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Speaker 1: It's getting to be that time. We don't ever want

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Speaker 1: to lie. But I mean, if you're gonna lie about

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Speaker 1: college football, if you're gonna present mistruths out there, you

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Speaker 1: gotta get that stuff out of the way in the

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Speaker 1: spring because the closer you get to the regular season,

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Speaker 1: the more people are paying attention and the closer the

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Speaker 1: games are to outing you. So we got to tell

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Speaker 1: the truth tonight, and that's what this show is going

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Speaker 1: to be about. I got a lot of truth to

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Speaker 1: tell about this sport. It is Tuesday, July first, the

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Speaker 1: Year of Our Lord, twenty twenty five, brought to you

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Speaker 1: by Academy Sports and Outdoors. We're high top and jam

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Speaker 1: packed a lovely downtown Nashville, Tennessee. Yeah, it occurs to

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Speaker 1: me sometimes we need to remind people what we're about,

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Speaker 1: and tonight I have to do that. In the way

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Speaker 1: of telling you what the biggest lies are in this sport.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna tell you about some biggest questions that we have.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna tell you about some big truth. I've got

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Speaker 1: some big chaos. It's a really big show. It's a

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Speaker 1: really big show. We wouldn't do it if it wasn't

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Speaker 1: and We're jam packed as usual. They are watching us

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Speaker 1: in Fort Wayne, Indiana, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, Denver, Colorado, Midland, Texas.

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Speaker 1: Thank you guys so much. We're doing the show on Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: We won't have one on Thursday. Our next show will

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Speaker 1: be Sunday. Got the grounds keeping, got the house keeping

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Speaker 1: out of the way, and it's time to go. That's

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Speaker 1: a very very compacted intro. So don't ever, don't ever

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Speaker 1: call me long winded. You should. We were working on it.

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Speaker 1: We're working on shortening those intros. Okay. I had a

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Speaker 1: question that I wanted to lead the show with because

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Speaker 1: sometimes I don't know where we should fit these sorts

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Speaker 1: of things in. But this is July. We're in July.

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Speaker 1: By the way, this is a really good time to

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Speaker 1: put a question like this in. So the way it

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Speaker 1: works is we've done this show for a while now,

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Speaker 1: so there may be segments that we did, oh two

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Speaker 1: years ago, and I think to myself, well, Jesse, if

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Speaker 1: we're putting a show together, like, should we really do

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Speaker 1: that segment again because we've already done it. Well, what

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Speaker 1: you got to remember is what Nico says here. So

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Speaker 1: Nico hit me up. He said, as a part of

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Speaker 1: my Pate State pledge. We should all take it. He said,

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Speaker 1: I got some new friends listening to the show. Can

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Speaker 1: you go back through some of your biggest lies so

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Speaker 1: the newbies can get some quality education. Now he's not

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Speaker 1: talking about lies I've told we all know I've never

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Speaker 1: done that. But there are big lies. I've got several

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Speaker 1: of them written right here. There are lies that people

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Speaker 1: tell about college football. And if you're new, this is

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Speaker 1: Peate State. This is a campus where we try and educate.

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Speaker 1: We don't go as far as to indoctrinate, but we

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Speaker 1: go right up to the line of education, to the

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Speaker 1: point of indoctrination. But we want to indoctrinate you with

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Speaker 1: the truth. So there are big lies that people tell

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Speaker 1: about college football. And here's what you can't fall victim to.

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Speaker 1: You can't fall victim to just because someone says something,

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Speaker 1: or a group of people says something over and over

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Speaker 1: and over again, that you accept it. And I'm going

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Speaker 1: to give you the first one that we hammer on

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Speaker 1: all the time, and so I'm gonna skip through this

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Speaker 1: one pretty quick. You are what your record says you

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Speaker 1: are is a huge lie in college football, and it's

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Speaker 1: close personal cousin. A win is a win. I'm gonna pause.

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Speaker 1: I know we have a lot of new people watching

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Speaker 1: and listening to the show, and you may have thought

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Speaker 1: to yourself, well, hold on, but a win is a win.

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Speaker 1: But you are what your record says you are. It's okay,

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Speaker 1: it's okay. It's not the middle of the season. This

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Speaker 1: is the time to get the erroneous thinking in logic

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Speaker 1: out of the room. I've had to do it before.

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Speaker 1: There's stuff I used to believe about college football that

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Speaker 1: I don't believe anymore. Some of them are on this list.

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Speaker 1: You're not always what your record says you are. A

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Speaker 1: lot of you love the NFL. You watch the Sunday game.

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Speaker 1: You are what your record says you are in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: A win is a win in the NFL. Not so ironically.

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Speaker 1: A lot of these sayings were born in professional sports,

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Speaker 1: and then a bunch of people who used to solely

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Speaker 1: cover pro sports started to cover college football when college

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Speaker 1: football got bigger, and they took the pro sports ideologies

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Speaker 1: to the college game. And it doesn't always apply, and

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Speaker 1: this is one of them. So we want to do

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Speaker 1: a little research here. Do we want to do some

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Speaker 1: field research? Let's just say pet State is playing Texas

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Speaker 1: in Georgia to start the season. I lose both of

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Speaker 1: the games by a field goal, thirty to twenty seven,

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Speaker 1: thirty one to twenty eight. I lost both games by

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Speaker 1: a field goal. I am in two. I got two losses.

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Speaker 1: I'm o into You go play East Texas State and

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Speaker 1: Portland State and you win both of those games by

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Speaker 1: a field goal. Who is the better team, who should

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Speaker 1: be ranked higher, whose performance to date has been more impressive?

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Speaker 1: And you either fit into one of two camps. You

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Speaker 1: either look and say, well two and O is always

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Speaker 1: better than oh and two. You either look and say,

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Speaker 1: well two wins is always better than two losses, or

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Speaker 1: you understand the relativity that has to enter the equation

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Speaker 1: when you're talking about college football because of the disparity

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Speaker 1: and strength of schedule and even strength of opponent. Because again,

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Speaker 1: we do this really crazy thing in the college football

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Speaker 1: world where we pretend over one hundred teams are playing

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Speaker 1: the same sport, whereas you know, in the NFL it's

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Speaker 1: thirty two. So it's a lot easier to talk like

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Speaker 1: that than it is in college football. So no, you're

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Speaker 1: not always what your record says you are. That's a lie.

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Speaker 1: You could be, but not always. And ten and two

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Speaker 1: is not always equal to every other ten and two

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Speaker 1: out there. All right, Next up, next, big lie. I'm

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Speaker 1: glad you asked me about this. Recruiting rankings don't matter. Well,

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Speaker 1: that's a lie. Recruiting rankings very much matter. Now, you

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Speaker 1: will notice that you may have said this before. You

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Speaker 1: certainly have heard other people say this before. Normally, this

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Speaker 1: is not when your team lands a five star. Normally,

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Speaker 1: this is not when your team lands a top five class. Normally,

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Speaker 1: it's when your rival down the road just landed a

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Speaker 1: five star, or your rival down the road landed a

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Speaker 1: top ten, top five class, and you're you're going into

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Speaker 1: defense mode and you hope, which is okay. You hope

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Speaker 1: that that kid is a bust. So it's a little twisted,

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Speaker 1: but it's okay. It's the wild West of fandom out here.

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Speaker 1: Or you hope that maybe they do like Texas A

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Speaker 1: and M a couple of years ago, where they have

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Speaker 1: this highly rated class but it all falls apart. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: that could happen, but more than likely it's not going

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Speaker 1: to happen. So the best recruiting averages the last four

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Speaker 1: years Alabama, Georgia, Texas, Ohio State, Oregon, LSU, Oklahoma, Miami,

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame, Texas A and m What do you notice there?

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Speaker 1: You notice a ton of teams that not just in

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Speaker 1: a given year, but annually, are competing for the national championship.

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Speaker 1: You will also be quick to point out probably, but Josh,

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Speaker 1: what about Miami. You're right, that's an exception. Well, Texas

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Speaker 1: A and m has it. You're right, that's an exception. Also,

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Speaker 1: you'll notice you'll notice you had to go a little

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Speaker 1: further down the list. There were no fraudulent teams at

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Speaker 1: the top of the list, were they? And what about

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Speaker 1: Alabama last year? Josh, Yes, yes, the first team out

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Speaker 1: of the playoff, replacing the greatest head coach of all time. Yes,

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Speaker 1: there's your exception to the rule. So recruiting rankings do matter.

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Speaker 1: Verbal commitments also matter. It's July right now, and so

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Speaker 1: there's been a lot of verbal commits. And you'll also

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Speaker 1: notice anytime there's a verbal commit someone says, oh, that

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Speaker 1: doesn't mean anything. Check back in December, and the insinuation

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Speaker 1: there is like the verbal commit means nothing. No, the

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Speaker 1: verbal commit doesn't mean everything. Because it is true that

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Speaker 1: some kids will decommit, but it's also true that the

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Speaker 1: vast majority of them won't. So anyone that tries to

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Speaker 1: discredit the verbal commitment or are they especially try and

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Speaker 1: discredit just the overall rankings industry, they are living on exceptions,

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Speaker 1: not the rule. Next up, I think this one came

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Speaker 1: from the NFL ranks as well. If you got two

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Speaker 1: quarterbacks you don't have any that's a lie. By case,

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Speaker 1: that's a lie. So as a as a catch all

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Speaker 1: belief system, it's a lie. Now, it could be that

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Speaker 1: you're a team that has nothing at the quarterback position,

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Speaker 1: and the reason that there's still a QB battle going on,

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Speaker 1: the reason there's still two guys splitting reps third week

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Speaker 1: Indo Fall Camp is because neither one of them have

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Speaker 1: taken the job. That could happen. That could happen. Here's

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Speaker 1: what else could happen. You could have two a tongue

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Speaker 1: of Iloa and Jalen Hurts on the same team. That

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Speaker 1: could happen. You could have what Ohio State had in

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Speaker 1: twenty fourteen where they end up winning a national title

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Speaker 1: with their third stringer. That could happen. You could have

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Speaker 1: Graham Mertz starting for you and he goes down and

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Speaker 1: DJ Lagway comes in and saves your season. That could happen.

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Speaker 1: Point being, sometimes there is quarterback competition because you got none.

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Speaker 1: And that's where that age old adage came from. You've

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Speaker 1: got two quarterbacks, you ain't got any. But you could

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Speaker 1: also have two guys that would be starting virtually anywhere else,

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Speaker 1: and it just so happens that some head coach out

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Speaker 1: there has convinced both of them to play for him,

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Speaker 1: and they're just battling it out. And usually you know

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Speaker 1: that because usually you're getting feedback from camp and people

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Speaker 1: are like, I remember I brought Tua up because I

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Speaker 1: remember them saying that about Tua Tongue of Iloa when

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Speaker 1: he was a true freshman. Jalen Hurts is the entrench

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Speaker 1: starter at Alabama, and all people could talk about the

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Speaker 1: backup dude whose name we can't pronounce. There was a

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Speaker 1: guy on a message board that worried whether the language

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Speaker 1: barrier was gonna hurt too a you know, because he's

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Speaker 1: a Hawaiian, How's he going to speak English? Right? That

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Speaker 1: actually happened, So that's not always the case, And certainly

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Speaker 1: when someone just says it blanketly that's a lie. Another lie,

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Speaker 1: this is where it gets a little more controversial because

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Speaker 1: some of you will disagree with me on this. But

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Speaker 1: another lie is the bigger the playoff, the more the opportunity.

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Speaker 1: That's a lie. The bigger the playoff, the more opportunity

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Speaker 1: you have to make the playoffs. That's true, of course,

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Speaker 1: that's true. But by that logic we should expand it

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Speaker 1: to one hundred and thirty six. Therefore everybody gets the

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Speaker 1: opportunity to make the playoff. No, when they say there's

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Speaker 1: more opportunity, the bigger the playoff is, they mean there's

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Speaker 1: more opportunities to potentially win a national championship. And I

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Speaker 1: know why people say that because on the surface, you

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Speaker 1: think to yourself, if we used to only have four in,

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Speaker 1: that meant only four teams could win the national title.

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Speaker 1: But if we put twelve in or fourteen or sixteen,

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Speaker 1: that means twelve teams or fourteen teams or sixteen teams

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Speaker 1: have a chance to win a national championship. But they don't.

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Speaker 1: They don't. Mathematically, they all do. Just like when that

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Speaker 1: media right landed in South Carolina the other day, Hey man,

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Speaker 1: someone woke up that morning with a small non zero

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Speaker 1: chance that that was going to happen in their backyard. Realistically,

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Speaker 1: what were the odds of that happening? So in college

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Speaker 1: football terms, yeah, SMU mathematically could have won the national title.

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Speaker 1: Last year, a Boise State mathematically could have won the

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Speaker 1: national title. It is true that, mathematically speaking, there was

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Speaker 1: a non zero chance of them winning it. In reality,

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Speaker 1: there was no chance of them winning it. The reality

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Speaker 1: is the best shot one of those cinderellas ever had

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Speaker 1: was the four team field. As crazy as that sounds

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Speaker 1: to you, and I'm gonna give you evidence. We are

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Speaker 1: what two years removed, a three years removed now from

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Speaker 1: TCU playing for a literal national championship. You realize that, well, Josh,

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Speaker 1: they didn't win it. Oh I know, I know they

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Speaker 1: got splattered against Georgia in the national title game. But

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Speaker 1: they played for a national championship. And do you know

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Speaker 1: why they played for a national championship? Because they existed

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Speaker 1: in a year where your Ohio State's or your Alabama's

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Speaker 1: or whatnot, they could lose like one game at the

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Speaker 1: end of the year. And if they lose at the

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Speaker 1: long time and the field structured the right way, they're out.

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Speaker 1: They're out. Of the playoff. I mean Georgia famously a

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Speaker 1: few years ago is coming off back to back titles.

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Speaker 1: They go to their conference title game and lose and

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Speaker 1: they're out of the playoff. That's the best shot that

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Speaker 1: the Cinderella ever had. That's the biggest opportunity they ever had.

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati made the playoff. But the better way to look

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Speaker 1: at that is Cincinnati made the Final Four in the

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Speaker 1: fourteen model, TCU made it to the National Championship Game

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Speaker 1: in the four team model. The trade off here is

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Speaker 1: many many more Cincinnatis and TCUs and teams of that

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Speaker 1: caliber will make the playoff. Now none of them will

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Speaker 1: ever go deep in the playoff, go to the National

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Speaker 1: Championship game. And the reason is because of what Ohio

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Speaker 1: State did last year. Any former life Ohio State is out.

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Speaker 1: They lose to Michigan, they're out. But all the playoff

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Speaker 1: does is give second chances or third chances to the

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Speaker 1: teams with the rosters actually capable of making it that

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Speaker 1: deep in the postseason once they have access. And so

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Speaker 1: it's this big trade off that we did. It's kind

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Speaker 1: of a slide of hand trick of hey, you want

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Speaker 1: to expand the playoff, Yes, so you guys have more opportunity,

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Speaker 1: and enough people said yeah, yeah, let's do it, and

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Speaker 1: then some people still haven't realized this, although as you

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Speaker 1: get deeper and deeper into this area you will. It

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Speaker 1: comes at the expense of any Cinderella ever having an

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Speaker 1: opportunity to make any kind of run to a championship game.

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Speaker 1: I never cared about that much, but a lot of

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Speaker 1: people do. So that's a lie on a final lie

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Speaker 1: that I wanted to hit tonight. This is not an

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Speaker 1: exhaustive list. By the way, everything done in the name

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Speaker 1: of money has to be done. That is a lie.

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Speaker 1: You see it all over the place. We just talked

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Speaker 1: about playoff expansion. Why you guys expanded the playoff Well,

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Speaker 1: I mean, think about the millions and billions more dollars

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Speaker 1: that we could make. Well, that doesn't equal you have

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Speaker 1: to do it. But that's not where it stops. Let

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Speaker 1: me talk about something that really hits you close to home.

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Speaker 1: When's the last time that you renewed your season tickets

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Speaker 1: and it was cheaper than it was the year before.

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Speaker 1: When is the last time you renewed that space that

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Speaker 1: you tailgates some of you have to pay a fee

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Speaker 1: for that when's the last time that the price stayed

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Speaker 1: static or got lower concessions? Ditto, why does that have

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Speaker 1: to go up? What doesn't have to go up is

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Speaker 1: the answer. It goes up because in some cases you

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Speaker 1: have irresponsible spending. In other cases, you've got people in

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Speaker 1: the administrative state that have figured out how to make

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Speaker 1: a living off of raising fees anywhere that they possibly

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Speaker 1: can and then pocketing enough of it to justify their existence.

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Speaker 1: And so in college football or whether it's over on

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Speaker 1: the media ecosystem side of college football, you sit through

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Speaker 1: a four four minute, fifteen second commercial break in between quarters. Well,

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Speaker 1: it doesn't have to be that long, it doesn't have

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Speaker 1: to be, but it's gonna be because in the name

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Speaker 1: of money, we have to do that. You go to

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Speaker 1: your stadium and there's signage and branding all over the place. Oh,

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Speaker 1: it doesn't have to look like that, but it's gonna

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Speaker 1: look like that. Why because there's more money to be made.

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Speaker 1: Sometimes it's necessary, other times it's not, other times it's not.

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Speaker 1: Dare I go as far as to use the word,

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say greed, No, no, no, no, no. There

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Speaker 1: are no greedy people in the sport. Absolutely not. They're

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Speaker 1: watching us at Academy Sports and Outdoors. They're not greedy.

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Speaker 1: They're not greedy. They want you to come, they want

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Speaker 1: you to come and visit them, but they're not gonna

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Speaker 1: beg because I'm gonna beg for them. Please go to

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Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors. Please do that. Friends, Look around us.

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Speaker 1: We got July fourth coming up. Can you imagine the

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Speaker 1: sunburn if you don't have one of those Academy tents.

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Speaker 1: I've got it on good authority. The other tents don't

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Speaker 1: even block sun It's unofficial. We haven't confirmed that, but

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Speaker 1: I heard possibly they don't. Academy tents do. And you

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Speaker 1: need grilling equipment, yes you do, Academy's got it. You

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Speaker 1: may think to yourself, I thought that was a sporting

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Speaker 1: goods store, Well it's not nineteen fifty seven in the

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Speaker 1: town square. Yes they got sporting goods, but they got

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Speaker 1: so much more than that. You need some footwear, you

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Speaker 1: need fishing gear. Of course, you can get your traditional

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Speaker 1: sporting goods there as well. You can go get big

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Speaker 1: lead chew there, anything and everything. The other day, you know,

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Speaker 1: I made a joke on air. I said about the

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Speaker 1: only thing you can't get there is medical supplies. Someone

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Speaker 1: went to an academy and took a picture of a

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Speaker 1: first aid kit they bought there, so I really don't

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Speaker 1: know what it is. They don't offer their academy dot

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Speaker 1: com if you can't get there in person. Let's roll on.

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Speaker 1: Got several more things to talk about on the show

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Speaker 1: here tonight. It's the time of year where rankings are

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Speaker 1: being released, Media days are around the corner. A lot

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Speaker 1: of people are going to be glass half full, and

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Speaker 1: that's okay. I like to have a smile on my

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Speaker 1: face this time of year too. But one of the

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Speaker 1: themes on the show lately has been I don't know

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Speaker 1: if there's really a team to beat this year. There's

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Speaker 1: just a lot of teams the top. And because there's

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Speaker 1: no team to beat, I got to justify that by

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Speaker 1: saying there are help the amounts of questions with every

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Speaker 1: one of these teams. Like when I said that the

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Speaker 1: other night, people were asking, really, what's the big weakness

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Speaker 1: for Texas, the big weakness for Georgia. I didn't say

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Speaker 1: they're weaknesses. They could be weaknesses right now. They just

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Speaker 1: qualify as questions. So I wanted to do some of

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Speaker 1: these teams tonight, because we can run down the list.

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Speaker 1: If you're just looking at the odds to win at all,

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Speaker 1: Georgia is gonna be way up there, all right. So

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Speaker 1: what are the biggest questions about Georgia. Well, being able

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Speaker 1: to run the ball effectively, that's definitely going to be

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Speaker 1: one of them. A line play both sides of the ball.

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Speaker 1: I would look there as well. It was very uncharacteristic

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Speaker 1: of them last year. There were one hundred and second

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Speaker 1: in rush yards per game. Crazy. I don't think they're

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Speaker 1: going to be that bad again this year, but you know,

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Speaker 1: think about how much they have to improve to get

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Speaker 1: back to the former version of themselves. They got to

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Speaker 1: replace four offensive linemen. If you were that poor last year,

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Speaker 1: I don't think it's the worst thing in the world

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Speaker 1: to have new bodies there. That makes it a question though.

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Speaker 1: And then over on the defensive side, this is something

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Speaker 1: that if you're a hardcore Georgia fan, then you like

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Speaker 1: have your Too Deep memorized. You go back in time

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Speaker 1: a few years you had a Too Deep littered with

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Speaker 1: guys that were going to go on and play Sunday ball,

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Speaker 1: or at least had the potential to. And Christian Miller's

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Speaker 1: back there this year. Outside of that, Elo Medozi is

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Speaker 1: a guy they went and got from Army that they

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Speaker 1: think will be a really good player, and I agree

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Speaker 1: with them, he'll be a really good player. But Xavier McLeod,

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Speaker 1: like Jordan Hall, these are not bad players. Please don't

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Speaker 1: misunderstand me. There's a difference in really solid player versus

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Speaker 1: the kind of player that Georgia used to have all

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Speaker 1: over the place up front on the defensive line. Now,

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Speaker 1: I know they're gonna clip this and I know they're

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Speaker 1: gonna play it in the building, and they should because

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Speaker 1: it is possible that that coaching staff, one of the

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Speaker 1: very best in the country, could end up getting a

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Speaker 1: whole lot more out of one or multiples of those guys.

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Speaker 1: Then you think possible. That's why it's a question. It's

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Speaker 1: not a weakness. Look at Ohio State, I'd say the

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Speaker 1: same thing about their defensive line. You had four defensive

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Speaker 1: linemen last year. Not only that are gone, but they

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Speaker 1: were also integral parts of your leadership. So you got

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Speaker 1: to replace the talent and production, and you got to

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Speaker 1: replace the leadership. They've got former Blue Chippers to backfill.

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Speaker 1: But here's what always happens in college football. So when

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Speaker 1: you lose a bunch of guys from one unit, not

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Speaker 1: only do you have to pay attention to the fact that, Okay,

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Speaker 1: well you're backfilling there with guys that were big names

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Speaker 1: in recruiting but are unproven the names behind them, Okay,

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Speaker 1: you're too deep becomes that's your starting line, and then

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Speaker 1: your second layer, which is going to have to come

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Speaker 1: into play. How effective can they be? Do you have

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Speaker 1: championship caliber depth there? And also the coordinators, Chip Kelly

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Speaker 1: and Jim Knowles may have been the best OCDC combo

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Speaker 1: in the country last year, and you are elevating Brian

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Speaker 1: Hartline to offensive coordinator. You're bringing in Matt Patricia a

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Speaker 1: defensive coordinator. These are first timers at the college level

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Speaker 1: having the jobs they're gonna have this year. Not saying

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Speaker 1: it's a weakness, I'm saying it's a question. That's all

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Speaker 1: it can be. In July is a question at Old

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Speaker 1: Miss Man. I'm high on Austin Simmons. Technically he hasn't

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Speaker 1: proven anything, but I'm high on Austin Simmons. But I'm

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Speaker 1: telling you, the biggest question about this team to me

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Speaker 1: is defensive regression, it's gonna happen. I mean, Old Miss

386
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Speaker 1: last year they were second defensively in points per game allowed,

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Speaker 1: They were second defensively in rush yards allowed per game.

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Speaker 1: They were first in the country in sacks. They will

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Speaker 1: fall off. I just am questioning how much they're gonna

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Speaker 1: fall off, because if Golding still has that team playing

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Speaker 1: like top fifteen defense, they could win the league if

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Speaker 1: Austin Simmons is what I think he's gonna be. But

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Speaker 1: that's really difficult to do, really really difficult to do

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Speaker 1: actually year and a year, given the volatility of the

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Speaker 1: approach they use just bringing in portal guys. I don't

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Speaker 1: think this portal class they just brought in has the

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Speaker 1: pop necessarily that the previous one did. So you're pairing

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Speaker 1: all of that with a new quarterback. There's just a

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Speaker 1: lot that has to fall into place. They've still got

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Speaker 1: a workable schedule, but a lot of that stuff's got

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Speaker 1: to fall into place. So to me, it's nice that

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Speaker 1: it's not front loaded. They get Georgia State to start,

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Speaker 1: they go to Kentucky week two, Arkansas week three, not

404
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Speaker 1: easy opponents, but like they're not going to Georgia in

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Speaker 1: week one or two, they're not playing LSU week one

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Speaker 1: or two. And lastly for tonight, what about Notre Dame.

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Speaker 1: Five minutes ago Notre Dame played for a national championship.

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Speaker 1: Still crazy to say, all right, So the quarterback position

409
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Speaker 1: in defensive line, those are two of the main areas

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Speaker 1: that I question CJ. Carr. I have said before, I'll

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Speaker 1: say again, I think his upside gives them more potential

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Speaker 1: in the passing game than at any point during Marcus

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Speaker 1: Freeman's tenure there. I think the personnel they have out wide,

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Speaker 1: if CJ. Carr is the real deal, could again they

415
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Speaker 1: could fulfill that prophecy of having the best passing game

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Speaker 1: they've had since he's been there. You know they'll be

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Speaker 1: able to run the ball. I got very little questioned

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Speaker 1: about that, But it's the promise versus the production that's

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Speaker 1: kind of what makes it a question. CJ. Carr has

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Speaker 1: played in one game, so there's no proven production there,

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Speaker 1: But yet there's a reason why he is there, if

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Speaker 1: that makes any sense. So the same thing over on defense,

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Speaker 1: specifically on the defensive line, Riley Mills and Howard Cross open.

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Speaker 1: Like those guys being gone, you kind of come to

425
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Speaker 1: know that you can trust Notre Dame to have quality backfills.

426
00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:47,359
Speaker 1: It's just what caliber do they backfill out? Like, do

427
00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:49,360
Speaker 1: they come in and grab the rope and pull every

428
00:22:49,359 --> 00:22:51,920
Speaker 1: bit as hard as the frontline guys did last year?

429
00:22:52,119 --> 00:22:54,879
Speaker 1: Is there a ten percent drop off? Are they vulnerable

430
00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:58,680
Speaker 1: in like one specific area more so than last year's team.

431
00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:02,040
Speaker 1: That's just normal football. That's college football, Like, that's what

432
00:23:02,080 --> 00:23:06,520
Speaker 1: it is. So those aren't weaknesses, they're just questions. Right now.

433
00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:09,240
Speaker 1: Let's move it along. Let's move it along. He told

434
00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:12,280
Speaker 1: you we're going to tell the truth tonight, and in

435
00:23:12,320 --> 00:23:15,159
Speaker 1: the interest of truth, it's a very honest show. I

436
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:20,120
Speaker 1: guess what's the truth about Brent Venables. We've been doing

437
00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:22,800
Speaker 1: the Truth Tellers series lately, and I think the truth

438
00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:26,639
Speaker 1: about Brent Venables at Oklahoma is twenty twenty five is

439
00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:30,480
Speaker 1: as important for him as twenty twenty five will be

440
00:23:30,560 --> 00:23:33,360
Speaker 1: for any head coach a major college football. He went

441
00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:36,879
Speaker 1: from six and seven to ten and three back to

442
00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:39,879
Speaker 1: six and seven last year. Ah Man, everyone was so

443
00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:41,840
Speaker 1: ready for them to go from ten to three to

444
00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:45,600
Speaker 1: jumping into the playoff conversation Jackson Arnold like it was

445
00:23:45,640 --> 00:23:48,720
Speaker 1: supposed to be his era. It just wasn't. It was

446
00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:52,200
Speaker 1: dead on arrival. I'm not putting it all on Jackson Arnold,

447
00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:55,000
Speaker 1: Like there was a lot wrong with the offense last year.

448
00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:59,879
Speaker 1: So he goes and he hires Ben Rbuckle as is

449
00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:03,920
Speaker 1: offensive coordinator from Washington State. It's got to work. It's

450
00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:07,480
Speaker 1: got to work. You can't whiff twice on that hire,

451
00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:10,080
Speaker 1: and it's got to work. Now. I think it will work,

452
00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:12,520
Speaker 1: but I've got to be right there. It's got to work.

453
00:24:14,560 --> 00:24:16,880
Speaker 1: One of the things you always want to look at

454
00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:19,919
Speaker 1: is how how does a place look once a guy leaves?

455
00:24:20,320 --> 00:24:23,399
Speaker 1: So how did Clemson look once Brent Venable leaves? This

456
00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:26,159
Speaker 1: is why I got no doubts about the guy's football mind,

457
00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:29,520
Speaker 1: and anyone who doubts that, I think probably there's a

458
00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:32,840
Speaker 1: different discussion to have. That Clemson identity changed a little

459
00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:36,680
Speaker 1: bit when Venables left, in fact a good bit. And conversely,

460
00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:40,119
Speaker 1: you look at Oklahoma defensively, they went from one hundred

461
00:24:40,160 --> 00:24:45,400
Speaker 1: and twenty second to seventy ninth to nineteenth, So that's

462
00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:49,320
Speaker 1: taken over for Lincoln Riley. There was no defensive identity

463
00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:52,199
Speaker 1: to speak of there when Venables walked in, and so

464
00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:55,040
Speaker 1: he immediately got to work on the side of the

465
00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:59,200
Speaker 1: ball he specializes in. It's just don't really mean anything

466
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:01,199
Speaker 1: if you don't and have the quarterback play and you

467
00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:03,199
Speaker 1: don't have the OC worked out on the other side.

468
00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:06,040
Speaker 1: But I do think he's at the best place he

469
00:25:06,080 --> 00:25:08,640
Speaker 1: can possibly be. Like, if you're a head coach that's

470
00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:10,600
Speaker 1: a first time head coach, If you're a first time

471
00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:15,080
Speaker 1: head coach, if you're in desperation mode, you can at

472
00:25:15,160 --> 00:25:18,520
Speaker 1: least rest assured that at Oklahoma you'll have everything you need.

473
00:25:18,760 --> 00:25:22,920
Speaker 1: You'll have good players, you'll have good administrative support facilities,

474
00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:25,000
Speaker 1: like everything, the support, everything you need there to win

475
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:29,879
Speaker 1: is there. You've got to win. I think it's completely fair.

476
00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:32,720
Speaker 1: This is not his first year. No one's saying you

477
00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:35,600
Speaker 1: got to come in and win immediately. There's a reason

478
00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:39,120
Speaker 1: why they wanted him. He reflects the values and principles

479
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:42,919
Speaker 1: of Oklahoma. I think his sort of identity and belief

480
00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:46,760
Speaker 1: system reflects that of Oklahoma. The fan base wanted him.

481
00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:49,560
Speaker 1: There's a reason because they see a lot of themselves

482
00:25:49,560 --> 00:25:53,880
Speaker 1: in him. But that's all assuming you're a winner. That's

483
00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:57,120
Speaker 1: all assuming you know how to win. And it's totally

484
00:25:57,200 --> 00:26:01,840
Speaker 1: fair to give the coach everything on the plate that

485
00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:05,359
Speaker 1: he's gonna need and by year four expect him to

486
00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:08,800
Speaker 1: be winning big at Oklahoma. That's fair. Brent Venables wouldn't

487
00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:12,439
Speaker 1: disagree with that. He knows that's fair. So that's the

488
00:26:12,440 --> 00:26:15,320
Speaker 1: beauty of competition, isn't it. That's the beauty of coaching

489
00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:17,920
Speaker 1: in major college football when you got a place that's

490
00:26:17,960 --> 00:26:20,320
Speaker 1: structurally sound and Oklahoma is about as good as it

491
00:26:20,359 --> 00:26:23,600
Speaker 1: gets in that category, and they come in and your

492
00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:25,680
Speaker 1: guys come in and you're giving a little bit of time.

493
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:29,560
Speaker 1: I mean, by year four, you gonna be humming. And

494
00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:33,280
Speaker 1: if it's not, then there's a tougher conversation or conversation.

495
00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:36,919
Speaker 1: I've wow, I don't know where that comes from. That's

496
00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:40,040
Speaker 1: watching too much Netflix because that is not my natural accent.

497
00:26:41,520 --> 00:26:45,000
Speaker 1: It's just crazy how much this time last year people

498
00:26:45,040 --> 00:26:48,480
Speaker 1: thought me included I am people. People thought that Brent

499
00:26:48,600 --> 00:26:53,120
Speaker 1: Venable's name would be linked to Jackson Arnold and it's

500
00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:56,640
Speaker 1: just it's gotta be John Mattier as it turns out.

501
00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:58,639
Speaker 1: I mean, think about saying that a year ago, a

502
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:02,560
Speaker 1: year ago, Jackson Arnold is the former Elite eleven MVP,

503
00:27:02,760 --> 00:27:05,320
Speaker 1: and he's come in and he's sat for a year

504
00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:07,520
Speaker 1: and now he's going to be the starting quarterback at Oklahoma,

505
00:27:07,600 --> 00:27:09,679
Speaker 1: like he's the quarterback of the future. That was the

506
00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:13,800
Speaker 1: way it was think about saying this time last year. No,

507
00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:16,080
Speaker 1: I'll tell you who who, Brent Vinnibles is going to

508
00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:18,639
Speaker 1: have to hitch his wagon too. Is John Matteir the

509
00:27:18,720 --> 00:27:23,359
Speaker 1: kid at Washington State? Yep, what's gonna happen, Like you

510
00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:25,480
Speaker 1: would want to know what's about to happen. Is Jackson

511
00:27:25,520 --> 00:27:28,280
Speaker 1: Order going to quit football? No? No, it just wasn't

512
00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:30,960
Speaker 1: a good situation. So this has got to be the year.

513
00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:34,000
Speaker 1: That's the truth about Venables. This has got to be

514
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:36,639
Speaker 1: the year that he makes it happen. They're watching us

515
00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:43,200
Speaker 1: in Fort Worth, Texas, Oceanside, California, and Biloxi, Mississippi, which

516
00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:47,240
Speaker 1: reminds me for no reason in particular, cream Soda Zevia

517
00:27:47,320 --> 00:27:50,520
Speaker 1: has made a return for the second show in a row.

518
00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:54,760
Speaker 1: Don't call it a comeback quite yet. I will tell

519
00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:57,119
Speaker 1: you and the folks at Zvia can do with this

520
00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:02,280
Speaker 1: whatever they want. Management walked in the office today during

521
00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:07,600
Speaker 1: work hours and drank a Zevia and we didn't ask

522
00:28:07,680 --> 00:28:09,960
Speaker 1: him to, We didn't record it. It wasn't for content,

523
00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:13,000
Speaker 1: it was room temperature. It wasn't even cold, and he

524
00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:16,280
Speaker 1: down that thing like during conversation. He wasn't even doing

525
00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:22,679
Speaker 1: it performatively. Now, the stock price could plummet at that

526
00:28:22,760 --> 00:28:26,439
Speaker 1: news becoming public. So I'm taking a risk even revealing this.

527
00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:30,040
Speaker 1: I'm not telling you Zvia is the choice of management.

528
00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:32,639
Speaker 1: I'm telling you that there was there was nothing else around,

529
00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:34,280
Speaker 1: and I handed him one and he did drink it.

530
00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:38,680
Speaker 1: So if you're more the sweater vest, country club, gated

531
00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:42,200
Speaker 1: community type, Zevia could be for you as well. We

532
00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:46,040
Speaker 1: found that out earlier today. We had a question that

533
00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:48,600
Speaker 1: I didn't know where to put it in the show,

534
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:52,360
Speaker 1: so I just told Jesse toss it in there somewhere.

535
00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 1: This is interesting. I guarantee every one of you will

536
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:58,160
Speaker 1: have an opinion on this. Andy from Monterey, California said,

537
00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:03,320
Speaker 1: in your best estimation, who's the biggest face of sports media? Now?

538
00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:07,160
Speaker 1: That is a loaded question. I got my answer, but

539
00:29:07,240 --> 00:29:10,600
Speaker 1: I do want to know before I answer it. This

540
00:29:10,640 --> 00:29:12,120
Speaker 1: is the kind of question I want to give you

541
00:29:12,160 --> 00:29:17,440
Speaker 1: a little runway with anybody listening or watching. Biggest face

542
00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:21,400
Speaker 1: of sports media today not college football media, he said,

543
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:25,760
Speaker 1: sports media, all of sports media. Who's the biggest face

544
00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:30,960
Speaker 1: of sports media, to you, to me, it came down

545
00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:34,760
Speaker 1: to two names, really and a lot of you're gonna

546
00:29:34,760 --> 00:29:37,800
Speaker 1: say stephen A. Smith. I actually went with two other names.

547
00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:43,960
Speaker 1: Nothing against Steven A. I think it is Pat McAfee

548
00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:46,680
Speaker 1: and I think it's Scott van Pelt. Scott van Pelt

549
00:29:46,720 --> 00:29:50,240
Speaker 1: is actually my number one for the face of sports media.

550
00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:53,680
Speaker 1: Scott Van Pelt has done something I don't know that

551
00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:56,320
Speaker 1: I've ever watched anyone else do. In fairness, no one

552
00:29:56,320 --> 00:29:58,280
Speaker 1: else has had the opportunity to do this. And what

553
00:29:58,320 --> 00:30:01,520
Speaker 1: I mean is Scott Vampel, Well, he needs to earmuff

554
00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:04,360
Speaker 1: himself for a second. Was one of my favorites when

555
00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:07,080
Speaker 1: I was a kid. You see that hairline, and when

556
00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:09,840
Speaker 1: I was a kid, Scott Van Pelt was on the scene.

557
00:30:09,840 --> 00:30:11,480
Speaker 1: Well what does that mean. That means he's been around

558
00:30:11,520 --> 00:30:13,960
Speaker 1: a long time. But that means Scott Van Pelt has

559
00:30:14,040 --> 00:30:19,080
Speaker 1: existed in the public arena across the entire expanse of

560
00:30:19,120 --> 00:30:22,800
Speaker 1: the birth of digital media, the birth of social media,

561
00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:28,440
Speaker 1: digital media, streaming. It's so much change happening in that world,

562
00:30:28,480 --> 00:30:32,160
Speaker 1: so much change about the way people consume sports, so

563
00:30:32,280 --> 00:30:35,320
Speaker 1: much change about what used to be accepted, what was

564
00:30:35,360 --> 00:30:38,040
Speaker 1: the norm, what was loved of what was hated, and

565
00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:40,640
Speaker 1: all that stuff is churned and churned and churned. It's

566
00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:44,080
Speaker 1: like existing in a hurricane. And he's been a constant,

567
00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:48,040
Speaker 1: he's been a constant face of sports media, and he's

568
00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:53,280
Speaker 1: never lost his likability. That is borderline impossible to do.

569
00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:58,360
Speaker 1: And think about how many people that were prominent in

570
00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:01,840
Speaker 1: media in general in the nineties and early two thousands

571
00:31:02,520 --> 00:31:06,040
Speaker 1: did not roll with changes and did not evolve with

572
00:31:06,080 --> 00:31:08,640
Speaker 1: the times and got left behind. And either they're still

573
00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:11,400
Speaker 1: around now and viewed as a dinosaur, or they're just

574
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:13,640
Speaker 1: not around and you find yourself googling their name. I

575
00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:16,520
Speaker 1: wonder what happened to so and so. Van Pelts never

576
00:31:17,040 --> 00:31:20,440
Speaker 1: been off the front page, and he was born in

577
00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:22,760
Speaker 1: an era where you literally got your news on the

578
00:31:22,760 --> 00:31:25,080
Speaker 1: front page of a piece of paper. And now he's

579
00:31:25,120 --> 00:31:28,000
Speaker 1: still number one as far as I'm concerned in his space,

580
00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:32,040
Speaker 1: and it's twenty twenty five. In fact, he's elevated to

581
00:31:32,120 --> 00:31:33,960
Speaker 1: such a level that he can do he gets to

582
00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:36,800
Speaker 1: take months off in the summer. It's like a school teacher,

583
00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:39,200
Speaker 1: just a whole lot better paid. And then the other

584
00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:42,560
Speaker 1: part of that, I joke about the salary, but I

585
00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:44,600
Speaker 1: don't know if you guys realize this. Scott Van Peltz

586
00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:47,720
Speaker 1: pretty well off financially as he should be, He's probably

587
00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:54,720
Speaker 1: still underpaid. Do you know how difficult it is to

588
00:31:54,840 --> 00:31:57,080
Speaker 1: make the kind of money Scott Van Peltz made on

589
00:31:57,200 --> 00:31:59,680
Speaker 1: the stage that Scott Van Pelt's been on for his

590
00:31:59,840 --> 00:32:03,000
Speaker 1: life as long as he has and still be able

591
00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:06,520
Speaker 1: to go to like Topeka, Kansas and ask people about

592
00:32:06,560 --> 00:32:08,400
Speaker 1: him and they would tell you, yeah, he's one of us.

593
00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:10,720
Speaker 1: Man like Van Pelt's one of us. He feels like

594
00:32:10,760 --> 00:32:13,640
Speaker 1: one of us. It's I'm telling you, it's almost, if

595
00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:17,520
Speaker 1: not impossible to do that. The very nature of what

596
00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:22,880
Speaker 1: success brings you will will serve to separate you from

597
00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:26,120
Speaker 1: the rest of society unless you consciously make an effort

598
00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:29,360
Speaker 1: to remain a part of society. Like Van pelt doesn't

599
00:32:29,400 --> 00:32:33,400
Speaker 1: have to implode in on himself in Hartsville Jackson International

600
00:32:33,400 --> 00:32:36,440
Speaker 1: Airport the day after the National title game. Dude can

601
00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:39,080
Speaker 1: fly private every day and twice on Monday if he

602
00:32:39,120 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 1: wanted to, but he doesn't, and so as a result,

603
00:32:43,640 --> 00:32:46,560
Speaker 1: and that's just one anecdote, but as a result of that, somehow,

604
00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:49,160
Speaker 1: I mean, the dude's got a way more Zeros in

605
00:32:49,200 --> 00:32:52,000
Speaker 1: his bank account than the rest of America, pretty much

606
00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:54,440
Speaker 1: the ninety nine percent. And yet the ninety nine percent

607
00:32:54,440 --> 00:32:56,840
Speaker 1: look at him and say, I relate to that dude,

608
00:32:56,920 --> 00:32:58,760
Speaker 1: like he's one of us, and it's not an act.

609
00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:01,560
Speaker 1: It's not an act. That So like that, to me,

610
00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:04,800
Speaker 1: that's the face of sports media and also some of

611
00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:08,840
Speaker 1: the biggest criticism, criticisms that people have about some of

612
00:33:08,920 --> 00:33:12,880
Speaker 1: the other big names in sports media, he's avoided completely.

613
00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:15,600
Speaker 1: And he's got an entire sports center named after him

614
00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:19,400
Speaker 1: and has for a long time. So like, my favorite

615
00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:21,360
Speaker 1: work he did was when he was with Roussillo during

616
00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:24,040
Speaker 1: the radio show. Like if I could take like a

617
00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:27,120
Speaker 1: Scott Vanpelt era, I take that era, even over the

618
00:33:27,120 --> 00:33:29,360
Speaker 1: sports Center era of Scott Van Pelt. That was my

619
00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:31,880
Speaker 1: favorite because I was working in the fabric warehouse at

620
00:33:31,880 --> 00:33:33,280
Speaker 1: the time, so I'd listened to cow Herd in the

621
00:33:33,280 --> 00:33:36,040
Speaker 1: morning and I would listen to Van Pelton Rosillo and

622
00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:39,000
Speaker 1: that stretch they had. It was several years that stretch

623
00:33:39,040 --> 00:33:42,680
Speaker 1: they had on radio. It was my favorite radio show. Oh,

624
00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:46,760
Speaker 1: I loved it. Man loved the dynamic. And so he's

625
00:33:46,960 --> 00:33:48,440
Speaker 1: he could be around as long as he wants. To

626
00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:50,680
Speaker 1: I doubt he'll hang around forever, but he could do

627
00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:51,959
Speaker 1: it as long as he wants to. Then the other

628
00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:56,480
Speaker 1: side of that coin is Pat McAfee is everywhere. People

629
00:33:56,520 --> 00:33:59,000
Speaker 1: are probably gonna be a little bit more polarized about

630
00:33:59,080 --> 00:34:01,720
Speaker 1: that than they are Scott van Pelt. But you got

631
00:34:01,760 --> 00:34:05,240
Speaker 1: to understand something. You got to understand what Pat means

632
00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:08,960
Speaker 1: for folks like me. You got to understand that I

633
00:34:08,960 --> 00:34:12,360
Speaker 1: don't have a j School degree from Northwestern or Syracuse

634
00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:15,040
Speaker 1: hanging on my wall. And so for a long time

635
00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:19,440
Speaker 1: I did not see an entry point from myself. I didn't.

636
00:34:19,680 --> 00:34:22,080
Speaker 1: I looked and I said, I'd love to do sports

637
00:34:22,120 --> 00:34:24,759
Speaker 1: media for a living. I have no idea how. And

638
00:34:24,800 --> 00:34:30,880
Speaker 1: then this entire streaming thing happened. Platforms like YouTube and

639
00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:33,280
Speaker 1: Facebook even at the time they start letting you stream

640
00:34:33,400 --> 00:34:35,920
Speaker 1: live and you look at it and say, well, hold on.

641
00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:40,319
Speaker 1: So it used to be that like overhead and distribution

642
00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:43,200
Speaker 1: were the barriers of entry for me to get in

643
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:45,400
Speaker 1: this business. But now you're holding both of those in

644
00:34:45,440 --> 00:34:47,840
Speaker 1: your hand if you have a cell phone. And this

645
00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:51,400
Speaker 1: happened overnight. So that was the gateway for people like

646
00:34:51,520 --> 00:34:53,960
Speaker 1: me to at least have a shot. Like if I'm

647
00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:58,040
Speaker 1: really good at all about what I do and if

648
00:34:58,080 --> 00:35:00,520
Speaker 1: I could really, you know, engage in all audience, well,

649
00:35:00,520 --> 00:35:03,000
Speaker 1: now I got a shot, and that's the way it

650
00:35:03,040 --> 00:35:05,520
Speaker 1: turned out. But at every step of the way, you

651
00:35:05,560 --> 00:35:09,560
Speaker 1: are fighting conventional wisdom. You are the salmon. You're having

652
00:35:09,600 --> 00:35:13,440
Speaker 1: to swim upstream. You're having to convince management that's invested

653
00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:17,759
Speaker 1: in terrestrial and linear their entire careers, hey we need

654
00:35:17,800 --> 00:35:19,640
Speaker 1: to look at digital, and you get laughed out of

655
00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:22,640
Speaker 1: the room. They got thirty five forty years experience on you.

656
00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:26,120
Speaker 1: That's telling them you can't monetize that. So like every

657
00:35:26,120 --> 00:35:28,399
Speaker 1: step of the way, you're having to fight that fight,

658
00:35:29,000 --> 00:35:32,520
Speaker 1: and then against all odds, you finally make it happen,

659
00:35:32,560 --> 00:35:35,600
Speaker 1: and you're convincing some advertisers, hey, maybe redirect one or

660
00:35:35,640 --> 00:35:37,759
Speaker 1: two percent of your ad spend over here to the

661
00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:40,080
Speaker 1: digital side. I promise we're going to build an audience.

662
00:35:40,239 --> 00:35:43,760
Speaker 1: I promise it. I know that life. So to watch

663
00:35:43,800 --> 00:35:46,120
Speaker 1: him do what he's done on a much bigger scale,

664
00:35:46,600 --> 00:35:49,960
Speaker 1: you got to understand there are elements of it that

665
00:35:50,040 --> 00:35:53,239
Speaker 1: you could only appreciate fully if you've had to live

666
00:35:53,280 --> 00:35:57,920
Speaker 1: that life. And you also got to understand when you

667
00:35:58,040 --> 00:36:01,600
Speaker 1: have a disruptor in your space. You could either do

668
00:36:01,640 --> 00:36:03,960
Speaker 1: one of two things. You could be stupid and be

669
00:36:04,160 --> 00:36:08,400
Speaker 1: envious of it and take shots at it, or you

670
00:36:08,520 --> 00:36:11,160
Speaker 1: get behind it like they do at Talladega, and you

671
00:36:11,200 --> 00:36:14,560
Speaker 1: could draft. And you need to understand how much money

672
00:36:14,719 --> 00:36:17,279
Speaker 1: is going to be brought into your space as a

673
00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:19,520
Speaker 1: result of someone like that doing what he's doing. Sort

674
00:36:19,520 --> 00:36:23,040
Speaker 1: of a keystone element to that. A keystone species affects

675
00:36:23,040 --> 00:36:26,440
Speaker 1: the entire ecosystem. Well, a guy like that affects the

676
00:36:26,560 --> 00:36:30,200
Speaker 1: entire ecosystem. And so for a different reason than Van Pel,

677
00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:32,840
Speaker 1: I think maybe Pat McFee is the other face you

678
00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:34,960
Speaker 1: could make their argument for Stephen A. Smith too. I

679
00:36:35,040 --> 00:36:37,200
Speaker 1: just I happened to go those two routes. When I'm

680
00:36:37,200 --> 00:36:40,279
Speaker 1: talking face to sports media. We went long on that. Man.

681
00:36:40,320 --> 00:36:42,080
Speaker 1: I had a lot to say. As it turns out,

682
00:36:42,440 --> 00:36:45,680
Speaker 1: let's continue. Let's hop back on the college football rails here.

683
00:36:47,640 --> 00:36:49,719
Speaker 1: We've been playing this game around here by looking at

684
00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:51,440
Speaker 1: teams and just flat out guessing are they going to

685
00:36:51,480 --> 00:36:54,360
Speaker 1: be better this year than they were last year or worse.

686
00:36:55,080 --> 00:36:58,000
Speaker 1: Let's start with Tennessee tonight. They were ten and two

687
00:36:58,080 --> 00:37:00,880
Speaker 1: last year. They're over under win total this year is

688
00:37:00,920 --> 00:37:03,520
Speaker 1: eight and a half. I think they're gonna be worse

689
00:37:03,520 --> 00:37:05,600
Speaker 1: than they were last year. I mean, there's not much

690
00:37:05,600 --> 00:37:07,719
Speaker 1: further to go up, and then you had the whole

691
00:37:07,760 --> 00:37:10,759
Speaker 1: Nico drama. But even before the Nico drama, they're one

692
00:37:10,840 --> 00:37:13,359
Speaker 1: hundred and tenth in offensive returning production. I guess that's

693
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:16,200
Speaker 1: kind of counting Nico being gone. Joey Agilar comes in,

694
00:37:16,239 --> 00:37:19,000
Speaker 1: and there's a lot of hope at quarterback that Josh

695
00:37:19,080 --> 00:37:22,680
Speaker 1: Haipel can pull a miracle out of him. He's turnover

696
00:37:22,760 --> 00:37:25,680
Speaker 1: prone man or has been. We don't have room for that,

697
00:37:26,120 --> 00:37:30,200
Speaker 1: especially because we lose some big defensive pieces. Is defense

698
00:37:30,239 --> 00:37:32,400
Speaker 1: gonna be able to carry them again? Offensive line is

699
00:37:32,440 --> 00:37:35,960
Speaker 1: pretty big question. They knew that wide receiver, don't know

700
00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:38,279
Speaker 1: the caliber ball they're gonna play there. So ten and

701
00:37:38,320 --> 00:37:40,960
Speaker 1: two last year, I think Tennessee drops off a little bit,

702
00:37:40,960 --> 00:37:45,840
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go worse there. USC's different story. USC

703
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:48,000
Speaker 1: was six and six last year. They're over under win

704
00:37:48,040 --> 00:37:51,920
Speaker 1: total seven and five. They're gonna be better. They're just

705
00:37:52,080 --> 00:37:57,080
Speaker 1: gonna be better. The law of averages and desperation suggests

706
00:37:57,120 --> 00:38:00,840
Speaker 1: they've got to be better. This stat right here. We

707
00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:02,800
Speaker 1: normally only do this during the season This is a

708
00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:06,680
Speaker 1: paper popper of a stat I just look at it

709
00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:09,880
Speaker 1: in disbelief, immunity. I can't believe this is real. USC

710
00:38:09,960 --> 00:38:12,120
Speaker 1: led five Big Ten games in the fourth quarter last

711
00:38:12,160 --> 00:38:14,800
Speaker 1: year that they lost. I'm gonna repeat for a fact.

712
00:38:15,160 --> 00:38:18,359
Speaker 1: USC led five Big Ten games in the fourth quarter

713
00:38:18,440 --> 00:38:24,399
Speaker 1: last year dot dot dot dot that they lost. How

714
00:38:25,000 --> 00:38:27,919
Speaker 1: is the first question? Uh, sacks and tackles for loss.

715
00:38:27,920 --> 00:38:29,640
Speaker 1: I think are gonna improve on that team this year.

716
00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:32,480
Speaker 1: They're just they look better on the line of scrimmage.

717
00:38:32,600 --> 00:38:34,399
Speaker 1: They got players that look like they should be playing

718
00:38:34,440 --> 00:38:36,120
Speaker 1: on the line of scrimmage. O line, D line in

719
00:38:36,160 --> 00:38:38,600
Speaker 1: the Big ten. Jacobe Lane is going to be a

720
00:38:38,640 --> 00:38:42,520
Speaker 1: standout wide receiver one this year. They've just got to

721
00:38:42,560 --> 00:38:44,920
Speaker 1: be better. I mean seven and five would be better.

722
00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:47,799
Speaker 1: We're just talking regular season here. What about Florida State.

723
00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:54,759
Speaker 1: I don't know why we're doing this. Florida State is

724
00:38:54,760 --> 00:38:58,399
Speaker 1: going to be better than two and ten. I don't

725
00:38:58,400 --> 00:39:00,920
Speaker 1: know what more? What do you want from me? They

726
00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:05,000
Speaker 1: play Kent State and something called East Texas A and

727
00:39:05,120 --> 00:39:08,160
Speaker 1: M this year. They got to win those games to

728
00:39:08,160 --> 00:39:10,799
Speaker 1: be at least two and ten. Kent State is one

729
00:39:10,920 --> 00:39:14,200
Speaker 1: hundred and thirty sixth in preseason s and P plus.

730
00:39:14,280 --> 00:39:18,799
Speaker 1: That's last in all of FBS and East Texas A

731
00:39:18,920 --> 00:39:26,560
Speaker 1: and m Commerce Texas Jesse. Isn't that right playing Florida State? Yeah,

732
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:28,719
Speaker 1: I don't really know what kind of argument you want

733
00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:30,600
Speaker 1: from me. Like they're going, the bus is going to

734
00:39:30,640 --> 00:39:32,960
Speaker 1: get to the stadium. All the players are gonna have

735
00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:35,120
Speaker 1: oxygen to breathe. They're gonna be better than to and

736
00:39:35,160 --> 00:39:38,560
Speaker 1: ten and Kansas State. This one's tricky. Kansas State was

737
00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:41,800
Speaker 1: eight and four last year. They got an over underwent

738
00:39:41,880 --> 00:39:45,520
Speaker 1: total of eight and a half. I'm going with Kansas

739
00:39:45,520 --> 00:39:49,279
Speaker 1: State being the same as they were last year. I

740
00:39:49,360 --> 00:39:54,160
Speaker 1: know Avery Johnson's back. I know that you don't always

741
00:39:54,160 --> 00:39:57,560
Speaker 1: just get huge improvement just because the guy returns. I

742
00:39:57,600 --> 00:39:59,840
Speaker 1: think Avery Johnson is who he is, who's a good player.

743
00:40:00,280 --> 00:40:02,239
Speaker 1: I think he is who he is as a quarterback.

744
00:40:02,600 --> 00:40:06,920
Speaker 1: I think there are questions along that offensive line. Sort

745
00:40:06,920 --> 00:40:10,080
Speaker 1: of a middle of the pack secondary last year, counting

746
00:40:10,120 --> 00:40:13,240
Speaker 1: on some portal back fills there. They go to Baylor,

747
00:40:13,280 --> 00:40:16,120
Speaker 1: they go to Kansas, they go to Oklahoma State. That'd

748
00:40:16,120 --> 00:40:18,000
Speaker 1: be interesting, but they get Texas Tech. They got to

749
00:40:18,040 --> 00:40:20,520
Speaker 1: go to Utah. That back half of their schedule is

750
00:40:20,520 --> 00:40:23,000
Speaker 1: not easy, and I just think it's a lot of

751
00:40:23,000 --> 00:40:26,320
Speaker 1: close games. Eight and four sounds about right to me.

752
00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:28,160
Speaker 1: So I'm not going to go too different on Kansas

753
00:40:28,200 --> 00:40:31,839
Speaker 1: State this year as opposed to last year. Let's move

754
00:40:31,840 --> 00:40:33,879
Speaker 1: it merrily along. Got a good pace here on the show,

755
00:40:33,880 --> 00:40:35,279
Speaker 1: and we did like an hour and a half the

756
00:40:35,320 --> 00:40:38,080
Speaker 1: other night, and I don't mind, but I know some

757
00:40:38,120 --> 00:40:40,600
Speaker 1: of you like to fit this into your commute to work,

758
00:40:41,160 --> 00:40:44,440
Speaker 1: So we're going a little more up tempo here. Some

759
00:40:44,480 --> 00:40:46,960
Speaker 1: of the biggest questions in college football this year, we've

760
00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:49,360
Speaker 1: sort of been tackling those on the show. And someone

761
00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:54,040
Speaker 1: just just asked, probably the question everyone's asking out loud

762
00:40:54,120 --> 00:40:59,520
Speaker 1: or to themselves about arch Manning. Everyone's got a take

763
00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:02,960
Speaker 1: on arch Manning. So just how good's arch Manning gonna be?

764
00:41:04,160 --> 00:41:08,279
Speaker 1: It directly involves obviously Texas, but then it's gonna either

765
00:41:08,320 --> 00:41:11,640
Speaker 1: directly or indirectly affect a whole lot of other teams.

766
00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:14,480
Speaker 1: So the way I see this, I'm gonna need you

767
00:41:14,560 --> 00:41:18,359
Speaker 1: to decide if you agree with this or not. I

768
00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:20,480
Speaker 1: don't think arch Manning is gonna be terrible. I don't

769
00:41:20,520 --> 00:41:24,600
Speaker 1: see any scenario where he's terrible. So if you disagree

770
00:41:24,640 --> 00:41:27,680
Speaker 1: with that. Then there's a third scenario. But if you

771
00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:31,359
Speaker 1: agree with that, I think there are two scenarios. Scenario one,

772
00:41:32,040 --> 00:41:36,240
Speaker 1: he's elite. He's a game changer immediately. He's like Trevor

773
00:41:36,320 --> 00:41:39,719
Speaker 1: Lawrence when he first showed up at Clemson. He's like

774
00:41:39,800 --> 00:41:43,240
Speaker 1: Tua at Alabama. It doesn't matter that their first year starters.

775
00:41:43,239 --> 00:41:48,959
Speaker 1: They're just immediately ballers, and they fundamentally change every game

776
00:41:49,000 --> 00:41:52,200
Speaker 1: they play in. They fundamentally change the conference title race,

777
00:41:52,239 --> 00:41:57,120
Speaker 1: the playoff race. He can win games with his legs

778
00:41:57,160 --> 00:41:59,839
Speaker 1: and with his arm. He's a guy who when you're

779
00:41:59,840 --> 00:42:02,719
Speaker 1: going to play Texas, you're asking the question, how do

780
00:42:02,800 --> 00:42:05,600
Speaker 1: we slow down arch Manning? Because if he's that good,

781
00:42:05,600 --> 00:42:07,440
Speaker 1: that's how you talk about it. You don't even say Texas,

782
00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:10,480
Speaker 1: you say arch Manning. That scenario one. And then if

783
00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:13,040
Speaker 1: that happens, like Wingo and DeAndre More, those guys at

784
00:42:13,040 --> 00:42:17,440
Speaker 1: wide receiver dominate. You probably got multiple thousand yard receivers.

785
00:42:18,400 --> 00:42:21,400
Speaker 1: Everything falls into place. Defense doesn't have to win the

786
00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:27,600
Speaker 1: game for you. That's scenario A. Scenario B is he's serviceable,

787
00:42:28,239 --> 00:42:32,160
Speaker 1: good enough, serviceable. He has ups and downs. I would

788
00:42:32,200 --> 00:42:34,880
Speaker 1: think about this like Tennessee had to deal with Nico

789
00:42:35,000 --> 00:42:39,200
Speaker 1: last year Tennessee had Nico. He's a first year starter.

790
00:42:39,600 --> 00:42:42,279
Speaker 1: You're accepting that there's gonna be some ups and downs there.

791
00:42:42,320 --> 00:42:45,080
Speaker 1: He makes some incredible throws every now and then, he

792
00:42:45,160 --> 00:42:48,359
Speaker 1: makes some egregious mistakes every now and then. But he's

793
00:42:48,400 --> 00:42:52,239
Speaker 1: your guy, he's the franchise. But in the meantime, you know,

794
00:42:52,280 --> 00:42:56,080
Speaker 1: you occasionally have these prolonged periods of drought. You got

795
00:42:56,080 --> 00:42:59,040
Speaker 1: first halves where you're not finding the end zone. What

796
00:42:59,160 --> 00:43:00,920
Speaker 1: has to happen, Well, you got to be able to

797
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:02,719
Speaker 1: run the ball effectively. You got to be able to

798
00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:04,920
Speaker 1: control the ball at least. And defense has to win

799
00:43:05,000 --> 00:43:08,279
Speaker 1: you games. Defense has to buy you time to get

800
00:43:08,320 --> 00:43:12,920
Speaker 1: your affairs in order offensively. Now, the answer to the question,

801
00:43:13,160 --> 00:43:16,320
Speaker 1: I think is one of these two. I lean probably

802
00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:18,320
Speaker 1: a blend a little more towards the first one. I

803
00:43:18,360 --> 00:43:22,080
Speaker 1: think Arch is going to be incredible. He's got everything

804
00:43:22,120 --> 00:43:25,000
Speaker 1: around him to be incredible. But I think one of

805
00:43:25,040 --> 00:43:27,919
Speaker 1: the messages that I keep hearing from people who doubt

806
00:43:28,000 --> 00:43:32,719
Speaker 1: him is, well, now, quin Ewers wasn't a star last

807
00:43:32,800 --> 00:43:36,440
Speaker 1: year and Arch couldn't beat him out. So what does

808
00:43:36,480 --> 00:43:39,400
Speaker 1: it say that Sark didn't eveneel comfortable putting him in

809
00:43:39,440 --> 00:43:41,440
Speaker 1: last year. If he was really that good, then he

810
00:43:41,480 --> 00:43:45,120
Speaker 1: would have benched him. Okay, I think there's a whole

811
00:43:45,160 --> 00:43:47,799
Speaker 1: lot more to it than that. I think sark knew

812
00:43:47,920 --> 00:43:52,520
Speaker 1: last year that quin Ewers was hurt but able to go.

813
00:43:52,920 --> 00:43:54,719
Speaker 1: I think he trusted him. I think there was a

814
00:43:54,760 --> 00:43:57,520
Speaker 1: loyalty factor there. You can think about that whatever you want,

815
00:43:57,560 --> 00:44:00,920
Speaker 1: but I'm pretty sure I'm spot on with that. That

816
00:44:00,960 --> 00:44:03,480
Speaker 1: doesn't mean that he didn't know arch Manning was the

817
00:44:03,480 --> 00:44:06,479
Speaker 1: truth as well. You know last year in Napier went

818
00:44:06,560 --> 00:44:11,480
Speaker 1: with Graham Mertz over DJ Lagway. Mertz got hurt, Lagway

819
00:44:11,520 --> 00:44:15,400
Speaker 1: comes in, plays really good football, Florida turns it around

820
00:44:15,400 --> 00:44:17,560
Speaker 1: down the stretch. Well you could look at that and say,

821
00:44:18,480 --> 00:44:21,080
Speaker 1: how could he have been starting Graham Mertz over DJ Lagway. Well,

822
00:44:21,080 --> 00:44:22,680
Speaker 1: it's cause he thought that that guy gave him the

823
00:44:22,719 --> 00:44:26,480
Speaker 1: best chance to win. Arch Manning could be incredible this year.

824
00:44:26,680 --> 00:44:29,160
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna look at Steve Sarkisian in retrospect and

825
00:44:29,160 --> 00:44:31,279
Speaker 1: say how could he have not played him last year?

826
00:44:31,360 --> 00:44:34,200
Speaker 1: There's a lot that goes into that. Most of it

827
00:44:34,239 --> 00:44:38,640
Speaker 1: you can't pretend to know firsthand. So I don't know

828
00:44:38,640 --> 00:44:41,200
Speaker 1: if if I'm doubting him it's not going to be

829
00:44:41,200 --> 00:44:44,600
Speaker 1: because of that, I'll put it that way. A lot

830
00:44:44,640 --> 00:44:47,120
Speaker 1: of Quick Trips saw Texas schedule a second ago. A

831
00:44:47,160 --> 00:44:49,560
Speaker 1: lot of Quick Trips on the road between Texas and

832
00:44:49,560 --> 00:44:51,319
Speaker 1: where they're going to go play this year. A lot

833
00:44:51,320 --> 00:44:54,960
Speaker 1: of you making the road trips. Maybe I highly encourage you.

834
00:44:54,960 --> 00:44:56,480
Speaker 1: You don't have to stop at the Evil Beaver all

835
00:44:56,520 --> 00:44:58,360
Speaker 1: the time. I know it's big in that part of

836
00:44:58,360 --> 00:45:02,000
Speaker 1: the country. Quick Trips got with you need as well,

837
00:45:02,080 --> 00:45:05,919
Speaker 1: and they are the exclusive fuel provider of this show.

838
00:45:06,200 --> 00:45:08,040
Speaker 1: They make it possible for us to go on tour.

839
00:45:08,360 --> 00:45:10,480
Speaker 1: We went to Austin and visited with Sark. They made

840
00:45:10,520 --> 00:45:13,919
Speaker 1: it possible. Okay, so Quick Trips got the gas. Quick

841
00:45:13,960 --> 00:45:15,719
Speaker 1: Trips got the cold brew on tap, they got the

842
00:45:15,760 --> 00:45:18,840
Speaker 1: protein shakes, they got cases of water. I don't know

843
00:45:18,880 --> 00:45:22,080
Speaker 1: what you need, maybe some pizza. But what they are

844
00:45:22,160 --> 00:45:24,040
Speaker 1: is they're a friend to us and we appreciate it,

845
00:45:24,040 --> 00:45:25,319
Speaker 1: and they can be a friend to you as well.

846
00:45:29,520 --> 00:45:34,440
Speaker 1: Let's move on. Oh oh, look at this, I have

847
00:45:34,560 --> 00:45:38,319
Speaker 1: some chaos. What are some things that could happen this

848
00:45:38,400 --> 00:45:41,879
Speaker 1: year that would just be pretty chaotic. They really throw

849
00:45:41,920 --> 00:45:44,600
Speaker 1: a wrench in the blender, as Memo would say, I've

850
00:45:44,600 --> 00:45:48,200
Speaker 1: got one. I've got one. You remember the SEC last year,

851
00:45:48,200 --> 00:45:50,880
Speaker 1: how there was a lot of teams that were pretty good,

852
00:45:51,000 --> 00:45:54,880
Speaker 1: but no one was really elite, and that bore itself

853
00:45:54,880 --> 00:45:57,960
Speaker 1: out in the playoff. You remember that. What if that's

854
00:45:58,000 --> 00:46:01,440
Speaker 1: the Big Ten this year. Ten's been really good about

855
00:46:01,480 --> 00:46:04,480
Speaker 1: separation at the top. They've been really good about by

856
00:46:04,520 --> 00:46:08,040
Speaker 1: season's end, there's a clear Tier one and then there's

857
00:46:08,080 --> 00:46:11,800
Speaker 1: a pretty big gap between whatever, like Tier three. Sometimes

858
00:46:11,840 --> 00:46:15,480
Speaker 1: there is no Tier two. Well, that wasn't the SEC

859
00:46:15,640 --> 00:46:17,600
Speaker 1: last year. Last year at the SEC by the end

860
00:46:17,600 --> 00:46:21,440
Speaker 1: of the regular season had six teams with two or

861
00:46:21,440 --> 00:46:26,040
Speaker 1: three losses by the end of the regular season, and

862
00:46:27,160 --> 00:46:30,200
Speaker 1: no one really stood out. And then the Big Ten

863
00:46:30,239 --> 00:46:32,160
Speaker 1: had four teams that were ten and two or better.

864
00:46:32,280 --> 00:46:35,440
Speaker 1: And then there was a big gap, and Illinois was

865
00:46:35,520 --> 00:46:37,280
Speaker 1: kind of in the gap, but there was a big gap.

866
00:46:37,719 --> 00:46:39,760
Speaker 1: What if the Big Ten looks more like the SEC

867
00:46:39,920 --> 00:46:42,640
Speaker 1: this year. Now here's why that could be chaotic. It

868
00:46:42,680 --> 00:46:44,120
Speaker 1: could be that you just don't have a team that

869
00:46:44,160 --> 00:46:46,880
Speaker 1: emerges and you don't make it in the national title game.

870
00:46:47,400 --> 00:46:50,520
Speaker 1: But imagine this group. Think about the group of teams

871
00:46:50,560 --> 00:46:53,640
Speaker 1: I'm about to read you, Ohio State and Oregon and

872
00:46:53,680 --> 00:46:59,040
Speaker 1: Penn State, Michigan, Indiana, Illinois, Iowa, Nebraska, USC Washington. Those

873
00:46:59,080 --> 00:47:02,000
Speaker 1: teams all have win total of somewhere between seven and

874
00:47:02,000 --> 00:47:05,040
Speaker 1: a half and ten and a half. Now, you would

875
00:47:05,080 --> 00:47:06,520
Speaker 1: think that two or three of them are going to

876
00:47:06,560 --> 00:47:08,680
Speaker 1: elevate at the expense of the others, Right, that's the

877
00:47:08,719 --> 00:47:11,200
Speaker 1: modus operandi of the Big Ten. What if they don't.

878
00:47:11,239 --> 00:47:14,239
Speaker 1: What if they all just compress and it's a bunch

879
00:47:14,239 --> 00:47:17,160
Speaker 1: of nine and three, maybe some two loss teams scattered

880
00:47:17,160 --> 00:47:20,399
Speaker 1: in there, and then you get to playoff selection time

881
00:47:21,520 --> 00:47:24,760
Speaker 1: and the SEC had two or three teams just totally

882
00:47:24,800 --> 00:47:27,920
Speaker 1: elevate like the Big Ten did last year. And what

883
00:47:28,080 --> 00:47:33,080
Speaker 1: if maybe the ACC has a couple of teams elevate.

884
00:47:33,640 --> 00:47:36,680
Speaker 1: What if the Big twelve championship game is an undefeated

885
00:47:36,760 --> 00:47:39,759
Speaker 1: versus a one loss and the one loss wins it

886
00:47:40,280 --> 00:47:42,040
Speaker 1: to where it's pretty clear both of them are going

887
00:47:42,120 --> 00:47:43,879
Speaker 1: to go to the playoff. What if Notre Dame's plenty

888
00:47:43,920 --> 00:47:45,719
Speaker 1: good enough to make the playoff. Well, what you could

889
00:47:45,760 --> 00:47:49,120
Speaker 1: have is you could have your version of Bama, South

890
00:47:49,160 --> 00:47:51,600
Speaker 1: Carolina and Ole mess on the outside looking in. Only

891
00:47:51,640 --> 00:47:54,560
Speaker 1: it could be Penn State and Oregon and Michigan on

892
00:47:54,560 --> 00:47:57,040
Speaker 1: the outside looking in or something like that. Now, is

893
00:47:57,080 --> 00:48:00,000
Speaker 1: that chaotic? Well, it depends on who you're a fan.

894
00:48:00,320 --> 00:48:02,000
Speaker 1: But I'll tell you what it really would hurt. It

895
00:48:02,000 --> 00:48:04,959
Speaker 1: would hurt the Big Ten's argument they're making right now.

896
00:48:05,000 --> 00:48:07,640
Speaker 1: Tony Patini's out there making the argument that we want

897
00:48:07,640 --> 00:48:10,359
Speaker 1: the AQ structure, we want the AQ model where we're

898
00:48:10,400 --> 00:48:13,240
Speaker 1: guaranteed four teams per year. It'd be a bad look

899
00:48:13,840 --> 00:48:16,160
Speaker 1: in the middle of making that argument if you couldn't

900
00:48:16,160 --> 00:48:18,640
Speaker 1: get four teams in the playoff this year. It happened

901
00:48:18,680 --> 00:48:21,400
Speaker 1: to the SEC last year. You can go by the

902
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929
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Speaker 1: eight hundred three two seven fifty to fifty for twenty

931
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932
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933
00:50:03,160 --> 00:50:05,920
Speaker 1: Y in New York. All right, let's wrap up the

934
00:50:05,920 --> 00:50:11,080
Speaker 1: show tonight with bold predictions. I'm gonna warn you as

935
00:50:11,080 --> 00:50:14,320
Speaker 1: we do bold predictions here, this may be the boldest

936
00:50:14,320 --> 00:50:17,880
Speaker 1: batch of bold predictions that we have the entire summer.

937
00:50:18,560 --> 00:50:23,800
Speaker 1: So let's get it started. Stat Matt says Clemson, Penn State,

938
00:50:23,840 --> 00:50:26,520
Speaker 1: and LSU will be the top three teams in the

939
00:50:26,520 --> 00:50:31,439
Speaker 1: playoffs in that order. That's a ten. That's a ten

940
00:50:31,600 --> 00:50:36,399
Speaker 1: on the boldness scale. Clemson, Penn State, LSU finished one,

941
00:50:36,480 --> 00:50:39,799
Speaker 1: two three. So not only is he saying both all

942
00:50:39,840 --> 00:50:41,560
Speaker 1: three of them got to finish top three, he's giving

943
00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:44,879
Speaker 1: you the exact order. That means all of them need

944
00:50:44,880 --> 00:50:47,239
Speaker 1: to be like eleven to one minimum, and they all

945
00:50:47,239 --> 00:50:49,880
Speaker 1: need to go win their conference title because this is

946
00:50:50,120 --> 00:50:54,200
Speaker 1: this is after the title game weekend. And not only that,

947
00:50:54,280 --> 00:50:56,520
Speaker 1: I mean think about all the other teams out there

948
00:50:56,560 --> 00:50:58,600
Speaker 1: that have to not be in the top three, Like

949
00:50:58,640 --> 00:51:01,040
Speaker 1: you can't have Texas up there or Georgia up there,

950
00:51:01,120 --> 00:51:04,960
Speaker 1: or Ohio State or Oregon and all that happening perfectly.

951
00:51:05,560 --> 00:51:07,360
Speaker 1: That's too many tumblers to fall into place. For me,

952
00:51:07,400 --> 00:51:11,120
Speaker 1: So that's a ten. Next up, we've got another multi

953
00:51:11,239 --> 00:51:15,640
Speaker 1: parter here. Andrew from Columbia South Carolina said, neither Georgia,

954
00:51:15,760 --> 00:51:19,000
Speaker 1: Texas nor Alabama will make the playoff this year. So

955
00:51:19,040 --> 00:51:21,759
Speaker 1: those are the number two, three, and six teams in

956
00:51:21,840 --> 00:51:24,640
Speaker 1: the odds. That's a nine point seventy five for me.

957
00:51:25,800 --> 00:51:27,440
Speaker 1: Think about the fact that all three of them are

958
00:51:27,480 --> 00:51:30,759
Speaker 1: from the same league. If one of them was from

959
00:51:30,760 --> 00:51:33,040
Speaker 1: each league, that'd be one thing. But that's the top

960
00:51:33,200 --> 00:51:36,960
Speaker 1: three teams in the odds of the SEC that you're

961
00:51:37,000 --> 00:51:41,080
Speaker 1: collectively asking to fall out. We know SEC teams are

962
00:51:41,120 --> 00:51:43,279
Speaker 1: going to make the playoff, like a minimum of three

963
00:51:43,280 --> 00:51:45,680
Speaker 1: of them will make the playoffs. So you're talking about

964
00:51:45,719 --> 00:51:50,280
Speaker 1: like LSU, Florida A and m Ole miss Oklahoma, Tennessee, Missouri,

965
00:51:50,280 --> 00:51:53,719
Speaker 1: South Carolina. You're talking about a combination of those teams

966
00:51:53,800 --> 00:51:57,960
Speaker 1: elevating but knocking all of the favorites out. And that's

967
00:51:58,000 --> 00:52:01,160
Speaker 1: a bridge a little bit too far from me. Individually.

968
00:52:01,640 --> 00:52:03,640
Speaker 1: You could sell me on any of those teams missing

969
00:52:03,680 --> 00:52:05,920
Speaker 1: the playoff, maybe even a pair of them, but all

970
00:52:05,920 --> 00:52:09,399
Speaker 1: three of them miss it's tough. Next up, this one's

971
00:52:09,440 --> 00:52:13,439
Speaker 1: tough too. Agent p K said, Florida State will win

972
00:52:13,520 --> 00:52:16,759
Speaker 1: a playoff game. He's from North Dakota. By the way,

973
00:52:17,640 --> 00:52:19,520
Speaker 1: I was going to go ten on this, but I'm

974
00:52:19,520 --> 00:52:22,319
Speaker 1: only gonna go nine point seven five because remember, like

975
00:52:22,400 --> 00:52:25,680
Speaker 1: Arizona State comes from nowhere. Last year they win the

976
00:52:25,680 --> 00:52:29,960
Speaker 1: Big twelve, they make the playoff. Florida State, I mean

977
00:52:30,040 --> 00:52:33,120
Speaker 1: two years ago they would have been a playoff team

978
00:52:33,120 --> 00:52:35,440
Speaker 1: if it were a twelve team field, and Mike Norvell

979
00:52:35,600 --> 00:52:37,640
Speaker 1: was the coach then too. So it's not that we

980
00:52:37,760 --> 00:52:40,120
Speaker 1: haven't seen it. It's just that I saw what happened

981
00:52:40,200 --> 00:52:43,600
Speaker 1: last year and so thinking thinking that you could have

982
00:52:43,640 --> 00:52:46,560
Speaker 1: that disastrous a falloff, and then he just scales right

983
00:52:46,600 --> 00:52:50,000
Speaker 1: back up. Is that really how this works? Their win

984
00:52:50,080 --> 00:52:52,520
Speaker 1: total seven and a half. You gotta think they got

985
00:52:52,560 --> 00:52:55,000
Speaker 1: to at least win ten to make the playoff. That's

986
00:52:55,000 --> 00:52:57,759
Speaker 1: a nine point seven to five and the last one here,

987
00:52:58,920 --> 00:53:00,840
Speaker 1: I don't know. We need to check and see if

988
00:53:00,880 --> 00:53:02,840
Speaker 1: this has ever happened. I guess it hasn't because we

989
00:53:02,880 --> 00:53:06,360
Speaker 1: hadn't had a twelfteen playoff for very long. Sam said

990
00:53:06,400 --> 00:53:09,040
Speaker 1: this year there will be more than four schools with

991
00:53:09,120 --> 00:53:14,880
Speaker 1: a Tiger as the mascot that make it to the playoffs. Well,

992
00:53:15,760 --> 00:53:19,440
Speaker 1: that means it's got to be five. There are only

993
00:53:19,719 --> 00:53:21,600
Speaker 1: five as far as we could tell, there were only

994
00:53:21,680 --> 00:53:26,480
Speaker 1: five tigers in FBS, Clemson, LSU, Auburn, Missouri, and Memphis. Right,

995
00:53:26,920 --> 00:53:31,160
Speaker 1: so they all got to make it. Clemson okay, Lsu okay,

996
00:53:31,480 --> 00:53:37,880
Speaker 1: Auburn eh, Missouri, Memphis Eh. All of them gotta make it.

997
00:53:38,000 --> 00:53:43,040
Speaker 1: That is a ten. Very creative, love the animal, but

998
00:53:43,200 --> 00:53:46,479
Speaker 1: that's a ten on the boldness scale. That's how bold

999
00:53:46,520 --> 00:53:49,080
Speaker 1: predictions are done. Though. Remember the rule around here. If

1000
00:53:49,120 --> 00:53:52,160
Speaker 1: you predict something that's nine point five or higher on

1001
00:53:52,239 --> 00:53:54,760
Speaker 1: the boldness scale and it hits, you win a chalice

1002
00:53:54,760 --> 00:53:57,560
Speaker 1: of supremacy. So we got four chali on the line tonight.

1003
00:53:57,760 --> 00:54:01,120
Speaker 1: Chili is the plural of chalice. I appreciate you guys watching.

1004
00:54:01,160 --> 00:54:04,640
Speaker 1: We have got our next show coming at you Sunday,

1005
00:54:05,320 --> 00:54:07,480
Speaker 1: So we're going to take a nice little holiday break.

1006
00:54:08,239 --> 00:54:13,279
Speaker 1: Enjoy yourselves, be careful with the fireworks, be responsible out

1007
00:54:13,280 --> 00:54:16,279
Speaker 1: there boating or or camping or doing whatever you guys

1008
00:54:16,320 --> 00:54:20,040
Speaker 1: are gonna do. Plenty of sunscreen. Jesse, and we will

1009
00:54:20,040 --> 00:54:22,799
Speaker 1: see you back here same time Sunday night. Until then.

1010
00:54:22,880 --> 00:54:25,799
Speaker 1: For producer Jesse, for director Bradley, I'm Josh fate, have

1011
00:54:25,840 --> 00:54:28,280
Speaker 1: yourself a great rest of your week, and God bless.

1012
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