1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:03,200 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 1: your bets. It is meet Joey p Joe Piez a 3 00:00:05,320 --> 00:00:08,240 Speaker 1: PA and this is VP NFL with me as ol. 4 00:00:08,360 --> 00:00:10,960 Speaker 1: Ways to talk props for Week sixteen in the NFL, 5 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 1: My Boys, the Undertaker, Andrew Rickson and the Welsh. Where 6 00:00:14,480 --> 00:00:15,800 Speaker 1: I could take a look at some of the Week 7 00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:19,200 Speaker 1: sixteen games that are looming, lots of playoff implications, some 8 00:00:19,320 --> 00:00:22,440 Speaker 1: standalone Saturday games. It's a good time right now. Make 9 00:00:22,480 --> 00:00:25,120 Speaker 1: sure you're subscribing to the Vetting Pros YouTube channel as well. 10 00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:27,160 Speaker 1: Make sure you're ring developed notifications because we've got all 11 00:00:27,160 --> 00:00:30,440 Speaker 1: the college football bracket stuff going on here, we got 12 00:00:30,520 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: NBA stuff going on here. We've got a lot going on. 13 00:00:33,120 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 1: And it was a lot going on last night, including 14 00:00:34,920 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 1: a free kick, something that hasn't happened in my lifetime, 15 00:00:38,120 --> 00:00:41,040 Speaker 1: your lifetime, maybe most of the people's lifetimes watching this show. 16 00:00:41,600 --> 00:00:44,240 Speaker 1: And it was cool. I liked it. It was fun. 17 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:49,839 Speaker 1: I don't think anybody here was possibly happier than Jim Harbaugh, 18 00:00:49,920 --> 00:00:52,640 Speaker 1: who seemed to be waiting for this his entire coaching career. 19 00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:55,640 Speaker 1: In the press conference, which is pretty hilarious. So ericson 20 00:00:56,000 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 1: what did you think of the free kick last night 21 00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:00,480 Speaker 1: in the Chargers rebound against the Denver Broncos. 22 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:03,120 Speaker 2: I absolutely loved it. I loved how the broadcasters talked 23 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:05,319 Speaker 2: about did teams even practice? And the first thing Sean 24 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:07,440 Speaker 2: Payton says after the free kicks, like, yeah, we prepared 25 00:01:07,480 --> 00:01:09,039 Speaker 2: for this every single week, we get ready for the 26 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:11,560 Speaker 2: free kick. That hasn't love it connected in fifty years, 27 00:01:11,600 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 2: because of course they practiced for it. So I thought 28 00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:15,600 Speaker 2: it was fun. Anything that's think different. 29 00:01:15,800 --> 00:01:16,000 Speaker 1: I know. 30 00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:17,880 Speaker 2: I explained it to my wife and she pretended to care, 31 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:19,399 Speaker 2: and then I knew that she was the one for 32 00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:22,199 Speaker 2: me because she's like, oh, like free kick, that sounds 33 00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:23,880 Speaker 2: kind of cool. I knew she was lying, but it 34 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:26,839 Speaker 2: made me feel good because this hasn't happened in fifty years, 35 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:28,920 Speaker 2: Like this is cool. And he made it too, like 36 00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:31,240 Speaker 2: if he hadn't missed it, Oh, well, that was what. 37 00:01:31,200 --> 00:01:33,200 Speaker 1: I was gonna say. Well, could you imagine that there's 38 00:01:33,400 --> 00:01:36,319 Speaker 1: like here you go, nobody's you know, rushing the kicker. 39 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:39,200 Speaker 1: It is literally a free kick, and yet in the 40 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:41,679 Speaker 1: back of your mind you're going, what if he misses this? 41 00:01:41,760 --> 00:01:44,720 Speaker 1: What a horrendous situation? This would be, so I mean, 42 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:47,160 Speaker 1: let's talk about that for a second, because the incredible 43 00:01:47,240 --> 00:01:50,320 Speaker 1: high of getting that moment only to kind of have 44 00:01:50,400 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 1: it go by the wayside, perhaps with the way kicking 45 00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 1: has been so terrible in twenty twenty four and I 46 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 1: loved the last couple of years, probably two. But he 47 00:01:56,360 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 1: did make it, so everything was pretty on board there. 48 00:01:59,520 --> 00:02:02,200 Speaker 1: But again, something that a lot of us didn't even 49 00:02:02,200 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 1: know existed and have never seen actually execute it in 50 00:02:05,080 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 1: our lifetimes. In nineteen seventy six, I think they said, right. 51 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:09,720 Speaker 3: He was gonna make that. From seventy yeah, But that's 52 00:02:09,880 --> 00:02:12,840 Speaker 3: that's my only issue with this whole thing, though, is 53 00:02:13,000 --> 00:02:16,080 Speaker 3: they're talking about it. They weren't explaining it like I 54 00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:20,000 Speaker 3: get conceptually, like it's a free kick. They're like, oh man, guys, 55 00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:21,680 Speaker 3: could this be a free kick? We haven't seen this 56 00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 3: in fifty years. Then explain it, say that all the 57 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:26,680 Speaker 3: guys have to line up like it's an ech, like 58 00:02:26,720 --> 00:02:29,240 Speaker 3: it's a kickoff. They didn't explain any that it's going 59 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 3: to be put on a tea. There was literally no breakdown. 60 00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:34,320 Speaker 3: They just kept saying free kick. If there was a 61 00:02:34,360 --> 00:02:37,560 Speaker 3: drinking game, everyone is passed out and still struggling today 62 00:02:37,600 --> 00:02:39,359 Speaker 3: because they're like, oh, free kick, free kick, because you 63 00:02:39,360 --> 00:02:41,520 Speaker 3: could believe it'd be a free kick, Like what what 64 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:44,080 Speaker 3: are we doing? What is different about the free kick? 65 00:02:44,160 --> 00:02:46,920 Speaker 3: Why is it free? Why doesn't it cost? I don't know. 66 00:02:47,160 --> 00:02:49,079 Speaker 3: I thought it was just like so overblown. And then yes, 67 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 3: he made it, and like I said, we'd have made 68 00:02:50,639 --> 00:02:52,720 Speaker 3: it from like seventy or seventy five. It's great. 69 00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:54,520 Speaker 2: You know there's a better that's been betting on will 70 00:02:54,520 --> 00:02:57,120 Speaker 2: there be a free kick? And every single game for 71 00:02:57,200 --> 00:03:01,040 Speaker 2: the every NFL slate finally, finally, Victoria. 72 00:03:01,240 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 1: I don't know if I don't know if if that even. 73 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:05,000 Speaker 2: Broke somebody out there. 74 00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:07,720 Speaker 3: I mean, I don't think that's available. I don't I 75 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:10,160 Speaker 3: can't remember fifty years. I don't even think the sites 76 00:03:10,160 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 3: would know what that is because they didn't explain it. 77 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:13,840 Speaker 1: You could be damn sure it's gonna be on there 78 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 1: this week. Oh yeah, right, copycat league? All right, Before 79 00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:20,840 Speaker 1: we move on to Week sixteen, any final thoughts from 80 00:03:20,919 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 1: last week? Eric said, I know you were painfully close 81 00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:24,920 Speaker 1: to something. It fell just a little short, little Bryce 82 00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:27,519 Speaker 1: Young action that kind of bitch. You're in the rear end. 83 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:32,000 Speaker 2: Yep so three and two overall, so winning week still positive. 84 00:03:32,120 --> 00:03:34,000 Speaker 2: Jalen hurts let me down. He did not throw interception 85 00:03:34,440 --> 00:03:37,240 Speaker 2: and Bryceywng came up half a yard short of the 86 00:03:37,320 --> 00:03:40,000 Speaker 2: Russian props. So that was very disappointing. And I know 87 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 2: that Welsh also has feelings about the Carolina Panthers that 88 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:45,880 Speaker 2: basically were underwhelming. They were on the money line, they 89 00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:47,960 Speaker 2: were supposed to win, they lost, And I know that 90 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 2: Welsh also lost out on a bed because of the 91 00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:50,760 Speaker 2: Carolina Panthers. 92 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, three and two also would have been four and 93 00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:56,520 Speaker 3: one half of a yard. Adam Thielen was fifty one 94 00:03:56,680 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 3: point five and he finished fifty one, so did the 95 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 3: end of the week three and two. It's been very 96 00:04:03,080 --> 00:04:07,080 Speaker 3: profitable over the last month or whatever. But like that 97 00:04:07,160 --> 00:04:10,600 Speaker 3: one hurt, Like the TUA process was bad. He's stuck. 98 00:04:10,640 --> 00:04:13,600 Speaker 3: He looked awful. Some of those I'm kicking myself for 99 00:04:13,720 --> 00:04:17,920 Speaker 3: not laddering CDE Lamb CD LAMB. Cook rushed as did 100 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 3: Russ Wilson. He hit that one great feeling. One hurts 101 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 3: just a tiny bit. That's the one where you're like, 102 00:04:23,160 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 3: you don't even focus on you having a positive winning 103 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:27,320 Speaker 3: weekend when you lose by a half a yard by 104 00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:29,520 Speaker 3: a guy, but both of us three and two ericson. 105 00:04:29,760 --> 00:04:32,120 Speaker 1: We'll take that, all right, just like Boe Belichick. We're 106 00:04:32,120 --> 00:04:34,719 Speaker 1: on to Cincinnati. We're on the week sixteen, and of 107 00:04:34,760 --> 00:04:36,719 Speaker 1: course we're gonna be using the prop bet cheat sheet. 108 00:04:36,720 --> 00:04:38,440 Speaker 1: If you haven't played around with it, make sure you do. 109 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:40,640 Speaker 1: It's the best place to get all of your props. 110 00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 1: You could take the matchups, the odds, you could sort everything, positions, 111 00:04:43,279 --> 00:04:45,479 Speaker 1: whatever you're looking for. It's so easy to find, and 112 00:04:45,520 --> 00:04:48,280 Speaker 1: you're gonna find the projections with the best line where 113 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:50,479 Speaker 1: to bet it. It makes life so much easier. So 114 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:52,160 Speaker 1: use the propet chia chee. Go to betting pros dot 115 00:04:52,160 --> 00:04:54,760 Speaker 1: com slash props or if you already have the app, 116 00:04:54,800 --> 00:04:56,760 Speaker 1: which you should. You should have downloaded the app anyway, 117 00:04:56,800 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 1: and use the free tools there for the premium side 118 00:04:58,680 --> 00:04:59,960 Speaker 1: for a couple of days. Then I mentioned it's for 119 00:05:00,600 --> 00:05:02,320 Speaker 1: and you also get the opportunity to use the prop 120 00:05:02,320 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 1: betchi ici there. It is an invaluable asset and something 121 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:07,599 Speaker 1: you should be using for the rest of the NFL 122 00:05:07,640 --> 00:05:10,720 Speaker 1: season into the playoffs. All right, let's start here, Welsh. 123 00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:12,400 Speaker 1: I can't believe you're kicking things off here with the 124 00:05:12,440 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 1: forty nine ers, like you just just just hate yourself 125 00:05:15,520 --> 00:05:17,240 Speaker 1: that much? Is that where we're at right now? Is 126 00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:19,720 Speaker 1: that just like continuing to just beat yourself up. I mean, 127 00:05:19,760 --> 00:05:21,839 Speaker 1: just let it go. I thought you let the season go. 128 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:24,240 Speaker 3: Last week it felt like I'm not betting that they're 129 00:05:24,240 --> 00:05:26,800 Speaker 3: gonna win, and I'm not betting Deebo Samuel, So I 130 00:05:26,839 --> 00:05:29,200 Speaker 3: don't hate myself that much. Like if I want to 131 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:32,760 Speaker 3: hate myself, if you you want to hate yourself, bet 132 00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:35,279 Speaker 3: Deebo Samuel receiving yards or anytime I bet he. 133 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:37,599 Speaker 1: Has one hundred down this week, I'm gonna it's just 134 00:05:37,640 --> 00:05:40,840 Speaker 1: so clear the over corrections touchdown, it's amazing. 135 00:05:40,960 --> 00:05:43,279 Speaker 3: So no, but what I am gonna and maybe it 136 00:05:43,320 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 3: is a little self hatred to it, but there's there's 137 00:05:45,680 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 3: actually just a lot of like situational stuff. Why I 138 00:05:48,200 --> 00:05:51,039 Speaker 3: like this one brock Purty over passing touchdowns one and 139 00:05:51,040 --> 00:05:53,360 Speaker 3: a half this week and it's plus money and that's 140 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:55,760 Speaker 3: what really like I like about it. Not to mention, 141 00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:57,840 Speaker 3: we've had a lot of bad weather stuff that's been 142 00:05:57,880 --> 00:06:00,200 Speaker 3: going on recently. There's some bad weather games that are 143 00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:02,599 Speaker 3: going on this weekend. It ain't in the Dolphins in 144 00:06:02,640 --> 00:06:05,679 Speaker 3: the forty nine Ers game. It should be nice and clear. 145 00:06:05,760 --> 00:06:08,680 Speaker 3: Dolphins have given up two passing touchdowns in two of 146 00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:12,520 Speaker 3: their last three games. Rock Purty really hasn't, and that's 147 00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:14,600 Speaker 3: obviously why this is plus money. At this point, you're 148 00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:16,280 Speaker 3: throw in like the you know, bad weather game and 149 00:06:16,360 --> 00:06:19,280 Speaker 3: just the overall poor performance in general. But they're going 150 00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:22,400 Speaker 3: into a spot where Juwan Jennings thirteenth best cornerback to 151 00:06:22,440 --> 00:06:25,440 Speaker 3: wide receiver matchup this week and George Kittle graded out. 152 00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:27,920 Speaker 3: That's on PFF. By the way, George Kittle graded out 153 00:06:27,920 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 3: on PFF as the number one tight end from advantage standpoint. 154 00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:35,680 Speaker 3: They graded him a sixty eight percent matchup advantage per perspective. 155 00:06:36,680 --> 00:06:39,320 Speaker 3: That is twenty percent higher than the next tight end. 156 00:06:39,360 --> 00:06:41,640 Speaker 3: That's how far we are going on this one. And 157 00:06:41,680 --> 00:06:44,719 Speaker 3: then when I'm talking about, like, you know, the situational thing, 158 00:06:45,200 --> 00:06:47,839 Speaker 3: I just like that they don't have a running back. 159 00:06:47,960 --> 00:06:50,040 Speaker 3: They're down four of them. ISAA Grendo is not going 160 00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:52,600 Speaker 3: to play. You're gonna go to Patrick Taylor, maybe Abana Kanda, 161 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:55,440 Speaker 3: maybe a little bit of Deebo Samuel. I think what 162 00:06:55,520 --> 00:06:58,040 Speaker 3: that is going to end up establishing is not an 163 00:06:58,240 --> 00:07:01,200 Speaker 3: established running game they're gone have to throw the ball, 164 00:07:01,480 --> 00:07:05,279 Speaker 3: and there's an advantage with Juwan Jennings, with George Kittle. 165 00:07:05,400 --> 00:07:07,640 Speaker 3: I like this. Dolphins are giving it up. I think 166 00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 3: they're gonna slang it. There's also you know, Mike McDaniel, 167 00:07:10,240 --> 00:07:12,720 Speaker 3: Kyle Shanahan kind of back and forth. I actually do 168 00:07:12,760 --> 00:07:14,840 Speaker 3: think there's gonna be some points scored in this game. 169 00:07:14,880 --> 00:07:17,760 Speaker 3: But obviously I have weird blind spots sometimes with the Niners. 170 00:07:17,760 --> 00:07:21,640 Speaker 3: But plus money Brock Party on two touchdowns against the Dolphins, Yep, 171 00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:22,840 Speaker 3: that's gonna be my number one. 172 00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, and Purty for the year has been a bit 173 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:26,480 Speaker 1: of a road warrior. Actually, he's been much better on 174 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:28,600 Speaker 1: the road in terms of QBR and all the staffs. 175 00:07:28,800 --> 00:07:31,400 Speaker 1: So that being said, Andrew Erickson looks like you are 176 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:34,640 Speaker 1: piggybacking on the Brock Party front as well. For Week sixteen. 177 00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:37,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the over on Brock Parties passing yards 178 00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:39,360 Speaker 2: two hundred and forty two and a half passing yards. 179 00:07:39,800 --> 00:07:41,640 Speaker 2: I think that the numbers kind of suppressed just because 180 00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:43,880 Speaker 2: of the last couple of weeks where they've been bad. 181 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:46,200 Speaker 2: He's been he had an injury he was dealing with, 182 00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:48,920 Speaker 2: He's played in a bad couple bad weather games. They're 183 00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 2: playing in Miami, nice and sunny. It's gonna be great. 184 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:53,720 Speaker 2: The Web's gonna be fine. There're two teams that have 185 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:55,400 Speaker 2: been unerwhelming, but I think that they're gonna take their 186 00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:59,000 Speaker 2: frustrations out on the opposing defenses. I really think that's 187 00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:01,040 Speaker 2: gonna be the case here in the matchup. And I 188 00:08:01,080 --> 00:08:03,200 Speaker 2: think the thing to point out with Brock Purty is 189 00:08:03,560 --> 00:08:05,680 Speaker 2: so he's gone over this number in six of nine 190 00:08:05,720 --> 00:08:08,800 Speaker 2: games with George Kittle, with Debo and John Jennings like 191 00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:10,200 Speaker 2: all in the lineup. So when he has all of 192 00:08:10,280 --> 00:08:12,920 Speaker 2: his guys, even Debo to an extent like, he usually 193 00:08:12,920 --> 00:08:14,680 Speaker 2: goes over this number. And I think that you're just 194 00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:17,239 Speaker 2: getting a good value on it because of in recent 195 00:08:17,280 --> 00:08:19,840 Speaker 2: weeks where he's been under in three of four, because 196 00:08:19,920 --> 00:08:22,360 Speaker 2: of the things I pointed out injuries and weather, which 197 00:08:22,360 --> 00:08:23,800 Speaker 2: I don't think are going to be factors in this 198 00:08:23,840 --> 00:08:26,560 Speaker 2: particular matchup. And I think from a next gen stats 199 00:08:26,640 --> 00:08:28,480 Speaker 2: point of view, this is someone I was looking at. 200 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:30,520 Speaker 2: So the Dolphins have played cover two at the fifth 201 00:08:30,600 --> 00:08:32,840 Speaker 2: highest rate in the NFL this season, and if you 202 00:08:32,840 --> 00:08:35,160 Speaker 2: look at what Party has done against that type of coverage, 203 00:08:35,320 --> 00:08:37,760 Speaker 2: nine point two yards per attempt against cover two, third 204 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:39,560 Speaker 2: most in the NFL. So I think they're just gonna 205 00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:41,439 Speaker 2: let it rip their down to their fourth string running back. 206 00:08:41,520 --> 00:08:43,480 Speaker 2: Is this going to be Patrick Taylor? Twenty carries? Now? 207 00:08:43,800 --> 00:08:46,360 Speaker 2: This is hey. Let's rip it with Brock Purdy. Let's 208 00:08:46,360 --> 00:08:48,439 Speaker 2: beat up on this Dolphin. I mean Aaron Rodgers three 209 00:08:48,440 --> 00:08:50,120 Speaker 2: for three dy yards against the Dolphins. Steve Is the 210 00:08:50,200 --> 00:08:52,599 Speaker 2: guy hasn't done it since the Ronald Reagan administration. Come on, 211 00:08:53,760 --> 00:08:56,880 Speaker 2: So I like Purdy, so handholding with Welsh here. Perty's 212 00:08:56,880 --> 00:08:58,680 Speaker 2: gonna have himself a day, all right? 213 00:08:58,720 --> 00:09:01,920 Speaker 1: So Brock Purty looking pretty good for week sixteen. Let's 214 00:09:01,960 --> 00:09:05,160 Speaker 1: talk about an investment in the New York Giants. Yes, 215 00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:10,559 Speaker 1: that's correct, the New York Giants. So again you got 216 00:09:10,559 --> 00:09:12,680 Speaker 1: to convince me here on this. Drew Lock's playing quarterback. 217 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:14,000 Speaker 1: I mean, if you can't invest in Drew Lock and 218 00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 1: the Giants at this point, what can you invest in? 219 00:09:16,080 --> 00:09:18,040 Speaker 1: Let's talk about Milik Neighbors. The number for name is 220 00:09:18,040 --> 00:09:21,000 Speaker 1: sixty seven and a half. You think Drew Lock can 221 00:09:21,040 --> 00:09:24,079 Speaker 1: get this to an over Let's talk about the why? Yeah? 222 00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:26,720 Speaker 3: Well, I mean why as we have gotten there? He 223 00:09:26,760 --> 00:09:28,880 Speaker 3: has hit this in three straight games. You're talking about 224 00:09:28,920 --> 00:09:32,080 Speaker 3: Milik Neighbors over receiving yard sixty seven and a half. 225 00:09:32,120 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 3: He has hit this three straight games while receiving thirty 226 00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:39,000 Speaker 3: seven targets over that time in a row. No but 227 00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:42,920 Speaker 3: thirty seven targets. Falcons giving up the tenth most receiving 228 00:09:42,960 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 3: yards to wide receivers so far this year. Falcons have 229 00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:47,800 Speaker 3: also given up, if you care about this, the top 230 00:09:47,840 --> 00:09:50,760 Speaker 3: five most fantasy points to wide receivers over the last month. 231 00:09:50,920 --> 00:09:53,360 Speaker 3: And this is a big volume play, So you know, 232 00:09:53,360 --> 00:09:56,080 Speaker 3: I'm tempted always with the receptions, way more than you 233 00:09:56,120 --> 00:09:58,480 Speaker 3: guys on some of these things, and I have some 234 00:09:58,520 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 3: fun reception stuff coming up here. But with this one, 235 00:10:01,800 --> 00:10:04,800 Speaker 3: that pure set of volume against a Falcons defense. Like 236 00:10:04,800 --> 00:10:07,800 Speaker 3: I said, tenth most receiving yards given up overall. We 237 00:10:07,840 --> 00:10:10,080 Speaker 3: know he's getting targets. He's had double digit targets in 238 00:10:10,120 --> 00:10:13,319 Speaker 3: three straight games. He is hitting these numbers. Don't think 239 00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:14,920 Speaker 3: this is a great team, but also think they're gonna 240 00:10:14,920 --> 00:10:16,319 Speaker 3: be playing from behind. Even though you do have a 241 00:10:16,360 --> 00:10:18,880 Speaker 3: rookie quarterback in there and Michael Pennock's starting, I think 242 00:10:18,920 --> 00:10:20,839 Speaker 3: he's going to be efficient and that just leads to 243 00:10:20,880 --> 00:10:23,840 Speaker 3: them doing more throwing, so always going to Malik Neighbors. 244 00:10:24,040 --> 00:10:27,480 Speaker 3: This is a relatively low number. Anything under seventy I 245 00:10:27,480 --> 00:10:30,760 Speaker 3: think is playable. As each yard went down, I felt 246 00:10:30,760 --> 00:10:33,760 Speaker 3: more comfortable. Sixty seven was a fantastic marker. So sixty 247 00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:36,800 Speaker 3: seven and a half over for Elik Neighbors. That's number two. 248 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:37,760 Speaker 3: But I get the hesitation. 249 00:10:38,240 --> 00:10:41,800 Speaker 1: Last week Darnold Mooney was disappointing this week he has 250 00:10:42,160 --> 00:10:45,280 Speaker 1: for quarterbacks, So perhaps Michael Pennix, who did have a 251 00:10:45,320 --> 00:10:48,480 Speaker 1: pensant in Washington for making a big plays. You know, 252 00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:50,360 Speaker 1: whenever there's like a big throw to you made in 253 00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 1: a big moment, he is never afraid of it, which 254 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:53,480 Speaker 1: is something I love about Michael Penicks. And I was 255 00:10:53,520 --> 00:10:55,160 Speaker 1: kind of a defender of Michael Pennix a lot last 256 00:10:55,200 --> 00:10:57,200 Speaker 1: year in a lot of shows, and I enjoy watching 257 00:10:57,320 --> 00:10:59,440 Speaker 1: play quarterback, and I think this is a unique opportunity 258 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:02,480 Speaker 1: against the bad team for him to play through the 259 00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:03,800 Speaker 1: nerves a little bit in the first half and then 260 00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:06,160 Speaker 1: maybe settled in. But there's definitely some big play potential 261 00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:07,520 Speaker 1: in there. And I know Andrew you and I have 262 00:11:07,600 --> 00:11:10,959 Speaker 1: mentioned before maybe looking for the over on the biggest 263 00:11:11,160 --> 00:11:14,320 Speaker 1: pass yardage in a single play for Michael Pennock's being 264 00:11:14,320 --> 00:11:16,640 Speaker 1: an interesting one because he does have that big playability 265 00:11:16,840 --> 00:11:18,760 Speaker 1: looking for the over on his yards. But there's also 266 00:11:18,760 --> 00:11:21,080 Speaker 1: a receiver that you feel has a good prop this 267 00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:22,960 Speaker 1: week is Darnal Mooney. Let's talk about him. 268 00:11:23,240 --> 00:11:25,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, Donald Mooney's gonna go over fifty two and a 269 00:11:25,280 --> 00:11:27,480 Speaker 2: half receiving arts because they're just They're gonna let it 270 00:11:27,559 --> 00:11:30,040 Speaker 2: rip with Michael Pennix too. They're gonna show everybody why 271 00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:33,000 Speaker 2: they took this guy where they did, because this matchup 272 00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:37,199 Speaker 2: is chef's kiss for deep ball receivers. Giants defense ranks 273 00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:39,880 Speaker 2: dead lass and EPA per target on passes of twenty 274 00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:41,439 Speaker 2: plus air yards and something that I want to point 275 00:11:41,440 --> 00:11:43,680 Speaker 2: out about last week's matchup, the Raiders have been good 276 00:11:43,720 --> 00:11:46,439 Speaker 2: defending the deep ball, so that kind of played into 277 00:11:46,640 --> 00:11:49,720 Speaker 2: why Donald Mooney was so disappointing. Also considering Kirk Cousins 278 00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:51,240 Speaker 2: at his quarterback, and they decided to run the ball 279 00:11:51,240 --> 00:11:53,720 Speaker 2: a million times and never throw. So that's the only 280 00:11:53,800 --> 00:11:55,600 Speaker 2: way this beats me would be they just don't get 281 00:11:55,679 --> 00:11:58,600 Speaker 2: enough volume. But Mooney's not a volume based receiver. He 282 00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:01,319 Speaker 2: is a big play special and no defense has been 283 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:04,240 Speaker 2: worse at guarding the deep ball than the New York Giants, 284 00:12:04,280 --> 00:12:06,520 Speaker 2: So honestly, it would not surprise me. All they go hard, 285 00:12:06,559 --> 00:12:08,520 Speaker 2: play action the first play of the game and they 286 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:11,439 Speaker 2: just rocket it down the field to Darnell Mooney get 287 00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:14,000 Speaker 2: the crowd fired up in Atlanta for their new rookie quarterback. 288 00:12:14,800 --> 00:12:17,079 Speaker 2: I think that the main takeaways from this game is 289 00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:19,280 Speaker 2: going to be, well, they should have started Michael Penix 290 00:12:19,320 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 2: months ago. 291 00:12:20,320 --> 00:12:22,520 Speaker 1: Well, but that's the problem is like that could be 292 00:12:22,520 --> 00:12:24,480 Speaker 1: the takeaway against the New York Football Giant. Yeah. 293 00:12:24,520 --> 00:12:26,839 Speaker 2: Ye, clearly wa wave blown out of proportion and we're 294 00:12:26,840 --> 00:12:28,880 Speaker 2: gonna be fading the Falcons the week after, trying. 295 00:12:28,679 --> 00:12:30,199 Speaker 1: To think who they play next week? Ericson, do you 296 00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:33,160 Speaker 1: know if the okay? So it's really it's not gonna 297 00:12:33,160 --> 00:12:35,400 Speaker 1: make a difference. We're all gonna get excited about Michael Pennis. 298 00:12:35,400 --> 00:12:36,920 Speaker 1: Maybe too much money. 299 00:12:36,920 --> 00:12:39,160 Speaker 3: Can I ask, is there any temptation I was looking 300 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:41,960 Speaker 3: as you were starting this to play the longest reception 301 00:12:42,080 --> 00:12:44,200 Speaker 3: for Darnell Mooney just because you know you did have 302 00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:47,000 Speaker 3: that donut. Fifty two yards is a pretty aggressive marker 303 00:12:47,080 --> 00:12:49,480 Speaker 3: off of that. Twenty two and a half is the 304 00:12:49,520 --> 00:12:53,600 Speaker 3: longest reception for Darnell Mooney. Boy, that feels kind of good. Ericson, 305 00:12:54,080 --> 00:12:56,280 Speaker 3: would that be something that you would suggest I would 306 00:12:56,320 --> 00:12:58,040 Speaker 3: do if someone is scared to be off of the 307 00:12:58,080 --> 00:12:59,199 Speaker 3: donut for mooney. 308 00:12:59,320 --> 00:13:00,720 Speaker 2: I think both make a lot of sense. 309 00:13:00,960 --> 00:13:03,000 Speaker 1: If you like the biggest total, then you might as 310 00:13:03,000 --> 00:13:05,560 Speaker 1: well continue with the overrun receiving two. That's just good logic. 311 00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:08,880 Speaker 2: I feel like, I mean, I haven't particularly dove into 312 00:13:08,880 --> 00:13:12,319 Speaker 2: the longest receptions prop market this year, but I think 313 00:13:12,360 --> 00:13:14,360 Speaker 2: that your point is very spot on. 314 00:13:14,400 --> 00:13:16,320 Speaker 3: I think I've only done one on this show and 315 00:13:16,400 --> 00:13:19,160 Speaker 3: hit it Withdvante. It was under twenty. 316 00:13:19,160 --> 00:13:20,640 Speaker 1: He does a lot of those on the Thursday nights, 317 00:13:20,960 --> 00:13:23,360 Speaker 1: of course, he loves. Last night was the first time 318 00:13:23,400 --> 00:13:25,199 Speaker 1: in like five years that Gus Edwards had a run 319 00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:27,199 Speaker 1: for more than ten yards, and of course that was 320 00:13:27,240 --> 00:13:28,760 Speaker 1: one of our prop bets yesterday and then he had 321 00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:30,360 Speaker 1: that big run and it was just we were just 322 00:13:30,440 --> 00:13:31,319 Speaker 1: laughing about it last week. 323 00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:33,120 Speaker 2: I got hurting that game too. We're like, oh, we're good, 324 00:13:33,160 --> 00:13:34,439 Speaker 2: We're good to go, and he comes in. 325 00:13:34,440 --> 00:13:38,040 Speaker 3: He text me He's like, I had Gus Edwards Underyard's 326 00:13:38,320 --> 00:13:40,160 Speaker 3: longest rush of five. 327 00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:44,800 Speaker 1: And still nothing on Michael Pennock's rushing yards as of 328 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:46,719 Speaker 1: right now on Friday recording is like keep looking for 329 00:13:46,800 --> 00:13:49,120 Speaker 1: rushing yards for Pennix. I don't know what they're going 330 00:13:49,160 --> 00:13:51,400 Speaker 1: to say it at. It could be a wide range. 331 00:13:51,800 --> 00:13:53,040 Speaker 1: I think the number is going to be a little 332 00:13:53,080 --> 00:13:54,480 Speaker 1: lower than it should be in that first shot out 333 00:13:54,480 --> 00:13:55,880 Speaker 1: of the gate. I would take the over on that too. 334 00:13:55,920 --> 00:13:57,640 Speaker 1: I think he's gonna get out in space a little bit. 335 00:13:57,880 --> 00:13:59,679 Speaker 1: At one point, something's gonna break down. He's gonna have 336 00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:01,240 Speaker 1: a run for at least ten yards, and if he 337 00:14:01,240 --> 00:14:03,520 Speaker 1: has one more over there, I think you're looking at 338 00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:05,440 Speaker 1: somewhere around twenty yards. I think rushing for him potentially 339 00:14:05,440 --> 00:14:08,000 Speaker 1: in this game against the Giants. All right, let's move 340 00:14:08,080 --> 00:14:10,280 Speaker 1: on to the next pick, and just a quick reminder too, 341 00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:11,880 Speaker 1: you can always follow all of our picks too on 342 00:14:11,960 --> 00:14:13,800 Speaker 1: betting Pros. Just put our name in the search tab 343 00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:16,480 Speaker 1: and you can follow Welsh ericson myself and look at 344 00:14:16,480 --> 00:14:17,720 Speaker 1: all the things that we're in on this week. For 345 00:14:17,760 --> 00:14:19,440 Speaker 1: better or worse, we're having fun here. This is what 346 00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:22,040 Speaker 1: we do. Let's talk about a Saturday game here. I'll 347 00:14:22,040 --> 00:14:24,800 Speaker 1: talk about the Baltimore Ravens year. And you've got a 348 00:14:24,800 --> 00:14:27,120 Speaker 1: prop in a running back, but it ain't Dereck Henry. 349 00:14:27,200 --> 00:14:29,880 Speaker 1: It's just as Hill Welsh for receiving yards eighteen and 350 00:14:29,880 --> 00:14:31,440 Speaker 1: a half. So let's chat about this one. 351 00:14:31,760 --> 00:14:34,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, I love this one. Eighteen and a half receiving 352 00:14:34,520 --> 00:14:37,560 Speaker 3: yards on Justice Hill caught four passes or more in 353 00:14:37,600 --> 00:14:39,480 Speaker 3: three of his last four games. He has hit this 354 00:14:39,760 --> 00:14:43,040 Speaker 3: number in two of his last four. Has beat this 355 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:46,400 Speaker 3: number seven times this year, and by the way, he 356 00:14:46,520 --> 00:14:49,280 Speaker 3: beat this number against the Steelers earlier this year. Steelers 357 00:14:49,320 --> 00:14:51,880 Speaker 3: are giving up or have given up this number to 358 00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:55,120 Speaker 3: four of the last five running backs that they've played. 359 00:14:55,520 --> 00:14:58,400 Speaker 3: And this is the formula, especially with any of these 360 00:14:58,480 --> 00:15:00,600 Speaker 3: running backs that are not Derek Henry. Love to throw 361 00:15:00,600 --> 00:15:03,720 Speaker 3: the ball to Justice Hill. I'm taking yards over receptions 362 00:15:03,720 --> 00:15:05,360 Speaker 3: in this point, and I believe it's at two and 363 00:15:05,440 --> 00:15:07,400 Speaker 3: a half on the receptions that it might push to 364 00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:10,080 Speaker 3: three and a half because they do throw on the ball. Also, 365 00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:15,840 Speaker 3: if you are a believer in the Lamar Jackson struggles 366 00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:19,880 Speaker 3: kryptonite of the Pittsburgh Steelers, even better because then he's 367 00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:21,880 Speaker 3: going to be less efficient, They're not going to be 368 00:15:21,920 --> 00:15:24,560 Speaker 3: moving the ball. You're gonna have a closer game, and 369 00:15:24,560 --> 00:15:26,960 Speaker 3: you're gonna have more dump offs to Justice Hill. Plus 370 00:15:27,120 --> 00:15:29,600 Speaker 3: you know, like Deck Henry is a monster, but the 371 00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:33,240 Speaker 3: Pittsburgh Steelers are a pretty tough run defense. Don't be 372 00:15:33,320 --> 00:15:35,320 Speaker 3: shocked when you see a little bit more Justice Hill 373 00:15:35,480 --> 00:15:37,480 Speaker 3: and they start moving to a passing game. God forbid, 374 00:15:37,520 --> 00:15:39,720 Speaker 3: the Steelers were to get up in this game. But again, 375 00:15:39,840 --> 00:15:42,280 Speaker 3: he hit this against the Steelers before. This is his 376 00:15:42,440 --> 00:15:47,160 Speaker 3: primary role in the Baltimore Ravens offense. I love this 377 00:15:47,240 --> 00:15:49,760 Speaker 3: one under twenty eighteen and a half is the over. 378 00:15:50,160 --> 00:15:52,280 Speaker 3: Maybe you see it move a tiny bit more. One 379 00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:52,960 Speaker 3: of my favorites. 380 00:15:53,080 --> 00:15:55,440 Speaker 1: All Right, the New York Jets and Rams are gonna 381 00:15:55,440 --> 00:15:57,920 Speaker 1: face off this weekend, and last time we saw Matthew Stafford, 382 00:15:58,000 --> 00:16:00,880 Speaker 1: things didn't look all that good. However, despite the fact 383 00:16:00,920 --> 00:16:03,480 Speaker 1: he's coming off his second worst passing total of the 384 00:16:03,520 --> 00:16:06,280 Speaker 1: season last week, just one hundred and sixty yards. The 385 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:08,240 Speaker 1: only week that was lower than that was Week seven 386 00:16:08,280 --> 00:16:11,200 Speaker 1: against Las Vegas, where he's at one fifty four. You're confident, 387 00:16:11,240 --> 00:16:15,200 Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford. Now, the Jets have been a top eight 388 00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:18,080 Speaker 1: or so defense in terms of receiving yards given up. 389 00:16:18,200 --> 00:16:20,880 Speaker 1: So why are you looking for that bounce back this week? 390 00:16:20,960 --> 00:16:22,880 Speaker 1: Is it's just the motivation here of Stafford and the 391 00:16:22,960 --> 00:16:25,840 Speaker 1: Rams to make that final playoff push. 392 00:16:26,080 --> 00:16:28,640 Speaker 2: Well, lately, the Jets haven't been that great against quarterbacks. 393 00:16:28,680 --> 00:16:30,920 Speaker 2: For the last five quarterbacks the Jets have faced have 394 00:16:31,080 --> 00:16:33,080 Speaker 2: given up two hundred and sixty five passing yards at 395 00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:35,360 Speaker 2: least hit that number. And we look at Stafford and 396 00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:36,920 Speaker 2: what he's done when he's had his guys this year, 397 00:16:36,960 --> 00:16:39,760 Speaker 2: between Pupkin, Deakua and Cooper Cup, gone over this number 398 00:16:39,760 --> 00:16:42,720 Speaker 2: and seven of his last nine starts. Now, obviously last 399 00:16:42,720 --> 00:16:46,000 Speaker 2: week didn't work out. All of my prize picks pick'ems 400 00:16:46,040 --> 00:16:48,160 Speaker 2: all burned to flames because I was paying rock perty 401 00:16:48,200 --> 00:16:50,600 Speaker 2: with Matthew Stafford. Oh this is a lock, baby. They 402 00:16:50,640 --> 00:16:53,120 Speaker 2: got all their guys and then the weather had different ideas. 403 00:16:53,120 --> 00:16:54,360 Speaker 2: But I'm going right back to it because I don't 404 00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:56,280 Speaker 2: think that the process was terrible. When they've had their 405 00:16:56,280 --> 00:16:59,120 Speaker 2: healthy guys receivers this year, they've been going over this 406 00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:01,960 Speaker 2: passing yards not afraid of the Jets six most deep 407 00:17:01,960 --> 00:17:04,720 Speaker 2: passes face this season. And I think an interesting way 408 00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:06,879 Speaker 2: to play this actually is with the over on Cooper 409 00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:09,239 Speaker 2: Cup and his receiving yards, because every time Stafford has 410 00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:11,800 Speaker 2: gone over this number, he's brought Cooper Cup along for 411 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:14,320 Speaker 2: the ride. And you look at the Jets worst defense 412 00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:16,680 Speaker 2: against slot receivers this season. So if you want a 413 00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:19,720 Speaker 2: little bit of a bigger payout, pair Matthew Stafford with 414 00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:22,680 Speaker 2: Cooper Cup and a little bit of correlated parlay action. 415 00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:25,120 Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the fourth pick for everybody 416 00:17:25,160 --> 00:17:27,359 Speaker 1: here and well, for this next one, you've got a 417 00:17:27,359 --> 00:17:29,639 Speaker 1: little duo action. Let's talk about this. You seem very 418 00:17:29,680 --> 00:17:31,199 Speaker 1: excited about this one, so I want to hear it. 419 00:17:31,640 --> 00:17:33,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, the next two I'm going to be throwing 420 00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:36,920 Speaker 3: at you. I'm switching stuff up for some fun here. 421 00:17:36,960 --> 00:17:39,280 Speaker 3: But I'm gonna drop I don't know if I've done 422 00:17:39,320 --> 00:17:41,440 Speaker 3: this this year because I used to do this last year. 423 00:17:41,800 --> 00:17:46,440 Speaker 3: I'm dropping a reception parlay. Nothing crazy. Two players who've 424 00:17:46,480 --> 00:17:48,879 Speaker 3: got some juice numbers, and the reason they're juiced is 425 00:17:48,880 --> 00:17:53,280 Speaker 3: because everybody likes them. We are pairing Cuba Hubbard receptions 426 00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:56,600 Speaker 3: with Jalen Warren receptions, and we are getting over two 427 00:17:56,680 --> 00:18:00,680 Speaker 3: and a half each plus one essentially one fifty fifty six. 428 00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:02,720 Speaker 3: I had it. The number is going to vary when 429 00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:05,840 Speaker 3: you guys lock it in if you do. Cardinals are 430 00:18:05,840 --> 00:18:08,639 Speaker 3: giving up the tenth most receptions to running backs on 431 00:18:08,680 --> 00:18:11,160 Speaker 3: the year and the fifth most over the last month, 432 00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:13,800 Speaker 3: So this is a Chuba thing. Cuba has caught four 433 00:18:14,160 --> 00:18:17,800 Speaker 3: two straight games and three of his last five bank 434 00:18:18,040 --> 00:18:19,919 Speaker 3: Now we move to Jalen who has hit this in 435 00:18:19,960 --> 00:18:23,560 Speaker 3: three of his last five games, including four against Baltimore Ravens. 436 00:18:23,800 --> 00:18:26,359 Speaker 3: Baltimore has given up the eighth most receptions to running 437 00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:29,960 Speaker 3: backs on the year, and the Jalen Warren one is 438 00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:32,200 Speaker 3: probably my most confident play if someone wanted to mess 439 00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:34,600 Speaker 3: around with it, just simply because I don't think the 440 00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:37,040 Speaker 3: Steelers are going to be able to really successfully run 441 00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:39,880 Speaker 3: against this team. Jalen Warren is the better running back 442 00:18:40,040 --> 00:18:42,600 Speaker 3: they're gonna throw to him. He caught four against Baltimore. 443 00:18:42,920 --> 00:18:45,360 Speaker 3: It's at two and a half with Big Juice. Don't 444 00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:49,600 Speaker 3: love to play like minus one sixty five's individually, but 445 00:18:49,760 --> 00:18:52,200 Speaker 3: I do love pairing these two guys together. Tuba seems 446 00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:54,880 Speaker 3: a tiny bit more risky, but you know, hitting those 447 00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:57,640 Speaker 3: in the last two since Brooks has been out, he 448 00:18:57,720 --> 00:19:00,000 Speaker 3: is the top dog. Even when he struggles and dis 449 00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:03,520 Speaker 3: points me in fantasy and betting last week, He's going 450 00:19:03,560 --> 00:19:05,880 Speaker 3: to get back to it laying out why you can 451 00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 3: do that against the Cardinals. So two and a half 452 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:11,879 Speaker 3: receptions on both Jalen and Cuba get plus money, little 453 00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:12,840 Speaker 3: reception parlay. 454 00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:16,159 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to New England. Here the Patriots 455 00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:18,399 Speaker 1: going to get their ass kicked by the Buffalo Bills. 456 00:19:18,480 --> 00:19:21,080 Speaker 1: But the one to think about the Bills the defense 457 00:19:21,080 --> 00:19:23,639 Speaker 1: continues to give up just points after points after points. 458 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:26,000 Speaker 1: So how do we translate that into a wager that 459 00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:27,840 Speaker 1: makes sense with the Patriots side of things? 460 00:19:27,880 --> 00:19:30,320 Speaker 2: Andrew, I'm chasing the trend because we've been betting on 461 00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:33,560 Speaker 2: this all year long. Bet on running back receiving props 462 00:19:33,560 --> 00:19:36,200 Speaker 2: against the Buffalo Bills. I brought to the table last 463 00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:37,760 Speaker 2: week Dave Montgomery, and he hit it and he got 464 00:19:37,760 --> 00:19:39,520 Speaker 2: injured in that game, but it didn't even matter because 465 00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:41,760 Speaker 2: he still went over his receiving yards and it actually 466 00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:45,000 Speaker 2: moved up to before closer to kickoffs. So for me, 467 00:19:45,280 --> 00:19:48,040 Speaker 2: Romandre Stevenson looking at his receiving yards, he's gone over 468 00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:49,679 Speaker 2: twelve and a half receiving yards in five of his 469 00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:52,360 Speaker 2: last seven games. And like I said, Bill's defense top 470 00:19:52,400 --> 00:19:54,639 Speaker 2: three most yards, catches and targets to running backs this 471 00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:56,960 Speaker 2: season allowed. In the passing game, we know the Patriots 472 00:19:56,960 --> 00:19:58,960 Speaker 2: are going to be throwing a negative game script, and 473 00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:00,800 Speaker 2: I think that reminder. I mean on the first drive, 474 00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:02,960 Speaker 2: so over twelve and a half receiving yards for me 475 00:20:03,080 --> 00:20:04,720 Speaker 2: against the Buffalo Bills for Remandre. 476 00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:08,000 Speaker 1: Okay, so Remandre is on the ticket as well. Let's 477 00:20:08,000 --> 00:20:10,080 Speaker 1: do one more and then we'll get to the touchdown calls. 478 00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:15,359 Speaker 1: Let's talk about those Eagles. Jalen Hurts obviously continue to 479 00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:17,359 Speaker 1: push this team forward right now. The Eagles I think 480 00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:18,840 Speaker 1: are in the driver's seat, to tell you the truth, 481 00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:22,080 Speaker 1: for this conference. I think they went at the line 482 00:20:22,119 --> 00:20:24,240 Speaker 1: on both sides of the football. They can run the football. 483 00:20:24,359 --> 00:20:26,840 Speaker 1: You play defense, run the football. That's usually a good formula. 484 00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:28,440 Speaker 1: So what do we want to do this week when 485 00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:29,800 Speaker 1: it comes to Jalen Hurts and the Eagles? 486 00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:32,600 Speaker 3: Welsh So we're going to do the thing that feels 487 00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:34,919 Speaker 3: scariest with Jalen Hurts, and we're going to go with 488 00:20:35,000 --> 00:20:38,120 Speaker 3: passing touchdowns. This is my I don't think I've ever 489 00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:41,760 Speaker 3: done something like this. This is a variant of a 490 00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:44,760 Speaker 3: passing touchdown ladder that we're going to play. So the 491 00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:46,960 Speaker 3: main play here, and I'll tell you why I got 492 00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:49,720 Speaker 3: so excited, but the main play here is over one 493 00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:53,879 Speaker 3: point five passing touchdowns because it was plus and is 494 00:20:54,280 --> 00:20:57,679 Speaker 3: plus one seventy five, so almost two to one for 495 00:20:57,760 --> 00:20:59,960 Speaker 3: that to hit. Jalen Hurts has hit this in two 496 00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:03,199 Speaker 3: two straight games. Aj Brown is currently being given the 497 00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:06,080 Speaker 3: seventh best wide receiver quarnerback matchup where we're looking at 498 00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:08,399 Speaker 3: him in general and that offense being able to pass. 499 00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:12,359 Speaker 3: The Commanders have given up six touchdowns receiving over the 500 00:21:12,440 --> 00:21:15,919 Speaker 3: last month. Commanders also have given up the second least 501 00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:18,400 Speaker 3: fantasy points just running out fantasy points for a second 502 00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:20,639 Speaker 3: to running backs over the last month, and the least 503 00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:24,560 Speaker 3: rushing yards. So if the running game is taken away 504 00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:27,240 Speaker 3: a little bit, they're going to be passing more. Hurts. 505 00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:29,280 Speaker 3: This is my other stat I'm going to throw out 506 00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:33,240 Speaker 3: here for a second, so that ends that over two touchdowns. 507 00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:35,000 Speaker 3: He's hitting it. By the way, if you remember, the 508 00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:37,480 Speaker 3: Commanders were just like absolutely atrocious at the beginning of 509 00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:40,920 Speaker 3: the year. I love this spot now. I got all 510 00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:44,160 Speaker 3: giddy when I was looking at his numbers because I've 511 00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:48,480 Speaker 3: been peeking around at three touchdowns and his three touchdown 512 00:21:48,920 --> 00:21:54,040 Speaker 3: number is plus seven fifty this week, plus seven to fifty. 513 00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:57,240 Speaker 3: So take all of the two touchdowns stuff we talked about, 514 00:21:57,280 --> 00:22:00,359 Speaker 3: it's great matchup Commanders. They had the five time touchdown 515 00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:02,480 Speaker 3: giving up game earlier in the year. Pick all of 516 00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:04,920 Speaker 3: that stuff in there. Just a fun little anecdotal thing 517 00:22:04,920 --> 00:22:07,880 Speaker 3: in here. This is a sprinkle bet. This isn't anything crazy. 518 00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:11,240 Speaker 3: I bet you know my full unit size on Jalen Hurts. 519 00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:13,160 Speaker 3: Do a little bit of sprinkle when it's plus seven 520 00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:15,960 Speaker 3: to fifty. But just as an anecdotal thing. Hurts every 521 00:22:16,040 --> 00:22:19,160 Speaker 3: year of his career has had at least one game 522 00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:21,439 Speaker 3: of throwing three or more touchdowns every single year of 523 00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:25,040 Speaker 3: his career except for this year. Things are starting to 524 00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:28,720 Speaker 3: turn around. They're passing the ball better divisional game, by 525 00:22:28,760 --> 00:22:30,880 Speaker 3: the way. I think he's got for the last four 526 00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:34,520 Speaker 3: years three career games against Washington where he's thrown three 527 00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:37,120 Speaker 3: or more touchdowns in a game. This is a game 528 00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:40,520 Speaker 3: where the passing side gets right. Two touchdowns is the 529 00:22:40,560 --> 00:22:43,240 Speaker 3: play almost two to one. Little bit of a sprinkle 530 00:22:43,280 --> 00:22:46,240 Speaker 3: on three touchdowns at seven and a half to one 531 00:22:46,440 --> 00:22:48,959 Speaker 3: for Jalen Hurts against the Commanders. 532 00:22:48,720 --> 00:22:52,159 Speaker 1: I love it. Does the AJ Brown ankle give you 533 00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:53,879 Speaker 1: any pause whatsoever on this? 534 00:22:54,359 --> 00:22:55,440 Speaker 3: If he's active? It doesn't. 535 00:22:55,600 --> 00:22:57,680 Speaker 2: Okay, there you go, Oh, I would say too. So 536 00:22:57,720 --> 00:22:59,680 Speaker 2: it's actually interested actually looking at some of the receivers 537 00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:01,360 Speaker 2: for the because I was thinking about, Okay, if he's 538 00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:03,680 Speaker 2: throwing multiple touchdowns, who's it going to? And right now, 539 00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:05,760 Speaker 2: I don't know if this is injury related. It must 540 00:23:05,760 --> 00:23:08,480 Speaker 2: be because you're getting plus nine fifty on Davonta Smith 541 00:23:08,520 --> 00:23:11,600 Speaker 2: two touchdowns versus A J. Brown at plus eleven hundred. 542 00:23:12,200 --> 00:23:15,520 Speaker 2: I also know that this time around, Latimore is gonna 543 00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:17,679 Speaker 2: be active for the Commanders and they're probably gonna put 544 00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:20,919 Speaker 2: him on AJ Brown. So I kind of like some 545 00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:21,399 Speaker 2: of these. 546 00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:22,879 Speaker 3: Oh so you're turning this into a dvante. 547 00:23:23,359 --> 00:23:25,320 Speaker 2: I kind of like, where's the ball gonna go? I 548 00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:27,600 Speaker 2: don't know. I mean AJB was last week right like 549 00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:31,080 Speaker 2: that was his big So like I'm thinking Calcata, I'm 550 00:23:31,080 --> 00:23:31,720 Speaker 2: thinking about that. 551 00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:33,959 Speaker 3: How about another obvious one. How about another obvious one 552 00:23:33,960 --> 00:23:37,280 Speaker 3: that I didn't even talk about in here, Saquon Barkley 553 00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:40,600 Speaker 3: Barkley if they're yeah, but if Saquon Barkley is also 554 00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:42,919 Speaker 3: not able to completely do this through the ground, as 555 00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:45,880 Speaker 3: Washington has locked it down over the last month, Saquon 556 00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:49,000 Speaker 3: Barkley is also the option. So I know exactly what 557 00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:51,840 Speaker 3: you're saying here, and again the three touchdowns is the 558 00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:54,359 Speaker 3: risky thing. I don't think you should go anything nuts. 559 00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:56,400 Speaker 3: I didn't go nuts with it. I love the two 560 00:23:56,480 --> 00:24:00,800 Speaker 3: touchdowns here, AJ Brown, maybe not AJ Brown love the 561 00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:03,480 Speaker 3: two touchdowns. To me, it's a sprinkle on the three 562 00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:07,639 Speaker 3: touchdowns because that is such a massively massively. 563 00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:09,320 Speaker 2: It is also a cookie season, so got to get 564 00:24:09,320 --> 00:24:09,800 Speaker 2: those sprinkles. 565 00:24:09,840 --> 00:24:11,639 Speaker 1: Then there you go sprinkle. 566 00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:14,199 Speaker 3: I met someone that said they don't like sprinkle like. 567 00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:16,600 Speaker 3: They were like, not like, just like I don't like sprinkles, 568 00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:19,520 Speaker 3: but we're like sprinkles ruined cookies, And I was like, 569 00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:20,960 Speaker 3: what they ruined? 570 00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:23,439 Speaker 1: Wrong with you? Get out of it, Get out of 571 00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:28,800 Speaker 1: this country. What's wrong with you? You know, like sprinkles ruin. 572 00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:31,560 Speaker 3: I mean you cannot like them, but they don't ruin Erickson. 573 00:24:32,119 --> 00:24:33,439 Speaker 1: The last one you're going to talk about is one 574 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:36,280 Speaker 1: that I've already bet. I've got a parlay as well. 575 00:24:36,280 --> 00:24:38,240 Speaker 1: It's one of my favorites of the week. It's the 576 00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:42,080 Speaker 1: Jared Goff passing yardage total. You got a two fifty 577 00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:44,520 Speaker 1: five and a half. You're going under. I'm going under. 578 00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:46,280 Speaker 1: I'm with you. I think this game is going to 579 00:24:46,320 --> 00:24:49,440 Speaker 1: get a little gross. Golf outside historically has not been good. 580 00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:52,479 Speaker 1: The the injuries to the defense. I just you know, 581 00:24:52,800 --> 00:24:55,800 Speaker 1: I have my concerns here that this is going to 582 00:24:55,840 --> 00:24:58,520 Speaker 1: be kind of just a weird, gross in division game, 583 00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:03,080 Speaker 1: and I think it's unfortunate, and I think it might 584 00:25:03,080 --> 00:25:04,600 Speaker 1: be a game that maybe you don't want to watch 585 00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:07,040 Speaker 1: that much of. But in terms of investing, I think 586 00:25:07,080 --> 00:25:08,440 Speaker 1: this is the way to do it. And you seem 587 00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:09,040 Speaker 1: to agree. 588 00:25:09,320 --> 00:25:11,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I mean, I'm fading Jared Goff, who 589 00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:14,879 Speaker 2: oblivion this week in fantasy. I'm like ten spots below 590 00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:17,600 Speaker 2: ECR on Jared Goff. I'm telling everybody to say, Jared Goff, Yeah, 591 00:25:17,600 --> 00:25:19,040 Speaker 2: I get through five touchdowns last week? You know who 592 00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:21,000 Speaker 2: through five touchdowns a week before they played the Bears, 593 00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:22,560 Speaker 2: Sam Darnold. You know what he didn't do the next 594 00:25:22,600 --> 00:25:25,280 Speaker 2: time he played the Bears, didn't throw over five touchdowns again. 595 00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:27,760 Speaker 2: So I'm not chasing last week's box or I'm looking 596 00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:30,440 Speaker 2: at this matchup and traditionally Jared Goff when he goes 597 00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:33,159 Speaker 2: outside in the cold, there's also about a little bit 598 00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:36,080 Speaker 2: of precipitation now in the forecast in Chicago. I want 599 00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:37,879 Speaker 2: no part of Jared Goff. And this number is just 600 00:25:38,359 --> 00:25:40,520 Speaker 2: massive two hundred and fifty five and a half passing 601 00:25:40,600 --> 00:25:43,440 Speaker 2: yards again on the road this season, so this includes 602 00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:46,800 Speaker 2: just Dome road games as well. He's been fifty percent 603 00:25:46,840 --> 00:25:49,200 Speaker 2: at this number. He already faced the Bears this year, 604 00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:51,320 Speaker 2: and he was under this number when the one time 605 00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:53,800 Speaker 2: he played outside this year, he was under one hundred 606 00:25:53,800 --> 00:25:55,840 Speaker 2: and fifty passing yards. So why is his number at 607 00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:59,600 Speaker 2: two hundred and fifty five passing yards? I don't get it, 608 00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:01,359 Speaker 2: and I know Garrett Goff is gonna rup it in 609 00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:04,159 Speaker 2: my face probably, but I don't care. I think that 610 00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:05,880 Speaker 2: this game is going to be gross. Like you said, 611 00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:08,800 Speaker 2: the total is forty eight points. I just think it's 612 00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:12,000 Speaker 2: out of control. I don't know why it's so high, 613 00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:14,240 Speaker 2: but yeah, I'm going to bet against Jared Goff this 614 00:26:14,280 --> 00:26:17,600 Speaker 2: week and the Fantasy Football Semifinals, taking me under on 615 00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:19,880 Speaker 2: his passing yards and we'll see how it goes. 616 00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:22,399 Speaker 1: Yeah, I also think that I'm on raw after that 617 00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:24,800 Speaker 1: huge week two people are gonna be running to bet 618 00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:26,520 Speaker 1: him again, and I don't know. I would be looking 619 00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:28,280 Speaker 1: more for the under on his too. Maybe we're wrong, 620 00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:30,360 Speaker 1: Maybe Gough has really turned the corner on these things. 621 00:26:30,400 --> 00:26:34,000 Speaker 1: But historically speaking, those numbers it's a really big data 622 00:26:34,040 --> 00:26:36,240 Speaker 1: set that suggests that this could be a rougher day 623 00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:37,639 Speaker 1: for the Lions. Do I think they're gonna lose to 624 00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:38,080 Speaker 1: the Bears. 625 00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:38,199 Speaker 3: No? 626 00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:40,560 Speaker 1: Do I think it's gonna be a gross game. It's 627 00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:42,840 Speaker 1: very possible. I think it's definitely in the range of outcomes. 628 00:26:42,840 --> 00:26:44,520 Speaker 1: As our friend Derek Brown likes to say, all right, 629 00:26:44,560 --> 00:26:46,959 Speaker 1: let's get to the touchdowns. And of course, if you're 630 00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:48,800 Speaker 1: looking for an edge when you're betting touchdowns, go to 631 00:26:48,840 --> 00:26:51,359 Speaker 1: betting pros dot com slash touchdown. That's easy to remember, 632 00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:54,600 Speaker 1: and check out the touchdown score a report. The report 633 00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:58,120 Speaker 1: compares anytime touchdown stats to prop bets, odds, and projections 634 00:26:58,160 --> 00:27:00,639 Speaker 1: to help identify the best anytime touch bets that you 635 00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:03,680 Speaker 1: can make. So again betting pros dot com slash touchdown 636 00:27:04,000 --> 00:27:07,240 Speaker 1: for the latest touchdown bet analysis. I'm going with B 637 00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:11,040 Speaker 1: T J for one of my picks today plus one 638 00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:14,480 Speaker 1: sixty five Mac Jones. Baby, Look, this is really more, 639 00:27:14,920 --> 00:27:16,800 Speaker 1: you know against the Raiders than anything else. I think 640 00:27:16,840 --> 00:27:18,600 Speaker 1: this is a good matchup here that mac Jones could 641 00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:21,399 Speaker 1: be useful yet again, and last week, look, he's been 642 00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:23,440 Speaker 1: showing you since he's taken over that he could find 643 00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:26,800 Speaker 1: BTJ in these spots. Strangers banged up too, So I 644 00:27:26,800 --> 00:27:29,360 Speaker 1: think BTJ is kind of the only hope right now. 645 00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:31,960 Speaker 1: He's the Obi wan Kenobi of this offense. And then 646 00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:34,879 Speaker 1: I've already picked the Tennessee Titans. I think at an upset, 647 00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:36,439 Speaker 1: I think the Titans. I don't know why, I just 648 00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:38,080 Speaker 1: got this weird feel and I was like, oh, yeah, 649 00:27:38,080 --> 00:27:40,119 Speaker 1: it's just the Cole's just the colts man. The Colts 650 00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:42,160 Speaker 1: find ways to lose games every single week, and Anthony 651 00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:45,160 Speaker 1: Richardson's just all over the place. Titans play a little defense, 652 00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:48,760 Speaker 1: and I think with Mason Rudolph back, there's two bets here. 653 00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:50,600 Speaker 1: With wide receivers, you could take one of the two. 654 00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:52,840 Speaker 1: Whatever floats your boat, you could take both of them 655 00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:57,200 Speaker 1: because they're both plus one eighty NWY for life, Nick Westbrookkaine, 656 00:27:57,280 --> 00:27:59,400 Speaker 1: who has been a little touchdown drought lately, he's due, 657 00:27:59,760 --> 00:28:02,200 Speaker 1: and Calvin Ridley a plus one to eighty as well, 658 00:28:02,280 --> 00:28:04,200 Speaker 1: So you could take one or both. But I think 659 00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:06,720 Speaker 1: Mason Rudolph is going to surprise some people and in 660 00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:09,440 Speaker 1: some super flex leagues maybe garry some people to the finals, 661 00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:11,200 Speaker 1: believe it or not, because people have been desperate for 662 00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:13,720 Speaker 1: some quarterbacks. I can, You're gonna get fifteen points against 663 00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:17,159 Speaker 1: the Colts. Yes, yes he can. So we'll see how 664 00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:21,120 Speaker 1: that goes. Welsh, let's talk about your touchdown calls four 665 00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:21,880 Speaker 1: week sixteen. 666 00:28:22,520 --> 00:28:24,960 Speaker 3: Well, I'm gonna pair what I talked about with Brock Party. 667 00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:27,960 Speaker 3: I'm gonna move over to George Kittle. Love the matchup, 668 00:28:28,359 --> 00:28:31,640 Speaker 3: the best offensive advantage, and George Kittle is a touchdown 669 00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:34,040 Speaker 3: magnet in general. Brock Prig really, I mean as much 670 00:28:34,040 --> 00:28:36,320 Speaker 3: as like the deep option of what Juwan Jennings does, 671 00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:38,800 Speaker 3: George Kittle almost at all times like the number one 672 00:28:38,840 --> 00:28:41,800 Speaker 3: option for Rock Party. So I'm gonna go within anytime 673 00:28:41,840 --> 00:28:44,360 Speaker 3: touchdown on George Kittle in that nice weather plus one 674 00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:48,280 Speaker 3: fifty five and my deep play here three to one, 675 00:28:49,040 --> 00:28:52,000 Speaker 3: give me Craig Reynolds, Craig Wrent without David Montgomery. Craig 676 00:28:52,040 --> 00:28:55,160 Speaker 3: Reynolds comes in probably going to see a little bit 677 00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:57,120 Speaker 3: of that. I don't think he's gonna just take in 678 00:28:57,280 --> 00:29:00,200 Speaker 3: the David Montgomery touches that team let's taken to be 679 00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:02,000 Speaker 3: silly Gooses are not going to do that. You're gonna 680 00:29:02,040 --> 00:29:03,880 Speaker 3: just give more run to Jamiir Gibbs. But don't be 681 00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:07,080 Speaker 3: surprised when Jamiir Gibbs gets them to the line and 682 00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:09,880 Speaker 3: then in comes Craig Reynolds from the two playing that 683 00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:12,880 Speaker 3: David Montgomery after Gibbs had the hole drive and everyone 684 00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:16,040 Speaker 3: screams and complains about the vulturing. I'll take a three 685 00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:18,200 Speaker 3: to one in that Bears matchup. You guys keep talking 686 00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:21,080 Speaker 3: about as well, Bears garbage against the run. So that's 687 00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:22,960 Speaker 3: the play if Jared GoF if the lines are gonna 688 00:29:22,960 --> 00:29:26,080 Speaker 3: win the game, the total is so high, Jared God's 689 00:29:26,080 --> 00:29:29,200 Speaker 3: gonna stink, a mon Rob Saint Brown's gonna stink. Someone 690 00:29:29,280 --> 00:29:31,520 Speaker 3: has to be good. Jamiir Gibbs is clearly going to 691 00:29:31,560 --> 00:29:33,360 Speaker 3: be good. You can also run against his team. Craig 692 00:29:33,360 --> 00:29:35,200 Speaker 3: Renolds is going to get an opportunity. So three to 693 00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:38,040 Speaker 3: one on his touchdown call. That's my favorite deeper play 694 00:29:38,240 --> 00:29:39,360 Speaker 3: really like the Reynolds won a lot. 695 00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:41,880 Speaker 1: All right, let's go real deep here because somebody's due 696 00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:44,360 Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson and you're the guy to break him out. 697 00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:46,320 Speaker 1: I feel it, I feel it in my bones. 698 00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:49,960 Speaker 2: Let's go, baby, they're wrong. Just early. Trey McBride going 699 00:29:50,000 --> 00:29:51,760 Speaker 2: back to the well here. He's going to score a 700 00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:53,880 Speaker 2: touchdown this week and I think he's gonna score touchdowns 701 00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:56,400 Speaker 2: in bunches because the Carolina Panthers have allowed the most 702 00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:59,920 Speaker 2: touchdowns to tight ends this season. This is so clearly 703 00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:02,320 Speaker 2: on the Cardinals mind every time they talk about Train McBride, 704 00:30:02,480 --> 00:30:04,800 Speaker 2: like man s guy's every touchdowns. Cal Murray talking about 705 00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:06,440 Speaker 2: in an interview like yeah, we got to get eighty 706 00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:08,320 Speaker 2: five in the end zone, like it has to happen, 707 00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:11,160 Speaker 2: and what better defense do it than against the Carolina Panthers, 708 00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:13,680 Speaker 2: who are the kings of allowing the regression to hit. 709 00:30:13,920 --> 00:30:16,760 Speaker 2: Twenty twenty two, Joe Mixon couldn't score touchdown play. The 710 00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:20,040 Speaker 2: Panthers scored five five touchdowns at the end of the season, 711 00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:23,600 Speaker 2: Mike Evans was terrible all year. Long plays the Panthers 712 00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:26,920 Speaker 2: scores three touchdowns. This is the spot where guys blow 713 00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:30,080 Speaker 2: up in regression hits going in all in on Trede McBride. 714 00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:32,520 Speaker 2: I want first touchdown, I want two touchdowns, I want 715 00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:36,000 Speaker 2: three touchdowns. I want it all So Trey McBride, I'm 716 00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:38,080 Speaker 2: all in, and you'll know how my day is going around. 717 00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:41,080 Speaker 3: It just became varuc assault. He's like, I want it. 718 00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:46,080 Speaker 1: Fathera, I want to trade McBride touchdown now, Father, I 719 00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:50,320 Speaker 1: want Father, I don't want one. I want the insual thing. Andrew, 720 00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:52,960 Speaker 1: whatever you want there, we won't get it for you. 721 00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:55,680 Speaker 1: Off sutly get it for you. Depressing is gonna be 722 00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:57,760 Speaker 1: if he doesn't get a touchdown, by the. 723 00:30:57,760 --> 00:31:00,400 Speaker 2: Way, and I'm gonna be very sad, and we'll. 724 00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:02,520 Speaker 1: Give us another tight end just to have some more 725 00:31:02,560 --> 00:31:03,040 Speaker 1: fun here. 726 00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:04,880 Speaker 2: So I guess, I guess I'm pushing back on you 727 00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:07,280 Speaker 2: because you like the Titan Again. I've I've kind of 728 00:31:07,320 --> 00:31:09,800 Speaker 2: come full like one to eighty on the Titans. I 729 00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:11,840 Speaker 2: think earlier in the week, I think on the live show, 730 00:31:11,880 --> 00:31:13,200 Speaker 2: I talked about I like the Colts, and then I 731 00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:16,280 Speaker 2: dove more into the matchup and I can't back Colts 732 00:31:16,360 --> 00:31:19,160 Speaker 2: like like the I like the Titans too. I just know, 733 00:31:19,320 --> 00:31:21,680 Speaker 2: I feel I know what to expect with Mason Rudolf. Again, 734 00:31:21,720 --> 00:31:23,920 Speaker 2: It's Christmas season, Mason Rudolf. It's a great story. Yah 735 00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:25,960 Speaker 2: YadA yadayah. So, but I wish to. 736 00:31:26,040 --> 00:31:28,040 Speaker 1: Give every December to save the day. 737 00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:31,160 Speaker 2: I'm going a different route with the receivers. I like 738 00:31:31,240 --> 00:31:34,400 Speaker 2: chickakng wo as the anytime touchdown beds. So he's plus 739 00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:36,760 Speaker 2: four hundred to score so you're getting a longer odds, 740 00:31:36,760 --> 00:31:39,440 Speaker 2: and the receivers Tyler Boyd is hurt. Nick westburg Kini 741 00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:40,760 Speaker 2: is also banged up, so I don't even know if 742 00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:42,840 Speaker 2: those guys are going to play. And he had thirteen 743 00:31:42,840 --> 00:31:44,960 Speaker 2: targets last week if you include all the penalties, he 744 00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:47,320 Speaker 2: had eight from Mason Rudolph, so he's been on a 745 00:31:47,320 --> 00:31:49,760 Speaker 2: heater last couple of weeks. The Colts have also been 746 00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:52,280 Speaker 2: a team where I know they're favored, but they've actually 747 00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:55,120 Speaker 2: given up a lot of first touchdowns to the opposing team. 748 00:31:55,240 --> 00:31:57,720 Speaker 2: So you can get Chicka kon Kua pretty bonkers odds 749 00:31:57,760 --> 00:32:00,000 Speaker 2: for first touchdown score if Mason Ruff looks to him 750 00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:03,120 Speaker 2: and three starts Mason Rudolph. Because I remember this very 751 00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:06,000 Speaker 2: vividly for betting on the Titans. They scored in the 752 00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:08,120 Speaker 2: first quarter in all three of the games that he started. 753 00:32:08,760 --> 00:32:11,200 Speaker 2: The scripted drive they have with Mason Rudolph works, and 754 00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:13,239 Speaker 2: then they just don't score after that. So I think 755 00:32:13,240 --> 00:32:15,600 Speaker 2: there's a lot of first touchdown opportunities with this Tennessee 756 00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:18,280 Speaker 2: Titans offense, which is another reason why I can't back 757 00:32:18,320 --> 00:32:20,560 Speaker 2: the Colts, and I like the Titans panship with the 758 00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:21,200 Speaker 2: upset as well. 759 00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:23,000 Speaker 1: I got a weird feeling and we're gonna see some 760 00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:25,840 Speaker 1: oddities in week sixteen. It's just I don't know. I 761 00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:29,360 Speaker 1: think yesterday kind of I feel like Thursday night football. Sometimes. 762 00:32:29,400 --> 00:32:31,040 Speaker 1: Every now and then we'll set the tone for how 763 00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:32,880 Speaker 1: the rest of the week is gonna go. Like, would 764 00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:35,800 Speaker 1: it shocked me if the Giants somehow beat the Falcons now, 765 00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:37,680 Speaker 1: it would have shocked me. If Tennessee Titans one, no, 766 00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:40,000 Speaker 1: it shocked me. If the Caroline Panthers one no. None 767 00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:41,600 Speaker 1: of those things would shock me at all this week. 768 00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:44,880 Speaker 1: So buckle up, everybody, it's gonna be a fun ride 769 00:32:44,920 --> 00:32:48,120 Speaker 1: week sixteen. Here things are not done at all. Have 770 00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:51,040 Speaker 1: a great weekend, everybody watching the football. We'll be back again, 771 00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:53,400 Speaker 1: of course next week for more action. Don't forget to 772 00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:55,800 Speaker 1: subscribe to Betting Pros wherever you get your podcasts, and 773 00:32:55,800 --> 00:32:58,560 Speaker 1: of course to the YouTube channel as well, and of 774 00:32:58,600 --> 00:33:01,000 Speaker 1: course drop your comments below pixel you make it. What's 775 00:33:01,000 --> 00:33:02,760 Speaker 1: your favorite prop of the week, We want to hear you. 776 00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:05,760 Speaker 1: And don't forget to ring that bell for notification, so 777 00:33:05,800 --> 00:33:07,719 Speaker 1: you know every time a piece of content drops here 778 00:33:07,760 --> 00:33:09,680 Speaker 1: on the channel, that'll do it for us. But the 779 00:33:09,720 --> 00:33:11,880 Speaker 1: story of the game goes on for the Welsh and 780 00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:14,960 Speaker 1: Andrew ericson I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids, 781 00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:17,840 Speaker 1: I want it now. Father. 782 00:33:19,360 --> 00:33:21,960 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 783 00:33:22,040 --> 00:33:24,400 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 784 00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:27,840 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 785 00:33:28,120 --> 00:33:30,720 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 786 00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:34,520 Speaker 4: Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 787 00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:38,040 Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.