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Speaker 1: Our welcome in Lake Cake is live and it's Tuesday night,

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Speaker 1: November thirtieth, Free of Our Lord, twenty twenty one, High Top,

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Speaker 1: Downtown Nest. Note we're nowhere near downtown Nashville, Tennessee. I'm

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Speaker 1: in Georgia because we have some business to take care

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Speaker 1: of in a couple of days. It's called the SEC

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Speaker 1: Championship Game. Maybe you've heard of it. So I figured

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Speaker 1: I spent some time with the fam down here, and

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Speaker 1: I tweeted out earlier today. Matter of factly, as I'm

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Speaker 1: one to do, I'm going to do the show tonight

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Speaker 1: from a viewer's bedroom. Some of you called BS on that. Well,

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Speaker 1: we're coming to you live right now, and we're in

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Speaker 1: a bedroom of a viewer. There's a bed right here.

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Speaker 1: I mean there's I'm kind of living like serial killers.

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Speaker 1: There's a bed. There's some cartons of water. You're listening

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Speaker 1: on the podcast. This means nothing to you. We got

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Speaker 1: a great show for you tonight. So we've got a

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Speaker 1: whole bunch going on. Think about what's just shifted from

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Speaker 1: the last time you and I spoke we did the

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Speaker 1: lake Cake Extra podcast this morning. A lot's already changed

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Speaker 1: from there. So we're jam packed tonight. We got Brian

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Speaker 1: Kelly to LSU. It's Tuesday before conference championship Saturday. That

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Speaker 1: means we've got full conference championship predictions coming up. I've

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Speaker 1: got a full Bama Georgia break. We've got the Oklahoma

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Speaker 1: jobs still open as of this hour. The Notre Dame

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Speaker 1: job's open. There's a whole lot being talked about, talked

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Speaker 1: to a number of coaches on the phone today, a

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Speaker 1: whole lot being talked about every which way about where

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Speaker 1: those jobs and where the ripple effect from the hirings

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Speaker 1: that are made at those jobs will kind of lead

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Speaker 1: the sport. Also, there's a lot of blame being cast

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Speaker 1: towards the early signing day about this whole mess. So

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Speaker 1: I'm going to talk about that because I already kind

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Speaker 1: of gave you a little heads up on that earlier today.

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Speaker 1: So we got a whole lot to get to. The

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Speaker 1: playoff rankings just came out. I've got a few things

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Speaker 1: to say about that too. Make sure you're following at

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Speaker 1: late Kick, Josh. We got so much going on this

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Speaker 1: time of year, and we don't have a show every hour.

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you what I did last night that I

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Speaker 1: have not done to this point, and a lot of

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Speaker 1: you guys have asked me to, and I may bend

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Speaker 1: on this and that's a Twitter space. Did a couple

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Speaker 1: of them last night. I talked to some folks today

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Speaker 1: about doing some in the future. It's kind of an

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Speaker 1: interesting concept. I do like it, so TBD on that.

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Speaker 1: Let's dive in. Though where else do we begin? But

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Speaker 1: Brian Kelly, Brian Kelly is now the head coach at LSU.

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Speaker 1: And this is something that if you followed me for

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Speaker 1: a while, you know I've beat this drum to death.

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Speaker 1: Even back in our independent days when we were down

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Speaker 1: in Columbus where I happened to be right now, I

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Speaker 1: wanted Brian Kelly to try his hand at head coach

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Speaker 1: in the SEC somewhere, didn't really care where. It never happened.

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Speaker 1: And then he got to sixty years old and I thought,

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Speaker 1: maybe it never will happen. Well, it's happening, and so

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Speaker 1: Brian Kelly to LSU October seventeenth is where I want

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Speaker 1: to take you back to. Ed Ors Run gets fired

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Speaker 1: at LSU. And I came on this show the very

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Speaker 1: next night and I said, when this coaching search ramps up,

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Speaker 1: you've got to be prioritizing some things. If you're Scott Woodward,

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Speaker 1: you've got to be prioritizing fit. And then that's the

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Speaker 1: word that everyone started throwing around today. And two things

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Speaker 1: that I learned from this entire process is number one,

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Speaker 1: Scott Woodward nailed it. And number two, apparently I define

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Speaker 1: fit a lot differently than some of you defined fit,

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Speaker 1: because I heard some of you say this is a

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Speaker 1: bad fit, this is an awesome fit, this is an

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Speaker 1: excellent fit. It's just that maybe you and I differ

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Speaker 1: on how we define fits. To me, too many folks

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Speaker 1: think fit has to do with your birthplace or the

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Speaker 1: pinpoint on the map where you happen to reside right now.

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Speaker 1: That's not fit. Fit is defining the characteristics that embody

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Speaker 1: your program and then go in and finding the dude

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Speaker 1: that fits most of them. I think Brian Kelly fits

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Speaker 1: all of them. Nick Saban didn't grow up in Best Mora, Alabama, guys,

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Speaker 1: he's the best fit in America for what Alabama football

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Speaker 1: wanted to be. And so Brian Kelly. I don't care

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Speaker 1: if he can't pronounce ponzer train the right way. If

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Speaker 1: he checks those boxes, he's the right guy for your job,

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Speaker 1: and I think he does. So. To go back to

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Speaker 1: October seventeenth, when Orizaran got fired, remember what we talked

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Speaker 1: about on this show. We talked about a guy who

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Speaker 1: could critically build, maintain, but build organization and structure. A

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Speaker 1: guy who understanded the process oriented approach over the result

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Speaker 1: oriented approach. Also wanted a guy who understood how to

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Speaker 1: develop players. I talked a lot at the time about

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Speaker 1: teams winning at the line of scrimmage, and certainly Brian

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Speaker 1: Kelly's teams have done that, but also do you deliver

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Speaker 1: what you sell? That's what I wanted in the LSU coach.

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Speaker 1: That's what all LSU folks should want in the LSU coach.

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Speaker 1: I got news for you. I don't care if you're

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Speaker 1: from Russia. I don't care if you're from what is

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Speaker 1: now formerly Yugoslavia. If you check those boxes, you are

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Speaker 1: a fit at LSU because you'll win. And if you win,

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Speaker 1: you're going to be a fit at LSU because you're

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Speaker 1: gonna have a product on the field that all the

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Speaker 1: folks they are proud of. You just got rid of

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Speaker 1: a guy that, if you cut him open, would bleed

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Speaker 1: purple and goal ed Oorsron could probably disassemble a fan

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Speaker 1: vote and put it back together with no instruction manual.

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Speaker 1: But you want the right fit long term for the job.

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Speaker 1: Brian Kelly, I don't care if he's never been to Louisiana,

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Speaker 1: probably a better fit for the job. So now we

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Speaker 1: get to ask some questions about Brian Kelly because the

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Speaker 1: biggest issue to me that he has directify in the

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Speaker 1: post twenty nineteen LSU world is I told you guys

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Speaker 1: many times, I've been over on the Go twenty four

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Speaker 1: to seven board and talked about this many times. I

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Speaker 1: was texting back and forth with Shade Dixon today talking

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Speaker 1: about this very thing. In twenty nineteen, we saw what

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Speaker 1: may be the best football team we've ever seen, easily

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Speaker 1: the best football team in LSU program history. We never

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Speaker 1: saw another LSU team, as far as I'm concerned. We

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Speaker 1: never saw a football team. Saw a bunch of individuals.

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Speaker 1: So what has to happen for sustained excellence was not present.

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Speaker 1: That factor was not present at LSU. And so when

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Speaker 1: we got to the twenty twenty season, we're coming into

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Speaker 1: that fall. I remember vividally saying, based on the reactions

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Speaker 1: that we're getting out of camp and then watching that

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Speaker 1: week one game against Mississippi State, it didn't even look

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Speaker 1: like football team. Whatever that thing is, that intangible between

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Speaker 1: the bricks that holds it together. LSU didn't have that.

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Speaker 1: They just had the bricks. They had a lot of pieces.

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Speaker 1: They had a lot of talented players, they did not

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Speaker 1: have the mortar in between that defines what a team is.

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Speaker 1: That critical characteristic and this year was not a whole

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Speaker 1: lot different. They played their best football and once they

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Speaker 1: ended up firing their head coach, that stuff, that team,

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Speaker 1: that tiger on the side of that helmet over just

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Speaker 1: a roster full of names. That's the stuff that's got

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Speaker 1: to get corrected. That's the bad news. But it's also

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Speaker 1: the good news because those names on that roster, if

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Speaker 1: you can interconnect it and you make it into a team. Again,

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Speaker 1: this is not a five year rebuild. It's not even

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Speaker 1: a two year rebuild. Some people have been saying Brian

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Speaker 1: Kelly can compete in the national landscape as early as

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Speaker 1: next year. Oh, I fully believe that. I absolutely believe that. Now.

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Speaker 1: Is there some stuff that's got to be fixed? Yeah?

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Speaker 1: Is the roster perfect? No, it's not, But relative to

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Speaker 1: other job openings that you normally have to take over.

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Speaker 1: Because it was a disaster. This was changed the tires,

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Speaker 1: this was not completely overhauled the transmission. There's some stuff

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Speaker 1: that has to happen there. But I can't wait to

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Speaker 1: see how he recruits. He was on this show. We

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Speaker 1: had Brian Kelly on Late Kick this time now about

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Speaker 1: a year and a half ago, and he point blank

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Speaker 1: told you. I tweeted this video out last night. He

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Speaker 1: point blank told you I cannot recruit at Notre Dame

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Speaker 1: the way I want to. Now he didn't say it

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Speaker 1: like that, but if you reap between the lines and

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Speaker 1: you if you watch that interview at the time, or

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Speaker 1: look at the video I tweeted out last night, he's

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Speaker 1: telling you there are a lot of guys they recruit

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Speaker 1: in these southern programs and these major programs we can't

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Speaker 1: even bother with. We can't even waste time going after him.

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Speaker 1: We know we can't get him in school. He didn't

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Speaker 1: have to worry about that anymore. He gets to go

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Speaker 1: after the same guys. Georgia does same guys, Florida does

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Speaker 1: same guys. Obviously that LSU's always going after. Now that's

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Speaker 1: a catch twenty two, because going after him is not

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Speaker 1: the key. Landing them is the key. I think it's

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Speaker 1: very misguided to look at Brian Kelly's recruiting history and

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Speaker 1: assume that that's an apples to apples comparison about what

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Speaker 1: he'll be at LSU. I think it's a great hire.

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Speaker 1: I am ecstatic about the higher for LSU. I am

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Speaker 1: probably in the minority with what I'm about to say.

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Speaker 1: I prefer Brian Kelly over Lincoln Riley because I love

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Speaker 1: the fact that Brian Kelly has built and then sustained

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Speaker 1: a winner. That's not to say Lincoln Riley can't. But

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Speaker 1: as I told you at the outset of the search,

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Speaker 1: I don't believe in taking risks. I believe in sure things.

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Speaker 1: If you're LSU, if you're the top of the food chain,

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Speaker 1: you don't have to take risks. This was as sure

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Speaker 1: a thing as you can find by ten miles. It's

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Speaker 1: the best resume that LSU has ever hired. But he's

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Speaker 1: built them, and he sustained him now multiple stops Lincoln Riley.

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Speaker 1: It'll sound disrespectful, but I'm gonna put it this way

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Speaker 1: anyway because I don't know any other way to put it.

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Speaker 1: Lincoln Riley has been the kid over in the passenger

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Speaker 1: seat whose dad gets the car up to sixty miles

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Speaker 1: an hour, and the unless you sit in the lap

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Speaker 1: and he lets you take the steering wheel, well you're

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Speaker 1: not driving. You just had your hands on the steering wheel.

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Speaker 1: You get in the car and you shut the door,

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Speaker 1: and you turn the ignition and you get that thing

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Speaker 1: in drive and then you get it up to speed.

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Speaker 1: That's driving. Brian Kelly is a driver. Lincoln Riley may

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Speaker 1: be one day, but he has not proven that on

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Speaker 1: the grand stage, like Brian Kelly has. I love Brian

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Speaker 1: Kelly for LSU. We will effort as best we can

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Speaker 1: to get him on the show sometime in the spring.

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Speaker 1: It would be a return trip for him, so we're

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Speaker 1: very familiar with him. But I love the fit, love it,

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Speaker 1: love it, love it. Am ecstatic about it. I think

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Speaker 1: he's one of the most misunderstood coaches in America because

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Speaker 1: I simply don't believe people fully grasp the difference and

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Speaker 1: the gulf in the resource gap between and the admissions

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Speaker 1: gap between Notre Dame and the program he's at now,

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Speaker 1: and his job is not to be a mayor down

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Speaker 1: there his job is to win football games. So you

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Speaker 1: want to know what a fit is. A fit is

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Speaker 1: the guy who checks the boxes that is going to

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Speaker 1: take to sustain a long term winner. And I think

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Speaker 1: Scott Woodward killed it, and I think that this guy

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Speaker 1: is exactly what LSU football needs. What you need, we

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Speaker 1: get some of those cards. By the way, don't say

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Speaker 1: anything because I don't want people to know whose bedroom

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Speaker 1: I'm man, But do you have any of those Academy

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Speaker 1: gift cards anywhere? Okay, So, as you know, we're going

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Speaker 1: to be in Atlanta Saturday, and as you know, this

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Speaker 1: company right here, this is Academy Sports and Outdoors. For

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Speaker 1: those unfamiliar, they are like our Angel. Really it's not

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Speaker 1: in the ad copy, but they're kind of like our

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Speaker 1: angel because everything that we need, Academy just comes in

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Speaker 1: and takes care of for us. Granted they didn't build

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Speaker 1: this mysterious bedroom I'm in right now, but they do

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Speaker 1: about everything else we need. So in some alternate universe,

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Speaker 1: give you an example here. If I ever wanted to

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Speaker 1: change clothes out of the same T shirt that I

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Speaker 1: wear every day, Academy Sports and Outdoors would be the

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Speaker 1: place to go. I would even go as far as

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Speaker 1: to say they have encouraged me to take advantage of

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Speaker 1: these gift cards that I'm holding in my hand to

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Speaker 1: maybe in a not so sort of way, buy some

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Speaker 1: new clothes. But the reason I'm flashing the gift card

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Speaker 1: is because we got Bama Georgia this Saturday. I'm about

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Speaker 1: to break down the game in a second. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: have a whole new treasure trow full of these bad boys,

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Speaker 1: these Academy gift cards on hand. We're doing a lot

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Speaker 1: of coverage. I think it's Barrett Silee and I this

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Speaker 1: Saturday in Atlanta. So we're gonna do pregame, post game,

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Speaker 1: I'll be around, We're gonna do this show from up Thursday.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna be all over Atlanta Friday. What does that

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Speaker 1: even mean. I've got a luncheon to go through your Friday,

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Speaker 1: and so if you see me, chances are I will

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Speaker 1: have Academy Sports and Outdoor gift cards in my so

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Speaker 1: in a very very non aggressive way, ask me for

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Speaker 1: one and I'll give you one. That is because our

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Speaker 1: partners at Academy Sports and Outdoors make that possible. We

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Speaker 1: appreciate that it is the holiday season, or to put

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Speaker 1: a finer point on it. It's the Christmas season. And

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Speaker 1: so if you need presents, if you need to check

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Speaker 1: that list really quick, just head to Academy dot com.

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Speaker 1: That's the website. If you can't get to a brick

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Speaker 1: and mortar store, Academy dot com either way, that is

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Speaker 1: your hookup. It is your one stop shop for all

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Speaker 1: things outdoors, a lot indoors that you need tailgating equipment

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Speaker 1: and the light Academy Sports and Outdoors. There you see

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Speaker 1: the ad read it just says Academy, thank you so much,

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Speaker 1: eternally grateful for our partners, Academy Sports and Outdoors. So

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Speaker 1: college football playoff rankings just unveiled. This is the last

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Speaker 1: batch of rankings, mind you, before we get to conference

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Speaker 1: Championship Saturday and then Selection Sunday, And so you start

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Speaker 1: chewing those fingernails down to the numb as the weekend approaches.

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Speaker 1: And we obviously got a lot of different scenarios when

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Speaker 1: we entered this season. I told you I thought it

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Speaker 1: was going to be a renaissance season for many reasons,

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Speaker 1: but chief among them was I did not think the redwoods,

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Speaker 1: as I called them in the sport, were nearly as

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Speaker 1: tall as they normally are. Case in point, Clemson chopped

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Speaker 1: down the size. Alabama's very vulnerable. Georgia hadn't won a

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Speaker 1: title in forty one years. They're the tallest redwood in

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Speaker 1: the sport right now. That pretty much encapsulates what a

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Speaker 1: renaissance season is all about. I thought on ESPN tonight

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Speaker 1: when they were doing the reveal, they had a really

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Speaker 1: good stat and that was our top four right now

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Speaker 1: of Georgia since Michigan and Alabama, and then if you

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Speaker 1: project forward like an Oklahoma state, it was like a

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Speaker 1: combined one playoff win. I think it was. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: there's a lot of new blood here. Having said that,

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Speaker 1: it may be that the dominoes are not done falling.

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Speaker 1: So you're looking at the rankings if you're watching on

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Speaker 1: YouTube right now, and the current matchups, which almost are

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Speaker 1: impossible to happen, would be Georgia Cincy. Georgia would be

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Speaker 1: favored by about seventeen in that game, Bama Michigan. Bama

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Speaker 1: would be about a five point favorite in that game.

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Speaker 1: That's not our model, that's actual Vegas number. I could

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Speaker 1: give you our model output, but I wasn't prepared to

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Speaker 1: do that. So who's still alive in this thing, is

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Speaker 1: what I want to ask, Because I know you got

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Speaker 1: Ohio State sitting there at seven. There's almost I don't

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Speaker 1: think there's any path to be real with you where

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Speaker 1: Ohio State makes it in here. But let's just talk

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Speaker 1: about the craziness. If the craziness were to happen, craziness,

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Speaker 1: of course, would be Cincinnati losing as let's say ten

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Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. We're going to break that

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Speaker 1: game down in a little while. Let's say since he

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Speaker 1: does lose, let's say it gets really sideways. Let's say

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Speaker 1: Iowa beats Michigan. What starts to happen there? So let's

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Speaker 1: just say Georgia wins. So you got Georgia in there.

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Speaker 1: But let's say Michigan falls and they're out. Let's say

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Speaker 1: since he falls and they're out, Well, you're talking about

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame, which is just this whole other can of

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Speaker 1: worms that is fascinating that I'm going to talk about

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Speaker 1: in just a second when we're talking about the Notre

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Speaker 1: Dame coaching search. But just to tease it up, I

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Speaker 1: want you to picture a world where the Notre Dame

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Speaker 1: fighting Irish are in the playoff and whoever is leading them.

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Speaker 1: Jack Swarbrick doesn't allegedly want to name an interim head coach,

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Speaker 1: But whoever's leading them, I'm just gonna say, Marcus Freeman,

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Speaker 1: what did they end up winning a playoff game that

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Speaker 1: they had never done under Brian Kelly? And Brian Kelly's gone,

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Speaker 1: even though he started the year as the head coach there.

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Speaker 1: That would be insanity. So bookmark that because I'm going

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Speaker 1: to talk about that more in just a second. But

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Speaker 1: Ohio State's out of this thing. And here's how I

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Speaker 1: figure that. I don't see any path for them in,

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Speaker 1: which is the very definition of being out. I mean

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Speaker 1: I was thinking about I was thinking about Georgia winning.

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Speaker 1: If Georgia wins, Bama's out. But I still think you've

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Speaker 1: got the Oklahoma, the Big Twelve champion at the very least,

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Speaker 1: even if it's Baylor, I think is in over Ohio State,

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Speaker 1: by the very default of the SEC shaking out the

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Speaker 1: way it does. I think either of those teams, Georgia

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Speaker 1: is certainly in either way. Even if Georgia beats Bama.

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Speaker 1: I think a two lost Bama that played for a

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Speaker 1: conference title is probably still in over a two loss

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Speaker 1: or Ohio State. So I don't know what their path is.

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Speaker 1: I had a lot of people trying to present it.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what the path is. I'll tell you

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Speaker 1: the one that I'm very curious about. Given that they

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Speaker 1: are number ten, could Oregon make it? If the craziest

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Speaker 1: of craziest were to happen, could Oregon make it? So?

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Speaker 1: Right now you're looking at their resume and they got

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Speaker 1: twenty seven in the strength of schedule A category. They're

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Speaker 1: playing Utah this Saturday. Now here's why that's important. It's

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Speaker 1: a conference championship game. And secondly, their worst loss, well

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Speaker 1: their widest margin loss is to Utah. So if you

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Speaker 1: avenge yourself, then I wonder if people interpret that loss

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Speaker 1: or define it a little bit different or value it

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Speaker 1: a little bit differently. But also look at what could

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Speaker 1: happen here. So I know you've got Ohio State listed

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Speaker 1: above Oregon right now, But if Oregon added a conference

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Speaker 1: championship to their resume and they still have that head

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Speaker 1: to head over Ohio State, I think they fought the

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Speaker 1: likes of Ohio State. I think they may if you

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Speaker 1: had Michigan fallout and you had Cincinnati fallout, I think

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Speaker 1: there's this weird path along with a big twelve Champ

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Speaker 1: where maybe an organ scoots in, maybe even past Notre Dame.

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Speaker 1: I'd be very interested in how the committee would interpret

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Speaker 1: a two loss conference Champ Oregon against a one loss

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Speaker 1: non conference champ Notre Dame. We will be very interested

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Speaker 1: in that. And hey, here's another question someone asked today.

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Speaker 1: I have no clue what the answer to this is.

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Speaker 1: You can tell me if you have a different opinion

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Speaker 1: than me, because I don't really have one, so your

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Speaker 1: opinion is going to be different than mind, if you

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Speaker 1: have one at all. Let's say it is margins of

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Speaker 1: micro inches either way. And let's say you've got a

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Speaker 1: resume comparison on selection Sunday if Notre Dame and fill

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Speaker 1: in the blank. Do you think that committee will look

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Speaker 1: you in the eye and say, when it came down

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Speaker 1: to it, we penalize Notre Dame for not having a

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Speaker 1: head coach. It's kind of like the injured player things.

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Speaker 1: Should you be punished for having a key player injured

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Speaker 1: or should you just be judged off your resume. I

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Speaker 1: don't know what the answer to that is. I don't

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Speaker 1: know that it's ever been thought to be a possibility

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Speaker 1: will we be talking about a program in the playoff

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Speaker 1: who's head coaches left? Because it defies logic. But that's

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Speaker 1: where we are. Two other things to pay attention to.

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Speaker 1: If Georgia wins, they're the one seed. If Georgia loses,

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Speaker 1: still very curious where they fall. I don't see them

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Speaker 1: falling past three at all. So that's the first thing.

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Speaker 1: The second thing is, if Bama wins Saturday against Georgia

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Speaker 1: and Michigan wins, who is your number one seed? Bama's

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Speaker 1: behind Michigan tonight. They would both have conference championship wins,

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Speaker 1: but Bama would have that trump card of having beaten

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Speaker 1: the number one team in the country. I think Bama

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Speaker 1: would be the one seed. That's what I think, but

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Speaker 1: I'm very interested to see how that plays out. Of course,

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Speaker 1: the chalk could hold and all of that could be irrelevant,

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Speaker 1: so we'll see. All right, let's move on. We've talked

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Speaker 1: about this game so much. Let me clear my throat.

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Speaker 1: We've talked about this game long enough, so let's actually

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Speaker 1: break it down. A lot of us in the South

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Speaker 1: have grown up on the dividing line of Alabama and Georgia,

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Speaker 1: and so this one is like It's a really big

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Speaker 1: deal for a lot of us. The SEC Championship game

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Speaker 1: this Saturday, we will be there. As you see the

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Speaker 1: Renaissance Tour, I see it flashing on the laptop right

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Speaker 1: in front of me. We will be on hand in

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Speaker 1: Mercedes Benz Stadium. I miss the Georgia Dome, but I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna wax poetic about the Georgia Dome tonight. Mercedes

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Speaker 1: been Stadium is the location. Four o'clock Eastern time. Is

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Speaker 1: the kickoff. Georgia about a six and a half point favorite.

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Speaker 1: Regardless of where you look right now, we what do

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Speaker 1: we think is going to happen here? Let's dive in.

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Speaker 1: There are several major dynamic shifts in play in this

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Speaker 1: game that we haven't seen present the last couple of

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Speaker 1: times these teams have played. And the first one is

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Speaker 1: there is no run game for Alabama to lean on now.

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Speaker 1: Georgia has limited Alabama's run a time or two, but

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Speaker 1: Bama had a run game. Bama doesn't have a run

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Speaker 1: game right now. It would surprise me if Bama put

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Speaker 1: up sixty five seventy yards rushing. That would surprise me,

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Speaker 1: and it would probably coincide with Bryce Young having broken

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Speaker 1: a forty yard run like one long run, and then

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Speaker 1: a bunch of two yard games. They just can't run

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Speaker 1: the ball. Brian Robinson is unlikely to play here. He

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Speaker 1: plays certainly not going to be anywhere full speed, and

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Speaker 1: they're just in a bad situation. Alabama's in a bad situation.

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Speaker 1: So that's the first thing that you normally don't find

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Speaker 1: yourself saying. The second thing is there is a decided

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Speaker 1: physical advantage for Georgia here. Georgia is one of the

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Speaker 1: oldest teams they'll ever have. Bama's one of the youngest

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Speaker 1: teams they'll ever have. Bama has not had that line

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Speaker 1: of scrimmage edge, especially offensively, that they're used to having.

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Speaker 1: It's such an opportune moment for Georgia in so many areas.

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Speaker 1: Also consider this. You want me to tell you how

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Speaker 1: big a physical advantage Georgia has and how important the

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Speaker 1: defense for Georgia is. How many times have you ever

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Speaker 1: seen a program like Bama that recruits at a top

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Speaker 1: three level annually, who has the head coaching edge and

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Speaker 1: the quarterback edge on a neutral field and is still

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Speaker 1: nearly a touchdown underdog. You say that out loud, that's

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Speaker 1: almost enough for some people in the betting community to

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Speaker 1: auto play the underdog. If I tell some folks you're

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Speaker 1: gonna have a head coaching and quarterback edge and you're

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Speaker 1: gonna be given points, that's enough for some people to

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Speaker 1: blindly bet Alabama, who is the ounther dog in this case.

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Speaker 1: So look, here's where people are wrong. There's a lot

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Speaker 1: of intangibles in play. Here. Here's what people I think

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Speaker 1: are dead wrong. A lot of people are looking at

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Speaker 1: Georgia because they got that undefeated record and they got

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Speaker 1: the number one ranking, and people are looking and saying, oh,

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Speaker 1: I guess Georgia is the hunted now instead of the hunter. No,

428
00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:28,159
Speaker 1: they're not, No, not in this game. They're not until

429
00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:31,359
Speaker 1: they've taken down that dragon. They are the hunter, you

430
00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:33,480
Speaker 1: make no mistake about it. Now, Obama can view themselves

431
00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:37,160
Speaker 1: however they want to Georgia, the mentality around that program,

432
00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:39,639
Speaker 1: the way they've practiced leading up to this thing, the

433
00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:42,640
Speaker 1: attitude they'll have when they roll into Atlanta Georgia Saturday.

434
00:20:42,840 --> 00:20:44,960
Speaker 1: I can promise you it will not be looking over

435
00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:47,840
Speaker 1: their shoulder. It will not be that of the hunted

436
00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:51,480
Speaker 1: Georgia football when it comes to Alabama. Very much the

437
00:20:51,560 --> 00:20:54,480
Speaker 1: hunter still, I would be shocked if Georgia didn't show

438
00:20:54,560 --> 00:20:56,800
Speaker 1: up as aggressive as you've seen them. I'd be shocked

439
00:20:56,840 --> 00:20:59,440
Speaker 1: if they didn't show up as prepared as you've seen them.

440
00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:02,000
Speaker 1: So now I've end of the game because to me,

441
00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:05,119
Speaker 1: this becomes the whole quicksand versus quick strike thing, given

442
00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:07,119
Speaker 1: the limitations that we expect Alabama to have in the

443
00:21:07,160 --> 00:21:11,040
Speaker 1: run game, and given how suffocating Georgia can be with

444
00:21:11,200 --> 00:21:14,080
Speaker 1: the complimentary style they play. See that defense feeds into

445
00:21:14,080 --> 00:21:15,960
Speaker 1: that run game and how it wears on you for

446
00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:19,359
Speaker 1: four quarters. You've got the quick strike ability which Bama

447
00:21:19,400 --> 00:21:21,600
Speaker 1: has to have, and you got the quicksand you know,

448
00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:23,280
Speaker 1: you got the popcorn droppers, and then you got the

449
00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:26,200
Speaker 1: Cobra effect over here. Which one is going to win

450
00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:29,639
Speaker 1: out Because I think there's texta with Jake wrote earlier

451
00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:32,800
Speaker 1: this week. I told him, I'll tell you publicly, I

452
00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:35,920
Speaker 1: think the logo of Alabama has affected this points spread.

453
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,080
Speaker 1: I think if you switch jerseys on these teams, the

454
00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:41,960
Speaker 1: line would be double digits. There's a lot to be

455
00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:46,240
Speaker 1: said about the prestige and the reputation of that Crimson

456
00:21:46,240 --> 00:21:48,960
Speaker 1: script a. And that's why that thing's still under seven

457
00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:51,120
Speaker 1: Because if you were to look at the actual state

458
00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:53,360
Speaker 1: of these rosters and state of these teams this year,

459
00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:56,000
Speaker 1: and you were to look at that number, and you

460
00:21:56,040 --> 00:21:58,040
Speaker 1: were to just have generic jerseys on each one, you

461
00:21:58,040 --> 00:22:00,159
Speaker 1: didn't know it was Alabama. I say that thing's ten

462
00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:03,879
Speaker 1: eleven points. Having said that, there's a path for Alabama,

463
00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:05,920
Speaker 1: and that's kind of the way I wanted to break

464
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:07,240
Speaker 1: it down. Like I told you the other night, what's

465
00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:10,280
Speaker 1: the path here? Here's two problems. One of them Aready

466
00:22:10,320 --> 00:22:12,560
Speaker 1: told you for Alabama. They can't run the ball. Number two,

467
00:22:13,600 --> 00:22:16,080
Speaker 1: they don't really have the threat of the run. This

468
00:22:16,119 --> 00:22:18,760
Speaker 1: is where it's different than years past. Years past, Georgia

469
00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:21,040
Speaker 1: may have stood up against the run, but they had

470
00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:24,679
Speaker 1: to commit extra effort to do it, and now they don't.

471
00:22:25,119 --> 00:22:26,680
Speaker 1: It's not just that Bama's not going to be able

472
00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:28,840
Speaker 1: to run the ball. It's that they're not going to

473
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:30,760
Speaker 1: be able to run the ball, and George is probably

474
00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:33,040
Speaker 1: not going to have to commit numbers to stopping them

475
00:22:33,240 --> 00:22:35,400
Speaker 1: from running the ball. That makes it a whole heck

476
00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:38,000
Speaker 1: of a lot harder to consistently make plays through the

477
00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:40,160
Speaker 1: air the way Bama's going to need to, especially when

478
00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:42,480
Speaker 1: you don't have three or four first round draft picks

479
00:22:42,480 --> 00:22:45,600
Speaker 1: out there. You got one, and there's some complimentary pieces

480
00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:49,280
Speaker 1: that work off that. The second thing that you don't

481
00:22:49,320 --> 00:22:52,560
Speaker 1: normally find yourself saying about Bama ever, much less than

482
00:22:52,560 --> 00:22:54,440
Speaker 1: these big games, is they're going to have to change

483
00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:56,760
Speaker 1: something about who they are. Normally, they're the team making

484
00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,119
Speaker 1: you change who you are. But George is better than

485
00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:01,399
Speaker 1: them this year. So George is the one that's going

486
00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:04,120
Speaker 1: to force Bama to change something about who they are.

487
00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,359
Speaker 1: I'm a believer it's got to be injecting more tempo

488
00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:10,479
Speaker 1: into the passing game, but just into the offense in general,

489
00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:15,760
Speaker 1: because when you watch them, got a bust tendencies Saturday.

490
00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:18,520
Speaker 1: I mean self scouting is going to be so critically

491
00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:21,440
Speaker 1: important here because they're not even shy about it at

492
00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:24,119
Speaker 1: Georgia in letting you know, we've been getting ready for

493
00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:26,040
Speaker 1: this one for quite a while. So if you stick

494
00:23:26,040 --> 00:23:28,879
Speaker 1: to your tendencies, you're already dead. What you got to

495
00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:31,360
Speaker 1: do is you got to have them in the postgame

496
00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:33,520
Speaker 1: press conference saying a lot of the same things. Nick

497
00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:35,640
Speaker 1: Saban said. Nick Saban, I've heard them half a dozen

498
00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:37,840
Speaker 1: times as you're say, well, they gave us something that

499
00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:40,520
Speaker 1: we didn't prepare for. Well, how about you give somebody

500
00:23:40,520 --> 00:23:42,800
Speaker 1: else something they didn't prepare for. And so that's what

501
00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:45,960
Speaker 1: Alabama's got to do, not out of choice, out of necessity.

502
00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:47,960
Speaker 1: I would think it has a lot more to do

503
00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 1: with tempo, and I would think also with some of

504
00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:52,560
Speaker 1: the softer coverage that George is willing to play. I

505
00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:53,840
Speaker 1: would think it has to do with a lot of

506
00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:57,760
Speaker 1: screen and underneath passing stuff and give guys like Jamison

507
00:23:57,760 --> 00:24:00,920
Speaker 1: and Williams the ability to rack up some yards after catch.

508
00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:03,879
Speaker 1: John metchis the same way. I'd be very surprised if

509
00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:06,119
Speaker 1: some of these young receivers like Corey Brooks didn't have

510
00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:09,760
Speaker 1: to play a pivotal role in this game this Saturday. Georgia,

511
00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:12,160
Speaker 1: like I said, will be as prepared for this game

512
00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:14,840
Speaker 1: as any game you've seen. So your game plan, your

513
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,240
Speaker 1: typical game plan, the one that narrowly got you past Florida,

514
00:24:17,400 --> 00:24:18,560
Speaker 1: the one that got you beat at A and M,

515
00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:20,320
Speaker 1: the one that narrowly got your past to Auburn, might

516
00:24:20,320 --> 00:24:22,000
Speaker 1: as well to leave that in Tuscal loose. Something has

517
00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:25,200
Speaker 1: got to be different here. The things you cannot quantify, though,

518
00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:28,359
Speaker 1: are what will determine this game. So I'm very interested

519
00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:31,120
Speaker 1: on Georgia on first down. I'm very interested on Bama

520
00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:33,119
Speaker 1: on third down. Like there's a lot of stuff that

521
00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:34,719
Speaker 1: we're going to talk about as the week goes on,

522
00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:38,880
Speaker 1: but the non quantifiable factors here I actually think may

523
00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:42,240
Speaker 1: go a long way determining this game. The first one

524
00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:47,000
Speaker 1: is what I would call, I guess battered versus battle testing,

525
00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:49,119
Speaker 1: and I don't even think Nick Saban knows what to

526
00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:52,520
Speaker 1: expect in this department. You could make the argument that

527
00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:55,320
Speaker 1: Georgia having cruised while Bama's had to fight for their

528
00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:57,600
Speaker 1: life against Arkansas and then Auburn, and now they go

529
00:24:57,600 --> 00:25:00,240
Speaker 1: to a conference championship game, well they've already in the

530
00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:02,600
Speaker 1: playoff for like three weeks. You can make that argument.

531
00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:04,760
Speaker 1: I could also make the counter argument Bama's beat to

532
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:07,320
Speaker 1: death because of it, and so I don't know that's

533
00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:09,640
Speaker 1: the whole point of being non quantifiable. I don't know

534
00:25:09,840 --> 00:25:13,840
Speaker 1: how to assconnate a number on that. Another thing is

535
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:16,359
Speaker 1: you can make the argument, to me, since Georgia hasn't

536
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:18,480
Speaker 1: been pressed all that much, it could be that they've

537
00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:20,480
Speaker 1: got a lot they're capable of doing. They've never had

538
00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:23,280
Speaker 1: to show you. This year, I halfway believe that. How

539
00:25:23,320 --> 00:25:26,600
Speaker 1: do I quantify it? I don't know what does it

540
00:25:26,720 --> 00:25:29,240
Speaker 1: mean for Alabama to be an underdog in a game?

541
00:25:29,280 --> 00:25:31,520
Speaker 1: What does it mean for them to be in do

542
00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:34,680
Speaker 1: or die, no safety net, wounded animal mode? I don't

543
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:36,479
Speaker 1: know what that means. I never see him. Last time

544
00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:38,040
Speaker 1: I saw him, they beat Georgia thirty eight to ten

545
00:25:38,040 --> 00:25:39,679
Speaker 1: when they were in that mode. I don't think that

546
00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:42,399
Speaker 1: game in twenty fifteen has anything to do with this game,

547
00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:44,879
Speaker 1: but I don't know what to expect from Alabama in

548
00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:49,199
Speaker 1: that spot. Also, the pressure factor on Georgia, I'm going

549
00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:50,840
Speaker 1: to tell you right now, I don't expect this to

550
00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:52,440
Speaker 1: be an issue, but it doesn't mean it's not real.

551
00:25:52,920 --> 00:25:56,360
Speaker 1: There is immense pressure on Georgia here, immense pressure. I

552
00:25:56,400 --> 00:25:59,920
Speaker 1: almost equate this to the way Bama felt opposed to

553
00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:03,919
Speaker 1: Florida in eight to nine. Oa Kirby was actually at

554
00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:06,880
Speaker 1: Alabama O eight oh nine, and it's Tim Tebow, Urban

555
00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:09,440
Speaker 1: Meyern Florida, and everyone knew you had to get over

556
00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:12,040
Speaker 1: that hump in order to own the SEC. Bama went

557
00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:14,200
Speaker 1: up against it in two thousand and eight. They bumped

558
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:15,919
Speaker 1: their head against the brick wall, they fell down, They

559
00:26:15,960 --> 00:26:18,160
Speaker 1: got themselves up. They went back in two thousand and nine,

560
00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:21,399
Speaker 1: they ran through the wall. Well, I'm looking at this

561
00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:23,840
Speaker 1: the same way, and I'm looking at Georgia having run

562
00:26:23,840 --> 00:26:25,800
Speaker 1: into that wall a few times and fallen back down.

563
00:26:26,040 --> 00:26:29,560
Speaker 1: This is the time. They have never had a better opportunity.

564
00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:33,040
Speaker 1: They will never have a better matchup edge over Alabama

565
00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:35,160
Speaker 1: than they do right now. That's a lot of pressure.

566
00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:38,280
Speaker 1: It's also, you know, kind of psychologically a weird thing

567
00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:40,479
Speaker 1: to know that you can afford to lose Saturday and

568
00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:43,040
Speaker 1: still go to the playoffs. I don't think those things

569
00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:44,320
Speaker 1: are going to be an issue because I think this

570
00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:47,879
Speaker 1: Georgia team is far too veteran and mature to allow

571
00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:50,159
Speaker 1: it to impact him. But it is there, so you know,

572
00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:52,000
Speaker 1: I've been wrong on that a time or two. Let's

573
00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:53,520
Speaker 1: take a look at what the model thinks. Let's take

574
00:26:53,520 --> 00:26:54,840
Speaker 1: a look at what Vegas thinks, and I'll tell you

575
00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:57,840
Speaker 1: what I think. The Vegas number on this game right now,

576
00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:00,440
Speaker 1: according to Caesars, is Georgia MNA six and a half.

577
00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:02,919
Speaker 1: The model is north of there. The model is at

578
00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:06,160
Speaker 1: Georgia minus eight and a half. I've watched these teams.

579
00:27:06,400 --> 00:27:08,800
Speaker 1: I could make you an argument for Bama. But I

580
00:27:08,840 --> 00:27:12,320
Speaker 1: have watched Bama a few times this year prove me

581
00:27:12,359 --> 00:27:13,960
Speaker 1: wrong when I thought they were about to kick it

582
00:27:13,960 --> 00:27:16,240
Speaker 1: into a different gear, and so I'm done betting on

583
00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:20,359
Speaker 1: that happening. George has been consistent. They have basically you

584
00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:22,359
Speaker 1: listen to Nick Saban earlier this week at as press or,

585
00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:25,119
Speaker 1: He's told you they have basically been this year what

586
00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:28,600
Speaker 1: Bama is most years. I'm not betting against that. If

587
00:27:28,600 --> 00:27:30,920
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be proven wrong in this game, I'm gonna

588
00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:33,199
Speaker 1: make Bama do something they haven't done all year. What

589
00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:35,760
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do is be proven wrong by Georgia

590
00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:37,880
Speaker 1: doing what they have done the entire year. I'm gonna

591
00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:40,200
Speaker 1: take Georgia to win. I think George is gonna cover.

592
00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:43,359
Speaker 1: I think that this obviously is the biggest win to

593
00:27:43,480 --> 00:27:46,760
Speaker 1: date for Kirby Smart. It's even bigger than having won

594
00:27:46,760 --> 00:27:49,520
Speaker 1: a playoff game in years past. If he beats Nick

595
00:27:49,520 --> 00:27:52,600
Speaker 1: Saban and Alabama Saturday, make no mistake, that's the biggest

596
00:27:52,600 --> 00:27:55,159
Speaker 1: win of Kirby Smart's career. I think we're gonna see it,

597
00:27:55,600 --> 00:27:58,200
Speaker 1: but if we don't, boy, it makes that playoff picture

598
00:27:58,200 --> 00:28:02,240
Speaker 1: really money. Let's talk about some head coaching intel before

599
00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:04,600
Speaker 1: we dive into the rest of these conference championship predictions. Also,

600
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:06,680
Speaker 1: I want to say as I pull it up here,

601
00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:08,760
Speaker 1: I want to say I appreciate you guys being tuned

602
00:28:08,760 --> 00:28:12,280
Speaker 1: in here's a little inside baseball. When I told you

603
00:28:12,320 --> 00:28:14,160
Speaker 1: the other night, Well, when I asked you the other

604
00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:16,639
Speaker 1: night to subscribe to the channel, if you were already

605
00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:20,520
Speaker 1: watching fifteen hundred of you did simultaneously. So I'm gonna

606
00:28:20,520 --> 00:28:22,520
Speaker 1: try it again. What do we have about thirty three,

607
00:28:22,600 --> 00:28:25,000
Speaker 1: thirty four hundred in here right now? So if you're watching,

608
00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:28,600
Speaker 1: the only request to keep the show free is just

609
00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:31,159
Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel. That's it. That's all. Thank you

610
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:33,560
Speaker 1: in advance because if history is in the indication, you

611
00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:37,280
Speaker 1: will do it. Latest head Coaching Intel, what are we hearing?

612
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:40,240
Speaker 1: I'm scared. I'm halfway scared to do this segment. I

613
00:28:40,320 --> 00:28:42,480
Speaker 1: told Colin and Jesse we got to be careful because

614
00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:45,320
Speaker 1: things could change even as we're on air. Let's talk

615
00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:49,440
Speaker 1: about it, notre dame. They woke up this morning finally

616
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:51,080
Speaker 1: needing a head coach for the first time in over

617
00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:53,600
Speaker 1: a decade, and you got Luke Fickles's name out there.

618
00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:55,720
Speaker 1: You got Marcus Freeman's name out there. I'm a little

619
00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:58,280
Speaker 1: confused about the whole situation, to be honest with you.

620
00:28:58,320 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 1: So what happened today is obviously Brian Kelly's going to LSU,

621
00:29:02,080 --> 00:29:04,840
Speaker 1: so you've got an opening. Jack Swarbrick was down in

622
00:29:04,840 --> 00:29:07,440
Speaker 1: Texas they were doing the playoff meetings. He's the ADI

623
00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:10,120
Speaker 1: at Notre Dame, and he said, we are not going

624
00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:13,000
Speaker 1: to name an interim head coach, which just baffles me.

625
00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:15,600
Speaker 1: But Jack Swarbrick's not an idiot, so I know there's

626
00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:17,600
Speaker 1: got to be good reason behind what he's doing. At

627
00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:20,000
Speaker 1: least I think there has to be. Here's the way

628
00:29:20,040 --> 00:29:22,960
Speaker 1: my simple mind's working. I don't get what the risk

629
00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:27,000
Speaker 1: is in naming Marcus Freeman your interim head coach. Marcus

630
00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:29,440
Speaker 1: Freeman's going to get a head coaching job somewhere in

631
00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:33,480
Speaker 1: the next few weeks, if not sooner than that. The

632
00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:35,480
Speaker 1: only thing I could come up with, the only thing

633
00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:37,440
Speaker 1: I kind of bounced this off a few people. The

634
00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:39,239
Speaker 1: only thing that they agreed that we could come up

635
00:29:39,240 --> 00:29:43,200
Speaker 1: with is maybe they know something we don't know, or

636
00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:48,960
Speaker 1: maybe they have not gotten as short for Marcus state

637
00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:52,240
Speaker 1: at Notre Dame. Because Brian Kelly wantson in Baton Rouge,

638
00:29:52,400 --> 00:29:54,800
Speaker 1: and so if they have an inkling that he's not

639
00:29:54,840 --> 00:29:57,320
Speaker 1: going to stay here, no, then absolutely not. You do

640
00:29:57,440 --> 00:29:59,520
Speaker 1: not name him your interim because the only thing worse

641
00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:01,840
Speaker 1: that Brian Kelly choose an Lsu over you would be

642
00:30:01,880 --> 00:30:04,120
Speaker 1: you naming an interim head coach and then him also

643
00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:07,239
Speaker 1: choosing lsu over you. Yeah, that'll look bad. I get that.

644
00:30:07,680 --> 00:30:11,360
Speaker 1: So absent of me not having all the information, I'm

645
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:13,400
Speaker 1: just going to say it confuses me from the outside

646
00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:15,720
Speaker 1: as to why they're not going to name an interim

647
00:30:15,760 --> 00:30:18,400
Speaker 1: head coach. But here's what's going to be fun right now,

648
00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:20,240
Speaker 1: And here's what it's such a pressure cooker of a

649
00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:24,040
Speaker 1: situation to be in because they could go after Luke Fikele.

650
00:30:24,080 --> 00:30:26,800
Speaker 1: A lot of reports indicate that's who they want. Luke

651
00:30:26,840 --> 00:30:29,600
Speaker 1: Finckle comes in, Cincinnati's first call is probably going to

652
00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:31,720
Speaker 1: be Marcus Freeman, you want to come be our head coach.

653
00:30:31,800 --> 00:30:33,960
Speaker 1: By the way, we are Cincinnati going to the Big twelve,

654
00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:35,880
Speaker 1: so we're also going to be what you would call

655
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:39,760
Speaker 1: a Power five job. Do you want the job? Then

656
00:30:39,800 --> 00:30:41,720
Speaker 1: you could have the guy noted him could have had,

657
00:30:42,560 --> 00:30:44,760
Speaker 1: and you could have the guy that you wanted over

658
00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:47,160
Speaker 1: Marcus Freeman, and they both get head coaching jobs at

659
00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:50,040
Speaker 1: the same time, kind of switch addresses. Basically, keep an

660
00:30:50,080 --> 00:30:54,800
Speaker 1: eye on that. Matt Campbell's name has been conspicuously quiet

661
00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:57,160
Speaker 1: over the last week. And I got to tell you.

662
00:30:57,600 --> 00:31:00,000
Speaker 1: I had a coaching buddy say, did you watch Campbell's

663
00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:01,840
Speaker 1: last game at Iowa State today? And I said, what

664
00:31:01,880 --> 00:31:04,880
Speaker 1: do you mean? He said, go watch him? And I

665
00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:06,360
Speaker 1: looked at him on the field pre game, and in

666
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:09,040
Speaker 1: his press conference postgame he did sound like a guy

667
00:31:09,080 --> 00:31:10,480
Speaker 1: who was on his way out the door. I don't

668
00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:12,840
Speaker 1: know what that means, if it meant anything at all,

669
00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:15,560
Speaker 1: but let's just keep an eye on Matt Campbell. What

670
00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:19,400
Speaker 1: about Oklahoma, because this is one that I for all

671
00:31:19,440 --> 00:31:21,600
Speaker 1: of you who think I just endorse every higher I'm

672
00:31:21,600 --> 00:31:24,360
Speaker 1: not totally sold on Brinton Vinables going to Oklahoma, but

673
00:31:24,400 --> 00:31:26,680
Speaker 1: a lot of Oklahoma fans are it's your program, It's

674
00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:31,840
Speaker 1: not my program. I think very highly of the Oklahoma job,

675
00:31:32,680 --> 00:31:35,040
Speaker 1: and so when I had someone texting me, looks like

676
00:31:35,080 --> 00:31:38,120
Speaker 1: it's Venables, and now overwhelmingly that's the reporting. It looks

677
00:31:38,120 --> 00:31:40,480
Speaker 1: like it's Britton Vinibles, who is the defensive coordinator at Clemson.

678
00:31:40,520 --> 00:31:44,080
Speaker 1: For those unfamiliar. I look at that and I think

679
00:31:44,080 --> 00:31:47,520
Speaker 1: to myself, brit Vinables, good candidate. But then the next

680
00:31:47,520 --> 00:31:49,920
Speaker 1: thing out of my mouth is I think Oklahoma could

681
00:31:49,920 --> 00:31:52,640
Speaker 1: do better. Now. Their criteria may be different than mine,

682
00:31:52,680 --> 00:31:54,960
Speaker 1: for all I know. Here's what's interesting, though, there's a

683
00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:57,200
Speaker 1: little shift going on that you didn't think was gonna happen.

684
00:31:57,960 --> 00:31:59,920
Speaker 1: You look at Big twelve football just three or four years,

685
00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:03,400
Speaker 1: and you looked at the trajectory of the overall sport,

686
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:06,960
Speaker 1: and it was offensive offense, offense. Even Alabama Nick Saban

687
00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:09,840
Speaker 1: had shifted years and they were all about adapting new

688
00:32:09,840 --> 00:32:12,800
Speaker 1: offensive approaches. And you probably thought to yourself, the Big

689
00:32:12,800 --> 00:32:14,880
Speaker 1: twelve is never going to hire another defensive coach out

690
00:32:14,920 --> 00:32:16,880
Speaker 1: here as a head coach. Well, Dave A. Randa is

691
00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:20,560
Speaker 1: about to play for a Big Twelve championship Saturday, and

692
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:23,880
Speaker 1: also Brenton Vinables at what I would call right now,

693
00:32:24,320 --> 00:32:26,720
Speaker 1: the premier program in the Big twelve for the time

694
00:32:26,760 --> 00:32:30,600
Speaker 1: being in Oklahoma is maybe about to get hired as

695
00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:32,880
Speaker 1: one of the premier defensive coordinators over the last several

696
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:35,480
Speaker 1: years in college football. And it coincides with the style

697
00:32:35,560 --> 00:32:38,480
Speaker 1: shift out there. It's been happening for a couple of years.

698
00:32:38,680 --> 00:32:41,160
Speaker 1: But now you see it's kind of the same way

699
00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:42,920
Speaker 1: with the playoff, and everyone thinks it's just going to

700
00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:45,160
Speaker 1: be the same four teams forever. No, and it's the

701
00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:46,760
Speaker 1: same way with a style of play. It's not just

702
00:32:46,840 --> 00:32:49,440
Speaker 1: going to be the same forever. Everyone's evolving, everyone's changing

703
00:32:49,480 --> 00:32:52,479
Speaker 1: consistently and constantly. And so if Briton Vinables gets that,

704
00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:55,719
Speaker 1: I don't think it'll be the last high profile defensive

705
00:32:55,760 --> 00:32:58,280
Speaker 1: coordinator to get his name in a consideration for one

706
00:32:58,320 --> 00:33:00,000
Speaker 1: of these big jobs, which we were being told to

707
00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:02,800
Speaker 1: again just three or four years ago, wasn't going to happen.

708
00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:06,560
Speaker 1: I would strongly encourage you to keep an eye on

709
00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:09,480
Speaker 1: the Twitter account at late kick, Josh, like this stuff

710
00:33:09,600 --> 00:33:12,040
Speaker 1: changes so frequently and we get updates. I mean, I'll

711
00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:14,680
Speaker 1: get texts at three am from folks. I was talking

712
00:33:14,680 --> 00:33:16,800
Speaker 1: to a coach at a G five level school today

713
00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:19,800
Speaker 1: and he was talking about just with the coaching moves

714
00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:22,440
Speaker 1: that he knows of how much stuff's going on at

715
00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:25,680
Speaker 1: the assistant coaching level because of this, and then tie

716
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:27,800
Speaker 1: it all into early signing day coming up, which is

717
00:33:27,800 --> 00:33:31,200
Speaker 1: the last thing I wanted to touch on here. There

718
00:33:31,400 --> 00:33:34,280
Speaker 1: was a lot of gnashing of teeth when the early

719
00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:37,400
Speaker 1: signing day got instituted, not at twenty four to seven sports.

720
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:39,200
Speaker 1: We love it. It gives us a second signing day. It's

721
00:33:39,200 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 1: a huge tent pole event. The more and more I

722
00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:45,760
Speaker 1: look at the ramifications around here, the more I realize

723
00:33:45,960 --> 00:33:48,600
Speaker 1: we really should shift that early signing day to August

724
00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:52,800
Speaker 1: because a lot of what's happening right now is predicated

725
00:33:52,840 --> 00:33:55,920
Speaker 1: on getting a coach in place for the early signing day.

726
00:33:56,400 --> 00:33:58,560
Speaker 1: And I'm telling you there's no easy way to do it.

727
00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:00,600
Speaker 1: There's no good way to do it. If we were

728
00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:03,720
Speaker 1: to scrap the college football calendar today and just start

729
00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:06,600
Speaker 1: from scratch, we would never construct it like it is.

730
00:34:06,760 --> 00:34:10,600
Speaker 1: We would never put the early signing day right after

731
00:34:10,640 --> 00:34:13,440
Speaker 1: conference championship games. As you're preparing for your bowl games.

732
00:34:13,560 --> 00:34:16,560
Speaker 1: You've also you're in the thick of the transfer portal season.

733
00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:19,120
Speaker 1: So much is going on. You're trying to hire coaches,

734
00:34:19,160 --> 00:34:21,319
Speaker 1: fire coaches, you're trying to prepare for games. No one

735
00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:24,279
Speaker 1: would ever construct it like that, that early signing date.

736
00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:26,239
Speaker 1: I'm all for it, but man, I wish we could

737
00:34:26,280 --> 00:34:28,200
Speaker 1: move that thing to August. And I can assure you

738
00:34:28,440 --> 00:34:31,200
Speaker 1: it's not selfish because our show is doing record numbers

739
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:33,719
Speaker 1: right now. But for the betterment of the game. You

740
00:34:33,760 --> 00:34:35,439
Speaker 1: talk about why this is not good for the game.

741
00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:38,360
Speaker 1: I agree. The early signing day can stay. Coaches on

742
00:34:38,360 --> 00:34:40,560
Speaker 1: the move can stay, the transfer portal can stay. Just

743
00:34:40,560 --> 00:34:42,040
Speaker 1: you got to space that stuff out a little bit

744
00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:44,440
Speaker 1: more on the calendar. And that's, believe it or not.

745
00:34:44,560 --> 00:34:46,480
Speaker 1: That's what a majority of coaches have talked to me

746
00:34:46,520 --> 00:34:49,120
Speaker 1: about over the last week or so. It's not even

747
00:34:49,120 --> 00:34:51,800
Speaker 1: that the moves are happening. It's always good. It's always

748
00:34:51,800 --> 00:34:54,560
Speaker 1: good to shift the pieces around in the coaching industry.

749
00:34:54,680 --> 00:34:57,279
Speaker 1: It's the timing that's the big issue that a lot

750
00:34:57,280 --> 00:35:00,759
Speaker 1: of these folks have. All right, let's move on conference

751
00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:04,880
Speaker 1: championships Saturday, And for those of you tuning in late, yes,

752
00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:08,040
Speaker 1: this is me in a mysterious bedroom. That's as specific

753
00:35:08,040 --> 00:35:11,040
Speaker 1: as i'd like to get. You know, occasionally, when you

754
00:35:11,120 --> 00:35:13,440
Speaker 1: got a fancy studio and a high rise in Nashville,

755
00:35:13,640 --> 00:35:15,200
Speaker 1: you gotta leave town and just do the show in

756
00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:17,799
Speaker 1: a bedroom and a mysterious bedroom. This is not even

757
00:35:17,800 --> 00:35:21,279
Speaker 1: my bedroom. So with that in mind, let's predict some

758
00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:24,680
Speaker 1: conference championship. Keep your voice down over there, Let's predict

759
00:35:24,680 --> 00:35:29,040
Speaker 1: some Conference championship games this Saturday, Michigan versus Iowa. This

760
00:35:29,080 --> 00:35:31,960
Speaker 1: one is a late game. It's eight o'clock on Fox.

761
00:35:32,080 --> 00:35:35,120
Speaker 1: These are Eastern times. By the way, At no point

762
00:35:35,680 --> 00:35:38,919
Speaker 1: was Michigan surprised to beat Ohio State Saturday. And here's

763
00:35:38,920 --> 00:35:41,880
Speaker 1: why that's important, because the obvious theme in this game

764
00:35:42,080 --> 00:35:44,480
Speaker 1: could be letdown. You may think to yourself, how could

765
00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:46,439
Speaker 1: you have a letdown in the conference championship game? Well

766
00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:49,160
Speaker 1: after having not beaten Ohio State for as long as

767
00:35:49,160 --> 00:35:51,759
Speaker 1: they had and being around that environment last week, and

768
00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:54,040
Speaker 1: see how emotional it was. Oh, it could be there.

769
00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:57,280
Speaker 1: I'm totally inversed, though I'm totally on the opposite side.

770
00:35:57,600 --> 00:35:59,640
Speaker 1: It would be that way. If they were shocked to

771
00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:01,719
Speaker 1: win the game. They weren't. The fans may have been

772
00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:05,240
Speaker 1: to a certain extent, this wasn't at all. They acted

773
00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:07,719
Speaker 1: like they expected to win. After this, they acted like

774
00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:09,879
Speaker 1: they got something that they had expected to get.

775
00:36:11,160 --> 00:36:14,520
Speaker 2: That's part of a process, and I think their best

776
00:36:14,600 --> 00:36:18,279
Speaker 2: version now Listen, the best version of could lose to

777
00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:21,160
Speaker 2: Iowa if things do fall just right for Iowa.

778
00:36:21,360 --> 00:36:23,719
Speaker 1: But this is where the four quarter concept comes in,

779
00:36:23,960 --> 00:36:26,920
Speaker 1: because mark my words, this is very likely to be

780
00:36:26,960 --> 00:36:29,440
Speaker 1: a game that is closed throughout the first half, and

781
00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:31,719
Speaker 1: if you just expect them blowout, you may get a

782
00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:34,319
Speaker 1: little nervous. But that's why they play four quarters. Not

783
00:36:34,360 --> 00:36:36,920
Speaker 1: a thirty minute game. It's a sixty minute game, and

784
00:36:37,000 --> 00:36:39,799
Speaker 1: so over the course of sixty minutes, I still think

785
00:36:39,840 --> 00:36:42,760
Speaker 1: Michigan is going to end up body blowing and body

786
00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:45,520
Speaker 1: blowing and body blowing Iowa eventually out of this thing.

787
00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:47,719
Speaker 1: And I think it may take a little more than

788
00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:49,960
Speaker 1: thirty minutes to do it, but I think they will.

789
00:36:50,280 --> 00:36:53,120
Speaker 1: And I also, you know, it's a different style when

790
00:36:53,120 --> 00:36:55,000
Speaker 1: you're playing Iowa, because you could very well look at

791
00:36:55,040 --> 00:36:58,000
Speaker 1: this as Michigan and say, what do we need twenty

792
00:36:58,120 --> 00:37:00,799
Speaker 1: twenty four points something like that literally could do it.

793
00:37:01,280 --> 00:37:03,720
Speaker 1: Our model thinks they're going to get thirty one somewhere

794
00:37:03,719 --> 00:37:06,480
Speaker 1: in that neighborhood. So if they do, obviously Michigan has

795
00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:08,919
Speaker 1: won this thing. We are going to take Michigan to win,

796
00:37:09,239 --> 00:37:11,200
Speaker 1: and I take Michigan to cover too. I actually think

797
00:37:11,200 --> 00:37:13,680
Speaker 1: in the second half they are going to put a

798
00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:16,719
Speaker 1: very emphatic cap on this season, and you're gonna look

799
00:37:16,760 --> 00:37:18,480
Speaker 1: back and you're going to say, Wow, have they not

800
00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:21,319
Speaker 1: beaten or have they not gotten beaten by Michigan State.

801
00:37:21,520 --> 00:37:23,440
Speaker 1: We be talking about them like we're talking about Georgia.

802
00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:26,240
Speaker 1: Even having said that, they're a lot for the playoff,

803
00:37:26,239 --> 00:37:28,920
Speaker 1: obviously with a whim. What about the Big Twelve championship game.

804
00:37:28,960 --> 00:37:32,279
Speaker 1: This is a noon Eastern time kickoff. This is on

805
00:37:32,440 --> 00:37:36,480
Speaker 1: ABC Oklahoma State. In fact, let me move my screen

806
00:37:36,480 --> 00:37:40,080
Speaker 1: around to make sure nothing's changed. So Oklahoma State is

807
00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:42,160
Speaker 1: anywhere from a five and a half to a six

808
00:37:42,200 --> 00:37:44,479
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite, depending on where you look.

809
00:37:44,560 --> 00:37:46,640
Speaker 1: We've already gotten on Baylor in this game, so you

810
00:37:46,800 --> 00:37:49,320
Speaker 1: know where I am as it relates to the point spread.

811
00:37:50,080 --> 00:37:54,520
Speaker 1: Gary Bohannon, quarterback for Baylor, still very questionable. You know

812
00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:58,840
Speaker 1: my proclivity for loving to bet backup quarterbacks, and so

813
00:37:58,960 --> 00:38:01,440
Speaker 1: this is not a situation where I think they just

814
00:38:01,520 --> 00:38:04,319
Speaker 1: drop off a cliff. If they do, indeed have to

815
00:38:04,320 --> 00:38:06,600
Speaker 1: play shape and who is the backup quarterback there at Baylor.

816
00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:08,960
Speaker 1: He's got some experience under his belt. They don't change

817
00:38:09,000 --> 00:38:11,279
Speaker 1: scheme a whole lot, So it's not anything that's going

818
00:38:11,360 --> 00:38:15,280
Speaker 1: to necessarily full Loklahoma State. I just think Baylor's capable

819
00:38:15,760 --> 00:38:19,560
Speaker 1: of operating offensively to a high enough degree with him

820
00:38:19,560 --> 00:38:23,160
Speaker 1: in the game. I really want to know if Baylor

821
00:38:23,200 --> 00:38:25,200
Speaker 1: can do some damage early in this game, because I

822
00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:27,480
Speaker 1: do think there's going to be a settling endpoint eventually

823
00:38:27,520 --> 00:38:29,279
Speaker 1: where it's going to be really tough. It's gonna be

824
00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:31,319
Speaker 1: really tough for Baylor to move the ball they need.

825
00:38:31,440 --> 00:38:33,640
Speaker 1: It's so critical for them to get an early lead.

826
00:38:33,760 --> 00:38:36,680
Speaker 1: If they don't, this game has the potential to get

827
00:38:36,680 --> 00:38:38,359
Speaker 1: out of hand, and it has the potential to look

828
00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:40,360
Speaker 1: like Utah Oregon a couple of weeks ago. Not to

829
00:38:40,360 --> 00:38:42,239
Speaker 1: break that game down, but a couple of weeks ago,

830
00:38:42,520 --> 00:38:45,080
Speaker 1: it's fourteen and nothing. Then all of a sudden, things

831
00:38:45,160 --> 00:38:47,200
Speaker 1: go signing ways really quickly and it's twenty eight to nothing,

832
00:38:47,600 --> 00:38:50,120
Speaker 1: thirty eight to seven, and what could be a close

833
00:38:50,160 --> 00:38:52,200
Speaker 1: game turns into a blowout. That's the way this one

834
00:38:52,239 --> 00:38:55,480
Speaker 1: could happen. A fast start and a very ratcheted up

835
00:38:55,600 --> 00:38:58,399
Speaker 1: opening to this game, very critical for Baylor. We're taking

836
00:38:58,440 --> 00:39:01,320
Speaker 1: Baylor to win the game. The model Baylor to win outright,

837
00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:04,000
Speaker 1: and so Baylor plus the points one of our best

838
00:39:04,040 --> 00:39:06,560
Speaker 1: bets of the week. We like the Bears to win

839
00:39:06,960 --> 00:39:08,799
Speaker 1: right now. Five and a half. That's the number we

840
00:39:08,840 --> 00:39:13,440
Speaker 1: have at Caesars. Let's go to the American Cincinnati is

841
00:39:13,600 --> 00:39:15,399
Speaker 1: I believe I'm gonna wait and see what we got.

842
00:39:15,440 --> 00:39:16,799
Speaker 1: I looked at it and it was ten and a half.

843
00:39:16,840 --> 00:39:20,000
Speaker 1: They're favored by ten and a half some odd points

844
00:39:20,160 --> 00:39:23,480
Speaker 1: against Houston. This is a four o'clock Eastern time kickoff

845
00:39:23,480 --> 00:39:27,600
Speaker 1: on ABC Saturday. This is the last remaining hurdle presumably

846
00:39:28,040 --> 00:39:31,319
Speaker 1: between the Bearcats and in all likelihood locking down a

847
00:39:31,320 --> 00:39:33,560
Speaker 1: playoff spot. There is still a path where they get

848
00:39:33,640 --> 00:39:35,560
Speaker 1: left out. I just don't think that path is very

849
00:39:35,560 --> 00:39:38,680
Speaker 1: wide at all. Things. Two things to watch in this

850
00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:41,560
Speaker 1: game that I think decided Clayton Too, who is not

851
00:39:41,600 --> 00:39:45,040
Speaker 1: the quarterback for Cincinnati, he is the quarterback for Houston, who,

852
00:39:45,120 --> 00:39:47,840
Speaker 1: if you did the blind resume comparison, has comparable numbers

853
00:39:47,840 --> 00:39:50,200
Speaker 1: to Desmond Ritter. This is the kind of game he

854
00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:53,200
Speaker 1: could shine in and America learns about him. You probably

855
00:39:53,200 --> 00:39:55,240
Speaker 1: don't know a whole lot about him, and he spoils

856
00:39:55,280 --> 00:39:57,920
Speaker 1: a great, big party that is scheduled in Cincinnati. And

857
00:39:58,000 --> 00:40:02,759
Speaker 1: number two, Houston has the potential to be opportunistic enough

858
00:40:02,800 --> 00:40:06,000
Speaker 1: defensively to force some mistakes here. You never know how

859
00:40:06,040 --> 00:40:08,920
Speaker 1: tight Cincinnati may be playing. These players have never been

860
00:40:09,000 --> 00:40:11,359
Speaker 1: in a spot this big, A Bowl game last year

861
00:40:11,360 --> 00:40:13,600
Speaker 1: against George is not as big as this game. There

862
00:40:13,680 --> 00:40:16,320
Speaker 1: is a playoff spot, a conference championship and a playoff

863
00:40:16,320 --> 00:40:19,279
Speaker 1: spot on the line. You get those two things taking

864
00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:22,600
Speaker 1: care of her neutralized. Cincinnati rolls here, I think they

865
00:40:22,640 --> 00:40:24,960
Speaker 1: win the game. I don't think they roll. So I'm

866
00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:28,239
Speaker 1: taking Houston to cover, taking Cincinnati to win. I think

867
00:40:28,280 --> 00:40:30,000
Speaker 1: there may be a path in the fourth quarter for Houston.

868
00:40:30,040 --> 00:40:32,400
Speaker 1: I do think Cincinnati is a little too good. What

869
00:40:32,400 --> 00:40:35,120
Speaker 1: about the PAC twelve pack twelve championship games on a

870
00:40:35,160 --> 00:40:37,920
Speaker 1: Friday night? This one's in Las Vegas. It's eight o'clock

871
00:40:37,960 --> 00:40:40,640
Speaker 1: Eastern time. I think five o'clock local time. Obviously on

872
00:40:40,719 --> 00:40:45,359
Speaker 1: ABC thirty eight to seven. Here's the basic question. You

873
00:40:45,400 --> 00:40:47,440
Speaker 1: can dumb it down. You can drool all over your

874
00:40:47,440 --> 00:40:50,160
Speaker 1: textbook as you ask it. How do you turn thirty

875
00:40:50,200 --> 00:40:52,799
Speaker 1: eight to seven just two weeks to go into a

876
00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:56,600
Speaker 1: win two weeks later? Well, the answer is you start

877
00:40:56,640 --> 00:40:59,560
Speaker 1: over cleaning at zeros and then you don't allow the

878
00:40:59,560 --> 00:41:02,680
Speaker 1: same in a start to happen. You don't have disastrous

879
00:41:02,880 --> 00:41:05,719
Speaker 1: special teams performances like Oregon did. To be clear, a

880
00:41:05,760 --> 00:41:07,960
Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago in Salt Lake City, you don't

881
00:41:08,239 --> 00:41:10,160
Speaker 1: lose control of the game going into the half and

882
00:41:10,200 --> 00:41:13,040
Speaker 1: give up fourteen more points. You can't have that kind

883
00:41:13,080 --> 00:41:16,040
Speaker 1: of stuff happen if Oregon. I'm gonna say it the

884
00:41:16,080 --> 00:41:18,959
Speaker 1: same way I said a second ago about Baylor. If

885
00:41:19,000 --> 00:41:22,200
Speaker 1: they can dent the scoreboard early, you never know what

886
00:41:22,239 --> 00:41:26,279
Speaker 1: that's worth. You also never know, when you looked at

887
00:41:26,280 --> 00:41:28,680
Speaker 1: that game a couple of weeks ago, how much they

888
00:41:28,719 --> 00:41:30,800
Speaker 1: hated their offensive approach, because I can tell you Oregon

889
00:41:30,840 --> 00:41:33,920
Speaker 1: fans did, and so it stands to reason whatever didn't

890
00:41:33,920 --> 00:41:35,640
Speaker 1: work for you a couple of weeks ago is not

891
00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:37,880
Speaker 1: gonna be the game plan. Now. You could try something

892
00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:40,120
Speaker 1: different and get the same result. But if they get

893
00:41:40,120 --> 00:41:42,120
Speaker 1: the same result, I don't think it's gonna because it's

894
00:41:42,120 --> 00:41:44,080
Speaker 1: the same team you showed up a couple of weeks ago.

895
00:41:44,239 --> 00:41:46,960
Speaker 1: Here's the reason that sounds like I'm making excuses for Oregon.

896
00:41:47,120 --> 00:41:50,440
Speaker 1: Cronkarng model thinks they're gonna win. That's why, and so

897
00:41:50,600 --> 00:41:52,920
Speaker 1: I know how hard it is to fathom, but I'm

898
00:41:52,920 --> 00:41:58,439
Speaker 1: gonna ride with it. Oregon covers, Oregon wins another PAC

899
00:41:58,520 --> 00:42:01,360
Speaker 1: twelve championship. But if they do that, it will again

900
00:42:01,680 --> 00:42:05,440
Speaker 1: go to show you how different each individual example or

901
00:42:05,440 --> 00:42:07,919
Speaker 1: sample of a football game is relative to the last

902
00:42:07,920 --> 00:42:10,160
Speaker 1: one or the next one. Last one I wanted to

903
00:42:10,239 --> 00:42:12,680
Speaker 1: hit on briefly, it's really out of the spotlight. The

904
00:42:12,719 --> 00:42:15,520
Speaker 1: ACC Championship game. Pitt is favored by two and a

905
00:42:15,600 --> 00:42:17,799
Speaker 1: half at the moment, at least that's the number I

906
00:42:17,840 --> 00:42:20,480
Speaker 1: had over Wake Forest. It's a later game at seven

907
00:42:20,480 --> 00:42:24,640
Speaker 1: o'clock Eastern Saturday night. It's on ABC. This game is

908
00:42:24,680 --> 00:42:28,080
Speaker 1: such an endorsement of a renaissance season. It embodies what

909
00:42:28,160 --> 00:42:30,040
Speaker 1: the renaissance season is all about. Cause do you have

910
00:42:30,120 --> 00:42:32,640
Speaker 1: any clue what kind of odds I could have gotten

911
00:42:32,880 --> 00:42:36,040
Speaker 1: on betting that neither North Carolina nor Clemson we're going

912
00:42:36,120 --> 00:42:39,440
Speaker 1: to be in the ACC title game. Period. That's what's happening.

913
00:42:39,600 --> 00:42:41,799
Speaker 1: That's what's up. I feel like this is a Kenny

914
00:42:41,800 --> 00:42:43,560
Speaker 1: Pickett special. I gotta be real with you. I know

915
00:42:43,600 --> 00:42:45,279
Speaker 1: that's a very dumb down way to break this down.

916
00:42:45,440 --> 00:42:47,720
Speaker 1: I think Kenny Pickett is going to be the singular

917
00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:49,680
Speaker 1: difference in this game. And although he's not going to

918
00:42:49,719 --> 00:42:51,880
Speaker 1: win the Heisman, I think if you want to be

919
00:42:52,000 --> 00:42:54,160
Speaker 1: the contrarian to make the argument for him, he's going

920
00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:56,800
Speaker 1: to give you a ton of ammunition I want to

921
00:42:56,840 --> 00:42:59,720
Speaker 1: warn you Kenny Pickett could put up some Xbox numbers

922
00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:02,480
Speaker 1: Saturday night in Arlotte, North Carolina, and I think he's

923
00:43:02,520 --> 00:43:04,080
Speaker 1: going to do it for Pitt and route to a

924
00:43:04,120 --> 00:43:06,399
Speaker 1: win over wake Forest. I'm gonna take Pitt to win,

925
00:43:06,680 --> 00:43:10,000
Speaker 1: and I will take Pitt to cover. Those are our

926
00:43:10,080 --> 00:43:14,880
Speaker 1: Conference Championship Saturday and Friday predictions, obviously, to go along

927
00:43:14,960 --> 00:43:18,880
Speaker 1: with the SEC Championship prediction of Georgia winning and covering

928
00:43:19,239 --> 00:43:24,200
Speaker 1: against Alabama. Last order of business here, I've got a

929
00:43:24,480 --> 00:43:27,640
Speaker 1: Rama Noodle Express best bet to add. I have not

930
00:43:27,760 --> 00:43:29,880
Speaker 1: revealed this one even on Twitter yet because we just

931
00:43:29,960 --> 00:43:32,160
Speaker 1: added it a few minutes ago. So here are the

932
00:43:32,200 --> 00:43:34,960
Speaker 1: games we're already on. We're on Baylor plus five and

933
00:43:34,960 --> 00:43:38,240
Speaker 1: a half obviously Big twelve Championship game. We're on Oregon

934
00:43:38,280 --> 00:43:41,359
Speaker 1: plus three PAC twelve Championship game. That's a Friday game.

935
00:43:41,680 --> 00:43:44,160
Speaker 1: I've got one more Friday game to add here. We

936
00:43:44,200 --> 00:43:47,960
Speaker 1: are on Western Kentucky minus one and a half. That

937
00:43:48,160 --> 00:43:52,560
Speaker 1: is on a Friday. Again, they're playing UTSA, So Western

938
00:43:52,640 --> 00:43:55,279
Speaker 1: Kentucky minus one and a half is where we're going

939
00:43:55,320 --> 00:43:59,080
Speaker 1: there in agreement well with the model, but also Oregon

940
00:43:59,120 --> 00:44:01,920
Speaker 1: plus three Baylor plus five and a half. Those are

941
00:44:01,920 --> 00:44:03,480
Speaker 1: the three games. I don't know if we're going to

942
00:44:03,520 --> 00:44:06,360
Speaker 1: add anymore, so just stay tuned on that one. Also,

943
00:44:06,400 --> 00:44:09,120
Speaker 1: I would strongly encourage you if you haven't already listened.

944
00:44:09,120 --> 00:44:11,480
Speaker 1: We got it out a bit late today, that's my fault.

945
00:44:11,800 --> 00:44:14,120
Speaker 1: Go check out the Late Kick Extra podcast. Add a

946
00:44:14,160 --> 00:44:16,200
Speaker 1: lot of behind the scenes stuff from Ann Arbor this weekend,

947
00:44:16,239 --> 00:44:17,520
Speaker 1: a lot of stuff that I didn't get to on

948
00:44:17,560 --> 00:44:20,799
Speaker 1: the show tonight. So we're looking forward to getting out

949
00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:23,680
Speaker 1: of here and getting to Atlanta on Thursday. I can't

950
00:44:23,719 --> 00:44:25,839
Speaker 1: tell you exactly where we're going to be yet, but

951
00:44:25,880 --> 00:44:28,480
Speaker 1: we will be live from Atlanta on Thursday leading up

952
00:44:28,480 --> 00:44:32,440
Speaker 1: to the SEC Championship game. Appreciate you guys watching. Appreciate

953
00:44:32,480 --> 00:44:36,120
Speaker 1: the proprietor of this mysterious bedroom for letting us use

954
00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:39,719
Speaker 1: their facilities. For lack of a better term, hopefully they

955
00:44:39,760 --> 00:44:41,440
Speaker 1: clean up after we get out of here. To give

956
00:44:41,440 --> 00:44:43,600
Speaker 1: you an idea, there is a real life NASCAR tire

957
00:44:43,960 --> 00:44:46,400
Speaker 1: just off the stage left here, So that doesn't concern you.

958
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:49,080
Speaker 1: What does concern you is show's doing great. It's all

959
00:44:49,120 --> 00:44:51,200
Speaker 1: because of you. Thank you so much for it. Make

960
00:44:51,239 --> 00:44:54,520
Speaker 1: sure you're subscribed to the channel. Make sure you're following

961
00:44:54,520 --> 00:44:58,319
Speaker 1: guys on Twitter at late Kick Josh, because I am

962
00:44:58,440 --> 00:45:02,440
Speaker 1: strongly consider just randomly cranking up some of those Twitter

963
00:45:02,480 --> 00:45:04,560
Speaker 1: spaces of my own. I'm not going to announce it

964
00:45:04,560 --> 00:45:07,080
Speaker 1: in advance. It's just going to randomly happen. And you

965
00:45:07,120 --> 00:45:10,400
Speaker 1: know what that is. That is live as live can be,

966
00:45:10,440 --> 00:45:12,240
Speaker 1: and that's just you and me talking back and forth.

967
00:45:12,719 --> 00:45:14,400
Speaker 1: I think it could be really fun. I want to

968
00:45:14,440 --> 00:45:16,560
Speaker 1: find the right moment to do it, and I think

969
00:45:16,600 --> 00:45:18,680
Speaker 1: it could be really fun. Thank you so much. I'm

970
00:45:18,719 --> 00:45:22,120
Speaker 1: down here in Georgia, up in Tennessee, producer Jesse, director

971
00:45:22,160 --> 00:45:24,400
Speaker 1: Colin just sweating away there in the control room and

972
00:45:24,440 --> 00:45:27,520
Speaker 1: pull this thing off way more steamless than it should

973
00:45:27,520 --> 00:45:29,439
Speaker 1: have been pulled off. That's what happens when you work

974
00:45:29,480 --> 00:45:31,719
Speaker 1: with professionals. So thank you to them. Thank you to you.

975
00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:33,640
Speaker 1: Make sure you like the video. On the way out.

976
00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:36,080
Speaker 1: We will see you back here same time Thursday. Until then,

977
00:45:36,200 --> 00:45:39,040
Speaker 1: take care and God bless us.