why 184 00:08:07,720 --> 00:08:11,960 Speaker 1: he maybe won't be a kind of starting caliber fantasy 185 00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:12,720 Speaker 1: player this year. 186 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:16,840 Speaker 5: First of all, my supposition is that we over rely 187 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:20,160 Speaker 5: on things like that team is run heavy. Run heavy 188 00:08:20,200 --> 00:08:22,200 Speaker 5: in the NFL now means something very different than it 189 00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:24,600 Speaker 5: meant even ten years ago. The Seowks are still going 190 00:08:24,600 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 5: to run about fifty percent, still gonna throw about fifty 191 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:28,120 Speaker 5: percent of the time. Russell Wilson is still going to 192 00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:31,040 Speaker 5: have between twenty five and thirty attempts every game most 193 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:34,440 Speaker 5: most on average most games. However, that is a difference 194 00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:36,679 Speaker 5: from you know, Ben Roethisberger maybe going out throwing fifty 195 00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:37,319 Speaker 5: five times a game. 196 00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:38,800 Speaker 3: I get it that is less. 197 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:41,200 Speaker 5: But the reason I don't think he's due for touchdown 198 00:08:41,240 --> 00:08:43,640 Speaker 5: regression is because he's the best deep ball passer in 199 00:08:43,679 --> 00:08:47,520 Speaker 5: the league. He's got extreme talent at the deep wide 200 00:08:47,520 --> 00:08:50,000 Speaker 5: receiver sort of position. And then he himself, well, this 201 00:08:50,040 --> 00:08:52,439 Speaker 5: isn't part of why he won't regress with throwing touchdowns, 202 00:08:52,440 --> 00:08:54,720 Speaker 5: although he's had thirty plus three out the last four years. 203 00:08:54,960 --> 00:08:56,280 Speaker 5: You know, I think the one year that he wasn't 204 00:08:56,280 --> 00:08:57,960 Speaker 5: he was hurt hit the high keels screen. But then 205 00:08:58,000 --> 00:08:59,840 Speaker 5: also I feel like we, you know, the market is 206 00:08:59,880 --> 00:09:02,440 Speaker 5: not adjusting for the dude's going to run four hundred yards. 207 00:09:02,480 --> 00:09:04,400 Speaker 5: The dude's probably gonna rush for a touchdown. He didn't 208 00:09:04,440 --> 00:09:04,800 Speaker 5: last year. 209 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:06,840 Speaker 3: That was weird. It's shocking to me. 210 00:09:06,960 --> 00:09:09,640 Speaker 5: We fall in love with, you know, gaudy bobbles with 211 00:09:09,720 --> 00:09:13,320 Speaker 5: Kyler Murray. I really like Kyler Murray's potential in the future. 212 00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 5: And I can see a world where he's awesome this year. 213 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:17,959 Speaker 5: But I can see a world where he's mitched risky. 214 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:19,319 Speaker 5: I can see a world where he's got a long 215 00:09:19,360 --> 00:09:21,480 Speaker 5: way to go in his development. It seems like the 216 00:09:21,480 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 5: best case for me is that maybe someday Kyler Murray, 217 00:09:24,280 --> 00:09:26,360 Speaker 5: if he eats his wheaties, could be Russell Wilson, and 218 00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:29,360 Speaker 5: the idea that he's gonna go before Russell Wilson in 219 00:09:29,400 --> 00:09:32,080 Speaker 5: drafts is at least a surprise to me. I'm not 220 00:09:32,440 --> 00:09:35,000 Speaker 5: calling anybody who has that opinion like dead wrong, but 221 00:09:35,320 --> 00:09:37,360 Speaker 5: it doesn't feel like, I guess to me, like playing 222 00:09:37,400 --> 00:09:41,640 Speaker 5: the percentages in leagues where quarterbacks aren't scarce at all 223 00:09:41,679 --> 00:09:43,640 Speaker 5: and people just want to take a shot on upside 224 00:09:43,679 --> 00:09:45,880 Speaker 5: and if it doesn't work out, cool, I can cut him. 225 00:09:45,920 --> 00:09:48,920 Speaker 5: I get it, Except that argument's dangerous to me because 226 00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:50,560 Speaker 5: how long do you have to give Kyler Murray? 227 00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:51,800 Speaker 3: Do you have to give him? Three weeks? Do you 228 00:09:51,840 --> 00:09:52,360 Speaker 3: have to give him? 229 00:09:52,400 --> 00:09:54,720 Speaker 5: You know, we're all gonna tell all the listeners after 230 00:09:54,800 --> 00:09:56,600 Speaker 5: a couple of weeks. So you drafted him for a reason. 231 00:09:56,760 --> 00:09:58,280 Speaker 5: You got to hang in there with him, and maybe 232 00:09:58,280 --> 00:10:01,120 Speaker 5: he gives you one awesome work he runs for two touchdowns, 233 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:03,040 Speaker 5: but then week two is kind of crummy, and then 234 00:10:03,080 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 5: week three sort of in between, and you're kind of like, 235 00:10:05,280 --> 00:10:06,720 Speaker 5: he leaves you, dang. I mean, you can ruin your 236 00:10:06,760 --> 00:10:09,439 Speaker 5: fantasy season waiting for somebody to prove that he does 237 00:10:09,520 --> 00:10:13,360 Speaker 5: or doesn't have it. I feel safer with someone like Wilson, all. 238 00:10:13,320 --> 00:10:15,920 Speaker 1: Right, Sean I want to kick it to you first 239 00:10:15,920 --> 00:10:18,920 Speaker 1: of all, any thoughts on Wilson and his potential as 240 00:10:18,920 --> 00:10:20,760 Speaker 1: a sleeper, But then also who are the guys that 241 00:10:20,800 --> 00:10:23,800 Speaker 1: you are looking at as sleepers at the quarterback position? 242 00:10:24,320 --> 00:10:27,240 Speaker 4: So first off, I define sleeper as sort of guys 243 00:10:27,280 --> 00:10:30,199 Speaker 4: that typically fall to me due to their ADP and 244 00:10:30,559 --> 00:10:33,560 Speaker 4: just based on my overall draft strategy, so I'm never 245 00:10:33,640 --> 00:10:37,079 Speaker 4: really reaching for specific players. So Wilson, you know, my 246 00:10:37,800 --> 00:10:40,080 Speaker 4: draft philosophy this year is to sort of just hold 247 00:10:40,120 --> 00:10:42,120 Speaker 4: off at QB. I'm really trying to load up at 248 00:10:42,600 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 4: running back and receiver and tight end on the first 249 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:47,079 Speaker 4: ten rounds. So I think, you know, the sweet spot 250 00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:50,920 Speaker 4: for me has been right around round ten. So you know, 251 00:10:50,960 --> 00:10:54,320 Speaker 4: the three qbs I kind of consider sleepers would be 252 00:10:54,480 --> 00:10:57,880 Speaker 4: Jameis Winston in round ten, Lamar Jackson round eleven, and 253 00:10:57,960 --> 00:10:59,360 Speaker 4: Dak Prescott in round twelve. 254 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:00,720 Speaker 2: And it kind of allows me. 255 00:11:00,880 --> 00:11:02,760 Speaker 4: I don't want to just like base my draft on 256 00:11:02,760 --> 00:11:04,840 Speaker 4: one guy, so it gives me just a cushion to 257 00:11:04,880 --> 00:11:08,280 Speaker 4: have these three qbs in successive rounds. And you know, 258 00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:10,920 Speaker 4: if someone takes Jameis Winston in front of me round ten, 259 00:11:11,400 --> 00:11:13,480 Speaker 4: I just hold off until round eleven. And take Lamar 260 00:11:13,559 --> 00:11:16,880 Speaker 4: Jackson and then again with Dak Presscott. So I think 261 00:11:16,880 --> 00:11:18,800 Speaker 4: that's how I've been handling QB. So it's sort of 262 00:11:18,840 --> 00:11:21,559 Speaker 4: that that range of the draft is my sleeper pick, 263 00:11:21,800 --> 00:11:23,760 Speaker 4: and then you know, typically eighty percent of the time 264 00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:25,680 Speaker 4: I'll get one of those guys, but if not, the 265 00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:28,199 Speaker 4: you know, the backup plans to get Mitch Trubisky or 266 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:31,959 Speaker 4: Josh Allen in rounds thirteen fifteen. The reason I don't 267 00:11:32,000 --> 00:11:34,600 Speaker 4: hold off on them is just because they're you know, 268 00:11:34,840 --> 00:11:37,240 Speaker 4: pretty high ceiling, low four players. I don't want to 269 00:11:37,240 --> 00:11:38,760 Speaker 4: have to rely on that week to week, but there 270 00:11:38,800 --> 00:11:41,240 Speaker 4: is a chance that you know, either one of them 271 00:11:41,280 --> 00:11:44,439 Speaker 4: can you know, become more consistent and low end are 272 00:11:44,800 --> 00:11:47,680 Speaker 4: QB one each week, So I think they're worth flyers 273 00:11:47,760 --> 00:11:51,000 Speaker 4: late on later on, but again they if they don't 274 00:11:51,040 --> 00:11:53,120 Speaker 4: work out right away, the waiver wire is going to 275 00:11:53,120 --> 00:11:56,320 Speaker 4: be stacked this year. I think it's pretty safe to 276 00:11:56,400 --> 00:11:58,200 Speaker 4: kind of wait on QB and you can always have 277 00:11:58,280 --> 00:12:00,640 Speaker 4: the streaming option for you in season. 278 00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:04,120 Speaker 1: Ravon, I think the three guys that you are most 279 00:12:04,160 --> 00:12:08,800 Speaker 1: focused on in the quarterback position as sleepers Trubisky, Lamar Jackson, 280 00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:12,120 Speaker 1: Josh Allen. I'm sorry for letting corner go ahead of 281 00:12:12,120 --> 00:12:15,400 Speaker 1: you and just listing all of those guys, But what 282 00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:18,320 Speaker 1: are your thoughts on those three? Whitey feel comfortable waiting 283 00:12:18,360 --> 00:12:18,920 Speaker 1: at the position? 284 00:12:19,200 --> 00:12:21,720 Speaker 6: Yeah, and I would actually include Dak Prescott in that. 285 00:12:21,840 --> 00:12:24,440 Speaker 6: But I think the biggest thing for me is you 286 00:12:24,559 --> 00:12:27,160 Speaker 6: definitely want a little bit of mobile ability, of rushing 287 00:12:27,200 --> 00:12:31,120 Speaker 6: ability within those sleeper picks, because I think that's where 288 00:12:31,240 --> 00:12:33,600 Speaker 6: you get your upside because at the end of the day, 289 00:12:33,840 --> 00:12:36,600 Speaker 6: the way we score in Fantasy, rushing touchdowns are worth more, 290 00:12:36,679 --> 00:12:38,040 Speaker 6: rushing yards are worth more. 291 00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:40,240 Speaker 2: And the league has gotten easy to. 292 00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:42,920 Speaker 6: Throw in a way that a guy like Eli Manning 293 00:12:43,000 --> 00:12:46,720 Speaker 6: last year could have essentially career highs in completion rate, 294 00:12:47,520 --> 00:12:50,600 Speaker 6: in the lowest interception rate and still be terrible. So really, 295 00:12:50,640 --> 00:12:52,719 Speaker 6: I'm looking for that rushing upside, So I think all 296 00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:54,480 Speaker 6: of those guys have it, you know, just going back 297 00:12:54,480 --> 00:12:56,240 Speaker 6: to kind of the Wilson versus Murray point, because I 298 00:12:56,280 --> 00:12:58,640 Speaker 6: would put Wilson in the sleeper category. Two, if like 299 00:12:58,679 --> 00:13:01,040 Speaker 6: Sean said, he falls to you think, then that's great. 300 00:13:01,160 --> 00:13:03,320 Speaker 6: Jared Goff, a guy who I have an MVP ticket 301 00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:06,440 Speaker 6: out on, you know, if he falls, you know that 302 00:13:06,480 --> 00:13:09,240 Speaker 6: into that tenth round eleventh round. Sure, I'm taking him, 303 00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:12,000 Speaker 6: But I think the thing with Murray is the Cardinals 304 00:13:12,320 --> 00:13:15,000 Speaker 6: ran fifty six plays last year. Cliff Kingsbury and its 305 00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:17,680 Speaker 6: time at Texas Tech ran the most plays in the nation. 306 00:13:17,880 --> 00:13:20,040 Speaker 6: If the Cardinals run, you know, let's just say they're 307 00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:22,040 Speaker 6: their top three in the league. They're runing sixty eight 308 00:13:22,040 --> 00:13:24,600 Speaker 6: to seventy plays per game. The fact that they're also 309 00:13:24,640 --> 00:13:26,520 Speaker 6: going to be pass heavy, whereas Russell Wilson and the 310 00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:28,920 Speaker 6: Seahawks they're trying to kind of they know their defense 311 00:13:28,960 --> 00:13:29,480 Speaker 6: isn't that good. 312 00:13:29,520 --> 00:13:31,679 Speaker 2: They're they're trying to shorten games. I think you do 313 00:13:31,760 --> 00:13:32,600 Speaker 2: have more upside with. 314 00:13:32,600 --> 00:13:36,440 Speaker 6: Murray because you have this potential to pass a lot more, 315 00:13:36,559 --> 00:13:39,640 Speaker 6: run a lot more plays, and your defense is probably 316 00:13:39,880 --> 00:13:41,800 Speaker 6: even worse than Seattle at this point, one of the 317 00:13:41,800 --> 00:13:43,840 Speaker 6: worst in the league because you're going to be without 318 00:13:43,880 --> 00:13:46,040 Speaker 6: Patrick Peterson for six weeks, You're going to be without 319 00:13:46,840 --> 00:13:49,520 Speaker 6: Robert Alford. Now you're going you really have nothing in 320 00:13:49,559 --> 00:13:51,400 Speaker 6: that secondary, and you are going to be playing at 321 00:13:51,400 --> 00:13:53,520 Speaker 6: a fast pace as those Eagles did under Chip when 322 00:13:53,559 --> 00:13:56,320 Speaker 6: their defenses were really poor. So really it's about the 323 00:13:56,400 --> 00:13:59,000 Speaker 6: value and just who's dropping to you. But rushing upside 324 00:13:59,040 --> 00:14:01,400 Speaker 6: is something I really look for, and I've cooled off 325 00:14:01,400 --> 00:14:03,240 Speaker 6: a little bit on James for that exact reason. He 326 00:14:03,240 --> 00:14:05,960 Speaker 6: doesn't run quite as much as some of these other guys. 327 00:14:06,120 --> 00:14:07,600 Speaker 6: I mean, he's always he's always kind of been this 328 00:14:07,679 --> 00:14:10,880 Speaker 6: middling fantasy finisher. He's actually been in the teams pretty 329 00:14:10,920 --> 00:14:12,760 Speaker 6: much every year of his career, even last year, when 330 00:14:13,520 --> 00:14:15,920 Speaker 6: you know, combined the Bucks quarterbacks were a QB four. 331 00:14:16,000 --> 00:14:18,960 Speaker 6: But I don't know if that gets like that might 332 00:14:19,000 --> 00:14:20,240 Speaker 6: have been the ceiling and he was still out there 333 00:14:20,240 --> 00:14:23,040 Speaker 6: getting benched. I think he's a little I'm less excited 334 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:24,440 Speaker 6: about him as I was before. 335 00:14:24,480 --> 00:14:27,320 Speaker 2: I kind of really dove into all the play calling tendencies. 336 00:14:27,480 --> 00:14:30,760 Speaker 5: Like predicting game flow even before the seasons even start started, 337 00:14:31,000 --> 00:14:32,880 Speaker 5: and knowing who the defenses are good are bad. 338 00:14:32,880 --> 00:14:34,240 Speaker 3: I mean it's a tough. Yeah. 339 00:14:34,280 --> 00:14:36,280 Speaker 5: I look at the personnel for the Cardinals and Seahawks 340 00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:39,160 Speaker 5: and say, okay, I have questions, that's for sure. But 341 00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:41,880 Speaker 5: I think it's at least interesting to say that your 342 00:14:42,080 --> 00:14:44,960 Speaker 5: your take on Cardinals is their defense gonna be so bad, Oh, 343 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:46,680 Speaker 5: they're gonna have to throw. And your take on the Seahawks, 344 00:14:46,720 --> 00:14:48,160 Speaker 5: their defense is gonna be so bad, They're gonna run 345 00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:49,240 Speaker 5: to try to keep the games closed. 346 00:14:49,280 --> 00:14:51,840 Speaker 6: So like I'm saying that they have shown this already, 347 00:14:51,840 --> 00:14:54,920 Speaker 6: like we know the Seahawks, how they're playing like they 348 00:14:54,920 --> 00:14:57,320 Speaker 6: have Schottenheimer Cliff Kingsbury is a whole different coach. 349 00:14:57,600 --> 00:14:58,040 Speaker 2: I'm saying. 350 00:14:58,000 --> 00:15:00,720 Speaker 6: It adds to it that their defense is but we 351 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:03,240 Speaker 6: are I'm saying without let's say the defense was completely average, 352 00:15:03,240 --> 00:15:04,640 Speaker 6: I would say that they would. 353 00:15:05,280 --> 00:15:06,280 Speaker 2: Pushing for the top. 354 00:15:06,360 --> 00:15:08,440 Speaker 6: Yeah, and like but like a significant amount, to the 355 00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:11,520 Speaker 6: point where this could be any quarterback. This could be 356 00:15:11,600 --> 00:15:14,600 Speaker 6: Josh Allen, this could be any quarterback under this coach 357 00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:17,720 Speaker 6: in this scheme that would just shoot up because the 358 00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:19,680 Speaker 6: potential for plays run. 359 00:15:19,840 --> 00:15:21,000 Speaker 2: And then it just adds to it. 360 00:15:21,040 --> 00:15:22,600 Speaker 6: Like So, but I guess if you're saying, like, yeah, 361 00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:24,680 Speaker 6: it does come down a philosophy, and I think that's why. 362 00:15:24,560 --> 00:15:25,720 Speaker 2: You do have to take it on a case by 363 00:15:25,760 --> 00:15:26,480 Speaker 2: case basis. 364 00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:29,280 Speaker 6: I think Brian Schottenheimer is a whole different type of 365 00:15:29,280 --> 00:15:32,520 Speaker 6: play card than of course. 366 00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:35,760 Speaker 5: I mean, if chip Kelly's system wasn't like an automatic 367 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:38,440 Speaker 5: path to fantasy glory, the history of the NFL would 368 00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:40,920 Speaker 5: be pretty different than it is right now. Chip Kelly 369 00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:43,280 Speaker 5: wouldn't be at UCLA here in Los Angeles. But I 370 00:15:43,320 --> 00:15:45,280 Speaker 5: take I take your meeting. The Cardinals are gonna at 371 00:15:45,360 --> 00:15:47,560 Speaker 5: least try at least try and come out and run 372 00:15:47,560 --> 00:15:49,520 Speaker 5: a bunch of plays, and if it goes about as 373 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:52,320 Speaker 5: well as Chip Kelly's plays went, then then you know, 374 00:15:52,320 --> 00:15:54,200 Speaker 5: we'll probably get to talk about Cliff Kingsbury as the 375 00:15:54,200 --> 00:15:55,840 Speaker 5: coach of my high school as a boy. 376 00:15:55,920 --> 00:15:57,840 Speaker 3: But uh, I agree, they're gonna try. 377 00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:01,640 Speaker 1: Chris Corner and Raven but both mentioned Josh Allen and 378 00:16:01,760 --> 00:16:05,120 Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson as potential sleepers. Do you have thoughts on 379 00:16:05,160 --> 00:16:06,720 Speaker 1: those two guys in which one do you prefer? 380 00:16:07,040 --> 00:16:08,880 Speaker 5: I guess Jackson by a little bit, but I think 381 00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:11,720 Speaker 5: Alan maybe represents a little more value. It seems like 382 00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 5: the Jackson market is heating up a little bit and 383 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:15,440 Speaker 5: people are starting to say, all right, well if you 384 00:16:15,480 --> 00:16:17,520 Speaker 5: don't know, I mean, I think what people really say, 385 00:16:17,560 --> 00:16:19,840 Speaker 5: and none of us are saying this. But I didn't 386 00:16:19,880 --> 00:16:22,240 Speaker 5: think Kyler Murray looked good in the second preseason game. 387 00:16:22,280 --> 00:16:23,640 Speaker 3: I'm not as into him anymore. 388 00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:25,800 Speaker 5: Like as soon as that happened, his ADP went down 389 00:16:25,840 --> 00:16:28,680 Speaker 5: a few spots and Lamar Jackson started to go up. 390 00:16:28,680 --> 00:16:32,360 Speaker 5: He became kind of the cool alternative, and Allan it 391 00:16:32,360 --> 00:16:34,480 Speaker 5: feels like has sort of has kept his market pretty 392 00:16:34,520 --> 00:16:37,080 Speaker 5: chill and cool. By the way, I think everybody's right 393 00:16:37,160 --> 00:16:38,920 Speaker 5: on quarterback. You know, if you're in a league where 394 00:16:38,920 --> 00:16:41,920 Speaker 5: there's not two quarterbacks are starting, or every single team 395 00:16:41,920 --> 00:16:44,800 Speaker 5: by tradition always takes three quarterbacks or whatever, you should 396 00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:46,920 Speaker 5: be waiting on quarterback because there's just so many of 397 00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:48,800 Speaker 5: the fact that we're talking about Josh Allen, we're like, 398 00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:51,200 Speaker 5: oh yeah, and you're talking about QB eighteen, like he 399 00:16:51,240 --> 00:16:54,200 Speaker 5: could easily be QB five, right, Yeah, you know, I 400 00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:57,040 Speaker 5: think Lamar Jackson's running style maybe a little more built 401 00:16:57,040 --> 00:17:00,160 Speaker 5: into Baltimore's offense and a little more stable than Josh One, 402 00:17:00,200 --> 00:17:02,480 Speaker 5: who's more of a oh my god, they're gonna kill me. 403 00:17:02,480 --> 00:17:03,360 Speaker 3: I gotta run real fast. 404 00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:05,600 Speaker 5: And then once he runs real fast, he's sort of like, 405 00:17:05,800 --> 00:17:08,159 Speaker 5: you know, fast Ben Roethlisberger, Cam Newton, I guess, like 406 00:17:08,520 --> 00:17:10,520 Speaker 5: trying to mow guys down. But it may not be 407 00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:13,000 Speaker 5: quite as completely built into the offense, and so a 408 00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:14,439 Speaker 5: little maybe a little bit more up and down. But 409 00:17:14,720 --> 00:17:17,680 Speaker 5: one hundred percent think you think he qualifies as a sleeper. 410 00:17:17,600 --> 00:17:20,879 Speaker 1: Chris two running backs, you highlight and your planting the 411 00:17:20,920 --> 00:17:25,040 Speaker 1: flag piece are Dion Lewis and Nahem Hinz. Can you 412 00:17:25,080 --> 00:17:28,159 Speaker 1: talk about those two guys and specifically their role in 413 00:17:28,200 --> 00:17:30,200 Speaker 1: their offense is because both of those guys are kind 414 00:17:30,200 --> 00:17:33,320 Speaker 1: of more of the satellite pass catching type of back. 415 00:17:33,600 --> 00:17:35,880 Speaker 1: Do you think they're going to carve out enough usage 416 00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:38,120 Speaker 1: to provide value? 417 00:17:38,320 --> 00:17:41,120 Speaker 5: I do, at least as value at their ADP, which 418 00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:44,000 Speaker 5: is incredibly incredibly low. This would be a certain kind 419 00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:47,199 Speaker 5: of sleeper, and it is sort of on vogue in 420 00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:49,760 Speaker 5: fantasy circles right now to say a second half of 421 00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:52,040 Speaker 5: your draft, you should shoot the moon. You should find 422 00:17:52,080 --> 00:17:54,440 Speaker 5: as high and upside a player as you possibly can, 423 00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:56,680 Speaker 5: and if it doesn't work out, it's cool you get 424 00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:58,679 Speaker 5: rid of them. And actually I completely adhere to that. 425 00:17:58,760 --> 00:18:03,200 Speaker 5: In some cases, the calls on Lewis and Hines are 426 00:18:04,000 --> 00:18:07,200 Speaker 5: somewhat situationally based. If you've gone a little bit risky 427 00:18:07,200 --> 00:18:11,280 Speaker 5: earlier in your draft, like let's say maybe you took 428 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:14,320 Speaker 5: the Antonio Brown plunge, you took the Todd Gurley plunge, 429 00:18:14,640 --> 00:18:18,040 Speaker 5: you took a shot on Andrew Luck, Like, you have 430 00:18:18,080 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 5: some risk built in and you want to find you 431 00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:22,239 Speaker 5: know you already have the risk, so you don't need 432 00:18:22,280 --> 00:18:24,320 Speaker 5: this much high upset in the second half of your draft. 433 00:18:24,520 --> 00:18:25,200 Speaker 3: Maybe these guys. 434 00:18:25,320 --> 00:18:27,520 Speaker 5: In other words, these guys aren't gonna be rb ones, probably, 435 00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:31,800 Speaker 5: But I just think relative to the starters on their teams, 436 00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:34,679 Speaker 5: they're going really late. I mean, Nahem Heines is essentially 437 00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:37,480 Speaker 5: going undrafted in a standard league, and Dean Lewis is 438 00:18:37,520 --> 00:18:40,520 Speaker 5: certainly a double digit round guy. And in each case 439 00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:44,240 Speaker 5: I find, I say flex appeal. I'll take them case 440 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:46,800 Speaker 5: by case, very briefly. You know, Dean Lewis this time 441 00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:48,639 Speaker 5: last summer, it was a debate like who was more 442 00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:51,720 Speaker 5: valuable Derrick Henry Dean Lewis. As of week thirteen during 443 00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:54,120 Speaker 5: the season last year, Dean Lewis had more Standard League 444 00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:55,359 Speaker 5: Fantasy points than Derrick Henry. 445 00:18:55,800 --> 00:18:56,359 Speaker 3: And I get it. 446 00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:59,320 Speaker 5: The Titans found their soul and learned everything they need 447 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:01,280 Speaker 5: to learn about them. So elves in December last year 448 00:19:01,280 --> 00:19:04,200 Speaker 5: and suddenly Henry's great. But the market actually doesn't think. 449 00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:06,119 Speaker 5: So I'm proud of the market for not biting on 450 00:19:06,160 --> 00:19:08,600 Speaker 5: Derek Henry is like pick number fifteen or whatever, which 451 00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:11,000 Speaker 5: is what I worried what would happen? And yet as 452 00:19:11,040 --> 00:19:13,320 Speaker 5: they show moderation on Henry, it feels like they're just 453 00:19:13,359 --> 00:19:16,000 Speaker 5: sort of forgetting that Lewis is there and he's a 454 00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:18,120 Speaker 5: pretty good player. I mean, he can catch a bunch 455 00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:20,520 Speaker 5: of passes, he can be that satellite back. He had 456 00:19:20,760 --> 00:19:23,200 Speaker 5: goal one touchdown last year. Henry's going to get most 457 00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:25,080 Speaker 5: of those, but there's some there's potentially a little bit 458 00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:28,080 Speaker 5: of you know, six seven touchdown work out there for him. 459 00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:31,000 Speaker 5: I feel like again as a as a potential flex 460 00:19:31,000 --> 00:19:33,080 Speaker 5: if the Titans offense is better than we think, which 461 00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:34,840 Speaker 5: we don't think it's possible. 462 00:19:34,520 --> 00:19:36,080 Speaker 3: Right now, but who knows. 463 00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:38,439 Speaker 5: I have some I have some interest and then nahem, heines. 464 00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:40,800 Speaker 5: I've said this on a bunch of shows, but this 465 00:19:40,920 --> 00:19:43,560 Speaker 5: is a like a sub four to four world class sprinter. 466 00:19:44,040 --> 00:19:46,120 Speaker 5: The fact that that dude in his rookie year didn't 467 00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:47,960 Speaker 5: make a single play, you know, a lot of touches, 468 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:50,119 Speaker 5: didn't make a single play over twenty eight yards is 469 00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:53,639 Speaker 5: just weird. Like either he has the worst vision in 470 00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:56,920 Speaker 5: the NFL, like he's he's like me, he's like magoo level, 471 00:19:57,000 --> 00:19:58,840 Speaker 5: like I'm taking off my glasses and now I can't 472 00:19:58,840 --> 00:20:01,240 Speaker 5: see anything, or I just think it was bad luck 473 00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:05,400 Speaker 5: and he probably to me doesn't need a huge workload 474 00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:09,080 Speaker 5: increase to produce a bunch of big plays. To me, 475 00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:12,280 Speaker 5: he's Tarik Cohen light. So I kind of my line 476 00:20:12,280 --> 00:20:14,440 Speaker 5: on Naim Heines is, whatever you think of Tarik Cohen, 477 00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:17,200 Speaker 5: you should think about eighty percent of that of Name Heines, 478 00:20:17,240 --> 00:20:20,240 Speaker 5: And to leave him essentially undrafted feels like leaving something 479 00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:20,800 Speaker 5: on the table. 480 00:20:21,359 --> 00:20:23,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's not hard to imagine a world in which 481 00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:26,920 Speaker 1: Lewis and Hines are both running back threes in fantasy. 482 00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:30,919 Speaker 1: That is easily in the realm of possibilities, especially in 483 00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:34,480 Speaker 1: point per reception leagues. Sean, I'd like to get thoughts 484 00:20:34,600 --> 00:20:37,520 Speaker 1: on your potential sleepers at running back. 485 00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:40,920 Speaker 4: So for my sleepers, I've said it time and time again. 486 00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:44,439 Speaker 4: I typically try to target wide receiver early on, and 487 00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:47,280 Speaker 4: then I attack the RB two tier, typically in round 488 00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:50,040 Speaker 4: three and four. And the guy that I consider a 489 00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:52,439 Speaker 4: sleeper that's going, you know, around three to five that 490 00:20:52,520 --> 00:20:54,720 Speaker 4: I've been ending up with a lot is Chris Carson. 491 00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:57,680 Speaker 4: His ADP is definitely gonna start catching up with him. 492 00:20:57,680 --> 00:21:01,040 Speaker 4: I think, you know, earlier in the offseason and people 493 00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:03,720 Speaker 4: are a little bit worried about his knee surgery. People 494 00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:06,359 Speaker 4: thought Penny would possibly take him over this year and 495 00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:09,199 Speaker 4: it's becoming clear that this this is his backfield. And 496 00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:11,600 Speaker 4: you know we already mentioned it, but Sales very run 497 00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:14,800 Speaker 4: heavy team. Chris Carson is the goal line back, and 498 00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:16,919 Speaker 4: I've talked about it before, but Russell Wilson only had 499 00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:19,400 Speaker 4: three rush attempts inside the ten yard line last year, 500 00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:22,120 Speaker 4: so I think he's going to have some massive touch 501 00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:24,960 Speaker 4: on upside again this year. And uh, he's He's just 502 00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:27,280 Speaker 4: a guy that I don't really go out of my 503 00:21:27,320 --> 00:21:29,800 Speaker 4: way for him. He just fits perfectly my draft strategy. 504 00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:32,880 Speaker 4: So Chris Carson is my sort of early round sleeper pick, 505 00:21:33,040 --> 00:21:37,000 Speaker 4: and then in the middle rounds Latavious Murray. I've talked 506 00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:39,679 Speaker 4: about him many times already, but I just love his 507 00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:43,320 Speaker 4: just built in upside where you know you can get 508 00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:46,120 Speaker 4: him round six through eight. We're typically starting to dip 509 00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:49,199 Speaker 4: in backup running backs anyway, And whether or not he 510 00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:52,960 Speaker 4: actually takes over the full marking role, I think he 511 00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:55,440 Speaker 4: will be able to have some low, low end RB 512 00:21:55,520 --> 00:21:59,360 Speaker 4: two or flex you know, week weekly value. But if 513 00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:02,560 Speaker 4: Kamara were get injured, he'd be a low end RB 514 00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:05,440 Speaker 4: two RB one in my model. So I just love 515 00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:07,360 Speaker 4: that built in upside. So I think he's a he's 516 00:22:07,359 --> 00:22:10,200 Speaker 4: a pretty good bye at his price right now as 517 00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:12,640 Speaker 4: the thirty fifth running back off the board, and then 518 00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:16,000 Speaker 4: just late late round running backs. I don't draft a 519 00:22:16,080 --> 00:22:18,440 Speaker 4: kicker and defense just so I can stash two more 520 00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:21,280 Speaker 4: flyer running backs these these next couple of weeks, we're 521 00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:24,919 Speaker 4: we're recording this before a week three preseason where we 522 00:22:25,000 --> 00:22:27,840 Speaker 4: typically see the starters play a bunch, so there could 523 00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:31,040 Speaker 4: be some big name injuries this week. So I think 524 00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:33,080 Speaker 4: if you're drafting right now, it's it's key to kind 525 00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:35,520 Speaker 4: of add as many of these guys as possible. But 526 00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:39,600 Speaker 4: guys like Matt Buried to Justice Hill, Alexander Madison, Damien Harris, 527 00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:43,399 Speaker 4: Justin Jackson, Devin Singletary, guys like that, it's it's so 528 00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:46,600 Speaker 4: hard for us to actually predict which guys will you know, 529 00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:49,200 Speaker 4: become the league winners like last year. I think it's 530 00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:52,640 Speaker 4: often time, you know, a player gets hurt or there's 531 00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:55,000 Speaker 4: a holdout and they become a league winner, and that's 532 00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:56,920 Speaker 4: you know, a lot of it unfortunately comes down to luck. 533 00:22:56,960 --> 00:22:59,240 Speaker 4: So I think just kind of stashing as many of 534 00:22:59,280 --> 00:23:01,560 Speaker 4: these guys on your bench to start the season in 535 00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:03,240 Speaker 4: sort of how I approach running back. 536 00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:05,320 Speaker 5: Can I just I want to quickly throw in that 537 00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:07,440 Speaker 5: Brita is such a good call. I can't even believe 538 00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:09,760 Speaker 5: there's such a distance between him and Tevin Coleman. I 539 00:23:09,800 --> 00:23:11,720 Speaker 5: think Brita might be better at a standard league than 540 00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:13,280 Speaker 5: Tevin Coleman. I think that's such a good call. 541 00:23:13,560 --> 00:23:15,840 Speaker 4: Yeah, And I mean, you know, this whole offseason, we've 542 00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:18,040 Speaker 4: you know, thought about the forty nine ers backfield as 543 00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:20,920 Speaker 4: being crowded, but there's a chance that they put McKinnon 544 00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:23,600 Speaker 4: on the ir so we're already seeing things open up 545 00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:25,680 Speaker 4: for Brita. So it just goes to show that running back. 546 00:23:25,880 --> 00:23:27,680 Speaker 4: You know, we love to talk about talent and stuff, 547 00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:30,080 Speaker 4: but it comes down to opportunity and a lot of 548 00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:32,600 Speaker 4: times it could be just luck, you know, a player 549 00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:35,800 Speaker 4: getting injured. So just kind of putting herself in position 550 00:23:35,840 --> 00:23:38,520 Speaker 4: that know, which those players have that upside I think 551 00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:39,880 Speaker 4: is key and Brita. 552 00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:40,719 Speaker 2: I looked at this. 553 00:23:40,800 --> 00:23:43,200 Speaker 6: In his last six games where he wasn't the lead 554 00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:45,720 Speaker 6: back or like he wasn't the starter, in five of 555 00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:48,280 Speaker 6: those six games, he had exactly twelve or thirteen touches. 556 00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:52,080 Speaker 6: So that means that Shanahan just he wants to involve 557 00:23:52,080 --> 00:23:54,400 Speaker 6: this guy, it doesn't matter who else is in the backfield, 558 00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:56,240 Speaker 6: Like Matt bred is going to get a certain number 559 00:23:56,280 --> 00:23:58,960 Speaker 6: of plays. And like even on that Jimmy garoppolo interception 560 00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:02,120 Speaker 6: against the Broncos, I was like that Matt Brida wheel route, 561 00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:05,520 Speaker 6: if he sees Brita and it hasn't locked in on Goodwin, 562 00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:08,520 Speaker 6: that's probably a touchdown. So like Matt Brida, you know, 563 00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:11,040 Speaker 6: within that scheme, I think has has some major upside. 564 00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:14,080 Speaker 1: So Rayvon Brita is one of your guys who were 565 00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:22,360 Speaker 1: sniped again by corner unacceptable. It's uh, But who are 566 00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:24,480 Speaker 1: some of your other sleepers at running backs? 567 00:24:25,000 --> 00:24:27,439 Speaker 6: Well, you know, I've been talking about Darwin Thompson. I 568 00:24:27,440 --> 00:24:29,080 Speaker 6: mean since I think one of the first pods we 569 00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:30,320 Speaker 6: did in the offseason. I was like, hey, you know 570 00:24:30,359 --> 00:24:32,240 Speaker 6: it's this guy. They like him, they draft him in 571 00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:34,000 Speaker 6: the sixth round. They wanted to trade up Darwin Thompson. 572 00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:36,480 Speaker 6: I mean on the Chiefs, I think you have to 573 00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:37,840 Speaker 6: look at anybody in that offense. 574 00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:40,120 Speaker 2: And Thompson's a guy who listened Carlos Hyde. 575 00:24:40,200 --> 00:24:41,919 Speaker 6: He's a guy that can run some power with you 576 00:24:41,920 --> 00:24:43,520 Speaker 6: know when you're under center, maybe a kind of ice 577 00:24:43,560 --> 00:24:46,159 Speaker 6: in the clock but if Damian Williams goes down or 578 00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:49,879 Speaker 6: something happens with him, uh tarmin, Darwin Thompson is the 579 00:24:49,880 --> 00:24:52,120 Speaker 6: better passing down back. He's a he has a lot 580 00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:54,159 Speaker 6: of explosion as I'm sure people have seen it in 581 00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:56,639 Speaker 6: the preseason, and I think he'd be heavily involved in 582 00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:58,280 Speaker 6: He has a chance to kind of jump hide just 583 00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:01,440 Speaker 6: in the the you know, the the usage totem pull 584 00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:04,560 Speaker 6: right off the bat. So Darlin Thompson the guy going 585 00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:06,520 Speaker 6: really late that I like. And then I think, you know, 586 00:25:06,520 --> 00:25:08,560 Speaker 6: going back to just what is the definition of a sleeper, 587 00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:10,560 Speaker 6: A guy who you know probably is just going a 588 00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:13,040 Speaker 6: little bit too well. And I think there are some 589 00:25:13,160 --> 00:25:16,359 Speaker 6: un sexy sleepers out there that don't even need an 590 00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:18,879 Speaker 6: injury that just from day one, and one of those 591 00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:21,000 Speaker 6: guys is Peyton Barber. I think Peyton Barber is clearly 592 00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:23,040 Speaker 6: going to stay in the lead in that in. 593 00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:26,240 Speaker 2: That running back rotation. I think he's better than Ronald Jones. 594 00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:28,480 Speaker 6: I think the reason they talked Ronald Jones up all 595 00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:30,920 Speaker 6: off season was because the guy had no confidence. Last 596 00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:32,560 Speaker 6: year he ran like what he had like one point 597 00:25:32,600 --> 00:25:35,080 Speaker 6: something yards per carry in a pre and regular season, 598 00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:39,280 Speaker 6: so arians didn't draft. This guy he gave Rishard Mendenhall 599 00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:42,200 Speaker 6: like fifteen carries a game in Arizona. I think Barber's 600 00:25:42,240 --> 00:25:44,600 Speaker 6: going to be that guy in Tampa. I think kylen 601 00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:48,600 Speaker 6: Blage guy, he's going to be heavily involved, whether Drake's 602 00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:51,320 Speaker 6: you know, in the lineup or not. So those two guys, 603 00:25:51,359 --> 00:25:54,480 Speaker 6: and I totally agree with like Tarik Cohen going too high. 604 00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:57,360 Speaker 6: I think Montgomery is going a little bit high as well. 605 00:25:57,480 --> 00:25:59,399 Speaker 6: He's talented, but it's gonna be tough for him to 606 00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:01,800 Speaker 6: pay off his eight in the top fifty. I think 607 00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:04,160 Speaker 6: Mike Davis is going to be involved, so I think 608 00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:06,639 Speaker 6: he's a guy that's going too low. And if something 609 00:26:06,680 --> 00:26:09,040 Speaker 6: happens to either one of those guys, you're gonna get 610 00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:11,439 Speaker 6: essentially a lot of the value you were looking for 611 00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:12,840 Speaker 6: out of these guys that are going in the top 612 00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:16,680 Speaker 6: you know, seventy eighty picks or before that out of 613 00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:17,160 Speaker 6: my Davis. 614 00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:19,680 Speaker 2: So those are some less sexy picks that I think 615 00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:20,399 Speaker 2: are sweepers. 616 00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:20,879 Speaker 3: And C. J. 617 00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:22,680 Speaker 2: Anderson for the Lions as well. 618 00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:23,160 Speaker 3: And CJ. 619 00:26:23,280 --> 00:26:27,760 Speaker 1: Anderson, I'm definitely with you on Peyton Barber. He's a 620 00:26:27,800 --> 00:26:29,960 Speaker 1: guy I like quite a bit, especially in that Bruce 621 00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:33,679 Speaker 1: arians offense. I think one of them, whether it's Barber 622 00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:36,240 Speaker 1: or Ronald Jones, but I would bet a little more 623 00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:38,960 Speaker 1: on Barber. I think one of them ends up kind 624 00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:41,639 Speaker 1: of seizing the lion's share of the workload there and 625 00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:42,880 Speaker 1: having some decent production. 626 00:26:43,280 --> 00:26:46,440 Speaker 6: I would bet on I would bet you that their 627 00:26:46,520 --> 00:26:51,080 Speaker 6: third back a Goombo Wally jumps Ronald Jones before I 628 00:26:51,080 --> 00:26:53,240 Speaker 6: would have bet Ronald Jones jumps Barber like I could 629 00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:55,439 Speaker 6: see a situation where Jones is just right back to 630 00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:56,560 Speaker 6: like healthy scratch status. 631 00:26:56,600 --> 00:27:00,440 Speaker 1: There's an on zero chance that Andre Ellington drops Ronald 632 00:27:00,520 --> 00:27:05,679 Speaker 1: Jones down the depth chart that can legitimately happen. Yeah, Okay, Chris, 633 00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:09,960 Speaker 1: let's talk about wide receivers. Dante Pettis is the late 634 00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:13,520 Speaker 1: round wide receiver that you highlighted in your piece. Reports 635 00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:16,239 Speaker 1: haven't been great coming out of training camp. But at 636 00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:17,680 Speaker 1: the same time, this time of theory, you kind of 637 00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:20,560 Speaker 1: have to question what reports actually mean. But what are 638 00:27:20,600 --> 00:27:22,840 Speaker 1: your thoughts on his role versus the role of some 639 00:27:22,880 --> 00:27:25,200 Speaker 1: of the other wide receivers in San Francisco. 640 00:27:25,640 --> 00:27:27,080 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean the answer is, I don't know. I 641 00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:30,119 Speaker 5: don't know what Kyle Shanahan meant. It's funny because I 642 00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:34,320 Speaker 5: always harangue my audience about how only pay attention to 643 00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:35,919 Speaker 5: things coaches say when it's negative. 644 00:27:36,000 --> 00:27:38,199 Speaker 3: Otherwise it's all fluff. You don't know what to believe. 645 00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:40,080 Speaker 5: And then he says a negative thing, and I go, oh, 646 00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:42,119 Speaker 5: it's about Dante Pettis, and don't I like him, so 647 00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:45,680 Speaker 5: don't pay attention. Like that's pretty hypocritical of me, obviously, 648 00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:48,439 Speaker 5: so it could mean something bad. I totally acknowledged that 649 00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:50,879 Speaker 5: it became riskier to be in the Dante Pettis business 650 00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:53,600 Speaker 5: last week than it had been, so I don't pretend 651 00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:57,280 Speaker 5: to know. But I also don't particularly love Marquis Goodwin. 652 00:27:57,480 --> 00:28:00,439 Speaker 5: You know, Deebo Samuel is interesting, but seeming seems to 653 00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:03,639 Speaker 5: me fits the profile of somebody who won in college 654 00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:07,040 Speaker 5: by being just stronger and more physical than the people 655 00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:09,119 Speaker 5: who were covering him, not necessarily by running routes or 656 00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:11,720 Speaker 5: being super fast. And I think that can work in 657 00:28:11,720 --> 00:28:13,520 Speaker 5: the NFL, but it might take a little while. And 658 00:28:13,840 --> 00:28:15,960 Speaker 5: the bottom line is I just really like Dante pett 659 00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:17,080 Speaker 5: You know, I don't know if he's late round, but 660 00:28:17,080 --> 00:28:18,720 Speaker 5: he's you know, he's sort of middle round, and I 661 00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:20,960 Speaker 5: very much like him. I just put out a video 662 00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:23,719 Speaker 5: on the YouTube channel with the five best route runners 663 00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:26,120 Speaker 5: in the NFL. Dante Pettis didn't make the list because 664 00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:28,240 Speaker 5: he's got oh, I don't know, twenty seven current catches, 665 00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:30,160 Speaker 5: so maybe it's a little premature for me to be 666 00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:32,040 Speaker 5: put him in that category, but I did as a 667 00:28:32,040 --> 00:28:34,439 Speaker 5: little bonus, just added a couple of plays because that kid, 668 00:28:34,680 --> 00:28:36,560 Speaker 5: when he came back from injury last year, was sick. 669 00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:38,600 Speaker 5: I think the reason we all care about the guys 670 00:28:38,600 --> 00:28:41,680 Speaker 5: who are the route runners is that they become less 671 00:28:41,680 --> 00:28:42,720 Speaker 5: dependent on situation. 672 00:28:42,960 --> 00:28:45,080 Speaker 3: They become less dependent on who the quarterback is. 673 00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:48,760 Speaker 5: They become not fully independent, but less dependent on how 674 00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:52,200 Speaker 5: defenses are defending them, how good the offense is, all 675 00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:55,240 Speaker 5: that stuff, because they're just open a lot, and people 676 00:28:55,360 --> 00:28:57,480 Speaker 5: quarterback like to throw to open receivers. It's the reason 677 00:28:57,480 --> 00:28:59,880 Speaker 5: why Keenan Allen can get away with being I mean, 678 00:29:00,040 --> 00:29:01,800 Speaker 5: we realized that if Keenan Allen lined up in a 679 00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:05,200 Speaker 5: foot race with every single cornerback in the NFL, he'd lose. 680 00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:06,160 Speaker 3: That's not a joke. 681 00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:08,040 Speaker 5: Every single one would beat him in a foot race. 682 00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:11,000 Speaker 5: And yet he's unguardable because he's such an incredible rout runner. 683 00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:13,920 Speaker 5: And I think Pettis is sort of heading in that direction, 684 00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:18,200 Speaker 5: acknowledging that there is risk of what Shanny Junior said. 685 00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:20,640 Speaker 5: But by the same token, maybe that's a buying opportunity. 686 00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:23,040 Speaker 5: Maybe that was a motivational ploy. I don't pretend to understand, 687 00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:25,080 Speaker 5: but maybe it's some noise that drives down the ADP 688 00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:25,640 Speaker 5: a little bit. 689 00:29:25,680 --> 00:29:26,800 Speaker 3: And I'm a big fan. 690 00:29:26,840 --> 00:29:29,280 Speaker 2: Here that Freeman. Hear that Freeman Keenan. 691 00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:31,440 Speaker 1: Allen, Yeah, I heard it wonderful. 692 00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:36,680 Speaker 5: I can't tell whether that's that you just don't believe 693 00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:38,480 Speaker 5: in Dante Pettis or that you're like Keenan Allen man. 694 00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:38,560 Speaker 4: No. 695 00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:40,920 Speaker 6: So we had like the defining moment, one of the 696 00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:43,800 Speaker 6: defining moments of this podcast when it was newer, it 697 00:29:43,840 --> 00:29:46,239 Speaker 6: was it was, you know, Freedman corner and I and 698 00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:48,440 Speaker 6: I guess it was like a question of whether who 699 00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:50,640 Speaker 6: is a better pick, aj Green or Keenan Allen, Me 700 00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:52,800 Speaker 6: and Freeman just got into it for so long that corner. 701 00:29:52,800 --> 00:29:54,320 Speaker 2: It was just like a bystander at this point. It 702 00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:56,240 Speaker 2: was like a twenty minute it was. 703 00:29:56,560 --> 00:29:59,360 Speaker 1: He was a running thread. It went through multiple episodes. 704 00:30:00,720 --> 00:30:01,600 Speaker 2: I had Keenan Outen. 705 00:30:02,800 --> 00:30:05,760 Speaker 1: Early in the season. Things looked decent for me, and 706 00:30:05,800 --> 00:30:09,160 Speaker 1: then the AJ Green injury happened and it wasn't so good. 707 00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:11,320 Speaker 1: It's it's not so good for the AJ Green side 708 00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:14,280 Speaker 1: of this right now. That's okay. So you mentioned Dante 709 00:30:14,280 --> 00:30:16,280 Speaker 1: Pettis there, and one of the things that's intriguing about 710 00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:18,680 Speaker 1: him is he is going into his second season and 711 00:30:18,720 --> 00:30:21,720 Speaker 1: I think for the wide receivers, you know, it's hard 712 00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:24,320 Speaker 1: to play in the NFL as a rookie, especially as 713 00:30:24,320 --> 00:30:27,120 Speaker 1: a receiver, and so we generally see a bump in 714 00:30:27,200 --> 00:30:30,520 Speaker 1: production for receivers as they're going into their second year. 715 00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:34,240 Speaker 1: And I thought last year's rookie class was actually pretty talented. 716 00:30:34,520 --> 00:30:37,920 Speaker 1: So you go through this list of guys, Courtland Sutton, 717 00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:41,600 Speaker 1: Christian Kirk, Anthony Miller, James Washington, DJ Shark not that 718 00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:43,520 Speaker 1: interested in him, but still I have to mention him, 719 00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:48,280 Speaker 1: Michael Gallup, Trey Quan Smith, Kiki qt, Antonio Callaway, DeShawn Hamilton, 720 00:30:48,440 --> 00:30:52,040 Speaker 1: Marquis Valdez, Gantling. That is a list of pretty like 721 00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:56,120 Speaker 1: significant talent. Chris, out of those guys, out of these 722 00:30:56,240 --> 00:31:00,600 Speaker 1: second year wide receivers, other than Dante Pettis, who catches 723 00:31:00,600 --> 00:31:03,280 Speaker 1: your eye as someone who could really outperform his ADP. 724 00:31:04,120 --> 00:31:10,080 Speaker 5: The full list includes, let's see, probably not Antonio Callaway. 725 00:31:11,280 --> 00:31:14,920 Speaker 5: Probably Antonio Callaway can go away. I guess the one 726 00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:17,480 Speaker 5: who I think is gonna wind up being the best 727 00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:20,320 Speaker 5: player over the course of his career might be Kirk, 728 00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:22,720 Speaker 5: But I also don't think he's coming at a great 729 00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:26,680 Speaker 5: draft value, so maybe I'll say Anthony Miller. I think 730 00:31:26,760 --> 00:31:29,840 Speaker 5: Miller's career ceiling is lower. It strikes me there's a 731 00:31:29,840 --> 00:31:32,880 Speaker 5: pretty good chance that he gets pigeonholed as that, you know, 732 00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:35,520 Speaker 5: dynamic slot player, but yet still kind of a slot 733 00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:37,320 Speaker 5: player and not likely to make a ton of plays 734 00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:39,640 Speaker 5: in the end zone. And so maybe I'm hedging a 735 00:31:39,680 --> 00:31:42,560 Speaker 5: little bit. But I like getting him this year. And 736 00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:46,400 Speaker 5: I think there are nerves around the Bears offense regarding 737 00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:48,400 Speaker 5: too many mouths to feed, which isn't always an argument 738 00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:52,440 Speaker 5: I find somewhat specious, because if you hit the right offense, 739 00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:54,640 Speaker 5: and the Bears offense could very well be the right offense, 740 00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:56,200 Speaker 5: there's never too many mouths to feed. It's you know, 741 00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:57,800 Speaker 5: if you get the rams of the Chiefs, we want 742 00:31:57,800 --> 00:32:00,520 Speaker 5: every mouth we can get, And you know, I think 743 00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:04,040 Speaker 5: Miller's a very nice dynamic player. Again, Kirk would probably 744 00:32:04,040 --> 00:32:06,480 Speaker 5: be my choice if I were starting an NFL team, 745 00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:08,280 Speaker 5: But it feels to me like you can get Miller 746 00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:09,600 Speaker 5: at a better price sleeper wise. 747 00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:12,680 Speaker 1: Out of the second year guys who catch my eye 748 00:32:12,800 --> 00:32:14,560 Speaker 1: and then I'm going to kick it to you, Shawn. 749 00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:17,920 Speaker 1: The guys who catch my eye James Washington, because he 750 00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:20,560 Speaker 1: was productive in college. I think he has good athleticism. 751 00:32:20,640 --> 00:32:22,840 Speaker 1: He's looked pretty good in the preseason. It's hard to 752 00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:27,560 Speaker 1: know how to contextualize that preseason production, but I would 753 00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:29,720 Speaker 1: still rather have him look good in the preseason than 754 00:32:29,760 --> 00:32:33,360 Speaker 1: not another guy tray Quan Smith, just because of what 755 00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:35,880 Speaker 1: he was able to do in college, the production he had, 756 00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:39,520 Speaker 1: his athleticism, his landing spot in New Orleans. I think 757 00:32:39,520 --> 00:32:42,120 Speaker 1: he will be volatile, but it wouldn't be a surprise 758 00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:43,600 Speaker 1: to me if at the end of the year he 759 00:32:43,640 --> 00:32:46,800 Speaker 1: had nine hundred ish yards and seven touchdowns, and that 760 00:32:46,840 --> 00:32:50,800 Speaker 1: would make him fantasy viable. And then Kiki Qt as 761 00:32:50,920 --> 00:32:54,280 Speaker 1: a slot receiver for the Texans. I think he has 762 00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:56,920 Speaker 1: a lot of potential. There are just questions about whether 763 00:32:56,960 --> 00:32:58,960 Speaker 1: he will be able to stay healthy or not, because 764 00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:01,320 Speaker 1: up to this point in his NFL career, he hasn't 765 00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:04,520 Speaker 1: really been able to exhibit the ability to stay on 766 00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:07,000 Speaker 1: the field. But those are the guys who are really 767 00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:10,640 Speaker 1: catching my eye, Sean. Who are the wide receivers you 768 00:33:10,640 --> 00:33:12,040 Speaker 1: are thinking of as sleepers? 769 00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:15,320 Speaker 4: You know, I I typically target wide receivers early, and 770 00:33:15,440 --> 00:33:17,480 Speaker 4: so if you haven't listened to my advice and you 771 00:33:17,560 --> 00:33:20,520 Speaker 4: still don't have your third or final flex slot by 772 00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:22,800 Speaker 4: round rounds eight or nine, I think D D. Westbrook 773 00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:24,840 Speaker 4: is your last chance to get a number one receiver 774 00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:27,200 Speaker 4: for their team. I just think he's a great value 775 00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:30,400 Speaker 4: right there. Marquise Lee is if you to start there, 776 00:33:30,440 --> 00:33:32,120 Speaker 4: there's a chance skins up on the pup. So I 777 00:33:32,120 --> 00:33:34,480 Speaker 4: think that's that's open things up for D D in 778 00:33:34,520 --> 00:33:36,960 Speaker 4: my model. So you're gonna have guys like DJ Chark 779 00:33:37,040 --> 00:33:39,760 Speaker 4: and Chris Connelly competing for the you know, the wide 780 00:33:39,760 --> 00:33:42,840 Speaker 4: receiver two status for that team. I think, you know 781 00:33:42,880 --> 00:33:46,080 Speaker 4: Westbrook will be Nick foles top target. And you know 782 00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:49,840 Speaker 4: new OC John D. Fluppo. He essentially got fired from 783 00:33:50,000 --> 00:33:52,480 Speaker 4: Minnesota for trying to throw too much, so that couldn't 784 00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:54,920 Speaker 4: hurt either. But yeah, I think just he's my mid 785 00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:57,680 Speaker 4: round sleeper guy. Typically, I'm already gonna have all my 786 00:33:57,680 --> 00:34:00,200 Speaker 4: starters bright now, so he'd probably first got I have 787 00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:02,320 Speaker 4: on the bench. In the later rounds, I kind of 788 00:34:02,320 --> 00:34:05,440 Speaker 4: have it broken down by buckets, so I have late 789 00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:07,840 Speaker 4: round upside guys. So this is if you're all set 790 00:34:07,840 --> 00:34:10,399 Speaker 4: at wide receiver, you're stacked. I try to target guys 791 00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:13,320 Speaker 4: like John Brown or to Shaun Jackson in rounds eleven 792 00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:15,960 Speaker 4: through fifteen. I'm just trying to get streaky guys who 793 00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:17,960 Speaker 4: we know sort of have a high ceiling, low floor, 794 00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:20,200 Speaker 4: and if they got get off to hot start, I'll 795 00:34:20,239 --> 00:34:23,200 Speaker 4: trade him to a wide receiver needy team. We saw 796 00:34:23,200 --> 00:34:25,240 Speaker 4: it last year with Shaun Jackson was the wide receiver 797 00:34:25,320 --> 00:34:27,920 Speaker 4: two after week four, you could have flipped him for 798 00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:31,279 Speaker 4: somebody like Robbie Anderson or something. So they're just kind 799 00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:34,680 Speaker 4: of trade investments for my bench. Now, if you kind 800 00:34:34,680 --> 00:34:37,160 Speaker 4: of slack off the wide receiver early on, or you 801 00:34:37,200 --> 00:34:40,200 Speaker 4: take guy like aj Green, I think taking you know, 802 00:34:40,400 --> 00:34:42,359 Speaker 4: a higher floor guy in the later rounds that you'll 803 00:34:42,360 --> 00:34:45,000 Speaker 4: probably start right away, like a Jamison Crowder in a 804 00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:48,520 Speaker 4: PPR format, I think it's perfect. You know, he's a 805 00:34:48,520 --> 00:34:51,560 Speaker 4: great guy to kind of just give you several points 806 00:34:51,600 --> 00:34:53,920 Speaker 4: to start, and then you know I have him kind 807 00:34:53,920 --> 00:34:55,759 Speaker 4: of getting a bit of a drop off once Chris 808 00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:58,480 Speaker 4: Hernon returns. So if you have AJ Green, that kind 809 00:34:58,520 --> 00:35:01,239 Speaker 4: of maps up perfectly with AJ Green, so you can 810 00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:04,040 Speaker 4: kind of take AJ Green and then Jamison Crowder later 811 00:35:04,080 --> 00:35:07,200 Speaker 4: on to kind of maximize AJ Green's value. So I 812 00:35:07,200 --> 00:35:09,120 Speaker 4: think that's a sneaky way to kind of handle them 813 00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:10,720 Speaker 4: later on of the draft that wide receiver. 814 00:35:11,480 --> 00:35:15,080 Speaker 1: Speaking of sneaky once again, I must say, you sniped 815 00:35:15,520 --> 00:35:19,719 Speaker 1: our friend Chris Raven And I mean he actually had 816 00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:23,040 Speaker 1: all of his players written on the show sheet, and 817 00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:26,160 Speaker 1: you come in, don't have anything written, and then you 818 00:35:26,560 --> 00:35:29,480 Speaker 1: write down list that overlaps a little bit with his. 819 00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:30,960 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna say it's a little bit. 820 00:35:31,719 --> 00:35:33,440 Speaker 4: I'm a little less about the player. It's more of 821 00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:36,399 Speaker 4: the strategy. So Rayvun you can have the player. I'm 822 00:35:36,440 --> 00:35:38,520 Speaker 4: just taking a late round guy with the higher floor 823 00:35:38,560 --> 00:35:41,319 Speaker 4: in that spot, so you can have Crowder specifically, he's 824 00:35:41,360 --> 00:35:41,880 Speaker 4: all yours. 825 00:35:42,080 --> 00:35:44,440 Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, you know, I'm not excited about the 826 00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:47,400 Speaker 6: Jets in general, but I do think, no, the sleepers 827 00:35:47,440 --> 00:35:50,239 Speaker 6: at wide receiver, they do depend on scoring form, and 828 00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:52,200 Speaker 6: I think a little more than the other positions. So 829 00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:55,880 Speaker 6: I think in PPR leagues, I think Jamison Crowder you 830 00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:57,919 Speaker 6: have to look at guys who could lead their team 831 00:35:57,960 --> 00:36:00,800 Speaker 6: in reception, even if they don't necessarily lead many yardage, 832 00:36:00,840 --> 00:36:04,200 Speaker 6: because receptions are more predictable, more consistent, and you know, 833 00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:07,160 Speaker 6: just by getting receptions you open yourself up to chances too. 834 00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:09,360 Speaker 6: You know, a guy falls down, you get a big play, 835 00:36:09,600 --> 00:36:12,239 Speaker 6: you know, yeah, you get touchdown. So reception leaders for 836 00:36:12,280 --> 00:36:14,680 Speaker 6: their team. I think Crowder could lead the Jets and receptions. 837 00:36:14,719 --> 00:36:17,239 Speaker 6: I think Adam Humphries, it is not being talked about 838 00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:19,759 Speaker 6: at all. I think I would easily bet on him 839 00:36:19,760 --> 00:36:23,040 Speaker 6: to lead the Titans and receptions over Corey Davis. I 840 00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:25,480 Speaker 6: think a lower end version of this, who at the 841 00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:27,959 Speaker 6: beginning of the year wasn't as bullish on but after 842 00:36:28,040 --> 00:36:31,719 Speaker 6: kind of understanding the scheme and seeing Josh Allen in 843 00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:32,560 Speaker 6: the preseason, I think. 844 00:36:32,440 --> 00:36:34,600 Speaker 2: Cole Bees was going to lead the Bills and receptions. 845 00:36:35,080 --> 00:36:37,120 Speaker 6: Now I think, though I don't know how valuable that 846 00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:39,719 Speaker 6: will be, but in a PPR league, I think these 847 00:36:39,719 --> 00:36:41,960 Speaker 6: are kind of those high floor guys who you know, 848 00:36:42,160 --> 00:36:44,479 Speaker 6: the quote unquote ceilings a little higher for them because 849 00:36:44,480 --> 00:36:46,720 Speaker 6: they could catch four or five balls every game, and 850 00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:49,480 Speaker 6: now you're talking about, you know, sixty to eighty catches 851 00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:51,239 Speaker 6: and that is going to get you pretty you know, 852 00:36:51,560 --> 00:36:54,759 Speaker 6: for a PPR lead, a pretty good ceiling, especially for 853 00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:58,200 Speaker 6: where they are going, which is pretty late. So those 854 00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:01,279 Speaker 6: guys and then in stands are just you know, kind 855 00:37:01,280 --> 00:37:01,920 Speaker 6: of half PPR. 856 00:37:02,000 --> 00:37:03,160 Speaker 2: Roshard Higgins for the Browns. 857 00:37:03,200 --> 00:37:05,279 Speaker 6: I think I was very high on Colaway, but with 858 00:37:05,320 --> 00:37:07,680 Speaker 6: the suspension and how well Higgins has played and how 859 00:37:07,760 --> 00:37:11,120 Speaker 6: efficient he was with Baker Mayfield last year, I think 860 00:37:11,120 --> 00:37:13,120 Speaker 6: this is another one of those offenses where like Chris said, 861 00:37:13,320 --> 00:37:16,000 Speaker 6: you just want all the mouths and Rochard Higgins gonna 862 00:37:16,000 --> 00:37:18,120 Speaker 6: get single coverage every play because he got Beckham, he 863 00:37:18,160 --> 00:37:20,399 Speaker 6: got Landry. You still gotta worry about Chubb. You're gonna 864 00:37:20,440 --> 00:37:22,600 Speaker 6: have to worry about Hunting. The joke like single coverage 865 00:37:22,640 --> 00:37:25,840 Speaker 6: every play. They spread the ball around. I really like 866 00:37:25,920 --> 00:37:29,760 Speaker 6: him and Mikole Hardman of the Chiefs. I mean they 867 00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:32,040 Speaker 6: they're gonna probably play him in the slot a lot, 868 00:37:32,160 --> 00:37:35,600 Speaker 6: and he might actually force DeMarcus Robinson to take on 869 00:37:35,600 --> 00:37:36,160 Speaker 6: a lesser role. 870 00:37:36,160 --> 00:37:37,360 Speaker 2: Like last year their offense. 871 00:37:37,120 --> 00:37:38,759 Speaker 6: Was more like you know, they had Conley out there, 872 00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:40,560 Speaker 6: Robinson was going to kind of take that role on. 873 00:37:40,680 --> 00:37:42,960 Speaker 6: But now as well as Hardman's playing, he might be 874 00:37:43,000 --> 00:37:45,919 Speaker 6: that third receiver, and you want guys on the field 875 00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:48,319 Speaker 6: in this offense. And if anything happens to Tyreek Hill, 876 00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:50,279 Speaker 6: who you know, let's say he gets suspended again, Let's say, 877 00:37:50,280 --> 00:37:51,759 Speaker 6: you know whatever. He's a small guy, so he gets 878 00:37:51,800 --> 00:37:55,000 Speaker 6: hurt hardman, he's right back to kind of stepping into 879 00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:55,719 Speaker 6: that role as well. 880 00:37:55,800 --> 00:37:58,600 Speaker 2: So like the upside for him as well. 881 00:37:58,600 --> 00:37:59,920 Speaker 6: And as far as just the second year guys, I 882 00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:03,880 Speaker 6: think DJ Shark's a little sneakier than we think because 883 00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:07,960 Speaker 6: Ki Filippo, as Sean mentioned, throws a ton. The Jaguars 884 00:38:08,000 --> 00:38:10,760 Speaker 6: really struggled running four nette like under three yards of carry, 885 00:38:10,920 --> 00:38:13,560 Speaker 6: you know, in second down in any pretty much any 886 00:38:14,239 --> 00:38:16,400 Speaker 6: second and short third and short third medium. 887 00:38:16,719 --> 00:38:17,879 Speaker 2: I think they want to throw more. 888 00:38:18,080 --> 00:38:20,520 Speaker 6: I think Nick Foles is going to allow them to 889 00:38:20,560 --> 00:38:23,200 Speaker 6: because they were trying to hide Bortles. And I think Shark, 890 00:38:23,600 --> 00:38:26,840 Speaker 6: and he worked with Conley before in casey Shark is 891 00:38:26,840 --> 00:38:28,839 Speaker 6: a guy who's been playing really well all camp, has 892 00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:30,480 Speaker 6: a lot of talent, is prime to make that second 893 00:38:30,520 --> 00:38:32,600 Speaker 6: year jump. I like all three of their receivers as 894 00:38:32,680 --> 00:38:34,200 Speaker 6: values because their tight ends have been hurt. 895 00:38:34,440 --> 00:38:34,680 Speaker 2: You know. 896 00:38:34,880 --> 00:38:36,640 Speaker 6: Furnette, Yeah, I think he'll catch a little more a 897 00:38:36,640 --> 00:38:38,800 Speaker 6: few more passes. But you know, they released Benny Cunningham, 898 00:38:38,880 --> 00:38:40,359 Speaker 6: was who is going to be the third down back 899 00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:42,640 Speaker 6: and probably play that Yelden role by the way, So 900 00:38:42,680 --> 00:38:44,759 Speaker 6: they don't have Yelden and they don't have Benny Cunningham. 901 00:38:45,080 --> 00:38:47,960 Speaker 6: There are a lot of pass targets to go around 902 00:38:48,160 --> 00:38:50,360 Speaker 6: for a coordinator that likes to throw the ball. So 903 00:38:50,440 --> 00:38:52,279 Speaker 6: I think all three of these guys are positioned well. 904 00:38:52,320 --> 00:38:54,719 Speaker 6: I don't think Marquis Lee will be that much of 905 00:38:55,120 --> 00:38:57,239 Speaker 6: a factor, at least early on in the season. So 906 00:38:57,239 --> 00:39:00,239 Speaker 6: I think that all three of those guys, especially Tark 907 00:39:00,280 --> 00:39:02,239 Speaker 6: and Collie and Standard and in Westbrook and Ppr I 908 00:39:02,440 --> 00:39:04,319 Speaker 6: are gonna are going undervalue right now. 909 00:39:04,600 --> 00:39:06,799 Speaker 1: All right, let's close it out by talking about tight 910 00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:11,279 Speaker 1: ends Chris, before we talk about any potential sleepers. I 911 00:39:11,400 --> 00:39:14,319 Speaker 1: just like it to get your feedback on general strategy. 912 00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:16,200 Speaker 1: How important do you think it is to get one 913 00:39:16,239 --> 00:39:19,680 Speaker 1: of the big three tight ends of either Kelsey, Kittle 914 00:39:19,800 --> 00:39:20,279 Speaker 1: or Ertz. 915 00:39:21,080 --> 00:39:23,440 Speaker 5: Not that important, I gotta be honest. I didn't the 916 00:39:23,440 --> 00:39:27,880 Speaker 5: opportunity cost of not getting the you know, other options 917 00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:30,839 Speaker 5: at the at the scarce positions, just as to price 918 00:39:30,880 --> 00:39:33,600 Speaker 5: to high a price to pay. We're probably thinking of 919 00:39:33,640 --> 00:39:35,680 Speaker 5: tight ends like we think of quarterbacks. You can probably 920 00:39:35,719 --> 00:39:39,200 Speaker 5: just wait and get a significant percentage of Travis Kelcey 921 00:39:39,440 --> 00:39:42,440 Speaker 5: very very cheap, with the potential for upside to get 922 00:39:42,440 --> 00:39:45,200 Speaker 5: a you know, a very significant percentage of Kelsey and 923 00:39:45,239 --> 00:39:46,480 Speaker 5: not have to pay that kind of price. 924 00:39:46,840 --> 00:39:47,640 Speaker 3: You know, I get it. 925 00:39:47,680 --> 00:39:49,440 Speaker 5: There are some people where it's a comfort thing and 926 00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:51,200 Speaker 5: they feel like if I can just sort of lock 927 00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:54,240 Speaker 5: that position down and have a pretty sizable advantage over 928 00:39:54,560 --> 00:39:57,479 Speaker 5: the rest of my competitors have Kelsey, and every week 929 00:39:57,520 --> 00:39:59,600 Speaker 5: I'm going into a matchup where I'm playing against Trey Burton, 930 00:39:59,600 --> 00:40:02,000 Speaker 5: and I have an advantage. I have enough confidence in 931 00:40:02,040 --> 00:40:04,680 Speaker 5: my league that I can fill in with running backs 932 00:40:04,680 --> 00:40:07,000 Speaker 5: and wide receivers later in a draft and make up 933 00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:08,359 Speaker 5: the difference because there's more of them. 934 00:40:08,440 --> 00:40:09,000 Speaker 2: I hear. 935 00:40:09,400 --> 00:40:11,360 Speaker 5: I hear when people say that, I hear it. It 936 00:40:11,400 --> 00:40:13,120 Speaker 5: isn't the way I attack it, as you guys have 937 00:40:13,160 --> 00:40:15,640 Speaker 5: probably done too. I've probably done three dozen mock drafts 938 00:40:15,640 --> 00:40:17,640 Speaker 5: in the last month. There have been somewhere I've gotten 939 00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:21,359 Speaker 5: Ertz to be honest, but usually not so. I would 940 00:40:21,400 --> 00:40:25,239 Speaker 5: say waiting on tight end would be my generally preferred strategy, all. 941 00:40:25,160 --> 00:40:27,279 Speaker 1: Right, So outside of the big three, who are the 942 00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:30,960 Speaker 1: youngish tight ends that you are interested in, because I'm 943 00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:33,719 Speaker 1: kind of assuming that you're looking more for those guys 944 00:40:33,719 --> 00:40:37,040 Speaker 1: as opposed to the old than injured guys like Elaney Walker, 945 00:40:37,239 --> 00:40:40,319 Speaker 1: Jordan Reed, Tyler Eifer. But maybe those are some guys 946 00:40:40,400 --> 00:40:41,200 Speaker 1: are interesting. 947 00:40:40,920 --> 00:40:43,279 Speaker 5: Super uncol You're talking to an old and injured guy, 948 00:40:43,360 --> 00:40:44,600 Speaker 5: that's just super uncool. 949 00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:45,200 Speaker 3: Yeah. 950 00:40:45,280 --> 00:40:47,399 Speaker 5: No, I mean, listen, if I'm gonna wait till round 951 00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:49,600 Speaker 5: thirteen or something, then I get then I'll take Kyle 952 00:40:49,640 --> 00:40:51,480 Speaker 5: rud Off for the time being and lock in my 953 00:40:51,760 --> 00:40:54,160 Speaker 5: six hundred yards and six touchdowns and feel fine with 954 00:40:54,200 --> 00:40:55,640 Speaker 5: it until I find a better solution. 955 00:40:55,760 --> 00:40:58,120 Speaker 3: And in some leagues that works, right, But no, I'm 956 00:40:58,120 --> 00:40:58,440 Speaker 3: with you. 957 00:40:58,520 --> 00:41:00,279 Speaker 5: I think the one the tight end that I feel 958 00:41:00,280 --> 00:41:02,200 Speaker 5: like I've made the most hay with and all these 959 00:41:02,239 --> 00:41:05,719 Speaker 5: mocks that I've done, is David Dajoku. Again, the too 960 00:41:05,760 --> 00:41:08,799 Speaker 5: many mouths to feed argument can sometimes turn out to 961 00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:11,239 Speaker 5: be absolutely true, so I would never deny that, But 962 00:41:11,360 --> 00:41:13,120 Speaker 5: it can also turn out to be the Rams. You know, 963 00:41:13,120 --> 00:41:15,200 Speaker 5: if the Browns are as good as we think, they 964 00:41:15,200 --> 00:41:17,040 Speaker 5: turn out to be the chiefs of the Rams, or 965 00:41:17,160 --> 00:41:19,280 Speaker 5: you know, maybe the Bears or whatever, you know, whatever 966 00:41:19,360 --> 00:41:21,560 Speaker 5: name your offense, then there's no such thing as too 967 00:41:21,600 --> 00:41:24,080 Speaker 5: many mouths to feed. So I don't panic too much 968 00:41:24,120 --> 00:41:27,839 Speaker 5: about that. I certainly do hear people who say, you know, 969 00:41:28,000 --> 00:41:30,120 Speaker 5: that's great, you're selling me a first round athlete, but 970 00:41:30,280 --> 00:41:32,160 Speaker 5: he's never really shown anything as a football player, And 971 00:41:32,160 --> 00:41:34,840 Speaker 5: I go, eh, that's true. I would be making somewhat 972 00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:36,400 Speaker 5: of a leap, but I feel like the investment is 973 00:41:36,440 --> 00:41:40,879 Speaker 5: pretty low. Ingram oj Howard Evan Ingram and David Njoku classmates, 974 00:41:41,880 --> 00:41:45,200 Speaker 5: you know, first round rates, like profiles, similar like crazy 975 00:41:45,280 --> 00:41:47,840 Speaker 5: freak athletes who came into the league with questions about 976 00:41:48,040 --> 00:41:50,080 Speaker 5: you know, are they Eric Ebron, Are they guys who 977 00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:52,239 Speaker 5: are athletic but there's going to take seven years to 978 00:41:52,239 --> 00:41:55,040 Speaker 5: put it together, or can they kind of contribute right away? 979 00:41:55,080 --> 00:41:58,160 Speaker 5: And to me, Howard proved that he was a football 980 00:41:58,200 --> 00:42:00,200 Speaker 5: player in that last year when he was held they, 981 00:42:00,200 --> 00:42:04,240 Speaker 5: whereas Ingram and Najoku haven't. And I have Ingram higher, 982 00:42:04,239 --> 00:42:05,759 Speaker 5: but it seems to me they should be in the 983 00:42:05,800 --> 00:42:07,840 Speaker 5: same conversation, and the fact that Ingram is going so 984 00:42:07,920 --> 00:42:11,000 Speaker 5: much higher strikes me as a vote for well, someone's 985 00:42:11,000 --> 00:42:13,719 Speaker 5: got to get some targets and that's the argument that 986 00:42:13,760 --> 00:42:15,640 Speaker 5: I get scared of. That's the argument that makes you 987 00:42:15,719 --> 00:42:20,040 Speaker 5: draft Alex Collins, Royce Freeman, Rashad Penny. I prefer to 988 00:42:20,200 --> 00:42:22,080 Speaker 5: make sure that I have someone who can do something 989 00:42:22,080 --> 00:42:25,000 Speaker 5: with that presumed workload, and I think Ingram can, but 990 00:42:25,239 --> 00:42:28,040 Speaker 5: I think Najoku probably for me, is in that same conversation, 991 00:42:28,080 --> 00:42:30,600 Speaker 5: but he's being drafted so much lower that I often 992 00:42:30,640 --> 00:42:31,359 Speaker 5: wind up with him. 993 00:42:31,600 --> 00:42:34,040 Speaker 1: Chris, I'm with you on Djoku. In long term, I 994 00:42:34,080 --> 00:42:38,040 Speaker 1: think he has fantastic prospects, especially because he was twenty 995 00:42:38,120 --> 00:42:40,160 Speaker 1: years old when he was drafted, played twenty one years 996 00:42:40,160 --> 00:42:42,560 Speaker 1: old as a rookie, and historically the guys who have 997 00:42:42,800 --> 00:42:46,560 Speaker 1: entered the league that young at that position, sometimes it's 998 00:42:46,600 --> 00:42:48,200 Speaker 1: taken them a little bit of time to catch on, 999 00:42:48,360 --> 00:42:51,960 Speaker 1: like Eric Ebron, but historically they almost all catch on 1000 00:42:52,239 --> 00:42:55,560 Speaker 1: and they have great careers. Sean at tight end, who 1001 00:42:55,640 --> 00:42:57,400 Speaker 1: is it that you were thinking of as a sleeper? 1002 00:42:58,000 --> 00:42:59,840 Speaker 4: So for me, if I mess out on any of 1003 00:42:59,880 --> 00:43:02,880 Speaker 4: the three, I tend to wait till rounds eight to 1004 00:43:02,960 --> 00:43:06,360 Speaker 4: ten because I just love Vance McDonald and Austin Hooper, 1005 00:43:06,640 --> 00:43:09,120 Speaker 4: especially Hooper in round ten, I just keep loving him 1006 00:43:09,120 --> 00:43:12,000 Speaker 4: more and more heading him into the year. You know, 1007 00:43:12,080 --> 00:43:14,279 Speaker 4: dirt cutter has typically gotten the most out of his 1008 00:43:14,320 --> 00:43:17,920 Speaker 4: tight ends. You know, Mercedes Lewis in Jacksonville, and then 1009 00:43:17,960 --> 00:43:19,680 Speaker 4: you had Tony Gonzalz at the end of his career 1010 00:43:19,719 --> 00:43:22,200 Speaker 4: in Atlanta, and then of course Camberraight and Oj Howard 1011 00:43:22,239 --> 00:43:25,319 Speaker 4: and Tampa Bay. I think with Hooper, I'm gonna want 1012 00:43:25,320 --> 00:43:29,160 Speaker 4: to see his you know, touchdown rate spike. He has 1013 00:43:29,200 --> 00:43:31,320 Speaker 4: a career rate of seven point two percent, which is 1014 00:43:31,400 --> 00:43:33,960 Speaker 4: kind of odd considering his skill set and just you 1015 00:43:34,000 --> 00:43:36,880 Speaker 4: know how high scoring the Falcons offenses. So I think 1016 00:43:37,160 --> 00:43:39,960 Speaker 4: he could be a surprise touchdown scorer this year. So 1017 00:43:40,040 --> 00:43:42,600 Speaker 4: I love him in round ten. And then you know, 1018 00:43:42,640 --> 00:43:45,439 Speaker 4: the ultimate late round flyer would be Dallas Goddard. We've 1019 00:43:45,480 --> 00:43:48,319 Speaker 4: talked about before, but he has league winning potential if 1020 00:43:48,440 --> 00:43:50,960 Speaker 4: Ertz wherever go down, So I think, if you can 1021 00:43:51,400 --> 00:43:54,279 Speaker 4: I've never recommended stashing a tight end, and I'm not 1022 00:43:54,320 --> 00:43:56,759 Speaker 4: necessarily doing it, but if your bench can allow, if 1023 00:43:56,880 --> 00:43:59,920 Speaker 4: you say, have more than seven bench slots, He's a 1024 00:44:00,080 --> 00:44:02,319 Speaker 4: guy that I would stash just in the event that 1025 00:44:02,400 --> 00:44:05,000 Speaker 4: Earth goes down and you have a top five tight end. 1026 00:44:05,040 --> 00:44:07,839 Speaker 4: So I love Dallas Goddard. If you can get him 1027 00:44:07,840 --> 00:44:10,160 Speaker 4: in like round nineteen or twenty and a deeper league. 1028 00:44:10,880 --> 00:44:15,600 Speaker 1: The name of this episode is corner Dot Stash Dallas Goddard. 1029 00:44:15,760 --> 00:44:19,040 Speaker 1: That's uh, that's what I heard you say there, Raymond, 1030 00:44:19,200 --> 00:44:20,360 Speaker 1: Who is it that you were liking? 1031 00:44:20,760 --> 00:44:23,480 Speaker 6: Well, I mean, obviously I already gotten sniped a ton, 1032 00:44:23,560 --> 00:44:25,320 Speaker 6: but I love, I do love the joke, but I 1033 00:44:25,400 --> 00:44:25,919 Speaker 6: totally agree. 1034 00:44:25,920 --> 00:44:27,120 Speaker 2: I think they're that Cleveland offense. 1035 00:44:27,160 --> 00:44:29,480 Speaker 6: You want every part you can get, and we've seen 1036 00:44:29,560 --> 00:44:33,440 Speaker 6: in the past, Uh, you know Todd Munkin with Cutter 1037 00:44:33,719 --> 00:44:35,680 Speaker 6: in Tampa getting the most out of their tight end. 1038 00:44:36,120 --> 00:44:38,120 Speaker 6: Freddie Kitchens, by the way, it was a tight ends 1039 00:44:38,160 --> 00:44:41,040 Speaker 6: coach for seven years and we saw a tight end 1040 00:44:41,239 --> 00:44:42,839 Speaker 6: touchdown rate spike most of the time. 1041 00:44:42,880 --> 00:44:44,120 Speaker 2: He was a tight end coach. 1042 00:44:44,160 --> 00:44:46,200 Speaker 6: So I think the jok who's touchdown potential is like 1043 00:44:46,280 --> 00:44:48,480 Speaker 6: on Ebron levels in that you. 1044 00:44:48,440 --> 00:44:49,840 Speaker 2: Have to cover all these other guys. 1045 00:44:50,160 --> 00:44:53,480 Speaker 6: Uh, and you know Nidjoku has the athleticism, the score 1046 00:44:54,080 --> 00:44:56,520 Speaker 6: and the size to do it. But but you know, 1047 00:44:56,600 --> 00:44:58,840 Speaker 6: going a little deeper, I think some really high upside 1048 00:44:58,840 --> 00:45:01,480 Speaker 6: guys that it's kind of like high risk, high rewards situation. 1049 00:45:02,040 --> 00:45:05,600 Speaker 6: Mark Andrews for Baltimore, he averaged two yards per route run. 1050 00:45:06,120 --> 00:45:08,480 Speaker 6: Now he still managed to be in about three quarters 1051 00:45:08,480 --> 00:45:11,120 Speaker 6: of their pass plays. The word out of camp is 1052 00:45:11,160 --> 00:45:14,279 Speaker 6: that he's been featured in the offense. So this team 1053 00:45:14,320 --> 00:45:16,320 Speaker 6: is probably only gonna throw twenty five to thirty times 1054 00:45:16,320 --> 00:45:19,200 Speaker 6: a game. But if now he can kind of get 1055 00:45:19,239 --> 00:45:22,120 Speaker 6: into that space where he's getting like maybe ninety percent 1056 00:45:22,160 --> 00:45:24,600 Speaker 6: of their pass plays and he continues to kind of 1057 00:45:24,640 --> 00:45:26,920 Speaker 6: sit around that two yards per route. Now, you know 1058 00:45:27,040 --> 00:45:28,799 Speaker 6: he was even higher than that for a time with 1059 00:45:28,880 --> 00:45:30,520 Speaker 6: Lamar Jackson, but just kind of looking at his full 1060 00:45:30,520 --> 00:45:33,600 Speaker 6: season numbers, you know that's that's fifty yards a game, 1061 00:45:33,960 --> 00:45:37,000 Speaker 6: and that's you're in the top eight conversation already. So 1062 00:45:37,600 --> 00:45:40,800 Speaker 6: I think Mark Andrews has a ton of upside Goddard obviously, 1063 00:45:40,920 --> 00:45:43,920 Speaker 6: and of the old injured guys or like if you're 1064 00:45:43,920 --> 00:45:45,560 Speaker 6: in a two tight end league, I think my favorite 1065 00:45:45,600 --> 00:45:47,799 Speaker 6: is Delanney Walker right now, because you know, he just 1066 00:45:47,800 --> 00:45:50,200 Speaker 6: happened to miss one game. I mean, he played one game, 1067 00:45:50,239 --> 00:45:52,279 Speaker 6: got an anchor injury out for the season. It's not 1068 00:45:52,320 --> 00:45:55,200 Speaker 6: like he had these recurring situations like a Greg Olsen 1069 00:45:55,520 --> 00:45:57,680 Speaker 6: or Jordan Reed or Tyler Eifer. You know, he just 1070 00:45:57,680 --> 00:45:59,239 Speaker 6: got hurt one year and missed the year and now 1071 00:45:59,400 --> 00:46:00,800 Speaker 6: and he's old to kind of looking at him like 1072 00:46:01,400 --> 00:46:04,600 Speaker 6: he's done, but in reality, he's Marcus mariota favorite target 1073 00:46:05,520 --> 00:46:06,799 Speaker 6: has been for a while now. 1074 00:46:07,239 --> 00:46:09,080 Speaker 2: And if you look at their. 1075 00:46:08,960 --> 00:46:12,759 Speaker 6: Opening schedule for the Tennessee Titans, yeah they're gonna we 1076 00:46:12,840 --> 00:46:14,759 Speaker 6: think of them as this run heavy team, but they're 1077 00:46:14,760 --> 00:46:18,400 Speaker 6: going to face Cleveland, Indianapolis, and Atuanta and three of 1078 00:46:18,440 --> 00:46:21,200 Speaker 6: their first four games, and then the other game is 1079 00:46:21,239 --> 00:46:24,560 Speaker 6: against Jacksonville, and that that's a team where they sometimes 1080 00:46:24,560 --> 00:46:27,359 Speaker 6: can be a tight end funnel because they play good 1081 00:46:27,360 --> 00:46:30,080 Speaker 6: perimeter defense in good deep defense. So I think you 1082 00:46:30,120 --> 00:46:33,120 Speaker 6: have a chance with Walker to have some really productive 1083 00:46:33,160 --> 00:46:34,719 Speaker 6: weeks early on, which is what you want if you're 1084 00:46:34,760 --> 00:46:37,600 Speaker 6: drafting a guy that low, because you're probably going to 1085 00:46:37,680 --> 00:46:40,720 Speaker 6: be at least open to the idea of streaming anyway. 1086 00:46:40,840 --> 00:46:43,480 Speaker 2: So that that's kind of my favorite old guy. 1087 00:46:43,920 --> 00:46:46,359 Speaker 1: You know, Raybond, I'm with you when it comes to 1088 00:46:46,560 --> 00:46:50,319 Speaker 1: Mark Andrews. In fact, in our Fantasy football tools at 1089 00:46:50,440 --> 00:46:54,560 Speaker 1: Action Network, in our cheat sheet, I have him ranked 1090 00:46:54,600 --> 00:46:56,040 Speaker 1: highest out of all of us. I have him as 1091 00:46:56,040 --> 00:46:58,840 Speaker 1: a top tend tight end, which is aggressive. I'm not 1092 00:46:58,880 --> 00:47:00,839 Speaker 1: actually saying you should draft him in the top ten. 1093 00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:03,160 Speaker 1: I'm just saying I think he provides the value at 1094 00:47:03,200 --> 00:47:05,759 Speaker 1: the end of the season of someone who will be 1095 00:47:05,880 --> 00:47:11,400 Speaker 1: finishing in the top ten. So I'm definitely with you there, Chris. 1096 00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:14,560 Speaker 1: It has been fantastic to have you on the show. 1097 00:47:15,040 --> 00:47:18,080 Speaker 1: What content should people check out at Harri's Football? 1098 00:47:18,760 --> 00:47:20,279 Speaker 3: I mean, what shouldn't they check out? 1099 00:47:20,320 --> 00:47:22,399 Speaker 5: Really, if you really just dive into it and think 1100 00:47:22,440 --> 00:47:24,759 Speaker 5: about it, what shouldn't they I mean, if you listen 1101 00:47:24,760 --> 00:47:26,880 Speaker 5: to the podcas if you're looking for a daily podcast, 1102 00:47:26,920 --> 00:47:28,520 Speaker 5: you know it's every day, it's five days a week. 1103 00:47:28,640 --> 00:47:29,320 Speaker 3: And then YouTube. 1104 00:47:29,400 --> 00:47:31,960 Speaker 5: Because because a lot of my shtick, as I hinted 1105 00:47:31,960 --> 00:47:34,000 Speaker 5: when as we were talking today and thank you for 1106 00:47:34,040 --> 00:47:36,200 Speaker 5: having me, I had a really great time, is that 1107 00:47:36,280 --> 00:47:38,040 Speaker 5: I watch all the film and so as the season 1108 00:47:38,080 --> 00:47:40,600 Speaker 5: goes along, I can actually just show you plays that 1109 00:47:40,680 --> 00:47:42,560 Speaker 5: explain why I like that guy's a waiver ad or 1110 00:47:42,560 --> 00:47:44,840 Speaker 5: why I think that guy maybe he is a little overranked. 1111 00:47:44,840 --> 00:47:47,200 Speaker 5: You know, maybe those stats that you're falling in love with, 1112 00:47:47,440 --> 00:47:49,640 Speaker 5: that someone is falling in love with in a given 1113 00:47:49,719 --> 00:47:51,720 Speaker 5: week maybe aren't reflective of what he is as a player. 1114 00:47:52,200 --> 00:47:54,120 Speaker 3: So if you look at Paris Football, on YouTube. That's 1115 00:47:54,160 --> 00:47:54,760 Speaker 3: there as well. 1116 00:47:55,080 --> 00:47:58,080 Speaker 1: Everyone. Be sure to follow Chris on Twitter at Harry's Football. 1117 00:47:58,080 --> 00:48:00,879 Speaker 1: You can follow Sean Raymond in me and the Action 1118 00:48:01,000 --> 00:48:03,640 Speaker 1: Network app at the Underscore Odds Maker. Chris Raymond and 1119 00:48:03,719 --> 00:48:05,719 Speaker 1: Matt F. The Oracle use the app to get real 1120 00:48:05,760 --> 00:48:08,400 Speaker 1: time odds and track your bets for free. That is 1121 00:48:08,440 --> 00:48:10,400 Speaker 1: going to do it for this episode of the Action 1122 00:48:10,600 --> 00:48:13,399 Speaker 1: Network podcast. Please subscribe to and rate interview the show 1123 00:48:13,440 --> 00:48:16,319 Speaker 1: on Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. See 1124 00:48:16,360 --> 00:48:25,400 Speaker 1: you again next episode.