1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:04,840 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. 2 00:00:04,960 --> 00:00:13,520 Speaker 2: All right, here we go spreading the corn ten seconds 3 00:00:13,520 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 2: of eighty just go show under the basket, Under the basket, 4 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:22,440 Speaker 2: it's the true for the wind, God make go amarracle. 5 00:00:23,280 --> 00:00:28,040 Speaker 2: I'm just it's up the water. Hit that one from 6 00:00:28,080 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 2: the parking lot. 7 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:35,960 Speaker 1: Shuck it all at college basketball, it's not the size 8 00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:39,199 Speaker 1: on the dog in the fight, it's the size of 9 00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:42,320 Speaker 1: the fight in the dog. What's up the general nation? 10 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. This is 11 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:51,479 Speaker 1: the first weekend college basketball betting recap and first preview 12 00:00:51,560 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 1: of the Sweet sixteen. Now that we have all sixteen teams, 13 00:00:55,200 --> 00:00:58,520 Speaker 1: I'm stucky in joining me my partner in crime. We're 14 00:00:58,560 --> 00:01:01,880 Speaker 1: back together for Tonight's a pretty quick episode, mister Colin Wilson. 15 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:02,600 Speaker 1: It's going on Kong. 16 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 2: Well, can I say my team is the only SEC 17 00:01:05,800 --> 00:01:08,959 Speaker 2: team that's in the Sweet sixteen. I'm just rolling off 18 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 2: a out Back Bowl victory. We're listen. You can tell 19 00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:16,520 Speaker 2: Arkansas they beat double digit Scenes to get to the 20 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 2: Sweet sixteen. They beat double digit Oral Roberts to get 21 00:01:19,560 --> 00:01:21,120 Speaker 2: the Elite eight. I don't want to hear that. Tonight. 22 00:01:21,200 --> 00:01:23,520 Speaker 2: It's all love because on Thursday. I think it all 23 00:01:23,520 --> 00:01:25,119 Speaker 2: comes crashing down against Gonzaga. 24 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:28,560 Speaker 1: Well, yeah, the Hogs are you know, you can brag 25 00:01:28,600 --> 00:01:30,040 Speaker 1: a little more than that. They were on the ropes 26 00:01:30,040 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 1: and an ugly one. I didn't see a lot of 27 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:35,880 Speaker 1: that first half. That game was pretty gross, But the 28 00:01:36,000 --> 00:01:40,080 Speaker 1: SEC not the most impressive performance from the weekend. Like, 29 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:42,480 Speaker 1: you learn a lot about these conferences. The Big Twelve 30 00:01:42,480 --> 00:01:44,640 Speaker 1: I've been extremely impressed with. We just got done watching 31 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:47,040 Speaker 1: the TCU throw. Finally, it took us four, it took 32 00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 1: us into Monday morning. It's Monday morning to get a 33 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:53,720 Speaker 1: really thrilling game. Memphis Gonzaga also thrilling. I think Memphis 34 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 1: got I mean, they deserve their seed, but they got 35 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:58,600 Speaker 1: jobbed having to play. So yeah, Zaga got job out. 36 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:00,360 Speaker 1: They gotta play like a fourteen is a six team. 37 00:02:00,760 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 1: And then they had to play a Memphis team, which 38 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:05,720 Speaker 1: is probably like a top ten team as an eight, 39 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:09,080 Speaker 1: and that game was thrilling. But the Big twelve eight CEC. 40 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:13,240 Speaker 1: Look at the ACC, Miami Carolina and Duke after taking 41 00:02:13,720 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 1: all that shit all year, and the Big Ten has 42 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 1: been a disappointment once again. You did get Purdue into 43 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:22,160 Speaker 1: the Sweet sixteen thanks to the help of officials who 44 00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:24,640 Speaker 1: gave them forty five free throws and didn't really let 45 00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:26,640 Speaker 1: Texas have a chance in that one. That was one 46 00:02:26,639 --> 00:02:29,959 Speaker 1: of the biggest storylines to reconferences, the performance of certain conferences, 47 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:31,760 Speaker 1: which you always are going to learn about over the 48 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:35,079 Speaker 1: first weekend, and then just from like my own personal 49 00:02:35,160 --> 00:02:38,000 Speaker 1: once needs and desires for this weekend. The games were awful. 50 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 1: A lot of it was officials, so many reviews and 51 00:02:40,560 --> 00:02:43,000 Speaker 1: charges and changed the change the amount of foules to 52 00:02:43,080 --> 00:02:45,680 Speaker 1: six by the way, but we just didn't get really 53 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:49,000 Speaker 1: many exciting games. He edgin Zaga Memphis, and then we 54 00:02:49,040 --> 00:02:53,240 Speaker 1: had TCU, thankfully because that game was awesome. Mattherin just 55 00:02:53,320 --> 00:02:56,519 Speaker 1: took over. Lady hit the three to fource overtime. Eddie 56 00:02:56,600 --> 00:03:00,919 Speaker 1: Lampkin is a monster. I wanted I started that TC 57 00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 1: team is lovable because they're just all out effort. But 58 00:03:03,800 --> 00:03:05,880 Speaker 1: those are some of my biggest takeaways. There's not many 59 00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 1: like memorable games to relive. But how about you, what 60 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:10,480 Speaker 1: were some of your biggest takeaways? 61 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 2: Well, I don't understand why the Round of thirty two 62 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:15,360 Speaker 2: starts off with one game early, then a standalone game, 63 00:03:15,480 --> 00:03:17,600 Speaker 2: and then finally you've got all these it's like college 64 00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:20,040 Speaker 2: football when we're watching games and like there's nothing on 65 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:22,320 Speaker 2: at noon, and then everything piles in at seven o'clock 66 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:24,000 Speaker 2: and you don't have enough TVs. It kind of felt 67 00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 2: like that's what the Round of thirty two was. I 68 00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 2: was extremely shocked by a couple of things. The Mountain 69 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:32,919 Speaker 2: West gone like everywhere, like you can't bet them in 70 00:03:32,960 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 2: the nit, you can't bet them in the dance here. 71 00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:38,120 Speaker 2: That was a conference that we were all very high on, 72 00:03:38,640 --> 00:03:41,440 Speaker 2: and there was a BBOC episode where I came on 73 00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:43,760 Speaker 2: and my whole wager was SEC is going to beat 74 00:03:43,800 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 2: the Big twelve in that one weekend where they faced 75 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 2: off against each other. And while the SEC pulled in 76 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:50,960 Speaker 2: the big you know, the winning record when all those 77 00:03:50,960 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 2: teams went head to head, we can see right now 78 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:55,880 Speaker 2: the SEC wasn't near as strong as what we thought. 79 00:03:55,920 --> 00:03:59,839 Speaker 2: And North Carolina is maybe, for me, the hardest team 80 00:03:59,880 --> 00:04:02,120 Speaker 2: in the world to try and handicap, like, how are 81 00:04:02,160 --> 00:04:03,960 Speaker 2: you laying a wager on this team when they look 82 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:06,400 Speaker 2: like a top five team? And then sometimes they can 83 00:04:06,480 --> 00:04:08,920 Speaker 2: look like a team that doesn't deserve to be in 84 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:11,800 Speaker 2: this tournament. So, uh, there's a few wild cards that 85 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:15,160 Speaker 2: are still left in this bracket, Like I just completely 86 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:16,800 Speaker 2: you don't know how to handicap because you don't know 87 00:04:16,800 --> 00:04:18,679 Speaker 2: who's going to show up. The fact that Saint Peter's 88 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:20,920 Speaker 2: is still in this is one of the more amazing 89 00:04:20,960 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 2: stories here. I hope they can pull it off, as 90 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 2: it's gonna be tough sledding against Perdue, but I think 91 00:04:25,800 --> 00:04:28,360 Speaker 2: Saint Peter's is a great story. Even though what two 92 00:04:28,400 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 2: percent postgame win expectancy against Kentucky. 93 00:04:31,800 --> 00:04:32,440 Speaker 1: I don't know. 94 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:35,919 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, you know, I think there was some 95 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 2: extremely bad referering too, for you Iowa fans out there 96 00:04:39,160 --> 00:04:40,839 Speaker 2: with the foul at the end on the three with 97 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 2: you know, Keay Murray everything going on there. I thought 98 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:46,080 Speaker 2: Iowa got host. I thought this was an extremely bad 99 00:04:46,080 --> 00:04:47,320 Speaker 2: weekend for officiating. 100 00:04:47,920 --> 00:04:50,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, it was not great, and the first two guys 101 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:52,560 Speaker 1: were awesome, Like they weren't calling anything, and that's not 102 00:04:52,640 --> 00:04:54,679 Speaker 1: what especially like a lot of casual fans are watching. 103 00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:56,440 Speaker 1: We don't need to see a million founds. We don't 104 00:04:56,440 --> 00:04:59,120 Speaker 1: need to see producer forty seven pre throws. We don't 105 00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:02,479 Speaker 1: need to see teen reviews. We don't need technicals for 106 00:05:02,640 --> 00:05:04,400 Speaker 1: hanging on the room and so a kid doesn't split 107 00:05:04,440 --> 00:05:06,600 Speaker 1: his head open, like just stay out of the game. 108 00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 1: It's a little ridiculous. 109 00:05:08,440 --> 00:05:12,320 Speaker 2: At times it was not his knees didn't come up right. 110 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:14,320 Speaker 1: He was And then you see other games like my 111 00:05:14,360 --> 00:05:16,279 Speaker 1: guy Lampkin was hanging on the room at all cons 112 00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:18,120 Speaker 1: I mean, he was going why they weren't calling that? 113 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:21,120 Speaker 1: Like stop, it's attorney, like let the best players play, 114 00:05:21,360 --> 00:05:23,320 Speaker 1: like we don't need we don't need Allen for Texas 115 00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:24,320 Speaker 1: not being able to play. 116 00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:27,279 Speaker 2: If Baylor North Carolina want to have a UFC matchup 117 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:29,120 Speaker 2: against each other, I'd pay pay per view for that. 118 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:32,200 Speaker 2: I pay ninety nine nine nine bucks to watch North 119 00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:36,120 Speaker 2: Carolina bake cooat and uh and the Baylor guy with 120 00:05:36,240 --> 00:05:37,640 Speaker 2: his you know, with his hair. I would love to 121 00:05:37,640 --> 00:05:39,799 Speaker 2: see them go three rounds against each other in octagon. 122 00:05:39,839 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 2: That was great. 123 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:43,039 Speaker 1: So you're not love you're not loving your We have 124 00:05:43,240 --> 00:05:45,239 Speaker 1: good zaga. And by the way, we're gonna have two 125 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:50,000 Speaker 1: previews this week, two in depth reviews for this week sixteen, 126 00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 1: so we won't go too far in depth here, just 127 00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 1: kind of one of the good stuff up for uh. 128 00:05:54,720 --> 00:05:57,839 Speaker 1: Just quick thoughts, quick reaction, so you guys have something 129 00:05:57,839 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 1: to listen to on Monday morning. But I think it's 130 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 1: Zaga Arkansas's the first game on Thursday. If you could 131 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:05,640 Speaker 1: tag minus eight and a half over under one fifty 132 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:08,480 Speaker 1: four and a half. Did you have any thoughts there? Initially, Yeah, I've. 133 00:06:08,320 --> 00:06:10,400 Speaker 2: Already taken Zaga minus eight and a half. It's a 134 00:06:10,480 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 2: number I expect to probably close at ten. These numbers 135 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:16,520 Speaker 2: really float to ken palm, no matter if it's the 136 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:18,680 Speaker 2: right side or there on side. The numbers always float 137 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:20,040 Speaker 2: to ken palm. So I expect there to be some 138 00:06:20,120 --> 00:06:22,960 Speaker 2: steam there. But there's really two things at a high 139 00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:26,680 Speaker 2: level you need to realize. One, there aren't any really 140 00:06:26,760 --> 00:06:30,839 Speaker 2: statistical advantages for Arkansas whatsoever. And two, there is a 141 00:06:30,880 --> 00:06:34,680 Speaker 2: monster discrepancy in height and link here. And if you 142 00:06:34,720 --> 00:06:37,560 Speaker 2: know what Arkansas wants to do, it's two things. One 143 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:40,800 Speaker 2: attack the rim. Two get to the free throw line. Well, 144 00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:43,760 Speaker 2: guess what in Zaga's top twenty five and free throw rate, 145 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:47,360 Speaker 2: they're number one in the nation protecting the rim. We 146 00:06:47,560 --> 00:06:49,680 Speaker 2: Arkansas just doesn't have the depth, They don't have the bench. 147 00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:54,600 Speaker 2: Chris likes his limits have been limited. I love Razorbacks, 148 00:06:54,600 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 2: woopig Sui, but this is just going to be an 149 00:06:58,320 --> 00:07:00,800 Speaker 2: impossible game. And the fact that Gonza just has not 150 00:07:00,920 --> 00:07:03,320 Speaker 2: looked all world. You may get some value here on 151 00:07:03,320 --> 00:07:04,880 Speaker 2: the number. I think you're gonna probably get some value 152 00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:07,120 Speaker 2: on the number. On Arizona. We'll talk about Arizona Houston. 153 00:07:07,440 --> 00:07:09,560 Speaker 2: I think that, you know, the public perception is gonna, 154 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:12,200 Speaker 2: you know, just bake for four days with people that 155 00:07:12,360 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 2: just saw these games, and you're probably gonna get value 156 00:07:14,280 --> 00:07:16,200 Speaker 2: on goa Zagon. You're probably gonna get value on Arizona. 157 00:07:16,840 --> 00:07:19,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, people need to know that UHC is really good. 158 00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:24,440 Speaker 1: The other game, Michigan Villanova. Interesting game, Michigan Sweet sixteen, 159 00:07:24,560 --> 00:07:27,320 Speaker 1: five five years in a row. I believe for the 160 00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:29,320 Speaker 1: Wolverines of the one team in the Big Ten that 161 00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:32,200 Speaker 1: has had sustained success in the tournament the past couple 162 00:07:32,240 --> 00:07:36,000 Speaker 1: of years. Villanova four and a half point favorite. And 163 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:37,280 Speaker 1: by the way, we didn't get a lot of options. We 164 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:39,440 Speaker 1: didn't get a lot of craziness. But like the matchups 165 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:43,800 Speaker 1: now on like Thursday, specifically at Arkansas and Zaga, Michigan, Villanova, 166 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:47,920 Speaker 1: Texas Tech Duke Houston, Arizona, like, come on, that better 167 00:07:47,960 --> 00:07:50,280 Speaker 1: be good. But and then again, I much just take 168 00:07:50,360 --> 00:07:51,680 Speaker 1: and this don't do this people, but I might just 169 00:07:51,680 --> 00:07:54,600 Speaker 1: take every dog because we're gonna have. I want, uh 170 00:07:54,960 --> 00:07:57,800 Speaker 1: buzzer beaters. I'm just kidding, So usually just don't get them. 171 00:07:57,800 --> 00:08:00,840 Speaker 1: Some years are just born four and a half point 172 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:04,600 Speaker 1: favorite over under one thirty five and a half. So 173 00:08:04,640 --> 00:08:08,840 Speaker 1: the question here is ken Villanova really contained Dickinson inside. 174 00:08:09,320 --> 00:08:11,280 Speaker 1: They have size, but not you know, not a lot 175 00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:13,600 Speaker 1: of people have size that can contain Dickinson. But I 176 00:08:13,640 --> 00:08:17,040 Speaker 1: really worry about Michigan's perimeter defense here against just an 177 00:08:17,080 --> 00:08:20,320 Speaker 1: awesome Villanova offense, that it's gonna get great shots, it's 178 00:08:20,320 --> 00:08:22,680 Speaker 1: gonna move the ball on elite level. You know, Michigan 179 00:08:22,680 --> 00:08:24,520 Speaker 1: look good against Tennessee, but Tennessee just could not hit 180 00:08:24,520 --> 00:08:26,760 Speaker 1: an open shot. To see their lives, Villanova, they're not 181 00:08:26,800 --> 00:08:28,600 Speaker 1: gonna miss the open shots. I mean they could, but 182 00:08:28,960 --> 00:08:32,720 Speaker 1: they rarely do, so I don't know. I'm leaning initially 183 00:08:32,720 --> 00:08:35,080 Speaker 1: towards Nova there, but I'll have to break down some 184 00:08:35,160 --> 00:08:38,800 Speaker 1: of the other x's and o's. Any thoughts there. 185 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:40,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm one hund percent with you on Nova. I 186 00:08:40,840 --> 00:08:42,360 Speaker 2: saw the four and a half and now I'm kind 187 00:08:42,360 --> 00:08:44,160 Speaker 2: of making a decision I have to do before we 188 00:08:44,320 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 2: you and I, you know, call it a night about 189 00:08:46,520 --> 00:08:48,760 Speaker 2: whether I'm going to decide to moneyline parlay this or 190 00:08:48,800 --> 00:08:50,440 Speaker 2: if I'm just gonna swallow the points. And when you 191 00:08:50,520 --> 00:08:54,480 Speaker 2: mentioned the perimeter defense, that's because Villanova, their point distribution 192 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:56,560 Speaker 2: says that they love to shoot threes, and they're gonna 193 00:08:56,559 --> 00:08:58,760 Speaker 2: shoot a ton of them. But when you get into 194 00:08:58,800 --> 00:09:00,800 Speaker 2: like shot quality stats where you look if it's a 195 00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:02,880 Speaker 2: catch and shoot three or whether it's an off the 196 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:06,360 Speaker 2: dribble three, for Villanova it's a dribble three, and off 197 00:09:06,360 --> 00:09:08,520 Speaker 2: the dribble three, they're thirty second in the nation. There's 198 00:09:08,520 --> 00:09:12,040 Speaker 2: sixtieth in efficiency and the onlyget Michigan they're one hundred 199 00:09:12,040 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 2: and eighty eight. And defending the dribble threes, they're actually 200 00:09:14,240 --> 00:09:16,679 Speaker 2: a way better against catch and shoot, but they're not 201 00:09:16,760 --> 00:09:18,839 Speaker 2: good perimeter defense and they're not gonna be able to 202 00:09:18,880 --> 00:09:22,160 Speaker 2: defend what Villanova wants to do. And the Wolverines are 203 00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 2: gonna have issues defending the pick and roll that Nova 204 00:09:25,400 --> 00:09:28,600 Speaker 2: likes to run. So you know, Hunter Dickinson is a 205 00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:30,240 Speaker 2: factor in this game. But you know, I think there's 206 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:32,480 Speaker 2: enough bigs there to to kind of slow it down. 207 00:09:32,480 --> 00:09:34,280 Speaker 2: But yeah, I'm with you. It's it's Nova minus four 208 00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 2: and a half or I'll throw them in a money 209 00:09:35,440 --> 00:09:36,440 Speaker 2: line parlay. Yeah. 210 00:09:36,440 --> 00:09:37,920 Speaker 1: The other thing to keep in mind with Villanova, it's 211 00:09:37,960 --> 00:09:39,840 Speaker 1: like they're like the best free throws shooting team of 212 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 1: all time. Yeah, they're act they don't miss and in 213 00:09:43,880 --> 00:09:45,800 Speaker 1: the final two minutes they never missed their guards that 214 00:09:45,840 --> 00:09:48,440 Speaker 1: are like ninety percent. So when you're in this range, 215 00:09:48,559 --> 00:09:51,280 Speaker 1: like they can extend late if Michigan's failing, it's at 216 00:09:51,320 --> 00:09:53,040 Speaker 1: like three, like they're gonna make two to go to five. 217 00:09:53,360 --> 00:09:55,680 Speaker 1: Michigan missus, it's gonna go to seven, and then you know, 218 00:09:55,720 --> 00:09:57,120 Speaker 1: all of a sudden, it becomes a lot easier to 219 00:09:57,160 --> 00:09:58,760 Speaker 1: cover this number in this range. So keep that in 220 00:09:58,840 --> 00:10:01,679 Speaker 1: mind with Villanova, Texas Tech, Duke, this will be an 221 00:10:01,679 --> 00:10:04,320 Speaker 1: interesting narrative game all week. Obviously we'll hear about coach 222 00:10:04,400 --> 00:10:07,079 Speaker 1: k I don't think Duke is doing much coaching. I 223 00:10:07,080 --> 00:10:09,000 Speaker 1: don't think coach cas should say, is doing much coaching. 224 00:10:09,240 --> 00:10:11,800 Speaker 1: They're obviously very talented, the top one of the five 225 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:14,959 Speaker 1: most talented teams in the country. Their defense is still lacking. 226 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:17,440 Speaker 1: Kin Texas Tech take advantage out. IM not sure Texas 227 00:10:17,480 --> 00:10:20,400 Speaker 1: Tech's offense is mah, but Douke they want to get 228 00:10:20,400 --> 00:10:24,199 Speaker 1: out in transition. Is their offense going to be able 229 00:10:24,280 --> 00:10:26,400 Speaker 1: to work here, they have to talent the outside. They're 230 00:10:26,440 --> 00:10:28,560 Speaker 1: going to have to hit some shots. Texas Tech was 231 00:10:28,559 --> 00:10:31,640 Speaker 1: not that impressive today but pulled away late against Notre Dame. 232 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:35,120 Speaker 1: Interesting game here, anything jump out at the page statistic 233 00:10:35,160 --> 00:10:36,360 Speaker 1: When we first looked, well, it. 234 00:10:36,360 --> 00:10:38,600 Speaker 2: Looks like tonight's Sunday night. As we're recording, this line's 235 00:10:38,600 --> 00:10:40,200 Speaker 2: been up for a couple hours and it looks like 236 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:43,320 Speaker 2: one of the books in Jersey that we I would 237 00:10:43,400 --> 00:10:45,680 Speaker 2: respect line movement. They're already taking some money in on 238 00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:46,320 Speaker 2: Texas Tech. 239 00:10:46,400 --> 00:10:49,480 Speaker 1: So you know there's like a one point favorite over 240 00:10:49,559 --> 00:10:51,160 Speaker 1: under one thirty six and a half. 241 00:10:51,400 --> 00:10:53,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I leaned on the under on this, and 242 00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:55,360 Speaker 2: I leaned when I initially did my thing, I said, well, 243 00:10:55,440 --> 00:10:56,959 Speaker 2: under one thirty seven is where I want to go, 244 00:10:57,000 --> 00:10:57,959 Speaker 2: and I think I'm gonna have to hop on that. 245 00:10:58,120 --> 00:11:00,360 Speaker 2: It looks like it's already moving. But you know that 246 00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:02,240 Speaker 2: if you look at Texas Tech, you know they don't 247 00:11:02,280 --> 00:11:05,280 Speaker 2: cover against Utter Dame and Duke wins by nine over 248 00:11:05,280 --> 00:11:07,360 Speaker 2: the Spartans, So you know there might be a little 249 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:09,079 Speaker 2: bit of that narrative going in. Like I said, it's 250 00:11:09,120 --> 00:11:10,840 Speaker 2: going to be four days until they play this game, 251 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:12,560 Speaker 2: so you don't. You're trying to like guess where this 252 00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 2: public money is going to come in and possibly move it. 253 00:11:15,280 --> 00:11:17,600 Speaker 2: But the Blue Devils prefer running ISO and cuts, and 254 00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:21,280 Speaker 2: the Red Raiders are second and third, respectively in defending 255 00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:24,000 Speaker 2: those offensive sets. I mean that is going to shut 256 00:11:24,040 --> 00:11:27,680 Speaker 2: down Duke completely from an offensive perspective. But then you 257 00:11:27,679 --> 00:11:29,360 Speaker 2: look at Texas Tech like, I mean, it's really hard 258 00:11:29,400 --> 00:11:32,439 Speaker 2: to find good offensive stats for Texas SEC. They prefer 259 00:11:32,480 --> 00:11:35,000 Speaker 2: to work in the paint, just like Duke and their 260 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:35,400 Speaker 2: top six. 261 00:11:35,559 --> 00:11:36,920 Speaker 1: They want to get on the offensive glass. 262 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:38,440 Speaker 2: But yeah, and they want to get on the glass 263 00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:40,400 Speaker 2: their top sixty and finishing at the rim. But the 264 00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:43,120 Speaker 2: problem is is Duke is top twenty in rim protection. 265 00:11:43,320 --> 00:11:47,040 Speaker 2: So for me, this is all about you know, getting 266 00:11:47,080 --> 00:11:49,199 Speaker 2: under on that one thirty seven. I think that's where 267 00:11:49,280 --> 00:11:52,640 Speaker 2: Ken Palm is projecting it. These teams don't go up tempo, 268 00:11:52,760 --> 00:11:54,760 Speaker 2: and Duke is second in the nation a defensive free 269 00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:56,840 Speaker 2: throw rate, which means they won't send Texas Tech to 270 00:11:56,880 --> 00:11:58,560 Speaker 2: the line. I think the unders is really the only 271 00:11:58,559 --> 00:11:59,880 Speaker 2: way I'm a play. I think it's going to bounce. 272 00:12:00,120 --> 00:12:02,400 Speaker 2: I think the money line's gonna bounce. You know, one 273 00:12:02,440 --> 00:12:04,440 Speaker 2: twenty one twenty both ways during the week. 274 00:12:04,800 --> 00:12:07,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, I would imagine I don't know, as it doesn't 275 00:12:07,360 --> 00:12:09,480 Speaker 1: seem like Duke is like getting as much love as possible, 276 00:12:09,480 --> 00:12:11,760 Speaker 1: but there are a lot more talented Texas Ex is 277 00:12:11,800 --> 00:12:14,079 Speaker 1: not really a sexy team, right. I would imagine this 278 00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:16,720 Speaker 1: ends up in a game where you have chart money 279 00:12:16,720 --> 00:12:20,320 Speaker 1: on Texas Tech and then public money on Duke, and 280 00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:22,880 Speaker 1: it'll be a heavily bet game. So like the public 281 00:12:22,920 --> 00:12:25,520 Speaker 1: money could matter. So yeah, I agree. I think the 282 00:12:25,520 --> 00:12:28,160 Speaker 1: line's gonna stay, probably right around here. I don't mind 283 00:12:28,160 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 1: that underlook though. At first glance, Arizona Houston really fascinating game. 284 00:12:34,400 --> 00:12:37,840 Speaker 1: I mean, Houston Arizona has the size inside. They looked 285 00:12:38,000 --> 00:12:42,280 Speaker 1: a little young today. This game will be in San 286 00:12:42,280 --> 00:12:44,839 Speaker 1: Antonio for what it's worth. Well, I think we'll get 287 00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:49,240 Speaker 1: decent crowds for both teams. No line out yet for 288 00:12:49,240 --> 00:12:51,040 Speaker 1: this game. Any initial thoughts, I. 289 00:12:50,960 --> 00:12:52,560 Speaker 2: Mean, yeah, I've almost had to change up what I 290 00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:54,240 Speaker 2: was going to talk about. I thought TCU might take 291 00:12:54,280 --> 00:12:55,880 Speaker 2: that game. We're gonna have to talk to close. 292 00:12:56,080 --> 00:12:58,640 Speaker 1: Yeahatam doesn't hit that three, it's the frogs are here. 293 00:12:58,960 --> 00:13:01,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, you know Kenpom has these teams neck and neck 294 00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:03,920 Speaker 2: like second and third in the nation. Like the Houston 295 00:13:04,000 --> 00:13:06,160 Speaker 2: being seeded the way they are is not really you know, 296 00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:08,000 Speaker 2: if you went by Kenpom, that's not what they should be. 297 00:13:08,040 --> 00:13:11,200 Speaker 2: They're much hiring team. And I think you know one 298 00:13:11,240 --> 00:13:13,840 Speaker 2: interesting note that Arizona's fourth in the nation in offensive 299 00:13:13,880 --> 00:13:16,400 Speaker 2: average possession, but two hundred and fifty sixth on defense. 300 00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:18,280 Speaker 2: So what does that mean? This is going to be 301 00:13:18,320 --> 00:13:21,240 Speaker 2: a slow grind Houston offense. They're going to keep the 302 00:13:21,280 --> 00:13:24,360 Speaker 2: pace extremely slow here in Arizona's going to allow them 303 00:13:24,400 --> 00:13:26,840 Speaker 2: to keep it slow, and Houston's going to dominate on 304 00:13:26,840 --> 00:13:29,160 Speaker 2: the offensive glass. You just saw Arizona get all those 305 00:13:29,400 --> 00:13:32,040 Speaker 2: offensive rebounds and those put back points and just three 306 00:13:32,080 --> 00:13:34,840 Speaker 2: after three after three from Kerr they couldn't git. That's 307 00:13:34,840 --> 00:13:38,160 Speaker 2: not going to happen against Houston, you know. And Arizona 308 00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:40,440 Speaker 2: is one hundred ninety fourth in defensive rebounding, so Houston's 309 00:13:40,440 --> 00:13:40,959 Speaker 2: gonna take Well. 310 00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:43,360 Speaker 1: We saw TCU. Get about TC you and Houston are 311 00:13:43,440 --> 00:13:44,880 Speaker 1: number one and two. I think there might be tied 312 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:49,640 Speaker 1: offensive rebounding, right and we saw TCU. I think Lamp 313 00:13:49,640 --> 00:13:51,680 Speaker 1: got a thirteen offensive rebounds himself. So TC you and 314 00:13:51,760 --> 00:13:54,280 Speaker 1: Houston are extremely similar in that sets like a lot 315 00:13:54,280 --> 00:13:58,360 Speaker 1: of like dudes, and they attack relentlessly on the offensive glass. 316 00:13:58,600 --> 00:14:00,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it could be an upset brow And 317 00:14:00,480 --> 00:14:03,560 Speaker 2: I mean Arizona loves transition, but Houston is sixteenth and 318 00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:07,800 Speaker 2: defending transition. Arizona lives on cuts and finishing at the rim. 319 00:14:07,880 --> 00:14:11,240 Speaker 2: But Houston's defensive numbers are just you know, outstanding against 320 00:14:11,320 --> 00:14:14,120 Speaker 2: everything that Arizona wants to do. So, you know, we'll 321 00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:15,880 Speaker 2: see where this game is gonna open up. I'm trying 322 00:14:15,880 --> 00:14:17,360 Speaker 2: to get my I'm trying to get my eyes on 323 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:20,240 Speaker 2: it here and see what number. Yeah, I can't even 324 00:14:20,280 --> 00:14:21,400 Speaker 2: tell you literally, just. 325 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:23,360 Speaker 1: Guess in Arizona a couple of point like two and 326 00:14:23,400 --> 00:14:23,880 Speaker 1: a half. 327 00:14:24,280 --> 00:14:26,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, actually I think I think Kimbom makes this like Arizona. 328 00:14:26,560 --> 00:14:30,160 Speaker 1: Mine is one, So yeah, but Arizona has more. I 329 00:14:30,160 --> 00:14:31,600 Speaker 1: mean they did just go to We'll see what the 330 00:14:31,680 --> 00:14:35,120 Speaker 1: narrative is. But Houston has no sex appeal for the 331 00:14:35,200 --> 00:14:37,280 Speaker 1: lack of a better turn in Arizona has all. You know, 332 00:14:37,320 --> 00:14:40,000 Speaker 1: they have the d NBA guys, and so I don't know, 333 00:14:40,040 --> 00:14:41,600 Speaker 1: you probably I think you'll see it maybe two to 334 00:14:41,640 --> 00:14:44,960 Speaker 1: two and a half, and we'll see where the money comes. 335 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:47,640 Speaker 1: In there. Moving on to Friday with a couple of 336 00:14:47,680 --> 00:14:50,320 Speaker 1: teams that not many expected to be here. It's funny 337 00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:52,200 Speaker 1: Providences of four seed and Houston's five. See when you 338 00:14:52,200 --> 00:14:54,720 Speaker 1: look at their little grading is way different. But Province 339 00:14:54,720 --> 00:14:57,280 Speaker 1: looked really good this tournament. They did face like a 340 00:14:57,320 --> 00:14:59,200 Speaker 1: really soft South DA Cooast eight team and then a 341 00:14:59,320 --> 00:15:01,680 Speaker 1: soft Richmond team that I think just ran out of guest. 342 00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:04,360 Speaker 1: Richmond was one of twenty two from three and I 343 00:15:04,360 --> 00:15:06,480 Speaker 1: think eight of twenty one from the line. I think 344 00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:08,080 Speaker 1: shot quality had it as a Richmond win and they 345 00:15:08,080 --> 00:15:12,280 Speaker 1: lost by like thirty. Yeah, and then Peters the story 346 00:15:12,280 --> 00:15:15,480 Speaker 1: of the tournament. The Peacocks run Baby, run Jim. While 347 00:15:15,480 --> 00:15:17,800 Speaker 1: those people they are watching first team from Jersey to 348 00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:20,240 Speaker 1: make the Sweet sixteenth in two thousand. I believe they're 349 00:15:20,280 --> 00:15:23,560 Speaker 1: playing Purdue. They have an elite rim defender Casey and Defo. 350 00:15:23,640 --> 00:15:25,440 Speaker 1: But I don't like, how are the ref's gonna call this, 351 00:15:25,640 --> 00:15:27,880 Speaker 1: which is massive because Purdue is the highest besides why 352 00:15:28,200 --> 00:15:30,400 Speaker 1: the highest post offense in the country. They're just gonna 353 00:15:30,440 --> 00:15:32,440 Speaker 1: come in and they're gonna dump it in the post. 354 00:15:32,680 --> 00:15:34,400 Speaker 1: How is this gonna be called? Because he is so 355 00:15:34,440 --> 00:15:37,600 Speaker 1: important inside to everything that they do because they pressure you. 356 00:15:37,680 --> 00:15:40,280 Speaker 1: They're gonna press like twenty thirty percent of time, and 357 00:15:40,560 --> 00:15:43,680 Speaker 1: Purdue can be pressured into some mistakes here. Their defense 358 00:15:43,760 --> 00:15:45,760 Speaker 1: is a little bit vulnerable. But if they're going inside 359 00:15:45,800 --> 00:15:48,280 Speaker 1: and getting the calls they did tonight, it's a blowout. 360 00:15:48,280 --> 00:15:50,640 Speaker 1: And then is this where Cinderella is run ends? A 361 00:15:50,640 --> 00:15:53,480 Speaker 1: lot of times you see these these double digit seeds 362 00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:56,359 Speaker 1: that get to the second weekend and they're kind of overmatched. 363 00:15:56,400 --> 00:15:58,600 Speaker 1: And Purdue, for what it's worth, they're really good, and 364 00:15:58,800 --> 00:16:01,880 Speaker 1: like against inferior teams, they just tend to blow them out. 365 00:16:01,880 --> 00:16:04,960 Speaker 1: We saw it against Yale because not a lot of 366 00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:08,920 Speaker 1: teams can have that size inside. Peters does with they 367 00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:13,080 Speaker 1: have one really good rim protector, but as we saw tonight, 368 00:16:13,240 --> 00:16:15,040 Speaker 1: it's pretty easy for that person to get in foul 369 00:16:15,040 --> 00:16:17,880 Speaker 1: trouble when you can throw both Williams and Edie there. 370 00:16:19,120 --> 00:16:22,400 Speaker 1: You know, Kansas hasn't really impressed me that much of late. 371 00:16:23,400 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 1: They just I mean against Cate. I know Creighton made 372 00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:28,120 Speaker 1: a lot of shots, but they I don't know, there's 373 00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:30,240 Speaker 1: just something that's off of that team at times. Obviously 374 00:16:30,280 --> 00:16:33,920 Speaker 1: really a really talented team. But does this where Providence 375 00:16:33,960 --> 00:16:37,440 Speaker 1: in Peter's runs end or do you think any of 376 00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:40,600 Speaker 1: these teams are live, either to win or against the spread. 377 00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:43,720 Speaker 2: Well, I'll start with Peters. I don't think Peters is live. 378 00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:47,640 Speaker 2: And I literally took these notes way before it actually happened. 379 00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:50,360 Speaker 2: I wanted the over in this game immediately. And when 380 00:16:50,400 --> 00:16:52,160 Speaker 2: you look at Saint Peter's and you look at Purdue, 381 00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:54,400 Speaker 2: it's really the free throw rates in this game. So 382 00:16:54,440 --> 00:16:56,920 Speaker 2: what you should expect is two offenses that have slow 383 00:16:57,000 --> 00:17:01,920 Speaker 2: average possession links but massive rebounding on the offensive side. 384 00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:04,800 Speaker 2: Neither of these teams can have defensive rebounding whatsoever. I 385 00:17:04,840 --> 00:17:06,800 Speaker 2: think they're three hundred and forty second, three hundred and 386 00:17:06,800 --> 00:17:09,920 Speaker 2: forty fourth. They both also have top forty free throw rates. 387 00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:11,680 Speaker 2: And I'm saying this as we're coming off a game 388 00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:15,239 Speaker 2: where Perdue just shot a billion free throws. So I 389 00:17:15,280 --> 00:17:16,080 Speaker 2: think you're going. 390 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:18,359 Speaker 1: To get Peter styles a lot because they're heavy prefer 391 00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:20,520 Speaker 1: in aggressive defense exactly. 392 00:17:20,560 --> 00:17:22,639 Speaker 2: And then and then you've got you know, Ivy out there. 393 00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:24,359 Speaker 2: He's probably going to hit all of his free throws. 394 00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:26,600 Speaker 2: And then you know Perdue is second in post up rate, 395 00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:28,080 Speaker 2: and Saint Peter's just going to have a heck of 396 00:17:28,080 --> 00:17:31,679 Speaker 2: a time with Edian Williams, and you know the spread 397 00:17:31,760 --> 00:17:34,199 Speaker 2: I think Ken Palm projects at eleven is. I just 398 00:17:34,240 --> 00:17:36,840 Speaker 2: think it's one of those games where Purdue gets them 399 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:38,840 Speaker 2: between ten and fifteen and then there's just going to 400 00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:40,119 Speaker 2: be this battle for them to try to get it 401 00:17:40,160 --> 00:17:41,919 Speaker 2: within three possessions, and they might not be able to 402 00:17:41,920 --> 00:17:43,520 Speaker 2: do it, but I think there's going to be a 403 00:17:43,520 --> 00:17:45,480 Speaker 2: lot of stoppage and play. I think a lot of 404 00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:47,480 Speaker 2: free throws here, and I think it's a great over 405 00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:51,080 Speaker 2: opportunity because of offensive rebounding in the second chance points 406 00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:54,480 Speaker 2: and the free throws. Kansas and Providence. I don't want 407 00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:56,520 Speaker 2: to sound like a broken record because I hear this 408 00:17:56,560 --> 00:17:59,719 Speaker 2: from everybody, but this luck factor with Providence, it's just 409 00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:02,040 Speaker 2: I mean, if you go by shot quality, Richmond should 410 00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:05,480 Speaker 2: have won that game by three, you know. I mean 411 00:18:06,200 --> 00:18:09,600 Speaker 2: Kansas has lost yeah, and they lost by yeah by 412 00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:11,440 Speaker 2: a ton. I mean, no matter every Providence game I 413 00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:13,240 Speaker 2: look at, it's like they shouldn't have won this game. 414 00:18:13,280 --> 00:18:15,680 Speaker 2: I mean their postgame win total for the season should 415 00:18:15,720 --> 00:18:18,600 Speaker 2: be like fifteen on the year. So you know, there's 416 00:18:18,600 --> 00:18:21,800 Speaker 2: plenty of advantages for Kansas here. You know, their top 417 00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:25,560 Speaker 2: forty offensive rebound rate Providence. You know, they're not very 418 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:27,840 Speaker 2: good in transition. They're two hundred and twenty ninth defensively 419 00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:29,760 Speaker 2: during transition. So I think Kansas is going to try 420 00:18:29,760 --> 00:18:30,879 Speaker 2: to go a little tempo here. 421 00:18:31,520 --> 00:18:34,000 Speaker 1: Wat Yeah, Providence tradition and defense, yeah, well shakey, and 422 00:18:34,000 --> 00:18:36,040 Speaker 1: that's what Kansas at its best when it could run. 423 00:18:36,520 --> 00:18:38,919 Speaker 1: And if Probits is hitting shots and Kansas get on transition, 424 00:18:38,960 --> 00:18:39,480 Speaker 1: they're deadly. 425 00:18:39,760 --> 00:18:42,119 Speaker 2: And Kansas has a big advantage on the offensive glass, 426 00:18:42,119 --> 00:18:44,000 Speaker 2: there should be a ton of second chance points. But 427 00:18:44,560 --> 00:18:47,800 Speaker 2: I feel like I'm repeating what I had in my 428 00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:50,960 Speaker 2: head when I took them to beat Creighton, Like Creyton 429 00:18:51,000 --> 00:18:52,639 Speaker 2: should have been hanging around in that game, especially with 430 00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:54,920 Speaker 2: the ball handlers, the inexperience and the ball handlers coming 431 00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:58,040 Speaker 2: up in transition, and somehow Creighton was able to hang 432 00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:00,280 Speaker 2: around and give them a scare. So I think the 433 00:19:00,280 --> 00:19:02,200 Speaker 2: play is Kansas, you want to get a seven. There's 434 00:19:02,240 --> 00:19:03,960 Speaker 2: one seven on the board out there right now. The 435 00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:06,280 Speaker 2: rest are seven and a half. I don't know if 436 00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:08,680 Speaker 2: everyone's going to be in on Providence. You think Providence 437 00:19:08,720 --> 00:19:10,679 Speaker 2: might be a public player. I don't know. 438 00:19:10,800 --> 00:19:13,320 Speaker 1: I don't think it's I'm in like the world where 439 00:19:13,359 --> 00:19:14,720 Speaker 1: like we're in like the Twitter worlds. A lot of 440 00:19:14,720 --> 00:19:18,119 Speaker 1: people hate on Providence. Yeah, so like but I like, 441 00:19:18,160 --> 00:19:20,159 Speaker 1: oh they're lucky, So that's what I see. But like 442 00:19:20,400 --> 00:19:23,600 Speaker 1: most people are aren't on like analytics, Twitter, and like 443 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:25,399 Speaker 1: most people in the world that are betting, especially this 444 00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:30,399 Speaker 1: time of the year, I would imagine I don't know, 445 00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:33,440 Speaker 1: seven and a half Providence is twenty four and four. 446 00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:35,800 Speaker 1: I don't know. I gotta I gotta mold that one 447 00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:39,680 Speaker 1: over the probabs is physicality might be able to give 448 00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:43,440 Speaker 1: Kansas some issues, Like they're a really tough senior team, 449 00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:46,720 Speaker 1: and like kids when they're at their worst, like when 450 00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:48,640 Speaker 1: they're at their best, they're running because they're so good 451 00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:53,359 Speaker 1: in transition. But like McCormick is, so he's so hit 452 00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:56,000 Speaker 1: or miss inside A lot of it is like he 453 00:19:56,080 --> 00:19:58,520 Speaker 1: kind of just goes away and hides against like really 454 00:19:58,560 --> 00:20:03,320 Speaker 1: physical teams inside times. And you know Providence won't be 455 00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:06,439 Speaker 1: afraid here. So I don't know. I might look at 456 00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:09,080 Speaker 1: my friers again, but I gotta break down that matchup 457 00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:10,399 Speaker 1: the one but one of the things you mentioned that 458 00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:14,200 Speaker 1: does scare me is the transition the final two games. 459 00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:17,360 Speaker 1: I always state Miami. Miami has looked great. I love 460 00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:20,960 Speaker 1: Miami here, by the way, I think that, yeah, Iowa State. 461 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:23,359 Speaker 1: You know, I'll tell you why Iowa State. I haven't 462 00:20:23,800 --> 00:20:25,639 Speaker 1: gone deep yet, so I couldn't change my mind. But 463 00:20:25,680 --> 00:20:27,600 Speaker 1: that just my initial reaction is Miami is a ton 464 00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:29,639 Speaker 1: of ball handlers and they're gonna they can deal with 465 00:20:29,680 --> 00:20:33,159 Speaker 1: the Iowa State pressure, the acc I mean, it just 466 00:20:33,240 --> 00:20:37,600 Speaker 1: looked great. I love the coaching advantage here, Larynega with 467 00:20:37,800 --> 00:20:41,280 Speaker 1: prep is huge, and I was saying, I mean, what 468 00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:44,520 Speaker 1: do they do they beat LSU when Tyres Hunter is 469 00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:46,560 Speaker 1: making like a nine threes, it's like he's like a 470 00:20:46,600 --> 00:20:49,199 Speaker 1: twenty two percent shooter. And then let's use I can 471 00:20:49,320 --> 00:20:51,400 Speaker 1: disarray the whole game. Then they beat Wisconsin by five 472 00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:54,520 Speaker 1: fifty four to four nine because Chuckie Epper went down 473 00:20:54,560 --> 00:20:56,320 Speaker 1: in the first half and wiscous I can't run offense 474 00:20:56,359 --> 00:20:58,760 Speaker 1: without him. I mean they it just became a complete clusterfuck. 475 00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:01,760 Speaker 1: So I don't know. I think Miami and the Oostate 476 00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:04,760 Speaker 1: offense is still an absolute disaster. I think they have 477 00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:07,560 Speaker 1: length to throw at Brockington, which is basically what you 478 00:21:07,600 --> 00:21:09,640 Speaker 1: need to do, and just hope that Kabe Calsher isn't 479 00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:13,040 Speaker 1: having one of his knights. So yeah, I kind of 480 00:21:13,160 --> 00:21:14,480 Speaker 1: lean in Miami here because I think that the main 481 00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:17,000 Speaker 1: thing is you just can't get like pressured by Iowa 482 00:21:17,080 --> 00:21:19,920 Speaker 1: State because that's like they're number one, they're really good 483 00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:23,480 Speaker 1: at it, creating turnovers forced. But that also leads to 484 00:21:23,480 --> 00:21:25,960 Speaker 1: a lot of their offense in transition, and I think 485 00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:29,160 Speaker 1: Miami has the ball handlers to kind of not allowed. 486 00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:30,679 Speaker 1: It sounds like he disagrees. Is there something that you 487 00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:31,040 Speaker 1: see that? 488 00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:33,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, Fan Duel dropped it two and I threw a 489 00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:34,679 Speaker 2: nickel on it and they moved it to one and 490 00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:38,080 Speaker 2: a half. So I you know, I I saw this 491 00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:41,119 Speaker 2: game completely different. Maybe I'll i'll, I'll dive in a 492 00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:42,679 Speaker 2: little bit deeper and see if maybe I should get 493 00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:44,280 Speaker 2: out of this. But the Hurricanes, I think they're going 494 00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:45,960 Speaker 2: to have to hit every shot in this game because 495 00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:49,000 Speaker 2: they're a terrible offensive rebounding team in Iowa State is 496 00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:52,480 Speaker 2: sixth in defensive rebounds. So if Miami is off, that 497 00:21:52,560 --> 00:21:54,160 Speaker 2: gonna scorre any points and they're not gonna get any 498 00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:56,960 Speaker 2: second chance and that offense for Miami. And I know 499 00:21:57,000 --> 00:21:59,159 Speaker 2: they look great tonight and I know that they've been hot, 500 00:21:59,560 --> 00:22:03,640 Speaker 2: but we're Auburn. They were terrible away from home this year. 501 00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:06,159 Speaker 2: I'm not surprised that Miami won that game whatsoever. But 502 00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:10,000 Speaker 2: the offense for Miami is a mix of transition. They're 503 00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:12,320 Speaker 2: first in efficiency. They'd like to end at the rim. 504 00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:15,879 Speaker 2: They have mid range jumpers and isolation sets, but Iowa 505 00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:19,000 Speaker 2: State has been great at defending all of those except 506 00:22:19,040 --> 00:22:20,879 Speaker 2: for transition. So I think Miami is gonna look to 507 00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:22,639 Speaker 2: push some tempo here and get their points out of that. 508 00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:24,840 Speaker 2: But for Iowa State, it's a really simple formula. They 509 00:22:24,840 --> 00:22:27,679 Speaker 2: only do a couple things well on offense. They do 510 00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:31,320 Speaker 2: screens and cuts and mid range jumpers. That's it. And 511 00:22:31,400 --> 00:22:34,120 Speaker 2: Miami is two hundred and seventy fourth and defending mid 512 00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:37,240 Speaker 2: range jumpers. So you're gonna give me an Iowa State 513 00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:39,760 Speaker 2: team that is just gonna dominate the glass and they 514 00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:42,639 Speaker 2: shoot mid range jumpers which Miami can't defend. I know, 515 00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:45,479 Speaker 2: Miami looked so excellent. It looks like they could make 516 00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:47,160 Speaker 2: a run to the Final four and give some people 517 00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:49,439 Speaker 2: some trouble. I know that was a one game sample. 518 00:22:49,920 --> 00:22:52,960 Speaker 2: I'm just saying from a matchup perspective here, this is 519 00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:55,320 Speaker 2: gonna be an issue because Miami can't defend mid range 520 00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:57,000 Speaker 2: jumpers and they're gonna have problems on the glass. 521 00:22:57,320 --> 00:22:58,919 Speaker 1: The one thing that I would just focus on if 522 00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:00,320 Speaker 1: you want to really look at this game, it's like 523 00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:04,960 Speaker 1: Iowa State fourth in the nation in turnover percentage on defense, 524 00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:07,320 Speaker 1: so they forced turnovers at a fourth highest f eight nationally. 525 00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:11,280 Speaker 1: Miami offense number six the other and then the other 526 00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:13,240 Speaker 1: problem for Iowa State is they're two hundred and ninety 527 00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:15,280 Speaker 1: fourth on offense in turnovers, so they turn it over 528 00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:18,479 Speaker 1: a ship ton. Well, Miami also forces turnovers. They're sixty 529 00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:20,600 Speaker 1: first on defense, so I think that that's gonna lead 530 00:23:20,600 --> 00:23:22,479 Speaker 1: to Miami beginning out in transition. And I don't think 531 00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:23,600 Speaker 1: that i Was State's gonna be able to get in 532 00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:25,080 Speaker 1: transition because Miami takes care of the ball. They have 533 00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:28,120 Speaker 1: ballhanders all over. So those are two sides of the coin. 534 00:23:28,760 --> 00:23:30,680 Speaker 1: You can always look at a game from many different angles. 535 00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:33,479 Speaker 1: And again we're gonna have in depth previews of all 536 00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:36,000 Speaker 1: these games during the week. One final game just to 537 00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:38,960 Speaker 1: talk about curious to get your thoughts on this one. 538 00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:41,879 Speaker 1: You got some some of it. I think this is 539 00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:44,280 Speaker 1: probably gonna be maybe the second or third most talked 540 00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:48,600 Speaker 1: about game this week North Carolina UCLA ULA two point favorite. 541 00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:52,000 Speaker 1: Here they're the four seed against Carolina, the eight seed. 542 00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:55,399 Speaker 1: This is it's a really drinking game for many reasons 543 00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:57,760 Speaker 1: over under one forty two and a half because like 544 00:23:58,320 --> 00:24:00,520 Speaker 1: La is so steady and they're just it's like a 545 00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:03,080 Speaker 1: weird team because they just thrive making tough shots. They 546 00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:05,119 Speaker 1: did it against Saint Mary's. They just live in the 547 00:24:05,119 --> 00:24:07,960 Speaker 1: mid range. Like they're the anti analytics team, Like they're 548 00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:10,080 Speaker 1: like outside the top three hundred rim rate, outside the 549 00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:12,159 Speaker 1: top three hundred and three point right, and they just 550 00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:13,560 Speaker 1: take a bunch of mid range jumpers. But they have 551 00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:14,800 Speaker 1: a guy, they have a bunch of guys who just 552 00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,240 Speaker 1: make mid range jumpers, right, So they just you can't 553 00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:18,560 Speaker 1: look at them be like, well this team takes in 554 00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:22,000 Speaker 1: efficient shots, because they do, but they make them. Their 555 00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:25,560 Speaker 1: defense is excellent, they're healthy. They weren't healthy during the year, 556 00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:30,040 Speaker 1: so their metrics might have been a little suppressed some 557 00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:31,800 Speaker 1: of their season long stats. But then you have this 558 00:24:31,840 --> 00:24:34,399 Speaker 1: Carolina team, you know, with Baycott inside, a team that 559 00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:38,040 Speaker 1: can shoot and their peak is like as good as anybody. 560 00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:40,240 Speaker 1: But we've seen check on hide and a lot of 561 00:24:40,320 --> 00:24:42,040 Speaker 1: we've seen them. You know, lose at home to b C. 562 00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:44,159 Speaker 1: We've seen them get blown out by Like just if 563 00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:45,720 Speaker 1: you look at some of the results, are you getting 564 00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:47,960 Speaker 1: the good carrot in the back, So you know, one 565 00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:50,080 Speaker 1: part of me thinks that, okay, a lot of their 566 00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:52,320 Speaker 1: issues at times or defense and like they just didn't 567 00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:55,600 Speaker 1: seem locked in, So you can probably assume that they're 568 00:24:55,640 --> 00:24:57,600 Speaker 1: going to be locked in in the tournament setting, like 569 00:24:57,600 --> 00:24:59,720 Speaker 1: you don't worry about their defense not showing up. But 570 00:24:59,760 --> 00:25:01,920 Speaker 1: still a very high various team based on the results 571 00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:04,960 Speaker 1: during the year that I love their peak, but I'm 572 00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:08,840 Speaker 1: not so I still fully trust them. Experienced edge year 573 00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:13,520 Speaker 1: tournament experience obviously goes to UCLA coaching edge probably as 574 00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:16,600 Speaker 1: well after this basically same Cormator run to the final 575 00:25:16,600 --> 00:25:19,200 Speaker 1: four last year, but from a raw talent perspective and 576 00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:22,360 Speaker 1: probably close, we maybe give the edge to Carolina. Really 577 00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:24,040 Speaker 1: fascinating game. I got to spend a lot of time 578 00:25:24,040 --> 00:25:26,120 Speaker 1: on this, Kags. I just don't know exactly how it's 579 00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:27,919 Speaker 1: going to play out. How do you see it. 580 00:25:28,320 --> 00:25:30,360 Speaker 2: I've already laid to max bets on the money line 581 00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:33,240 Speaker 2: on UCLA at least the limits that are here on 582 00:25:33,280 --> 00:25:35,480 Speaker 2: Sunday night. They're going to go up higher, but I'm 583 00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:37,920 Speaker 2: I might take another shot on them, And I've been 584 00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:40,280 Speaker 2: a little bit biased on UCLA ever since they were 585 00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:43,240 Speaker 2: in the final four last year. I love this set 586 00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:46,240 Speaker 2: of kids that they have between Juzang, Tiger Campbell and 587 00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:50,960 Speaker 2: Jaime Hawkes and which Mint Cronin said, if he can walk, 588 00:25:51,040 --> 00:25:53,120 Speaker 2: he's going to play. So I think having an extra 589 00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:55,960 Speaker 2: day not playing till Friday, it's huge because has. 590 00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:57,199 Speaker 1: What is the latest word on that it's just a 591 00:25:57,200 --> 00:26:00,359 Speaker 1: spray nagle, right, it looks so bad. It's just as 592 00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:01,679 Speaker 1: at first, Yeah. 593 00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:03,359 Speaker 2: They said it's just a sprain and that if he 594 00:26:03,359 --> 00:26:05,480 Speaker 2: can walk, he's gonna play, And then I think Cronin 595 00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:08,280 Speaker 2: said something like he's been playing with multiple sprains all year, 596 00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:11,600 Speaker 2: so it's I mean, it's good to have him. You know, 597 00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:13,199 Speaker 2: if he's out there, that's gonna help. But I mean 598 00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:15,359 Speaker 2: you'll get Jalen Clark and Peyton Watson out there for 599 00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:17,920 Speaker 2: some additional minutes if he can't. But you know, that's 600 00:26:17,960 --> 00:26:19,600 Speaker 2: really big for them, especially in the paint. I mean, 601 00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:21,600 Speaker 2: they'll throw hawkeeads in there against any center in the 602 00:26:21,640 --> 00:26:24,119 Speaker 2: country and he'll produce something. I think one of the 603 00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:27,119 Speaker 2: keys to this game is the Tier Campbell and you 604 00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:29,159 Speaker 2: know what Cronan wants to do. He wants the slowest 605 00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:32,439 Speaker 2: offensive grind possible, and so you're gonna have Tier Campbell 606 00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:34,840 Speaker 2: bringing the ball up the court. And this is just 607 00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:38,240 Speaker 2: a huge contrast in tempo styles. Carolina is near dead 608 00:26:38,320 --> 00:26:41,520 Speaker 2: last and defensive turnover rate. They're going to allow UCLA 609 00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:44,600 Speaker 2: just basically walking up the court with Tier Campbell set 610 00:26:44,600 --> 00:26:47,920 Speaker 2: their offense, They're gonna run interior isolation and that's Jim 611 00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:51,200 Speaker 2: Hawkes and Johnny juw Zaying's thing is mid range jumpers, 612 00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:54,720 Speaker 2: which UCLA I think is seventh in frequency and tenth 613 00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:57,840 Speaker 2: in efficiency. That's all this team is is running iso 614 00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:01,280 Speaker 2: mid range jumpers. And the Tar Heels do not defend 615 00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:05,440 Speaker 2: that well whatsoever outside the top two fifty. And offensively, 616 00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:08,359 Speaker 2: North Carolina they like to mix transition off drible threes. 617 00:27:08,840 --> 00:27:11,520 Speaker 2: And you say, like, it just has better defensive efficiency numbers, 618 00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:13,600 Speaker 2: but you already spoke to the fact that you can't 619 00:27:13,960 --> 00:27:17,000 Speaker 2: really go deep analytics on North Carolina. This team is 620 00:27:17,080 --> 00:27:20,000 Speaker 2: just it's one of those teams where it doesn't fit 621 00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:21,960 Speaker 2: the mole right where we talk about army football and 622 00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:24,080 Speaker 2: you can't put success right on them, they're just out 623 00:27:24,080 --> 00:27:26,840 Speaker 2: of the box. So you know, I think Jim Hawks 624 00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:28,200 Speaker 2: is the key if you want to wait to hear. 625 00:27:28,600 --> 00:27:30,320 Speaker 2: I'm kind of trying to get ahead of the news. 626 00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:32,639 Speaker 2: I think he's gonna play if Milwaukee's gonna play, is 627 00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:34,520 Speaker 2: what Cronan said. So I'm trying to get ahead of it. 628 00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:36,560 Speaker 2: I think it could jump up to three. He's healthy 629 00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:39,600 Speaker 2: and confirm that this line should bump up, right, So 630 00:27:39,680 --> 00:27:40,760 Speaker 2: I got ahead of that tonight. 631 00:27:41,080 --> 00:27:43,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, I gotta, I gotta, I gotta break it down 632 00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:46,160 Speaker 1: a little bit more. I would imagine that like public's 633 00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:50,320 Speaker 1: probably on UCLA here, I mean UNC. Excuse me, Yeah, 634 00:27:50,560 --> 00:27:52,040 Speaker 1: Like I know ucl I went to the final four 635 00:27:52,080 --> 00:27:54,159 Speaker 1: in his big name, but UNC is like the UNC 636 00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:58,240 Speaker 1: so and there's still like a little East Coast bias 637 00:27:58,240 --> 00:27:59,760 Speaker 1: of the public. I don't know, but I don't think 638 00:27:59,760 --> 00:28:01,920 Speaker 1: it'll be overwhelmed. I think that the public might lean 639 00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:04,760 Speaker 1: to U n C. Yeah, the injury news is something 640 00:28:04,760 --> 00:28:06,720 Speaker 1: to watch. I'm gonna break it down a little more. 641 00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:09,600 Speaker 1: I don't I think I would lean My first initial 642 00:28:09,640 --> 00:28:14,280 Speaker 1: thought without having a strong matchup advantage edge that I 643 00:28:14,359 --> 00:28:17,920 Speaker 1: was thinking through was that like tournament experience and coaching 644 00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:20,920 Speaker 1: edge here with what you know, with the five days 645 00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:24,760 Speaker 1: in between games, I think might end up being the difference. 646 00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:28,720 Speaker 1: So that was my initial thought. But you don't want. 647 00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:30,000 Speaker 2: You don't want your men to come down to what 648 00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:33,240 Speaker 2: you know, hoping Cody Riley can guard Bacot, right, I 649 00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:36,200 Speaker 2: mean that's you get scared of you You want confirmation 650 00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:39,120 Speaker 2: that Hawkes is healthy and at the same time, you 651 00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:40,800 Speaker 2: want to get that number before that's announced. 652 00:28:41,360 --> 00:28:45,800 Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, he's playing really well offensively too. Yeah. Well, 653 00:28:45,840 --> 00:28:49,520 Speaker 1: one last thing. What what needs to happen for your 654 00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:51,280 Speaker 1: Hogs to pull off the upset? Is it as simple 655 00:28:51,320 --> 00:28:52,840 Speaker 1: as because when I think when you need to when 656 00:28:52,840 --> 00:28:56,200 Speaker 1: you play Gonzaga, like you could pressure them a little bit. 657 00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:58,000 Speaker 1: So I think Argista needs to do that. They need 658 00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:02,120 Speaker 1: to turn them over and then like they're a different 659 00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:06,640 Speaker 1: team when Homegren is not on the court. I think 660 00:29:06,920 --> 00:29:10,880 Speaker 1: one of the keys could be the charge specialist and 661 00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:13,040 Speaker 1: a guy who's good around the room Jaalen Wims has. 662 00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:17,440 Speaker 1: They have to get Timmy and or Holmgren in foul trouble. 663 00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:19,720 Speaker 1: Note also has to stay out Faulci no time. I 664 00:29:19,760 --> 00:29:21,160 Speaker 1: feel like it's in a lot of fau trouble right. 665 00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:21,760 Speaker 2: The every time. 666 00:29:22,120 --> 00:29:25,320 Speaker 1: He's always Muscleman is always sitting him for the whole 667 00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:27,840 Speaker 1: first half. He can't get in fault trouble early or 668 00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:30,320 Speaker 1: foul out, and then Jalen Willims has to do his thing. 669 00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:32,520 Speaker 1: And now I was gonna have hit some shots. But 670 00:29:32,560 --> 00:29:34,200 Speaker 1: I think that's the thing to watch, Like Jala Wims, 671 00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:37,120 Speaker 1: get some charges on like Homegrim, go after Hope like 672 00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:39,840 Speaker 1: home Grid is. He's so good defensively, it's like a 673 00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:42,680 Speaker 1: defensive wizard. But because he's so good, he goes after 674 00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:44,480 Speaker 1: like every he tries to block everything, and he blocks 675 00:29:44,520 --> 00:29:46,320 Speaker 1: most of them. You have to get some fouls on 676 00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:48,360 Speaker 1: them early to do that, because then their defense becomes 677 00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:50,880 Speaker 1: so much and then I mean their offense too, but 678 00:29:50,880 --> 00:29:52,840 Speaker 1: they become a more attackable team. But I think that's 679 00:29:52,880 --> 00:29:55,960 Speaker 1: kind of some of the variance things that Arkansas needs 680 00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:57,640 Speaker 1: to work in their favor. Would you agree, is or 681 00:29:57,640 --> 00:29:58,280 Speaker 1: anything else? Yeah? 682 00:29:58,360 --> 00:30:01,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the formula to be Gonzaga is pretty easy. 683 00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:03,160 Speaker 2: And you kind of named it because JD Note has 684 00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:05,200 Speaker 2: been in foul trouble multiple games in a row bet, 685 00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:09,080 Speaker 2: including back to the SEC Tournament. When that happens, Musselman 686 00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:11,600 Speaker 2: is just you know, ripping his hair out. And come 687 00:30:11,720 --> 00:30:13,600 Speaker 2: out of his skull because he has to go dip 688 00:30:13,640 --> 00:30:15,760 Speaker 2: into a bench that's extremely thin, and he has to 689 00:30:15,760 --> 00:30:19,800 Speaker 2: look at Chris Likes, who is from a I'd say 690 00:30:19,800 --> 00:30:22,480 Speaker 2: an efficiency perspective of handling the ball, is not the 691 00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:24,800 Speaker 2: person we want shooting the ball and sometimes can be 692 00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:27,400 Speaker 2: mistake prone. He can also make explosive plays, but he 693 00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:29,000 Speaker 2: can also get in trouble. So we need jd Note 694 00:30:29,080 --> 00:30:31,320 Speaker 2: on the court. We need Jalen Williams to be Cory 695 00:30:31,400 --> 00:30:33,800 Speaker 2: Beck from nineteen ninety four and take one hundred charges. 696 00:30:34,600 --> 00:30:37,320 Speaker 2: And then the one thing where we can hang is 697 00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:40,920 Speaker 2: that Gonzaga sometimes is defense optional, so we need to 698 00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:44,320 Speaker 2: get out in transition and try to catch Gonzaga, you know, 699 00:30:44,360 --> 00:30:46,280 Speaker 2: maybe falling asleep. We need Chet not to be on 700 00:30:46,320 --> 00:30:49,160 Speaker 2: the court. Drew Timmy is not a defense in presence whatsoever. 701 00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:51,600 Speaker 2: So Jalen Williams posting up at the top of the 702 00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:54,960 Speaker 2: key and waiting for Adis Tony and Stanley Amude running 703 00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:57,480 Speaker 2: cuts over the you know, behind underneath the basket, and 704 00:30:57,600 --> 00:31:00,240 Speaker 2: Jalen Williams is an excellent passer from the free throw line. 705 00:31:00,480 --> 00:31:02,240 Speaker 2: He gets and you have to respect him because he 706 00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:05,240 Speaker 2: shoots three pointers at about thirty one percent. So really 707 00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:08,200 Speaker 2: the formula is a stay out of foul trouble. B 708 00:31:08,480 --> 00:31:10,880 Speaker 2: get Jalen Williams matched up at the key with Drew 709 00:31:10,920 --> 00:31:13,240 Speaker 2: Timmy not Chet Holmgren. If it's Chet, you got to 710 00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:15,600 Speaker 2: find a way to hit the cutters. And JD. Nota 711 00:31:15,760 --> 00:31:17,040 Speaker 2: is just going to have to have one of his days. 712 00:31:17,040 --> 00:31:19,200 Speaker 2: And we have not had a hot JD. Notta shooting 713 00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:21,720 Speaker 2: day in a long time, so you know. 714 00:31:21,800 --> 00:31:23,800 Speaker 1: We'll you could use a thirty from him here. 715 00:31:23,880 --> 00:31:25,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, we could use a thirty spot Urds on top 716 00:31:25,920 --> 00:31:28,320 Speaker 2: twenty five and you know, and a lot of defensive 717 00:31:28,360 --> 00:31:30,840 Speaker 2: things that the Zags want to do top ten in 718 00:31:30,840 --> 00:31:34,120 Speaker 2: transition Argusa's twenty seventh and post up D. I don't 719 00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:35,600 Speaker 2: know what they can do against Chet though this is 720 00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:37,960 Speaker 2: an extremely small team. I think a mood Ay and 721 00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:40,720 Speaker 2: Tony and Jalen Williams play bigger than what they actually are. 722 00:31:40,840 --> 00:31:44,120 Speaker 2: But I mean, Chet Holmgren is the He's the next KD. 723 00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:46,440 Speaker 2: So you know this this ought to be an interesting game. 724 00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:48,760 Speaker 2: But that's the formula, all right. That'll do it for us. 725 00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:52,720 Speaker 1: Some quick thoughts on the weekend that was and the 726 00:31:52,760 --> 00:31:55,480 Speaker 1: Sweet sixteen matchups. Not a ton of upsets this week. 727 00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:59,040 Speaker 1: You do have that Cinderella darling in Peters, but that 728 00:31:59,120 --> 00:32:02,680 Speaker 1: also means that you get a lot of Power Conference 729 00:32:03,000 --> 00:32:07,080 Speaker 1: Top twenty five teams in the sweet sixteen going up 730 00:32:07,080 --> 00:32:10,120 Speaker 1: against each other, which is usually ends up in better 731 00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:12,240 Speaker 1: games at this point. So I think that's the positive 732 00:32:12,280 --> 00:32:14,360 Speaker 1: the takeout of the weekend. Can't wait to talk about 733 00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:17,000 Speaker 1: these games more this week. We'll have a couple episodes 734 00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:21,840 Speaker 1: more infu on that to come, and make sure you 735 00:32:21,960 --> 00:32:23,920 Speaker 1: download Big Bets on Campus wherever you listen to your 736 00:32:23,920 --> 00:32:27,120 Speaker 1: podcast Big Bets on Campus Live our show Twitter show 737 00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:28,640 Speaker 1: that'll be back later in the week with myself and 738 00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:31,680 Speaker 1: three men Weave as well for every day of the 739 00:32:31,720 --> 00:32:34,920 Speaker 1: tournament this up couple weekend. Make sure you subscribe on Subscribe, 740 00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:36,800 Speaker 1: subscribe to a friend on Enemy. Thanks for tuning in. 741 00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:44,040 Speaker 1: We'll cut you all, lad and cheers.