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Speaker 1: And welcome in. Lay Kick is Live. It is Sunday Night,

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Speaker 1: August seventhy of Our Lord twenty twenty two. The good

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Speaker 1: news is we got a ton to discuss. But the

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Speaker 1: great news is this is YouTube, so we have all

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Speaker 1: the time in the world to discuss. We are jampacked

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Speaker 1: high Top, just a boisterous downtown Nashville, Tennessee. I kid

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Speaker 1: you not. They've been having an IndyCar race about fourteen

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Speaker 1: stories below us on the streets of downtown Nashville. I

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Speaker 1: think they just wrapped up in time for us to

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Speaker 1: start the show. We've got fall Camp intel. You know

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Speaker 1: how long I've waited to say that to you. We've

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Speaker 1: got nuggets, we got intel, we got whispers from fall

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Speaker 1: camps across the country. And that's really gonna ramp up

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Speaker 1: this week because they'll start to put the pads on.

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Speaker 1: We'll have some scrimmages to talk about. Well, we're gonna

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Speaker 1: discuss that this evening. Got several teams I need to

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Speaker 1: talk to you about. We Got Most Important Names, Part

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Speaker 1: two for twenty twenty two Bold Predictions Hits Chapter twenty nine. Tonight. Also,

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Speaker 1: I had a chance to do some really interesting things

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Speaker 1: last week. We had some high level discussions in Nashville.

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Speaker 1: We had some high level people in Nashville, and who

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Speaker 1: would I be if a guy that's not to pull

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Speaker 1: the curtain back a little bit and reveal some of

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Speaker 1: that to you, but also just totally rethinking the world

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Speaker 1: of college football personnel departments, recruiting, and the calendar. There's

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Speaker 1: so many good ideas, not just problems, but ideas behind them,

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Speaker 1: and I'm going to share some of those tonight. Also,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna be drug against my will into this Nick

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Speaker 1: Saban conversation. But they are watching us in Ashville, North

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Speaker 1: Carolina tonight as they are in Neoshow, Missouri. I'm told

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Speaker 1: great people in Neoshow. They're watching this in Colquot, Georgia,

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Speaker 1: San Diego and La both tuned in. Check this out

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Speaker 1: if you're watching on YouTube. We finally settled on a

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Speaker 1: place to put our one hundred thousand subscriber plaque and

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Speaker 1: Jesse completed this project I would say about ten minutes ago.

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Speaker 1: Thank you thumbtags. So we got that taken care of.

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Speaker 1: It's go time. Three shows per week starting Tuesday. So

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Speaker 1: this is it. Our next scheduled off day as a

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Speaker 1: staff is Thanksgiving We've got one off day between now

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Speaker 1: and winter, and that starts December twenty first, so it's

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Speaker 1: time the season has started for us. Thanks if you

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Speaker 1: haven't already subscribed and liked, do so and then settled

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Speaker 1: in because we've got a whole bunch to discuss. These

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Speaker 1: shows are going to be jam packed from now until

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Speaker 1: they crown a national champ. Let's start with Fall Camp. Intel,

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Speaker 1: one of my favorite things to do is in August,

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Speaker 1: we get a head start on what everyone else is

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Speaker 1: going to be talking about in October or November because

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Speaker 1: we got our ear to the ground. We're very blessed

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Speaker 1: to have an extensive network of team insiders and sourcing

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Speaker 1: all across the country, so we normally get ahead of

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Speaker 1: the curve by days to weeks on stuff that's happening

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Speaker 1: in fall camp. This is important to you if you're

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Speaker 1: a hardcore fan. It's critical to you if you bet

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Speaker 1: this sport, or if you just have an interest in it.

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Speaker 1: So let's get started with this and we'll probably lead

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Speaker 1: most of our shows in August with this Fall Camp.

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Speaker 1: Intel really wanted to start with the national champ, the

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Speaker 1: George Bulldog, and I wanted to start the corner position

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Speaker 1: defensive back in general, but specifically the corner position. I

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Speaker 1: think it's one of the most critical position battles in

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Speaker 1: the SEC and in all of college football, because this

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Speaker 1: right here is a bona fide national championship contender. And

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Speaker 1: I was talking to someone last week and they talked

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Speaker 1: about Darien Kendrick. Last year, Darien Kendrick ended up being

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Speaker 1: a sixth round draft pick. He started at corner for Georgia,

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Speaker 1: and because Georgia's defensive front was so good, they were

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Speaker 1: able to in some ways hide Darien Kendrick. Darien Kendrick

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Speaker 1: was not one of the better corners to ever come

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Speaker 1: through Georgia, but he was more than serviceable with the

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Speaker 1: defensive front they had last year because the pass rush

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Speaker 1: they got, especially on the interior, made it such that

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Speaker 1: you didn't have to cover for an extended period of time,

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Speaker 1: nor did teams have any disillusion that they were going

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Speaker 1: to throw on you regularly. Well, this year, you know

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Speaker 1: about all the draft departures for Georgia upfront, which is

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Speaker 1: why I don't just look at who's going to replace

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Speaker 1: Jordan Davis and Devonte Wyatt. Everyone's talking about that, But

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Speaker 1: in Athens, you know what else they're talking about, and

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Speaker 1: in these practices, you know what else they're looking at.

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Speaker 1: They're looking at kiey Ringo as a dependable number one

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Speaker 1: corner and then the other side of the field. Who

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Speaker 1: can we trust over there? Is it Nyland Green? Is

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Speaker 1: it Kamori Lassiter? Is it a number of other names?

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Speaker 1: They're not short on talent. This is not a do

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Speaker 1: they have anyone that's adequately prepared to be plugged in

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Speaker 1: there from a talent standpoint, But I did use the

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Speaker 1: word prepared on purpose. Do they have guys that they

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Speaker 1: can trust? Because I don't know, nor do you know,

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Speaker 1: if George's defensive front is going to be. In fact,

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Speaker 1: I will tell you they won't be as dominant as

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Speaker 1: they were last year. They'll be very good. Still, got

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Speaker 1: a lot of those names you remember from the recruiting ranks.

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Speaker 1: Very good there. But it's reasonable to expect a little

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Speaker 1: bit of drop off upfront from a generational type defense,

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Speaker 1: which doesn't really mean anything except you probably need to

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Speaker 1: focus a little bit more on this corner battle. They

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Speaker 1: haven't scrimmaged down there yet. We'll start to get a

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Speaker 1: little bit better feel about that other corner position once

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Speaker 1: they do. But those are just two names among several

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Speaker 1: to keep an eye on. I heard Rusty Manziel and

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Speaker 1: the guys over Dog's twenty four to seven talking about

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Speaker 1: this the other day, and Nyland Green was a name

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Speaker 1: I heard him mention. Kamar Lassiter was a name I

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Speaker 1: heard him mention. It is a critical piece to them

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Speaker 1: trying to repeat his national champs. It's a critical piece

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Speaker 1: to what they'll try and do in the SEC this year.

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Speaker 1: Next up, let's go to Lincoln, Nebraska. I know I

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Speaker 1: time that up poorly, Colin, I'm sorry, but we're going

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Speaker 1: to go to Nebraska anyway. I think a lot of

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Speaker 1: you have heard the stat about how many one possession

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Speaker 1: losses they had last year and over the last few years.

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Speaker 1: You've heard that. If you've been tuned into this sport

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Speaker 1: and this show over the past several months, that is

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Speaker 1: old hat. I know a lot of people are dropping

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Speaker 1: that on you because they believe in the off seasons,

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Speaker 1: so they haven't been talking about this for nine months.

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Speaker 1: It seems like we we have. So I'm not going

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Speaker 1: to regurgitate all those old stats. Nebraska lost a bunch

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Speaker 1: of games over the last couple of years that they

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Speaker 1: almost won, that's the stat How are they going to

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Speaker 1: change that? That's the unknown, and that's what we're focused

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Speaker 1: on with Nebraska right now. They brought in a new

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Speaker 1: offensive coordinator. His name is Mark Whipple. I think a

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Speaker 1: lot of you may know that Casey Thompson, maybe less

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Speaker 1: of you know that starting quarterback last year at Texas,

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Speaker 1: he's the quarterback now at Nebraska. Now in the spring.

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Speaker 1: This is one of those programs where some people tried

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Speaker 1: to pass it off as a quarterback battle. It never was.

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Speaker 1: You didn't really see Casey playing the spring game. Didn't matter.

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Speaker 1: He was always going to be the starter here borring injury.

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Speaker 1: Scott Frost, now that we're in fall camp, has been

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Speaker 1: a little bit more forthcoming with that. I think the

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Speaker 1: other day he just outright said it's Casey Thompson's job

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Speaker 1: to lose. So you know the movie Independence Day, we

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Speaker 1: were watching this for research purposes, of course, out in

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Speaker 1: the bullpen earlier, and there's that scene where the aliens

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Speaker 1: times up, they attack Washington, d C starts to get

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Speaker 1: blown up, and Air Force one's trying to get off

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Speaker 1: the ground and Bill Pullman, as he usually does, comes

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Speaker 1: through in the clutch and they just get Air Force

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Speaker 1: one off the ground in time. I mean flames nipping

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Speaker 1: at the tail of Air Force one. I don't think

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Speaker 1: Nebraska's start to twenty twenty two will be very dissimilar

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Speaker 1: to that scene from Independence Day. You got Mark Whipple,

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Speaker 1: think we can trust him. You got Casey Thompson at quarterback.

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Speaker 1: I think we can trust him. We just completely emptied

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Speaker 1: the transfer portal in hopes of getting immediate help here

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Speaker 1: at Nebraska. We think we can trust him. There's a

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Speaker 1: lot of think, there's a lot of hope, there's a

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Speaker 1: lot of fingers crossed that we can get this thing

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Speaker 1: to take off smoothly. Luckily, you're not opening with Oklahoma.

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Speaker 1: You are opening with Northwestern in Ireland, no less. But

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Speaker 1: the takeoff for this season with new everywhere is going

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Speaker 1: to be kind of like that Air Force one takeoff.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be shaky, it could be bumpy. It's

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Speaker 1: gonna be white knuckle for a little while, and you

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Speaker 1: just hope it all holds together. Now you're confident if

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Speaker 1: you can win those first few games, if you win

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Speaker 1: against Northwestern, I if you don't get tripped up against

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Speaker 1: I think it's yeah, it is North Dakota Georgia Southern.

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Speaker 1: You get a month into the season and at that

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Speaker 1: point you kind of have a better idea of what

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Speaker 1: you have. But to start the season, I think even

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Speaker 1: the most even the most optimistic of Nebraska fan knows

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Speaker 1: what I'm talking about. There's just so much unknown, even

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Speaker 1: optimistic unknown, it's still unknown. And so that's kind of

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Speaker 1: what I feel like. That's that's what they Some of

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Speaker 1: the sentiment that I've heard them express from around the

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Speaker 1: program is we just got a lot of things that

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Speaker 1: we hope are going to work out, and we got

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Speaker 1: confidence eventually they will. But that eventually is not going

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Speaker 1: to matter if it if it all of a sudden

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Speaker 1: clicks in late October, because by late October your season

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Speaker 1: could be down the drain and so that week zero

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Speaker 1: bumpy potential turbulence. But they could still take that thing

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Speaker 1: off and it could win by seven, not even cover

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Speaker 1: the spread. A win for Nebraska football, a win is

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Speaker 1: a win in Week one, get that win, get back

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Speaker 1: home to the United States of America and leak in

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Speaker 1: Nebraska and then just trying to settle into a stride. Now,

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Speaker 1: next up, I wanted to go to Texas. What do

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Speaker 1: you think about Bjon Robinson think he's the best running

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Speaker 1: back in college football. I think a lot of people.

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Speaker 1: Do you look at Preview magazine, Season is upon us,

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Speaker 1: and I think most publications out there have Bjon Robinson

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Speaker 1: either rated one of or the best running back in America.

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Speaker 1: I don't disagree for the record, even though it sounds

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Speaker 1: like what I'm going to say is negative. It's just

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Speaker 1: that when you reach this lofty status, you're held to

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Speaker 1: a different standard, and so it's fair to pick apart

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Speaker 1: little individual aspects of your game. I think a lot

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Speaker 1: of Texas fans understand, but the nation may not. B

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Speaker 1: Jeon Robinson is average at best in pass pro, phenomenal

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Speaker 1: everywhere else, but the one aspect of his game where

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Speaker 1: he's struggled is past protection. In fact, Chip brown Over

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Speaker 1: at Horns twenty four to seven was writing about this

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Speaker 1: the other day, and this is kind of something that

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Speaker 1: scouts have reiterated. I assume he's heard this from scouts.

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Speaker 1: Roshan Johnson is far and away their best running back

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Speaker 1: in terms of pass pro. Keelan Robinson may be better

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Speaker 1: than Bijon Robinson in terms of pass pro. Now what

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Speaker 1: does that mean? Well for Texas? This year. It may

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Speaker 1: mean a lot because to maximize the potential of this offense, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: of course you got to have Quinn Eewers come through

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Speaker 1: for you. Yeah, of course Isaiah and Mayor transferred in.

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Speaker 1: Ideally a couple of those Bama guys would pan out

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Speaker 1: for you. But you have a great unknown along the

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Speaker 1: offensive line. You have, like I said, a new starter

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Speaker 1: at quarterback. What does it greatly behoove you to have

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Speaker 1: it running back? It greatly behooves you to have a dynamite,

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Speaker 1: skilled guy with plus pass protection in his back pocket.

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Speaker 1: You know, when you're looking at his player rating, need

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Speaker 1: to have a plus next to that pass pro column,

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Speaker 1: and Bjon Robinson hasn't always had that there. It is

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Speaker 1: something they are hammering very very hard in fall camp

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Speaker 1: because it is something like I just said, that's not

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Speaker 1: rocket science. All those coaches know that they've got to

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Speaker 1: have that at least be average, if not better. I

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Speaker 1: saw that, Jesse. I'm gonna screenshot that later. They got

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Speaker 1: to at least have that be average because every other

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Speaker 1: aspect of his game is nflready. Pass protection is what

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Speaker 1: they're working on there. It's not nitpicking. I want to

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Speaker 1: stress this. This is kind of how we handle this

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Speaker 1: fall intel segment, I just give you what I'm hearing

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Speaker 1: from the respective camps. But the reason it's so important,

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Speaker 1: even within the context of Texas is because of what

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Speaker 1: I just said. If you don't know what you have

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Speaker 1: on the offensive line, and if you've got a new

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Speaker 1: quarterback back there, man, if you also add suspect pass

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Speaker 1: pro at the running back position, well, there are things

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Speaker 1: you can't do. I mean, that's as simple as it is.

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Speaker 1: There are things you can't do. Next up, and I'm

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Speaker 1: going to talk about a team now that's a little

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Speaker 1: bit ahead of everyone else because they've got a week

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Speaker 1: zero game, and that's Florida State. In fact, Florida State's

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Speaker 1: already scrimmaged. I think they just had their first scrimmage

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Speaker 1: this weekend. And it's kind of hard to tell, at

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Speaker 1: least from the people I spoke with. It's hard to

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Speaker 1: tell how improved they are. Offensively. It's not hard to

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Speaker 1: tell that they're improved, it is hard to tell how

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Speaker 1: improved they are. And this has been a theme that

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Speaker 1: I've noticed and I've spoken about a couple of times

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Speaker 1: on the show about Florida State. I've felt ever since

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Speaker 1: Mike norvel got there that they've trended in the right direction.

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Speaker 1: They may not have always trended that way as fast

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Speaker 1: as Florida State fans want. They may still fit that

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Speaker 1: description of kind of incrementally improving, but no leaps and

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Speaker 1: bounds improving. And granted threw one scrimmage, which not a

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Speaker 1: ton should be taken away from. It still feels like that.

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Speaker 1: So we're gonna get a little deeper into camp. They

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Speaker 1: got Duquane in week zero, they got Lsu. Then in

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Speaker 1: week one, we'll ultimately, you know, get our answer. We

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Speaker 1: just have to guess until then. But Jordan Travis at

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Speaker 1: quarterback was a guy that we've spoken a lot about

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Speaker 1: over the past few months, about the fact that not

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Speaker 1: just Jordan Travis, he's the guy pulling the trigger back

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Speaker 1: there at quarterback. But their entire passing game was not

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Speaker 1: good enough last year, multiple games below two hundred yards,

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Speaker 1: and so that's got to improve. Does it sound like it? Well?

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Speaker 1: Every time, and I was reading brendan'son owns stuff over

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Speaker 1: at Nol's twenty four seven earlier today, every time that

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Speaker 1: I've spoken with someone or I've read his work about

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Speaker 1: talking about what happened in this first scrimmage, it's been

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Speaker 1: kind of like that. It's been kind of Jordan Travis

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Speaker 1: is pretty good, but then there's a butt as mixed results.

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Speaker 1: You know, you always have the defense ahead of the

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Speaker 1: offense in the first scrimmage, which is true. I'd kind

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Speaker 1: of be a little worried if I had Jordan Travis

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Speaker 1: and company just light me up through the air. It

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Speaker 1: wouldn't exactly bode well. But at the same time, you know,

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Speaker 1: you want to see a healthy amount of execution on

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Speaker 1: both sides. It's just that quarterback. It sounds like incremental

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Speaker 1: improvement wide receiver, maybe some incremental improvement offensive line. Now

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Speaker 1: they are world's better, I think, at least than they

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Speaker 1: have been over the last couple of years. Defense incremental improvement.

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Speaker 1: It's just it's hard to get a read on how

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Speaker 1: much that matters. When we look at their schedule and

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Speaker 1: we look at what they were last year, which was

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Speaker 1: missing a Bowl game, and where they want to be

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Speaker 1: this year, which is at least that seven to eight

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Speaker 1: win range. I don't know. I don't know how many

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Speaker 1: close games they're playing. I don't know how much they

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Speaker 1: need to incrementally improve to get theirself to seven or

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Speaker 1: eight wins. I mean eight wins this year for Florida

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Speaker 1: State to me would be a home run. And it's

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Speaker 1: going to take improvement. It just may take a little

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Speaker 1: bit more than incremental improvement. But then again, we're through

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Speaker 1: one scrimmage, so we don't really know anything yet. This

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Speaker 1: is tip of the iceberg stuff. This is kind of

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Speaker 1: an abbreviator version of what the real hardcore camp Intel

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Speaker 1: segments will be over the coming weeks. Because I want

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Speaker 1: to stress, some of these programs have not even put

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Speaker 1: pads on yet. They're in the process of doing that.

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Speaker 1: Certainly haven't scrimmaged yet, and that's why a lot of

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Speaker 1: what I hear, you know, a lot of what has

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Speaker 1: been sent to the eye, Josh, I've sort of filtered

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Speaker 1: out of the show so far. That will not be

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Speaker 1: the case in the coming weeks. I just I mean,

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Speaker 1: I got folks, I love them, but they're trying to

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Speaker 1: make full indictments on guys before they've gotten out of shells.

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Speaker 1: And I just want to pump the brakes a little

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Speaker 1: bit because we've been victims on this show, even believe

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Speaker 1: it or not, we have been victims of getting married

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Speaker 1: to perceptions that we make after one week of fall camp,

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Speaker 1: and that's that's dangerous. It's very dangerous. It could ultimately

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Speaker 1: end up costing you money. If you're going to lose money,

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Speaker 1: do it in the best of ways. Go to Academy

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Speaker 1: Sports and Outdoors because at least it goes to a

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Speaker 1: good cause. You, us and them, so three good causes.

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Speaker 1: It's like the best charity in the world. Academy Sports

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Speaker 1: and Outdoors is there for you all the time. But

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Speaker 1: I really want to stress how much they're there for

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Speaker 1: you right now. Do you know what the calendar says.

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Speaker 1: The calendar says August seventh, And for anyone watching this show,

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Speaker 1: you're a real one, and the real ones know, you've

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Speaker 1: got about one or two more weekends, three more weekends

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Speaker 1: to be fair, to really get out there and to

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Speaker 1: really you know, if you don't have smart people who

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Speaker 1: have scheduled summer weddings, you've got about two or three

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Speaker 1: more weekends to get your recreation in. And then it's

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Speaker 1: lockdown time. And the next time you've got a free Saturday,

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Speaker 1: it will be December and the sun will be setting

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Speaker 1: at four thirty in the afternoon here in Nashville, and

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Speaker 1: it'll be freezing, so no one wants to go outside anyway.

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Speaker 1: But right now it's still camping weather. It's grilling weather,

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Speaker 1: it's tent weather, it's base bogs, it's anything you want

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Speaker 1: to do outdoors, do it right after you go to

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Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors. And if you can't get there

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Speaker 1: in person, Academy dot com has got your hookup. I

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Speaker 1: choose like one or two of you every day, but

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Speaker 1: dozens of you tag me on Twitter or in the

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Speaker 1: dms every every single day, showing me a picture of

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Speaker 1: your bag. One of you showed me today a picture

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Speaker 1: of your center console that had our podcast playing, and

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Speaker 1: then in the windshield you were in the parking lot

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Speaker 1: of an Academy Sports and Outdoors. God loves you for that.

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Speaker 1: I love you for that, Academy loves you for that.

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Speaker 1: Everyone loves you for that. Thank you so much for that.

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Speaker 1: And I do want to show you some file footage

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Speaker 1: that director Colin has gotten his hands on. We all

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Speaker 1: choose to spend our last free weekend around here. Differently,

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Speaker 1: Producer Jesse went to the College Football Hall of Fame

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Speaker 1: this week. Producer Jesse alleges to have played high school football.

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Speaker 1: We have blurred his face for obvious reasons. But if

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Speaker 1: you're listening on podcasts, let me describe what you're seeing

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Speaker 1: a fraud. And you're seeing a fraud because this is

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Speaker 1: the same person running the combine drills at the College

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Speaker 1: Football Hall of Fame that had to ghost me in

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Speaker 1: our playoffs and softball up here because his hamstring was

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Speaker 1: bothering him. And now he's running the ladders, he's running

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Speaker 1: the cone drill. He just dove onto a crash pad

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Speaker 1: to catch a pass from a College Football Hall of

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Speaker 1: Fame worker. And you know what the cherry on top

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Speaker 1: of this crap sandwich is. This is where we were

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Speaker 1: for SEC Media Days a couple of weeks ago, and

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Speaker 1: Jesse didn't even come with me, but he had time

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Speaker 1: over the past week when we didn't have a Thursday

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Speaker 1: show to go to the Hall of Fame and show

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Speaker 1: off his agility. That's how Jesse spent his last few

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Speaker 1: free days. Be smarter with yours, be more honest with yours,

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Speaker 1: but by all means include academy, sports and outdoors as

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Speaker 1: you choose what you want to do with these final

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Speaker 1: few free weekends. I'm not bitter about it. I'm just

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Speaker 1: extra angry about it. That's all. Don't talk to me

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Speaker 1: in my ear right now, let's move on most important Names.

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Speaker 1: We have fun doing this the other night, and I

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Speaker 1: know we can't do it forever because it's not going

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Speaker 1: to be like Bold Predictions, where we do thirty chapters,

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Speaker 1: but we're going to do at least two chapters. So

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Speaker 1: most important names in college football. We did five of

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Speaker 1: them already the other night. I want to get to

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Speaker 1: another five of them tonight. And these are names that

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Speaker 1: basically are going to impact their program, but also they're

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Speaker 1: going to have a bigger ripple effect on the rest

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Speaker 1: of the sport. And one of them is Spencer Rattler,

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Speaker 1: and I kind of forgot to mention him the other night.

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Speaker 1: He probably belongs in the top five, not just because

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Speaker 1: of what he can do at South Carolina this year,

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Speaker 1: but I think of what it signifies in December, you know,

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Speaker 1: kind of take the visual tour with me for a second.

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Speaker 1: Imagine this if you will. If you think South Carolina's

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Speaker 1: going to go five and seven, ignore the next thirty

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Speaker 1: or forty five seconds. But if you're open to imagining,

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Speaker 1: imagine with me for a second. It's December. We've wrapped

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Speaker 1: up the regular season, and all of a sudden we

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Speaker 1: realize it wasn't Kentucky, it wasn't Florida, it wasn't Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: What if South Carolina ended up being that team that

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Speaker 1: challenged Georgia in the East. What if South Carolina ended

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Speaker 1: up being the next most viable candidate over there, And

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Speaker 1: what if it was because of Spencer Rattler, And what

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Speaker 1: if he drugged those receivers a little bit higher on

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Speaker 1: the postseason awards list than you thought they were capable of.

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Speaker 1: And if, just as a collective, Marshawn Lloyd looks good

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Speaker 1: at running back, and what if offensively they do even

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Speaker 1: a little bit more in year two then you thought

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Speaker 1: they could under Shane Beemer and it's because of Spencer Rattler.

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Speaker 1: Of course, that'll get South Carolina a lot of attention,

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Speaker 1: as it should, and of course it will pay huge

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Speaker 1: dividends for them in recruiting both high school and the portal,

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Speaker 1: as it should. But I want you to also think

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Speaker 1: about this. This may matter to you, it may not,

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Speaker 1: but don't forget when Spencer Ratler came to South Carolina

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Speaker 1: by way of Oklahoma. He didn't come with his mouth shut.

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Speaker 1: He has some comments. Now, he didn't go seek the

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Speaker 1: nearest microphone out, but when people asked him, he talked

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Speaker 1: about how I feel like I'm being developed better here.

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Speaker 1: I feel like I've already learned more here than I

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Speaker 1: did the time that I share. There's a spent in Oklahoma.

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Speaker 1: Rather were those shots at his former staff? Yeah? Did

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Speaker 1: he have the greatest of experiences in Oklahoma? No? Might

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Speaker 1: he have brought some of that on himself. Yeah, I'm

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Speaker 1: not here to defend him, But what I am here

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Speaker 1: to ask you is if, after him saying all that,

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Speaker 1: he ends up playing at a higher level than you've

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Speaker 1: seen him play under a new staff, what would it

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Speaker 1: lead to? Well, I can promise you what it would

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Speaker 1: lead to. It would lead to a lot of articles

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Speaker 1: in December, and they would be titled something to the

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Speaker 1: effect of, was Caleb William or excuse me, was Spencer

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Speaker 1: Ratler right about Lincoln Riley? Now I want you to imagine,

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Speaker 1: and this is where it really gets Harry, what if

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Speaker 1: USC on the West Coast has not lived up to expectation?

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Speaker 1: And so you've got not only that headline, but then

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Speaker 1: you got the sub headline of Spencer Rattler leads south

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Speaker 1: Carolina to New Heights as his former head coach and

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00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:43,480
Speaker 1: quarterback who replaced him at Oklahoma falter on the West coast.

428
00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:46,680
Speaker 1: That's the storyline. Crowd would eat that up. It doesn't

429
00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:49,320
Speaker 1: so much matter because what South Carolina does does not

430
00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:52,720
Speaker 1: really impact what USC does only in headlines and only

431
00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:55,840
Speaker 1: on Twitter, but real talk, it would seriously impact the

432
00:20:55,840 --> 00:20:58,159
Speaker 1: future of the SEC East, not only for what they

433
00:20:58,160 --> 00:20:59,840
Speaker 1: could do this year, but South Carolina would be able

434
00:20:59,880 --> 00:21:03,679
Speaker 1: to there's package that entire reality up and sell it

435
00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:07,680
Speaker 1: forever in recruiting. They would no longer hurt for proof

436
00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:10,080
Speaker 1: of product and proof of performance. They would have that

437
00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:15,360
Speaker 1: to show future prospects. At Utah. Kyle Whittingham, his name

438
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:17,480
Speaker 1: belongs on this list, the head coach out there at Utah,

439
00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:20,320
Speaker 1: one of the longest tenured. I guess that's redundant. One

440
00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:23,200
Speaker 1: of the most tenured head coaches in college football now

441
00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:26,600
Speaker 1: is Kyle Whittingham. He's been out there forever. He is

442
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:30,639
Speaker 1: one hundred and forty four and seventy overall at Utah.

443
00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:35,879
Speaker 1: What might his name be on this list? For you? Ask? Well,

444
00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:39,639
Speaker 1: consider where the PAC twelve's headed. This is what I

445
00:21:39,680 --> 00:21:42,720
Speaker 1: talk about with Utah before I even zoom in on them.

446
00:21:42,960 --> 00:21:47,639
Speaker 1: If you're Alabama, if you're LSU or Ohio State, you

447
00:21:47,680 --> 00:21:50,360
Speaker 1: can think about twenty twenty two and it's just twenty

448
00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:53,919
Speaker 1: twenty two because the big ten in the SEC are

449
00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:55,679
Speaker 1: always just going to be there, and you don't have

450
00:21:55,720 --> 00:21:58,719
Speaker 1: to worry about that. At Utah, you don't know what

451
00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:00,240
Speaker 1: the PAC twelve is going to be in the future.

452
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:03,640
Speaker 1: So for all you know, this is as legitimate as

453
00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:06,639
Speaker 1: your conference will appear on the national landscape for the

454
00:22:06,680 --> 00:22:10,600
Speaker 1: foreseeable future. You got to take advantage of it because

455
00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:12,480
Speaker 1: a lot of that stuff's out of your hands. But

456
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:15,159
Speaker 1: everything that happens in twenty twenty two, it's going to

457
00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:17,360
Speaker 1: be in your hands. You talk and make the playoff

458
00:22:17,400 --> 00:22:20,040
Speaker 1: this year. They have the capability, They have the schedule.

459
00:22:20,080 --> 00:22:22,200
Speaker 1: We don't have to worry about that. They have the team.

460
00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:24,600
Speaker 1: They showed how they got hot last year with a

461
00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:27,359
Speaker 1: lot of these same pieces. They have everything you would

462
00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:30,640
Speaker 1: need from kind of an intangible and motivation standpoint, because

463
00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:32,439
Speaker 1: they saw what they could be kind of down the

464
00:22:32,440 --> 00:22:35,240
Speaker 1: stretch last year. They end up going to the Rose Bowl.

465
00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:37,840
Speaker 1: They had some injuries there, they end up fighting but

466
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:41,040
Speaker 1: losing to Ohio State. But they've got the team to

467
00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:43,639
Speaker 1: do it this year. And if Kyle Whittingham's able to

468
00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:46,919
Speaker 1: do that, you know, Kyle Whittingham, this is not the

469
00:22:46,960 --> 00:22:49,760
Speaker 1: part Utah fans want to hear. Kyle Whittingham would be

470
00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:54,240
Speaker 1: the first candidate. He would be the first arrival at

471
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:56,600
Speaker 1: a table of conversation that's going to be brand new,

472
00:22:57,000 --> 00:23:01,600
Speaker 1: and that table of conversation sounds like this. Kyle Whittingham

473
00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:03,800
Speaker 1: and Utah are a current PAC twelve team. This is

474
00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:07,760
Speaker 1: in futuristic imaginary land where they've let's say, won the

475
00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:10,359
Speaker 1: PAC twelve and Utah goes to the playoff. Here's how

476
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:13,680
Speaker 1: it would sound if that happened. Kyle Winningham just did

477
00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:16,800
Speaker 1: the most at Utah that we think he could ever do.

478
00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:19,439
Speaker 1: Does he want to stay at Utah or does he

479
00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:22,119
Speaker 1: want to take an opportunity to go to more solid

480
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:25,680
Speaker 1: footing in places where he would no doubt have job opportunities.

481
00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:28,200
Speaker 1: I mean, if anyone got the slightest inclination that Kyle

482
00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:30,560
Speaker 1: Whittingham was willing to leave Utah, he'd have a ton

483
00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:32,600
Speaker 1: of job offers. It's just that no one has ever

484
00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:35,040
Speaker 1: thought he's gonna leave. The conversation he may not leave,

485
00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:37,360
Speaker 1: but the conversation will sound like that. It'll be all right,

486
00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:39,639
Speaker 1: you just wan out there in the Pac twelve. You

487
00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:41,919
Speaker 1: better get out of there while you can, because that

488
00:23:42,000 --> 00:23:44,880
Speaker 1: conference is sinking under your feet. And unlike a lot

489
00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:48,240
Speaker 1: of the folks out there, you've got value. Conference doesn't,

490
00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:50,399
Speaker 1: but you do. As a coach, you have value. Are

491
00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:51,600
Speaker 1: you gonna get out of there? Or are you going

492
00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:53,680
Speaker 1: to stay on a sinking ship? That's what the conversation

493
00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:56,000
Speaker 1: would sound like. Is it fair? No, But that's what

494
00:23:56,040 --> 00:23:59,240
Speaker 1: the conversation would sound like anyway. That's why Kyle Winningham's

495
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:03,240
Speaker 1: a really important this year because he would be the first, theoretically,

496
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:05,840
Speaker 1: but not the last, guy who dealt with that kind

497
00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:09,320
Speaker 1: of conversation. Had Mario stayed at Oregon, he'd be dealing

498
00:24:09,359 --> 00:24:11,600
Speaker 1: with it. If Dan Landing has a good year this year,

499
00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:15,040
Speaker 1: he'll be dealing with it. Lincoln Riley's not because USC

500
00:24:15,080 --> 00:24:17,720
Speaker 1: has already made their future intentions clear. But a lot

501
00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:20,040
Speaker 1: of the folks, I mean, Brent Venables, well no he

502
00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:23,320
Speaker 1: won't because he's going to the SEC. David Randa, we'll

503
00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:25,640
Speaker 1: deal with this at Baylor, you know, Mike Gundy will

504
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:27,479
Speaker 1: deal with this at Oklahoma State. So just keep an

505
00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:30,800
Speaker 1: eye on Kyle Winningham. Tyler Van Dyke, the quarterback at Miami,

506
00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:33,400
Speaker 1: absolutely belongs on this list. He's one of the most

507
00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:37,160
Speaker 1: important names in college football this year. How important is he? Well,

508
00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:39,840
Speaker 1: I guess the best comparison would be to go right

509
00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:43,479
Speaker 1: back to his conference one year ago. Look at Pitt

510
00:24:43,600 --> 00:24:46,800
Speaker 1: the eventual ACC champ last year, and ask yourself how

511
00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:50,440
Speaker 1: important was Kenny Pickett to them? Because Pitt Football was

512
00:24:50,480 --> 00:24:52,280
Speaker 1: Pitt football. You just happened to have a first round

513
00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:55,639
Speaker 1: draft Picket quarterback playing for Pitt football last year and

514
00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:58,000
Speaker 1: they ended up being a double digit win team. And

515
00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:01,200
Speaker 1: that's exactly what the difference could be this year with Miami.

516
00:25:01,280 --> 00:25:06,040
Speaker 1: You could have what has been Miami around Tyler Vandyke,

517
00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:08,639
Speaker 1: And if Tyler Van Dijke plays at that kind of

518
00:25:08,760 --> 00:25:11,240
Speaker 1: level this year, that's the kind of stuff that takes

519
00:25:11,280 --> 00:25:13,119
Speaker 1: you from a seven to five, eight and four caliber

520
00:25:13,119 --> 00:25:15,879
Speaker 1: team to a ten win caliber team. And if Miami

521
00:25:15,920 --> 00:25:18,440
Speaker 1: is a ten win caliber team this year, they are

522
00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,560
Speaker 1: no doubt, at the very least in the conference title picture.

523
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:25,000
Speaker 1: They're probably in the conference title game. And I don't

524
00:25:25,040 --> 00:25:27,119
Speaker 1: think I need to remind you what happens if you've

525
00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:31,360
Speaker 1: got a hot and very talented quarterback in December, anything

526
00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:34,159
Speaker 1: can happen. Nothing is off the table for you. And

527
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,600
Speaker 1: if you followed recruiting and you understand the talent makeup

528
00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:41,080
Speaker 1: and the talent roster makeup at Miami, this is not

529
00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:43,639
Speaker 1: a start over. It's not a rebuild project from the

530
00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:46,840
Speaker 1: ground up that Mario Cristoball is inherited down there. They

531
00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:49,080
Speaker 1: you look up and down the roster, I mean running back.

532
00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:51,840
Speaker 1: They got a really good one two combination at running back.

533
00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:54,000
Speaker 1: They've got a lot of continuity, to say the least

534
00:25:54,200 --> 00:26:01,440
Speaker 1: on the offensive line. They don't have this complete lost

535
00:26:01,520 --> 00:26:03,720
Speaker 1: project that you look at. When the new coaching staff

536
00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:05,800
Speaker 1: comes in, it says, two years from now, we're lucky,

537
00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:07,760
Speaker 1: he'll have this thing back on the track. Because of

538
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:10,200
Speaker 1: what they inherited, they could be right there this year.

539
00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:14,000
Speaker 1: Their twenty twenty two schedule opens up very favorable for them,

540
00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:16,160
Speaker 1: I think, because they've got a couple of very winnable

541
00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:18,040
Speaker 1: out of conference games. Then they go to Texas A

542
00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:20,040
Speaker 1: and M, which is also an out of conference game.

543
00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:23,200
Speaker 1: But after that they come home. They got Middle Tennessee

544
00:26:23,240 --> 00:26:26,000
Speaker 1: and then they open conference play on the eighth of

545
00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:29,639
Speaker 1: October at home versus North Carolina. And if you just

546
00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:32,800
Speaker 1: look up and down the schedule, imagine yourself with a

547
00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:38,000
Speaker 1: Tyler van Dijk fulfilling expectations. North Carolina at Virginia Tech,

548
00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:41,520
Speaker 1: Duke at Virginia, Florida State at Georgia Tech at Clemson

549
00:26:41,800 --> 00:26:45,800
Speaker 1: Pitt where's the unwinnable game? I'm counting at Clemson there.

550
00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:50,560
Speaker 1: If you're going to Clemson, maybe you've got the better quarterback.

551
00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:52,720
Speaker 1: You know, if things haven't panned out with DJ, I

552
00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:55,800
Speaker 1: imagine we see kay Klubnick by then, but you may

553
00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:58,840
Speaker 1: take the better quarterback in there. You ended up doing

554
00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:01,359
Speaker 1: it last year at HIT, so you may do it

555
00:27:01,400 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 1: this year at Miami. Tyler VANDJK will be a critical

556
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:07,360
Speaker 1: piece in that ACC race. For the future of Miami,

557
00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:12,199
Speaker 1: that's understood, but for the future of Miami recruiting, and

558
00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:15,159
Speaker 1: then also this year's ACC title race. Yeah, it's a

559
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:18,680
Speaker 1: really important name. This name you may not know, Eric Wolford.

560
00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:20,399
Speaker 1: How many of you know who that is? That is

561
00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:23,879
Speaker 1: Alabama's offensive line coach this year. I didn't even just

562
00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:25,960
Speaker 1: want to single out an offensive lineman. I wanted to

563
00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:28,200
Speaker 1: go with the O line coach. They had Doug Moron

564
00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:31,840
Speaker 1: there last year. And here's where college football gets kind

565
00:27:31,840 --> 00:27:35,400
Speaker 1: of hard to figure out. You might have thought, looking

566
00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:37,800
Speaker 1: at Nick Sabe and bring in a former NFL head

567
00:27:37,840 --> 00:27:41,119
Speaker 1: coach in Doug Moron to be his offensive line coach.

568
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:43,639
Speaker 1: You think, Wow, Obama's offensive line is just going to

569
00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:46,440
Speaker 1: be dominant, you know, because automatically, if the guys qualified

570
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:49,560
Speaker 1: to run an entire NFL team, certainly he can put

571
00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:54,600
Speaker 1: together an incredible college offensive line. Well, I wasn't there

572
00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:56,480
Speaker 1: last year, so I'm not going to sit here and

573
00:27:56,520 --> 00:27:59,959
Speaker 1: recount what went right what went wrong with Alabama's offensive line.

574
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:01,720
Speaker 1: I'll tell you one thing that went wrong is they

575
00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:03,720
Speaker 1: had to replace three really really good players that went

576
00:28:03,720 --> 00:28:07,200
Speaker 1: to the NFL. And the other thing is you may

577
00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:08,560
Speaker 1: or may not have had a guy that was a

578
00:28:08,560 --> 00:28:11,359
Speaker 1: great fit there, And one of the pieces of evidence

579
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:13,400
Speaker 1: that I would present to you is he's not there anymore.

580
00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:15,879
Speaker 1: That's usually a pretty good one to pull out. Usually

581
00:28:15,880 --> 00:28:17,280
Speaker 1: gives you a pretty good idea of what happened and

582
00:28:17,280 --> 00:28:20,360
Speaker 1: what didn't happen. Eric Wolford is there now, and Eric

583
00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:22,800
Speaker 1: Wolford is one of the most important names in college football,

584
00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:25,199
Speaker 1: because if I tell you, Babma's going to have a

585
00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:28,720
Speaker 1: good offensive line this year, they become an even greater

586
00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:31,480
Speaker 1: favorite to win it all. They're already the favorite, but

587
00:28:31,640 --> 00:28:34,240
Speaker 1: right now they're a favorite with a question mark next

588
00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:38,480
Speaker 1: to offensive line because is Tyler Steen going to be

589
00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:40,720
Speaker 1: a plug and play left tackle for them? The transfer

590
00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:45,200
Speaker 1: from Vanderbilt? You would think so. Maybe is JC Latham,

591
00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:48,840
Speaker 1: former five star offensive tackle? Is he gonna just seamlessly

592
00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:51,760
Speaker 1: pan out it right tackle? Bama fans think so, you

593
00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:54,960
Speaker 1: would hope so in their case. I don't know that.

594
00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:57,960
Speaker 1: But if I did know that, i'd pick him right

595
00:28:58,000 --> 00:28:59,920
Speaker 1: now to win the National Championship. As it stands, I

596
00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:02,080
Speaker 1: still may pick him to win the National Championship. It's

597
00:29:02,120 --> 00:29:06,320
Speaker 1: a really, really good team. But Eric Wolford, if his

598
00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:10,480
Speaker 1: unit does not pan out, that'll probably be the reason

599
00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:12,239
Speaker 1: Bama doesn't win it off. If they fail to win

600
00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:15,000
Speaker 1: at all this year, I guarantee you, unless you've had

601
00:29:15,000 --> 00:29:17,280
Speaker 1: an injury to Bryce or something like that at quarterback,

602
00:29:17,320 --> 00:29:20,840
Speaker 1: that just changed the complexion of the team entirely. If

603
00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:24,480
Speaker 1: they're not watching the confetti rain down on them in January,

604
00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:26,160
Speaker 1: where are we LA? I think this year for the

605
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:29,200
Speaker 1: National title game. If they're not out in LA winning

606
00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:32,320
Speaker 1: the National title and you're trying to figure out why

607
00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:36,400
Speaker 1: offensive line has probably been why. Lastly, we're going to

608
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:39,640
Speaker 1: go two names here, but it counts really for one team.

609
00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:44,080
Speaker 1: Sharon Moore, Matt Wise. Those are the names co offensive

610
00:29:44,120 --> 00:29:48,840
Speaker 1: coordinators taken over for the departed Josh Gattis at Michigan.

611
00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:52,040
Speaker 1: The more I look at Michigan, the more I get

612
00:29:52,040 --> 00:29:54,760
Speaker 1: excited about Michigan. You know, it would be very easy

613
00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:57,200
Speaker 1: if you didn't pay attention to players and you just

614
00:29:57,320 --> 00:30:00,920
Speaker 1: went with the storyline soap opera aspect of sport. Which

615
00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:04,640
Speaker 1: is fun to say that Jim Harbaugh almost left, then

616
00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:06,160
Speaker 1: he didn't leave, But man, this is going to be

617
00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:08,400
Speaker 1: Dan Mullen two point zero never gets check back in

618
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:11,360
Speaker 1: and team struggles this year. If you know anything about Michigan,

619
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:13,880
Speaker 1: you know that's a far cry from what reality is there.

620
00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:17,800
Speaker 1: And secondly, I think it's important to note that, yeah,

621
00:30:17,840 --> 00:30:20,560
Speaker 1: there was some attrition on the staff. In fact, Harbal

622
00:30:20,600 --> 00:30:24,000
Speaker 1: had to replace both of his coordinators. He did not

623
00:30:24,320 --> 00:30:27,920
Speaker 1: go outside for the replacement higher for Josh Gattis, He

624
00:30:27,960 --> 00:30:31,600
Speaker 1: promoted from withinm Sharon Moore is the offensive line coach there,

625
00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:35,760
Speaker 1: and why says the quarterback coach. They've got one of

626
00:30:35,800 --> 00:30:38,680
Speaker 1: the best offenses and especially one of the quietly the

627
00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:41,560
Speaker 1: best offenses in college football. It's just that you've got

628
00:30:41,600 --> 00:30:43,800
Speaker 1: to throw the ball fifty times a game for your

629
00:30:43,840 --> 00:30:46,960
Speaker 1: offense to get a ton of respect in this world,

630
00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:49,520
Speaker 1: in the media world. But if you talk to staffs

631
00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:52,720
Speaker 1: who will have to face Michigan this year, what worries

632
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:55,959
Speaker 1: them is Michigan's offense is going to do some stuff

633
00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:57,640
Speaker 1: that you may not be able to stop even when

634
00:30:57,720 --> 00:31:00,640
Speaker 1: you know it's coming. That's the scarier point. You know,

635
00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:02,560
Speaker 1: if they just kind of paper cut you to death,

636
00:31:02,600 --> 00:31:06,080
Speaker 1: that's one thing. But the paper cut and the tool

637
00:31:06,160 --> 00:31:08,680
Speaker 1: that someone uses to paper cut you, if you get

638
00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:11,960
Speaker 1: a hold of it, you know you can crumble it up.

639
00:31:12,320 --> 00:31:14,840
Speaker 1: You can't crumble up a sledgehammer. And that's kind of

640
00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:17,040
Speaker 1: what Michigan plans on throwing at you again this year.

641
00:31:17,120 --> 00:31:19,680
Speaker 1: And if you stop it, they tip their cap to you.

642
00:31:19,680 --> 00:31:21,240
Speaker 1: You're gonna have to cause you're not gonna score a

643
00:31:21,240 --> 00:31:23,240
Speaker 1: ton on them. And so they just one of the

644
00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:26,360
Speaker 1: more steady and dependable teams again this year. But if

645
00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:29,640
Speaker 1: these two guys, if that offense ends up maybe even

646
00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:31,640
Speaker 1: cranking it up, and I'm talking about cranking it up

647
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:35,480
Speaker 1: from an efficiency standpoint. I don't mean all of a

648
00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:38,560
Speaker 1: sudden they reinvent who they are offensively. That would be stupid.

649
00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:41,360
Speaker 1: There's no reason to do that. I know they've they've

650
00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:44,480
Speaker 1: had their sessions with the media up there, and they've

651
00:31:44,560 --> 00:31:47,320
Speaker 1: kind of talked about that about how we're not reinventing anything.

652
00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:49,440
Speaker 1: Why would we at works now? Are there some things

653
00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:51,600
Speaker 1: we're gonna teker with, Yeah, of course we want to

654
00:31:51,640 --> 00:31:54,200
Speaker 1: evolve certain branches. But the tree is gonna look like

655
00:31:54,240 --> 00:31:57,440
Speaker 1: the tree has always looked Under Jim Harbaugh. They have

656
00:31:57,640 --> 00:32:00,960
Speaker 1: two quarterbacks that would start at most places. Ditto at

657
00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:03,520
Speaker 1: quarter or running back, ditto at tight end. This is

658
00:32:03,560 --> 00:32:06,240
Speaker 1: the deepest and most talented I've ever seen Michigan in

659
00:32:06,280 --> 00:32:08,440
Speaker 1: the modern era, at least over the past twenty years.

660
00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:11,760
Speaker 1: At receiver, offensive line, you know exactly what you're getting

661
00:32:11,760 --> 00:32:13,800
Speaker 1: with them. It's gonna be a really good offense, I think,

662
00:32:13,840 --> 00:32:17,440
Speaker 1: a really consistent offense. But if there's that little something extra,

663
00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:21,200
Speaker 1: if there's that little you know, yards per pass bump

664
00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:24,560
Speaker 1: up in metrics extra, if there's that little bit of

665
00:32:24,600 --> 00:32:28,200
Speaker 1: a yards per carry bump up extra from them this year,

666
00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:31,320
Speaker 1: if they can do a little more if they're in

667
00:32:31,360 --> 00:32:33,560
Speaker 1: a playoff scenario, or if they're on the road at

668
00:32:33,560 --> 00:32:36,360
Speaker 1: Ohio State and they do need to score, Hey, they

669
00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:37,960
Speaker 1: scored on them last year. But if they're in one

670
00:32:37,960 --> 00:32:40,880
Speaker 1: of those kind of dog fight situations and they got

671
00:32:40,880 --> 00:32:43,479
Speaker 1: that little bit extra, I know it seems like they

672
00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:45,240
Speaker 1: were a long way away in the playoff last year.

673
00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:48,360
Speaker 1: Get them to the playoff first. If they do have

674
00:32:48,440 --> 00:32:50,400
Speaker 1: that little extra, they may be right back there again.

675
00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:52,840
Speaker 1: I think that would surprise some people. I don't think

676
00:32:52,920 --> 00:32:54,720
Speaker 1: it would surprise as many people in the Big Ten

677
00:32:54,840 --> 00:32:57,239
Speaker 1: who have to game plan for them because they know

678
00:32:57,320 --> 00:32:59,440
Speaker 1: what they're looking at. You know they're not. You don't

679
00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:02,480
Speaker 1: game plan based on headlines. You game plan based on

680
00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:05,040
Speaker 1: the exus nose, the guys you see on the field.

681
00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:06,800
Speaker 1: The guys you see on the field from Michigan this

682
00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:08,480
Speaker 1: year is still going to be really good. So those

683
00:33:08,520 --> 00:33:11,120
Speaker 1: are some names to keep an eye on, and we

684
00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:15,240
Speaker 1: will probably do that at least one more time. Quick reminder,

685
00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:17,800
Speaker 1: just a very quick reminder because we got a lot

686
00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:22,000
Speaker 1: still to get to. Lawrence said. The schedule sawt Lawrence.

687
00:33:22,040 --> 00:33:24,360
Speaker 1: I don't control the schedule, man. You're right though, that

688
00:33:24,840 --> 00:33:27,400
Speaker 1: September is especially soft I need you to do a

689
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:31,200
Speaker 1: favorite Lawrence and everyone else watching. We've got over two

690
00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:33,960
Speaker 1: thousand of you watching right now. We have got less

691
00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:38,240
Speaker 1: than five hundred likes on this video. It's just inexplicable, chainful.

692
00:33:38,400 --> 00:33:40,479
Speaker 1: This show is free. We want to keep it free.

693
00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:42,239
Speaker 1: And let's be real, it's going to be free even

694
00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:44,040
Speaker 1: if you don't like it. But please like it anyway.

695
00:33:44,120 --> 00:33:46,440
Speaker 1: Just click the thumbs up button. That's it. If you're

696
00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:48,600
Speaker 1: watching the replay, do it anyway. Just click the thumbs

697
00:33:48,640 --> 00:33:51,840
Speaker 1: up button and then subscribe to the channel. That's it.

698
00:33:52,120 --> 00:33:56,520
Speaker 1: That's literally all we ask. And maybe visit peatestatemateial dot

699
00:33:56,600 --> 00:34:00,320
Speaker 1: com after the show. Bold Predictions Chapter two went the

700
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:05,000
Speaker 1: nine congratulations on the doorstep of thirty. I told Pat

701
00:34:05,040 --> 00:34:06,480
Speaker 1: Tholey we were gonna make it to thirty, and we're

702
00:34:06,480 --> 00:34:08,879
Speaker 1: gonna make it to thirty. But let's get through twenty nine. First.

703
00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:11,080
Speaker 1: These are the things you believe, or at least you

704
00:34:11,160 --> 00:34:12,839
Speaker 1: claim you believe, and you would bet your own hard

705
00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:15,520
Speaker 1: earned money on. And hey, this first one's not all

706
00:34:15,560 --> 00:34:18,319
Speaker 1: that bold, if I don't say so myself. Let's talk

707
00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:22,600
Speaker 1: about Arkansas. Ryan from Royal Arkansas. He says Arkansas will

708
00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:26,360
Speaker 1: lead the country in rushing again this year. This is

709
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:29,000
Speaker 1: a five, maybe a five and a half for me.

710
00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:32,799
Speaker 1: They've they've got the horses to do it, and they

711
00:34:32,840 --> 00:34:36,520
Speaker 1: also lost a first round NFL receiver, so logic would

712
00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:38,960
Speaker 1: tell you they're even more likely to lean on that

713
00:34:39,040 --> 00:34:42,520
Speaker 1: run game this year. Just an idea of how lethal

714
00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:45,279
Speaker 1: this rushing attack was. A year ago. They were over

715
00:34:45,320 --> 00:34:47,640
Speaker 1: one hundred yards on the ground in every game except

716
00:34:47,640 --> 00:34:50,120
Speaker 1: the Georgia game, which was just an unmitigated disaster we

717
00:34:50,120 --> 00:34:53,440
Speaker 1: don't even talk about. They were two hundred plus yards

718
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:56,200
Speaker 1: on the ground in nine of their thirteen games last year,

719
00:34:56,680 --> 00:35:01,160
Speaker 1: two twenty seven yards per game. Jesse found this stat

720
00:35:01,200 --> 00:35:06,160
Speaker 1: earlier today with his two good hamstrings. They had four

721
00:35:06,239 --> 00:35:09,360
Speaker 1: players on this roster last year with five hundred and

722
00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:13,480
Speaker 1: more yards and five or more touchdowns, and not all

723
00:35:13,520 --> 00:35:15,160
Speaker 1: of them left, and so they got a lot of

724
00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:18,359
Speaker 1: them back. kJ Jefferson the quarterback of course. Back They

725
00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:22,040
Speaker 1: got Dom Johnson there, Rahem Sanders, aj Green. So I

726
00:35:22,080 --> 00:35:24,840
Speaker 1: think absolutely the rushing numbers are going to be there.

727
00:35:24,880 --> 00:35:26,279
Speaker 1: I'll tell you what could get in the way here.

728
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:29,880
Speaker 1: I don't think it's a philosophical change because it's the

729
00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:33,719
Speaker 1: same quarterback here, same coordinator, same everything. I think that

730
00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:37,440
Speaker 1: maybe the schedule, being as difficult as it is, that

731
00:35:37,520 --> 00:35:40,000
Speaker 1: may be what keeps him down. They've got to play

732
00:35:40,040 --> 00:35:42,760
Speaker 1: Cincinnati week one. That's not a team that you're probably

733
00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:46,040
Speaker 1: hanging two seventy five plus on the ground on. They've

734
00:35:46,080 --> 00:35:49,359
Speaker 1: got A and M Alabama at Mississippi State, at Brigham Young,

735
00:35:49,440 --> 00:35:52,279
Speaker 1: at Auburn LSU. You know that. It's just there are

736
00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:54,440
Speaker 1: a lot of really good defensive teams here, a lot

737
00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:57,760
Speaker 1: of really good run stopping defensive fronts that you see,

738
00:35:57,960 --> 00:36:01,000
Speaker 1: so that may be what stops them. I'm I want

739
00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:04,840
Speaker 1: to remind you when I talk about with me personally,

740
00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:07,920
Speaker 1: when I talk about the best rushing attacks in college football,

741
00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:10,879
Speaker 1: I always remove the service academy teams and put them

742
00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:13,560
Speaker 1: on a different level because they're running different offenses. They're

743
00:36:13,600 --> 00:36:16,640
Speaker 1: running option based offenses, so we're talking about non option

744
00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:20,799
Speaker 1: based teams. So no air force, no army outside of

745
00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:23,280
Speaker 1: those teams. Yeah, Arkansas very well could be up there again.

746
00:36:24,160 --> 00:36:27,799
Speaker 1: Next up's talk about the Big twelve Championship game. Is

747
00:36:27,840 --> 00:36:30,759
Speaker 1: there a person out there, by the way, who has

748
00:36:30,800 --> 00:36:34,680
Speaker 1: not picked Kansas State as their sleeper this year? Everybody

749
00:36:34,800 --> 00:36:37,480
Speaker 1: and the guys, it's not a sleeper if everyone's picking them.

750
00:36:37,600 --> 00:36:39,960
Speaker 1: Just want to remind you of that. So football enjoyer,

751
00:36:40,360 --> 00:36:43,640
Speaker 1: here's his bold prediction. The Big twelve title game will

752
00:36:43,680 --> 00:36:48,320
Speaker 1: be Kansas State versus someone not named Oklahoma or Texas.

753
00:36:48,600 --> 00:36:51,600
Speaker 1: This is a nine point five. Every one of those

754
00:36:51,640 --> 00:36:54,840
Speaker 1: things individually sound like they could happen. Angels in the

755
00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:58,239
Speaker 1: outfield flap those wings. It could happen. Yes, Will it

756
00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:02,880
Speaker 1: happen all at once? No, probably not, but let's entertain

757
00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:05,920
Speaker 1: it just for our purposes. The odds to win the

758
00:37:05,920 --> 00:37:10,520
Speaker 1: Big Twelve right now, Oklahoma is the favorite, Texas right

759
00:37:10,520 --> 00:37:14,080
Speaker 1: there behind him, Oklahoma State third, Baylor fourth, Kansas State

760
00:37:14,160 --> 00:37:17,960
Speaker 1: is a distant fifth. Their odds now are plus twelve hundred.

761
00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:20,839
Speaker 1: Now in a vacuum. That doesn't mean much to you,

762
00:37:21,480 --> 00:37:24,600
Speaker 1: but to give you an idea of how much America

763
00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:27,840
Speaker 1: has slobbered all over Kansas State. In the futures market

764
00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:31,920
Speaker 1: May thirtieth, you could have gotten Kansas State to win

765
00:37:31,960 --> 00:37:35,280
Speaker 1: the Big Twelve at plus twenty five hundred. Those odds

766
00:37:35,320 --> 00:37:37,680
Speaker 1: have come all the way down to plus twelve hundred,

767
00:37:38,320 --> 00:37:42,520
Speaker 1: which means, I mean we've got elderly grandmothers who have

768
00:37:42,600 --> 00:37:45,239
Speaker 1: never bet college football before. Out there putting money on

769
00:37:45,360 --> 00:37:48,719
Speaker 1: Kansas State to take home the Big Twelve. Where's the conference?

770
00:37:48,800 --> 00:37:50,640
Speaker 1: I don't know what city do they play in. I

771
00:37:50,640 --> 00:37:53,719
Speaker 1: don't know what's the color scheme, no idea, but I

772
00:37:53,960 --> 00:37:59,960
Speaker 1: love dus Van. Gimme Kansas State. I mean, you saw

773
00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:02,000
Speaker 1: the odds there. So let's take a look at their schedule.

774
00:38:02,280 --> 00:38:05,359
Speaker 1: They have to go to Oklahoma pretty early in the year.

775
00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:09,040
Speaker 1: It's not that I doubt the team. I just I

776
00:38:09,120 --> 00:38:12,560
Speaker 1: find it suspicious that everyone has honed in on the

777
00:38:12,600 --> 00:38:15,319
Speaker 1: same sleeper as I was guilty of last year with

778
00:38:15,320 --> 00:38:17,799
Speaker 1: Iowa State. I remember that, and I'm not being hypocritical.

779
00:38:17,840 --> 00:38:20,280
Speaker 1: I remember my fault. I'm just trying to caution everyone

780
00:38:20,320 --> 00:38:21,839
Speaker 1: not to go down the road I went down. They

781
00:38:21,880 --> 00:38:24,160
Speaker 1: got Texas at home late in the year. They go

782
00:38:24,239 --> 00:38:27,280
Speaker 1: to Baylor, which I think is especially late in the season,

783
00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:30,319
Speaker 1: right there before you go right the next week to

784
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:33,000
Speaker 1: West Virginia, a very tough back to back road stretch.

785
00:38:34,280 --> 00:38:36,120
Speaker 1: Just you've got to have them in the Big Twelve

786
00:38:36,160 --> 00:38:39,000
Speaker 1: title game, and then you got to have neither Oklahoma

787
00:38:39,280 --> 00:38:42,040
Speaker 1: nor Texas, the two favorites to win the conference, in

788
00:38:42,080 --> 00:38:44,840
Speaker 1: the title game. They're the only teams Texas know you

789
00:38:44,960 --> 00:38:47,560
Speaker 1: in the conference with an over underwent total of nine

790
00:38:47,680 --> 00:38:50,760
Speaker 1: or more. Kansas State's over under win total is seven

791
00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:54,120
Speaker 1: by comparison. This is just it's dounrealistic, So it's a

792
00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:56,280
Speaker 1: nine and a half for me on the Boldness scale.

793
00:38:56,400 --> 00:38:59,719
Speaker 1: Next up, Ohio State. This is the talking point. It's

794
00:38:59,760 --> 00:39:02,000
Speaker 1: one of the biggest talking points in college football this year,

795
00:39:02,480 --> 00:39:06,960
Speaker 1: and Joshua loved the name. He says, Ohio State's going

796
00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:08,919
Speaker 1: to have a top ten defense this year. In year

797
00:39:08,960 --> 00:39:12,240
Speaker 1: one under Jim Knowles, they go undefeated in the regular season.

798
00:39:12,239 --> 00:39:15,279
Speaker 1: From Waima, Ohio, I'm just going to focus on the

799
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:18,200
Speaker 1: top ten defense part. This is a seven. I think

800
00:39:18,239 --> 00:39:22,000
Speaker 1: that's a very safe Boldness rating a seven. It is

801
00:39:22,040 --> 00:39:24,360
Speaker 1: the stated goal of Ryan Day this year to have

802
00:39:24,400 --> 00:39:26,799
Speaker 1: a top ten defense. He went and hired Jim Knowles

803
00:39:26,840 --> 00:39:30,160
Speaker 1: from Oklahoma State for this very reason. Producer Jesse and Colin,

804
00:39:30,440 --> 00:39:34,560
Speaker 1: they are showing you the ineptitude defensively. Last year, yards

805
00:39:34,560 --> 00:39:37,719
Speaker 1: per game allowed fifty ninth in the country, points per

806
00:39:37,760 --> 00:39:41,279
Speaker 1: game allowed thirty eighth in the country. By comparison, Jim

807
00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:43,959
Speaker 1: Knowles at Oklahoma State they were top ten in both

808
00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:47,200
Speaker 1: of those categories last year. Among several others. So it's

809
00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:49,600
Speaker 1: not very hard to figure out why Ryan Day saw

810
00:39:49,600 --> 00:39:53,160
Speaker 1: fit to bring him in. But then you start to

811
00:39:53,200 --> 00:39:55,319
Speaker 1: look at something else with Ohio State, which should give

812
00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:58,560
Speaker 1: you a lot of confidence. It's called a schedule, and

813
00:39:58,600 --> 00:40:02,080
Speaker 1: when you look at Ohio State's scale. I'm not going

814
00:40:02,160 --> 00:40:04,120
Speaker 1: to read the whole thing to you, but if you're

815
00:40:04,120 --> 00:40:06,520
Speaker 1: watching on YouTube or even if you're driving around listening

816
00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:08,759
Speaker 1: on podcasts, you can pretty well imagine who they play.

817
00:40:09,080 --> 00:40:11,600
Speaker 1: Add Notre Dame in Arkansas State and Toledo, you know

818
00:40:11,640 --> 00:40:16,040
Speaker 1: who they play. Where's the quarterback who really scares you?

819
00:40:15,680 --> 00:40:20,640
Speaker 1: You know, if you're fundamentally sound defensively, They've got thirteen

820
00:40:20,760 --> 00:40:23,680
Speaker 1: defensive prospects that have ranked in the top one fifty

821
00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:26,520
Speaker 1: in recruiting since twenty nineteen. Talent's not the issue here.

822
00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:31,560
Speaker 1: Where's the quarterback that terrifies you? Now? Conversely, if you

823
00:40:32,080 --> 00:40:34,839
Speaker 1: don't play fundamentally sound, if your secondary is a train

824
00:40:34,880 --> 00:40:38,240
Speaker 1: wreck like it was last year, then it doesn't even matter.

825
00:40:38,440 --> 00:40:41,080
Speaker 1: Even Michigan can throw the ball all over you. You know,

826
00:40:41,280 --> 00:40:44,239
Speaker 1: there are several quarterbacks on the schedule. Then to be

827
00:40:44,280 --> 00:40:45,680
Speaker 1: able to throw the ball all over you may go

828
00:40:45,719 --> 00:40:48,680
Speaker 1: to Maryland and give up thirty five offensive points. If

829
00:40:48,680 --> 00:40:51,480
Speaker 1: you had the kind of defensive ineptitude you had last year,

830
00:40:51,600 --> 00:40:53,520
Speaker 1: I don't think they'll have that. The question is not

831
00:40:53,600 --> 00:40:56,000
Speaker 1: will they improve. I would bet my last dollar. Yeah,

832
00:40:56,000 --> 00:40:58,719
Speaker 1: they're going to improve quantum leaps. Is it going to

833
00:40:58,719 --> 00:41:00,920
Speaker 1: be quantum enough to get inside the top ten in

834
00:41:00,960 --> 00:41:03,440
Speaker 1: the defensive metrics? I don't know if it's going to

835
00:41:03,520 --> 00:41:06,279
Speaker 1: be quite that big a springboard this year. The good

836
00:41:06,320 --> 00:41:09,120
Speaker 1: news is it doesn't have to be. If you promise me,

837
00:41:09,160 --> 00:41:12,440
Speaker 1: Ohio State's gonna have the nineteenth best defense in the

838
00:41:12,440 --> 00:41:14,960
Speaker 1: country this year. I think they'd be playing for a

839
00:41:15,040 --> 00:41:19,760
Speaker 1: national championship. So if you just get me, jim mister Knowles, Jimothy,

840
00:41:19,760 --> 00:41:21,360
Speaker 1: can I call you Jimothy? Just give me in the

841
00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:23,680
Speaker 1: top twenty at top ten, we can worry about that

842
00:41:23,719 --> 00:41:26,200
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty three. You don't tell Ryan Day I

843
00:41:26,280 --> 00:41:29,800
Speaker 1: said this, but nineteenth seventeenth it's going to be plenty

844
00:41:29,840 --> 00:41:31,440
Speaker 1: good enough for us. This year. We got a guy

845
00:41:31,520 --> 00:41:34,880
Speaker 1: named CJ. Stroud, and he's throwing to guys like Jackson

846
00:41:34,920 --> 00:41:38,800
Speaker 1: Smith and Jigba. Some people, by the way around Buckeye

847
00:41:38,800 --> 00:41:42,440
Speaker 1: water Coolers think Marvin Harrison Junior will end up being

848
00:41:42,440 --> 00:41:47,640
Speaker 1: the better receiver. And look, if you're right, that means

849
00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:50,160
Speaker 1: Smith and Jigba could be like a top ten draft

850
00:41:50,160 --> 00:41:53,439
Speaker 1: pick and still not be the highest taken draft pick

851
00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:55,800
Speaker 1: in that receiver room, which is kind of an ongoing

852
00:41:55,840 --> 00:41:59,839
Speaker 1: theme for them now. So Jim Knowles, yes, he's got

853
00:41:59,840 --> 00:42:02,280
Speaker 1: it shore on his hands. He doesn't have a bear cupboard.

854
00:42:02,520 --> 00:42:05,680
Speaker 1: I think they'll be a top twenty defense, but top ten.

855
00:42:06,000 --> 00:42:08,759
Speaker 1: I put that one at a seven. Not out of

856
00:42:08,760 --> 00:42:11,399
Speaker 1: the realm of possibility, but it's bold enough to make

857
00:42:11,400 --> 00:42:14,960
Speaker 1: the segment next up. This one is a significant amount boulder.

858
00:42:15,000 --> 00:42:19,600
Speaker 1: I think Nate said, Iowa the Hawkeyes, they're gonna win

859
00:42:19,640 --> 00:42:23,320
Speaker 1: ten games again and win the Big Ten this year.

860
00:42:23,719 --> 00:42:27,239
Speaker 1: I made this one an eight and a half. Wait

861
00:42:27,239 --> 00:42:29,120
Speaker 1: a second, I didn't even notice the last part. They're

862
00:42:29,160 --> 00:42:30,960
Speaker 1: gonna win the Big Ten. Okay, that's a nine and

863
00:42:31,000 --> 00:42:33,600
Speaker 1: a quarter just on the fly. Change there, nine and

864
00:42:33,640 --> 00:42:37,200
Speaker 1: a quarter. I don't know why we have to add

865
00:42:37,200 --> 00:42:40,719
Speaker 1: these addendums, but we do so. To win the Big Ten, yeah,

866
00:42:40,760 --> 00:42:42,359
Speaker 1: you're gonna have to have double digit wins to even

867
00:42:42,400 --> 00:42:44,960
Speaker 1: play for the title. But to win the Big Ten, yeah,

868
00:42:44,640 --> 00:42:48,680
Speaker 1: that's a lofty, lofty ask of Iowa. You know why.

869
00:42:48,960 --> 00:42:52,480
Speaker 1: You have to have good quarterback play by default, no

870
00:42:52,480 --> 00:42:54,879
Speaker 1: matter who you play from the other division, you're gonna

871
00:42:54,880 --> 00:42:57,600
Speaker 1: have to have really good quarterback play. They don't have that.

872
00:42:58,200 --> 00:43:01,120
Speaker 1: This is a bad offense. It was a bad offense

873
00:43:01,200 --> 00:43:04,719
Speaker 1: last year, and special teams and opportunistic defense won them

874
00:43:04,719 --> 00:43:08,560
Speaker 1: some games. It is not a duplicable formula. I know

875
00:43:09,120 --> 00:43:11,759
Speaker 1: people kept saying that last year, me included, and I

876
00:43:11,840 --> 00:43:14,640
Speaker 1: know Iowa kept proving them wrong. We're talking about a

877
00:43:14,640 --> 00:43:17,360
Speaker 1: different standard here. They're over underwent total is seven and

878
00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:21,200
Speaker 1: a half. To be clear, the prediction is they win

879
00:43:21,600 --> 00:43:24,600
Speaker 1: the West, they win the Big Ten. To do that,

880
00:43:25,120 --> 00:43:29,360
Speaker 1: you don't special teams and defense your way to those metrics,

881
00:43:29,480 --> 00:43:32,960
Speaker 1: to checking those boxes. You know, Spencer Petros or one

882
00:43:33,000 --> 00:43:35,840
Speaker 1: of those guys up there competing. They've got to actually

883
00:43:35,840 --> 00:43:39,080
Speaker 1: go win games for you. I just I don't think

884
00:43:39,160 --> 00:43:42,000
Speaker 1: I was equipped to win games. Now. Having said that,

885
00:43:42,360 --> 00:43:44,040
Speaker 1: you know, if we were to talk about them winning

886
00:43:44,040 --> 00:43:47,440
Speaker 1: the division and winning eight or nine games, well, that's

887
00:43:47,440 --> 00:43:49,520
Speaker 1: a different that's a different reality and one that I

888
00:43:49,520 --> 00:43:51,360
Speaker 1: could get on board with because I think they'll have

889
00:43:51,400 --> 00:43:53,719
Speaker 1: a really good team this year. I could very well

890
00:43:53,760 --> 00:43:56,839
Speaker 1: be up there for that Michigan game. But the other

891
00:43:56,880 --> 00:43:59,720
Speaker 1: thing to keep in mind here is they draw Ohio

892
00:43:59,760 --> 00:44:04,000
Speaker 1: State Michigan from the East. They play Michigan October first.

893
00:44:04,120 --> 00:44:06,279
Speaker 1: They go to Ohio State a couple of weeks later

894
00:44:06,440 --> 00:44:08,560
Speaker 1: on October twenty second, they playing both in the same month.

895
00:44:09,040 --> 00:44:12,160
Speaker 1: They wrap up with Wisconsin at Minnesota Nebraska. They got

896
00:44:12,160 --> 00:44:14,440
Speaker 1: Purdue in November two, so it's not the easiest. It's

897
00:44:14,480 --> 00:44:18,040
Speaker 1: not the easiest November they I think all all those

898
00:44:18,080 --> 00:44:20,200
Speaker 1: games are in Division two. Look, I can get on

899
00:44:20,239 --> 00:44:21,839
Speaker 1: board if you want to go eight wins and they

900
00:44:21,840 --> 00:44:24,600
Speaker 1: win the division, although that'll be tough too just cause

901
00:44:24,600 --> 00:44:28,879
Speaker 1: of the schedule draw. But going beyond that, that's really

902
00:44:28,880 --> 00:44:33,799
Speaker 1: hard for me to get my hands around. Lastly, I

903
00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:36,440
Speaker 1: put a nine on this one. Nine on the boldness scale.

904
00:44:36,719 --> 00:44:39,040
Speaker 1: Justin said Alabama's going to lose to both the Texas

905
00:44:39,040 --> 00:44:42,520
Speaker 1: teams they play. There are point spreads available on both

906
00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:44,680
Speaker 1: of these games. Bama goes to Texas in week two,

907
00:44:44,719 --> 00:44:48,480
Speaker 1: They're favored by over fifteen points. They play Texas a

908
00:44:48,560 --> 00:44:53,640
Speaker 1: and m early October in Tuscaloosa. They're favored by a

909
00:44:53,719 --> 00:44:56,160
Speaker 1: little over two touchdowns in that one think the current

910
00:44:56,239 --> 00:44:58,440
Speaker 1: number is fourteen and a half. So we've got numbers

911
00:44:58,480 --> 00:45:02,080
Speaker 1: on both these games already highly unlikely that they outright

912
00:45:02,120 --> 00:45:04,760
Speaker 1: lose either one of them, much less both of them.

913
00:45:05,160 --> 00:45:08,359
Speaker 1: The matchup nightmare for Texas in Week two cannot be overstated.

914
00:45:08,680 --> 00:45:11,840
Speaker 1: You got a brand new offensive line, brand new quarterback

915
00:45:11,880 --> 00:45:14,880
Speaker 1: facing the best pass rush we will have seen in

916
00:45:14,920 --> 00:45:17,799
Speaker 1: college football in quite some time in Will Anderson and

917
00:45:17,960 --> 00:45:21,880
Speaker 1: Dallas Turner and Chris braswell. I mean, Pete Golding is

918
00:45:22,600 --> 00:45:27,120
Speaker 1: committing FCC violations in Tuscaloosa earlier today. At how excited

919
00:45:27,160 --> 00:45:29,520
Speaker 1: he is to get his Dime Rabbits package on the field.

920
00:45:30,040 --> 00:45:32,480
Speaker 1: That's how excited they don't even care about offense. Man,

921
00:45:32,600 --> 00:45:33,920
Speaker 1: this is going to be one of those years with

922
00:45:33,960 --> 00:45:36,440
Speaker 1: Bama where you get excited when the punt team goes

923
00:45:36,480 --> 00:45:38,719
Speaker 1: out there because it may be more exciting to watch

924
00:45:38,760 --> 00:45:42,280
Speaker 1: their defense than their offense. And they return a Heisman

925
00:45:42,520 --> 00:45:46,120
Speaker 1: quarterback on that offense. So I know what I just said.

926
00:45:46,360 --> 00:45:49,120
Speaker 1: It's just a generational, potentially a generational pass rush for

927
00:45:49,120 --> 00:45:52,600
Speaker 1: them this year. But even having said that, I asked

928
00:45:52,640 --> 00:45:55,319
Speaker 1: producer Jesse when he was doing his stats and info

929
00:45:55,440 --> 00:45:58,200
Speaker 1: duties today, when has this happened? Because if A and

930
00:45:58,320 --> 00:46:00,279
Speaker 1: M were to beat him, that would be back to

931
00:46:00,280 --> 00:46:02,840
Speaker 1: back wins. Obviously in the regular season for a team

932
00:46:02,960 --> 00:46:05,600
Speaker 1: over Nick Saban and Alabama. How often has it happened?

933
00:46:05,640 --> 00:46:07,200
Speaker 1: I know we got a lot of Obama fans watching.

934
00:46:07,520 --> 00:46:09,720
Speaker 1: Think to yourself, I'm gonna give you like ten seconds.

935
00:46:11,000 --> 00:46:15,560
Speaker 1: How many times has a team beaten Nick Saban's Alabama

936
00:46:15,600 --> 00:46:18,359
Speaker 1: in back to back regular seasons? I think most of

937
00:46:18,400 --> 00:46:21,160
Speaker 1: you remember one of them because one of them was

938
00:46:21,200 --> 00:46:24,640
Speaker 1: Ole Miss in twenty fifteen and twenty sixteen. Do you

939
00:46:24,800 --> 00:46:28,800
Speaker 1: remember the other one? It's not been Auburn, hadn't been Georgia,

940
00:46:29,080 --> 00:46:32,760
Speaker 1: not Florida, it has not been any other division opponent

941
00:46:33,440 --> 00:46:36,840
Speaker 1: except the one down in Baton Rouge twenty ten and

942
00:46:36,920 --> 00:46:41,480
Speaker 1: twenty eleven. Less Miles and LSU beat Nick Saban and Alabama.

943
00:46:42,000 --> 00:46:44,759
Speaker 1: The reason you forgot that is because Bama went right

944
00:46:44,800 --> 00:46:46,920
Speaker 1: back and beat him in the National Championship Game that

945
00:46:47,000 --> 00:46:49,440
Speaker 1: year and kind of erased all those memories. So two

946
00:46:49,520 --> 00:46:54,239
Speaker 1: times it's happened. I do not necessarily expect this to

947
00:46:54,280 --> 00:46:56,759
Speaker 1: be the third. But that's why they play the game

948
00:46:56,920 --> 00:46:59,360
Speaker 1: so bold prediction Chapter twenty nine had a lot of boldness.

949
00:46:59,360 --> 00:47:03,280
Speaker 1: We had multiple nine or HighRes in this one, including

950
00:47:03,320 --> 00:47:06,880
Speaker 1: that last one. They're watching us in Clarksville, Tennessee, Tempe, Arizona,

951
00:47:07,400 --> 00:47:10,879
Speaker 1: and Pittsburgh, Texas. But I also have it on good

952
00:47:10,880 --> 00:47:13,640
Speaker 1: authority got at least a viewer or two in Pittsburgh,

953
00:47:13,640 --> 00:47:17,120
Speaker 1: PA tonight too. I had a good week last week.

954
00:47:17,160 --> 00:47:18,759
Speaker 1: I know it wasn't good that we didn't have a

955
00:47:18,760 --> 00:47:22,040
Speaker 1: show Thursday, but like I said, had to give some

956
00:47:22,080 --> 00:47:24,359
Speaker 1: folks some time off around here called our next off

957
00:47:24,440 --> 00:47:28,960
Speaker 1: days Thanksgiving. But last week we had an event here

958
00:47:29,160 --> 00:47:30,960
Speaker 1: kind of closed to the media, close to the public,

959
00:47:31,040 --> 00:47:34,000
Speaker 1: but a lot of really really bright folks from the

960
00:47:34,040 --> 00:47:37,279
Speaker 1: world of personnel and recruiting were in Nashville and we

961
00:47:37,320 --> 00:47:40,600
Speaker 1: had the Personnel and Recruiting Symposium. They let me participate

962
00:47:40,680 --> 00:47:42,080
Speaker 1: in it, had a couple of our guys over there

963
00:47:42,080 --> 00:47:44,920
Speaker 1: participating in it. There were a lot of problems that

964
00:47:44,960 --> 00:47:47,680
Speaker 1: were presented. Had just a ballroom here at the OMNI

965
00:47:47,680 --> 00:47:51,000
Speaker 1: and Nashville had a ballroom full of folks. But we

966
00:47:51,040 --> 00:47:53,560
Speaker 1: had problems presented, and then here was the refreshing part

967
00:47:53,880 --> 00:47:57,920
Speaker 1: and solutions that were presented. Everyone's good at pointing out

968
00:47:57,960 --> 00:48:00,000
Speaker 1: the problems. A blind man can see a lot of

969
00:48:00,120 --> 00:48:03,480
Speaker 1: the problems in our sport right now? How many solutions?

970
00:48:03,760 --> 00:48:06,880
Speaker 1: How many solutions that can be implemented? How many functional

971
00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:10,200
Speaker 1: solutions do you have? Far fewer? Well, this room was

972
00:48:10,239 --> 00:48:12,839
Speaker 1: not short on ideas. I can assure you of that. Now,

973
00:48:13,000 --> 00:48:15,279
Speaker 1: let me tell you the most common themes that I

974
00:48:15,280 --> 00:48:17,080
Speaker 1: picked up. I cannot share a lot of what was

975
00:48:17,080 --> 00:48:19,799
Speaker 1: talked about with you, but I can share some of

976
00:48:19,800 --> 00:48:23,560
Speaker 1: my thoughts with you. I have been talking to as

977
00:48:23,640 --> 00:48:26,239
Speaker 1: many personnel and recruiting people over the past few months

978
00:48:26,239 --> 00:48:30,040
Speaker 1: as I possibly can, and I swear to you every

979
00:48:30,080 --> 00:48:32,520
Speaker 1: time I talk to one of these people, they either

980
00:48:32,560 --> 00:48:35,799
Speaker 1: say one of the following things. They either say, we're

981
00:48:35,800 --> 00:48:39,440
Speaker 1: only doing one thing because everyone else does it. You know,

982
00:48:39,480 --> 00:48:42,200
Speaker 1: we'd love to stop, but we can't because they're doing it,

983
00:48:42,200 --> 00:48:43,839
Speaker 1: so we got to do it to keep up. They

984
00:48:43,840 --> 00:48:47,359
Speaker 1: either say it like that, or they say, well, we

985
00:48:47,520 --> 00:48:50,120
Speaker 1: would do it if everyone else had to. You know,

986
00:48:50,160 --> 00:48:53,319
Speaker 1: there's some things we want to do, but until it's mandated,

987
00:48:53,440 --> 00:48:56,080
Speaker 1: it would be a competitive disadvantage for just us to

988
00:48:56,160 --> 00:49:00,840
Speaker 1: do it, or we'd stop if everyone else had to stop.

989
00:49:01,200 --> 00:49:03,200
Speaker 1: There's some things that we do now in a necessity,

990
00:49:03,200 --> 00:49:04,560
Speaker 1: but we really don't want to do it. We just

991
00:49:04,640 --> 00:49:06,440
Speaker 1: we got to do it because everyone else is doing it,

992
00:49:06,440 --> 00:49:09,680
Speaker 1: which kind of sounds like the first one. Can we

993
00:49:09,719 --> 00:49:14,480
Speaker 1: all agree on some of the problems, and I want

994
00:49:14,520 --> 00:49:16,799
Speaker 1: to I know we're going to have a minority that

995
00:49:16,840 --> 00:49:19,000
Speaker 1: says some of these things aren't problems. I know I'm

996
00:49:19,000 --> 00:49:20,759
Speaker 1: not going to have one hundred percent consensus on this.

997
00:49:21,280 --> 00:49:24,600
Speaker 1: I am going to have a vast majority of you

998
00:49:24,640 --> 00:49:27,040
Speaker 1: agree with these things though. So if you're in the minority,

999
00:49:27,680 --> 00:49:29,920
Speaker 1: just sit back and listen. I think most of you

1000
00:49:30,040 --> 00:49:33,760
Speaker 1: agree that thousands upon thousands of names in the transfer

1001
00:49:33,840 --> 00:49:37,400
Speaker 1: portal is not a great thing for the sport. Whether

1002
00:49:37,440 --> 00:49:39,000
Speaker 1: you should have the right to do it or not

1003
00:49:39,320 --> 00:49:42,280
Speaker 1: is not what I'm presenting to you tonight. The fact

1004
00:49:42,320 --> 00:49:45,880
Speaker 1: that it's going on thousands of kids and a lot

1005
00:49:45,920 --> 00:49:47,960
Speaker 1: of them being left out in the cold, but thousands

1006
00:49:48,000 --> 00:49:50,240
Speaker 1: of kids feeling the need to get in the transfer

1007
00:49:50,320 --> 00:49:53,080
Speaker 1: portal and head for what they hope will be greener pastures.

1008
00:49:53,480 --> 00:49:56,800
Speaker 1: It's not exactly healthy, nor is it really sustainable frankly,

1009
00:49:56,960 --> 00:50:01,280
Speaker 1: for the sport. Also, staff burns out is a critical

1010
00:50:01,320 --> 00:50:04,080
Speaker 1: problem right now, not just on the coaching side of things,

1011
00:50:04,280 --> 00:50:06,799
Speaker 1: but also on the personnel and recruiting staff side of

1012
00:50:06,840 --> 00:50:09,520
Speaker 1: things because you've got a college football calendar right now

1013
00:50:09,840 --> 00:50:14,200
Speaker 1: that's kind of unsustainable. You're recruiting four classes, you're simultaneously

1014
00:50:14,200 --> 00:50:17,600
Speaker 1: recruiting your own roster because of the transfer portals year round,

1015
00:50:17,880 --> 00:50:20,960
Speaker 1: and that's before you even fulfill your on field duties.

1016
00:50:21,480 --> 00:50:23,719
Speaker 1: And it's just it's something that's chasing a lot of

1017
00:50:23,719 --> 00:50:26,200
Speaker 1: folks away from the game. Also, the rules change on

1018
00:50:26,280 --> 00:50:28,760
Speaker 1: you every year, so you can't have any forward thinking.

1019
00:50:28,760 --> 00:50:31,719
Speaker 1: You can't plan or map out because everyone's going to

1020
00:50:32,000 --> 00:50:33,840
Speaker 1: eventually know that the etcha sketch is going to be

1021
00:50:33,880 --> 00:50:35,919
Speaker 1: taken from left to right, and then we start fresh

1022
00:50:35,960 --> 00:50:39,080
Speaker 1: because we've got a new set of rules. So you

1023
00:50:39,120 --> 00:50:41,960
Speaker 1: can here. This is kind of part that aggravates me

1024
00:50:41,960 --> 00:50:45,560
Speaker 1: a little bit. You can have one of three reactions

1025
00:50:45,600 --> 00:50:47,239
Speaker 1: to the current state of college football. You can need

1026
00:50:47,239 --> 00:50:48,480
Speaker 1: to look at it and say, well, you guys make

1027
00:50:48,520 --> 00:50:50,080
Speaker 1: a lot of money, just deal with it, which is

1028
00:50:50,120 --> 00:50:53,239
Speaker 1: the dumbest take. Or you can say I don't know

1029
00:50:53,360 --> 00:50:55,319
Speaker 1: what the solution is, so I just say we don't

1030
00:50:55,320 --> 00:50:58,040
Speaker 1: touch anything. That's the weakest take. Or you can look

1031
00:50:58,080 --> 00:51:00,000
Speaker 1: at it and say let's just get the smartest folks

1032
00:51:00,160 --> 00:51:03,080
Speaker 1: in the room and don't let them come out until

1033
00:51:03,080 --> 00:51:06,960
Speaker 1: they have solutions, and that's the wisest take, and not

1034
00:51:07,080 --> 00:51:09,640
Speaker 1: that there were decisions that were made and then etched

1035
00:51:09,719 --> 00:51:12,239
Speaker 1: in stone last week here in Nashville. But we had

1036
00:51:12,280 --> 00:51:14,600
Speaker 1: a lot of folks, I mean, some big names, names

1037
00:51:14,600 --> 00:51:19,279
Speaker 1: you to recognize, that were in town and tried and

1038
00:51:19,320 --> 00:51:21,440
Speaker 1: I think it was a very fruitful exercise to not

1039
00:51:21,480 --> 00:51:23,880
Speaker 1: only present the problems but a lot of solutions. And

1040
00:51:23,920 --> 00:51:26,360
Speaker 1: I'll tell you, I know I was up there moderating

1041
00:51:26,360 --> 00:51:28,640
Speaker 1: a panel with some of them, and I think, especially

1042
00:51:28,640 --> 00:51:31,160
Speaker 1: the last day, there was some really good and in

1043
00:51:31,160 --> 00:51:34,880
Speaker 1: some cases fiery back and forth conversation about what the

1044
00:51:34,920 --> 00:51:37,200
Speaker 1: best path forward for the sport is. But I'll tell

1045
00:51:37,200 --> 00:51:39,040
Speaker 1: you I agreed with a lot of it, and I'm

1046
00:51:39,040 --> 00:51:41,279
Speaker 1: going to present some of it to you here if

1047
00:51:41,320 --> 00:51:45,000
Speaker 1: you really wanted to solve the fundamental problem here. The

1048
00:51:45,040 --> 00:51:48,839
Speaker 1: fundamental problem is the entire process has been sped up

1049
00:51:48,840 --> 00:51:51,439
Speaker 1: too much. If you think about what recruiting is now,

1050
00:51:51,719 --> 00:51:54,720
Speaker 1: it's been sped up a lot, and not the least

1051
00:51:54,760 --> 00:51:59,080
Speaker 1: of which is attributed to not only the early signing day.

1052
00:51:59,120 --> 00:52:00,800
Speaker 1: I don't have a problem with that in and of itself,

1053
00:52:01,000 --> 00:52:03,920
Speaker 1: but every time you implement something that bumps up the calendar,

1054
00:52:04,080 --> 00:52:06,840
Speaker 1: everything subsequently behind it has to be bumped up, so

1055
00:52:06,920 --> 00:52:10,279
Speaker 1: kids get offered earlier because then they commit earlier. And

1056
00:52:10,320 --> 00:52:13,359
Speaker 1: then also you've got some guys that are ending up

1057
00:52:13,400 --> 00:52:16,680
Speaker 1: places that had they gone deeper in the process, they

1058
00:52:16,719 --> 00:52:19,320
Speaker 1: probably wouldn't have ended up at, but they felt pressured

1059
00:52:19,320 --> 00:52:21,640
Speaker 1: to commit earlier, and as a result, they don't stick

1060
00:52:21,680 --> 00:52:24,319
Speaker 1: as long. And you've got a transfer portal mess on

1061
00:52:24,360 --> 00:52:28,120
Speaker 1: your hands every cycle. And it's just it's correctable. It

1062
00:52:28,120 --> 00:52:30,560
Speaker 1: doesn't have to be this way. A lot of the

1063
00:52:30,600 --> 00:52:32,719
Speaker 1: problems in the sport don't have to be this way.

1064
00:52:32,800 --> 00:52:34,880
Speaker 1: I'll tell you two things I agreed with last week.

1065
00:52:35,080 --> 00:52:38,160
Speaker 1: I agree that we should switch right now to the

1066
00:52:38,200 --> 00:52:42,120
Speaker 1: Olympic Sports model, which means you do not have the

1067
00:52:42,160 --> 00:52:44,319
Speaker 1: ability to commit to a program or even get an

1068
00:52:44,400 --> 00:52:48,240
Speaker 1: offer until September of your junior year in high school.

1069
00:52:48,520 --> 00:52:51,480
Speaker 1: Another thing I agree with is I wish we did

1070
00:52:51,520 --> 00:52:55,360
Speaker 1: a way with the vagueness of what constitutes an offer.

1071
00:52:56,120 --> 00:52:59,600
Speaker 1: You have a national database that's public, and if you've

1072
00:52:59,640 --> 00:53:02,160
Speaker 1: got an it's in that database. There's no more of

1073
00:53:02,200 --> 00:53:06,360
Speaker 1: this committable or uncommittable offer nonsense. If you got an offer,

1074
00:53:06,600 --> 00:53:09,400
Speaker 1: it's in a database and you can take it today,

1075
00:53:09,719 --> 00:53:12,359
Speaker 1: and if you take it today, you're locked in. They

1076
00:53:12,400 --> 00:53:15,359
Speaker 1: can't rescind it. They can't change that offer once they've

1077
00:53:15,400 --> 00:53:17,520
Speaker 1: evaluated you further. I'll tell you what that would do.

1078
00:53:17,920 --> 00:53:21,040
Speaker 1: It would do number of things. It would greatly decrease

1079
00:53:21,560 --> 00:53:24,440
Speaker 1: the rush. It would greatly slow down the cycle. It

1080
00:53:24,480 --> 00:53:27,080
Speaker 1: would make it so that no one has a leg

1081
00:53:27,160 --> 00:53:29,400
Speaker 1: up on you. A lot of folks offer three and

1082
00:53:29,520 --> 00:53:32,160
Speaker 1: four hundred kids by the time they're juniors, not because

1083
00:53:32,200 --> 00:53:35,160
Speaker 1: they really want to, but because they think our rivals,

1084
00:53:35,160 --> 00:53:37,200
Speaker 1: our competitors, are doing it. We've got to do it.

1085
00:53:37,560 --> 00:53:40,799
Speaker 1: Slow it down for everyone. Everyone wants it to slow down.

1086
00:53:40,960 --> 00:53:44,479
Speaker 1: This would greatly alleviate a lot of staff burden right now,

1087
00:53:44,600 --> 00:53:47,000
Speaker 1: and a lot of strain on staffs where they're recruiting

1088
00:53:47,000 --> 00:53:49,600
Speaker 1: four classes at the same time, also having to recruit

1089
00:53:49,640 --> 00:53:53,000
Speaker 1: their own roster at the same time. It would guard

1090
00:53:53,040 --> 00:53:55,719
Speaker 1: against a lot of the forms of entitlement that you

1091
00:53:55,800 --> 00:53:58,040
Speaker 1: see creep in at the high school level when kids

1092
00:53:58,040 --> 00:54:01,560
Speaker 1: have already committed and do not have any incentive in

1093
00:54:01,600 --> 00:54:04,359
Speaker 1: some cases to play their senior years, or at least

1094
00:54:04,440 --> 00:54:07,360
Speaker 1: play them and participate in them the way they normally would.

1095
00:54:07,800 --> 00:54:11,560
Speaker 1: It would inject the ability to maybe evaluate kids in

1096
00:54:11,600 --> 00:54:13,560
Speaker 1: their senior years a lot more than you have the

1097
00:54:13,600 --> 00:54:16,480
Speaker 1: ability to now, Because what would all of a sudden

1098
00:54:16,560 --> 00:54:19,239
Speaker 1: happen if you had to back up the offers that

1099
00:54:19,320 --> 00:54:22,680
Speaker 1: you gave kids and you weren't able to offer them

1100
00:54:22,719 --> 00:54:25,160
Speaker 1: until their junior years. You'd have to be a lot

1101
00:54:25,239 --> 00:54:27,839
Speaker 1: more careful, wouldn't you. You'd have to be a lot

1102
00:54:27,880 --> 00:54:30,879
Speaker 1: more careful and sure of the offers that you gave out,

1103
00:54:30,960 --> 00:54:32,959
Speaker 1: which means you wouldn't give out as many of them

1104
00:54:33,360 --> 00:54:36,160
Speaker 1: up front, and it would mean that you got a

1105
00:54:36,160 --> 00:54:39,880
Speaker 1: lot more time to evaluate kids, got deeper into the cycle,

1106
00:54:40,400 --> 00:54:43,880
Speaker 1: staffs didn't get burned out, and you had kids making

1107
00:54:44,120 --> 00:54:47,640
Speaker 1: overall better decisions because they will be more informed decisions.

1108
00:54:48,000 --> 00:54:50,239
Speaker 1: You will have staffs more sure of the offers that

1109
00:54:50,239 --> 00:54:53,640
Speaker 1: they're making. And why do I get the feeling than

1110
00:54:53,680 --> 00:54:57,160
Speaker 1: if I combined all of those realities, we would see

1111
00:54:57,200 --> 00:55:00,640
Speaker 1: a mass decrease in the amount of transfer portal churn

1112
00:55:00,800 --> 00:55:03,960
Speaker 1: that we had every year. These are common sense practices

1113
00:55:04,160 --> 00:55:07,719
Speaker 1: that could be put in place. There is nothing short

1114
00:55:07,760 --> 00:55:11,960
Speaker 1: of common sense standing between this sport and adopting that model.

1115
00:55:12,480 --> 00:55:14,319
Speaker 1: One of the pushbacks that I heard from our own

1116
00:55:14,360 --> 00:55:19,120
Speaker 1: Cooper protegnat actually on implementing the Olympic model is, well,

1117
00:55:19,719 --> 00:55:22,640
Speaker 1: you know, I don't think two years is enough time

1118
00:55:23,200 --> 00:55:25,839
Speaker 1: to put on a kid's plate to get out there

1119
00:55:25,880 --> 00:55:29,160
Speaker 1: and visit campuses and make their decisions. Well, I think

1120
00:55:29,200 --> 00:55:31,480
Speaker 1: one of the exceptions that was made here is you

1121
00:55:31,520 --> 00:55:34,560
Speaker 1: can go to camps before that, and number two, nothing

1122
00:55:34,560 --> 00:55:37,360
Speaker 1: stops you from just going on your own dime. But

1123
00:55:37,600 --> 00:55:41,880
Speaker 1: before your junior year, it's not happening. I hear the argument,

1124
00:55:42,960 --> 00:55:45,480
Speaker 1: but I think it's worth the trade off. You not

1125
00:55:45,560 --> 00:55:47,839
Speaker 1: being able to go and visit Auburn your sophomore year

1126
00:55:47,880 --> 00:55:50,719
Speaker 1: of high school is a fair trade off for all

1127
00:55:50,760 --> 00:55:53,319
Speaker 1: the things that I think I gain from implementing that.

1128
00:55:53,920 --> 00:55:55,880
Speaker 1: Another thing, and this is kind of more funny to me,

1129
00:55:55,960 --> 00:55:57,520
Speaker 1: but I know it's dead serious to a lot of

1130
00:55:57,520 --> 00:56:03,360
Speaker 1: these staffs. Is I have never heard one concept so

1131
00:56:03,560 --> 00:56:08,799
Speaker 1: roundly demonized as photo shoots are demonized. Everyone hates them.

1132
00:56:09,200 --> 00:56:11,719
Speaker 1: I don't even like looking at them, and I get it,

1133
00:56:12,040 --> 00:56:14,040
Speaker 1: I don't like looking at them. Though, for those of

1134
00:56:14,040 --> 00:56:17,200
Speaker 1: you unfamiliar, this is kind of the thing that happens now.

1135
00:56:17,600 --> 00:56:20,760
Speaker 1: It doesn't matter if I visited South Carolina fifteen times.

1136
00:56:21,040 --> 00:56:24,080
Speaker 1: My sixteenth visit up there. They're probably putting the jersey

1137
00:56:24,120 --> 00:56:26,400
Speaker 1: on me. I'm probably gonna get myself a photo shoot. Now,

1138
00:56:26,440 --> 00:56:28,719
Speaker 1: some kids turn it down, and those kids are paid

1139
00:56:28,719 --> 00:56:33,439
Speaker 1: state material, believe me. But it's just it's something you do.

1140
00:56:33,560 --> 00:56:36,000
Speaker 1: I mean. We had also the topic brought up last

1141
00:56:36,040 --> 00:56:38,800
Speaker 1: week of you know what kind of rubbed some people

1142
00:56:38,840 --> 00:56:41,680
Speaker 1: the wrong way is how freely that some of these

1143
00:56:41,680 --> 00:56:45,239
Speaker 1: programs throw their jersey on a kid who has not

1144
00:56:45,280 --> 00:56:48,480
Speaker 1: committed to their program yet. They let them hold up

1145
00:56:48,560 --> 00:56:51,160
Speaker 1: championship trophies and heismans that have been one at a

1146
00:56:51,239 --> 00:56:53,920
Speaker 1: university they're not a part of yet. And I know

1147
00:56:54,000 --> 00:56:55,759
Speaker 1: that this may make some of you laugh, but a

1148
00:56:55,760 --> 00:56:58,600
Speaker 1: lot of folks take that jersey really serious, and they

1149
00:56:58,680 --> 00:57:00,560
Speaker 1: take the folks who have gone through their and warn

1150
00:57:00,640 --> 00:57:03,400
Speaker 1: it really serious. And they don't think that thing should

1151
00:57:03,400 --> 00:57:05,600
Speaker 1: be warned by just anyone. They don't think that trophy

1152
00:57:05,640 --> 00:57:08,120
Speaker 1: should be held by just anyone. Now, is it a

1153
00:57:08,200 --> 00:57:11,000
Speaker 1: necessary evil to attract high school kids to eventually come

1154
00:57:11,040 --> 00:57:13,800
Speaker 1: play for you? Maybe so, But at the very least

1155
00:57:14,320 --> 00:57:16,680
Speaker 1: I appreciate how serious a lot of people are about that.

1156
00:57:17,160 --> 00:57:20,800
Speaker 1: The amount of mail that gets sent out is absurd,

1157
00:57:21,480 --> 00:57:24,800
Speaker 1: The amount of physical mail that gets sent to recruits

1158
00:57:25,000 --> 00:57:29,440
Speaker 1: is absurd. And there was some talk last week about

1159
00:57:29,440 --> 00:57:34,040
Speaker 1: this topic. Everyone was on board with saying, we all

1160
00:57:34,080 --> 00:57:37,400
Speaker 1: know it's wasteful. We'd stop doing it if everyone else

1161
00:57:37,360 --> 00:57:38,720
Speaker 1: has stopped doing it. Of course, no one's going to

1162
00:57:38,800 --> 00:57:41,400
Speaker 1: voluntarily stop doing it, and so instead you're spending six

1163
00:57:41,440 --> 00:57:45,720
Speaker 1: figures per year on a printing and graphics and shipping budget.

1164
00:57:46,320 --> 00:57:49,040
Speaker 1: And just think about how many people you could hire

1165
00:57:49,600 --> 00:57:52,520
Speaker 1: with the budget, and you guys are putting into mailers

1166
00:57:52,840 --> 00:57:56,200
Speaker 1: for recruits seventy plus percent of Marny being opened by

1167
00:57:56,240 --> 00:57:58,800
Speaker 1: the way. You know how many more people you could

1168
00:57:58,880 --> 00:58:01,080
Speaker 1: hire with that money. You know how many kids that

1169
00:58:01,120 --> 00:58:04,320
Speaker 1: you could actually give an opportunity to work in your program.

1170
00:58:05,320 --> 00:58:08,240
Speaker 1: These are some very common sense things, very common sense.

1171
00:58:08,600 --> 00:58:09,880
Speaker 1: I was very happy to be a part of it

1172
00:58:09,960 --> 00:58:12,240
Speaker 1: last week. I am going to continue to be an

1173
00:58:12,280 --> 00:58:14,800
Speaker 1: active part of trying to amplify a lot of that

1174
00:58:14,840 --> 00:58:17,920
Speaker 1: messaging because there's no reason the sport cannot adopt some

1175
00:58:18,040 --> 00:58:22,080
Speaker 1: cannot adopt some of this, no reason whatsoever. Next up,

1176
00:58:23,040 --> 00:58:25,840
Speaker 1: I cannot believe we're going to talk about this, but

1177
00:58:25,920 --> 00:58:28,040
Speaker 1: we're going to. I appreciate you guys being tuned in

1178
00:58:28,080 --> 00:58:30,680
Speaker 1: we Hey, we're almost at a thousand likes, so let's

1179
00:58:30,680 --> 00:58:32,920
Speaker 1: go ahead and get to a thousand likes. Just thumbs up.

1180
00:58:33,400 --> 00:58:37,720
Speaker 1: It looks like this for those unfamiliar thumbs up. Let's

1181
00:58:37,760 --> 00:58:40,720
Speaker 1: get to the last question. I really wanted to avoid this.

1182
00:58:40,920 --> 00:58:43,440
Speaker 1: I promise you guys, I did, but we're not going

1183
00:58:43,480 --> 00:58:48,280
Speaker 1: to avoid it. Josh's backup blue shirt that's the handle

1184
00:58:48,320 --> 00:58:52,200
Speaker 1: on Twitter asked for my thoughts on Nick Saban saying

1185
00:58:52,200 --> 00:58:55,960
Speaker 1: twenty twenty one was a rebuilding year. I cannot stress

1186
00:58:56,000 --> 00:58:58,280
Speaker 1: to you enough how much I wanted to avoid this.

1187
00:58:58,920 --> 00:59:01,880
Speaker 1: In the world of low handing fruit, this fruit has

1188
00:59:01,960 --> 00:59:04,800
Speaker 1: drugged the ground so much it is bruised on the bottom.

1189
00:59:05,360 --> 00:59:07,680
Speaker 1: I have no interest in talking about this, but you

1190
00:59:07,720 --> 00:59:09,040
Speaker 1: want to talk about it, so we're going to talk

1191
00:59:09,080 --> 00:59:13,120
Speaker 1: about it. Nick Saban last week, I believe he was

1192
00:59:13,160 --> 00:59:16,200
Speaker 1: on with Greg McElroy and Cole Kubrick, both friends of

1193
00:59:16,200 --> 00:59:20,320
Speaker 1: the program, and he said in passing that he viewed

1194
00:59:20,320 --> 00:59:24,080
Speaker 1: twenty twenty one for Alabama as a rebuilding year, and

1195
00:59:24,280 --> 00:59:28,600
Speaker 1: then the casuals did what the casuals do, and they

1196
00:59:28,680 --> 00:59:31,520
Speaker 1: listened to that in a vacuum, and they got mad

1197
00:59:31,560 --> 00:59:35,160
Speaker 1: at it. Of course, no serious person got mad at

1198
00:59:35,200 --> 00:59:38,040
Speaker 1: it because serious people know it doesn't matter, and serious

1199
00:59:38,120 --> 00:59:40,200
Speaker 1: people are out there will probably live in their day

1200
00:59:40,200 --> 00:59:41,800
Speaker 1: to day life and didn't even hear it. And even

1201
00:59:41,840 --> 00:59:44,360
Speaker 1: if they did, I don't care. If you can't stand

1202
00:59:44,440 --> 00:59:47,040
Speaker 1: Nick Saban, you probably listened to it and said huh,

1203
00:59:47,080 --> 00:59:49,680
Speaker 1: and then you moved on. But there were some casuals

1204
00:59:49,680 --> 00:59:52,200
Speaker 1: out there that took it a different way. So here's

1205
00:59:52,200 --> 00:59:54,680
Speaker 1: what I'm going to ask you, or here's what I'm

1206
00:59:54,680 --> 00:59:58,560
Speaker 1: going to suggest to you. I don't care, But if

1207
00:59:58,600 --> 01:00:02,240
Speaker 1: I did care enough, I would say I agree with him.

1208
01:00:02,480 --> 01:00:04,520
Speaker 1: How in the world do you not agree with him?

1209
01:00:05,040 --> 01:00:08,240
Speaker 1: This is what happens when you let casuals talk college

1210
01:00:08,240 --> 01:00:12,160
Speaker 1: football with you. They ignore the logic, They talk in vacuums,

1211
01:00:12,320 --> 01:00:14,439
Speaker 1: and they forget things like the fact that Bama, coming

1212
01:00:14,480 --> 01:00:17,320
Speaker 1: into twenty twenty one, was replacing eight of the top

1213
01:00:17,440 --> 01:00:19,920
Speaker 1: thirty eight picks in the NFL draft, including half a

1214
01:00:19,960 --> 01:00:23,120
Speaker 1: dozen first rounders, first round quarterback, first round running back,

1215
01:00:23,200 --> 01:00:26,720
Speaker 1: first round offensive tackle, two first round wide receivers, another

1216
01:00:26,760 --> 01:00:28,640
Speaker 1: guy at center who would have been a first rounder

1217
01:00:28,720 --> 01:00:31,680
Speaker 1: had he not gotten hurt. You had all that, you

1218
01:00:31,760 --> 01:00:35,560
Speaker 1: lost the best offensive cooridator stavement has had in Steve Sarkesian,

1219
01:00:35,960 --> 01:00:38,240
Speaker 1: and they almost lose to Florida on the road, They

1220
01:00:38,280 --> 01:00:40,080
Speaker 1: almost lose to Auburn on the road, didn't have a

1221
01:00:40,120 --> 01:00:42,800
Speaker 1: touchdown until late in the fourth quarter. They go into

1222
01:00:42,800 --> 01:00:45,840
Speaker 1: an m as a three touchdown favorite, lose outright, and

1223
01:00:45,920 --> 01:00:48,560
Speaker 1: yet they still win the SEC Championship. And that's about

1224
01:00:48,560 --> 01:00:52,520
Speaker 1: when casuals started paying attention and so in that little vacuum, Yeah,

1225
01:00:52,520 --> 01:00:55,120
Speaker 1: it sounds absurd if you call that a rebuilding year.

1226
01:00:55,360 --> 01:00:57,960
Speaker 1: Do you understand how insane it is? Bama was playing

1227
01:00:58,000 --> 01:01:01,120
Speaker 1: for the SEC championship last year, much less that they

1228
01:01:01,160 --> 01:01:03,720
Speaker 1: won it with no running game in sight. And then

1229
01:01:03,760 --> 01:01:06,000
Speaker 1: they go to the National Championship. The point is they

1230
01:01:06,040 --> 01:01:09,120
Speaker 1: had no business being there. Saban's built such a good

1231
01:01:09,160 --> 01:01:12,480
Speaker 1: program they got there anyway. That's the only program in

1232
01:01:12,520 --> 01:01:16,080
Speaker 1: America that is capable of almost winning a national title

1233
01:01:16,400 --> 01:01:19,640
Speaker 1: in what, by their standard, truly is a rebuilding year.

1234
01:01:19,920 --> 01:01:22,479
Speaker 1: He's not wrong in what he said. He's not wrong

1235
01:01:22,520 --> 01:01:24,800
Speaker 1: at all. And if you were paying attention to the

1236
01:01:24,840 --> 01:01:28,200
Speaker 1: sport throughout the entirety of last year, you get that. Also,

1237
01:01:28,280 --> 01:01:30,320
Speaker 1: if you were hanging around this show around this time

1238
01:01:30,400 --> 01:01:33,560
Speaker 1: last year, do you remember how many times on Lake Kick.

1239
01:01:33,800 --> 01:01:36,080
Speaker 1: I told you that, I thought, and a number of

1240
01:01:36,080 --> 01:01:39,320
Speaker 1: folks in the scouting world said about Alabama, if you're

1241
01:01:39,320 --> 01:01:40,600
Speaker 1: going to get them, you need to get him this

1242
01:01:40,640 --> 01:01:43,040
Speaker 1: year twenty twenty one, because twenty twenty two's team is

1243
01:01:43,040 --> 01:01:45,640
Speaker 1: going to be insane to try and deal with. It

1244
01:01:45,760 --> 01:01:48,080
Speaker 1: was a rebuilding year for him. He's not as just

1245
01:01:48,200 --> 01:01:50,960
Speaker 1: usually the case when Nick Saban talks about his own program,

1246
01:01:51,160 --> 01:01:54,160
Speaker 1: he wasn't wrong. People are idiots. I don't know what

1247
01:01:54,200 --> 01:01:56,920
Speaker 1: else to tell you. People are idiots. Let me rephrase.

1248
01:01:58,200 --> 01:02:01,720
Speaker 1: Good people can have idiotic Okay, smart people do say

1249
01:02:01,760 --> 01:02:05,640
Speaker 1: stupid things sometimes. Stupid people rarely say smart things. Smart

1250
01:02:05,680 --> 01:02:07,240
Speaker 1: people do say stupid things. So there were some smart

1251
01:02:07,240 --> 01:02:10,520
Speaker 1: people last week that fell for this and they said

1252
01:02:10,520 --> 01:02:13,320
Speaker 1: some stupid things about it. And in the words of

1253
01:02:13,520 --> 01:02:17,200
Speaker 1: former Alabama All American Forrest Gump, that's all I have

1254
01:02:17,240 --> 01:02:19,720
Speaker 1: to say about that. How dare you all attack him

1255
01:02:19,760 --> 01:02:23,080
Speaker 1: like this? I promised Bradley I'd get that in the

1256
01:02:23,120 --> 01:02:24,880
Speaker 1: show tonight because I'm gonna do something with that on

1257
01:02:24,920 --> 01:02:27,840
Speaker 1: Instagram later. I appreciate you guys more than you could

1258
01:02:27,880 --> 01:02:29,880
Speaker 1: ever know. Watching the show. We're right out an hour.

1259
01:02:30,720 --> 01:02:33,120
Speaker 1: We're probably gonna have shows at some point in August.

1260
01:02:33,160 --> 01:02:36,040
Speaker 1: Go an hour and a half and we'll be happy

1261
01:02:36,040 --> 01:02:39,200
Speaker 1: to do it because the season is here again. Thank

1262
01:02:39,240 --> 01:02:42,280
Speaker 1: you guys so much. Remember we're back to three nights

1263
01:02:42,320 --> 01:02:44,600
Speaker 1: per week, so we will not wait until Thursday. We

1264
01:02:44,640 --> 01:02:47,840
Speaker 1: will be back here the same time on Tuesday night.

1265
01:02:47,920 --> 01:02:50,240
Speaker 1: And before I go, I got to remind you that

1266
01:02:50,280 --> 01:02:51,960
Speaker 1: I'm doing it in my live chat as we speak.

1267
01:02:52,600 --> 01:02:55,240
Speaker 1: Am I Yes, I am. Payte State material dot com

1268
01:02:55,360 --> 01:02:57,800
Speaker 1: is open. The Late Kick store is open, so go

1269
01:02:57,880 --> 01:03:00,320
Speaker 1: check it out. New editions coming Tuesday. That's all I

1270
01:03:00,360 --> 01:03:02,520
Speaker 1: got to say about that too. So for producer Jesse,

1271
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Speaker 1: for direct Colin, I'm Josh Faith, have yourselves a great

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Speaker 1: start to your week. Take care if you got us